This Is How Empires Collapse: Dalio Warns of Depression, Trump Escalates Deportations | Tom Bilyeu
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Ray Dalio delivers a stark warning regarding the current state of the global economy, arguing that we are approaching something far more severe than a standard recession: a breakdown of the monetary order and potentially kinetic war. Drawing parallels to the 1930s in Europe, Dalio explains how unsustainable debt cycles force nations into deficit spending and money printing, which inflates asset prices while exacerbating inequality between rich and poor. He asserts that every empire with a world reserve currency eventually devalues its currency by nearly 99% before facing collapse or conflict. With the US currently deep in this cycle, Dalio suggests we are like an intoxicated person who has had too many drinks; the only way to avoid disaster is through deleveraging and reducing debt-to-GDP ratios to sustainable levels, a path he believes requires stopping deficit spending immediately. The discussion shifts to President Trump's controversial meeting with El Salvadoran leader Nayib Bukele at the White House, where they discussed deporting American citizens to Salavadorian prisons for violent crimes committed there. This plan faced immediate legal challenges regarding the case of Kilmar Garcia, an MS-13 member who had been in the US since his teens and was married to a citizen. While Trump claimed victory based on a 9-0 Supreme Court ruling that deemed him ineligible for relief due to MS-13's terrorist designation, CNN lawyers clarified that the court actually sent the case back down to lower courts with vague instructions to "facilitate" return rather than forcing immediate deportation. The administration and critics clashed over whether this was a win or if the executive branch had been improperly compelled by foreign policy constraints, highlighting the tension between mass deportations and legal due process. In other significant news, RFK Jr. announced plans to identify the cause of the autism epidemic within five months, rejecting narrow studies that focus solely on vaccines in favor of examining environmental toxins like fluoride and food dyes. Simultaneously, Harvard University sparked a national debate after its president stated that no government should dictate what private universities teach or hire, effectively signaling resistance to federal mandates despite relying on taxpayer funding for operations. These events underscore the broader theme of institutional pushback against increasing governmental overreach in areas ranging from immigration and education to scientific inquiry. The conversation also delves into ethical considerations surrounding AI sexbots and adult content, with Tom Bilyeu expressing concern that algorithms shape human behavior by hardwiring specific desires through myelination. He contrasts the freedom adults should have regarding consensual activities like gambling or drug use against the need for protective measures for children whose brains are still developing. This leads to a reflection on Will Smith's philosophy of understanding oneself as an animal of pursuit, where true satisfaction comes not from achieving material goals but from mastering one's neurochemistry and finding internal contentment before reaching any external milestone. Ultimately, Bilyeu emphasizes the importance of tracking cause and effect in human behavior rather than relying on conspiracy theories or accepting narratives that ignore the fundamental physics of the mind.
Read the full video transcript
Trump wants to liberate Americans by
sending US citizens to jail in El
Salvador. He also declares victory in
the Kilmar Garcia deportation case while
the Supreme Court is like, "Hey, that's
not what we meant." Ray Dalio is worried
about something worse than a recession.
RFK says the HHS will identify the cause
of autism by the fall. Harvard
University sparks debate when they
clapback against Trump defunding them.
And Drew and I debate the ethics of AI
sexbots. Drew, WWE plus politics, this
is real life, man. This is bananas. At
this point, every time somebody comes to
the White House, it's just an
interesting story. Like, nobody just
comes, shakes his hand, and leaves. It's
always headline, headline, spicy take.
I love that they're doing all of this in
public. I love it so much. This is
amazing. I have a feeling that when
this changes and we don't have Trump as
a president, that
uh it's not going to be like this
anymore. So, I am savoring getting to
see how his mind works for better or
worse. I want to see this, man. Like, we
are really seeing the personality of the
people running this country. Sometimes
I'm excited, and other times I'm
mortified. Uh but, being able to see it
is, I think, a huge win for the public.
We'll see how it all pans out. Before we
jump into the his meeting with Bukele in
the White House, Ray Dalio kind of set a
stark turn about what's happening in the
economy right now. Everybody's talking
about tariffs. People are talking about
rising costs. But, he warns about
something far more greater than just
like a regular recession when he was
with Meet the Press over the weekend.
I think that um right now we are
at a decision-making point and very
close to recession. And I'm worried
about something worse than a recession
if this isn't handled well. A recession
is two negative quarters of GDP, and
whether it goes slightly there, we
always have those things.
We have something that's much more
profound. We have a breaking down of the
monetary order. We are going to change
the monetary order because we cannot
spend the amounts of money, so we have
that problem. And when we talk about the
dollar, and we talk about tariffs, we
have that. We are having a profound
changes in our domestic order, how
ruling is existing, and we're having
profound changes in the world order.
Such times are very much like the 1930s.
I've studied history, and this repeats
over and over again. Here's how you have
to understand Ray Dalio. Ray Dalio right
now is banging on the desk, he's
screaming at the top of his lungs, his
vocal cords are tearing. He just always
displays it like this, but he is really
trying to get people to hear what he's
saying. Now, the part that he's not
saying is when he's talking about the
1930s, he's talking very specifically
about Europe. He's talking very
specifically about the rise of Hitler.
Ray is really trying to get people to
understand that there's a big debt
cycle, and when that big debt cycle
loops around, people you get populism
because there ends up being this massive
spread between the wealthy and the poor,
and it creates all this unrest. And the
people who feel that they're being
treated poorly in that moment, they long
for a strong man that will come kick the
[ __ ] out of people
and make life better for them. And
historically, when people make that
promise, they're not the best of people.
It can break bad, I will just say that.
And so, I don't think that Ray is
saying, "Hey, this is inevitable." He's
certainly not saying that Trump is
Hitler. He's just saying that these
things come together into a situation
where debt creates a completely
unsustainable reality. You have to do
something. The something that you do,
and by the way, cuz I have been checked
by people because I don't always take
time to explain why debt creates this
situation. I'll give a very small
nutshell. If you think more is needed,
I'll go deeper.
When you get debt like that, the only
way to sustain those debts is to deficit
spend, and so you end up inflating the
money supply. It's actually the
inflation of the money supply that
drives asset prices way up, which is
exactly how you get that um growth of
inequality between the rich and the
poor.
And
we're seeing that play out right now,
but it is tied to debt, which is
something that Ray is very careful to
explain. Every uh empire in history that
has ever made its way to being the
world's reserve currency falls prey to
printing money. And all of them have
devalued their currency like to 99%. So,
even the UK, which, hey, is still great
country, love them to death, but they
used to be like number one, and now they
are way lower on the totem pole, and
literally the sterling lost over, I
think, 99% of its value in the last 120
years or whatever.
So, this is not a like, oh, no big deal.
Like, this is exactly how, as he says in
his new book, countries go broke. So,
he, again, he has a demeanor that's very
subdued, but this is him banging on the
table, slapping it, trying to get people
to pay attention to say the cycle is
knowable, and if we are not very
careful, this doesn't end in a
recession, this ends in either a global
depression or outright kinetic war.
We joked around about it on the live
that, you know, sometimes when you're
hung over, you take that last shot and
it kind of puts you over the edge. Or is
this like, is there any way to kind of
get off of this trail, or is it just
kind of uh inevitability that it's going
to end in one of those two things?
It's so close to an inevitability that
it is far There's far more
predictability to go, "Ooh, we're in a
tractor beam, and it is pulling us
towards over-inflating our currency,
finally hitting the breaking point, the
rest of the world moving away from our
currency." And so,
I think, and now I am prognosticating a
little bit, but I think that Ray would
say, "Okay, you the world order is going
to be disrupted, and if this isn't
handled well, this continues to escalate
and become a bigger problem. Or if it's
handled well, and he's very KG about
what handling it well looks like, he'll
say things like you have to delever. He
calls it the 3% promise. You've got to
get your debt to GDP ratio where your uh
debt or the servicing of your debt is
only 3% of GDP. And
he's right, but the way that you do
that, he doesn't often comment on, which
is exactly what we need is, okay, Ray
and other people like him who are um
they're economists in practice, meaning
that Ray has made more money than
anybody else by looking at the world and
saying, "This is how things are going to
change. This is how uh global economies
are interwoven, and given the way that
the debt cycle works and a whole bunch
of other factors, this is what I think
is going to happen." And he's bet on it
for the last 50 years and been more
right than anybody else. Uh people be
quick to point out that in the last 10
years his um returns have been soft, but
I think it's because he knows
something's coming, and he's just trying
to hedge his bets and not hit a terminal
event where he's so like out over his
skis that when something bad happens
that he gets caught off guard, because
figuring out the timing precisely is
next to impossible. Um so, that's
that situation. And going back to your
analogy,
uh it really is like that. But it's the
idea that it's not the one shot that
causes the problem. It's all of the
partying and all of the psychological
things that made you want to go to the
club to impress the ladies, to try to
get laid, to flex and make it look like
you have access to resources. Um that
whole thing, the algorithms running in
the human mind that pulls us all
together around alcohol and dancing and
flirtation and all of that, there's a
similar thing going on from an economic
standpoint, which is a country becomes
the the country for whatever reason.
After World War II, we were the dominant
country because uh there was very little
kinetic warfare in our country. We did
in Pearl Harbor, but beyond that,
nothing else.
So, we were able to spin up our
manufacturing, which hopefully has
echoes now as to why people are
certainly why I'm banging the drum about
the need to have manufacturing
capabilities, certainly as it applies to
energy, technology, warfare,
Mhm. uh just absolute must-haves. Um and
because we were able to spin up our
manufacturing, basically the whole world
owed us a whole bunch of money. And so,
at the end of World War II, we hadn't
taken the damage that everybody else
had. We came into the war really late,
so we hadn't even lost as many people as
some of the other major players have per
capita. And um we were in a tremendous
financial situation. So, we could
establish the Pax Americana world order,
where it was like the US dollar is going
to be the world reserve currency. That's
going to give us um a ton of leverage
financially to be able to go into debt.
And in the beginning, you think, "Hey,
just going to have one cocktail. It's
going to be fine. Maybe two, Drew. Maybe
two." And then you start having such a
good time, literally you're you're
having a great time, and you realize,
"Hey, when we print a little bit of
money, have another shot,
there's no problem." And you have
another shot, there's no problem. And
what you unfortunately don't find out
until it's much too late, even if you
manage your buzz such that you're still
able to walk around, you're still able
to engage, you're not blackout drunk,
but your body just can't process that
much debt, that much alcohol. And so,
eventually you vomit. And that's when
you've you've just pushed things too
far, and there is a consequence to be
paid. And so, we're in that moment now,
where we know we've had a lot to drink.
And now the question becomes,
"Is there something Can we drink a lot
of water? Like, what do we do to try to
Exactly. To try to undo this stuff?" And
the undoing it when you've accumulated
this much debt is extremely
difficult. And I think all of us have
had those experiences where it's like,
"Oh, I actually got off easy and for
some reason I feel fine the next day. I
played things just right. I slowed down
early enough. I waited to go to bed."
Like, we're trying to find the economic
equivalents of those. And now I will not
make any attempt to speak for Ray, and I
will just say I look over at Trump and I
just see more shots going down. And I'm
like, "Oof." This is where um we're now
not talking about money printing, so
I'll jet out of the uh out of the
analogy and into the reality. And it's
just there's so much uncertainty being
created right now. Yeah. It may work
out, but it might not, and it just may
end up in disaster. So, I have and can
articulate what
if he's doing it XYZ way, it could play
out this way, and it could end up being
fine, but it's such a high-risk game
that's being played right now that
people really do need to wake up to the
amplitude of the potential consequences
here so that we are now doing everything
we can, reduce our debt,
slow down,
like get some um get as much certainty
in the economy as you can while
understanding you absolutely must alter
the world order because the way that
it's going now is because of the debt is
driving you directly into Thucydides'
trap where the US and China are going to
collide, first economically. We're
literally already in it. Remember, Ray
has these six stages of this, and he's
been saying now for I'm like 2 years
that we're midway through part five, and
it's like
just each part of that cycle keeps
revealing itself. That first the warfare
will be
um political, then the warfare will
become economic, and then if you can't
solve it at that point, the warfare
becomes kinetic. And so, we need to snap
out of it, be very clear-eyed about
where we're at in the cycle, and what we
need to do to de-escalate this.
And the easiest one is you've got to
stop deficit spending. You've got to
stop printing money. And right now,
given the way that things are ratcheting
up, that's the only solution I see on
the horizon. And you'll hear Bessen talk
about, "Hey, we've got options." Which
is basically that if we see liquidity
drying up in the bond market, Treasuries
will go in and uh and we'll start um
manufacturing liquidity. And so,
the Fed's saying, "We don't need to do
it yet. We're nowhere near there." Um
Bessen is saying, "Don't need to do it
yet. We're nowhere near there."
Uh
I How much of that's PR and how much of
that's real? It It's on the table as an
item to discuss, which should scare the
life out of everybody. On the other
side, though, to be fair, the
Republicans' new budget bill that
includes tax cuts and increase in
military spending, that doesn't help the
deficit and our debt problem at all.
If If they're not able to make good on
tariffs generating revenue,
uh the gold card generating revenue,
um and then Doge being able to deliver
enough savings that, like the military
increase, is accounted for in the
decrease in some of the other stuff. Um
because I think the military budget's
only going up like 15%. I That That
number's approximate, but I think it's
roughly correct.
Now it's going to be a trillion, yeah.
So, um
it's not inconceivable that we could
find savings that would match that, but
you'd certainly rather see them both
going in the same direction. But the
reality is with the absolute need to
onshore some critical manufacturing, and
be prepared from a military standpoint,
cuz right now you're getting
China's outproducing you on on ships is
always the one I go to, cuz it's the one
that I um have looked at.
But, they're they're outproducing it
it's something like 20 to 1. It's not a
little thing. It's a very massive
difference, and given the historical
importance of um controlling the seas,
that's not a small thing for China to be
ramping up like that.
Yeah.
We'll see how the things play out. I
think that there's a lot of turmoil
happening in the world, and we're back
into the White House where yesterday uh
President Bukele of El Salvador came to
visit Donald Trump. They talked about
the pending case with Kilmar Garcia, as
well as Trump might use
El Salvador to host more American
prisoners. Is that like a weird thing
for you before I play that clip? Like,
American prisoners getting kind of
exported for their punishment?
now in emotion. It does not hit me well.
This sounds like Australia prison
colonies. Nothing about that, just at an
emotional level, feels right. The idea,
though, that you have to get the
criminals off your streets, that
I like that a lot. I think that that is
absolutely true. I think that um what
Bukele has done in El Salvador proves if
there's a known
um contingent of people creating the
problem. It's usually young,
uh aggressive, disaffected young men.
Um and
if you round up the most
aggressive
um
people
as evidenced by criminality, association
with gangs,
um
you're going to be headed in the right
direction, right? And Bukele has done
some pretty amazing things. Uh in fact,
we have somebody here that um I want to
give his two cents in a second, but um
nevertheless, this is a dangerous game
that has to be done well. And the more I
read about the founders
of America, it they really understood
like this is a system that's like this
constant give and take push and pull.
You've got three branches of government.
They're not all equal though, which is
interesting. I thought they were always
meant to be equal. They are not meant to
be equal. Judiciary, at least according
to Alexander Hamilton, was always meant
to be the weakest of the three branches.
I don't know if you're going to talk
about cuz Trump is certainly treating
them like the weakest, maybe a bit too
much.
Um and so understanding that all of this
stuff is a delicate dance, there's no
solutions, there's only trade-offs, all
that stuff comes into play and this
stuff gets very very messy very quickly,
but I think that Trump constitutionally
just does not have any of those breaks.
Like there's no
um
there's no sense of the nuance. There's
blunt force trauma.
Okay, I I will kind of want to go
through like a breakdown of the timeline
for this Kilmar Garcia before we play
the reactions and what the explosion in
the White House.
As we were kind of doing our research
leading up to the show, we were reading
two different articles, got two
different responses, so we wanted to
kind of level saying kind of lay out a
timeline. So as it's stated right now,
Kilmar Garcia came into the US illegally
when he was a teenager. He's been here
over a decade, longer than that. He
stays with his wife, who is a US
citizen, in Maryland. In 2019, he was
arrested and he was then brought into an
immigration court. That immigration
court saw deemed him a member one that
he's illegal, he has no right to be
here, and that he was a member of MS-13.
After that, they sent it to another
court, um another immigration court, who
put a hold on the deportation because
they were worried that if they did
export him to El Salvador, he would be
killed because of his criminal his gang
affiliations.
And that there was a rival gang called
the 18th Street gang that is precisely
who was going to go after him.
Yeah. Since then, the 18th Street gang
has been disbanded.
Um so now with Trump and their mass
deportations that happened a few weeks
ago, he was one of the people brought up
into that. And they're anchoring on the
2019 case to say that they deemed him
illegal in MS-13. Now that MS-13 is an
official terrorist organization, there's
no more protections for him. He can now
get expelled
from the company from the country. So
with that as a timeline, you're going to
hear a bunch of back and forth between
both what happened in the White House,
and then we have a CNN lawyer
commentator who gave us what the Supreme
Court interpretation actually meant, and
then we can kind of have our reactions
after those two.
this is one thing one more thing just to
put in people's minds. What you're going
to see is
um
two different sides claiming victory. So
people that want and this was a 9-0
Supreme Court decision. So they
unanimously said something.
And the Trump administration is saying
they unanimously said we were right and
that the federal district court judge
had no ability to tell us how to run
foreign um policy. And then the
other side is saying "What are you
talking about? This was 9-0 that you
absolutely need to bring this person
back into the country and you've got to
now run the process um the way that you
would run the process on anybody that
wasn't erroneously deported." which is
how they're saying that the Supreme
Court decision played out. Okay. With
that all in mind, now we're going to do
our best to give you guys both sides of
this.
President just called respond to that
question because you know it's asked by
CNN and they always ask it with a slant
because they're totally slanted cuz they
don't know what's happening. That's why
nobody's watching them, but would you
answer that question also? Yes, gladly.
So as Pam mentioned,
he's an illegal alien from El Salvador.
So with respect to you,
he's a citizen of El Salvador. So
it's very arrogant even for American
media to suggest that we would even tell
El Salvador how to handle their own
citizens as a starting point.
As two immigration courts found that he
was a member of MS-13.
When President Trump declared MS-13 to
be a foreign terrorist organization,
that meant that he was no longer
eligible under federal law, which I'm
sure you know, you're very familiar with
the INA, that he was no longer eligible
for any form of immigration relief in
the United States. So, he had a
deportation order
that was valid, which meant that under
our law, he's not even allowed to be
present in the United States,
and had to be returned because of the
foreign terrorist designation.
This issue was then, by a district court
judge,
completely inverted, and a district
court judge tried to tell the
administration that they had to kidnap a
citizen of El Salvador and fly back
here. That issue was raised to the
Supreme Court, and the Supreme Court
said the district court order was
unlawful, and its main components were
reversed 9-0 unanimously, stating
clearly that neither Secretary of State
nor the President could be compelled by
anybody to forcibly retrieve a citizen
of El Salvador from El Salvador, who
again is a member of MS-13, which is,
I'm sure you understand, rapes little
girls, murders women, murders children,
is engaged in the most barbaric
activities in the world, and I can
promise you if he was your neighbor, you
would move right away.
Uh one thing that I'm always trying to
remind myself is I'm being spun at all
times. And that even whether I want to
or not, I'm spinning people because I
have a worldview, and I have a frame of
reference, and everything I say is going
to adhere to the frame of reference that
I have. And we're all doing it all the
time. Now, I think some people,
certainly in the political arena, are
doing it in a more aggressive, possibly
this won't always be true, but possibly
nefarious way. They want you to see
something in a certain way that allows
them to either get power or maintain
power.
And so, people are always going to
position you, spin you, try to get you
to see things through their lens. And by
controlling the frame, you can control
the debate. And so what we're witnessing
in this specific case is the clash of
two frames. So the first thing I did was
go look up, how what is the Supreme
Court saying about this? Because they
were the ones that ruled 9-0 on
something. And so what are they saying?
We'll get to that in a second, but um
here is Is there more that you want to
play here? Or do you want to go to the
I thought you were setting that up, but
we could play more here.
Yeah, no no no. If there's more here,
hit this. Supreme Court gave was it 9 to
nothing?
Yes, it was a 9-0
in our favor.
In our favor, against the district court
ruling saying that no district court has
the power to compel the foreign policy
function of the United States. As Pam
said, the ruling solely stated that if
this individual, at El Salvador's sole
discretion, was sent back to our
country, that we could deport him a
second time. Well, I
No version of this legally ends up with
him ever living here, because he is a
citizen of El Salvador. That is the
president of El Salvador. Your questions
about it, per the court, can only be
directed to him. It is my understanding
that that's not quite what it said.
Again, what it said was
um that the Trump administration must
facilitate
the return of this person. Now, the
implication is that if El Salvador, and
they're they're actually quite careful,
I don't know if it's in the clip that we
have here, but um I think it was Trump
that ends up saying, like yeah, we would
supply an airplane or whatever to bring
him back. And I remember when I first
heard that and hadn't heard the
distinction around the word facilitate
yet, I was like, why would he supply the
plane if El Salvador was sending him
back? He clearly doesn't want because he
has to to adhere to what the Supreme
Court ruling says. So the question ends
up becoming
why did the Supreme Court give him the
wiggle room that they gave him?
Uh
and when the Supreme Court speaks out,
it's not all nine judges. Now, do I read
in anything into that? Was it just the
other ones were too busy? I I don't know
what to make of that. Um,
but it is
you are being spun.
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advertisement. And now, let's get back
to the show. So, then with that, let's
go to the other side and kind of see,
um, chief and the legal analyst Paula
Reid, how she broke down exactly what
the ruling actually actually said. Uh,
CNN brought her on. She's independent.
Um, yeah, chief legal correspondent.
President Trump and President Bukele
made it clear that Arriaga Garcia will
not be returned to the United States
despite this US Supreme Court ruling
saying that Trump had to facilitate his
return. So, are they just ignoring a US
Supreme Court ruling or is the fact that
the ruling was so mushy, in your words,
Yes. giving him an an opening. It's a
technical term I learned in law school,
Jake. Uh mushy. Look, they're working
within the ambiguity that the Supreme
Court justices gave them. They did not
order the administration to return him
to the United States. They said that
they need to facilitate his return. They
could have said, "We order him
returned." But they didn't do that. So
you heard the Attorney General. She was
being very careful in the Oval Office
when she was asked, you know, "Would you
help?" She says, "Of course we'd provide
a plane, right?" Thereby facilitating
whatever El Salvador is doing. The
Supreme Court appeared to defer to the
executive branch given that this is an
international matter. And you see, yes,
it does look a little bit like a
semantic game, but they are playing
within the bounds of what the Supreme
Court ruled. So no, they are not defying
this order. And take a listen to how
White House Deputy Chief of Staff
Stephen Miller
views it.
An initial court judge tried to tell the
administration that they had to kidnap a
citizen of El Salvador and fly him back
here. That issue was raised with the
Supreme Court, and the Supreme Court
said the district court order was
unlawful and its main components were
reversed 9-0 unanimously, stating
clearly that neither Secretary of State
nor the president could be compelled by
anybody to forcibly retrieve a citizen
of El Salvador.
Steven, you you got the win. I don't
know I don't know why he had to go so
far because what he's saying is not
completely accurate. No. Let's talk to
him again. I'm like, all right. So the
district court said that the
administration needed to facilitate and
effectuate the return of this man to the
United States and gave a date. The
Supreme Court says, "Yes, you need to
facilitate this." But when it comes to
effectuating, making it happen, they
said this needs to go back down to the
lower court. They need to clarify what
that meant. And they warned the lower
court, "You need to be deferential to
the executive branch because we're
talking about foreign affairs." And they
gave no deadline. So again, they're not
running a foul, but Steven's uh summary
of the case there, the the holding, is
not exactly accurate. Okay. Um so, after
hearing all that, I was like, all right,
I want to know what the Supreme Court is
saying on this. The Supreme Court has
addressed the matter concerning Kilmar
Abrego Garcia. On April 10th, 2025, the
court unanimously ruled that the Trump
administration must facilitate, in
quotes, his release from custody in El
Salvador and ensure that his case is
handled as it would have been handled
had he not been improperly deported. The
court acknowledged that Abrego Garcia's
removal was illegal and emphasized the
government's obligation to rectify the
situation. Uh and then it goes on, uh
Justice Sonia Justice Sonia Sotomayor,
joined by Justices Elena Kagan and
Ketanji Brown Jackson, expressed concern
over the administration's position,
warning that it could set a dangerous
precedent allowing the government to
deport individuals without legal
consequences, so long as it does so
before a court can intervene. So, it is
um it's very interesting to me that they
allowed for this squishy interpretation,
that they are sending it back down uh to
the um district court judge to clarify
what they mean by facilitate. Um
this is one where
I really want to better understand if
the Supreme Court is doing leaving the
room for interpretation because they
don't want to step on
um the executive branch's ability to run
foreign policy. Is this um
is this something else? I I am very
surprised
given that
what the Supreme Court is supposed to do
is say, this is either constitutional or
unconstitutional, that they didn't give
like a very clear line in the sand that
not only would their ruling be clear,
but that if they're the justices are
going to come out and talk about this,
that they would just reiterate exactly
this is a line in the sand. This is
exactly what has to be done according to
the Constitution. Uh and so
I'm going to guess over time I will
learn that this is the way that this
game is played, that they are
allowing for the executive branch to
remain in control, and that when they're
unclear, their job is to not be {quote}
activists and to just say, "Look,
this is The Constitution doesn't have
anything very clear, and so we're going
back on the
foreign policy is meant to be handled by
the executive branch, and therefore we
see that out. We're going to let it
remain in his court and not be
constantly trying to override him."
That's my gut instinct, but we'll see
how this plays out over time. Because a
legal system is a precedence game, it
definitely raises a red flag for me
because what happened and we can
interchange labels, but what happened
was a population of people that were in
the United States
were rounded up and sent away.
And in yes, when the when you add the
moniker of illegal alien, a couple
people lean back in their chair and say,
"Okay, that makes sense to me." But I'm
I'm nervous. I my 1984 book report is
starting to jump up where I'm starting
to realize if you change that moniker
from illegal alien to domestic terrorist
to dissident to insurgent, and if those
words keep changing, it can then start
to hit actual US citizens. And that's I
think is a is a bigger red line.
the bad news. He literally talks about
US citizens in the meeting with Bukele
when asked, like, "Would you send an
American citizen to jail in El
Salvador?" His answer is yes. Now, he's
saying if they are ultra violent, one of
like the examples he gives, if you rape
a 78-year-old woman or you beat an old
woman in the back of the head with a
baseball bat.
Those are the kind of people that I
would send. So, he's not saying like
shoplifters and stuff, but it is um
it is all too easy for it to keep moving
in that direction, for sure. Definitely.
Now, I know that we're talking about
this at the policy level. We wanted to
kind of take another look at it from
like a more empathetic on the ground
level. So, we have our boy G in the
building today. Um and G, I know your
family's from El Salvador, right?
Correct.
So, Yeah. from your perspective, how
how has this been?
I know during the election cycle, when
my family's Haitian, so when we were
eating dogs and cats, it was hilarious
and funny, but also traumatizing and
like weird. So, I feel like El Salvador
citizens are having that moment right
now. So, just from your perspective,
what has this like last couple of weeks
looked like for you? For sure. I mean,
this is a very interesting time for the
country in general.
Um
obviously, we went from being one of the
most dangerous countries on the Western
Hemisphere to now being the safest,
deemed the safest.
Uh
and that's something we take pride in. I
get to go visit my family.
Specifically because of what Bukele did?
Because of what Bukele has done in terms
of rounding out all the criminals,
uh making just the streets safe again
from an education standpoint, from a
health standpoint, bringing back social
security programs, things like this that
ultimately helped the working class. All
these things have been great. Um this
particular situation with
uh this case in Maryland is a bit sad uh
from my perspective, only because I know
that that specific generation is part of
the generation in that necessarily
didn't have a chance to you know, have a
future in El Salvador. They were part of
the class that was always trying to
escape
the gang life itself, right? And in many
ways, a lot of not a lot, but a small
percentage of the people that are in
jail right now had to essentially
affiliate to the gangs in order to save
themselves or their families, right? And
so, these are parts of these different
cases that are now surging that we're
kind of forgetting that they at some
point were also just they were in the
victim that the the victim chair, you
know, and till this day what they he's
been working he's been in the this
particular guy he's been in the states
for what 17 18 years 20 years and
assuming he's made a pretty good life
for himself
um
that it's something to think about that
it's not always as black and white as
you seemed, you know, he's not
completely a terrorist, right? Maybe he
had to do these things again to protect
his family. But that also involved him
having to leave the country to fight for
his better you know a better life for
himself and his family. So these are
just things to be that need to be taken
into account when evaluating the cases
that I don't think necessarily are right
now.
Um so you know while I am happy that I
can go back and visit my that my parents
can now retire there and that you know
that kids can go on the street be out in
the street through midnight that moms
and dads can go and work wherever they
want different parts of the country
knowing that they're going to make it
back. There there is that small fraction
of people that are suffering the
consequences of something that they did
really they didn't really have control
over. So you know, it's it's it's uh
it's a tough situation to be in for
sure.
Yeah and I thank you by the way. I
really appreciate you talking about
that. So obviously here at a company
like this where we do media and we're
talking about all these things um we
certainly encourage everybody here in
the company to if you've got something
to say say it because I want to know uh
is there a better way for me to think
and so as we were talking about this
before we started rolling G uh had said
you know that um
it is priceless seeing the change happen
in El Salvador and
uh at the same time it is scary to start
hearing your country's name thrown
around like this. Mhm. Uh
people getting snatched off the streets.
Maybe they're the right person to grab
maybe they're not. Uh and then for me it
triggers that there's no solutions
there's only trade-offs. And so it's
interesting the way Bukele talks about
this that
uh this is him saying it. I don't think
of myself as having imprisoned thousands
of people. I see myself as having
liberated millions of people. And so
Trump was then, you know, grabbing onto
that line and oh, I love that. I'm going
to use that. And he isn't wrong, but
it's like, man, do you
you you want to create a lifeline
so that there is a way to figure out,
did we get somebody wrong?
Um I'm not saying stop the momentum. I'm
not saying don't do it, but I am saying,
again, not to over quote Alexander
Hamilton, but Alexander Hamilton, the
most quoted person by the Supreme Court,
by the way, he's been quoted over 300
times. Uh sorry, 291 times as of 2000,
so I imagine it's over 300 by now. And
um
he was the one that pushed for pardons
for the president to be able to give
pardons because he said, in a moment
where um the necessary this is a
paraphrase, but the necessary force with
which the um legal system must act, if
it doesn't have that kind of relief
valve, then it just becomes too
draconian.
And that's the thing that I want to see
showing up here in a way that it's not
is right now this feels like team ball.
And the other side wants to dunk on
Trump and say, see, like this is all
wrong. Like you're getting the wrong
people. And Trump wants to be like,
well, we're perfect. We haven't gotten
anybody. And so I want that energy of
we'll make mistakes, but we'll correct
them quickly. And look, maybe
legitimately this guy isn't a mistake
and maybe people that look closely at
this are like, he really is MS-13.
Um
Nonetheless, the energy that I would
love to hear coming off of we the people
is there needs to be some path
to review that if we catch the wrong
person,
um that we look at it and we say, cool.
Now, if they're saying, we've looked at
this guy, we love that there is a review
path.
He's been reviewed and and we stand by
it. Okay, but the energy is more just
like you're [ __ ] dumb. You don't
understand how this procedure works. And
if you don't believe me that that's the
energy, watch Steven Miller talking to
the press.
Now admittedly called them out, they
didn't understand they don't understand
the law.
But the thing that if I'm going to be
charitable from their perspective is
yeah, but you're acting like a dick.
Yeah. And it's like right now in this
moment we need to know that um if we've
got people here in the country that are
getting caught up in this. Again, maybe
this isn't the guy. But if we've got
somebody that's erroneously gotten
caught up in this that you guys are
going to pump the brakes, look at that,
and come up with some sort of
resolution.
Yeah, we'll we'll see. This is still
actively happening. We'll see if they
book a deal or something. But as of
right now, Kumar Galvez will be
remaining in the El Salvadoran prison.
Uh thank you, G. Appreciate you, man.
Yeah, no doubt. No no doubt. Thank you.
In other news, RFK has made an
announcement that he'll figure out what
caused the rise in autism by September.
Um let's go to the clip that he had with
Fox News.
The studies that I did were very very
narrow and there were about 17 studies.
The Institute of Medicine, which is
part of the National Academy of
Sciences, says that 14 of those studies
are invalid. And the the biggest
weakness of those studies is they never
studied vaccinated versus unvaccinated
group, which is the only way that you
can really make this determination.
And more importantly, none of the
vaccines
that are given to children during the
first 6 months of life were ever
studied. We're going to look at vaccine,
but we're going to look at everything.
Everything is on the table. Our food
system, our water, our air,
uh different ways of parenting, all the
kind of changes that may have may have
triggered this epidemic. It is an
epidemic. Epidemics are not caused by
genes.
Genes can provide a vulnerability, but
you need an environmental toxin. So, we
know that it is an environmental toxin
that is causing this cataclysm.
And we are going to identify it. We are
narrowly focused on identifying it and
using as many scientists we can from
universities and
research centers all over the world.
Focus them through NIH, through Jay
Bhattacharya.
Focus them on answering this question.
Man, I am shocked that he's calling his
shot that fast, that we're going to have
an answer, whatever, 5 months from now.
Mhm. Um it would be incredible.
So, not to get lost in the timeline, so
I'll be a little surprised if they
actually have a definitive answer that
quickly. To say that means you already
think you know.
Um
but that he is pursuing this stuff
should be in my opinion the least
controversial thing in the world. Of all
the people um to be in a twist about, I
just I cannot track how any sensible
clear-thinking person is bothered by
what he's a tr- what he's trying to do.
So, if he were to come back and say uh
without evidence, "It's vaccines."
Then I would understand if people said,
"Hey, the methodology that you used
doesn't make any sense. There's no way
that you can call this. We got to have a
debate. This is crazy." I'd be all for
that. But when somebody's like, "We're
going to look at everything.
Everything's on the table. We've got to
figure something out." I The numbers I'm
going to give are directionally correct,
if not literally correct, that uh back
in whatever, the 1970s, it was like 1 in
10,000 people had autism, and now it's
like 1 in 37. It's insanity.
So,
that kind of freakish rise, to his
point, that's an epidemic. There is a
cause. That cause
is knowable, but you've got to do the
work to figure out what it is. And so,
do you have a sense of like give me the
flip. Why is this controversial? What do
people latch on to? Everybody I think
when they hear this they automatically
go to vaccines. He's having a war
against vaccines. Somebody in Texas just
died because of measles. So you're going
to kill people. Yeah, that you're you're
messing with official established
science to uncover some conspiracies
theory. Can I throw something in and you
tell me where I'm going wrong?
Mhm. Uh when I hear that argument, I'm
like
uh you can still get your kid
vaccinated. Unless he says we're not
going to allow vaccines,
what's the problem? It's irresponsible
that your kid doesn't get vaccinated cuz
they can injure my kid. So this is the
voter problem.
The other people are so stupid, they'll
never be able to think through this. We
just have to have one blanket party
message, vaccine good.
That is that daring. But to RFK's
credit, he talked about removing
fluoride in water. He talked about
removing dyes in food. So for him to be
the vaccine guy when he has talked about
other issues that I have to his point
have been environmental factors that can
impact this.
Um I'm at least giving him credit for
being blanket like we're going to look
at everything. Everything is on the
table. Um and he's already done
legislation in those other areas. I
think vaccine is the one thing that he
hasn't quite been able to break it, but
it seems like he's trying to start with
the science first before any sweeping
mandates or anything like that.
Man, I'm really going to be curious to
see how many what they call natural
experiments have been run cuz there will
inevitably be groups of people like for
instance, oh during COVID,
uh
parents were terrified to leave their
house so they didn't get their kids
vaccinated until they were three,
whatever. There will be things like that
or areas in the world where people don't
get vaccines for religious reasons
because they're
um an untouched population in the Amazon
rainforest, whatever.
Mhm. And you'll be able to see like, oh
wait, this group of people, like they do
this with the Japanese. You look at the
Japanese, no obesity.
Maybe it's in the genes. They move to
America, they get obese just like
everybody else. Nope, guess it's not the
genes. So then it becomes, okay, well
there's something else going on. Maybe
it's not the food supply, though that
seems obvious.
But we know that it's not the genes.
And
given the timelines that they're talking
about, he's got to be doing something
like that. They're looking at data that
already exists and finding patterns in
those
that they're expecting to yield a very
conclusive result. And now with AI, I
mean it'll be able to parse through a
lot
Yeah. of data. In 5 months, AI will have
like 17 more models and they'll be able
to read brains by that point, so who
knows.
We'll get back to the show in a moment,
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the show.
The president of Harvard, Alan Garber,
came out with a statement that has went
viral on X.
Yeah, like this is crazy. I thought I
was misreading the number of views this
has. 48 million, right? Uh yeah, 45.5
now. Jesus. No government, regardless of
which party is in power, should dictate
what private universities can teach,
whom they can admire and admit and hire,
and which areas of study and inquiry
they can pursue.
Um a lot of talk has been around
secondary education, especially with the
protests that happened for Palestine and
um Israel, that a lot of people are now
thinking that because uh universities
will allow that type of demonstration,
that indirectly supports a terrorist
organization, that they should then one
remove funding, they should be
restricted, their curriculum should be
reevaluated, and all these things.
Um I know you're Mr. Top-Down Bad. Well,
but here we're we're hiding the ball on
this one. So, the the quote, let's read
it again, no government, regardless of
which party is in power, should dictate
what private universities can teach,
whom they can admit and hire, and which
areas of study and inquiry they can
pursue. I agree. He is right. But then
you can't be funded by the federal
government if you're not going to adhere
to their mandates. So, uh Harvard has
like 50 billion dollars
um stored in their endowment. So, the
real debate in the I mean, the only
reason I can think that this has gone
viral is that, that this is a debate
about should we be giving money to these
institutions, yes or no? And if
people want the dollars from the
government, then now you're going to be
beholden to what the taxpayers want.
It's that simple. And if the taxpayers
are saying, cuz it was my understanding
that the issue that really tipped this
over was um
transgender women in female sports.
And
if that's true and my understanding is
correct, it's like, well, then if you
really feel that strongly about it, fair
enough. Like, do your thing. You you're
right. As a private institution, you
should be able to do whatever you want.
And if that's what you want to do, don't
take the federal dollars, use the money
from your endowment, which is plenty. I
mean, you could run that school, I mean,
theoretically forever.
Um so, go for it. So, I this is another
one of those where um I get that they
want as much money as they can get, and
if they can get money from the
government, they're going to spin and
try to get people on their side, totally
understand, but this one seems pretty
simple. If you want federal dollars,
you're going to have to adhere to what
taxpayers are willing to pay for. And I
believe Donald Trump felt something
similar, cuz on Truth Social, he
tweeted, "Perhaps Harvard should lose
its tax-exempt status and be taxed as a
political entity if he keeps pushing
political, ideological, and
terrorist-inspired supporting sickness."
Question mark. "Remember, tax-exempt
status is totally contingent on acting
in the public interest." It's so
interesting. This is um this is very
much a Trump way to respond. This is
escalatory tariffs.
At first, it was like, "Well, we're just
going to withhold your funding." And you
then clap back, and so now it's, "Okay,
well, let's talk about your tax status."
So, um
I get what he's trying to do, but I also
go back to that impulse, I think, can
turn pretty dark pretty fast. So, um
I agree with him that just be cut and
dry.
"This is what you have to do to qualify
for the federal dollars. I was {quote}
{unquote} given the mandate. This is one
of the things that the public really
cares about. Um and so, if you don't
adhere to these things, we're going to
pull your funding." But, just because
they don't like it,
there's no need to start escalating.
Either universities get tax-exempt
status or they don't, and if they don't,
it needs to be a universal policy.
Um and not a one-off because you think
that that Harvard's got a big mouth.
Because now you get into
um
free speech issues. And Trump plays
pretty fast and loose with that.
Copy.
See how it plays out. Um
in other news, this was an interesting
story that hit my feed over the weekend,
but I kind of with the rise of AI Black
Mirror robotics, I thought that this
would be a a much bigger conversation.
So Did you start watching Black Mirror?
I'm like two episodes in so far.
the first one in. It's good.
Yeah. We really probably should be
talking about it.
Is it Yeah, we should do a Black Mirror
breakdown maybe on the live next time.
Uh join us for our lives every Tuesday,
Thursday, Friday 6:00 a.m. Eastern time.
Okay, so what is No Mercy? That is it
was a PC simulation game that had a
protagonist rape, torture, and kill
women. Um there was some incest in
there. I heard that there was a scene
where like you can do it you can like
rape your mom like it's it's it's really
crazy. It's a really crazy game.
Um this game at first didn't carry a age
rating, didn't take carry content
warning a content warning. It got
downloaded so many times in early April
that it then went to the homepage
because it was being featured so much.
So it it picked up steam.
Uh
but uh
advocates of course um different civil
rights organizations, they stepped in
kind of flagging like hey this game was
a little bit weird. It went viral on
Twitter over the weekend and then the
game has now been pulled and like
removed. Now I understand the freedom of
platform, the freedom of expression,
things like that. But again, because
we're in a Black Mirror and we're on the
precipice of AI, we're on the precipice
of like these LLMs pretty much running
the world.
How do you feel about like the ethics
conversation and the IP laws in a weird
spot like there's this kind of murky we
can't see what's over the horizon and
these things are only going to get more
crazy before they get less crazy. Like
it's one thing to have a PC simulation
game, but what happens when it's a sex
bot based off of a co-worker or what
happens if it's you know, and you can
kind of start getting crazy and
manipulating in Black Mirror episode 4
type thing.
Well, this is going to be an incredibly
complicated area that I think you have
to deal with at the level of thought
experiment. I mean we can you can pull
me down into any specific you want and
I'll give you my take based on my
beliefs and my value system.
Um
ultimately the the big thing on this one
for me is not that the game was created.
It is that it wasn't tagged as
essentially being pornographic. So, this
is where it should have a rating. Um
parents should know what they're getting
into. They should be able to very easily
block their kids from having access to
this. For me, this is a kids question.
Um
Should your kids have access to it?
Yeah, like should there be a mechanism
by which parents can just say, "My kid
has a Steam account, but they cannot
access things that are over PG-13, R,
whatever the gaming equivalents are."
And um
when you don't have that, now I've got
beef.
Um the fact that they made this game out
of pixels, oh god, even looking at that
image, I really don't like it. Um
Woah.
Here's the thing. You can make a movie
about a serial killer, and you can show
it. So, yes, people should be able to
make this stuff. But, the reality is I
don't ever want to accidentally find my
way to it. I want this stuff to um
have some sort of signifier so that I
get it, that I can block my kids from
having access to it. Uh but, yes,
top-down for the most part is bad, and
so I think that people should be able to
create art like this if they want. Um
The honestly, the thing that this
triggers in me is a um a call out to
people who I don't think realize that
they need to manage their own
psychology. And so, I don't want the
world to tell you what you can and can't
do when you're not hurting somebody
else. But, at the same time, I want to
make it clear, if you're spending your
time looping on really dark, really
distressing
um
like sexual adversary stuff where um the
thing that you invest in sexually is
demoralizing, dehumanizing.
You become what you repeat. Mhm. And so,
if you're doing that all the time, it's
going to have a toll on you. Again,
people should be able to do what they
want
Mhm. and they're not hurting anybody
else. But, boy, oh boy, it's not going
to be consequence-free.
And I'll be really honest, man. I am
very glad that I did not grow up with
the kind of access to pornography that
kids have today.
And
I really have sort of jokingly said, but
actually I do wonder. I don't know if I
would have graduated high school if I
had had access to porn like that before
my brain was done developing.
And
whoa, like there are just algorithms
running in your brain and when you don't
have the ability to understand, oh, I'm
caught in a dopamine loop and I have
this evolutionary impulse to engage with
this thing like a lot, a lot, a lot, a
lot, a lot.
And as you become like at first, like
just a nude photo is enough. Like I
remember like a Sears catalog when I was
a kid, you'd be like, yo, like the bras,
right? But then it's like, well, I've
seen the bras now. Then you got to
escalate to like National Geographic.
And then it's like, okay, here we go. We
we've got actually some exposure.
your mom walking in and all the magazine
pages are sticky. Like what's happening?
It
but it escalates. And so, if I had had
that escalatory loop when I was 14 and
all of a sudden I'm playing a video game
where you're choking and raping women,
[ __ ] hell, man. Like that that goes
dark. Unfortunately,
the brain is shaped by its environment.
And so, I really do think you have to
you have to give parents the ability to
keep this away from their kids. You just
have to.
I feel like a like a hypocrite in this
moment cuz I remember when I was growing
up, GTA was a bad game cuz it was all
about looting and blowing stuff up and
killing people and it was bad bad bad.
And now I'm appalled at this game, but
isn't it just I don't want to say it's
two parts of the same coin cuz like
crime is bad, all crime is bad, but
disproportionately, you know, rape,
incest, like that's a different it hits
a different emotional nerve than just
blanket murder or blanket grand larceny
does.
But I do think that
if you can Is it impossible to legislate
that? I feel like we almost If we had to
either have to stop everything or like
It's very easy to legislate, but it's a
very dangerous game to start saying this
kind of thing can't exist because there
is
it is a form of self-expression. It is
allowing people to tell the stories that
they want to tell, to explore
things that they want to explore, but
you cannot treat kids like they're the
same as adults. The brain just does not
work like that. And so the long-term
consequences of a kid that plays a game
like that over and over and over,
it strikes me as you should be default
defensive. You should be default just I
don't know enough about how this could
impact them and so I'm going to pump the
brakes.
Again, adults, do we want I think adults
should be allowed to do drugs. I think
adults should be allowed to gamble and
waste their money, time, whatever they
want. I think God, this is not
necessarily going to be popular. I think
people should adults should be allowed
to commit suicide if that's what they
want. Let them do their thing, but I
don't think it should be encouraged.
So
this is where
I think treating kids and adults
differently becomes important. I think
this is where flagging the piece of art
so that people can understand like what
it contains, I think is important.
15 years
somebody creates a whole bunch of AI
slave bots in their basement and it's
just like you're just a weirdo and
that's what you chose to do. Like
there's not Like I I just hate I just
hate that that's like I don't want that
to be the takeaway, but it kind of feels
like Can you not
as you're an adult and you can pay for
it and you're not hurting anybody
externally,
you're fine. But like is there going to
be like a rights conversation that
should happen? Like
should we should robots have rights?
Like
Okay, well, here's where it gets into if
they are sentient, then it meaning let's
define that very clearly. If it feels
like something to be a sex bot, then
yes, you're going to need to
legislate it. If it does not feel like
anything to be a sex bot, then no, I
don't think that it matters. And if you
want to choke your sex bot, go for it.
Um but again, as a PSA, I will say that
if that's the thing that you do over and
over and over, you are making those the
easiest
feelings to feel. You are making those
the most rewarding feelings because you
are hardwiring them and your brain will
actually wrap fatty tissue around the
connection points in your brain. It's a
process called myelination, which allows
those feelings, those actions to be done
more easily, literally from a caloric
expenditure standpoint, than other
actions that you take. And so you end up
slipping into that or this is like the
whole idea of if you've got kids in the
car, they should have left a long time
ago. Uh but
there's this whole idea with kids that
grew up with porn called death grip.
And what was happening is the kids were
grabbing themselves so firmly that when
they had sex with a woman, they're like,
wait, this is it?
And you can get these weird distortions
like that where you don't expect it. And
now all of a sudden, if the activity
doesn't feel risky or subversive
um, taboo, that you can't engage with
it. Like, you can't get excited. And so,
now you've fed that system so much that
you're now depriving yourself of real
human interaction, the deep connection
that you can have with a human being.
And I just, man, people have to be a
little bit careful. And again, it's not
me being prudish at all. Like, people
like if people want to do bondage play
or whatever, I literally don't care.
Yay, if it's consenting adults, do your
thing.
But, you do have to be thoughtful. In
fact, Drew, can I really drag us into
weird waters?
Let's do it. Okay.
We're already here. There is a
documentary called Sick, the life and
death of Bob Flanagan, super masochist.
Now,
Bob Flanagan had cystic fibrosis. Mhm.
And I think starting when he was like 11
years old,
he was in so much pain all the time. He
started putting needles in a belt and
whipping himself with the belt.
And he would bleed all over the bathroom
and he had to clean it all up before
anybody saw what he was doing.
And when asked, that's him, uh, when
asked about it,
he said, "I spent so much of my life in
pain that when I torture myself like
this,
I feel in control."
And feeling like I'm in control of the
pain is like this huge unlock for me.
Mhm. And you shouldn't make that
illegal. Like, if this guy, if that's
what he wants and he ends up marrying a
dominatrix and she does all this like
crazy S&M stuff to him, and they film it
all.
And the craziest moment, this is the
only part of cinema I simply could not
watch. I had to cover my eyes.
Um,
he nails
his friendly appendage to a board.
Jeez. And then pulls the nail out. I
mean, it was just like I was losing my
mind. Mhm. And but the whole time he's
explaining why he does the stuff in the
sense of power and control that it gives
him.
And here's why I say all of this.
At the end of his life, this movie's
called The Life and Death of Bob
Flanagan. They show him die on camera.
Mhm. You watch him take his last breath.
But before he gets to that point,
his wife
is just in hysterics. And she asks him,
"Why won't you let me hurt you anymore?"
And he says, "It's not about that
anymore.
I know I'm dying.
And whatever it used to bring me, it
doesn't bring me anymore."
And like you saw him drop into his
humanity. Mhm. And it was like
not saying he wasn't human before,
obviously, but just that profound sense
of shift. Mhm. And I was like
the chronic pain put him in a certain
place. The whipping himself put him in a
certain place.
And his whole life
became about the dealing with that pain.
And the way that he chose to deal with
it,
maybe on balance it was positive, but it
wasn't consequence-free.
And so seeing them disconnect at the end
of the movie, I was like
there's something here. Like the the
wolf that you feed is the one that
grows. The plant that gets water is the
one that grows. Like you're going to put
energy
into something.
And
I'm just saying be careful what you put
your energy into, because it's it's
going to become the thing. And so if
your thing is
um
having a horrible
relationship even with AI where you're
just dominant and you
demean it. It's like that's the part of
your brain that gets watered.
I'm still on the male appendage being
stable to a board. I'm sorry.
nailed. I'm That's good.
hammers a nail. Dude, wake up in the
middle of the night like Yeah, it I
Yeah, that that's one of the hardest
things I've ever seen in my life. It's
crazy.
And yeah, we need to we can't end like
that. So, in more positive news, we have
a
Let's go. a post from Will Smith talking
about mindset. So, um is this the one
that I take you're having a biological
experience? Yeah. Okay, so
one of the most important ideas in my
life is that you're having a biological
experience and the
the human animal is an animal of
pursuit.
That is how we've become what we've
become. It is the reason that we're
going to make AI no matter what.
Mhm. We pursue a future that is better
than our present like relentlessly. Uh
you get a job, you want to get promoted.
You have kids, you want to raise them
perfectly. You
um you build a business, you want it to
be one of the biggest businesses ever.
There's always the next thing. Uh you
join a football team cuz you want to win
a Super Bowl. Mhm. And so many times
people do that and then they say I've
never felt more empty in my life. I go
get off the football field, just won the
Super Bowl and I cry because I realized
my whole life has been about achieving
this
and now using my own words cuz this is
exactly what I felt when I made my money
which happened literally in one shot and
I was like
I was prepared for this, but it is
utterly fascinating that all of my
insecurities are still here.
And so I was like, that is fascinating.
So, there the way that the brain works
is what he's about to tell us
is knowable. You do not have to live
Will's life to know that this is the end
result. That we are all going to um um
achieve everything we ever wanted to
achieve if you're so lucky. And all your
insecurities will still be there. You'll
still want more. There will be no sense
of satisfaction. Like you literally just
have to understand yourself as a
biological creature that is designed to
want. Mhm. And as long as you understand
you were designed to want, there will
never be a time where you're like, "Oh,
I have enough." Therefore, you should be
able to modulate how hard you go for the
more and more and more. So, the thing
I've always promised Lisa is, "I'll
pursue more and more and more as long as
it's fun." If it ever stops being fun,
then I'm going to stop doing it because
I know I have a compulsion to pursue.
Mhm. So, that compulsion is never going
to go away. All right, with that, let's
hear what Will has to say. People talk
about rock bottom, that when you hit
rock bottom is when you'll make a
change. But, there's a corresponding
place that I call um cliff top.
Right?
Like you could be too high?
Where you get so high that you realize
um
literally none of this stuff can make
you happy. Mhm. All right.
Right? After you you get you can get to
the end of the material world. You get
to the end of money. You get to the end
of sex, you know? You get to the end of
fame. You get you you you have so much
and you get and then you you like go off
of a cliff into the same kind of abyss
that you'd be afraid of slipping into at
rock bottom.
Yeah.
Right? Where life loses all of its
uh ability to
sustain and please you. Right.
And then, the only thing that's left,
the same thing at rock bottom, the only
thing that's left at cliff top is you
have to you have to find
what you're actually looking for and
what what you're actually looking for is
you.
You're looking for you. You're running
around, right? When you when you like a
woman and you like being with a woman,
it's cuz you like how you feel. Right.
You like what's happening inside of you.
When you have money, it's like, "Yeah,
it's cool to buy things, but it's not
the money. You like how you feel
inside." It's unleashing a feeling
inside. And at rock bottom and at cliff
top, what you have to learn how to do is
generate that feeling without anything
external.
You want to you have to learn how to
like like you so much that you like
being alive so much that you you bring
positive energy that's not generated by
stuff, right? Cuz stuff is coming and
going. Like people are coming and going.
Everything you have and everybody you
love is going to rise and fall in your
life. The place that we have to find is
a spiritual place where we are good with
us. We trust us.
I trust myself, I trust God, and I trust
life that whatever happens, I'm going to
make happy out of it. I don't need
specific things to happen. That's
somebody who's realizing that this is
all about modulating my neurochemistry.
And once you realize, "Oh damn, that's
the game that I'm trapped in," it
becomes a lot easier to be like, "Okay,
I'm just not going to do that." Or like
he said, you're going to find way
simpler ways to do it. Uh it's always
been a huge
um
weight off my shoulders to know that I
could be dead broke as long as I can
write because the writing costs me
effectively nothing. Mhm. And
it feels awesome.
It is the neurochemical manipulation
that I want.
Um so, anyway, I
want all of us to have that recognition,
understand that this is a game of
biology, and to master that biology
well, to understand the nature of the
human mind, uh so that you don't spend
an entire lifetime feeling like one day
I'll cross the finish line and it will
finally make sense, it will finally feel
like I've made it.
It's not the nature of the human mind.
No.
And there's something to that, too, cuz
there's always that pursuit of once I
get this thing, I'll be happy. Or like,
I'll be happy when and it just seems
like the ultimate hack is just be happy
and like separated from the when if
after this thing is
And maybe even more, um common is to
understand that the thing you will
always love the most is pursuing
something before you achieve the thing
you're pursuing, when it feels like it's
about to work out. That's the perfect
moment. Where it's like, oh my god, this
is going to work. Like, I'm doing a
thing, I'm good at it. It's working. Uh
that's that's the best. Like, that's way
better than the getting.
And it's certainly better than failing.
But it is, um
it is better than the final acquisition,
cuz that just triggers the what's next.
All right. All right, that's all I got.
All right, guys, if you're not already
watching the lives, they are Tuesday,
Thursday, and Friday at 6:00 a.m.
Pacific time, and here is a highlight
from today's live.
There's like 17 9/11 conspiracy
theories, so I'm not going to have you
pinned down exactly it, but do you think
there is something other than what the
news reported is like behind it?
Do you think one of these 17 alternative
reality theories might have something?
Like, is there every It's the same way I
feel about God. Mhm.
There are people that can give you an
explanation that if you'll grant them a
miracle or two, Mhm. uh that has
internal logic. And it's like, "Okay,
cool. I can track your beliefs. I
understand." Um but if I don't agree
with your miracles, then it all falls
apart. So, it is
deeply
Let me finish that part. So, everybody
has an explanation.
I may disagree with the explanation, but
I agree there's something going on that
I don't understand on any one
conspiracy. I think you've got to like
really [ __ ] go down those rabbit
holes.
Um
that's not the level of analysis that I
ever plan to do.
So, I am cause and effect man.
So, I want to track cause and effect.
And once I get to the level of what
humans do at scale, that's the cause and
effect that I'm looking for. So, when I
look at something like 9/11, I go
yes, uh governments will pull against
themselves. Mhm. Um yes, people will
lie, cheat, and steal.
Uh yes, people will do anything to gain
power and maintain power. Yes, there are
people who are um
sociopaths, and so as long as they're
winning, they literally don't give a
[ __ ] about anybody else even at the
level of country. Um as far as I can
tell, those are distributed around the
world, not evenly because culture is
going to exacerbate those things, but
that means there are going to be some
here.
And so, all of those things fall within
what I'll call the physics of the human
mind. So, that's where I start tracking
things.
This is not a crazy person. These are
not crazy questions. He makes no claims
he doesn't have personal first-hand
evidence of. When it ended, I asked him,
"How many other officials who were in
and around Washington during 9/11 have
similar questions?" And he said to me,
"As far as I know, all of them." And
he's still in touch with a lot of those
people. After this conversation, which
again we've been thinking about ever
since,
Or is it on you?
And I would say it's on you,
[ __ ] And I get it. You might be
too dumb to do this well. Tough [ __ ]
break. Take it up with God. You have the
hand of cards that you have. And now,
yes, I am expecting you to parse a very
complicated world.
Because otherwise,
you get all these narratives, people get
drug into wars and all kinds of stupid
[ __ ] and they give you a really good
argument for why it should be just like
that. Why you would be a fool to do
anything else. My superpower, the reason
we're recording this
afraid to get embarrassed. from a
mansion, is because I'm not afraid to
look stupid.
Yeah.
Have you
just had somebody offer me a piece of
their company. Uh.
And in the conversation,
they were like, uh, you ask the deepest
questions. And I was like, no, I don't.
I'm just not afraid to look stupid, and
you are so not used to that,
Yeah. that you're confusing me just
trying to go, wow, I really don't
understand this. Uh, I have to get to
cause and effect, so I will drag people
down. I'm like, listen, I can just nod
and smile, or I can keep asking you till
I understand. You tell me which you
prefer. And he's like, I want you to
keep asking. Cool.
All I'm trying to do is get to cause and
effect with
absolutely no fear about, um, I know I'm
going to look dumb to somebody that, I
mean, this guy is clearly smarter than
me, knows a lot more than me about that
thing. But I'm like, I can track cause
and effect, so we can get down to that
point. And people always confuse it for,
uh, superpower. I for one think AI is,
uh, meteorite screaming towards the
earth, and not that it's going to
destroy everything, but that it nothing
will be the same, literally nothing. Top
to bottom, nothing will be the same on
the other side of this. Um, so curious
to get your take, what you think the
impacts of AI are going to be.
I agree. And And look at in the context
of that, there's going to be so much
change in the geopolitical system, in
the economic system, and how societies
function in the next five years because
of AI. You know, maybe the conversations
we're having about, you know, is is it
problematic or not for Elon to have a
conflict of interest? Maybe we're
rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic,
right? Maybe it just doesn't matter.
All right, speaking of what's next,
everybody, if you haven't already, be
sure to subscribe. And until next time,
my friends, be legendary. Take care.
Peace. If you like this conversation,
check out this episode to learn more.
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