Weekend Update Video (PS60 Day Trader)
Watch on YouTubeVideo summary
The video begins with an overview of the market's recent performance during the Labor Day weekend, emphasizing that short-term daily data often lacks significance compared to long-term investment theses. The host notes that while weekly statistics might seem chaotic, the true market direction is driven by major players reclaiming key technical levels. Specifically, semiconductor stocks like Micron and SanDisk demonstrated exceptional strength by successfully retesting and holding above their critical 50-day moving averages, a move that validated bullish sentiment despite the lack of physical traders during the holiday break. This resurgence in memory names suggests that these sectors are regaining leadership, which often triggers a "copycat" effect where other stocks in similar groups begin to follow suit as they wake up from the weekend lull.
A significant portion of the discussion focuses on Micron's dramatic price action, which served as a prime example of how obvious technical setups can yield massive gains when executed correctly. The host recounts missing the initial explosive move at the open but successfully entering a position during a brief pullback, resulting in an impressive $25 gain within just three minutes. This performance highlighted the importance of respecting natural pivot points and supply zones; once Micron cleared its pre-market sellers and reclaimed the 970 level, it surged aggressively toward previous highs. The analysis extends to other memory names like SanDisk, which mirrored this pattern by breaking above its own key resistance levels, indicating a broader sector-wide awakening that could present further opportunities as traders return from their vacations.
In contrast to the strength in semiconductors, the video offers a critical look at Tesla, describing it as a unique stock that excels for traders but performs poorly for long-term investors due to years of underperformance relative to peers. The host explains that Tesla's future direction depends on a clear binary outcome: if the stock can reclaim its 50-day moving average and the 65 EMA, it may continue its rally, but failing to hold these levels or losing last week's lows could lead to a severe sell-off. Beyond Tesla, the transcript highlights several other aggressive trading vehicles such as MicroStrategy, Robinhood, CBRS, and NBIS, all of which have recently closed above their 50-day moving averages. These stocks are identified as potential leaders for the upcoming week, with specific technical targets like August highs and linear regression lines serving as key levels to watch for confirmation of continued upside momentum.
The conclusion of the video reinforces the strategy of focusing on high-conviction setups rather than getting distracted by excessive economic data or minor market fluctuations. The host encourages viewers to monitor these specific names as they prepare to re-enter the markets following the three-day holiday, noting that liquidity and volatility will likely increase as institutional players return. For those interested in mastering this approach to trading, the video promotes a trial program where individuals can test the "Pivot" methodology for 30 days to see if it aligns with their personal trading style. Ultimately, the message is one of patience and precision, urging traders to identify the few stocks that are truly leading the market while ignoring the noise, ensuring they are positioned correctly when the trading week officially resumes on Tuesday.
Read the full video transcript
Here's Dan Shapiro to help you find your
edge, master your process, and own your
future.
>> Hey guys, good morning everybody. Happy
Sunday, and welcome to another edition
of the accesstrader.com nightly wrap-up
or weekend update show. Hope everybody
is doing well. We got a three-day
weekend. It is Labor Day, the official
unofficial end of summer for all of us
who live in the East Coast. It's over,
Johnny. It's over. Uh, wait till next
May.
you could come back outside. Anyway, all
jokes aside, guys, thank you for for
tuning in, spending a few minutes uh
with us. Uh all I ask is if you be so
kind, click that like button, support
the channel, if you haven't done so
already, uh subscribe to the channel and
get notified when uh our next video is
dropping. Also, uh if you are
interested, you've been kind of
following along for uh many many years
and you always wondered if the Pivot uh
is a right fit for you, uh Kenyon posted
a link in the comments section. Uh 47
bucks. Uh kick the tires. Spend the next
30 days with us. See if it's a match for
your uh personality. I think you will
like it. Anyway, let's talk about it.
Right. So,
good, bad, and the ugly uh for the
markets. And this is kind of where we
talk about we start out uh the video by
talking about all this data. The weekly
data means absolutely nothing because
Thursday we had a 1 and a half% rally uh
on the NASDAQ to reclaim back the 50-day
moving average. And if you watched
Wednesday's video, we talked about
7-Eleven 7-Eleven 7-Eleven. I gave you
guys the area where the bulls needed to
reclaim back uh supremacy of sentiment.
And we had this 1 and a half% rally uh
on Thursday on the anticipation of the
easing, right? The easing of um the jobs
number, right? The jobs number came back
on Friday and it was a stronger than
expected job numbers that reignites,
right? Reigniting a potential rate hike
and blah blah blah blah blah. And this
is kind of what we talk about. Nobody
cares. All these numbers and data is
just way too many things to keep track
of the scoreboard. They mean absolutely
nothing. It's a long-term
uh thesis which eventually the Fed
governors turn around and flip a coin
and say, "All right, we're going to
raise rates. We're going to lower
rates." Obviously, I'm joking tongue and
cheek, but kind of the week to week uh
Wednesday, Thursday, and blah blah blah
Friday uh data is just way too much. And
obviously, we see it. Uh the good part
about it is while the bulls did reclaim
back uh the 50-day moving average which
was super duper bullish uh we needed
that to get back above what I didn't
expect and this was a very very pleasant
surprise. Uh what I didn't expect was
how much action we got Thursday and
Friday considering people were taking
off for the long uh 3-day holiday
weekend and we got some monster moves.
Uh, not only did the Q's reclaim back
the 7-Eleven 50-day moving average, it
traded uh all the way up to almost 722
pre-market uh on uh Friday session. But
the the memory names, remember we were
talking about the memory names, Monday,
Tuesday, Wednesday, Micron, SanDisk,
they're imminent. They're absolutely
imminent. They're very, very close.
They're very, very close. And the great
part about it is, you know, sometimes
you see a really, really crowded trade.
And the funny thing is like on Thursday
night as I was watching Micron I go,
man, this thing just is going to ignite,
right? It just really should ignite. And
you see, you know, people start talking
about on social media, you're like,
well, I usually don't want to be in the
crowded trade. It's usually never going
to end well. But sometimes in life, the
obvious is well, the obvious. And again,
we'll get to the pivots in a second, but
uh the Q's uh did a great job
considering uh the lack of uh bodies,
physical bodies there on Thursday and
Friday. reclaim back the 50-day moving
average. You look at the SPY, right? You
look at the SPY, uh, you know, kind of
holding serve. Uh, never lost the 50-day
moving average in the first place.
That's why, again, guys, uh, your
benchmark is going to be affected by the
stock that you trade, not the overall
quote unquote market. Uh, the IWM, uh,
IWM did a nice job this weekend, right?
Did a nice job coming from the ashes of
death. And guys, watch this thing. Just
just like the Q's reclaim back uh the
50-day moving average at 7-Eleven, watch
the, you know, for all you guys who who
have uh skin in the game on the IWM, all
it needs to do is reclaim back like 297
on the close and this thing could start,
you know, really filling in all these
channels of selling volume uh that you
saw in the prior several weeks. So,
watch this thing. Again, I'm not really
uh want to, you know, follow the IWM,
but guys, watch this 297. Any close
above 297 reclaims back the 50-day uh
moving average for uh the IWM. The Dow
just for accounting purposes uh is just
kind of reflecting the S&P. S&P and the
Dow should really be uh the same
tracker. They kind of co-mingle with
each other on a very very definitive
measure uh measuring stick. Uh but the
point is it's the semis, right? It's the
semis. Uh it is the memory names. You
had some really really good moves uh
this week and you have a lot of great
setups coming back for this week because
the micron and the Sanders kind of took
control, took back their leadership and
started going absolutely crazy. And if
you look at uh if you look at uh
Friday's pivots, right? Um I really
really like M uh Microsoft, it didn't
confirm. I still like these areas uh
going into this week. Um you know, here
was the big one, right? Here was the big
one right here. Um I was done when I
folks if all you guys who traded Micron
on Friday again sometimes the obvious
trade is the obvious. I I I think my
mother right my mother texted me she
goes yo you still buying uh you know
Micron at 970. It it was the most
crowded trade but the damn thing worked
really really big because the point is
Micron reclaimed back the 50-day moving
average. You got long uh at 97. If you
guys remember Micron pre-market, there
was a reload seller there at 965 because
of uh because of the data, right? The
inflation data came out. If you guys
remember pre-market um Micron was
trading the mid 970s. So that wash out
on the data actually did us a really
really big favor because it made the
natural pivot hold. So if you guys
remember they cleaned up that seller,
right? I think it was like at 966, 969,
forgot what it was. They cleaned up that
seller pre-market and they just just
jammed the thing right at the open from
like 970 to 984 and I'm like, "Oh my
god, I missed it." Right? I mean, it was
literally in the first like 30 seconds,
they jammed this thing like 14 15 points
and then it just came in so aggressively
like 30 seconds later. I took literally
the remount, right? a remount into on
that 970 bounce. And for all you guys
who are in Micron on that first wash out
to 970, it gave us it's not even an
exaggeration. I I think for all all you
guys who traded Micron, you kind of know
it gave us a $25 candle in about 3
minutes. I I like I my brain couldn't
even process how fast it was. And I was
literally done. I I mean I was literally
done for the day in the first like 4
minutes of the day. I was like, "Yo, I'm
just burnt out. I need to, you know, I
need I need a little bit of, you know, I
just need a little bit of clarity. So,
Micron was absolutely awesome. And
again, the bottom line is Micron
reclaimed back the 50-day moving
average, right? This was the whole
50-day channel. You can see here 969,
969. So, it reclaimed back 970. It
closed at the high of the day, you know,
within a dollar of the high of the day.
Guys, keep an eye on this thing, you
know, keep an eye on this thing for more
uh more upside. If this thing could just
get back above last Friday's highs, like
1018, man, then you got like 1036
staring at you, which are the August
high. So, absolutely amazing move on
Micron. Again, congratulations for all
you guys uh who are swinging uh the
stock looks uh higher. SanDisk, right?
What is the common denominator here,
guys? What is the theme? Right? Q's
reclaim back the 50-day. Micron reclaim
back the 50-day. Well, here's SanDisk
1588 and 1610. These are the two levels
it needed to confirm exactly the same
setup as the Q's. Exactly the same thing
as Micron, right? Reclaim back. Here it
is right here. Reclaim back 1588, which
is the highest channel in a 3-day
formation. Glog back above 1610 and this
thing closed at 1740. Uh it looks like
it has an eight. It has a date uh with
1790 which is the upper Ballinger band
uh and uh 1827 which are the August
highs. Amazing. Uh Friday turned out to
be uh absolutely amazing with the moves.
And here's the problem, right? Here is
the biggest problem that is happening.
Right? Look at the t-shirt. Look at the
shirt. It's a symbol. I'm not going to
tell you what symbol it is. No. All
jokes aside, if you if you are an
investor in Tesla, it is awful, right?
Let's not lie to each other. It's been
awful now for like several years. If you
are a trader of Tesla, this is the
absolute best stock ever. It's it's not
even there is not even a competition for
the second or third. You might have a
name here or there or on a random year
maybe outperforming and blah blah blah
blah blah, but there is no better
trading stock than Tesla. So Tesla, if
you guys remember, had its um had its uh
cab event, right? had its cab event.
They had a big big run. Absolutely huge
run and then Elon Mus decided like not
to even show up to this like cyber cab
thingyamajiggy and then they just sold
it all off. Man, again, if you're
talking about a stock that hasn't
participated in a rally, this is the
poster whipping boy. This is the
redheaded stepchild that everything that
sucks for a stock not to rally for the
last several years to participate like
every other tech stock has rallied. I
mean, this is pretty disappointing. So,
here's the theory, right? Here's the
theory here. Well, you can make a case
of, well, which one of these moves to
the upside or to the downside is the
real one. Here's the great part. You
don't have to figure it out, right? You
don't have to figure it out. Uh, the top
of this channel here, right? The top of
the channel here would reclaim back the
50-day moving average and the 65 EMA.
That is the 5day moving average. If it
loses last week's lows, right, last
week's lows, and completely engulfs this
whole buying cycle, this thing's going
to get absolutely murdered. So, it's
very very again, you don't need to be a
rocket scientist here. Either got to
reclaim back the 5day moving average, go
up or reclaim, right, or just lose this
whole channel here, engulf this whole
candle here from August the 31st. And if
it loses back the 20-day moving average,
this thing is going to start a very,
very uh aggressive uh sell cycle. So,
Tesla again, horrible investment
vehicle, the greatest thing in the world
since sliced bread, since sliced bread
uh on the trading side. So, as Micron
and Sandis and some of these network,
excuse me, some of these uh memory names
are starting to wake up, there's a lot
of names for potentially this week that
could wake up with them. And remember,
it's it's it's a copycat league. Stocks
in the same group usually would copy
each other. I mean, look at some of
these symbols starting to wake up here,
right? You got Micron, not that close
yet, but not that far. You got Marvel,
right? Not that close yet, but again,
not that far. Actually, you know what? I
actually kind of like Marvel. I didn't
realize this thing closed above the
50-day moving average. Yeah, guys, let's
add this thing to our uh focus for for
Tuesday because Monday the market's off.
Let's watch this thing. Let's keep an
eye on Marvel. I didn't realize this
thing closed above the 50-day. If Marvel
can get back above the 50-day, excuse
me, back above Friday's channel and
secure this 20-day supply, this thing
could open up as well. Again, I I don't
know why I didn't add this thing to the
watch list. Uh but I will after
recording the video. That looks uh
really really good as well, guys. Look
at Micro Strategies, right? When this
thing's a piece of crap, it's a piece of
crap. But boy oh boy, this thing is
getting tighter and tighter and tighter.
Had this rockstar move again above the
50-day moving average, right? Kind of
topped out, gassed out, you know,
Bitcoin, you know, hanging around that
8081,000 area. Put in an inside day from
uh Thursday's massive candle here. Let's
watch this thing because this thing
could get back above uh the 150day
moving average. This thing could really
really wake up as well. That looks start
starting to look uh really really good.
Guys, look at Robin Hood, right? Robin
Hood had this rockar really rockstar
engulfing candle uh that took out all
the it just took out the July highs and
now it's just kind of resting is getting
tighter here. Keep an eye on this thing
on top of this move here for the up
andcoming week. And then you have a
little bit two more names that I like
that are really aggressive vehicles. So,
you just have to be very careful because
they don't have as much liquidity as
possible. The first one is CBRS.
CBRS, as you can see, is coming back off
the bottom channel here, reclaim back
not only the 50-day moving average, but
several supply zones, and it stopped
right at the linear regression line,
right? Uh, set an alert. If this thing
can get back above Friday's channels,
this thing can wake up as well. That
looks pretty good. And NBIS, right? NBIS
again, massive, massive mover. When this
thing goes, it goes again. Another name
uh that closed above the 50-day moving
average. I think it just needs to
reclaim back this whole August channel.
If it could just get back above this
August channel, who says this thing
can't start filling in this massive move
and go back to uh 273. So, we we
definitely have some really good
opportunities uh coming up for us uh
this week. It's going to be interesting
when people start trickling back uh into
uh the fold after the Labor Day
vacation. Again, guys, if you are
interested in pivots, 47 bucks, 30 days,
come kick the tires, ask a lot of
questions. You'll see it in real time.
It is very, very cool. Guys, have a
great great remainder of your weekend.
God bless. And hopefully with God's
help, I'll see you all on the field on
Tuesday. Take care.