Women take the lead in the race to be the next UN Secretary-General
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The selection process for the next United Nations Secretary-General is currently a complex and highly contested race where gender is becoming a prominent topic of discussion, yet experts argue it should not be the sole deciding factor. While there is a strong expectation that a woman will eventually lead the organization, the primary focus remains on identifying the candidate best equipped to handle the unprecedented global crises facing the UN today. The interviewees emphasize that with the institution's reputation and future at stake after 81 years of existence, the choice must prioritize experience in managing international conflicts and maintaining peace and security over demographic characteristics. This urgency is compounded by a fragmented geopolitical landscape where great power rivalries are intensifying within the Security Council, making consensus difficult to achieve.
The path to selecting a new Secretary-General is fraught with uncertainty due to the unique voting dynamics of the Security Council, particularly the veto power held by its five permanent members. Currently, no candidate has secured the necessary nine votes out of fifteen to be confirmed, and the alignment between major powers like the US, Russia, China, France, and the UK remains volatile. Polling suggests that the current field of candidates is undecided, with the possibility that the election could extend beyond the current year or even result in a new candidate emerging later if the existing options fail to garner sufficient support. Although regional rotation rules strongly favor Latin America for this position, the final decision rests on whether any candidate can unite the diverse interests of the global North and South while navigating the deep divisions within the council.
Behind the formal proceedings of the General Assembly Hall lies a critical layer of diplomacy that often goes unnoticed by the public but drives the actual outcome of the election. The upcoming high-level debate week in New York serves as more than just a stage for posturing; it is where the real work of negotiation, bilateral meetings, and agenda-setting takes place. Leaders use this time to address specific grievances with the UN or other states, launching initiatives that shape the organization's future direction. This behind-the-scenes diplomacy is essential for building the coalitions required to overcome the current deadlock, as the visible speeches are merely a fraction of the intense political maneuvering occurring in private sessions and side events.
Ultimately, the race for the next Secretary-General will likely conclude with a decision made before the end of the year, provided that the Security Council can move toward a color-coded voting system to reveal the true stance of the permanent five members. While there is a commitment to respecting regional rotation principles, especially regarding Latin America's turn, the overriding concern is finding a leader who can effectively steer the UN through its current challenges. The international community hopes that despite the political gridlock and the absence of a clear frontrunner, the process will yield a result that restores confidence in the United Nations' ability to lead on global issues. The coming weeks will be pivotal as further rounds of balloting and potential shifts in strategy determine whether the organization can secure a leader capable of revitalizing its mission in a turbulent world.
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Well, Mickey, it is a complicated
process and there are some very good
candidates out there. I I I would just
correct you on one thing. I think uh
there is a male uh
who's one of the three leading
candidates, uh Rafael Grossi, um also
from Latin America. Um look, I think
again, with the UN's future being very
much in question, uh what's really going
to be important here is not whether it's
a man or woman that becomes the next
Secretary-General. It's do we have the
right, the best candidate to deal with
the incredible number of crises we have
around the globe, uh and uh the the call
by, as I said earlier, by states from
the global north and global south for a
Secretary-General to be seized with uh
the maintenance of international peace
and security. Um
this is uh a time where we need somebody
who's got the kind of track record and
experience in dealing with crises
uh
around the globe um
to be somebody who's very seriously
considered. Um
as I said, the UN's reputation is at
stake here.
Um the future of the United Nations in
general is at stake here and that's why
this is such a critical election and I
do not believe that we um
again, we we need to focus on getting
the best candidate. Um this is the 81st
year of the UN's existence um
and as I said, a lot of people believe
that the UN has lost its way
uh and you've got great power conflict
going on at the UN, you have got growing
um humanitarian crises, as I said
earlier, many, many wars. Um
we've got to have somebody who's going
to take that leadership, who's going to
work with uh
the Security Council, particularly the
the P5,
who is going to going to show leadership
uh
in the global south. So, um
that's
that is what we have in front of us.
And and I do hope uh that um
while while I think all of us would
agree it it's it's certainly important
uh that at some point
uh there will be a woman leading uh the
United Nations. Um that cannot be as far
as I see it, that cannot be the basis
for making uh a decision on who next
leads the UN. It has to be uh the person
best suited uh to deal with the
maintenance of international peace and
security.
>> The Security Council is going to be the
one that makes the decision in the end.
And when you're dealing with the
Security Council, you need nine out of
the 15 members to agree, but the
permanent five members, just as in any
Security Council vote, can raise their
hand, say I veto, and that's it. So,
we're back to the same old thing with
the Security Council here, where you've
got the US, you've got the Russians
generally on opposite ends, the Chinese
usually favor the Russians. You got the
French and the British, they don't
always agree with the US. And now you're
in a situation where when you look at
the polling so far of the Security
Council,
only one time has anybody gotten the
nine votes yet that would have sealed
the deal, but it's unclear if they would
have cleared the five Security Council
members. Everybody else in every vote
has been below that threshold. Could we
come to a situation where none of the
candidates who have been running all
along so far get the requisite support?
And then do we wind up getting a new
candidate toward the end that that can
can garner the necessary support? I
mean, it it usually doesn't shake out
this way. There's usually a clear early
frontrunner. And not this time around.
>> Yeah, look, I think um
how this is going to shake out uh is
that right now the initial rounds of
straw polling, and we've had just two,
and we have a third one coming up, I
believe, on September 18th. Uh
the members of the council are just kind
of sticking out their positions, taking
a look at the field. Uh they may vote
they may have voted for someone right
now. That may shift. It depends on a
number of things.
Uh I do think that the current crop has
some good candidates. And I do think at
the end of the day,
um
we're going to have we're going to see a
secretary general named uh before the
end of the year. Um but you know, the
one thing the unknown right now, of
course, is how the P5 vote, because it's
a secret ballot. Um it will only become
clear once uh it's decided by uh the
Security Council president to move to
what they call the color uh coded
voting, which basically gives the the P5
they they vote with separate cards. So,
it's easier to uh to tell um you know,
how they cast their votes. So, this race
is uh very much still um
uh undecided.
Um and uh I think for for those of us
who think that somehow um the person in
the lead is going to end up becoming the
next secretary general, um we shouldn't
kid ourselves. That is uh in by no means
any kind of a certainty.
Uh and so, we'll get a sense after the
next round on the 18th as to where this
is likely to go. And then, I would
suspect I could be wrong, but I would
suspect uh that there will be a move uh
after this next uh round of balloting to
move uh in the next uh for the next
round after that to the color coded
system. And that may mean that should
mean that we're getting closer
uh to determining who is actually going
to be the next secretary general. But
again, this you could have a situation
where after uh this next round, it's
it's not yet becoming clear. And
uh there may be a call for some to let's
open it up further
and
because we're not satisfied with the
current group. I I suspect you'll have
others may that may try to come in
but I think there is a real commitment
to that is Latin America's turn
for the Secretary Generalship and I
think certainly a number of P5
respect that and others on the council
respect that regional rotation.
But I do think there will become as we
move closer to decision time.
They will be looking at who is going to
be the best
candidate to take this organization
forward given all its challenges
given the concerns about the future. So
so I do think there will be in a timely
fashion a decision made on the next
Secretary General.
>> Of course we got the UN General Assembly
coming up amidst all of this chaos what
we going to have from now
the UN General Assembly rolls around in
New York. You know
people see only the leaders up on the
stage. They call it a high-level debate
week. It's not really a debate per se
it's just everybody espousing their
particular points of view and usually
playing to their domestic audiences back
home but there's so much going on behind
the scenes at the UN General Assembly
the bilateral meetings the conferences
the different side events usually
pushing this agenda or that agenda
how important is is what goes on not in
the the General Assembly Hall but
everything else going on that week how
how important is that to the broader
concept of the UN?
>> It's critically important Mike. That's
where the real work is done. It's behind
the scenes the meetings that go on and
there are countless numbers of meetings
that go on during high-level week. It
really is uh, a a
a an important time for very serious
diplomacy and a lot of serious diplomacy
is done there. Um, from the podium in
the General Assembly, yeah, there's a
lot of posturing. Um, there's also, uh,
initiatives that are launched from
there.
Um,
uh, they're
you know, leaders that come, uh, and
have specific bones to pick with either
the United Nations or other states,
regional groupings. So, uh, but that's
important as well. But, as you said,
behind this the meetings and the
diplomacy that goes on behind the scenes
that people don't see, that's the
critical element, uh, of uh, UN
diplomacy and why high-level week is
really an important time. It does try
tie up traffic in New York City for, uh,
terribly for a week, um, but there is
actually real work being done.