Video summary
The video explores a profound shift in American society since 1977, contrasting the confident, forthright demeanor of men from that era with the current climate of fear, censorship, and political correctness. The speaker attributes this decline to legal and cultural changes such as Title IX, civil rights legislation, and the opening of male locker rooms to female reporters, which he argues destroyed traditional spaces for candid male bonding and replaced social ease with a "fear dressed up as taste." This erosion of communal trust has forced many men to withdraw into solitary pursuits like video games or pornography because they no longer feel safe sharing vulnerabilities in mixed-sex environments. The speaker illustrates this loss of cohesion by comparing it to the Australian concept of "mateship," where blunt speech and mutual mockery signal belonging, whereas modern diversity initiatives have allegedly reduced common ground and made men less likely to open up about personal failings.
Beyond cultural shifts, the discussion delves into the psychological impact of these changes on elite culture and identity, describing a move from collective, rule-based communities to an individualist society that promotes a "buffered identity." This belief in autonomous moral agency clashes with the reality of a porous world where external standards are essential for social stability. The speaker notes that this transition has increased interaction costs and created grievances among those whose traditional identities feel displaced, leading to a phenomenon he calls the "angry WASP," where former elites displace their rage onto safe targets like consumerism or bureaucratic jargon because they can no longer claim their past dominance was morally superior. He further critiques the media narrative that essentializes groups like Iran as irrational, arguing instead that such views ignore different cultural operating systems and damage U.S. deterrence capabilities by alienating allies in Asia.
The analysis extends to the nature of power dynamics within political philosophies and religious institutions, suggesting that doctrines are often post hoc justifications for seizing power rather than coherent beliefs derived from evolutionary advantages. The speaker applies Randall Collins' theory of interaction ritual chains to explain how successful social interactions generate emotional energy, while poor relations lead to depletion, a dynamic exemplified by his father's loss of ministerial credentials which stripped him of status and community standing. He also highlights how prestigious literary outlets historically favored stories of liberal progress while excluding sympathetic portrayals of the white working class or traditional Christianity, effectively suppressing critical views on group differences and feminism. Ultimately, the video concludes that effective global strategy and social healing require building integrated coalitions based on strength and respect rather than paternalism, urging a return to deep engagement with allies to counteract the isolation and fear that have come to define modern American life.
Read the full video transcript
[music]
>> Good day, mate. Forty here. Haven't
streamed in about a month and [music]
haven't missed it at all. Had no plans
on live streaming today, but I just got
so mad.
Got so angry.
They don't do this to me. I'm coming
back here 100 times if I have to.
So,
dog on it. I forget. Whenever I press
stream on my OBS software, there's this
involuntary
shake that that I do. I notice it just
course right through me. It seemed to
center in my neck. So, no matter how
cool, calm, and collected and buffeted I
aspire to be,
the the shake, the the nerves just uh
rifle through me. It was involuntary.
It's just uh
just like uh that. Whenever I I press
live stream.
So, I've enjoyed taking time off to just
write my essays. I'm writing a whole
series of biographies on various [music]
writers.
And I just find it healthier for my
nervous system. I seem to calm down. I
seem to pursue depth. I get to follow
thoughts to their conclusion.
And it was just great to take the time
off. Didn't didn't miss streaming at all
until I got so triggered about an hour
ago. I thought, "Dog on it. I might as
well live stream."
And so, what the heck triggered me?
Well,
here's the background. Before I go to
bed at night, I often like to calm down
by watching a Dallas Cowboys victory.
So, I've been making my way through the
1977 and Dallas Cowboys season that that
culminated in a Super Bowl victory in
January 1978 against the Denver Broncos.
And I arrived in America in May 1977.
So, we didn't have a TV. So, I haven't
seen almost any of these games. I have
watched the Super Bowl on on YouTube
before. So, I'm getting to watch these
games. And and what strikes me about the
commentators on these 1977 games is how
unafraid they were.
So,
I got mad thinking about I miss that
America
where people were not afraid, where men
in particular were not afraid. So, these
commentators, Pat Summerall, Paul
Hornung, the former Green Bay Packer
great,
Tom Brookshier,
uh Lindsey Nelson, they would just tell
it like it was as they saw it and they
weren't afraid.
They would comment on how beautiful the
cheerleaders were. They'd talk about
drinking to excess, going out at night.
They'd talk about uh
the intestinal distress that they would
experience eating certain exotic foods.
Paul Hornung would just matter-of-fact
comment that uh college basketball no
longer needed people like him. So,
apparently he played basketball for
Notre Dame, didn't distinguish himself
in basketball, but he said explicitly on
the air in 1977, well, there's no longer
a need for 6'2" white guys.
I don't think any commentator would say
that dare say that today.
Uh
Tom Brookshier would say about Roger
Staubach, he runs like a girl.
No one would say that today. They just
seem so at ease. It just seems like a
couple of blokes
at a bar talking with other blokes.
And there was no obvious fear of
cancellation. They were just confident
and at at ease and it made me nostalgic
and then it made me mad that this has
been taken away. That cohesion
and ease
and confidence that American men used to
have as displayed by these TV
commentators.
I I miss those days. I'm mad that that's
been taken away from us. I register it
as a significant loss.
And we should talk about it.
We should talk about the loss of the
fourth-right American. Americans used to
be known for plain speaking
and for just being forthright and saying
what they thought and
just laying it out there. That was the
the international reputation of
Americans, but that has dramatically
changed since the 1990s.
Okay, here is a discussion from the
Hoover Institution. Kurt Campbell is the
guest talking about China, allies, and
US power.
>> a constant, you know, source of
immediacy for us, whereas the
Indo-Pacific tends to be the longer-term
strategic play, right? The rise of
China, there was the rise of Japan. Uh
it doesn't have the same degree of um
you know, sort of heightened conflict
and urgency, exactly. The only thing I
would say to that list, I think that is
a misreading
of the kinds of challenges that we are
facing. Um I we and we would I think
both of us agree some of the challenges
may be subtle in technology and like,
but they are very much urgent, and they
require
um immediate attention. And so, I mean,
one of the surprising things
about what's happened in um the last
couple of months,
I I think um
President Trump made a powerful argument
about avoiding political quicksand in
the Middle East. And and and remember
the most brutal critiques of the Iraq
war do not come from Democrats. They
came They come from President Trump.
But in many respects, what he has
undertaken
um here is likely to have longer and
more important implications in some ways
uh than what we've seen in Afghanistan
and Iraq. Those were both countries that
were largely irrelevant to the global
economy. But Iran is so important with
respect to the provision of
you know, fuels and uh a variety of
associated capacities like, you know,
fertilizer and the like. And I think the
changes in the Persian Gulf, Strait of
Hormuz that flow from this are going to
make the region much
different than it was before. And And I
think the hard thing for the Trump
administration is that they face very,
you know, difficult challenges. They
either continue on in some way, which
will be expensive and difficult, and
will take us away from the drama of the
Indo-Pacific,
or they acknowledge that maybe this we
made some mistakes here and cut a not
very good deal. But don't you think
looking at the discussion right now
that's underway um in Beijing between
President Trump and President Xi that
that linkage really between the Middle
East, especially Iran, and the
Indo-Pacific, and China, I mean, has
been made, right? Quite explicitly. So,
there's there's no separating the two. I
mean, China is Iran's most important
patron. Economically, security, they're
deeply invested.
Um So, these two have now come together,
I think, in an important way. And I'm
just going to remind you You You may or
may not remember. You said to me um when
you became Deputy Secretary of State,
you said, "You know, Liz." She said, "We
think dealing with So, this is obviously
recorded during the recent summit. What
was it? Two weeks ago? Asia is hard.
Let me tell you what's really hard is
the Middle East.
>> Yeah. Right? So, you said you think that
this Iran conflict is is going to be
transformative over the long term. Maybe
play that out a little bit. It will.
Yeah, maybe just So, so look, I think
you are right that the linkage has now
been made, but I think
the reasons um are manifest. First, you
know, the
the closure
of the strait have had It's had impacts
on the United States
that, you know, we can feel in the gas
pump and we're starting to feel it in
certain areas, secondary and tertiary
areas, but it's have profound impacts
across Asia. So, much So, there was some
downsides
to these commentators like Pat Summerall
and Tom Brookshier being unafraid when
they were commenting on the NFL. And one
major downside for these two men in
particular is that they were typically
drunk when they were broadcasting. And I
don't like drunkenness in public. I
don't like drunkenness in my
broadcasters. So, that was not good,
right? I I don't like being around drunk
people.
But
when I came to the United States in
1977, people started using a term for me
that I never heard in Australia, and it
was a completely accurate term, and it
was reflective of California's much
greater psychological sophistication
than the background I came from in rural
Australia. And that is people would call
me insecure. And so, I think there are
many benefits to increased uh
psychological sophistication, but I I
did notice
a decline
over the years in confidence in in
American men. So, used to be you listen
to these 1977 football games,
and the commentators sound like two men
at the end of the bar
talking the way men talk when no one is
keeping a ledger of their sentences,
because back then
nothing was likely to be clipped and
frozen and then shipped around the world
by noon, right? A line would live 3
seconds and then die. So, they were able
to loosen up. And I love the ease and
much of the ease that I love is the ease
of the low stakes per word.
Right? And the audience
right?
was was part of this construction. The
broadcast booth assumed a we. It talked
to you as a fellow, as a bloke, as a man
at home with a beer who'd take jokes in
the spirit they were thrown.
So, when Paul Hornung said the game no
longer wants the slow 6'2" white college
player, right? He spoke to a room that
was inclined to agree with him, at least
one that wouldn't turn him in. And I
also noticed how the cameras on these
games seem to linger longer on the
cheerleaders. Why don't we have this
kind of academic research that lets us
know exactly how long the the cameras
linger on cheerleaders and how that's
changed over the years.
And so, you had blokes who were at ease
and it just seemed to me reflective of
this greater ease and confidence
when Americans had more in common. So,
diversity does come with some blessings
and it also comes with some curses.
Diversity means that we have less and
less in common with each other. And the
less in common you have with other
people, the less likely you are to
volunteer, to share, to open up, and to
be at ease. So, we had a much stronger
collective sense of ourselves back in
the 1970s.
So,
we have the rise of political
correctness on American university
campuses during the 1980s.
And then, we have the
blowback against any speech that
defies these new rules of political
correctness. Then, you get corporate
consolidation.
Then, you get sponsors who fear
association with anything that's
politically incorrect. You start getting
recordings that never die. Each sentence
now carries a risk to your career. So,
every sentence gets scrubbed before it
even leaves the mouth, and now you can
hear the scrubbing. Right, the modern
booth addresses no one in particular
because modern commentators fear the
crowd holds someone who's just waiting
to be wounded.
And a man can no longer speak publicly
as to a friend. Right, he has to speak
past the audience. Right, we have lost
the intimacy, we have lost the ease, we
have lost the confidence.
And this ease and confidence rested on a
united and trusting America, a very
different America than the one we have
now. And what has replaced
that ease is not better taste, right? It
is fear dressed up as taste.
Right, the commentator could joke in the
1970s cuz he trusted you to take a joke.
He could linger on the cheerleaders, and
he could appreciate their beauty
because he assumed that you saw what he
saw, and he felt no need to pretend
otherwise. He could be much more open
and honest and real. He could talk about
himself, his appetites, his hangovers.
Right, he could treat the broadcast as a
conversation among men rather than a
liability to be managed. So, the trust
goes,
the intimacy goes with it, and now you
get two professionals narrating to a
camera. They are careful, they are
smooth, they are censored, they are
absent. There's no warmth
and connection like we used to have
because we used to belong to a common
nation,
a common community.
Right, there was warmth coming off the
screen, and it's gone. It's a giant
loss.
And all the social ease and confidence
that cannot be brought back with no
amount of production values. Now,
Australia held onto this ease longer
than America cuz in Australia there's a
much stronger tradition of mateship.
In Australia, there is much more
recognizable character, the larrikin,
the man who just says what he thinks and
expects to be teased for it. So,
Australian male speech runs blunt, and
it runs so blunt that when I go back to
Australia, it feels like running into a
blowtorch. So, I
I really appreciated the sensitivity
that Americans displayed in comparison
to Australia.
So, I would come with my Australian
bluntness, and I would pay a price for
it in America, and sometimes I'd say,
"Oh, Americans are too soft." But then I
appreciated the sensitivity that
Americans would show back.
So, Australian male bluntness deflates
pretension, right? It treats euphemism
as cowardice. It uses insult as a sign
of affection rather than attack, right?
A man takes the piss out of his mate
because you're mates, you're friends,
right? The mate gives it right back to
you, and you understand the exchange as
mateship, as warmth, right? You have a
shared safe space,
and and the mockery is proof of the
trust. It's not the enemy of trust.
And there are a couple of other
Australian norms that would guard that
type of speech that outsiders would
often find as coarse and offensive. So,
first is the notion of the tall poppy.
Australia punishes the man who takes
himself too seriously, who tries to
climb above other people, and announces
his own importance. So, from the outside
this looks like envy,
but in practice it operates in a way of
building social cohesion and social
trust.
Right, to install a sensitivity regime
such as you have in America, you have to
believe that there is a class of people
who stand above the crowd and have the
moral stature and standing to correct
the crowd. Right, tall poppy syndrome
mows that down. And Australians have
mateship, right? Where making rough
jokes about each other is a sign of
belonging. So, when you feel free to
mock someone, you're signaling that
you're one of us. And Australia kept
this longer than America cuz one,
Australia is more homogeneous,
two, there's more separation between the
sexes, male and female, in Australia
than in any other industrialized nation
of which I'm aware.
Uh Australians naturally distrust
authority. Australians do not like to be
lectured and the Puritan inheritance
that drives American moral panics runs
much thinner in Australia.
So,
finally, the American sensitivity police
arrived in Australia by import. The
managerial class, those who went to
university in Sydney and Melbourne,
right, they started taking on American
norms and then through the universities,
the corporations, the media, right,
these norms would travel down in social
class. They would copy the prestige
class in America and so the censorship
regime eventually reached Australia the
same as everywhere else along with a
decline in social cohesion, a decline in
social trust, a decline in just that
that bondedness, that mateship, that
that feeling of safety as Australia
became more diverse. And this change
happened most rapidly in the inner city
professional world
and slowest in the bush, in the trades,
in the regional towns, in the football
clubs. So, Queensland holds much more of
it than the Sydney Harbor suburbs. And
the men who work with their hands,
right, they abide by the speech
restrictions much less than the
managerial class, right?
People in the trades talk like blokes
still in Australia.
But how long will they be able to hold
out? Right, the common survives as long
as the watcher stays out, but the
watcher, the censor, the political
correctness police is moving in
everywhere. steeper, much more
um
impactful than most people in the United
States know. There are a variety of
countries that are teetering with
respect to shortages of fuel, of diesel,
of jet fuel. Some airlines literally
have a week or two left of supply. So,
there are going to be major consequences
there. China is among all the Asian
powers the most insulated, but they too
are starting to feel it.
I I think it if I could say
um um China has had the ability to watch
us as a great power
for 20 or 30 years. Um and you know,
these they are
very attentive students of global
politics. If we have taught them
anything, it is to be wary of the Middle
East and it and the challenges that it
can present. And so, I fully expect as
we sit here
that President Trump is asking for more
from President Xi
with respect to, you know, trying to
help in that in the conflict. And to
date, the Chinese have been very general
in the things that they said, you know,
they they So, the Dallas Cowboys might
have been my strongest emotional
attachment starting about 1978, but uh
running neck and neck with the Cowboys
was the Australian pop group Air Supply.
And the rise of Air Supply represented
this rare moment in Australian culture
where it was okay for men to show
vulnerability without irony.
That you could just sing
that you feel lost, that you feel out of
love, that you feel undone by your need,
that you don't have to hide this and
camouflage this with irony. You don't
have to create distance between the
singer and then the feeling. You could
mean it, you could trust it, you could
release it, you could say it, you could
experience it.
What I found in Air Supply was the
clearest, most soothing, most honest
articulation of what was going on inside
of me. And so, between about 1981
and 1984, there was this rare moment
where it was okay for men to be
vulnerable in America.
And that vulnerability didn't vanish,
but it lost its public space. Right, it
still surfaces at times.
Right, occasionally there's still room
for grown men to be earnest in front of
the country and not be filed under
cringe.
The The critics hated Air Supply, right?
They flogged Air Supply.
Uh
it was regarded as as very lowbrow.
And what destroyed this rare moment of
vulnerability was the rise of irony. And
it became a hardened default posture of
anyone who wanted to seem elite,
intelligent.
It was armor against the very sort of
emotional exposure that Air Supply
offered.
So, MTV accelerated this sorting of
everything into cool and cringe, and
earnestness
sorted you onto the wrong side of that
divide. In the early 1990s,
vulnerability came back, but under
armor, under grunge music, where you get
pain wrapped in noise and self-loathing.
Not simply the clean, honest, clear
confession of a man who wants a woman to
love him back.
And I I think this exile fell hardest on
men.
And after this turn, masculine pop
became aggressive and detached.
And a man could no longer admit when he
feels helpless. And all of us feel
helpless, right? Life is a spiral
staircase, I heard the psychiatrist
Steven Bummer say this on the Dennis
Prager's radio show. We're always moving
in and out of four different states, and
one of them is helpless. You're You
never get to graduate from immunity to
feeling helpless. At any time, where
wherever you are, however you're doing,
you may be
entering the helpless mode,
and you'll never become invulnerable to
feeling small in a big world. And then
at other times, you will feel mastery.
And then at other times, you will feel
grandiose. And we all move in and out of
all these stages. So, Air Supply caught
me at that age of 14, 15, when my
feelings were far more intense and far
out in advance of my words about what I
could tell people. So, I was full of all
these feelings that uh I didn't really
have any forum to share them.
And so, Air Supply would articulate
them. the the the pure want the pure
need the the embarrassing the the
vulnerable.
And you can only share these kind of
vulnerable feelings in a safe space.
Where you have a great deal in common
with those around you. The less you have
in common with those around you.
Right the the less likely you are to be.
Fearless and honest and vulnerable.
And I think Donald Trump is a survivor
of this 1970s confident male culture
that he came up in the New York tabloid
world of the 1970s and 80s and he never
updated the way he spoke cuz he was
formed before political correctness took
over. So I hear Tom Brookshire in these
1970s sports commentators in Donald
Trump. I'm hearing that same era
talking. He's. The contemporary these
broadcasters he was raised with the same
permissions the same confidence.
He hands out nicknames he riffs he
digresses he doesn't manage his
sentences.
Right he deflates pretensions he talks
about winning and losing he's open and
honest about the bodies and about money
and power and status. Right he would
talk in the clear honest confident way
that these 1977 broadcasters would. Now
for most of us in the public square
today in America particularly in the
more professional spaces you have to
weigh every word.
Right you cannot be fearless in the the
modern professional world because there
are just so many.
Disasters awaiting you if you say the
wrong thing.
Have I asked people to go to the
negotiating table they've played a
little bit of a role behind the scenes
but not much more. Now the question is
if
President Xi decides that he is. Going
to consider.
You know doing more what does he ask for
in return and I think what we're all
waiting for and uncertain about. Is
what's taken place behind closed doors
on Taiwan. Um and we'll get to that in a
bit. But But I would say, Liz, generally
speaking,
you're right. The the connections
between the Gulf and Asia now are
profound and deep. And there is an
expectation that we do what we can to
close this, you know, this basically
festering
um economic and energy-related stoppage
that is having massive global
implications, much more so than we
realize in, you know, here in the United
States more generally. Um and I I I
think what's hard is that much as
So, as I've been devoting myself to
writing rather than live streaming my
opinions, the more off-putting I find
polemics and instant punditry. So, I
still
watch and listen to Mark Halperin's
daily shows.
Though I I think it's a big shame that
he's now doing something like 14 podcast
shows a week.
All right. That That robs you of the
time that you need for reflection.
But I I still listen to Halperin twice a
day.
And I have a part of me that would like
love to be a guest on Mark Halperin's
show.
But when I listen, I just find so many
of the questions absolutely ridiculous.
And I didn't see this as clearly
when I was live streaming on a regular
basis. But he will ask the, you know,
"What do you think's going to happen
next?" And of course, nobody has any
idea what's what's happening next. You
would constantly pushing for winners and
losers. And this is not the type of
speech that is conducive to depth and to
thought. And it As I listen to these
Mark Halperin shows, and I imagine
myself participating as a guest, I
realize that
most of the time I'll probably say pass
because
I I don't like what it would do to me to
dignify these questions and take it
seriously and just say things off the
cuff because there's absolutely no way
to know right now whether this
putative deal with Iran is a win for
Donald Trump or a loss for Donald Trump.
We we won't know possibly for years.
It it's not clear. And I emotionally
liked it when Donald Trump launched this
war against Iran because Iran has killed
and injured thousands of Americans
either
through through various proxies, right?
In Iraq and in Lebanon and in other
places. So
I I came to America in 1977. I remember
the Iran hostage humiliation. So I'm not
a big fan of Iran. And I'm not a big fan
of Iran getting a nuclear weapon. I'm
not big fan of Iran getting missiles.
I'm not a big fan of Iran killing
Americans. And so I'm glad that
I'm emotionally glad that Donald Trump
is taking on the Iranian regime. But I
didn't support it because I'm not
intellectually sure it's the right way
to go. There are just so many downsides,
so many complications that while
emotionally felt great to me
I I couldn't clearly see that oh yeah,
certainly this is in America's best
strategic interest. It was just too
complicated question. Didn't support it,
didn't oppose it. And I noticed with
dominant elite commentary there is a
great eagerness to see the war as a
disaster for Donald Trump, a loss for
Donald Trump. And to attribute to the
Iranians uh a great deal of of
rationality and cool-headedness and
looking for every possible opportunity
to say that Iran is winning this
conflict. And Iran may indeed be winning
this conflict, but I can't help but
notice the enthusiasm among elites to
attribute all sorts of qualities to Iran
that not necessarily there. On the other
hand, I notice
a ton of ridiculous commentary about the
Iran war that the Iranian regime and the
Iran Revolutionary Guard Corps possess
these essential qualities that they are
insane, that they are madmen, they are
not people that you can negotiate with.
There's no essential quality to
Iranians, to the Iranian regime, to the
Iranian Revolutionary Guard. Right?
There are some generalizations that you
can make. You You can point to past
decisions. But I think there's
absolutely no evidence that there's any
essential quality to how Iran operates.
And
I think the the argument that Iran is
insane or acting without regard to
rationality doesn't hold up. Iran acts
out its hero system. And now I'm
essentializing Iran because you can't
talk
in in the vernacular without
essentializing. So I recognize that
essentializing is both false and
inevitable way that we talk. So I don't
believe for a second that the Iranian
regime and the Iranian Revolutionary
Guard and the Ayatollah is insane or
irrational. They just have a different
hero system than we do. And
there there are ways to
possibly reach some kind of
accommodation or a deal that may work
out in the interest of America, of the
Middle East, of Iran.
And the idea that there's this
essentially irrational quality to the
Iranian regime I reject.
So I find that cliche
quite
ridiculous.
And and imputing any inevitable
essential quality to the Iranian
Revolutionary Guard or any other aspect
of Iran is simply not true because we
all act differently under different
circumstances, that we may have
generalizable tendencies, but they will
express themselves differently in
different circumstances. For example,
when I'm happy, I tend to be quite
voluble. I tend to talk a lot. I tend to
share. I tend to allow my mouth to
outrun my my brains. I I tend to engage
when I'm not happy, when I'm feeling
small in a big world, when I feel lost,
when I feel helpless, when I feel
vulnerable,
then I tend to retreat, and I don't live
stream, and I don't reach out to people,
and I'm just a completely different
person. When I go to Sydney, Australia,
90% of what bothers me
in
Los Angeles, I find doesn't bother me in
Australia. So, when I change my
uh location, right? I change myself. I
am a different person in different
settings. I speak differently in a bar
than I do in a a doctor's office versus
a synagogue or a 12-step room.
So,
when my incentives change, I change,
too. Right now, I'm powered by caffeine.
On Friday and Saturday, I had zero
caffeine.
This morning, I got up and I had two
cups of coffee,
and that fills me with a confidence and
an enthusiasm that I wouldn't have
without the caffeine.
One one bloke attributed the
enlightenment to the rise of coffee
shops.
Instead of going to bars, more and more
people go to coffee shops. Instead of
drinking alcohol, which acts as a
downer, people would drink coffee.
They'd get caffeinated, and they'd
become much more enthusiastic and
optimistic.
And you really have to be an enthusiast
and an optimist to regard people as
governed by reason. And the
enlightenment was all about the power of
the individual to use his reason.
So, looking here at the screen, we've
got news about some kind of deal coming
with Iran, and I've no idea if it's a
good deal or a bad deal.
And I have no idea perhaps Trump's
critics are right. This is absolute uh
catastrophic defeat for the United
States for for Donald Trump.
It's kind of cool
stepping back from daily punditry to
follow my ideas through in the form of
essays instead of feeling a need to just
uh come out with some kind of uh
immediate uh opinion.
The Trump administration tries to
explain why this made sense and was a
good strategic move. I think to most
strategists,
they would view this as a as a very
challenging detour, which will have
substantial short-term
you know consequence.
So, I want this Trump attack on Iran to
be a victory. I want America to win
here, but I think Kurt Campbell is
absolutely right. Most strategists
tell us that this is being a debacle.
for our economy, for inflation, but not
just that. Like one of the things that
both you and I have been involved with
is the patient
accumulation of military capabilities
to support deterrence in the
Indo-Pacific. And that means the
provision of, you know, uh ballistic
missile defense to Japan and South
Korea,
um substantial marine expeditionary
capabilities,
two and a half aircraft carriers
basically on station. You can go on and
on. More fighter aircraft at Kadena.
What What people don't understand is
that this new capacity in the Middle
East that is being used to stand watch
and to inspect and to um most of that
comes from Asia.
And and so, the quality of our
deterrence
has definitely been affected in a
downward way. And so, as President Trump
goes to Beijing, I think first of all,
it is understood that this has not
played out. This has not been Venezuela.
Um you know, the for whatever reason,
the
um
uh
Iran has not sort of modeled themselves
after the Maduro regime, right? So,
that's very clear. Um and I think it
becomes clearer and clearer that the
president took this decision um
impetuously. You know, just he's an
improvisational player.
And this
bet, after talking with a couple of
foreign leaders, not really consulting
the experts inside our government, is
going to turn out to be a dangerous one.
And the Chinese know that. And so
they're hosting him at a moment that I
think they appreciate that the
correlation of power in many respects
has shifted against President Trump.
Yeah, I mean, I think it's it's
interesting, certainly,
Admiral Paparo, you know, our head of
Indo-Pacom has tried to make the case, I
think, that our deterrence capability
has not been affected by Iran, but I
don't think that's probably the view of
many people.
>> You have to make that argument if you're
the commander. I mean, I mean, what is
he going to say? Like, like, I'm I'm I'm
in dire need. But all you've got to look
at
>> Right. the the the the new in Japan has
vacated.
I mean, we don't really have an aircraft
carrier in such he can go through a
variety of things. Yes, and the
perception is shared not just in a
couple of places. One area where I
strongly disagree with the conduct of
the Trump administration, in particular
Donald Trump, is the disregard for our
allies. So, personally and nationally,
group strategies tend to out-compete
individualist strategies. And
our European allies in particular
snapped when Donald Trump made these
ridiculous threats about just taking
Greenland.
And at the time, I admit there were
there were moments when I just found
Trump's commentary on Greenland
hilarious, just the funniest thing ever.
This would often be when I was feeling
giddy and happy and late at night. And
then I'd wake up in the cold light of
day and think, this is an absolute
disaster. This is horrible. This is not
going to go down well with our allies,
and you never know when you're going to
need someone. You never know when you
might need the Danes or the English or
the French. And to to needlessly,
gratuitously insult, belittle,
downgrade,
upset,
damage, offend
is not usually a a good national
strategy. It's not usually a good
individual strategy. I I love a good
joke. I love a good put-down. But for a
general way to
plot your your way through life as a
nation or as an individual, you don't
want to be needlessly accumulating
enemies. And so Donald Trump went from
insulting the Europeans and making
threats over Greenland to then mounting
what appears to be very successful
operation in Venezuela, where we did not
appear to need our allies, and then
launched
this war in Iran,
and
Japan doesn't feel great about its
relationship with the United States.
Australia doesn't feel great, and those
are the two most important countries for
our
American policy with regard to Taiwan.
I
support the American policy of not being
clear
regarding whether or not we'll come to
Taiwan's aid, because I think Taiwan's
efforts to harden and defend itself are
pathetic. And if the Taiwanese are not
willing to fight to preserve their
country, why should Americans?
So, until that Taiwan gets serious about
its own defense,
I would be quite reluctant to deploy
American force. I do like that the Trump
administration has seemingly
successfully pushed the Europeans to do
more to defend themselves, but but Trump
just needlessly ticked off our allies.
And
you tend to get a lot more done
when you operate with alliances, whether
as an individual
or as
a religion, a synagogue, a church, a
stamp club,
a bar, a business, or a nation-state.
These
These These group strategies
consistently outcompete individual
strategies. But across most of our
allies and partners, there is a worry
about this. I know. I think I think
maybe the one thing that we can be
grateful for, ironically, um is that
uh the head of the KMT, the chair of the
party, was recently, you know, Taiwan's
opposition party, was recently in
Beijing and seemed to, you know, smooth
some waters and grant perhaps Taiwan a
little bit of space, oddly enough, where
she didn't ping, you know, can maybe
make the case that peaceful
reunification is on the horizon, so that
our sort of
sort of weaker uh deterrent capability
And you you lose skills when you don't
exercise them regularly, and this is my
my first time live-streaming in a month,
and and that that shudder, that
involuntary shudder that that went
through me when I pressed uh stream.
I've I've lost some skills, bro.
So, I came to the United States in 1977,
and I started fairly quickly seeing the
erosion of uh male confidence,
and I didn't properly register at the
time cuz I was 11, 12, 13 years of age,
but one of the the key developments that
demolished confidence was the onslaught
of civil rights legislation, which also
brought many positive things. So, I'm
not here to arguing that uh civil rights
were a disaster,
right? Like every other piece of
legislation,
right? There were trade-offs, right?
There were gains and losses. One of the
losses was a loss of national cohesion
and unity, and
freedom of speech and
the freedom to use your your property as
you saw fit. And you had ever-increasing
government intrusion into our private
lives due to the ever extension of civil
rights legislation going first of all
from covering matters of race, then
covering matters of sex. And one of the
pivotal moments where
male confidence was was damaged in
America was the decision in 1978
that a press credential would govern
access to the locker room. So, from 1978
onward,
female reporters got access to male
locker rooms where men are naked, and
there was never for a second any
consideration of the reciprocal type of
arrangement where men
would gain access to
female locker rooms, right? That was
never on.
So,
this development did provide benefits,
right? Women
got more access to athletes more
quickly, and as a result, they produced
some great sports writing. But, there
were also tremendous losses, right? The
locker room was one of the last places
where men could be unobserved by women.
And that stopped, right? Men had to
behave differently when women were
present. The candor dropped. The
confidence dropped. The camaraderie
dropped. The crudeness dropped. The
rawness the the real man had to be
adapted and and changed and and
mediated,
right? So, the unobserved locker room
and the observed locker room are not the
same place, right? The thing that made
it vulner- valuable, right? A place
where men could drop their guard, right?
Was the same thing that made it
incompatible with a mixed-sex
press corps.
Right? The athletes had a dignity claim
that got steamrolled,
right? Naked men interviewed by close
strangers is a strange arrangement.
And then
the whole arrangement was completely
dishonest, right? Everyone knew it.
It it it was a weird situation. Men were
never considered to be allowed into
female locker rooms. We grant women a
dignity in their own nakedness that we
deny men.
We say, "Hey, a woman's exposed body
deserves protection from the opposite
sex's eyes, particularly from a
stranger's eyes." And we tell a man to
get over it.
Right, the argument that well, women
belong in male locker rooms, men do not
belong in female locker rooms
is not a a strong argument.
Right, you can say, "Oh, the threat
runs in mostly one direction. It's men
who commit the most amount of sexual
aggression." Well, what if there was a
racialized component to say various
crimes? Would you then be A-OK with
active racial discrimination as you're
okay here with discrimination on the
matter of sex?
And the legal argument that one female
reporter's access to male locker rooms
was that the male locker room is only a
workplace.
And no one ever believes it, and you see
that because the argument in reverse
doesn't hold.
And uh for millions of Americans such as
myself, it's not even a question
that women perhaps should be allowed
into male locker rooms. Of course, they
should not. Just as men it should not be
allowed into a female locker room.
Right? And I didn't reason my way to
this reaction. It's a reflex. And you're
not going to be able to reason me way
out of it. Right? I have a reflex. I
have a nature. I have an instinct for
what is proper and what is not proper. I
have a here a system that comes out of a
combination of my own genetics and my
own upbringing. And the idea that just
strangers get open access to seeing you
naked, right, to me is ridiculous.
And it destroyed confidence. It it
destroyed social cohesion. It it
destroyed our traditional ways of doing
things.
And
I like this idea of Chesterton's fence.
Chesterton, G.K. Chesterton said
if you observe a fence in the world,
but
before you tear it down, ask what does
the fence
what function does the fence serve?
And it may not be immediately clear to
you,
but if you consider it, there may be
something valuable,
something
that protects dignity and cohesion and
confidence that will be destroyed if you
tear it down the fence.
And so, we we had Title IX, which
destroyed a large swath of male sports,
and sports is simply far more important
to male well-being and male thriving
than it is for women. Sports and
competition is simply far more important
for men than sports are for women. But
we passed this Title IX, which mandates
equal access to sports, and as a result,
colleges have to
end all sorts of male sports programs
and start funding equally female sports
programs
that don't play nearly the same role for
women as they they play for men.
doesn't then
uh signal to President Xi Jinping that
this might be a moment to take some
action. So, maybe the the constellation
of of forces, political and military,
are maybe not going to sort of trigger
something that they might otherwise
have.
You know,
my own sense is, Liz, I I I I do believe
we overestimate
how much that China is thinking about
taking near-term immediate military
action.
I I actually think and I I the the visit
of the Camp T in a different way. I I
think this is a pincer strategy designed
to profoundly you know, kind of erode
the confidence
uh uh
politically of um the current
administration and basically place them
in a deeply vulnerable position. So, the
first is you you welcome her. You Uh
different groups have different
strengths and different needs and
different vulnerabilities.
For example, if you do not reserve
certain rituals just for men, men will
drop out of religion.
Right? Women much more naturally bond
than men do. So, if you don't reserve
certain rituals such as sports and
certain practices in religion just for
men,
men will decohere. Right? Men will will
spin out and they will spend more and
more time playing video games and and
watching porn and pursuing solitary
pursuits. Men do not naturally bond to
the tribe, to the group the way that
women do. And so, to keep men socialized
and productive, right? You have to
protect them just as there are certain
protections that you want to enact for
women such as not allowing men into
female locker rooms. Right? The the
different sexes, different groups have
different strengths and different
vulnerabilities.
And in all the
enthusiasm for civil rights,
uh saying these basic truths became more
and more
problematic as the the academic would
say. And so,
all these rules, all these changes in
law favoring women and disadvantaging
men rode behind black civil rights
victories, right? They used the same
statutes, the same clauses, the same
vocabulary, the equality. And to oppose
it, it made you sound like a man
relitigating
racial segregation and you couldn't say
that in public.
Right? You just immediately came off as
a loser and a bigot and and the stink
was transferred to you. And the logic of
organized interest, all right, our
elites got fully on board with extending
these rights to women and at the same
time, simultaneously, whenever you
extend rights to one group, you have to
take rights away from other groups, such
as men.
And the courts decided these fights
before anyone really spoke up. And
law only hears language of measurable
interest, function, and harm. And the
thing that uh
was being defended by those with the
more traditional identity, all right, it
didn't really have an organized
vocabulary. It was more of an inchoate
feeling. It was harder to articulate,
just like it's it's much more difficult
to make the case with words against gay
marriage compared to making the case for
uh marriage equality, all right? One
side
is much more conducive to the use of
words than the other side, and laws are
written on the basis of words. Now,
a community, when it's flourishing,
doesn't operate primarily on the basis
of law, it operates primarily on the
basis of communal feeling. And
when you pass more and more of these
laws and you enforce them and you
legislate them
and you you change the way that people
have operated, communities have operated
for hundreds of years,
you disrupt these communities, you
disrupt traditional identity, you
disrupt families, you disrupt the the
natural course of things,
and you create tremendous harm that is
challenging to put into words. But some
harm is much easier to put into words
because the very categories that we're
using, all right, are largely coming
down to us from an elite who hold by the
the buffered identity, that what's most
important is what's inside of us, that
we have the capacity to choose right and
wrong for ourselves, that we have the
capacity to strategically autonomously
choose our path in life, when in reality
life is porous.
Right?
The most important things in life are
outside of us, and it is our duty to
pursue these external standards of
morality and what makes a meaningful
life. So, one example of the buffered
porous distinction
is something I notice particularly with
young women, they often change their
name. So, Heather MacDonald changed her
name. MacDonald used to be just one
word,
the Manhattan Institute scholar, she
changed it to Mac space Donald. Right?
She wanted to stand out, so she
disrupted hundreds of years of her
family.
And she now regrets the change, and I
find it annoying cuz when you stop
doing the habitual, customary,
traditional thing,
you increase the costs of interaction.
So, now every time I type MacDonald for
Heather MacDonald, I have to pause and
go against every other MacDonald of
which I'm aware. Right? Every other
MacDonald I know, MacDonald is one
bloody word. But now Heather MacDonald
in her 20s thinks, "Oh, let me make Let
me add a space." She legally changes her
name, and then she just increases the
costs of interacting with her because
you have to add in a space. And all
these other people who had
fancy name changes, right? They think
that they can create themselves, and
they have this this great faith in their
own buffered autonomy. But then they
find out reality is porous. And when
they make it more difficult to interact
with them, and adding fancy
uh accent marks on their name and the
like,
you just create trouble, and you create
inconvenience.
And
when you stop doing things the
accustomed way and start doing them
in an individualist bespoke manner,
right? You make it harder for people to
live together, work together, talk
together, and to get along.
You You roll out the red carpet. Um that
creates political anxiety. And now, I
think the hope will be the Chinese
intend to play this meeting
in Beijing. And I I know we're going to
disagree on this.
>> We are going to disagree.
>> Because I I think they're going to play
this as a G2. Yeah. And they'll look two
great powers standing astride. And it's
going to create a lot of anxiety in
Asia.
And particularly in Taiwan. So, I think
that's the pincer movement. There's
There They are intent on weakening So,
who decide
what constitutes a harm? And so, the
harm of female reporters being denied
access to male locker rooms, that was
established by very smart lawyers. This
is a very real harm. But the harm to the
men and to male camaraderie and cohesion
and to traditional ways of doing things,
that was not as easily articulated in
words. And almost the entire expert
class, right, has its own various hero
systems that are generally not the
traditional ways of doing things. So,
you had almost the entire expert class
siding with the great harm that comes
from denying women access to male locker
rooms. The great harm that comes to
women from denying them equal funding
for college sports, even though men need
sports and need outlets for their
aggression
much more than women do.
So, you have an expert expert class that
essentially decides what constitutes
harm. And that is then ratified by a
legal establishment that shares a very
similar
enlightened modern hero system. And
as a result of these changes,
right, you have more and more men who
feel like the game is rigged. And not
just men, people with a traditional
identity, they feel like the society and
the legal system is rigged against them.
They They develop a grievance that often
they have difficulty placing in words
because maneuvering through all these
changes is a lot easier if you're highly
intelligent and university educated, but
for the less intelligent, it just
increase the cost and the difficulties
of making
one's way through life. And there is a
reduction in dignity and happiness and
efficiency and effectiveness, and it
builds a rage that often doesn't have a
very clear, explicable foundation. But
just because someone can't make a
philosophically, ontologically
convincing case to you about a harm
they've suffered, doesn't mean that the
harm wasn't real.
And with this decline in social trust
and social cohesion,
right? Men start asking, "Why should I
increasingly sacrifice for women and
abide by the old codes of etiquette and
chivalry? Right? I'm getting screwed
here." So, we've had a steady reduction
in
uh marriage,
in relationships, in in sex, and in the
quality of male-female relations. Now,
I think you can make a strong case that
this doesn't primarily come from civil
rights law. You can look at the rise of
the smartphone, social media,
pornography, gaming, declining male
earnings, right? There there may be all
sorts of other reasons that are much
more important.
Now, chivalry worked when it wasn't even
a choice. When you simply
accepted that there were these external
codes to which you as a man were
expected to live up. As soon as
chivalry,
right? Becomes a choice, it it's no
longer really chivalry. Now, you have
some kind of negotiated exchange. And
this is the difference between an
individualist community and
a collective community. In a collective
community, such as Orthodox Judaism, you
don't have to negotiate everything. So,
if you're willing to stomach the rules,
whether it's an Orthodox
Jewish community, in a Christian
community, in a neighborhood watch
group, in a stamp club. If you're
willing to put up with a series of rules
in a group, the benefit of that is
interactions become easier because you
weed out the antisocial and the
maladroit and and those who are just
unpleasant to be around, and you get to
then let your heads out and be at ease
and to recharge yourself in the company
of prosocial
like-minded peers. And so, if you're
willing to stomach the rules, there are
all these benefits of of exchange of
energy,
of of a feeling of confidence and ease
because there's a shared hero system, a
shared framework, a shared legal system
that that protects you, and you don't
have to negotiate so much. But, in an
individualist society, everything has to
be negotiated.
In
a corporate society, your group identity
comes first. Now, there are there are
benefits to the individualist society,
and there are downsides, and there are
benefits to the more corporate
community, and there are downsides. So,
I'm not saying that one is inherently
better than the other, but you
definitely have a higher level of social
cohesion, social trust,
and
greater sense of ease when you're in
some sort of communal structure, and you
don't have to go through the exhaustion
of negotiation. My therapist would often
comment how much I dislike having to
negotiate relationships.
And I am not flexible as I would like in
my relationships.
And I I probably reacted to living in a
dozen different homes when I was just a
kid and going from home to home cuz my
mother was dying of cancer, and so,
probably reacted to that dislocation
with a rigidity that doesn't serve me.
But, I don't know about you. I just find
it exhausting negotiating everything.
Now, some level of negotiation is
absolutely necessary, and and I push
myself to do many more communal things
than come to me naturally, but sometimes
there are certain interactions and I
just say, "I'm just not willing to
engage.
And it's just
it's just too much of a hassle. Like
this person, I just don't have the
bandwidth, the the aggravation, the
aggro, as we'd say in Australia, the the
negotiation, the the process, the the
price, it's too much for for the rewards
of interacting in this particular group
or with this particular person.
So, life I find just goes better
when you're not having to negotiate and
calculate everything, when you can just
operate
on
what's
just automatic, just automatic instincts
because you're operating within a group
where there are established rules and
there are established traditions and you
don't have to work everything out and
bargain through everything and make a
legal contract. meaning the confidence
um in Taiwan. And I don't think we tend
to underestimate, you know, Taiwan is a
remarkable achievement in every possible
way.
You know, democratically,
technologically, culturally, but much of
it is grounded on the assumption of an
ironclad American commitment
um that is bipartisan. And I I think
there are now probably in the next
couple of weeks going to be questions
about that. Now, it is possible that
we'll see a kind of backlash
among a still pretty timid Republican
group on the hill that will say, "No,
no, we've got to continue to stand by
Taiwan."
Much more to come, but I think what I'm
trying to argue here is that the Chinese
strategy really right now is to use
other forces to try to constrain and to
undermine Tai- Taiwan's um you know
sense of confidence and and I worry
about that.
>> Yeah, I mean I don't I don't disagree
that that's their strategy. Perhaps we
disagree on whether it's actually that
effective because I do think you know
the polling in Taiwan and we had a
little bit of this discussion last week
in Washington.
The polling in Taiwan suggests that
actually the visit of the chairwoman to
Beijing
was a negative for the KMT for the
upcoming elections.
The majority
vast majority of the population in
Taiwan has no interest in reunification
with the mainland. So I I think that
that visit didn't actually accomplish
what Beijing would have wanted it to
accomplish, but I think it does enable
Xi Jinping to create a fiction.
So Maddy Bateman and Ben Shapiro, a
couple of authors, they rose to
prominence in their teens. They were
writing I think nationally syndicated
columns when they were 18.
And about 22 years ago I I knew Maddy
Bateman a bit and he's on the left. So I
didn't share his hero system, but I I
recognize he was pretty strong writer.
But he his his first book just
infuriates me and part of the reason
that I'm live streaming right now is
because I'm writing an essay about Maddy
Bateman's career and it just reminded me
of the title of his first book. It's
called Death to all cheerleaders. I I
just hate that sort of title. Death to
all any group. I I I just think
completely socially unacceptable. I
don't want it censored in law. I just
want it socially censored. You should
not be able to say death to all drugs,
death to all cheerleaders, death to all
Christians. Like it's just a horrible
horrible thing to say. I just can't even
imagine
how one comes up with something so
antisocial. And cheerleaders are
overwhelmingly female girls.
Right? Who are at a particularly
vulnerable point in our life. And any
traditional community
puts particular emphasis on protecting
its women, protecting its girls,
protecting its teenage girls in in
particular. The these future mothers and
wives. And and to publish a book called
death to all cheerleaders where I
remember this.
When I was working on this essay, it
just infuriated me. That should be
completely unacceptable.
Look, your breaking streaming has
depleted the chat. You find it or you
did it, man. Yes, it has.
Right? People run on habit. And when you
stop performing at the expected time,
you don't get the the crowd. But I mean,
how on earth
does it does one think it's acceptable
to write death to all cheerleaders?
Uh did death to all any group? Now,
I I grant you
that we do not tend to naturally accord
humanity to outgroups. So, if
cheerleaders are an outgroup for you,
then I I don't I don't expect you to
recognize and and respect their
humanity. But I would think that in your
public pronouncements,
you would do that. I mean, what kind of
world are we where you can just publish
a book saying death to all
these groups, right? Cheerleaders,
jocks, frat boys, hipsters, yuppies,
lawyers, bankers, influencers, tech
bros, the rich, politicians, Karens,
boomers.
How how on earth is it socially
acceptable to say these things? You
certainly couldn't say death to all
Jews, black people, Muslims, gays,
trans, disabled, immigrants, indigenous
people, children, women
in most senses, right? So,
I mean, death to all
it's just a horrible thing to say. And
it's the type of thing that uh
reduces social cohesion, social trust,
and and just is a license
to abuse.
And and cheerleaders, once again,
they're teenage girls, right? They are
among the least powerful people alive.
They are young, female, still forming,
anxious, vulnerable. They don't hold
much power and and they they hold some
symbolic status.
But to just license this kind of cruelty
is infuriating to me. So, that's why I'm
here.
I I I I
I hate the public acceptance of any
speech that is, you know, death to even
I I don't like communists, but I I don't
think
I would like a death to a communist, but
communists I don't regard as part of the
we, right? Cheerleaders are part of the
we of America. And so, yes, I feel far
more protective towards cheerleaders
than I do towards uh communists.
that the time is moving forward in the
way that he would like. I think in terms
of the current um Trump and Xi summit, I
would say so far, so good. Now, so we
still have the possibility that things
will go sideways uh in terms of what uh
the president might say or do around
Taiwan, but I think initial indications
are the Chinese came out very hot at the
beginning,
sort of giving this warning that Taiwan
is the most important issue, it's
central, uh don't do anything stupid or
we're going to end up in conflict. Um
the response from the US side has been
nothing. There hasn't been an
acknowledgement of even the statement.
Um Secretary Rubio said after the first
day that our policy has not changed on
Taiwan. It's been one administration
after another. Now, you're right,
there's there's still time for things to
to change on the the next day of the
discussions, but um
but I think that, you know, members of
Congress, senior members of the
Republican Party in the lead-up to this
summit have come out pretty clearly and
said they don't want to see any shift in
US policy on Taiwan.
And don't forget Taiwan just passed huge
arms purchases. That's KMT and DPP
aligned. So, I came from an eccentric
variant of the white Anglo-Saxon
Protestant. I grew up a Seventh-day
Adventist.
But pretty much everyone I knew growing
up was a WASP. Pretty much everyone I
knew was a Seventh-day Adventist until
my father lost his ministerial
credentials in 1980. We moved out of the
church.
But I know from my reading of history
that uh WASPs, white Anglo-Saxon
Protestants,
dominated America's elite until about
the 1960s.
So, you had a class that dominated the
first 230
years of American history, 200
years of American history, and then they
lost
their
powerful position.
And
yet there's no recognized genre of the
angry WASP writer.
So, you have a
a ruling class,
a ruling caste, a ruling tribe that lost
its power and authority and dominance,
and it is not
accorded any
recognizable expression of that loss
except to possibly mock it and to put it
down. So, I I could find no
academic genre
for the angry WASP writer.
But think about the white Anglo-Saxon
Protestant elite. They held the
commanding heights of America's
institutions, America's culture,
American universities, and they lost it
quickly, right? By the the 1960s.
And we have
a recognizable genre of the angry WASP
writer that is not accorded any genre.
So, think about
the leading WASP writers in the 1950s,
'60s, '70s, people like John Cheever,
John Updike,
Louis Auchincloss, right? They all wrote
about
failure, humiliation, suburban
melancholy, failed marriages, weakening
churches, moral exhaustion. But they
wrote within a stiff upper lip code,
right? Their protagonist suffered in
silence, and the WASP was expected to
continue to suffer in silence today.
He's not expected or allowed to be angry
about his loss of status and power.
Right? So, what defined the WASP in this
literature is suffering in silence,
their composure.
So, they would fail and be humiliated,
but they would preserve their dignity. A
man might lose his marriage, his faith,
his power, his status, his nerve, but he
would keep his voice level.
And
the WASP form treated reticence as a
sign of good character. Now, over the
past 30 years, this restraint has
hardened into anger. The Protestant
managerial class has lost its monopoly
over the institutions it once governed,
universities, newspapers, publishing
houses, law firms, banks, cultural
foundations, are more and more
meritocratic, bureaucratic, secular,
global, heterogeneous.
The old WASP establishment has by and
large kept its wealth and its
credentials, but it's lost confidence in
its own moral standing, its own
permanence,
and its own right to rule. So, you have
this
WASP literature of displacement.
But it's a completely different type of
anger. This is not working class rage,
this is not black rage, gay rage,
immigrant rage, feminist literature,
post-colonial writing.
Right? This was those forms were all
about outsiders demanding entry. The
angry WASP narrates dispossession from
authority. He speaks as an insider who
discovers that the world no longer
treats his assumptions as universal or
legitimate.
So, the earlier Protestant elites really
didn't even see themselves as a
particular group. They just saw
themselves as the standard, the
invisible standard, right? They took
their manner, their mores, their
morality, their speech, their schooling
as just identical with being a
professional.
So, you get the rise of the angry WASP
writer at the moment that that
invisibility ends. So, now the WASP is
increasingly conscious of belonging to a
tribe. WASPs have usually looked down on
tribes. Now, they recognize
that they are part of a tribe, a
contingent ruling class whose authority
other men can now challenge, can mock,
can manage, and replace. Probably the
leading
angry WASP writer is Jonathan Franzen.
So, if you read his novels such as The
Corrections and Freedom, he places
upper-middle-class Protestant families
at the center of his stories.
And he writes about people who have
watched their civilization built on
seriousness, restraint, literacy,
disciplined stewardship, and they now
increasingly encountering a culture that
values none of these things.
That the
gatekeeping function of the WASP elite
has been destroyed.
And what makes it particularly
challenging for these WASP writers is
that they can't say explicitly what
they're feeling, that they've been
displaced, that everything that they
have been raised to take for granted as
professional and decent and moral is no
longer accepted.
And you also get a rage from Jonathan
Franzen in particular
that uh the serious novel no longer
holds the cultural power that it once
did when WASP rules.
So, Franzen
hates the online world. Right? He
acquired his standing through
institutions, through the printed word,
and now that's been overthrown. That's
why he attacks social media and Twitter
and all the noise on screen.
Uh Rick Moody talks about wasp suburban
disintegration. His most famous novel is
The Ice Storm from 1994. Now depicts
post-war Protestant order as a landscape
of sexual drift, emotional vacancy,
spiritual fatigue.
AM Homes
describes more surreal violence and
domestic collapse in Protestant
families. Brett
Easton Ellis only writes the core of the
most nihilistic branch of the form of
wasp rage.
David Foster Wallace would describe it
in his books like Infinite Jest.
And the the prose is just curiously
defensive, self-conscious, and satirical
because it's really hard for people who
once belonged to a tribe that ruled
America to regret it because their
universalist Protestant outlook, their
secularized version of their Protestant
outlook accepts that their
homogeneous dominance of America's
institutions was morally wrong, that
diversity is morally right.
And so the angry wasp genre
right, can't say that its own tribe
deserves to rule.
So
they have an anger where it would
embarrass them to articulate their loss
of status and power. So they have to
displace their anger on the internet and
all sorts of other things, right? The
wasp angry writer cannot argue for the
return of his tribe to power, right? He
shares the moral premises of our new
elite that condemned the old wasp rule.
He was schooled in them. So his
grievance has no respectable object, no
sincere object. He he can't aim it at
anyone. He's got this rage and he
there's no one that he can honestly
strike with it. So he has to scatter his
rage onto various safe targets and they
are not chosen at random. So he'll
attack social media and consumer
capitalism and bureaucratic jargon and
the therapeutic vocabulary and the
credentialing machine, right? Because
you're permitted to hate those things.
But his loss of power and status, he
can't come out and say it.
And it's not that he suffers from
Stockholm Syndrome. Nobody took the WASP
elite captive. WASP elite still owns the
wealth and the credentials it still has
power and influence.
It is just no longer as dominant as it
once was and their own creed says,
"Well, it's wrong for us as Protestants
to rule over others." And no other
animal does this, right? The lion does
not apologize to the gazelle. The wolf
feels no guilt over the deer.
Right? No creature in nature
apologizes for power and rule.
Only the WASP.
mind uh in the legislature in Taiwan,
huge arms purchases um agreement um I
agree that that is what Rubio said, but
I think as significant is what Bessen
said
in an interview in which he indicated a
couple of different things that
President Trump acknowledged,
understood, felt some of the Chinese
issues
um with respect to Taiwan and would have
more to say in the next few days. So my
sense is that signals um perhaps some
subtle um adjustment in our policy.
And I think what's important to keep in
mind is that the dominant player
in the formulation and execution of
strategy on
So an important book for understanding
the decline of WASPs is the 2020 book by
Christopher Caldwell, The Age of
Entitlement. Right? Christopher Caldwell
makes explicit what these angry WASP
novelists feel but cannot name.
Right, the the literary WASP give you
their emotions.
Christopher Caldwell gives you the
structure that produces the emotions.
So, his thesis in The Age of Entitlement
is that the civil rights reforms of the
1960s
created a second constitution that has
increasingly displayed our original
constitution. Right, we now have a rival
constitution that has changed what
freedom of speech and
the power of private property used to
mean.
And Christopher Caldwell says that the
costs of desegregation, right, were
large in addition to the benefits. One
of the costs was the loss of the old
freedom of association and the
taken-for-granted social cohesion and
trust that used to empower the
confidence in the freedom and and the
rule of the WASP elite.
And none of the WASP writers will say
this because to say it appears to mourn
the old days of racial segregation.
Christopher Caldwell makes the argument
the new civil rights order didn't only
persuade, it governed.
It encouraged litigation and government
scrutiny of our most private decisions.
Right,
ordinary people were increasingly placed
under surveillance for racism. There
were increasing costs to any dissent
with the civil rights regime. You could
lose your job, your social standing,
your respectability, your status.
So, the the Protestant conscience
increasingly criticized the old WASP
ruling regime.
And then this new civil rights regime
would come along and punish anyone who
defended the old ways of doing things.
So, Christopher Caldwell makes the
argument the novelists would not. So,
Jonathan Franzen rages at the internet,
and Tom Wolfe rages at institutional
cowardice,
and Christopher Caldwell talks about the
rise of a new constitution, and
describes the cost.
Another approach, much more biological
and racial approach is the WASP question
by Andrew Fraser. He lost his job as a
law professor in Australia by
complaining
about uh Australia's immigration policy.
And so, he explicitly takes on WASPs as
a tribe and as a race, and he promises
an essay on their biocultural evolution
and their future prospects.
So, he's the man who walks all the way
across and out of polite society to make
the argument that the novelist cannot
make and that Christopher Caldwell
stopped short of making. So, Andrew
Fraser, one of those rare intellectuals,
makes an explicit case for the return of
WASP rule. So, the novelists and Andrew
Fraser share a diagnosis that the WASP
elite is weak and have surrendered,
they've lost their nerve, they've been
abandoned by their own people, but they
then split entirely on what follows. So,
the angry WASP novelists treat this
surrender as a tragedy, and they turn
their rage inward into guilt,
self-loathing, and rage that eats
itself.
Fraser treats the surrender as a
sickness, and he wants to cure it by
turning the rage outward and downward.
Then, Aaron Renn comes along and treats
this question
in an explicitly Christian lens. So, he
publishes in 2024, Life in the Negative
World: Confronting Challenges in
Anti-Christian Culture. So, Aaron Renn
supplies the religious access of this
decline. He puts a date on it. So, he
says that until about 1994, the United
States was a pro-Christian country.
Between 1994 and 2014, Christianity
was just one option among many, and then
the negative anti-Christian America runs
from about 2014 to the present.
And Aaron Renn then outlines a program
for WASPs to reclaim
their identity.
Uh
on China and the Indo-Pacific is not
Rubio. Um Senator Rubio is is barely
involved. He's much more involved in the
Middle East and in Latin America. It is
Bessen who is the dominant player in all
issues associated with China. And so
let's see. Um
but I also would say Liz there there are
already plenty of indicators
that would at least cause some anxiety.
We know that President Trump and
President Xi have talked about
managing or discussing issues associated
with with with arms sales to Taiwan.
That that has been made clear in their
last conversation. And when, you know,
President Xi called President Trump to
complain about
um the Japanese position on Taiwan,
President Trump immediately called her
and warned her as opposed to speaking
out supporting the Japanese position,
which we've tried to get them to do
substantially. And so I would just say,
and I understand and I I hope what
you're saying is true, but I would say
at best the record is ambiguous and
there are lots of indicators that
suggest perhaps a different approach.
And we do know from a history of things
that the president has said
and done that he feels like big
countries
should have maybe a little bit more say
over their immediate neighborhoods. And
and that has been how he thinks about
the United States and Latin America, how
he sees Russia in Ukraine. And we'll
see, but I I do think there are clear
indications that strains of that
thinking have um affected how he thinks
about China and Taiwan.
Okay, so we'll we'll we'll call that,
you know, we'll see in the next 24
hours.
>> Yeah. Um, I mean, I might just It's
going to play longer than that.
>> I I do think I do think that, you know,
there was this understanding at the
outset of this administration where
that, you know, President Trump was
consumed with this notion of spheres of
influence. But I think if you look at
the national security strategy, if you
look at what we've been doing since that
time, it is clear that we are still
deeply engaged in the Indo-Pacific.
>> Do you think Do you think he read or had
anything to do with the national
security
>> I I think I think what's surprising
about this administration to some extent
is is that they are actually doing a
little bit of what the first Trump
administration did, even though I think
they're much weaker in terms of
experience and capabilities and and
knowledge, um, certainly of Asia than
the first Trump administration. They're
doing a little bit of what that
administration did, which is to run
their own play in Asia, kind of
irrespective of whatever the president
is saying or doing. That's interesting.
But one of the more powerful analytical
tools that I've learned over the past
few years, I learned from Ronnie
Goodman's book on conservative claims of
cultural oppression, and he in turn
learned it from a Canadian philosopher,
Charles Taylor, who published a book in
2007 called A Secular Age. And, uh,
Charles Taylor
came up with this distinction between
the buffered and the porous identity.
And the
WASP establishment was extremely
buffered, right? This was the disengaged
man, self-controlled, reserved,
surveying society from above and
pronouncing on it, insulated from being
acted upon, conferring meaning.
This is the buffered self wearing a
cloth, and this whole ethic of restraint
and composure
is the elite wasp way, right? To be
buffered is to see oneself as the
captain of one's own life,
as the one who judges and is not judged.
And then the angry wasp genre is the
rage of a person who discovers that life
is porous. So, believing that the most
important things are inside of you, that
you can choose right wrong for yourself,
that you can strategically, rationally,
autonomously pilot your way through life
and you do not have to be held down by
whatever profane thing is going on
around you
has many advantages.
It is a useful fiction, but it is a
fiction.
Life is porous. So, in Orange County,
over the past few days, there is some
chemical danger that if this
chemical container explodes could wreak,
you know, vast amount of damage if
there's an earthquake, if there's a
crime wave, right? No matter how
buffered you are, you may well be at
loss. One thing that I've learned from
interviewing thousands of people
is that everybody has
a large realm of vulnerability.
Right? We all affect each other. And so,
I I recognize the advantages to this
buffered fiction, but reality is porous.
Right? What goes on around me affects
me. I I cannot separate myself.
And so,
the anger
for many people who believe they they
were buffered and then realize that
reality is porous is intense.
And you see this particularly in the
prose of David Foster Wallace.
Right? David Foster Wallace holds very
strong moral claims, but he has nothing
to hang his moral claims on.
And so, he is continually hedging and
adding footnotes and qualifications and
and producing these endless anticipating
self-corrections. are all part of him
trying to
negotiate his his global moral
commitments with the fact that he has
nothing to hang these commitments on as
he's not a traditional religious man.
All right, he is buffered and he keeps
trying to reseal his buffer that is
continually punctured by, among other
things, his addictions.
So, he recognizes that his buffered
approach to life is false, that it will
not hold, that it will not protect him,
that his addictions will keep breaking
through.
And he feels disgust with the
therapeutic vocabulary,
with
the decline of the United States, the
diminishing of social trust and
cohesion.
All right, he
in his buffered self is recalling
recoiling
from the horror of of porous reality.
And so, he deals with it by all these
footnotes and hedges and qualifications.
He he's he's trying to deal with the
collapse of authority,
uh collapse of his identity,
re- finding out to his great dismay
that
life is is porous. So, he he sees the
therapeutic culture, which he despises,
is built
on a reality of a porous self, that we
are permeable, we are relational, we are
open.
All right, it was really hard for me to
do this live stream for the first hour
without anybody in the chat. I I need a
relationship, I need to be able to
relate to you, I need to get your
feedback, I need to read your your
words.
Bob says, "I'm reading The Days of
Abandonment by Elena Ferrante."
So, I was just uh commenting on
her. So, she is a novelist who takes
great pride
in her
uh
private identity. She She does
everything that she can to protect it.
And so I was just writing
an essay on the literary critic Maude
Embry
who
did
interview via email with
Elena Ferrante and then
put together a book that came out in
2019.
So David Foster Wallace hates the
vulgarity of therapy culture.
Right?
And it doesn't matter to him. In fact,
he hates it even more because he
recognizes that it is more true to
reality than his own buffered identity.
Right? He knows that much of his own
self-construction is false. He knows
that the moral structure that he wants
to impose on the universe
uh cannot be rationally argued.
That there there is no firm, eternal,
transcendent basis for it, but he will
not give it up because we all feel
certain things are just objectively
right and wrong. Even if we have an
intellectual commitment that there is no
such thing as a universal right and
wrong, we all live as though
there are certain essential things that
are right and are wrong, that are evil
and that are good. And it drives people
crazy if they can't refer their
understanding of reality to some
unimpeachable transcendent source of
truth such as God and religion and and
the Bible.
I think they have a much more aggressive
um policy.
One that's much more in line with Biden
administration.
>> Yes. Strengthening strengthening
relations with our Indo-Pacific
partners. I mean, restarting uh
mil-to-mil with uh Cambodia and new
exercises with Yeah, yeah, that that'll
really set Uh okay, well, anyway, let's
let's go back. I want to go back. No,
No, I want to go back. I I had to just
say one thing though.
>> I'll give you the last word on this and
then I want to go back. want to go
Yeah, so people will bully you. Right,
she's trying to bully him and say you
can't talk about this. And this happens
all the time. And if you're in an
inferior position at work, then you may
just have to suck it up and take it.
But if your income does not depend on
it, don't allow people to bully you,
generally speaking, into what you say.
So good on Kurt Campbell here for
refusing to be bullied because most
interview hosts will try to bully you.
And I'm going to be a good guest. I'll
be a good guest. That's right. So Look,
I I don't think you can argue that the
allies and partners are being nurtured
and supported. Our most important
partner, Japan, is quite anxious right
now.
Um I think it is also the case
So yeah, about every 6 months I just
shave my head and it all stemmed from a
time, I think in 20
13, when I went to the barber to get my
hair cut and he says, "Oh, you need to
make an appointment."
This was like a
This was not a prestigious fancy barber.
Right, this was just an ordinary barber
and he told me that I had to make it an
appointment. I was like, "Heck, no." I
went home and shaved my head. I've been
doing it about every 6 months ever
since.
So among the things that have uh
taken up my time
over the the past uh few months in my
devotion to writing biographical essays,
I did one on my father.
And I've developed certain frames that I
just find incredibly useful at correctly
situating people, including myself. And
uh one frame is FAFO. F around and find
out. So if people with the power to hurt
you
have been very clear that they will hurt
you if you do X Y Z and you know that
they have the power to hurt you,
then
if you F around, you will find out. And
uh this is a frame that I've used on my
father to understand his life because
when I was growing up as Desmond Ford's
youngest son, my father was like a rock
star in my community.
He was a preacher, a theologian. He was
the chair of the religion department at
Avondale College. He was widely revered
inside my Seventh-day Adventist world.
And then he lost his ministerial
credential in 1980. We moved out of the
Seventh-day Adventist church.
And I I found that nobody knew who he
was outside of the church. Right? My
father had tremendous pull and power and
status and rank and following
and intensity all around him, both pro
and con, within Seventh-day Adventism.
And then outside of it, he had nothing.
He He He was just completely unknown.
So, we often have currency in one part
of life and then no currency in other
parts of life. And so, we will naturally
gravitate towards spending as much time
in those areas of life where we have
currency. Cuz when you have no currency,
that sucks. Right? When you have no
money, that sucks. When you have no
status, right? That's difficult to deal
with, particularly when you become
habituated to being high status. So,
I had a reflected
uh status or I was a an object of
interest because I was Desmond Ford's
son within Adventism. As soon as we left
it, I had no currency like my dad. I I
was just nobody special. I was just who
I was. So,
one way of describing this is my father
was a regional theologian. He was a
theologian within Seventh-day Adventism
and outside of that,
he was nobody.
Now, my father did two PhDs. He was
competent in both of his PhD theses. He
accomplished both of in 18 months each,
which was extraordinary, but the work
itself is dissertations themselves were
not extraordinary. They were merely
competent.
So, he worked
for a second PhD at the University of
Manchester under New Testament scholar
who was widely known, F.F. Bruce, and my
father would invoke that name all the
time because that was his best claim to
some status outside of Adventism. And
so, my father's association with F.F.
Bruce was the high point of my father's
external scholarly recognition.
So, I I never saw my father pocket any
money that didn't belong to him. I never
saw my father commit any
financial or sexual crimes.
But, when he was allowed a a book
allowance and he was able to buy new
books, for example, on the book of
Daniel, first thing he would do when
he'd buy a new commentary on the book of
Daniel, he'd look at the back at the
index and see if he was cited. And it
was one of his greatest joys that uh
various commentaries would cite him.
But, my father, despite the occasional
commentary citing him here or there, had
no purchase, no currency outside of
Adventism. So, he was a rock star in one
world.
He got removed from that world in 1980.
And then, he tried to stay within an
orbit
where he was no longer officially
employed because outside of that orbit,
he was nobody.
So, where did my father put his energy?
Where do I put my energy? Where do you
likely put your energy aside from
earning a living? You likely put your
energy into those areas where you have
the most currency. So, right now, I have
the thrill of talking to 16 live people
on YouTube. And so, that gives me
energy. I have a tiny little bit of uh
currency on YouTube, and that's why I'm
speaking to you. If
uh 91 minutes into a stream, nobody was
watching, it would be really hard to
keep going.
So, my father, like the rest of us, put
his energy where he got the greatest
return. And so he devoted himself to
arguments within Seventh-day Adventism
about theology.
And his entire theological apparatus was
developed through these arguments.
And and prior to these arguments, he
didn't have
the distinctive theological
apparatus that he developed, right? My
father developed who he was like I
develop who I am and how you develop who
you are
by spending the most time and engaging
in those activities that reward you with
the most social status.
So my father would make
commonsensical
points about justification by faith and
the assurance of heavenly salvation,
right? That
Lutheran theologians had
established in the 16th century. But
when he made them inside of Adventism,
right? He he did it in a world where
mainstream Protestant scholarship had
not conquered.
So he carries into this closed
Seventh-day Adventist system the
consensus of the wider scholarly world.
And so his achievement was taking
something that was taken for granted
outside of Adventism into Adventism.
And then
the the church
chose to hold on to its distinctive
theological doctrines that my father
said were false because every group
insists that it is right,
that it is the the true center of the
universe, that it is connected to to the
divine, to the to God, to the
transcendent,
and that it is special, that it's got a
special mission.
And when my father brought in these
wider Protestant Evangelical
perspectives that diminished the
chosen nature of Seventh-day Adventism,
of course the the church rebelled. But
my father couldn't then move on outside
completely of Adventism because outside
of Adventism he had no purchase.
Now, my father had many gifts, and one
of his gifts was this prodigious ability
to just recall scripture verses
off by heart.
But, just because you can recall a large
number of scripture verses off by heart,
that's not a substitute for argument or
for scholarship, right? It is a
performance. And so, my father would
perform in a way that was tremendously
compelling to some people
and ridiculous to others.
So, what is charisma according to David
Pinsof? It's the ability to pull off
social paradoxes.
So, you'll get more status if you appear
that you're not interested in status.
You'll get more status if you appear
like you were just following truth. And
so, my father
had charismatic authority with those
people who bought his narrative that he
was simply pursuing truth.
Now, I looked at my father through many
of my favorite uh theoretical frames.
One of them is alliance theory.
And one way to boil down alliance theory
is we believe what is convenient. We
believe
what is necessary to
connect with the group who's most
important to us. So, in the world of
politics,
alliance theory says that uh political
parties have no coherent philosophy,
that uh whatever
coherent beliefs can be attributed to
different political philosophies and
parties are simply ad hoc, post hoc
justifications for seizing the coercive
powers of government.
So, one shorthand to figuring out if
something makes sense is to ask, does
this make evolutionary sense?
And given all the advantages of seizing
the coercive powers of government and
the lack of advantages that evolution
will bestow upon you simply because
you're ontologically sound, you're
philosophically coherent. There's no
evolutionary payoff for that unless
you're able to attain status and
resources based on that. But generally
speaking, no evolutionary payoff for
philosophical coherence. So, the
different dogmas and doctrines and
beliefs of different political parties
and theories really just post hoc ad hoc
justifications for whatever you need for
your group to seize power.
And so, too, you can then apply that to
my father's theological battles. The
rhetoric was theological, but what you
really had was a battle over power. And
you had
theology used to try to gain
power.
Then another theoretical frame that I
love is
Steven Turner's work against
essentialism, right? There is no
essential Adventist, no essential Jew,
no essential Christian, no essential
black man, white woman, lesbian, right?
All these groups behave differently in
different circumstances, right? One
Seventh Adventist in Australia
may not have very much with a say a
Seventh Day Adventist in Africa. Judaism
often expresses itself quite differently
in the United States compared to Canada,
compared to Mexico or Argentina or
Brazil
or Israel or Australia or New Zealand.
And so, too, with Islam.
Right? There's no universal essential
Muslim.
Muslims are quite different depending on
the situation where you go in the world.
Then you can also use the frame of
expertise.
Experts like to claim authority based on
other experts
bestowing upon them the title of expert.
And experts usually say, "Hey, I'm just
following truth. I'm just a neutral
administrator." But experts, like every
other group have their own
interests.
And so people will often
say things that are not quite true to
more effectively
pursue their interests.
Another one of my favorite theoretical
frames I learned from the sociologist
Randall Collins. And he published a
powerful book in 2004 called Interaction
Ritual Chains. So when you get on the
same page with someone
and you develop some sort of rhythm in
your interactions, you'll gain emotional
energy from that. So let's say you get
up and you have a good relation with
your relations with your spouse, with
your family, you'll leave the house
feeling good. If you have bad relations
with your spouse and your family, you
will not leave the house feeling charged
up. If you walk into work and you have
good relations with most of the people
you interact with, you will be energized
by that. If you walk into work and you
consistently have bad interactions with
people where you're unable to get on the
same page, right? You will be depleted.
And
one way that you can tell if you're
having a successful interaction with
someone is the length of the pause
between one person speaking and the next
person speaking. So if the pause is
typically over a second, right? You
don't have very good relations with that
person.
And therefore you will be depleted. When
my father lost his Seventh-day Adventist
ministerial credential, he was no longer
he could no longer really live in the
Seventh-day Adventist world. He was no
longer a superstar within Seventh-day
Adventism, within its employment. He
could no longer teach in Adventist
institutions. He's no longer a visiting
speaker at various Seventh-day Adventist
churches. And so he lost energy
because he was disconnected from his
rock star status.
that a country that we had really worked
to pull into the fabric of our
engagement, India that has fallen on
very hard times. So, I don't think you
can argue that this has been woven
together effectively as a strategy. The
second thing I will say that I've seen
now in the Middle East, in Europe, and
now in Asia is a general lack of
interest in what experts have to say.
They really are not interested in that.
And I remember asking a very senior
person about like, "Who do you listen to
on the Iran stuff? Like, who do you" And
he said, "Well, you know, um you know,
the the the people that really are on
the ground, Mr. Witkoff and the
president's son-in-law, um Jared, are
the ones." Now, look, they have a lot of
experience in real estate and stuff, but
they don't probably they're not imbued
in some of the history and the like. And
so, I I I actually think we are both
falling into a trap that I always warn
Asians about, which is the constant
search for an overriding strategy or
logic when a lot of these things are
really guided by personal impetuousness,
lack of coordination, long-held biases
and beliefs, and that they're So, I
spent hour upon hour applying these
various frames to my father. And then I
asked AI to tell me why. Why did I do
this? And I I gave it a particular frame
to then apply to me.
David Buss, off the evolutionary
psychologist from UCLA, says that uh
we expect children to outcompete, to
outdo their parents. And when that
doesn't happen, people become unhappy.
And so,
AI says, "Look, Forty, you've stacked 11
frameworks on your father.
All right, the accumulation was not
required for understanding your father.
Two or three of these frames would have
produced most of the analytical yield.
So, all these frames that you're
applying to your father is doing other
work.
And so, what you are doing is not the
work that you are advertising, right?
The advertised work is the honest
intellectual biography of a complicated
father figure.
But, what's really going on is something
different. Number one, you're engaged in
a status competition with your father.
Right? You are arguing with your father.
Your father cannot answer you because he
is dead, so you get to win every round
by default.
Second, you are signaling to your
audience, right? That you know better,
that you are sharper and smarter. I'm
the kind of analyst who does not flinch.
I'm the kind of son who can use the
tools on the man who raised me.
And I didn't follow my father's
footsteps. I built a completely
different life, so I can employ these
frames and I can both honor and diminish
my father at the same time. I can show
that I understand his significance and I
can demonstrate that I have moved past
his significance. So, I have created all
these frames as a protective layer
between me and my unanalyzed feelings
about my own father, the man who took a
path that I did not take. So, I find
consolation in this analysis.
I also get to produce content for my
audience.
And I get to conduct a pseudo argument
cuz my father cannot respond, right?
There's no father listening to me
because my father is dead. He can't
challenge me.
He can't punch holes in my argument.
So,
the the things that we say we are doing
are often quite distinct from what's
really going on.
So,
one of the frames was the neutralization
theory of hatred. And
this academic paper notes the large
difference between anger and hatred.
So, we don't tend to be angry at those
we want to neutralize. So, we hate those
whose very existence
right, damages our prospects. So, my
father was hated cuz his very existence
was damaging to traditional Adventists,
and my father didn't respond with
hatred. He responded with with anger.
So, when I was looking at uh my father's
work,
I I found a paper that he wrote in 1963,
and none of
his most uh distinctive theological
dogmas were in it. All everything that
my father became famous for as a
theologian were absent because
everything that my father built, he
built out of polemics. He built out of
argument.
And that's one of the dangers of
argument is that it becomes
all-consuming. It it takes you over,
and then it can just uh direct the path
of your life.
So, in 1963,
my father wrote a very
uh common type of uh Seventh-day
Adventist argument called Ethics, Chaos,
Chaos, and the Cosmos.
And it contains none of his distinctive
theologies, none of his distinctive
intellectual moves. It was just
bog-standard Seventh-day Adventism,
modern culture has lost its ethical
bearings.
And
the root cause is Charles Darwin and the
materialist theory of our origins, and
the cure is the doctrine of uh divine
creation by a personal God.
So, when I was reading this essay and
saw nothing that my father is famous for
in the essay,
it just struck home to me that
everything that my father became famous
for was built out of his arguments. That
uh
none of it was apparently present in
1963.
>> isn't a kind of a convening overarching
principle. And I I try to remind myself
of that cuz my my instinct is to
constantly look for
um what's the you know kind of the
larger strategy in place. Okay, I'm
going to say I agree with you. I don't
think that there is a coherent strategy.
What I do think is that this
administration is intensely competitive
with China in technology,
economy, and national security. Yeah. So
I and I think those are the things that
are driving the type of actions that I'm
talking about.
>> So you're right. It's not an overarching
strategy, but it nonetheless can get us
to a place that I think is better than
the one that you are envisioning. But we
will see.
>> all of our Liz's good listeners and
watchers.
She has the last word on this. I'm going
to be very gracious and just we'll move
on now.
>> Okay.
>> Okay. So let's let's backtrack just a
little bit
because one of the things that you have
I think really That's a beautiful
quality if you can
have a discussion and argument where you
passionately disagree but you can just
grant the other person the final word.
really um
architected is not a word. So let us
just say that you have created um over
the past couple of decades is this
approach to the region of focusing on
our allies and partners um as opposed to
the G2 notion um and just thinking that
the the country that we need to deal
with first and foremost is China. All
right, you have been very much about
working with our allies and partners
first. That's most important. So
did that come out of your first Pentagon
experience as you were describing it?
You know, you were looking and working
with Indonesia. You were seeing all the
Vietnam, all these other countries in
addition to China. Or how did you come
to that sort of thought?
So I no longer read that many novels.
What I I particularly enjoy a nonfiction
books that read like a novel. And the
name for this genre is literary
non-fiction. So, I love literary
non-fiction
as embodied by people like
Tom Wolfe, right? Prior to The Bonfire
of the Vanities, everything that he
wrote was
literary non-fiction.
So,
there were just a tiny number of
magazines and publishing houses that
produced the elite literary non-fiction.
And there are only certain stories that
this elite wanted told. They wanted
stories about reformist liberal
progress. They wanted stories about
civil rights as moral drama. They wanted
stories about the federal government as
a competent steward when staffed by the
right people. They wanted stories about
the Cold War as a struggle between
liberal democracy and totalitarianism
with the liberal
democrats as heroes. They wanted exposés
of corporate wrongdoing. They wanted
stories about harm to the environment,
political corruption, particularly when
those targets were Republicans,
Southerners, or aligned with big
business.
Right? They wanted war reporting that
emphasized America's failure
and the moral cost, especially after
Vietnam.
They wanted positive
profiles of the cultural elite, writers,
artists, musicians, filmmakers,
intellectuals.
Right? They wanted long, intimate,
admiring pieces.
They wanted
writing on place seen through a
particular cultivated American
sensibility. So, John McPhee could
publish a book on Alaska, on geology, on
the Pine Barrens. They wanted crime
narratives where the crime exposed
something horrible about white gentile
society that the editors wanted exposed.
So, Truman Capote wrote about the
Clutter killings.
Norman Mailer wrote about Gary Gilmore.
They wanted personal essays
where a writer of moderate fame examines
his own life.
But there are also many stories that
they did not want. They didn't want
stories sympathetic to the white working
class. They didn't want stories
sympathetic to cultural conservatism or
traditional Christianity.
They didn't want stories about middle
America. They didn't want stories about
the Christian South.
They didn't want people who worked in
the stories about people who worked in
the trades, the hard hats, right? When
stories about these groups appeared in
the prestige outlets, they were done in
a distant and often mocking manner. The
the subject would be studied, but he was
not heard.
You didn't want any stories critical of
liberal institutions from the right.
So, conservative magazines existed, but
the prestige outlets would ignore them.
You didn't want any stories about say
Jewish disproportionate representation
or influence,
right? Because the most prestigious
magazines and publishing
houses were disproportionately edited
and owned by Jews. So, they didn't want
reporter writing a piece on Jewish
presence in finance, media, law,
academia, and the profession, right? The
facts were public, but the framing was
forbidden.
The only acceptable framing
in this context was to put forward Jews
as a model minority assimilating into
America. The unacceptable frame
would put Jews as one group among other
groups with
disproportionate influence in some
areas,
right? You didn't get to work for any
prestigious
organization if you took that frame. Any
story about group differences, racial
differences in cognition, behavior, and
crime was unacceptable.
Any critical stories about gay life
or gay behavior or of AIDS was
unacceptable.
The prestigious outlets wouldn't publish
anything
regarding the harms of feminism,
no-fault divorce, single motherhood, and
the sexual revolution. The only
acceptable frame about women's
liberation was that it was great, it was
progress, and it was an unfinished
project.
You couldn't publish any stories about
mass immigration that were critical.
You couldn't talk about corruption
inside the editorial elite.
You couldn't publish stories about the
publishing industry's labor practices,
the publishing industry's casting couch
arrangements.
Right? The Harvey Weinstein story sat
for years and years and years before it
broke.
You couldn't write stories about
America's intelligence services
in a
way that was critical. Carl Bernstein
wrote one long piece on the CIA's
relationship with the American press in
Rolling Stone in 1977. Piece stayed
buried and it it
gave birth to no follow-on pieces.
You couldn't tell stories in the
prestigious forms of literary nonfiction
about religious belief told with
sympathy and the believer's perspective.
You couldn't tell positive stories about
evangelicals, Mormons, Catholics,
Orthodox Jews.
So, for the elite, American religion was
at best an anthropological curiosity
and very likely a threat to liberal
democracy. So, the religious believer
really gets a narrative voice in the
prestigious
literary nonfiction.
So, the people who had the money and the
power to commission
literary nonfiction came from a very
narrow slice of American life. They're
educated at elite universities. They
tended to live in Manhattan, Brooklyn,
Washington, Cambridge, and Berkeley.
They were married to people in similar
professions. Their children attended
similar schools. Their politics tended
to run from center left to left. Their
cultural reflexes lined up. They knew
what made a story serious and what did
not. They knew which sources to trust
and which to dismiss. They shared
assumptions that they never had to
articulate. The taboos lived in the room
before anyone arrived. No one had to
enforce them.
So,
then people like Neil Strauss came along
and crossed the line,
right? The the the game inside the
secret society of pickup artists. He had
a frank treatment of male sexual
strategy and female mate choice that
would never have run in any prestigious
magazine.
White-on-white crime, right, got the
long-form literary treatment. Vincent
Bugliosi wrote about the Manson family.
Joe McGinniss wrote about Jeffrey
MacDonald. Jon Krakauer wrote about
Mormon fundamentalists.
You had an entire
growth of the true crime books.
Uh white-on-black crime got considerable
treatment, right?
But uh black-on-black crime got almost
no treatment in the prestige outlets.
And black-on-white crime got no
treatment. To the extent that
black-on-black crime was covered, it
would be only covered as the fault of uh
white people.
So, a white killer of white victims
serves as evidence against white
America. That uh white America is
materialist, it's ruthless, it's
religiously extreme, it's lonely, it's
effed-up. White Gentile America.
A white killer of black victims serves
as evidence of America's racism.
And a black killer of either white or
black victims is only analyzed and
written about if it is evidence of
America's structural racism,
right? Black perpetrators
are never assigned agency. They are
never allowed to stand for anything
about black America because the prestige
register does not permit any critique of
black America from this angle. No
critique of gay sexual practices,
promiscuity, STDs like AIDS and
monkeypox completely out of bounds. So,
this produces literary nonfiction with
all sorts of strange holes.
You got all these long, careful literary
crime box about white on white murder
and nothing about the most common forms
of everyday violence that produce most
American homicides, black on black
crime.
You had a whole string of Atlanta trial
murders
that was largely ignored because they
were carried out by a black man.
But about working with allies and
partners, creating this kind of network,
not even just kind of hub and hub and
spoke. Beyond that, I think in certainly
in the Biden administration,
but encouraging our allies and partners
then to form their own
sort of a lattice as somebody I think
maybe it was wrong, right?
Lattice sort of effect. How did you come
to that? Where where did that come from,
that idea? Well, look, a lot of it
evolved over time. Um, the if you work
at the Pentagon
on Asia, then you spend most of your
time nurturing allies and partners.
And that is hard work. It's often very
narrow work on like what altitude do
helicopters fly? And since very
practical and very operational and you
develop deep ties with your
counterparts.
I was able to see, I think in the 90s, a
very different quality of interaction
between our allies and partners and the
kinds of interactions I had with my
Chinese friends. And I I I have always
been struck
that even during periods when we were
working more closely together,
we had almost no habits of cooperation.
And at the very core of almost all of my
Chinese interlocutors' approaches was
just a deep abiding, profound suspicion
of the United States.
And it was hard to break through with
that, and I think part of that was
ideological and part of it was systemic.
But I think I realized pretty early on,
certainly after what happened in the
Taiwan Strait crisis, when China
launched this massive
military modernization program, which
has reached heights that no one imagined
in the early to mid-1990s.
But I would say I believed that we would
be facing a country that did not share
our values and our interests,
and that would be more competitive with
us. And I think I probably, like many,
underestimated how quickly and how rapid
and how sustained that uh effort would
be. But the the truth it really
coalesced around the leadership of Xi
Jinping, in which most of those
approaches were no longer
um uh shadowed. They were very much out
in the open.
I I also observed, um in both our
administrations,
an approach to policy making in Asia in
Asia that I think
undermined or did not pay heed to the
interests of other nations in the
region. And And some of that was almost
on the verge of disrespectful. And the
idea was the only thing that really
mattered was sitting in the stuffed
chairs next to the Chinese and talking
about the French Revolution, and that
other diplomacy and engagement was
secondary and not in our interest,
perhaps. And so I I thought it was, you
know, both a misreading of China's
interests, but also misunderstanding
of the import of working more closely
with allies and partners. So, Bob Ross,
when I'm going to decode anger. So, I
think one difference between anger and
hatred is that hatred tends to burn
cold,
while anger is a reaction to something
that's being done to you. Hatred is a
reaction to somebody's existence that
you feel just by them existing in your
vicinity that
they they diminish you, that they
endanger you.
So,
we we feel anger and hatred and other
emotions because these emotions have
helped our ancestors survive and pass on
their genes. So, I notice
one very productive use of anger when it
gives you the power and the energy to do
something that you need to do,
but that without it you'd be much less
likely to do.
So, if somebody in the moment is
stepping on your foot
and
not not showing any remorse or care
about it,
usually an angry hey, what the heck
will
serve your best interest. So, if you can
take care of something through
displaying anger,
that will likely work out in your best
interest, then displaying anger is is
useful. So, often
when I've been placed in a position of
authority
and I will ask nicely one, two, three
times and then if asking nicely doesn't
get something done, I start upping the
degree of anger that I use to remind
someone that this is important.
And so, that's an adaptive use of anger.
What's a maladaptive use of anger is
when you you can't solve anything or do
anything, but you're angry anyway.
Right? That that doesn't serve you. And
that develops because you write people
up for unenforceable tickets, right?
So-and-so should not have spoken to me
that way.
Right? Somebody should not have cut me
off in in traffic. So, if you get angry
over things that you have no control
over, no ability to shape, then that's
maladaptive.
And then hatred is recognition that the
existence of this person at work, in
your community, next door,
is a danger to your life,
right? Then,
that doesn't display as anger. That That
will most likely display as hatred. When
When you have accurately recognized a
threat,
then hatred is a rational response
to
a threat to your life. First, and I
would say the people that originally
formed that school,
it was a very small school of, you know,
kind of strategic thinkers,
and many of them were more operational
than they were strategic. Rich Armitage
is is often thought of as one of the
fathers of this school, but at the same
time, I will just say we were in a very
small minority and looked down upon by
those that would say, "Look, you know,
what's important is,
you know, functioning and getting things
right between Washington and Beijing."
I tried not to diminish that, cuz I
think it's very important. And I did a
lot of Chinese diplomacy, but I wanted
it in a larger context. I also think it
became increasingly clear, Liz,
unlike previous challenges that we have
faced in the Second World War, in First
World War, Vietnam, we had the
wherewithal
technologically and militarily to stand
up to any potential challenger. We were
the giant on the sidelines that, you
know, would enter the fight. That is no
longer the case, and and I would argue
that over the course of the last 10
years, it becomes increasingly clear
that if we want to have an effective
global strategy, we have to do with
allies and partners, and that means with
respect to technology, procurement, you
know, planning and the like. And here, I
would say that every administration,
including the one I served in, has not
gone nearly far enough in terms of the
kinds of relationships that we will
need.
There is still a substantial amount of
paternalism
and you know, kind of imbalance
in roles and responsibilities, dialogue,
consultation, even with our closest
allies and partners. It will It will
take a sea change of sustained
bipartisan effort to really build the
kind of integrated coalition of allies
and partners, all of whom also should be
seeking to build ties and engagements
with Beijing. My own
view, and I realize that this is
controversial, is that the best way to
have a good relationship with China is
to engage them from a perspective of
strength. Now, I the reason why
I'm probably Okay, I've dissipated my
anger. I've vented.
I am tired. I'm ready to return to the
quieter, more deliberative
uh work of uh writing essays. Good to
talk to you. Talk to you later.
Bye-bye.