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Those people who are now forcibly sent to the front rebel against Putin's regime

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The transcript features a Freedom of Russia fighter named Caesar who warns that the current Russian military mobilization will inevitably trigger internal unrest and rebellion. He argues that as recruitment offices aggressively round up citizens, including those who do not wish to fight, the army will become completely drained of blood, leading to widespread awareness among the population. Unlike previous conscriptions that targeted vulnerable groups such as prisoners or drug addicts, this new wave forces unwilling citizens into combat, creating a powder keg of resentment within the ranks. Caesar predicts that this pressure will cause the number of daily forced recruits to skyrocket from thousands to even higher figures, exacerbating the suffering and fueling a desire to overthrow the regime from within. A central argument presented is that the Russian military, which is currently apolitical, will rapidly become politicized as soldiers realize they are fighting a war that destroys their own country rather than serving its people's interests. Caesar draws a historical parallel to 1917, suggesting that these unwilling conscripts, much like the soldiers of that era, will turn against the government and destroy the system from the inside. He asserts that once the army recognizes it is waging an unjust war, it will cease to be a tool of the state and instead become a force for rebellion, effectively ending Putin's rule. This shift in military loyalty is portrayed as the primary catalyst for a catastrophic uprising within Russia itself. Regarding President Putin's strategic decisions, Caesar claims that the leader has rejected reasonable peace proposals and chosen to "go for broke" out of genuine fear of history repeating itself with the downfall of Nicholas II. According to the fighter, Putin is terrified of being unforgiven for losing the war, yet he continues to push forward despite having a viable document ready since autumn to explain a reasonable exit from the conflict. The speaker concludes that by refusing to accept peace and ignoring the collapsing nature of his system, Putin is essentially choking himself. He emphasizes that rational observers understand the regime is on the verge of collapse due to the immense problems it has created, comparing its inevitable failure to the Soviet Union's dissolution after the war in Afghanistan. In his final conclusions, Caesar outlines two possible scenarios for the collapse of the Russian system, with the first being a rational outcome where Putin realizes he is heading into an abyss and seeks peace for his own security rather than caring about Russia or military losses. He notes that while generals ignore casualties, Putin's fixation on current results blinds him to the fact that his system is crumbling under its own weight within just a few years. The Freedom of Russia fighter addresses Ukrainians directly, informing them that the internal dynamics in Russia are shifting dramatically as the weight of the war and the mobilization crisis become unsustainable. Ultimately, the message is one of impending systemic failure driven by the very people forced into the army against their will, signaling the end of the current regime's stability.
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"When military recruitment offices start rounding up everyone and sending them to fight in Ukraine, this will eventually lead to riots," Caesar opined. "If anyone rises up against the current government in Russia, it will be those in uniform who don't want to fight. There will be a rebellion in Russia. Why? The first factor will be that the aggressor's army has been completely drained of blood, and everyone understands this now, and mobilization is being announced on every radio station. They will also secretly steal people, but this process will intensify exponentially. Instead of a thousand a day, they will be forced to send two, three, and five thousand a day to the army. Things will become very difficult for us, of course, but they will be sending people who don't want to go to this war, unlike prisoners, drunks, homeless people, and drug addicts. These are the people who will destroy the system from within, just as they did in 1917," the Freedom of Russia fighter confidently declared. Caesar also stated when a rebellion in Russia might occur. "If someone refuses to join the army, the army could quickly become politicized. It's completely apolitical right now. When the army becomes politicized, it will be the end for Putin, because a politicized army, realizing it's waging the wrong war, not in the interests of the people of Russia, and that this war is destroying Russia, will turn against the current government. Meanwhile, Caesar reported that Putin rejected his rescue plan, deciding to go for broke. Putin is genuinely afraid of following in the footsteps of Nicholas II. He's afraid he won't be forgiven for losing the war, but instead of reaching a reasonable agreement now, you and I discussed this, that a document on a reasonable explanation for leaving the war has been ready since the fall, but But decided to push [music] it through. But he won't push it through and will choke himself. Caesar shared his conclusions about Putin. Reasonable people understand that the system is collapsing. There are only two possible scenarios for its collapse. The first is the rational one, which we discussed about a month ago. It involves Putin coming to his senses and realizing he's heading for the abyss. He doesn't care about Russia, just as his generals don't care about losses, but for the sake of his own security he's going to peace, fixating on the current results and his system is collapsing. But it's collapsing in a few years under the weight of the problems he's already created, just like the Soviet Union under the weight of the war in Afghanistan. We understand perfectly well that this finished off the system. It was one of the triggers. The freedom of Russia fighter informed the Ukrainians. >> [music]