Video summary
In 1989, Soviet reformer Boris Yeltsin visited the United States and was profoundly shocked by an ordinary trip to a Houston supermarket, where he witnessed abundance that seemed impossible in his own country. This experience highlighted a central economic question of the twentieth century: which system actually feeds people better, free markets or central planning? While prices for groceries have risen recently compared to 2020 levels, this increase is misleading when measured by the actual labor required to earn money; over time, workers can now purchase significantly more food with their hours of work than they could decades ago. The perception that food has never been less affordable ignores the reality of economic abundance and focuses too narrowly on nominal price tags rather than real purchasing power adjusted for wage growth.
The recent surge in grocery prices was not caused by corporate greed or a sudden change in business ethics, but primarily by monetary expansion during the pandemic when governments printed trillions of dollars while supply chains were disrupted. When an economy floods with money without a corresponding increase in goods and services, it creates inflation where too much currency chases too few products. Attempts to solve this problem through price controls or government-run stores fail because they ignore basic economic laws; history from ancient Rome to modern-day Venezuela shows that fixing prices leads to shortages as producers stop bringing goods to market when they cannot cover their costs. Without the profit-and-loss signal, businesses lose the ability to allocate resources efficiently, resulting in empty shelves and declining quality rather than lower prices for consumers.
The proposed solution of city-owned grocery stores or price freezes is fundamentally flawed because it attempts to hide costs instead of addressing them; any savings generated by public ownership are simply transferred from taxpayers to shoppers while wasting valuable resources that could be used elsewhere. Prices serve as essential information signals that tell producers what to make, how much to produce, and at what cost, allowing the market to coordinate activity without central planning. Instead of suppressing prices or replacing private markets with state-run alternatives, society should focus on restoring stable money supply, encouraging competition, fostering investment, and protecting the freedom to produce goods. The lesson from Yeltsin's visit remains relevant today: true affordability comes not from government intervention in pricing but from a robust system that ensures an abundant supply of food for everyone.
Read the full video transcript
In 1989, a trip to the grocery store
brought down the Soviet Union. That
year, in September, Boris Yelten visited
the United States. He was a reformer,
recently elected to the Soviet Union's
first semi-open parliament and the
loudest critic of the system from inside
it. Two years later, he would become the
first elected president of Russia and
helped bring the entire Soviet order
down. But in 1989, he visited Houston on
an official tour to see NASA's Johnson
Space Center. He saw mission control and
the spacecraft, but none of that stayed
with him. On the way out, he asked to
stop at a supermarket, a Randall in the
suburb of Clear Lake. That stop lasted
about 20 minutes. He walked the aisles
in amazement and asked questions to the
staff. How much does this cost? Do you
need a special degree to run a place
like this? Are all American stores like
this one? A man who had spent his entire
career near the center of Soviet power
looked at the shelves of a middling
Houston market and said that not even
Gorbachoff could shop like this.
The abundance had left him sick with
despair for his own people.
One of his aids, Lev Sukanov, said that
somewhere on that trip, the last vestage
of Bulcheism collapsed inside him. A
grocery store had answered, in one man's
mind, the central economic question of
the 20th century, which system actually
feeds people, free markets or central
planning, capitalism or socialism?
[music]
>> [music]
>> Today, in the very country whose
abundance stunned Yeltzen, that settled
question is being reopened. People are
angry about the price of groceries, and
central planning is fashionable again.
The clearest example is New York City
Mayor Zoran Mandani, who won on the
promise that the government could bring
prices down with city-owned grocery
stores. Built on city land with rent and
construction covered by taxpayers, run
to keep prices low rather than to turn a
profit. His win has turned the idea into
a template other politicians are eager
to copy. But economics does not bend
charismatic politicians. And good
intentions do not automatically become
good outcomes.
Austrian economist Ludvigmon Mises put
it sharply in human action. It is
impossible to understand the history of
economic thought if one does not pay
attention to the fact that economics as
such is a challenge to the conceit of
those in power. So before we hand the
grocery aisle to city hall, three
questions deserve honest answers.
What actually pushed grocery prices up?
What did not push them up despite what
you keep hearing? And would the popular
cures make anything better?
Start with the panic itself.
Yes, the sticker on the shelf is higher.
Food at home costs more than 30% above
what it did in January 2020.
But is the sticker the right yard stick?
You do not buy groceries with dollars in
the abstract. You buy them with the
hours of work it takes to earn those
dollars. American economists Marian Tupi
and Gail Pulif from the Kato Institute
call this the time price. Take the
Thanksgiving dinner the American Farm
Bureau has priced every year since 1986.
A classic meal for 10. In dollars, it
rose from 2874 in 1986 to 5518 in 2025,
a jump of about 92%. Over the same
years, the blue collar wage rose from
$8.92 an hour to 3133, a gain of 251%.
So measure the dinner in work time
instead of money. In 1986, it cost a
worker 3.22 hours on the job. In 2025,
it cost 1.76 hours. The time price fell
by roughly 45%.
For the same labor that brought one
dinner in 1986, a worker today buys
nearly two. This is a textbook case of
abundance, even as everyone insists
otherwise.
None of this denies the real pressure
families feel from rent, insurance, and
interest rates. But the claim that food
has never been less affordable seems to
be wrong despite the higher price tag.
Still, prices did jump after 2020. So,
what happened? The honest answer points
back to Washington, not to the
supermarket. The prelude was the
pandemic, which froze the movement of
people, goods, and capital, and produced
one of the sharpest contractions in
modern American history. Faced with that
shock, the Federal Reserve responded
aggressively. Between early 2020 and
early 2022, the money supply measured by
M2 expanded by roughly $6 trillion from
about $15.5 trillion to a peak above
$21.5 trillion. The Fed's balance sheet
more than doubled from around $4.2
trillion to roughly $9 trillion.
The money supply grew as much in two
pandemic years as it had in the previous
decade.
The Fed can print dollars, but it cannot
print goods. It can create liquidity,
not semiconductors, nor shipping
capacity, nor food. COVID was a negative
supply shock. The real problem was too
few goods, not too little money. Pour
trillions of new dollars onto a shrunken
supply of goods and you get the oldest
result in economics. Too much money
chasing too few goods.
The trick works for a while. American
economist Irving Fischer described the
mechanism more than a century ago in his
statistical relation between
unemployment and price changes. For the
moment, it all looks like prosperity.
Then the costs adjust. The extra profits
vanish, and what looked like a boom is
revealed as a monetary illusion. When
the bill came due, the popular culprit
was corporate greed. A new word even
appeared for it, greedflation.
But the greedflation story has two
weaknesses. First, it is poorly
measured. Greed didn't suddenly spike in
2020. Business owners were not hungrier
for profit than they were before the
pandemic. The desire to improve one's
condition is a permanent feature of
human nature. And most of the time, it
drives firms to compete, innovate, and
cut costs. Forces that help consumers,
not harm them. Second, even a firm that
would love to gouge runs into two walls.
consumer demand and competition. No
business, not even a monopolist, can
raise prices without limit because
shoppers substitute toward cheaper
alternatives the moment one good gets
too dear. And how competitive is the
grocery business? Look at the margins.
Food retailers are famous for razor thin
profits. According to the Food Industry
Association's 2023 report, food retail
businesses average just 1.6 cents of
profit for every dollar of sales. Those
are what economists call normal profits,
just enough to keep the doors open. A
grosser clearing under two cents on the
dollar is in no position to gouge
anyone. So, the causes were monetary and
real, not a sudden outbreak of greed.
But suppose we ignore all that and cap
prices anyway. Picture two towns in the
path of a hurricane.
In the first, residents demand a freeze
on grocery and gas prices so no one can
profit from the emergency.
The freeze passes to cheers, then the
shelves empty. With prices held low, the
families who arrive first take far more
than they could use because nothing
signals them to hold back. The families
who arrive an hour later find bare
shelves and dry pumps. There was enough
for everyone. The cap simply lets too
much pile up in too few hands. In the
second town, prices are free to rise as
the storm approaches.
Shoppers see the higher numbers and take
only what they truly need. Drivers
fleeing town fill the tank halfway,
planning to refuel down the road. Every
family that buys a little less leaves a
little more for the next one. The higher
price is doing a quiet, unglamorous job.
It carries the information that goods
are scarce. The town with the unfair
prices is the one where everyone still
eats. A price is not a punishment the
seller inflicts on you. In their book,
40 centuries of wage and price controls,
economic historians Robert Shuttinger
and Aean Butler trace the same failed
cure back nearly 4,000 years from
Habarab's Babylon through ancient Egypt
to feudal Europe and beyond. The
clearest case is Rome. In 301 AD, facing
runaway inflation from his own currency
debasement, Emperor Dialesian issued his
edict on maximum prices. Fixing the
legal cost of everything from grain to
labor, with death as the penalty for
charging a penny more, farmers and
merchants responded exactly as the two-
town story predicts. They simply stopped
bringing goods to market rather than
sell at a loss. Shortages deepened. Mobs
and executions followed. And within four
years, the edict was abandoned as a dead
letter. As Austrian economists like
Ludvig von Mises and Friedrich Hayek
taught, prices coordinate economic
activity without anyone needing to plan
it centrally. In human action, Mises
argued that market prices tell producers
what to produce, how to produce, and in
what quantity. American economist Thomas
Soul makes a parallel point in basic
economics. Pricecoordinated markets let
people signal to one another how much
they want of something and how much
they're willing to pay for it. Seen this
way, prices aren't obstacles, but
enablers. They let producers and
consumers each discover how best to
serve the other. Which brings us back to
the cityrun store. The promise is lower
prices without the chaos. The trouble is
that the government can hide costs. It
cannot erase costs. We have run this
experiment many times. The Soviet Union
ran state stores for nearly everything
and failed. Cuba still rationed
subsidized food through them and has
failed. Venezuela also tried them out
and failed. The results are a matter of
record. Chronic shortages, [music] thin
variety, sinking quality, long lines.
And the reason is not lazy clarks or
corrupt managers. It is the absence of a
profit and loss signal. Profit tells an
entrepreneur he has created value. Loss
tells him he has wasted scarce resources
and should change course. Strip out that
signal and the store flies blind. Its
losses do not vanish. They are simply
transferred to taxpayers. A public store
can sell below cost for a while, but
only by burning resources that could
have done more good somewhere else. The
affordability problems are real, but the
recent inflation was made in Washington.
So the cure shouldn't lie in suppressing
prices or in replacing markets with
government stores. It should lie in the
reliable forces that make goods abundant
in the first place. Stable money,
competition, investment, and the simple
freedom to produce. Boris Yeltson did
not need an economics lecture. He needed
20 minutes in an ordinary American
store. And the contrast with the empty
shelves back home told him everything.
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