The Government’s Biggest Scam? Inflation & Money Printing EXPLAINED | Robert Breedlove
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Robert Breedlove argues that official economic metrics like the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and unemployment rates are manipulated to create a false narrative of stability, preventing social unrest by masking the reality of high inflation and joblessness. He contends that these statistics are "baked" or revised retroactively—such as excluding volatile food and energy costs from CPI calculations—to align with political narratives rather than reflecting actual consumer purchasing power. This manipulation is driven by a desire to avoid public revolt, effectively creating an illusion where individuals feel isolated in their struggles while authorities pretend everything is fine. Breedlove extends this critique to the broader concept of central bank management, describing it as a hubristic attempt to control complex adaptive systems like weather patterns; he asserts that no one can predict or steer the behavior of 8.5 billion interconnected human psychologies through simple policy levers. The discussion shifts to the nature of capitalism and government intervention, with Breedlove asserting that true capitalism has never existed because all modern economies are hybridized by central banking, which constitutes a form of Marxist planning regarding money supply. He explains that price controls or regulations on prices distort market signals, leading to shortages or surpluses rather than solving issues like "price gouging." Using the example of copper mining after an earthquake in Chile, he illustrates how decentralized markets efficiently allocate resources based on price data without needing central knowledge, whereas centralized bureaucracies fail because they lack the bandwidth and information necessary for such decisions. He warns that violating private property rights through taxation or inflation creates a "dis-economy" where capital is misallocated, leading to societal decay rather than abundance. Breedlove contrasts the historical failures of Soviet-style communism with the potential solutions offered by Bitcoin and gold as sound money alternatives to fiat currency. While acknowledging the utility of both assets depending on future technological contexts—such as whether society remains digital or reverts to physical interactions—he emphasizes that Bitcoin offers a unique advantage through trust minimization, eliminating counterparty risk associated with fractional reserve banking. He argues that governments inevitably seize private savings during crises, citing Executive Order 6102 in 1933 which outlawed gold ownership, whereas self-custodied digital assets like Bitcoin allow individuals to protect their purchasing power from inflation and state coercion without relying on the integrity of fallible human institutions or custodians. Addressing moral obligations and government size, Breedlove rejects the idea that the state should be responsible for caring for the less fortunate through taxation, arguing instead that strong private property rights generate enough wealth to enable voluntary compassion among successful individuals. He posits that every act of taking (taxation) reduces overall productivity by disincentivizing production, whereas a free market fosters abundance that naturally supports charitable acts without coercion. The conversation also touches on the origins of government as a necessary defense mechanism for agricultural surpluses but warns against entrusting this monopoly on force to corruptible entities like central banks established outside constitutional mandates, such as the Federal Reserve created in 1913 at Jekyll Island. The episode concludes with reflections on leadership and integrity, drawing parallels between George Washington's refusal of a third term and Bitcoin's incorruptible nature as an absolute truth system that incentivizes honest cooperation over coercion. Breedlove predicts significant future growth for Bitcoin following the halving cycles, anticipating prices could reach $300,000 by late 2025 before potentially eclipsing gold in market cap within subsequent years. He dismisses concerns about illegal uses of cryptocurrency as a tool that is inherently amoral like knives or cars, arguing that eliminating such tools would require impossible levels of surveillance akin to thought crimes. Ultimately, he frames Bitcoin not just as an investment but as a technology for preserving individual liberty and enabling the cultivation of leaders who prioritize human freedom over lineage or state power.
Read the full video transcript
How is it that all the economic reports
make it seem like the economy is red hot
and yet people feel like they're in a
recession? What's going on? Well, all
those metrics are baked, you know, they
reverse engineer all of them. We've
talked about the inflation metric
before, CPI, the consumer price index.
This is a basket of goods that change in
price over time. Uh, this metric has
been revised, I think I want to say
three to four times in the past 30 or 40
years.
And a metric that is designed to measure
price changes,
the government actually decides to
exclude anything, any particular
commodity that's in that basket, whose
price changes too quickly. So, if food
or energy changes too quickly and causes
inflation rate to appear too high, they
exclude food or energy to manage that
number toward what they want it to be.
So, it's basically a [ __ ] metric, if
I may be so frank.
You may. Uh, I think the unemployment
numbers are similar. I'm not as familiar
with them, but as I understand it,
they've been revised like 12 months
after the fact. So, they'll issue a
certain number a month later and say,
you know, oh, unemployment was 8% last
month. And then 12 months later, they
will say, oh, actually our numbers were
wrong, we need to revise this upward to
12% or whatever. Of course, it makes
headlines
uh, and has an impact when it's released
in a timely manner, but when you mention
the the amendment 12 months later, it
doesn't make quite so much of a splash.
Uh, also with the unemployment numbers,
we have this thing called labor
workforce participation rate. Well, now
there's people that just at a certain
point of not looking for a job, they
just exclude them from the calculation.
So, it's people that are actively
looking for a job are considered in that
calculation of unemployment. And a
certain, you know, if you haven't had a
job in 6 months, someone could fact
check me on the exact amount, they just
exclude that those individuals from the
calculation itself. So, that's another
way of managing the unemployment numbers
uh to suit the narrative that any
particular administration is trying to
push.
Yeah, why do they manipulate CPI? Why do
you think the government wants to make
a narrative when people are still
encountering reality? Mhm.
Well, I think
there's a lot of theatricality that
occurs inside of fiat statism, right?
It's the whole like the meme where the
dog is sitting in the room and
everything's burning down and he just
says, "This is fine. This is fine. This
is fine." Do you think they're just
trying to control the perception? Well,
I think you what you don't want is
social revolt. I mean, that's the you
know, people are going to feel the pain,
but then if all of a sudden you're also
telling them, "Oh, you know, your
feelings are valid and inflation is
running at 15% as measured in 1980
terms. So, you're getting milked at 15%
a year, which means your purchasing
power is getting cut in half every 7
years."
Um that's a bit more painful, I guess,
for people.
Whereas if you just do the same thing to
them, but tell them inflation's 3% or
4%, everything's fine.
Um you're just pretending, basically.
And I guess that does have kind of an
analgesic effect on people. Uh just the
belief that maybe things aren't quite so
bad.
Um
sort of reminds me of censorship a
little bit where, you know, if enough
people get censored, individuals start
to self-censor.
So,
creating this illusion that um you know,
things are okay, then you if you're
feeling the pain, you might be more
hesitant to speak up. Um if if the guy
on TV is telling you, "Oh, no,
inflation's low and numbers are up." You
might be like, "Well, [ __ ] what's wrong
with me? I can't find a job. I can't get
ahead. I can't make ends meet. Um rather
than standing in unity with people
saying, "Hey, this is actually a broken
social system or social contract." Um
and we need to do something about it.
So, that would be I mean, that's my
hypothesis. Um but in general,
really the entire idea of trying to
manage an economy is just a bunk
metaphor. It does not work, right? An
economy is a complex adaptive system.
Central banks uh often refer to their
policy tools as levers, right? Like, oh,
if
unemployment is up, um
what is it they try to do here? If
inflation is high, then they will um
increase unemployment to reduce
inflation, I think is the one that they
use.
And so, they they act as if this complex
adaptive system, they metaphorize it as
if it if it is a machine that they can
simply press buttons and pull levers and
cause inflation rates to change and
unemployment rates to change. And I
think that is ultimately as hubristic
and silly as a meteorologist trying to
control the weather.
Right? We do We don't understand what an
individual human being will do. You
can't say with certainty what an
individual human being will do from
moment to moment across time, right? Uh
without getting into the argument about
free will, it's not predictable at
least, right? I No one can predict on
this earth what words you're about to
say next, right? That's up to you and
your own psychology. What in the world
makes us think if we can't predict one
human psychology what they're they're
going to do moment to moment. Why could
we possibly predict what 8.5 billion
human psychologies interconnected in a
global marketplace, competing and
cooperating, innovating, why do we think
anyone could predict the outcome of that
complex adaptive system? And yet, that's
what central banks do when they try to
manage or steer the economy. It's just
it's silly. It's an antiquated, outdated
industrial age mentality and it doesn't
apply to the reality of complex adaptive
systems.
So, you said that part of the reason
they do this is they want to avoid
social revolt. Do you think that Trump
getting elected is that tame version of
a social revolt?
You know, it seems like it's a populist
movement to some extent, right? People
are feeling the pain.
Um
And look, I'm the worst guy to talk to
about politics in general, but just as
an observer,
um it seems as though the Democratic
Party was really trying to overplay
the race card and, you know, everyone
needs to vote based on race and people
just started to wise up to that and say,
"You know what? That doesn't actually
make sense."
Um
It for It appears to me
it's always It's not red versus blue,
it's the state versus you, basically.
And so,
the Democrats overplaying this uh
divisiveness card
um
while at the same time, you know, we
expanded the money supply 40% in 4
years, right? So, all of that pri- that
monetary inflation created price
inflation that was dumped on people.
That was a tax, basically, the invisible
shadow tax of inflation that we talked
about a lot. People have been coping
with that pain and suffering with that
pain,
while at the same time, you had, you
know, Joe Biden was going on the Super
Bowl doing a commercial saying, "Oh, I
love ice cream."
And, you know, shame on ice cream
producers for increasing the prices of
ice cream. We're going to make sure that
these greedy capitalist ice cream
producers don't increase the price of
ice cream anymore. You also heard Kamala
flirting with the idea of price
controls. Like, how insane is that? This
is Soviet-style
statism, basically, right? Um And and
just to be real clear on this,
prices are data packets about consumer
preference. To try and regulate prices
is like trying to regulate consumer
preference.
You can't pass a law to tell people what
they want, right? A price is the
economic expression of what people want.
So, to try and regulate prices, it only
does one of two things. It creates
surpluses or shortages, right? The
market does not clear or supply and
demand meet as an honest pricing system
does, and it creates distortions that
ultimately harm people, right? This is
why millions of people starved in Soviet
Russia, etc. So, I think all of that um
nonsense
was basically dawning on people. Like,
yeah, I think people have a good
[ __ ] detector even if they don't
understand the complexities of how a
price system works and money printing
manipulates the price signal and all of
that. I think people just start to see
through the [ __ ] a little bit and
look, I'm no fan of any politician,
frankly.
I I'll be very uh interested to see how
many promises
Trump has made actually get kept.
However,
at least in his rhetoric, he was much
more
uh
honest-seeming, right? That he was
talking about actual pain and actual
problems that people were feeling,
whereas the Democratic Party was taking
this approach of everything's fine and
what's whatever is broken, we'll
regulate prices and and crazy [ __ ] like
that. So, I think at the end of the day,
uh team red was just a little bit more
in touch with the truth, and that's why
they won.
It's interesting. So, the concept of
price gouging, I think feels relatively
intuitive to people.
Uh that yeah, somebody should control
that. There should be an upper limit.
People were very happy when
uh Shkreli, I forget his name, but the
guy that bought the drug and then raised
the price like a gazillion percent, ends
up going to prison. Um
people, I think
feel like, yeah, there should be some
sort of cap on some of these things.
Yet,
the Democrats got voted out of power and
even here in California, there was a
referendum for rent control and that
failed. Yeah. So,
somebody somewhere is getting the
message. Why why didn't the Soviet
system work? Like why don't price
controls simply calm businesses down
from price gouging?
Yeah, so
basically, you could think about
capitalism as like a decentralized
computing system, right? Where people
are making decisions about how best to
allocate capital
to satisfy customer wants better,
faster, cheaper.
But all of that computing system is
based on the data input of the price,
right? It's what other people are doing.
Um where where supply and demand are
meeting in every market,
it's telling entrepreneurs what to do,
basically. It's signaling to them how
much consumers want something and how
much what supplies are available. So,
for instance,
if there's an earthquake in Chile, I've
probably used this example before, but
it's a pretty simple one.
And a copper mine collapses, right? And
let's say the flow of copper to the
market now from that mine ceases.
All the people interacting with copper
in the world, right? Whether you're a
consumer or a producer, they don't need
to even know about the copper mine
collapsing. They don't need to know the
story. They don't don't need to know the
background, the history, nothing. All
they need to see is, okay,
supply of copper coming to market slowed
down, so therefore price went up. All
they need to see is the price of copper
went up. As a producer of copper, I'm
now incentivized to produce more.
And because the price is higher, maybe
there's new methods of production that
weren't economically feasible before
that all of a sudden are, right? So, I'm
incentivized to alleviate that shortage
by producing more copper and bringing it
to market. And on the other side,
consumers, in the face of that price
increase, are incentivized to consume
less or use substitutes or delay
consumption, right? So, consumers are
incentivized to buy less, producers are
incentivized to produce more. This is
how markets rectify
problems, basically. And so, it's that
complex adaptive computational system
that is only possible
with the individual ownership of the
means of production, which is to say
individual private property rights.
Socialism violates private property
rights, right? It steals from people and
allocates capital arbitrarily according
to bureaucratic whim. And so, in Soviet
Russia, they had pricing czars, right?
They were making like, 10,000 pricing
decisions a day, right? A guy sitting in
a tower deciding what a nail cost.
But he's not the nature of knowledge
itself is he has no knowledge about what
entrepreneurs actually need, right? He
doesn't know the supply of nails at any
given point. He doesn't know the demand
for them. He's just really taking a shot
in the dark. And actually, a lot of
those pricing czars
um
a lot There's a strong argument to be
made that it only lasted as long as it
did because they were able to copy
prices from the free markets in the US,
right? They could peg to what the the
free market uh data was was generating
on on certain goods. So, it's just a
matter of decentralized
compute versus centralized
compute. And if you
consider that each person has a finite
bandwidth,
their awareness, their attention span,
like only so much data can flow through
your eyes and ears and head at any one
time,
you're talking about in a in a
decentralized competitive free market,
you have the bandwidth of everyone,
right? Feeding that system. So, it's
whatever the data throughput of an
individual market participant is times
all market actors. That's your total
data throughput for that decentralized
computing system.
In a centralized computing system, you
only have the throughput of the
bureaucrats, the pricing czars,
whoever's making the decisions. Everyone
else is just following the orders. Not
to mention
all the data has to go be passed up from
the market actors into the central
bureaucracy. The decision has to be
made, then has to be passed back out
into uh the the productive actors, and
then they have to execute against that
plan, and that has to be enforced
because none of these people are
following their self-interest. So, the
entire thing is just very inefficient.
It leads to the misallocation of
capital, uh which basically means
capital that's being allocated
inconsistently with the wishes of
consumers that have the power and
wherewithal to buy something.
So, it it distorts reality, basically,
and it destroys civilizations. And what
happened? By the end of Soviet Russia,
it wasn't even an economy anymore. It
was a dis-economy.
Um you'd have to check the exact
numbers, but I want to say they brought
in like, you know, $90 of inputs
annually, and they had $30 of outputs.
It was a dis-economy, right?
An economy is when more less inputs come
in than outputs go out. You're
increasing the value of things.
Uh and Soviet Russia was was the
opposite, you know? Most people were
employed as narcs on one another. They
were telling on each other. Um you get
all of these non-productive
paper-pushing jobs inside of the state
bureaucracy. And
as the old saying went, you know, they
pretend to pay us and we pretend to
work. That's what the Soviets said
towards the end of that whole sham. So,
I hope there's enough
uh learning from this across history
that people in the United States
have said no, basically. I know living
in Miami,
there's a lot of people from Cuba
uh and other
places in South America that have had
different issues with communism and
socialism. And there were signs on all
kinds of people's yards saying, you
know, "No, no Kamala communism and and
whatnot." So,
um I think it had something to do with
that, right? People do learn from
history to some extent. And uh you
combine that with a good [ __ ]
detector.
And uh
I guess that's the result that we got.
Why do you think then, given we just
dodged that bullet, why are the rich
getting richer and the poor getting
poorer? Because as much as I love
capitalism, it has not, in its current
iteration, yielded results that are
sustainable. I mean, we've talked about
this, right? It's not capitalism.
Anywhere you've got a central bank, you
are at best 50% capitalist and you are
50% Marxist or communist.
Uh because money is one half of every
transaction, and money under a central
banking paradigm is centrally planned.
Central banking is the central planning
of money.
This comes from uh measure number five
in Marx's 1848 Manifesto to the
Communist Party that the state has to
have central control of cash and credit
for communism to work.
Uh the printing of money is the
violation of private property, right?
Marx said you could sum up communism in
one sentence, which is the abolition of
private property.
So, at one end of the spectrum, there's
and we've talked about this, communism.
The institutionalized abolition of
private property. The opposite of
communism would be capitalism. The
institutionalized perfection of private
property. And the transfer of private
property through consensual contracts,
right? We can agree to trade things
only by consent, not by coercion.
The spectrum in between is effectively
socialism in all its different forms.
It's an institutionalized policy of
aggression against private property. So,
whatever uh the average tax rate is of a
particular country, that is basically
what percentage it is socialist. And to
get that tax rate, you really need to
know not only what is the explicit tax
rate of say the average taxpayer, but
you also need to know how much savers
are being debased through currency
counterfeiting. All right, the shadow
tax of inflation also goes into this
equation. So, we don't have capitalism
anywhere in the world, nor have we ever
had it anywhere in the world. We've had
different
um
it you know, different intensities of
it.
But uh and the United States would be a
great example of when we were founded as
a constitutional republic, we did not
have a central bank, we had uh
no income tax, there were very low and
predictable and so often times no state
taxes. Largely, we were funded through
tariffs.
And uh rule of law was, you know,
pretty much minimal and centered on the
preservation of life, liberty, and
property.
And what did we get? We got a massive
economic boom, one of the most
successful economic stories in human
history. You could also look at places
like Hong Kong that had a similar
beginning, all right? Well, they had
very stable
rule of law, very low taxes, and uh a
lot of capitalism. Places like uh the
UAE today, they're doing this, all
right? Very low taxes. Do they have a
Fed?
Uh do they have a central bank? I
believe they do.
Um
but I would say that they are not
engaging in currency counterfeiting at
the same rate as the US. Someone could
check me on that as well, but I know
their explicit tax rate is much smaller
um than what we have in the US. So,
So, basically, you let entrepreneurs
keep the fruits of their labor and leave
them alone and you tend to get
successful economic stories.
But, the and that's capitalism, but the
extent to which you start to progress
along that spectrum of socialism towards
communism, uh you you slide closer to
that Soviet-style dis-economy we just
talked about.
Do we need any brakes on capitalism?
Like, if you had your druthers, I know
you don't vote, you said earlier you're
the worst person to talk to about
politics. So, do you one, do you
consider yourself completely removed
from politics because it's just a
protest vote? This is so corrupt you
can't engage?
You know, I think the most powerful vote
you can cast is the way you save and
spend your money, ultimately. So, I
consider holding purchasing power in
Bitcoin or physical gold, which is
outside of the fiat system. All right,
they can't print money to steal your
purchasing power if you're holding your
savings in gold or Bitcoin.
Uh so, you're you're protected from
inflation.
And then, um you know, obviously
optimizing yourself from a a tax
standpoint, this is the most effective
vote you can cast against the apparatus
of coercion that is the state. Because
you're actually taking your energy out
of it, right? You're not
participating in a popularity contest
and hoping that the guy that you elect
will represent your interest and make
things better. Right? Is that that's
very soft, right? Sure, does it help?
More so at a grassroots level, I think,
but when you get into large centralized
bureaucracies, I don't think it helps
that much or as much. What really helps
is actually removing your energy from
the system. And so, that's what I look
at it as is like I actually try to
boycott the system by holding my
purchasing power outside of it. We'll
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back to the show. My take would be that
right now we're living through a very
interesting moment where who you vote
for matters based on their worldview.
And we are ultimately in a moment where
we as a people are deciding whether we
want that top-down authoritarian
control, whether we want freedom of
speech or not. And it felt pretty
consequential. This is the first time
where I really felt like, "Yo, people
need to get out and vote." Now, I'm
cool. Whatever way people want to vote,
I don't think I have a monopoly on the
truth.
But I do have a very strong take on what
I think. Uh and to me, this really felt
like a referendum of a a revenge of the
working class. I forget who said that,
but I think it's an absolutely brilliant
assessment of what just happened. And
going back to my initial question, I
think really what just played out is you
can put out all the reports in the world
that say everything is going well. But
if the average person has to be a
degenerate gambler to stay ahead of
inflation, if they go to the grocery
store and everything is going up up up
in price, real wages are flat, you're
making less in your 20s than your
parents did, you're looking at what's
going to happen to your kids, you don't
not feeling super optimistic, the deaths
of despair for young men are
skyrocketing to the point where it's
bringing the overall average age, the
average life expectancy down in America,
which is absolute insanity.
And so, people are just like
say what you will, dear politician, but
the reality is that my life does not
feel the way that you're describing. And
so, um it really does it it becomes
gaslighting that is so blatant that you
even if you want to reconcile with it,
you're not going to be able to. Which is
pretty fascinating. So, anyway, I get
what you mean about you can cast you're
you're going to cast a potentially even
more important vote by what you do with
your money, but I think for the average
person, they don't want to think about
where to put their money. They want the
system that they live inside of, capital
T, capital S, to be moral, to use my own
words. And so, going back to what you
said about CPI, glad you brought that
up. So, if people understood why the
government manipulates the CPI
specifically, part of it is because your
entitlements as you age are based on the
CPI. And if the CPI goes up, they have
to pay you more. Which they can't afford
to do cuz they'd have to print more
money, and we get on and on into debt,
which I'm sure we will talk about. But,
so, the the way I look at the government
is the government has a tendency to
become evil,
and inflating
money is evil. Now, I have a feeling you
agree with that. If you would, give
people that quick primer for why is
inflation evil? Because for basically my
entire life till about 5 years ago, I
thought it was a natural law of nature
that money inflated by 2%. Yeah, I
realized too I didn't answer your
question like do we need any brakes on
capitalism? And so, I'll try to wrap
both of those answers together. If you
mean by capitalism
the right of individuals to own property
and trade it by consent only, right? And
if there are any violations of that
ownership, people can seek retribution
through the rule of law, right? If you
steal my car, then I can go to the
police and file a police report and seek
to have that retribution enforced by the
force of law, right? This is the purpose
of the rule of law, actually, is to
preserve private property.
Um
I don't think you need any brakes on
that, right? That's just really saying
do we need any brakes on individual
human freedom, right? I mean, I think
the brakes are almost built into it.
Uh you know, we talked about
in episodes prior, life, liberty, and
inviolable private property. This is
what was in the Magna Carta in 1215 when
King John signed it. I think this is the
entire purpose
of government, right? It needs to
use a legal monopoly on force to defend
life, liberty, and property.
That is it. That is the entire
philosophical purpose and scope of
government, and it doesn't need to do
anything beyond that. Anything it does
beyond that, I would consider to be in
that domain of government being evil.
So, the second part of your question,
why is inflation evil?
Because it is a violation of private
property rights.
If you are a saver and you're holding uh
money in a bank account, right?
That means you have gone into the
marketplace.
You have provided labor or um you've
rendered favors to the marketplace, to
other people, right? You go to work.
You add to the productive output of
society by producing goods and services
for other people.
You are paid in money.
Those are tokens that basically say,
"Hey, you rendered other people a useful
favor. You did something that other
people deemed to be useful." as signaled
by the money that you were paid, and
this receipt
is something you can use to take back
into the market later and redeem similar
favors from other people for them to
produce goods and services for you.
That is the social contract of money. Um
if you're hold So basically, if you have
savings in a bank account and you
acquired it consensually, that means
you've added to the productive output of
the species and not yet subtracted from
it. Right? So you've added to human
productivity. You've solved problems for
people, but you haven't been paid or
compensated in return until you go into
the market and spend that money.
So what happens when you're holding
savings in a bank account
and a central bank
will counterfeit that currency, is they
are debasing or diluting your purchasing
power. All right? So the favors that you
rendered into the market that you saved
up for yourself for future use, or
you've delayed gratification,
well, they start to steal that energy,
that purchasing power is what economists
call it, right? And this is basically
what uh that money is capable of
purchasing, right? It goes down as
prices go up, basically, right? So if
you've got a million dollars in the bank
and steak is
uh you know, $10 a pound, then you can
get 100,000 lb of steak. But if the
price of steak goes up to $20 a pound,
then you can only get 50,000 lb of
steak. Right? It goes down as prices go
up, purchasing power goes down.
Basically, it's an inverse relationship.
Um that then means the person who was
prudent
and diligent and provided favors for
other people and saved for future
consumption
is now being disincentivized from doing
so. You're now incentivized, well, my
money's not going to hold purchasing
power. I might as well spend it on
something now.
Better yet, I might as well spend all of
it and just borrow more
because if I borrow dollars today that
are going to get weaker over time, then
I can borrow strong dollars today and
pay back weaker dollars over time.
And indeed, this is because currency is
being inflated in this way, it pushes
everyone. It's incentivizing everyone to
take on more and more debt.
So, the evil component of it and
obviously when you take on more and more
debt, you become beholden to creditors,
you know, you get into the whole that
whole game, right? Where once you are
indebted you're also paying interest to
creditors and that can be a a downward
spiral for a lot of people that don't
know how to manage debt intelligently.
So, it it it sort of increases the the
pressure of that trap.
And the evil part of it really is just
that I I mean, if you consider theft to
be evil.
Right? If someone rightfully owns
something, they worked to acquire it.
They worked, you know, you worked to
make money to buy this table, right?
That someone built.
And you consensually traded the money
you had with them for this table.
Who else has the right to come and take
your table?
Right? You worked for the money, the guy
built the table, you guys had a
consensual trade. Does anyone in the
world have a moral or just right to come
and coercively take your table?
I mean, I think it's a pretty hard sell,
uh at least from a moral angle, right?
Now, people could get into, oh, well, if
there's an emergency and someone really
needs it and all of that, but
if you give What's the saying that if
you give government more power in times
of emergency than governments will
create an emergency to take more power.
So, you give that little [ __ ] in the
armor, they give them that inch that
they take a mile and I just don't think
it can be justified. So, Do you think
there's any amount of government that's
good?
You know, the government that governs
best uh governs least governs best, I
think as has been said.
you just putting up with the fact that
you doubt you can get it to zero? Like
in your ideal world, would it zero?
you need
there's a reality of physical force in
this world. So, we have to have a way
and there's the reality of people
violating private property, right?
People can take your stuff.
If someone takes your stuff and you you
know, short of taking the law into your
own hands,
it is useful to have recourse to a legal
structure that has
uh you know, the force of law
behind it to fix to write that wrong, so
to speak.
Um and so yeah, I think a government
that's ideally local,
um not very centralized, and that really
focuses solely on the preservation of
life, liberty, and property,
um preferably one
that uses like an English common law
tradition.
This is where
you know, disputes that have occurred
over time
uh and the ways they were resolved,
these become discovered laws that get
codified and say, "Okay, this is how
people have resolved law or disputes
over time." And that becomes ossified as
law. So, it's like a legal discovery
process,
rather than a legal a fiat legal process
where some guy is elected into power and
he just signs a piece of paper saying,
"This is the way we do things now." All
right, then you're at the whims of
whoever is in power.
Um that is much
the outcomes of that tend to be much
worse, right? The individual in power
will use the law to serve their own
interests. We've heard this law this
term lawfare come up recently where it's
that very thing, right? The law is not
the ideal of the law was equality in the
eyes of the law. That we have one fixed
rule set that is evenly applicable to
everyone, whether you're a president or
a pauper, right? Everyone in between,
we're all beholden to the law to the
same extent in the same way, just like
we're all beholden to the laws of
physics to the same extent in the same
way.
But, when you start to
unevenly apply the law or, you know,
miss bend a rule or, you know, bribe a
judge, this is where we get the term
corruption, by the way, right? Which has
its has an etymological root in the word
shares one with the word rupture. So,
this evenly applied rule set all of a
sudden has a rupture in it and you get
rules for thee, not for me type of
situation.
And um that is where government really
falls apart. So, to the extent
government
applies
the rule of law evenly and the rule of
law is developed organically through
legal discovery process and it's
truly restricted to the preservation of
life, liberty, and property, I think
this is the libertarian ideal and and
kind of a high level. And I know this,
you know, people might say, "Oh, that
all sounds good in theory, but like,
where does the rubber meet the road?" Um
you could read a book like The Ethics of
Liberty by Rothbard. He goes through a
lot of these legal aspects. He's talking
about boycotting and bribery and all
these specific edge cases in in the law
and how it would be in a libertarian
world.
Um
is it perfect? Probably not, but I think
it's a lot better than what we have and
once you create the situation where
people can game the system, right? They
can bend the rules to benefit themselves
and exclude or harm others,
that's a really nasty game, right?
Because it's all about
pressed to find a system that can't be
gamed, full stop.
I know one.
Say more.
Bitcoin.
Bitcoin's the only game that human
beings have ever invented that they
themselves cannot game.
It is inviolable private property. No,
it's an incorruptible monetary system.
And so, and considering that money is
superordinate to law,
right? As Rothschild said, "Give me the
power to issue a nation's currency, I
care not who makes its laws." Because if
you can issue the currency, you can
rewrite the laws, trust me. That's what
lobbying is, basically, right? It's
private money rewriting the laws to
benefit its interest.
Um
having an incorruptible monetary layer,
a game that humans cannot game
themselves, uh a social institution, the
only social institution so far as I can
tell that human beings cannot corrupt.
Uh that's really important. That is
equality in the eyes of the law in an
actual implemented system, not just
written onto a constitutional document
under the hopes that all future
politicians will adhere to that code. We
have an actual economic incentive system
that causes, or not causes, induces or
encourages people to follow it
um rather than just hope, basically,
that that will follow the US
Constitution for all time. Is the sum
total of what makes Bitcoin amazing that
it can't be inflated?
Well,
no.
Um
the fact that Bitcoin
and to be very specific,
we're talking about monetary inflation,
so the actual arbitrary increase of a
money supply over time.
Bitcoin has 0% arbitrary inflation, or
you could say 0% unexpected inflation,
right? It's the only fixed supply money
and fixed supply asset, for that matter,
in human history. I also think it's the
only one that will ever exist. Now,
there are 50,000 shitcoins out there,
and you know, there are a few hundred of
them that will tell you they too have a
fixed supply, or they have a diminishing
supply, or they have whatever.
But none of those crypto assets are
decentralized. So, all of those are
based on promises. You're trusting some
individual or group of individuals to
keep their promise.
Only Bitcoin is the battle-hardened,
proven, provably or highly credibly
decentralized crypto asset. And for more
on that, you could read a book like the
block size wars of 2017.
Decentralization is not something
Satoshi created in a lab. Bitcoin
started out centralized, too, right?
It's just in the mind of one guy,
but the way it was released, the the
organic path of its development, the
idiosyncrasies associated with its
proliferation,
all of the attacks on it and the attacks
that it has survived,
this is what has uh grown it it's grown
into a battle-hardened decentralized
monetary network. That's not something
you can just recreate in a lab. So,
Bitcoin, yes, inflation uh
not even resistance, inflation immunity,
basically. There's 0% unexpected
inflation in Bitcoin.
Um that's a really big deal. It's a huge
idea.
But, it's also a digital bearer asset,
right? So, to hold a bearer asset is
if I have physical possession of it, I'm
assumed to be the rightful owner. So, if
I have a gold bar in my hand,
I don't need a contract that says I'm
the owner of that gold bar. Possession
is ownership, basically. Um
Bitcoin is the same, but it's the first
digital bearer asset. So, it's to just
possess information,
which is the private key, is to own the
Bitcoin.
And now, this gives you a number of very
unique advantages. One,
you can secure that in a multi-key
setup. So, you don't you don't have to
just hold one key. You could break that
key into three pieces or five pieces
and have a quorum, right? So, you need
two of three to spend funds or three of
five.
And that type of security model
is much more robust,
right? You don't have single point of
failure. You have redundancy, but you
still have full control over the asset.
This is also very similar to how we
secure nuclear codes, by the way.
There's not just one guy with his finger
on the trigger. There is a group of guys
that need to do very certain steps at a
very certain way and a very certain
timing before anyone can press that
button and hit launch. You know, it's a
multi-key setup effectively. So, you get
nuclear
code-like security models with Bitcoin
because it's a digital private key. You
also get extremely high portability,
right? Gold does not move over a
telephone wire. We can only move
promises to gold over telephone wires,
but we can't move physical gold. So, you
know, Sailor would say something like
gold has very low frequency final
settlement. But, Bitcoin has very high
frequency final settlement. You can I
can send you Bitcoin over a telephone
line and we can settle with finality in
an hour on the other side of the planet,
right? I sent you gold effectively. A
bearer asset, physical Bitcoin, if you
will, through telecommunications around
the world. No problem. Try doing that
with gold. Not possible, right? You need
trains, planes, boats, armies, whatever
to secure that.
feels like
it's nice. I'm glad that that's true,
but when I really try to boil down why I
think the current system
uh
it it breaks. Let me walk you through a
speed run of what I think is wrong and
why I think the fact that it can't be
inflated makes it a solve for what I
think needs to be solved for.
I I don't want to seem like I'm
over-hyping Bitcoin, whatever it is. I
just need something that can't inflate.
So, here's my speed run. The reason that
the economy is what it is and goes in
Ray Dalio's six-step loop is because of
the ability to print money. So, whenever
I say inflate, anybody listening right
now, if you can hear my voice, I mean
print money. So, print money, inflation,
same thing.
Yep. Uh counterfeiting, same thing.
Yes. So, printing money is
counterfeiting. Inflation is
counterfeiting. Counterfeiting is
criminal inflation. Yeah.
Correct. So,
uh if you make that impossible, now all
of a sudden people can only spend money
that they have. When they can only spend
money that they have, now the government
is going to ask your permission
because there's no way to hide this
stuff. There's no way to tax you without
you knowing you're being taxed.
Inflation is them printing money so that
they can spend more money than they
have, and everybody is fine with it
because you don't realize that there's a
problem. If you had $100 in your bank
account, you still have $100.
Nobody is complaining. The problem is if
that $100 only buys half the amount of
stuff that it used to, you've lost half
your money.
Uh but people can feel it. They're
getting frustrated. They're upset, but
they don't understand what exactly is
happening. And so, the reason that I say
that this is a moral problem is we've
created an incredible capital market
system that's absolutely amazing. I
couldn't love it any more if I tried.
However, it makes the average person
have to gamble their money on the stock
market or crypto or whatever in order to
outpace the inflation that they're
experiencing that if they're anything
like me, they just thought happens. They
didn't realize that a central bank was
in coordination with the government
deciding to counterfeit, just to keep it
nice and clear what's happening, to
constantly counterfeit money to allow
the government to spend extra money
because yeah. And then, to get back to
the why are the rich getting richer and
the poor getting poorer because when
they put the money into the system, when
they counterfeit it,
what they end up doing is buying assets
from people that already hold them. And
And this is the part that I think a lot
of people don't understand. So, one, if
you don't own any of the assets that
they buy, you're SOL. You don't
experience any of the joy. You're going
to be downstream of that. And then on
top of that, there are a bunch of assets
out there, your house price being one of
them, the stock market being another,
not exclusively. Some of it goes up
because there just is increased value,
but a lot of the value of the stock
market is simply keeping up with
inflation. So, the odds that your house
is actually going up in value
is low. So, if you were to price your
house against gold or Bitcoin,
Exactly.
you're going to see, "Oh, wait a second.
It's not changing in the way that I
thought it was." It's only when you
compare it to the dollar, which is
probably going down in value due to
inflation. So now, the average person,
their the money that they're socking
away, saving, is going to be worth
nothing. They will have been brutalized
and stolen from. And once you start
using that language, you're like, "Wait
a second. Uh my grandpa, who's been a
good dude, worked his ass off,
blue-collar, sleeves rolled up, janitor,
working two, three jobs, you know, until
his 80th birthday,
he had to work to his 80th birthday cuz
all the money that he was saving every
month ended up being nothing."
Yeah. That's
People need to understand that is the
system that they're living in right now.
That's the system we have right now
today.
And
once you have something like Bitcoin, or
even just a gold-backed currency, now
all of a sudden, it's like, "Okay,
cool." As long as it's not fractional
reserve,
uh then I have something where I can
save my money. And that's the key,
though. The
a gold-backed currency always depends on
the promise of a custodian. Yes.
Counterparty risk.
the paper. Cannot issue more paper than
they have gold in reserve, right?
So, to speak from an accounting
standpoint,
if you are running a a bank, basically,
right? A traditional bank, where people
deposit gold with you,
and you issue them banknotes, or
warehouse receipts, which are little
notes that of paper
that they can redeem for gold in the
future.
Every time someone deposits gold with
you, that's an asset on your balance
sheet, right? You have gold in your
warehouse. That's an asset, obviously.
It's a bearer asset, as we touched on.
The paper you issue to the depositor,
it's an IOU, right? You owe that gold to
a depositor, right? As represented by
that bank note.
So, an honest bank, a non-fractional
reserve bank, a full reserve bank, would
be one where assets equals liabilities,
right? Such that if all depositors came
to redeem their gold at once, the bank
would have no problem satisfying all of
those obligations, because they have all
of the liabilities covered by assets,
right? one to one.
A fractional reserve bank is when a bank
starts to over-issue that paper relative
to the gold. So, they have more
liabilities on their balance sheet than
they have assets,
which is an insolvent, fraudulent
operation.
You can't scale gold, because it's it's
a physical metal, right? You can't send
it over a telephone wire, as I said. You
can't scale gold as a transactional
transactable
money at a global scale without
having a gold-backed currency. But, the
gold-backed currency depends on the
integrity of individual bankers, right?
You need to trust the bank not to
over-issue the paper.
And even if,
for argument's sake, all the bankers
were perfectly trustworthy. They're all
saints. None of them ever lie. None of
them ever over-issue the paper. You
still have to deal with the government,
who might, in time of crisis or war, as
is typically the case, decide, "You know
what? We need some extra funding.
There's a whole lot of gold in that bank
over there. Why don't we just go have
them loan some of it to us
uh forcibly, right? You we can write the
laws and have them loan it to us
cheaply. Or, we could just suspend
customer convertibility. We could seize
the gold as was done in 1933 by
Executive Order 6102. Right? It was
private gold ownership was outlawed
under a threat of imprisonment or a
fine, which is crazy. Right? Like you
can't own gold. What the [ __ ] What do
you mean I can't own gold? Like it's
just a thing that I own and hold in my
hand. You're telling me I can't own and
hold a thing in my hand?
That's the problem. Right? You You can
only scale gold with the promises of
others. You are dependent on trust in
human beings.
Bitcoin fixes that. Right? We can
actually have a digital gold
that is trivial for individuals to
custody themselves. Or if they want to
custody it with an institution, you can
break the key into multiple pieces and
you can have a collaborative custody
schema even among institutions. So you
can mitigate the counterparty risk. You
can inhibit a government from coming to
any one institution and seizing the
Bitcoin because every institution only
has one piece of the key. Right? You
can't They need to work together to
unlock funds. So you you
you inhibit the government's ability and
banks' ability to break that promise
should you choose to to promise it to
them. You can also choose to hold it
yourself and promise no one. Right? This
is the don't trust verify ethos of
Bitcoin. Not your keys, not your cheese.
Um
this is a big deal. You We can now have
a monetary a sound monetary medium that
can scale for a global society that does
not depend on the promises of fallible,
fallen, sinful human beings.
Um this is the the essence of trust
minimization and this is why
Bitcoin is digital sound money. Gold is
non-digital sound money. You know, just
the way I look at it is
we have two
rough visions of the future. There's one
vision of the future
where we have things like electricity,
the internet, and artificial
intelligence.
In that world, Bitcoin is dominant money
because we can transact with one another
without the need to trust
counterparties, basically, right? We can
minimize counterparty risk and maximize
uh our ability to move purchasing power
over time and space, which is the
purpose of money.
There's another view of the world that's
more dystopian, right?
For whatever reason, solar weather,
global war, whatever the thing is, we
don't have electricity, internet, AI.
In that world, I think non-digital sound
money, like gold, will be dominant
because, well, people are going to be
dealing with each other in physical
space a lot more than they're going to
be dealing with each other in digital
space. So, you can make that assessment
for yourself. Obviously, there's a whole
gradient in between
and decide, right? There's a
90% chance we have a digital future and
a 10% chance we have a non-digital
future. And then allocate your cap the
cash balances in your portfolio
accordingly, right? Have 90% Bitcoin,
10% gold.
So, it's not
really Bitcoin versus gold. It's not
either or, just like everything else in
the world, it's probabilistic.
And if you're going to be a savvy
investor, I think you just have to look
at the spectrum of possibilities, decide
for yourself which way we think which
way you think we are going, and then
construct your portfolio accordingly.
Okay, so I buy into a lot of what you're
saying about um private property. You
want a government that is small. You
want to have sound money so that you
hobble the government from getting too
big because they're going to use money
printing to do it. Um
but do you think that we have a moral
obligation to take care of those less
fortunate than us at the level of
government?
Do you The question is, do I think that
the government has a moral obligation?
Do do we as a species, us in a country,
do we have a moral obligation to take
care of those less fortunate?
Yeah, look, I when I when you say invoke
the term moral obligation, I get very
hesitant to be that prescriptive about
it. I don't think
Interesting. Why the word moral? Why is
that the tripwire?
Well, I truly believe in human freedom,
right? So, if I'm going to put a gun to
your head and say you need to go and
take care of the needy, that sort of
defeats the purpose, right?
But then doesn't that mean that I don't
have the moral obligation to do it? Or
does it mean that I have the moral
obligation, but I you don't think that
it should be enforced? So, it depends on
the moral code you subscribe to, of
course, right? I think this tends to be
the domain of the church or religion,
right? Many wisdom traditions teach us
to tithe, right? To tithe to the church,
to take care of the less fortunate, et
cetera.
I am a subscriber to that. Does that
mean I'm going to impose that that
prescription on other people?
No. I I don't think that is something
that that holds weight for me. However,
I think in a world with very strong
private property,
we naturally accumulate and construct
more wealth, right? That is the whole
point.
Here's here's a way to think about this,
by the way.
Every time someone spends time and
energy taking an asset from someone
else.
I I you've heard me talk about this
before, maybe. There's two ways to
create wealth in the world, or I'm
sorry, two ways to acquire wealth in the
world. Making or taking, right? I can
build the table and you know, spend my
labor to create something of value and
trade with other people that are also
doing the same thing. That's the path of
making. That's the entrepreneurial path.
That's the constructive path.
Or
I can just get the $5 wrench and go and
bludgeon the guy over the head that
built the table and take his table,
right? That's the path of taking. That's
the path of criminality, statism,
coercion.
Every time someone spends time and
energy taking rather than making,
that is time and energy they could have
spent producing something.
Right? So,
that is a decrement, a decrease, on the
productivity of the species cuz that
person's time and energy, the taker, was
spent taking rather than making.
Further,
because they took it from someone that
built it and produced it,
they have disincentivized that
individual from producing in the future
because that individual didn't keep to
did not get to keep the full reward of
their labor, which was the fruit of
their labor, right? So, if
someone's getting 20% of the fruits of
their labor stolen every year by an
organized criminal syndicate called the
government,
Try 53. 53, okay.
Then they are 20% disincentivized from
producing, right? Like if I can only
keep 80 cents of every dollar that I
make, well, then I'm less
incentivized or rewarded to produce as
much. I agree with you and all of that
makes sense to me in the abstract, but I
think the thing that we end up
struggling with and
Sorry, sorry, Tom. This is not even
abstract. This is like axiomatic. If
someone is spending time and energy
taking rather than making, then our net
productivity goes down and the incentive
to produce goes down.
Because you live in a world where humans
fall on a spectrum from an evolutionary
perspective where even though Trump won
by a quote-unquote landslide, it was
really what, three points, four points?
I mean, we are basically divided down
the middle. I think there's an
evolutionary reason for that that you
need, when you think about getting a
species to work cooperatively together
in flexible but large groups, you're
going to need some people that are
compassionate and saying basically just
think about it from a caloric
standpoint. Let's say that you go out
and you hunt, you come back with
something. Now, if you're smart, you're
going to store the calories that you
can't eat right now in my body. And the
way that you do that is you give me
something even though I didn't get
anything on the hunt. You're going to
give me some so that I eat so when I'm
the one that wins, I come back and I
give you some next time. So, in a world
without refrigerators, the way that you
store fat is on the people around you.
Now, the catch is that if you do that, I
start going ah, Robert's a great hunter.
I don't have to go hunt. He's just going
to feed me in the hopes that one day and
so now other people go, nah, we we can't
stand for that. We we can't have
freeloaders. So, you get people that
they skew compassionate, the left, and
you get people that skew personal
responsibility, the right. And you need
the tension between the two to make sure
that we don't get a bunch of freeloaders
that turn into parasites that drag the
place down, but you also need people
that understand, dude, we've had central
banks since 1668.
The modern world's pretty amazing. So,
even though I can tell an impressive
story about how evil and sinister and
all that stuff that it is and it really
is, the problem is it also gave birth to
a pretty amazing world.
did it though? Did it? Can't we we can't
attribute because we have
all of these modern marvels and all of
this
uh this standard of living, right, in
the post-industrial age, which by the
way like GDP per capita basically for
human history is flat forever
until we hit the industrial age and then
it goes completely vertical, right? Do
we attribute that to central banking?
Like why just because uh do wet streets
cause rain, right? Correlation does not
causation. I would argue that the market
has succeeded in spite of all of the
money printing and the theft and the
warfare funded by central banking. What
take warfare alone, right? The
possibility, the scale, scope, and
severity of World War I and World War II
were only possible because of money
printing.
Typically, a country goes to war, when
it runs out of money, it cut it signs an
armistice, right? It cuts a deal because
guess what? It's war chest is empty.
But when when it can hyperinflate the
currency, its war chest goes from being
its own balance sheet to the balance
sheet of everyone using the currency.
Right? So, wars get larger, longer, and
worse.
Wars, people understood that.
War is this is the most dis-economic
activity human beings can possibly
engage in, right? We mobilize humans and
capital to go and destroy humans and
capital. It is anti-economic.
It is the antithesis of an economic
process. It's a dis-economic process.
And so, that is enabled and worsened by
money printing. I would say that
everything that we enjoy in the
post-industrial age is in spite of
central banking. And you were asking
about, you know, the moral obligation.
The point I was trying to get to is
the stronger private property becomes,
the more we increase the standard
standards of living per capita or GDP
per capita if you want to use a metric
like that.
And that, in my view, actually enables
uh the furtherance of compassion. Right?
Compassion's a bit of a luxury, right?
Like you can have compassion in your
heart. But to actually act on that
compassion and to be able to give people
things, to give people stuff, food,
shelter,
whatever it is, well, you need an
economy that's producing that, the
division of labor. And to have the
division of labor, you need private
property rights.
And so, the stronger private property
becomes, the more economic abundance we
have, the more capable the successful
among us are
are of being compassionate to others in
a material sense, of actually giving to
them.
The more we violate that principle and
say, "Oh, we need
to tax the rich or steal from whoever
to fund any, even if it's a
you know, a scheme to feed the homeless
or whatever compassionate
scheme that is cooked up, I think it
actually is
cutting off the nose to spite the face
type of thing or sawing off the branch
on which one rests. You're you're you
are hamstringing the ability of the
market to produce more goods and
therefore take care of more people
even if you're doing it out of the
compassion of your heart, right? That
we're all blow voting blue
to tax the rich and fix the homeless
problem in San Francisco, right? Or
whatever the thing is.
And just look at the history of it. Look
how incompetent government has been at
allocating capital. There's this story
This is not that old. I think in San
Francisco they spent like
$3 million in 15 years trying to open a
public restroom, something like that. Um
there there was also talk of I think
this was Biden's
electric vehicle charging program.
You know, they spent X billion dollars
and they had three charging stations or
something by the end of it. It's like
government is
Mises would argue all government action
is a misallocation of capital because it
involves the coercive extraction of
resources from people through taxation
and inflation.
And so the
it's much easier to spend money that you
didn't earn.
And it's much easier to spend it
foolishly. And I think that's what
governments basically do. So
What do you take away from that?
evil, perhaps, because we need to defend
life, liberty, and property, but when
the the institution
charged with the preservation of life,
liberty, and property starts to
aggressively violate private property,
we get very perverse outcomes.
Yes. So, what do you think when you look
out at the world and you see every
civilization of any size has a
government? Yeah.
I think it is a reality of physical
force, like I said. Like we do need
want somebody to take care of them.
Well, it's a It's not that you want It's
It's a protection service, right? So, if
we look at the origin point of
government, it comes in the agricultural
age. Once we stop being hunters and
gatherers and we settle down in one
place and we start to create an economic
surplus, right? We've got grain in the
silo, so to speak.
Well, you now need to defend that grain
in the silo from other people that want
that are hungry, that want to come and
take it.
So, the
local area defense network that protects
intruders from taking the grain in the
silo is basically the origin point of
government.
And so, that's what you want it to do,
defend the property, lives, and liberty
of the individuals living within a
territory.
Um however,
it's a very complicated and bloody
history, right? Because once you give
people that physical power, that
monopoly on force, what do they start to
do? They extract tribute from people
inside of the territory, right? And so,
how do you This has been like the
age-old problem is how do we
create a central monopoly on force
and entrust people to run that monopoly
on force in a way that they won't bend
it to serve their own interest?
Right? And we've There's been many
experiments
on how to do this best across time. I
would say the United States and the
Founding Fathers
uh
are the best one we've done yet, right?
The the decentralization
of power, checks and balances, um you
know, the US Constitution was written
basically to
prevent the implementation of a central
bank to maximize local state power and
to minimize central state power.
Um
you know, we were we were founded as a
constitutional republic. So
a constitution being an enumerated list
of things the government can never do,
right? This is the Bill of Rights,
right? Cannot infringe on the freedom of
speech, cannot infringe on the right to
bear arms, etc.
Uh these were meant to be absolutes that
uh absolute spheres of human freedom
that government could not violate.
However,
after three attempts, we got the central
bank, right? We got the Fed in 1913. And
then what is it people are clamoring
for? So
uh they clamor for protection when they
put in a government. Protection and
coordination, I would say is probably
fair. And then what are they clamoring
for when they say yes to a central bank?
Well, we don't really say yes to a
central bank. I mean, if you read, at
least in the United States, um you could
read the book The Creature from Jekyll
Island. This thing was snuck in over a
holiday weekend after a private meeting
off at an on an island off the coast of
Georgia called Jekyll Island. Mhm. Um
But are there any modern economies of
any significance that don't have a
central bank?
Um there are not.
Um these, you know, a lot of this
somewhere is clamoring for something.
Not voting it in, though. Like these
things they're private banks that are
basically installed. It's not the will
of the people that is choosing to have
this thing installed.
a signal of corruption?
It is the ultimate institution of
corruption, in my opinion. So you look
out at all the governments having one of
these, and you're like, that is a tower
to uh memorialize the corruption in the
country.
It Okay, again, if we define corruption
as the uneven application of rules,
well, a central bank has the legal
authority to counterfeit money.
If anyone else counterfeits money, they
go to jail.
Let me give you a counterpoint. How is
that like those are That is the
bifurcation of rules, right? If you and
I go and play basketball and I put a gun
to your head and say my shots count
four, your shots count two.
Like is that a corrupt game?
Or I can print points for myself and you
can't. If I were playing against my
wife,
it would be very fair. And I think
that's going to be one of the arguments.
So there's that. I think the you're
probably not recognizing the power of
people who want things to be fair in
this whole equation. But the reason I
think that people are clamoring for a um
a central bank, even if they didn't vote
for it, is the promise of stability.
Hey, we're going to manage things.
You're not going to have the Great
Depression. You're not going to have
people jumping off of buildings in Wall
Street because we're going to make sure
that you're protected. Yes, it's
fractional reserve banking, but it's
FDIC insured. And so that the same
desire that makes them want to have a
government to protect them from a bully,
they want the central bank to be able to
print money because they don't
understand inflation. And they feel like
ah, I'm now protected.
Yeah.
But they're not protected. I mean, yes,
the aims of the Federal Reserve are what
low and stable unemployment and stable
prices, right? Low and predictable
inflation.
Have either one of those things
happened? I mean, you look at the
purchasing power of the dollar since
1913. I think it's down 99%.
Does that sound like stable prices to
you? It means the prices of everything
have gone up a hundredfold in over a
hundred years.
Uh we've had worsening boom and bust
business cycle.
Uh each time we have a bust, we have to
print exponentially more money than we
did the round before
because each time we print money, we
inject more liabilities into the system.
Um
it's just it just doesn't work and
Austrian economist
like Mises, you can read his book The
Theory of Money and Credit. He has laid
out a very strong theoretical foundation
for why
printing money, counterfeiting money,
centrally planning money
doesn't work.
Um
and I've I don't know any honest
intellectual on this planet who has ever
sat here and said that it does work.
The only thing it does is act as a
source of limitless purchasing power
extraction
for the shareholders of central banks at
the expense of everyone forced to use
the currency via legal tender laws and
other acts of compulsion.
So, I don't know how you could ever
justify that morally, ethically,
pragmatically, economically. It just
doesn't make any sense to me whatsoever
and I think
the corruption of money also leads to
the corruption of many other things in
the world, right? When you're printing
money
and you can steal purchasing power from
everyone, well then you can use that
purchasing power to buy narrative or to
buy mainstream media outlets or to
create fake news or to wage wars.
It It is a very insidious power, right?
If Lord Acton said power corrupts and
absolute power corrupts absolutely, I
don't think there's anything closer in
the sphere of human affairs to absolute
power other than the printing of money
considering it is the thing that
everyone works for. And if you are the
institution that can create it without
performing any work
and you can use it to extract to the
work energy of other people
well then you will do everything in your
power to deceive them into believing
that it is good and necessary for them
and their economy, which is indeed what
Keynesian economics does.
It's a pseudo-scientific paradigm that
tells us every time there's a problem in
the economy, the government just needs
to pull that lever and print more money,
baby, and everything's going to be all
right this time. Don't worry about it.
It'll be fine. And what happens?
Well, we'll get a little recent history.
We printed 700 billion in 2008.
That was a big number back then. We
thought that was a very serious amount.
That's less than 1/10 of what we printed
in the post-plandemic world. Printed 8
trillion dollars.
Okay, give it a few years, we're going
to print 10x that.
It doesn't stop until the currency
hyperinflates into worthlessness. And I
don't mean to be the bearer of bad news,
but anyone who wants to challenge me on
this, open a [ __ ] history book about
fiat currency. Tell me how all of them
end.
Either the country gets conquered or the
currency hyperinflates.
All right, the oldest and most
successful fiat currency to date, I
think, is still the British pound, which
has lost over 99% of its value in 320
years.
Um so, those countries
UK, US, we're still in power.
Fiat currency is still working, but all
of those before us have failed, been
conquered or hyperinflated. So, you
know, how many how many times we need to
learn this lesson?
A lot.
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And now, let's get back to the show. All
right, so you've got a magic wand. You
you're holding tight to the magic wand.
Trump comes to you and he says, "Robert
Breedlove, with your magic wand, what do
we do? We want to make everything
better." What do you do? If you were
going to do three big things, and I
mean, you can do anything, what are the
three big things you would do to right
the ship?
Promote
Bitcoin education and
help people transition to a sound money
economy.
And you say Bitcoin and gold for that
matter. I'm not actually partial. People
want to stick with gold and that's their
thing. freedom. So, not make Bitcoin the
official currency
what I don't like about that, because
it's legal tender
tends to be the compulsory use of
something. So, I don't want to tell
people they have to use Bitcoin.
But just educate people about, oh, this
is how money actually works. We suggest
this as the best money. It's the
ultimate sound money. However, gold also
works if you want to use that, or
I could also have free banking, right?
Just let banks issue their currency and
go through that whole painful experience
of
uh different banks blowing up and people
learning their lessons the hard way and
let the market sort it out.
So, I mean, I'm admittedly radical in my
views as an anarcho-capitalist. So, I
think we need just the preservation of
life, liberty, and property and then the
market solves everything else better
than any central institution possibly
can.
And so, the big theme of those three
things is just minimizing statism.
Minimizing revenues to the state,
therefore shrinking the state, and
maximizing human freedom and the market
process. I think that solves the most
problems with the least effort. All
right, if you abolish taxation, you're
saying the government has no sources of
revenue, or the government has to become
a maker?
Well, so the again, pre-income tax, the
US government used to fund itself
through tariffs, right? So, it's
actually charging taxes on imports. Um
those are at least imposed on outside
countries, on those are countries that
want to access domestic markets.
I'm not I still don't think that's a
good idea. I think that actually is
still destructive to net wealth.
Um you know, people would probably
accuse me of being an idealist or
utopian in this respect, but I don't
think
nation-state structure really works. I'd
like to see a world more of like free
private cities, instead of 200 some odd
nation-states, we have 20,000 free
private cities.
Um that can trade with one another with
very little friction.
You know, if there have to be tariffs to
fund that security network, so be it.
Maybe they charge a flat tax just on
land, right? They're actually defending
land ultimately.
Maybe the owners of that land need to
pay a consensual, not even a tax, a
consensual protection fee.
So, you're paying a percentage to that
protection service uh to provide that
protection, that physical protection
from foreign invasion.
Um and again, you know,
it's it's the devil's in the details,
because when you put that power in the
hands of one group of people,
it's very difficult to prevent them from
using that power to extract more
resources than than the consensual
protection fee was agreed to be.
Um and so, that is like an ever-present
risk or threat, and I think that's where
something like Bitcoin's very important,
because if a jurisdiction starts
to treat people unfairly, let's say they
agree to a certain protection fee, and
then the state says, "Actually, we're
going to take 2x, 3x, whatever it is."
People can vote with their feet very
effectively, right? They can leave that
jurisdiction
with their purchasing power intact,
their Bitcoin private keys intact, even
if the government gets nasty and starts
seizing their physical assets, well then
people still have a much
s- better chance basically of leaving
with purchasing power and a digital
bearer asset,
and therefore incentivizing you like
creating a free market competition
dynamic between different jurisdictions.
So, then all of a sudden jurisdictions
now that can't print money,
they are accountable to their P&L,
right? They their revenues are
protection service fees and their
expenses are providing physical
security. If they mistreat their
citizens, well their citizens will leave
with their capital. So, that will
actually decrease their revenue.
So, you will be incentivized as one of
these free private cities to
be accountable to the preferences of
your customer. You want to keep them.
And you you already see a little bit
again like, you know, a place like UAE I
think is kind of competing basically for
global talent and capital by offering
really low taxation.
So,
that's more of an ideal world that I
would like to see.
Woo, that certainly
that was not the answer I was expecting.
Now, do you think that there's an
element of chaos that's going to be born
out of that? Cuz as you're describing
it, I'm like running through my head,
I'm like, "Okay, gangs are definitely
going to rise up in some of these
cities. They're going to coerce you into
staying. I know they're not supposed to,
but of course they will. People will try
to leave. They'll put capital controls
on it like they'll find a way even if
it's just a wrench attack." But then
people will escape as much as they can.
It just feels like woah. I get why
in my mind, I get why people try to
consolidate into larger groups of people
where there's a stable, non-corrupt
government feels like the human
tendency,
um,
but play that scenario out. Where do you
think the What would be the points of
friction you would worry about?
Well, I mean, so
you're worried that gangs will rise up.
I mean, that's what governments are,
frankly. Government is the biggest gang
in the room, right? They have
outcompeted all the other gangs and
deemed themselves to be the legal
authority of the land. So, I don't think
that the absence of the biggest, most
centralized gang,
um,
is actually going to create
Yeah, you're going to have Well,
when we say gang, it's like, yeah,
people organize themselves into groups,
and those groups compete for their
self-interest.
Um,
you know, what we associate with gangs
is that they tend to engage in physical
coercion and crime, right? So,
in a world where people do have digital
bearer assets, I think it is much more
difficult, much less profitable, let's
say, to engage to engage in traditional
gang activity, like trying to physically
coerce people and take their stuff.
Um, much easier to do that in a world
where people are using physical cash or
physical gold.
Um, so,
yeah, would it be more chaotic? It's
like,
there's this example of
wildfires in California,
which, you know, there's there's like
this, uh,
kind of the same topography that's in,
uh, California also is the same in down
in Mexico.
And so, there was a lot of government
intervention,
and this is like Baja California area,
where they were trying to
manage forest fires, basically, right?
That they would burn
They would try to burn, um,
every time one of these fires would
start, they would extinguish the fire
and try to basically dampen it. Whereas
down in Mexico, they would just let
these fires burn, basically, right? It's
more anarchy, if you will. They just let
the fires burn.
Well, what happened is that
when you prevented those fires, micro
fires, from burning,
underbrush accumulated until a big fire
did hit, and then it burned so [ __ ]
hot that it burns away the topsoil and
does it a lot more damage, basically. It
becomes this
giant conflagration, whereas down in,
you know, Mexico is just this
uh sequence of smaller fires. It's more
of a natural process. And so,
it's that pressure release kind of
mechanism where when we try to centrally
plan something, sometimes we create the
unforeseen consequence of creating
something much bigger and worse.
You know, we could say, "Oh, we've had
this long period of peace in the 20th
century and this nuclear stalemate and
everything's been great." But
what is that setting us up for? You
know, we don't really know. Is it better
to just have, you know, disputes
resolved at a smaller scale more
frequently
rather than having disputes delayed and
resolved with a very low frequency but
with a lot more catastrophe?
You know, a an author like Taleb would
say, "Delayed volatility is exacerbated
volatility." So, we have to be careful
when we're trying to manage
systems and dampen volatility because
ultimately volatility is a
reconciliation to reality. And if we
stop that reconciliation to reality
and engage in it much less frequently,
then the ultimate reconciliation can be
a lot more painful.
So, I think the argument for
decentralization
is just you want more
you want less
uh more power more widely distributed,
basically, so that you get whatever
pressure needs to be released, it's
released in smaller, more frequent
pockets and places rather than being
compressed for many decades and blowing
up in World War III or whatever the
catastrophe might be.
Okay. absolutely fascinating. Few
answers have ever made me want to write
a story set inside of the world I
imagined than that one. I utterly
utterly fascinating idea.
Um now I'm going to take away the magic
wand. Right now, uh you've got Trump
coming into power. He it looks like he's
going to have Senate, probably House,
uh Judiciary and the Supreme Court's
pretty much on his side. Um what do you
want to see him do in order to take
steps to alleviate some of the wealth
inequality that we have, start moving
towards stronger
uh personal freedoms, private property?
You mentioned tariffs earlier.
You didn't seem to love the idea. What
what should he do in the real world
starting when he takes office? Yeah, I
mean he's flirted with the idea of
abolishing the IRS.
Uh that's a great first start, right?
You abolish the IRS, you abolish
a lot of wasted human energy navigating
I think the IRS tax code is somewhere
between
when I I have a master's degree in
taxation, when we studied it in college,
I want to say it was like 9 million
words long. Good lord.
It is literally impossible to navigate.
Also impossible to comply with. You
comply with one law, you're out of
compliance with another law. It's like
it's designed to just be this [ __ ]
trap, basically.
And there's so much human cognitive
energy pouring into gaming this thing,
right? Like this whole army of tax
accountants and
um attorney tax attorneys like trying to
find loopholes and exploit loopholes and
all of that's non-productive energy,
right? If we had a simplified or
preferably a non-existent tax code,
these guys could go be engineers and
build something that people actually
[ __ ] use rather than just navigating
a
uh purposelessly
complicated set of rules that have just
emerged because of you know, I think
it's
the fiat currency complex, right? It's a
lot of people having these competing
interests inside of the rule structure
trying to benefit themselves. When you
looked at
these things in the tax code, it's like,
okay, here was the original law, then it
was modified this way. Oh, then it was
modified that way and because someone
didn't like, you know, this lobby group,
they didn't like what they got, so they
lobbied for this counter proposal and
then on it goes
and you read this law and then there's
all these exceptions and back and forth
and rules and
by the time you're doing this, you know,
we have things like the the alternative
minimum tax for instance. I don't know
if you've heard of this.
It is this weird other like parallel
calculation you have to do on yourself
in your tax world. It's like, if you
meet certain criteria, then all of a
sudden you have this other giant tax
liability that just pops out of nowhere.
And so it anyway, I don't want to go
into it because I don't frankly I
haven't looked at it in a decade, but it
was just a nightmare to learn about in
college. It didn't make any sense. It's
totally arbitrary.
Uh, it doesn't map onto anything in the
real world, right? It's like, we're just
putting ourselves in this cognitive
trap. So,
to abolish all of that and liberate all
that cognitive human labor and reduce
all the associated violation of private
property, I think that would be a huge
win. So, if Trump's going to make good
on that promise,
that would be absolutely massive.
Um,
I don't know what he said about the
central bank if anything. I mean, he has
said that we're going to start
stockpiling a national reserve of
Bitcoin.
Um, and he wants the United States to be
a leader in what he says crypto and
Bitcoin mining.
Um, I think, you know, he's still
suffering from the conflation between
crypto and Bitcoin.
Only Bitcoin mining uh would be of any
geopolitical significance so far as I
can tell.
Um, that would also be a huge win just
to get, you know, it's it's contributing
to the monetization of Bitcoin.
Uh, obviously that would put the United
States in a better position economically
as against other countries.
But I think also by contributing to the
monetization or the acceleration of
Bitcoin's monetization,
this accelerates the demonetization
of the state, right? Or the defunding of
the state
um by removing in the long run money
printing as a revenue option.
And then ultimately you're, you know,
enriching this asset that's hyper
portable, hyper concealable and lets
people vote with their feet very
effectively. So all of that would be
good
for our move away from centralized
statism towards a more decentralized
world.
Um
What other promises has he made? I I you
know, I think um
just you know, the the general theme of
deregulation that tends to come with
Republican administrations, that's a
good thing, right?
think Elon has a shot at actually doing
something meaningful there?
Well, he's flirting with this idea of
the government efficiency agency.
Oh.
Cutting
Department of Governmental Efficiency,
yes. Cutting two to three trillion of
government spending. I mean like all the
government spending by the way,
euphemism for stolen purchasing power,
right? So you're reducing
the stealing of purchasing power. You're
increasing the integrity of taxpayer
private property. Again, that's a step
in the right direction. So
Yeah, I don't know. Like I you know, I
don't trust these guys any further than
I can throw them. I mean maybe I can
throw them a little bit far, but um
I don't trust them.
Maybe I'll throw some of these guys. I
We'll see. We'll see what plays out. I I
My general philosophy would be never
trust a politician. Don't think that
it's a politician coming to save you.
Uh, there's very few instances in human
history where
politicians have have stuck to their
word. Um
maybe now would be a good time to bring
up
Mr. George Washington though. He is uh I
don't know if I'd classify him as a
politician necessarily, but
He was a president.
He was a president, uh but he was
different, right? This is one of the
founding fathers of the United States,
um
the leader of the American army that
rebelled against the the British Empire.
Uh I think their decisive victory was
this I think it's 1781, the battle at
Yorktown, if I recall correctly.
Um where Washington defeated General
Cornwallis of the British Empire.
And
you know, we had been fighting for these
principles of establishing the United
States as a constitutional republic,
right? It was largely a tax rebellion
against the British Empire, also a
rebellion against the Bank of England,
which was the central bank of England.
Um people wanted to be free, right?
These were highly educated men. These
were were very strong Christian men,
mostly.
Uh
the the seal on Benjamin Franklin's
house, I think, said rebellion to
tyranny is obedience to God. Like these
were guys that were Such a nice quote.
very [ __ ] serious about expanding
human freedom. And the thing I like
about George Washington
is that he led and won
the ragtag
group of rebels, the American soldiers,
against the British Empire. Now, we had
help, too, but we won, right?
He earned the victory, right? He had
skin in the game, he was a leader of
men, he went to war, and he won.
Years and years and years.
An incredible story.
And at the end, when he
he achieved victory,
they wanted to make this man king.
Right? We fought to become a
constitutional republic,
but at the end of that, it was they put
the keys
of power into the hand of this man, and
all he had to do was accept and close
his hand. And frankly, he earned it,
right? He led the army, he conquered
the new territory, but the old way of
kings, well, he is the new king. He
would have been the new, you know, the
king of the American empire, and his
lineage and his descendants would have
become the next kings to who we all paid
tribute and homage and
forevermore. And what did he do?
He channeled this like
it's really like a staggering amount of
philosopher king energy. You could call
it Christ consciousness, right? He He
refused that temptation to near absolute
power.
He put the interest of the human family
above the interest of his own family
lineage, in a way, and he said,
"Absolutely not. I will not be your
king.
I will be your president. And I will be
your two-term president, and I will
refuse the third term, and we will be
the constitutional republic that we set
out to be."
So, he put the interest of human freedom
above his own direct, more selfish, you
know, genetic self-interest, let's say.
And that is just a staggering
accomplishment, as far as I can tell.
Like, we often talk about Marcus
Aurelius as a very uh significant
philosopher king, and he was, but I
don't think we give enough credit to
George Washington.
And
I hope that, you know, we can cultivate
more male leaders like that that
actually take
the larger perspective on what this is
all about. Like, we're trying to advance
human freedom
in its totality, not just trying to
advance me and my freedom here and now
and for my future descendants, right?
That's the That's an old game, and it's
a bloody game, and it's nasty, and it
it's, you know, it it gave us the life
that was
what was uh
brutish and short that someone said.
And
by channeling this, you know, Christian
sort of value framework, this
philosopher king energy, if you will, by
doing what's right in the greater scope
of humanity,
you know, that this is a man that was
integral to his word in a way that few
people possibly can be, but he sets a
very
powerful example for all future leaders.
And so,
I hope we can get back to that, you
know, it's um how do we get back to
that?
Well, so
he's a trustworthy man, right?
Because he did what he said he would do,
even in the face of great temptation.
And the words trust and truth
share an etymological origin.
They're both related to a word that
basically means steadfast, true, solid,
right? Something that's dependable,
reliable, has integrity.
Right? Whether if it's the truth, it's a
representation of reality that is
high fidelity, right? It's an accurate
portrayal of reality. And if someone's
trustworthy,
that means they do what they say they
will do, right? They He is a man of his
word. He is integral. His words and his
action are integrated together. Bitcoin
is a system of
absolute truth, right? It's if if money
is a language of human action or a
language of power,
it's a language in which lies cannot be
told.
It's something that incentivizes people
to interact cooperatively rather than
coercively, because, you know, it's hard
to steal, impossible to inflate, all
these things we talked about.
Um
and
you know, there's a saying that no man
is better than his incentives. So, that
I guess is an open question to how much
does that honest incentive system induce
honest, integral, moral development in
men? I'm not sure.
But, I hope that
Bitcoin enables the process of
individuation in a way that helps people
become more like
the the spirit that the founding fathers
were tapped into. Like, taking seriously
the collective human enterprise, not any
specific nation-state, not any specific
lineage, but
uh creating something that's sustainable
for all of us across time, right? That
that ideal of equality in the eyes of
the law, the ideal of innocent until
proven guilty, freedom of speech, right
to bear arms, all these things that give
us a symmetry of power
such that there's no asymmetries where
one group is exploiting another group.
Like, this is the ideal. This is the
principle. And so, my hope is that that
Bitcoin can enable um
the cultivation of more men like Mr.
Washington.
George, the
uh could have been Bitcoiner. I like it.
Yeah. Yeah, I think so.
All right, we've got some
speed round stuff from our fearless
producer over here. Drew, what do you
have for us?
All right, we're getting set up. Can we
start with number one?
Uh just a number in a day So, we're
going to be responding to clips? Yes, I
have a couple clips and a couple tweets.
Just want to get your opinion on it.
Quick take, minute 30 seconds, nothing
crazy.
Money is just a number in a database.
That's what it is. Um and it's primarily
an information mechanism for labor
allocation. And my opinion of Bitcoin is
that uh I I mean, I think Bitcoin is
probably a good thing. It's I think it's
primarily going to be a means of of
doing illegal transactions. But, that's
not necessarily entirely bad. It's what
you know, some
Give us some things should be maybe
shouldn't be illegal. It will be useful
for legal and illegal transactions.
Otherwise, it would have no value as a
use of for for legal transactions. You
have to have a legal to illegal bridge.
Yeah. I don't own any Bitcoin. All
right. Is that a hot take or a not take?
I think it's a useful definition of
money that it is a
database of labor, right? It's you could
think about it as tokenized human labor
as we described earlier. Someone goes to
work, they provide labor, they receive
money in return. That money is
redeemable
for labor from others later, right?
That's a useful definition. What I think
he misses though is that
Bitcoin is the only error-proof
database. It's the only database that
can't be manipulated, right? So, when a
central bank owns that database
and all of a sudden they award new
tokens, you know, new units of tokenized
human labor energy to
themselves or whoever is nearest the
currency spigot,
they are debasing
the units of tokenized labor energy of
everyone else. So, they are introducing
an error or entropy to that database.
This corrupts the signal that money
facilitates, which is the price signal.
It also
disincentivizes savers from saving and
incentivizes savers to become
debtors, right? To accumulate debt as we
described earlier. So, yeah, you could
call money a database of tracking
uh labor.
However, the ideal database would be one
that is error-proof, one that cannot be
manipulated or changed willy-nilly by
the whim of any bureaucrat. You want
something
that can only be changed by those who
are actually rendering useful work to
other people. And that's what Bitcoin
is.
Very interesting. So, I'll say that was
a weird take. Um the There's two things
that I want to get to and I It's weird
because he's obviously This is so old.
So, I I he's sort of just encountering
it. But there's two things. One, once
you understand that money's a technology
that allows people to capture the
energetic value of their labor to be
used at a future date, then all of a
sudden it's like, "Whoa, that's really
incredible that we came up with a way
whether it was shells back in the old
day, grain, salt, whatever that you were
able to say, 'I went and did this thing
and I have a reward for that that I
don't have to spend now, I can spend
later.'" It's equal in the importance to
giving somebody else food so they can
store fat on their body in your behalf.
Equal to language, I would say. Huge.
The other thing that I want to focus on
is this idea that I think is incredibly
important now as you see the Chinese
government ratchet up what they're doing
with the social credit score is you you
need to allow things to have a potential
illegal use. And if you try to get
illegality down to zero, you have to go
into the precog business Yeah, yeah,
yeah. where now all of a sudden you are
trying so hard to eliminate every
possible way that somebody could do
something wrong that you do end up with
a 1984
thought crime stuff. And so he said it a
little bit awkwardly, but even if money,
Bitcoin, whatever is used for illegal
transactions, if it has a real utility,
you should let that in. It's just like
freedom of speech. Of course, people are
going to use speech to say hateful,
horrible things, but that doesn't mean
that you eradicate speech. Yeah, or just
like US dollars, right? US dollars are
used for all kinds of illegal
activities. Doesn't mean they
they turn off US dollars or an invention
as simple as the knife, right? Well,
people use knives to prepare dinner
every night and other people use knives
to kill people. So we don't make knives
illegal.
People have used cars to run people
over. It's like you're not going to make
cars illegal. Like it's the tool is
amoral, right? Money is a tool. You
can't impute any morality to the tool.
I'm like, oh, someone used this for an
illegal purpose, we need to illegalize
the tool. That is [ __ ] nonsense.
Makes no sense whatsoever. Preach.
All right, number two, a hot take from
Andrew Tate. What do you think about
cryptocurrency? Are you invested in
cryptocurrency? Yeah, so I'm a I'm a
proponent of crypto. I do use crypto,
Bitcoin, ETH, the big ones. Okay. I
think that chasing crypto pumps is now
over. We're not The bull run's over. The
stupid money is gone. I see they launch
these coins and then they start a
Telegram community. Like everyone's
like, yeah, we're all in this together.
No, you're not. You're not in this
together. If you buy crypto at a dollar
and then you sell it at $10, someone
bought it off you at $10. They start
these stupid communities so all of you
sit there and don't dump so that the
developer could dump. You're all
dummies. You're all dummies. That's a
pretty good description of crypto.
Um not Bitcoin. Yeah, it's in general,
crypto could be described
favorably as gambling devices and
unfavorably as pump and dump schemes, as
he's describing, right? You create a
token,
you create a community,
uh
some kind of value proposition, a
website, a white paper, whatever. You
create this hype,
you know, it's going to be the next
decentralized world computer or whatever
whatever and you get people to buy this
hype, this innovation theater, as I call
it. The price goes up.
You're the original issuer of the token
and then you just dump it after it's 10x
or whatever your your multiple is.
And so yeah, that's basically what
crypto is. They're pump and dump
schemes. The the
you know,
people are basically being used as exit
liquidity. So, people are getting rug
pulled all the time and that's why it's
such a disgusting space overall. Um
what's unique about Bitcoin,
once you understand like the properties
of good money, like we've talked about
before and
uh Bitcoin is basically this ultimate
sound money, you know, we it digital
sound money. It's It's an ideal asset.
You have that same type of dynamic,
but there's no better asset to dump it
into, actually.
So, you know, when it 10x's, well, what
are you going to do? Like, what are you
going to sell your Bitcoin for what?
Like, for doll- Well, you don't want to
sell it for dollars because dollars get
debased. You don't want to sell it for
gold because gold has, you know, um
more seasonable, has a more higher
inflation rate, all these things that
make it inferior to Bitcoin.
So, Bitcoin, you're you're left with
just this perpetual pump scheme,
basically. It just goes up because it is
the most superior monetary technology
we've ever had. So, it's, you know,
yeah, crypto is pump and dump, and then
Bitcoin is crypto minus the dump.
There's just no better asset to dump it
into, so therefore it just pumps.
For me, I think people need to
understand that all capital markets are
gambling, full stop. And there's
something about the way that it gets
crystallized and manipulated in crypto
that's extra creepy. But,
if you fail to understand that the stock
market is a big gambling pool that
attracts gamblers,
uh you'll be very confused. Now, that
doesn't mean that I don't like them. It
doesn't mean that I don't think that
there's a huge purpose to the capital
markets there are, but you a hedge fund
is literally betting against things, for
things. It's going to go up, it's going
to go down. Like,
it's gambling. So,
Yeah, Mises would say all human action
is speculative because we can never know
with certainty that our actions will
create our intended outcomes, ever,
right? So, it's all speculative.
It's all gambling, right? It's all
gambling. You don't
You don't know anything that you're
trying to do is going to work out in
your favor. So, we're dealing with
probabilities in every step of our
lives. Yep.
All right, this one you're familiar
with. You've seen this one before.
The US government can't go bankrupt
because we can print our own money.
It obviously begs the question, why
exactly are we borrowing in a currency
that we print ourselves? I'm waiting for
someone to stand up and say,
"Why do we borrow our own currency in
the first place?"
Like you said, they print the dollars.
So, why why does the government even
borrow? Well,
um
the
uh
So, the I mean, again, some of this
stuff gets
some of the language that the MMT some
of the language and concepts are just
confusing. I mean, the government
definitely prints money and it
definitely lends that money, which is
why uh
the government definitely prints money
and then it lends that money by uh by
selling bonds. Uh is that what they do?
They they um
They Yeah, they they um
they sell bonds. Yeah, they sell bonds,
right? Cuz they sell bonds and people
buy the bonds and lend them the money.
Yeah. So,
a lot of times a lot of times, at least
to my ear with with MMT, the the
language and the concepts can be out of
unnecessarily confusing, but there is no
question that the government prints
money and then it uses that money to um
uh
So, um
Yeah, I I I guess I'm just I don't I
can't really talk I I don't I don't get
it. I don't know what they're talking
about like cuz it's like Jesus.
the government clearly prints money,
does it all the time, and it clearly
borrows. Otherwise, we wouldn't be
having this debt and deficit
conversation. So,
I don't think there's anything confusing
there.
Bro, he lied on his resume. Like, that
is
crazy.
That that clip is crazy.
It's crazy. It uh I've seen it titled as
the scariest clip on the internet. That
is by far the scariest clip on the
internet. That guy was actually advising
President Biden on his economic policy.
That's insane.
I can't I can't fathom. Uh I think he
has a music degree or something. Like he
doesn't even have a degree in economics.
Um
clearly
I would say in short that's your brain
on fiat basically. Like it just makes no
[ __ ] sense whatsoever. Um if I were
to
try and demystify what he's saying
US
know what he's saying.
Well, I think what I think he's trying
to say
her question, what he wishes he
understood. Here's what's going on.
And I'll try to say it in as simple
terms as possible. US government issues
shitcoin called US Treasury.
It can issue as many of these shitcoins
as it wants, right? This is debt.
Creates it out of thin air. Uses
Treasuries to borrow dollars from the
Fed, the central bank of the United
States, that can also issue US dollar
shitcoin out of thin air ad infinitum,
right? So,
US government issue issues US T shitcoin
as many as they want to borrow as many
USD shitcoin from the Federal Reserve as
they want. The dollar That's how dollars
come into the system. They are born at
interest. They are borrowed into
existence. There is an interest rate
paid to the private owners of the
shareholders of the Federal Reserve
whose uh
names we don't know, but we have some
ideas about it, right? In general. Um
that's the the circle jerk that's going
on here. And the cost of that is
externalized onto everyone using USD as
a savings vehicle. They're getting their
purchasing power debased with each new
dollar that is counterfeited into
existence
via this mechanism. And this is what
This is the circle jerk that Bitcoin
fixes.
Yazan, I still can't believe that clip
is real. It looks like parody. It looks
like
not. Clown world. Jesus.
Clown world. All right, last one. After
Bitcoin just hit a all-time high,
somebody was right, but I know this is
not financial advice. Disclaimer,
disclaimer, disclaimer. How bananas do
you think it's going to go?
Yeah, so this is a tweet I put out on
March 6th, 2024.
Um this was right around the Bitcoin
halving, which I believe was May 2024
this year.
Someone can check me on that, but I
think it was May.
Um and historically, Bitcoin puts in a
new all-time high price roughly,
approximately 18 months after the
halving.
So, I put this tweet out. Um You know, I
hope you guys like bananas because over
the next 12 to 18 months, Bitcoin is
going to go bananas.
And I retweeted it today or yesterday,
sometime recently here in November
because, well, Bitcoin's at a new
all-time high price.
But I think we're just getting started.
I think we're going to put in
um
a really face-melting number by the end
of 2025, and you're going to I'm already
getting bombarded, by the way. It's so
weird to be in Bitcoin cuz you go
through this entire cycle of drama
where
Bitcoin price goes up, people are all
texting me, FOMOing, how do I buy it?
What are the
And then as soon as Bitcoin price goes
down, they're like, "Oh my god, it's
going to zero, all right? Like it's all
over. Like should I sell it?" And then
Bitcoin goes into side-bound trading for
3 years, you know, between halving
cycles before it goes into that giant
blow-off top. And everyone's quiet.
Everyone thinks, "Oh, Bitcoin's still a
thing?" Like no one talks to me. It's
radio silence.
"You know, you're still into that?
What's wrong with you?" And it's was
"I've seen this, this is the third cycle
I guess I'm going into now. And sure
enough, you know, Trump got elected, I'm
getting blown up with people asking me
questions about it. Um
and so, you know, those who live by the
crystal ball are bound to eat glass.
I'm not making this prediction
for any reason other than entertainment
purposes. This is not financial advice.
This is just my read on Bitcoin's prior
price movements
as it relates to prior range bound
trading and mapped over its having
cycles.
But I I put this prediction out I think
3 years ago at this point that I I
thought it would trade
north of $300,000 by its next market
cycle peak. That was my prediction 3
years ago. So, I'll just stick to that
one
for entertainment purposes only. And
what time duration is that? Before the
end of 2025. Wow. 300k before the end of
2025. Above 300k.
Nice.
All right.
Wow.
Well, if it hits that number, my friend,
I'll take you out for a very nice steak
dinner. And that would put it around uh
a little bit less than half of gold's
market cap. Gold's market cap's around
15 and a half trillion. I think that
would put Bitcoin probably around five
or six trillion market cap.
Uh again, someone could check me on
that, but I think that's about right,
five or six trillion. Seems like a
reasonable number for this cycle. And
the next cycle I would expect it to
eclipse gold's market cap and and go on
up from there.
Be fascinating to watch. And speaking of
which, where can people follow along
with you to see what you're up to? Yeah,
uh thank you for having me. Always love
talking to you. A lot of fun. Uh I'm
what is money podcast.com and I'm on
Twitter at breedlove22. I love it. All
right, everybody, speaking of other
things that I love, if you haven't
already, be sure to subscribe. And until
next time, my friends, be legendary.
Take care. Peace. If you liked this
conversation, check out this episode to
learn more. Michael Saylor, welcome back
to the show.
Happy to be here.
It is very good to have you. Now, at the
time of recording, Bitcoin is over 100k
and has been for quite a while at this
point. So, I think the question of is
Bitcoin real is dead. Uh but now that