Video summary
Mads Larsen, an evolutionary psychologist from Norway, argues that declining birth rates represent a severe existential threat rather than merely a demographic trend to be managed with financial incentives. He and his colleague Leif Ekenberg introduced the concept of "involuntary single women," highlighting how dysfunctional dating markets prevent many people from finding partners within their reproductive window. Larsen explains that while fertility researchers often dismiss low birth rates as acceptable or assume future rebounds, data shows a self-reinforcing decline; for instance, maintaining Norway's current rate of 1.4 means losing one-third of the generational size per generation, leading to a projected loss of 70% in just three generations and eventual societal collapse if trends continue toward levels seen in South Korea (0.7). The core mechanism driving this crisis lies in human mating psychology evolving over six million years from a promiscuous system to one involving pair bonding for paternal investment. Larsen notes that modern societies, particularly since the 1960s sexual revolution and subsequent female empowerment, have created an environment where women can choose partners freely without economic dependence on men. This freedom has led to stratification in mating markets: high-value men attract many short-term mates while low-income or less attractive men are excluded entirely. Consequently, women's standards for long-term partners rise based on their access to a vast pool of short-term options online (e.g., Tinder), making it increasingly difficult to find monogamous matches with similar mate value, effectively creating a bottleneck that prevents reproduction despite high societal support for parenting. A significant point of contention in the debate is the fear among researchers and politicians that acknowledging these demographic realities will lead to regressive policies or attacks on women's reproductive rights. Larsen refutes this by asserting that Norway's right-wing parties are already feminist social democrats, making a return to patriarchy highly unlikely despite such fears being used as an excuse for inaction. He criticizes the prevailing strategy of waiting ten years for fertility rates to naturally recover due to older mothers having children later, noting there is no data supporting this hope and that it delays necessary interventions. Furthermore, he challenges the assumption that fewer people will automatically solve climate change; instead, collapsing societies with aging populations may lack the cooperative cultural psychology required to implement the technological solutions needed for net-zero goals by 2050. Larsen concludes that solving this crisis requires moving beyond simple financial subsidies, which research shows are ineffective at boosting fertility significantly once costs exceed a certain threshold (e.g., paying millions per child). Instead, he advocates for cultural experiments and new dating arenas that respect women's freedoms while addressing the evolutionary mismatch between modern economic independence and reproductive needs. He emphasizes that this is not about blaming individuals but understanding how human nature interacts with specific environments to produce self-eradicating outcomes. While acknowledging the difficulty of changing deep-seated norms, he insists on experimenting with novel solutions rather than resigning ourselves to demographic decline, warning that without action, Western nations face a future defined by empty cities and ghost towns where society can no longer function or address global challenges like climate change.
Read the full video transcript
you managed to get yourself in
trouble well I uh I tried to get my
country of Norway to start taking the
fertility crisis seriously and as we've
seen in Many Nations people are
unwilling to do that and uh yeah that
motivated some uh some attacks along Al
along that way how did all of this
start well it started with with an
article that uh me and Le caner a
profession Evolution psychology wrote
earlier this year where we uh concept
iiz and theorized the concept of
involuntary single women in
syns um and then uh I did some
interviews about that and uh PE people
weren't happy um they felt that talking
about involuntary single women was was
uh misogynistic and uh they didn't want
to connect that to uh declining
fertility what's the line between
talking about involuntarily single women
and misog
well one of the main drivers of low
fertility is that people is having too
hard of a time to find Partners so women
either do not find a partner with whom
they can have children or they find one
too late so that the reproductive window
is shortened so this means that uh women
aren't having the children they would
like to have in Norway women would like
to have 2.4 children and they're having
1.4 so um dysfunctional dating Market is
an important contributor uh to this uh
fertility
crisis okay and how's that Mass
istic um that is a bit of a puzzle that
I think I have eventually uh managed to
solve through going through this process
um many felt that uh if you uh bring the
attention to how the dating Market works
for women you are some somehow blaming
women for low fertility and as an
evolutionary scholar um I would never
think of assigning blame to any groups
we are born into this environment with a
certain nature and that plays out
differently in different environments
and now we've created an environment
where it has become very difficult for
women to find
Partners what are the specifics of the
mating psychology that are going on that
are contributing to making this
environment difficult for women in that
regard well we are the first um first
Societies in in human history that have
um that have individual partner choice
no other Society have done that before
it's always been different extents of
various degrees of arranged marriage um
so when we opened this up in the 1960s
we talked about this last year how this
six million year buildup to the today's
mating regime and when we open these
mating markets up what has happened is
actually quite predictable as a
consequence of the difference between
women's promiscous attraction systems
and parir bonding attraction systems and
uh the regular fertility researchers do
not understand these mechanisms um for
everyone it's just a big puzzle while
we're no longer partnering up and and
cre creating children but from an
evolutionary perspective it's it's quite
predictable explain that dig deeper for
me well as as we talked about the last
time six million years ago with our last
common an ancestor with chimpanzees we
made it promiscuously which is what most
which is what most animals do so there
um women or females are incentivized to
be very chicy they're supposed to uh
give mating opportunities predominantly
to the most successful males CU that is
the most effective way of Distributing
uh beneficial genes to the population so
um and then because of the development
of our species around four million years
ago we uh evolved a different attraction
system pair bonding attraction system
and there that's more um say egalitarian
because then it's it's uh you want
paternal investment from the male and
then a woman will typically then pair
bond with a with a male of similar
partner value so you having a
promiscuous system mating opportunities
going to the most to only to the mostly
to the most attractive males and in a
parir bonding attraction system it
spreads more evenly H but we didn't
become a Pure PA bonding species we have
a mixed system we both have an
promiscuous attraction system and a
parab bonding attraction system and for
every human Community has existed a
fundamental challenge that's been how to
reconcile women's different preferences
according to those attraction systems in
a way that allows functional mating uh
now men are different uh our their
promiscuous attraction system is very
very inclusive most men would sleep with
most women While most women would sleep
only with a small proportion of men um
so what what happened when we tried to
um introduce this system for the first
time with the West Second Sex revolution
in 18th century things went very poorly
because we didn't have contraceptives
and we were so poor that breaking up uh
was very hard and women weren't
independent they were dependent on men
so you had a very high rise in
illegitimacy because women competed for
the most attractive male and when when
they became pregnant a lot of the time
the man just moved on which wasn't
allowed a century earlier so then we had
a pullback with Romanticism and we went
back to we connected culation to par
bonding again but then in the 1960s with
uh birth control and post World War II
Prosperity we were able to implement
this system and then because of this uh
this gap between women's promiscuous and
uh parir boning attraction systems we've
seen an increasing stratification among
men where some men at the top uh get an
increasing amount of mating
opportunities and then while men at the
bottom are being uh excluded from mating
both longterm and short-term that means
relationships and uncommitted sex
respectively um and if and if we people
can't find somebody to partner with if
they can't PA bong it's just much less
likely that they will reproduce so as
the the single rate has skyrocketed over
the past four five decades you also see
an increase in in low fertility
what are the stats that convinced you
this was an
important um area to look at both from a
birth rate standpoint but then also from
a relationship satisfaction Singleton
standpoint as
well well so in Norway the fertility
rate is
1.4 and uh experts haven't wanted to
portray this negatively they've said
that well it's low but the population
going to continue increase and people
have an impression that s ahead this
will have drastic consequences but the
fact is that with a fertility rate of
1.4 you lose onethird of your
generational size per generation so in
only three generations we will have lost
70% of the children and that is if we in
Norway are able to keep a fertility rate
of 1.4 the leading experts in this field
predict that the rates will just
continue to decline as they have for a
long time now not so long in Norway but
in other nations it seems to be a
self-reinforcing process whereas people
get used to there being fewer children
even though they want more for each
generation people want less children so
if our um fertility rate keeps falling
for instance down to South Korea's level
of
0.7 then in three generations 100 people
in generational sizes reduced to just
four and in the next generation one
which means countries will be empty and
that is a that is a that is a very real
existential threat uh that experts and
populations have not so far wanted to
take seriously and that's what I I tried
earlier this year by spurring this
debate in Norway and um yeah people
weren't ready for it but uh but it is
moving along and uh people are
contributing and with time I think
people will accept that this is an
existential threat perhaps the greatest
challenge of our era and then we perhaps
can start experimenting with ways to uh
to find a way to motivate people to
reproduce
again yeah I mean I've been hopping on
about this what to me felt like kind of
late uh but the internet and maybe why
the society was still outside of the
Overton window as an early adopter but
yeah I I you'll be maybe the fifth sixth
seventh conversation that I've had on
something to do with birth rates uh
declining fertility and um I'm going to
keep on [ __ ] banging this drum
because we can think about how
much public attention has been
galvanized toward climate change worthy
cause something that people probably
should be concerned about about not
trying to destroy the ecosystem so on
and so forth yeah it's not going to
happen in 75 years there are more
pressing concerns and my biggest
learning when I started digging deep
into X risks were that you should be
triaging your efforts onto the ones that
are more Global more catastrophic and
sooner and uh there is nothing there is
nothing I mean maybe maybe you could
look at um misaligned AI nanot
technology and engineered pandemics but
even those you don't have a particularly
good prediction mechanism we know how
many one-year-olds were born last year
we know how many there are in Norway in
the UK in America in Australia we know
that number demography is Destiny as
it's called so if we know that it we
have a guarantee and one thing uh that
some people may be thinking
is why is declining birth rate a bad
thing I think this is one of the sort of
key uh areas of ignorance that a lot of
people have if they haven't thought
about it so well the the the world's
overpopulated in any case or or maybe
that just means more room or maybe that
means more jobs or maybe that means it's
easy to get into good schools or
something like that so can you just give
the overview of what a declining
population
means Downstream from that for the
people that are alive to see
it yeah absolutely uh a few weeks ago in
Norway we had this this big controversy
because up north they had to shut down a
school and people were very
unhappy um if every generation you lose
a third of your generational size
there's going to be a lot of schools
shut down and then when they grow up
there won't be enough people to step
into the jobs that exist and this across
time will age the population Gra ically
you can imagine if look at a situation
like South Korea where in three
generations you'll go from 100 to four
people um who's goingon to who's going
to keep Society Running you're just
going to have a bunch of really really
old people and this will also change um
cultural psychology we've been very
fortunate since World War II with an
with a growing
economy when we start have have to fight
when we have negative growth or or stall
growth we're going to be fighting over a
shrinking pie and our specie tends to
get quite unpleasant in those
situations um also you would think this
is connected to the this is this this
has some interesting connections on
several levels with the climate crisis
one thing is that people assume that
this will be a slow decrease and that
having fewer people will be good for the
climate in a way that is true that is
one factor but if we're going to solve
the climate crisis we're going to have
to make a lot of progress between now
and and say 2050 when we're supposed to
reach Net Zero and it's possible to do
that but if we have to channel more and
more of our of our uh resources toward
taking care of the elderly and we see
societies start solely disintegrating
and becoming we'll have more and more
ghost talents and and the cultural
psychology turns
uncooperative I don't think we're going
to be able to make those technological
steps to allocate those resources that
we need in order to get there so I I
think solving the climate change climate
crisis and other challenges that we have
in the decade head it's just going to be
a lot harder if we have uh a collapsing
population numbers and also um because
of the climate crisis people are less
willing to engage uh low fertility
because they assume that it will be
beneficial so some people are they're so
used to the to the to the challenge of
overpopulation which we talked about for
Generations so that switching your mind
and thinking about a brand new problem
that goes against the previous concern
it's just really difficult but if we
don't have these discussions
now things do not look good we're going
to have to start experimenting and see
what we can do soon because I'm pretty
sure very few people would want to live
in societies where there are less and
less young people and where we
eventually disappear and that is where
we're headed now this isn't this isn't
some temporary thing this is a really
large Trend and experts think it will
only get worse so at some point we have
to take this seriously and see what we
might be able to do about it yeah maybe
uh not the best thing for us to bond
over but the UK's recent census data
came out and said that we were at I
think
1.44 uh compared with Norway's 1.4 so
just for uh Clarity to run those numbers
again because it's very difficult to
work out what
1.4 multipli by 1.4 multip by 1. for
when you need two or 2.1 um that means
that last year there were
5917 to births in England and Wales in
2023 that's the lowest number since
records began the lowest number that
that has ever been recorded 1.44 that
means that 100 people in Britain today
will have 52 grandchildren between them
and only
37 great-grandchildren so in a 100 years
time you're talking about 63% of the
population being wiped out every 100
Norwegians 30 great-grandchildren and
for every 100 South Koreans four yep
that's those are those are terrifying
numbers and that we're not sounding the
alarm and refusing to talk about it it's
it's it makes you feel like you're in
that movie don't look up I mean the
asteroid is heading straight for us but
out of uh misplaced concerns political
concerns confusion we're not willing to
accept the facts the way they are and i'
I've I've experienced that in Norway
over the past months U I've talked to
quite a few of the leading experts and
people that research fertility people
that work on this in the government and
they all have this unified um approach
to this that we can't portray this as a
negative thing we this is this is I mean
this is their this is what they research
this is what this is all they do and
they are concerned but they're afraid
that if if they tell people how
seriously how serious this is somehow
the politicians won't take them
seriously they will think their alarmist
this could affect their career and their
funds and they're hoping like the
current strategy among uh commentators
in the media and among
researchers is that somehow those
children that weren't born when women
were in their early 20s and late 20s and
early 30s will now over the next 10
years be born when women are in their
late 30s and in their early 40s so
there's no data that supports that this
will happen but the researchers are
assuming that if we just wait 10 years
perhaps the fertility rate in best case
scenario will go up to 1.7 because women
around 40 will start having so many
children that it really boosts the
fertility rate and that could happen
it's not impossible but it's a really
usling strategy after we waited now for
15 years while this has has plummeted
that we should wait 10 more years before
we portray this negatively because the
rate could go up uh over the next 10
years it seems strange to me that
somebody doing research into the literal
future of the human species forget the
kind of projected future of the
environment that the potential human
progeny will inhabit climate these are
this is the number of people that are
going to be around in future it seems
odd to me that when you're able to to
throw soup over a van go or glue
yourself to the M25 in protest of big
oil or whatever um and and you know even
the more sort of downto Earth data
sciency people Hannah Richie from our
world in data uh who specializes in
climate science being on the show you
know she's she doesn't pull any punches
when she's talking about the climate you
know she's really and she's as as
sciency and Evy as it's possible to be
seems odd to me that these
researchers would think that they
wouldn't be taken seriously if they gave
what are to be honest much more easily
verifiable pieces of data that will
occur in a much shorter time about
something that's a pretty big threat to
human
civilization yeah no I mean we will get
there uh South Korea uh the government
there is pretty clear they said not too
long ago that this is this is the point
of no return if we don't get the
fertility rate up now we're going to
disappear uh not there yet this is a
process Finland is a little bit ahead of
Norway a colleague of mine she's been
running the debate there for three years
and three years ago they had the same
anger and the and the attacks on people
who who said that this was a really
serious problem uh but after a process
of a few years the population and
politicians have gotten to where they're
now taking this seriously and they're
going to start experimenting to see what
they can do and also here in Norway the
politicians are beginning to take this
seriously strangely they're taking it
more seriously in the researchers that
that that under well that have the data
and work on this so we just uh
established a national birth rate
committee uh that will uh study this and
see what kind of solutions they may
suggest uh I don't have too high hopes
to anything substantial coming from
there they're probably going to try to
throw a little money on the problem when
we know from other countries that that
doesn't work um giving giving money to
parents to have children it doesn't have
an effect that in those instances there
are certain ways you can boost the
numbers a little bit but then suddenly
you're paying a million dollars or $2
million per extra child so it's it's not
it's just not feasible uh but the
researchers that are doing
this and and those that are working on
it and the government they uh they have
what I think at least are misplaced
fairs I wasn't I wasn't a a debate um
last week uh with someone from the birth
rate committee and someone from the
Ministry of Finance and
the woman from the ministry of finances
started by showing the audience um a
kind of
frivolous equation she was showing that
uh having more children uh would be
negative for the national economy
because in Norway we a very generous
welfare state and we have oil money
every group um in the population is is
is a net negative so she was making that
kind of jokingly saying that well at
least children aren't profitable for us
and then later in the debate because I
was so curious and I've been curious for
so long why they're not portraying this
with the seriousness that it that it
requires they all have this attitude
that okay let's talk about it but not
negatively and then when I pushed her on
it and I asked her just to amuse me
could could you say could you confirm to
the audience that 1.4 means that we lose
the third of the generation and she did
that she finally did that yes that is
true but you can't portray this so
negatively because then you will empower
the political forces on the right so
there's this belief that if we talk
about low fertility there's going to be
there are going to be these people on
the right that will deprive women of
their uh their Reproductive Rights and
we will be taken back to the Dark Ages
and at least in Norway the risk of that
is infantis infantism small we even our
right R party are from a international
perspective uh feminist Social Democrat
I don't think I I don't I don't think us
having this discussion and taking things
seriously is going to turn us into the
handmaid's tale but this is this is a
common assumption also some some of them
they're afraid that they will be
perceived as racist that if we are
concerned about a Western countries
having low fertility uh that would be
inappropriate because there are so many
people in Africa so they have all these
strange um hang strange that is that
that is Olympic level mental gymnastics
to say if we care about our country that
somehow throws into harsh light people
of a different skin color in a different
country I mean I've been banging the
drum from my conversation with Stephen J
Shaw who wrote did this amazing
documentary called birth Gap uh South
Korea's his pet project like who's who's
campaigning for the South Koreans that
are going to by their great great
grandchildren have one person for every
hundred South Koreans that there are now
there's entire schools that are empty in
Korea at the moment yeah and uh does it
not count it it only counts if it's the
dark the darker skinned people it
doesn't matter if it's the ones from the
East I wouldn't take the content that
seriously this is the beginning of a
debate that is very
confusing and at that phase of the
debate personal attacks anger those kind
of accusations tend to be quite
so uh over the last months I've been
called I've been called a misogynist a
fascist uh
because because I bring up this problem
people assume I want the government to
force women to have sex with and have
children with
incels uh and yeah so those accusation
of racism or or wanting to empower the
far right it's just the the confusing
beginning pH face of a of a really
important debate and that will only last
for so long once we once people work
their way through that and throw out
those accusation that I don't know if
they're that serious when when they
accuse people being racist I very much
applaud your patience with this but I
find it I find it so difficult you know
I my default is never to throw a label
at somebody like that I don't none of my
friends do that none of the people that
I respect care about do that either and
I just find it I find it very trying to
imagine the psychology of somebody who
defaults to to that the defaults like
this it's so boring as well it's so
[ __ ] predictable like these
these bigot well like just it's like the
bigotry dartboard and you just close
your eyes and throw a dart and whichever
one it lands on you know it could have
honestly you could have told me that
this would have been transphobia and I
would have said yep could have picked
that one as well like it's just
so obvious to me and it doesn't it
doesn't take the best of what your
interlocutor is trying to propose to you
it takes what your mental model of the
worst of it and then just tries to run
away with that so I mean fair play for
keeping your cool with regards to it do
you see you know you do seem quite even
keeled as best I can tell do you kind of
see your role at the moment as being
like the Vanguard of this political
talking point you're kind of through the
breach first and you're going to take
some arrows and maybe that's a price
that's worth paying is that kind of how
you're perceiving it well people are
people and in the cultural moment that
we live now those kind of accusations
are the weapons available um so when I I
presented uh my research for the
Norwegian uh in fertility Institute a
few weeks ago and they had been so
amazed at how I this summer had been
able to elevate this debate about low
fertility to the National level and and
trigger a really FY debate FY debate on
it they had tried to do that for years
but they weren't successful and the
reason why they weren't successful is
because they didn't portray this as as
the problem that is as serious as it is
uh while I said that this was an
existential threat and that we need to
look at how mating markets work how why
is modern dating so dysfunctional and
then I described using the evolutionary
Sciences what it is about female and
male mating psychology that in our
current environment creates a
stratification that contributes to
single them that then results in no
fertility so the way I see this there's
there's several there's there's several
u bottlenecks in the pipeline between
being single and having a child and then
I describe the different uh hindrances
along that Pipeline and and of course um
especially in a culture like the
Norwegian one a very Social Democratic
Culture The evolutionary Sciences are
not broadly embraced to say it
mildly uh and and yeah saw in I saw in
one of the articles that it referred to
it as a controversial wing of psychology
or a controversial subset of psychology
that you come from yeah and when we
published the insing article in
evolutionary Behavioral Sciences uh uh
one of the newspaper commentators
referred to this as the online
publication The evolutionary Behavioral
Sciences so yeah it's it's been strange
and also the attacks of I would say over
the last few weeks uh people in in
newspaper commentators experts even the
leader of the of the birth rate
committee have disproven my positions
about 10 or 20 of them but the weird
part is when they write these articles
to disprove my positions not a single
time have they uh argued against the
position actually have it's been
exclusively
strawman which is a little bit
predictable too and it's okay um I just
want this debate to get started and now
it has started and if that means that I
have to uh just
endure all those weird attacks and
personal attacks and and and being
discredited
well hopefully I'll be able to be in
this for the Long Haul and I hope to
contribute more productively with time
but right now the debate is going and
for that I'm
thankful let's get back to the
underlying dynamics that are driving
this sort of decline in birth rate
because it's something that we are
seeing across the world for as I'm sure
that the researchers that you were
talking with recently know uh the birth
rates especially in sort of South the
South areas of of Africa fittingly I
think Chad has the highest birth rate in
the world which is's kind of on brand
given the name um every 15 years every
15 years the birth rate decreases by one
child per mother in African countries
too so it's from 8 to 7 to six around
about every 15 years or so at least this
was when I looked at the data about 18
months ago um it may have sped up it may
have slowed down but my point being this
is a global uh situation I think
everywhere except for Israel basically
uh they've managed everybody is is
dealing with this and this was really
interesting and telling to me when I
looked at the uh news article from the
UK that came out because you had some
very country specific reasons given by
people in the comments they were saying
uh migrants Islam taxation cost of
living the covid jab who would want to
bring a human into this cruel rotten
World tap water this is good the country
is too full and this is good the world
is too overpopulated and I was thinking
well some of the stuff is kind of
universal right but a lot of that
migrants Islam taxation cost of living
covid jab uh you know this very specific
to the country and yet we're seeing
birth rates across the world change so
can you just square square the circle of
the Dynamics for me of what is
universally happening that's causing
this to occur because presumably the
intersexual Dynamics and the sex ratios
in different countries are all at
different levels and yet we seem to have
this sort of universal um degradation of
birth
rate yeah um so um Let's Line this up
along these bottlenecks that that I
talked about so um I like to view this
as as uh something that happens in three
steps first you have to be able to find
a partner you have to date you have to
find someone you have to read that your
couple and that has become increasingly
challenging the next step is that you
have to decide to have a children and
there there are different hindrances and
then you have to be able to make one now
the latter one it's not it's per it
seems not to be that big of a deal as
you're aware sperm quality has decreased
40% among men uh but according to the
experts it's still more than good enough
for making children so it's not that
we're not able to now then there are
some problems for women because they
postpone having children but women
aren't their facundity has not decreased
in all likelihood uh at the earlier ages
so so the latter bottleneck seems not to
to be a real issue um and then just to
just to just to step in there you
mentioned at the early ages but
obviously if uh the first and second one
finding a partner getting a partner then
push you into the third one the third
one can then become right I've I've
jumped ahead of ending but yeah yeah
yeah yeah no absolutely so the but the
issue that there hasn't been changes in
fund fund seems to be the same or better
than before so it's not that we're not
able to have children but yeah when
women start very late then it becomes
more problematic but that is not more
problematic than it used to it's just
that women are starting later so then we
have to look at then we have to look at
the world so where and and so where in
the world where birth rates where people
are still reproducing and growing or in
countries where female equality is not a
very high value and and and this is an
important factor this is a result of the
empowerment and Liberation in equality
uh afforded to women in the process that
has been ongoing in the west sin for
like 800 years and here it's very
important for me to State uh that I am
an enormous supporter of equality for
women I am such a big supporter of that
that I would like also women in the
future to have the same rights and
opportunities that women have today if
we continue down the path we are now and
just self eradicate those populations
that are left are not champions of
women's
freedoms so when when we go into this
and we talk about what has happened um
with women over the past say
particularly 150 years that
explains um much of the first bottleneck
but describing these mechanisms and this
process is not um doesn't mean that I
I'm against it I'm just describing these
are the mechanisms that are at play this
is how human nature plays out in certain
environments and I wish it wasn't that
way but it really seems to be that way
so this is what I I will be describing
so what we talked about last year is
that our lineage uh over the yeah it's
interesting to look at the last six
million years uh we became a pair
bonding species around 4 million years
ago and women only evolved an attraction
to
men uh that motivated sufficient pair
bonding and reproduction in really
impoverished environments so men as we
talked about because their promiscuous
attraction system is so uh generous
they're a lot more willing to have sex
with women and and engage with women
than what or a lot diff many different
kinds of women than what women are so if
if a man activates her peer bonding
attraction system that can be a man with
similar mate value as she has they fall
in love they have sex they have a child
but if you have an environment like you
have now that appeals predominantly to
or to a great extent to the promiscuous
attraction system which is what Tinder
dust Etc uh then women will be a lot
more selected so we have a few things
that have happened here women have been
empowered to have their own jobs make
their own money be free and importantly
to choose their own Partners For The
First Time in human history the result
of that has been that the better women
are doing the more they exclude uh the
lowest value men from their potential
pool of Partners and with prosperity and
with a promiscuous mating regime like we
have now or that is a lot more
promiscuous than before
female mating psychology
seems uh to channel the attention to
higher value men to avoid uh the
deception of similar value men that's
something that happens in pris when
there's High promiscuity while lower
value men in a in a in a um environment
like we have today even though they are
uh receiving less mating attraction and
having less opportunities and we see
their number of sex partners going down
they will have increased expectations of
promiscuity uh so you you get more and
more dysfunction the further away from
this third sexual revolution of the
1960s we get this is only getting worse
so the problem with creating
relationships now and this has been
something that's been in the in the
debate in Norway to an enormous extent
what women are what very many women have
said in this debate I don't know how
representative is this but their main
Point talking point is that men aren't
good enough and if men do not become
better women simply don't want to
partner with them and certainly not have
children what do you think they mean
when they say
better it's it's quite predictable women
of course because they have a because of
our evolutionary past they have a a
lower desire for partner variety while
men because by having promiscuous sex
they would leave a larger genetic ly
they have a higher desire for partner so
one Norwegian one study showed that
Norwegian women want five lifetime sex
partners and Norwegian men want 25 so
this is a question of how markets work
when you have a high demand of female
sexuality and a low Supply women will
have the power on the short-term ating
market so as we know if you if you as a
woman go on tnder now you will get
access to thousands and tens of
thousands of men and you will have men
that have much higher mate value um give
you a lot of attention and try really
hard to get a date with you and then get
you to bed so when you have that kind of
enormous choice that kind of power it's
very natural that you increase your
standards now if women understood better
and I do understand it many understand
it very well and some understand it to
some extent but this isn't this isn't a
cultural script that we're raced with
we're not offered this information when
we grow up it's just not a part of our
culture because it's mating rashim is so
new but it's it's a big difference
between a short and a long-term mating
market so if many women confuse the
power they have on the short-term mating
market with the long-term mating Market
where men and women are more equal so
the short their experiences on the
short-term mating Market motivates women
to increase their partner demands which
then when they when which they can do on
their short-term a market there's no
limits to how many attractive men they
can have there but if they want a
boyfriend then they have to go on dates
with men that have similar mating value
with them because in a monogamous regime
our specie mates assortatively people
with similar value find each other and
this makes it harder and harder for
women to find Partners uh and and the
funny thing in the debate that's been in
Norway is that so many said that oh my
God we real those men need to stop
telling women to lower their
standards uh the problem isn't that we
have high demands and and then they go
and list 10 things that men have to do
to get better so um this environment
that we live in now it just motivates
women
number one they don't need men anymore
they used to need men and those emotion
that attraction women have for men
evolved in a much more impoverished
environment were having a man was could
be of existential importance and now
they don't need him women can have
wonderful lives without men um for many
women the type of men that they would
have access to Simply isn't good enough
to justify not longer uh being single
and on an individual level that is
perfectly fine and I support it 100 % so
what women are doing on the short and
long-term Ed Market I have no issue on
that as individuals I lay no blame but
our society will disappear if we don't
do anything about this and the thing is
this is a brand new system that no human
Community has suceeded with them we've
been doing this for 50 years and these
processes these changing between uh uh
different mating regimes typic it can
take centuries some of them the older
ones took much longer even so that we
after 50 years having found a way to
reconcile individual and social needs
it's no wonder but now that we see the
effect that our inability to find
Partners leads to self eradication we
need to talk about it we need to agree
that this is a problem and that it's an
existential problem and we have to start
experimenting not by forcing women to
marry incels but to try to find if we
can create new dating Arenas if we can
increase the knowledge around this if we
can change people approach to dating and
mating then I am I am naively positive I
mean I I've studied the human or homine
mating over six million years we fac
tremendous challenges and our ancestors
solved every single one of them and the
21st Century's reproductive crisis it's
not the biggest one I I I I think we can
make changes and these fertility
researchers that I've talk with they
don't have much of an historical
perspective they look at today and they
see this is a problem they don't
understand why it's happening and then
they give up and a lot of them say we
just need to embrace low fertility we've
solved problems like this so many times
yeah go ahead how do you know that it's
women's standards being too high and not
men the standard of men
decreasing um because it's it's relative
I mean men are men and women are women
uh going out and saying to men you have
to get better I mean who would go out
and say uh somalis need to get better or
people with Down Syndrome have to get
better we don't talk like that to groups
we don't say they're not good enough and
tell them to better
themselves one because it's inhumane and
two it doesn't work you can't tell
groups to pull themselves together uh so
yeah maybe men have gotten worse and
worse maybe women have gotten better and
better but I think it's more it's
it's it's a change in that women we had
patriarchal societies where women were
subservient and dependent on men uh if
they didn't find a partner they would be
sanctioned socially hard uh they would
live in poverty many times so now that
we've created these wonderful new
societies that innate biological
attraction that women had to men that
motivated sufficient reproduction in the
past it's no longer strong enough life
is too good and given that we have to
look for new
Solutions I can see why uh somebody that
wanted to find uh potential holes or
headlines to pick in your argument would
be replete with options because uh un a
mean characterization of some of the
points that you're putting forward would
be something like so the argument is
women should get into relationships with
guys who either aren't good enough or
that don't fundamentally like that
bringing back a patriarchal or enforced
monogamy style socially enforced
monogamy not handmade stale uh socially
enforced monogamy style uh Society is
better that uh equality and women's
financial and socioeconomic Independence
is uh anathema uh to um having a a
flourishing Society therefore all of the
things that we have done should be
rolled back and the more that we roll
them back the more that we then get the
birth right to be able to flourish again
so uh I mean we've spoken about this
I've spoken about this hundreds of times
uh but it's a difficult Circle to square
to say that something which was good and
that everybody is in support of women
getting their socioeconomic Independence
women having equal access to the things
that they should women not being under
the boot of their father or their
brother or stuff like that like these
things are good in a developed society
and and yet they can also have this
externality which is well it's
misaligned with mating psychology and
downstream from that what you end up
with is this really difficult situation
and you know to the women that are
listening to especially the ones that
are struggling to find a guy that they
think is good
enough you know there's no I and this is
where we get into interventions a little
bit later on but I think it's very
difficult to say hey girls lower your
stand standards like what does that mean
what does that mean in in the same way
as telling guys that you need to do
better like what does that mean
especially at a group level you know the
individual level what you're asking
is kind of like a a what's a tragedy of
the commons type thing a God's eye view
uh coordination you individual man you
should work harder so that you can help
the birth rate or you individual woman
you should lower your standards so that
you can help the birth rate it's like
not for you you take a a personal uh
cost you pay a personal cost in order to
supply a public benefit and uh yeah it's
it's it's fascinating so okay we've got
what a couple of other things
here when women say men do better and
they've got a list of a list of things
what are the main areas because
presumably one of the places that we
should be looking at for intervention is
is how do we make men more attractive to
women in this new environment that has
to be one of the roots that you lay out
it would be stupid to not give that
information out to guys because there
will be a subset of men that go hey just
give me the cheek what is it they're
looking for again and if you just give
me that and I'll just like tick tick
tick tick tick and I'll be sweet so what
are the areas that women say men are
lacking
in well these lists that that has spread
they're they're not terribly insightful
or helpful I think but it reflects the
experiences that women have had with men
um don't be so interested in hunting and
fishing and
cars uh don't talk about yourself uh
give me the right emotional
support uh don't brag about things it
it's it's this minutia that they say
that men in general suffer from and it's
it's not men in general there's there's
there's a normal distribution among men
you have a a few men at the top that are
phal and a few men at the bottom that
are terrible and then you have just a
bunch of normal guys and and women are
right in today's environment men AR good
enough for women but then we have to ask
what are we going to do about that and I
don't know a single person I don't even
know if I've met a single person who
wants to go back to the Dark Ages and
and put women under the boot of the
patriarchy but if we really love female
freedoms as
highly as many Proclaim and I certainly
do
then we owe ourselves to start
experimenting and trying new things to
see if we can have societies that exist
in the future where women also are free
I mean the stakes couldn't be higher so
this misplaced fair that if we talk
about low fertility women will suddenly
live in oppressive patriarchies the day
after tomorrow or 10 years down the line
or 50 years down the line I mean I
understand the faar because nobody wants
to go back women don't want to be unfree
again
but what I've done in my research and in
other projects also I I I've studied the
cultural changes over the last thousand
years to see how what is it that made
modernity emerge and we never go
backwards we have these really deep
cultural changes intermittently and
they're terrible and we're living
through one now um and in those cases we
have to start entertaining new thoughts
new norms and new values and and
different community unities should try
different solutions based on what is
Salient to them based on their cultural
Legacy and I think Norway is in a unique
position here we've been spare hending
spare heading new gender relations for
150 years we've been in the Forefront of
female equality and we in scavia we have
really good culture for this we have a a
cohesive populations we have a lively
National debate or we're willing to find
an experiment with new things and find
Solutions and I think we can do it here
also and I think All Nations should do
that build on their cultural legacies
and try new things and I mean in Norway
it would be so anatha for I think the
risk of us going back to the Dark Ages
is very small but I'd be willing to uh
to suggest a suicide pact on this I mean
we're stirring towards self- eradication
let's just agree if and and I understand
women's Fair of this so let's agree
female freedoms at the level of 2024 can
never be threatened let's have that as
our starting point let's experiment with
new ways of dating and mating but never
ever anything that would involve
jeopardizing women's freedoms and if
those means that we come up with are
unable to help us increase
fertility then we'll die together we'll
disappear we'll we'll just dwindle until
there's no one left and that will be the
Norwegian way and then I'm sure some
other countries in the world will
experiment with more uh handmaid's tail
like uh like means for racing fertility
but that won't be us and and that is
that is the successful we have all these
different communities all these
different cultural legacies that make
different means Salient to us we need to
start experimenting we need to do
something because we're all disappearing
in in this part of the world yeah I um
just to kind of play the other side and
so much of what I was learning about
over the last few years to do with you
know the increasing socioeconomic
success of of women over the last 50
years particularly uh the tall girl
problem
as I've come to say that if you stand on
the top of your own status hierarchy
it's very difficult to find someone
above and across on the other one and um
yeah you know 50 years ago when Title 9
came in
and the gap between women and men in
University was smaller than the gap
between men and women now men are now
further behind in terms of their
University uh attendance than women were
when 9 a policy that was brought in to
precisely help raise up what was at the
time an underperforming minority right
or an underperforming group perhaps not
a minority and um I'm just trying to
think about like where that energy is to
help raise up underperforming men um you
know if we do have if if this is true
let's say let's let's let's take the
sort of public proclaims as accurate
that men are not being of a high enough
standard in order for women to date them
that would be like saying well women
aren't of a high enough intellect in
order to get to go to university well
what do you do you you you help you
spend billions and billions in taxpayer
funded money to create councils and
research initiatives and social change
campaigns and you help to change norms
and you raise up the group which is
falling behind but even more so in this
one the death of appropriate and
eligible male Partners directly impacts
the wellbeing of the life of the single
women who don't have anybody to date you
know you could say that kind of in a
roundabout way more smart people
including women going to University
makes for a smarter and more prosperous
world because there's like people doing
Innovation and stuff like that it's a
much less direct route right than if you
spend a lot of money helping men to
become better which I'm sure that the
men aren't going to have a problem with
it's like hey man like here's free gy
membership and mindfulness training and
blah blah blah or looking at the
socioeconomic problems which is well why
aren't men flourishing why aren't they
going to University why is it two women
for every one man doing a four-year us
college degree why do women out earn men
between 21 and 29 by over ,000 a year
the age during which the uh
socioeconomic success of your partner is
probably going to be more indicative of
your mating success when men and women
are more likely to be available and
trying to find potential Partners where
their facundity is highest so you're
going to be able to get the best bang
for your book so to speak out of your
mating efforts at stage two of the
bottleneck that we'll get on to I just
get the sense that there there really is
very little sort of charitability being
paid uh you know even the word incel uh
William Costello Andrew Thomas was on
very recently talking about it the word
incel just sort of conures up all manner
of of of maybe it needs to be rebranded
you know unfortunately it's a very great
term that was used and sort of spread
too widely as a meme but like who wants
that who wants there to be people who
want to do a thing and can't do the
thing and are sort of claing and and
desperate and and and trying and and
don't get that like that's not that'll
be like saying like a in in intellect or
something oh involuntarily stupid or
something that's the reason that women
aren't going to univ it's like no no one
said that no one thought that but
because we are dealing with men who
traditionally have been in uh a
referential position in society and
because we're talking about women's
bodies which is a very uh fraud topic
that nobody wants to come in and and
feel like they're starting to mandate
anything uh yeah you know if you talk
about situations that sort of raise up
men and men's standards that feels like
kind of manipulating the market in a way
like men no men should raise themselves
up they should try they should want to
do it it's the if you loved me you'd
know why I'm mad at you kind of argument
and then on the other side if you said
well what about women's standards being
too high go what so you're saying that
you want me to get into a relationship
with somebody that I don't like that I
don't love that isn't good enough for me
we've spent all of this time building up
as socioeconomic success finally getting
egalitarian access to all of the things
that we need and you're telling me that
now I have to row back my financial
Independence to like some weird old and
worldy 1900s 1800s Victorian England
version of mating mentality just so that
I can feel remotely satisfied with a
partner that I don't think meets my
stand and that's not going to happen so
I mean this is like a i you seem to
think it's a tractable problem but to me
it's a like a you know Spaghetti
Junction of cables that every time you
try and pull on them like today there's
been we between the two of us there's
been
like 20
absolutely unspeakable things that
you've that that one of us has said
right like that these the this area of
discussion is
so non typically done in a manner that
isn't used as a a a cudle to to hit
people over the head with or to try and
get some sort of Nefarious campaign
across that you don't nobody uses What's
called the Oxford manner right the
ability the ability to play gracefully
with ideas that's not allowed um but
yeah anyway just to kind of fight the
other side of this when women had a
problem we said what can we do to fix
Society but now that men have a problem
we say what is it that men are doing
where they can't fix themselves
yeah we don't tell but that's it's
certainly not in Scandinavia that's not
what we tell poor people just pull
yourself up by the bootstraps that more
of an American strategy but what you
said about the Insel term is very
interesting unfortunately that coin was
trimed uh or at least and spread into
the mainstream with these terrorist
attacks of the
2010s and what this has cost it's very
unfortunate I mean inels it's arguably
the most or one of the most marginalized
groups in society on some level it is
the most marginalized group these are
men that be are being deprived of Life
opportunities or just suffering in in in
solitare uh
and I've wrote One oper in Norway where
I said there's a reason why you don't
know the name of a single Norwegian
incel
uh I speak up about these matters and
I'm in a position to
endure the hatred and the attacks that
come and and they have become
increasingly grave could you imagine
what happened if a regular guy an inel
spoke up and said I have never had any
mating opportunities let me tell you how
this destroys my
life first he wouldn't be met with
compassion he'd be villainized he'd be
seen as a misogynist and a potential
terrorist so we've created the culture
where these men that are the most
marginalized and you could say oppressed
aren't even allowed to speak up about
how terrible their lives have become so
we don't hear anyone bear witness to
this marginalization women spoke up
loudly and proudly about what the
patriarchy were doing to them and they
succeeded with with liberating
themselves from that it's very difficult
to see in the short to to mid-range how
these men can be a part of the public
conversation because the costs that we
impose to them are so enormous and to
that other thing you said
about how can we race up men well that's
that's what you could call one of the
scan avian
paradoxes in raising up women as I again
thing that I mentioned to you last year
uh the Norwegian welfare state men pay
more into it in taxes than they receive
from it women receive more than $ 1.2
million from the from the welfare state
over over their lifetime than they pay
in in taxes and 1.2 million dollar it's
that's still pretty good money so and
and I think that is one of the Lynch
pens of our society the reason why
Norway according to the UN almost every
year is the best Society living in the
world is precisely because we transfer
these resources from men to women and
that allows and there's a variety of
reasons why that creates a better
Society but then a negative aspect of
that is that men lose these resources
and women gain them which is good for
society good for the women and the
children they bear but it makes men
relatively less attractive because
number one
women to a much lesser extent need the
resources of a partner and men are have
lost these resources that in previous
times would make them more attractive to
women and that's a that's a very bad
externality so we created the perhaps
the greatest Society in human history
and because of the way we did that we're
now striving towards self eradication
because we created Society where men
actually aren't good enough to entice
women's uh attraction system systems so
that women are are want to have sex with
them and pair bond with them and have
children with them and uh that is
unfortunate and like you said that is a
spaghetti what about the second
bottleneck let's say that we've managed
to weave our way through the first one
we've managed to find a partner we're
happy with them we're ready to settle
down get married and and and the
question comes up are we going to make
babies
yeah so that has to do about culture and
ideology this is what we covered the
last time over over over an hour and uh
I recently published a book called
stories of love from Vikings to Tinder
where I take the reader through a 8800e
journey of Western ideologies of love to
show how we ended up where we are today
and how that explains Our dating
dysfunction and the demographic collapse
so we now live in a world with the
mating ideology that's called confluent
love Confluence means to come together
so we're supposed to come together and
as long as that's beneficial we're
supposed to stay together when it's not
move on so it's we have serial pair
bonding interspersed with optimistic
short-term relationships so we sleep
around when we're single and hope and
preferably not when we're hitched up and
then relationships last for as long as
they last and this this the values of
this mating regime is convenience reward
and individualistic
self-realization so we're supposed to uh
to do whatever works for us as
individuals and to Modern ideology that
makes a lot of sense and uh we we've
wanted we wanted to do that for a good
while but we weren't prosperous El but
now we are and now we've implemented
this regime symbolically from
1968 uh before that to give an example
of another uh ideology of love from the
early 1800s until 1986 we had the
ideology romantic love where cultures
imposed on people they indoctrinated
them acculturated them socialized them
however you want to put it thinking that
a man and a woman as individuals they're
only half a person so you're supposed to
find that other soul that matches yours
and then you're supposed to merge in a
pair bond underpinned by very strong
true love and this love lasts a lifetime
and then you self-realize as a couple
through the bread winner housewife model
so from our perspective that that sounds
a little bit silly but impulsing those
beliefs on people push them together
together and made them have children to
a sufficient extent well you could say
maybe to a too high extent uh because
they really the population growth during
that period was enormous
so in that second bottle when it comes
to having children in earlier times in
all earlier times I'm sure there were
exceptions here and there but maybe
those weren't too functional societies
imposed on people that they had to parir
bond and have children if not you would
be sanctioned ostracized or maybe you'd
be a monk or go to war or work the
fields uh and we don't do that anymore
and we only and here's an important part
contraception we only we didn't evolve
to have this incredible desire to be
parents we have a desire for it but as
we see now it's not strong enough for
our current environment uh Evolution
Works in a way that it implants proxy
for it you're sexually attracted to
someone uh you do these things and then
in some it leads to sufficient
reproduction but now that we detached
culation from from reproduction through
effective
contraceptives those adaptations that we
evolved for the previous mating regimes
don't work as well and we also have this
ideology where had not having children
has we having children has become quite
voluntary I mean there's still some
pressure but you'll do fine without in
some Millar it's even seen as heroic not
to have children you have
environmentalists uh that think children
is wrong you have all kinds of different
anti-natalist beliefs and and this
reduces the pressure that in previous
times push people toward reproduction so
that's when people do manage to pair
bond and they have to decide whether
children you have those ideological
differences from earlier times and then
you have other environmental pressures
such as the costliness of having
children the difficulties the time
pressure Etc so uh you have all these
factors that play in there and what
politicians and fertility researchers
are drawn to are those more mundane
environmental factors so Norway probably
has the best social regime in the world
for having children we give incredible
benefits to parents and children that
there's there's probably never existed
an environment in the history of
humanity where it's more beneficial to
have children than in Norway and still
we're not doing it so what this birth
rate committee uh is probably going to
do is suggest we throw another $100
there another
there but we know from research that
that's not going to work so if if we're
going to work on this second
bottleneck it's about cultural change
and evolving towards a new ideology of
love and that sounds very inappropriate
for modern Minds we're not we're
supposed to leave individuals alone a
lot of people have said in the debate in
nor it's inappropriate for politicians
to engage but I mean if we're staring
towards self radication nothing is more
important than than the question of
existence versus non-existence so we
really should be open
uh to experimenting and trying to
question even our most sacred
values in a lot of the studies I think
that I've seen lots of the survey data
GSS data and a few others come back and
some of the highest rated reasons for
why people haven't had kids is um not
ready yet still working on myself uh
don't have the money and insufficiently
financially
secure what do you make of the sort of
cost of living and
self-actualization ideology sort of slth
thought pattern when it comes to its
contribution because at least in terms
of self-reports uh haven't found
somebody I'm sufficiently attracted to
wow didn't mean to do that haven't found
somebody that I'm sufficiently attracted
to um to be able to uh have a partner
with is very low down the list very
low y y
uh well we don't know that is the thing
about this we experts actually do not
know what the precise factors are that
have created the situation they don't
understand why people aren't had they
know some they know that urbanization is
a factor uh individualization but how
they play in how much they affect things
uh it's still a puzzle and
especially what of these factors could
be amenable to policy what is it we have
to do h what kind of society do we have
to move towards to make people again
having children it's been very
underresearched uh that is among other
things I'm I'm I'm part of a a group of
researchers that are applying for funds
now and we want to actually find this
out we want to study female and male
mating Psy reproductive psychology and
see what are the actual factors not what
people say are the factors but through
long through longitudinal studies to
uncover what the actual elements are
that motivate or demotivate
reproduction and it's it's especially
with an evolutionist psychology this has
been so under research over the last few
decades there's been so many valuable
contributions on on dating and
relationships and parental investment
partner preferences sex everything
within mating except its ultimate
function which is to reproduce that's
been enormously under research which is
which is puzzling and now it's it's
become existentially important to
understand these mechanism
I suppose you hinted at it before the
difference between approximate and
ultimate reasons you know approximate
reason sex feels good ultimate reason it
makes babies
um looking at the ultimate justification
you you it's a much more direct uh
intervention to just get straight to the
proximate because you know exactly how
that works you can manipulate it more
directly uh getting in and and sort of
the ultimate is usually the unspoken
thing it's the thing behind the thing uh
but I do wonder I was having a
conversation with a friend uh who was
telling me that he uh held his sister's
newborn baby for the first time and this
is the first member of his kin that's
been like newborn his first family
newborn he held it in his hands and as
as he was doing it immediately he had
these sort of classic visions of a
warrior man going to protect this child
it's not his child but he's pretty close
right you know he's an uncle and uh it
we had a conversation and I think
there's an odd maybe sort of
mimetic child desire that goes on that
increasingly
atomized uh non- pan generational living
where people are in their own houses
they move away from home at 18 they
don't get to see their brothers and
sisters and potentially their children
quite so much anymore everyone's in
their own Silo on top of that a
declining birth rate means that there
are fewer children around to show people
who don't yet have children that
children are a thing that you can have
how much have you considered this this
kind of um the one of the big impacts of
being around children is that it perhaps
encourages you to have children and by
that having fewer children begets
reduction in the incentive to or the
drive to have
children yeah that's that's uh that's
why the leading research in this believe
that this unfortunately is a
self-reinforcing process like I'm
mention Norwegian women want to have 2.4
children but they have 1.4 now that it's
fell to 1.4 the next generation will
probably want to have quite a bit fewer
than 2.4 and we've seen this through the
generations so we're not able to fulfill
our fertility ideals and this puts us in
a spiral that just entails us as Society
circling the drain until there's no one
left unless we're able to turn this
around yeah the fertility yeah so that's
why that's well as moving
Target yeah no that's why I mentioned at
the beginning of our conversation how
unfortunate it is that the main or
region researchers on this they're just
waiting for women around 40 to have an
unprecedented number of baby
because I mean the leading international
experts are pretty uniform they don't
all agree but they're pretty uniform
this isn't turning around it's it's they
say that it's more likely that it
continues to decline than that it tapers
off or goes up again so if we don't turn
this around likely it will only get
worse and this circling of the drain is
just going to go faster and faster until
our societies
collapse didn't someone say that the
best you can do is for the fertility
rate is to just resign and
relax yeah that was the commentator in
Norway's biggest newspaper she uh she
thought 1.4 was just that was just a
um a number that captured the moment uh
and she also so she talked to these
experts and they said yeah yeah I know
Norwegian women will start having babies
soon in their 40s so this this is going
to go up again so yeah she she actually
wrote that the best thing we could do
for the to increase theiller rate is to
resign and relax and if we do that we
disappear and then Norway's ex sexiest
woman of the year said that men were
whining and then a gay guy said that men
are trying to cry their way into women's
pants
yeah there's been and I'm grateful that
they chime in I'm I I haven't responded
to almost any of them uh I'm just glad
that people are participating in this
debate and if they want to smear men or
or want to attack my credentials or my
intentions or call me a fascist that's
just how these debates work and
hopefully this is the first phase of the
debate and then if we're able to get
past it we can agree this is an
existential Challenge and after that we
can start talking about experiments and
then executing them and maybe we can
have more research on this and and we
can have a national movement to try to
turn this around I I like I said I think
especially Scandinavian nations are the
best situated Nations for doing
something about this we should spare
this we should be in the Forefront we're
so rich and wealthy and we have such
good National conversations and we're so
far ahead in general we we've been doing
this for so long why can't we like cease
this is the biggest problem we've faced
at least in a very long time let's try
to solve it let's not resign and give
up what happened at your University when
they found out that you were researching
fertility
rates well there too I am very
understanding I I was working at a
center of of
environmentalists and they need to have
their profile and I respect that that
and when they found out that I was going
to
research declining populations from a
negative
perspective they didn't want to have
anything to do with it but I found a
different University that I'm applying
for research funds from so I'm okay but
uh well
it's people don't understand that 1.4
means that our societies will disappear
they don't see the problems with it and
they don't see how this can work against
solving the climate crisis collapsing
societies are going to develop new
technology they're not going to be
cooperative they're probably not going
to recycle too much either I mean it's
we want functioning societies stable
functioning societies for the Next
Generation so we can fix the climate
crisis and this is a new situation
before this summer there hard maybe one
or two opets a year in leading
newspapers where people said that we'll
be fine 1.4 isn't a big of a deal and
one oped wrote that this for sure won't
be as bad as the Black Death so we'll be
okay which is a pretty low B so yeah I
I I I understand I'm I'm and yeah I'm
especially for environmentalists it's
hard to wrap your head around how uh a
declining population could be a negative
thing so uh I I try to be understanding
but yeah it's it's it's yeah it wasn't
too cool I'll be okay I I applaud your
patience I really do it's uh you know
when you're I had this really great
conversation with Richard Reeves I'll
send it to you once we're done because I
think the political psychology side of
science communication activism talking
about topics that are kind of on the
edge of the Overton window I think it it
really might be good framing for you
given that he's the uh founder of the
American Institute for boys and men so
he's having a similarly unpopular
discussion and um we spoke about that
and he had this really interesting
Insight where he said that people who
talk about unpopular topics and feel uh
scapegoated or or or uh castigated or
you know insulted when they do it what
they do is they become
increasingly aggressive with their tone
because they're more and more frustrated
that they get sort of labeled as this
really nasty thing so you know you see a
lot of I think men's rights activists uh
probably a a good chunk of them get
thrown into this bucket because they've
been fighting about family court or
divorce law or you know male suicide or
whatever it whatever it is for for a
long time and because they've either
been ignored or insulted what they do is
they just keep ramping the rhetoric up I
think you could see this with the
climate uh movement too right no you
don't understand if we get past however
many parts per million in CO2 it's going
to be a problem so I'm going to throw
paint over throw soup over a painting
I'm going to glue myself to the M25 and
I'm going to do you know big big all
bigger bigger bigger and um as Richard
said the problem you have when you do
that is that you become less and
less acceptable to be understood
especially in an arena that's
increasingly inflammatory because you
are more inflammatory the way that you
communicate these ideas becomes more
aggressive which is the exact opposite
of the impact that you wanted it to have
so at the very time when you need to be
as uh peaceful and gentle as possible
you're putting this
strong argument forward but you're doing
it from a place of sort of rationality
and realism as opposed to one of like
just steaming in it's all emotion
because it's much easier to dismiss the
arguments of somebody saying something
you don't want to believe that is
already unpopular if they do it Laden
with emotion as opposed to if they come
in and they say
hey interesting St I'm just going to put
some some facts forward for you here
here's here's some things that you
should consider and they go what a
reasonable nothing that anybody can say
is that you haven't been reasonable with
the way that you've put your your points
forward and uh I I I never thought about
that before it was really interesting
I've never been an activist really for
anything I've got interests and stuff
but I've certainly felt
that uh distaste sometimes when I've
been talking about stuff to do with
men's mental health or whatever and I I
you know the r rck does get a little bit
more agitated it does get a little bit
more fiery you think ah is that actually
effective what am I doing am I using
this as a a a punching bag opportunity
to vent about my own internal
frustration at nobody listening or am I
doing this to try and make as big of an
impact as I can in the world because
those two things often are actually uh
counter to each other yeah no you asked
her earlier if if if I saw myself as
some kind of fire
brand I I wish I wasn't in imp position
I want to jump over these next two
phases and jump to the one where we
start researching this and conducting
experiments and try to turn things
around I don't enjoy being the object of
hatred and derish and having well if if
if at least they attacked something that
was actually my position but so far it's
been exclusively
stman and it's yeah it of of course it's
it's tiresome it sucks
my my department lied to a newspaper
that I was no longer connected to them I
have a contract out the air and they
just didn't want to be associated with
me the reason reason why I'm sitting
here is because uh my University would
no longer let me use the podcast Studio
which are
just bizarre I'm like just what is this
it's so
odd that's how these things work yeah I
was at a dinner a couple of weeks ago
with a a member of the birth rate
committee a very reasonable uh person
and and he said he's they haven't been
able to create debate about this and
this summer I was able to do that and
and and that noise will help them so now
now we're working through that phase
where people are just arguing and
bickering and saying this isn't a
problem and hopefully we can get to the
point where we can have a recent
discussion about this and that's when
the birth rate committee will put
forward their findings however useful or
unuseful they are I don't know we'll
have to see but then after that
something else will come I mean this
isn't a one-year conversation we're
going to be talking about this for
Generations unless we're able to turn
this around us recircle the drain I mean
it's going to become more and more
apparent how devastating how disastrous
the consequences will be of losing a
third of your generation or two thirds
of your generational size per
Generations it's it's this discussion is
not over it has just started and thank
you for for pushing this and not just
inviting me but so many others to talk
about this you're the you're one of
those who really are spting this in the
international marketplace of ideas and
that's really valuable I appreciate that
thank you yeah it's uh it's an such an
odd type of existential risk
because you know some of them F
wildfires start you feel the heat
there's black plumes of smoke in the air
or there's Smog on the ground or you
know people die in a pandemic but
demographic collapse is this sort of
really unique class of we've never faced
this problem before yeah yeah yeah no I
mean it you send an enemy at us guess
it's we're immediately going to know
exactly what to do our neighbor comes go
to war against us we're going to band
together we're going to forget all the
bickering and we're going to unite and
we're going to do our best to survive
and beat them and murder them and win
that's in our nature when we're now self
eradicating we're just what it's we've
had low fertility before but we never
had this kind of increasingly Global
phenomenon that is that just isn't
stopping it's just it's just a
continuing decline so our cultural
intuitions our cultural legacies we have
almost nothing to build on we have to
think a new we have to analyze and
understand something that is really
complex and then we have to come up with
completely novel Solutions probably and
that is a hell of a challenge we have
very little to go on here this is a
brand new
environment well I know that you've only
just published your last book which was
awesome but I mean you've got a hell of
a topic for the next one and jumping in
with two feet and doing whatever it is
that you need to do dude I appreciate
you uh I I I really do I very much
appreciate you sort of sticking your
neck out as we would say in the UK and
uh and and doing this work it'll be
interesting to see how you and Leif and
the rest of the guys get on I loved when
we met at HB last year and it's been uh
it's interesting to see where people end
up so I really hope that you sort of
make it through if people want to keep
up to date with what's happening from
your side of the world your uh data your
research and stuff like that where's
best to
go well maybe under the YouTube video
you can put a link to my stores of and
VI to Tinder it's open access so it's
free to download uh if you want to see
what I published can go to my Google
Scholar yeah thank you you can go to my
Google Scholar page and just type in my
name and and you'll see my Publications
there also research gate is good there
are different ways to find it unreal
mads until next time mate I'll see you
thank you so much Chris was a pleasure
talking to you again take care thank you
very much for tuning in if you enjoyed
that episode there is something else you
will absolutely love right here go on
give it a tap