The Surprising Health Effects Of The Carnivore Diet - Dr Layne Norton
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Dr. Layne Norton begins his analysis of the carnivore diet by acknowledging its potential benefits, noting that any regimen encouraging reduced processed food consumption and increased satiety likely outperforms the standard American diet for many individuals. However, he questions whether strict adherence to a meat-only protocol is necessary or if one could achieve similar health outcomes while retaining dietary fiber. He addresses common criticisms from carnivore proponents who dismiss fiber as mere filler that humans do not absorb well enough to matter; Dr. Norton counters this with extensive human data showing consistent positive associations between fiber intake and reduced mortality, cardiovascular disease, and cancer risk. He explains the concept of a forest plot used in meta-analyses, where nearly all studies place dietary fiber on the side favoring health benefits, often demonstrating a dose-response relationship where every 10-gram increase in fiber correlates with a significant relative reduction in these risks. A central point of contention regarding red meat involves its classification as a probable carcinogen by organizations like the WHO and concerns over saturated fat raising LDL cholesterol. Dr. Norton argues that many studies linking high red meat intake to poor health outcomes suffer from confounding variables, such as participants consuming processed meats or low-quality diets alongside their protein sources. He cites a 2020 study from Alberta, Canada, which controlled for diet quality by comparing different levels of fruit and vegetable intake against red meat consumption; the findings suggested that individuals eating high amounts of both red meat and produce had lower cancer risks than those with low meat but also low produce intakes. This highlights how current data often reflects poor overall dietary habits rather than an inherent danger in high-quality animal protein itself, leading Dr. Norton to maintain a strong defense for nutrient-dense meats despite industry biases against them. The debate over saturated fat and LDL cholesterol is further complicated by the limitations of short-term randomized control trials (RCTs), which cannot capture the decades-long timeline required for heart disease development. Dr. Norton critiques early studies like the Minnesota Coronary Experiment, noting flaws such as non-consecutive housing of psychiatric patients, a duration of only two years, and the inclusion of trans fats in the polyunsaturated fat group at that time. He uses an investment analogy to illustrate how small differences in annual returns become negligible over short periods but compound significantly over forty years; similarly, heart disease risk accumulates through lifetime exposure to LDL cholesterol rather than immediate symptoms felt by patients. Consequently, relying on two-year trials to make long-term health claims is scientifically insufficient for predicting cardiovascular outcomes. To address the limitations of traditional RCTs regarding genetic predispositions and lifelong lipid profiles, Dr. Norton highlights Mendelian randomization studies that emerged around 2008–2009 as a more robust methodological approach. These studies utilize natural genetic polymorphisms where individuals are born with varying capacities to secrete LDL cholesterol without affecting other metabolic functions, effectively creating a lifetime randomized trial within the population itself. The data from these trials reveals a straight-line correlation between lifelong exposure to higher LDL levels and increased incidence of heart disease. Mechanistically, he explains that while small oxidized LDL particles can penetrate endothelial linings more easily due to their size, large LDL particles deposit significantly more cholesterol per particle; ultimately, both types are equally atherogenic because the damaging agent is apolipoprotein B within the lipoproteins rather than the lipid content alone. In conclusion, Dr. Norton emphasizes that skepticism often intensifies when scientific evidence opposes personal beliefs, noting how carnivore advocates might reject data on saturated fat just as skeptics would dismiss fiber benefits if they held opposing views. He clarifies the distinction between relative and absolute risk reductions to prevent misinterpretation of statistical findings in media reports. While he acknowledges that some individuals thrive on a strict meat-only diet due to eliminating processed foods, his primary concern with carnivore proponents remains their low intake of dietary fiber and preference for very fatty cuts high in saturated fat. Despite the controversy surrounding these topics, Dr. Norton maintains an evidence-based stance rooted in long-term epidemiological data and genetic studies rather than short-term trials or anecdotal feelings of well-being that may precede a heart attack.
Read the full video transcript
what do you think about Carnival as a
diet speaking of extremes that hate you
um
so I will give a devil's advocate
argument for it that any diet that is
going to get people to eat less
processed foods and more filling
satiating Foods is going to be a diet
that does better than the standard
American diet so I have no doubt that
there are people who go on Carnivore and
they get
healthier the the question really
becomes
why did you need to do that could you do
that and still have some dietary fiber
and get the benefits of that um and
so I have had Carnivor
Carnivor carnist push back against me
well dietary fiber is just it's just
filler you don't even absorb it in fact
in carnivore I don't even poop as much
because uh you know I'm absorbing so
many more nutrients and blah blah blah
blah and I always find these really like
Olympic level mental gymnastics
interesting because it's not like we
don't just have tons of studies in
humans looking at this with actual hard
human health
outcomes and what they'll what the
criticism of a lot of these studies is
because one of the downsides of
nutritional studies is it's hard to do
multi-year randomized control trials
you're going to lock someone in diet
jail for three years at a time yeah I
mean I think people have this
misunderstanding that there's just like
this random pool of people that are test
subjects for different studies that just
sit there waiting patiently for the
researchers to come get them and that's
their life's purpose and it's like no
they're people like you and me who see a
flyer and go I'll try that and you know
a lot of them drop out why because the
more controlled you try to make it the
less likely people are to do it I mean a
great example is people like why didn't
they do more studies in bodybuilders and
I'm like cuz they suck his test subjects
cuz what happens when you're a
bodybuilder who gets randomized to the
low protein arm of a protein study
you're immediately dropping out right
yeah or if you've got a bias if maybe
you think a low carb diet's really good
and you get randomized to a high carb
diet see you you know so it's hard to do
these for long periods of time and keep
a level of control so we have to rely on
a lot of times shorter term randomized
control trials looking at markers of
Health that are hopefully predicting
longer term Health outcomes and
long-term cohort studies now cohort
studies are uh kind of an arm
epidemiology you have your
cross-sectional studies which are we
look at this population and this
population who has a greater rate of X
disease and what differences do they
have well those are difficult because
there's a lot of confounding variables
cohort studies are a little bit better
because what you're doing is you're
tracking the same people over say 20 30
years
you're not doing any intervention but
you're seeing okay these people ate more
fiber versus these people and had this
outcome now what I'll say is the reason
I became quite convinced of the
healthfulness of dietary fiber is
because are you familiar with a forest
plot so a forest plot um this became
famous because James wils was on Joe
Rogan debating uh the game changers a
long time ago and kept bringing up a
forest plot cuz uh the person he was
debating didn't know what it was uh
essentially if you have a meta analysis
of studies and you have a center line
which means no effect no overall effect
of treatment and then on one side of the
line You'll have favors X treatment
other side of the line favors why
treatment and then you plot each of the
studies where they land so if you have
like this side is fabers dietary fiber
for decreasing cardiovascular disease
mortality cancer literally everything
study is on this side positive yes right
you might have some that like didn't
show a significant effect or not a huge
effect but they're all on this side um I
am not aware of any cohort study that
showed fiber or fruits and vegetables
did not have at least a neutral and most
of them show a very positive dose
response effect on mortality
cardiovascular disease and response so
meaning uh if they do what's called a
meta regression so they look at the
different um levels of dietary fiber
intake takes in these cohorts then try
to compare that to their risk of
mortality cardiovascular disease and
cancer they can basically say for
example in one metaanalysis that was
recent I think it was with over a
million
subjects for every 10 G increase in
dietary fiber there was a corresponding
10% decrease in the relative risk of
mortality cancer and cardiovascular
disease now before anybody goes well I'm
just going to eat 100 grams of fber a
and live forever we are talking about
relative risk and it's important to
point out the difference which a lot of
people don't get when they hear these
things reported on the on the news so
when I say a 10% decrease in the risk of
mortality if we're looking at say and
I'm just making up numbers here but if
we're looking at say a 60y old person
and their risk of mortality in the next
10 years is 20% right it's probably not
it's probably different than that but
let's say it's
20% a 10% relative risk reduction is an
absolute reduction of 2% because 2% is
10% of
20% so for every 10 G increment of
increased fiber they showed a 10%
decrease in the risk of these different
diseases and
mortality
if there are other things that there are
claims about like for example PE people
on Carnivore it's so funny they'll be
like why are you trying to you know
discourage high quality animal protein
consumption I'm like sorry not to sound
Curt but do you know who I am like have
you done any like background on me my
research was funded my lab was funded by
the national Dairy Council the egg
nutrition center and the national
Catalin beef Association if anybody has
a bias towards highquality animal
protein it's me I'm just not crazy and
when we look at say a great example is
red meat so even the who has categorized
red meat as probably carcinogenic
um I don't necessarily believe it's
carcinogenic based on the research
that's out there and the reason
is a lot of studies don't show that it's
carcinogenic a lot of these cohort
studies don't see where the getting it
from well I would say the the over half
of them do but some of them don't and if
you look at the confounding variables of
people who are high red meat consumption
it's not like we're talking about
bodybuilders eating sirloin you know
most of them are getting it from like
processed sources of red
meat and uh red meat one of the problems
with these studies as well is if you are
eating more of one thing you're
typically eating less of another thing
and actually red meat intake is actually
quite a good proxy for poor diet quality
so there was a really good study from I
think maximova in Canada Alberta Canada
in
2020 and they looked at trying to
control for diet quality so they did uh
basically tertile so three different
levels of red meat intake with three
different levels of fruit and vegetable
intake and looking at the incidence of
cancer and what they found was that at
low intakes of fruit and vegetable
intake yes there was an association of
high meat red meat intake with cancer
but at high levels of fruit and
vegetable intake and high levels of red
meat consumption the risk of cancer was
actually lower
than low red meat consumption with high
fruit and vegetable consumption because
people who are eating a lot of meat and
a lot of fruit and vegetables they're
probably not eating a lot of lowquality
foods because you just don't have a a
bunch left in your diet for that so is
the primary concern or the biggest risk
that you're worried about from carnivore
low dietary fiber that's one and then a
lot of them are choosing very fatty cuts
of meat that are high and saturated fat
and there is a big debate amongst diet
tribes about the whether saturated fat
is bad for you um because it raises LDL
cholesterol and there's a debate around
LDL cholesterol and I will give you the
Devil's Advocate argument for that and
then I will give you what the research
says so in 2005 when I was in grad
school I was in the camp of LDL doesn't
really matter it's more about the ratio
of HDL to LDL the good cholesterol to
bad
cholesterol and if you look at the
research studies there was a lot of kind
of disagreement in the research
literature and a lot of the randomized
control trials didn't really show an
effect of lowering saturated fat on the
risk of heart disease but here's the
problem with randomized control trials
is they're very short heart disease is
not something that develops in two years
it develops in 40 years heart disease is
not the difference between you dying at
age 40 and age 80 it's the difference
between you dying at age 80 and age 72
and so a lot of these randomized control
trials they're using I mean the
Minnesota coronary experiment is one
that gets cited by carnivore people a
lot uh Paul alino sites a lot and it was
a Ina and the big the strengths of it
were it was impatient there were
psychiatric patients and they either fed
them high polyunsaturated fats or high
saturated fat diets and looked at the
differences in heart attack rates or
heart
disease now the the what they don't tell
you about that experiment is those
people were not housed consecutively the
average duration of each sub of the
subjects in that study which was two
years and they were like I think the
average age was like mid-40s it's not
super common for people in their 40s to
get heart attacks even those who are
inclined to get it and they were in and
out of these psychiatric Wards they
weren't consecutively and the
polyunsaturated fat group included trans
fats which at the time now are largely
out of the food supply but back then
were a big part of the the food supply
so it's not really an experiment that
carries a lot of weight and again it's
only two years it's hard to see
differences if you and I invest in a
mutual fund so with LDL cholesterol
you're looking at a lifetime exposure
risk really how much are courses through
your arteries over the course of your
life I like to compare it to investing
if you and I invest in if you invest in
a mutual fund that gets 8% and I invest
in one that gets 9% if we look at out in
two years I mean I'll have a little bit
more money but practically you'll go
it's no difference but if we look out in
40 years I'm G to have a lot more money
than you right and so heart disease is
kind of the same it takes time to really
see these differences and people on
Carnivore wall say well I feel great you
can feel great right up until you have a
heart attack like heart disease is not
something you
feel now so looking at LDL cholesterol
what really changed my mind on it
because again I was in that camp was
what we called the melan randomization
trials that started coming out around
2008 2009 now mandelian randomization is
where they look at your your body
people's bodies naturally have like
polymorphisms on genes so you'll have
people who secrete naturally more or
less LDL but these polymorphisms don't
affect other areas of metabolism so what
you have is essentially is a great
lifelong randomized control trial of
people exposed to more LDL cholesterol
versus people exposed to less LDL
cholesterol and when you look at
that the exposure to Lifetime LDL
cholesterol you can basically draw a
straight line through it between that
and the incidence of heart disease and
if we look at a mechanistic level LDL
cholesterol they have shown
mechanistically penetrates the
endothelium it's actually not the
LDL necessarily it's the fact that it
contains a protein called apolipoprotein
B which apolipoprotein D is what
actually damages the indium and allows
it to penetrate and then deposit the
cholesterol there now some people have
said well it's not LDL you don't have to
worry about the large LDL gotta worry
about the small oxidized Lal I don't
know if you've ever heard this this
argument it's a very popular argument um
and so what is true is that small
oxidized LDL can more easily penetrate
the endothelium
but it deposits less total
cholesterol large LDL does not penetrate
it as easily but it still penetrates it
but it deposits more LDL or sorry it
deposits more cholesterol per LDL
particle the net effect is both are e
equally
atherogenic and
so if it's funny I tell people when
something aligns with our personal
beliefs our level of skepticism is
basically nothing when something opposes
our personal beliefs it's like this
right are we just are so skeptical and
so I tell carnivores all the time if red
meat had
the the the data that fiber has behind
it to support it being a health food you
all would lose your freaking Minds
anytime anyone even suggested that it
might be bad for you but because it
doesn't align with your personal belief
system you won't hear a bar of it in
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