Video summary
The episode of Community Matters on Think Tech Hawaii features Professor Dr. Colin Moore discussing the alarming strategies employed by Donald Trump to derail the upcoming midterm elections and the potential consequences for the nation and Hawaii. In a normal election cycle with an unpopular president, Republicans would typically lose control of Congress due to low approval ratings, and the focus would remain on policy debates rather than attacks on democratic institutions. However, Moore argues that the current situation is unprecedented because Trump is actively attempting to delegitimize the opposition and sow doubt about election security. He highlights specific tactics such as calling for a highly unusual midterm convention designed to rally his base through authoritarian-style events, deploying federal agents like Homeland Security officers to intimidate voters, and issuing executive orders that create confusion regarding mail-in ballots to justify potential post-election litigation.
Moore explains that these maneuvers are not about genuine election security but are calculated efforts to create chaos and confusion, which would allow the president to assert emergency powers if the results do not favor him. He expresses deep concern over the Supreme Court's recent permissive stance on these issues, noting that it has failed to draw clear lines protecting state and local election authorities from federal overreach. The host and guest discuss how this centralization of power threatens the constitutional balance, potentially leading to a scenario where Congress cannot check the executive branch, effectively creating an elected dictatorship. They also touch upon the possibility of Trump declaring national emergencies or invading Cuba near the election to manipulate public sentiment, though they note that such drastic steps are historically foreign to American tradition and likely to face significant legal and public resistance.
The conversation concludes with a focus on the specific implications for Hawaii and the broader democratic future. While Hawaii has managed to navigate these federal pressures somewhat successfully due to its unique political culture and low approval ratings for Trump, Moore warns that the state remains vulnerable given its heavy dependence on federal funding and military spending. He emphasizes that the greatest danger is not necessarily the overturning of the election results but the resulting disruption, confusion, and prolonged legal battles that could delay the seating of Congress. Ultimately, the guests advise citizens to vote early, report intimidation, and be prepared to engage in collective action or direct protest if necessary, drawing parallels to successful resistance movements in Minneapolis. They hope that this dark period will serve as a catalyst for Americans to recognize the fragility of their institutions, reject divisive politics, and recommit to defending democracy through legal processes while remaining vigilant against authoritarian overreach.
Read the full video transcript
[music]
Welcome to Community Matters on Think
Tech Hawaii. I'm your host, Jay Fidel.
This episode is called What does it look
like for the midterms? Trump's maneuvers
to derail them and what might happen to
the country and to Hawaii. Our guest for
the show is Professor Dr. Colin Moore,
director of the uh Public Policy Center.
So nice to see you Colin. Welcome to the
show.
>> Thanks Jay. Good to be here.
>> You know in the way of introduction you
know we really need to stay engaged and
informed. This is a very important
issue. Your vote remains the most
powerful check on power when
institutions are under strain and they
are. They say verify your registration
early. Know your state's voting
deadlines. rely on legitimate updates
from local election officials, not
rumors. Courts, state governments, and
Congress, not any single president, uh,
hold authority over federal elections.
So, you should support the judges,
secretaries of state, watchdog groups
defending that structure. So they say
you should follow credible nonpartisan
reporting over social media speculation
and talk openly with neighbors about
what you learn. They say we don't talk
to each other enough about these things.
They say voting and holding leaders
accountable afterward is how democratic
systems endure pressure and resist
attempts to bend them. Oh, lots to
discuss. So Colin, what should it be
like in normal times? Let's look at
normal times just for a second. What
should happen in November?
>> Sure. I mean, a normal midterm election
like this with a president with very low
approval ratings, which Donald Trump
certainly has. I mean, they're somewhere
between, you know, 32 and 38% depending
on which poll you believe. Um, they
would almost certainly lose control of
of Congress. Um, that's often what
happens in um in midterm elections with
unpopular presidents. um these elections
should go relatively smoothly. I mean,
until very recently, concerns about
election security um were really not
things that were discussed much in the
United States. Um and so this should be
a pretty straightforward midterm
election and you would expect that the
Republicans would lose control of
Congress because they already only
control it by a relatively thin margin.
And what you'd expect to be hearing from
the parties is a lot of discussion on
their about their policies. I mean,
probably a lot of defensiveness about
inflation and the state of the economy
from Republicans, fairly traditional
attacks from the Democrats about policy
issues, not attacks on, you know,
generally the character of the
candidate, certainly not attacks or wild
accusations about the security of the
elections or or um, you know, trying to
seow doubt among the American people
about um, you know, whether or not our
elections are fair, whether or not
non-citizens are voting and all of these
things that have been demonstrated again
and again not to be true. You would
never expect that um coming from the
White House. I mean the the most
interesting thing and terrifying thing
that has happened during [clears throat]
the two Trump administrations but
particularly the second Trump
administration is the demonization of
the opposition. We all know that for a
democracy to function well, you need as
the British would call the the loyal
opposition. um you know that you can
condemn their policy positions and argue
that they're wrong, but at the same
time, healthy democracies usually also
emphasize that they have every right to
be there. They're a legitimate um part
of the functioning of democracy. Um and
you know, in in past years that was, you
know, decades that has been considered
extremely poor form um by virtually
everyone in every advanced democracy.
trying to attack the legitimacy of the
opposition is what happens in declining
democracies and that's what you see
again and again and again in the same
way attacking the institutions just
trying to seow doubt um and uh confuse
people it was not something we've seen
in the past I mean I would challenge
anyone to go back a few decades ago and
compare the rhetoric I mean it could
sometimes get hot but it was usually
about policies or maybe particular
candidates almost never about you know
the the opposition party itself and
certainly almost never about attacking
the the the institutional security of of
elections or even the um you know the
the notion of of
democracy. So in this case though Trump
is trying to change all that. Although I
thought the states were in charge of
election procedures, he's trying to be
in charge of election procedures
everywhere, state and federal. That's
that's a change. And he has a plan.
We've seen a fair amount of press on his
plan. Um, and although we know some of
the things he's doing and will do to
derail this midterm season, um, you
know, maybe there are other things he's
going to do that he's not telling us
about because he doesn't tell us
everything he wants to do. So, one of
the things that comes to mind first,
there are several things, is called for
a midterm convention. That's that's
quite unusual, isn't it? What's the
purpose? It's extremely unusual. I mean,
I can't recall anything like this in the
past. And you know, the purpose seems to
be that that Trump seems to think that
he is uniquely able to to rally his
base. I mean, to have these
authoritarian political rallies. I mean,
there's no other way to really describe
them because they're not like
traditional political rallies in this
country. um and and to um I
[clears throat] mean to to convince all
of his supporters to show up would be
the most mild way to term this, but you
know, we we've seen this at the end of
his first term that led to the January
um attempted insurrection. Um and so I
think you can imagine something similar
to that. I mean, it would it would not
shock me if he insinuates in the way he
often does that some kind of violence is
necessary without maybe saying those
exact words, but I expect this this
uh rally or convention or whatever
they're calling it um to come very close
to the line there. And there's a lot of
I mean, we've already heard from many
congressional Republicans, particularly
those who are in um purple districts,
saying that they won't show up to this.
They're, you know, behind the scenes
they've said they think this is a very
bad idea because for those members of
Congress, particularly in the House, who
are trying to protect their seats, they
don't really want to be associated with
Donald Trump that much right now. I
mean, MAGA is in a weak spot outside of
the core MAGA districts and core MAGA
supporters. They I mean the the movement
has seen it hemorrhaged support from
independents, from Latino voters, from a
lot of people who came over to support
Trump for his second run, primarily
responding to, you know, economic
concerns. They have fled that movement.
And so I don't think these congressional
Republicans really want to be associated
with the president in a general
election. I mean, this is always what
puts them in such a bind to win their
primary. They often need the president's
blessing, but then they don't really
want him too close um in the general,
particularly if they're running in
competitive districts like a fair number
of House members um this time are. I
mean, I think the last report I read put
um 21 races in the tossup category. So,
that's significant. And if we believe
the fundamentals, it's very very likely
that many of those Republicans will lose
in November despite the fact that the
Republicans had ha have had a lot of
success in redistricting um and creating
much safer districts for for themselves.
But even with that, I I expect that um
the Democrats will manage to take
control of the House. Part of his plan,
as I understand it, includes, and this
is this is only a few things, but Jerry
mandering is one, having brown shirts
appear at the polls to intimidate
people. Um, as you say, uh, make
statements and insults that confuse and
intimidate, and of course, male
balloting. So, that's the that's those
are some of the elements that are being
revealed about his plan. Uh, can you
talk to those things? Are they legal?
Will they be hap will be happening? Um,
and how how much effect will they have?
>> Well, um, I mean I I do think they're
going to have an effect. I think the
thing I'm most worried So, let me start
with the things I'm a little less
worried about. Um, although um, maybe I
should be more worried. I mean, we've
heard in recent uh days about uh the
Department of Homeland Security is going
to
start what I see as largely a witch hunt
to find non-citizen voters, but this
will allow them to have probably an on
the ground presence around election time
that could intimidate um voters um you
know, people who are legal voters but
might not want to be anywhere near um a
place where there's likely to be
Homeland Security present. Um, so that
that that's that's a concern. Um, you
know, be because there are almost no
non-citizens voting, but we're they're
going to dispatch probably these federal
officials through what I see is largely
an effort at intimidation. The thing I'm
much more worried about is this US
Postal Service mail voting controversy.
So on March 31st, Trump
p I mean signed an executive order that
directed the postal service to provide
these uniform procedures for federal
mail ballots. I mean it requires an
official election envelope. a lot of
other stuff um that um requires somehow
the creation of this vetted verified
voter list that states don't really have
that they haven't many including Hawaii
haven't been willing to share this
information with the federal government.
Um and the the argument is is that the
postal service won't send out ballots if
it doesn't meet these requirements. And
this is a requirement Hawaii right now
is unable to meet. Um, you know, a lot
of this if if this were a genuine
effort, and I don't think I mean, I
think it's trying to solve a problem
that doesn't exist, but if it really
were a genuine effort, this is a sort of
thing that would be in the works for
years. Um what I see this is a way to
create to seow confusion to create
opportunities for litigation after the
election. um to confuse voters, to just
I mean this is often from the Trump
playbook which is to just throw as much
uh [snorts] sand in the gears as you can
um to try to um to to create chaos and
then you know that is a place once you
create that chaos and misunderstanding
that is a place where the president can
often assert a lot of executive power um
because something needs to be decided
quickly. this is where the institution
of the presidency is most able to act
and I think that's what Trump is trying
to set something up like that. I mean,
you know, it's extraordinary because
several years ago, I never I never would
have thought something like this was
possible. I don't think I even would
have um attributed a motivation like
this to Trump during his first term. But
this time, it seems very clear that
that's exactly [clears throat] what's
going on. There's no reason to do this.
We don't have an election security
problem in this country. um to the
extent that there are errors, they are
administrative errors. I mean, there
probably are ways we could clean up
different aspects of the election, but
it's simply not the case that there's a
lot of fraud or that there's a lot of
non-citizens voting. So, all of this,
for my opinion, is to intimidate people
who Trump fears will not support him. um
and just generally create enough doubt
and misinformation and chaos uh that
they will be able to justify potentially
an intervention um after the election if
the results don't go the way they they
think they are. So that's what I see
this as doing is just beginning to put
this in
um in place. Um and so there'll probably
be a lot of litigation right after the
election if it's not a clean result.
There'll be of course a lot of claims
about illegal votes or defective mail
ballots. Um, and that's going to create
a real mess. But what I will say is that
this is a place where the decentralized
US system provides a very important
safeguard. I mean, as you suggested,
Congress and the states manage elections
and elections are administered by
thousands of local jurisdictions. There
isn't a single federal authority. I
mean, this is a sort of thing that Trump
is in various [clears throat] ways
trying to establish. But, you know, in
the past, I think people have complained
about this that this is a weakness of
the American system. I think we're
seeing in this case that this this is a
real strength because there's so many
different county clerks and election
officials um who um are administering
their elections in slightly different
ways. I think this is why you've seen
and and in one of the statements that
came out of this original executive
order in March, one of the things I
found most shocking was a claim that
state level election officials could be
held criminally liable, personally
liable um if they don't follow these
rules. In other words, they would
threaten, the federal government,
Department of Justice would threaten to
prosecute, for example, Scott Nago um
for not following these rules, which is
I mean, which is a shocking thing to
imagine. Um, completely unheard of in
any other era in this country or at
least recent era. Um, and that's the
kind of intimidation tactics they're
using because they understand that these
local officials do still exercise a lot
of control. And I think from, you know,
Trump's repeated claims of the election,
um, after his first term was stolen from
him, he sees that this this was one
thing he wasn't able to control that,
you know, despite trying to intimidate
state election officials, ultimately
they they followed the law. Um, and he
lost. And I think he sees this from his
perspective as a weakness because it's
something he can't control. He doesn't
have constitutional authority to
control. Um, and so this attempt to
centralize and then intimidate officials
is all part of this plan.
>> So there are lawsuits pending already on
some of the tools, some of the devices
that he's he's come up with in order to
derail the midterms before they ever
happen. Um, and h how are the u, you
know, the the civil rights people doing
on that? How how are those cases going?
uh what what has the Supreme Court done
to either help or hinder the uh
democratic process? We would expect
>> I mean I I think like a lot of people
I've been disappointed with the role the
Supreme Court has has played in this um
is certainly the recent decision about
the USPS issue. I mean even John Roberts
dissented from from that. Um
you know they they have been uniquely
permissive in ways even in ways where it
seems very clear to me that a
conservative court would [clears throat]
uh would not sanction. I mean a
originalist court would see that this is
printed in black and white um about
Congress and the states managing
elections. And so where this executive
authority comes from is somewhat
mysterious to me. And you know, they
they've done it in a a variety of ways,
saying they're delaying the decision to
see what ultimately comes out of it. I
mean, I I think that probably if
there's, you know, an attempt to
radically take over elections, the court
would would block it. But um the um you
know it is it's not been a robust
defense um in in an area where I think
that it should have been a very clear
bright line from the court that this is
completely outside of the uh powers of
the president and it should stop and you
haven't seen that and you've seen I mean
I'm I'm not an attorney you are so you
can probably speak to this more directly
than I can but it seems like a lot of
decisions kind of around the margins
allowing various things to go forward.
Um but they have seemed to be the court
has seemed to be afraid to speak very
clearly and draw some very bright lines
and um I think that has only encouraged
the Trump administration um to find
various ways around it to just keep
proceeding. Um and um and and none of
that has provided much much confidence
to the to the public. So um I don't
think you can look for the courts
necessarily to save us. I mean, I think
that the some of the um federal district
courts have been very aggressive and
very good. Um but the Supreme Court has
not. And I think that just encourages uh
encourages Trump to to to move forward.
I mean, as far as he's concerned, you
know, just like famously he showed that
most of these norms we had thought were
sort of sacred around presidential power
didn't matter. I think he's perfectly
happy to to push as hard as he can until
the court says absolutely not. You can
go no further and you haven't really
gotten that clear message from them.
>> Well, the stakes are very high. As we
discussed before the show, the stakes
are critical to the continuation of our
democracy. Um, and if Trump's uh devices
work, um, and he gains votes he
shouldn't have gained or depresses votes
he shouldn't have depressed, um, we will
have a, according to his view of it, we
will have a continuation of Republican
control of both houses. What does that
mean for the future of his
administration and for the country?
Well, it it mean I mean if the Democrats
at least take the House, which we
expect, it means that um
it it means that there won't be any room
to move federal legislation forward. If
if they don't, then I'm very concerned
because if Republicans maintain control
of Congress, they have shown in every
way that they're willing to give Trump
essentially a blank check to do whatever
he would like. Um there's been almost no
evidence from Republicans in Congress
that they're willing to check um his
power. Um you know, which is an
extraordinary thing to witness because
they are undermining the power of their
own separate equal branch of of
government. I think this is this is one
of the most interesting things to have
witnessed in the rise of Donald Trump
because the constitution as you well
know assumes that the branches will will
jealously guard their powers. I mean
that they will struggle against each
other but that even if you are a
co-partisan you will also work to
protect the power of your own branch of
government. What you've seen recently in
recent years is the the collapse of that
has been shown that
the the way we thought the Constitution
was working and was and certainly is the
way it's supposed to work is is failing.
That Republicans, as long as a president
is in office, are willing to provide
essentially a free pass to allow him to
do whatever he wants. And so what we're
creating in this country is an electated
dictator. I mean, there's there's really
no other way to put it. I think that's
very close to what we have right now.
And the the federal courts have provided
some checks on those powers, but um you
know, as as Trump himself famously said
many years ago, if I wanted, I can go
out and shoot someone on Fifth Avenue.
And I think that I think that's true. Um
I I mean I it's hard to imagine how far
you would have to go before you get push
back from Congress. you're maybe seeming
seeing glimmers of this with the things
they realize are the most unpopular
around foreign uh foreign policy and
that has been I think one of the most
obvious at least political errors Trump
has made is to get involved in in Iran
um because he thought he could exit
quickly. What what I'm not sure about I
mean if you if you want to think about
what could happen between now and
election day um I'm not sure if there
will be another foreign policy
intervention. I don't actually think
that would help Trump's chances, but it
may give him more justification for
trying to interfere in elections with
some um creative national security
justification. Um I I don't know how
that would look. It wouldn't surprise me
if there is some kind of invasion of
Cuba before November. I mean, I think
they're they're teeing that up to
happen. that would be hard to justify as
a national security issue, but it may be
used to try to inject some very small
rally around the flag effect to um to
protect the congressional Rep
Republicans control of the House. Um,
so I um I think I think we're in a very
dangerous time and I think that if we
don't get a if Democrats don't provide
the kind of congressional check Trump
needs um
and and gain control of at least one
branch of Congress um in November, then
I think we are dangerously close to
>> I certainly agree with you and I
certainly agree with you about
um the way the Supreme Court has been
handling it. And furthermore, I'd like
to add that after the election is over,
whatever happens, that's a whole new
chapter in litigation. And uh we could
have continuing litigation on these
issues, these devices, and other issues,
um that would leave it all ball in the
air and all in confusion as to the
result and the effect and so forth. And
so what you could have um is is such
confusion, such legal confusion uh that
the Congress isn't really seated right
away. And I think that's what one of the
things he might be um you know trying to
achieve. So if you have a confusion in
litigation or otherwise at the time of
the election, uh there's a possibility
that he would say, well, this isn't
really settled, so we have to wait. We
have to defer um you know counting the
votes. We have to defer uh seating those
who we think were elected or not elected
and then we have a continuation of the
status quo. Do you see that as a threat?
>> Absolutely. I mean, I think you're going
to see after this election a lot of
actions to refuse to certify votes. Um,
that they can eventually be compelled to
do that through state boards or courts,
but that will delay things considerably.
Congress itself is the final judge of
its members elections and
qualifications. And usually that is, you
know, not discretionary. It's just a
legal duty that happens automatically.
But a really narrowly divided House um
or Senate, I could see a lot of
contested election and seeding disputes
um that would involve what I think would
end up being explosive fights in in
Congress. Um but that is and it's
something we have almost never seen in
this country. Um but it's something that
I think could very well happen. Um
because even if the congressional
Republicans understand that this is not
I mean the the the claims are not true,
they're going to be under tremendous
pressure to deliver for Trump and
there's a large segment of them that I
think would follow President Trump
virtually everywhere and and the rest
are are cowards um you know that that
are too intimidated to try to resist. I
mean there every election we get fewer
and fewer people who are willing to at
least do the right thing legally like
famously Vice President Mike Pence was
after the first Trump um administration.
I have le less faith in the people in
Congress today. Um, and I think that
increasingly Trump himself and some of
his allies are ska personally concerned
for their own protecting their own
illotten gains or protecting themselves
from potential prosecution or certainly
um being
um compelled to testify in front of
congressional committees. Um, and so
they have every incentive both political
and personal to try to block this for as
long as they can. Um, and you know, and
I said this when we we saw the beginning
of the second Trump administration, and
I think it's an important point worth
repeating that if you ever thought you
would be out of power, you would not be
doing the things that Trump and Congress
are doing right now. I mean, often
parties and presidents have been
disciplined by the fear that I'm going
to, you know, in a few years I'm going
to be a loser. I'm going to be on the
losing side. Um, and that's why, you
know, for example, as much criticism as
the filibuster has gotten, you've often
seen that protected by both parties who
still understood that it's it's a useful
tool when you're in the minority, and
you probably will be in the minority.
But some of the things Trump has done
and the congressional Republicans have
done seem to assume that they'll never
be in that position again. Um, and that
that really concerns me. And I think
that they've reached a point where so
many of what so much of what they've
done seems very clearly illegal to me.
certainly will be investigated by
Democrats if they um regain control of
the House that now I think that there's
a combination of of you know uh their
their political careers um concern
concern about their political careers
but also for some concern about their
personal liability for some of some of
the things that have gone on. you know,
in uh in the discussions we've had here
on ThinkTech, um uh a lot of our
speakers have said, "Well, everybody got
to go out there and vote. Make sure to
vote. Do all the things you can to
exercise your vote as as as best you
can." Um but others have said, "Wait a
minute. Vote in what? Uh vote in the
midterms." What midterms? You talked
about war, additional wars, the
possibility of additional national
emergencies.
um is not beyond the possibility uh that
um that Trump will say sometime close to
the election uh that there is an such an
emergency here that he must issue a
proclamation deferring um or cancelling
cancelling the election. Now, I don't
know if that would work. I don't know
what the Supreme Court would say about
that, but that would really throw some
sand in the gears, wouldn't it? Um, and
will people go down and vote or will we
not have midterms because of some kind
of artifice [clears throat]
uh that he achieves in in the in the
short term before the scheduled date for
the midterms.
>> I'm a little less concerned about a
blanket cancellation of the midterms. I
think even Trump realizes that that
would be that would be too far. But that
doesn't mean that the postelection
efforts to slow down the process, to
create doubt, to throw out results
couldn't be every bit as as effective. I
think deviously they understand that
that is a better strategy than um
something as broad as cancelling
midterms, which should be pointed out.
We've never canled elections in the
entire history of this country. Not
during the Civil War, not ever. Um and
so an attempt like that would be foreign
to the entire history of the United
States. Um
but um you know it it it doesn't mean
that what happens after the elections
couldn't be every bit as damaging. And
so what what ought people to do? I mean
obviously they should vote. I mean I
always tell and it affects us a little
bit less here in Hawaii at least
immediately. I mean, this all affects
us, but we're not likely to see those
kinds of tactics be practiced at the
state or local level here. But at the
very same, you know, at the same time, I
would say vote vote vote early. Um, so
there aren't any questions about your
vote. I mean, I think people should
aggressively report intimidation and and
tactics that um seem related to trying
to intimidate voters. But, you know, the
the the bigger picture here is that
Trump and his allies are have largely
proven to be bullies. And by that, I
mean they back down when people push
back. that their power seems to be to do
things that are unexpected. Everyone
gets confused, taken um you know um they
they have reach achieved so much success
by playing by different rules. The
Democrats always seem like they're
playing you know by uh the the uh
Marquis of Queensbury rules in a boxing
match and and Trump and his allies are
street fighters. And and I think that
what has been proven though, you've seen
this from Mark Carney and the Canadians,
I think you've seen this in this country
most dramatically from the people of
Minneapolis who pushed back against DHS,
is that that sort of collective action
will work and they stand down. Um they
are not um they they understand that
they don't have the kind of broad
support for a lot of these actions. I
mean, like we started this program
talking about Trump's approval is maybe
33 35%. So, you know, and his
disapproval is near 60%. So, the the
vast majority of people in this country
disapprove of what's going on and they
know that. Um, and so I think that
they've taken advantage of their ability
to use, you know, the the the vast
powers of the federal government, which
we shouldn't underestimate. But at the
same time, they've also shown that they
back down pretty quickly uh when people
have had enough. Um, and so
I think that is uh an option that will
still be available to all of us. Um, and
it's something that we should consider.
It's not something that's often happened
in this country. Um, I don't think it's
something a lot of Americans are
comfortable with, that level of mass
protest. Maybe it's something we should
get a little more comfortable with. And
we certainly have evidence that it
works. It it definitely worked in
Minneapolis. DHS would still be there.
Christine Gnome would probably still be
Secretary of Homeland Security if it
wasn't for that level of direct action.
>> All of this seems to
cast a shadow on the future of of the
country.
uh whatever happens here, whatever
happens in the election in Congress,
whatever happens in the Supreme Court,
uh this has been so traumatic to the
democracy. I suggest to you that we will
never go back to the way it was. You
know, they say that everything that
happens under a given administration
cast a shadow on history, on the on the
political science of of democracy in
general. And I know this is a large
question to ask you, but um you know all
that we've discussed, all of these
issues and problems, all of the concerns
we have um how does that affect the
future of these United States?
>> Look, I'll give you two scenarios. I
think that there is a the maybe the the
scarier
depressing scenario which is that uh we
continue to see our democratic
institutions erode uh that we see a
increasing decline to authoritarianism
or even more frightening some you know
very large levels of political violence.
I no longer think that that is
impossible to imagine as I did a few
years ago. Um I um and then you know
this will be the world's oldest lat mass
democracy is dead. Um you know that that
is a a possibility. Um I think the more
optimistic scenario is that people
finally understand how fragile these
institutions are. um begin to to speak
up and defend democracy and its
institutions. Um begin to reject the
these um attempts to divide Americans
who don't who are less divided than I
than most of our political elites seem
to pretend. Um and begin to work on our
common problems again, which are finding
housing for for everyone. um trying to
get control of the US's enormous and
frightening debt problems. um all of the
the policy concerns that people say they
they share and um you know and I think
that I hope and this is the optimistic
scenario that people now understand too
that government does provide valuable
services that if you don't have
well-trained civil service servants
things like the FDA like the FAA begin
to fall apart and you get real world
consequences that this anti-government
rhetoric has gone far enough and we do
value um good high level services run by
people who are competent and well
trained. So I hope I mean that's if
there's any positive thing that comes
out of this very dark period in American
history it could be that and we've seen
this before in less dramatic ways but I
mean after um Watergate there was a
flowering of good government reform
attempts I think real concerns about
trying to make the government work
better for everyone a reduction in
executive power so that's not impossible
so I don't think we should it shouldn't
necessarily assume that you know that
the the the most cynical outcome is
going to be the uh the final result. But
that will take people pushing back and I
think partially it'll take people
rejecting the kind of divisive and
increasingly violent politics we find um
in this country. You
>> know, you and I um we're more enscconced
in the process in Hawaii and we look at
the mainland and say, "Gee, the the
sovereignty issue never looked so good.
[laughter]
Can can we get away from this somehow?
But I I wonder what you think about how
this all affects the people of Hawaii.
Do they really understand what you and I
have been talking about? Do they share
the same concern? If you stopped
somebody at the intersection of King and
Bishop and said, "Do you understand how
important it is for you to vote and make
every effort to vote?" What would they
say? If you asked them, you know, what
is going on in Washington and how does
it affect us? What would they say? How
does all this affect, you know, life in
Hawaii?
>> Well, we know that people in Hawaii are
extremely opposed to President Trump. He
has the the almost the lowest or the
lowest approval rating in this state
compared to any other state. Um, so
there is a broad rejection of MAGA
politics here. Even among Hawaii
Republicans, with a few exceptions,
there's usually a lot of uh they they
try to create some distance,
particularly recently, from themselves
and um the the MAGA movement on the
mainland and from President Trump. Um I
at the same time though, I think that
people don't always grasp how much
Hawaii is affected by these decisions in
Washington. We've managed to fly a
little bit below the radar. Some of
that's been some clever maneuvering by
our political leadership. I think that's
because this place is is is beloved by
many people in the United States. It is
everyone's favorite state. That's a true
a polling piece of polling data, not
just something I'm making up. And so I
think that does protect us a little bit.
Um
so we haven't been made an example of
people haven't felt the the full force
of the federal government like people in
um Minnesota for example have like like
California has. Um, and so we haven't
quite experienced it as directly
recently. I mean, of course,
historically, Hawaii has certainly felt
the full force of the federal
government. So, I I don't want to
confuse those two issues, but um,
recently not, not as much. And we're
also very dependent on the federal
government, as everybody knows. Um,
military spending is our second largest
industry here. Um, and again, I think
that we've managed to deafly navigate
this a bit. And I think I I I think that
maybe as a result of that, everyone is
not seeing how vulnerable we we could
become as a result of what's what's
happening in Washington. But, you know,
I think we should be very clear that
there's a broad rejection of these
politics here in Hawaii. They're not the
kind of politics we're familiar with in
this state. We live in a place that is,
despite all of our criticisms of how the
legislature operates, we live in a very
non-polarized political environment. The
parties here are old-fashioned Democrats
and Republicans for the most part.
There's a lot of working on moving to
the center. Um it's not a place where
there's been a lot of support for um
ideological driven version of politics.
It's still very pragmatic and it's
working. And I think we're we're a
model. I mean, we're we're a model for
um a a democracy, a multi-racial
democracy that still functions, in my
opinion, extraordinarily well. I mean,
warts and all, we don't have the
fundamental problems you see um of a lot
of places on the mainland.
>> Ah, thank you, Colin. We're almost out
of time. So, I I want to close this by
asking you um to give our viewers your
closing comments, a summary of you, if
you will, of what we've been talking
about, what you've been saying, and uh
your suggestion, your advice to people
uh as and when they view this uh talk
show. The greatest danger around the
election is not necessarily that it will
be overturned, but that there's a lot of
disruption, a lot of confusion. And I
think it's important for people to to
push back on that. Um, and to um and to
not accept unverified claims of
fraud. Um, but I think that the the core
point is to remember
the core values of democracy that
everybody already knows and defends
those that that democracy depends on
whether or not our political leaders are
still committed to resolving conflicts
through through ballots through legal
processes um and to demand that they
continue to to do so. Um, and I think
that also people have a lot of power.
Um, that we have seen again and again,
like we were saying during this program,
that if you push back, they really do
begin to stand down. And I think that
trying to to to think through ways that
that you could participate and begin to
feel comfortable in some forms of direct
action like this would be would be a
great way to to to start start thinking,
you know, to hope for the best, but
prepare for the worst. And that may very
much involve um some um some some some
marches, some protests, things that
we're not as comfortable with in this
country as they are in Europe and things
that we should get comfortable with
again.
>> Thank you, Colin. Thank you so much to
our guest, Dr. Professor Colin Moore,
director of the uh Public Policy Center.
I'm Jay Fidel, host of Community
Matters. The title of this episode has
been, "What does it look like for the
midterms?" Thanks to our viewers for
watching. We'll see you again soon for
the next one. Aloha. Aloha, Colin.
>> Aloha. Thanks, Jay.
>> [music]