Video summary
David Pinsof challenges the conventional notion that human behavior is driven by a pursuit of happiness, arguing instead from an evolutionary perspective that we are motivated to seek external incentives like food, sex, status, and social inclusion which correlate with biological fitness in ancestral environments. He posits that viewing humans as animals seeking internal states makes no sense evolutionarily; rather, our nervous systems function more like thermostats directly wired to physiology without needing a "happy" feeling to trigger action. Pinsof redefines happiness not as the goal of life but as a mechanism evolved by natural selection to recalibrate expectations and motivations when reality exceeds predictions. This explains phenomena such as habituation, where repeated exposure to good things reduces prediction errors and diminishes feelings of joy, yet we continue pursuing those rewards because our motivation is tied to the incentives themselves, not the subjective feeling of happiness they produce. The discussion extends to how human opinions function primarily as status-seeking tactics rather than mere expressions of preference or belief. Pinsof defines an opinion as a combination of personal preferences and social judgments about others who share or reject those preferences, effectively turning them into campaigns for specific social norms. He illustrates this with the example of McDonald's lovers versus haters, where expressing an opinion is often a way to elevate one's own status by making allies look superior while condemning rivals. This dynamic creates a battleground over cultural values, where individuals engage in arguments not necessarily to find truth or persuade through logic, but to win social dominance and intimidate opponents into silence. Consequently, reasoning itself is reframed as a social tool designed for winning debates and justifying actions to others rather than solitary rationality aimed at objective truth. Pinsof further explores the concept of "deepities," which are statements that toggle between an implausible, earthshattering interpretation and a mundane, boring one to manufacture false insights or status without risk. Examples include phrases like "love is just a word" or "everything happens for a reason," where listeners can oscillate between profound spiritual meanings and trivial literal explanations to create the illusion of deep understanding. This linguistic maneuvering serves multiple social functions: it allows speakers to signal group membership, test loyalty among insiders who grasp the hidden meaning while alienating outsiders, and practice hermeneutic skills by finding order in chaos. The term "deep" is highlighted as a useful concept for detecting these manipulative rhetorical strategies that exploit human tendencies toward status competition and tribalism rather than genuine intellectual breakthroughs. Finally, the conversation addresses why our brains are so large, attributing this expansion to the computational demands of playing complex social games like politicking, rule-following, hypocrisy management, and covert status seeking rather than tool-making or solving physical problems alone. This "social brain theory" explains cognitive biases such as confirmation bias and motivated reasoning not as errors in individual logic but as strategic adaptations for persuasion within a tribe. The transcript concludes by noting that while good-faith arguments exist in practical domains like choosing restaurants, introducing status games into politics causes rationality to collapse into tribal dominance contests. Pinsof promotes his podcast "Evolutionary Psychology the Podcast" and blog "Everything is Bullsh*t," emphasizing the importance of rigorous evolutionary research over vague philosophical platitudes that often serve as veiled mechanisms for social manipulation.
Read the full video transcript
A desire for happiness is not what is
driving our behavior. It is a terrible
way to predict our behavior. It is a
naive way of thinking about human
psychology that will lead you into a
morass of confusion, contradiction, and
infinite regress. Why?
>> H well uh I wrote a very long po post on
this called happiness is [ __ ] And
then I wrote a sequel to that post
called uh happiness really is [ __ ]
No, I'm just joking. It was happiness is
[ __ ] revisited. People really get
hung up on this. I think it's one of the
biggest confusions we have about how the
mind works is that we have this really
misguided idea that what we're pursuing
in life is inside of our heads. That is
a really weird and implausible idea from
an evolutionary perspective. That we
would be animals that are driven to seek
stuff inside of our heads makes no
sense. It makes way more sense that we
would be driven to seek stuff out there
in the world. you know, like food, sex,
status, praise, inclusion in groups, all
this stuff that would have correlated
with biological fitness and ancestral
environments. These are the sorts of
things that would make sense for a
primate like us to want. It makes no
sense for us to want something inside of
our heads. Now, the common response to
this argument is that, oh, well,
happiness sort of motivates us to go out
and get what we want. It's sort of like
the carrot that's dangling in front of
us. And we need happiness to to motivate
us to get out to go out and get the get
the stuff in the world, right? This view
also makes no sense because as soon as
you posit that we need happiness to
motivate us, well, there's a awkward
follow-up question, which is how does
evolution get us to want happiness? If
you need happiness to get us to want
stuff, then how does evolution get us to
want happiness? Does it have to give us
happiness when we get happiness and then
happiness when we get happiness when we
get happiness? Like I said, we have
entered an infinite regress. Uh this
whole way of thinking that we need some
uh internal goodie to motivate us is
just wildly implausible. Uh it it uh
contradicts a wealth of research and
social and behavioral sciences and and
neuroscience. Uh we don't need happiness
to to be motivated. Our nervous system
is directly wired up to our hearts, to
our physiology, to our lungs, to our
muscles. It can just motivate us to go
out and get the stuff directly. We don't
need happiness to motivate us any more
than a thermostat needs to feel happy
when it gets your home at the right
temperature. Right? We have thermostats
inside our bodies that motivate us to
shiver when we're cold and sweat when
we're hot and and seek blankets when
we're cold and to seek shade when we're
hot.
uh those inner thermostats don't need
happiness just any more than the
thermostats in our home need happiness.
So uh there are many reasons why uh uh
viewing human uh behavior as a pursuit
of happiness is misguided. I go through
lots of them in my post but yeah I think
this is just a wildly confused way of
thinking about human psychology about
the mind. I think it is way more
insightful to think about humanity as
striving for things for real things in
the world that would have correlated
with biological fitness in ancestral
environments.
>> Do you completely discard with
subjective internal states of well-being
and our relationship to them? Then
>> no, I think those exist, but they're not
what we think they are. Uh so what we
think they are is just a carrot that's
dangling in front of us that gets us to
to that motivates us. What they actually
are are mechanisms. Happiness is a
mechanism that evolved by natural
selection to serve a very specific
function. And as we discussed, that
function cannot be to motivate us
because motivation doesn't need
happiness, right? It serves a different
function. And what is that function?
Well, uh it's to recalibrate our
expectations and motivations when
something turns out to be better than we
expected it to be. Uh the sex is better
than you thought it would be. The ice
cream is better than you thought it
would be. You tried cooking a Spanish
paella and you thought it was going to
suck and it ends up being amazing. When
mistakes like that get made, your brain
has to do a lot of recalibrating. If I
cooked this amazing paella, I need to
update my expectations about how good my
cooking ability is, about how about my
ability to cook Spanish cuisine, about
the quality of paella, and it needs to
reorient my motivation so that I'm more
motivated to uh cook Spanish cuisine in
the future. My brain has a lot of work
to do when I'm wrong about reality in a
positive way. And and all that work that
my brain is doing, I think is what we
call happiness.
But if you understand happiness as a
mechanism for uh recalibrating your
brain in the wake of a prediction error,
uh well then it makes no sense to say
that we want happiness. In fact, it
makes more sense to say that we're
chasing happiness away because the more
you get the thing you want, the lower
those prediction errors become, the more
expected the good thing becomes and the
less happy you feel when you get it. So
many of many of us are familiar with
this idea of habituation. You get a new
car and it's awesome the first few times
you drive it, but then eventually you
get used to it and it no longer no
longer makes you happy. um you get uh
you know a new girlfriend or boyfriend.
They're amazing at first and then
eventually you know things get a little
more expected, a little more boring.
This happens pretty much uh across the
board uh with regard to any good things
in our life. Um the more we get exposed
to them, the lower those prediction
errors become and the less happy those
things make us. But we often commit to
uh girlfriends or boyfriends. We often
get married. We often uh drive a car for
a very long time if if we purchase a
car. So um just because the thing no
longer makes us as happy as it used to
doesn't mean that we no longer want it.
We can still want things even if they
don't make us happy. Uh and so I think
we need to separate motivation from
happiness and realize that we are often
motivated to get lots of things that
don't really make us happy. And in fact
the more we pursue those things the less
happy those things ultimately make us.
Which suggests that we're not pursuing
happiness itself. We're pursuing those
things out there in the world.
Does this suggest that intervening into
our expectations
is a more direct route to improving
subjective well-being than trying to
chase happiness?
>> Uh yes. Um if we actually did want
happiness, then the way to get it would
be to uh make our expectations about
reality more wrong. Um and
so one way to do that is by doing drugs.
drugs sort of scramble your brain and
make and make your expectations about
reality more wrong. And in some cases,
drugs can offer you a kind of euphoria
because everything is just so wildly
surprising. Um, but uh
when you think about what drug addiction
is, it becomes even more clear that it's
not the high that the drug addict is
chasing, but the drug itself. Because
what happens when you're addicted to
something is the more you take the drug,
the less happy the drug makes you. the
the less intense your high becomes. You
become more tolerant to the drug. But an
addict will often crave the drug really
intensely despite the fact that it no
longer makes them feel good anymore. And
that's what happens as an addiction
progresses. The drug makes you feel less
and less good and you end up wanting the
drug more and more, which suggests that
the addict wants the drug itself, not
the high. So yes, you're right. if if we
actually wanted uh happiness, then the
best way to to get it would be to uh uh
make our expectations wrong. Um but I
don't think we actually do want
happiness. And I don't think people are
going to be motivated to go out and uh
screw up their expectations because
that's ultimately not what they want.
It's also going to make you presumably
less effective at getting at being
successful because part of being
successful is being able to accurately
predict what's going to happen which
means that you need to have an a good
model of the world which means that your
expectations aren't actually diverted
from uh diverg from uh all that
frequently. So if happiness isn't a
particularly good way to work out what's
driving our behavior are incentives a
better north star?
>> Yes, absolutely. Um, I have a post
called Incentives Are Everything where I
argue that basically incentives are
everything. We usually think of
incentives in terms of monetary
incentives, um, like getting a salary
increase or getting a fine. We sometimes
think about them in terms of legal
penalties. Occasionally, people talk
about social incentives like praise, uh,
or esteem. I like to think of incentives
in uh, in the most broad way possible. I
think incentives are anything that we as
human primates evolved to want and seek
out in the world. So incentives include
uh status, belonging to a cohesive
group, uh sex, food, um you name it,
comfort, uh homeostasis, anything we
evolve to want uh is an incentive and
can be used to incentivize us. And what
an incentive structure is is uh where
those incentives are situated across
time and space. And so I think a helpful
way of thinking about human behavior as
is in terms of the incentive structures
that we inhabit and and what we do to
get the various incentives uh in our
environment. I think that is a way uh
more insightful way of looking at human
behavior and human culture than this
idea that we're pursuing happiness or
inner states or inner well-being. M yeah
just follow the incentives. What where
do incentives come from then? Are we are
we a blank slate with regards to them?
Have we got any or do we have any
ability to interject into them?
>> H so this is a great question. I think
we need to make a distinction between um
what we want as an end and what we want
as a means to an end. So for example, I
don't think we want money as an end in
itself. We want money because we can use
money to buy us all sorts of things we
want like food, sex, comfort, housing,
whatever. But if all currency collapsed
tomorrow, uh, and nobody was no long
nobody was accepting money in exchange
for goods and services, uh, we would
stop wanting money, right? So our our
desire for money is conditional on its
ability to get us what we want, which
means that we want money as a means to
an end and not as an end in itself. So
what we want as a means to an end can be
shaped by our environments, by our
culture, by the opportunities available
to us uh uh where where we where we grow
up. Um
but what we want as an end I don't think
can be changed. I think that comes from
uh our evolutionary history that comes
from biology and I see very uh uh
limited uh ability for us to inter to
change or intervene on the things that
we deeply want uh as animals. I don't
think I'm ever going to get rid of my
desire for food or oxygen. Uh this this
is just non-negotiable. So I think our
our deepest desires are ultimately come
from evolution and are uh
non-negotiable.
>> Is it would you be able to talk about
proximate in um incentives and ultimate
incentives kind of in this way?
>> Um you could think of it uh in those
terms. So uh in evolutionary psychology
uh people make a distinction between the
approximate level of analysis and the
ultimate level of analysis. What the
approximate level of analysis means is
just you're thinking about how the the
system works in nuts and bolts terms. So
how does happiness work? What does it
take as input? What does it produce as
output? How does it process information?
These are all approximate level
questions. When you go to the ultimate
level of analysis, you are uh uh
thinking about the evolutionary history
of that mechanism and why it exists at
all. What purpose is it serving? How did
it increase uh biological fitness in
ancestral environments to the point
where it became a reliably developing
part of the human phenotype? So ultimate
questions are about function and
proximate questions are about structure.
Um so your question is can we think
about incentives in terms of approximate
and ultimate terms? Yeah, I think we we
we can we can we can think about um the
the function of our motivational
systems, why they evolved, why we want
certain things in the world. And then we
can think about the approximate details
of our motivations. Um you know, what
what our constraints are and limitations
are in terms of what we can perceive,
what we can learn about, what we can
remember, what the uh available uh
opportunities and constraints are in our
environment. These are more approximate
level questions.
Are opinions just broadcasts of our
reasons for incentives? Then is that us
just getting a megaphone in front of our
face and saying these are my incentives
and this is why you should listen to
them. Why why do we have opinions? H
great question. Uh so I think opinions
are really puzzling. Uh as far as I'm
aware, nobody has provided a convincing
definition of what an opinion is. And so
I have an o I have a post called
opinions are [ __ ] where I try to
really drill down to what an opinion is.
I mean it's not as obvious as you think
it is. I mean people might think oh it's
just just my preference. You know I like
you know spicy food or I like cilantro
or I don't like cilantro. Uh but that
can't be an opinion because that's not
how we talk about our our opinions. If
if I if I like cilantro I just can say I
like cilantro. I wouldn't say like it's
my strongly held opinion that I like
cilantro. That sounds
>> Oh yeah. like one level removed from
what it is that your liking or
non-likking of cilantro is an axiomatic
fact to you. It's not an opinion that
you hold about yourself in regards to
cilantro. Exactly. We already know how
to talk about our preferences. We say we
like this or that. We don't care for
this or that. We never say it's my
strongly held opinion that I like this.
That just doesn't make sense, right? So
opinions cannot just be preferences.
They have to be something more than
that. And then you might say, well,
well, maybe it's your your point of
view, your perspective on something.
Maybe, you know, some people see the
glass half full, some people see it half
empty. Maybe it's my opinion that I see
the glass uh half full, and it's your
opinion that you see it half empty. Uh,
well, that can't be right either because
your perspective is just another kind of
preference, right? I prefer to see the
glass as half full. You prefer to see it
half empty. I prefer to focus on the
bigger picture. You prefer to focus on
the details. These are ultimately
preferences. So that gets us back to the
question of how we differentiate
opinions from preferences. So uh
perspectives cannot be opinions. So what
what the hell are these things? Uh you
might think, oh maybe they're beliefs.
They're just what we think is true.
Well, no, they can't be beliefs because
uh if you if you believe something and
you're right, well then that's just a
fact, right? I I I believe that Paris is
the capital of France, that's true.
That's a correct that's a fact. But if I
believe that uh you know Dallas is the
capital of of France uh then that's a
mistake. That's not an opinion. That's
just I'm just wrong about reality. So we
have facts, we have mistakes,
>> we have preferences, we have
perspectives. None of these things can
be opinions. So what the [ __ ] are
opinions?
>> Please go on. You I hope I really hope
you're not asking me because all of my
ideas have just been shot down.
>> No. What? Yeah. What do you think? What
do you think, Chris?
>> I don't know. I mean, look, be before I
read your very castigating post, I would
have said something like,
if I'd known that I was speaking to you,
I I would have said something like kind
of a campaign,
>> kind of a justification, a justification
for for a goal that we're trying to
pursue.
>> H Okay, I like that. That's actually
pretty close to my definition of of an
opinion. Um, so you're you're very
insightful, Chris. you're you're very
close to the way I'm thinking about
this. So I think of opinions as almost
preferences. So they include
preferences. What opinion is is is a
preference uh plus a set of judgments
you make about the people who share your
preferences uh and about the people who
don't share your preferences. So let's
say I like McDonald's. That's a
preference. But now let's say that I
have all sorts of positive judgments
about the people who like McDonald's.
Maybe I think they're authentic, real uh
sincere, gritty people who who know what
tastes good in their mouth and they
don't care about virtue signaling and
anti- capitalism. They're just real
authentic, cool people who like
McDonald's and they're honest. They're
blunt. And then, let's say I have a
bunch of negative opinions about the
people who [ __ ] on McDonald's. Maybe I
think they're just, you know, whiny
virtue signalers. They're they're just
dishonest. They know that it tastes
amazing, but they're just pretending
that it doesn't so that they can, you
know, look good. So if I have all of
those um uh judgments about the people
who do and don't like McDonald's, well
then all of a sudden my preference gets
transformed into an opinion, right? So
an opinion is a preference plus all of
those social judgments I make about the
people who have or don't have that
preference.
>> Mhm. So, so your your angle is is
correct. And that ultimately what I'm
trying to do when I share my opinion is
I'm trying to make the people who share
my preferences look superior to the
people who don't. I'm trying to uh make
the people who like McDonald's gain
status uh over the people who don't. And
ultimately what I'm trying to do is I'm
trying to change social norms such that
people are praised or at least uh get um
seen in a positive light when they eat
at McDonald's and people get uh
condemned or dissed or seen in a
negative light when they don't eat
McDonald's. And what that is is just a
social norm. That's another way of
saying that there is a social norm to
eat McDonald's. So what I think we do
what I think we're doing when we share
opinions is we are fighting over social
norms. They are battles over what social
norms are going to prevail in our
culture. And of course, we all have a
self-interest at stake in trying to
shape social norms uh in our favor, in
ways that benefit us, in ways that uh
inflate our status and uh lower the
status of our rivals. So, I see the the
space of opinion sharing and and the
space of opinion criticism as a
battleground uh in the fight over social
norms.
>> That's exactly. Yeah. It's kind of the
vanguard of of social norms and you're
trying to campaign for your particular
side. Presumably that means that most
people's opinions are either obviously
self-s serving or second, third, fourth
order effect self- serving in some way
that comes back around to make them look
in it just takes a little bit more time
for people to realize. Uh I have to
assume that there's an injection of like
self-pestilization and you are going to
capture a lot of the upside from this
being held.
Yes, exactly. I think opinions are
ultimately self-interested
status-seeking tactics. But there's an
interesting paradoxical element there
and that we cannot reveal that our
opinions are self-interested status
seeeking tactics because revealing that
would uh lower our status and be against
our interests because there is a weird
thing about human psychology where being
seen as a status seeker actually lowers
your status. So in order for us to seek
status we have to do it covertly. We
have to cover it up. We have to make it
seem like we're not actually pursuing
status. we're pursuing some other
high-minded thing. Maybe we're pursuing
happiness. Or maybe we're pursuing
authenticity or self-actualization,
truth, or making the world a better
place. These are these sacred values
that we use to cover up and explain our
status seeking.
>> Can you uh can you give a couple of
examples of how opinions masquerade
as pursuit of something higher but are
just
thinly veiled uh status seeking? Sure.
So, here's an example. Um, it is
currently a social norm in many uh
intellectually uh uh well-educated and
and literate cultures to praise
Shakespeare. So, Shakespeare is seen as
a genius, a a brilliant and uh prophetic
writer uh preient. And uh if you're in a
highly literate uh subculture, you might
say, "Ah, yes, I love Shakespeare." You
might quote Hamlet or McBth. Um, you
might see these as revealing deep and
profound truths about the human
condition that more recent works of
fiction uh cannot reveal.
>> Um, what's happening is that if I uh
have read Shakespeare and can quote
Shakespeare, I get status. And if I
haven't read any Shakespeare and don't
know [ __ ] about Shakespeare, I lose
status in that subculture. What that
means is that liking Shakespeare or
pretending to like Shakespeare is a
social norm. Now who does that social
norm benefit? It benefits the people who
have read Shakespeare, who can read
Shakespeare, who are smarter, who are
more well educated, who have been taught
Shakespeare, who have taken more time to
learn uh all the different, you know,
words that that uh have have changed as
English has evolved. Um so it uh
increases the status of a very select
group of people while lowering the
status of a very select group of people.
Um, and so that is one way in which
people will try to shape social norms in
their favor. If I haven't read any
Shakespeare, maybe I'm not smart enough
to understand it. Maybe I'm too lazy to
look up all the words. Maybe, you know,
I didn't get a college degree. Maybe I
didn't go to grad school. Maybe I think,
you know, fiction is, you know, a waste
of time, whatever. Well, then it's in my
interest to try to [ __ ] on Shakespeare
and say it's overrated. Oh, why why are
people pretending that Shakespeare is so
deep? He's obviously, you know, he he
was fine, but there are plenty of more
interesting and better writers. I can
learn these lessons by watching TV or by
watching a movie. What's the big deal?
That's me trying to play the opinion
game and try to change social norms in
my favor so that my status isn't lowered
for not liking Shakespeare. And so,
everyone who has any kind of preference,
wherever that preference comes from, is
a stakeholder uh in the opinion game.
They're each trying to shape the social
norm so that people who have their
preferences get status and people who uh
don't have their preferences lose
status, but they have to cover up the
fact that they're doing that because if
it came out that they were doing that,
they would fail to win the opinion game
and their status would be lowered. So,
we have to somehow fight over social
norms while concealing the fact that
we're fighting over social norms. We
have to pursue our own self-interest and
social status while concealing the fact
that we're pursuing our self-interest
and social status. And this, I think, is
why we all sort of know deep down that
opinions are [ __ ] When someone is
sharing their opinion with us, we can
sort of tell deep down that they're
trying to, you know, boost their status
and look superior. But we cannot call
them out on that because if we did, we
would look mean and we would look like
we were trying to gain status over them
and then that would lower our status.
It's this really complicated.
It's interesting that even a push back
against the status game or the opinion
game
breaks the rule
so much that even if somebody on the
other side is playing it, as long as
they're playing it in a sufficiently
culpably deniable way, you don't get to
break the Are you familiar with improv?
Did I do this last time? There's there's
an idea from improv called don't punk
the game. And it's the one thing you're
never allowed to do. you. Um, David,
Chris, you're on a ship. You're cleaning
the deck and I'm there going, "Oh god,
it's so cold out here, isn't it?" And
you go, "I don't know what you're
talking about." It's like, "Ah, no. You
[ __ ] punk the game. You could pretend
that it was too hot. You could have
said, "Oh, yeah, it really is very cold.
I'm glad I've got my thick coat on or
whatever, right?" In improv, but you
can't punk the game. And punking the
game is we're playing a game of tennis,
hitting the ball back and forth, and you
hit the ball sideways or you hit it
straight up in the air. Like, no, no,
no, no. Like, we're playing this sort of
relatively linear game. I never thought
of the fact that
status game is this sort of concealed
way or opinions are a way to sort of
covertly conceal the fact that we're
playing for status putting it back and
forth. But even in the act of
criticizing unless the person opposite
you, unless you say, "Dude, this is like
you're only saying this because you
believe in that. Unless that person has
done something that makes it obvious
that they're doing it, that the
prosecution on your side has a good case
to be able to sort of justify it. That
sounds like you are disregarding the
higher order
refined search of truth and beauty and
art and fulfillment and whatever
whatever. Um, oh no, this is they're
playing a game of social norms. You're
playing a game of personal uh status.
Oh, you look like the one who is
actually the very shallow, vapid seeker
of of credibility.
>> Exactly. If pointing out someone's
status motive uh lowers their status and
increases your status, well then that
itself can be seen as a status tactic,
right? and it often is. And not only
that, it can be very threatening to the
person that you're calling out because
you're threatening to lower their
status. You're threatening to make their
status game collapse. So, what happens
when we all realize that a status game
is a status game? Well, the players no
longer gain status for playing it
because being seen as a status seeker
lowers your status. And those at the top
of the hierarchy, uh, their status gets
lowered because they're seen as the
ickiest, most vain, glorious, most
selfish status seekers of all. Um, and
so the hierarchy kind of gets inverted a
little bit when when the status game is
called out as a status game. So
everybody who is playing that game has a
vested interest in keeping it stable and
protecting it against attacks. So if you
try to attack a person's status game and
and call out their sacred values as
hollow and full of [ __ ] obviously
they're going to get extremely
threatened and angry and they're going
to try to silence you.
>> Right.
>> Yeah. Ju just the weird thing
remembering our last conversation about
why everything is [ __ ] Um, very
matter. Um, we don't know ourselves. If
I ask you why is this thing something
that you hold? Why do you behave in this
sort of a way? We're not transparent to
ourselves. Also, other people, given
that we're not transparent to ourselves,
other people definitely [ __ ]
certainly aren't transparent to us
either. So, we don't know us and we
don't know others. And given that we
don't know us, we can't even use our own
theory of mind to infer somebody else's
theory of mind. Because the best way to
convince other people that you genuinely
believe a thing and aren't doing it
selfdeceptively is to be able to deceive
yourself so that you believe the lie,
which is potentially self-s serving
serving.
>> Mhm.
>> I'm still trying to find
what point in this sphere there is a
vector that someone can try and inject.
I know what's going on into this.
There's no point at all in this
structure that people can go, "Yeah, I
actually understand." That being said,
if you understand the metag game, which
is most opinions are campaigns for a
movement in social norms in a direction
that in some way is probably going to
benefit you or your cohort or dergate uh
other person's other person or their
cohort.
>> Yep.
That as just a general rule overall to
pattern match what most people are doing
seems to be one particular way to do it.
But outside of that, I can't actually
see a way to better diagnose what why
you think the things you think or why
other people think the things that they
think.
>> Yeah. No, it can be pretty depressing
and disorienting
for sure. Uh I think we should be
troubled about, you know, most of our
beliefs being [ __ ] I think we
should have more humility because most
of what we think probably is wrong. But
if there is one way to uh have true
beliefs in our head or to be confident
that we know what's really going on, um
it's
by creating a set of social incentives
that promote truth. So the scientific
method and the status games surrounding
academia and scientific research, you
know, winning the Nobel Prize if you
make an important discovery and it's
replicated, you know, those are really
powerful status incentives that drive
scientists. And when those uh status
incentives are perverse, you can get
things like the replication crisis where
you get status for pumping out
low-quality publications that don't
replicate. Um well uh guess what happens
when when those are the incentives?
Well, you're going to get lowquality uh
publications that don't replicate. So,
the incentive structure of science and
academia has to be just right for uh uh
promoting truth.
>> Do you not do you not have I was going
to say do you not have now
>> in what when did replication crisis
really really ramp up like 2016 2018
something like that?
>> Yeah, around then. Yeah.
>> Okay. Now, the big meta is well you need
to make sure that things can replicate.
So whereas previously it was pumping out
lots of lowquality weirdly powered
packed like [ __ ] studies,
>> now where you get most of your status
from is being the person who proves that
this lowowered study from 30 years ago,
oh Zumbardo actually it was this that it
didn't quite work and it wasn't
pre-registered and all the rest of it.
So we've gone from sort of the pioneer
sphere to the critique sphere now. Um,
so is that do you just see this as the
bar stool got turned upside down and
everything's inverted and people are now
playing a new game because that's kind
of the new meta?
>> Absolutely. That is very well put. I
think that's exactly what happened. Um,
I think that's a good thing though. It's
good that the status game got turned
upside down and now you get status for,
you know, failing to replicate others
work and
>> balance the scales a little bit.
>> Balance the scales. But what's
interesting and this is bringing back to
your point about how uh calling out the
game often can be uh disadvantageous.
When people were originally starting to
call [ __ ] on these bad studies and
um publish failed replication attempts,
um they were actually heavily attacked
and criticized. Their character was
attacked. They were called replication
bullies, replication police,
methodological terrorists. I know this
cuz I was in grad school.
>> Methodological terrorists. I [ __ ]
love that. Let's go.
>> It's it's it's beautiful. And it's a
perfect example of of this dynamic where
people who have entrenched interests in
stabilizing a status game will attack
those who are trying to make it collapse
and invert. And this is exactly what
happened. The people who were lashing
out against the uh um the people uh
failing to replicate their work were the
people who were high status in the field
who had lots of publications who had
lots who had who resumes padded with
with shitty studies. These were the
people who were most viciferous and and
most uh petulant against the uh people
trying to improve science.
>> So is it a that's a this is probably a
good example to bring home what we
talked about so far. You have this um
existing frontier. You can think of it
like a a an army or battalion or
whatever and and they're real powerful
and they're kind of capturing a lot of
territory and then there's this you know
incumbent force that comes from the
other side and they try and hold the
line aggressively. This you can see this
is two different social norms coming in.
One
>> psychology science through psychology
should be breaking new ground finding
new things. This is exciting. The other
side is uh we should move more slowly.
We should ensure that things actually
are accurate before we inculcate them as
as part of the sort of foundational
understanding of how human behavior
works. And then there's this there's a a
point in the middle which is where there
is a a fight for power.
>> There is a struggle between the two and
which one is going to become the
dominant social norm. And then
presumably if the second if the
incumbent side, the new one backs down,
then you get to continue with this until
the weight of evidence flips and
everybody sort of moves over to the
other side. I mean, we saw this with um
COVID was natural origins, zoological,
or it was a lab leak, and then it's this
fight fight back and forth. Who's going
to win? Who's going to back and forth?
Who's going to win? And it's still up
for debate now. Um, so is is that kind
of the way that it works? It's this sort
of mimemetic battle between two armies
looking for social norms and then
eventually the scales tip and they go
back one way. This
to me kind of explains why we see these
big swings, these big sort of polarity
swings. Um, I let you go on that and
I've got a real spicy opinion. How far
in we? We're 30 minutes in. It's only
the cool people left so I can I can
start talking about this. But is that is
that an accurate way to kind of diagnose
what's going on?
>> Yes, absolutely. Um, you could think of
it as a status game which gets attacked
and exposed as a status game which
inverts it, makes turns it into an
anti-status game where you get status
for uh pretending that you don't care
about status. Um, and so what happens to
a status game when it's collapsed is
that you often gain status for doing the
opposite of what was done previously.
So, if the uh status game gets called
out where I have to slick back my hair
and wear a nice crisp black and white
suit, if that gets called out, if I'm
just being snoody and stuffy and, you
know, pretentious and pompous, I'm
working this, you know, annoying
corporate job, like all this status game
gets called out for what it is, well,
all of a sudden, I get status for for
doing the opposite. I get status for
growing my hair out long and wild and
wearing long colorful flowing outfits
and being casual and avoiding the black
and white suits and and avoiding the the
corporate world. And so all of a sudden
you get an opposite status game uh
rising uh from the ashes and then
eventually that status game will get
called out and you'll get another
inversion and a new status game that
gets and so you get this kind of
cyclical dynamism where status games are
constantly collapsing and reemerging in
antithetical forms. And I think this is
one of the major engines of cultural
variation. So if you look across
cultures you see that what people get
status for doing is wildly different.
status symbols vary wildly across time
and space. It used to be that we got
status for wearing powdered wigs and for
dueling. Eventually, you know, that got
called out for being stuffy and
self-important. Dueling was just a macho
pissing contest. The status game
collapsed and now we get different
things. We we get status for doing
different things. Uh right now we get
status for u for you know let's say uh
having uh educational credentials. um if
you go to, you know, an Ivy League
school, if you get an advanced degree,
you get lots of status for that. Maybe
that'll collapse uh one day and you'll
get status for [ __ ] on the
educational system. It used to be that
you got a lot of status for having quote
unquote woke beliefs. I think that
status game is starting to collapse and
and invert. So, I think this is one of
the main drivers of cultural variation
in status symbols. If status games are
constantly collapsing and reemerging in
antithetical forms, then this explains
why cultures are so different and why
status games are so different because
they're constantly evolving.
Uh or is it a way to look at opinions as
a method to sort of test allies
like a loyalty test or a feelalty test
in some secret war of social norms.
>> H yeah, I buy that. So, I think you know
one uh function of of uh sharing
opinions might be to test people's
loyalty to see if they share your
preferences. If they have the same
interests, if they're playing the same
status game, um if they're going to
benefit from the social norm that you're
uh advancing uh in addition to you,
well, then that makes them a good ally.
You have common interests. In the same
way that, you know, nations who um are
economically interdependent are more
likely to team up with each other. uh
people who are socially interdependent,
who have common interests in particular
status games, you know, those people
make better allies and they're going to
feel closer to each other if they share
the same opinions. They echo each
other's opinions. And often times,
because these games get so complicated,
we pretend to hold opinions that we
don't actually hold so as not to
alienate potential social allies. You
might express an opinion and I might
pretend to agree with it so that you
feel closer to me so we might form an
alliance that I might benefit from even
if, you know, we don't actually have
common interest, but I'm trying to make
you think that we do. And so these
social games can get very very
complicated very very very fast and it
makes you appreciate why the human brain
is so [ __ ] big. So uh our our brains
are about three times the size of a
chimpanzeee brain. Uh homminided brains
expanded quite rapidly throughout human
evolutionary history. Uh the common
sense view is that we use our brains to
make tools to be smart and to uh
outsmart flora and fauna. I think uh
that is wrong. I think the main reason
why our brains are so big is to play
these complicated social games. Uh this
is an increasingly popular perspective
in evolutionary social science. It's
called the social brain theory. Uh and
and the idea is that the um that uh the
human brain evolved for politicking,
rule following, covert rule breaking,
hypocrisy, propaganda, uh social
strategizing, status seeeking, covert
status seeeking. These are very
complicated strategies to pursue. You
need a big brain to pursue them.
>> Difficult. Yes, very computationally
difficult. I think that social games
were the major selection pressure
leading to human brain expansion.
There's cool empirical evidence for
this. So the best predictor of primate
brain size is not whether or not the
primate uses tools uh but how big the
primates group is. And so I think
there's a lot of evidence for this. We
used to think that reasoning was sort of
for solving problems and for thinking
logically and making better decisions.
An increasingly prominent view pioneered
by the psychologist Huga Mercier is that
reasoning is actually a social tool.
It's not for solitary rationality. It's
for winning debates, for persuading
other people, for rationalizing uh what
you did and for justifying what you did
so that you can look good to other
people. And that explains all sorts of
of biases in our reasoning processes
that would otherwise seem puzzling from
the perspective of individual
rationality but are actually quite
strategic and functional uh from a
social perspective. uh like social
consistency bias.
>> Uh sure. So um uh pariting the
preferences of other people to fit in
with them. Uh that might be one thing
that this can explain. Another thing is
you confirmation bias or motivated
reasoning. Uh you know uh we uh are
biased in favor of confirming what we
already believe and we look for reasons
that support what we believe and we
ignore or dismiss uh uh any reasons or
evidence that challenge our beliefs. And
so this makes very little sense if
reasoning is about being more rational.
If you're truly trying to get to the
truth and be a rational person, you
should consider the evidence both for
and against a belief. But if you're
trying to convince someone and win a
debate, you don't want to bring up any
evidence or reasons that could show that
you're wrong. That would be disastrous
for your social goal. So it actually
makes a lot of sense if the goal of
reasoning is persuasion and winning
debates and justifying and
rationalizing. It makes no sense if it's
about individual truth seeeking.
What do you reckon is the likelihood
that consciousness, i.e. a felt sense of
us being an us, the phenomenological
texture of being an eye with a sense of
I, how much of that, do you reckon is
just a
byproduct of me needing to be able to
work out what David thinks and that
means that in order to have theory of
mind for him, I need to have theory of
mind for myself. How likely do you think
that is?
>> Uh, I think it's quite likely. Um, I
don't know that it would it explains all
of consciousness, but I think it
explains a big part of it and
particularly the sense of self and and
the sense of identity and
self-consciousness. I think all of those
fall out quite naturally from the social
games we play. So, we're having a
conversation right now and I see a
picture of myself on my computer screen.
Well, why do I need that? Well, I need
to monitor how I look uh to other
people. That's what the camera is
telling me. It's telling me how I'm
coming off to other people so that I can
adjust myself. I can maybe, you know,
fix my hair if there's something wrong
with my hair. I can adjust my posture.
If I'm making scally faces, I can adjust
my facial expression to look more
friendly. That is what that is the
function of of of my uh webcam in that
spot on the computer screen right now. I
think we have something very similar
inside of our brains. Just as I need to
monitor how other people uh uh think of
me and and and how I appear to other
people, I need to do that all the time,
basically 24/7 in my everyday social
interactions. I need to have a model of
how you see me so that I can adjust how
you see me in in a more positive way and
win you over. And I think that is
largely what our sense of self is about.
It's a kind of selfie cam that is
installed into our brains.
>> Yeah, that's very that's very very good.
Um, so
how does arguing relate to opinions?
Because it seems like
social norms come into contact on some
kind of a battleground. Presumably the
battleground of that in the most direct
form is an argument. You have your
opinion and position. I have my opinion,
my position. And we'll joust it out
until one emerges remotely victorious.
How does arguing relate to opinions?
>> Uh, I think it's related very thoroughly
to opinions. One of the one of our chief
weapons in the fight for social norms is
to create good arguments. What's
interesting though is that a good
argument is uh different from a socially
effective argument. So, if I make you
look uncool or awkward or stupid or low
status, that is going to reduce the
likelihood that people agree with you
and share your opinions. even if your
opinions are in fact correct. And so a
lot of our arguing is not actually
designed to persuade anyone or to get at
the truth. What it's designed to do is
make the other person look worse than
you so that people are more likely to
agree with you than the other person. So
if you uh look at presidential debates
and the post-debate analysis, uh it is
very clear that these debates are not
about the contents of public policy.
When people analyze the debates like,
"Oh, he looked really great in this
moment. who's really presidential or
it's like, oh yeah, he looked really
confident. This was a great oneliner. Uh
they're not talking about whether their
beliefs are correct or whether their
policy preferences are actually going to
promote the common good. They're talking
about which one looked better, right?
And so what I think what what
presidential debates are are
competitions to be quippier and more
confident and more likable and more
attractive to uh the American people,
particularly your constituents, perhaps
the people who are on the fence. They're
not really about policy or about getting
uh to the truth of what policies are
actually going to uh help the nation. I
think that's true of uh much of our
debates as well beyond presidential
debates. There are competitions to be
more likable than the other person a lot
of the time. And if I disagree with you,
I am implicitly challenging your status
because I am saying uh uh basically that
you're wrong and I'm right. And what
could explain the fact that you're wrong
and I'm right? Well, you must be dumber
than me. You must be less knowledgeable
than me. You must not be uh uh privy to
the same kinds of information that I'm
privy to. You must be less socially
connected. Whatever reason you come up
with, it's going to make you look bad
and it's going to make me look better
than you. So merely by disagreeing with
someone, you are implicit implicitly
threatening their status. So I think a
lot of what goes on in arguing is not
persuasion and truth seeeking but status
competition. There are other dark
functions of arguing which I talk about
in my post arguing is [ __ ] Um, I
think a lot of the times when we argue
with someone, we're not trying to
persuade them, but we're trying to
intimidate and silence them. We're
trying to make them feel bad about
expressing their opinions so that
they're less likely to express them in
the future and they're more afraid to
express them in the future. So um if you
think about um the tendency of people to
call each other Hitler or compare each
other to Hitler during uh uh internet
debates, that is very hard to explain
from the perspective of persuasion. When
was the last time you heard someone say,
"Wow, you're right. I'm just like
Hitler. You've totally persuaded."
>> Yeah. Yeah. So, if you're trying to
persuade someone, calling them Hitler is
a very bad idea. But if you're trying to
make them feel bad and silence them,
then calling them Hitler is a great idea
because inside the privacy of their own
minds, they're going to be thinking, "Oh
[ __ ] if I express my opinions, people
are going to call me Hitler. That's
terrible. I better shut the [ __ ] up and
not express my opinions." And so, what
happens after someone gets called Hitler
during a debate? the person who is
called Hitler is silenced and uh the
competition for social norms is tilted
in favor of the accuser if the
accusation is plausible. And so what
we're trying to do uh in some cases when
we argue is literally just intimidate,
silence uh uh the person we're talking
to and make them feel bad uh so that our
coalition, our tribe can gain power at
their expense. It's the same thing that
happens uh you know in totalitarian
regimes. You know, for example, if we're
in the Soviet Union and we all despise
Stalin, um it is very bad news for
Stalin if we all gain common knowledge
of the fact that we hate Stalin, right?
And so it is in Stalin's interests to
make sure that none of us know
>> how many anti-Stalinists there are in
our myths because if we knew that and if
we knew that the anti-Stalinists knew
that we knew, then we could rise up to
overthrow Stalin. And so what keeps
Stalin in power is constant uncertainty.
not knowing if anyone else is actually
an anti-Stalinist, not knowing that they
know that I know. This kind of
coordination is what helps people rise
up to overthrow a regime. And every
totalitarian regime that I'm aware of in
existence has tried to silence,
intimidate, and break down this kind of
coordination. So that nobody knows how
many people are opposed to the regime,
how many people will come up to support
them, and they are living in fear. And
there it may be the case that you know
90% of the population hates the regime,
but nobody knows that 90% of the
population hates the regime. And so they
stay silent out of fear. And so what a
tribe does to gain power is to silence
the opposition, prevent them from
coordinating. And I think that is one of
the other functions of arguing beyond
mere persuasion. And that's why I think
arguing can get so ugly uh and insulting
at times
>> because you're you're optimizing for
intimidation. And a lot of the time
that's quite militant. It's very
unforgiving. It can be quite mean.
>> Yes. Mhm. Yeah. You win. uh not only if
the person changes their mind but if
they shut up. And it's often easier to
make a person shut up than it is.
>> Yes.
>> And so often we we opt for uh for the
latter over the former because it's
easier.
>> What's the difference between an
argument and a pseudo argument? Hm. A
pseudo argument is um a uh
is when a person who is doing something
ugly like say competing for status,
trying to silence you or intimidate you
um covers up their ugly motives with the
uh the veil of persuasion. So it might
be that I'm just trying to diss you and
silence you or look good or whatever,
but I'm going to pretend that I'm
actually trying to persuade you. I'm
trying to, you know, change hearts and
minds. Uh, and so I might, you know,
make put on a performance of giving
reasons and citing evidence and having a
logical argument, but beneath the
surface I'm just trying to make you feel
bad and put you down and raise my status
at your expense. Right? That is a pseudo
argument. Uh, it is masquerading as a
real argument, a real attempt to
persuade. But, uh, secretly, it is
something much uglier and darker. And I
think uh, much of, if not most of our
arguments are actually pseudo arguments.
M
how what what are some of the common
signs that you're in a pseudo argument?
How can people diagnose whether it's the
matrix or the real world?
>> Yeah, so I have a list of of warning
signs in my post arguing is [ __ ]
I'll see how many I can remember off the
top of my head. Um so one of them is
whether the person is actually listening
to what you're saying and understands
what you're saying. If they do not
understand what you're saying, they're
not listening to you and they caricature
your view. uh and interpret what you're
saying in the worst possible light, that
is a very good sign that you're in a
pseudo argument. If a person is actually
trying to collaborate with you to get to
the truth, they have an incentive to
listen to you and get what you're saying
right. If they are not trying to get at
the truth and they're just trying to
make you look bad, they have an
incentive to interpret what you're
saying in the worst possible light and
not listen to you. And uh they'd rather
talk than listen a lot of the times. Um,
often in pseudo arguments, um, the
arguers don't know what they're arguing
about, uh, because they don't bother to
define their terms. I see this a lot in
debates over quote unquote socialism.
One person might define socialism as
Sweden, the other person might define it
as the Soviet Union, and then they
angrily talk past each other and fail to
persuade each other of anything. Uh,
this makes little sense if the goal of
arguing is persuasion. It makes a lot of
sense if the goal of arguing is uh,
intergroup competition.
So, uh, that's another sign. Hm. What
else? Um, if the person interrupts you a
lot. Um, if the person
>> you experience that a lot in pseudo
arguments. Um, let's see here. What
else? If they dodge your questions. So,
um, if if they uh refuse to engage with
with what you're asking them. If they um
if they fail to point out anything that
they agree with in what you're saying,
uh, that's that's a sign. Usually when
someone cares about getting at the
truth, they might say, "Oh, that's a
good point. Oh, I agree with that, but I
don't but I I might push back on this."
If they're never saying anything they
agree with you on, uh, that's a bad
sign. Um, what else? I think that's
about as much as I can come up with off
the top of my head, but I I'll
>> The main as you're talking about the
challenges of opinions
arguing, the main question I've got in
my mind is is there any hope of ever
scaling genuine good faith debate? Like
does that does that exist? How hard is
that for anybody to arrive at?
>> Um I think it does exist. It is rare. It
is a rare precious flower. Uh but it
uh it does exist. Um I see it a lot
weirdly in in the comment section of my
blog. I for whatever reason I feel like
it attracts, you know, uh kind of good
faith discourse.
>> Um I don't know what it is about my
writing. Maybe I scare away
bullshitters. I'm not sure. Um so that's
one place to find good faith debate. Um
what's interesting is that I think we're
we're more than capable of good faith
debate when it comes to mundane
practical matters. So, when it comes to
deciding, you know, which restaurant we
should go for dinner, you know, to
accommodate everyone's preferences, you
know, if someone's a vegetarian or
whatever, like which restaurant's going
to be closer, if they're going to have
tables available, when we're having
debates about that, we're actually
perfectly rational. We listen to other
people's opinions. We take into account
other information. We're totally willing
to change our mind, say, "Oh, that's a
good point. Yeah, they don't have
vegetarian options there. Well, we
should go to this place instead." We're
actually we're paragonss of rationality
when it comes to these mundane practical
matters. If we're driving to the
restaurant and someone says, "Oh,
actually the highway will be backed up.
Why don't we take this other route?"
We'll say, "Oh, yeah, yeah, that's a
good idea. I'll take this other route."
We'll listen and we'll change our minds.
And so, uh there are uh many domains of
human life where we're fully capable of
having a good faith argument, exchanging
reasons, exchanging information, and
updating our models of the world. But as
soon as you bring in status and
tribalism, all that goes out goes out
the window and we turn into epox.
So I think uh what a lot of uh sort of
autistic adjacent people do is they
bring that um mundane practical
rationality of deciding which restaurant
to go to for dinner or what route to
take to get there. They bring that kind
of rationality into politics where it
doesn't belong. And then they get
frustrated that nobody is sharing their
way of thinking about politics. Like oh
no this is the best restaurant. This
really is this really is the best route
to get there. And everyone's like what
are you talking about? We don't care
about that. Right? So what they're
trying to do is they're trying to play
the good faith debate game uh when
everyone else is actually playing the
intergroup dominance game which involves
concealing the fact that it's an
intergroup dominance game. Obviously
we've been through that. Uh and uh
people who are bad at socializing and
bad at picking up on those cues think
that it's just the the the reasonable
argument game and then they get
frustrated when no one shares their
focus about you know the evidence and
the arguments and and so forth. I think
this is a big mistake that I see a lot
of people make. I myself have made it a
lot of times. I think it's important to
be realistic about what politics brings
out of us. Uh and and be realistic about
the dark things that politics often uh
brings out of us.
>> What's deep or what is a a deep? This is
a word that I didn't even know existed
before I read some of your stuff.
>> It's a it's a wonderful word word. It's
it's a great and helpful concept. Uh
it's a great way to um detect [ __ ]
in the world and avoid falling prey to
it. So the word deep was originally
coined by the philosopher Daniel
Dennett. Uh and his example of a deep
was love is just a word. And what makes
it a deep is that it has two
interpretations. One interpretation is
absolutely mind-blowing,
earthshattering, world changing. Uh it
it boggles the mind. It makes you uh in
fact it's extremely implausible. It's
almost certainly wrong. Right? And that
interpretation is the emotion of love.
You know, our heartfelt feelings of
desire, lust, romantic commitment, all
of our courtship rituals, all of our
songs about love, all that is just for
letters. It's just a puff of air from
our mouths. It's not actually an
emotion. It's just a word. That is
almost certainly wrong. But boy, if it
were true, that would change everything,
right? And then there's another way you
can interpret love is just a word which
is that the word love is just a word
which is obviously true. Obviously the
word love is just a word. Every word is
just a word right? It's not conveying
any information. And so what makes it a
deepity is sort of toggling back and
forth between these two interpretations
of love is just a word. So you go to the
mind-boggling interpretation that makes
no sense at all. And then you go to the
more plausible interpretation like oh
that makes sense. And when you go back
and forth between those interpretations,
you create the illusion of insight, the
illusion of resolving confusion and
getting to something true. It's sort of
like um going in and out of a hot tub on
a cold night, right? That a hot tub is
more pleasurable when you you get out
and and experience a little bit of cold.
And then when you're in the hot tub, you
it feels pleasurable to get out of the
hot tub a little bit, right? So when you
toggle between confusion and
understanding by saying something vague
with multiple interpretations, you can
create uh the kind of pleasure of
getting in and out of a hot tub, but you
get the pleasure of uh being confused
and then resolving the confusion. Right.
You had uh an insight. There was hot
take. We only live once is [ __ ]
It's usually used as an excuse for
status seeking and self-gratification.
Splurging on a vacation or pivoting to a
more competitive career. There's no
logical connection between life is short
and hedonism and risk-taking are good.
Is that an example of deepity?
>> I think so. Um so there are multiple
ways to interpret the sentence uh you
only live once. One of it is just one
interpretation is obvious, right? Like
of course we only live once. Of course
we're we're all going to die, right? Uh
and that it's obviously correct. Um and
then another interpretation is well
therefore we should take all these risks
and and uh and travel the world and
splurge on a on a vacation to Italy so
we can see Rome before we die and see
the the redwoods and you know have an
affair or or whatever. Um and that
interpretation makes no sense. Uh just
because we're going to die doesn't mean
that all those things are good. There is
no logical connection between the former
or and the latter. Maybe maybe it's good
to travel the world. I don't know. Maybe
it's good to, you know, have sex with
someone. I don't know. But it it has
nothing to do with whether or not we're
going to die, right? Obviously, we're
going to die. And you need an
independent argument for why this thing
is good, right? It could be that maybe
it's the opposite. Maybe because we're
going to die, you shouldn't have an
affair. Maybe because we're going to
die, you know, there are only so many
hours in the day and you shouldn't go to
Rome, you should instead do your work or
do something that's going to, you know,
make a contribution to society, right?
like there there's just no connection
between uh what what the statement means
and its and the implications that people
take it to mean. So I think that's one
example of a deep. Um another example of
a deep is um everything happens for a
reason. Right? You hear this one a lot
and there are two ways to interpret it.
One is that everything um has a reason
from the perspective of a conscious
supernatural being. That something
happened because some supernatural being
or essence or force wanted it to happen
or intended it to happen. That's the
really implausible, earthshattering,
mind-boggling interpretation. The other
interpretation is just that things have
causes. Everything does happen for a
reason. Like it it has a cause. Things
have causes. This is just the basic
scientific worldview. Uh and you can
toggle back and forth between those two
interpretations and delude yourself into
thinking that you're experiencing some
deep insight when you're not. It's just
a deep. Um other examples of deepities,
what we think we become. This is from
the Buddha. You can interpret it as
meaning that if I think I'm Abraham
Lincoln, then I will magically uh sprout
a beard and sprout a top hat from my
head and become Abraham Lincoln.
Obviously, that's not true. The more
mundane interpretation is that just
thoughts have causes. When you think
stuff, it's going to affect your
behavior in some way. That's why we have
thoughts in the first place. That's why
we have brains in the first place
because they affect our behavior, right?
Um it's a pretty uh boring
interpretation. Um, another one, the
future influences the present as much as
the past. This is from Frederick Nichze.
The mind-boggling interpretation is uh
things that happen in the future can
retroactively change the past, right?
The boring interpretation is that we
sometimes think about the future
and that can change the present. What
explain to me the emotional payoff when
we flip-flop between something that's
bold and something that's benal? Like
what? What? Why?
>> Yeah. Well, part of it is that I mean,
we've been talking a lot about status
games and status competition. One of the
things that we get status for is by
presenting people with bold,
earthshattering ideas and changing the
way they think. That gets us a lot of
status. Um, we do that for a living and
we get status for it. Um, but it's
actually a really hard thing to do
because real uh genuine novel insights
and earthshattering ideas are hard to
come by. And uh because the conventional
wisdom is often correct, things that uh
depart from the conventional wisdom are
often wrong and implausible. Um so
there's this trade-off between finding
ideas that are new and special and
interesting and and uh uh provocative
and ideas that are plausible and logical
and consistent and correct. The thing is
the plausible and logical and correct
ideas people already mostly believe them
or will be quickly convinced of them and
you won't gain much status uh for
presenting them
>> right and so what deepities do is they
kind of allow us to have our cake and
eat it. We can present an idea that
seems, you know, provocative and
earthshattering and then when people
question and say, "No, you're crazy.
What are you talking about?" You can
pivot to the other interpretation and
say, "No, actually, it makes perfect
sense."
>> It's a It's kind of like a a
intellectual mailey.
>> Yes. Absolutely. So, the Mott and Bailey
is a very similar idea. I I forget who
came up with this term, but it's when
you're arguing, it's another [ __ ]
arguing tactic, by the way. It's when
you uh put forward an extreme position
of of of your view like say uh we should
abolish the police, right? Uh and then
when people say, "No, you're crazy. What
are you talking about?" You say, "Oh,
no, I just mean we need, you know, like
more mental health services and like we
just need to like change the way that
police operate and then and they they
walk back to a much more moderate
position and then as soon as the person
leaves, they go back to saying let's
abolish the police." Right? You see this
a lot in political argumentation and
that is a kind of deep. You could
interpret abolish the police in one of
two ways. You can interpret it the
extreme way which is we should have no
police or you can interpret as we
should, you know, reform the police and
that's more moderate and people will
often pivot back and forth strategically
to sort of gain status uh in in in
political debates. And I see people
doing that that toggling uh not just in
politics but across the board with
spiritual insights, supernatural ideas.
They will often put forward the more
provocative and plausible supernatural
interpretation of a statement and then
pivot back to the more straightforward
interpretation when they're challenged
or when they're attacked. Everything
happens for a reason. God wanted this to
happen. What are you talking about? Oh,
just things have causes obviously. You
know, things happen because, you know,
there was some cause, right? That's all
I'm saying.
>> It's DVDs kind of feel like
>> they're essentially brain hacks that
manufacture an aha without an insight. I
wonder how much of the appeal
>> is sort of fueled by status signaling of
sounding profound without also risking
status. It's this very It's this very
sort of safe way to do it.
>> Yes, exactly. It's a lowrisk way of of
getting status from having a a
provocative, counterintuitive idea.
>> Well, what's the difference between
vague [ __ ] and deep [ __ ] then?
>> H is that question?
>> They're not the same thing. I see one as
the parent of the other. So vague, you
could think of vague [ __ ] as the
broader
>> necessary but not sufficient.
>> Yes. Uh so I think vague [ __ ] is the
umbrella term. It's the broader
category. And vague [ __ ] is [ __ ]
that just is hard to interpret. It has
multiple interpretations. Um, and some
vague [ __ ] is deep [ __ ] Uh, but
not all vague [ __ ] So, uh, vague
[ __ ] is something that has multiple
interpretations. You deep [ __ ] is
when one interpretation is
earthshattering and the other
interpretation is boring and mundane.
But the broader concept is just stuff
that has multiple interpretations. And
there's lots of vague [ __ ] out there
like in astrology, quantum healing, uh,
continental philosophy, postmodernism,
psychoanalysis. All this stuff is jargon
laden, verbose, impenetrable, hard to
wrap your head around. You have no idea
what the [ __ ] you're reading when you
read it. And I think that is all by
design. I think often the function of
vague [ __ ] is to create uncertainty
about what the speaker intends while
covertly signaling group membership to a
select few of insiders who understand
what the bullshitter is getting at.
>> Um so an example of this is there is no
limit to the fullness of emptiness. Do
you have any idea what the [ __ ] that
means Chris?
There is a type of satisfaction
that you can derive from deep peace
which a busy and chaotic life cannot
afford you.
>> H that is very close to the intended
meaning but you are very uh familiar
with this kind of stuff. Probably most
people when they hear that will be very
confused.
>> I've had to do some I've had to do some
real dissection there to try and get
>> you had to do a lot of you had to do a
lot of work. Right. Um, so that's a real
quote. It's from uh Osho or uh the Bwan
uh uh from the Rajnish cult in in that
Netflix docu series Wild Wild Country.
Have you seen that, Chris?
>> It's sick. I I should have been there,
but no.
>> Yeah.
>> Fantastic. Uh one of my favorite Netflix
docu series. Um so, uh yeah, so he's a
cult leader. Uh he had this this quote,
there's no limit to the fullness of
emptiness. Basically what he's saying
what what he means by emptiness
is um a kind of uh mindfulness that you
would achieve in meditation. So you are
emptying your mind of cravings and
mental chatter and that kind of
emptiness uh makes you feel great. He's
basically just saying mindfulness is
good. It's it's another kind of deep.
You know mindfulness is good is the
mundane interpretation. There's no limit
to the fullness of emptiness. How could
fullness be emptiness? That makes no
sense. Right? So what he's doing is he's
saying mindfulness is good to the select
few of people who know what the [ __ ]
he's talking about who know that
emptiness uh means mindfulness and those
people feel warm and included because
they understand what he's getting at and
everyone else feels alienated and
confused and that's a wonderful way of
covertly probing group membership. He is
saying something that will attract
people who are uh like-minded uh and
sophantic toward him while alienating
and excluding uh everyone else. And so
that creates a sense of loyalty and
shared community when everyone spouts
vague [ __ ] and secretly gets what
what everyone means by the vague
[ __ ] where while everyone else has
no idea what they're getting at. Does
that mean that there is
there's kind of a an accelerator pedal
that you need to press carefully?
Because if it's too obvious,
then it doesn't have the aha boldness
sort of insight. But if it's too uh
obiscatory and too complex, then it's
not sufficiently accessible to actually
be attractive to people. So you have a
kind of tension when it comes to
designing your deepity. Is that a fair
way to look at it?
>> Yes, I do think that's a fair way to to
to look at it. Um but I think there
could be another function of vague
[ __ ] where it's um it literally is
meaningless. It literally is
impenetrable. It has no meaning
intelligible meaning at all. But you
might be trying to test your audience to
see if they uh are loyal enough to you
to hallucinate meaning
>> and to and and if they want to flatter
you enough that they're willing to
interpret what you're saying as deep and
profound even though they have no idea
what the hell you just said, right? And
so even if it's totally meaningless, you
can still get some meaningful social
information from it uh by gauging how
people react to it and how eager people
are to defend you for it and defend your
reputation. No, no, he actually he meant
something that that's really deep by
that. Trust me. Right. That reaction is
very valuable to a cult leader because
they can uh assess who is going to be
loyal to them and who is not. Right.
>> Carrying member. Yeah. Exactly.
>> Yeah. So it it can be a kind of loyalty
test as well. I think there are lots of
social functions of vague [ __ ] I I
write about um several possibilities in
the post. Um but yeah, I think it also
has to do with the fact that we are
linguistic animals. Uh that's a pretty
incredible uh trait uh uh of homo
sapiens that we communicate. Um we uh
form uh uh shared models of reality. And
that means that if I'm good at language,
if I'm good at transmitting ideas from
my head into yours, that makes me a
really good social partner. That makes
me a good ally, a good mate, a good
collaborator. You're going to have an
easier time smoothly coordinating with
me than uh with other people. If we're
vibing, that suggests that we're good at
communicating with each other, and we
know what each other's expectations are,
and we know what each other means by
what they're saying. Um, and so, uh,
part of what it means to be good at
language is is is good at interpreting
it. Good at reading between the lines.
If you say something unclear or if you
stutter or if you if you get cut off or,
uh, if I don't quite hear everything you
said and I still manage to get at the at
your intended meeting, then that's a
really good sign from your perspective.
That means that I'm either really good
at language or I know you really well,
both of which are good signs uh, uh, in
terms of you liking me, right?
So a lot of vagueness is just the joy of
trying to get a uh the joy of finding
meaning in chaos, right? I think the joy
of finding meaning in chaos has to do
with the um the joy of practicing our
linguistic ability because language
depends on extracting meaning from
seeming chaos. And so we like to
practice that ability and show off our
ability. If I can extract some meaning
from this really weird, impenetrable
text, well boy, that makes me look good,
right? that makes me look like I'm
really good at language. I'm really
clued in to to the writer. If if they're
a high status person, that helps me a
lot, that I'm really in sync with them.
So, I think uh vague [ __ ] really has
all these uh intertwined social
functions uh that bring people together,
that help us gain status, that test
loyalty, that allow us to show off and
practice our hermeneutic or interpretive
talents. It's really uh a lot going on
there.
>> What a wonderful way to make us all feel
a little bit less virtuous than we
should be. David Pensoff, ladies and
gentlemen. David, you're great. I love
your blog. I love all of this stuff you
do and your new podcast. Tell people
where they can go and and check it all
out.
>> Sure. So, I recently started a um uh
podcast with uh Dave Petruski who's a
professor at University of uh
California, Santa Barbara, and it's all
about evolutionary psychology. Uh as far
as I'm aware, uh we are the only uh
explicitly uh evolutionary psychology
focused podcast that is just all about
evolutionary psychology. We bring in uh
evolutionary psychologists who are
practicing, who are professors who are
doing research right now and we
interview them. We also talk with each
other. It's uh uh more of a nerdy and
academic vibe than my blog, but I think
it's doing an important service in
getting um good, solid, rigorous
research uh out into the public. So, you
can check that out. It's called
Evolutionary Psychology the Podcast. The
podcast is in parenthesis. Um and you
can also check out my blog. Uh it's
called Everything is [ __ ] You can
find it at everythingisbullshit.blog.
blog and you can find me on Twitter,
David Pinsoff. Feel free to reach out to
me directly. I love talking to people.
Yeah,
>> David, you're great, man. Until next
time. Good luck with the podcast.
>> Lots of fun. Thanks so much, Chris.
>> Congratulations. You made it to the end
of the episode. And if you want more,
well, why don't you press right here?
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