Watch These Stock Names That Are Ready For Massive Breakouts!
Watch on YouTubeVideo summary
The video begins with a personal update before shifting focus to the volatile state of the broader market following the FOMC meeting. The host notes that while the major indices showed mixed results, the real story lies in the aggressive indecision seen around the 50-day moving average over the last few weeks. He emphasizes a trading philosophy of preparation rather than prediction, comparing it to dressing for the weather based on data rather than guessing the forecast. This approach is crucial because stocks that previously dragged the market down have recently led massive reversals, particularly in the semiconductor and memory sectors, defying earlier bearish expectations regarding support levels.
A significant portion of the discussion highlights specific technology names that are poised for major breakouts after failing to drop as anticipated when they dipped below key moving averages. Micron and SanDisk are cited as prime examples of stocks that recovered aggressively from their lows, with Micron nearing September highs and SanDisk approaching August peaks. Similarly, AMD is described as being just a "stone's throw" away from its June highs after closing below the 50-day average. The host stresses that traders must know their specific price levels and wait for confirmation rather than anticipating moves, noting that the market has been dynamic with rapid shifts above and below the 50-day line over the past two weeks.
The analysis then expands to include Bitcoin's recent surge and its potential impact on related stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR) and Coinbase, which are showing setups similar to MSTR's current trajectory. The host also details individual stock strategies for Nvidia, Palantir, SpaceX, and Tesla, pointing out critical technical levels such as Bollinger Bands and specific moving averages that need to be reclaimed for bullish momentum to continue. While acknowledging the frustration of stocks like Tesla coiling near a breakout point, he maintains that eventually, one direction must prevail, either testing new highs or breaking down to lower lows. The segment concludes with observations on smaller semiconductor names like ARM and LRCX, noting liquidity issues but identifying potential setups if volume improves, before wrapping up with an outlook for the upcoming week driven by continued strength in Bitcoin and the tech sector.
Read the full video transcript
Hey guys, good afternoon everybody.
Welcome to another edition of the axis
oftraday.com nightly wrap-up show
weekend update show. Hope everybody is
doing well. It's about uh 2:00 on uh
Saturday. Uh my son is home for college
from college for the next three days. So
I am a very very happy camper. And again
that's all about life. It's all about
the little things, the memories, the
loved ones that make you happy, not how
good or bad you performed on a trading
session. We'll get to that in a second.
Um, hopefully everyone is doing well,
guys. If you can do me a favor, click
that like button, support the channel,
and hopefully I will continue to do my
best to point you in the right
direction. So, let's talk about the
market. So, last time we spoke was
Wednesday. If you guys remember, uh,
Wednesday, we violated, and when I say
we, the QQQ's violated a pretty good
long-term range that went all the way
back to, uh, August lows and, you know,
went about $3 from the earnings lows and
uh, and hit the, excuse me, not August
lows, and hit the bottom of this rising
support and had a really nice aggressive
stick save up. And what happened the
next day was the FOMC meeting and that's
the most important part. Um, and we saw
prices fluctuate very very aggressively.
If you look at the final tally, right?
If you look at the final tally of the
scoreboard, you're not going to paint a
really great picture. You got the Dow
Jones down 1.7%. You got the S&P flat
and you got the NASDAQ uh, and you got
the NASDAQ up a little bit, right? But
the point is, you have a market that has
been so indecisive teeter tottering off
the 50-day moving average that it's
impossible, I mean, absolutely
impossible to predict uh what's going to
happen next. Like I always say in every
single video, I'm not trying to guess
what happens next. I'm just trying to be
prepared. It's like, you know, when
you're watching uh the weather forecast,
right? You're not trying to predict the
weather. You're just trying to dress for
it based on data. And I will tell you
you it it's amazing how aggressive this
market has been especially on the
day-to-day. Uh you have one week the
market is building uh below the 50-day
moving average for four consecutive
days. Looked like we were one day away
from really started drilling into this
150day support. And then the next day we
reclaimed channels and started getting
very very aggressive. And the stocks
that took us down were the stocks that
took us right back up. You had really
aggressive meaningful completely
meaningful uh reversals in that
semi/memory
space. Uh Micron that looked literally I
mean looked literally like it was about
you guys remember on Wednesday we were
talking about this thing loses the
50-day moving average. It's going to get
hit. Well again never did and the stock
recovered very very aggressively and now
it's a stone throws away uh from uh
September highs. Same thing with
SanDisk, right? SanDisk, we had three
days in a row. You guys remember that?
Three days in a row. I kept on saying,
folks, if this thing loses the 50-day
moving average, this thing's going to
get hit. It never did, right? That's the
whole point. You don't anticipate a
stock doing it, you wait for the
confirmation. And Sam, this now is is so
such a big move on Friday that this
thing is close to uh the August highs.
Again, this thing looks amazing. AMD,
same thing. AMD looked like two days ago
when it closed below the 50-day moving
average. This thing was about to come
all the way back down to the September
lows and yada yada yada. We are stone
throws away from the June high. So,
you're you're getting really really
aggressive moves in this market. Um,
what we discussed always in the in the
webinar, you you better know your you
really better know your levels. You you
really do. This isn't a market that you
can just say, well, I think it's going
to happen. Let me see if it does play
out that way. you're going to get run
over and run over very aggressively
because the amount of over and under
50-day moving average we've seen the
last two weeks has been pretty dynamic.
And the one point we keep on reiterating
is don't anticipate that we're going
it's just going to be a one or two days
below or above that average because this
is how quickly things are moving. You
got treasuries uh rising for a potential
uh another raise, right? Another raise
in the October meeting again. Uh last
Wednesday we saw the first rise in uh
interest rates at about three years, 25
basis points. Now there's more than a
50% chance that another uh rise is going
to happen in the October meeting. Uh you
know, again, conflation concerns are
still there, but again, you really have
to be very impressed of what technology
is doing. And now folks, we're in
September. We are in the midst of the
start of a traditional, right? They
always say, "Well, September sucks.
September suck." Nothing is traditional,
right? You know, be people all say all
the time, "Well, the summertime sucks."
Why? Why does the summer time suck? The
market is as good as it it is, right?
The market's as good as somebody's
willing to pay a higher or lower premium
for it. So, there's nothing usually
that's in the cards that's definitive.
But having said that, if we don't die
out in the next couple of days, this is
a traditional very strong time for the
year. Again, we got uh you got the
Thanksgiving holiday uh which is not
that far away anymore. Thanksgiving
holiday uh that is traditionally very
very bullish spills over into uh the
Santa Claus rally into the small cap
January effect and hopefully the bulls
could continue that momentum first
quarter of 2026. So where do we start?
Right? Where do we start the week? We
start the week a stone throws away from
the top of the range here of the August
28 highs. The August 28 highs are 724.
Everybody see it? 724 is the August 28
highs. If we can get back above 724 on
the QQQ's, then you have this whole gap
to fill all the way up to 734, which
were the highs on 817. So, the next big
level on the cues 1720 724 to the
upside. Obviously, the longer we stay
now above 710, which becomes the 50-day
support, the higher probability more
stocks will get pulled up. Bitcoin,
right? There's a reason why we're
talking about Bitcoin. Bitcoin is uh
having a big uh couple of day run. Uh as
of right now, we're about 81,
uh500 on Friday. I think it was up up
about 5% on Friday. And that really
brought in a lot of the speculation
money. Um, notable names, right? Notable
names that really had the effect. I
don't want to talk about the riots of
the world and the marrows of the world.
Let's talk about MSTR, right? If you
guys remember, we talked about this on
911, right? On 911, September 11th
video, we talked about this thing is
getting very, very close. Well, this
thing finally surged. I know a lot of
you guys are swinging this thing from
the 145 level. 145 was the September 3rd
highs. This thing has a chance. If if
Bitcoin can continue its surge
over the weekend, right? Continue it
surge in the weekend. There's a shot,
man. There's a shot this thing sees 163
uh which is its next, you know, next uh
daily supply. That's the 200 day EMA.
So, if Bitcoin can get to that 82 83,000
area by like Sunday night, you know,
there's a shot, guys. There's a shot
MSTR uh sees the 60s. I'm going to give
you a setup that's the carbon copy of
MSTR. Again, it's not really a big
secret. It is Coinbase. It looks exactly
like MSTR, right? You got this massive,
massive range setting up here. You got
the top of the channel here that hit its
linear regression line. Again, if
Bitcoin is strong and this thing gets
back above uh this linear regression
line, this thing, just like MSTR, has
room all the way up to 206. So, if this
thing could reclaim back Friday's
channel on Monday, this thing could
really see a push into this 206 level.
So, keep an eye on that as well. Let's
talk about some individual names that I
like for uh this week. Nvidia, okay, we
know Nvidia is very, very finicky,
right? We know that, right? Uh this when
the stock goes, it usually goes on a
two, three day run and when the stock is
kind of just like gasses out, it just
does nothing. You're kind of ripping out
your hair. Well, this is now the first
close above the 10day moving average,
right? You see the high here on
September 11th, right? Seems like a lot
of price action happened on September
11th. If it could just get back above
the September 11 channel, guys, this
thing does have room uh all the way up
into the 230s. Is it possible it doesn't
get there? Of course. Again, we are just
trading on that. Again, I'm not trying
to predict the weather. I'm just trying
to dress for a potential storm or
potential uh day at the beach. So, right
now it looks uh pretty strong. Just
needs to get back above uh the 9/11
highs and this thing can wake up. PLTR,
right? PLTR is getting tight, right?
It's getting tight here. Uh it withto a
couple of uh it withtood a couple of
body blows in the middle of the week of
the market. Kind of held up really
really well. It's very tight here. It's
sitting here on top of the 20-day
supply. If it could get back above the
20-day supply and we got rejected
backtoback days, I think there's a shot.
The key with PLTR is it needs option
flow, right? The one thing that it keeps
on igniting these names with a lot of
aggression is the ability that shortterm
buyers are coming in with out of the
money calls on repeat. It would be nice
to see like 180 185 calls come in an
individual session especially in the
morning uh to kind of ignite this uh
Apple right it had its event it had its
event um you know introduced the iPhone
8600 whatever the hell it was I think it
was the 18 um it is just kind of it had
a nice big move on Thursday put in an
inside day on Friday just resting as
long as it keeps on resting above the
5day you know they were coming with 340s
uh 340 calls coming in for this week. Uh
watch this thing cuz if this thing could
start taking out Thursday's highs, this
thing could really start getting going.
You know, looks looks, you know, pretty
damn good. SpaceX, right? SpaceX, um I
believe their flight is scheduled now, I
think they said as early as September
the 28th. Okay, you could see how tight
this thing is getting. You see that
guys? You see this Ballinger band,
right? You see this Ballinger band here?
if this thing could just get it back
above this Ballinger band because
remember we did see some really
aggressive call buying coming in. We saw
some short-term October and November
170, 180 and 200 calls. I think the key
for SpaceX if you see how the stock is
kind of playing out here every single
time it's below the a linear regression
line or Ballinger band like again you
even going back to
uh July the 6th. You see this line here?
It's a linear regression line. it got
rejected and never saw it again. It
keeps on getting rejected off this whole
area. That's why this Ballinger band is
so important. If SpaceX could get back
above this Ballinger band, this thing
could look looks actually really really
good. So, keep an eye on that as well.
Uh the the biggest momentum names are
definitely Micron, right? Micron looks
like if it could just start attacking uh
Friday's channel, you could get a move
to 1040s. 1040s uh were the recent
highs. Uh Sandis, look at Sandis. Sandis
looks like it's poised uh to challenge
these uh you know uh August the 17 highs
of uh 1830s guys. All again just like uh
SpaceX all it needs to do you see how it
keeps on hitting this Ballinger banding
band rejected Ballinger band rejected.
Friday it hit the Ballinger band but
didn't get rejected. If it could just
get back above the Ballinger band, I do
believe there's a really good chance uh
this thing could see uh this thing could
see the August uh 17 highs. Some names
that are just doing absolute buckus is
Tesla. Tesla spent one day, one day out
of everything that's going on here, it
spent one day above a previous day's
range. Very frustrating. Yes. The big
picture is something has to give here,
guys. I know I say that every single
video, but we have to be prepared for
it. That's the whole point. You can't be
like, "Well, you know, I forgot about
it." 3 days later, the stock puts up a
$10 move. Look, it's either going to get
back above this 150day supply and go
bust out and test these 384 highs, or
this damn thing is going to lose the
50-day moving average, which is 350, and
start attacking uh start attacking the
July lows. Again, we just have to be
patient for it. It's not something
imminent. Might not happen today. Well,
definitely not going to happen today.
Uh, it might not happen this week, it
might not happen next week, but
eventually something has to give. Guys,
this is Tesla, right? And I know for
investors it sucks. For traders, it's
good some days, but this thing is
getting coiled and coiled and coiled.
The question is, which way does it
break? Does it get back above the 150day
moving average and retest the 384 level
or does it lose the 50-day moving
average at 350 and hell's going to start
breaking over again? We shall see uh
very very soon. Uh AMD continues to be
really really strong. You have to assume
if the market continues uh the June 30
highs of uh 684 eventually will get
tested. Stock looks uh really really
good. Uh you got Amazon uh you got
Amazon still, you know, fighting, right?
Still fighting. Still below the 50-day
moving average. This is definitely one
to watch if it gets back above the
50-day. If it gets back above the 50-day
then obviously we have a lot of room uh
and have different something different
to talk about. Some other uh smaller
well not smaller some other uh less
followed but still uh still important
names in the semigroup that are looking
interesting. ARM if this thing had more
val if this thing had more volume guys I
this is a great setup. This is now uh
first close above the 50-day moving
average. If this thing could just get
back above uh today's channel next week,
this thing could really rip. The problem
is it traded 7 million shares the whole
day. Right? By the time I logged off at
around 2:00, 2:15 on Friday, the thing
was trading 2 million shares. Again,
what are we going to do? Split 100
shares 3,000 different ways. There's
just no liquidity. But this thing looks
great. Same thing with uh LRCX, right?
LRCX is below the 50-day, but a buyer
came in short-term expiration with the
300 calls. The stock still looks like
crap, but you can see how the money flow
is starting to go into other various
areas. So, Bitcoin, let's see what it
does. Let's see if the continuation uh
sparks these um um uh Bitcoin, MSTR,
Coinbase names. Uh you got the semis
trying to wake up very very
aggressively. You got the memory names/
semiames trying to attack their previous
channels and this lifetime or the next
maybe Tesla finally gets out of its own
base as well. Guys, have a great
weekend. God bless. Hope everybody's
doing well. And with God's help, I'll
see you all in the field on Monday. Take
care.