Video summary
The video explores bold predictions for the upcoming 2026-27 NBA season by reviewing highly upvoted comments from a Reddit thread and offering the host's personal analysis on their likelihood. The discussion begins with a sponsorship segment for Bear Mattress, where the host shares a personal story about upgrading his guest room mattress after his sister complained of poor sleep, leading him to move the high-quality bed to his own room for a significant improvement in rest. Following this advertisement, the host dives into specific NBA forecasts, starting with the Washington Wizards reaching 50 wins despite having an aging Anthony Davis and a young core led by Trey Young. The host expresses skepticism about this prediction, noting that even strong teams like Atlanta fell short of that mark last season due to early struggles, and argues that the modern NBA lacks "free wins," making such a high win total difficult for any team with injuries or roster turnover.
Further predictions cover various teams and players, including the Charlotte Hornets dropping below 35 wins without LaMelo Ball, the Sacramento Kings trading Domantas Sabonis, and the Los Angeles Lakers finishing as one of the bottom five defensive teams. The host finds the prediction about the Western Conference Finals particularly bold, suggesting that neither the Oklahoma City Thunder nor the San Antonio Spurs will make it to the finals, with the Houston Rockets emerging as a dark horse contender instead. He also analyzes the Eastern Conference landscape, predicting a crowded playoff race where multiple teams could contend for top seeds, while noting that the Boston Celtics might struggle compared to their previous season due to health concerns surrounding Jaylen Brown and Jason Tatum. The host emphasizes that many of these predictions are bold because they defy current trends, such as the idea that mid-tier teams will no longer have easy games against struggling opponents.
The final segment of the summary focuses on individual awards and specific matchup outcomes, including Victor Wembanyama potentially losing the MVP award to Jason Tatum if Tatum stays healthy for a 55-win season with the Celtics. The host also discusses the Most Improved Player award, questioning whether Paul George could win it after a suspension or if Stefan Castles might be a more logical choice given his defensive projection. Additionally, there are predictions about Scotty Barnes making All-NBA First Team despite potential defensive regression and Victor Wembanyama becoming even more efficient than his already historic season. The video concludes by highlighting the difficulty of predicting the NBA due to the volatility of injuries and player performance, ultimately encouraging viewers to share their own bold takes in the comments section while acknowledging that some of these predictions are highly optimistic or even unrealistic given the competitive nature of the league.
Read the full video transcript
Let's talk bold predictions, everybody.
The 26 27 season is is right around the
corner. So, I'm going to ask you, what
is your boldest prediction for this
season? I personally been working on a
video that I'm going to release in a
little bit of of like some of my bold
predictions, but this was also a
question that was asked over on Reddit,
and I want everybody to get their ticket
in now. So, you can come back to this
video or you can go back to the Reddit
thread and say, "Hey, I predicted that
to be true." So, I'm going to read some
of the most upvoted predictions on this
Reddit thing and uh tell you if I agree
or disagree. I know Reddit is a it can
be a weird spot, but it does house a ton
of NBA fans. So, I'm just curious to see
what NBA fans are thinking. This video
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The Bear, for sponsoring this video. The
first one comes from something clever
that says, "Anthony Davis will play 67
games, at least 67 games, at least 67
games, and the Wizards are a 50 win
team." My goodness. Now, I don't know
how to interpret up votes on something
like this. Are people upvoting because
they agree with this bold prediction?
Are they upvoting for the boldness of
the predict? Because I would say this is
a very bold prediction. Starting off
with the Anthony Davis part, Anthony
Davis is about to be what, 34 years old?
Yeah, he's about to be 34 years old.
Shout out to AD. And he's played 67 or
more games once in the last nine season.
Nine seasons, y'all. So, while I hope I
want Anthony Davies to play 82 games for
a decade straight, I'm trying to be
somewhat realistic with the history of
everything and saying that him playing
67 games right now feels feels
unrealistic. And again, I'm praying for
it. I would love for it, but I just
don't I wouldn't I wouldn't I guess
that's what makes it bold, huh? It's
bold to think the ads don't have as
healthiest season in decade. But I just
can't get there. And the Wizards are a
team that just won 17 games last season.
I think we're all super excited to watch
them play because Trey Young and Anthony
Davis are now on the team and finally
get to play together because AJ Deont is
on the team and because they have they
already before this offseason and before
they traded for Trey and Anthony Davis,
they already had a pretty interesting
young nucleus from Balo to Trey Johnson
to Alex Sar who look better every single
season. We were already really excited
for it and I know that this team is
going to be significantly better than
last season, but it's hard for me to get
to the 50 number and that's why again it
is a bold prediction because I'm even
thinking about like Atlanta last season.
Atlanta last year was great in the
second half of the season. They felt
like they were unbeatable at times,
right? But they still just ended up with
46 wins. Now part of that is because
early in the season maybe they weren't
as great and in order to win 50 you kind
of have to start off pretty good. But
our eventual NBA champion New York
Knicks team only won 53. So, it's hard
for me to see them be, let's just say,
three wins worse in the regular season
than the Knicks just were. And there
there are no more free wins in the NBA,
y'all. I mean, the Wizards were a free
win team for like three seasons at
least. Um, but there are no more free
wins. Yeah, they're going to be bad
teams. It's impossible for all three
teams to be good, but there are there's
not going to be mid-March, you have a
slate to your schedule that say, I we
got three games this week and this team
is without three starters because they
trying to lose. This team is without
their two star players because they're
trying to lose. that doesn't that's
probably not going to happen this season
because you try to look at those odds
again. I know it always boils down to
the 3-1 method and these advanced odds
or changed odds but it's hard not to
think about that all the time for me. So
while like last season you would see the
Indiana Pacers on your on your on your
uh schedule and March and be like okay
we can we can lock that in. Oh let me
say I think February midFebruary to
mid-March the Pacers lost like 15
straight games. So you see them on your
schedule say we can just we can just
chill we going to win this game. That's
not the case anymore. Same thing with
the Brooklyn Nets who brought bought in
on Julius Randle and other things.
Again, the Wizards are the team we're
talking about. They're not a free win. I
I mean, they're going to be bad teams,
do not get me wrong, but those bad teams
are going to be putting together or
trying to put together their best
possible lineup every single night
because they don't want to be the team
that instead of having an 8% chance of
picking up a one, they have a 5% chance.
You feel me? So, I wouldn't be
surprised, and this is not I don't think
this is a bold prediction, but I I
wouldn't be surprised if like the middle
of the standings is so jam-packed where
we have seeds three through seven are
divided by two games. You feel me? Just
because there there is no real easy
games anymore. I mean, not many. I mean,
there are some teams, I ain't gonna
name. There's some teams you be like,
"Okay, we can still chop that as a win
even, you know, but it's going to be
rough out there. The Jazz are trying to
win. The Kings,
you feel me?" Um, the Grizzies have at
least interesting young roster. The
Dallas Mavericks, the Pelicans are
buying in and they had a pretty
interesting second half of the season.
So, you go on and on and on. So, I say
all this to say I appreciate the
boldness of this and I would love for
this to be true, but it's hard for me to
to say that this is something that I I
think is really gonna happen. Okay.
Direct departure says Hornets went under
35 games. He says the Kings trade
sabonis. Okay, I don't know how bold
that is. I think they they would be
interested in trading Sabonis. The
Lakers are a bottom five defense. The
Celtics are worse than last year. The
Magic 50 wins. Neither the Thunder or
the Spurs represent the Western finals.
So, of all of all of their bold
predictions, this last one is the one
that is the boldest cuz like I I
Let me see how many wins that the
Hornets win last season. 44. Wow. Okay.
Without LaMelo, are they dropping off
that many that many wins? It's still a
solid roster. So he just don't have
Melo. I mean there's some big shoes to
fill over there. I guess that is a truly
truly bold prediction. Even if you don't
like that LaMelo ball trade, you can
look at that roster and say Khan,
Brandon Miller, I mean Nas Reed is kind
of perfect what they want to do. Musbate
that's still a competent team to let's
say win 40 35 would be a surprise. Kings
straight a bonus. I don't think that's
bold. I I would I would bet money on
them trying to I don't know if I would
bet money on somebody biting. The Lakers
being a bottom five defense doesn't feel
bold. You know, you look at that Ross. I
feel like they're also going to try to
they're going to find a way to not be
the one of the bottom five defenses,
right? Like if I had to guess where the
Lakers defense is going to be at the end
of the season, I would guess 15 through
22 defensively and then the offense is
probably one through five and it's like
that balances out to 48 wins or 51. I
don't know what the number's going to
be. Uh the Celtics are worse than last
season. I don't think that's that's a
bold prediction because while I do
believe in Jason Tatum and the roster
they put together, you know, especially
if you look past Jaylen Brown trade,
there is a huge huge bet on Jason
Tatum's health playing as many games as
what Jaylen Brown did last season. Um,
but I know a lot of people that are
looking at the Celtics and be like, "Oh,
no, they're back to contention. I don't
know if I can be there just yet." The
Magic winning 50 games is one of my
things. I don't think that's a bold
prediction. I do I truly do believe in
this Magic team. I think I said at the
end of last season, if y'all are selling
your Orlando Magic stock, tap me in.
They won 45 last year and that was a bad
year for them. We hated the season they
had. I at the end of the season I'm
like, bro, I'm so tired of watching the
Atlanta Magic and they still ended up
winning 45. So you're trying to tell me
with new coach, another year with
Desmond Bane in that lineup, they can't
win five more games. I would bet I would
bet on that. I'm I'm saying that that's
not bold, but I I agree with that. But
neither the Thunder or the Spurs
represent the West in the finals is
truly truly a bold prediction. Because
while the East is a blood bath where I
can see one, two, three, four, five,
six, six and a half different teams
maybe represent the East, out west,
though I do like some of these other
teams. It's between OKC and the Spurs,
right? Like who is even three on that
list in y'all mind? Is it Denver? Hard
for me to think that. Is it LA? I just
told you I think they defense going to
be 15 to 22. is 15 to 22 defensively
good enough to win three playoff series
to be in the NBA finals. Probably not.
It's going to be the Houston Rockets now
that Fred Van Vit is back and they got
some steady point guard play. I don't
know if I like the Minnesota Timber did
a lot this offseason. Are they going to
be able to put it all together in one
one regular season? So yeah, that's a
bold bold prediction. OKC is not getting
any worse and the Spurs is getting
better. So those are the two teams. They
gonna see each other in the conference
finals because I think they're a one and
two seed every single season at this
point. They're gonna see each other in
the conference finals. Whoever win that
seven is going on to to represent the
West. I wish somebody did follow up
asking like, "Okay, then who would you
bet to be that team?" It might be
Minnesota. And some sometimes I be
thinking to myself, am I am I Now I'm
about to have an internal dialogue. Am I
am I turning to two I testy? You know
what I mean? I test vibeswise. I love
this Minnesota Timber team, y'all.
But some of the analytics guys are like,
"Yeah, Kaminga is Kamiga." you know, but
I'm like, Kaminga's Kaminga, but if he
is truly about his action and his word,
then that's a really good player to have
right there, right? Um, Lamelo Ball
ain't been only had one healthy season
in the last four. Like, yeah, but he is
coming off the healthy season and maybe
he's having a Steph Curry arc with them
ankles are cool for the rest of his
career. Like I talk I be talking myself
into these type of things and then like
the MLS guy be like, "Nah, he a bad fit
next to this guy. He a bad fit next to
this guy." And a lot of times they end
up being right. A lot of times end up
being right. But I'm like looking at
Minnesota like maybe it is Minnesota
there. Maybe it is. Yeah, it. It's
Minnesota. If it ain't those two, it's
Minnesota. That's my number three. I
appreciate these people that will give
you seven bold takes. Let's Let's look
at this one. Jason Tatum will be one of
the front runners for MVP this season
following a 55 plus win win win season
for the Celtics in a careerhigh
approximately 288 and seven. Okay. He'll
ultimately lose to Wimby or Luca. It
does feel like a if healthy Wimby MVP
season. No disrespect to Shay Luca or
Joic or Giannis. All these guys are all
these guys that are normally in
conversation, but it just feels like
this is Wimby to lose this season. But
what do I know? Um I think that would be
pretty again. Tatum Tatum looked
eventually looked pretty solid towards
the end before, you know, he had to set
out for the the last playoff game or so.
He looked pretty pretty solid towards
the end of coming back and now full off
seasonason underway. I know y'all going
to look at those clips when he's
overseas and missing all these layups
and all these free throws and stuff like
that and be like, "No, this ain't
season." But I I truly believe that
Tatum could do this. Like I said
earlier, it is a huge bet on his health.
And with you having a franchise player
like Tatum who is still what 19 years
old, I'm pretty sure. Let me double
check that. Jason Tatum. Yeah, with him
being still 19 years old, you kind of
want to slow grind in my mind. But
again, it's Tatum. He came back and he
averages what 30 minutes a game. So
maybe maybe you don't slow grind. But in
my mind, if there's any flare-ups, if
there's any any soreness, I I'm just I'm
just want to be cautious, you know, and
say, Tatum, you sit this one out. you
sit this one out and maybe because of
these sitting outs that maybe he doesn't
end up 65 games I think is Tatum like
minimum but like I don't know because
Tatum does have the benefit of obviously
being one of the best players in the
world don't get me wrong but he's always
had the benefit unlike his his former
teammate in Jaylen Brown where the
advanced analytics absolutely love him
as well. So, if you're trying to tell me
I'm Jason Tatum, my number two guy is no
longer an allNBA player like Jaylen
Brown and I'm still winning 55 games.
And let's say he has a normal Tatum
season, which a normal Tatum season at
this point is 266 and N9. That's that's
what Tatum averaged last year, the year
before that. He averaged 30 the year
before that. So, just an average Tatum
season. He just gets back to himself.
And he don't have like the narrative of
being like, man, his number two guy
basically a number one on 90 other
teams. I could see him being in the
conversations again. I would rather slow
grind Tatum's return. He averaged 33
minutes per game in 16 games last
season. Just straight just just straight
off of ACL. His very first game. Hold
on. How many minutes he played? 27.
First game back off an Achilles. 27. H.
He basically played three 40minute games
in the playoffs. So yeah, don't slow
grind anything. It's Jason Tatum. He he
made out of vibranium. The next one that
this person said is 76 to start off. So
So I think this is pretty true. Just
just based on the history of these teams
that are super talented but maybe having
some talent overlap. it. I think it's
gonna take some time for them to look
like the team that we think they can be.
So, I I think this is probably pretty
true, but they said they bounce back
late in the year and go to the finals
where they're likely fall to a historic
Spurs team. Okay. Wimby Shay, Tatum,
Luca, and Hallebertton are the first
team. So, Jokic falls out of all NBA
first team. That would be tough because
even even in the years where like let me
let me let me make sure I'm I'm speaking
correctly here. Even in the years where
Jokic and company didn't end up having,
you know, a top three seed, he's found
ways to be on first team because, you
know, he's he's who he is, right? So,
the year that they win 47 games and they
lost in the second, they got swept in
the second round to Phoenix, um he was
on he was on first team, too. So, like
the Denver Nuggets don't need to win 50
games for Tatum, I'm sorry, for Joic to
be all NBA first team. Hell, I mean, he
won MVP that season, right? Yeah. Yeah.
That's his MVP. That's his first MVP
year. We're tied for a three seed at
that time. Well, not tied for
record-wise tied for three seed been
three seed that season. And then the
year after his second MVP, they were a
six seed and they he won MVP. So, it's g
I think it's gonna be really hard for a
guy like Hallebertton to jump into all
NBA first. Him also coming off an
injury. We don't know how long it's
going to take him to jail. So, that is
truly a bold prediction. If I had to,
let's go back and look at last year's
AllNBA first team. Let me just refresh
my memory real quick. Last year's first
team is Shay Jokic, Wimby, Luca Cade.
That's the five. And if you're trying to
tell me that you believe Hallebert's
jump g going to jump in, I don't feel
like Jokic is the one that falls out. If
anything, maybe it's just Kade because
it's his first time there. Well, like
Luca, as long as Luca's playing 65. As
long long as those other four are
playing 65, they're like locks to be
first team. And Tatum damn near was a
lot to be first team as long he was
playing 65, too. So, I just feel like
that jumping into first team is going to
be extremely hard. Shout out to Kade for
getting it done last season. Um, but it
would be hard for somebody to take that.
And the last one they said and is uh I
also think a Sorrow to be better than
I'm in this season, but the Pistons will
still be a fifth seed or lower in the
first round exit. Also forgot about
Giannis. Shout out to the comment. I
forgot about Y. If Yiannis plays 65,
that's the fifth spot, too. Like, ah,
bro, this season's going to be crazy cuz
I'm everybody's playing at least 65. I
Nobody's going to get injured this
season, right? I think Assar will prove
to be better than Aman Thompson. That's
going to be tough. I just don't think
Assar at this point in his career has
the offensive juice that Amen Thompson
has been able to provide. I think that
Assar is the better of the the two
defensively. Um, but I think he would
have to take a significant jump
offensively and his confidence and his
his creation to make that realistic and
Len knows Pistons fans would would
welcome that type of jump. Um, but I
just I can't see that. But that's what
makes it a bold prediction. Makes a bold
prediction. The next one is a Super Bowl
prediction. The Knicks are out of the
first round. Timberwolves over Philly in
game six of the finals. Okay, I'm here
for all of these. Temples have a better
record than the Rockets. I don't think
that's I don't think that's bold take at
all. It's bold at all. Especially when
you consider that last year, um it it
wasn't it wasn't that crazy. You know,
it was three threeame difference between
the two. So, that's not a bold
prediction at all. Here, here's what I'm
talking about. I've been trying to
figure out who my sleeper teams are. And
do the Magic count as a sleeper? This is
just a huge bet on coaching. This is a
huge bet on just another year. Again,
Paulo has ended last season with saying
the absolute right things. and he went
out to the playoffs at a 45 point game.
Of course, they blew the 3-1 lead and
all, but but I don't know. Is it is it
is that a bold prediction to feel like a
team that has like they won 50 what two
years ago? 47 two years ago. Okay, so
nearly 52 years ago. Is it a bold
prediction to say that I think that that
team is going to win three more games
than their than last year? Like I don't
know how bold that is. Yeah, let's just
rattle them off. Paul George win most
improved player. Is that possible?
That's that's most improved podcast.
That's why I'll be opening up the
comments cuz the comments just take it
way too far. Is it possible for guy to
win MP twice? Can you win MP after a
season where you got suspended? Like I
always think about that. Not just
suspension, but like a year where you're
heavily injured. Can you win most
improved player if you played 40 games
the previous season? You know what I
mean? I know they have comeback player
of the year as an award that nobody
cares about, but can he win most
improved player after missing 25 games
because of suspension? Probably not.
Actually, there was just a thing that
people were in I think it was ESPN's
panelists. They were talking about who
they believe is going to win most
improved player and they had like our
guy Stefan Castle. And listen, look
look, Steph Castle is one of my favorite
players in the NBA. That's my that's my
dog. Shout out to bro. I just kind of
hate the idea of a former rookie of the
year winning most improved player. You
know what I mean? A guy that averaged 17
last season. He's on year two. He's
going to win most improved player in
year three. I just I I love when and
sometimes this doesn't happen, right?
But I love when you have a out of
nowhere type of guy. Um who was on my
ballot last year for most proof? I don't
remember. But oh yeah, it was 100%
Nikquille. Nikquille is the perfect most
improved player type of guy. Those are
the guys I love to see. He went from
nine points per game to 20 to 20. Like
those are the guys, not the guys that
was already projected like Stefan Castle
is projected to be an alldefensive
player this season. Just just straight
up based on based on everything. So I
don't like that. Um, but the let's get
back to the surprise guys. Like even a
even a Colin Gillespie last season, I'm
like, "Yeah, that's a guy that should
get some love for most improved player."
Not not the Jamar Rats of the world.
Shout out to Jaw though. Cat will make
all NBA first team Super Bowl
prediction. I respect it. Absolutely
not. I'm clipped. Minnesota be the be
exciting to watch. Make a run beating
OKC the Spurs then get trounced. Oh, I
haven't seen that word I don't know ever
by the other. Yeah, that's the tough
part about being not one of these teams.
And somebody said that, you know, one of
these teams is not going to represent
the West. You probably have to go
through both of them to get out of the
Western Conference and then and then
play against whoever's out east. That's
so impossible in my mind. Halleurn will
make the Pacers a top three in the East
along with the Knicks and Cavs. I'm a
true believer in the Cavs regular
season, by the way, and maybe in the
postseason, too. I don't know. I know
James Harden got the history of stuff,
but the the Cavs should be another 55
win team this season. It would be a bad
season for Boston and Robinson would
struggle. Talking about Mitchell
Robinson. It took me a second like what
Robinson's in Boston. Yeah. No, not not
Duncan but Mitchell. Portland will suck.
What that mean? What that mean though?
You talking 26 win suck or you talking,
you know, slight step back from being a
70 suck. I I don't know what's Christian
Brown surprise people for the Nuggets. I
hope so. Oh, they Murray betrayed. Oh my
god. Scotty Barnes McG. Hey, those are a
ton of like he looked at the Robbie
eyeballs looked at the prompt that said
bold prediction and basically gave us
nothing but bold predictions. I applaud
you. I applaud you. Nothing but the uh
the least bold of these all are probably
man. Scotty Barnes is one of them on
one. So I don't think it's that bold to
think he can be on the second team.
Speaking of Scotty Barnes, Scotty
Barnes, the DPY finalist making first
team and all second team. Okay. So yeah,
I think that um we talked about this on
the pod the other day that sometimes the
voters feel like they could be a little
bit late on the defensive tip, right? I
thought it was a no-brainer that Scotty
Scotty Barnes should have been all
defensive first team. He obviously was
not. And I think that because of how he
finished the season as far as the
postseason, how he I want to call him a
oneman army because a lot of people
contributed to that. Jacobe Walter had
two 20point games and you know the
rookie was out there, Kyler Boy was out
there doing great stuff and so on and so
forth. I don't want to say he
single-handedly took the team to seven,
but damn it, he was really great to
taking a team to seven. So, I think that
the the voters are going to catch up and
like be like, "I fault for putting you
on the second team defensively. We gonna
put you on the first team this year,
even if he was worse defensively this
year than last year." You feel me? And
uh, whoa, they say Shay's going to win
his third MP somehow becoming even more
efficient and clutch. I just don't know
how realistic it is for Shay to be even
more efficient and clutch. And it sounds
like Glaze, and maybe it is, but the guy
is the the pillar of efficiency from the
guard position. I don't know how he can
get more, especially in a regular, I
don't know how he can get more efficient
than what he just did. I like is that
even like truly is that even possible?
He's coming off one of the most
efficient guard seasons in the history
of this sport. If he do it, if he can
get even more efficient, yeah, give him
a war. But I just know voter fatigue is
real. Voter fatigue is real. OKC wins
his second chip. Hi comes back better
than ever in second team. Yet the Pacers
are first round exit. The Raptors make
the conference final. Some tell me you
ain't got no you ain't got no uh flare
here, but some tell me you might be a
Raptors fan. A couple Raptors
predictions in here. Okay. Wolves make
it to the Western Conference Finals.
Melo is what Ant needed to break up the
break into the upper tier. He's known
only first team in MP talks.
Interesting. Patience went 60. Okay. 60.
Yeah, that's a bold prediction. Now, let
me see that profile picture. Okay. I
don't see TJ McConnell profile picture.
60. 60 wins is a lot. Last year, what do
we just have two 60 three win teams? 60
on the dot for the Pistons. Yeah. And
then OKC and the Spurs. 60 is not easy
to do whatsoever. So, that is a bold
prediction. Uh Rudy Gobear knocks Oh,
I'm sorry. Rudo Bear knocks down not one
but two three-pointers. Let Rudy shoot.
Let Rudy shoot. Let Rudy shoot. He's
going to see LaMelo throw some crazy
onelegged
I don't Okay. Do I have to I'm going to
Google this. Let's hope it's not bad
words. H why I cannot. Why not I? I I
don't know. English is is my only
language. Um even though I took four
years of Spanish back in the day. I know
like six words. Um nobody got any bulls
predictions. Come on, bro. Man, not a
single Bulls prediction in this thread.
Oh my god. And then the one I see says
this, the Bulls contend with Kings for
worst record in the league. All right,
I'm gonna wrap this