Trade, tech and geopolitics: what you need to understand about China today
Watch on YouTubeVideo summary
The video features an in-depth discussion with Tienlu, founder and CEO of Wawa Advisory, regarding the current economic landscape of China amidst rising geopolitical tensions. While acknowledging that export sectors are less critical to Beijing's economy than previously thought—accounting for only about 18% of GDP compared to 35% two decades ago—the conversation highlights significant internal challenges. The primary concerns revolve around a slowdown in private consumption driven by high youth unemployment, stagnant wage growth, and the psychological impact of falling property prices on household wealth confidence. Furthermore, there is a notable shift in societal sentiment where companies and individuals are increasingly risk-averse due to fears of making mistakes, contrasting sharply with China's former "fail fast" innovation spirit that once fueled its rapid development.
Geopolitical friction remains a central theme, particularly concerning potential trade wars between the United States and Europe over issues like electric vehicles and rare earth elements. Although tensions with the US are often framed as transactional negotiations under current administrations, Tienlu warns of a more insidious buildup in European sentiment against China's trade deficit, which could lead to retaliatory measures that disrupt global supply chains. The discussion also touches upon China's strategic use of its dominance in rare earth processing and pharmaceutical ingredients not merely for leverage but because Beijing genuinely prefers economic stability over conflict; the "rare earth card" was only played recently when diplomatic negotiations stalled, indicating a desire to avoid escalation rather than initiate one.
Beyond trade deficits, the dialogue explores broader structural shifts within China's economy and society, including the phenomenon of "lying flat" among younger generations who prioritize well-being over relentless work ethic, signaling that the old model of hyper-competition is becoming unsustainable even without government intervention. The conversation extends to global implications such as the impact of US-China relations on Southeast Asia, where local industries face pressure from Chinese manufacturing surpluses despite regional trade agreements designed for mutual benefit. Ultimately, Tienlu argues that while China's export push creates challenges for neighbors like Indonesia and Malaysia, it is also a symptom of domestic constraints rather than malicious intent, urging the world to view these dynamics through a lens of economic necessity rather than purely adversarial narratives.
The interview concludes with Tienlu sharing her personal journey from traditional rural Shandong to becoming an expert in gender economics after studying abroad, illustrating how education can bridge cultural divides and empower women globally. She emphasizes that investing in female education yields higher returns for everyone—boosting household incomes, improving child health outcomes, and driving global GDP growth by trillions of dollars over the coming decade. This perspective ties back to her company's mission derived from Swahili roots: to restore balance and equity in a disrupted world where nature itself seeks equilibrium but human geopolitics often fails to do so. Through this blend of macroeconomic analysis and personal advocacy, the podcast offers a nuanced view that China is navigating complex internal transitions while facing external pressures, suggesting that future cooperation depends on mutual understanding rather than fear-based narratives.
Read the full video transcript
Welcome to Radio Davos and
>> I'm Ravi Valour with the Straits Times
and this [music] is the Straits Times
Asian Insider podcast.
>> It's great to be pres co-presenting with
you Ravi. Absolute delight. We've talked
about this literally for years.
>> Absolutely.
>> And uh so finally we get to do it. Yeah.
So Radio Davos for your listeners is the
weekly podcast from the World Economic
Forum which looks up lots of big issues
in the world with the emphasis on
potential solutions, ways of dealing
with those problems. What What's your
podcast about?
>> Well, it's about Asia generally and it's
a weekly podcast [music] and it rotates
between four of us and I do it on the
second Friday of every month.
>> Great. Well, and audiences will get the
best of both worlds. We have a fantastic
guest with us to talk about China and
China in the world. She's the founder
and chief executive officer of Wawa
Advisory. It's Tienlu.
>> Correct.
>> Very good. [laughter] Did I get the name
of your advisory company?
>> Absolutely. Yes. Thank you.
>> Tell us what what that is.
>> Wawa is a name um that I created. It
takes after the Swahili name of Wawa. So
takes the W outside the equation. So
it's USA WA which means balance and
equity. So I got the inspiration from
Masamara when I was there and I realized
look at nature you know nature has this
magical way of balancing different
species and how is it in the current
geopolitical world that we have is so
disrupted and uneven. So I felt that you
know the company that we have um the
mission is really to provide that
understanding and bridges to help the
business to navigate through this very
uncertain and uneven geopolitical world
especially in the age of China rising
and Swahili is great because that's
where humans originated from. So that's
how we got the name. The purpose is to
help business to navigate through this
uncertain and uneven geopolitical world.
You're the perfect guest for this
episode.
>> Absolutely, Robin.
>> She's absolutely perfect. And what a
name uh that that you given your
company. If you don't mind me telling
you a little bit of a story about the
African dung beetle. Uh [laughter]
>> would you be s would you like to know
that the African dung beetle navigates
at night using the Milky Way as its
guide point?
>> That's beautiful. That shows how related
man and not just man but beast and even
the smallest insect is with the
universe.
>> Yeah.
>> Wow. We've started very poetic and but
it's great to be talking about the
environment because I've not been
hearing enough about that.
>> Absolutely.
>> Um you know our relationship with nature
>> ecosystem really.
>> Great. Well hopefully we'll get on to
that a little bit. But first you
mentioned the the period of China
rising. Um we're speaking by the way uh
here at the World Economic Forums.
summer Davos in China in Dallion and
yeah it's China rising but there are
challenges to the Chinese economy aren't
there if I came to you and said can you
explain to me we know China's had an
economic miracle but where are things
right now what are the challenges what
would you tell me
>> yeah so uh I'd like to start by saying
that there are both challenges and great
opportunities at the Chinese economy but
when we look at the challenges um let me
frame it when we look at sort of the
typical way of looking at any economy
which is the three key pillars the
export and the import sector the private
consumption part and then there is the
investment part so when it comes to
export actually it's very important to
know that as much as the world is
talking about China you know over
capacity um sort of uh the rising trade
surplus like last year China's trade
surplus grew by 20% compared to the year
before right um so this is causing a lot
of discussions in the world but the
truth is export does not matter matters
to China as much as before. At the peak
of time about 20 years ago, 2007,
export was 35% of China's GDP and right
now is about only half of that. Last
year was 19 18% of it. And as much as we
talk about you know tariffs with the US
for instance, the trade to US is only a
tiny part of that. In in fact last year,
China's export to the US was less than
10%. And so that is less than 10% of
less than 50% of the peak. So when you
do the math, even if the entire China's
export to the US were to collapse, that
is only about 2% of China's GDP. So
export as important and much discussed
is not the most important part of the
Chinese economy. But there are of course
challenges. for instance, terrorist war
with the US, but I'm a lot more worried
about the upcoming uh trade war
potentially um with with Europe. So
that's one side and then the largest
part of the Chinese economy is private
consumption and that's worrying because
that's almost 40% of the GDP. So how how
this perform is fundamental um to
Chinese economy but there is a level of
lack of confidence to start with the uh
annual disposable growth rate is much
slower compared to before so last year
was 5% the same level of GDP not like 8%
or double digit growth right and on top
of that the unemployment rate is quite
high and the youth unemployment is
especially high um depending on you know
different surveys whether it's official
or some professors the highest number
I've seen for youth uh unemployment was
46% a couple of years ago and this is
enormous so imagine you're one of the
consumer
>> 46% 40% yes for youth right so kids
graduate from college they don't have a
job right so put yourself into their
shoes then
>> your annual income is not really growing
as much as before on top of that you
have a much higher chance of getting
unemployed of course you don't have the
confidence to spend and there's another
side of that which is the wealth um uh
impact. So property market is very
important to China and according to some
different surveys the absolute majority
of Chinese household own a house of some
sort. So more than 90% of Chinese
household own a house and 20% of them
own at least two houses or even more.
Now when the property prices start to
drop that means
all of a sudden I don't feel as rich as
before but when the price was going up
before every day even if I weren't doing
anything I was becoming richer of course
I had the confidence to spend but now I
don't so when you put all these three
together I'm not earning as much or
rapidly growth as before I have a higher
risk of getting unemployed and then I'm
not as rich as before obviously the
confidence to spend is much lower than
before. So that is really the biggest
challenge for the private consumption
part. And then finally is the investment
side whether it's infrastructure or
property market or just sort of overall
investment fiscal investment you know
all the companies investment we're also
seeing that um a level of uncertainty
whether is caused by the external world
or the lack of confident that is all
feeding into that sentiment and then on
top of that interesting there are times
I compare China with Silinkin Valley in
the sense that Silicon Valley is you
know the place that we have venture
capitals that we try a lot of different
project right and in China is the same
different provinces compete different
cities compete so it's like a giant
venture capital but the beauty of
venture capital is that you have so many
pipeline project at the same time and
also the spirit is you fail fast and
then you pivot fast and that was in in
an essence how China was like people
were encouraged to try different things.
It's fine if you make mistakes but then
you try something else but right now the
overall sentiment is not to make any
mistakes. And what is if if you change
that success or pivot fast um if you
change the KPI from that to make fewer
mistakes then what is the safe bet? The
safer bet is not to do anything. And
that to me is something that is a big
challenge that sentiment change in
China. So, um, yeah, that's where China
is.
>> Chen, you know, uh, in April 2020,
I wrote a column in the Straits Times,
and it's called the risks of putting all
your eggs in the China basket.
>> And one of the points I picked up in
that uh, column is the massive debt pile
of China Everrand.
And I said, look, this doesn't look
sustainable. And it reminds me of the
early days of the Asian financial crisis
and you know what happened to real
estate. But I've heard lately that a lot
of that poison has left the system. Is
there hope for a turnaround in Chinese
property uh in the near future? Is there
something that you see? I wouldn't
um put my money to bet on a high return
of Chinese property market in the longer
term, right?
>> There are certain positive factors that
will continue to drive the Chinese
property market, whether it's
urbanization rate, where is the growth
in people's incomes, da da da, but there
are also big factors to um drag this
down. for instance um whether the
current stocks in certain regions are
much higher compared to the actual
demand or we look at um you know the
major demographic shifts as such. So, so
property market would not be like sort
of the fast growing engine for Chinese
economy going forward.
>> Maybe pockets of it because I was
talking to a major Australian uh
property developer and they were talking
about going into the elder care uh
segment as a possible growth opportunity
in China. You know, building for the
elderly. Uh Robin,
>> just for anyone who's not following Asia
quite as closely as both of you, the
Ever Grand affair was this uh Chinese
property development company um that got
into a lot of trouble because of debt.
Um there was so much in in your initial
answer.
I don't know what to come back. The f
the first follow-up question I thought
of you said the impending trade war with
Europe.
I'm I'm often curious what is a trade
war? Because is there a trade war with
the the US at the moment? There
certainly there've been trade battles
maybe I don't know but why do you think
there's well apparently an inevitable
trade war with Europe?
>> I hope I'm wrong but um perhaps instead
of saying inevitable I would say the
very likely uh upcoming trade war with
Europe initiated by Europe. I just came
back from Europe and I'm more convinced
and worried than ever about that. So the
trade, we'll call it trade war, trade
frictions with the United States, you
know, between these two countries,
you're still seeing the the bans of rare
rare earth or high-end chips and all of
that. And you still see quite a level of
terrorists um on many uh products. So I
would still call that a trade war even
if it's no longer 145% right. Um but
with Europe is is different. US and
especially the Trump administration is
very quotequote practical about this. So
to President Trump is more a negotiation
is his art of the deal. So it's
everything is about to come up with a
number that he would be very happy about
and he can change it from the morning to
the evening but not so much about
Europe. The way I see it is that Europe
is slowly cooking that negative
sentiment about trade with China, about
trade um deficit with China, and that it
takes quite some time for Europe to
decide the actions, but once they do, it
will stick. And when they do that, China
will also retaliate. and China
cares more about the United States um
than any other countries unfortunately
in this case and so China would
retaliate
and then chances are Europe would add on
top of that and the narratives are just
changing before it was just about trade
and now it's changing into people are
getting unemployed because of China
there's part of me almost
hating to repeat this at the podcast
because it only reinforced versus that,
you know. So there there there there's
there two me at the moment. There's the
me that is the economist me advising the
world the risks are coming. There's the
other me as a human and we know that
psychologically the more we repeat
something the chances are it'll happen
or the more you're scared about
something chances are it it will happen
and this is where I'm worried about.
>> So I had aligned at the economist about
how China look at the Europe. People
both love it and hate it. People love it
because they believe it's so true. They
hate it because it's so brutal. And I
used to study and live in Europe. So
there's part of me almost don't want to
say it. But the line was that Europe is
being seen as an aging concubine
>> um that has not accepted the fact
>> that it's been ditched by the American
emperor. So as someone who studied and
lived there, Europe is like my second
home. It pens me to say that. Um and I
certainly do not hope that we will see
that
>> uh trade war between Europe and China.
>> Is it [laughter]
>> is it so like like any war like a hot
war
you can see a buildup of arms and then
someone goes over the top and the war
actually starts. Do you know when it's
going to happen and do you know what
will be the first battle? Is it going to
be about a certain product or product
lines and is is this going to happen in
the next six months in the next two
years?
>> Technically it already happened. I mean
Europe imposed certain tariffs and
barriers on for instance Chinese EV cars
and China as retaliation also took on
certain things such as um agriculture
and also um cognac for instance and it
was when you look at this is so
interesting because EV is less than 1%
of the trade between Europe and China
less than 1% but is becoming the
dominant talk about the Chinese trade
with Europe right so China's retaliation
is almost like so perfectly engineered
to go against that versus one of that
was cognac because cognac it has to be
cognac from the region of cognac in
France which is so typically European
and is also less than 1% of the total
trade between Europe and Europe and
China. So China has engineered this
beautifully. So technically it's already
happened but more are being discussed as
we speak. So later this year I think
there's a very high likelihood that
we're going to see more actions from uh
Brussels.
>> Right. Sure. And I know the Chinese too
love their cognac, but have they tried
armanyak as a substitute?
>> Uh I'm not an expert on alcohol, so I I
I can't different region.
>> Maybe the almanac.
>> I like bubble tea better. [laughter]
>> Maybe the Armenyak producers should be
lobbying Beijing for the cognac,
>> right? Uh [laughter] can I just ask uh
ask ask you a question because you
talked about trade and uh how Chinese uh
trade as a uh as a factor of the Chinese
GDP has actually come down
significantly.
>> Yes.
>> Uh but you know we in Southeast Asia we
are very sensitive to uh China's
economy. We want the Chinese economy to
do well because it helps us as well, you
know, but one of the issues we're having
is that look, you did mention that trade
as a percentage of GDP has come down,
but we're talking about a much bigger as
percentage
>> uh as as a percentage of GDP has come
down, but we're talking about a much
bigger Chinese economy. Now this
morning, Premier Lee Chang said, "Please
don't talk about the second China
shock." Uh, you know, I think he said
that in his speech, but the fact is that
China has got so good at manufacturing.
uh and maybe you don't have much of a
option because as you said investment is
slowing, consumption is uh you know for
whatever reason is taking a a breather
but the the Chinese export push
especially after the US markets became a
little constrained into Southeast Asia
is causing a lot of grief in Southeast
Asia. In Indonesia, we have had
significant losses in the uh textile
industry and the Chinese are actually
selling but shirts to Indonesia.
In Malaysia, the furniture industry is
in crisis because the Chinese exports
are so good. Furniture exports. Thai
auto industry is in trouble. Is there
something? Because we remember China
when we signed the ASEAN China FDA.
China gave us an early harvest and which
helped all the ASEAN economies. But
today because of your own domestic
constraints are you compelled to keep
pushing the exports
out into the world including in Europe
you know to come back to where you
started is that a factor that you know I
mean you do need to find jobs for the
people 45% youth unemployment is a
frightening number you know the last I
heard that number was in the Indian
context I thought China was much lower
than that 28% but what you said
certainly surprised What do you think?
What do you think China can do so that
it doesn't
kill the goose uh uh uh you know of
consumption in the surrounding economies
that are so critical to it?
>> Yeah, that's a really good question and
um there are few foes that we can look
at this and to start with when I say you
know export doesn't matter to China that
much I meant from the Chinese economy
perspective as the question went. Um but
I certainly understand the level of sort
of
>> concern the rest of the world would have
and even say that 5% of of GDP growth
that China enjoys every year um that is
every year China produces a new country
that is the size of Switzerland
>> or Saudi Arabia.
>> So that is enormous and last year trade
surplus was 1.2 trillion. that is um
absolutely enormous. So I understand
this but perhaps let me try to reframe
it and also how in a way China looks at
this and then we can talk about how
China decide to make this more
sustainable. I have analogy
um that when we think about Chinese
manufacturing think about China is a
shop that sells ice creams. Okay.
Imagine vanilla ice creams. And as you
said, China feels like is so good. Let
me try to do the President Trump way. Is
so good.
>> Oh, there you go.
>> And so cheap. [snorts] And that you buy
so much out of China and you get fat.
And then you complain it to China. And
you say it's China's fault that you're
becoming so fat. And China's like, "Wait
a second. You have every right not to
buy us. You buy it not because we force
it on you, but because we're so good and
so cheap. So who is the one to blame
here?
So when we talk about trade surpluses,
deficits, there's part of China feels a
bit vulnerable in the sense that we
would love to buy more from you, but
what do you have to sell it to us?
I'm looking at certain interviewees
about your
>> but but we're back with trade wars that
so governments could say okay it is
great goods from China but we're getting
fat to use your analogy we'll put up
we'll put up trade barriers isn't that
the inevitable
>> and some people might say that yes and
no we need get to get more time to be as
fit as you are uh
>> that would be a healthier way so
protections are for the weak rather than
say, um, I'm going to not buy your ice
creams. You can also say, I'm going to
produce better ice creams that are
tastier and cheaper. So, that would be
the other way around. As always, as
trained economists, as sensible as we
are, we know that tariffs are bad. Um,
protections are for the weak. So, that's
something I want to argue. But then to
um to go back to your question about how
sustainable this is in fact China itself
realizes that this is not sustainable
and there are different China like so
when we talk about you China what is
that you is it the government is it the
business is it the Chinese people the
answers are completely different on this
for all of these all of the above
whether the government or the business
or the Chinese people we know that it's
not sustainable for instance when you
look at the much younger people um
there's this phenomena called lying flat
that
>> they ting um that the younger uh that
the young generation believe that it's
much more important to be happy rather
than work hard and make money. But I'm
from the generation where when I grow up
we had very little food. I couldn't have
like meat in my dumplings only at
Chinese New Year, right? So it's a
completely different kind of mentality.
So when you are a lot more well off then
you don't bother to work as hard
anymore. That is part of the reason why
this is not going to be sustainable
because the younger generation will be
different. And then on top of it is that
the business realized that this is not
sustainable. Um when we visit some of
the Chinese companies in different um
you know cities and regions we see that
uh right after co they were extra
working hard even if they were losing
money and I asked them why is that
because there are two different concepts
of cost there is the average and fixed
cost there is the marginal cost. So if
they have invested all this machinery
and everything even if the marginal cost
so long the money they make is higher
than the marginal cost they are happy to
continue to do that. The the simple
answer they said to me is I know I'm
losing money but if I don't I would lose
out even more money. So that's why they
were doing it. But already, especially
since last year, we're seeing that this
so-called involution nan the like extra
competitiveness among Chinese companies
themselves are starting to change. So
the business realized themselves that
this is not sustainable.
>> So they're changing that organically
without the interference with the
government or with people or from the
rest of the world. And Chinese
government also realizes this. I mean
that's why as you said you know the
prime minister mentioned that that the
China shock is the wrong way to put it
that the China opportunity is really the
right way to put it the government has
all this pressure from Europe from you
know Latin America etc they want China
to buy more to reduce that trade deficit
and China will look to do that and for
instance one of that would be service
account right because typically when we
talk about trade surplus we just think
about goods uh per se but um depending
how you want to play around the numbers
for the argument if anything the service
account uh trade deficit that China runs
it almost increased by seven times in
the last 5 years time. So it depends how
um we frame this.
>> I just wanted to mention the straight of
horm's effect um on China. I' interested
to hear Ravi as well the impact that's
had in Southeast Asia where where you're
based. [snorts] What impact has it had
on China? because I've spoken to several
Chinese people who've said actually
we've been pretty insulated from it
because of electrification
of our cars and the fact we're producing
so much renewable energy here. How do
you see it and do you think there's it's
a game changer? Will it change anything
in terms of the bigger picture on
anything in China?
>> Economically it hasn't impacted China
that much. um is more on the political
and geopolitical front. Less than 50% of
China's import of oil go through the
strait whether is import from Iran,
Iraq, Saudi etc. So um that is quite a
bit of share but on the other hand oil
is only about 6% or 7% of ch total China
energy use. So the impact that has
brought directly on China is much less
compared to for instance Europe, right?
And then on top of that, China has an
oil storage about seven months or so. So
this really like if you ask citizens on
the street, ask a random person, they
they feel a bit not so much. But more
importantly is the idea that this is
changing and giving the world a
different perspective of the current
Trump administration and how is really
disrupting and shaking people's faith
and uh in the US leadership of the world
and that China is watching it more um
enthusiastically. Since you spoke about
US leadership, how much of a watershed
has this year 2026 been in global
affairs? You saw a a very uh I don't
want to say timid, but a very
respectful, polite
Donald Trump show up in Beijing. How
much has the world changed for China in
this year? So from the US geopolitical
perspective um yes so much has changed.
I mean you know we start the year by
seeing um US taking um President Maduro
from Venezuela and then you know uh
President Trump keep on insisting and be
even more assertive on Greenland for
instance right and then we had Iran um
and then we had President Trump visiting
um China. So to China somewhat this year
was more about watching US destroying
itself and its allies globally. You're
absolutely right that President Trump u
visited China and he called presidenc a
great leader incredible China and all of
that but China is not naive in the sense
that it believes this will be how the
bilateral relationship going forward. Um
the very reason why President Trump
turned um it stand and style with China
is because China showed the rare earth
card and President Trump is someone that
believes in the games of power
>> and China showed his hand and that was
very critical. So the fact that the two
countries are um smiling at each other
and shaking hands certainly do not mean
that this will be the
great relationship, you know, romantic
honeymoon going forward. But at least
before the midterm, um the bilateral
relationship would be very stable,
>> right?
>> And depending on how the midterm goes,
um President Trump may adopt a different
strategy on China or maybe not. So for
instance um Russia, Ukraine, Israel,
Palestine, Iran, all of these is
distracting um the US um from its
priority on China. It's just got its
hands so full at the moment. It's got no
attention or ability really in a way at
least trade- wise to take um on China.
But that is just trade for instance. The
bilateral relationship goes so much more
beyond just trade. There's technology
rivalry, there's um military security
rivalry and there is financial rivalry.
So I believe the ongoing frictions
between US China will be one of the key
defining themes in the world.
>> So it's not ended. The story that story
is not ended.
>> Oh no, this is just the beginning of the
>> just the beginning. And do you think in
about 5 years from now when
the Americans fix their vulnerability on
rare earths that fear of China will
certainly go away?
>> To start with there is no way that US
will be able to catch up with China's uh
level of dominance on rare earth.
>> Is that so? um in 5 years in 5 years
because you talk about 5 years when we
talk about the dominance in rare earth
there is the access to the resources
itself and there is also the capacity to
produce and process them so China has
the absolute dominant power on both side
right so US will not be able to replace
China for at least another
>> and Europe everywhere yeah so so that's
why people are concerned about you know
interdependence of supply chains and all
of that But on rare earth, can I just
say it's actually very important to know
that China didn't want to play the rare
earth card. So, you know, Europe is
quite concerned about China continue to
use this. Let me emphasize again that
China does China did not want to play
the rare earth card. If it wanted to, it
would have played this long time ago. In
fact, it's almost a public knowledge.
Everybody knows about it. So the
question should really be people know
that China has access and dominance of
this. Why did they not think China can
do? Because China never played this car.
Um chairman Don Xiaoing said decades ago
that the Middle East has oil and China
has rare earth. This is no secret. China
could have played this. China could have
played this 40 years ago. China could
have played this in the first Trump
administration. It did not. China could
have played immediately immediately on
liberation day. China did not. China
played the rare earth card when the back
and forth of the tariffs war
negotiations between the two country
were just dragging on and on and back
and forth and almost with higher than
expected or wouldliked
kind of risks. That was when China
decided enough is enough like no is no.
That is when China played the card.
China never wanted to because look at
this one of the consequences Europe and
many other regions got scared and say
we're worried that China might want to
play it on China does not if anything
China is still as prime minister uh
Liang called this morning China still
wants a very stable global economy and
China is still very committed and wants
a good globalization and economic
globalization because China benefits
from that so China doesn't want any
trade wars whatsoever
>> right do you
China has a similar dominance in active
pharmaceutical
ingredients APIs as they have in rare.
>> I'm not an expert on that specific
industries. Um
but my limited knowledge is that is not
um but is certainly getting more power
than before. I mean one of my favorite
example is that um we we have the
there's this Chinese company who the
founder was uh I forgot Harvard or MIT
educated so she set up the company in
Boston a brilliant hub for biio medicine
related but especially during co time so
she came back and over time she took the
team back with her so now their
headquarters in China with all the R&D
centers in China and only the sales and
marketing teams in the US because they
know the language which they know how to
sell. And this is a great example of
telling us cuz when people think about
Chinese manufacturers, a few years ago
it was about EV and then it was AI,
deepseek and now we're looking at
robotics. The next is very likely to be
biotech.
>> I did want to ask you about um the
gender gap. The World Economic Forum
produces every year the uh global gender
gap report. I know it's something you've
taken a great interest in. You mentioned
your book on the subject has become so
successful. what's happened to it?
>> Yes. So, I wrote a book on gender
economics in Mandarin at the moment. Um,
it got so popular that there are pirated
copies now,
>> right? People are clamoring for it
>> because the rise of female power is, you
know, I talk about the rise of China is
one of the key defining themes of the
century and the rise of female powers is
another one.
>> How do you tell companies or governments
that it's in their interest to address
the gender gap?
>> Well, because it's good for the women
and the men and the children and the
economy. So let me take one example. So
there's studies looking at the world in
the past 46 years and basically if you
put a dollar on investment on the US
bonds and stock market your annual
return was 2.4%.
But if you invest that in people's
education every additional year of uh
education the average return is about
8.8%. That means investing into human
capital gives you a lot higher yield
than financial capital. And within this
8.8% the returns to women education is
10%. Which means that it's guaranteed
that when you invest more in women, the
women make more. On top of that, there's
a study in the US showing that when the
wife's education grows by an additional
year, the husband makes an additional
somewhere between 18% to 23%. So that's
great for the men as well. And on top of
that, we see that when the women are
better educated, the kids are taller, um
they're healthier, they have better
performance at school. So that's good
for um the next generation as well. And
then on top of that, it's actually very
good for the economic growth. So for
instance, according to UN women um they
have um a finding suggesting that when
we invest more in women, that can
significantly increase the global GDP by
about 4 trillion US dollars by 2030. And
that is more than 3% of the current GDP
that we have. So that's why I say
educating the women is great for
everybody. For women, for the men, for
the kids, and for the society and the
economy.
>> Right. But Chun, you were born in
Shanong, right?
>> Yes.
>> And that is known to be a fairly
traditional Chinese society in Shanong
if I'm not mistaken. Did you get lucky?
Where did you get your fantastic
education in Europe?
>> How did you manage to do it? Were your
parents uh far-sighted or uh they just
wanted you to have the best?
>> Um yes. So I was born in Tinga in
Shandong where Confucious came from.
It's very traditional. So even nowadays
in certain part of Shandong um women are
not allowed to dine at the same table
with men and that whenever we go out
you're supposed to give men the face,
let them talk more. Let them take the
lead. you know, you smile and collapse
when they do the talk. Um, so that was
one side of me. And then I had the
opportunity to study in Sweden, um, one
of the most gender equal country in the
world, and also at UC Berkeley, the most
sort of progressive, um, university. So
I got very lucky in that I saw that
gender equality can be very different
and that they are possible. So one of my
PhD thesis well the majority of them
were about labor economics even though
later I dived into you know
macroeconomics uh geopolitical economics
d one of my PhD thesis was about labor
economics human capital D and one of
that was to study is it true that when
women are better educated we have a
lower marriage rate
>> because back then um there was a saying
in China that there are three kinds of
people in the world. A man and a woman
and a woman who has a PhD and I was
getting my PhD and there were another
saying that there are four kinds of
people in the world. A man, a woman, a
woman who has a PhD and a man who dares
to marry the third type. So I wanted to
prove them wrong. So that's how like
gradually over time apart from my
day-to-day work on geopolitics
um advising the world on China and
Chinese companies going overseas um I've
spent the past uh more than a decade
writing along the topic of gender
economics and I'm very lucky because my
parents believe in the power of
education and they um let me took my
PhD. Do you think there might be a
future book from you
called a man's place is in the home?
>> Um I like the idea but um I want to
rephrase it to a man's place is wherever
he wishes because when we talk about
gender equality the idea is not to sort
of let women become the more senior um
species in gender than men. We want
equality and the idea of equality is not
that women should work and men should
stay home but um women can work um if
she chooses so and man can stay at home
if he chooses so. So
ultimately I believe the definition of
gender equality is not about the same
results but that we have the same access
and same opportunity. So men can cry,
men can wear pink. Um however you know
you can play Barbie dolls. Um we can
also become super men's as well.
>> I'm wearing pink. Did you see that? Did
[laughter] you see her? I'm still blue.
I think I change to pink one of these
days. Lovely. Thank you very much.
>> And I did not mean as a object
objectifying you.
>> At least I've not cried during this
interview. We have to bring it to a
close there. That's all we've got time
for. Ravi, it's been great to co-host
this with you. If your listeners, if
your audience want to follow Radio
Davos, they can find us on any podcast
app. They can also go to web.chodcast
or you'll find we have three weekly
podcasts. This one, Radio Davos, meet
the leader and agenda dialogues. [music]
Ravi, where can we find you? Robin,
that's been a fantastic conversation and
thank you Chen for a brilliant uh
presentation. We didn't talk enough of
concubines yet, but maybe we'll keep
that for the next uh session. This is
Ravi Velour for the Straits Times Asian
Insider podcast.
>> That a [music] great pleasure. Thank you
for having me today.
>> Thank you.