Video summary
The podcast explores the Friendship Paradox, a mathematical phenomenon where individuals perceive their friends to have more social connections than they do themselves. This occurs because highly extroverted people with vast networks are overrepresented in one's immediate circle; for instance, if you have ten friends and three of them possess hundreds of connections while others have few, the average number of your friends' friends will exceed your own count. The discussion highlights how this statistical reality clashes with psychological biases like "what you see is all there is," where people focus on visible social successes—such as extroverts posting about adventures or attending parties online—while ignoring silent lurkers who are simply not engaging publicly. This visibility bias leads many to feel socially diminished, a sentiment reinforced by the 1-9-90 rule of internet usage, which posits that only one percent create content and nine percent comment, while ninety percent merely consume without interaction. Consequently, negative feedback or isolated incidents often seem disproportionate because they are amplified by this small group of active users, whereas the vast majority of positive interactions go unnoticed. The conversation shifts to debunking common misconceptions about misogyny and sexual coercion, specifically addressing the "incel" narrative versus status-seeking behavior. Research presented indicates that extreme misogynistic views correlate more strongly with low social status and a lack of sex partners rather than mate deprivation; conversely, men who are successful in attracting many consensual partners often hold less prejudiced attitudes due to their high dominance orientation and extraversion. This dynamic is mirrored by the "reality distortion field" experienced by highly attractive women or celebrities like strippers, whose social environments consist almost exclusively of men seeking validation through gifts and flattery, leading them to develop cynical views about male nature that are not representative of general society. The hosts illustrate how status acts as a filter for human interaction; becoming famous or wealthy changes the way strangers treat an individual, often turning casual encounters into opportunities for extraction or admiration, thereby altering social dynamics in ways that can obscure genuine connection. A significant portion of the dialogue is dedicated to gender differences in friendship maintenance and communication styles, distinguishing between "face-to-face" interactions common among women and "shoulder-to-shoulder" activities preferred by men. Women tend to maintain deep emotional bonds through direct conversation, whereas men often require a shared activity or distraction—such as fixing a lawn mower together during the Men's Sheds initiative in Australia—to facilitate meaningful dialogue without feeling emotionally exposed. This distinction explains why male friendships frequently deepen rapidly when working toward a shared mission but may fade once that objective is achieved, unlike female networks which are more resilient to life changes like breakups or career shifts. The hosts also discuss "Young Male Syndrome," characterized by peak risk-taking and impulsivity between ages 15 and 24, noting how the lack of close confidants during this volatile period can exacerbate poor decision-making through a negative feedback loop where isolation leads to unwise choices that further erode social support. Finally, the episode introduces Solomon's Paradox, which observes that people are often wiser when advising others on their problems than they are in making decisions for themselves due to emotional entanglement and blind spots. This concept is linked to behavioral economics examples like the Ultimatum Game, where individuals playing for a stranger accept unfair offers more readily because they can detach emotionally from the outcome. The hosts argue that young men suffering from isolation lack this external perspective, leading them down recursive paths of self-deception similar to "monk mode" retreats or adopting extreme ideologies as coping mechanisms. Ultimately, the discussion suggests that while withdrawing into an inner citadel might offer temporary relief for some, maintaining a diverse network of friends who can challenge one's views and provide alternative perspectives is crucial for making rational life decisions and avoiding the pitfalls of recursive isolationism.
Read the full video transcript
what is the Friendship Paradox the
Friendship Paradox is this phenomenon in
which uh your friends have more friends
than you do uh your sex partners have
more sex partners than you do your
Twitter followers have or ex your ex
followers have more uh followers than
you do and it's a it's a paradox because
it seemingly doesn't make sense you how
can your friends have more friends than
you on average and many uh many of your
listeners especially I think will be
familiar with this sort of Paro
phenomena that you know a
disproportionate uh number of of awards
go to a small number of people a
disproportionate uh uh amount of money
goes to a small percentage of people as
well but this also works in the social
realm so the example that I gave in a
recent substack post is to imagine you
have keep it easy you have 10 friends
and uh three of your friends are kind of
like you you know just kind of an
average person with an average social
life uh you have three friends who are
shut inss who maybe don't go out that
much but you have another friend
who is a super connector and has 100 or
150 or maybe even a thousand friends I
mean some people who who are just sort
of very social super extroverted in that
99th percentile and so when you average
this across all 10 of your friends uh
they they may have you know on average
20 plus friends while you have 10 and so
it sort of at first class it doesn't
make sense but then you know when you
when you sort of break it down
mathematically it does and this is why
there's that that Paradox and then same
with sex partners you know maybe you've
had five or 10 or 20 sex partners but
one of those people may have had 100
plus and so when you average that out
your sex partners have had more sex
partners than you and then same with
Twitter followers right like you know
maybe uh one of your followers has you
know a million plus while you have
10,000 or something average that out the
math still um shaks out in the same way
the example that I I also gave in that
essay is uh you know when when Warren
Buffett walks into an auditorium
everyone becomes a Millionaire on
average right and it's the same kind of
idea here so yeah and what's the
implication psychologically for people
with that is that felt sense at all cuz
obviously it's uh kind of anti-typical
to what you would expect this is all a
surprise to everyone to find out that if
Warren Buffett's in the local post code
that they've just become an honorary
millionaire for the most Judah
mathematics is there some sort of sense
by which people are are conscious of
this sort of thing I know that Gad sad
in his most recent book talks about uh
the best sort of people to be friends
with the people who are having a little
bit less sex than
you right yeah yeah I I remember that I
remember that from from his book well
yeah so so I think that we we we fall
prey to um so so in that the classic
psychology book Thinking Fast and Slow
Daniel conman coined this term what you
see is all there is uh and we pay
attention to what's visible what's right
in front of us the the know knowns but
we don't necessarily pay much attention
to the the known unknowns the things
that that aren't in our immediate uh
line of vision and so with with the
Friendship Paradox we will pay a lot of
attention to the most extroverted people
they're very visible they enjoy often
being very visible extroverted people
tend to be that way they update their
social media Pages a lot uh when you
they're they're more likely to uh text
you and then be responsive to your texts
and more likely to to to meet up with
you and then tell you about their uh uh
Adventures hiking in the Himalayas or
how they just got back from this country
or uh just got done speaking at at this
event and so forth and so you're
listening to this person and and for
many people they may hear this and think
like wow everyone out there is doing all
of these great things and you know here
I am sort of working my 95 or just you
know sort of living a normal ordinary
life and uh and many people uh will
report feeling sort of um uh diminished
socially uh and this is an interesting
phenomenon here because there's a ton of
research in social psychology on this
idea called the better than average
effect uh and the better than average
effect or the elusory superiority effect
as it's sometimes called essentially
that we tend to uh uh believe ourselves
to be better than others there's this
sort of self-enhancement that goes on so
when you ask um people are you you know
are you smarter than average are you a
better driver than average it's like 75%
of people believe that they're a better
than average driver ex yeah exactly uh
uh you know there's there's in Academia
to you you know you ask students are you
a you know a better student than average
ask professors are you a better teacher
than average and yeah exactly 70 80 plus
perent say they're better than the
average person uh in all these domains
um and yet um there's fascinating work
on related to the Friendship Paradox
that we tend to have a sort of uncared
characteristically dismal view of our
social lives so there have been a couple
of studies now in which you they ask
participants uh you know do you do you
go to more or fewer parties than others
do you see your family more or less than
others do you have more a fewer friends
than others do you eat alone more or
less than others and generally speaking
people think that they are uh sort of
less socially connected they have fewer
friends they eat alone more they go to
fewer parties and this is an inversion
of the illusory super superiority
complex right we sort of have at least
in the social realm a lesser than
average
effect rather than the better than
average effect and and this is related
to that friendship Paradox and that um
that sort of what you see as all there
is uh the way the researchers explain
this is that um again so so you you when
you think to yourself well do I go to
more a fewer parties than others well
you know when I see other people at
parties and I'm not at a party and uh
you know I see my family you know x
amount of times a year but then when I
pull up social media and I see people
you know taking selfies with their dad
or whatever um or their mom or their
sister and so you see all of these and
then you start to think well you know
I'm not with my family right now when I
saw that photo and so you uh sort of
easily sort of fall prey to this idea
that well everyone out there is taking
these selfies and having a good time and
going home and and um and you're not and
you're not paying attention to the
people who aren't with their families uh
you know one of the lines I use in that
post sort of summarizing This research
is no one is taking uh photos and
posting them online when they're eating
lunch alone or when they're binge
watching a TV show or when they're just
having an off day and just need some
time to decompress and be alone for a
while they're not uh you know uploading
a video or taking photos of themselves
we tend to take photos when we're being
social when we're being expen exactly
the peak experiences and and uh I know
you you you've talked about this before
about uh what is it comparing uh uh you
know your blooper real to everyone
else's highlight re something like that
and so we do that and then we tend to
think like everyone else is sort of at
the party without you uh there's a nice
line uh in one of the papers that I site
the researchers you know sort of sort of
um painting a picture of what this might
look like of a student in in a college
dorm room uh maybe doing their homework
being a diligent student and they hear a
party going on upstairs and you hear all
the lights and all the music and
everything and it sounds like everyone's
up there and you're thinking wow I'm the
only one here doing my doing my homework
but you're not you know of course you're
not hearing all of the other students uh
in that dorm room as well doing their
homework they AR making any noise right
so this is what you see is all there is
or what you hear is all there is and so
that person is sitting there thinking
everyone is at the party without me when
this isn't the case um it's just you
happen to be hearing the people who are
at the party not the people who aren't
so there's uh this is very much due to
the visibility of particular types of
social experiences that is now
facilitated by being online right right
I learned about the 1% rule yeah from
you okay go through that I feel like
that's related here this is the 1% rule
on the internet and it's you know it's
this isn't Empirical research but this
is just a sort of Shand way of
understanding how uh how social media
Works how the internet works now
uh and the basic idea is that uh online
1% of Internet users uh are creators
they're the ones out there producing the
videos and the podcasts and the the
written content and all the things that
we're sort of consuming when we pull up
on our phones and then 9% of Internet
users are uh are commenters they're
engaging with the content in some way
maybe they're uh reposting or retweeting
or liking or commenting they're the ones
who sort of uh want to engage with the
content in some way maybe they're not uh
uh original content uh producers but
they do like to sort of uh make
themselves visible by by uh by being
commenters and so on and then 90% of
people are just lurkers the people that
we aren't seeing the people who are just
sort of passively scrolling their phones
or uh uh you know looking at your
looking at your stuff listening to it
reading it but they're not um they're
not engaging with it in the same way and
I think a lot of you know so I'm I'm a
substack or you're a podcaster I think a
lot of content producers 1% they yeah ex
the 1% but we pay a lot of attention to
that 9% uh and and of course course
because of the uh the negativity bias
you know you may have 100 nice comments
and then there's three people who are
like wow this sucks and you're like you
know you'll beat yourself up that day
like man why do those people not like
this um but you did you know you're
you're assigning less weight to those 97
comments that were positive but you're
also not thinking about the 90% of
people who didn't comment at allow and
based on that breakdown right if if 97
comments are positive and three or
negative you can probably estimate that
that's probably roughly how those other
90% 970 exactly yeah yeah yeah silent
nice comments yeah I saw this um yeah I
read this this uh this essay uh recently
about about a TV show uh in which the
executives were threatening to cancel it
uh because they had received and this
was I think in the 1980s it was a sitcom
and uh the executives were threatening
to cancel it because they received some
some angry emails or not or angry angry
snail mail from from the viewers so this
was the ' 80s and uh and the the the
showrunners were basically they drew
this analogy of like you know is like
you know going going to a stadium of
100,000 people and two of them write a
nasty letter to you right that's the
equivalent right because we have X
number of million viewers and and you
got a couple of hundred mean letters
whereas the other million plus people
didn't write anything or maybe they're
writing positive things and so I think
yeah we that that that 1% R can sort of
helped us to
contextualize um sort of all of the
social phenomena that are going on
online I remember the general election a
few years ago where the Tory party won
by the biggest landslide in a very long
time and the the red wall fell and all
the rest of this
stuff
uh and I remember
seeing stormy or Bugsy Malone and that
year's winner of Love Island and someone
else like like Daniel Radcliffe or
someone uh tweeting about how you know
we need to make sure that we get the
labor party in and I'll be voting labor
and you see all of these replies and
it's like oh my my God look at this it's
going to be a total Landslide you know
like they've got Bugsy Malone has
tweeted about
it and um then it was the as far in the
opposite direction as it's ever been in
50 years yeah it's like you know the map
is not the terrain yeah and the internet
is not the real world and here's another
thing as well you know you've got the 1%
9% 90% but I think it's only around
about 10 to 15% of people in the UK have
a Twitter account yeah right right so
not only you're not thinking about all
of the silent lurkers you're not
thinking about all of the people who
aren't on Twitter that don't even know
that this is going on looking at it did
you hear the episode I did with Sam
Harris uh I I listened to clips of it
yeah cool so he comes up with this idea
called digital leprosy H this is just
awesome by him so he says um because
he's no longer online mhm he's not
exposed to the potential cancellation
and online furor that he's a part of so
kind of in the same way as a leper may
be losing Limbs and digits and be
unaware that it's happening right he may
be being cancelled right now but because
he's not online he's unaware of the
cancellation that's occurring or the
whatever like he's somehow is is
trending again he's like I'm not on
Twitter and he's told his friends look
don't send me screenshots of what people
are saying about me on the internet so
he is able to just you know blissfully
move through his existence he called it
digital leprosy which I just thought was
like such a lovely idea evocative term
man that's good yeah yeah well yeah I
guess in that case it would depend on
what your what Your aims are I could
imagine so someone like Sam you know
he's uh he's an intellectual he has his
podcast and he probably it it wouldn't
help him to see all of the the nasty
comments but if you're I think it may be
a little bit more than uh like two out
of 100,000 or whatever at the moment as
well he's kind of popular to hate on the
internet yeah yeah yeah yeah that's
that's a good point but but I I suppose
well for other people if you're well I
mean the first thing that comes to mind
would be like a politician you would
want to know what's going on how people
are reacting to you yeah exactly sort of
keep your keep your finger on the pulse
of uh your constituents um there is a
there is a uh one of the one of the
chapters in in Robert Green's 40 Laws of
Power where and the book is about the
attainment of power of course so he
writes that in in those kinds of
situations uh you actually want to be
more plugged in to the Social Scene It
it actually isn't wise to withdraw
because you end up losing power you'll
end up losing influence interesting he
also has a rule about how aloofness is
alluring though uh which I think is
interesting and is definitely true I was
with uh Dan Bilzerian last weekend and
uh was talking to him and he's kind of
been he sort of absconded from the
permanently online Instagram you know
like tits and psychedelics existence
that people he kind of got famous for
and I was asking him about that and he
said well you know like he's kind of
going through a bit of a metamorphosis
at at the moment I think in in many
regards um which was very interesting to
see and I S of dug into his psychology a
lot over dinner uh but also he was like
from a tactical perspective just not
being chronically online sucks in
speculation which is actually good for
brand in some ways people are like what
is happening and I think you remember
this may have been different for you
given you're uh slightly more chaotic
than my upbringing but each uh each
summer when you would leave school and
come back you'd always think oh here's
my opportunity to reinvent myself like
I'm going to be the sporty kid or I'm
going to be the cool kid or maybe that
was just me um but I kind of get the
sense that if you're going through a a a
period of Rapid change or rapid
reflection or whatever uh a little bit
of um receding perhaps from being so uh
publicly AA this is why monk mode I
think for guys has become such an
important meme that it's this Retreat to
focus on the three eyes introspection
isolation and um like inner work or
something else and um the reason that
it's so good I think is that it allows
people to like go away do the Chrysalis
thing and then try and emerge as
something new whilst not trying to bring
along all of the existing like I'm
trying to update one step at a time all
of the different changes it's like no no
no I get to go away and then come back
with a relatively Blank Slate or more
blank than it was and um yeah I think
there's I think this something that yeah
yeah I think yeah it sort of depends on
what your aims are and especially when
you're when you're young and you're
still sort of uh uh trying to stabilize
your identity and figure out who you are
that having those moments of withdrawal
and reflection can can be very helpful
um yeah and and you know it's it's funny
those those the The Laws of Power a lot
of them do contradict each other and
green openly I've seen him he
acknowledges this but it is it's it's
based on context it's based on sort of
where you are in the life cycle and how
um
how power is acquired in your sort of
local environment and and so on so so so
basically you know this isn't like a
one- siiz fits-all sort of checklist
it's more of a sort of holistic at all
times in all places it's in specific
times at specific places well you've
been looking at a lot of young male
syndrome recently I think this is going
to be one of the most important memes of
the coming decade and both of us have
been talking about it at least in part
for maybe like three or four years I
think online but it's picking up steam
what have you learned digging deeper
into the modern conception of young male
syndrome and how it's sort of manifested
what have you learned yeah yeah well so
so yeah the young male syndrome this
constellation of traits that are
associated with uh a certain period of
time in young men's lives typically the
teens in the early 20s uh you know
heightened levels of risk-taking reduced
self-control and inhibition uh if you
look at rates of criminality for example
uh they tend to Peak at around age 19
and this is is true regardless of uh
culture and Society sort of all across
the world in non-industrialized hund
gather communities and all the way up to
sort of wealthy and Rich societies that
it's the young men if you look at who's
committing the crime in that Society
it's it's inevitably going to be sort of
man AG say roughly 15 to maybe 24 even
things like uh like like so this is just
in the US context likelihood of being
hospitalized for punching walls uh there
was a nice graph I saw uh and I and I
posted it online um
of you know the sort of the distribution
of of of um young or or men just men in
general being hospitalized for and it's
all concentrated again 15 to 24 it's
like you know 10-year-olds aren't being
hospitalized for punching walls and
neither are six-year-olds it's all that
sort of young male group and you know
I'll admit I've punched walls before
yeah did you see uh Alexander dat posted
quote tweeted an image this morning that
was a mother asking how she could help
her son and it was just a photo of his
bedroom wall and this bedroom wall was
just hole after hole after hole and then
the door had a hole in it and it's like
I mean it looked like a sufficiently
flimsy American house that the
hospitalization risk was quite low but
that the decorating risk might be quite
High yeah yeah yeah that's uh in that
case I mean that yeah that that sounds
like it would require some some serious
intervention serious yeah intervention
some serious treatment what I find
interesting is uh especially for young
men that's sort of that this this is I
think an expression of the young male
syndrome is when a young man uh
experiencing some sort of uh usually
like a minor injury and then their
immediate respones to lash out so like I
saw this with some of my friends friends
where um you know like maybe uh I know
something simple like like they
accidentally uh poke themselves in the
hand or something and then their
immediate response is to punch something
so they hurt themselves and they're
pissed and then they punch something and
and I think that this is basically a a
misfiring of this kind of evolutionary
impulse of of if a if an intentional
agent hurts you it actually is uh
advantageous uh to to fight back
response right exactly so so if uh I
don't know like the cactus plant stab
you know maybe punching the wall is
unwise but if you do something to upset
me and then I immediately respond
physically that can actually be um an
Adaptive strategy so I think like that
is you know this is this is speculation
but this is what I think is going on
there because otherwise it doesn't make
sense right you're injured let me injure
let me break my hand now makes no sense
so uh so yeah so the young male syndrome
yeah sort of reduce inhibition increased
risk-taking criminality uh risky driving
um you know if you look at uh who who's
arrested for drinking and driving who uh
gets into the most auto accidents who is
the most likely to be killed simply
crossing the street yeah so so it's yeah
men are twice as likely to be killed
simply crossing the street as women um
so there are so many sort of different
different factors here and there was
actually one on on the seat belt point
there was an interesting study which
found that men are less likely to wear
seat belts when there's when they're
accompanied by a male passenger relative
to when they're sitting by themselves or
when they're sitting with a with a with
a woman what do you think that's saying
I think I think that is uh one
possibility here is uh is essentially
the attempt to Signal toughness uh that
you know you of course like there's a
lot of interesting work here and a lot
of discussion and and debate around this
um because of course men want to signal
to women and we want to signal that
we're you know strong and can acquire
resources and all those kinds of um sort
of Bedrock uh um findings in
evolutionary psychology but then we also
want to impress other men too you know
you want to show that you would be a you
know in in the ancestral context you
want to show that you would be good in a
in a violent conflict against a rival
Coalition or if you're uh big game
hunting you want to show that you're
strong and so I think the way that it
might manifest itself in the modern age
is I don't need to wear a seat belt you
know I'm going to show my friends and my
mates like I don't need to wear this
that two ton rocket ship going towards
me hasn't got we both became fans
of that David put study oh yeah that was
able to predict the uh number of sexual
partners based on not female ratings of
attractiveness of male faces but other
male ratings of toughness of the same
male faces super cool study that the
women's attractiveness rating had
basically zero predictive power but that
the man's toughness rating had like
quite a good bit of predictive power
yeah was it you that taught me or was it
Dunbar that taught me about um men's
Street crossing in the presence or
without the presence of women H that was
probably done bar right okay so this
this this stud is so much fun so they
got
um crossing the street is really
interesting because it's a relatively
discret variable you have distance of
vehicle from Street crossing and then
you have uh like the presence or lack of
presence of a female and Men the diff
difference in how close the vehicles
would get and men were prepared to cross
the street in the presence of a woman
was like a third of what it was when
there was no women around like look at
all of this you know Surplus Fitness
that I have I'm going to cross the
street while this car is only 15 yards
away from me or whatever yeah yeah yeah
yeah all the I think yeah the young male
syndrome is yeah I think it it sort of
depends on the context but yeah it is
most likely to sort of be expressed when
you're trying to impress women or when
you're trying to impress U men again so
I don't think yeah it would I don't
think it would necessarily impress young
women uh you know that you're driving
without a seat belt right and I think
maybe on some level guys understand that
but with with with it wouldn't necess
it's not so much that you're impressing
your friend when you put when you don't
wear the seat belt is that if you do you
might be mocked or made fun of or that
what's you know are you know what are
you wearing a seat belt for that kind of
especially you know 19-year-old guys you
know that kind of thing um and so it's
not so much trying to look tough but
just not to look weak very interesting
okay so but young male syndrome
specifically seems to be uh worsened
amongst sexless
dispossessed rambunctious young guys
coalition together in small groups to go
and set on fire and push over
granny yeah yeah yeah and we yeah yeah
that's uh it's you know when a when a
young man is isolated sort of by himself
there's only so much damage he can do
but it's sort of the the r the risk
becomes exponentially greater sort of as
that as as he sort of partners with
other men and they collaborate and sort
to plan and so yeah this is uh I mean so
so you had this this interesting term
about the the sedation male sedation
hypothesis it's in a a study at the
moment with bus and William they're
testing it interesting interesting yeah
I mean I'm just thinking about cuz I
remember when you first told me about
that something that had come to mind is
um you know I had friends I mean this is
you know sort of back in the I don't
know if people still play this game
World of Warcraft but I remember I had a
couple of friends who like Lost Years of
their life to this game and they were
like and they the way that they spoke
you know as you know when you told me
about this I thought like yeah these
young guys you know this is you know
1819 this was years ago but they would
say like all right you know I got to I
got to hop off the phone I'm going on a
raid
you know I got a raid scheduled you know
like well you don't have a raid
scheduled you have you know seven hours
of sitting in your laptop chair computer
SCH but in his mind he's like I'm going
with my other internet friends and we're
going to go you know raid this Castle or
whatever they do in this game and I
could see that yeah this is a sort of an
expression of that or an example of that
of you know just young guys who
ordinarily might be out causing trouble
and instead they're just online uh and
that's how they do it you know I saw
this funny this funny post on Twitter um
and this guy you know said something
about you know back in the day if you
were like a hyper curious young man uh
you know you you'd basically start like
uh trying to document the like visible
differences between the mushrooms uh
right around your house and today what
they do is like try to collect all the
Rings in a Sonic game you know like
speedrun uh and so yeah I think the the
virtual world is sucking in a lot of a
lot of uh angry and aggressive man but
it we may also be losing like that sort
of the pattern matching sort of
systematizing abely yeah well it's just
it's managed to hijack an awful lot of
the status seeking coalitional uh
curiosity adventurous behavior that
young men you know throughout all of
history has been kind of a claimed for
you know you look at um my favorite
example of the solution for young male
syndrome was Portugal in the 1800s what
did they do there they the first son was
allowed to there was a an imbalance in
the sex ratio okay and they knew that if
son one married because he was the
oldest son but son two three and four
perhaps uh weren't permitted to marry
and there weren't enough women to marry
that this was going to cause problems so
they just put them on gallion ships and
said go you know pine near the new world
away you go so they just they literally
exported the young male Problem by
putting the men on ships and giving them
this sense of adventure you know
channeling their aggression outward
against either a new world or or
political enemies or whatever it was and
uh yeah I think that there is still a
question Vincent came on the show mutual
friend came on and he's been researching
and he says you know every single time
that we have high rates of sexlessness
and blah blah blah we have an increase
in Associated violence and it's just at
the moment and someone may tell me that
I'm wrong but it doesn't seem to be
there in the data right we have incel
blackpill ideology there was this period
maybe about two years ago where uh they
were even uh donate
claimed to be a domestic Terror threat I
think uh in cells uh they were a
terrorist group right yeah I saw that
um where's the like show me the violence
show me the uptick in the violence now
that's not to say that hasn't been an
uptick in murders and stuff but I think
a lot of that can be attributed to yeah
exactly like the receding of police from
inner cities right um yeah yeah I wonder
if the so so on its face it seems silly
right that the incels this is a domestic
Terror threat but I wonder if they were
just sort of if they were actually
familiar with the research on the young
male syndrome and the sort of historical
p i mean maybe I'm giving them too much
credit but but they essentially they
were sort of anticipating the
possibility and they're just sort of
getting out ahead of it and saying well
you have a lot of young sexless angry
young men and historically that's been
the you know a group that's been
dangerous so let's just designate that
label on them but I think yeah in the
Modern Age with with technology with
video games with porn with scrolling
phones I mean yeah I've seen sort of
research on uh what young men like
jobless young men do um and most of the
time they're scrolling their phones
playing computer games watching porn
overeating junk food you see Nicholas
stats work on that uh I haven't is this
this is related to the men without men
not working or whatever it is whatever
it's called just awesome but yeah it's
like some insane percentage of men are
neats not in education employment or
training uh but also are Prime working
age like I think it's 22 to 50 um and
it's this unseen because unemployment
rates are relatively low in America but
hiding in that data is a very unusual
cohort of men who are electing to be
unemployed they're living on uh social
welfare in one form or another or Andor
still living at home spending an insane
amount of hours per your playing uh
video games and while they're playing
video games 50% of that time is either
on prescription medic or whilst taking
weed so you just have a very it's like
okay here's the Big Data okay well
what's that like how's this constituted
who are the component people that make
up this data and you go hang on a second
like what's this chunk it's like I think
it's like 8 million or 14 million men
Prime working age men electing to
retreat from the employment market now
we put this episode up and uh a lot of
guys that are maybe a part of this
cohort are tangential to this cohort
commenting
and you know the sentiment very strongly
was why should I contribute to a world
which doesn't value me uh why am I going
to work to get a a 5 fo3
210b uh woman who's already gone through
two marriages and got four kids uh you
know just very despondent evidently guys
who don't see much future for themselves
and uh it was it was really eye opening
cuz largely the comments on Modern
wisdom tend to be you pretty personal
growthy agentic highly Sovereign
upwardly mobile Etc um but this episode
like blasted out of the algorithm into
the wider internet or maybe it got
shared on some forums or whatever uh and
it was very very interesting uh and I
got to see a you know I got a window
into into this world and it didn't seem
these guys didn't seem very happy um
they were maybe uh comfortable in their
nihilism uh but I don't think that they
were particularly fulfilled I mean they
may be comfortable when they're young
but there's I you know I'd be curious
whether sort of as as we move forward um
you know decade or two decades later I
mean it's one thing to be a a neat when
you're 19 or 23 but when you're 43 or 51
and you're single maybe you've never had
a girlfriend and you've spent most of
the last you know several decades just
playing video games and and and
wallowing
on forums and stuff yeah I think there's
I mean now in the Modern Age we have so
much Freedom you don't have to work
anymore you don't have I mean if you
don't want to if you live in a modern
Rich Society um you can collect sort of
extended unemployment or maybe live with
your parents or um find ways to I mean
you know very few people now very few
young men are sort of literally starving
or having to steal food to survive and
uh and now if you want to do something
difficult you have to make the choice to
do it rather than um
sort of uh uh be be pressured sort of by
by external factors I saw this I saw
this this Tik Tok video I'm not on Tik
Tok but people sometimes send these to
me I saw this one this this this uh this
young guy I think he was in the Army US
Army and he was just sort of walking
through his barracks and uh and he was
asking these these other these other
young young guys these young recruits uh
you know if you could talk to your
recruiter right now what would you say
and uh you know these you know these
other young guys were like I told him to
go himself or like God this sucks
or why did I do this
so on and so forth and I'm watching this
I'm like I know exactly what he's
talking about because I was there I was
you know I had enlisted I was in the Air
Force and I remember especially like the
first two years are just awful like once
you get a bit of rank and a bit of
responsibility like once you go through
the training Pur stop eating yeah
exactly then you're like you know then
you're okay but the first couple of
years really suck and so I knew like
these were all very young guys they were
still sleeping in bunk beds and I would
have said the same thing you know I'm
glad that Tik Tok didn't exist back then
but I'm watching this and I'm thinking
like these guys don't understand right
in in 5 years from now they're going to
be glad that they ate for however
many years and they did this they went
through this experience um and and I
think a lot of young a lot of young guys
won't even go that far like they won't
even the list which is fine you know
everyone has their own sort of make your
own choices but in that moment I
understood that like this sucks why did
I do this like this is awful and then
you go through it and you can sort of in
hindsight go back and say like it was it
was a character forming experience it
was good for me like I was an idiot when
I was 19 and I probably needed a bit of
that structure a bit of that
discipline I needed to have my ass
kicked a little bit and uh and I think
yeah like you don't but and and those
guys volunteer to do that right you have
to choose to do undergo that experience
you've already pre-selected for someone
who's got the agency to get moving yeah
I had this idea I had this idea about um
uh the the reason that victimhood
culture has become so widespread is
because the human systems demand for
challenges has outstripped our modern
reality's ability to deliver that right
that we want we just want something to
push up against and if we don't have
real challenge we will create imagined
challenge for ourselves and um yeah you
know rampant fragility and this kind of
like soy externalizing locus of control
culture that's going on at the moment
it's so interesting though that you've
got this barbell strategy where you know
50% or maybe more perc of the people are
young men happy to lean into the uh I've
learned a bit of Behavioral genetics and
evolutionary psychology and and taken
the black pill in many regards because
I'm a genetic dead end but at the same
time you have the ascendancy of David
Goggins jocker willink Alex hosi you
know these guys who are all about doing
the hard thing overcoming the suck like
no one's coming to save you it's only
you that's going to get you etc etc so
you have this increasing sort of
Divergence between the two uh and I
think you know assortative mating which
is people of a Kind mating with people
of their kind right so Silicon Valley
135 IQ people with you know professional
tennis level skills having kids together
so you kind of have this genetic
splitting apart which also is going to
have a psychological uh like heritable
psychological Echo I suppose so the
conscientious people will have more
conscientious kids and so on and so
forth and then Melissa carne's new book
the two parent privilege is talking
about how those college educated people
who've got that predisposition again get
an even bigger Advantage so I think that
the Matthew effect of this right to
those who have everything more will be
given to those who have nothing more
will be taken is just going to continue
to spread and spread and spread yeah I
think I mean that's that's a distinct
possibility and it seems like in the
short term that is what's occurring I
mean I even read this oh man which book
was this uh it was a speculative
hypothesis about why there's a like sort
of pronounced levels of uh kids being
born on the Spectrum in Silicon Valley
and it's
because it's not necessarily because the
engineers and the program MERS
themselves are autistic but they may be
sort of sort of somewhere on the
Spectrum and then they partner with
someone who also shares some of those
genes and comorbidity exactly and then
they have well they have children and
then and then the child is sort of at a
at an heightened risk of of getting
autism uh but I think generally speaking
I mean I don't know if this is if this
is this could be interpreted as a white
pill or a black pill but I just read uh
this book The Sun Also Rises by Gregory
Clark who's an economic historian uh
very well versed in the behavioral
genetics as well and essentially that
book he documents uh in various
societies essentially how uh social
status sort of loosely defined as sort
of wealth and influence and so on is
very sticky uh across
generations and essentially what he
finds you know he he he tracks surnames
uh and finds that you know I got
intro to this guy from Mata to Poria
he's going to come on oh yeah yeah he's
great yeah yeah um and yeah I spoke with
I spoke with about about um Gregory
Gregory Clark's work as well and
essentially you know he he tracked
status not through so you know there's
there's there's this fear especially in
the modern era of assortive mating that
more and more women are going getting
educated and men are are dating educated
women and they're having children who
are educated and so on but what
essentially he finds is that when you
when you look at data from decades past
centuries past before uh women were sort
of educationally and economically
emancipated when they were still sort of
stuck in these rigid gender roles if you
pair or if you look at the status of of
a given man interested in a woman and
then look at the status of the woman's
father there's like a very tight
correlation there so even though the
woman herself isn't um Highly Educated
or isn't working in a prestigious
occupation often she comes from a family
in which her father was and so one of
Clark's claims generally speaking in
this book is that people are very good
at sort of finding people who are
similar to themselves even if you don't
have the sort of external visible Badges
of of class or education or credential
how does that manifest if it's not the
external badges yeah well basically
people people cluster together in the
same clubs family friends
organizations um so so maybe uh you know
maybe the man didn't meet the woman in
the workplace the way they would now but
maybe um you know his boss's friend says
hey I have a daughter who you might get
along with and even though she isn't
working she's you know the daughter of
the friend of the boss it's like a
social instantiation of the class uh
disposition yeah yeah yeah yeah I mean
this is uh yeah this is interesting to
me I mean so so Scott Alexander did a a
long piece on on the sorda of meeting I
think earlier this year and he talked
about how there's surprisingly little um
uh sort of sort of matching across uh
sort of educational and class lines on
the things that you would expect on
things like like attractiveness for
example I think there's this especially
in the sort of like the red pill um
online spaces of you know men don't
really care about education they really
care about you know how attractive a
woman is um and yet uh at least the the
data that I saw sort of uh curated by by
Scott Alexander is that you know it's
very rare for a highly educated man to
actually date the you know the the The
College Dropout who uh the Barista
Starbucks exactly yeah or or if they do
date the Barista at Starbucks she has a
college degree and I think a mistake
that we might make you know I'm sort of
channeling Gregory Clark here is that
like oh he knew that she had a college
degree and that's why he was open to
dating her whereas I think would say
actually they they they had a they had
some conversations together and through
that he could sort of tell that they
were maybe roughly in the same class the
same space her sort of uh uh levels of
curiosity and intellect and all the sort
of psychological attributes uh they they
matched along those lines so you know
even though she maybe Works uh uh uh
somewhere that doesn't require a college
degree she has one and she's the kind of
person who would get a college degreed
and then they sort of match along those
lines the sort of mating still holds I
think yeah there's there's so so so
again like is a white pill or a black
pill it could be a black pill because
you know status is sticking and it
almost doesn't matter what you do but on
the other hand it's a white pill and
that like you know even though we have
all of these educational and
occupational Trends in the modern world
it doesn't actually it may not actually
change the sort of underlying social and
romantic dynamics that have sort uses
more stable yeah than we might think I
think there yeah I think it might I mean
you're look at you as like the post a
child for what was
it uh kids that grow up in is it single
parent homes are like 10 times more
likely to go to college than adopted
kids what was the stat so so the stat is
it was on foster kids specifically um so
I did you know some of this research as
I was writing writing my book that'll be
out next year and then um I I wrote this
essay that's uh that was in the Free
Press A couple of years ago which
basically um so in the US kids who are
uh raised in families in the bottom uh
socioeconomic quintile so the bottom 20%
essentially kids raised in poor families
uh roughly 11% of them graduate from
college which is pretty low because the
the the average rate in the US is around
35% so it's pretty low 11% versus 35%
but the amount the number uh or the
percentage of of foster kids in the US
who graduate from college is 3% and so
in other words a kid raised in a poor
family is four times more likely to
graduate from college than a foster kid
uh and so I used you know this is sort
of essentially to me sort of evidence
that
instability and uh sort of disorderly
environment is uh is OB is perhaps
something that we should be paying more
attention to it obviously has an effect
but it may be something that that
deserves more attention than we're
giving it relative to sort of the
material factors did you dig into
Melissa Connie's new one have you read
that yeah I I just read it I finished it
a couple of weeks ago excellent book
excellent book yeah the two parent
privilege dude so I watched she's been
on the show anyone that hasn't seen that
can go back and listen to the episode I
did with Melissa she was great but I
mean she is you know as
straight down the line policy wonk DC
pilled as you're going to get right like
she's like the female Richard Rees you
know like she's just there to do help do
policy and do the DC thing and and she's
a statistician demographer lady right
she's I I tried to push her on the
episode and was like so why is this
occurring like give me the implications
here infer for me what you think is the
underlying mechanism and she was very
reticent about trying to work out what
going on from a psychological
perspective and I thought wow that's
really uh that's a good signal that
she's not prepared to get out over what
she sees is her domain of expertise yeah
yeah I have this this is what I do and
she did it a little bit but she didn't
go too far and I was like that's a
really good signal but what I saw on the
internet before her book came out tons
and tons and tons of Articles saying you
know this is uh like hard right
Christian talking points uh being
legitimated by cherry pick data you
haven't read the data the book's not out
yet yeah yeah and what I saw was her as
someone as far as I could see that if
you were to do political Compass onor
would probably be like just left of
center uh and again very not prepared to
say things that she didn't understand
and didn't have data to back up and so
on and so forth but on the internet the
only people that weren't lambasting her
as being some sort of you know like
bigot judgmental asshle that's telling
people that come from single parent
households that they shouldn't and what
so you're saying that women should stay
in an abusive relationship instead of uh
you know allowing their themselves and
their child to have a good step parent
and blah blah blah like just all Straw
Men house
arguments and I saw the exact path that
many many people are taking which is
causing them to bend toward the right
because you go hang on a second I've put
this piece of work out which is
relatively dispassionate which is
actually it's the two parent privilege M
this is a championing of how we can fix
underprivileged kids which is
fundamentally a left-wing phenomenon
right it's class trying to fix the class
problem the only people that were
accepting of her or weren't like
accusing her of doing awful things were
the people that were center right and
further right yeah so what you see is
how somebody that has a left leaning uh
predisposition perhaps or just a
Centrist disposition gets nudged by
their treatment toward the right go okay
well you guys like if if if you're
not going to accept me I'll happily like
and she I wish that I'd noticed this
before I spoke to her cuz I'd would love
to have asked her about this but yeah
like that's not I I can completely see
how the tribalism of both sides and I'm
sure that there's an equivalent Dynamic
on the right pushing people toward the
left that I don't see um but the
tribalism of the left and the Purity
spiral of the left and it
it's rapidity at judging people m
to see bigotry where there may not be
some yeah I can absolutely see how this
is causing more and more people to lean
yeah in a different direction yeah yeah
I mean yeah I saw I saw a lot of that uh
sort of the ad homonyms online and a lot
of the uh insults and derogatory
comments that were directed at her and I
thought yeah they were completely unfair
the book I mean the other thing is like
the book is is very dense but it's also
um you can read it in an afternoon I
mean she presents the data in a
beautiful way a very sort of
straightforward way that any sort of
educated and curious person can
understand uh and it seems like yeah
most people just didn't even bother
flipping through it and and having a
look because she caveats multiple times
that this isn't a this isn't a book
about sort of s judging people or about
values it really is about um sort of
looking just sort of from a dispa
dispassionate point of view what did the
data say about outcomes for kids and
various sort of family uh arrangements
so yeah I thought that was so strange I
mean yeah and she does stick close to
the I think generally speaking that's a
good idea when you're
making arguments that are unpopular that
you should stick very closely to the
data and not go too far ahead of your
skis there just because um you're going
to be held to a higher standard when you
say something that's that's unpopular um
there's that sort of can versus must
distinction uh sort of a classic finding
in Psychology about how when people are
uh predisposed to uh support a certain
point of view essentially they
implicitly ask themselves can I and and
then they come across a piece of
information information that supports
that point of view they implicitly ask
themselves can I believe it and
generally speaking the answer will be
yes I can believe that uh and when they
encounter something that is at odds with
that point of view they implicitly ask
themselves must I believe it and if they
find a reason if there are any any flaws
in that argument or any any reason
whatsoever why they can discount it then
they say oh I I don't have to right
doesn't doesn't this show up was it you
that taught me about how this shows up
in Twitter arguments where when people
are wanting somebody puts a point on the
internet that goes against something
that they believe and then they go on
Google and search for like why such and
such a thing is true and they're just
it's like you're not asking for um is
this thing true you're looking for
arguments that support your side yeah so
you're looking for a good bar uh rather
than an honest judge yes right right
right yeah you want um you want some uh
well you're looking for arguments of
course that sort of you know the classic
confirmation bias idea you're looking
for information you're monitoring and
then you're sort of overlook anything
that that might make you feel
uncomfortable or that might call your
beliefs into question there was a really
cool study I want to say this was in the
9s um sort of along this vein I mean
it's it's a it's it's a neat example
because it's sort of disconnected from
politics like I think anyone can
appreciate this which is essentially
what these researchers did was they
brought these participants into the lab
um and you know they they told these
participants you know they showed them
um this this jar and it was really just
water but they told them it was this
sort of chemical solution and if you
drop a strip of water into it so in one
condition they told the participants you
drop the sturup of water into it um and
it and it doesn't change color just sort
of Remains the Same white or whatever it
was uh then that means that you don't
have this sort of rare unique uh
congenital disease if you know you dip
it in leave it in for a few seconds pull
it out stays the same you're good to go
and so they brought some participants in
and you know basically they found you
know parti ji it in didn't change color
they'd walk right out in another
condition they told the participants um
you know you dip the strip into the
piece of paper and if it changes color
then that means you're good to go if it
stays the same that means you may
potentially have this congenital illness
and in this case what did the
participants do they dip the strip into
the water waited dipped it back in
waited took another strip dipped it back
in waited and then they started to get
nervous and essentially they were going
for that confirmation because what what
did they want to believe they wanted to
believe that they were healthy and when
they did not receive information that
supported that then they started to to
sort of you know shuffle through and and
and uh and try to try to find ways to
confirm that that that belief we both
came across the same research that shows
that Chads rather than incels are the
extreme misogynists right dude I love
this yeah yeah yeah I think I saw uh
William retweet that word and that's got
on my of course of course he does of
course he does anything that's Pro Insel
yeah uh men with higher levels of sex
partners are more likely to hold extreme
misogynist views which contradicts The
incel Narrative extreme misogyny
correlates with status seeking and
dominance orientation both of which also
correlate with high levels of sex
partner on this yeah I thought that was
an absolutely fascinating study and it
it links up very nicely you know I I
when I was in in grad school I read um
David bus's evolutionary psychology
textbook cover to cover and one of the
things he points out there uh is is uh
that you know there's there's not much
if any research supporting what uh
what's referred to as the mate
deprivation hypothesis you know this
idea so the mate deprivation hypothesis
is essentially that you know young men
who are who are deprived of mates are
more likely to develop these sort of uh
uh
uh misogynistic attitudes they're more
likely to uh coers women into sex or
more likely to commit sexual assault and
essentially uh all of the research that
I've seen indicates almost the reverse
of that and including the study here uh
which points in the same direction which
is that the men who are the most likely
to commit sexual coercion or assault are
also men who are the most likely to uh
to have consensual sex partners as well
wow um and yeah all of these things sort
of come together and correlate with
status-seeking dominance or orientation
extraversion um the probably I would
imagine narcissism as well and maybe
some of the other dark Triad traits of
being being particularly attractive uh
to women and I you know this is now you
know I'm I'm I'm more comfortable
speculating uh you're not even part the
academy anymore say what well you know I
have a foot in but but but I'm I'm
comfortable sort of making this this is
just a hypothesis but I think that most
many maybe most women would be
pretty reluctant to actually be sort of
alone in like like be in a situation in
in in which they could potentially be
alone and assaulted by the sort of
prototypical incel like you know the
sort of lonely unattractive isolated
angry
male right exactly like they would know
in advance like I don't need to be alone
with this guy there's something off
about him uh again the sort of
prototypic I'm not saying all incels are
like that but that sort of archetypal
image of of an incel whereas um probably
just just sort of you know uh uh I think
this this pretty intuitive that that
women would be more willing to sort of
be alone and and potentially be in a
risky situation with a man who is
attractive right and so just through the
sort of differentiating levels or
different differing levels of alone and
exposure alone that um that that assault
would be more likely to happen in one
context than the other um and so I think
that may partially explain some of those
differences that if women were alone
with actual inels as much as they Al
with you know status-seeking dominance
Orient or orientated uh uh extroverts
that maybe those the numbers would be
different but but generally speaking I
think that finding is suggestive and
then in my own personal life I mean when
I think about the guys the men that you
spend your time alone with well that I
spend yeah yeah that I feel ad yeah um
but the guys that I know who are
particularly you know at least
numerically successful I know you what
success mean in this context but just
have had a lot of sex partners they do
tend to be a little bit more glib a
little bit less um preoccupied with well
what does she think of me or you know or
or or um or sort of what traditional or
conventional or or hold sort of
benevolent sexist attitudes right it's
usually usually a little bit more you
know I guess on the positive it may
jokey or playful but then on the other
it can sort of dip into you know the
example that I so so I I posted uh one
of these studies online and sort of
commented that um you know I think this
is easy to understand understand when
you reverse the genders you know if you
think about like like a woman who spends
a lot of time um attracting men I'm
thinking about someone like like a
stripper for example like I'm sure they
have extremely cynical attitudes about
men right uh whereas women like if you
think about a woman who doesn't really
you know maybe isn't very attractive or
hasn't had a boyfriend or hasn't had
that much experience around men they
probably have a little bit more sort of
I know maybe slightly more optimistic
views or at least um less less cynical
views about
Sadia Khan psychology psychology lady
she does like couples counseling and
stuff uh she gave me this really
interesting answer to the question uh
are hot girls more crazy right so the
classic the classic question like
finally Aristotle's got an answer um and
she said that the experience that hot
girls have of most
men Jades their View
of all men because the men that she
spends her time around are unbelievably
pliable they cheat on their partners
with her they try to shower her with
gifts they say things that they think
she wants to hear they're duplicitous so
the reality Distortion field of the
beautiful
woman causes all of the men or many of
the male interactions on average to uh
group together to Clump together in a
way which doesn't show men in a
particularly good light right yeah how
cool is that as an idea like the
reality Distortion field of the hot girl
or something yeah that is it reminds me
of this this this interview I watched
years ago of uh Chris Rock and he said
basically being well I don't know if he
he said something along the lines of
being an attractive woman is like being
a celebrity or being a celebrity is like
being an attractive woman where once you
reach a certain level of fame or
notoriety or recognition that people
react to you in a predictable way in a
way that that is often obnoxious or um
try to give you free things or try to
try to court you or you know they're
looking for something from you and uh
yeah that is yeah where you're only
seeing a sort of you're only seeing sort
of one version of that person whereas
everyone else might see another version
and pre-selecting for the only sorts of
people who are prepared to go up to the
hot girl in the first place yeah I saw
this with strippers uh and I would
imagine it maybe the same with only fans
girls as well a lot of the strippers
that I was friends with throughout my
20s when I was working in Nightlife had
very very jaded views of men because
they were seeing the Stag on his
bachelor party out in Newcastle you know
trying to get a off one of the
strippers that are in there right like
men at their worst selected for at their
worst around the women that are able to
you know cajo or coers or encourage them
to do a thing that's or whatever uh and
oh that's how old men are there's this
really great segment uh on Rogan's show
years and years ago Tim one of Tim
Dylan's first appearances and Joe's
I think Tim's talking about how the LA
comedy scene is very ruthless and Joe
has just moved to Austin and is saying
don't know what you're talking about
fantastic over there uh every time that
I go into a room everyone treats me
really great and blah and Tim Cuts in he
goes hold on one second like you do know
that you are Joe Rogan yeah right like
do you like you bend reality around
there's this sphere that follows you
where like who the going to treat
you like right like the biggest
podcaster in the world just walked in
and um I spoke to tuck Max about this
over dinner a couple of months ago it so
interesting um and I was talking about
how I I I've noticed certain groups of
people treating me differently over the
last couple of years is status and and
Renown and wealth and whatever has has
changed and there is a reason now to be
nice perhaps or maybe there's not a
reason to be nice they don't even know
it but something happens they've heard
that's the guy with the podcast or
whatever so you just noticed that like
the average stranger interaction has
adjusted in some way maybe I'm just
super like charismatic or whatever I've
changed my confidence that totally could
be it too but my more um like highly
skeptical uh cynical view of it is like
people want something or whatever anyway
and um I was talking to Tucker about
this and he said uh to become rich or
famous as a man is to accept being uh a
resource to be extracted for from or an
object to be desired he said that um
women become objectified as soon as they
become uh you know like womanly you know
you're 13 years old and the boys in the
class now start to see that you've got
boobs and and then you become like 17 18
and the whole world objectifies you for
a while because your value is immediate
and upfront whereas you know this is a
red pill takeaway I guess that like uh
women are born with value men have to
create it um and it is unless you're
Brad Pit or you know somebody who is is
super good-looking and has that upfront
um you have to achieve some degree of of
of self-generated
value in order for people to treat you
and to objectify you right like no one's
no one's just objectifying the random
dude in the street but if the random
dude in the street gets out of a Bugatti
maybe they are right oh what's he got oh
dude let me tell you let me ask you
about blah blah uh yeah to to become an
ex a resource to be extracted from uh or
an object to be desired that was very
interesting yeah yeah there's a sort of
a a positive feedback loop that happens
there too I think with with the Bugatti
example um so so you have this uh PR
just material good and then you step out
of it and then suddenly you know you
have increased Social Capital because
people are drawn to you but I think this
happens even even within just the real
of Social Capital itself I mean you know
I I'll just use this this personal
example of you know I was I was walking
through an airport with some friends and
uh and then yeah it was recognized a
couple of different times but you know
so I I was with friends but then they
had friends who didn't really know like
they oh they kind of know that I write
and stuff but they don't really and then
I got recognized and suddenly they
became more interested in talking to me
and like oh what do you yeah what exact
tell me more about and so I think it's
like um you know you get recognized once
and then other people become interested
and then suddenly you can't did I tell
you that story when I walk down Broadway
with Peterson M uh in Nashville I don't
think so uh we went for dinner it was
about two years ago from now and I went
for dinner with him and there was that
famous video of him dancing with his
wife in Ben Shapiro was there in
Nashville this a few years ago oh I did
see I saw it was the night after that so
he loved this bar and we were going to
go back to this bar and he didn't have
any of his security with him uh so it
was me Michaela Michaela's husband and
Jordan uh and milla's husband's like
6'4 kind kind of dude so like he was
like he's like a tall guy or whatever uh
but no security and Jordan starts
walking down uh Broadway like the street
in Nashville right it's where Kid Rocks
Bar is and Whiskey Row and all this
stuff and they on a weekend close it off
I think they close it off at both ends
maybe they don't but anyway it's it's
stacked someone notices Jordan Peterson
and then goes over to like get a photo
with him and shake his hand and hello
how are you and then other people notice
that other people are standing talking
to someone so are Q forms to speak to
Jordan Peterson he's accumulating a tale
of humans as he walked like a
Comet right walking down that Comet yeah
honestly and uh I I remember thinking
like oh my God we were at the Young uh
delegates uh dinner drinks thing last
night at ARK here in London uh and sure
enough there was a a queue of people
like this is a
Conference of people selected for a very
like particular set of interests and
then we went to 150 person drinks thing
which is selected from within that group
for people that were invited to go to
this thing and even within that selected
group of a selected group the comic tale
thing existed again so um yeah that's
almost like a like a physical
manifestation of what you're talking
about that's going on socially right
people see they don't see a physical CU
but they see uh like a social CU right
like a CU they go oh okay right and it's
I would I would be curious I mean maybe
in the the example of the 150 or or
smaller group of of selected people they
probably are familiar with Jordan it
sounds like but uh in the example of him
walking down is it Broadway the street
of Nashville when that tale formed what
I would be curious to know is probably
many of those people maybe most of them
did know who Jordan was but what I'm
curious about are the people who didn't
know who he was but just saw the tail
let's get a everyone's following that
guy I guess I'll get like I guess he's
famous let's go check this out and now
they're fall and sudden you know so what
percentage of those people were were
familiar with him too you know there's
these there are these classic studies
from uh from mgrm uh so most people know
mgram through the um The Obedience
studies of you know the uh uh he
essentially tricked people into shocking
and and believing that they were
injuring someone or perhaps killing them
but there were these other studies that
mgram did and and other social
psychologists you know this sort of
classic work back in the day of you know
he' just have people
on like a Manhattan Street and just have
like four or five research assistants
look up at the sky just like me you and
a couple other people just look up at
the sky like this and then gradually
what happen is people would be walking
by and they'd see you know four people
looking at something and they'd stop and
look up too like what are they looking
at and then and then there suddenly this
massive crow form of like suddenly you
have 40 people looking up at the sky and
no one knows what they're looking at
right everyone's trying to figure out
what those original four people right so
there is that sort of imitative you know
quality that you know which is which is
you know it's it's adaptive uh but it's
also you know can kind of misfire funny
situations yeah being moderate is a
green flag you see this new one about
extremist views William shared the graph
of it I haven't seen this one but uh let
me get your take on this this is awesome
researchers pulled over a thousand
registered us voters aged 18 to 34 a
majority of both men and women consider
far rightism and Far leftism to be red
flags in a potential partner 76% of
women and 59% % of men consider
identifying as a Maga Republican to be a
major turnoff 64% of men and 55% of
women said they'd also swipe left on
someone identifying as a communist so
that was high number of women 76% for
Maga 64% of men for communist 55% of
women said that listening to Joe Rogan
was a red
flag thir about modern wisdom 35 that
wasn't on there 35% of men uh 41% of men
said the same for a woman being into
astrology okay uh 20% of women uh 33% of
men said red flag for they say black
lives matter 14% of women 53% of women
for they refuse to see the Barbie
movie uh 53% of women uh 58% of women
for they say there are only two genders
so more women concerned about the two
genders thing than the Barbie movie
interesting what that is but yet just
overall it seems like um far rightism
far leftism uh being moderate is a green
flag basically like having but that
being said how is saying that there are
only two genders like an extreme
position how like I would have thought
that that would have been the moderate
position right like I guess it depends
yeah but the the bol's been turned
upside down but yeah overall when it
comes to dating it seems like a majority
of both men and women consider far
rightism and Far leftism to be red flags
in potential partner what what what age
group was this are these young young 18
to 18 to okay yeah that makes a lot yeah
that makes sense I mean yeah I mean you
you've probably seen some of these data
too about sort of the political
Divergence of young men and young women
um which is really I mean it's really
interesting because uh a lot of the the
Press media will concentrate on you know
the supposed uh right-wing
radicalization of young men when
actually most of the sort of political
psychology survey data indicates the
reverse where men are young men are
slightly turning to the right there sort
of a a slight turn whereas for young
women there's a sharp like a sharp rise
in young women identifying as left or
far left so it's actually the the women
uh who are being sort of uh uh
radicalized or or turning to a more
extreme Direction um yeah but we don't
mind about that one we we don't need to
care about that yeah well I mean well so
I think like in in terms of like
violence and so forth right there's no
there's no young female syndrome you
know or or if there is one it would be
it would manifest itself differently the
female L house the female yeah the long
house yeah
um but yeah I mean in terms of the sort
of the classic threats of terrorism and
so forth I mean but but uh yeah that's
that's interesting I mean so so some of
those like yeah the the two genders one
that's interesting 58% of women I found
like the yeah there's there's a sort of
a a neat reversal there of like Maga
Republicans versus Communists where most
men I seemingly okay with dating a a
Maga identifying wom but women uh are
more okay with dating a communist
identifying man but here's the thing
right that it's not for right like uh
35% of men said that a woman listening
to Jo Rogan was a red flag but a man
listening to Joe Rogan and a woman
listening to Joe Rogan is not the same
thing that's true too yeah you know what
I mean yeah like there was one about uh
owning a gun that like some quite high
percentage of women said that owning a
gun was a red flag right in
America but a woman owning a gun is not
the same as a man owning a gun right and
the same for listening to Joe Rogan and
so on and so forth so I it's it makes
for very interesting reading but I
actually think that like if a woman does
listen to Joe ran there'll be some
non-zero number of men in there that are
like that's a like that's a boys show
like why why like oh maybe she's super
disagreeable or maybe she's like going
to try and arm wrestle me in bed or
something like yeah yeah yeah yeah I
have I've heard this um you know just
just speaking with young guys that uh
you know they are to some extent sort of
bothered by these gender differences in
politics and how more and more young
women are sort of identifying in in a
more sort of sharp left-wing Direction
um but then they also sort of lament
that you know a lot of young because you
have to be you know to some degree
psychologically peculiar if you're a
young woman who is a sort of right-wing
person or or or identifying openly as a
conservative because you're sort of
going against the grain right like you
are an outlier in that sense and that of
often sort of Co with other things that
young men are kind of annoyed by and so
it's like it's the astrology one dude
41% of men said that a woman being into
astrology is that one was confusing to
me I think like that's fine you know
that's like a very to me like a feminine
way of thinking you know like I think
it's you know I can't remember who what
who was it that said was it they said uh
um uh the big five is astrology for men
I've heard that for evolutionary
psychology evolutionary psychology
evolutionary psychology it's astrology
for men yeah but I mean well that's fine
but like you know a lot of well a lot of
men but but at least in my experience
more women are interested in the mbti
the Myers Briggs and that is I mean it's
you know it's not it's not completely
astrology but it's more like astrology
than the big five I had yeah it is I had
uh uh Spencer Greenberg on the show do
you know Spencer really interesting dude
I think I've seen some of his I got
intro to him from William mcll um super
interesting guy mathematician but just
does science like I don't know what he's
funded by maybe himself but uh and he
did a a huge breakdown of like
predictive power of uh Myers Briggs
versus Big Five versus other stuff
versus other stuff and uh Myers Briggs
is like I think it's like 18% accurate
basically on actual predisposition uh of
things but uh yeah it is that that's
astrology for astrology I think uh what
was that study about higher female
status and gender equality being
associated with lower female uh relative
to male happiness and relationship
satisfaction and stuff like that yeah
this was a study came across I think it
was published in
2015 uh which yeah essentially found
that that higher levels of wealth and
and sociopolitical equality among the
genders is associated with lower levels
of of relative happiness for women
compared to men and the researchers
speculate this may have something to do
with increasing levels of employment uh
the the pressure to obtain higher levels
of Education uh among women in
particular and that this is actually
sort of uh uh uh dampening women's
levels of happiness and to me this this
connects with another uh this one is you
know this this classic finding of the
the Paradox of declining female
happiness which is essentially that
since the 1970s uh women's happiness
relative to to men's has declined so to
be clear everyone's so so relative to
the 1970s um everyone is less happy
today compared to the 1970s but in the
1970s men were actually happier uh no no
no sorry women were happier than men so
women had higher rates of Happiness
relative to men in the 1970s and people
generally were happier overall fast
forward to the present and uh things
have reversed men are now happier than
women although overall people report
being less happy um and so yeah that
that study that I pointed out that was
an interesting one to me because yeah I
mean the the message that a lot of young
people receive today is what are the
keys to happiness you know you you you
work hard you go you get a you go to
college you get a degree you get a
high-paying job you sort of Follow that
cookie cutter track and what is the the
purpose of all of this um and it's you
know I I I suppose you know most people
say well they want to be happy and so
you go through the education and
employment route maybe you go to law
school after college you sort of get the
credentials you go through the whatever
the fellowships and all these different
programs and at the end of the tunnel
you're hoping that you'll be happy uh
and actually uh for both men and women
doesn't seem to be working but for women
in particular um because they've had the
sharpest decline right cuz remember they
were happier and now they're you know so
exactly and and so they're uh uh
diminishing happiness has actually been
sort of more pronounced relative to men
um the men H the men's happiness being
sort of higher than women's is is
interesting as well and I wonder if that
is almost sort of uh the the reversal in
some ways of course they're less happy
overall but why would they be happier
than women and I wonder if that's to
some degree because they don't feel as
much pressure anymore the sort of um you
know back in the day men were sort of
pressured more to be earners and
providers and so on and there was a sort
of a economic pressure associated with
that and now that you don't really have
to we I mean we're seeing young men are
sort of dropping out of college they're
dropping out of higher education and
employment and at least in the short
term depending on how the survey
questions are presented if it's just you
know how do you feel generally or how do
you feel today or what have you I think
a lot of you guys might be like yeah I
don't I don't I didn't have to go to
class given the fact that men were
previously less happy and relative to
then are now less happy also it's just
that really the the change the big
change here is the women right that's
fled yeah I wonder whether um like the
male dissatisfaction with the uh gameful
employment state of seeking providing
thing was just baked in already it's
like oh okay like we we we already knew
this like Granddad was spit and sawdust
and he was unhappy and dad was spit and
swust and he was unhappy and I'm spit
and swust and I'm unhappy but there is a
little bit less pressure to do this uh
was that Candice Blake that did that one
uh the the the female happiness study I
don't recall the the authors of that one
it was the Journal of Happiness studies
she definitely taught me about either
that or something similar which is yeah
that you know the gender pay Gap
positively predicts relationship
satisfaction oh I have seen that yeah
yeah I think yeah I read that paper um
which is you know
it's and it's it's funny because so it
predicts relationship satisfaction if
men earn more than women and then it
also there was there was a reversal of
this um I don't know if if kace was a
study on this or a different different
uh but they found that when when women
in marriages earn more than men that
this predicts higher rates of of of
arguments of verbal aggression on behalf
of the woman of just general
relationship higher rates of domestic
violence infidelity on the part of the
man as well men are more likely to cheat
when they ear less uh 50% increase in
the use of erectile dysfunction
medication when the woman's the primary
bread winner I've heard that too yeah
that's uh yeah that's pretty it's pretty
I mean it's Grim but then you know I I
uh you know here's an anecdote I
remember when I was in undergrad and I
had this conversation it was uh you know
it was me and like this this group of of
of women these female students and one
of them you know she was a pretty
hardcore feminist and she said that it
should be 50 like 50% of women uh should
be working you know 50% of women like if
it's the case that 50% of women are
working 50% of women should be at home
and same for men you know if 50% of men
should be working 50% of men at home and
uh and then you know so then I was
basically just sitting back like I was
not going to get entangled in this but
then some of the other women were saying
you know okay so you know but like would
you actually be like okay with that like
your husband's staying at home I don't
really know whatever and then and then
finally I decided to to jump in and I
said like you know speaking to to this
this this young feminist woman I said
yeah can like so I know that you plan on
going to law school you're very smart
you're going to be very successful like
how would you feel like your husband is
at home I don't know changing diapers
and taking care of the kids and you're
at you know you're at a a prestigious
law firm with a bunch of high-powered
attorneys like how would that you know
you think you'd be happy in that
situation and her response was um wow I
I got like I think I just felt A tingle
when you said High powerered attorneys
like I got really excited when you said
that that was basically her reaction wow
and it was half joking but half serious
and all of the women laughed I laughed
too it it was you know it was a good
response but like I think you know that
there was an element of seriousness
there right that like when you you know
when she's sort of fantasizing about
like yeah rubbing shoulders with all of
these you know high-powered successful
at the top of their game and then you
got your husband at home and I think
it's just it's different right like it's
men and women are different we're
attracted to different things yeah it's
interesting to think about uh the
potential pressure that uh may come
along for the ride with you are supposed
to be gainfully employed and have your
education and be able to sort this sort
of stuff um that's something I
the not just the going to work not just
the getting up early and and the hours
of sleep and all the rest of it but kind
of the
psychosocial interpretation of being a
person that is status striving and
playing the game of the water cooler and
all of that stuff kind of doesn't really
factor into the discussion about you
know is it in conscientiousness is it a
part of your hard work like your grid
and your resilience and your desire for
all this stuff but there's just a like a
soup that comes along for the ride as a
part of being a person who's playing the
employment and the education game and
having to go out for drinks on an
evening and Schoo up to the boss and all
that sort of stuff and uh no one really
talks about that because that's part of
work right like that comes along for the
ride as a part of work but no one ever
talks about that and it's like okay like
it's the classic do you want to be a CEO
woman do you really want to do 80 hour
weeks and do you really want to do that
and it's like do you really want to play
this game for 20 years of
sucking up to people and and having to
do the social network manipulation and
deafness and all this St that being said
uh given uh women's sort of
predisposition and and ability to be a
little bit more like uh subtle with with
their cues and their emotional
intelligence and stuff I actually
imagine that on that side they might be
predisposed to it well but as it seems
uh their well-being may suffer more than
men's despite their capacity for doing
it being uh as good or greater yeah I
mean I almost wonder if it's uh it's
sort of the reversal of what we were
speaking about earlier about you know
young men who who don't want to do hard
things but then once they do them they
find that they enjoy them and they
appreciate it whereas in this in this
context you know maybe maybe some women
think oh if I follow this this track and
get get a lot of education and go to you
know it'll make me happy and then once
you get there it's actually not it's not
as satisfying as you would have hoped um
it's actually worse than you expected
and I think a lot of I know people like
this as I as I'm speaking and thinking
about it I know of people who you know
they think that once they get there um
it's they have the certain image of what
it's going to be like and actually yeah
working 70 80 90 hours a week um and
even you know they are doing well
financially they are making money they
are buying all the material Goods that
they thought they wanted um wearing you
know amazing clothes nice apartment in
the right parts of the city and so on um
but they just don't have time to enjoy
it because they're always on the clock
non-stop working weekends no time to
appreciate um you know but there I think
there is an element of the sort of
social signaling where you know the
almost at some point the only
satisfaction they really have is the
fact that they can tell people about
these goods and and their job and how
prestigious it is I was teaching you
last night about my theory of uh Surplus
mate value uh so Chris Bumstead Mr
Olympia classic physique Champion three
or four times comes on the podcast and
tells this story about how he cries on
the bathroom floor a few weeks before
he's about to win the Mr Olympia uh
because he's super stressed with all
stuff going on in his life and the
pressure of having to win and all the
rest of it and his like girlfriend sort
of holds this dude that's like 260s
presumably just holds the top of his
head uh in his arm in her arms and says
like it's okay and blah blah blah uh but
this was the guy that is the living
instantiation of the gigachad meme right
like he is the dude that is over the pey
blinders quote like the Killian Murphy
quote from pey blinders as he speaks
over the top and it's just Chris
bumpster just looking like mean and
stoic like he's the sigma male meme
that's been used on Tik Tok right like
he's Mr Sigma male and I brought up to
him this kind
of odd uh irony that the guy that is the
face of the sigma male meme the stoic
you know emotionalist just grit and
grind and go through it thing was
heavily dependent on his girlfriend in
order to be able to go and achieve the
next part of his you you know trajectory
right uh and one of the things that
interestingly got brought up in the
comments was well yeah he can do that
because he is Mr Olympia and it got me
thinking about Surplus mate value so if
there's a sufficient disparity in mate
value uh not to say that Chris is
Chris's m is like a smoke show super
smart I'm pretty sure she went to like
like multiple college degrees plus like
World Fitness competitor herself in her
own rights but it's like there is just a
ladder that you can continue to climb if
you're going and be world champion in
anything and basically that Chris had so
much Surplus mate value in his
relationship uh that he could get away
with withdrawing from this bank account
he's allowed to cry but if the uh if
you're not the world champion right like
maybe the guy that comes 20th maybe he's
unable to do that um and if he if he did
cry on the floor that would dip him
below and the girlfriend would see him
for the vulnerable cook that he is and
leave uh but yeah just kind of an
unfalsifiable uh well I mean I mean it's
it's seems like an illustration of
counter signaling essentially right like
when you're I mean the the whole idea of
counter signaling is like once you reach
a certain point uh in in a status domain
you uh you can you you can actually
behave the same way as someone very low
on the status domain would behave and it
actually increases your status even more
uh and so example I like to use is uh
this classic word from from Jeffrey
Miller and his colleagues about uh
self-deprecating humor that if you're
very very high status person and you're
holding a meeting or you're just in a
social setting and you make fun of
yourself a little bit um people actually
it it ingratiates you it sort of uh
increases their admiration of you that
oh he's just a humble guy he's making
fun of himself but if you're a low man
on the totem pole and you start making
self-deprecating jokes people don't want
to be around you they're like oh who's
this you know this this guy who uh
doesn't like himself very much or just
it just it hits people the wrong way um
and then yeah our mutual friend Rory
Sutherland likes to use the riding the
bicycle on the way to work example which
we we mentioned this last night too
about how if the uh you know if the the
guy who works at Pizza Hut rides his
bike to work it's because he can't
afford a car but if the CEO rides the
bike to work it's because he cares about
his health or he cares about the
environment or he's just uh you know
he's just a conscientious guy or you
know there's there we we and it makes us
like him more that he's just you know
he's riding his bike he doesn't you know
he doesn't have to drive the fancy car
uh it makes us like him even more and I
think yeah there's something there about
that that sort of the counter signaling
element here and I think you can see it
in in in a lot of different walks of
life um just like how how much
self-promote people do there was a um a
classic paper called too good for school
um one of the early papers in the
counter signaling um uh sort of research
area and this was about so this was I
want to say in the early 2000s where
they asked uh or what they did was they
gathered um Sy syllabi from college
professors and found syi the the
syllabus is that plural plural of
syllabus dear God okay um and so they
gathered these from various institutions
and rank order them and essentially
found that the the more prestigious the
institution uh the less likely the
professor was to use their title on the
syllabus so if you're you know if you're
at some fancy IV League school they
would just say I'm whatever Bob Smith
but if you're sort of mid-tier or lower
down it's you know uh doctor so and so
or Professor so and so whatever yeah all
the degrees everything and then they
also called the so this was back when
people still had answering machines and
so they called the offices of these
professors and found that uh
Rob Henderson PhD
MC canab so whereas at um at the the the
higher ranked universities right so it's
exactly the same yeah yeah they say hey
yeah yeah Bob call me later whatever
whereas yeah the lower tier it's yeah Dr
so and so you know this office this
department and just all of their
credentials and I I think we're now
seeing this to some degree in like the
uh the social media space now or in like
how how much self-promotion people do if
you're an established author you can
maybe make one or two announcements but
if you're still sort of struggling and
still trying to make it you have to do a
lot more self-promotion and but there's
a reversal of this where if you um so so
there was there was another paper when
it was something like uh when when
disclosing good news goes wrong
something along these lines where if
you're a very high status person doing
very well in your life and you do a lot
of self-promo uh and or or if you do a
lot of sort of um uh uh counter
signaling people don't like it uh and so
uh an example that I've given is uh so
like a first-time author uh if your book
does very well and you write this long
post on social media you know I want to
thank all of you for following me on
this journey blah blah blah blah blah
but if a super famous wellestablished
author does the same thing it comes
across as a little bit go as a little
bit like we already knew you were going
to do well like you don't have to play
this like mock humility so I've thought
about this from a like a a storytelling
perspective especially over the last six
years that um going back and talking
about when I ruptured my achilles and
set up a special kind of stand so that I
could do it with my foot elevated in a
boot I remember those days we we had the
FaceTime and I'm like is that your foot
yeah not attached to my the rest of my
leg
um that that's that's kind of cool to to
track that Journey so you know for the
people that are on any kind of uh
trajectory with whether it be content
creation or a business or something like
that I think that there's an awful lot
of value of saying the things as they
happen of kind of showing the times
one of Alex mosi's biggest regrets in
life is that he didn't track the
times more because he's now worth
hundreds of millions of dollars and he
lives in this nice Penthouse and he can
retrospectively tell people about the
times but it's not the same as
showing them right and when you get
presuming that all of your plans go well
and you end up in the place that you
want to end up in when you get there
it's going to be way more difficult for
you to try and tell people about the non
Ivory Tower that you used to live in
yeah uh so I think that tracking
tracking your journey is best you can
and you know getting the posts out there
or writing about the times that have
been rough or things like that writing
about the challenges not only is it I
think a a useful tool for yourself to
remind yourself to go back and read or
or watch or whatever and see oh I went
through a period that I had to be
resilient that means that if I face a
similar challenge in future I can also
be resilient but also it's a good like
way marker in the ground of like here
here I was this is kind of evidence skin
in the game of how life has been at
at least at some points yeah yeah yeah
that's yeah I mean yeah I like I like
that example and if you especially like
I've seen these cases of people who are
very successful and they they don't
really talk about the struggle until
they're already very successful and then
once they start talking about the
journey people don't really take it as
seriously as like well why are we just
now hearing about this or why haven't
you talked about this before I'm not
sure I believe this uh or you just sort
of whatever like like uh embellishing
this to to make the journey more
interesting and yeah I think there is
there is value to sort of tracking it
along the way
and to yeah to to sort of reflect and
and I think it's it's also just like an
inspiring message too to other people
who are also struggling very early in
their in their careers or in their in
their lives um I think your I think your
book's going to do this I'm really
superc excited I'm aware that it wasn't
supposed to be like you know you too
dispossessed human can become go through
the US Air Force and Yale and
you know all that stuff uh but I I
really think you know like reading it
reading early versions of the of the
manuscript I was like hell like
this is you know it's kind of like the
anti- blackpill message like the guy who
kept on just getting kicked in the face
by life ends up kind of succeeding at
the end of it I'm super excited for it
to come out that wasn't the intention
but I but I have yeah heard heard
similar sort of feedback a friend of
mine who who joined the Navy um and he
was yeah he had just gotten out of basic
training and he was still eating
sort of early in in in his his military
career and yeah he read an early
manuscript and he was like yeah this was
this was great like this is exactly what
I needed in this moment CU I was just
feeling so so awful and like realizing
go just put one foot in front of the
other just keep trying keep taking shots
and uh and yeah it'll it'll you know
hopefully you know work out as as long
as you sort of have your mindset right
and your priorities in order um yeah man
it's uh can people pre-order that yet it
listed it's it's up so so yeah I mean
you know we can talk about it it's fine
it's it's a back you're coming back on
for the book so don't we will do it's up
for it's up for pre-order um I'll do
everyone needs to go and pre-order Rob's
book right now I want to shove this down
the throat of the culture thanks man
thanks yeah yeah it's um yeah and it has
a bit of both I think there's something
for everyone I mean there's a lot of
sort of first person narrative driven
stuff but then there's also sort of
sociological analysis and a lot of sort
of there stuff on on status on um how we
evaluate other people and those kinds of
things sort of work their way and
especially uh in the later chapters of
the book I I do this thing where I sort
of write each chapter from the
perspective of myself at that age um but
yeah as I sort of enter adulthood and
become a sort of more Curious and
reflective person I sort you know you
can sort of see the way that my mind I
guess sort of develops in the way I
start to think about things so yeah man
yeah I'm I'm excited for it too and uh
yeah I'm pumped for it to come out and
the cover's cool it's you as a kid
riding a a bike down the street uh so
you taught me about this
idea about why ovulation might be
concealed in women and I've got a
counter like hypothesis as well
so what what was the what's that idea
that you learned from bow Meister about
ovulation all right so this was a a
chapter um this it was a speculative
chapter from from Roy Bal Meister this
eminent psychologist um where
essentially the idea here is that so
women have concealed ovulation right you
can't necessarily tell when they're
ovulating the way that you you know you
you you Vis very visibly can with other
great apes with chimpanzees and so forth
and so the speculative idea is that uh
it so so a lot of evolutionary
researchers have suggested that this is
you know maybe concealed ovulation is to
conceal from men right like so that men
don't necessarily know when the woman's
ovulating or you know whether whether to
sort of reduce the risk of sexual
coercion or to um sort of obscure
paternity uncertainty or all of those
kinds of things whereas this speculative
chapter um posits that it's actually uh
to
conceal uh ovulation from themselves so
that women don't know because back you
know you know this is you vastly
oversimplifying but back when women
started to be or human beings in general
started to become sort of
self-reflective and introspective and
and fully conscious and women could
suddenly tell oh when when I'm ovulating
I'm more likely to get pregnant they
could visibly see it then they would be
less likely to have sex and and in order
to um to essentially sidestep the
burdens of pregnancy because pregnancy
was extremely risky and uh you would
become aware you would as a woman you
would become aware of your own menstrual
cycle avoid particular periods
appropriately and so the idea here is
that eventually uh only the women who uh
had concealed ovulation were the ones to
reproduce and then gradually over time
all women uh had had obscured uh
ovulation and and this was essentially
uh a way to to sort of prevent women
from from uh sidestepping their their
own possibility of pregnancy and then uh
yeah and some of the some of those uh
those those um excerpts that I sent you
there was a nice line from Leslie Nome
in this book that just came out a couple
of years ago called The Story of Us
which is a nice sort of sweeping updated
overview of human evolution and
essentially you know what she writes she
and her her co-author they write that um
you know historically there may have
been women who avoided the burdens of
pregnancy but those women are not our
ancestors right it was the the the women
who did under undergo this this very
difficult challenging and dangerous
experience and those those were the ones
so I thought those two those two
findings are neatly Dov tailed but I'm
curious to hear what's your sort of I'm
pretty sure that it was Roy that taught
me about this one as well no it might it
might have been Candace Blake that
um other women are if if a woman while
she's ovulating or about to ovulate is
put under intense social and physical
stress it can cause the ovulation to
misfire uh so women who are under real
significant stress it messes up the
menstrual cycle many women that are
listening to this may know that the
menstrual cycle kind of if they're super
stressed at work or they're studying for
exams or whatever like the stuff gets
squirrly right like guys might struggle
to get an erection if they're super
stressed women might their menstrual
cycle can go all over uh and one of the
arguments is that concealed
ovulation stops other women in your
tribe from with
you while they know that you're
potentially
yeah yeah okay well so I I think like
that so so these hypotheses are not
necessarily mutually exclusive they all
work together the pair bonding thing
like if you don't know when you're
ovulating if you don't know when you're
fertile it means you need to have sex
more frequently with your partner which
increases the pair bond which actually
means that husband is going to stick
around or that father is going to stick
around with woman in order to be able to
raise child yeah yeah yeah I think there
yeah so so and it may require all of
those different
um external phenomena to to produce that
outcome right like one of those alone
might not be enough where you know if if
it had only been the the concealing
ovulation from themselves maybe we would
still have you know some some percentage
of women who were visibly uh ovulating
and others who aren't but it may require
all of those different um Trends working
together to produce the situation in
which uh uh women are no longer sort of
visible when they're when or the
ovulation is no longer visible uh among
women so so yeah I mean this is uh I
think yeah this is this is sort of a a a
often this this obstacle people kind of
run into or this trap that we we think
like it can only be one or the other but
this yeah I don't think this is NE many
many things right I mean evolution is
complicated and intricate and so many
things are going on I think um concealed
ovulation given that it's super rare in
the animal kingdom I think as well so
yeah uh concealed ovulation is one of
these things that appears to just
trigger a whole host of doesn't matter
which of these hypotheses are correct uh
there are so many benefits right from an
evolutionary perspective just trigger
all of these different thing you take
10% of them you're like it's a pretty
good deal it's pretty works pretty well
yeah uh what's that um Solomon's Paradox
that you you were teaching me about
what's that yeah so Solomon's Paradox is
so it's a finding in in Psychology but
it's named after the the biblical King
Solomon who had a reputation for being
the wise King and there was this this
adage that arose uh uh that if you have
any issues you should ask King Solomon
and famously most people know the King
Solomon story of the the two women who
claimed uh uh that they were the mother
of the baby and then he um so you know
kind of kind of uh sneakily said okay
well we're just going to cut the baby in
half and he knew that if we you know he
knew that if he did this that the that
the actual mother would step forth and
say The other woman can have it and that
that and that's how he you know so so
that's how he sort of resolved this
issue but it's a parad or they they they
they assigned this label the Solomon
Paradox because King Solomon himself in
his personal life was actually not very
wise so he was wise for other people but
in his personal life um you know he he
he made a lot of mistakes as a king he
um he uh was was not a particularly good
father to his son and his son actually
grew up to be a tyrant and an actually
very bad King because he had sort of uh
uh mismanaged his own parenting and so
in Psychology the Solomon's Paradox is
that that people can be very wise for
other people's social problems but are
often less than wise for their own and
so there was a recent meta analysis that
just came out uh various studies looking
at the Solomon Paradox are people sort
of wiser when reasoning about you know
so they you know they bring people in
people who had recently gone through a
breakup for example and sort of ask them
what do you plan to do and so on and so
forth and then they would bring in um
other people either strangers or the
participants friends or people you know
peers of theirs and say well what do you
think this person should do in that
situation and and found and they found
various ways to sort of uh uh measure
this of of how to how to sort of um
measure wise decision-making and found
that uh you know that social distance
actually actually helps it's the peer or
the stranger who can say Okay so this
person has just been betrayed by their
friend or they're just going through a
breakup or they're having some
difficulty in their social lives well
here's probably the best way to go and
uh the idea here seems to be yeah when
you're sort of emotionally entangled
it's hard to sort of act rationally it's
hard to act in a way that um you that
that that will benefit both you and and
maybe the other party as well and so as
I was reading this I think you know it's
it's a really interesting finding in and
of itself but then I also I also wonder
so so I'll actually give an example of
this uh so there was a there was an
interesting study on on economic games
and so there's this game called um uh
the the ultimatum game uh in behavioral
economics and uh the simple version of
the game is that so imagine you and I
are playing the ultimatum game and the
researcher gives me $10 and says you can
give some amount to Chris uh and if he
accepts the amount then both of you walk
away with the money and so I'm under
this you know I I I I have to deliberate
and think okay so how much do I have to
offer Chris of my 10 he knows I you you
know I have 10 uh so you know I have 10
how much do I have to offer you to say
that was a fair deal and we both walk
away and what the researchers find
consistently is you have to offer at
least 30% um I I would have said 30%
that felt about right yeah and same yeah
when I first like oh 30 yeah that sounds
fair um any any more it would feel like
unrealistic but any less would feel
unfair
um and so that's what they consistently
find is around 30% um but they've done
different versions of this game where
you're playing on behalf of someone else
so so it's actually it's it's um
economically irrational to take anything
um uh to to to to decline any amount
greater than zero essentially yeah you
should take anything right because you
know one is better than zero um so what
they find is that when you have someone
play on behalf of someone else in the
ultimatum game um so I'm playing for a
friend whatever um or you're playing on
behalf of a friend that people will
accept Anya greater than zero because
they can step back and not get so okay
well is it fair is it not fair it's okay
so my friend either walks away with
nothing or they walk away with $1 or $2
or whatever it happens to be um and so
so I found that finding the Solomon's
Paradox interesting because I wonder if
there's something if if this can be
applied more broadly to what's going on
with young people you've seen some of
these data about young people having
fewer friends fewer social contacts less
likely to be in relationships less time
uh in actual physical social spaces
and this the solon's Paradox indicates
that it's actually helpful to have
social contacts and to have friends to
talk your problems through with so if
I'm having an issue and I've done this
before I'm like you know I someone you
know I'm thinking about uh making a
decision in my career or something I'll
call you I'll call someone and say hey
what are your thoughts on this and that
can sort of help me to contextualize and
you'll see things that I don't see and
so forth um but if you're young person
uh and you don't have many people around
you that so so you're already unhappy
because you don't have very many friends
but then without the friends and people
you can communicate with to talk your
problems through with um in in in your
life whether it's in your career or
other other social domains romantic
relationships and so forth you become
even less happy because now you're
making unwise decisions you know and so
there's this sort of negative feedback
cycle that may few people to show you
your blind spots exactly and and to sort
of list out the options that you could
take that you aren't seeing Or List out
the uh the negative outcomes that could
occur if you make the the decision that
you're leaning toward um and so yeah
over time this may actually be
exacerbating it's not just about
loneliness it's also about the sort of
Solomon's Paradox and making more unwise
decisions in your life right yeah this
sort of recursive isolationist decision-
making which is suboptimal compared with
if you were so not only would you have
the support network I would feel better
but on top of that I would also be
making better decisions which Downstream
from that would lead me to have a better
life presumably including maybe a better
life where I have more friends around me
yeah yeah yeah Chris did you ever
watched this show who wants to a
millionaire yeah yeah so I watched a I
watched a couple of seasons of like the
new one this was during the lockdown
couple of Seasons a couple yeah lockdown
man you know I got to do something yeah
is that a World of Warcraft well I was
playing in the background right so I'd
put on you know cuz I used to watch the
show as a kid I put on the back it was
almost like a comfort thing you know
down and one thing that I noticed was um
I don't know like they changed you know
they used to have these lifelines one of
the lifelines in this like updated
version or the whatever the covid
lockdown version was that they would
bring their smart friend along and that
was a Lifeline like they'd bring their
smart friend they'd be sitting in the
back uh and if they wanted to use a
Lifeline they'd turn around and ask
their smart friend what phone a friend
was one I wonder if they did that
because of like Google or something you
know so if you phone a friend the friend
can just look it up online but now if
they have right behind them they can't
look up online what the answer is and I
was watching this and I and I thought to
myself like yeah if you like if you
don't have any friends you know what I
mean like what do you do like who you
bring along and I think you can sort of
apply that to your life more broadly
like it's you know you're in the Who
Wants To Be A Millionaire game you bring
your smart friend along but you know
life isn't Who Wants To Be A Millionaire
but life is a series of making difficult
decisions and if you can't phone a
friend and say hey what do you think
like the game becomes harder for you and
also if you do get accepted to Who Wants
To Be A Millionaire yeah you're not
going to have the friend to bring along
with you specifically for that situation
as well you're missing out potentially
in a million dollars that's a million
dollars that you could have had yeah I
amum I think there's definitely
something sort of recursive going on
here
and it's like the that in a citadel
thing that you taught me about which
just can't unsee that Isaiah bin idea of
if you cannot get what you want you must
teach yourself to want what you can get
you Retreat from the Fateful ills of the
world into this inner Citadel like um if
you struggle to lose weight just declare
that weight has no bearing on health and
that you know like body Size Doesn't
impact attractiveness or if you struggle
to hold down a job say that all jobs of
for suckers and turn to a life of crime
or if you struggle to make relationships
work say you know monogamy is ancest Al
unwise and I'm going to become a
polyamorous like like polycule type
person um and I do think that there's an
equivalent here the like black pill
Sigma male cope um and I don't think
that there's an equivalent for women
right there's not an isolationist like
retreat from the world equivalent for
women which I guess suggests that their
social networks uh tend to be a little
bit more sticky than men's uh yeah yeah
yeah I mean Dunbar wrote this book on on
psychology of friendship and that was
one of the points that he made that
women are sort of better at staying in
touch reaching out and organizing
Gatherings and and it's what is it the
um I don't know if he uses this term but
uh it's sort of face to face versus
shoulder-to-shoulder that when men have
friends they do things together can't
unse it I've spoken about this
on the show before but for the people
that haven't heard it um next time that
you're at a party or any sort of
gathering look at the angle of the feat
of women talking to women and of men
talking to men women will talk to women
100 80° they'll be face to face whereas
men the average is 120° so it's like
blading slight angle yeah yeah yeah yeah
um and I mean this shows up once you see
that you can't not see it and it's a
rule that works across so many different
things the men's sheds initiative in
Australia did you see that I have not
seen this they uh men it was an
initiative by the Australian government
I think uh to try and improve men's
mental health they realized that getting
men to sit down in a room and talk like
this about their problems didn't work so
what they did is they built sheds that
men came to and then the men would bring
like I've got this knacked lawn mower
and everyone needs to help fix it so how
are men talking they're talking whilst
their front brain is focused on this
thing that's in front and they are
shoulder Tosh shoulder not face to face
they're literally in a circle and
everyone's like right you you've got the
good drill and he's got the good spanner
and I've got the hammer or whatever and
let's fix this thing and god dude me and
the misses were not getting on well and
before you know it it's a therapy
session mediated by this lawn
mower right they had the the the
pretense of repairing lawn but they need
that right they're required if you just
put them in the shed with no lawn mower
and they're just standing in a circle
it's yeah that's yeah so yeah that was
yeah the face to face versus
shoulder-to-shoulder about um yeah women
will talk and communicate with one
another whereas men will sort of they
need a reason to sort of do an activity
together and and then communicate and
discuss their some of my best some of my
best conversations are during pickle
ball warm-ups oh yeah just dinking just
gently dinking about everyone all of the
pickle bow Pros out there know that you
start off very close to the net and you
play the game within the kitchen and
then you step back a little bit and you
pay sort of like a mid-level game and
then you step to the Baseline and
sometimes that warmup when you're close
to the net and in the mid-level game
will go for 30 45 minutes with me and
one especially if it's singles less time
if it's doubles uh but if it's singles
it's just you and your friend he's like
dude work's getting a bit stressful or
this thing's happening and before you
know it you're deep in conversation in
fact we did this once at South Austin
Recreation Center uh me and my friend
and there was some guy that was sat on
the side uh and my friend I was talking
to podcaster as well and I think he was
going through some going through some
something to do with his life and we
were just talking and talking and
talking and I realized that we must have
been doing this for like at least 20
minutes and it's a kind of bad form to
hog a court for a while especially if
you're not playing a game because when
you're playing a game and somebody wins
the winner stays on and the next person
Cycles in and I realized that this dude
had been s maybe sort of like 50s kind
of guy uh like very typical pickle ball
kind of player and I realized that we'd
been just warming up for like 20 minutes
again bad form um the game will maybe
take around about 10 minutes or so
something like that and uh I think I
turned and said something like oh dude
like I didn't realize that you were
waiting I was kind of engrossed in this
warmup and we'll we'll we'll get a game
going and he's like to be honest that
was a really compelling conversation uh
and I remember thinking wow like the
male requirement for distraction from
emotional communication is so strong
that I can play like a full warm-up for
a sport yeah uh whilst doing it Yeah you
sort of lose track of of time I think
yeah I mean the the the sex differences
in friendship I think are there's
there's another sort of pattern that
occurs where in breakups men don't only
lose their their female partner but a
lot of their friends too because it's
the woman who's sort of maintaining the
or those sort of nudge the man to say
like hey have you talked to your friend
in a while you should shoot him a text
or see how he's doing or what have you
and uh it's hard to it's hard to keep
that up um for a lot of men right
because it doesn't come naturally for
them the way that it does for women and
they sort of Monitor and you know
there's obviously like sort of
evolutionarily adaptive reasons for this
that uh you know men are you know more
Expendable and sort of less preoccupied
with saying plugged in and survival and
all those kinds of things whereas women
are pretty good at sort of mon tune up
that Alo parenting pool exactly the same
way that women do yeah and uh and so
yeah we see this uh yeah a lot of the
young people in general report having sh
were friends but this is especially
pronounced for for for a lot of young
men um which is yeah I mean I've seen
you and I've seen some others sort of
recommend you know there are a lot of
ways like if you're if you're a woman
and you want to make friends there's one
way to do it but I think if you're a man
like getting involved in sports or
something some kind of activity like
that's the way to do it it's not just
like oh I'm going to try to make this
person into my friend it's like hey do
you want to like go play catch or do you
want to go play tickle ball think about
some of your friends you know we've got
mutual friends that you've been to a
university with to studies with and if
you're both a part of a project for a
brief amount of time the male friendship
deepen so rapidly you know my ex
business partner that I ran nightlife
stuff with for 15 years decade and a
half groomsman at his wedding uh you
know like phenomenal guy very formative
for me sat next to in my first ever
seminar and became a business partner
there and then and we're still great
friends I catch up with them every time
I go back to the UK but I'd be lying if
I said the depth of our friendship
hadn't diminished because we were no
longer working toward a shared Mission
whereas uh editor Dean uh per he's a
perfect example so we brought on a new
guy our YouTube strategist and um since
he's got brought in the uh pace of
friendship deepening oh yeah has it's
just been so rapid because you're not
just bonding with somebody that you like
like you selected them to work for the
company because you would get on with
them and you think that you share your
values but because I spend 5 hours a
week grappling with titles and
thumbnails and what who who should we
book on the show and how am I going
to sort this schedule out and then he'll
travel and we'll sleep in some shitty
hotel and you know all of that moving
toward a shared Mission I think for men
just and genders it's more than it's
like brothers more than friends right
you know it's almost like for Warfare in
a in a regard solving a problem together
yep right you're solving a problem
everyone needs a lawn mower yeah yeah
everyone needs a lawn mowe to face yeah
yeah that's what yeah that's what put I
mean it's uh yeah having having that sh
and so so one thing I'd be ious about
with with men and women because I know
that there's there's various studies
sort of
indicating that there is this sort of
turnover rate this sort of friendship
path life where supposedly I mean I've
seen different different stats different
studies on this some some say seven
years some say 10 years where roughly
half of your friendship pool turns over
every seven years or every 10 years you
lose half and they get replaced by
another group I wonder if this is more
likely to be the case for men than women
simply because of that sort of uh the
the the way that problem solving facilit
friendships and once you've solved the
problem once you've written the book or
once you've done the task or then you
sort of move on you whatever in the case
of academics you write you know you
write your chapters in your papers
together or you do your research studies
and then it's like okay moving on and
you sort of lose touch and so I wonder
if there is that sort of gender divide
in Friendship turnover as well yeah I
don't know that though yeah Rob
Henderson ladies and gentlemen Rob it's
just so much fun to catch up with you
I'm glad to get to to our first one in
person I love it as well uh you'll be
back on in February when's the St
February 20th February 20th 3 days
before my birthday what a lovely
birthday treat uh so you'll be back on
when you come through Austin where
should people go they want to read more
of the stuff that you write I love your
substack I only subscrib to I think four
or five and they're all EX modern wisdom
guests uh where should people go
substack Twitter all that stuff yeah uh
substack robk henderson.com Twitter robk
Henderson um easy to find so look me up
and I'll be there hell yeah thanks Rob
thanks Chris thank you very much for
tuning in if you enjoyed that episode
with Rob you will love my full length
ation with one of the best behavioral
economists on the planet Rory
Sutherland go
on give it a watch