Ukraine and Russia have entered a phase of "total war" aimed at complete annihilation
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The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has escalated into a phase of total war, characterized by attacks that extend far beyond military targets to include the adversary's economy, civilian infrastructure, and population. Experts define this state of warfare as a mobilization of all national resources where the primary objective is the systematic destruction of an enemy's economic potential rather than just battlefield victories. In this context, combatants are no longer strictly bound by traditional conventions governing the rules of war; instead, their actions are limited only by the means available to them. This shift marks a significant departure from previous engagements, as both sides now aim to inflict irreversible economic damage that the opponent cannot compensate for, effectively trying to bring each other to their knees before collapsing themselves.
Russia has been attempting to dismantle Ukraine's economy since early 2022 by systematically targeting its energy sector and blocking maritime trade routes. In response, Ukraine developed the capability to exert significant pressure on Russia's rear areas starting in 2026, striking oil refineries, civilian vessels, and logistics centers for major retailers like Wildberries. Consequently, Moscow intensified its own assaults on Ukrainian economic lifelines, focusing on warehouses, logistics facilities of large civilian companies, and port infrastructure in the Odessa region. The targeting of specific entities like Wildberries and Silpo highlights a strategic logic where both nations prioritize inflicting maximum economic harm, even if it means striking targets that also supply military goods, with Moscow additionally emphasizing attacks on Kyiv because it generates 20% of Ukraine's GDP.
Despite the shared logic of economic warfare, there is a critical disparity in how each side approaches the destruction of life-support infrastructure and manpower. Analyst Nikolai Beleskov notes that while both sides seek to cripple the enemy's ability to continue fighting, Russia places a disproportionate emphasis on destroying civilian support systems. Furthermore, Russia currently relies primarily on voluntary recruitment with high pay and bonuses, though estimates suggest this rate nearly matches their losses, fueling speculation about a potential new mobilization wave following the State Duma elections in September. In contrast, Ukraine faces a severe demographic shortage that represents a clear weakness in a prolonged conflict scenario.
The strategic implications of these dynamics are profound for the future of the war. Russia's previous strategy relied on superior resources and manpower to drive advances, but the pace of their troop movements has slowed, indicating that this model is yielding fewer results. If Putin declares a new mobilization, it would allow Russia not only to expand offensive operations in the short and medium term but also to sustain them for many years. Meanwhile, Ukraine's smaller demographic resources create a serious vulnerability in a protracted all-out war, making the mathematics of manpower shortages a defining factor that could determine the outcome of this increasingly brutal conflict.
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Russia's aggression against Ukraine is
increasingly taking on the
characteristics of total war with not
only the armed forces, but also the
enemy's economy, civilian
infrastructure, and population under
attack, the Kyiv Independent reports.
The author of the publication recalls
that the current war is already one of
the bloodiest conflicts of the 21st
century. At the same time, the concept
of total war has, until recently, been
rarely used in relation to the
Russian-Ukrainian conflict. According to
experts, it implies the mobilization of
all state resources and the systematic
destruction of not only the military,
but also the economic potential of the
adversary. Total war is synonymous with
a total national effort, where all
elements of national power are brought
into play, former Australian Army Major
General Mick Ryan told the publication.
Thus, total war presupposes not only
battles at the front and attacks on
military targets in the rear, but also
the maximum possible destruction of
civilian infrastructure and the very
foundations of the enemy's economy. In
such a war, the parties' attacks are
limited by the means available, not by
conventions governing the rules of war.
Russia has been attempting to destroy
the Ukrainian economy since [music]
2022, when it began systematically
targeting Ukraine's energy sector and
blocking maritime trade. In 2026,
Ukraine gained the ability to exert
equally significant pressure on Russia's
rear. This targeted not only oil
refineries, but also civilian vessels
and Wildberries centers. Moscow then
intensified its attacks on the Ukrainian
economy. Warehouses and logistics
facilities of large Ukrainian civilian
companies, as well as port
infrastructure in the Odessa region, are
increasingly coming under attack. As the
Kyiv Independent reports, by targeting
Wildberries and Silpo, Ukraine and
Russia are primarily attempting to
inflict economic damage on each other.
However, Wildberries, unlike Silpo, did
sell military goods. The same logic
explains the emphasis of Russian strikes
on Kyiv in recent months. This city
generates 20% of Ukraine's GDP.
Ukrainian analyst Nikolai Beleskov
explains that the logic of both sides is
the same and consists of attempting to
inflict economic losses on the enemy
that they will be unable to compensate.
In other words,
>> [music]
>> bring the enemy to his knees before you
yourself collapse, he said. However,
unlike Ukraine, Russia is placing a
disproportionate emphasis on the
destruction of life support
infrastructure, Beleskov noted. The
mobilization situation remains a
significant factor. Russia still relies
primarily on voluntary military
recruitment, offering high pay and
bonuses. However, experts estimate that
the rate of recruitment has almost
equaled the rate of losses. This has
fueled speculation that the Kremlin may
resort to a new wave of mobilization
after the State Duma elections in
September. Beleskov notes that Russian
strategy in previous years relied on
superior resources and manpower.
However, the pace of Russian troop
advances has now slowed and the previous
warfare model is producing [music] fewer
results. Ukraine, in turn, has
significantly smaller demographic
resources, which creates a serious
problem in the scenario of a protracted
conflict. If Putin does declare
mobilization, Russia will not only seek
to expand offensive operations in the
short and medium term, but [music] more
importantly, will be able to sustain
them for many years. Meanwhile, the
stark mathematics of Ukraine's shortage
of manpower on the battlefield
represents Kiev's clear weakness [music]
in a protracted all-out war, the
publication concludes.