Video summary
Daniel Cox, a researcher at the Survey Center on American Life and author of *American Storylines*, argues in this podcast that a significant ideological divide has emerged between young men and women over the last decade, with young women becoming markedly more liberal than their male counterparts. Data from Gallup and other reliable sources indicate that since 2014 or 2015, approximately 43% of young women identify as liberals compared to only about 30% of young men, creating a gap of roughly 12 to 14 points—the most rapid divergence in the past quarter-century. This shift is particularly evident on issues like abortion and feminism; while both groups lean pro-choice, 61% of young women consider it a critical priority versus only 30% of young men. Cox notes that this polarization extends beyond politics into cultural views, such as pornography regulation, where a similar gap exists between the genders. The driving forces behind these shifts are complex and multifaceted. For young women, Cox points to the #MeToo movement as formative, fostering a sense of "linked fate" regarding issues affecting all women in society. However, he also highlights that perceptions have changed due to what sociologists call "concept creep," where definitions of harassment and discrimination have broadened, leading many women to feel less satisfied with societal treatment despite objective economic improvements for the group. Conversely, young men appear increasingly disaffected from politics entirely; they are far more likely than women to view both major parties unfavorably (nearly 40%) and express a sense of political alienation or "tuning out." This disconnect is exacerbated by social media algorithms that amplify extreme stories rather than reflecting the full spectrum of male-female interactions, leading many young women to form negative generalizations about men based on online outliers while their personal experiences with individual men remain positive. Cox addresses counterarguments regarding generational trends and data reliability, noting that this gender gap is distinct from simple cohort replacement because it persists even when controlling for parental politics and education levels. He acknowledges the decline in dating among young men as a critical issue linked to economic uncertainty and a lack of clear life goals or "North Star" aspirations compared to previous generations. Furthermore, he discusses how technology has introduced new forms of harassment online and suggests that AI girlfriends may further warp relationships by offering constant affirmation without conflict. While some data points regarding sexual activity trends have fluctuated recently, Cox maintains the broader ideological divide is robust across multiple datasets like the General Social Survey and exit polls, contradicting claims from political scientists who argue such a rift does not exist in voting behavior or cultural attitudes. Ultimately, Cox warns that this growing chasm represents a civilizational problem rooted in declining socialization, trust, and community engagement. He critiques "helicopter parenting" and hyper-vigilance fostered by the internet as contributors to loneliness and an inability for young people to navigate complex romantic situations with empathy. The podcast concludes with a call to rebuild communitarian impulses and encourage real-world interaction over digital isolation, emphasizing that while progress in gender equality is undeniable, society must also address the unique struggles facing young men without falling into a zero-sum game where helping one group implies harming another. Cox remains cautiously pessimistic about current trajectories but hopeful that prioritizing social connection and civic institutions can help reverse these trends before they lead to further societal fragmentation.
Read the full video transcript
you are in the thick of it right now
that article that you wrote at the start
of the Year caused quite the
Ruckus yeah it did uh and it's funny
because this is some research we've been
doing for you know over a year and uh
often it just takes a single all oped
and people start paying attention how
would you categorize the last couple of
months for you and the sort of Fallout
yeah I mean one of the really
interesting things is people are
debating just exactly the extent uh of
the divide the nature of it what's going
on so you have a lot of pollsters like
myself saying hey you know this is kind
of unprecedented what we're seeing uh
young women becoming much more liberal
and demographically we're seeing rapid
changes when it comes to like lgbtq
identity um growing education divides
between young men and young women so
there's a lot of things that are
emerging or new and the the political
divide is just one of those things but
there are the the the cold water
throwers who who you know largely uh
political scientists who want to say
well you know hold on let's let's wait
till we you know we can get some
corroborating data um but the fact of
the matter is actually there's a lot of
craing data already from a lot of really
reliable sources that suggest that
something is going on and we can I think
debate the margins around how extreme is
the Divide how far apart are young men
and young women and on what issues but I
think we can safely say that something
really big is happening all right so
just how big is this ideological divide
between young men and young women what's
happening so uh according to the Gallup
data which is some of the the research
that we've been using uh we conduct our
own surveys at the survey Center on
American life but we also look at a lot
of different other polls from the P
Research Center in places like Gallup
that have really long and reliable
trustworthy Trends and so Gallup shows
beginning around 2014 2015 this this
emerging uh ideological divide with
young women becoming significantly more
liberal uh around 42 43% uh identify as
liberal uh in the latest polls and young
men really haven't shifted all that much
when it comes to their ideology so
there's a you know anywhere from a 12 to
14 point gap between them
now right you've got at no time in the
past quarter Century has there been such
a rapid Divergence between the views of
young men and young
women right and you know as far as we
know uh this is something that will
continue to shape the way these folks
relate to each other in terms of their
um you know priorities when it comes to
you know the politicians that they want
to uh nominate and elect and the issues
that they care about one of the really
significant divisions we seen is
actually over the issue of abortion and
while both young men and young women
tend to lean uh pretty significantly
pro-choice when it comes to the
priorities of that issue issue uh we did
a poll in 2022 right before the the
midterm elections and 61% of young women
said that abortion was a a critical
priority for them but it was only like
30% of young men so just in terms of
what they care about and how much they
care about it is really
different what is the age bracket for
this because could this not just be the
usual young people a more liberal effect
and we've got a bit of social media
that's maybe kind of emphasizing or or
magnifying that and kind of that
explains it yeah I I I think it when it
comes to this stuff there's a lot that's
going on and a lot that's pretty
complicated so I think the social media
actually plays a really significant role
in all this um but the other thing is
like when it comes to the the the age
gaps one of the problems we have in
polling is we're often talking about
different age groups so in the research
that we do we identify young people as
18 to 29 and we identify as young adults
or young women or young men but some
polls will will scoot that up to 18 to
34 which is again you know it's they're
young but also there's a pretty
significant difference between comparing
18-34 and 18 to 29 in terms of life
experience and you know economically
people are in just some different
positions in their mid 20s versus their
their early 30s and so we do have this
this problem sometimes we're talking
past each other and different pollsters
hand handling things a little bit
differently and then journalists when
they rush to cover this stuff uh not to
mention podcasters uh they're trying to
sort through you know a a kind of
Confluence of of different uh and
sometimes contradictory information and
it can be challenging to sore through so
is this different than just young people
becoming more liberal this is a because
young people have always been young
people like we have a a regular supply
of 15 year olds and 17 year olds and 20
year olds and such but this is a marked
difference from that yeah no absolutely
so if you we compared young people today
versus young people a generation ago so
we're not comparing Baby Boomers and
Generation Z we're not comparing
generational cohorts we're look actually
looking at young people across time
right do men and women live on different
planets then they just see the world in
very different Mars and Venus you mean
uh I I think in one way one of the
things that's really challenging uh and
I think it is contributing to this uh
kind of gender antagonism that we're
seeing is that so much of the
interactions we're seeing among young
men and young women is incurring online
on social media uh on platforms that
it's really easy to to be and de to be
dehumanized and to dehumanize people to
uh not proceed with a lot of of caution
or empathy uh not to to you know take
people seriously and so I think that's a
significant problem one one of the
things that I wrote uh recently for this
great organization called the American
Institute for boys and men uh which
whichard Reeves
runs uh who's who's great uh I'm a huge
fan and one of the things I wrote for
them is the decline in dating
particularly among young men we've seen
a really precipitous Decline and how
often uh teenagers are are dating
spending time having a boyfriend or a
girlfriend and I think that's
problematic uh in that you kind of learn
how to engage with someone uh in in a
really difficult in in situations that
require a lot of nuance a lot of
understanding uh a again a lot of
empathy so like successful relationships
have all that and can be very fraught
and so it's helpful to have experiences
earlier so that when you you know move
into your your 20s and you're out on
your own you have some experience to
draw draw from when you're you're trying
to engage and trying to date and and
navigating really difficult uh complex
romantic
situations why have young women move to
the left then what's the driving forces
here so I think there's all there's some
there's any one thing of course this is
social science so there's a number of
factors that we might consider but I
think there's some obvious ones when you
look at just what's happening that with
the me too movement I think that was
pretty significant we conducted a bunch
of in-depth interviews among young women
and young men after a dating survey that
we conducted ear early last year and one
of the things we heard from these young
women again and again was how formative
that experience was you know growing up
and sort of seeing this happen in real
time uh uh there there I think was a
source of like uh we're in this together
um this idea of kind of shared or link
fate that um you know if this thing was
happening to this person it could happen
to me too uh right th thus me too so
that that would be felt like there was
something of a commonality of interest
and concerns there I think that was was
pretty critical and then for for young
men what was really interesting is a lot
of them said like well this is not
really about me uh this is about
celebrity
or this is like the kind of malevolent
dudes out there who are kind of you know
awful and have nothing to do with them
so as opposed to being kind of a
structural uh concern uh it became
something that they kind of dismissed as
as something that has nothing to do with
them yeah I love the idea of linked fate
i' never heard it before you say
two-thirds of young women believe that
in most or every way what happens to
women in the US will have a bearing on
their own lives it's this sort of like a
it's it's like in built sort of
tribalism but it's more emotional than
than tribalism yeah I mean I think it's
it's kind of a recognition that there
are structures in society your
institutions that regardless of your
race or ethnicity or religion or your
geography that you will have to navigate
these things that you are treated
differently in American society because
you're a woman and I'm going to throw a
lot of pulling at you but this one I
think is is pretty interesting so Gallup
tracked the how um how women and men
felt about the position of women in
society were they satisfied with the way
women were treated and over the last
like 20 or so years roughly similar
numbers of men and women said that yeah
they were basically satisfied with how
women were being treated and then around
2016
2017 uh women just plummeted so they
were like 61% uh 16 17 and then today
they're in the like the mid-40s so
they're they're far less happy today
about the way women are being treated in
American society um which is a
significant disruption from the past
despite the fact that you've got Rising
socioeconomic success for women
improvements in education graduation
from University two women for every one
man completing a four-year us college
degree women earn
1,111 more between the ages of 21 and 29
on average than men do etc etc etc so it
seems like that has to be at least in
part something mimetic or something sort
of
cultural sort of like social psychology
that's going on because at least in many
of the ways that you can frame the
reality of their experience it is
improving yeah I think undoubtedly you
can't look objectively at whether it's
economic data or data about politics um
or just understand the way the culture
is evolved and how we treat issues like
uh sexual harassment and discrimination
and not think that things are better for
women than they were you know in the
1970s but interestingly um some
sociologists have actually looked at the
way young women felt in the 70s versus
today in terms of how much gender
discrimination was a problem and how
much they experienced it and actually
women today feel like they have things
worse uh so some of this I think is
about like understanding of okay uh what
Behavior do I categorize as as sexual
harassment and how I how am I feeling
about various types of of these kind of
infractions so if uh you know a male
cooworker asked me out three times is
that if he does it politefully politely
and respectfully is that is that sexual
harassment how how do we Define those
kinds of interactions and I think in the
past uh you know a lot of that stuff was
kind of dismissed and again like some of
it was not good uh a lot of it was not
good and and roundly criticized and and
you know should have been changed a long
time ago yeah rightly so but but some of
it is now you know we're sort of judging
I think society as as smaller
infractions uh are sort of treated the
same as really significant infractions
and behavior yeah do you know what the
tville
paradoxes I've not heard it cool idea so
as living standards in a society rise
people's expectations rise along with
them but when you start yourself off off
on that trajectory the problem is
reality has to at some point like ASM
toote out like it can't continue to just
get infinitely better but your
expectations can and it's this sort of
comparison between the two also when you
combine the toille Paradox with Concept
creep you know the the ever broadening
of what might be considered to be racism
or what might be considered to be sexism
or what might be considered to be
harassment again not saying that these
things don't exist but I think that most
samean people would agree that there has
been a hyper sensitization to things
that previously probably wouldn't have
even appeared on the radar maybe they
should have done but a lot of the things
that were occurring before have been
gotten rid of and much of the stuff
which is happening now seems to
be uh at the very least magnifying Small
Things uh into big things yeah and of
course I mean you know I want to be very
sensitive and careful about how we talk
about this stuff I mean but I think
that's that's absolutely right and in
terms of um you know what you you've
seen some we've seen some um
conservative but feminists talk about
this issue and they say say it's it's
kind of stripping agency away from women
to sort of say Hey you know we can't
handle this or you know we don't know
how to navigate these situations or
right like and again if if if the the
behavior is really you know bad heinous
um there should be you know legal moral
ethical redlines for all that stuff and
there should be a zero tolerance policy
but I I think a lot of this stuff Falls
in in a grer area uh and so how we treat
it like culturally is and socially is is
pretty important yeah and it's open it's
open to debate as well right yeah no
absolutely and a lot of this stuff is is
based on perception so how did I
perceive this the interaction how does
how did I think this person was was uh
oriented towards me and what what were
their what was their intent but the
other thing and I think this is uh
something that is missed in all this
discussion uh which again I'm generally
sympathetic to the fact that we aren't
as nuanced when we talk about this stuff
as we should be but there's a rising
rate of sexual harassment that's
actually occurring online uh so the p
resarch Center looked at over like a
5-year period and found that a range of
behaviors that young women are were far
more likely to to be uh experience some
type of sexual harassment uh and they
Define a bunch of different types of
behaviors and so in that way uh it is
increasing right that that is a
difference that's a good that's a good
point that I hadn't considered that
technology has enabled new types of
sexual harassment unsolicited dickpics
people sending sort of uh rude unwanted
messages stalking harassment onl
that sort of stuff that's that's
something that I hadn't considered that
being said um the toxic male gays if you
look at somebody if you look at a woman
on the tube for longer than 5 Seconds
that constitutes something that they
should be concerned about um workplace
culture being incredibly sort of anti-
uh collaborative I think and what it
feels like you know I'm I'm not in an
office but what it feels like from at
least friends that work there um their
felt senses that trepidation that
they're they're in a lot of fear and
that is going to come across as kind of
like cold to a lot of women that they
actually want to be able to collaborate
with their male counterparts some really
interesting research that suggests that
post me to uh male supervisors were less
likely to collaborate with female
graduates because they were scared that
something Downstream from that was going
to get them in trouble even if they
didn't have any intention of doing that
so I I do think that we need to be
careful about what we make people expect
one of the other that I thought was
really interesting he said look at this
is from a a 21-year-old woman luckily I
had all that over social media to shape
the way I look at dating and Men she
said it allowed her to use other
people's experiences to form a sense of
putting a guard up a 20-year-old woman
offered a similar take that me too
empowered her to stand up for herself I
think it makes me less of a doormat
again female agency taking control
Independence all that stuff very very
good
but it allowed her to use other people's
experiences to form a sense of putting a
guard up I'm not convinced that putting
a guard up based on other people's
experiences especially if it's a guy
glancing over in the gym or you know
like some social media campaign that
kind of maybe makes mountains out of
mole Hills I'm not convinced that that
forms uh robust psychologically healthy
women I think that that makes them
hypervigilant scared of lots of men
always on edge and that can't be good
for them either that that's not the sort
of uh environment I want for women to
inhabit from other women yeah and I
think one of the problems is and we
could talk about this a lot is taking so
many of our cues from social media right
versus our own personal experience and
and the people that we know because
you'll often hear this kind of
Divergence where um in in the research
that we've done women will say yeah you
know the people the men in my life you
know uh siblings uh cousins friends are
all great um but I think overall men are
kind of terrible and well where are you
getting that perspective from because
your real world experience is actually
telling you a very different story but
well I'm I'm seeing these terrible men
online and well what what kind of you
know what do you think the algorithm is
doing is it is it putting you know the
kind of boring polite respectful men are
you think they're overrepresented on
social media of course not um it's like
the worst uh examples of all these
different categories of offenses the
most egregious stories are always the
ones that catch fire and the problem is
if you spend most of your time and learn
about the world through the internet you
get a disproportionate view you get a
biased view toward crazy stories you
know the guy leaves the house and comes
back to find his wife in bed with the
postman like you know that story catches
fire because it's so oh my God like
could you believe that this thing
happened the same thing goes for and it
it makes everybody model the behavior of
others on the worst examples exactly and
and there are there are folks out there
entrepreneurs who actually are pushing
this stuff too so it's not just that the
algorithm's finding this stuff and and
pushing it in front of you it there are
people out there who uh you know they
they built their um business or their
brand on doing this stuff yeah there's
also not enough female leadership in the
eyes of
women yeah well I think they're on on
both sides and one of the things that
I've really tried to do is sort of say
well we we actually need more more
conversations and opportunities for for
young people to engage with one one
another so one of the things I've been
you know consistently concerned about is
the decline in sociability among young
people so that the pandemic was a real
big hit but even before then we saw a
really significant decline in just how
often teenagers hung out with each other
um and and maybe you know drank alcohol
or smoked or whatever but just kind of
did St something you know out Beyond
parental supervision uh on their own and
you know behave like we would
traditionally expect teenagers to behave
and maybe get into some trouble uh but
also have opportunities to form bonds
and engage with each other socially uh
and learn from each
other why is political socialization not
in effect here why aren't Republican
parents giving birth to Republican young
women yeah so this is something that we
found in our data as well in in a 2023
study so we looked at it it was focus on
gen Z but we also want to look at their
their form of experiences so what was
the educational background of their
parents what was the religious
background um what was the the politics
of their parents and and one of the
things that we see that is consistent
with a lot of political science research
is that parental politics does influence
the politics of
children uh particularly when uh there's
consistency within the household so when
when both parents and two parent
households are Democrats or both are
Republicans they're they fairly
effectively can pass on political values
to the Next
Generation there's lots of c caveats and
there's a rich socialization literature
that that deals with all this and talks
about um how this how this all this all
works but one of the things that we saw
was that while Republican parents tend
to raise Republican Sons they're far
less likely to raise Republican
daughters so only 44% of women raised by
Republican parents still identify as an
adult as a Republican
and that's pretty significant because
every other configuration that we looked
at we saw the political socialization
was was proceeding fairly consistently
uh and this was the kind of anomalous
case and for me you know I speculate uh
in the piece that I wrote about this
well at least some of it has to do with
um Donald Trump I think some of it has
to do with the rise in lgbtq identity
that a lot of young women who who
identify this way and and in L surveys
it's one in three young women so it's
how accurate is that number because I've
I've seen that sort of banded around
have you stress test that at all uh you
see it and I think Gallop has numbers
that are close to that in our large
National surveys uh uh that we conduct
with ipsos we see that number so I think
there's another um polling organization
called PRI who has that number so so
we've seen it pretty consistently asked
a couple different ways and so I I think
we have some confidence that at least
what the questions are are asking do you
identify as you know lesbian gay
bisexual queer
um uh whatever that that at least you
know we are seeing you know positive
increased identity uh from but but I
think like when it comes
to uh what that means in terms of sexual
behavior and sexual preferences there
there's some separation there and some
folks and I I would count myself in this
category I think that at least there's
there's some politics involved in all
this so if you look at for instance that
the number of people who identify as as
bisexual that is the the fastest
increasing category bisexual um but if
you look at the the sexual preferences
uh and behavior of people who identify
as
bisexual there's there's some distance
there there's some oh so people identify
as bisexual but still date
heterosexually mostly yes much more
right so so that so is where's that come
from is that polling data as well so
yeah this is this is polling data and
again I there's some fluidity in all
this we're talking about young people so
again things may may change over time
things take some things may change week
to week sort out yeah and and I think
that that's right that this generation
is has been given the space to kind of
explore and find out and that's that's
all good uh but I think that it does
mean that we need to uh exercise some
caution when we're thinking about whoa
okay you know there's one and three
young women are lgbtq but what does that
mean and and might that be subject to
change at some point I think it might an
identification with the movement overall
but when the rubber meets the road um
things don't change that much just to
kind of round out what you were talking
there 44% of women raised by Republican
parents identify as Republican but
77% of women with Democrat parents
identify as Democrats and you're right
political socialization is a thing but
just your behavioral genetics gives a
big predisposition here you know
your political affiliation is at least
in part genetically predisposed because
you have certain values about the way
that you see the world that are just
like imbued into the the mechanisms of
your brain and so on and so forth and
then you lay on top the socialization
piece so to go 44% of women raised by
Republican parents identifies as
Republican themselves so it's more
likely for you to be a Democrat female
young girl with Republican parents than
for you to follow the political
socialization of your family plus the uh
sort of genetic
predisposition some of those folks are
probably like politically independent
too so it's not just Republican
Democrats not but yeah yeah I mean the
point the point still
stands what role is abortion playing
here I think it's pretty huge I I I know
there's been you know I feel like
there's a a pendulum swinging in terms
of you know one week we say portion is
going to you know totally reconfigure
the the political landscape in the US
with the overturn of row and the do's
decision and next week well you know
we're not seeing this pulling data and
you know we're not seeing this huge uh
jump in or spike in turnout among young
women and so I think I feel like it's
vacillated in terms of of how critical
we think this is both sort of the in the
immediate political context and sort of
longer term I tend to think that it's
it's pretty crucial uh because it's it's
occurring uh when it did for this this
generation that is all kind of
predisposed to be very very supportive
uh if you look at generation earlier
among Millennials actually they tended
to be surprisingly conservative on
abortion and I don't think political
scientists ever really sused out why
that was because at the time the
millennial generation you so you look
back in you know the mid 2000s forward
and and that generation was the most
educated at that time the least
religious
um there there was a number of of policy
uh positions they were pretty liberal on
like gay marriage and so you would think
that this uh the abortion issue they
would also be tend to be pretty
pro-choice but they were not um but
that's not true for Generation Z the the
generation that's followed Millennials
and for that generation they're
incredibly liberal on abortion H so so
you combine uh a a Supreme Court ruling
that was not popular among that
generation uh an issue that's try to be
Salient for young women and typically
always is uh and an issue that they tend
to care a lot about and then I think
like that that to me suggests that
moving ahead you know it's going to be a
pretty significant factor in orienting
their politics and and motivating them
you just mentioned higher education it
seems to be a trend that people who are
more Highly educ Educated end up being
more liberal is the increasing female
participation in higher education
contributing to this too I think so
I I am not one of those folks who who
believes that you know higher ed is has
a huge impact uh on the political
trajectory of young people I think
there's a lot of self- selection that
goes into people who go to college uh I
think there's a lot of differences
across different types of campuses if
you're going to a school you know in the
South versus the northeast or the West I
mean there's a there's a lot of factors
the other thing I thought I always kind
of chuckle at uh is when people start
saying oh you know professors are
turning people uh into marxists and
atheists and the professors that I know
says that we can't even get these kids
to read a damn syllabus and so like they
think that they have you know all this
power over the the politics of their
students what I think what's going on
there is is probably that uh for on a
lot of these campuses the the peer
environment is exercising pretty
significant influence and so your your
peers politics and then also the the
longer trajectory in terms of where you
end up so if you go to college you're
more likely to end up in a city um
possibly a coastal city that and then uh
among you work in places with lots of
other college educated folks and because
of Education polarization we're seeing
that you know you're you're more likely
to be around people who share your you
know Centrist left leaning political
views that's a really good point I want
to just sit in that for another moment
because there is a a big demonization
about the structure of the universities
overall it's the the ones that are
woking the students and the all of the
rest of it but when you consider that I
mean I think back to my university
educator I did five years two degrees
and I
spent like 2% of my day in lectures and
most of the time that I was in lectures
I was talking to my friends in any case
and all the rest of the time it was just
the melting part of the student
community so really when you're pointing
the finger I think that a lot of it
should be what what happens when you get
lots of young people with social media
and Trends in a Cosmopolitan City that's
probably Coastal at least maybe maybe
Coastal but big Cosmopolitan City what
do they talk about and how do they how
does the discourse self-reinforce how
can it sort of run away with itself
that's that's a fantastic Point that's a
really really interesting point I hadn't
thought of yeah and then stuff there's a
reinforcing effect right too with our
polarized media environment in the
United States like so you don't even
have to leave your bubble uh and so if
you have you know your best friends and
your immediate uh social group is all
left left leaning folks they're citing
opinion writers that are left leaning uh
and you know MSNBC anchors and so like
you you can live quite happily in this
bubble um both in your immediate
environment and then your larger
information environment too I wonder how
conflicting this is for young women I
wonder
if we know how
um the hyp sensitivity that young women
have to the the trends of the social
group around them uh very very tuned up
I don't imagine this is particularly
enjoyable for young women to you know
maybe they've got one opinion that sits
outside maybe they're slightly different
on the First Amendment or maybe they're
not too too sure on immigration or maybe
they're not too sure on whatever you
know anything else
I I I feel I feel bad for them I feel
bad for the fact that there is a a a
huge sort of wave that's moving through
and I think anybody who the Purity
spiral is very sort of pure and anyone
who doesn't adhere um it's it's it's
going to feel uncomfortable there'll be
discordant I imagine this probably
doesn't make them psychologically feel
all that sort of uh safe or robust or um
able to be open and honest and truly
sort of speak their opinions yeah well I
think too right like we know in in
political science that um having being
surrounded by people who share your
political views is actually not great um
from a sort of larger political system
perspective because those folks tend to
have more extreme attitudes right that
that being constantly having your views
affirmed by those around you it's easier
to demonize it's easier to engage in
kind of a tribal politics so that's you
never get any counterpoints that are set
in good
right and and I think the other thing
too is like I don't think we properly
appreciate that so much of the stuff is
an evolution right we we kind of learn
we try out ideas we try out
language and I think we ought to give
space for that so I think like one of
the things like I I'm not a huge
believer in the I the cancel culture
conversation I think that you know in
certain instances yes you know we have
been too restrictive certain
institutions have played roles that I
think are counterproductive in terms of
having an honest open debate um I think
some it's overblown but I think there
there is one way that I think like the
the entire uh way we engage in political
discourse in this country uh is
problematic and that is like we think
that that nothing will ever change that
people don't change in terms of their
views on on various issues and of course
that's not true and one of the quickest
ways for you to change your opinion is I
I drop you in a different political
context uh and you'll change your views
pretty quickly or at least you you will
reflect on what you believe oh these
people are the eny they're not
necessarily demonized right uh and and I
think that's one of the problems when
you get to to the the political
influence of dating and relationships
you sort of say well I'm only going to
date um you know a trump supporter or I
would never date a trump supporter uh I
think like one of the the problems with
social media and dating apps is it
allows you to more effectively filter
out things that you think you might not
like but we are pretty terrible judges
on the things that we actually care
about in in many respects I tell this to
my to my son when he's he's you know
turning his his nose up at Food uh or
dinner is like you've never tried this
so you have no idea uh and so like the
experiment and experience are actually a
part of growing up and I think to the
extent that politics is a part of that
we ought to give people space we ought
to give them uh you know some empathy
and understanding when they're working
through things and I think we're just so
quick to judge and Bash and it's it's
really unfortunate yeah can you try and
explain so we've spoken about young
women I want to talk about young men
yeah but how much how much is it young
women moving to the left and how much is
it young men moving to the right is it
equal amounts from wherever the set
point is or is it more left and Men or a
little bit more right how would you
categorize that yeah so this is the hard
part about this is it's not really clear
what's going on in men there's sort of
different stories and narratives
emerging from different poles so the
same Gallop survey that I I quoted
earlier with women becoming more liberal
by about 12 to 14 points over the last
you know seven eight years the men seem
pretty flat in that in terms of their
ideological disposition uh plurality or
moderate uh and yes I think similar
numbers are liberal and conservative
there's some sense that they are
becoming a little bit more
Republican uh or more predisposed to to
support Republican candidates there's
sorry is that is that different to being
conservative
yeah uh so political ideology and
partisan affiliation are different uh
you know the most of the way that survey
uh research focuses on this and and asks
about this is that there's a Democrat
Republican independent is your political
affiliation and there's for ideology
there's conservative moderate liberal
they uh are correlated so if you're a
liberal you're likely to be Democrat um
if you're conservative you're likely to
be Republican but one of the challenges
is that for this younger generation they
tend to have increasingly negative views
of both parties so even people who are
are quite liberal said to say I don't
like Biden I don't like the Democrats uh
and this is actually particularly true
of young men I think it's like close to
four and 10 uh view both political
parties the Democratic party and the
Republican party uh unfavorably and so
you have this weird thing like there
there's more people identifying as
independent even as the country is
moving a little bit to more to the left
so we're becoming more independent and
slightly more liberal uh and so it's
complicated when we try to make sense of
what's going on and I think too often we
correlate those things and it's actually
there's some there's some daylight
between them that we need to appreciate
that was one of the most interesting
things that I learned in your article
which was young men are far less likely
than women to say that any issue is
personally important to them it seems
like if there was a checked out of
politics
uh like Dimension to this that that
would be the real skew for men yeah and
I think for a lot of you men like I
think this is kind of an orientation
that has happened because of of how
rapidly uh some of the social norms and
cultures changed and there's a real
sense of dislocation like where do I fit
what I'm I'm told to be an ally but how
do I be an ally can I advocate for
myself uh even or or the things that I
care about and so you see this this you
know in in a large number of young men
kind of this this political disaffection
of I just like I'm I'm kind of tuned out
I'm I'm done with it uh and and I think
one of the things we're seeing is that
the Republican party has actually
probably done a little bit better job of
reaching out and saying that they are
concerned about the issues that young
men are facing whereas liberals uh and
Democrats a little bit less so and so
you've
you've we're perhaps seeing a little bit
of polarization around just the way the
the parties are engaging on issues
around gender right yeah that makes
sense what about um men's opinion on
feminism and and me too and stuff like
that is this a inart could this be a
reaction to them feeling like those have
gone too far yeah and I I think you you
see this in the point data so whether
it's the PE Research Center showing a
20o gap in support of the me too
movement between young men and young
women uh young men are kind of divided
and young women women are overwhelmingly
supportive of me too and then in our
data we we asked a question about
whether people identify as a feminist uh
young women largely likely to identify
as feminists but it's only like 40% of
young men so you you do have a pretty
significant gender gap and on the
question of feminism actually the gender
gap is largest among gen z uh than any
other generation so there's more
disagreement about feminist identity and
what feminism is uh you see older
Generations yeah a 2022 survey by the
Southern Poverty Law Center found that
46% of democrat men under 50 agreed that
feminism has done more harm than good
and even more Republican men agreed so
you know it's not like Democrat men and
Republican men are just one bundle of uh
ideology like people have different Wing
Wings within that but you know nearly
50% of democrat men under 50 saying that
they think that feminism's gone too far
I
think yeah I I I can see why if men do
feel dislocated and displaced and
uncertain about their position and then
they don't feel like they're being given
the uh sympathy or the support that
perhaps they would that they're going to
start pointing the finger around and and
and then as you know we we've seen you
know various Scholars have started
looking into this uh there's in many
ways young young men are
struggling uh economically in in
education and they have you know uh
particular needs that are not being met
they have uh problems that that people
AR advocating for Solutions and so I
think like that that plays into all this
and I think we we're really really bad
uh at at trying to hold these two
different ideas in our hands at the same
time that there's been progress uh in
terms of gender equality but there's
still you know plenty of places where
women face structural
disadvantages um and then there's
increasingly problems that young men are
facing that are unique to young men that
Society we would be um um you know would
be in our interest to try to address and
both those things can be true right yes
both those things can be true yes uh an
offs sited statistic that conveys the
enduring absurdity of the gender gap is
that until very recently there were more
CEOs named John than CEOs who were women
across most industries from politics to
Academia men in American society still
control more resources earn higher wages
and enjoy more Prestige but few young
men have any experience in the boardroom
and in the classroom it's their female
peers who are crushing it and um
Christine Ember wrote this phenomenal
article last year where she said um
young men feel like their problems are
being dismissed out of hand as whining
from a patriarchy that they no longer
feel a part of it's this sort of use of
outlier male success I think a lot of
the time that kind of legitimates some
of the what are you crying about look at
the look at the number of CEOs and it's
like yeah but look at the number of men
at the lower end of the distribution as
well like they they don't feel like
they've got the same kind of sympathy
and again like what does this lead to
just leads to this sort of finger
pointing this this uh tribal Purity
spiral and the thing that came to mind
when reading this part of your research
was that it's like a zero sum view of
gender equality on both sides yeah which
is increasingly where we're we're headed
right that that uh on either side if you
if you help women you're you're hurting
men if you're helping men you're not
paying attention to the dude I did an
episode I must have done I don't know 40
episodes that are something along the
lines of what's happening to young men
how are young men struggling how male
mental health male loneliness blah blah
blah I did one
episode uh a couple of weeks ago I've
done many episodes about women but I did
one in particular uh that was the first
one in a little while with freyer India
this great writer Jonathan Heights a
massive fan phenomenal phenomenal writer
I don't know her person I did an episode
with her and it was um like why are
jenzy women struggling so much and
immediately so many of the comments were
to do with like uh oh this is pandering
this is like feminism's gone too far uh
you know it's men that are struggling
I'm like dude like there is a library of
and what it made me think was
like it's really easy to point the
finger and say you know look
at how many benefits women are getting
and they're the ones that are doing well
in education and employment and the men
are the guys that being held behind and
no one really cares it's like yeah and
then as soon as you say also women are
struggling also there's a lot of
problems that they're facing especially
when it comes to mental health like
Jesus Christ and again zero some view of
empathy like we can't have if we give
empathy to someone that isn't me or my
tribe then it it's taking it away and
it's like the all that that can lead to
is
dissatisfaction a and and people not
being able to understand each other like
it's just going to make the situation
worse yeah and I I think it's really
interesting that you use the word tribal
when we're talking about men and women
because I I feel like we talk about
tribal politics we talk about race and
religion we talk about class we talk
about Republicans and Democrats but
typically we don't talk about as much
men and women inhabiting their you know
oppositional tribes but I think that's
exactly what's happening uh kind of
embedded by social media and the lack of
socialization and I think like that's
going to be a a pretty profound
civilization civilizational problem
yes how could you be wrong about this
data in what ways might you be wrong A
Million Ways uh there I mean in any any
work that we do one of the things we try
and one of the first things whenever I
see some kind of uh interesting or you
know seemingly anomalous finding is like
where is this corroborated how can we
see where where this Stacks up compared
to what we know and so looking at a lot
of different trusted data sets
conducting high quality reliable
research ourselves is is a priority for
us and being transparent so on our
website the survey Center on American
life you can download all our data uh
and one of the great things about that
is it keeps you really honest if you
think that people are going to be poking
around your stuff and so I think that is
is incredibly important um sort of
institutionally uh but when it when it
comes to to where things might end up I
think there's you know I'm writing a
book on this topic but I think um the
divide that I'm looking at which is not
just political but relational I think we
this is solvable so the the trajectory
that I I currently am forecasting that
I'm seeing in this data may not wind up
as bad as I may talk about it may sort
of come back into Landon a bit more in
2024 right um you know we are seeing
divisions over marriage with young women
saying that you know marriage benefits
men more than women um so seing
declining interest in in Parenthood uh
plummeting rates of of civic
participation and so all these things
are kind of pointing in a in a negative
Direction could could change uh pretty
significantly one of the ways in which I
was actually uh
somewhat uh feeling rather positive
about the pandemic one one of the only
ways and and optimistic is that I
thought that it would in this generation
and and and among people generally uh
kind of develop an appreciation for the
importance of of social ability right
just the the importance of hanging out
and being with each other in in
community whether it's a religious
community whether it's you know being
part of membership organizations whether
it's you know just going to work out
with friends or or play board games that
when that was taken away uh from us I
think a lot of people suffered in a lot
of different ways and you know my hope
would be that this this generation
particularly the the teenagers and young
people who really suffered through it uh
we know those those folks suffered T
tend to suffer more than others would
develop an understanding of we really
need to prioritize this we we need to
find spaces where we can spend time with
each other I I think the verdict is
still out on that one I'm hoping that
that's that's what will happen but um
I'm not 100% positive that that it will
Rose herwitz wrote an article titled are
jenzy men and women really drifting
apart the much theorized political Rift
has yet to show up in actual vote
Behavior what's your thoughts on that
well she's wrong on that
um I talked to I talked to Rose for that
article and she's not the only one so
what's happened is there's a number of
political scientists who who've come out
and sort of say well in these academic
data sets the the General Social Survey
the American national election study the
uh the congressional election study like
we we don't see this stuff replicated um
but point of fact the only data set
where you really don't see it that you
have a large enough sample this this
this the CES and in the rest of them in
the Pew research uh Trend data you see
it in Gallup you see it um there's um
modering the future data that uh um
folks have looked at and you see it in
there you even see it in in incoming
freshmen the UCLA does an ongoing study
and looks at the politics of of incoming
freshmen and you see a growing gender
divide there so there's there's a lot of
corroboration in terms of of the data
and then you see it an exle data right
that there's there's a I think like a
12-point gap in the voting behavior of
young women and young men um in exit
polls and you see it in in voter file
data as well so uh I think it's it's
it's we should proceed cautiously and I
think that I think what some of the
political scientists subjected to which
I think is is absolutely valid is to say
well what do people mean when they're
identifying as liberal does that mean
that they're liberal and supportive of
you know the progressive position on all
these different issues from UNC control
to climate change to um abortion because
point of fact like young men today are
significantly to the left of older men
on a lot of those questions particularly
when it comes to to race because the the
the um generation is much more racially
diverse right so you do see them to the
left but but relative to where young
women are um I think there's still a lot
of evidence that suggests that um
they're they're they're in a little bit
different place the other thing too is
it's not just politics um you look at uh
views of like pornography um there's a
really significant difference of where
young men and young women are young
women what did they say that so we we
asked this question about whether um
there should be more restrictions placed
on internet pornography there's like a
20o gap uh in the view of young men and
young women young women want it much
more restricted young men don't not
shockingly I think so there's there's a
lot of those kind of cultural questions
where you see these divides show up as
well and then like concern about climate
change concern about gun control young
women again show up much much
higher yeah Gallup just did their own
analysis as well right I think I saw you
it was the same data but they just
published it finally so like I I
published it in 2022 uh then I I did
this oped earlier this year based on the
subsec article uh and then galop a
couple weeks later published their it's
the same data though right right I
understand yeah uh it's uh and just to
kind of round out the stress testing of
your data here
how how you said around about 2014 was
when this really began to kick in yeah
2014 2015 depending on what data you're
looking at okay so we're now at you know
a decade approaching a decade where this
has been sort of trending so this isn't
the same kind of flash in the pan uh for
instance uh for a while quite a while I
was citing this stat um the number of
men between 18 and 30 that report not
having sex in the last year has tripled
from 2008 to 2018 from 8% to 28% and I
was like trotting this stat out that was
GSS data uh then I didn't realize that
new GSS data had come out twice it come
out once and then the second one was
what made me realize that the first one
had come out and that Trend had reversed
and I was like right okay like that and
if you actually look at it was such a
sharp increase of a such a short space
of time that now plotted across enough
time it actually just looks like yeah
what happened here maybe it was
something to do with the way that this
was captured maybe it was something
about 2018 I don't know uh but that
seems to have come back down now and
actually women switched over with men I
think 2019 2020 women did perhaps uh
hyper vigilance around sort of like
pathogen disgust response type thing um
around about the pandemic that could
have been a part of it but um it seems
like the trend that you are talking
about here is more robust uh
longitudinally yeah and and I think if
you're it's not just um in in response
to I think specific events like when we
look at you know posters look at you
know what kind of impact is a particular
even an important National event um so
you know the some of the protests over
uh police shootings of African-American
men right we sort of say okay how does
this change attitudes towards police and
policing you you did see a a significant
impact of that but then it dissipated uh
pretty quickly and so think some of that
is like that almost always happens right
you you you know for events to have
really profound changes in our our
political trajectory they you know they
have to be you know of a magnitude that
uh we don't typically see uh but what
we're seeing among I think young women
is is not just a reaction to the
election of Donald Trump to the dobs
decision or me2o I think it's partly
demographic so you look at their um Ed
educational tment uh it's significantly
more educated than men if we're seeing
education polarization we would expect
that to show up in their politics rise
of lgbtq identity again that's increased
over the last you know six seven eight
years dramatically and that group LG dpq
PE lgbq people are much more uh liberal
than people who identify a straight or
heterosexual so like there's some
demographic reasons to expect that you
know we would see this this growing
division in in in politics what's
happening with
Race So race is really uh challenging to
to get at uh in this this cohort because
simply in a lot of the the survey data
we have we don't have large enough
samples to break out so you know in
terms of your average survey of a
thousand people you have uh basically
maybe you know 120 people who who are
black or African-American and so you
can't do a lot in terms of the analysis
now some of the data we have is is much
larger but still you're you're pretty
Limited in in what you can do but a lot
of the the divisions we're seeing
because of cross racial categories so we
see between you know black men and black
women pretty significantly uh different
in fact I just published a piece that
looked at the way there's been a a
really significant drop off in terms of
democratic identity among black men but
not black women uh and this is again
based on on some of that Gallup data uh
so I I think that that makes sense in
terms of well okay look at the the rates
of religious participation among uh
Black
Americans that has historically tied
them to the Democratic party so more
religious uh Black Americans tended to
be more democratic so as we see we're
seeing um black men drop out of church
at much higher rates than black women
you know we we would we might expect
that this to have an impact on their um
Downstream
affiliation what does this mean for the
2024 election cycle
that's probably the hardest thing to
predict because I think despite the fact
that we've seen this Divergence I think
we're going to see you know some
significant amount of support for young
people one of the challenges uh is that
I don't know if you've been tracking
polls when it comes to the youth vote
this year but they've been all over the
place there's been some reliable polls
that say you know Trump is up with young
people which is would be an Absolut
absolutely unprecedented shift you know
of like B basically points to what what
happened in in 2020 so I think we're
going to see significant support for
Biden among young people overall I think
it's going to be significantly higher
among young women uh I think that that
Biden campaign they are already but I
think they're going to continue to make
abortion uh a really significant part of
their campaign Outreach to to young
women uh I don't know what they're going
to do for young men uh one of the things
that I thought was pretty interesting
and I don't know if you've ever had
reason to to go over to the democ uh uh
Democrats um web page to sort of check
it out well I was there recently just to
look at the the groups that they um were
advocating for right so these are the
they have like these are the groups that
Democrats are fighting for there's like
16 of them I think um women Native
Americans uh Hispanics African-Americans
uh other ethnic groups rural people
Urban people uh women down the the one
group that was
missing men
so it it it almost seems that it's such
an oversight that it has to be
intentional uh I don't I don't right and
so I
think to the extent that we see this
this divide occurring I think that that
um the parties are going to play a role
in in orienting and and reaching out to
folks and to the extent that the
Democratic party does not you know
actively appeal to men and particularly
young men I think they're they're going
to continue to to slide
right yeah I wonder one thing that you
you said earlier on was how formative uh
me too and then I guess the the me too
of 2023 which was uh the abortion ruling
I
wonder whether that is formative to uh
young people during their life but that
if there wasn't a similar incident in
six years time or whatever that that's
kind of baked into the system and that
this is almost like a a quite prolonged
but a response to those kind of
situations and whether or not um without
continuing to sustain that with more and
more uh what is perceived as an
egregious transgression of somebody's
Freedom or or or or like a important
cultural moment I wonder
whether I wonder how much of what we're
seeing is still the blast radius of of
some big events and I wonder how much um
is more um sort of deep rooted and deep
seated you know what I mean yeah and uh
I've kind of struggled with this myself
and I think I've evolved in in the way I
think about it like I I think I at at
one point I thought you know me too was
seismic and
generational now I I tend to think that
that it just has a pretty significant
blast radius as you put in so we'll see
it among gen Z but we may not see it in
gen alpha or or even younger gen zers
uh who just were not young enough to be
paying attention to this stuff so there
might be that the cohort of like you
know a six seveny year eighty year span
of of young women who came of age during
that period who said like it was really
important and
then not for not for folks coming after
what are the implications of this gender
divide for the world of
dating it's hard to to I mean in in one
way so if we were talking about politics
um I I think it's a little bit
overstated you know the Washington Post
came out with an article sort of saying
the the political divide and the the
salience of of um politics and dating
could have significant
repercussions um because there are more
there are many more conservative men
than than um uh liberal women so like
there's a there's a dating mismatch
there um but I I think like when you
talk to people about dating and we we
did like 30 in-depth interviews among
young people it was a lot about I just
want someone who who treats me well
um you know who is respectful um you
know the kind of things that you would
expect uh you know people to say just in
general about the kind of relationships
platonic or romantic that they were
after and politics didn't come up that
that often even the issue of abortion uh
which seems like there's of any issue
that you that could be like a deal
breaker of which there's not a lot of
common ground to be to be
found a significant number of young
women um even liberal young women sort
of said like well it might make things
difficult but it was not an essential
deal breaker for them wow I how how much
of that do you think is
um as far as I'm aware having a mismatch
in values and something like abortion is
is a a pretty strong sort of fundamental
uh value about the way that you see the
world it's probably indicative of a lot
of other things it's more of a keystone
than your view on economic policy I
would imagine like more interpersonal um
how much of that do you think is people
wanting to give what sounds like a
balanced answer to pollers but when it
comes to actually dating someone it may
be something that they can't get pasted
right and and I think any question like
we we asked in that 2023 survey a list
of I think like 20 items of like would
you be more Lely or more or less likely
to date someone who Liv with their
parents uh smoke cigarettes like all
these different types of Lifestyle um
behavioral um sort of social demographic
background questions and so it's you're
asking people to make these judgments
without a real person standing there and
you know people tend to to think very
differently when they're you know
thinking in the abstract verus what's
like is there a name for that it's like
white Coat Syndrome I guess in medicine
but is there an equivalent like observer
effect is that what would you call that
yeah I don't I don't know if there's a
technical term for it in in polling but
again there's a challenge in trying to
get people to to um yeah first off tell
the truth but secondly know the truth
right how well do we know ourselves what
their actual priorities are in terms of
the qualities they want in a partner
it's incredibly difficult uh and so but
I think like one of the things that
that's happening in online dating is
that you can you can presort all that
stuff like you I can sort of say this is
what I think I want and lo and behold
the algorithm can can spit out you know
a whole bunch of different matches for
me and for women they they can still
find matches regardless of what kind of
restrictions they put on um men you know
have have a harder time uh in online
dating so I'm trying to work out whether
or not the world of dating has become
more or less political because what
you've just said there makes it sound
like it's ah well maybe you know it's
just someone that that cares about me
and is a normal balanced human but then
on other sides you know it's like 55% of
young women would be less likely to date
a trump supporter 39 say the same about
the possibility of dating a Republican
and 76% of young women with a college
degree say would be they would be less
inclined to date a trump supporter I'd
rather die alone than date a
conservative man said one woman yeah
well and I think this this is where the
the politics and the personal get kind
of fused Trump is very very effectively
politicize all these things that weren't
all that political I I remember people
before the pandemic they're you know
they were saying you know what this
country really needs is an external uh
challenge that we can bring bring us
together like 911 this horrific
tragedy um an attack on American soil
that common Humanity yeah that we
rallied around and even Democrats you
know had had you mean like a global a
global pandemic that didn't help at all
and and and of course you know that
became immediately politicized um and
Trump Bears you know some responsibility
there uh but it certainly wasn't all him
and so I think yeah when it comes to
Trump I think one of the things that we
heard uh we saw in the survey and heard
from the people we interviewed was that
it wasn't politics like they didn't care
about his his his economic plan they
didn't really you know that was not the
deal breaker issue for them it was his
treatment of people particularly women
um that that I think leads them to be
like okay well you mean like his
personal the way that he comes across
incredibly personally um incredibly
negatively and and people who he thinks
have wronged him the language that he
uses he is you know um you know Adam SE
at The Atlantics said the this famous
article that the cruelty was the point
and he behaves absolutely cruy um to you
know many people and I think you know
for for folks who was like wow like uh
if someone really not just like will
vote for him but like really adors this
guy and there's lots of Americans who do
um what does that say about how they
might treat me or or like what I mean to
them as a woman or like you know those
kinds of things and like that we heard
that a lot we heard that a lot from the
women who who said that this would be a
deal breaker for them so was not about
policy you could say it was kind of
about politics because Trump was
president he's a Republican president um
but I think a lot of it was his his
personal Behavior his decorum um you
know the the stuff with the porn star
the the infidelity I mean he just ticks
so many boxes that I think a lot of
women they just like they found
reprehensible a potential Solution
that's being put forward for this is for
women to Trad fish or for men to woke
fish that there's basically a blue ocean
if you date UN assortatively in terms of
your sex's typical direction of
political
orientation yeah well I mean and there's
like a you know I'm I'm learning about
this all this kind of secondhand uh I've
been married for almost 10 years now but
um from what my uh younger research
assistants uh will tell me when it comes
to to dating and stuff that I read that
some conservative men will ID identify
as moderate uh on their dating file in
order to get to to get dates from
Liberal women liberal women actually
know this so now they won't date
moderates there's um some amount of uh
uh adjustment of the sites in a way
they're like no I'm gonna have to I got
I got to move a little bit the the
cursor a little bit more to the left I
guess well it's not just men and women
not being able to find Partners though
young men are just checking out of
dating altogether quite a lot have you
got any idea what's causing that
so yeah it's not just dating I mean like
there's Workforce stuff I mean it's
that's not an area of of um primary
focus for me but like there's there's
men who are just checking out kind of
alt together um the you know video games
I think are uh a common culprit there uh
I think when it comes to uh you know
their economic Ambitions I think it's
just it's tough to know like what the
trajectory there is for them like what
what do they see as the goal I think
think previous generation we kind of you
know there was like okay you do this
this this and this um but I think for
young men today I think there's just a
lot of um they they feel kind of a drift
and then have you have you looked at
Nicholas eat's work yeah so he's at Ai
and um has done some great work he's at
the same organization that I'm American
Enterprise Institute right okay uh so
yeah so he's done some great work on
that and and I think it's yeah it's it's
absolutely right that that when you sort
of see your goal sort of say Okay I want
a a good job good career uh I want
marriage I want you know kids a house
you know with the mortgage and all that
it can be you know it can be hard to to
get that but then at least with those
goals in mind you can sort of say okay I
know what I have to do and I feel like
that those kind of um kind of North Star
uh places like orientation is is kind of
missing now from from young men in terms
of like what they're doing and said yeah
so video I actually uh I don't think a
lot of people have thought about this
yet in terms of the the sort of the way
it's going to impact relationship and
dating but like the AI girlfriend thing
is something that I've I've written
about a bit and am concerned that
similar to how pornography gives you an
absolutely warped view of of sex and
sexual relationships I think AI
girlfriends um and that kind of
interactions is going to give young men
absolutely warped idea of any kind of
relationships whether platonic platonic
or romantic oh because there there's
never any disagreement that needs to be
dealt with everything is always
affirmation affirmation affirmation um
you know there to respond whenever uh
wherever uh and I think it's going to be
pretty popular because of that um we're
seeing this this increase in in
loneliness we we did a survey back in
2021 and we identified this this the
Friendship recession quote unquote
which was afflicting men significantly
more uh harshly than women and so a lot
of this is is um something that that
could conceivably you know be a pretty
significant problem because that's going
to be attractive for folks who are
saying well I have a hard time you know
meeting people my friends aren't really
giving me the support um that I want and
I can't find uh a partner
so yeah I'm G to turn back to screens
you know VR headsets video games AI
girlfriend yeah so a couple of insights
I've learned from evolutionary
psychology friends one of the problems
that you're going to encounter with AI
girlfriends is that there is no Prestige
associated with having one it's the same
reason that people don't advertise how
many only fans creators they subscribe
to or whatever because selection is so
much of the prestige that comes with
being in a relationship Not only was I
able to get this person but they chose
me whereas if you've got the price of a
cheeseburger per month and you can buy a
VR girlfriend the degree of uh Prestige
and Status that's associated with that I
don't think that should be undercounted
I think that that that counts for an
awful lot like deep down for men now you
might say well the same is true of
having a real friendship as opposed to
one that's on the internet and look at
how many people are spending all of
their time on screens and social media I
don't I don't disagree but for the
people and I think about this a lot I'm
not a gamer I was like I I played Xbox a
good bit but I wasn't like a did or I
didn't really use it all that much when
I was younger but I don't now and I
think
I I don't fully account for just how
compelling and compulsive that is
especially for young guys uh I think the
video games industry is worth more than
the TV movie and music Industries all
combined together like video games know
more about human nature and human
behavior and how to manipulate it and
cap it than every other industry put
together so yeah even for the people
listening that like n video games you
know what [ __ ] like pling a bit of
call done an evening like blah blah blah
they've gotten good I my my boys uh just
got an Xbox their their uncle got it got
it for them so I uh a five-year-old and
a seven-year old and uh the games have
gotten really like I have not played
video games for years I used to uh but
they've gotten real good I was playing
Gears of War five um before my wife made
me install it because they want the boys
uh coming across it because it's pretty
violent yeah but yeah I mean it's it's
immersive it's engaging you can sit
there for hours and hours and hours um
and I think like yeah there's you know
again you can sort of laugh at like oh
you know video games and this should not
be monopolizing people's time but
um it clearly is the amount of time that
young people are spending on these
things is young men is is is growing and
really significant what's happening with
Lifey
isfunction uh it's low among uh young
adults but it's always been kind of low
like comparatively right so we we tend
to be happier as we get older we have
more friends when we're younger but in
terms of the kind of insecurities that
we have the way we we think about our
lives um I think that that the way that
we feel uh in our you know teens and
early 20s uh there's a lot of of just
life cycle stuff that that that we tend
to grow out of
um now we're in a different environment
now with social media so I think you
know there's there's been Scholars and
researchers looking at the social the
the you know anxiety producing effects
of of social media and it's it seems
huge I've not looked at it a ton of
myself but it seems like really really
important and and it's focused on women
but I think men too are are um suffer
from this a little bit too for the third
time in more than two decades less than
half of Americans say they are are very
satisfied with the way things are going
in their personal lives the 47% of us
adults expressing High satisfaction with
their lives has edged down 3 percentage
points over the last year and is only
one point higher than the 2011 record
low for the trend not good so yeah and I
think Gallup recently uh did this whole
multicountry look at at happiness and
life satisfaction and the really
interesting thing to me was how huge the
generation gap was so at one point
wasn't a huge difference between where
older people were and younger people
were but now I think United States has
one of the largest generation gaps in
terms of happiness and life satisfaction
of any
country yeah yeah but I you know this
slow life strategy that Jee Tang's
looked at I know Jonathan Heights looked
at it as well this extended adolescence
as it's called young people getting
their driver's licenses later moving out
of the house later getting their first
job later starting dating
later I wonder how much how many of
those things like it's a risk aversion
it's like generalized risk aversion
against change and safety leaving the
house Scott Galloway got in trouble for
basically saying that unless if you're
still living at home with your parents
unless you're asleep you shouldn't be in
the house and um people were i i i Su
that as a parent of young boys like get
get out of the house go play but that
might be a way for you to get a little
bit of Peace but um yeah I I I I
understand personal motivations aside
that no it's Independence and agency
right like that you you you learn like I
was talking with the colleague today
like it's the importance of being bored
right to come up with your own games be
imaginative find ways to to figure
things out yourself so that you're
you're not I mean I think this
generation of parents and I you know I
count myself as part part of this
problem um were kind of overly engaged I
mean the the common terms of like
helicopter parenting or snowplow
parenting I think is absolutely right
that we're we're doing too much for them
and things that they should be doing
themselves were not readily let them do
and so they're not learning agency
they're not learning Independence I
looked at this interesting thing about
life satisfaction are highest amongst
upper income married and religious
adults a few groups few groups have
majority saying that they are very
satisfied this includes those with
annual household incomes of $100,000 or
more married adults those who attend
religious Services regularly college
graduates Democrats and those aged 55 or
older so you're like sort of threading
the needle there through and I'm going
to guess a number of those may I don't
know but it wouldn't surprise me if
married adults have high household
income uh if people who are earning a
little bit more are more likely to be
religious you know like all of these
things will stack on top yeah no I think
that's right and and we've done research
on this too the the class divide in in
religious participation so at one point
there wasn't a huge attendance
difference in between people who had a
college degree and those without so you
go back 30 40 years pretty much the same
everyone was attending at relatively
High rates then over the next 20 25
years a significant Gap emerged with um
the the non- col folks attending at far
less less High rates than the folks who
went to college so it's the it's the
college educated folks are getting
married uh you know invested in uh the
religious communities engaged in
community life and that has a
multiplicative effect right like you are
getting support systems that are across
the different institutions you are
yourself of information uh of all these
important things in life that is is
strongly correlated with happiness and
contentment yeah how do you sort of come
to conceptualize everything that we've
gone through today sort of what's your
what's your view of the of the current
state of things and the trajectory
moving
forward so uh I'm a little bit of a
resident pessimist like I I you know
can't not look at this data and think
like wow um you know what is happening
you know because we we do a a lot of
surveys on a lot of different topics
from from dating to religious demography
um to politics we're doing a a
workingclass survey and we haven't
talked about this but that I think that
one of the the really concerning things
for me is trust and rather it's it's
precipitous decline so if you look at
young people
today on a variety of different measures
but you just ask them like how much do
you think people can be trusted they're
far lower like 30 points lower than than
older Mar Americans um whether they
think people will take advantage of them
again like there's like a 30 or 40 Point
divide most uh young people say that
they do and I don't want to be
constantly pointing the finger at social
media but again I think it it makes some
sense adaptively right if I'm engaging
with strangers a lot when when people
have access to my profile they can they
can message me um a lot of times I'm I'm
you know getting negative interactions
online uh of course I should be a little
bit suspicious
right like I'm I'm not being socialized
in my sort of geographic Community where
people know each other where there's a
lot of support uh but I'm I'm I'm kind
of in the wild west where you know I
don't know people's
motivations um I don't know what they're
going to do uh and so it it I think it
pays to kind of be cautious and think
the worst of people and so I think that
to me is a pretty significant difference
in the way people are being raised today
vers um uh generation before social
media that's that hyper vigilance again
right I I can't necessarily trust people
I don't know if they have best interests
at heart and the other thing I I can't
remember who said it but basically that
the internet has made Psychopaths out of
all of us that it permits you to do
things online that you would never do in
person with basically no repercussions
and if if you don't think that this is
true log into any firstperson shooter
Lobby and hear what people say to each
other like just the things that people
people say there's no way that you would
dare say that in even face to face let
alone in a a small village you know a
hundred years ago where you knew
everybody and reputation would get
around and you're held accountable for
your actions and things like that so
what's the natural response natural
response is this vigilance un certainty
I'm going to protect myself I'm never
actually going to be emotionally open or
vulnerable or or invest in anybody else
because they might move on quite quickly
and have had all of these bad
experiences look at how terrible humans
are humans overall were a Scourge on the
earth that probably contributes to the
climate change oh we don't need to worry
about birth rate decline because there's
too many people on the planet in any
case and humans are kind of a bit of a
cancer so you know it is the the most
like multi-headed hydr head thing of all
time but when you actually zoom out
enough it does the patterns and the
shape start to make a little bit of
sense things are moving in directions
and you can begin to see how each of the
different contributing elements make
stuff go to that direction yeah if I
could like you know move up the chain
and sort of say what is the thing up
here that is going to be influencing
everything Downstream and I do think it
comes down to uh this kind of
communitarian impulse that we've lost
this that that um you know we're so
obsessed with the way that we look how
we're being perceived we're we're
interested in our own care career
trajectory um our own professional
success and the validation that we get
get from it as opposed to like well how
much are you volunteering uh you know
what kind of activities are you doing in
furtherance of of some some something or
someone other than yourself um how are
we we rewarding that culturally uh and
so I think like the the fact that we
don't have that impulse we don't have
that that greater good ambition um and
that we're that we're seeing each other
in in the real world more often that
we're we're you know from from putam uh
on WE we've known that we've been in
kind of a a Civic Decline and I think we
need to you know rebuild a lot of our
institutions we need to encourage young
people not just to have amazing resumés
but actually be amazing people and and
support the people around them um so
you're not checking boxes but you're
actually you know having real
experiences with real people and you
know what there's value in uh you know
hanging out and chasing your friends
around with sticks right there's value
in that right uh I I see as for like
Russian math classes around my
neighborhood I I live in a pretty nice
part of DC and just like well yeah you
could do that but I'd rather have have
my kids um spend time with their friends
just out in the neighborhood or out
biking around and uh and I think some of
that probably stems from this kind of
competitive impulse right that we I want
my kids to get in really good schools
it's a competitive education environment
um if if you know they make a mistake
they're going to fall off the ladder and
you know there's not a uh sort of safety
net for them um so I just they just have
to do everything right and I think if we
could get off that a little bit and and
you know refocus uh our attention and
and the way we spend our time with you
know towards furthering uh a broader
interest uh I think we'd be well you
know much better served by it Daniel Cox
ladies and gentlemen Daniel I love your
work I think that the the insights that
you're were able to bring which kind of
add a bit of
uh statistical rigidity to the insights
that people are seeing and sort of stuff
that people feel it's like I've got this
trend that I've noticed online a little
bit but like you know it's there it's
there in front of you you can almost
sort of grab it uh I really appreciate
the work that you do your sub Stack's
fantastic uh where should people go they
want to check out all the things you do
on the internet so you can check out our
uh website Survey Center on American
life and then I write American
storylines on substacks so check it out
hell yeah Daniel I appreciate you thank
you thank you so much what's happening
people thank you very much for tuning in
if you enjoyed that episode you will
love my fulllength podcast with Dr
Andrew huberman which is available right
here go on tap it