Why the Next 10 Years May Add 50 to Your Lifespan | Dr. Derya Unutmaz
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Dr. Derya Unutmaz argues that humanity stands at a critical juncture where the next decade could add fifty years or more to human lifespan through rapid advancements in artificial intelligence (AI). He predicts reaching "longevity escape velocity" within eight to ten years, a point where medical progress will outpace aging itself, effectively reversing the biological clock for elderly individuals. This acceleration is driven by AI's ability to process millions of data points and simulate experiments that previously took human researchers years, compressing timelines into minutes. Central to this revolution is the concept of "digital twins," comprehensive AI simulations of an individual's biology—including genetics, metabolism, and microbiome—that allow for safe virtual drug testing before clinical trials, drastically reducing development times from years to weeks while predicting side effects like myocarditis with high accuracy.
The potential impact on disease treatment, particularly cancer, is profound as AI helps distinguish between the hundreds of subtypes rather than treating it as a single condition. While traditional chemotherapy causes collateral damage to healthy cells, new approaches using immunotherapy and mRNA vaccines offer highly targeted cures by training the immune system against specific mutations. AI accelerates this process by rapidly designing personalized treatments for millions of compounds and predicting outcomes with precision that surpasses current human capabilities; indeed, Unutmaz contends that failing to utilize advanced reasoning models for diagnosis will soon be considered medical malpractice because these systems already detect diseases years earlier than specialists can. Furthermore, he envisions a future where humans merge with AI through brain interfaces like Neuralink, granting everyone access to genius-level intelligence while retaining agency, thereby transforming the very nature of human capability and healthcare delivery.
However, reversing aging remains immensely complex due to gene context-dependency and network interactions that require dynamic simulations rather than static models. Current methods for cellular rejuvenation using Yamanaka factors do not fully address all hallmarks of aging or somatic mutations, necessitating a shift toward "Human 2.0"—a strategy involving the re-engineering of biology by identifying positive traits in long-lived individuals to apply universally. To overcome data scarcity and computational limits, massive datasets including behavioral metrics are needed alongside supercomputing power to simulate real-world behaviors accurately. By prioritizing interventions with unlimited resources, such as establishing automated labs for cellular data generation and collecting comprehensive human behavioral datasets from millions of people, researchers can build accurate digital twins that account for environmental stressors, ultimately aiming to treat all diseases by 2035 and reverse aging itself by restoring lost biological information across the twelve hallmarks.
For individuals seeking to participate in this future today, Unutmaz emphasizes aggregating consumer-level biometric data—such as frequent glucose readings, diet details, and supplement usage—to create a personalized "mini digital twin." By feeding AI models continuous streams of personal health metrics rather than relying on population averages, users can define their individual normal levels and receive tailored advice that identifies subtle changes over time. As current AI models become more agentic with improved memory capabilities, the focus shifts to maintaining historical trends without re-uploading entire histories each time, allowing for safe experimentation where users act as judges validating predictions against observed outcomes. Ultimately, extending life even slightly in this coming decade will unlock access to therapies that reverse aging or treat previously impossible conditions at older ages, making every day count toward reaching thresholds for significant healthspan extension and a future defined by the Bios Singularity.
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This is probably the most critical time
in human history. So try not to die
[music] for the next 10 years.
>> Can you explain and unpack why you think
that?
>> The reason is that the technology
because of AI is expanding
exponentially. Cancer is going to be
100% curable probably less than a
decade. We'll get to a point where we'll
have hundreds of new drugs coming out
every month maybe. And then we'll get to
a point uh probably 15 maximum 20 years
where we will be able to completely
reverse the aging process. So if you're
80 years old, 90 years old, you will get
back to [music] uh age 30, 40, whatever.
>> Why do you have such an optimistic view?
>> AI is an incredible enabler. It gives
you superpowers. [music] The key risk is
is humans. Humans misusing AI. There's
only [music] one existential threat to
humanity and that's humanity.
Hey everyone, today's episode explores
an extraordinarily exciting convergence,
the accelerating pace of artificial
intelligence and a growing optimism
about the future of science and
medicine. In this episode, I discuss
with Dr. Duria Enautmas how AI could
dramatically improve our ability to
detect, prevent, and treat human disease
and ultimately extend human life
expectancy. Before we begin, I just want
to mention one quick thing. Only about
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Taking a moment to subscribe and enable
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Thank you so much and I really hope you
enjoy this episode with Dr. Duria
Enutmas.
I'm so excited to be sitting here with
Dr. Dura Unutmas who is one of the
handful of scientists that has had
access to collaborate with open AI one
of the you know world's leader in in
artificial intelligence. He's also an
aging researcher. He's an immunologist
really just a matchmade in heaven to sit
down and talk about the role of AI in in
aging research and in medicine. So I'm
super excited to have you here today.
I'm very excited to be here. Thank you.
>> As we both know, aging is a very, very
complex
process. Many factors involved. It's
heterogeneous. It's so complex. And it
just seems like so almost impossible to
solve. And yet, I've heard you say
something that's very interesting. I've
heard you say if you could try not to
die within the next 10 to 15 years, you
might want to try to do that because you
could live an extra 50 years.
>> Yeah.
>> Can you explain and unpack why you think
that? What makes you believe that?
>> Thank you. So, first of all, I'm very
excited to be here. I'm a big follower
of your podcast. I think it's maybe the
best uh aging or longevity podcast. So,
uh this is this is a great pleasure. Um
yeah so I've I've said that um quite a
few times uh in the last year or two
actually um and it may not even take 10
15 years might be uh even closer. Uh the
reason is that uh the technology
especially because of AI uh is expanding
exponentially. So our minds think in a
linear term. So we think that the next
10 years is going to be as much advanced
as the last 10 years or the last 15
years. But that's not what's going to
happen. In the next 10 years, you can
think of it as more advanced than the
last century. So imagine that you were
living in early 1900s. Uh and somebody
told you that you know we're going to uh
have vaccines and you will never get
small pox or uh you won't die of
tuberculosis. You know people would
laugh at you. So that's not that's not
possible. Um so so that's this the speed
that we're talking about. But there's
something uh even more important because
of this acceleration. [clears throat]
The u the advances of treating diseases
is also going to accelerate
dramatically. So uh we will get to a
point what's called the longevity escape
velocity. This was coined by Aubry de
Gray who's as you know is a great uh
aging um researcher. Uh so the point is
that we will come to a point in the next
I would say probably eight to 10 years
where every year you live is going to
add more than a year to your life. So
let's just say um you know 10 years ago
10 years later you get a a cancer uh
that's normally is not curable and you
only have one or two years to live. uh
um but that during that one year there
is going to be a new treatment that will
cure that cancer. So automatically it's
going to add several years or maybe 10
15 years to your life or uh we're
already starting to see that with the
GLP1 uh drugs uh receptor agonist which
uh which are adding about 5 to 10 years
to lifespan of people who are obese or
who have chronic uh conditions uh will
have sort of the muscle generators uh uh
which I think will have tremendous
impact on the aging population because
as you know that's a huge problem. So
all of these things will add up and and
and the technology and AI is going to
keep accelerating. So 10 years later uh
what will happen in a year will be like
what happens in 20 years of advance and
then we'll get to a point
15 maximum 20 years where we will be
able to completely reverse the aging pro
process. So if you're 80 years old, 90
years old, you will get back to uh age
30, 40, whatever. So that's going to add
up uh 50 years or 100 years to to your
lifespan. Um and then you can keep doing
that and extend it almost uh
indefinitely. So I think this is
probably the most critical time in human
history. So try not to die for the next
10 years.
>> And we're going to talk about all these
things. I want to talk about curing
disease. I want to talk about reversing
aging, age reversal. Um, all of that is
on on on my agenda to talk about with
you today. But you mentioned something.
You mentioned that right now the, you
know, artificial intelligence as a
general term, you know, is is
accelerating at was an exponential rate.
I've heard you talk about this Moore's
law and how the, you know, the software
itself is accelerating right at this
exponential rate. Um maybe you could
explain a little bit about like what
what does that mean and then how how do
you think that'll translate into biology
because you know humans we're not
software and there are things that at
least in my opinion you know you have to
still test safety right I mean so like
if you're you know accelerating the
computational speed and therefore you
can test a lot of things that are what
are what's called incilico for people
listening we're talking about testing
things like just modeling them and maybe
you can explain this a little bit
better. Um, but then at a certain point
you still have to test about, you know,
safety and you you definitely that that
there's there are things that I think
need to still be done in human trials.
So I'd love to hear how you think that's
going to happen.
>> I think that's the the most critical
question because people always bring
that up. Okay, you know, if you generate
drugs uh within hours, you still have to
test them on humans for five years,
maybe some sometimes longer. How how are
you going to deal with that? But let me
let me first uh start with how AI is
accelerating biology now. So we we can
think of it in in terms of phases and
and because now and 5 years later is
going to be very very different. Um so
right now especially in the last year or
two since uh you know LLM came out um
you know their intelligence have been
accelerating. Initially it was uh fairly
um smaller u productivity gains. For
example you know when GPT4 was was out I
I would ask it to sort of scan the
literature and tell me what's the the
latest on this topic or that topic. Um
and that saved me you know hours
sometimes days. Uh but then as the
models advanced especially the after01
model the reasoning models uh started to
come out and and now we have the GPT5 uh
pro model 5.5 pro model. Uh what
happened was that now they were able to
think and plan. So uh you could start to
ask very sophisticated questions. For
example, here is a huge biological data
set, a million data points or 10 million
data points. Go over this. Not only just
analyze it and group them, but uh what
what is the insight from that data? Uh
human mind is not able to do that. And
in fact, we had such data sets which
took us months to analyze like you know
a PhD student work on it using deep
learning. we still couldn't really truly
understand what that data meant. We we
know these genes are up, this
metabolites are changing, this is
happening. How do you bring all that
together? Um, and so now AI models are
able to do that. So you I I've tested
for example uh latest GPT5 uh pro model.
You can upload uh millions of data sets
that we accumulate over years maybe uh
and then in matter of minutes you get
not only the complete analysis recently
I had a 40page report from GPT5 uh pro
um which was an analysis of this what's
called the RNA sequencing lots of
millions of data points but it also
provided incredible insight like what is
the what does this data mean what should
be the next questions to ask so that
automatically contracts months sometimes
years of analytic work into matter of
minutes or hours. Um so so there that
that is already accelerating of course
in the drug uh design uh parts uh I
think every pharmaceutical company is
going to eventually use AI generated AI
generation for developing new drugs.
things that took years of screening of
small molecules now take you know hours
or days. So, so tremendous acceleration
there and then uh I think again more
recently because the models have
advanced so much that you can also ask
things like okay so uh this is great um
this is the hypothesis in fact AI can
even generate hypods for you but what
sort of experiment I should do to
address that uh people have to realize
that uh what we do in in biology is
experiments but we don't really know
what's the best experiment to do. I mean
that's kind of my job but I have some
intuition we should do this to address
that question but is that the ideal
experiment is does that have all the
controls everything so AI models are now
able to tell you sort of simulating if
out of this 100 potential experiments
you can do this two are the best ones
because this is going to give you the
best uh output and I' I've been testing
that so so that is another acceleration
now you don't have to try 100 things for
a year, you can just try two things for
few weeks and and get get the output. So
that's what's possible now already
tremendously accelerating the R&D part.
But then uh the second part which I
think is more important part is how do
we uh apply that to clinical trials and
regulations. Um, so it still takes years
to try everything on humans and I think
the solution to that will be what I call
the digital twin and this this term is
around for for several years. So the
idea is that if we have lots of lots of
biological data and when I say lots it's
it's a lot pupy bytes of of data. If if
AI comes to a point where we're going to
need much more compute than we have
today today is to able to compute all
that and really kind of simulate a whole
biological organism, a whole human
being, but not just your um phenotype
but but also your metabolism, your
immune system, your gut microbiome, uh
your genetics and and all kinds of data
sets are put together. And so it it it
knows your biology in a temporal way in
in in a in a totally functional way.
Then you can ask the question okay so if
I give this drug to this person what
kind of effect it will have if they have
this disruption is it going to have a
side effect or is it going to be
effective. So literally we can cut down
clinical trial time from years to to a
matter of months or or even weeks. So
you can actually do the trials in a very
small subset of patients because you can
choose the patients. You can say okay AI
told me that these these these people
this drug is going to be effective 100%
to them. And so so you just test it on
those people and in fact that will go
into the personalization. There's going
to be thousands of drugs for for
different people. So that that will
cause tremendous acceleration. We're not
there yet, but I'm I'm betting on that
that within the five five to 10 years we
will get there. So, uh the iteration
process the on humans is going to be all
digital as well and then maybe the the
manufacturing will be a little bit um uh
still will take time but but we can even
improve that part too. So uh we at some
point we will come uh to a point where
treatment on demand. So you go to an AI
model analyzes your genome, your biology
uh orders the this small molecule or the
drug or treatment just for you to the
manufacturing facility and next week you
get your drug and and you get treated.
That's the world I'm imagining. So I
want to get back to this concept of
digital twin um again when we talk about
personalized medicine but if I
understand correctly so you know if we
are if we have this digital twin which
is all the genetic data metabolomic
proteomic biomarker just everything
right all this data um and more that
we're not talking about um
and and now we have AI which can then
you know do all these scenarios and
figure out like how this drug is going
to affect or how this treatment is going
to affect this And you're saying that
the clinical trial that may have taken,
you know, a few years can be condensed
down and perhaps we can look at after
doing the incilico experiments, you can
look at some biomarkers and know like is
this going to affect their fertility
like you don't want to give some some
someone a treatment that's going to make
them infertile or you know so you think
that's going to be uh AI is going to be
able to identify how to know if it's
going to affect like fertility or
cognition or life expectancy or you know
just just from
>> the whole composition of the person and
doing I don't know all these tests.
>> Yeah.
So uh I mean the path there uh requires
uh several steps of validation uh and
that I think we will get to a point
where when we have super intelligence
that we'll be able to trust super
intelligence
you know almost 100% that we don't need
to validate it even with biomarkers or
or whatnot but to get to that point it's
sort of like the self-driving cars right
so um to get to a self-driving being
leveled. I mean, it has to be 99.999%
safety. Um, you you have to sort of
validate it. Um, uh, you know what
happens if somebody's crossing the
street, right? So, so that scenario has
to happen and then you you record it and
sometimes uh you won't do the right
thing. Maybe, you know, it won't stop.
That's why we still have to like look at
this, you know, be ready to to take
control. But if it does stop and it
stops uh and and saves lives again and
again and again and right now you know
self-driving cars are probably about 10
times safer. They will be maybe hundred
times safer. So you get to a point that
you trust the AI rather than the the
driver, right? So you say okay so I I
trust I want the AI to decide for me uh
to to drive. So I think we'll get to
that point for biology. it will take a
little bit longer uh because of the
extreme complexity. Um and then we'll
have to have uh very um clever
benchmarking and validation
uh ways there. the biomarker is going to
be really important because again, you
know, if you're developing an aging drug
uh that you claim will let people to
live to 150, well, you can't wait uh you
know, even even if somebody 100 years
old takes it, you still have to wait 150
years,
50 more years to to validate that. So
that that's not going to work out. So we
have to be able to predict that. But but
actually probably aging is is the
easiest in some ways uh to predict
because uh we have so many biomarkers or
functional outputs we can measure. We
know how they are in an old person and
in a young person. So if your vi
suddenly gets uh you know like a
20-year-old wow that's amazing. If your
muscles are as good as a 30 year old, uh
if your skin looks uh like a 20- year
old, that's what my mom is waiting for.
Uh you know, that that's that's proof.
And you'll you'll immediately see that.
I mean, immediately weeks or or or or or
whatnot. So, I think um
again, it will take time. That's the
part that's going to take time, the sort
of trusting AI to um to tell you yes, if
you take this drug, you will you will be
treated or you will reverse aging. Um uh
we we we still have about a decade.
That's why I'm saying like you know
other otherwise it would it would take
it would happen even earlier. You
mentioned super intelligence, artificial
super intelligence, ASI. Maybe you could
talk a little bit about just for people
to have an understanding right now the
difference between artificial
intelligence, artificial generalized
intelligence, AGI, then the super
intelligence because you said
>> once we get to the super intelligence,
we're going to trust it, right? So I I
mean I don't know do we know what those
differences are or can you explain a
little bit?
>> Yeah, of course. you know this changes
on a daily basis what the definition are
depending on who's uh whose definition
uh but the you know I've been thinking
about AGI ASI for decades I mean it's
not something that I started to think
about it recently um and so the way u I
originally uh defined AGI it's it's
artificial general intelligence so what
that means is that first of all it's
artificial right so it's not human
intelligence artificial intelligence and
then it's general. What that means is
that um if AI learns uh one set of uh
rules or one set of knowledge that it
can generalize that to something else
and that's how our brains are
intelligent um because uh you you can be
an amazing chess player. In fact, you
know AI beat the chess champion Kasper
in 1997 I think like decades ago but
that was not general intelligence. It
was super uh good or Alpha Go beat you
know the the the world champion in Go
which is much more difficult uh uh game
uh to be general uh Alph Go you know
learning how to play Go or chess should
be able to I don't know solve a problem
in aging right so it should be able to
transfer that information I think the uh
the amazing thing about LLMs what we
call large language models is that they
acquire this ability uh which honestly I
didn't think uh this would happen so so
easily. I was expecting AGI to to happen
uh maybe a decade ago. So in my opinion
we have already achieved uh what I call
level one AGI artificial unit because if
I ask GPT5 uh pro model you know
something that hasn't it hasn't trained
on like an experiment that I have done
or if I say okay think of the experiment
as a video game design another
experiment for me like like you are
playing a video game so that's
transferring completely different area
to a biological system and is able to do
that in an amazing way. But we have we
we still need to go through several
levels. I I think the next level is
going to be memory. So they don't have
persistent memory right now. They have
some memory. They know about you. Uh
they know about what they've learned in
the internet, but they need to be able
to uh manage the context, you know,
because there's a continuum. Life is a
continuum. Um and then the the other one
is going to be the self-learning right
so maybe that's level three I it doesn't
matter uh and that's coming soon you
know AI companies are saying like we
think that the real time learning uh is
is is coming maybe by by next year um
and then uh the third level uh uh what I
call the physical intelligence so people
again confuse this greatly because the
true human level intelligence is
physical intelligence it's not cognitive
intelligence. So for uh millions of
years, we evolved to survive in a
physical world. We we didn't have
language up to I don't know 10,000 years
ago like we didn't know how to write. Um
this cognitive part uh has developed in
the last you know maybe 10 20,000 years.
Uh before that in fact animals have very
good physical intelligence. We're we're
imprinted and born with that
intelligence. So uh an admiral or a
child knows already have a world model.
They know that you know if I drop this
it's going to fall and and doesn't have
to test it a million times. And that's
of course what we need for robots for
embodiment. And and you can see that you
know that's taken a long time. You know
it's more difficult to train a robot to
behave like a child than have GPT5 solve
the most difficult math problem. So and
we'll get there. I think people are
working on these moral models and
physical intelligence whether we need
another algorithm or not. So that will
be the the final level of the AGI level.
Um once we have all those levels then
and once the uh AI is able to self-learn
um then that's the super intelligence
because at that point it can train
itself you know maybe thousands maybe
millions fold faster than we are able to
do. Um and and there is a there's a
limit to human intelligence right so
even the smartest person in the world
can only do so much uh and super
intelligence what I would define is that
you will have the intelligence of
combined totality of humanity at some
point like if you if I bring uh a
million top scientists in the world of
course they can solve you know like a
Manhattan project they brought all these
brilliant minds it wasn't one person's
uh they were able to solve very hard
problems. Super intelligence will get to
that level. We'll be able to do what
thousands of scientists can do uh in a
year will be able to do uh in a day. So
um I I would probably trust that.
>> Wow, [laughter]
that's pretty exciting. I mean and it it
also kind of brings in this this concept
of when you talk to people about AI and
not everyone has the understanding of it
as you um for sure you you hear that
there's there's a pessimistic versus
optimistic view right and oftentimes if
I talk to people I hear a lot of
pessimism I hear perhaps they don't
understand their fear of the unknown of
what AI is capable of I mean you're just
the super intelligence that you're
talking about I feel if you explain that
to some people it would scare them even
more. You know, perhaps they are worried
about the cultural ramifications, ep e
economic ramifications, but also just
this Terminator situation where, okay,
well, they're super smart. They're going
to want to then take over the world and
they don't need us anymore, right?
>> But you have such an optimistic view. I
mean, we're talking about solving aging,
living to be 150 or more. Uh why do you
have such an optimistic view? Are you
worried at all about the other
pessimistic sort of viewpoints or
>> absolutely not and I I'll tell you why
I'm I'm so super optimistic about it. Um
when people make those statements like
uh AI is an existential threat for us
and you know it's going to destroy
humanity. Um I make the counterpoint
there's only one existential threat to
humanity and that's humanity. So if you
look at history um human beings killed
more humans than everything put together
caused more suffering than anything that
humans have have been exposed to. You
know even animals I don't think they
they maybe infectious diseases at some
point might have caused um a lot of
suffering but but but the real danger is
is the human intelligence.
So uh I do let's do a thought
experiment. Let's imagine that uh we
live in a parallel universe and in that
universe the world have decided that
anyone above the IQ of let's say 100 is
a danger to the society because if you
get very intelligent you can come up
with ideas that could be very dangerous
right and that's true actually that's
how it happened. Um, and then if you if
you have an IQ of 105, you get
imprisoned immediately. So you you are
not allowed to to participate in society
or you get killed or whatever that the
the society has decided intelligence is
dangerous so we're going to stop it. Uh
what kind of a world we would live in?
We would not have anything that we have
right now. we would live in probably
just as farmers you know basic physical
intelligence we have uh and and try to
survive you know uh in a world where the
average lifespan was 30 years old or
something like that. So that's that's
how we should view uh AI and and the
other point is that [clears throat]
about this uh sort of AI is going to
take over and is going to replace us. Um
uh I see it exactly the opposite because
AI is is is an incredible enabler. It
gives you superpowers. Even now I feel
like I have superpowers. Uh you know
I've never been this busy in my life.
You know I I actually sleep less which
is not a good thing by the way. I don't
recommend it but be because I can do so
much. It's so empowering. You know my
mom was was was 86 years old. you know,
she told me that uh chat GPT changed her
life. She she she's energized. She she
doesn't worry as much about her health
and um um it's it's just been an
incredible impact and this is going to
accelerate and at some point we will get
uh we will sort of merge with the with
the AI uh in a way that we will have
direct interaction with AI through
neurolink type of uh brain interfaces.
So we'll have the sort of the
intelligence of AI in our own brain not
not only directly but also indirectly by
sort of engineering our biological
system. So why why shouldn't everybody
have an intelligence of Einstein or even
higher right? So the difference between
an Einstein and a normal person with
with a normal IQ is probably few gene
single point mutations. So if we can
engineer that if AI can teach us how to
do that then we are we're also uh going
much much higher. So as long as we we
keep the agency, I think that's the only
thing that we have to really protect
that we are the decider or we see AI as
a collaborator as sort of another
species that will live together and we
empower each other. In a way it's our
child, right? So it's it's been created
by us. Um I I I see the chance of uh a a
a
worse world extraordinarily. Of course,
it's never zero, but you know, the
moment you're born, you're going to die,
right? So, so you're you're destined to
die. Um and now, uh AI is giving us this
opportunity to save literally save
billions of lives. I'm not talking about
saving lives as like extending their
life for 5 years or 10 years. You're
talking about thousands of years. So
that's true saving lives. That's the
potential. And the risk is again I think
the the key risk is is humans. Humans
misusing AI. That's what we have to uh
um sort of maybe train or align AI. You
know, don't uh don't look at the bad
humans. you know, you you you can you
can judge the the the the better uh the
the better world uh for us. So, um of
course I might be wrong, but I'm I'm
pretty sure I'm I'm going to be right.
>> I I I agree with uh the statement of we
have to watch out for the humans. Um for
sure, like cuz you're right, like they
can and have in the past been the
biggest threat to humanity. So, um, I
want to there there was a couple of
things that you mentioned when when you
were talking about, you know, ASI and
this ability to self-learn and you're
even talking about some of some of the
ways that you use, you know, GPT5 Pro
and and helping with designing
experiments and interpreting results and
and that was a question that I had as a
biologist. And as you mentioned, you
know, we do experiments. We're testing
hypotheses. And then we have all this
data and these results, and we have to
know what result is meaningful and what
anomaly is meaningful because often
times the anomaly,
>> right,
>> which you might ignore.
>> Exactly.
>> Is what you absolutely is the
breakthrough, right?
>> And that is a sort of intuition. This
this biological intuition. And so you do
you think first of all do you think
we're that that you know the models we
have now can already are capable of that
sort of biological intuition and if not
like how far off is that?
>> Yeah. Yeah. That's that's a great
question. Uh in fact um uh you know I I
see that intuition maybe sort of the the
last mile or the top 10% uh or 10% of
the of the solution because 90%
um AI models they are able to come up
with because it's it's knowledge based
also in humans is is you know for for a
medical doctor for a scientist for
whoever 90% or 95% is based on uh what's
known how you process that knowledge,
but there's that extra 5 10% totally
dependent on your intuition. Uh like you
you if you're a doctor, you see a
patient coming through the door, you
know that guy is having a heart attack.
You haven't checked anything yet.
Somehow you know, you don't know how you
know. the same thing in the lab like um
uh in fact I would I would bet with my
uh students and and postto I would say
okay I bet you if you do this experiment
you're going to get this result um and
I've never lost a bet and they stop
betting against me even though it might
look counterintuitive
oh no that's never going to work somehow
I know how do I know because you know
I've been working in the lab for 30 plus
years and and you you acquire ire
certain things that are not in the
literature or you know you can't really
read a textbook and learn it. You only
do it by by practicing it. Um so the the
models up to I would say 5.5 until
recently were were great at that 90%
level. Uh so especially after GPT5 pro
came out. So you know I would ask it to
for example I I would give it an
experiment that we have already done.
It's a very complex experiment took two
weeks. I already know the result because
we're done the experiment. But I wanted
to see how the model would predict the
outcome of the experiment. And they
would do you know not just GPT5 but
several other models as well. Um they
they would come up with 90% 80 to 90%
correctly. I mean that's that's pretty
good. Uh they would say okay this is
what's going to happen after two days
after one week after two weeks. But that
extra level of intuition that I I have I
would have predicted was still somewhat
lacking. I think GPT 5.5 crossed that
threshold. So I I repeated that with
with the uh 5.5 pro model uh because I I
always say pro uh it's very different
than the thinking of course very very
different than the instant model because
pro uh is reasoning much much longer.
It's thinking. So in some cases I I
pushed it to think for two hours. So two
hours in AI thinking is like years of
thinking for for a human being. So that
model really crossed that threshold in
that example I gave you. It was almost
100%. I mean I would say 98% correct.
What I would have predicted like I would
not have bet against 5.5 Pro myself. Um
uh so that to me is is actually really
mind-boggling because uh I couldn't
understand these models are being
trained with all of the information we
can't compete with that right so it's
they they can put these patterns
together but how is it that the model
has now almost the experience that I
have that I spent 30 years acquiring
that experience that intuition that is
now getting to that level that is uh
that is a mysterious but uh I I I live
to it. Now
>> what sort of you said you you pushed GPT
5.5 Pro to think for 2 hours.
>> I mean what sort of prompt are we
talking about or is it
>> just the data set too and the prompt? I
mean
>> so those are usually data sets. Uh um I
might have broken a record because I
even asked the the friends at OpenAI. I
don't think they they pushed it that
that far. Uh so this was actually the
the 2R one was u uh huge data sets
millions of data points um uh and um um
and then I I also said okay don't just
analyze it write a huge report you know
30 40 page whatever length and then you
know come up with a lot of insights
about this data what questions to ask
and what do we learn the mechanism it
was a an iminological ical data set um
sequence and genes and proteins and all
that and so so that one I think 112
minutes I remember that uh uh and it
came up with this 40page report uh which
I I I was just unbelievable
uh you know the the analysis part the
previous models were able to do as well
you know you know they say okay well
there are these type of genes and this
type of protein so it means this and
that you it deres from that information,
but to come up with an insight
what that could mean or what would be
the next question to ask. Uh that that's
that's a very very high level of
reasoning. Um and so uh yeah um it was
it was worthwhile two hours for sure. I
mean that's very exciting to hear you
say that because that was kind of my I
wanted to know I wanted to know is that
something that is already possible and
it seems like it is and so it also leads
to the next question which is you know
all all these scientists now really need
to start understanding how to use AI in
the right way right I mean this is like
to help them
>> I mean this that's going to happen right
that's basically you know we all we all
use Google now remember when Google was
like new So, I mean, it's eventually
going to happen, but um it's very
exciting to think about how AI is going
to change research and and medicine, and
that's something, you know, you you
mentioned and I talked I said I wanted
to get back to this digital twin idea
because I've heard you talk about it and
it's very exciting to me. You know,
we've heard for decades now that
personalized medicine is coming. We're
going to have personalized medicine and
and yet still we just don't have it.
It's just not there. Um, and I've heard
you I've even heard you say something
sort of interesting which perhaps I'm
not saying the direct quote, but that it
kind of should be medical malpractice in
a way for a physician today right now to
not be using AI. So, can you talk a
little bit about why you said that? What
it means to for a physician to use AI
responsibly? um also how patients can
self- advocate for themselves because
that's also another area.
>> Yeah. Uh in fact I I said after 01 model
came out uh that I think that was sort
of the first reasoning model um and I
and I was testing a lot of I mean I I
have a medical degree but I I don't see
patients but you know I I have a lot of
friends and I have some knowledge of how
medicine works. So been testing lots of
medical questions and some of them are
hard some of them are you know sort of
real time data um and uh you know before
01 uh it was great in sort of reaching
to the literature you know like the
physician might lack certain certain
knowledge so it knows what was published
uh recently and things like that but it
it was not at the reasoning level so one
model was able to reason And the
reasoning is extremely important
medicine because you know even if you
have all the all the information you
still have to sort of consider that
person's context and uh you know uh what
what would be more likely to to treat
that person and we don't always know the
answer uh as well or how to how to
diagnose it. Um, and so I think 01 was
able to get to that point and at that
point I said right now it's unethical
for physicians not to use AI anymore.
Um, I didn't say malpractice yet, but it
truly unethical in the sense that, you
know, you can use it uh you can still do
your judgment obviously, but it will it
will prevent you missing some sort of uh
an obvious mistake or you know,
sometimes nonobvious uh mistakes or
diagnose things that require multiple uh
clinical specialtities coming together
and and you don't have that capability.
You live in a village or something. uh
but now I think I feel that it is truly
uh uh going to be considered malpractice
in my opinion. Um it's not legally so
but uh eventually it will be um because
uh a the current models the advanced
models are able to uh diagnose and and
write a treatment protocol better than
uh or as good as uh a specialist in that
field. It's not just a you know family
physician. Let's say you you know you
have a very complex uh cancer uh you
know you you know the mutations and and
what's not and you go to a specialist
like an oncologist who is very very
specialized on that. Um I believe that
the mo the current models are at that
level. So um and of course not every
specialist is is is the top specialist
right? So, so you you if if that was the
case, we wouldn't have millions of
misdiagnosis and mistreatments in the US
alone every year. I think they've said
something like 12 million misdiagnosis.
Um
I think 700,000 people suffer from it,
die from it, from from uh uh from
misdiagnos. Some of them is is totally
innocent. You know, any any doctor could
have missed it. Um but but now AI
wouldn't miss that.
So uh
even even a specialist might make a
mistake or misdiagnose or or or mistreat
because they lack certain things that
that the model doesn't have. So I mean
imagine that you know um uh you refuse
to use u MRI machine or CT machine
because you say well you know that's too
much technology. I'm just going to uh
you know just do an X-ray because that's
enough for me. And you miss a a tumor.
Uh the AI models are able to detect
certain tumors like breast cancer years
before a radiologist is able to to to
see that. So if you miss that, I mean
that person's going to die if you don't
if you don't. So that to me that that
becomes uh a malpractice because the
technology is at that level now. It
wasn't it wouldn't be malpractice you
know missing a a breast cancer u you
know 5 years ago because nobody could we
didn't have that technology but now we
have that technology so you should you
should definitely use it um um and and
this is going to save a lot of lives. I
mean uh if you could just reduce the
misdiagnosis and and and again bring
every every doctor to super doctor level
I think that would be a really good
thing. So what you're saying is based on
you know what current data that doctors
have available to them whether it's an
MRI whether it's an ultrasound whether
it's blood biomarkers
this sort of data is what is given to
>> yes
>> you know a model like GP GPT 5.5 pro for
example
>> and with that data they're able to
better diagnose
better to predict um to see things like
you mentioned cancer
>> um is that better than a radiologist can
is that some is that like based on you
know what kind of uh data is
>> implemented these these are studies I
think uh Google uh did a recent study uh
in fact uh a science paper came out
recently which was done with 01 preview
model which is a very old model I mean
the current models are probably 10 times
or maybe more
>> was that like the first pro almost like
the first the first first sort of the
reasoning model that that I early tested
in 2024 September it came out and um and
they found that 01 model uh did did
better than average doctor in diagnosing
like significantly better they did
didn't miss um and so imagine the the
current models how how good they are uh
but but I I think um it's not just sort
of diagnosing a a disease because that's
That's actually a small part of the job
of a of a of a doctor. It's really
there's a continuum. Most diseases um
you know, okay, if you if you have a flu
or some bacterial infection, you know
what to do. You give it and then you see
an output. But a lot of disease even in
that condition that may not that may not
be true because you know you might have
a mutant virus or bacteria. So you might
have to change the treatment or might
have a little bit side effect. So
there's a lot of continuum there. So I
think AI can be involved in all of that
process. So if you can continuously feed
the data okay well the patients uh we
gave this treatment it's doing well uh
the blood pressure is down but you know
has this symptom that so what should we
do change the dose of the drug or add
this or remove that drug and give
another antibiotic? like there's a
constant um uh uh process there and that
that that's not always that constant
because you know people people don't go
to doctor every day right so you get a
prescription you you see something works
and then you go back and so what if
there's something that's continuously
monitoring you uh post treatment for
cancer it's very important because
cancer is a very dynamic uh disease
there's the cancer which is constantly
trying to survive and mutate and
counteract against the immune system. So
you give it so you know you give a drug
chemotherapy works and then the cancer
comes back again right so why is that
because mutations are accumulating so
can we catch that earlier can we change
those decisions can we um make sure that
we give more uh multiple drugs or
different drugs so before the cancer
have the opportunity to come back we
prevent that uh possibility. So all of
these um decisions uh can be made
together with uh with AI and I I I I
think it's going to have tremendous
tremendous impact on healthcare.
>> I do want to get back to the the cancer
equation in a minute but before that I
just think that you know physicians not
all physicians know how to use AI. They
don't know which models to use. Do they
use GPT 5.5 Pro or Claude or you know um
how do they sort of responsibly use it
which you kind of talked about a little
bit but without you know outsourcing
their clinical judgment. Do you have any
opinions on like the different models to
use? And I do know you have a
collaboration with OpenAI. You've been
one of the first scientists really
testing these models in a biological
sort of arena. But I do kind of I do
think that people and physicians that
are listening want to know what how what
what models do they use? We definitely
are talking about if we're talking about
open AI, it's not it's it's got to be
the pro, right? It's got to be the
reasoning model, but I mean what about
Claude? What about Gemini?
>> Yeah. So, um I think people have this
sort of a misunderstanding of they think
of AI as okay, we have AI, we have
internet, so let's just use the
internet. we have AI, let's use the
but this is advancing so rapidly. Uh the
AI model that we used one month ago is
not the same AI model we use now. So
it's just doubling in intelligence every
few months. Um you know I gave the
example of one preview. Uh some people
uh got stuck at the GPT4 40 model. Oh
yeah, I used it and it hallucinated a
lot. Even, you know, 01 uh wasn't so
good. You know, it was making mistakes.
That's like an ancient history.
>> That's why I haven't even asked about
hallucinations.
>> Yeah. So I it's um I mean the advantage
I have is that you know because I'm all
in on AI I'm continuously
testing and and so I I I can see the
evolution of of these models and they
get you know 90% better 95% better 97%
better like it just continuously updates
itself and then eventually right now
with 5.5 model I I don't see any
hallucinations whatsoever. I mean there
might be.1%.
Uh but but it's it's extremely rare. Um
and so so your trust level goes up.
Again it's similar to like self-driving
cars, right? So we we had self-driving
cars for for almost a decade maybe and
they they just keep on getting better
and better because their AI models are
are getting updated. So my my advice
would be doctors should see this not
something optional like they have to uh
update their knowledge medical knowledge
periodically. In fact they have to have
test to do that to be certified or they
have to update on new drugs that are
coming out. Right? So you you can't just
rely on some drug that came out 5 years
ago, 10 years ago. you need to know what
what was approved last month and you
need to update your uh your knowledge uh
in a similar way even more so they have
to constantly update their AI knowledge.
So AI has to be part of their uh their
their practice. And of course my
recommendation is always use the latest
top model you can use. Uh right now it's
GPT 5.5. Uh in fact uh I would always
use for complex problems the pro model
because that thinks uh in in minutes.
But at least if you're using it on a
daily basis uh in a rapid fashion always
use the thinking model. The thinking
model is different than the instant
model. Instant model is also getting
better, but it it needs to reason. It
needs to think. Um, and especially if
you're putting in lots of patient data
and analyzing that, you you definitely
need the pro model. And then there are
there are these uh companies like open
evidence and you know uh I think most
doctors are starting to use that. Open
evidence basically I think applies the
latest model somehow. It up updated so
so the doctors don't have to worry about
it. And I I think there's going to be
more companies like that who will
provide that service. So the doctor
doesn't have to worry should I use 5.5
or putus 447 the the whatever the sort
of the uh the harness model is going to
pick the the best one for for medicine
and and and apply it there. uh and of
course hospitals should uh should
implement AI uh just like you know big
tech companies are you know there's
enterprise level of AI that can be more
secure you know protect the patient data
so it should be like you know in front
of the patient in hospital you see these
monitors like the heartbeat and all that
stuff should be an AI monitor like
constantly monitoring the data and then
giving information to the nurses to the
doctors
Okay, this is this last situation. Um,
and now with AI agents, you can do that.
Like I do it for my my daily life like
for my email auto automatically my
agents go and check my email and they
tell me what's important so I don't have
to go through hundreds of emails. So,
oh, you know, this this is waiting for
you. You have a a podcast with with
Rhonda today, so you better be prepared
for that. Um so uh yeah it it needs to
be fully integrated uh almost like a a a
a co- physician like you have the AI
doctors working together with real
doctors
>> right have you I've noticed like some of
the the companies that I've corresponded
with or interacted with um it seems like
they use claude a lot I mean I don't
know if you've experimented with that
but I'm kind of curious why um why
that why that you know certain model um
versus like but yeah in all fairness
I've never used it. I use, you know, GP,
I've been using GPT and the Pro and so
every, like you said, you know, every
time the hallucinations are like ancient
history for me. Like I remember that was
a big thing. Yeah.
>> But it's going so fast and better now.
But like what what what what's the
difference between, you know, for
example, Claude and GPT 5.5 Pro? For
certain things there is no more
difference because the intelligence has
has peaked uh for for uh you know for
for uh doing regular diagnosis not very
very complex uh cases cloud is is is
great. Cloud is also very very good uh
like the Opus 4.7 model uh the recent
model for analyzing data sets. So it's
you know it can take also millions of
data uh analyze it and and and and do a
a great job. Um uh my preference is uh
you know GPT5 right now is 5.5 pro
because um it what I mentioned it has
this extra insight I mean the for me um
I need that extra level of insight um
that's predictive um uh and
>> the intuition that
>> the intuition and really kind of a deep
understanding uh but if I'm if I'm going
to diagnose and treat a subt type of a
lung on cancer. I am pretty sure, you
know, Gemini 3.1 Pro or Cloud 4.7, they
all do a pretty good job. Uh I I think
the re some reason people prefer cloud
is that it's maybe it's more pleasant to
interact with. Uh you know, kind of more
humanlike. I think uh GPT models are
starting to get there, but still there's
something about cloud that people enjoy,
you know, interacting with it. It's it's
really a matter of
>> personable or I I think it's it used to
be more more personable. Um and so it
doesn't really matter. I mean, I think
they're they're they're really they're
all super top levels unless you're doing
like a research or a very uh very
complex problem. uh you know for example
we did a test with uh with a colleague
of mine on on skin disease with GPT5 pro
model you know it was able to uh
diagnose a skin disease that uh my
friends couldn't really diagnose um uh
just based on a a photo and and a
symptom. The other models couldn't do
that. they could do 90% of the the cases
as well, but there's that one extra case
or two extra case that is really
difficult that's could go anywhere. The
pro the GPT pro model was able to cross
that that threshold. So those kind of
cases you really need the very high
level like you know uh you don't you
don't go to a a a professor at Harvard
for for any any reason right so it has
to be very specialized
disease that other doctors couldn't
diagnose or something like that so
that's how that's how I view it
>> we just there was just news yesterday um
from open AAI of uh GPT Rosalyn which I
know you can't talk about much
from what was publicly available, it
seems as though it's going to be used in
drug discovery. Um, I I'm wondering what
you think in terms of like the future of
aging research, biology, medicine. Are
we going to be using these more
specialized types of AI models or do you
think more of a generalist like GPD 5.5
Pro and and the, you know, the
subsequent ones that come out after it
are going to be the key to unlocking,
you know, medicine breakthroughs and
biology breakthroughs?
Um my preference would always be the
generalized models because again you
know going back to AGI AGI uh so if if a
model is has um you know of course there
there are some utilities of models that
are only trained on I don't know like
the EKGs or um RNA sequencing or
something like that and they they'll be
very very good at that like the the the
best chess player AI model or um the
best go player AI models but they will
miss that uh connection because again I
view medicine as a kind of a holistic um
art in a way. Uh if you are just trying
to analyze one set of data the the
specialized models could be could be
very very useful. In fact, you know, I
gave the example of EKGs. Um,
[clears throat] most generalized models
were not terribly great at um, for some
reason, you know, the the EKG images
were were not they were not very good at
diagnosing what what what it was
showing. Um, [clears throat] and and you
know, specialized models were very good
because they were trained with, you
know, millions more EKG data sets than
the generalized model was. Um but but I
think you know if if we can train the
generalized model or fine-tune it or
overtrain it I I don't know how to say
it. Um
then they will be better than
specialized models all the time. Um
because not only they have they know all
about EKGs but they know about
radiology, they know about RNA, they
know about pro proteins. So they can
take that information and and excuse me
[clears throat] analyze the EKG the the
electroc cardiogram your your your heart
beats in the context of all the other
biology. So that will that's very
enriching uh knowledge. Um but
[clears throat]
um I think you know specialize in the
sense that you can take these big models
and you can sort of I don't know harness
them or fine-tune them because there's a
lot of data sets that's not public. So
these these models they don't have
access to that. You might have some um
data you know locked in certain because
of regulatory reasons whatever. So you
can take take a big model. In fact, you
don't you may not even need the the
closed models. You can even take some of
the open- source models which are which
are now getting very good. If you uh you
can train them on that uh and they also
have the generalized knowledge and
combined with that they they'll probably
do better.
>> So I wanna I want to talk about
there's treating disease, there's curing
disease, and then there's reversing
aging. So let's let's start with
curing disease, treating diseases,
curing diseases because you know
obviously we do die of age related
diseases, cardiovascular disease being
the number one killer in in most
developed countries. We have cancer.
That's a really big one. And and with
cancer, it's just such an awful disease
to have. And anyone that's listening
that has either had cancer or knows
someone that has had it, you know, knows
this is this is true. But also, I think,
you know, cancer, a lot of people think
about it as one disease. Non-scientists,
non, you know, physicians, they kind of
think about cancer as this this one
disease, right? As you and I both know,
it is definitely not one disease. It's
hundreds of diseases. Um, I'm curious on
first of all, you know, we still don't
have a cure for cancer. I mean, we've
we've made a lot of progress, right? And
different cancers and can be treated
better than others, but can you talk a
little bit about why it's been so hard
to find a treatment for cancer?
>> Yeah, I think uh the the important thing
to clarify is that cancer is not one
disease. It's probably 100 disease h 100
different diseases that have probably
hundreds of sub sub diseases or sub
subtypes if you like. Um in fact certain
cancers are 100% curable or 95% curable.
Uh you know like child some of the
childhood leukemias which were
completely fatal you know couple of
decades ago are now you know 90% or or
close to 100% curable. if you catch uh
certain cancers early enough again 100%
uh cure rates almost uh so so
[clears throat] because it's it's a very
different set of uh uh diseases um the
the cancer of pancreas is very different
than cancer of uh lung cancer or breast
cancer or there are some cancers that
are so slow like if you get um certain
types of cancers
If you're age 80, doctors don't even
bother to treat it because by the time
that will unless we cure aging first uh
because by the time you die of aging,
you know that that cancer is not going
to kill you. Aging is going to kill you
first or you know there's certain
prostate cancers at certain age. So that
that's why we have to really understand
that this is a very complex biology. But
more importantly, why cancer is such a
challenge is that the the cancer cells
are part of us, right? So, uh if you're
infected with a bacteria or a virus, you
know, it can kill you, right? They're
extremely dangerous, but we are able to
recognize them as an enemy, as a threat,
your immune system, and we can fight
back, you know, uh not always
successfully, but most of the time very
successfully.
And we can also target them very
specifically like we have an antibiotic
that will only act on the bacteria. It's
not going to touch your normal cells
because it's only uh a foreign or
organism. But cancer is not like that.
So if I try to stop cancer with
something I'm [clears throat] also
trying I'm also stopping some other
cells that are normal, right? That's why
people lose their hair, their immune
system is greatly weakened because the
immune system has to divide. your um
hair has to hair cells have to divide.
So you you block them because they the
cancer cell is also dividing and and you
your side effects of chemotherapy
sometimes worse than having the cancer
like hundreds of thousands of people die
because of that. So the revolution in
cancer was uh recently because of what
we call imunotherapy.
The question was why uh can we make the
immune system to recognize cancer as
foreign threats like they're kind of
like terrorists, right? So a terrorist
you will not know if that's an enemy or
not. They look like you, you know, they
just come in and then they they create
uh so the immune system is seeing it
that way that it thinks that the breast
cancer cell is not so different than a
normal breast breast cell, you know,
like epithelial cell, whatever. And so
it doesn't know what to do. If
[clears throat] we could teach the
immune system or if we could remove some
of the breaks that it has regulation and
let it recognize and attack the cancer
cells, then that could have a a
tremendous effect. That was the hypothes
and it it actually worked. So cancer
imunotherapy I think uh is is more
powerful now than than chemotherapy and
radiotherapy put together. I mean they
still have a have a role. Um and of
course the other thing is that how can
we make the treatments very specific
right so if I give a chemotherapy that's
not specific it's like trying to hit the
patient on the head and hope that the
cancer will die before the patient dies
but if I know this single mutation
that's happening on you know whatever
EGF receptor uh in certain cancers I can
develop a small molecule which will only
act if there's that mutation on the EGF
receptor or EG whatever and so it's not
going to touch anywhere else it's only
going to target the the and in fact
people call them smart drugs and they're
they're extremely effective right so uh
if you have that particular mutation
your 1% of the lung cancer patients you
get treated with that drug you get
almost 100% cure rate um but again you
know uh we can make this even much
better so for example immune system can
be engineered something that we work on
in the lab uh to recognize like
literally engineer we take the cells out
we train them we put genes into them say
okay so if this gene binds to a cell
assume that that's a threat and kill
that that and so it's called carti
therapy and they will go and seek out
whatever uh the cancer cells that have
that marker and kill them the advantage
of that is that cancer doesn't have much
weight to escape escape that. It can try
to suppress the immune system, but other
than that, even if it mutates, you know,
the the immune system will still
recognize it and find that few cells
that are hiding somewhere and and
destroy it and and that's showing
incredible results. So, the mRNA
vaccines, which I think is going to be
revolutionary, is is on that basis,
right? So, and that really personalized
the cancer. So I have a breast cancer
but my breast cancer has certain type of
mutations that other patients don't
have. So even if the immune system can
recognize X patient, it won't recognize
mine because the cancer has different
mutations. If I take those mutations and
synthesize what's called RNA and then
give it back as a vaccine and train my
immune system and tell the immune
system, look, if you see these mutations
in these genes, that's an enemy. Go
destroy that. That's mRNA vaccine. And
that becomes extraordinarily powerful
because now you are directing your
immune system to to an internal threat
just in you. and let's say the the the
cancer required different mutations, you
can create another mRNA vaccine and then
train the immune system to that as well.
Um so [clears throat] uh you know I
think that's those those are the the the
the difficult parts but but we see the
light at the end of the tunnel.
Can cancer cancer is going to be 100%
curable uh
probably less than a decade.
>> How is AI going to make that happen?
Yeah. So, in fact, it's already making
that happen. You probably heard of this
story from Australia. This computer
scientist um had chat GPT and and some
other AI models to develop an mRNA
vaccine for his dog. His dog had I think
a melanoma [clears throat] and he um he
got it sequenced. He took the sequence
and gave it gave it to to an AI model
and the AI model designed the precise
mRNA molecule that needs that the dog
needs dog's immune system needs to be
trained got it synthesized and I think
it was able to apply it in 3 months. Um
probably could have been shorter if
there wasn't regulations and and the
tumor started to to regress and the dog
is was was alive when it was supposed to
to die. So I mean that that that's a
very uh obvious and simple version but
[clears throat] because
there are hundreds of difference of
cancer types you can imagine that we'll
have maybe hundred different treatments
for just a type of a lung cancer someone
will be mRNA someone will be small
molecule targeting that so to be able to
develop those ondemand and or very very
rapidly, we're going to need AI. So the
AI is going to model every possible
mutation and we'll screen millions and
millions of compounds. And so we'll
we'll we'll get to a point where we'll
have hundreds of new drugs coming out
every month maybe, you know, uh uh and
we'll you know this this thousand drugs
is for breast cancer patients. But you
know if you have this and this this
mutations and if it's stage four then
you take this combination. And if it's
that yeah you you you take this protocol
um and um that that's that's how AI is
going to of course you know if you get
to digital twin that that will
accelerate
>> right and that's that's the next
question is you know so let's let's say
we have the true personalized medicine
and personalized cancer treatment but
you also need to know about side effects
like am I going to take this mRNA
vaccine and my immune system is going to
go crazy and start to inflame my heart
and give me myocarditis or right
How do you also see this the digital
twin which now has you know genomic
information all your proteins
metabolites and everything in real time
data then it can also simulate well
what's going to happen if we give this
specific mRNA vaccine cancer vaccine or
this small molecule to this person
>> absolutely I mean you know so so you
mentioned myocarditis which by the way
happened during covid pandmic IC and
that's why there was a lot of uh
antivaccine sentiment but people uh
didn't appreciate that you know co virus
itself caused myocarditis. Yes, the
vaccinated people young people at one in
5,000 to one in 10,000 rate got
myocarditis. It wasn't it was mostly
fatal. But the question should be asked
like why is it that one out of 10,000
got myocarditis and the other ones
didn't? Or in fact, we can reverse that
question. You know, we g we vaccinated
everybody, but if you were a young
person, your your um chance of dying
from COVID was let's say 1 in,000 or one
in 10,000. So n 999 people got didn't
have to be vaccinated. But to save that
one person, we have to give that
vaccine. Or I'll give another more uh
general uh you know, we give statins to
anyone who has high cholesterol. So I I
think like one out of five or one out of
10 people truly benefit from that. Uh
high cholesterol doesn't automatically
doesn't mean you're going to get
atheroscllerosis. You need to have
inflammation this and that. But because
we don't have the data, we cannot
predict that. It's not personalized.
Millions of people take statins and to
save few thousand people. Yes, that's
that's a good thing because you don't
know. Um so AI will be able to do that.
So we'll we'll tell you okay not only um
we'll create the drug just for you but
also we'll say okay you don't have to
take this this medicine like you you
should take this or maybe you don't even
need any any treatment at all like you
have an infectious disease or whatever
or maybe certain cancers this will be
enough like we give extra chemotherapy
plus imunotherapy plus radiotherapy
why are we doing that because we're not
sure if one is going to be enough or
not? Um and and so uh that will
dramatically reduce the the the side
effect issue. You might still have some
side effect of course, but it's manage
it will be manageable side effect. It's
not going to kill you, for example.
What about using AI to predict
cancer a decade or years before it forms
based on your proteins and metabolites
and your biomarkers and maybe perhaps
your genetics too, right? Like how do
you see that? We're talking about
personalized cancer treatment, but what
about being able to prevent cancer
before it happens, you know, years
before it happens? Yeah,
>> again great question because I think
this is um this is so important that
people don't think about very much. um
we say health care you know we don't
have health care we have sick care right
so we we never take care of healthy
people like you don't go to a doctor to
say oh how healthy I am or just just go
to a doctor and say can you check my
immune system you know is it is it
healthy am I going to am I going to get
sick am I going to have cancer they
won't be able to answer that question
only if you get sick they will treat
what the problem is um and so the
preventative medicine is going to be so
absolutely critical. I think not all but
most diseases can be prevented. Some are
just bad luck. You know, it happens no
matter what you do. If even if you live
the perfect life, you might still get
certain disease but but a lot of them
were because of your genes and so on. A
lot of them can be prevented and I think
AI is going to be amazing in that
because it's already able to do it. uh
that there was a study from um a UK bio
bank um UK has this amazing bio bank
with 500,000 people uh lots of data sets
incredible data sets and so and this was
actually done I think more than a year
ago with models that were a year or two
years old they took a lot of that data
and they were able to predict about
thousand diseases
before they happened of course this was
kind of retroactive. So they knew what
what people were going to get based on
their data that was collected years
before. But the AI was telling you,
okay, this patient's going to have this
disease that, but not patient, normal
healthy people, they're going to get
this and that. So that to me that was
that was amazing and that's going to get
better and better because there are
there are there are always signs
like cancer doesn't just develop in
days. It takes years. uh if we probably
most of us might have some cancer cells
you know most of it controlled by immune
system and so on and it you know slowly
grows it has to have another mutation
another mutation but but there's
probably some signs of that somewhere
you know whether it's in your metabolism
or this you know and a AI even if it's
100% will be able to say okay look um I
think that you know if this is if this
is the lifestyle that you continue your
chances of getting this disease is now
is 85% or whatever. Like I wear a
glucose monitor. Um I'm not diabetic,
you know, uh but I I want to see every
minute or every five minutes what my
sugar levels are in a continuum or if I
eat something, you know, is it spiking?
Is it coming down? Because I want to
prevent insulin resistance. one of the
the worst things that can happen to you.
If I uh if I don't uh do that, I won't
know until I get diabetes.
My my insulin if if if if my sugar is
constantly spiking and then you know
insulin is just working too hard and
hard that that could continue for years.
By the way, um that at some point it's
going to break, right? Um for some
people it might continue 50 years,
nothing happens. Some it might be five
years, but that data set probably has
that predictive value that plus my my
age, my genes, but whatever. So, uh
yeah, that I think um everyone's going
to have their own um AI, I don't know
how what to call it, uh health coach or
something. Uh but but it will it will
continuously analyze the data. Um and
and hopefully we'll it will be much
easier to collect data because that
that's another issue you know we don't
collect data like we know nothing about
uh you know there there are more than
thousand metabolites in our bloodstream
so we look at maybe you know 10 of them
20 of them only if we get sick not even
for a checkup so we have to have a
continuous um like a glucose monitor I
want to see what my you know uh proteins
are changing hormones are changing you
know in
reasonably continuous manner.
>> Such a good point and I'm so glad you
brought up the UK bio bank study. I
remember I think the model was like
called Milton or something and it was
it's a Astroenica own like developed it
or something and and I remember looking
at this study because like you mentioned
the bioank data is huge data set and it
just spanning many decades and so I
think they looked at you know like over
200 plasma proteins you're talking about
10 we're talking about 200 right? Oh
yeah.
>> And and all the other data, right? And
they were able to predict and I think
cancer and neurogenerative disease were
at the top of like 10 years before and
they were able to look at the people. So
the AI AI predicted it based on based on
all this biometric data. And then they
looked and said, "Oh, yep. Those people
actually did end up getting cancer and
Alzheimer's disease." And it was very
accurate. Yes.
>> And and to me, the exciting thing here
is that you can intervene before it
happens. You can make
lifestyle changes, you can make dietary
changes. I mean, these things matter.
They do matter. And and that is
exciting. Uh because then you don't even
have to get to the drug part, which you
know, maybe [clears throat] you will,
but if you can make these changes, if
you know, hey, I'm on this trajectory to
get cancer. I have all this
inflammation. I have all these things
happening. If I don't make a change now,
then in 10 years, I might have a cancer.
>> It's very motivating, you know, for for
someone. So, it's very exciting um as
well and and and then having AI in there
is just going to make it even even
better. Um and then I [clears throat] I
want to get in I want to get into age
reversal and and before we get to that,
you know, you you've really been a
pioneer in this the field of AI being
involved in biology. You know, you were
talking to me about your your blog I
don't know was it 30 years
>> bios singularity. Yeah. 25 years ago. 20
25 years ago.
>> Yeah. So you have this blog bios
singularity predicting. Can you can you
talk a little bit about it?
>> Yeah, sure. Uh so uh in fact I I gotten
interested in AI early 90s uh after I
graduated medical school. Um you I was
very interested in computers uh when I
was a teenager. The the first computers
had come out at the time and you know I
was trying to code and uh you know just
I mean I loved it. It was it was just so
wonderful. Um, but you know, I went to
medicine because I figured biology is
much more complex, so I should first try
to figure that out. But then immediately
I realized, and I'm sure you did too,
you're a scientist as well. Um, that
biology is so incredibly complex. I
said, well, I mean, you know, we don't
have any any chance of figuring this
out, you know, because there's going to
be so many so many data sets. So that's
when I first got interested in uh in AI.
Uh, of course at the time, you know, AI
was was very primitive. Um, uh, but fast
forward uh, you know, one of the one of
the books that influenced me was, uh,
from, uh, um, Ray Kurtzwell. I'm sure a
lot of people follow technology know
him. Um, he wrote this book techn
singularity is near. So he he called a
point of singularity where uh the the
computation or technology is advances
exponentially
so much that you cannot even predict
what will happen next day. I mean
because it's sort of like a
self-training AI models and he he had
these figures where he would plot the
advances of AI you know say you know by
2029 it will be at the human brain level
and you know we'll reach AGI and you
know it was just unbelievable and most
people thought that he was just talking
crap or you know science fiction you
know they didn't believe it how could
that happen and so on but you know I got
I got very excited In fact, I have a
signed copy from Ray uh for for the
book. And so being inspired from that, I
I started this um blog called bios
singularity. So I said, okay, so so
computation is going exponential, but uh
biology is sort of a computation as
well. I mean it's it's based on
information and so uh but it's just much
more complex. So it should also expand
exponentially. And if you if you plot
that curve that that means that by you
know based on my calculations 25 years
ago in fact I wrote it on the on the
about page of the blog by by year 2035
or so we should be able to treat all
diseases uh and by 2045 or so that we
should be able to completely reverse
aging. In fact by 2050s we will get to a
point what I call human 2.0 you know
because at that point we have a complete
understanding of biology. Uh then we can
truly engineer it. We can create new
biological organisms. We can you know
change our biology, our genome,
reprogram it. Um
>> rewrite our immune system. Yeah.
Exactly. um in in in many possible ways
because it's kind of a messed up if you
if you think about it like you know
biology we think is a miracle but it's a
it's a bad kind of a a legacy
engineering right it's not it's not a
bad engineering it's a legacy because
biological system finds something it
can't get rid of it can't start from
clean slate so it builds on top of it so
you get regulation over regulation over
regulation and then of course you know
with like immune system that I study you
know you get lots of autoimmune disease
is his immune system kills a lot of
people you know even during like
pandemics and things like that or it
doesn't recognize the cancer cell and
things like that. So why you know we
should be able to design like immune
system 2.0 like clean slate really
greatly engineered the immune system.
Well, and I said you know by 2045 50
we'll get to that point. Um and and
actually, you know, again, at the time
it sounded really crazy to people. Uh
but now I feel that I was I was too
conservative. We'll probably get there.
Uh but but the key point is that I wrote
specifically in the about we will do
this because of artificial intelligence.
You know, I was just taking the plot
that Rey uh plotted. You know, I said,
okay, by 2029, AI is going to be at that
point. it will be good enough to apply
to the biology and that will allow us to
solve diseases and then and then the
aging the fact that you know the timing
was was pretty good uh uh again even
even a bit conservative uh uh I feel
great about it that's why you know I I'm
all in on AI like wow um that it's
happening it's really happening
>> so aging
is very complex and you know as you know
it's not one process. We've got these 12
hallmarks of biology. We now have 12.
Genomic instability, mitochondrial
dysfunction, you know, cellular
scinessence, on and on. We've got
there's 12 of them.
>> And we know organs are are aging at
different rates. They're they reach
their peak at different rates and they
age at different rates and everything is
interacting in a very complex way.
[gasps]
What do you see as the bottleneck
for understanding the aging process and
also reversing it?
>> Um I mean more so than the bottleneck uh
this is the way we have to think of
aging. Uh biology actually um uh is
programmed to prevent aging. Right? So,
it's not like um uh it's not like a car
in a way because once you make a car um
you have to constantly bring it to a
repair shop or you have to repaint it.
Biology does that internally. If it
didn't, we would age immediately. Like
there is a disease called progeria.
These children get aged uh by the age of
78 they become like a 89 year old
because of single point mutation in one
of their one of their genes because they
lose their ability to repair um whether
it's the DNA repair whether it's getting
reg rid of the old cells or cleaning up
the tissues and then regenerating like
stem cells creating new cells. So this
program continues for for sometimes
decades otherwise we we wouldn't survive
for some animals for some organisms is
only a couple of years for for us is
about you know maybe 50undred years uh
for some veils is hundreds of years so
so you know same biology it's just that
one of them decided that you know I can
keep a veil um or you know whatever some
animals um you know older longer because
they don't they're not getting hunted or
they can reproduce later and so on. So
what happens in in in the in the
biological system is that somehow uh
this program breaks down and you start
to lose what's called the res
resilience, right? So when you are uh
age 30 or 40, you're a you're resilient.
you can tolerate much more damage than
someone who's 70 years old, 80 years old
because your your your systems are uh
you know even if you get wounded or if
you uh get sick you can recover uh
easier. Um uh but that that sort that
resilience is lost and that the reason
why it's low that there is a sort of an
information loss because the biological
system has a certain information that it
knows when certain genes should be
turned on when things should be
regenerated when it needs to be like
your skin. You know why you get
wrinkles? because your cells stop making
collagen and then all kinds of crap
accumulates under your skin and then you
know the guy the guys who like the
macrofasages or whatever was supposed to
clean there they don't do their job.
There's some sort of a breakdown in
information or communication or you know
intracellular communication is one of
the hallmarks of of aging. And then of
course why that happens is is that 12
hallmarks is is is the reason many
reasons you know uh for example the
bacteria in your gut is is is a reason.
So so these bacteria produce all kinds
of metabolites that help your immune
system to constantly regenerate keep it
in optimal shape. If that changes then
you know your metabolism is changing
your glucose levels your mitochondrial
uh mutations and so on so forth. So all
of these things accumulate you know
epigenetic changes and DNA mut mutations
and somehow the the biology forgets well
what am I supposed to do like how how am
I dealing with that also becau because
when a damage happens it's harder to fix
a damage than prevent it right so if if
you're continuously taking care of your
car or your house the likelihood of it
you know breaking down is much less than
If you wait until like okay nothing
works yes you can reverse it but it's
going to take a lot more effort and so I
think uh what will happen is that for a
younger uh individuals in the next
decade or so uh there uh
for them it's not just it's not going to
be reversal it's going to be prevention
of the aging process it's going to be
maintaining
that process the resilience decades
more. So we will come to a point where
if you are 20 30 whatever years old you
won't age anymore because it's going to
be constant reversal. But people who
have already aged you let's say you're
80 years old 90 years old then we're
going to have to reverse that process.
That's that's a more difficult we'll be
able to do it. Definitely we'll be able
to do it. Um uh uh but um uh it will
require a lots of engineering approaches
because you need to fix most of those
hallmarks. If you're younger, you
prevent those hallmarks from happening.
You maintain the the information uh uh
much much longer. Um both of those uh
will will will happen. um uh uh we we we
just need to figure out what that
information is being lost and we put it
back.
>> Do you think so? Let's first talk about
preventing the aging if you're a younger
person because it's easier to to do
always prevent if if you have a person
you know who's 20 or 30 years old. Do
you think that the approach would be
finding first of all do we even know all
the repair processes that are we we have
discover we have what we know right
>> but we still have a lot to discover
>> we have a we probably have a lot to
discover and so like do you think
there's going to be a a discovery where
we figure out like you know we know
things like autophagy stem cell
depletion you know all these stress
response genes like antioxidant like all
these things DNA repair mitochondrial
the way mitochondrial repair itself,
right? Um, are we going to be enhancing
or like tuning these up so that they
keep working at their prime continually
or do you think we're going to have
again this like information where we why
why are those things going down? Are we
going to just then go to the information
of it, the epigenetics perhaps? Um, and
is it going to be more targeted towards
those genes or are we going to have more
of this? you know, we'll get into this
cellular reprogramming and partial
reprogramming, but um [snorts] I'm I'm
curious like how you see AI coming into
that process. Like I guess we don't know
that's the part of the problem, but then
we have to figure out how to give these
del you know treatments to people,
right? That's another part of the
equation.
Um, so I mean I think you know the the
ones that you mentioned about sort of
the lifestyle changes and they of course
help a lot but they only slow down the
aging process. There's I don't think
there's anything that reverses that
process. There might be some sort of
local reversal for a temporary period of
time. Uh maybe but it's still kind of
trying to you know uh hope that things
won't go bad a little bit longer. Like
for example, some people can live to to
to 100, others only to 60, right? So
there's something good about those who
live to and in fact there are super
centinarians who couldn't make it to 110
years old. Very very few people, but I
think it's mostly genetics. I mean their
lifestyle might have helped a little
bit. Uh something about their biology is
able to maintain that information much
uh much longer that program. So we have
to get to the core. what what are the
things that are disrupting that
information um uh loss? Um and um yeah,
it's of course you you have to focus on
the on the genome because that's that's
sort of the blueprint. It's not just
that. It's sort of what affects you
afterwards, you know, that your your
microbiome, your um metabolites, you
know, how those things are changing,
whether accelerating or uh reversing,
you know, like and it has to be kind of
an engineering approach as well, like
you know, the skin aging is is a very
different problem than immune aging,
than the brain aging, right? So, uh your
skin cells are constantly renewing. So
all you have to do is to have sort of
the uh programmed stem cells to go in
there clean the environment sen cells
and get it get it regenerated and
produce collagen whatnot but the brain
is not like that right so you don't you
don't want to regenerate your your
neurons uh you will lose your identity
so they have to be dealt in a different
different way some of it will be I think
for the younger population u it seems
like you know redesigning certain
biology ology would be sounds radical
but it would be uh more foolproof right
so what if we could change the genome
through genetic engineering like we add
certain genes or we change certain genes
such that the DNA damage um is checked
you know much much longer it you know
because there are in fact certain
animals who have better DNA damage
proteins they kind of evolve to do that
like elephants rarely get cancer, right?
Because they have this gene called P-53.
They have multiple copies of that. P3 is
kind of like the guardian of the genome.
You know, it prevents the genome from
getting too much mutations and prevents
cancer. So, somehow elephants have pre I
don't know how many copies, but they get
very rarely cancer. Um, naked mole rats,
you probably know that very well. Um,
you know, they they're they're like
rats. They live underground but normal
rats live a couple of years and these
guys live 30 40 years. So it turns out
they have some mutation in some immune
gene called seag gas that's also
involved in immune optimization and DNA
repair just like you know one or two
genes make a huge difference. So can we
uh engineer humans to uh block that
degradation of of information uh uh for
for those who have already had the
damage then we're going to have to to
think about repairing that reversing it
and then maintaining it. Uh that's
that's going to be a bit more
challenging but uh uh we'll we'll get to
that too. [snorts]
>> What do you think about so the gene
going to gene therapy? There's obviously
gene editing, gene therapy, and and um
right now we only know what we know,
right? Again, like with these longevity
genes we know about, but do you think
that that AI is going to be able to help
us analyze the human genome?
And I don't know what other data sets it
will need but we'll give it everything
and help us figure out well actually
there's interaction of these genes
together and when there you know like
all these combinations is that something
that you think is going to happen? We'll
actually figure out there's a lot more
to this equation than we originally
knew.
>> Yeah. That that's the critical problem
because we know what all the genes are
in the genome. like we have we have it
decoded completely and then we pretty
much know their functions most of them
uh even if you don't know every single
gene involved in aging we know a lot of
them the problem is that different gene
uh uh first of all can create different
proteins you know there's all that
splicing that happens and and so on but
but even we doubt that in a different
context so if you the same protein uh
can kill a cell or causes survival like
in immune system we have these receptors
called TNF receptors or whatever they
can they can have a survival signal or
or a death signal suicide signal
depending on the context of the of the
cell. So that is very very uh critical
that how as you pointed out how these
genes and proteins uh in a network
fashion in a sort of a topological
network uh
you know what do they do like if I
interfere like these uh um probably
we'll talk about that these things
called Yamanaka factors where you can
you can generate a stem cell from a
normal cell right so like complete
regeneration uh uh but But the the
problem is that they can also cause
cancer because they only need to be
active in certain time. If they're
active all the time, they can cause
terteratomomas and things like that. So
that that part is so complex that we
absolutely going to need AI to simulate
that for us. If I have this gene in the
context of all the other things at
certain age with these epigenetic
programs plus all the metabolites and so
on because those are constantly
signaling the cell and you know doing
letting the the proteins do something
and so on. What would happen if I
interfere with that particular gene or
how can I improve that? Uh if if you
have a because you have to consider the
other genome too like your gene therapy
might be very different than somebody
else's because you might have some great
genes that are synergistic with that
other person might have not so great
genes if even if you try to improve it
that that would actually work or it
wouldn't it wouldn't help. Um so uh it's
just a matter of complexity. there's so
much information that uh the AI has to
not only put that together but have sort
of almost a temporal simulation of the
model like that's a very important point
the because right now the models are
kind of static they they have a good
understanding but they don't know what
would happen if a cell comes next to a
tumor just 2 minutes earlier they the
cell next to it what that context
affects there's a behavioral issue. It's
the same problem with the robotics,
right? So, um kind of the physical
intelligence or the biological
intelligence once those models are
evolved with with a lot of data. I think
we'll we will be able to simulate this
and and AI will will be able to decide
this is the gene therapy you should get.
So, you need a new copy of immune
system, but let me design it for you.
It's it's so exciting because not only
are we talking about, you know,
extending our lifespan and curing
disease, but we're talking about like
getting rid of side effects in a way. I
mean, you know, people all respond to
different foods and treatments and
everything differently, right? That's
why some people have a terrible response
to perhaps maybe a vaccine
>> um and others don't. And so, it's really
exciting to think about that. Um,
>> which which I, by the way, call human
2.0. And maybe we'll get to human 3 3.0
uh which which will happen at this bios
singularity moment. What that means is
that you know we we kind of re-engineer
ourselves. Um uh I always think about
like most most scientists or most
doctors think like what's wrong with
this person or patient. Uh I always
think the opposite. There are certain
people I'm saying what's right about
them? like this person is has smoked for
50 years, never got a lung cancer or you
know had a terrible diet or whatever.
This one lived to be 110 for you know
whatever reason. And so what is good
about those people? Why can't we take
what's good about all of those people
and then re-engineer those that are not
so lucky to be born with what's what's
so good and then you know even make it
better. So that's the human 2.0,
>> right? I I I mean that's exciting to me
as well, right? I mean we do know like
you said we can live humans are capable
right now of living to be is the whole I
think the oldest was like 121 maybe
>> 123
French woman. I mean
>> the fact that that right now in 2026 we
know that humans can at least live to be
123
>> is exciting. 115 I mean at 115 116
that's considered sort of the current
limit but you know only 300 people in
the world are 110 and older why is that
why not the rest of the 8 billion
>> right yeah it's it's fascinating and I'm
I'm so excited for you know having this
super computing power to help us figure
that out what did you think when
you know the Yamanaka factors were
discovered by Shina Yamanaka and all of
a sudden you could take this old cell
and completely rever reverse it to
revert it to an you know essentially
induced you know pur potent stem cell.
Do you remember like is that was that
something did aging come into your mind
at that point where you were thinking
well that's the youngest almost you
could get I mean
>> yeah uh of course uh in fact at the time
I was um part of some aging groups uh uh
I think like an hour after the paper was
published I was you know typing there
you know like this is this is it this is
amazing so I I should say that there
were two um moments for me uh uh that
that I thought that aging was was going
to be uh reversible or curable, however
you call it. Um kind of like the
chachipit moment of biology. The first
moment was uh the um the sheep uh that's
called Dolly. Uh you probably know it
was the first cloned ship sheep. Um it
was 19967
or something like that. I can't remember
the exact date, but it was in '90s. And
um so basically uh the um uh the
scientists took a cell from uh you know
uh from one sheep and then recreate
exact copy of that sheep you know by by
cloning it. Uh it was it was at the
embryo level but it was sort of like
exact copy of it. So that means that
there was enough information that you
could just like uh recreate the same
person again and again and again. Right?
And then the second of course uh uh the
the Yamanaka factors uh in 2016 I think.
Um and that was the moment that uh that
we knew um that we could completely
erase the um sort of the age of the cell
on a cellular level and then bring it
back to a purotinent stem cell level and
then use that to recreate the whole
biological organism. So, so it means
that we have unlimited supply of
regenerative capacity like it's there is
there's there's no limit to it. In fact,
we already know that like so our our DNA
just keeps for billions of years. It
keeps going on and the fact that you
could do that in the lab and you could
you could generate it was was was
amazing. Um uh but of course the the
problem was okay so then how do you
apply that? In fact, I I think there was
just a recent study that started in
Japan using the Yamanakica factors uh uh
in in clinical trials because you know
it was not a very controlled system like
you didn't know if those cells would
develop tumors you know in mice they
they did some of them tumor tumors you
know whether um you can control them or
importantly I think there's going to be
a trial started by David Sinclair soon
can we do like partial reprogramming
because most of the time you don't want
the plur potent cell all right you just
want your skin cells to go early enough
to their sort of more stem-like level
like I work in immune system and for us
um I can divide like immune cells into
naive memory and aector and
differentiated so the naive cells are
kind of the young guys they have huge
potential to expand and and make memory
and and affect the population and the
other ones constantly um die and get
older. Can we actually revert the cells
towards the naive? And I I actually
spent a long time trying to do that. Um
so maybe this partial programming will
will will will enable that and and
that's that will be uh revolutionary
because uh then you can if you can also
deliver those then you can make most of
your old skin cells turn into a younger
version. I think the trial is going to
be for I uh with David Sinclair. Um
yeah. So uh but again it's it's um the
these these things showed us that uh we
can reverse aging. But when people say
oh that's impossible like this is this
you can't you can't reverse aging like
you know this entropy whatever. Um but
we we we do it in the lab all the time.
Uh why not do it in a in a total
organism level? So with this partial
cellular reprogramming as um as you
mentioned you know you're you're
basically taking an old cell and putting
these four different proteins I think
they can do it with fewer now but
putting them on for a shorter period of
time on the cell and that it's changing
the the epigenetic program and in a way
that it's still the cell keeps its
identity. It doesn't become a stem cell
but it seems to be more youthful. Um, I
know there's been some work and I
haven't followed all this literature
since I the first, you know, some of the
first studies that came out, but I think
it was like Juan Carlos, um, Epizusa, he
he's now, I think, at Altos Labs, but he
at the time was at the Sulk Institute
>> and, um, he had done this in in mice. I
think they were even maybe perhaps
progeria mice or some sort of
accelerated aging model
>> and there was some reversal of you know
certain organs seemed to be rejuvenated
in a sense and um the the life
expectancy was extended in those animals
but what's interesting is that not all
of the 12 hallmarks of aging go away.
>> Yeah.
>> Right. And so you would hope that you
would reverse aging totally but there's
genomic you know somatic mutations are
still there I think tieumir don't get
mitochondria so
>> do you think first of all I don't I I'd
love to understand why that is so what
is it if you're if you're essentially
you know wiping out the epigenetic
current epigenetic program and and
reverting it back um why does not
everything change I don't know if you
have any ideas But do you think AI is
going to help us understand that?
>> Uh definitely. I mean we I should also
point out that we um we do need to
generate lots of data. So so I think um
you know when whenever I talk about AI
um people say okay well why can't AI do
it now? Um for two reasons. One is that
we don't have enough data. So we we we
probably know maybe 10 20% of all the
biology. we still have lots of data to
to generate. The second is the
>> you're talking about scientists.
>> Yeah. Scientists or or automated lab
whatever it is. Um so I mean right now
we're able to generate millions of data
points in one experiment you know and
but but even that's not enough like we
need to generate billions of data points
and so on. So but of course to handle
that we also need um super intelligence
and supercompute. So, we have to have
compute that's thousands of times than
what's available. And people say, okay,
well, you know, why are they building
all these data centers? Isn't this
enough? And so on. Well, we're going to
need it. If you want if you want to cure
all diseases and reverse aging, we're
going to need probably we're going to
need data centers in the space and and
and and lot more because so much data
has to be in real time sort of uh uh
simulated. um uh and we might get much
more efficient doing that as we learned
algorithms. So so that's that's one
issue. The other is that um as you
pointed out something very important I
mean this partial reprogramming or total
reprogramming they're super exciting but
they don't solve um they don't
completely solve the the aging problem.
They will um make your um eyes see
better for a certain period if you're 80
years old or your skin gets better. Um
but will it work on your um your heart
muscle uh or on your brain cells neurons
which is the critical point because if
you can have a perfect body but if your
brain is aging then then that's it. Um
so will it modify the sort of the
microbiome that has now the environment
of an old person because if if that
happens if your metabolism is in old
person's metabolism and and microbiome
is old person's metabolism and your your
DNA has accumulated a bunch of mutations
and mitochondria has bor mutations you
can reverse that a bit have some
regenerative capacity but they will
quickly
become old again, right? You know,
because the environment is not is not
great, right? So, like if you live in a
bad neighborhood and you created this
beautiful house, you know, it's but it's
very bad neighborhood, your house is not
going to last very long there. So, your
your neighbors has to be clean as well.
So, I think it's it's a great thing and
that's probably going to add certain uh
years to lifespan and the quality of
life uh for sure. uh but we we have to
push that much much further um and then
really understand whether it's 12
hallmarks actually I asked JPT recently
came up with another four or five
hallmarks
>> what were they
>> I I can't remember exactly uh it was one
of them was related to immune system I
just this was recently um uh but yeah it
was it was it was quite interesting um
trying to remember one had to do with
metabolism
um uh uh you know because we we we kind
of classify hallmarks based on what we
can measure and see and I think AI can
see a little bit more than we can. So
anyway um this is going to be uh a
serious engineering uh problem. I I
would be very surprised if we have like
one pill you take and then you suddenly
become young again. That's that seems
very unrealistic to me.
>> Yeah. I mean [laughter] you know and
then the other question is like in the
lab we're we're the way we're delivering
these treatments is like an adino virus
right and and then it's like well is
that going to cause cancer because they
virus go to right cell
>> is it going to go to the right cell
exactly I mean the there's definitely a
lot of engineering
>> we we have to develop uh so one of the
things that I like doing with AI models
is to develop some new methods new new
technologies they have a bit too much
guard rail so uh they don't allow me to
to go too deep in it but you know
because uh I don't think we have we have
enough tools like of course we have
crisper now but actually Dudana's lab
just came out with something even better
for bacteria for genome editing so
imagine there's there's there's probably
all kinds of other tools that we can
build that will make this localization
the editing much more perfect and and
has to be programmable you have to
literally create circuits we can program
immune cells in in in culture like we
can give a a drug it will shut down
their response or we can create end or
gates and not gates if they see two
molecules then they respond if they see
one they don't like you can literally
program the biology so we have to
develop these new tools that are better
than viruses maybe uh generate lots of
data sets um and they manipulate the the
organs and so on could be that for some
organs when they're too old it might
might be just too difficult to repair
them. So you might consider just putting
a new one,
>> you know, like it might be a point of no
return, your your kidneys or whatever.
Then you'll have these u u organ
factories which 3D printed and actually
>> uh we we did a lot of collaboration with
a colleague of mine, you know, he can
print, you know, small tissues, lungs
and and pieces like that. So some of
them will be kind of transplanting new
organs. Some of them will be
pre-engineering and
>> and then the digital twin the analysis
and simulation will be able to figure
out is are you going to reject this or
would you need to not reject it?
>> That's right.
>> Right. Um what do you think of the new
data that came out using this this model
called GPT micro 4B
GPT micro 4B? um where I guess there's
this model that was used to figure out
how to make certain mutations in the
four different Yamanaka factors to make
them more effective. So they were able
to basically 50fold more um be more
effective or efficient at increasing
this induced pur potency.
>> Yeah.
>> How do you interpret that data?
>> So I I don't think that model uh is is
any better than what we have right now.
uh probably um the current models are
are much better. Um the I think probably
there might have been two two
differences and I don't know all the
details but one is that they probably
remove the the guard rails because
there's a lot of biocurity guard rails
in in the current models. Um if you ask
the same question to GPT5.5
it will refuse to do it. It will say oh
this is a biohazard like what if you
mutate and create a new virus or new
cancer whatever. So that might be one
reason and then the other is like if you
let these models think longer. So like
GPT5.5
pro and and the thinking and in model is
the same pre-training but pro model can
think two hours thinking can take two
minutes. Uh so the longer they can think
the the more they can iterate. They can
run these scenarios again and again and
again. So my speculation is that that
model probably ran for for a long period
of time. Of course you need a lot of
compute and a lot of tokens not a
problem for open AAI. um uh then you you
will probably come up with the solution
that even a a more intelligent model
couldn't come up in a in a shorter
period of time because that that
particular case is really running
experimental scenarios like okay if I do
this mutation what would be the
potential outcome like it's running all
the simulation oh yeah okay so so what
if I change that mutation to here and
then what if I add another mutation and
running the experiment again and again
again so you you're constantly making
the the solution better and better and
better as as you think longer. Um so uh
and and this will get better. So if if
you have much more compute, much more
intelligence and you say okay um GPT7 or
six whatever is go and think for a
month, you know, find the perfect
molecule that will bind to this receptor
and this will cause that. It'll it'll
probably figure that out. What is it? It
sounds like we're going to need to do a
lot of this type of simulation and by
were I mean researchers and scientists.
What is it going to take to remove some
of those guardrails in that environment
for researchers to be able to to make
these new discoveries and and what sort
of I guess I mean how how do we protect
from a a new crazy
>> biohazard or you know biosafety issue?
Well, I mean I think like OpenAI is
partnering uh with with um you know
trusted people. Uh so you have to be
approved by them. So I think then uh
whether it's a company or something like
that. It's the same problem with uh with
cyber security, right? So Anthropic has
this new model called mitos and they
decided not to release it because they
said it's too dangerous for cyber
security because this this model can
just crack into any can find all these
things that that other uh others cannot
see. So, in fact, even the governments
thought that that was important that
they should uh I don't know if they're
exaggerating if it's if it's if it's
true or not, but so you have to put that
guard rail if you release it to the
world because somebody can use that
model and then hack into your bank
account or somebody can use it to create
a a a new virus gene or something like
that. So I think there you know that
will be made individual purses or
institution
basis that these these um uh hopefully
these AI companies will share that
because they might decide not to share
it. Uh might say well okay why don't we
just develop all the drugs internally
and not release any of these models. um
uh some some might be doing that for
example I don't think that would be a
good thing because uh what you really
need is again as I said you need a lot
of data you need a lot of scientists
uh putting all that data into the models
but not only the data but their
experience in a way you in in the let's
call it the wild or or the world you're
you're actually training those models
even even if it's super intelligence
it's going to
so hungry for data that you're going to
have to um collaborate or release it to
to to others. Um also I think this will
be important to democratize uh health
care because one question everybody
asked okay well you know if you find the
the treatment for aging this is only
going to be available for the super rich
I'm never going to be able to afford it
or or treatment for cancer I say the
opposite actually thanks to AI it will
be super affordable because if you can
create a drug like in a startup let's
say cannot compete with a big pharmace
to a company they can find a drug uh
using AI 100 times cheaper and if you
can do the clinical trial using digital
twin that's where all the money goes
like you could develop a drug for a
couple of million dollars rather than a
couple of billion dollars so the cost of
drug development or treatment uh
development will be magnitudes lower and
that will give uh a huge number of
people u access to that uh but of course
you know AI AI has to be um shared. It's
it's uh I think it's it's a product of
all humanity and it should be the
possession of all humanity. That's how I
view it
>> except for going back to the the thing
that you mentioned at the beginning of
this podcast which is that you know
humans in the wrong hands that is the
problem and that's and that's that is
something that needs to be very taken
very seriously.
>> But but the the solution to that is also
AI. So right now, I mean, I hear that
like MTOS um basically finds all these
loopholes in in this cyber security uh
issues that people couldn't figure out
for decades. They didn't even know they
existed. So it's just patching all those
uh uh all these security bugs. So it
will create almost a perfect secure
systems like it will be unhackable
because uh MTOS is actually preventing
that. So to to prevent that from
happening you still need AI. You might
still have some bad actor trying to
develop a virus that will cause a
pandemic. To prevent that you also need
AI. So the AI should be able to predict
it and already create the vaccine ready.
will say, well, somebody might make this
virus, so let's let's get ready for it.
Um, so, uh, AI is the solution to all
that.
>> Interesting perspective. Always seems to
you always seem to have a positive
outlook. Um, I wanted to ask you another
question about, you know, we're talking
about these simulations and how we're
going to, you know, using AI to to
essentially run these clinical trials
cheaper because we're going to do this,
you know, these simulations and have,
you know, biomarker data and it'll just
be, you know, shorter and and cheaper
and easier. The question is always what
do you measure, right? What is the
biioarker? What are what's the end
point, right? And in aging, you can now
see I mean every a study almost a new
study every day coming out looking at
these epigenetic aging clocks. And
that's you know the the so as most
people listening to this podcast know
I've had Steve Horbath on um a couple of
times and he's sort of the pioneer in
these epigenetic aging clocks and
they've now developed over you know the
last decade or so and become much more
of a biological marker of age like your
biological age not just to be able to
predict your actual chronological age.
And [snorts] so, um, you'll find now
studies that are looking at treatments
and whether or not it can reverse quote
unquote reverse biological aging or
epigenetic aging,
but it's not clear that that's
necessarily,
you know, if that's
really reversing aging, right? So, how
what do what do you think um from your
perspective, what should we be looking
at in terms of some of these functional
>> outputs? Um yeah, I mean the those
epigenetic u markers are very useful um
but I don't believe that um they are
terribly useful as um sort of as as
predicting true aging. I mean there's
there's a very um uh significant problem
with with those markers. uh usually
they're they're done through through
blood analysis [clears throat] but in
the blood you have u like you know I
work with te- cells so you have these
cells that we call aector cells that
have um lots of epigenetic change
because they differentiate it and they
continue to accumulate in in old age and
then you have these naive cells that
have you know more pristine uh kind so
it's a combination so depending on um
what that combination is is going to
affect the output of of the um so you
you you can actually just look at the
proportion of your uh T- cell
differentiate T cells you'll probably
get the same same kind of information um
and it doesn't tell you like what's
happening in the skin or the brain or
the heart you know that it doesn't mean
that uh if if the immune cells are
getting younger or the young ones are
expanding and the old ones are dying
that doesn't mean that your skin is
getting younger or your liver is getting
younger. So that it has a very limited
use in my opinion. But we really don't
need that because like aging is probably
the easiest way to measure. We know
exactly what goes wrong in in in old
age, right? So like you can't breathe
that well. Your heart doesn't work that
well. Your muscles don't work. you can
only, you know, raise so much because it
your weakened muscles or your VO max is
is is lower. Um, these are all
phenotypic like you don't even have to
probably withdraw a blood just measuring
the ability of uh of an elderly person.
Uh, can they walk uh better, you know,
100 meters than they used to? like
because that's looking at the total
biology like you know your cells your
metabolism or whatever uh muscle to me
that's or or your cognitive abilities
>> but those can't be simulated I mean
>> the they eventually they can be right
now they can't they can't be simulated
uh um because as I mentioned the AI is
missing that behavioral physical
intelligence in the real world because
that's a that's most things are
happening in real life. uh but um I
think I think they can be simulated but
more importantly uh I think eventually
you have to tr whatever the AI comes out
with you need to try it on on the humans
right so uh my point is that you don't
have to uh do anything too fancy or wait
decades to see the effect if I give this
treatment to um I don't know 80 year old
and they're suddenly able to breathe
Well, you know, their VMX went up. Um,
they're sharper, they can think better,
uh, they can remember better. Um, you
you can look at their immune system and
we can see that the cells are we know
which cells are younger or worse. Or you
can look at their skin like, oh wow, the
skin is getting young. Like you see it,
you don't even have to do anything. Um
so so there are so many features
phenotypic features of aging that could
be um objectively measured actually and
not just subjectively you will see the
effect very very quickly like this
partial reprogramming trial they're
doing it's it's done for glaucoma
patients I I guess uh because that
happens in old age right so your your
cells are aging so I mean if these
people start to see it works right their
their cells cells got regenerated. Um
you don't need to look at the
epigenetic. Um so I think uh it will be
a combination of those um measurements
probably we will come up with and AI
will probably come up with this set of
biomarkers. I don't think we know
because it's going to be a set of
biomarkers like um you know your glucose
your cholesterol might be high when
you're 30 and it will be high or low
when you're 80. I mean there's not a
very specific marker that will tell you
your your age for just looking at that.
But the combinatorial effect will will
AI probably will be able to predict your
age looking at all kinds of data sets
and say oh this guy must be uh you know
um 52 years old based on this. You know
>> I know we have uh that model clock base
that's looking now at a variety of small
molecules that might reverse epigenetic
aging.
Now there are some data sets showing
that you if you reverse epigenetic aging
there is some functional correlation
with some functional improvements like
pre-frailty things like that you know
like improve but um it at the end of the
day you know I think it it'll be
interesting to see if there's going to
be companies that come out trying to
sell some sort of drug to claiming it
reverses aging when they're really just
looking at one
>> biioarker which is reversing
>> it's most as I say it's mostly the
immune aging that they're looking at or
or sort of maybe getting rid of the
terminally differentiated immune cells
like for example in old age you you
accumulate these CME specific tea cells
um CMV is a virus that you can't really
get rid of so the immune system
constantly have to keep it under check
um and those immune cells they kind of
become like missionaries they should
retire but they keep on expanding and
some indiv individuals might have like
20 30% of all their tea cells just
dedicated to like one peptide of this
this CMV and they're they're not helpful
but they become uh harmful because those
guys are are old they should retire they
don't and they cause inflammation
because they're they're active and um
and they don't give place for the young
guys to come in uh and they're they are
epigenetically you know closed because
um they're differentiated their
telomeres are shorter So, uh, you know,
you might be getting rid of some of
those cells with certain treatments,
which is great. Um, but then you have
the indirect effects, right? So, if you
can if you can control the immune system
and inflammation, that's going to have
huge effect all over your that doesn't
mean your skin got just regenerated, but
it it will it will help clean up
>> aging. Yeah. Yeah. Exactly. Um, also the
other thing I was thinking about is
like, you know, we you're mentioning V2
max and, you know, muscle strength,
muscle mass. We have all these markers
that sort of like decrease with age and
yet we don't know necessarily that they
cause aging in a way. So the question is
like will AI be able to take all this
correlational data like we have all this
you know all these different functional
out you know endpoints that we look at
and and be able to differentiate it from
like personalized you know this
personalized um data set versus like
actually like how do you cure aging like
what do you change that's going to drive
you know [clears throat] reverse the
aging I mean there's there's a lot of
questions Um, you mentioned something
interesting that had to do with the
brain and that is something that I've
been thinking about as well because you
know we we have a lot of repair
processes in our body right we can
repair a lot of DNA damage and you know
mitochondrial function and you know all
these things but in the brain we can
grow new cells replace the old cells in
the brain it's not as robust right
there's some parts of the brain that can
um you can grow new neurons neurogenesis
there's neurop plasticity. That's a big
part of of the repair process in a way,
but it's not like a big you you're not
you're not totally replacing the brain
and you don't want to, you know, as you
mentioned because then memories go away
and your identity and you know, it gets
very complicated.
>> Um, how do you see AI
>> intervening in that? Like everything's
great if we can reverse our heart aging
and all this, but our brains that's so
important
>> now. Is it just going to be a, you know,
delay age related disease,
neuroinflammation, all that stuff? We
can we can fix that, but like are we
going to be able to really
reverse brain aging?
>> Um, you know, I I would have to ask AI
to to to figure that out. But, you know,
I can I can think of several scenarios
how that might happen. uh first of all
you know neurons um or the brain overall
must have some very good maintenance
policy right so so there are neurons
that live for decades maybe 70 80 years
and not just neurons but there are other
cell types that can live for very long
they don't divide very much there is
some regeneration uh it's not like zero
and that's very important because that
means that if you let's just do a total
experiment let's just say that you
replace 0.01% of your neurons uh every
month or every year something like that.
I don't think that's going to make a
huge difference in your brain structure
because what they're doing is that
they're probably you know there's some
neurons somewhere interacting with bunch
of other neurons synapses and then it
gets replaced and the new neurons might
have a few other synapses other than
that but that's going to replace that
network anyway because they have that
capability. So if you do this slowly u I
think um
you you won't lose a lot. In fact, we we
still lose memories, right? So, uh we uh
we can't remember everything or we
hallucinate all the time. Uh talk about
hallucination, right? Uh imagine that
this happened to me. No, no, no, it
didn't happen. No, no, I I I remember
that. So, that's like brain uh brain uh
maybe part of it is new neurons that
they just didn't know. So, they just
made it up, right? So, um so that's one
thing. The other thing is that uh these
neurons probably have some internal
abilities to regenerate. What I mean by
that is that you know the cell can
maintain itself if it has you know sort
of um a great way to clean up internally
like autofagy is is a very important
mechanism as you know um or it has some
really special DNA damage correction
ability uh like stem cells have that
right so pristine stem cells they don't
get old you know even in 100 years old
they they're still like like a a young
person so uh And then you have all these
other cells like GA cells and and and so
on that are there to prevent all the
other stuff that happens the
inflammation you know GA cells of course
are are are part of the immune system in
a way but they they are like the immune
system is not allowed into the brain in
very rare cases uh uh it's like a
protected area um because the immune
system causes too much damage and if you
can't replace it quickly that's that's a
huge problem, but they have their own
network of cleaning up and they probably
have some sort of like a lymphatic
system and and so on. Um um so if we can
figure that out or if I can figure that
out, we might be able to really maybe
not completely regenerate but extend it
um quite significantly. Maybe another 10
10 years, 20 years, 30 years for
whatever. And then we might come to a
point and this goes into a little bit of
a science fiction now you know uh let's
say in 50 years time AI might be able to
figure out all of the synaptic
connections in your brain like every
single neural network and the
neurotransmitters and everything else.
So eventually you might be able to like
literally simulate your your brain um
you go into the matrix level. So that
might allow AI to like say okay I'm
going to replace all these neurons but
I'm going to make sure that they
reconnect all these signapses
>> so so that you don't lose your identity.
Um or alternately I can keep a copy here
and then we can create a new brain and
then transfer to that new brain that
exact u uh state uh that I that I found.
Uh I I'm not saying that this is
possible right now. That's really
science fiction error, but you can
imagine that at some point we might get
to that level. So I'm not I'm not too
worried. I I think if it can pass this
couple of decades and then keep the
brain um healthy and and self-preserving
for for maybe uh you know age 120, 130.
And in fact, you know, the people people
actually who live to to age 100, they
they have very sharp minds, right?
>> Because if you don't have sharp mind,
you don't live very old. So that's like
super correlated. So [snorts] if we can
keep it for a couple of more decades and
uh we'll probably find some other
solutions. So if we can if we can keep
the neuroinflammation low, if we can
increase brain drive, neurotrophic
factors, some of these things that we
know does play a role in improving
neuroplasticity and
>> you know and growing new neurons and to
do all the things that we can at least
in some predictable way
>> and we can have like chips for the for
the memory part, you know, we could
always supplement that. So
>> increase the capacity
>> and and and hopefully um AI will help us
figure out how to deliver these
therapies to the brain.
>> [laughter]
>> Yeah, delivery is always the biggest
problem,
>> right? Well, this has been such a
fascinating and exciting conversation.
Uh, Duria, I have a couple of more
questions, closing questions for you.
And I really kind of was just wanting to
know
if you had access, let's say there was
no guard rail rails and you had access
to
all this data in aging biology, you
know, the T- cell, you know, all the T-
cell repertoire, long, you know,
longitudinal uh longitudinal
longitudinal cohorts, um, centinarian
data, like everything, just anything you
can imagine. You had it all and you had
this model that was amazing that you
could
>> You're describing heaven for me.
>> Yes. Yes. [laughter]
What what what would be the the the
prompt? What would be the question you
would you would ask it? I mean, there'd
be more than one, but what would be the
first?
>> Yeah. Hoping that the AI won't answer uh
42 as an answer. Um the so so so uh the
the first thing I would probably ask is
um not not saying that just go figure
out aging or whatever because I think
there has to be there there has to be
certain sequence. So imagine that you
have all this data. Uh what would be the
the most practical
um uh quickest way you can develop uh an
intervention to an elderly person say
age 70 80 years old that will uh
immediately add five years to their
lifespan. So to me that would be uh the
most critical immediate question to ask
because do that population doesn't have
a lot of time and so we have to develop
these these technologies extremely
quickly and will should have you know
even two years three years extend so
that I can come up with the next prompt
uh after that. Um so I guess that that
that would be the the the first prompt I
would ask. That's great. What um Okay,
there's another question. So, this this
one is
there's no there's no money. Money is no
object. Okay. There's no like you have
complete like access.
>> You're describing so many heavens now.
>> I know. I'm just I'm curious what what
your your answer is. You're going to
personally build your own digital twin,
>> which which I plan to
>> right now. Um [laughter]
what test would you prioritize? like
what data sets would you prioritize, how
can a person get them, um how often
would you take these tests, how would
you organize this information into the
AI to really get the biggest bang, you
know, benefit from the information it's
going to give you,
>> right? But you said money is not
>> money is not an issue, right? Money's
not an issue.
>> Um so, so I would divide it into two
parts. Uh one part is that we have to um
um so what I would do is set up a a huge
lab um you know partially automated lab
where I would generate enormous amount
of data on the um on the cells on the
tissues in the in the lab because uh we
have to go by the first principles to
understand what's going on on let's say
in an individual T- cell uh all these
thousands of proteins, metabolites, what
are they doing? Then then that will
enable me to create what's called the
virtual cells um and then eventually
virtual tissues and you know how cells
are in a special temporal manner are are
are behaving and so on. So that would be
that probably be the most expensive part
of it and uh I'll need a lot of money.
You said no limit, right? So okay. Um uh
but the second part would be sort of
what we talked earlier uh kind of the
behavioral data from from the human
humans and that data is not just of
course you know all kinds of you know
plasma [snorts] levels of proteins
metabolize your full microbiome your
full genome sequencing and all of these
things are are possible by the way I
mean it's you know if the cost is not an
issue you can easily like UK bio Bio
bank has done it for 500,000 people. You
can do it for a million people. Uh and I
think if you did it in a million people
that would pretty much cover all the
possible human humanity. I mean I it's
not like everybody's perfectly uh
different. You know we share a lot of
things and and and and so you know from
the humans collect lots of biological
data but very importantly behavioral
data. I think this this is something
that's totally missing in a digital
twin. Um like you know we were talking
earlier uh ability of someone to walk
certain distance, ability to to you know
raise some some weights. These don't
show up in any biomarker sets but they
could be extremely important. um uh or
ability to think, you know, their their
cognitive level that that could be
directly uh brain uh brain aging related
and and I mean you lots of things and
and you know what happens when humans
are in certain environments, you know,
in certain environments you even if you
if you are having a very sort of healthy
lifestyle that may not help you much.
for example, you know, I lived in New
York City for a decade. Uh, you know, my
stress level was so high uh uh uh and
that stress level is so harmful for you
because the immune system is constantly
thinking there's a threat out there and
it's causing a lot of inflammation. In
fact, I think people who live in New
York has twice as much heart attack risk
or something like that. you know that
that your environment, your um uh your
emotional states and how you interact
with other people. All of these things
will impact your aging process, your
your resilience to the life, your
optimistic level. By the way, being
optimistic is one of the best things you
can do for for aging and study after
study show that. So being able to absorb
um bad things that happen to you and
then keep keep going. So resilience. So
but these are behavioral data that's not
available in in the biological set. So
uh yeah uh I would do that for for a
million people all over the world
different parts. Um and then on the lab
uh every single cell type that I can
find uh decode those uh put them all
together to the super intelligence and
then voila we have digital twin.
>> Okay Doria. So let's say someone wants
to build their little mini digital twin
right now using the models we have
access to today. The type of data that
we can aggregate you know at the
consumer level today biometric data that
we can that we can put in. um how would
you build that mini digital twin today?
>> Yeah, great question. I mean uh in fact
it is possible to build a sort of a mini
digital twin uh that doesn't have to be
as sophisticated as I described because
that that one is more uh sort of
clinical trials and developing
treatments. Uh but you know going back
to the u example of the UK bio bank you
know they didn't have trillions of data
sets. they only used a few hundred data
points from from each person and they
were able to predict a lot of diseases.
So that means that you know we we can
have a lot of predictive power with the
data that we're collecting uh today. Um
you know another example is this uh
glucose u meter that I have um you know
every five minutes it shows my glucose
level and then I take that data and of
course I put it to chat GPT um and once
you uh additional
data set that becomes very uh very
valuable because uh let's say that you
have your lab values your cholesterol
your glucose um your uh every day the
the steps that you took and your sleep
uh and so on. So these are actually very
rich data on their own because they're
uh their accumulation of lots of under
uh uh underbiology that that results in
that but also that puts uh AI into a
context your mini digital uh twin. So my
my suggestion would be uh to uh u you
know provide the AI as much data as they
can and on a daily basis so that so and
keep it in the same context so same
window so they so the model can remember
that um actually there are there are
some tricks uh uh to do that as well.
You can keep it as like a database and
tell li model go check my database and
see what my new uh you know based on my
new data how things have changed what
suggestion you could give. Um I for
example uh provide all the supplements
that I take you know um you know the
type of food that I eat um all of these
things will make uh will make a big
difference. Um so the model start to
really personalize um you know sort of
the uh style. It will know your style
and will make uh suggestions for you. Uh
rather than giving blanket statement
like you should walk 10,000 steps. Well
you know knows that like Daria cannot
walk 10,000 steps every day but I think
3,000 would be enough for him.
>> And what kind of model are we talking
about? Would you be using the GPT5.5
Pro? And then what about you know these
agents and codecs and how does that come
into helping analyze that that database
that you're creating?
>> Yeah, I I think you know these models
are becoming more agentic all the time.
I I know OpenAI for example they
integrated agents into um their codeex
model the coding model and soon I'm sure
it will be part of all of chat GPT. Um
you don't you don't I don't think you
need very sophisticated models for that.
What is important is that uh really
maintaining that context. Uh so
hopefully the models will have a larger
memory and they can remember. So you
chat can keep certain memories about you
but it's still kind of limited. Uh um
it's not just CHP like you can use JNI
for example which has a longer um uh
context windows um or or cloud for that
matter. I think most of the models can
handle that uh information. And they
don't have problem dealing with large
data sets. As I mentioned, I can put
millions of data sets and they're able
to analyze that. What they need is that
they need to remember how things were a
month ago
because that's before and after. Before
and after is extremely valuable. So the
model will know
he started taking vitamin D3. Oh, these
things changed after that that you may
not notice or is glucose looks better
because of you know when that's that
change happened. So it's starts to make
those lengths and and that's I think the
critical point because you need all of
that context in the in the AI model to
to give you sort of a better uh
prediction on what to use and what not
to use. Okay, you were using that well
maybe that was not a great idea so
change it. um or change the dolls or or
whatnot.
>> Yeah, that's interesting. It kind of
reminded me of a question that I did
want to ask you about, you know, these
AI models and future AI advances
when you think about these qualities.
So, like persistent memory, expanded
context handling, it seems like those
seem to be more important.
>> Absolutely. that I I think um for me uh
memory which which brings the context uh
so the models are now able to think for
quite long time and they don't because
previously the models would just um even
in the same context window if you had a
million context windows uh after a while
they would just fall off because they
would forget even what they were
thinking about. Now they have this
ability to constantly um go and check on
it. So uh I think in the next few months
this is going to happen. Uh so that that
will that will have a tremendous impact.
Well that's memory is everything.
>> So so you think so how long are we
talking like let's say you know you
started a vitamin D supplement 6 months
ago. Put that you have the same window
and you start in that window you have
that you know entry point that the date
and then you keep adding about you know
you add your your your data in. has got
all the data um right now. Can it go
back that far or how far can it go back?
And
>> um if you have that data somewhere in
your database uh for example um I
adapted a a technique that uh Karpathi
who's a famous AI researcher described.
Uh so you can um turn you can create
your own Viki sort of Wikipedia kind of
a thing like personal um you take uh you
know uh if you have all your data
somewhere uh you can ask AI just pull
all that and put it into a Wikipedia
like you know you can do it daily or
weekly depending on the environment
whatever um and so now you're building
your own database health database uh
which AI can help you update it if you
have that data
it can go years doesn't matter like you
can have 10 years of data it will
analyze all of that um uh but
>> it has that memory it can like
>> yeah so in in in in the same context if
you provide all of that I mean it's
still limited with you know maybe a
million tokens or something but no one's
going to have million token data set
even if you if you calculate 10 years so
so that's that's not that's not a
problem the problem is like if if you
have
If you want this to be continuous like
you just give AI okay here's the data
today that it should be able to remember
what was yesterday what was 2 months ago
so you don't have to give you know all
of the um uh you don't have to keep your
own database and and give all that again
and again because you have to do that
every time right so the your whole and
that will spend a lot of tokens and
stuff like that so uh but but I think
this is this is going to be uh this is
going to be sold
How do you not bias? How do you lower
the the ability of yourself to bias what
you know GPT 5.5 Pro is is going to feed
you back, right? Like based on what
you're asking it and I mean
[clears throat] I I find sometimes I I
might be able to bias it a little bit.
Do you do you do you know what I'm
talking about?
>> Yeah, sure. I [clears throat] mean
that's why I think uh we are in sort of
the experimental phase um in a way um
everyone has to do their own kind of
validation
um as the models are getting better.
What I mean by that is that again you
know of course don't try harmful things
and then you know uh don't go into risk
but you know for daily daily use um you
might be taking vitamin D
and then you you stop taking vitamin D
so that you're just doing an experiment
like before and after and then you
collect that data before and after u and
then AI gives you one solution says well
you know taking this dose of vitamin D I
think is important So then you can start
that dose again and then see see what
happens. If if you reach the same level
as before means that AI made a good
prediction like you need to see after
you have to have that record before and
after so that you you are the judge.
Well what this was a good idea so I'm
I'm glad that I listened to Jupy. Well
if it wasn't a good idea it didn't kill
you. It didn't make you sick. So that's
that's also fine.
>> Yeah. I guess for someone that's already
taking a lot of supplements for example,
they're not going to have that before
and after. Then also you have to know
like how long do you wait you know for
example to for the wash out period and
>> yeah and whatnot. the the hope is that
if you provide that very frequently um
in fact um I can mention one thing uh
for example the the lab values like you
go and measure your cholesterol glucose
sodium whatever they always give you a
range right so if it's within this range
it's normal well how do you know that uh
because you can be at the top of the
range uh that might be your abnormal
somebody else's normal somebody might be
a little bit over the normal and might
still be okay um or vice versa because
we don't know the level on a
personalized level. So we we calculate
population base. So okay so this range
is good for this population. So in a way
um if you have three or four
measurements let's say every few months
you can develop your own set point
normal. you know the the AI will know
your normal for glucose is 90 not 70 not
100 or not 105 somebody else might be
102. So it knows that based on that that
measurements. So then then it starts to
give you advice based on your data set
your set points because if yours is 100
and suddenly dropped to 70 maybe that's
not a good thing you know I'm just I'm
just uh giving an example uh uh so uh
that's why that continuous data
collection is so important uh uh with
with glucose meter I collected every 5
minutes uh the more data the better
>> well Duria thank you so much for sitting
down with me today and talking about
this exciting I mean frontier that we're
exploring
you know curing disease extending human
life expectancy obviously health span
reversing aging perhaps getting to human
2.0 you know where we're enhancing
you know genetic you know features as
well um very exciting time to be in and
if we cannot die in the next 10 to 15
years
>> it may be even more exciting. Yes,
absolutely. Because uh you know the last
thing I will say uh
this is so unique in human history. Uh
because a decade ago uh if you set
someone well you should be very healthy
you know uh do this do that and they can
say well it's only going to extend my
life maybe two years or three years. I
just want to live my life and I don't
care about living few more years as an
old age. and that that was perfectly,
you know, relevant. That's not the case
now. Living an extra one year could make
you reach that threshold where there's
going to be the ability to to treat many
diseases and reverse your aging and give
you another decade, give you another 20
years and then once you reach that, you
get another 10 years, another so like
even every day counts now in my opinion.
Uh so uh that's why don't die for
[laughter]
>> um where people can find out more about
your research and they can follow you. I
follow you on X. Um maybe you can tell
people how to follow you, what your user
your Twitter follower or sorry your ex
user handle is and where else they can
find you.
>> Uh yeah, my my main account is an X. Uh,
it's at Daria D E R Y A T R under dash.
Um, if they write Dario Nutmas, I think
I'll I'll show up. Um, that's that's
where I, you know, do most of my
communication. Um, I have a LinkedIn
account, but I don't post that often
there. Um, I I've been planning to start
up a a sort of a YouTube channel, but
um, I don't think I'll ever do that
because I'll never have the time. you
know, it's it's really amazing what what
you're doing because
video takes a lot of a lot of effort. Uh
so for me is the the fastest way. Uh in
fact, I I even had a Substack uh
account, but just couldn't find the time
to write long uh uh long messages. So So
uh X is the best way.
>> Well, I really encourage people to
follow you on X. post. I mean, just
every day there's something interesting
that you're posting on X and so I highly
recommend that people do follow you
>> as um many already do. So, thanks again
for the research you're doing and for
I'm I'm excited to see what um what's
going to happen in the next couple of
months.
>> Looking forward to it. Very optimistic.
Thank you. Thank you very much. It was
great.