Your Life Will Change Forever: War, AI, Power, History & Humanity's Future | Yuval Noah Harari
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Yuval Noah Harari explores how humanity has historically managed power dynamics through bioengineering, citing ancient Chinese emperors who utilized castration to create eunuchs—ministers and generals stripped of reproductive capacity to prevent rebellion or dynastic usurpation. This historical precedent highlights a recurring human need for control over biological urges that even powerful institutions like the Christian Church struggled to suppress without deep genetic intervention. Harari warns that modern technologies, particularly gene editing, could allow regimes to create new subspecies of humans with specific traits, posing an irreversible danger unlike previous methods. He contrasts this with artificial intelligence (AI), which represents a novel shift in human history by potentially removing decision-making power from humanity entirely; while past tools like nuclear bombs required human authorization for use, AI algorithms can now autonomously deny loans or jobs without direct human oversight. The discussion extends to the implications of data privacy and surveillance, noting that emperors and popes have long dreamed of total monitoring but lacked the technology until today's digital age makes it possible. Harari illustrates how a regime could theoretically read moods via facial recognition to arrest individuals for anger at political figures, creating a "data colony" where personal records allow remote control without physical soldiers. He emphasizes that while international cooperation is necessary to regulate such technologies and prevent an arms race in autonomous weapons or AI development, rising global tensions make this difficult. The conversation touches on the philosophical divide between viewing humans as embodied biological entities versus immaterial souls trapped within bodies, a debate replayed by concepts like the metaverse. Harari remains grounded in biology, cautioning against divorcing mental existence from physical needs like feeding microbes and maintaining social bonds, arguing that ignoring these realities would be disastrous for human well-being. Harari addresses the decline of global peace achieved since 1945 through rule-based international systems and institutions like sewage networks, which represent collective achievements often taken for granted until crises threaten them. He uses the example of Ukraine to demonstrate how a nation can overcome internal tribalism and disinformation campaigns to unite against external aggression, contrasting this with historical empires built on brutality or conquest that are now obsolete due to nuclear deterrence. However, he expresses concern over current political polarization in Western democracies, where leaders often exploit societal wounds for power rather than healing them. This fragmentation threatens the stability of democratic systems, which rely on viewing rivals as mistaken but not evil; when citizens begin seeing neighbors as existential enemies willing to destroy their way of life, democracy risks collapsing into civil war or dictatorship. To navigate these challenges, Harari proposes that humanity must find a new narrative centered on our shared biological reality rather than divisive ideologies like fascism, communism, or liberalism. He defines liberalism not merely by political labels but by the fundamental belief in individual liberty to choose one's government, religion, profession, and spouse—a standard almost universally accepted today despite surface-level cultural wars over issues that were once deeply contentious fifty years ago. The core tragedy of current conflicts lies less in actual ideological differences than in fantasies about what opposing groups intend to do; unlike historical enemies who openly stated their genocidal plans, modern adversaries often operate on imagined threats fueled by social media algorithms and polarization. Ultimately, Harari suggests that the path forward requires recognizing our common humanity as Homo sapiens with shared desires for love, family, health, and freedom from pain, urging a shift away from tribalism toward a narrative of collective biological experience to prevent future catastrophes involving AI or genetic engineering.
Read the full video transcript
If you're a Chinese emperor like 2,000
years ago, one of your biggest problems
in life is that if you give too much
power to your ministers and generals,
they might rebel against you, the will
to power, and want to kill you and your
family and establish their dynasty.
And they found a solution.
Which is based on bioengineering. Now,
you can ask, bioengineering 2,000 years
ago in China? Yes, it's called
castration. Wow. Castration is
bioengineering. You take a man, you cut
something off, you get a different kind
of man that is perfectly fit for the
purposes of the emperor.
know they did that.
Yeah, you you eunuchs.
I knew eunuchs existed. I didn't know
they were generals.
You had eunuch generals and eunuch
ministers because they posed much less
of a threat.
They can't establish their own dynasty.
Wow.
And you had in There were periods in
Chinese history when most of the
imperial administration was eunuchs. Do
you have a dark view of humanity?
Like, you know, you you want a
government job? Yes, just give us your
testicles and we'll give you a
government job. And this was not just
China. You see the same thing happening
in in the Byzantine Empire, in the
caliphate, in the Islamic caliphate,
because this was kind of bioengineering
of 1,000 or 2,000 years ago that again,
you need this
this special kind of human
which has intelligence and discipline,
but doesn't pose the threat of
establishing their own dynasty. That's
the solution.
So, Wow.
was very limited. But you
you had other, you know, you have the I
know that the Christians
they also have a problem with with
humans as they are. Because humans are
not very good in obeying all the kind of
uh uh uh
dictates of of Christianity.
So, they try to change humanity, but
they fail.
They don't have the ability to really
intervene deep inside the human genome,
the human brain. Like Christianity
doesn't like sex very much. It doesn't
have It doesn't have It has a negative
view of sex.
But what to do? I mean, you can't change
the human sexual urge. They tried a lot
of times. But even monks and nuns did
not always keep their vows of chastity.
You have popes with children.
So, Christianity had a very big trouble
like overcoming this sexual urge of
humans.
And um you know, you you fast forward to
the future, what would some
fundamentalist religious regime,
Christian or Muslim or whatever, do with
genetic engineering? They can What I
often say is that
the people who develop the technology,
they usually think about the good
usages. We will use this to cure
disease. We will use this to to improve
people's lives. But you also need to
take a moment, think about the
politician you most hate in the world,
or think about the religious movement or
the ideological movement that
which was the worst in history from your
perspective, and take a few minutes to
think, what would they do Yeah. With the
technologies that I'm developing right
now? It It doesn't mean we stop all
technological development,
but it means that we have to be very
careful, especially about thing about
something like genetic engineering,
which is to some extent irreversible. We
We have never seen like something like
that in history. That the Chinese
emperor, they could create eunuchs, but
it was just one generation. They could
not create an entire kind of new specie
of human eunuchs. It doesn't work.
But now it could be done.
So, that's one very big danger. And And
the other big danger it it it comes from
AI. Because AI also is something
completely new in human history.
It's the first time that we invent
something that can take power away from
us. Going back to the will to power.
Every previous invention in history gave
more power to humans. Because
even if the tool was extremely powerful,
an atom bomb,
the decision how to use it
always remained in human hands.
It was not the atom bomb that decided to
uh to bomb Hiroshima.
It was Truman. And the the the the
American army. It was human beings. So,
even a nuclear bomb actually empowers
humanity.
AI is the first invention that breaks
this. Because it can make decisions by
its own. That's the whole idea.
So, it potentially can take power away
from us.
We already see it beginning to happen.
Uh you know, increasingly you apply to
to to to the bank to get a loan.
And the bank says no. And why not?
Because the algorithm said no.
And you apply for a university or you
apply for a job.
And increasingly it's an AI making a
decision about your life.
And we will see it in more and more
areas. Now, again, it's not all bad. It
can improve many decision-making
processes.
It can uh really improve medicine.
But we should be aware of the danger
when this technology is in the wrong
hands.
Or when we don't understand its its true
potential.
Because another new thing about AI, and
I think we talked about this the last
time I was here, so I I won't go into
too much details, it's it could
eliminate human privacy completely.
Throughout history, again, emperors and
kings and popes always dreamt about
following people all the time and and
and and watching them, supervising them.
They They couldn't do it. They didn't
have the technology. What do you think?
So, I've I've heard you say that imagine
that North Korea gets a hold or a
government like gets a hold of a device
that can read effectively your mood. So,
when you see a poster of the supreme
leader and you have anger, up, cool,
you're arrested and you're locked away.
What What is the real-world
response to that? Like, how do we Like,
do you have a
The response is it's political. I mean,
I mean,
don't get there.
But you know that other countries are
going to do it. So, there's going to be
the tragedy of the commons. This is
where I like I get into the hey, I'm
optimistic. I'm living my life. I'm
trying to create beautiful things. But
at the same time, in the back of my
mind, I'm like, humans are never going
to stop. Like, we're never going to
stop. The tragedy of the commons is
real. And so, whatever solution we put
in place has got to deal with the
tragedy of the commons.
Yes. I mean, again, this is where I'm
not optimistic because the only way to
really regulate a technology like AI is
through international cooperation. Yeah.
If you think about, you know, autonomous
weapon systems, which are extremely
dangerous, if
only America bans them, but the Chinese
or the Russians keep developing them,
then very soon America will say, "Hey,
we don't want to to be left behind. We
have to do it also. We don't want to do
it, but we have to do it." So, the only
way you can regulate it is through some
kind of international agreement,
cooperation. And as international
tensions in the world just increase,
then I'm not optimistic at all
about the potential to regulate this
technology.
Within
certain within a country,
you can regulate it to some extent. You
can protect people's privacy.
For instance, you can have laws that say
that if somebody collects my private
information, they can only use it to
help me, they cannot use it to
manipulate me or to sell it to a third
party.
Now, this is obvious because we have
these kinds of laws about so many other
things. Like with my personal doctor,
it's known for for years, for
generations, that you have this exactly
these kinds of laws.
My personal doctor has a lot of very
private information about me.
And he or she use it in order to help
me. They are not allowed to use it to
manipulate me or to sell it to some
political party or to some corporation.
So, why is Facebook allowed to do it?
So, this should be very very simple.
That's one defense of our
privacy.
Another thing that we can regulate
is that we should never allow all the
information to be concentrated in one
place.
Whether this one place is a government
agency, or whether this one place is a
corporation, this is the high road to a
dictatorship. Somebody that has all the
information of all the people,
they basically control everybody.
You know, I mean, even you think about
it on a global scale.
That you think in 20 years you have some
country that somebody in in China or
somewhere have the entire personal
records of every politician, every
judge, every journalist, every military
officer in that country from the time
they were little. Like every illness
they had, every sexual encounter, every
bribe they took.
They know that.
This is no longer an independent
country. This has become a kind of data
colony.
To control the the colony, you don't
need to send soldiers in to to to to
police people, you just take the data
out.
And if you have enough information, you
can control this country
by remote control from from from from
afar.
So,
I I think we need to have regulations
against these kinds of things.
And and it can be done. And similarly
when you think about the the new
developments like the metaverse, we have
to think very very carefully about
what's happening there.
Again, I'm I'm a historian so I always
look at things from a very long-term
perspective. But we know this. This has
been a fantasy of humans for thousands
of years.
It really goes back to ancient
philosophical and religious debates
about what is a human being.
You know, you go back to early
Christianity. So you have two camps.
You have one camp which says
humans are embodied beings. The body is
in the center.
Which was the old Jewish view. You are
not your mind. You are not
spiritual entity a soul. You are a body.
In the book of Genesis, God creates Adam
and Eve from clay. And they don't exist
before that. They exist only as bodies.
In the New Testament, Jesus rises from
the dead in the flesh.
And
when he preaches to people about the
kingdom of God,
he means a
physical kingdom here on earth with
physical bodies with biological bodies.
So this was one view as humans are
bodies, are biological entities. And
then there was the other view which
which was influenced by Greek philosophy
and so forth and which increasingly
became dominant which says no, humans
are not bodies.
Humans are an immaterial soul
or spirit trapped within a physical
body. The body is bad, is evil, is
corrupt, is dirty, is ugly.
The soul is completely pure and
spiritual. We're back to narratives.
Which of those narratives do you
believe?
I I'll get to that in in a moment. I'll
just complete my thought that what we
see now in the metaverse is exactly this
argument being replayed.
That is can we
uh as as as humans just shift to the
immaterial realm of the metaverse and
leave our biological bodies behind?
Or is it impossible or even dangerous to
try and separate
our kind of mental existence
from our bodily and and and physical
existence?
give you a little bit of hope for some
of the people working in the metaverse.
So, I am very grounded in biology.
So, the things that I'm interested in
with that very much coexist. Now, will
it be interesting for a entirely virtual
species to uh inhabit? Maybe. That could
be cool, but that doesn't help us. So,
even people thinking about uploading
their consciousness, I've thought
through that one a lot. Uh
it would be a copy of me, but it
wouldn't be me. So, all of the sadness
of death and all that that I would be
hoping to avoid by doing that doesn't
help. Maybe it kind of gives the same
sense of having a kid, but it wouldn't
by any means save me from having to deal
with death. So, but the metaverse is
still really interesting to me. Now, I'm
a person when I say I'm grounded in
biology, I'm talking about understanding
the microbiome and how wildly that
influences my thoughts. And am I just a
shell for microbes? Maybe. And so, like
I'm I take a very very grounded approach
to that.
Now, having said that, so hopefully that
gives you a little bit of optimism. Not
everybody's trying to divorce from the
body. It's I think of it
most of the day Well, that I would
caution against.
you know, increasingly your social life,
your job is increasingly in the
metaverse.
The biology of the situation will make
that a disaster. So, I would highly as
somebody developing in the metaverse, I
will highly caution people against that
because you have to feed your microbes.
You have to love and bond and there's
there's so many things that we pick up
on. Anyway, I totally see how it it
derails, but if people are talking about
like, "Hey, you can't ignore the body.
This is a very real thing. You have to
pay attention. This is a fun place to
visit. You can't live there."
Um hopefully we can avoid some of the
nonsense that comes along with like
social media where nobody even talked
about let's talk about how this becomes
deranging cuz social media has been
incredible in my life. I don't have an
addictive personality so that probably
helps. So, it's very easy for me to go.
I spend a little bit of time on it. What
time I do spend is incredibly empowering
because I have trained the algorithm to
give me useful things, not things that
compare me to other people and make me
feel terrible.
Uh so, it's like, you know, you have to
be very thoughtful about stuff like
that. So, my hope is that we get a
little bit wiser. Of course, not
everybody will.
But, it really does come back to this
idea of narrative. Like, I tell myself a
narrative about what the virtual space
is. It's going to keep me I think from
hitting the major roadblocks. I'm sure
there will be things I can't anticipate
yet. But, the the thing that I want to
make sure that we touch on is
I am not religious, but I worry that
the thing that you're talking about
where we have to be thoughtful about
gene editing and we have to come
together as a big cooperative.
I don't know how that happens without
a
without something filling the god-like
hole in all of our brains where we want
some grand meaning, something that we
can orbit around.
But, but there is no
there is no god's hole in our brain.
Interesting. I mean, the people think
don't worry about God is dead at all.
Doesn't phase you. I mean, we managed
without him for many periods in history
and And been doing quite well in in
recent generations without him.
I think that some people connect God and
morality. How do we come together then
as a huge species, like as one planet to
fight the big things? What's the big
narrative we all revolve around? I think
the big narrative is the biological
narrative. That we are all Homo sapiens.
That we are all have the same basic
experiences. That we all want to fall in
love. That we all have very deep ties
with our family members. That we all we
don't want to be sick. It's we don't
like pain. That we don't want to die.
That we're afraid to die. I mean, these
are things that are common to all
humans. You don't need God for them.
And also very important, you don't need
God for morality.
Some people say that and it was common
in history to have this argument that
even if God doesn't exist, we have to
believe in him because without God
people will just kill and murder and
rape and and we now have empirical
evidence that this is absolutely not
true. I don't think it breaks down like
that. I think people are missing
something more subtle with that. I'm
just playing with these ideas. Please
don't I hope it doesn't come across like
I think I know, but
I feel like the thing is more subtle.
So, I haven't believed in God since I
was like 15. Mhm.
So, I totally get as I've never felt
compared compelled to steal, murder,
rape. None of that like none of that
entered my mind.
But when I look at sort of the broad
sweep of humanity, I realize that people
will fall in line with whatever the sort
of dominant philosophy of their tribe
is. So, by way of example, I'm I feel
almost ridiculous bringing this up to
you cuz you're a historian and I'm very
much not, but the thing that stopped the
conquistadors from coming up and taking
over what we now think of as America,
the thing that originally stopped the
Americans from coming across
uh the Comanches tribe, I believe is the
name. And so, how did they become the
tribe when all the other Native American
tribes were falling by the wayside and
getting relegated to reservations, why
didn't they? Because of sheer brutality.
And reading the book Empire of the
Summer Moon was utterly fascinating when
he was like they were the only tribe
that fought on horseback instead of
riding the horse to the fight and
getting off. And so, they were able to
just bring this level of viciousness
that
we've seen throughout history in all
different kinds of tribes and peoples.
But hearing it described, you realize,
oh, it was actually really effective.
So, thinking of yourself as a warrior,
um treating the other people as the
other that you need to stop them, kill
them, torture, maim, whatever. You kill
all adults, you take either the women
and the ki- adult males, you take women
and and children, but if they're infants
then you kill them too because it's too
much of a hassle. It's like
it's actually effective, but it's super
gnarly. And so, what is the thing that
given how many times we've seen that,
whether it's the Nazis
stopped it. I mean, the conquistadors
did the same thing and they believed in
God. So, God doesn't stop these kind of
terrible things from happening.
1,000% agree. So, that's why I said
God-shaped hole. I'm trying to figure
out what that cuz it isn't God. I want
to be very clear on my stance. I mean,
we need morality. That's that's
certainly true.
So, how do we make that like a thing
that everyone's like, yeah. Because as
you were describing
uh getting everybody to recognize the
biology of it. So, I have said a
thousand times, on my tombstone I want
them to put you're having a biological
experience. That like you and I could
not agree more about like I want that to
work. I just don't think it will. And
so, how or maybe this, how do we make
you're having a biological experience so
cool and so infectious that it
propagates and and people come together.
Mhm.
Um
You know, first of all, with regard to
the example you gave, so yes.
Throughout history, viciousness was an
effective way to build empires, but now
with nuclear weapons, it's only a way to
destroy all of us.
So, the same way that AI is a game
changer and the same way that genetic
engineering is a game changer, nuclear
weapons were also a game changer.
That uh you can no longer conquer the
world by force. The only thing you will
achieve is the annihilation of
everything. Just to be clear really fast
on that, all I'm saying is that they
became the tribe not by being
genetically superior, by having a belief
system that made them unstoppable. Yes.
So, and and this now becomes more and
more dangerous to have this kind of of
of belief system.
Um we need I mean, again, if if if you
have a lot of people in the world,
different groups, with this kind of
belief system, you end up with World War
III. And with the type of weapons we now
have, not just nuclear weapons, but also
increasingly AI and and robotics and so
forth, this is the end of humanity.
Unless the thing, the belief system,
that's powerful is one of beauty. I just
don't know how to make beauty contagious
in the way that the will to power is
contagious. Mhm.
Well, I don't either, but
one thing that makes me hopeful is that
you don't see a kind of constant level
of violence throughout history. You do
see periods of peace and periods of war.
We just we we have just experienced, as
I said earlier,
uh some of the most peaceful decades in
human history.
So, this this makes me hopeful.
And um we need to find ways to connect
people. I don't think God is a good way
because different people have different
gods. And you know, coming from Israel,
both sides believe in God.
But he tells them different things.
And he tells the Jews that Jerusalem is
yours, and he tells the Muslims
Jerusalem is yours, and then they fight
over it. And the tragedy is that it's a
completely unnecessary conflict. You
know, if it was some kind of objective
necessity,
like you have two people alone on an
island, there is the last apple or the
last piece of bread, whoever gets it
survives, the other dies, then I say,
"Okay, you know, this is a situation
when conflict is maybe is inevitable."
But this is not the case in my country.
There is enough food, there is enough
territory between the Mediterranean and
the Jordan River to feed and to house
everybody.
Humans usually don't really fight about
objective biological things the same way
that wolves or chimpanzees fight. They
don't really fight about territory. They
fight about fantasies in their minds.
That both sides have a fantasy about
Jerusalem, which is just incompatible
with the the story, with the mythology
of the other side, and this is what they
fight about. About the fantasy in their
in their mind. I mean, going back to the
to the metaverse in a way. When you go
to Jerusalem, I've I've I've I teach
there at the Hebrew University, so it's
a place like with biological glasses
of of an ape, you see, it's just like
every other place. You have trees, you
have stones, you have buildings, it's
the same like Los Angeles, like any
other place.
But then you put on a different set of
glasses, you put on religious glasses,
and you see ancient shells,
and you see divinity, and you see sacred
stones, and sacred trees, and everything
is sacred.
You know, a sacred place is a place plus
a story about the place.
And this is at the bottom of most
conflicts in the world.
Also, you look at again the Russian
invasion of Ukraine. Is it about
territory? Russia is the biggest country
in the world. They need more territory?
This is the thing they need, more
territory? No. It's about the fantasies
in in the head. I think that the more we
come back to the level of of again of
the body, of biology, the more common
ground that we have.
Throughout history, you you you you got
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to narrative again from religions like
Christianity that the body is the source
of all the bad things in life.
And the mind, this is a kind of the
more spiritual, more beautiful, better
part. And most of the time, it's the
opposite.
That on the level of the body,
we can relate to every other human being
in the world because biologically we are
the same.
What creates this huge distance between
us is the fantasies that the mind
imagines and and produces.
So, I I think that again, if if I have
hope for the for humanity in the 21st
century, is actually getting a little
away from our from thinking too much,
from from the mind,
and grounding ourselves a little more in
our body. Some of the things that are
happening technologically become a
little bit dangerous because you can
hack a human. And if you can explain
what you mean by hacking a human, and
then how do we end up hacking ourselves
in a positive way?
Well, I think this is maybe the most
important thing to know about living
right now in the 21st century, that we
are now hackable animals. We have the
technology to decipher how humans or
what you think, what you want, to
predict human choices, to manipulate
human desires in ways which were never
possible before.
Basically, to hack a human being, you
need two things.
You need a lot of data,
especially biometric data, not just
about where you go and what you buy, but
what is happening inside your body and
inside your brain. And secondly, you
need a lot of computing power to make
sense of all that data. Now, previously
in history, this was never possible.
Nobody had enough data and enough
computing power to hack human beings.
Even if the KGB or the Gestapo followed
you around 24 hours a day, eavesdropping
on every conversation you had, watching
everybody you meet, still they did not
have the biological knowledge
to really understand what's happening
inside you, and they certainly didn't
have the computing power necessary to
make sense even of the data they were
able to collect. So, the KGB could not
really understand you, could not really
predict all your choices or manipulate
all all all your desires and so forth.
And but now it's changing. What the KGB
couldn't do, corporations and
governments today are beginning to be
able to do.
And this is because of the merger of the
revolution in biotech. We are
getting better in understanding what's
happening inside us, in the body, in the
brain. And at the same time, the
revolution in infotech, which gives us
the computing power necessary. When you
put the two together, when infotech
merges with biotech, what you get is the
ability to
create algorithms that understand me
better than I understand myself. And
then these algorithms can not just
predict my choices, but also manipulate
my desires and basically sell me
anything, whether it's a product or a
politician. And that So, that's what
you're calling hacking, that you're
hitting me with the right emotional
message at exactly the right time based
on my biometric data? Mhm. Yeah, this is
one of the things you can do. Then you
can predict, you can manipulate, you can
eventually also re-engineer or replace.
If you really hack a system, you really
understand how it functions, then
usually you can also re-engineer it or
you can completely replace it. And
again, one of the dangers that we are
facing today in the 21st century is that
computers and AI would be able to
replace humans in more and more tasks
and maybe push millions of humans out of
the job market as a result. All right.
So, I I fully understand the dangers and
we will talk about some of what we were
talking about off camera, which is we've
got this whole story called Neon Future,
where we're exploring that notion of
what happens to what you've called the
useless class when they're pushed out of
the job market, and what does that do
economically? But, going just staying
with the the notion of the hackability
for a second. So, it's funny, as you
were describing it, and I know you bring
the sense of like, uh there's some like
real significant problems we need to
take a very serious look at, and I get
almost giddy with excitement because I
have potentially delusional levels of
optimism. I'm very open to that.
No, I agree. I mean, the thing about
this ability to hack humans is that it
has also potentially tremendous positive
consequences, and this is why it's so
tempting. If it was only bad, then it
was it would have been like an easy deal
to say, "Okay, we don't want that, and
let's stop researching or going in that
direction." But, it is extremely
tempting because it can provide us, for
example, with the best health care in
history. Something which goes far beyond
anything we've seen so far. This can
mean that maybe in 30 years the poorest
person on the planet can get a better
health care from her or his smartphone
than the richest person today gets from
the best hospitals and the best doctors.
The kind of things you can just know
about what's happening in your body
um is is nothing like we've seen so far.
Yeah, no, that that's really
extraordinary, and if you had to take
the positive look and say, "Okay, we
have this ability. Let's just say it's
already there. We've got all this
biometric data. It's kicking off." Um
how would you
encourage people to leverage that to
empower themselves? And I'll I'll use an
example that I found profoundly
interesting from your book. So, you said
that growing up that it was unclear to
you that you were gay, but that now
Stanford has developed an algorithm that
essentially can look at three or four
photos of somebody's face Mhm. and
predict with 91% accuracy whether or not
they're gay, which seems impossible.
But, if that's true, the level of data
that we could give ourselves about our
like deepest, most hardwired desires,
there would be a level of clarity there
that seems useful. Um, how would you
encourage people to use that? Well,
that's a very good example. I mean, the
Stanford algorithm, actually there is a
lot of problems with that research and
and let's put it aside. But, the first
key message from from that is how little
people actually know about themselves.
And um, one of the most important things
in my life and also in I think in my
scientific career was the realization of
how little I know about myself and
humans in general. There was so many
important ideas and important facts we
don't realize about ourselves. I was 21
when I finally realized that I was gay,
which is, you know, when you think about
it, it's it's absolutely amazing. I
mean, it should have been obvious at
age, you know, 16, 15. And an algorithm
would have realized it very quickly. And
you can build algorithms like that today
or in a few years. Um, you just need to
to follow your eye movements. Like you
you go on on on the beach or you you
look at the computer screen and you see
an attractive guy and an attractive girl
and just follow the focus of the eyes.
Where do the eyes go and whom do they
focus on? Should be very easy.
And uh, such an algorithm could have
told when I was 15 that I was gay.
And the implications are really
mind-boggling. When an algorithm knows
such an important thing about you before
you know it about yourself. Now, it can
go in all kinds of directions. It really
depends on where you live and what you
do with it. In some countries, you can
be in trouble now with the police and
the government.
You might be sent to some reeducation
facility.
In some countries, like with, you know,
surveillance capitalism, so maybe I
don't know about myself that I'm gay,
but Coca-Cola knows I'm gay because they
have these algorithms. And they want to
know that because they need to know
which commercials to show me. Let's say
Coca-Cola knows that I'm gay, and I even
know it about myself. They know it and
Pepsi doesn't.
Coca-Cola will show me a commercial with
a shirtless guy drinking Coca-Cola, but
Pepsi will make the mistake of showing a
girl in a bikini. And next day, without
my realizing why, when I go to the
supermarket, when I go to the to the
restaurant, I will order Coca-Cola, not
Pepsi. I don't know why, but they know.
So they might not even share this kind
of information with me. Now, if the
algorithm does share the information
with me, again, it's it it it all
depends on context. One scenario is that
you're 15 years old, you go to a
birthday party of somebody from your
class, and somebody just heard that
there is this cool new algorithm which
tells you your sexual orientation.
And everybody agrees it will be a lot of
fun to just have this game that
everybody takes turn with the algorithm
and and everybody else looking and then
and then and seeing the results. Would
you like to discover about yourself in
such a scenario?
This this can be quite
quite a shocking experience. Okay, but
even if it's done in like complete
privacy, you know, it's a it's a it's a
very deep philosophical question. What
does it mean to discover something like
that about yourself from an algorithm?
What kind What does it mean about human
life, about human identity?
Um we have very little experience with
these kinds of things. You know, from
very ancient times,
all the philosophers and saints and
sages tell people to get to know
yourself better. It's one of the maybe
the most important thing in life is to
get to know yourself better.
But for all of history, this was a
process of self exploration, which you
did through things like meditation and
maybe sports and maybe art and
contemplation and all these things. What
does it mean when the process of self
self exploration is being outsourced to
a big data algorithm? And the
philosophical implications are quite
mind-boggling.
It's interesting. So, let's talk about
that. So, the implications you're
outsourcing the self-discovery process,
to me that sounds so profoundly useful
because all day the people that write in
to me, they're asking basically one
essential question. How do I find the
thing that I love? Cuz I tell people you
you need to develop a passion in your
life. I don't think you find it. I think
you develop it. But they need to start
from an area of of real interest. It
needs to be actually something that at a
hardwiring level, they're just they get
that response. So, the their next
question is like how, right? How do I
get into that? How do I discover the
thing that triggers me like that? And if
I discover it, then how do I develop it
into a passion? If you had an algorithm,
something that were able to um
use the more manipulative
techniques that you were talking about
that Coca-Cola is doing or whatever, but
give it to you in a way that can move
you in a desired direction. So, I'll
give you a specific example that you
give in the book. So, talking about how
let's say there was an algorithm that
knew you just broken up with somebody,
knew that you were in the grips of
heartache, cuz they're they're reading
your biometrics.
they're watching your your your heart.
give it to us. That that example that
you you put. So, the biometrics they're
reading you. The it's the song. It knows
what songs to pick. Yeah, I mean,
something as as simple as choosing
music. So, you you were just yet dumped
by your boyfriend or girlfriend and the
the algorithm that controls
uh the music that you listen to chooses
the songs that are the best fit for your
current mental state. And of course,
this brings up the the question of what
is the metric? What do you actually want
from the music? Do you want the music to
uplift you? Or do you want the music to
kind of connect you to the deepest level
of sadness and depression?
And ultimately, we can say that the
algorithm can follow different kinds of
instructions. If you know what kind of
emotional state you want to be in, you
can just tell the algorithm what you
what you want and it will do it. If
you're not sure, you can tell the
algorithm follow the recommendation of
the
best psychologist today. So, let's say
you have the five stages of grief.
So, okay, walk me with music through
these five stages of grief.
And the algorithm can do that better
than than any human DJ. And what we
really need to understand in in this
regard is that
what the music and most of art plays on
in the end is the human biochemical
system. At least according to the
dominant view of art in the modern
Western world. We had different views in
different cultures. But in the modern
Western world, the idea of art is that
art is above all about inspiring human
emotions.
It doesn't necessarily have to be joy.
Great art can inspire also sadness, can
can inspire anger, can inspire fear. It
can be a whole palette of emotional
states, but art is about inspiring human
emotions. So, the instrument artists
play on, and whether it's musicians or
poets or movie makers, they're actually
playing on the Homo sapiens biochemical
system.
And we might reach a point quite soon
when an algorithm knows this instrument
better than any human artist. A movie or
a poem or a a song
that will not
move you, that will not inspire you,
might inspire me. And something that
will inspire me in one situation might
not inspire me in another situation. And
as time goes on and the algorithm
gathers more and more data about me, it
will become more and more accurate
in reading my biochemical system and
knowing how to play on it as if it was a
piano. Like, okay, you want joy?
I press this button and out comes the
perfect song, the only song in the world
that can actually make me joyful right
now.
That's so interesting to me. All right,
so right now, real world, you can snap
your fingers and you can have one
algorithm that's tied to one
biochemical process. In your life for
real, what would you want to monitor and
get that feedback on? Now, that's easy.
I mean, a healthcare. If there is like
something seriously wrong in my body
that I don't know about, like, I don't
know, cancer or something, I would like
the algorithm to find that out. I don't
want to wait until I mean, the usual
process
is that it has to go through your own
mind. You can't outsource it. I mean,
today when you need to uh cancer, there
are exceptions, but in most cases, there
is a crucial moment when you feel
something is wrong in my body. And you
go to this doctor and that doctor and
and you do this test and that test until
they finally realize, "Okay, we just
discovered you have cancer in your liver
or whatever."
Um but because it relies on your own
feelings, in this case feelings of pain,
very often uh it it it's quite late in
the process.
By the time you start feeling pain,
usually the cancer has spread, and maybe
it's not too late, but it's going to be
expensive and painful and problematic to
treat it.
But if we can, you know, outsource this,
don't go through the mind, through the
through my my feelings, I want an
algorithm that with biometric sensors is
monitoring my health 24 hours a day
without my being aware of it,
it can potentially discover this liver
cancer when it is just a tiny just a few
cells are beginning to to to to to split
and to spread. And it's so easy and
cheap and painless to take care of it
now
instead of 2 years later when it's
already spread and it's it's it's a big
problem. So, this is something that I
think almost everybody would sign on to.
And this is the big temptation.
Because it comes with the whole other
with a long tail of dangers. I mean,
this algorithm that the the the health
care system knows almost everything
about you.
So, one of the biggest battles in the
21st century is likely to be between
privacy and health.
And I guess that health is going to win.
Mhm. Most people will be willing to give
up a very significant amount of privacy
in exchange for far better health care.
Now, we do need to try and and enjoy
both worlds to create a system that give
us a very good health care, but without
compromising our privacy. Keeping the
Yes, you can use the data to tell me
that there is a problem and and and we
should do this or that to solve it, but
I don't want this data to be used for
other purposes without my knowing it.
Whether we can reach such a balance
and like, you know, have your cake and
eat it, too, that that's a big political
question.
I have a hypothesis. I know you don't
believe that history repeats, but that
humans do have a biology. We have a
nature. Humans are like something.
And I think there's two things man, and
this is like a random entrepreneur
stabbing in the dark here, but I've
engaged with people enough that I'm
pretty confident that I'm on the right
track. I think there's two things that
lead to this kind of thing where we're
fighting over something that in the end
really isn't that important. One, some
people need to be chased by a lion. So,
without an extrinsic real danger that
forces you to be like, "Yo, we may not
see eye to eye, but you can help me keep
my family safe, and in return I will
help you keep your family safe." Without
that, that impulse to protect or
whatever goes awry or just that they
can't handle boredom.
Something we talked about briefly before
we started rolling. And then there the
other thing is Nietzsche's will to
power.
And I did not understand
the culture war until I started reading
about Nietzsche and the idea that we
have we want to It can manifest
beautifully. We want to get better. We
want to improve. We want that control
over our life to to manifest what we
could be.
But then there's also the toll booth
person that isn't going to let you
through if you don't have exact change
because they can. And that they get to
feel that sense of, "Okay, I matter. I I
have some control over the world." And
that desire to have power
Mhm. coupled with there's nothing real
to fight against
puts humans in a very weird situation
where they will pick up on minor things
and we just run in opposite directions
so that we have the expression of
the will to power. Now, I am new to
Nietzsche so I do not claim to fully
understand him.
But it seems like he saw it as a pretty
broad spectrum. Yeah.
Could be a beautiful thing. It could be
an ugly petty thing.
So I don't want to paint it with like
these dark overtones and wolves howling
in the background. But like that it can
manifest in a pretty ugly way.
I I completely agree that much of what
we see now is not an ideological battle.
It's uh certain politicians
uh who as you say that what what is
driving them is power, not ideology. And
they're using
um divisive
uh uh issues.
You know, the the way to gain power is
to take a certain issue and politicize
it. And the they they are searching for
issues that can get people enraged. That
can and and then harnessed harnessed
this energy to to get to power. So a lot
of the issues that you know, people are
fighting over if they were depoliticized
they could have been solved much more
easily.
But you take these issues and you turn
them into these big ideological battles
and then nobody wants to to back down
and become this tribal affair. And this
is the the the the way that these
leaders uh uh ride to power. And and
again, we see it so many times in
history. It's really terrible. I think
that the job of leaders should be
actually to heal the community, to bring
it together.
And this is why also I think that, you
know, many people today say that that we
see the resurgence of resurgence of
nationalism all over the world. But
actually much of the world you see a
crisis of nationalism and the resurgence
of tribalism, of tearing nations into
their components and destroying actually
the national community.
Like I said before, nationalism when
when it is understood correctly, it's a
force for good in the world. The basic
kind of message of nationalism is uh the
the the ability to care about people you
don't know, which is amazing. You know,
from a biological perspective, we are
kind of programmed to care about a very
small number of people
that we know personally, our family, our
friends, and to prefer them over
everybody else.
And the big task of nationalism is to
come and say and say to us, "No, there
is a much larger community of people
that you need to care about. So, for
instance, you take money away from your
family
and you give it to build a healthcare
system. This is These are taxes so that
strange people that you never met in
your life on the other side of the
country, you'll never meet them, but
because you're a good patriot and you
care about them, you pay your taxes
honestly so that they get some basic
healthcare or education or a sewage
system.
And um similarly, like you now, I don't
know, you're a mayor or you're a
prime minister or something, and you
need to appoint somebody for a job,
and you have two options. You have your
cousin,
which is not qualified at all, but he's
your cousin, man. And you have like a
very qualified person who is a stranger.
Millions of years of evolution are
screaming in your ear, are you an idiot?
Give it to your cousin.
But patriotism tells you no, you should
give the job to the qualified person
because they would do a better job for
the community.
And that's that's the the the the the
the the the good side
of of of nationalism.
And what we see now in many parts of the
world is politicians who describe
themselves as nationalists, but they are
actually not trying to create uh uh
harmony in the national community. They
don't strengthen the national community.
They tear it apart.
They deliberately look for any crack,
for any wound in kind of the national
body. Hey, here there's a problem. This
is something that people don't agree on,
and instead of trying to heal it, they
kind of
poke their finger into it and try to
enlarge it as much as possible to
inflame it because this is their ticket
to power.
And in this way they destroy
the national community
and uh uh turn the nation into warring
tribes. And then they place themselves
at the head of one tribe
and tell people you have to follow me,
otherwise the other tribe will destroy
you.
And you're completely right. This is
simply uh
uh the the will to power. It works. We
see unfortunately in many parts of the
world we see that it is working. Not
just in the US. I mean the elections
this this week in Brazil, the elections
uh next week in my country in Israel,
it's exactly the same.
Instead of leaders who are trying to
heal the national community, you see
leaders that try to destroy it and get
power by kind of leading just one tribe.
Yeah, this is why like I'm a super
optimistic guy. As I was saying before
we started rolling, like when it comes
to AI, the metaverse, all that stuff,
you're going to have to slap me back to
reality because I'm so optimistic.
But on this, I am pessimistic only
because when I look at the human animal
and the way that we're wired and what
biology tells us to do,
I don't see it feels like a positive
feedback loop that has been magnified a
thousandfold by social media. And so now
information is coming at us so fast,
it's memeified, so it becomes very easy
to digest.
Yeah. I have a level of confusion
because so much is coming at me.
If I feel insecure, nothing from a
biology perspective, nothing is more
intoxicating than the certainty of
righteous indignation. So the reason
that somebody can acquire power by
poking at something is they're telling
me exactly how to feel about something
very concrete. And so it's like, you
should hate those people because they
have guns. You should hate those people
because they believe in abortion. You
should hate those people because on and
on and on.
Yeah. And so it now in all of my
confusion, I have absolute certainty.
And through a weird quirk of evolution,
that calms my mind and distracts me from
all the like internal emotional turmoil
that I was having.
And it's like
the only way that I see that running its
course so that we it's like labor. Once
a woman goes into labor, there is no
stopping it. She's either going to die
or she's going to give birth to a child.
Those are your two options, there's
nothing in between. Yeah. Because you're
you're in that positive feedback loop. I
feel like and Lord knows I want you to
tell me that we're not, but I feel like
we're in a positive feedback loop right
now of people racing away from each
other. Mhm.
And the only way that they will come
back to the middle is through enough
suffering.
And every war proves that after a while,
you just don't want to fight anymore.
And you've seen too many people die and
it's like, "Oh my god, this is so
horrible. Now I'm willing to compromise.
Now I'm willing to come back to the
table."
And if you see a way out of this,
because I am a big believer in Nelson
Mandela. When I read Long Walk to
Freedom, that changed me at some deep
fundamental level. Where he was like,
"Hey, they imprisoned me for 27 years.
And what's my answer when I come back
out to find what I've heard you refer to
as a middle way?"
So, way number one is to remain
oppressed. Clearly, he wasn't prepared
to do that. Way number two is to become
the oppressor. And he was like, "You
give up your humanity when you become
the oppressor." So, he's like, "You
might be in power, but you give
something up that's not worth giving
up." The third way, the way in the
middle, is to heal people, to bring them
back together. And so, I'm like, if he
can do that, like none of us have an
excuse.
But I don't think that we can. I think
he was such a freakishly rare human.
I just don't know who we turn to.
Well, I'm less optimistic about the
metaverse and all that, and we'll
discuss this in in a minute. But but I'm
more optimistic
We can trade optimisms.
Well well well, yeah, I'm the opposite.
I'm more optimistic about I mean, not
like terribly optimistic, but a little
more optimistic
All right, let's hear it. about our
chances, you know, kind of politically
and and and and so forth. I mean, first
of all, I look at the long-term process
of history. Uh we started
tens of thousands of years ago, hundreds
of thousands of years ago, as isolated
bands.
I mean, 100,000 years ago, you have
humans living in small hunter-gatherer
bands of a few dozen individuals.
And over history, you see that the
direction is very very clear. Humans
find ways to trust more and more
strangers, to come together into larger
and larger groups
even though kind of evolution
evolutionarily it makes no sense.
I mean we are programmed to trust just a
very very small number of individuals
that we know personally and yet we have
nations we have countries of hundreds of
millions of people. If we have a trade
network which covers basically the
entire globe.
So humans find ways
how to
to to
to overcome these tendencies and to
develop trust.
And when you look specifically even at
the issue of of violence and war
the last few decades have been the most
peaceful era in human history.
Now I know there have been conflicts and
and and wars in the last few decades. I
come from Israel you don't need to tell
me I I lived in the Middle East all my
life but when you look at the statistics
it's the most peaceful era in human
history.
It's an era when humans had more chance
to die from eating too much
than from human violence.
In most of the world it became
unacceptable for one country to just
invade and conquer its neighbors because
it's it's it's stronger.
Um you see it in the in the state
budgets maybe in in better than in any
other place. For most of history the
number one item on the budget of every
king and sultan and emperor is the army.
The army the navy the fortresses the
military.
In recent decades the average
expenditure of governments all over the
world together the average on the
military is about 6%. Wow. That's
amazing because this is what enabled the
resources to shift to again education
welfare
uh health care. Most countries spend
much more on education health care and
welfare than they spend or than on the
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And that tells us that it's possible.
Now, we shouldn't be complacent
and think that oh, this is now that's
it. We have peace. We can just relax.
No, peace didn't come from some change
in the laws of nature or because of
divine intervention. It came because
people
countries built good institutions, not
just on a national level, but on the
international level.
Since 1945, countries have built a
rule-based
international system, which had many
problems,
but still managed to provide more peace
than in any previous era.
This is now in question.
The Russian invasion of Ukraine and
other developments are so frightening
because they endanger the biggest
achievement of of of humanity.
Uh this era of relative peace.
You know, if if if Putin is allowed to
get away
with what he's trying to do in Ukraine,
then you will see defense budgets all
over the world skyrocket. Already now,
lots of countries, Germany, Japan,
countries in Europe are doubling,
tripling their defense budgets.
It's basically like, you know, you had
the biggest the biggest taboo in the
international system
was you cannot invade another country
and conquer it just because you're
stronger.
And he's now breaking this taboo. And
everybody around the world is watching
to see what will happen. It's like in a
school when you have a bully who picks
on a on a smaller kid and starts beating
him.
And all the kids are watching what will
happen.
If the bully gets away with it,
nobody intervenes, if they
then it's clear to everybody, that's it.
The laws of the school, the norms of the
school have changed.
Now everybody knows this can happen.
If on the other hand,
people intervene, the bully is stopped,
you give support to to to the to the to
the victim,
then the norm actually gets
strengthened.
People realize, hey, you can't do that.
And this is not what is happening.
Uh dictators and regimes all over the
world are watching to see what will
happen in Ukraine.
Um so far Putin is not getting away with
it. There's been massive support from
for Ukraine from the West. The
Ukrainians themselves are fighting more
bravely and efficiently than anybody
could have imagined.
And this also goes back to to to kind of
where my optimism about what's happening
inside nations come from. You look at
Ukraine.
Um Ukraine is a very new country,
just, you know, 30 years since it's
gained its independence from the Soviet
Union.
It It's made of different ethnic groups.
You have people speaking Russian, people
speaking Ukrainian, you have Jews and
and so forth. And it was
uh under the most intense kind of
disinformation campaign
coming from Russia
trying to divide the Ukrainians against
themselves, trying to do exactly that,
to tear apart the fabric of the
Ukrainian society, of Ukrainian nation,
and turn, you know, Ukrainian speakers
and Russian speakers against each other.
And they completely failed, the
Russians.
Putin gambled, one of the reason what
happening in the in the war, Putin
gambled that the moment his tanks would
enter Ukraine, Ukraine would just
collapse, Zelensky would run away, the
Ukrainian army would surrender, and lots
of Ukrainians would, you know, throw
flowers on the Russian tanks.
And it didn't happen.
The Ukrainians actually came together.
Um Zelensky didn't flee.
The Ukrainian army didn't surrender, and
people threw Molotov cocktails on on the
Russian tanks. And you know, Zelensky
himself, he is Jewish
coming from a Russian-speaking family.
Now, if if if Ukraine had fallen victim
to this kind of tribalism,
then the Ukrainians would would would
think that, well, he's Russian-speaking,
he's Jewish, he's not really Ukrainian,
we can't trust him.
But he became this national hero.
And I think that I hope that more
countries around the world would learn
from from this example
that
uh uh nationalism doesn't mean that you
hate minorities or you hate your
neighbors. No, it means that that people
come together.
That's an interesting take on
nationalism that I I've thought a lot
about because I grew up in the '80s when
it was
it was self-evident that you loved
America. I mean, that was certainly the
prevailing thing. To be against America
was like punk rock. Like, it was so
anti, it was like way outside the pale.
And now that's become so commonplace
that it isn't even punk rock anymore.
It's like it's it is I don't know that
it's the dominant voice, but it's a big
enough voice that it isn't uh uncommon
to bump into
And the amazing thing, you see it from
both sides. It's not like you say,
"Okay, these kind of extreme radical
lefties." You also see it on the right
that people are against the federal
government, against the FBI, against the
postal office. Like anything that smells
of of of of of the state
and they they have all these conspiracy
theories about the deep state.
And you know you know what the what the
deep state really is?
The deep state is the sewage system.
You know, somebody built this system
under our houses and streets and towns
and it's a good system.
You know, you go to the toilet, you
flush down what you've done and it it's
gone somewhere and it's take being taken
care of. If there was no sewage system,
we would you know, we would die of
cholera.
Because somebody needs to take care to
separate say the drinking water from the
sewage system.
That you don't get germs in your
drinking water. And who is this
somebody? This is the job of of the
government. This is the job of the
state.
And and that's the deep state.
And when you see that people are kind of
turning even against that.
And again, it's coming from from both
sides.
This is
this is so unfortunate that humanity has
managed on many levels to reach this you
know
amazing achievements.
Whether it's the most peaceful era in
history, whether it's building sewage
systems so that we don't get cholera
epidemics.
And then people take it for granted.
And then people just neglect it.
That you know, it's like living in a
house that everybody inhabits, but
nobody wants to repair.
And eventually it falls down.
And like you said, then people then
people realize what what what
what they missed. Like when you have a
war
and you see people
dying and suffering around you,
then you look back and you say actually
we had it so good before.
How do we get back there?
And hopefully
we
we realize in time what we can lose
and we don't get into the war in the
first place.
And it feels to me as a historian that
we are kind of at the edge of the
precipice. Like we've climbed up. We've
been so far below in the jungle, in kind
of this conflict for survival with
violence and disease and poverty. And
we've climbed up to the top or to to a
very high place. But we are still at the
edge precipice.
We can fall down all the way down very,
very quickly, within just a few years.
Mhm.
And
and and and people don't really realize
it.
Yeah, so you just made me think of
Oppenheimer's quote, "I am become death,
destroyer of worlds." We're living in a
a really
We're living in an amazing time. I
wouldn't want to live at any other time,
but it is a moment of
that requires deep reflection on the
stories that we tell ourselves. So, I
know that as you look at the long arc of
history, you think a lot about Okay, the
reason that humans become the most
dominant predator this world has ever
seen is not because we're the strongest,
fastest, sharpest teeth, claws,
whatever. It's because we could organize
flexibly in groups via the stories that
we effectively bond over and come
together over.
And when we were talking about fascism,
communism, and liberalism,
when I first heard you talk about that,
you said, "These These are the dominant
stories
Yeah. that over history people have been
fighting over." So, you have the story
of
Mhm. the state is the only thing that
matters and that that what life is going
to be is an eternal struggle between
warring states. One will violently
conquer all the rest, and then there
will finally be peace. So, it's like,
"Hey, as Germans, we're that We're the
one. Like it's us. Like all we have to
do now is take over like it was meant to
be. Then communism, same idea. It's the
story that the only the state matters,
but the way that we get there is by
distributing everything equally. And
then liberalism, the story and you said
World War II ended the idea of fascism.
Uh the Cold War ended the idea of
communism. Liberalism actually worked,
but it's still tearing itself apart. And
so then the question becomes why. Okay,
so now if we're on this precipice and
it's this incredibly important moment
where we've got the potential for gene
editing, which you've said could destroy
all of humanity. We've got the potential
for AI or AI's here, man. Anybody that
doesn't recognize like how like now
that we're using it in our own business
on both the the traditional content
side, so what we're doing now will be
tremendously influenced by our ability
to find our audience using AI. And then
on the other side so we're building in
the metaverse. So who's designing those
shirts? It's largely humans, but now
they're being augmented with AI. You can
literally type something and it will
give you a design. It's insane. That's
today. So it becomes a question of what
story are you telling yourselves? Now, I
think the thing cuz you and I agree on a
lot, but if I had to guess on the thing
that maybe makes me slightly more
pessimistic than you is I believe
ultimately the collective is a
reflection only of the individual.
And I do think that even if you want
collective change, it has to spring
forth from the individual. Now we get
into the deep complexities of what that
looks like. So when you have somebody
like a Nelson Mandela who can actually
as an individual sway the collective
okay, that's very special. And so
there's clearly a relationship. It's not
an individual in isolation. We're not
whatever 7.4 billion individuals in
isolation. It's very much the way that I
say it is we are both the shout and the
echo. So, you are what you do, and you
are the reflection that comes back from
other people about how they feel about
what you do. And you can never
disentangle those. So, I don't think the
human mind is designed to disentangle
those two things. They are effectively
one in the same.
But the thing that gets in there, the
way that we're able to take all of these
variables and make sense out of it is
through a narrative, which then deeply
simplifies this incredibly complex
world. And so, my the thing that I cling
to as hope on this precipice is that
people take the responsibility to tell
themselves a narrative that brings
people back together. Yeah. That's the
only path I see forward. And so, my
thing is
as somebody with a platform,
I think a lot about
is that Go ahead. No, but but there is a
narrative. There is I actually this is
the main story that I tell in in in my
new book, Unstoppable Us,
um which is aimed at at kids, but
to give them the understanding
that
their identity is closely connected to
all the other people in the world, and
actually even beyond people, to to other
animals.
Because if you want to understand who
you are,
so you know, you get these kind of
national stories, which are important,
but they are so limited. Because nations
have been around for just something like
5,000 years. You know, the oldest
nations in the world like Egypt, they go
back 5,000 years. Most nations go back
just a couple of hundred years.
And each of us is made of bits and
pieces that came from all over the world
for from the whole of history.
You know, it starts with the food that
we eat, that if I like to eat chocolate,
and chocolate was discovered by the
Olmecs in Central America something like
4,000 years ago. So, this is a bit of
Olmec in me that I like chocolate. And I
like my chocolate sweet.
And sugar was domesticated in New
Guinea, something like 8,000 years ago.
So, I have a bit of New Guinea in me
that I like I like sugar.
And um going much much deeper, like our
most basic emotions.
You know, as a kid, I sometimes would
wake up in the middle of the night
afraid there was a monster under the
bed, and I would call my mom. Mom, there
is a monster.
And where is this coming from? This is
not Jewish culture. This is not Israeli
invention. This is coming from millions
of years of evolution.
It's actually historical memory.
Tens of thousands of of years ago, when
we lived in the wild, there were
actually monsters that came in the night
to eat children, lions and cheetahs and
so forth. And if you continue to sleep,
the lion eats you.
If you wake up and call your mom, you
could be saved. And again, calling your
mom, where is this coming from? Moms are
not a Jewish invention or an American
invention. Again, all mammals and all
birds have a very close connection
between mother and offspring. I mean,
this is the very definition of of being
a mammal.
You know, mammals means that, you know,
you have I don't know, you have turtles.
So, the mother turtle, she would just
climb at night from the ocean, dig a
hole, lay eggs, cover it, go back to the
ocean. That's it. My job is done.
Best of luck to you. Now, as as a
mammal,
all mammals eat their mother.
Like you're born.
Crazy way to say it, but yeah, it's
true. She not only carried you in her
womb,
after you're born, she actually feeds
her feeds you from her body. Mhm.
And if something happens in the
connection between mother and child, you
don't survive.
And this is so basic in who we are. And
you know, as a Jewish kid you should
know that it's the same with Muslim
kids.
And it's the same with Russian and
Ukrainian kids and it's the same with
American and Mexican kids.
So there's this is something very very
deep in us that connects all of us.
And I think this is a basis
for a a narrative for the 21st century
because we now face also collective
challenges
that threaten the existence the humanity
of all of us and then it's not just
nuclear war and climate change it's also
what you mentioned. I see new
technologies like genetic engineering
and to some extent also AI as
existential dangers to all of us
and that we should unite
to face. Is genetic engineering the one
that freaks you out the most?
Um
it it depends because it's it's it's
it's it develops much more slowly than
AI. Mhm. So in terms of like what it can
do then genetic engineering is probably
the most frightening. Germline only or
do you not want people even messing with
their own? At this stage we just don't
understand our body and our brain and
our mind well enough to start messing
with it. Mhm. You know basically if you
give corporations and armies and
governments the technology to start
changing the human body
so they will start changing uh uh uh
kind of developing upgrading the human
qualities that they need.
Yeah. They want discipline.
They want intelligence. Like armies want
disciplined and intelligent soldiers. So
they will try to mess with our genes
with our body to make us more
disciplined and more intelligent. Now
other things like compassion or like
spirituality they don't want that.
You know, Putin needs disciplined and
intelligent soldiers to to fight his
war. He doesn't want compassionate
soldiers or spiritual soldiers. So, even
without trying to to to to eliminate
these qualities, just by focusing on
what they want, we might get kind of
highly intelligent and highly
disciplined humans who lack compassion
and lack any spiritual depth.
And the terrible thing about that
is that it will not be
a temporary
uh uh change. It could go on for
generations.
If you look back in history, so figures
like Hitler, like Stalin, they also
tried to re-engineer humans.
But, they uh
it it it it it it did a time limit. Like
with education
and with uh uh uh mass political
control, they could for a few years
change the uh uh characteristics of
entire populations. Like brainwash them
with Nazi ideology or or or communist
ideology.
But, eventually when they fell,
you get back to to the to to to ground
zero. You get back to this body, to this
brain. They didn't manage to change it.
So, over time, we can start again.
But, once you give these kind of regimes
the ability to actually change the human
body, like permanently, maybe even
germline, then
their uh uh legacy
can last indefinitely. They can create a
new human species. Um you've talked
really powerfully about story, about how
stories like money, which I don't think
most people think of as a story, um
as being, you know, these tremendous
things that control all of our lives,
that point us all in the same direction,
that give us sort of a common code by
which to live. How can people take
control of the story that they tell
themselves about themselves, which I
find to be one of the most important
stories that you engage in.
Yes, so our identity is really just a
story, which we constantly construct and
and embellish. So we You can say that
the the entire human mind is a machine
that constantly produces stories, and
especially one very important story,
which is my story.
Uh and different people have different
specialize in different genres. Some
people build their stories a tragedy,
some people build their stories a comedy
or as a drama, but um in the end I did
the self is a story and not a real
thing.
And on the one hand, with all the new
technologies,
you get
better and and better abilities to
construct yourself. But already today, a
lot of the work which previously was
done in the brain and in the mind of
constructing my identity, my story, has
been outsourced to things like Facebook.
That you build your Facebook account,
and this is actually outsourcing it from
the brain, and you are busy maybe for
hours every day just building a story
and becoming extremely attached to it
and and publicizing it to everybody. And
you tend to make this fundamental
mistake, you think it's it's the This is
really me.
And um so so
Why is that a mistake?
I'm actually really curious. First of
all, if you take something like the
profile that people create about
themselves in in Facebook or in
Instagram, it should be obvious it
doesn't really reflect your actual
existence, your actual reality, both
inner reality and outer reality. Like,
the percentage of time you smile in your
Instagram account is much bigger than
the percentage of time you smile in real
life.
And, you know, you go on some vacation
um and you post the the the images from
the vacation. So, usually you're smiling
in your in your swimming suit on the
beach with your girlfriend and boyfriend
holding and this cocktail and everything
looks perfect and everybody is so
envious.
But, actually you just had a nasty fight
with your boyfriend 5 minutes ago and
then this is the image that everybody
else is seeing and thinking, "Oh, they
must have such such wonderful time." And
afterwards, like a year later or 2 years
later, you look back and this is what
you see.
And you forget what was the actual
experience like.
What What is the role of truth in the
story that we tell ourselves about
ourselves?
Very little. Do you think there should
be more?
There should There should definitely be
more. And what would be the outcome if
we were like, "I'm really going to make
sure that the story I tell myself is
objectively true?"
It's going to be very very painful and
and difficult. I think it is worth the
effort,
but it's just very difficult. We
constantly
uh we constantly edit the the story.
Just like the news on TV are edited and
just like, you know, it's a bit like
making a movie. Like, you watch the
movie in the cinema and everything is so
seamless. Like, yeah, this is the story.
It flows. And then, when you actually
see how a movie is produced, this is
insane. Like, you have this tiny bit of
a scene, you repeat it 50 times, the and
and sometimes, you know, you shoot this
scene this scene scene two comes after
scene one, but actually it was filmed
long before that. So, sometimes you you
you film the breakup of of of the lovers
before you film the the first meeting
for all kinds of of schedule reasons and
locations. So,
the the end result is completely
seamless and perfect. But, it is
actually made up from all these tiny
tiny disconnected bits that have been,
you know, this is from here and this is
from there and we somehow glue it
together and it looks good.
And it's the same with the story of of
our life. It's all kinds of bits and
pieces.
And only when you tell it to yourself or
to somebody else, it kind of makes
sense.
The cost of trying to stick with the
reality as it is
is very very high. It's very difficult.
It demands a lot of effort. And it it
it's often very painful because you have
to acknowledge many things about
yourself that you don't want to
acknowledge them. People have this
fantasy
of
I don't know, going to some retreat and
just taking out a week or two of from
life
to really observe inside, to really
explore who am I, what is my authentic
self. And they have this fantastic
notion
that I will be able to finally connect
to my inner child and I will discover my
true vocation in life and I will
discover all these wonderful things
about me.
And when you actually do it,
the first thing you usually encounter is
all the things you don't want to know
about yourself. There is a reason that
that that you don't want to know them. I
think it's worth the effort, but it's a
very very hard,
uh, task.
All right. On that, there's so many
studies that talk about the more
delusional somebody is, self-delusional,
the more likely they are to be happy.
You've said one of the big questions as
a historian you're trying to answer is,
as we've moved forward as a, you know, a
species, a society, have we actually
gotten happier? Mhm. So, there is some
importance it sounds like that you place
on happiness. So, why then would you
want people to do that hard work of
facing the realities, recognizing the
things about themselves that they don't
necessarily want to recognize? Mhm. Is
that because you think it leads to more
happiness? I think that ultimately it is
worth the price. I mean, delusions come
at a at a very high price, also.
Um, and not just to yourself, but to
people around you, to the world as a
whole. I mean, ultimately, this leads to
things like wars and like genocide and
like and
you know, I come from Israel, I come
from the Middle East. So, I am
surrounded by millions of people who are
killing each other because of all kinds
of fictional stories and delusions that
they believe in.
So, sometimes it's an important
defensive mechanism. It's very difficult
to live just with the raw truth all the
time. But, the price of delusion and the
price of not being able to tell the
difference between fiction and reality,
it adds up. And eventually it adds up to
things like genocide and war.
That sounds like a pretty extraordinary
price to pay. Yeah, I would agree with
you there.
Um, in 21 Lessons is,
what do we do when we're faced with
being put out of work, that we are one
of the useless class, and we have to do
this reinvention at a career level?
You're living longer, your career life
is 50, 60, 70, 80 years, whatever that
looks like, in a time where every 7 to
10 years, like it's just it's a
completely new world. What do you think
the human capacity for that level of
reinvention is?
Well, that's a very important question.
It has little to do with immortality
because even without immortality, we are
heading in that direction. Even if
people if the lifespan remains as it is,
80 years, um every 10 years, you have
another big shock. I mean, people
one of the things many people don't
realize about the AI revolution and the
automation revolution, they imagine it
as some kind of one-time event. We have
the big AI revolution in 2025. You have
all these truck drivers and taxi drivers
and doctors and whatever losing their
jobs. You have a few difficult years of
adjustment. And then eventually, you
have the new brave new world of AI with
a new equilibrium.
And this is an extremely unlikely
scenario. Because we are nowhere near
the maximum potential of AI.
The speed in which it develops is only
likely to accelerate. So, what we are
really going to face is a cascade of
ever bigger revolutions in the job
market and in many other areas of life,
relationships, politics, and so forth.
So, you have a big disruption in 2025.
You have an even bigger disruption in
2035 and even bigger one in 2045 and and
so forth. And if you look say at the job
market,
so okay, you were a truck driver and
they no longer need you, but there is
new demand for yoga teachers. So, you
somehow reinvent yourself at age 40. I'm
no longer a truck driver, now I'm going
to be a yoga teacher.
It's very difficult. You somehow do it.
10 years later, no need of yoga
teachers. Thank you very much. We now
have these amazing applications
connected with biometric sensors to your
body. They know exactly what you're
doing with every tiny muscle as you do
this posture or that posture. No human
yoga teacher can compete with that.
You're out of job. You have to reinvent
yourself again as a designer of virtual
world games. And you do it somehow. But
10 years later, you have to do it again
because this too has now been automated.
And even if you get support from the
government and there is all these
uh education for for adult uh a system,
the really big question is again, it's
psychological.
Do Do we as human beings have the mental
stability and the emotional intelligence
necessary to reinvent ourselves
repeatedly?
And you know, when you're 20,
what you're doing is basically to
reinvent yourself or to invent yourself
for the first time. And it is very
difficult.
When you're 30, it's even more
difficult, but you sometime but you
somehow do it. But when you get to be
40, 50, 60, it becomes more and more
difficult. You have more to let go of.
I've invested so much in building this
career, this personality, these skills
to give it all up and start again from
from a new, it's so difficult. So, I
don't know whether whether we can do it.
Yeah, that is the question that I think
will ultimately be forced to answer.
And that brings me to education. So,
what do you think that
if
we're talking to somebody who's 18 right
now, they're trying to decide, do I go
to college, yes or no? Should they go to
college? And if they go to college, what
should they be studying?
Um
that's it's a very difficult question.
The first thing they should realize is
that nobody really knows. Nobody really
knows how the job market would look like
in 2040. Sure. So, they should
uh be suspicious of all these kinds of
advices by people who pretend that they
know what the job market would need in
20 years. But, the best investment I
would say is in emotional intelligence
and in mental balance and these kinds of
skills of how to keep changing
throughout your life. How to keep
learning throughout your life. Now, how
do you learn that? That's very, very
difficult. Uh we don't have a college
degree in mental flexibility.
But, these are the most important tools.
Uh so, whatever you choose, you can go
to law school, you can go to ballet
school, but you should keep in mind that
much of what I'm learning might be
irrelevant in 20 or 30 years. So,
whatever else I'm doing, I should also
invest in developing my emotional
intelligence, my mental balance, my
ability to keep changing and learning
and reinventing throughout my life. So,
maybe to give an image or a metaphor,
if in the past education was like
building a stone house with very deep
foundations,
now I would say that education is more
like uh constructing a tent that you can
fold up and move to another location
very quickly and easily.
Uh that's a great analogy. Um
so, given that it's so hard to predict
the future, you've talked a lot about
the power of science fiction, science
fiction writers. Um walk us through
that. Why What is the role that a
science fiction writer can play or
storyteller, filmmaker, whatever the
case may be.
Uh our lives in the 21st century, more
than anything else,
are going to be new technologies,
especially AI and biotechnology.
And most people, their understanding of
these technologies and their potential
for good or for bad, it really comes
from science fiction.
The political system so far has done an
awful job
in understanding and preparing us for
these kinds of of of development. There
is almost no talk in the uh political
arena about AI and biotechnology.
The scientific community is, of course,
very deeply engaged with it, but most
people don't read articles in science or
nature, and even if they tried, it would
be very difficult for them to understand
the professional jargon and and all that
the statistics and and and so forth.
So, the most people actually get their
education about what's coming from
science fiction.
And this means, at least I think so,
that science fiction is now the most
important artistic genre.
And it should also be the most
responsible.
And one of the problems with science
fiction is that so far it has done a
so-so job.
Some
novels and TV series and films are
really amazing in the way they explore
what's what could what could happen, uh
ranging like my some of my favorites are
my my all-time favorite is Brave New
World by Aldous Huxley, which was
written back in the early 1930s, and I
think it's the most prophetic and
profound.
So, given what's happening in the world
right now with things being automated,
going to AI, what are
three things, let's say, that people can
do to make sure that they're poised to
thrive in this time of massive change.
Mhm.
First of all, I mean, that's what
everybody's saying, but it's true, is
that you have to embrace change.
That the idea that you can learn
something in your youth, a profession,
uh a way of life, and it will just be
there for the rest of your of your life,
which was the situation for most of
history, this is this is no longer the
case.
We have to keep learning and keep
changing throughout our lives.
Otherwise, we will be left behind.
So, that's one one key principle.
Related to that is that um maybe the
most important quality
to survive and flourish in the 21st
century is to have mental flexibility.
Not just to keep learning and changing
again and again, also to keep letting
go.
Um part of what makes it difficult to
learn new things that we hold on.
Like, you know, I spent so many years
learning something, and now the world
has changed, and um
I I just don't want to let go. And
letting go, maybe like I'll give an
example of how deep it goes.
Like, it's not just what you learn in
college or what you learned in
kindergarten, it's even what you learned
as a baby, as a toddler, like learning
how to see Mhm. or learning how to walk.
And what does that mean? That I have I
have to relearn how to see and walk?
Well, um as virtual reality
improves,
and you know, with all the talk of the
metaverse and so forth that we'll
discuss later on,
increasingly, it's likely that there
will be many more activities shifting
from the physical biological world that
we know
into a new reality, a virtual reality,
which has different physical and
biological laws. Even the laws of
physics there are different. So, whether
you want to interact socially there, or
maybe you have a job
in virtual reality, in the metaverse, or
maybe you design you you you have a new
job designing fashion, designing shirts
for virtual reality, because people want
to look good there.
You need to forget
how physics and light and gravity works
here, because it works in a different
way
in in in in that reality.
So, just what does it mean? Like, I'm
now 46. Let's say I have a new job
designing fashion for the metaverse.
How can I, at age 46, kind of forget
what it what it means to see and learn
from scratch how to see things? Are you
optimistic that adults can do that?
Humans have an amazing ability to to
adapt and to change.
You know, it's often said that AI is
nowhere near its uh uh um
full capabilities, but human beings,
too,
are nowhere near their full full
capabilities. We really have no idea
what we can still do, what our mind can
can can still do. If you think about
jobs again, so, you know, the biggest
change in the job market of the 21st of
the 20th century, looking at the
previous century, it didn't come from
any technological invention.
It actually came from unlocking the
potential of half the human species,
women, which were barred from so many
jobs because people thought they were
incapable of doing that, and they didn't
have the education and training and so
forth, and the feminist revolution and
the changes in gender relations just
completely changed the job market, and
you didn't need to genetically engineer
uh uh women's DNA
or to kind of connect them to some new
device. No, the potential to be
presidents, to be judges, to be
journalists, to be scientists was always
there,
but it wasn't tapped.
It And And it's it's
To a large extent, I hope, we'll see
something similar in the 21st century,
that yes, we have all these new
challenges,
but uh we also have this
uh uh amazing untapped potential within
us.
But this links to the to the third
thing, which is we can't do it alone.
Like placing all
do it alone or individuals can't do it
alone? Individuals can't do it alone.
Like placing all the responsibility on
individuals, the world is changing, now
it's your job to adapt, to to to change
yourself, to learn,
it doesn't work like that.
Um it's too much for an individual to do
just by themselves.
Uh we'll probably have
uh uh will require
organizations, governments to step in to
make sure that people are not left
behind.
You know, just retraining people. You
lose your old job
to a computer or a robot or a
self-driving vehicle. There are new
jobs. I don't think there'll be a
problem of just an absolute lack of
jobs.
Old jobs disappear, but new jobs emerge.
The really difficult thing will be the
transition.
And the transition, first of all, you
need some kind of financial assistance.
Like you lost your old job, you need to
retrain for a couple of months for a new
profession, maybe. Who is going to
support you during this this time? So
just as in the 20th century, governments
built this huge
infrastructure for educating the young
schools and colleges and so forth, will
now need to build another infrastructure
to educate and to retrain people in the
40s and 50s.
Do you see that as
one last thing is that they'll also need
psychological help. That's what I see.
Again, because it's going to be
extremely stressful.
To kind of invent yourself when you're
16, this is what you do when you're 16.
But when you're you're 46, you want to
take it easy. I don't want to start all
over again. So it's psychologically very
very stressful.
And I think that we we will have to to
see more government support uh for
mental health just to cope with the
immense stress
of of the 21st century. Do you know the
learn to code meme?
The learn to code
Oh, learn to code. So people are getting
booted off of social media for saying
it. It's one of those things that took
me so by surprise. So anybody I think
that spends enough time contemplating,
okay, AI, what's the future? I'm sure
we'll get into data harvesting and stuff
like that. You really do that
begin to understand that the future
belongs to the technically savvy. Mhm.
And if you are a 46-year-old truck
driver, it's sort of the classic example
cuz that's, you know, going the way of
the dodo, and it's, you know, not
something that requires a high degree of
education or necessarily even a ultra
high IQ. Not saying that drivers don't
have a high IQs, I'm just saying it
doesn't necessarily max your IQ to do
that job. And so when people say, okay,
if the future belongs to the technically
savvy, we know drivers are going to, you
know, be without that job, then they
should learn to code to get a new job.
Mhm. And my instinct was, yes, that's
absolutely true. And I came to that
debate super late. And so by the time I
got there, people were already getting
banned off social media for saying it.
And I was like, wait, what? So, going
back, I couldn't understand why telling
the individual that you're going to be a
participant in this, I'm not opposed to
I think it's a great idea for
governments to create a safety net. I
think it's a bad idea for governments to
drag you across the finish line. And I
think that ends in tyranny every time.
So, where do you see, because it will be
hard and there will be people left
behind, I don't see any way around that,
and nature, so curious to see if you
agree with this, nature does not care.
Nature will leave you behind in a
heartbeat. Mother nature is more than
happy to obliterate people, watch an
entire generation get eaten by a change,
doesn't care. Mhm. So, how do we
without incapacitating
the people that have to relearn and do
this very difficult thing, how do we
encourage them to move forward
without
either abandoning them on one side or
dragging them forward on the other? Mhm.
Well, you know, first of all, I have to
say that I'm not sure that coding is
such a safe job, because coding too
could be automated. Maybe, you know, you
you could
you could also we'll also need a lot of
therapists, we'll need community
organizers, we'll even need
philosophers, because a lot of these new
questions, they actually suddenly the
big tech companies need people who
understand deep philosophical questions
because they become technical questions.
You need a lot of people in the in the
taking care
of of other people. You know, it's
um
in a way, it's easier to automate the
job of a coder than the job of a nurse.
Like, coding is in the end, it's just
data, it's just information, it's just
information coming in and out. So, I can
see more easily how you automate the job
of a computer scientist, at least some
of these jobs, than the job of a nurse
who needs to replace a bandage
or to give an injection to a screaming
child and and things like that. Partly
because it demands a much wider range of
abilities. It's not just
Of course, a nurse needs
to understand information and to analyze
information and so forth, but also needs
motor skills.
Also needs social skills. And the
combination of these skills, this is
much harder to automate.
So, I wouldn't place all my bets on on
something like coding. Governments are
essential. Again, partly because in many
countries, you know, I think about I
don't know
you mentioned truck drivers, also
textile workers. You imagine you think
about many countries in Latin America.
That they don't have a a high-tech
sector. They have a textile industry.
Lots and lots of people working in
textile, producing shirts.
And suddenly all of this is automated.
It's cheaper to produce shirts in
California than in Mexico or in
Guatemala. And in addition to that,
there is an entirely new line of of of
of textile industry, which is virtual
shirts. Like I spend hours in virtual
reality, I want to look good, the latest
fashion in virtual reality.
And somebody needs to design it. Now,
how do you take again, a 40-year-old
unemployed textile worker from Guatemala
and turn her or him into a designer of
virtual shirts?
Um so, without government support, and
in this case, I mean, these countries
could Well, even they can't afford it.
They will have to get support from the
richer countries. Otherwise, we are
facing a global uh uh uh
catastrophe.
So, I'm not saying that governments
can't will force people to do something.
It's, you know, like with with basic
education for young people.
I mean, you can you can still fail.
You can still drop out, but at least
you're given the chance.
Uh and and then whether you use this
chance that you're given wisely or not
is is is up to you.
But, I think most of the successful
systems in history,
they they're complex. They don't place
all the responsibility just on
individuals
because then a lot of people uh left
behind, not because uh of even their
fault. It's just they weren't given the
the the proper opportunity.
Uh on the other hand, trusting only
governments, then you get these kind of
communist nightmares that we definitely
don't don't want to try this this this
mistake again.
Yeah, that to me is the problem. And
when I look at the culture war right
now, which, quoting you again, uh
you said, this is a paraphrase, but I'm
going to get really close. So, by all
means, if I say anything wrong, jump in.
But, you said, uh if Putin had waited 5
or 10 years to invade the Ukraine, the
West probably would have imploded on its
own, and he could have gotten away with
it. And I was like
too impatient.
Wow, that is that is it feels
terrifyingly accurate. So, the way that
the West is tearing itself apart right
now, I find deeply distressing. So, the
reason that that ties into this for me
is that there there is a necessary
tension
between and I'll I don't know if you'll
agree with this, but by all means, jump
in if you don't. There's a necessary
tension between the left and the right,
and I think the left and the right are
evolution's solution to you if you're a
social creature, you want to try to help
everybody. But, as you try to help
everybody, there's the free loader
problem. And so, you get people that
will take advantage of the system. So,
you need people on the other side that
demand personal responsibility. But, if
you only have personal responsibility,
that will also lead to tyranny. So, you
have tyranny on both sides. And so, what
you need is the tension in the middle.
Mhm. But, you can't have the tension if
each side thinks that the tension is the
problem. If they're both trying to be
right and they're trying to silence the
other side.
That feels like the core problem of the
West is that we no longer realize, "Oh,
it's good that not everybody's on my
side." Whatever side you're on. Because
if everybody were on my side, we
wouldn't have the tension. We'll have
tyranny. Yeah.
Is that how you see it? Or is there
something more nuanced? No, I I think
the the good thing about democracy is
that you have multiple voices and you
don't see the other people as
as your enemies. You can think that they
are mistaken. You can even think that
they are stupid, but they are not evil.
You know, they are not your enemies.
Once people in a democracy start seeing
their political rivals as as their
enemies and as people who are trying to
destroy the way of life, democracy just
cannot survive in this situation.
Uh you can have a civil war. You can
have a dictatorship.
But, you cannot have a democracy.
Because, you know, if if if if Americans
think that the other side, the other
Americans are their enemies out to to
destroy them,
then they will do anything to win the
elections because this is now like a war
and they have no incentive to accept the
result if they lose.
Um and that's that's the biggest danger.
I think that the not just the United
States, but many countries in in the
West are facing.
That
increasingly people are seeing
the their neighbors, the people in in in
the other state in in in the other town
as as their enemies.
It's not so clear why this is happening.
Mhm. Because actually the ideological
differences today are much smaller Okay.
than they were 50 years ago or 100 years
ago.
Before you finish that, can I set
something up? I'd never heard anybody
talk about this before. I know where
you're going. Okay. So, you you said
this is this is all you. I thought this
is so brilliant. It gave me a way to
understand what's happening. You said in
the 20th century there were three big
ways of viewing the world. You had
fascism. Mhm. You had um communism and
you had liberalism. Yes. Explain the
three because the punchline is where
you're going now, which is why didn't
people go with liberalism? But uh please
explain the three and then we can get
into why liberalism is breaking down
because I actually don't understand why.
Mhm.
Well, uh that that that's that's a lot
to explain in in in brief. But basically
fascism is says that the state is the
only the state and the nation are the
only thing that matters. Mhm.
Um there is not nationalism in itself is
a force for good.
Nationalism, when it's understood
correctly, it means simply that you love
the other people in your nation and
you're willing to make some sacrifices
for them, for instance, to pay taxes so
they that they get good health care.
Mhm.
When it's good, nationalism is about
love, not about hating foreigners or
minorities.
Uh fascism is when somebody says that
the nation is the only thing that
matter.
Individuals, uh groups, they don't
matter at all.
Everything should serve the needs of of
the nation of the state.
Uh
the truth is whatever helps the nation.
Um good is whatever is good for the
nation. Even even beauty, like films and
and art and so forth,
on it's political.
A good film is a good that advances the
interest of the nations. That's it.
And anybody who opposes this is a
traitor
and should be eliminated.
This is kind of the the basic world view
of of fascism. You know, the symbol of
fascism
is that the word fascism, it means it
comes from from from Latin for fasces,
that is it's it's a kind of bundle of of
reeds or bundle of of of small kind of
twigs.
Which is very strange. I mean, why is
the symbol of one of the most evil and
ferocious movement in history a bundle
of twigs? What
What what's the sense there? And the
idea is that each twig by itself is
nothing. Mhm. It's it's it's easy to
break it. It's nothing. But you know,
you take a lot of twigs together, you
can't break them.
So, that's the message of of fascism,
that you're nothing in yourself as an
individual, but the group as a whole,
it's it's it's the only thing that
matters.
And then communism is actually a
variation on on that.
It also
has no regard
for for the individual.
It
thinks more in terms of class. It's not
so much the nation, which is in the
center, it's the class
to which you belong, which is at the
center.
And
the hero of communism is not the nation,
it's the working class.
But
again, to make a very long story short,
it's the same idea. This is why also you
see that Nazi Germany and the Soviet
Union, they constantly copy each other.
Because the it's
at the basic level,
there is the same idea that individual
human beings count for nothing.
And it's only the interests of the
collective which are important.
Mhm.
And liberalism says that no.
That we put Yes, we need
also collective action, collective
cooperation. Um again, to build a health
care system, to build an education
system, people need to cooperate. But
still at the center we have the
individual.
And you know, there is a very simple
test
to test yourself whether you're liberal.
So, you know, the word liberal is just
as fascism comes from this fasces, this
bundle of of reeds, and communism from
communal, everything together. So,
liberalism is from from liberty,
freedom.
And answer just four simple question.
Do you think people should have the
liberty to choose their own government?
Do you think people should have the
liberty to choose their own religion?
Do you think people should have the
liberty to choose their own profession?
And do you think people should have the
liberty to choose their own spouse? Mhm.
If you answer yes to all four questions,
congratulations, you're liberal.
And again, it sounds like what who who
will object? But for most of history
most people objected.
Like
you know, you had the American
Revolution against the the King of
England.
And the whole idea of monarchy is that
people don't get They don't have the
liberty to choose their own government.
There is a king appointed by God or who
whatever, and this is the government.
And similarly in the Soviet Union or in
Nazi Germany, people don't get to choose
the government and to replace the
government.
Similarly, if you think about
profession,
so in a communist society, you don't get
to choose your profession.
The Communist Party tells you that you
now go to the farm to raise cabbages,
and he now goes to the factory to
produce cars. And we tell you how many
cabbages to produce or what kind of cars
to produce. And if you go, I don't know,
to the Middle Ages, so again, you don't
have any liberty to choose your
profession. If you're a born to a
peasant family, you'll be a peasant. If
your father was a cobbler, you'll be a
cobbler. That That's it. You have no
choice there. And of course, when it
come to choosing your spouse, same
thing. It doesn't matter who you love.
It matters what your elders tell you,
what your church tells you, what the
nation needs.
Um and today,
the in the big ideological war of the
20th century, liberalism came came on
top.
And when I said earlier that actually
the the the ideological differences that
I see today in the United States or in
the West as a whole, in in the world as
a whole, are much smaller than 50 years
ago or 100 years ago, because
almost all people are liberal. Even the
conservatives who hate, who think
liberal artists is terrible, I hate
these liberals, they're liberal.
In in the in the long-term historical
sense, so of course, we we know these
hot hot-button issues, like abortion,
like gun control, and and these things.
And and and there you have arguments,
but underneath it all,
there is much deeper and more widespread
ideological agreement than anything
we've seen 50 years ago or 100 years
ago.
Even, you know, these kind of of of
hot-button subjects like abortion,
right? Gay gay marriage. They're
actually the aftershocks of the big bang
of the 1960s, of the sexual revolution.
The really big argument about these
issues were in the 1960s. The gap there
was was much much bigger, and in the
end, almost everybody accepted the
liberal position. You know, in in in in
the in the 1950s,
universities could expel students from
university if they had sex before
marriage.
Wow. This was Sex before marriage? This
is
And who wants to go to to back there? I
mean, you know,
a divorce was kind of
was unthinkable.
Uh
marriage between a white person and a
black person was legally prohibited. So
crazy.
And this was, you know, 50-60 years ago.
Mhm.
So, I'm not saying that there are no
ideological differences remaining or
that there are no kind of of of of of
debates,
but if people could step back and look
at the long-term
view,
they would be amazed how close actually
Republicans and Democrats in the US are.
You know, Republicans today are far more
liberal on uh say LGBT rights than
Democrats were in the 1960s.
So, um and another I think people should
ask themselves, okay, we have these
remaining disagreements.
Is it a good enough reason to destroy
the American Republic over that? Mhm. To
destroy basically Western civilization
over that.
So, you know, you think about the the
American Civil War.
And people today, some people say, okay,
we are approaching another Civil War.
Imagine
a high school student in 100 years
having to write an an
a test about American history, and they
get two questions. What was the first
Civil War about? That's easy, slavery.
What was the second Civil War about?
Is there anything as as clear as salient
that you can It was about that. Mhm.
It was about gun control?
It was about whether transgender people
can go to the to the to the same toilet
or not? What what was it about?
And I think that the tragedy of what's
happening now in the US and in much of
the West
is that
um
again, the ideological differences are
are of a small on the ground, but they
are very big in people's imagination.
People have fantasies about what the
other side is planning to do,
which are completely divorced from
reality.
You know, in the 20th century,
you didn't need to fantasize what the
these communists want to do. They told
you.
That you listen to to somebody like
Lenin or Stalin, they tell you.
We want to completely abolish private
property.
It's not a fantasy in the minds of some
liberals that this is what the
communists want to do.
The same thing with the fascists. You
just need to to listen to Hitler. He
literally detailed everything he wanted
to do. I'm going to do this and this and
the Jews were a problem and we're going
to do this. I was like, "What?" I could
not believe he published all of that.
Yeah. It was in the open. 40 years of
power. Insane. It was in the open. And
now much of the kind of
gap is mostly in the imagination of
people.
And
the tragedy is
that in history,
you can get terrible terrible wars. I'm
not saying all everything that I I said
now is not like it's not going to be a
civil war. It's not going to not going
to be civil strife in the No.
The tragedy of history is that very
often, you get terrible things happening
for
without any good reason at all.
It often when you when you look back,
you ask, "What was this all about?"
Like you think about the wars of
religion in Europe in the 19 in in the
16th and 17th century,
which by the way
was part of the reasons of people fled
Europe to come to the United States.
And Protestants and Catholics killing
each other by the millions. Like a third
of the population of Germany died in the
30 years war between protestants and
Catholics
a third of the population and you look
back today
even as a as as as a as a protestant or
a Catholic and you ask yourself what was
this about and it's completely
incomprehensible
to the people back then it looked like
the most important things in the world
like whether you believe in this
theological view or that theological
view whether you do the mass in in in in
in with this ritual or we like a very
big issue whether it was whether you
give the the ordinary Christians during
mass
only the holy bread or also the wine
and you look back yeah are you going to
have a big war over that yes they did
have a very very big war over that
and also people sometimes have big wars
over fantasies in their minds
we have now just an example you know
with the Russian invasion of Ukraine
um so Putin had all these fantasies in
in his mind for instance that NATO is
threatening Russia you know very simple
question name the country which was
about to invade Russia in 2022 but the
Germans were about to invade Russia have
you been to Germany lately do you think
these people what they want to do in
life is going to invade Russia do you
think the French want to invade Russia
Napoleon will come out of his grave and
lead the the grand army against Moscow
this is complete fantasy
but fantasies often shape history
and cause people to do you know terrible
things If you want to learn more about
this topic check out this interview.
Well we've got building blocks and
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soon drive ourselves and
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running on electricity just
enjoy what's about to happen and embrace
it so if you can afford to, invest in
it. If not, be curious.