What Humans MUST DO To Adapt & Avoid the COLLAPSE of Civilization | Bret Weinstein & Heather Heying
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In their new book, *A Hunter-Gatherer's Guide to the 21st Century*, Bret Weinstein and Heather Heying argue that modern civilization is heading toward collapse because humanity has outstripped the planet's capacity while failing to shift gears. They posit a central evolutionary paradox: the very traits that made humans successful—our ability to solve problems—are now setting us up for disaster because our psychological, social, and physiological adaptations have not kept pace with the artificial world we created. The authors emphasize that human brains are products of evolution designed primarily to lodge genes in the future, meaning many modern behaviors are driven by ancient impulses rather than logical reasoning or current business needs. To navigate this "adaptive valley," individuals must recognize they are not blank slates but creatures shaped by deep evolutionary history; for instance, humans are biologically classified as fish because we share a common ancestor with them, illustrating that our instincts often reflect survival mechanisms from the Paleolithic era rather than solutions to modern challenges like climate change or market dynamics. The authors identify several specific factors contributing to societal dysfunction and mental health crises among younger generations, including the ubiquity of screens, helicopter parenting (or "snowplow" parenting), and the over-prescription of psychiatric medications for children. These trends have created a generation that is physically adult but mentally stunted by a lack of exposure to unstructured play and risk-taking. The book advocates for restoring evolutionary tools such as rites of passage and Chesterton's Fence—a principle suggesting one should not remove an existing structure (like fences or breastfeeding) until its original function and value are understood—to help individuals regain agency. By consciously engaging with problems rather than relying on gut instincts, people can separate emotional reactions from logical analysis, a skill essential for solving novel issues in a rapidly changing world where intuitive biases often lead to catastrophic errors. Weinstein and Heying introduce the concept of four frontiers that have historically driven human growth: geographic expansion (like Beringians entering the Americas), technological innovation (such as terracing hillsides), resource transfer (which they equate with theft and war), and a proposed fourth frontier focused on creating a steady state. They argue that traditional frontiers are exhausted, making further population growth impossible without restoring zero-sum dynamics or causing ecological collapse. Instead of pursuing perpetual material expansion which leads to boom-and-bust cycles, society should aim for a "steady state" economy where the feeling of growth is derived from producing things of lasting value and beauty rather than consuming them. This shift would liberate people from competing over limited resources, allowing humanity to focus on meaningful pursuits like love, compassion, and craftsmanship without the threat of violence or austerity. To achieve this steady state, the authors propose a system that ensures "real liberty" for as many people as possible by securing basic needs like safety and sustenance, thereby freeing individuals from survival anxiety so they can pursue higher goals. They illustrate this with examples ranging from Mayan city-states that used public works projects to dampen population fluctuations during lean years to the neurochemical rewards of creating durable goods versus buying disposable items. The ultimate goal is not a utopian blueprint but an emergent society where people are liberated to generate meaning and insight rather than satisfying themselves through consumption. By recognizing our evolutionary nature, understanding the limitations imposed by physics over market myths, and embracing conscious control over our impulses, humanity can prototype new ways of living that avoid collapse while fulfilling our unique potential as a generalist species capable of adapting to unprecedented challenges.
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Heather Heying, Bret Weinstein, welcome
back to the show. Previously apart, now
together. I'm super excited to have you
guys. Thank you, Tom, for having us.
Thanks for having us. Glad to be back.
Dude, the new book, A Hunter-Gatherer's
Guide to the 21st Century, I loved it.
It is absolutely extraordinary, and I
want to begin with a quote from the book
that is quite ominous, and then I want
to see what you guys have to say about
this bad boy. So, here we go. This is
literally a direct quote from the book
towards the end,
but, and I quote, we are headed for a
collapse. Civilization is becoming
incoherent around us.
I'd love to know what you guys mean by
that, and if that to you is a big part
of the thread through the book, because
it was for me.
Well, the first thing to say is that you
skipped the warning in the front of the
book that it should only be read while
sitting down, so
fall over and injure themselves.
Um, yeah, well, we are headed for
collapse. That's really not even an
extraordinary claim. If you just simply
extrapolate out from where we are, we
are outstripping the planet's capacity
to house us, and we don't appear to have
a plan for shifting gears. So, it's it's
really a factual statement. Now, the
question really is why? And the the
bitter pill is that the very thing that
made us so successful as a species
is now setting us up for disaster. That
is to say, our evolutionary capacity to
solve problems has
outstripped our capacity to adapt to the
new world that we have created for
ourselves, and so we've become
psychologically, and socially, and
physiologically, and politically
unhealthy, and our civilization isn't
any better.
That said, if any species could get us
out of this mess, it's us. Like, you
know, exactly as Bret said, we are the
most labile, the most adaptable, the
most generalist species on the planet.
And born with the most potential to
become anything else previously
unimagined. So, I do feel like in the
end, the message of the book, which is
explicitly and consistently evolutionary
in all of its different instantiations,
is hopeful. And yes, that that quote
that you read is ominous and I think as
Bret said, you know, a factual
statement, but we can do this. We we
have we have to do it and we need to
try.
And in fact, in evolutionary biology, we
recognize something we call adaptive
peaks and adaptive valleys. And it would
have to be true that to shift gears to
something much better, something that
that
gave humans more of what it is that we
all value, we would have to go through
an adaptive valley and it would look
frightening and in fact, they are
dangerous places to be, but it's part
and parcel of shifting from one mode of
existence to another.
All right, I think an idea that's going
to be really important to get across and
this is something as a guy that only
ever thought I would talk about business
and then in trying to explain how to get
good at business, I kept having to come
back to mindset and then trying to
explain mindset, I keep having to go to
evolution. It's like that we're having a
biological experience, that your brain
is an organ, it comes
you guys said that we are not a blank
slate, but we are the blankest of
slates, which I think is a phenomenal
way to put this idea.
And I want to tie that to the title and
get you guys' take. So, it's a
hunter-gatherer's guide to the 21st
century. And so, the way that I take
that is that notion. You have to
understand that you're a product of
evolution, that your brain is a product
of evolution. And then once you
understand the forces of evolution and
how we got here, then maybe just maybe
we can find our way out of it. So, what
are the key elements to being a product
of evolution that you think people miss
that we must understand if we're going
to navigate our way well out of this
valley of evolution?
Let me say first um that the the title,
A Hunter-Gatherer's Guide to the 21st
Century,
uh evokes that sort of romanticized
hunter-gatherer on the African savanna
of the Paleolithic, which of course is a
part of our human history and does have
many lessons in it to teach us about who
we are now and who we can become.
But as we say in the book, we are all
parts of our history. Like we are not
just hunter-gatherers, we are also right
now post-industrialists.
And there are evolutionary implications
of that, go a little farther back, a lot
farther back depending on your framing,
and we are agriculturalists. Go farther
back, we're hunter-gatherers. Go farther
back, we're primates. We're mammals.
We're fish. All of these moments of our
evolutionary history um have left their
mark in us and have something to teach
us about both what our capacities are
and what our weaknesses are and what we
can do going forward.
And I would add the lessons from
evolution
uh are both good and bad here.
One thing that we realized that our
students over the course of many years
of teaching this material realized was
that everything about our experience as
human beings is shaped by our
evolutionary nature.
And that has a very disturbing upshot
because we are fantastic creatures with
an utterly mundane mission, the very
same mission that every other evolved
creature has, to lodge its genes in the
future.
Um and that this actually explains the
nature not only of our physical beings
but of our culture and our perception of
the world. So, understanding that all of
that marvelous architecture is built for
an utterly mind-numbing purpose is an
important first step in seeing where to
go. But the other thing to realize, and
you referenced our our assertion that we
are the blankest slate that has ever
existed or has ever been produced by
evolution,
and what this means is that we actually
have an arbitrary map of what we can
change. That to the extent that our
genomes have offloaded much of the
evolutionary adaptive work to the
software layer. That means we are
actually capable of changing that layer
because that layer is built for change.
But not everything exists in that layer.
So, some things about what we are are
very difficult to change. Some things
are actually trivial, easily changed.
And knowing which is which is a matter
of sorting out where the information is
housed, but it's all there for the same
reason. It's exactly. It's all there for
the same reason. It's all evolutionary,
be it genetic or cultural or anything
else.
Can you guys give us an example of And I
found this very provocative in the book,
and it certainly rings true to me, but
that to say that we are in some ways
fish from an evolutionary standpoint,
that we are, you know, in some ways
primates from an evolutionary
standpoint. What does that mean exactly?
Again, it's a factual claim, one that
once you've seen the picture standing
from the right place is uncontroversial.
When we say, you know, is a platypus
warm-blooded? We are not asking a
question about its phylogeny, right?
We're asking about how it works, right?
When we ask, is a whale a mammal? We are
asking a question about phylogeny. So,
when we ask the question, are humans
fish? If we're asking a functional
question, then maybe not.
But if we're actually asking a question
akin to, is a mouse a mammal, right?
Uh then we are asking a question about
the evolutionary relatedness of that
creature to everything else. And the key
thing you need to understand is that a
group, a good evolutionary group like
mammal or primate
or ape is a group that if you imagine
the tree of life
falls from the tree of life with a
single clip, right? If you clip the tree
of life at a particular place, all of
the apes fall together. If you clip it
lower down, all of the primates fall
together. And the claim that we are fish
is a simple matter of if we agree that a
shark is a fish and we agree that a
guppy is a fish, if you clip the tree of
life such that you capture those two
species, you will inherently capture all
the tetrapods, which is to say creatures
like us.
So, we are fish as a factual matter if
the question is one of evolutionary
relatedness. So, let me
If I may just say say that in in
slightly different words,
there are at least two main ways to be
similar, right? You can be similar
because you have shared history and you
can be similar because you've converged
on some solution. And so, dragonflies
and swans both fly not because the most
recent common ancestor of dragonflies
and swans flew, but because in each of
their
environments flight was an adaptive
response.
And
that means that flying flyingness is not
a phylogenetic, it's not a historical
representation of what those two things
are. Whereas if you say, well, both both
whales and humans lactate in order to
feed their babies,
that is a description of of something
that they both inherited from a shared
ancestor, right? So, the earliest mammal
lactated to feed its young.
If any any organism on the planet today
um is descendant of that first mammal
that lactated to to feed its young is a
mammal. Even if some future mammal went
a different way and lost the ability to
to lactate, it would still be a mammal.
So, you know, Brett mentioned tetrapods.
Uh tetrapods came you know with a fish
that came out onto land with you know
four feet and started moving around as
the amphibians and the reptiles and the
birds and the mammals.
But snakes are tetrapods. Not because
they still have four feet cuz they
don't, but because they're a member of
those that group. So, it's a it's a
historical description of group
membership as opposed to like an
ecological description of what we're
doing. So, we're not aquatic like most
fish are, but we're fish because we
belong to a group that includes all the
fish. Now, I'm going to say why I think
that matters and why I think you guys
put that at the beginning of a book that
sort of has this punchline of like,
"Hey, we're really headed towards
disaster and we have to be very
thoughtful and here are some solutions."
So, the reason why in business you end
up having to talk about evolution is
because I need a business owner to
understand you cannot trust your
impulses because your impulses may not
have the growth of your business in
mind. It may not reflect an
understanding of consumer behavior. It
may simply be something from our
evolutionary past that was like
um akin to it's better to jump away from
the garden hose thinking that it might
be a snake than it is to think that it
might be a garden hose and it really is
a snake. And once you understand, "Okay,
my mind is structured in a certain way.
It has these insane biases. It tends me
towards certain things like the one that
bothers me the absolute most is that
when people have a feeling, it feels so
real. It And you never translate it into
logic. So, you're like, "That thing
makes me angry. Therefore, it is bad and
it must be attacked, assailed,
whatever." And if you run a business
like that, if you cannot divorce
yourself from I have an impulse, stop
that, insert conscious control, and then
figure out sort of what the first
principles logical build-up is, you
can't solve a novel problem. And until
you can solve a novel problem in an
environment that changes as rapidly as
our current world, you guys call it
hyper novelty if I remember correctly.
You you get into these crazy making
scenarios. And so, while
it seems almost absurd to say that in
some way we are fish, the the key point
that I take away from your book and that
just seems so powerful to recognize to
me is that
you have to understand that you it
wasn't a perfect construction, at least
not towards modern goals. Does that make
sense to you guys? Absolutely.
Absolutely. Now, there are
there are really two up shots to this
claim that you are a fish, right? It's
very hard for people to wrap their minds
around it the first time. But once you
realize that this is what we mean when
we say,
you know, a whale is a mammal, that we
are making a claim about the the tree of
life, then you can actually teach
yourself how adaptive evolution works
just by simply recognizing that snakes
are the most specious clade of legless
lizards. Snakes are lizards, right? You
don't think of it that way. But they
are. Seals are bears that have returned
to the sea, right? So once you
understand that all you have to do is
say, "Actually, this is a that." It's
unambiguous and that means
that adaptive evolution is the kind of
process that can turn a bear into an
aquatic creature like a seal, Or a
lizard into a snake. Right, or a lizard
into a snake.
Um
the other thing that you mentioned, and
you you're right on the money, which is
that if you use your intuitive honed
instincts in order to sort through novel
problems, you will constantly upend
yourself because those instincts aren't
built with those problems in mind. Now,
the thing that's special for us humans
is that we have an alternative. And the
alternative, we argue in the second to
last chapter of the book,
is consciousness. That the correct tool
for approaching novel problems is to
promote whatever the underlying issue is
to consciousness, to share it between
individuals who likely have different
experience, will see different
components of it clearly, and to come to
an emergent understanding of what the
meaning of the problem is and what the
most likely useful solution may be. So,
in some sense, really what you're saying
is in this context, you're trying to get
people to get into their conscious mind
and process this as a team activity,
rather than go with their gut, which is
very likely wrong. Absolutely. And, you
know, our capacity um as humans, but
that includes as a modern human who is,
you know, trying to engage in business
with people, to oscillate between this
conscious state and a cultural state, uh
which is one in which actually maybe
change isn't happening so rapidly, maybe
the rules that we've got are good for
the current situation. Let's just do
this. Let's do a set and forget on this
set of things over here and not not
constantly renegotiate. Whereas, in this
other part of the landscape, we actually
do need to stay in our conscious minds
and yes, we need to tamp down the
emotion and tamp down the, you know, the
quick gut response, but engage with one
another and recognize that, you know,
it's not Satan on the other side of the
interaction, it's another human being
with all of the same kinds of strengths
and weaknesses as each of us has.
Yeah, there's a really interesting thing
that happens when you have um a team
around you, whether they're employees or
otherwise, where um
the just literally just the other day I
said something to my team and several of
them misconstrued it and I could see
they were having a big emotional
response and I said, "Okay, tell me your
objection in a single sentence with no
commas, no run-ons, no parentheticals."
And what you find is that old Einstein
quote of "If you can't explain it
simply, you probably don't understand it
very well." And so, people have this
emotional reaction, but they and they
then enact out in the world that
emotional reaction, but they don't
actually stop to take the time to be
able to say it in a single sentence. And
so, you end up in what my my wife and
business partner and I call you end up
having to chase them cuz you'll solve
the they'll say, "Here's my problem."
You'll solve and say, "Cool, so if I do
something that addresses that." And
they'll be like, "Well, it's not quite
that. It's it's this." And then you
solve that and they're like, "Well, it's
not" and it's like when you force people
to say something really simply, it
forces them to interpret that emotion to
bring it into the conscious mind and
then to actually deal with it. Um which
I find utterly fascinating. Do you guys
have a method by which you do that in
your own lives or that you've taught
other people to do it?
Yeah, I would say there's a a first
go-to move, which is let's figure out
what we actually disagree about. And
very frequently, um you can cover half
the distance or more just simply by
separating an issue into two different
ones. So, for example, if I talk to a
conservative audience, I know we're
going to disagree about climate change.
But I also know from experience
that I can get a conservative audience
to agree that if they believed that
human activity was causing substantial
change to the climate and that that was
going to destabilize systems on which we
were dependent, that they would be
enthusiastic about doing something about
it. And so, what we really disagree
about is whether or not we are causing
something sufficient that we need to
take that action, right? That's half the
distance covered in a matter of just
simply dividing it into two puzzles. And
you'd be amazed, almost everything that
we have fierce disagreements about look
like this where you just sort of assume
the other side has every defect rather
than realizing we agree to a point at
which point we we differ. Yeah, no, and
this is um this is different from what
we were just talking about, right? With
regard to, you know, you having an
emotional or an analytical response.
This is a question of, okay, we think
we're talking about the same thing, but
probably we are using the same words for
different categories in our heads.
Yes.
And can we can we figure out how many
subcategories there are? And you know,
say I've got five in my thing, you've
got five, but maybe there's only two
that overlap. So, maybe we focus on
those two, but maybe there's also maybe
that you know, the devil in the details
is in one of those one of those other
six that is only in one of the people's
brains. And when it's revealed, it's
been like, actually, you think I believe
that thing and I don't. Like, that's not
something we share between us. So, yeah,
having the capability to go in and like
zoom in and out on problems and say,
actually the problem can be smaller than
you think and I and also it is larger
than you think and that I think and
let's constantly
re- re-evaluate the the framing and the
scale at which we're doing analysis.
You guys talk in the book about theory
of mind and Heather, I know you've uh
either started writing, have written, or
have threatened to write a science
fiction novel, which you know, I
desperately want you to do and publish.
Um but I've started doing a game when I
find myself in that situation where and
I learned this in my previous company
where
both of my partners were really smart
guys, but every now and then we'd get in
an argument and
I'd be like, I think they're an idiot,
but I know they're not an idiot. And
they think I'm an idiot, but I'm not an
idiot. And so, I started approaching it
as a writer and saying, okay, if I were
writing this character in this scene,
what would have to be true for them to
be acting this way? What would they have
to believe, be thinking, whatever? And
in my marriage, this has become an
extraordinary
tool of saying, for you to be reacting
this way, you would have to think that I
believe XYZ. Is that the issue?" And
then by getting to that what I call base
assumptions,
you can really begin to facilitate that.
You guys must have encountered this a
bazillion times with students. How do
you unearth that? Like what's the
process of of uncovering that especially
In fact,
it is
so weird to me that you two have become
like the most attacked people on planet
Earth. I I will never quite understand
how this has happened, but how do you
guys
tease out and not just go out there
evil? How do you find those underlying
issues?
Well, first of all, I think we're we're
attacked because we we look like
villains. Sure.
So much so.
Right. Exactly.
Well, you you hinted an important issue
here that I think is actually quite
modern. So if you lived any sort of
normal existence from an ancestor, you
know, even just a couple hundred years
before the present, you would find that
they pretty much grew up around the
people that they ended up interacting
with as adults. They didn't stray very
far from home. Everything would be
incredibly familiar. And the language
that they used to interact with
everybody they were encountering
would have been shared because it would
have been picked up from an immediate
group of ancestors that they both knew,
right? When we use English to talk to
someone else,
we have an incredibly blunt tool because
the ancestor from which we picked up
that shared language is quite distant.
And what this does, you know, you really
have two kinds of people in the world.
You've got people who more or less use
the tool like English as it was handed
to them.
And they don't question it. And you have
people who are trying to break new
ground. And what is true for everybody
who breaks new ground is that they end
up building a personal toolkit. They
will redefine words so that they become
sharper and more refined and more
useful. And then, when you put two such
people together, they will talk right
past each other because they don't
remember that they redefined things. So,
one thing that is essential if you are
going to team up with someone else who
is generative and done their own work
and arrived at some interesting
conclusion, you need time. It's weeks of
talking to each other before you even
understand how they use language. Once
you do that, you can have an incredible
conversation. But, if you think you're
going to sit down with them
and immediately pool what you know and
get somewhere, you got another thing
coming because at first they're going to
sound like they don't know what they're
talking about, all right? You've got to
find those definitions and figure out
what they mean. And it's actually, if it
once you realize that this is the job,
it's very pleasurable and it's it's
really an honor when somebody lets you
look through their eyes. You say, "Oh,
that's how you see the world." And now,
I get a chance to see it that way. And
then, let me show you what I'm seeing,
and you really can get somewhere. But,
there's no shortcut about the time
necessary to learn each other's
language. That's right. And that that
really is a parallel for what we were
doing in the classroom as well. You
know, we didn't
you know, if we were if we were teaching
18-year-olds, if we were teaching
freshmen, we didn't assume that they all
came in as experts, obviously. Um and
yet, the same logic applies that
everyone has you know, I I I wouldn't
say actually I I don't think I really
agree that, you know, regardless of what
language you're speaking, you either you
know, take it on on faith as as you have
received it, or you act um decisively to
change it. I think teenagers tend to be
modifying language pretty actively. And
so, especially when you um you know,
find yourself in a room full of you
know, relatively young people uh in a
college classroom, you have a lot of
people here using language differently
um than you the professor does. And
then, you're also in the business of
introducing to them um you know, a set
of tools, some of which has specialized
language associated with it, um,
associated with, you know, whatever it
is that you're teaching. And finding the
common ground between these, like, okay,
actually all of us modify language some.
And let's figure out how to use language
that we can all agree on and understand,
and, um, you know, for for the purposes
of communication, as opposed to for the
purposes of displaying group membership.
Yeah. I In fact,
because that that's what jargon is often
is about group membership displays, and
that's what, um, you know, memes and
especially, um, well,
a lot of them a lot of the very rapidly
changing language, um, that doesn't
happen in technical space is really
about demonstrating that you're on the
inside of some some joke.
Well, actually, this is a perfect case,
uh, of a personal definition that must
be shared, otherwise you can't talk,
right? Because,
uh, I at least distinguish between terms
of art Mhm.
and jargon. Most people will use the
term jargon for both things, but the
point is terms of art are a necessary
evil, right? You have to add some
special term because the language that
you're handed, the general language,
doesn't cover it. And so, you need a
special term to describe something, and
that means that somebody walking into
the conversation isn't necessarily aware
of what's being said until they've
learned that term. Jargon is the
pathological version of this. Jargon is
the use of these specially defined terms
to exclude people from a conversation
that they probably could understand, and
that they might even realize you didn't
know what you were talking about if they
could understand the words that you were
using. So, you use those words to
protect yourself. And, um,
until somebody gets that when you say
jargon, you're not talking about
specialist language, you're talking
about a competitive strategy, um, they
won't know what you're saying. So,
uh, and, you know, the difference as
Heather points out is, in a room full of
18-year-olds, especially when you're the
professor, at some level you can say,
"Look, here are the terms that we need
in order to have this conversation." And
more or less people will adopt them
because that's the natural state of
things, rather than two peers getting
together where you have to
you know, my my rule is
I don't care whether the definition ends
up being the one that I came up with or
your set of definitions, it doesn't
matter to me. What I need is a term for
everything that needs to be
distinguished, and we both need to know
what those terms are in order to have
the conversation, but terms they are,
doesn't matter. Well, and yet,
um
you know, as as I think we say in the
book, our undergraduate advisor, Bob
Trivers, extraordinary evolutionary
biologist, when we were leaving college
and applying to grad school, he gave us
a piece of advice about what kinds of
jobs we might ultimately want if we were
to stay in academia. And he said, "Do
not accept a job in which you are not
exposed to undergraduates." Um because
um teaching undergraduates means
exposing yourself and the thinking that
you are presenting to to naive minds who
will throw curveballs at you. And some
of those curveballs are going to be
nuisances and maybe they'll waste your
time, but some of them are likely to
reveal to you the uh frailty in your own
thinking or in the thinking of the
field, and that is the way that progress
is made. And so, you know, who whom we
call peers is uh up for discussion, and
recognizing that we can we can all learn
from almost every person that we
interact with uh is a remarkable way
forward.
Yeah, and the corollary to that is uh
there's a lot of pressure not to reveal
what you don't know by asking questions
that will establish the the boundaries
of your knowledge, and being courageous
about actually acknowledging what you
don't know often leads to the best
conversations, right? It it
guys do talk about that in the book, and
I think that this is such an important
idea. I'd love to tie it to something
else you talk about which is
what is science? Like you guys have a
pretty unique take on what science is
that it could be done with a machete and
a pair of boots out in the jungle. It
can be done in a laboratory. Um
yeah, what is science?
Science is a method for correcting for
bias.
And that method is pretty well known. It
has had a few updates along the way, but
the the basic idea is it is a slightly
cumbersome mechanism for correcting for
human bias and the result is that it
produces a
set of models and a uh a scope of
knowledge that improves over time. And
what improves means is
it explains more while assuming less.
And and fits with all of the other
things that we think are true maximally.
Right. Ultimately
uh
all true narratives must reconcile and
that includes the scientific narratives
that we tell at different scales, right?
The nano scale has to fit with the
macroscopic scale even if we don't
understand how they fit together yet. So
ultimately we're sort of filling in from
both sides what we understand and what
we expect is that they will meet in the
middle like a bridge and um if they
don't it means we got something wrong
somewhere. Yeah. So science is not the
methods of science.
It's not the glassware and the expensive
instrumentation.
And it's not the um
indicators uh that you're a scientist
cuz you're wearing these things. You
know, it's not the lab coat.
And it's not the conclusions of science.
It's not the things that we think we
know, many of which things are actually
true and some of which aren't. Science
is the process.
And all those other things are sort of
hallmarks that may or may not be
accurate proxies uh when you're trying
to figure out is that person doing
science? Is this science over here? um
but what science is is actually the
process. And it's worth saying that you
don't need it for realms that are not
counterintuitive, right? You don't need
to do science in order to figure out
where the desk chair is before you sit
down, right? It is apparent to you where
the desk chair is because you're built
to perceive it directly. Now, every so
often, we all have the experience of
looking at something and not being able
to figure out what we're seeing. There's
some optical illusion, the way we are
sitting, where we are in relation to the
object we're looking at. And then you
will go through a scientific process,
you know, if that is a so-and-so, that
also suggests this, and I can see that
that's not true. So, what could it be,
right? That That process is scientific,
but by and large, the direct perception
of objects around you, because it is
intuitive, because it's built to be
intuitive, your system is built to
understand it in a way that makes it
intuitive, doesn't require this. So, we
need science where things are
sufficiently difficult to observe or
counterintuitive, so you need a process
to correct for your expectations.
What drives all of this to me and that
gets missed even though it's sitting in
plain sight is to make progress, you
must hunger to know where you are wrong.
And if you can derive, and again, I come
at everything from a business lens, in
business, if you can derive tremendous
pleasure and quite frankly self-esteem
from your willingness to seek out the
imperfections in your thinking, you'll
actually make it.
If you don't and it's an ego-protective
game for you and your ego is built
around being right, then you're you're
going under. And to your point about
exposing yourself to undergrads, some of
the most phenomenal, like
incisive questions challenging my
leadership have come from like interns
who just they've never had a job before.
And so they're like, "Oh, why are we
doing XYZ?" And you're like, "Why are we
doing that?" And if in that moment
you're like, I I you know, present
myself and have a reason for why we are
doing that. You actually talk yourself
into something.
And because of the market, much like
evolution or reality, which is something
I want definitely want to talk about,
how there's a weirdness that we're
living through now, where people feel
like if they can convince you through
language of something that it actually
somehow affects the underlying truth.
But in business, the market does not
care. Like you can convince your team
that you're right, but if the market
doesn't embrace it, you're going to
fail. And there's something wonderful
about that.
Well, I want to I want to push back
slightly. Admittedly, this is not an
area of expertise, but
it seems to me that there are two things
that business needs to be divided into
two things in order to really understand
what you're getting at. The business
where the market is actually
in a position to test your understanding
of what is true and what will work and
what people want and things like that is
one thing. That's real business. And
then there's a kind of rent-seeking in
which it may be about
uh you know, a company
that
does not have a functional product that
is selling the idea that it will have a
product that no one else will have, and
its stock price rises uh as a matter of
speculation. That may well be a realm in
which it is uh it is deception. In fact,
this this is beyond the scope of the
book, but wherever perception is the
mediator of success, you have deception
as an important evolutionary force.
Where
physics dictates whether you succeeded
or failed, you don't have that problem.
You can't fool physics. So, I don't know
what the two words for the two kinds of
business are, but the rent-seeking part
of business and the actual production of
superior goods or the same goods at a
cheaper price,
uh that's a different kind of of
business structure.
Well, here's what's interesting. I
really fast on that point. I think that
they do fall under the same category.
So, when I say that the market decides,
so if your pitch is, "Hey boys and
girls, we have to deceive the market and
we have to, you know, game it and here's
how we game it." And so, everything is a
function of your goal. So, if your goal
is to deceive and to, you know, create a
pump in your stock price, there is a way
to do that that will work and there is a
way to do that that won't work. And now,
getting into honorable goals versus, you
know, dishonorable goals, that that is
really fascinating. Um but, I think that
they they do fall into the same category
of either the thing you do moves you
towards your goals or it does not.
Yeah. Yep. I mean, I still think there's
room for a division because there is, uh
you know, the mythology of the market is
that it pays for value and rent-seeking
violates that. Rent-seeking effectively
uh is a failure of the market. And so, I
don't know I don't know where the
definitional split needs to be, but it
does seem to me that although you're
right, the the, you know, whether
whether what you are doing is uh
assessing what you believe the
psychology of the market to be or
whether you are assessing what might be
physically possible in terms of a
product, those are both real systems
that you're either correct about or not.
Um but, there there does seem to me to
be a distinction between rent-seeking
and and uh the production of actual
value. And there's a perfect analogy to
be made um
uh to academic science,
of course. And so, in academia, if you
are a scientist, you are supposed to be
seeking an understanding of reality. Um
but, the way that modern science is done
uh involves a lot of requesting of
grants from most of the federal
government. And um just as I imagine
business, although definitely not um my
area of expertise, the bigger you are,
the harder it is to change course. And
um in academia, in part that means uh
the later in your career you are, the
harder it is to change course, and
therefore the harder it's going to be to
do something like embrace that you were
wrong. And, you know, actual, honorable,
good scientists will always will always
fess up and talk publicly about when
they were wrong. Um, but if your entire
lab is contingent on a model of the
universe that is turning out to look
ever less likely, it's going to be much
more difficult for you to do that, for
you to embrace the wrongness of, you
know, what might be the livelihoods of
not just you, but many of the people who
are working under you. How would you
handle it?
Well, you have to restructure things so
that uh what actually matters is being
right in the long term. What we have is
an epidemic of corruption inside of
science, which has more or less been
spotted first with respect to
psychology. Now, psychology is difficult
to do because you're inherently looking
into the mind, and you don't have a
direct ability to measure most of what's
there.
But, the P-hacking crisis, um basically
the abuse of statistics to create the
impression of discovery, which then
resulted in the inability to reproduce
a large fraction of the results in
psychology, is actually the tip of a
much larger iceberg. That basically
science as a process is um
excellent, but science as a social
environment is defective, and especially
defective where we have plugged it very
directly into market incentives, and
we've put uh scientists at an unnatural
level of competition for a a tiny number
of jobs. We produce huge numbers of
applicants, which means that the
incentive to cheat
is tremendous, and those who stick to
the rules probably don't succeed very
well. So, basically, what we have is a
uh a race to discover who is best at
appearing scientific and delivering
those things that
that the field wants to believe rather
than those things that the field needs
to know. So,
the short answer to your question, which
isn't especially operationalizable, is
you need to put a firewall between
market forces and the scientific
endeavor because although science is an
incredibly powerful process, it is also
a fragile process that needs insulation
from market forces or it cannot work.
So, I would say just in brief, again,
not particularly operationalizable, but
um
reward public error correction.
All right? Um you know, no matter no
matter at what stage you are and what
the nature of the error was,
um unless there was intentional fraud,
which of course does exist,
um public error correction should be
rewarded uh without shaming, uh without,
you know, loss of of priority in other
things and the ability to do science
because not only do we need people to be
able to um see that they've made
mistakes and and actually course
correct, but we need people to be taking
enough risks early on that they are
likely to sometimes make errors. And so,
in the current environment where any
error can be considered like the death
knell for a career, we have ever more
timid scientists and um that is making
us less good at science as a society.
And in fact, it almost seems implausible
that people would go around
acknowledging their errors, but it
wasn't so long ago that this was fairly
common. In fact, uh I used to study
bats, and there's a famous example of
this not so long ago, uh
guy named Pettigrew had advanced a
radical hypothesis that suggested that
the Old World fruit bats, the so-called
flying foxes, were in fact not part of
the same evolutionary history as the
bats that we see here in the New World,
for example, the microbats.
Um he argued that they were in fact
flying primates.
Which was a fascinating argument.
It was based on their neurobiology
looking more like uh monkey neurobiology
than it does like bat neurobiology,
which turned out to be the result of the
fact that they use their eyes rather
than echolocation.
Uh um so it was wrong. And what he said
at the point that it was revealed by the
genes that he had been wrong was
"If it is a wrong hypothesis, it has
been a most fruitful wrong hypothesis."
Which was absolutely right. The work
that was done to sort that out was
tremendously valuable. And so anyway,
nobody who has had to course correct and
admit an error finds it pleasant. But we
have to restore the rules of the game
where
the longer you wait, the worse it is. So
that the incentive is as soon as you
know you're wrong, owning up to it so
that you are on the right side of the
puzzle as quickly as possible. That that
has to be the objective.
As you guys look at society and where
we're at now, so one problem you've
obviously just very eloquently laid out.
You've got incentives around admitting
that you're wrong is uh could be the
death knell of your career. What else is
going on that makes you guys have that
um
quote that we started the the episode
with around, you know, sort of the You
didn't use the word disintegrating, but
that there's to put my own words to it,
there's a crazy making that's happening
at the societal level. What
has led to that? Like what are three or
four factors that are causing that
breakdown?
Well, um you know, in in part, you know,
the the bias that we have as
evolutionary biologists is that we see a
failure to understand what we are as uh
producing short-term, reductionist,
metric-heavy, pseudo-quantitative
answers to questions that uh warrant a
much more holistic and emergent
approach. And so, what are some of the
the things that modern humans have
embraced or have been told to embrace,
and some of us have and some of us
haven't,
that have helped produce
problems for for modern people?
This is not This is not new with us, but
the ubiquity of screens, the change in
parenting styles to protect children
from risk and unstructured play,
and the drugging of children legally
with anti-anxiety and anti-depression
meds, more likely if they're girls and
with speed if they're boys, those three
things in combination, all of which were
sort of on the rise in the '90s and hit
fever pitch in the in the '00s and early
teens,
helped produce a generation that became
in body adults,
but with minds that had not had a chance
yet
to actually learn what it is to be
human.
And some of that is reversible. And you
know, really, we just by by chance, we
were college professors
Excuse me. We were college professors
for basically the entire period of time
during which millennials were in
college. So, we taught millennials from
from beginning to end, and almost to a
person our students were amazing and
receptive and creative and and capable.
And if you you know, when when we talk
about the generation of millennials,
it's those people who were drugged and
screened and helicoptered and snowplowed
parented, right? So,
with individual attention, people can be
pulled out of the tailspin, but at a
societal level, that's exactly what
we're in as a tailspin. What is the
tailspin exactly though? What is it
about those things that
What does it create in people?
I want to address that as part of a
a slight reorientation of the question.
So,
one of the things that is causing the
dysfunction is,
you know, it's not just the fact of the
screens, but it's what they imply that
virtually everything that people know is
coming through a social channel, right?
So, it is all open to manipulation,
augmentation, distortion,
and
what people generally do not pick up in
the normal course of an education, even
what we consider to be a high-quality
education,
is interaction with systems that allow
you to check whether or not that which
sounds right actually comports with
logic.
Um so, for example,
if you interact with an engine, you
can't fool an engine into starting. You
either figure out why it isn't starting
or you don't. And so, we advocated for
students that they dedicate some large
fraction of their education to systems
that are not socially mediated, in which
success or failure is dictated by a
physical system that tells you whether
or not you've understood or failed to
understand. And And I mean, this can be
mechanics or carpentry, but it also can
be, you know, baking, frankly, or
learning to play the guitar. Right. Or
Or parkour. Anything where success or
failure is non-arbitrary. What you don't
want is an education built entirely of I
succeeded when the person at the front
of the room told me I got it. Because if
the person at the front of the room is a
dope, which unfortunately happens too
often, you may pick up wrong ideas and
feel rewarded for believing in them, and
that can result in tremendous confusion.
I would just finally say
that the book really is about what we
have informally called an evolutionary
toolkit. And that evolutionary toolkit,
the beauty of it, what we saw and what
students reported to us in their picking
it up, uh that toolkit allows with a
very small set of assumptions the
understanding of a large fraction of the
phenomena that we care about. Almost
everything we care about as humans is
evolutionarily impacted. And the ability
to go through what you are told about
your psychology or your teeth or
anything like that and say, "Does that
make sense given the highest quality
Darwinism that we've got? Does it make
sense to be told that our genomes
suddenly went haywire and that's why an
ever-increasing fraction of young people
need orthodontia?"
Nope, not for a moment. Does it make
sense that we have a piece of our
intestine called the appendix that is no
longer of any value and yet a huge
number of people have uh this thing
become inflamed and burst so that their
lives are placed in jeopardy? Nope, it
does not. The ability to check what
you're being told against a set of law a
a toolkit for logic that is so robust
that you can instantly spot nonsense is
a very powerful enhancement and it does
not involve knowing more.
It involves knowing less and having that
little bit that you know be really
robust. That's terrific. I would just
say it doesn't necessarily involve you
knowing less but being certain of less.
It requires that you rest what you know
on less. The foundation is more robust
and
uh less elaborate. I was just about to
ask what it means to know less, so thank
you for that.
Um yeah, that is very interesting. When
I think about uh I forget the exact
quote, but as the island of your
knowledge grows, the shore of your
ignorance grows, too. You know, whatever
the the famous quote, but
it's a really interesting dichotomy. So,
all right, we've got this generation
that's growing up. They're looking at
screens. You guys make a pretty
interesting um assertion in the book
about what screens do in terms of you're
getting emotional cues from a non-human
entity and that it may play a part in
the rise in autism. I found that
incredibly interesting.
What I want to better understand is
what's going on
in our brains that so helicopter
parenting or snowplow parenting for
instance, like why does that trap us in
a perpetual childhood? You guys talk
about rights of passage in the book. I'd
be very curious to to hear like how do
we begin to deal with some of these
things whether it's screens, whether
it's snowplow parenting, you know, if I
find myself
a 19-year-old and I realize I've been
done dirty. I've been on drugs for ages.
I was raised essentially by a screen.
I'm, you know, having trouble
connecting, having trouble relating and
my parents have taken care of everything
for me.
What are the symptoms I need to look out
for and then how do I push forward?
Well, uh in terms of symptoms, this is
more or less a
uh
it's a self-diagnosing problem. You
either None of us feel perfectly at home
in modernity because in fact we are not
at home. We can't be even, you know, the
the world that we live in is not the
world of our grandparents. It's not even
the world that we were born into. We
live as adults in a world that
just literally didn't exist when we were
born and that's
world even that our children are born
into unless they were literally born
yesterday.
Right, exactly. It's changing so fast it
can't be. But that said, you either are
feeling constantly confused about what
you're seeing and hearing and you don't
know what to think or you've found
something that allows you to move
forward and even if you can't fully
manage what it is you're confronting, it
should surprise you less and less. And
so
we we provide a couple of tools in the
book. We talk about the precautionary
principle and we talk about Chesterton's
fence, which are really two sides of the
same coin. And if your life has been
built around the idea that whatever the
newest thing is, the you know, the
latest wisdom is what you were brought
up on, then in all likelihood you are,
you know, taking various drugs to
correct for various things, which may
very well be the symptoms of the last
drugs you you took. Uh you you know, you
may be engaging in all kinds of
behaviors uh to fix mysterious problems.
Maybe you can't sleep and, you know, so
you're you're uh taking some aggressive
uh mechanism to deal with that. The
basic point is
back away from that which is novel and
untested and in the direction of that
which is time-tested and it will result
in a
decrease in anxiety, an increase in your
control over your own life, and the way
you'll tell is that you will feel less
confused more of the time. Can you guys
define Chesterton's fence? I thought
that was a really great part of the
book.
Yeah. Um so G.K. Chesterton was a
20th-century
political philosopher, maybe. I'm not
sure exactly how he would have defined
himself. But um of of the many
contributions that he made um to you
know, I think he was a conservative. Um
but of one of the many contributions
that he made was imagining two people on
a walk together and coming across a
fence that appeared to be in their way.
And person A says, "Let's get rid of the
fence." And person B says, "Well, what's
it here for?" Person A says, "I don't
care. It doesn't matter. I just want it
gone."
And person B, uh Chesterton I suppose uh
in my telling here, says, "There's no
way that I should let you get rid of the
fence until and unless you can tell me
what its function is. If you can tell me
what its function is or was originally
here for, then maybe we can talk about
whether or not it's time for it to go.
But until you can explain to me what the
function is or was, then there's no way
that I should allow you to get rid of it
simply because you see it as an
inconvenience.
So, um you know, the appendix that Brett
already mentioned,
um
is is a perfect example of this. And we
talk about in the book things like, you
know, Chesterton's breast milk. You
know, we should be you know, we should
we should be abandoning breastfeeding um
you know, we we are abandoning
breastfeeding to the degree that we're
doing so at our peril. Uh Chesterton's
play, not letting children have long
periods of unstructured play in which
adults are not monitoring them and are
not telling them not to bully each
other, even though bullying is bad, yes,
but allowing children to figure out for
themselves in mixed-age groups how it is
to navigate risk themselves, that is how
those children will grow into competent
young people. And you know, if you do
arrive at 19 having been drugged into
submission and having had your parents
clear all of the hazards out of the way
for you, the thing you can do is start
exposing yourself to risk. And risk is
risky, you know, um this is you know,
the this is both a tautology and also
shocking to people because, you know,
wait, you're you're telling me I need to
expose my children to risk? Well, if you
want to guarantee that your child will
make it to their 18th birthday alive,
then sure, put them in a cocoon, right?
That's the way to make sure that their
body will get to 18 is to reduce all
risk from their lives and protect them
from everything. But will they have the
mind of an 18-year-old at that point?
No, they will not. So, you trade a
little bit of security that your child
will survive, and you know, ev- every
time I say anything like that, I get
chills. You know, we have children,
they're teenagers now, and the idea that
one of them would die, and that they
would die taking a risk that we had
implicitly or explicitly encouraged, I
don't know how you go on, right? And you
know, parents do, but I don't know how
you go on.
But the bigger risk is that they get to
18 and they're incompetent, and they
can't think, and they don't know how to
navigate the world, especially now where
the world in the future will look
nothing like it did in the past. They
need to be able to problem-solve, and
the way to do that is to be exposed to
as many situations in which they are
navigating on their own as early as
possible. Selection has really given
parents a the job of both managing risk
and not fully managing risk. In other
words, it's not that you don't protect
your children, but you want to protect
them at a level where they do make
mistakes, and those mistakes do come
back to haunt them, and it causes them
to be wise adults who are capable of
managing
risk when the risk when the stakes are
much higher. And that's really the
question. It's not do you want your
child to be safe? Of course, you do. But
you want them to be safe across their
entire life. And if you protect them too
much when they are young, they will not
be able to do it when they are older,
and the risks are frankly much larger.
Yeah, one of the things that I find most
intoxicating about you guys, your book,
your podcast, is nuance, complexity,
like recognizing that by being
reductionist, by boiling things down to,
you know, make them simple, but no no
further, whatever the quote is, that
there is a point at which you can reduce
something so far that you lose what's
really going on.
Um
and finding our way through all of this
complexity, though, is incredibly
difficult. So, as it comes to your own
parenting style, how have you guys
employed this the idea that I'm most
interested of yours is is the idea that
the magic happens in the friction. So,
whether it's male-female, whether it's
right-left, it's understanding or safety
and risk, it's understanding that it's
either side is problematic. How have you
guys navigated that complexity?
Well, we
gambled. Neither of us knew particularly
much about rearing children at the point
where we ended up with them and we more
or less gambled on the idea
of a surprise to me at the point that we
ended up with them. No, no. I carried
them for 9 months. No, no. Certainly, we
knew they were coming for many months,
but um
but from the point of view of what one
does to raise children well,
we hadn't had a lot of experience with
young kids. They just hadn't been in our
lives and we gambled on an idea that I
still think it's not entirely obvious
why it works at all.
But if you treat your children
more or less at least cognitively, you
just shoot way over their heads, right?
You talk to them like like adults from
very early on and they cannot respond in
kind, but they get much more than you
would think based on what they can say
in response. And so we have been
extremely open with our children about
the hazards in the world that they face
and the hazards in our family have been
frankly greater than than most children
would be confronted with. At least in
the weird world, yeah. Um we have been
honest with them. We you know, we have
an explicit rule in our household and
the children could recite it
uh
without thought, right? You are allowed
to break your arm or your leg. You are
not allowed to damage your eyes. You're
not allowed to damage your skull. You're
not allowed to damage your neck or your
back, right? Now, when you say that to a
kid
and they realize actually it's not that
I'm being told no, no, no, no, no. I'm
being told I am actually allowed to
break my arm and nobody is going to
necessarily, you know, be concerned. You
know, yes, we'll
we'll take care of you no matter what
and if you damage your eyes, we'll take
care of you then, too. But, the basic
point is there's just a fundamental
distinction between damaging things
which repair pretty well and damaging
things which don't. And that ought to
exist in your mind, you know, every time
you leave the house understanding that
there are certain things, you know, that
it's not that you want to avoid bad
things and uh go towards good things,
it's that there's a whole spectrum of
bad and uh you may need in an instant to
navigate, you know, if you're driving
down the highway,
yes, the first job is don't crash,
right? Don't crash is a good rule, but
you can't always not crash, and
sometimes you've got a choice about what
you crash into or how you crash, and,
you know, if you've just got everything
filed as a binary, then you're you're in
much more danger. So,
being clear with kids about the
subtleties and the nuance, and frankly
about the bind that you're in. Our
children know that we have made a
conscious decision that in order that
they can manage risk as adults, they
have to face risks as children that
could potentially cost them their lives.
You know, we took our kids into the
Amazon, for example. That's not a safe
place to be, but they're also the kind
of kids who can handle it now.
So, one of the things uh that was very
important to us was that our children
literally learn how to fall.
That when they were climbing up on
things, on trees or on jungle gyms,
uh that they would launch themselves
intentionally so that they would learn
how to fall safely. But, metaphorically
learning how to fall is the other thing
that you learn once you are engaged in
literally learning how to fall. And
maybe maybe that is the kind of risk
that we are in fact trying to prepare
our children for and that we are arguing
that parents everywhere should be
preparing their children for. How to
fall safely so that you get up and can
live to
maybe not fall again, but if you do fall
again, live to get up again another day.
Yeah, actually it it occurs to me right
now that engineers
know this backwards and forwards, right?
Fail-safe. That's what you want, a
system that fails safely, and um
building that into your kids is is an
essential an essential skill.
So, one of the things you talked about
in the book that I was like, "Whoa." was
when your son broke his arm. I think he
was older cuz I know when the one broke
it going down the stairs, that one
required immediate medical attention.
Uh but there was a time where he broke
his arm and it was like a couple days, I
think, before you actually went and had
it looked at.
Um
and there's like an actual principle
behind strengthening the bone that you
guys go through, and I was very
impressed. Um talk about that, including
the notion that as this is like
you guys have overcome one of the
reasons that I didn't become a father
was it seemed so self-evident to me that
you had to do things like let your kids
take risks, you know, within confines,
that you had to make things hard for
them within confines,
uh and I wasn't sure that I would enjoy
that process. So, it was obvious I would
have to do it and not obvious that I
would enjoy it. And when you guys talked
about like how we sort of over-coddle
things, which I could immediately
empathize with. I get why people do it,
why you want to wrap a broken arm in the
thickest cast you can possibly find, but
that even that isn't always the right
answer.
Yeah. No, it's it's really not that we
our brains are antifragile and our bones
are antifragile, and they they become
stronger with stressors.
And society seems to be imagining that
what we all are is fragile. And by
imagining that we're fragile, by
creating conditions that imagine that
we're fragile, that becomes the reality.
We become more and more fragile and less
antifragile. So, uh in the case of our
our older son, or it was our younger
son, but when he was older, uh who broke
his arm in the last day of camp, we did
get him to um to an emergency room that
day. It was several hours, but it was
that day.
And they told us that at the point that
we got back home to Portland, which was
um a several several hour drive, and it
was going to be many days before we got
there, that we should go see an
orthopedist. And To have a cast put on.
To have a cast put on. So, we spent
several days um splinted He spent He
spent several days splinted and with
some uh with some pain medication um
before we ended up going home to
Portland, and where we did not get a
cast. But, the important thing is this
is not an experiment we ran on our child
before I had run it on myself, all
right? So,
um evolutionarily speaking, uh
there is a logic to what one does with
broken bones, and it's a very different
logic. Lots of creatures don't heal so
well. Horses famously don't heal very
well. And the reason for this is fairly
obvious. A horse, a wild ancestral
horse, that had a broken limb wasn't
going to recover. That is to say, once
an animal was hobbled by a broken limb,
it was going to be picked off by a
predator. So, the selection that creates
the capacity to repair wasn't there.
On the other hand,
uh sloths, which fall out of trees
fairly regularly, but don't depend on
their ability to get away from predators
uh through speed, actually survive very
frequently. And when we look at sloth
carcasses, they very regularly have
breaks that have healed. So, creatures
that can heal have that capacity. Our
arms And and humans are such creatures.
We are such creatures. So, one wants to
be very careful, right? If a bone is
misaligned, you then want to utilize
medicine in order to get the healing
process to work correctly, so it doesn't
heal in a misaligned way. But, if you've
got a fracture, and you haven't
misaligned something, there's a whole
other logic that takes over.
Immobilizing the arm isn't what we're
built for. In fact, what you're built
for is to have pain and inflammation do
the job. And the result, when I broke my
arm, and I just said, "You know what?
I've thought for my whole life, why is
it that we rush to get a doctor to
to immobilize this and then we atrophy
and have it removed and we have to
rebuild our strength. Maybe that's not
how it's supposed to be. Logically,
evolution has prepared us for this.
Let's see what happens. When I broke my
arm and I was certain that it was not
misaligned and I let it go,
what I found out was A, one has to be
very careful for the first day or two
until you learn what it is that you're
capable of doing, but your capacity
begins to return very, very quickly. And
the degree to which I was better off the
time that I broke my arm, that I
fractured my arm and did nothing
medical, than the time that I fractured
my arm and did the standard medical
thing and had the cast, was night and
day different. And the fact is, we
talked to to Toby, our our younger son,
when he broke his arm and we told him
what we were thinking and he had watched
me go through the experiment and he
elected to go through it himself and, lo
and behold, the same logic applied in
his case.
Yeah, that's really interesting and
feels like there's a lot that we can
extrapolate from that in terms of our
real lives.
One idea that I find really enticing,
and I'm sad that I didn't go through it
when I was a kid, are rites of passage.
Do you guys think about that?
All the time.
We have dispensed. So, this is a classic
Chesterton's fence issue where it used
to be that there were these, you know,
hallmarks of having passed through a
certain developmental state. And at some
point, I think people started to feel
that these things were primitive and
they dispensed with all of them and
much to our peril, because it, you know,
what you are is a creature
that starts out utterly helpless and
ends up incredibly capable. But, there
are moments at which you take on new
responsibility, right? Now, it's
arbitrary. Is an 18-year-old really an
adult? In many ways, yes. In some ways,
no. It's not really a moment at which
you become an adult, but you do need a
moment at which we say, "Actually, at
this point, these responsibilities are
ones we believe you can handle, and
going forward, that's what they are."
And
The ceremony itself instantiates it. The
ceremony helps make it real. And maybe
it's at 18, maybe it's at 15, maybe it's
at 13, depending on the tradition. Maybe
it's counting in a different way in
cases um where perhaps adherence to the
calendar is not the thing, but you know,
the moment, now you are a man, now you
are a woman, uh is
has got to be an empowering one, and
it's one of the things that is almost
universally lost for us, us weird
people. And, you know, it may well be
the case, just as is the case with
something like follow-through in sport.
What you do after you hit the ball
actually does not matter, but it is very
important that you intend to follow
through. And in that same way, going
through your life knowing that at this
moment I'm going to be expected to do
this thing, whether it's a vision quest
or or whatever it may be, knowing that
that moment is coming, and that on the
far side of it you will be a different
person is a developmental process in and
of itself. So, it's very likely the
thing that happens as you anticipate
this uh uh right of passage that is
really the important developmental
thing, but we've just dispensed with the
mall.
So, we've talked a lot about uh
evolution and all the different things
and ways that it manifests in our life,
and I want to bring now people back to
where we started in the book that
you know, we're we're at
if if instead of a nuclear clock coming
towards 12, you guys would say that from
just a societal uh standpoint, we're
edging up somewhere in there. Um
talk to us about the fourth frontier,
but to understand the fourth frontier, I
think we have to understand the first
three frontiers. Uh so, if you can walk
us through that, it was a really
interesting idea. It was the part of
your book that I had to read twice.
Because I was like, "Whoa, there's
really something fascinating here." And
it it hints at a very complex answer to
a very complex problem. Uh was entirely
novel for me. I've never heard this idea
explored before, and I think that it'll
be um really helpful for people to see
uh that you've thought not just through
the problem, but through potential
solutions.
Well, the first thing to realize is that
all evolved creatures are effectively in
a search for opportunity.
And that opportunity looks like
for an average creature under average
circumstances, if it's a sexually
reproducing creature, the average number
of offspring that it will produce that
reaches reproductive maturity themselves
will be two. Doesn't matter if they
produce 100 babies or three, the average
that will reach that number is two. And
the reason is because the population
isn't growing or contracting. So, two
parents will end up replacing themselves
and no better, at least on average.
When you have succeeded evolutionarily,
you find some opportunity that allows
that rule to be broken, right? Uh a
creature that passes over a mountain
pass and ends up in a valley in which it
has no competitors may leave 100 times
as many offspring as it would have if it
had remained in its initial habitat. And
so, these places where creatures
discover an unexploited or
underexploited opportunity and their
population can grow are frontiers. And
the feeling of growth is the feeling of
evolutionary success. The problem is all
of these things are limited, right? No
matter what opportunity you've found,
the population will grow until that
opportunity is no longer under
exploited, at which point the zero-sum
dynamics will be restored. But let's
just lay out the the first three types
of frontier before perhaps you um you
expand on what the fourth frontier is.
So,
um the the first type of frontier being
the one that most people think of when
you hear the word when they hear the
word frontier, which is a geographic
frontier. So, we begin the book by
talking about the Beringians, the first
Americans who came over
um from through Beringia across what is
now the Bering Strait from Asia into the
New World something between 10 and
25,000 years ago. They were coming into
two continents that had never before
been inhabited by humans, and that was a
vast geographic frontier.
The second type of frontier
uh might be called a technological
frontier, in which you innovate
something that allows you to make use of
resource uh that you heretofore had not
had access to. So, for instance, the
terracing of hillsides to allow water to
be held and agricultural systems to be
to be done uh where previously all the
water would have run off taking the
nutrients in the water um with it. That
would be an example of a technological
frontier.
And then the third type of frontier,
which is um ubiquitous throughout human
history, is a transfer of resource
frontier. And this is really not a
frontier. It's It's just It's theft,
right? And so,
uh the Beringians coming into the New
World uh for the first time again 10 to
25,000 years ago, it were experiencing a
geographic frontier. Thousands of years
later, when Europeans came to the New
World from the other direction, from
from the east, they landed in a space
that already had tens of millions of
people in it and basically took over,
and that was a transfer of resource
moment and a transfer of resource
frontier, basically theft. So, uh
geographic frontiers and technological
frontiers are not inherently theft,
transfer of resource is, and so we are
proposing a fourth frontier. So let me
just say transfer of resource is the
explanation for almost all wars and
genocide. From the point of view of some
population, the resources of some other
population that cannot be defended are
as if a frontier.
But the idea, the overarching idea, is
that all creatures are seeking these
non-zero-sum opportunities that they are
experienced as growth. Um that they are
inherently self-destabilizing and that
they
cause the growth of populations that
then restores the zero-sum dynamics,
restores the austerity, which doesn't
feel so good, and the population is then
in the search for the next non-zero-sum
growth frontier.
The problem is
we can't keep doing that. All right?
That process made us what we are, and
we've been tremendously successful at
it. But there are no more tech
geographic frontiers on Earth. We've
found it all. Technologically, we've
done an excellent job of figuring out
how to exploit the world, in fact,
over-exploit the world. Transfer of
resource is a world-destabilizing. Not
only is it a despicable process, but it
is a lethal process from the point of
view of the danger it puts us at. We
simply have
weaponry that is too powerful. We are
too interconnected. And so, in a sense,
our fates are all now linked, and we
have to agree to put that
uh competition aside. And then the
question is, well, what do we do? Do we
face
Do we accept the zero-sum dynamics and
live with austerity? That doesn't sound
like uh
a very good sales pitch, even even if it
was what we had to do.
So what we propose in the book is that
there's actually an alternative to this.
That one can produce a steady state
that feels like growth to the people who
experience it without having to discover
new resource. And that may sound
preposterous, it may sound utopian. We
are not utopians. We regard utopia as
the worst idea human beings ever had or
at least very close to the top of that
list.
But there's nothing
uh undoable about a system that feels
like perpetual growth in the same way
there is nothing utopian about the idea
that it's always spring time inside your
house. Right? It's always pleasant
inside your house. That's not a
violation of any physical law. It's just
a simple matter of the fact that we can
use energy to modulate the temperature
with a negative feedback system and we
can keep it very pleasant in your house
all the time. And the point is, can that
be done in our larger environment such
that human beings are liberated to do
the things that we are
uniquely positioned to do, to generate
uh
beauty, to experience love, to feel
compassion, to
uh enhance our understanding of the
world. All of those things are the kinds
of things that are worthy of us as an
objective.
And what we need in order for more
people to spend their time pursuing
those things is a system in which we are
freed from competing one lineage against
the others uh for a limited amount of
resources and and the uh
uh
so that you know, we are condemned to
violence against each other in order to
pursue these things. So in essence, the
fourth frontier is a steady state
designed to liberate people.
We should say it is not something we
believe we can blueprint from here. We
know enough to navigate our way in that
direction. Um but we cannot blueprint
it. It is something we will have to
prototype and navigate to.
But the good news is
although
we here probably would not live to see
the final product.
Things would start getting better
immediately upon our recognition that
pursuing the fourth frontier was the
right thing to do.
Suddenly, there would be a tremendous
amount of useful work to be done in
discovering what the various mechanisms
of that new way of being are.
All right, you guys are going to have to
give me a little more than that. In the
book, you talk about you give an example
and it was the thing that really allowed
me to begin to understand how we could
achieve a steady state that gave us
those things.
Um
I don't know if you remember the example
that you gave in the book. I do, so if
you don't, let me know and I will
refresh your memory, but You going to be
talking about the Mayans? Is that right?
In the book, you specifically talk about
craftsmanship.
But if you've got something for me on
the Mayans, I'll take it. Yeah, well, I
mean we I think we do we do both, right?
Um
and
uh let's see.
Well, maybe maybe remind us of exactly
what we say about craftsmanship. I
remember that we talk about it, but I'm
not sure exactly what the context is
here. The idea was basically that so we
have this inherent desire for growth,
but it isn't necessarily growth itself.
It's sort of the Now I'm using my own
words. It's the neurochemical state of
feeling this deep sense of satisfaction
at having
something of import is probably the the
easiest way to think of it and that gave
me something to grasp onto because I So
I often get asked the question. I've had
financial success in my life and the
irony of my life is that I'm constantly
going around trying to convince people
that money is not going to do for you
what you think it will. It's very
powerful, but it isn't what most people
think. They think it will make them feel
better about themselves and money is
just absolutely incapable of doing that.
And so when you realize the only thing
that matters is how you feel about
yourself, you start playing a game of
neurochemistry. And so this idea of
craftsmanship felt like that to me.
Yeah, so you know, recognizing
the long-term
hormonal glow that you get from
producing something of lasting value and
beauty and meaning in the world
as opposed to only being exposed to
short-term stuff. You know, the
difference between
buying something at IKEA and putting it
together with Allen wrenches on your
floor and of either making yourself or
coming to know a craftsman who really
builds things with care and knowledge
with the intention that you will be able
to pass this on to your children or your
friends or you know, whomever later on.
This is a piece with with lasting
beauty, lasting function that was built
with someone who knew something about
the wood or the metals or whatever the
materials are.
This is a way in to finding the kinds of
meaning that a fourth frontier mentality
can provide. Yeah, I think
the distinction is one between
the satisfaction of life coming from
consuming, which is inherently empty
Yeah. versus producing and producing
doesn't necessarily have to mean stuff.
It can be meaning or insight or any one
of a number of other things. But what we
say about the the Maya in the book, what
we argue
is that they very conspicuously, this is
an extremely long-lived civilization.
Thousands of years of remarkable
success. And they had as one of the
things that they produced in all of
their city-states, they produced these
incredible monuments, which are actually
not what they appear to be. We have
spent a lot of time in in Mayan
territory and these things look like
pyramids in the sense that the Egyptians
produced them, but they are not. They
are in fact growing structures. So,
these things got bigger and bigger over
time the longer a city-state existed in
the same place. And then there's the
hidden version of this,
which are an incredible network of
roads, stone roads that exist between
the city-states called sacbe's.
In any case, the point is the Maya were
producing things that stood in for
population growth. They were taking some
fraction of their productivity, and they
were dedicating it to these massive
public works projects. And the thing
about a massive public works project is
that it brings a kind of reality and
cohesion to the people involved. I mean,
imagine yourself
living in one of these amazing cities,
and the public monuments made of stone
that speak to the power and the
durability of your people are, you know,
part of this this public space.
These things allow the following
process. If it's not just a pyramid that
you, you know, you it's a line item on a
budget, you build the pyramid, it's
done. But in fact, what you do is you
augment it, well, then in good years,
you will have that to augment, and you
will take some fraction of the
productivity that might be turned into
more people, which would then result in
more austerity. You can invest it in
these public works projects, and then in
a lean year, instead of having not
enough to go and feed all of the mouths
that have been created, you can just
simply not augment the the public works
project. That is a natural damper for
the kind of ebb and flow, the boom and
bust that we have suffered so mightily
under under our modern economic systems.
So,
the production of meaning, the
production of uh
shared space that actually augments the
ability of people to interact with each
other, um these things are models of
what we should probably be seeking as a
society. A system that tamps down the
fluctuations, that provides liberty to
people. That's really the key thing,
right? We want realized liberty for
individuals so that they can pursue
what is meaningful rather than
satisfying themselves with consumption.
That's sort of a rough outline of what a
fourth frontier would look like.
Nice, I love it. Um, in the book I can't
remember if it was liberty that you were
talking about specifically, but you talk
about it's an emergent property. I
assume you mean the same with the
liberty.
How do we create the bed from which
liberty will emerge?
Well, what we argue in the book is that
liberty is a special value. And the
reason that it is a special value is
there really two ways to to delineate
it.
You can be technically free, but not
really free, right? If you're concerned
about being wiped out by a healthcare
crisis or you're concerned that you you
may lose your job and and have to find
another in a different industry, you're
not really free even if technically you
could go out and start an oil company.
It's not going to happen. So, what we
argue is that real liberty, realized
liberty,
is liberty you can act on. And in order
for a person to be liberated, their more
mundane concerns, their safety,
uh, their sustenance, all those things
have to be taken care of. And therefore,
we can know that we have succeeded when
somebody has real liberty that they are
capable of acting on. It's a proxy.
And what we argue is that the objective
ought to be to provide real liberty for
as many people as possible. Hopefully,
ultimately, everyone would be liberated
to do something truly remarkable rather
than only elites having that freedom.
I guess I would just say, um,
as as high a fraction of the population
as possible.
Uh, if we say as many people as
possible, it might sound like we're also
interested in maximizing population
growth. And of course,
you know, of course we're not. You know,
I think we will we will peak hopefully
at some point soon and then population
may start going down through attrition
but that at every moment in in human
history going forward
the vast number of the greatest number
of people possible who have maximum
liberty will be a success.
And let me just uh
refine that slightly.
The objective is the maximum number of
liberated people but not living
simultaneously. Ultimately the way to
grant the marvelous liberated life to
the maximum number of people is to get
sustainable at the level that humans can
live indefinitely on the planet rather
than having a clock ticking where we
just simply don't have the resources to
continue doing what we're doing.
I love it. Guys, thank you so much for
coming on the show today. The book was
phenomenal. Your podcast is phenomenal.
Every moment I've ever got to spend with
you guys has been absolutely wonderful.
Where do you want people to follow along
with you? Where's the best place to get
the book?
Well, that's a that's a question we
should have an answer to. Yeah.
The best place to get the book is
hopefully just about anywhere.
You know, it's obviously available on on
the big big sellers like Amazon and
Barnes & Noble but I know it's available
in many independent book shops as well
and
I'm a big fan of independent book
stores. So if if you ask for it there
whatever your favorite one is that's
probably a a terrific move to help to
help support your local economy. It will
also be available as an audio book which
we read. Yep, that's absolutely true and
you can find us
at the DarkHorse4 podcast. We do weekly
live streams the two of us and Brett
also has guests on
every now and again.
I also am doing a a newsletter called
Natural Selections. You can find that on
naturalselections.substack.com.
And
yeah, maybe maybe that.
That sounds perfect. Guys, thanks again
for joining me. This was absolutely
wonderful. And to everybody out there,
trust me when I say the book is amazing,
the podcast is extraordinary. You guys
will love it. So be sure to subscribe
there. And speaking of places you should
you should subscribe, if you haven't
already, hit that subscription button
there. And until next time, my friends,
be legendary. Take care. Peace.