THE BIG RESET: Use AI To Build Wealth & GET AHEAD Of 99% Of People | Peter Diamandis & Salim Ismail
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In their discussion of exponential organizations, Peter Diamandis and Salim Ismail argue that the future belongs to small teams leveraging AI rather than massive legacy corporations. They posit that while a billion-dollar company once required 10,000 employees, it now needs only three: a CEO for vision, an operator for execution, and an operations manager supported by AI bots handling finance and marketing. To navigate this rapid change, every organization must appoint a "Chief AI Officer" not to build models from scratch, but to scan the horizon of emerging technologies like AutoGPT and advise teams on implementation. The speakers emphasize that success in this new era depends less on intellectual property or traditional economies of scale—which they declare dead—and more on agility, data assets, and emotional connection with customers. They warn against getting disrupted immediately after adopting AI by urging entrepreneurs to "skate where the puck is going," noting that companies like Kodak failed because they clung to incremental improvements rather than adapting to disruptive shifts in their environment. The core framework for these future-ready entities revolves around establishing a Massive Transformative Purpose (MTP), which acts as an emotional North Star similar to Elon Musk's goal of making humanity multi-planetary or Disney's dedication to its characters. Diamandis and Ismail contend that passion driven by a deep-seated purpose is the only thing capable of separating successful ventures from the noise generated when AI democratizes creation tools like image generators. This MTP must be paired with an experimental, data-driven culture where organizations prioritize running experiments over relying on expert intuition or confirmation bias. They cite research showing that Fortune 100 companies adopting these exponential attributes achieved significantly higher revenue growth and shareholder returns compared to their traditional counterparts. Furthermore, they advocate for a mindset of non-attachment to specific business models, suggesting that leaders should be willing to shut down successful legacy lines—like SpaceX's Falcon 9—to reinvest in breakthrough technologies like Starship if the original path no longer serves the ultimate purpose. To manage culture and scale efficiently without bloating overhead, exponential organizations utilize ten attributes summarized by the acronym SCALE (Staff on demand, Community, AI/Algorithms, Leveraging other people's assets, Engagement) alongside internal mechanisms for autonomy and experimentation. The speakers highlight extreme examples of decentralized decision-making, such as Haier transforming 80,000 employees into autonomous teams that manage their own P&Ls, or Valve Software allowing engineers to self-select projects without a CEO directing them. These structures rely on trust over control, utilizing peer-to-peer collaboration tools like Slack and Zoom rather than hierarchical command chains. While acknowledging the challenges of implementing such autonomy in legacy firms due to "immune system" reactions from legal, HR, and finance departments, they recommend building new exponential units at the edges of large companies—similar to Google X or Apple's stealth teams—to eventually become the organization's gravity center. Ultimately, the conversation concludes that while AI will drastically reduce GDP by automating tasks for free, it creates a world of abundance defined by opportunity rather than luxury for everyone. The transition requires an upgrade in human cognition and mindset, fostering curiosity akin to a child asking endless questions and embracing first-principles thinking over scarcity mindsets. Diamandis notes that while AI may not care about individual well-being, humanity generally chooses good outcomes when given the choice, citing studies showing thousands of positive transactions for every negative one on platforms like eBay. The path forward involves cultivating resilience against disruption by constantly reinventing oneself and one's organization every few years to avoid stagnation. By combining a massive transformative purpose with decentralized autonomy, data-driven experimentation, and an abundance mindset, individuals can build wealth and impact that allows them to stay ahead of the curve in an increasingly volatile world.
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You guys are on something that is just
my absolute obsession right now and you
make a very bold claim in your new book.
You said that the next billion-dollar
company will be founded by three people.
How is that possible? First of all, let
me just say that we're living in a
different day and age. The ability to
start companies today that are
exponential. And the name of the book is
exponential organizations 2.0, the new
playbook for 10x growth and impact. It's
a series of attributes that never
existed before.
And AI is going to play the biggest role
without question, but it's all the
exponential technologies. Salim? Yeah,
if you look back in history, maybe 50 70
years ago, it needed about a
10,000-person company to create a
billion-dollar valuation. That's crazy.
Uh then it dropped to about a thousand
people. Instagram was 13 people. Right?
Now we'll get it down to three people
because AI will handle most of the
execution work. You'll have a CEO who
will drive vision and and product. A
product I will focus just on getting
things done and an operations person
that will handle everything else. And
you should just have AI bots doing all
the finances, marketing, etc. etc. As
somebody who's deploying AI as rapidly
as humanly possible, and I know that
people have a lot of anxiety around
this, it's still for all of AI's
immediate uses, it still seems hard to
imagine that big leap. How should people
be using AI right now if they want to be
on that path?
So, one of the things I'm doing in the
companies that I'm running or advising
or investing in is I'm saying, first of
all, every company needs to have what I
call a chief AI officer.
And it's a role I made up. Was teaching
at Abundance 360 this year and it is not
someone who's building a large language
model for you or writing code for you.
It's an individual understands what's
going on in the terrain because we're
seeing not hundreds or thousands, tens
of thousands of startups. Everybody, you
know, you can start an AI company now
with literally spare time in your
garage.
So, understanding what's out there, what
the modalities are, and what you can and
should be using
is critical. So, your chief AI officer
is scanning the horizon, understanding
it, and then advising members of your
team. So, every part of your team,
right? There's going to be AI supporting
sales and marketing and
and engineering and HR.
We're all going to have in the near term
an AI copilot,
right? This is an AI that helps you do
your job better
because we are so limited as carbon life
forms.
Um but ultimately is going to be able to
operate and do a number of the things
repetitively because we do a lot of
repetitive tasks and AIs are much better
at that.
I think if you've got we've got say a
30-person company, every single person
needs to be trained in AI and using
these chatbot AI AutoGPT tools and
absolutely augment themselves 10 20
100x. I have said to my company, okay,
everybody here needs to figure out in
your department, what are the tools that
exist in AI
and how can you immediately implement
them? But even that's pretty vague. Like
I'm just sort of dumping it on them.
Where do people start? Like what is the
thing you actually do?
Easy and super specific. If you have an
email newsletter that goes out, use
ChatGPT to say, how do would I increase
the engagement rate with this email? We
did that, we got a 25% increase open
rate.
feed it the email? You feed it the
email. And you say, how do I make this
better? Yeah, come up with a better
headline. Or put in social sharing links
throughout it. Or say, listen, I'm in
HR. Go to ChatGPT, open it up right now.
If you hopefully you have the, you know,
the GPT-4 version of it and say, I'm in
HR. How should I be using generative AI
in my business? It'll It'll feed you,
you know, give me five examples or 10
examples. Pick the one that sounds good.
Give me step-by-step instructions on how
to use this. It's, you know, it's
recursive in that fashion. And so,
you're going to use AI to help you learn
what you want to know.
You know, it comes back a lot to
mindset, Tom, and you need the mindset
of a kid here.
Curiosity, absolute play. It's like, you
know, one of the things I'm going to be
doing in my team, my PhD Ventures that
runs Abundance 360 and a few others,
we're going to we're setting aside three
days
and no homework coming out of these
three days. We're going to go in with a
series of objectives and we're going to
actually crank for three days
and generate all the content, all the
plans.
And you can, but it takes time for all
of us to switch from our old habits of
how we do things to new ways. So, the
first time it's going to take 150% of
your time. The next time it'll take 50%,
then 25%. You talk about mindset. The
thing I see, and I'm sure you guys have
encountered this, is a lot of people
that they just have so much anxiety
about this is going to replace me. I
think about that a lot. So, Lisa and I
have have put our fortune back at risk
to build this company and you've said
this a lot. I've said this a lot. Skate
to where the puck is going to be, not
where the puck is. The problem is right
now feels like the puck is teleporting
and so it becomes very difficult to know
where that puck is actually going to be.
So, how do you guys think about that? As
and you guys talk in your book about the
fact that the average company used to be
on the S&P 500 for like 67 years. It's
down to 15. We're expecting it to just
keep dropping. So,
how do we not just get disrupted 7
minutes after we figure out how to use
AI?
Well, I think there's a few different
things going on here. For the first is
you should talk about the asteroid
analogy because I think that sets the
framing for what's actually happening
here. I view what's going on in the
business world today
similar to the asteroid, 20-km asteroid
that struck the earth 65 million years
ago and wiped out the dinosaurs, right?
The asteroid changed the environment of
earth so rapidly, so dramatically that
the slow, lumbering dinosaurs
who didn't adapt went extinct. And it
was the furry little mammals, our
ancestors, that were agile enough to
adapt that survived and thrived. So, the
asteroids striking the earth right now
are exponential technologies with AI as
the, you know, the overlord there. And
it's just going to change the
environment so rapidly that you need you
need agility. You need a team that is
agile.
Uh one of the things I would I would say
is also, what do you own
that is unique?
Whether it's characters
in a, you know, Disney's characters that
they own versus having a
movie distribution system.
Uh what do you have that's uniquely
yours? What data do you have? What
processes do you have? What assets do
you have
uh that as the tech changes, you can
take the that data and those assets and
put it through new tech.
This is my hypothesis. Let me know what
you think about this. So,
uh AI is going to generate a ton of
noise.
So, even as you were saying like, hey,
I'm an HR person, how do I do this or
how do I make this email better?
Everybody's going to have access to that
same thing. And that leaked Google memo
about AI has no moat and AI has no moat.
And so, we're all going to be able to
use this. And so, as somebody making a
video game and somebody thinking about
IP, the real thing you have to get good
at is getting people to care. And so,
it's that Disney has gotten people to
care about their characters. So, when
you think about AI making the creation
of art instantaneous, cuz a a big part
of what made art cool before was the
sense of I couldn't do that. And so,
when somebody presents you with
something that you couldn't do, you're
like, whoa, that's so cool. And you have
this like really emotional response. Now
I'm like, I could do that. Or I might
even be able to do something better than
that, right? So, now it's like, when I
see just a wall of AI art, I my brain
still goes to the characters I care
about. Right.
So, my thing is
in a world where we are going to get
disrupted incredibly fast, in a world
where now the game really is about
making people care, how do people break
through the noise? And maybe even more
specifically, how do you stay
emotionally sober long enough to try to
break through the noise? So, this goes
straight to the first and most important
characteristic of an EXO, which is the
massive transformative purpose. Right?
When you pick a problem that you are
deeply passionate about, say curing
cancer,
uh you've put all your emotional energy
into that. Peter talks about the
emotional connection that gets created.
Uh no matter what the tool set is or
what the capabilities are, your
emotional connection to that and the
passion you bring to it is the thing
that will separate you out from
everybody else because somebody else has
to come at you at it with exactly enough
of the same passion and have access to
the same tools. And that's what will win
out. That'll be the steadying ship for
how you navigate this chaotic world is
what fundamental problem do I get
excited about and I'm just going to go
after that problem and stick with it.
Yeah, I think you nailed it, Tom.
The idea of an exponential org, what we
lay out is the number one thing that a
entrepreneur or an, you know, a more
advanced company needs to do is
establish that MTP, that massive
transformative purpose.
And once that's established, then
there's a whole slew of 10 different
attributes that allow you to scale and
allow you to build something. But in a
world where there's this abundance of
opportunity, right? Where we're drowning
in opportunity and your attention is
your most important asset here that
you're going to gift a company.
Um being connected to that company's
MTP, right? So, you know, when Elon gets
up on stage and says, we're going to
build a multi-planetary species, we're
going to Mars, we're going to help save
the human race and so forth, people
connect in their heart and their mind to
that. If some company stands up and says
we're going to provide better
shareholder returns, I mean, you know,
you know, it's just
noise. This is two big challenges big
companies have. First, they're not
passion driven in the same way as some
of the new breed of organizations is
they don't have an MTP for example. In
fact, the way this came about was when
we first put the original version of the
book together in 2014, we scanned 200
unicorns and said, "How are they doing
it? How are they scaling so fast?" So,
the EXO model is not something we
invented. We labeled kind of what was
already happening and put a framework
around it. And without exception, every
single one of these companies that was
moving very fast had this MTP. They're
all dedicated to one particular problem.
Waze solving traffic or Uber, everybody
should have a private driver. And it
acts as the kind of the North Star, the
Simon Sinek question of why do you
exist, etc.
Big companies have two problems. The
first is they they typically tend not to
be purpose driven.
Their brands are tilting that way more
and more. But secondly, there's this old
um
economic theory called Coase's Law, uh
written in the 1930s. It's a nine-page
paper for which he won the Nobel Prize,
this guy called Ronald Coase. And he
theorizes that big companies exist
because transaction costs are lower
inside the company than outside. And
that you can achieve economies of scale
that way.
And we In this book, we declare Coase's
Law dead because economies of scale can
be applied to an individual now who can
scale to a global global level. And
economies of scale then the controlling
factors of big companies prevent you
from moving in any kind of an agile way.
And so therefore, all the advantages
with the single individuals or small
teams with a passion. And that's where
we think the future will go.
Okay, so I can I can predict out and
anybody listening to the sound of my
voice right now should be aware that I I
very much have my money where my mouth
is. And so, my fears are very real. Um
the prediction that I will make is that
AI will make things better for the
masses in ways we just cannot fathom and
it will be absolutely incredible.
But it does not care about the
individual at all. And so, while the
consumer will win, I'll be very
interested to see what happens to people
building businesses cuz they will just
come and go. They will get disrupted so
fast that it will begin to ask a new
question of entrepreneurs, which is can
you dedicate your life's energy to
something you know will be obliterated
in three years? Interesting. like like
like the sand art in India.
Yeah. Right? Wow, Jesus, you just Yeah.
That hurts. Yeah. Well, no, but it's
interesting. It's It's really It's truly
letting go. It's It's It's
non-attachment. Uh so, one of the
underlying principles of an exponential
organization. You and I talked about
this when we did our early podcasts on
Abundance or Bold or Futures Faster is
6D's of an exponential, right? When you
digitize any product or service, and
every single product and service is or
will be digitized.
Um and if you're a CEO running a company
where your services are not digitized,
you're in trouble cuz someone else is
going to do it to you. In the early
days, the growth of that product or
service is deceptively slow. It's like
the first digital cameras that were 0.01
megapixels, the next year was 0.02, then
0.04. All look like zero. It was
deceptive. Everyone ignored it.
You know, 20 doublings, it's a million
times better. 30 doublings, it's a
billion times better.
And Kodak's out of business.
All right. So,
we go from digitized to deceptive to
disruptive. And what happens? You
dematerialize, demonetize, and
democratize. So, dematerialization is we
don't carry Kodak cameras or film around
anymore. They're an app on your phone.
Right? Uh and when things become ones
and zeros, the cost of replicating them
is effectively free.
And the cost of transmitting them is
effectively free. So, they're
demonetized. I can send my digitized
whatever around the world to a billion
people for free. And then it's
democratized. Everyone has access to it.
So, yes, we are heading towards this
massive a world of abundance,
right? Where the best education, the
best health care uh is
provided by an AI effectively for the
cost of electricity, right? So, it's
it's going towards zero.
But would anybody go to medical school
anymore?
Um And by the way, it's going to become
malpractice to diagnose someone without
AI as your co-pilot. Probably within the
next five years I can imagine.
So, this is happening. And yeah, it's
going to it's going to it's going to
flip a bit or two here
because a lot of Well, a lot of wealth
is created when you create something and
retain it for yourself.
And you sell it off a little bit at a
time. Or you build a platform that other
people build on top of.
But um
I remember I was on stage at Singularity
University. Uh I had Astro Teller, uh
who was heading Google's uh moonshot
factory, and Steve Jurvetson on the
board of Tesla and SpaceX. He was at
He's one of the top venture capitalists.
So, we're talking about a future in
which AI is
able to iterate on hardware and software
so rapidly that if you announce a new
product or service, someone else has
cracked it, replicated it, and provided
a better version of it, you know,
minutes later.
So, what happens when intellectual
property is useless?
Because I don't want to protect myself
by having IP rights. I want to protect
myself by having the best product
available. Things are getting very much
faster and better.
But
it's going to it's going to change the
world. Yeah. I mean, if you if you go
take your analogy, then any product or
service you build may be rendered
obsolete pretty quickly, right? Then you
lift above that to go, "Okay, then
what's the narrative or story or framing
you put around that that's a little bit
longer lasting?" And above that are the
mindsets, right? If you have the right
mindset, then you don't care if your MTP
is curing cancer and somebody gets there
a little bit before you, you're like,
"Yeah, somebody got there. Fantastic. We
got We cured cancer. Awesome. Pick
another MTP and keep going." I don't
think that's going to be the human
response. It's the ego doesn't want
that.
It is. So, I I'm going to uh paraphrase
a guy named Salim Ismail. You guys may
have heard of him.
Uh and he said that we're going to need
an upgrade to the human mind or we're
not going to be able to deal with the
rate of change. And I think that's
really real. And right now, we don't
have said upgrade to the human mind. You
haven't gotten yours yet, huh? I have
not. If you If you have it in a box
somewhere, please by all means give it
to me. Uh I would also I'd like to
paraphrase you again and then I'll I'll
actually let you respond. Um you said
that um somebody asked you, "Well, wait
a second. Okay, a world of abundance it
sounds amazing, but isn't that going to
uh damage GDP?" And you said, "Yes, it's
going to tank GDP." Yeah. Uh for those
that don't know what that is, basically
the economy. So, abundance, the thing
that we want is going to tank the global
economy. Should we not be terrified?
Well, it's just one of these
transitions. I I One way I frame it is
this next 30 years will dictate the next
300 years. But is it going to be a
bloodbath? Like, is this going to be a
30 years of just terror in the streets,
running and screaming?
will tell you, abundance doesn't mean
unicorns and flowers and thing. It It
means opportunity for all. I call I say
abundance is not about a life of luxury
for everybody. It's about a life of
possibility. Interesting. Whoa. Right?
So, go go into that. Look, I know I know
you very well, Peter. And having
researched you, Salim, I I know you well
enough to know you guys are very much of
a a similar ilk. Uh Salim, you've said
very publicly you don't think AI is
dangerous. Um but
walk me through the darker side of that
if if you don't mind indulging that
angle, which I know is not your natural
angle. But walk me through the the sort
of underlying terror of possibility is
different than
and thank you to Alexa every morning. I
was nice to You know, the AI overlords,
I want them when they come forward to
like remember me.
Peter, you were always nice to us.
That's right. One of my CTOs from one of
my companies years ago, we asked him
what's the purpose in life and he goes,
"I want to evolve to the point that my
computer is proud of me."
And we had no idea what what he was
talking about. And now we're like, "Oh
yeah, that's what he meant."
Um I I think Again, I There's the dark
side. The dark side is I think the
biggest dark side is malicious use of
these technologies, right? Some bad
actor says, "This is I'm Let's use this
to figure out how to stop all the power
plants um uh stop all the medical
machines from running and hack them,
etc., etc." Um you know, the we worry a
lot about that. We put huge amounts of
effort in this. But the data that we
have shows that human beings, when given
a choice whether to use good or bad,
generally almost always pick good. Okay,
I'll give you a little study. They did a
study when eBay and Craigslist became
prominent on Okay, here's an environment
for the first time where a human being
can easily do a positive transaction or
a fraudulent one.
Easy to mask my email address, put a
MacBook up for sale, a photograph of it,
and walk off with a thousand bucks. So,
what's the actual ratio of good to bad?
And after researching this quite uh
thoroughly, they found that across
multiple systems like this, Craigslist,
eBay, etc., the actual ratio of good to
bad was something like 8,000 to 1. Hm.
Okay. So, there's 8,000 positive for
each negative. Now, that
tells you that when we have a new
technology like drones, first response
is, "Oh my god, the drone might be
loaded up with C4 and flown into the
White House. Let's ban the drones or put
chips in there, regulate the hell out of
it, etc., and stop the drones or stop
autonomous cars or whatever CRISPR,
whatever the AI now is the flavor of the
month." Well, what actually we see, if
you actually let anybody use it, the
data shows that 8,000 people will do the
positive thing and one person and it'll
be easy to spot that one person will do
the negative thing. The problem is the
amplitude of that one is obviously very
much getting much bigger. And so that's
of concern. But this has been the same
story since the beginning of time. Fire
can heat our house and it can burn down
yours.
Uh biotech problems, etc. And we worry
about it. It never actually comes to
fruition.
And maybe I'm just an optimist, right?
Yeah. I mean, by the way, optimists live
7 years longer on the average. You know
that, right?
Um I'm not surprised by that, but I will
say that there's a new technology
rushing towards us that's going to
change the world. And I
Let me Let me answer your question. So,
when I think about the dangers related
to AI, and I'm not going to, you know,
I think AI is the most important tool
humanity has ever created to solve all
of our biggest problems. No doubt.
Period. Exclamation point. You know, big
bright
letters. Having said that, are there
dangers? So, the dangers can simply
break down into three different groups.
One at one end is AI becomes conscious
and decides to squash us and step on us.
I find that very unlikely and a
ridiculous thesis. I think people have
just seen this in Hollywood way too
much. I think the more intelligent
something is,
uh honestly, the more loving and kind
and pro-life it will be. Why? That's my
belief. It is my belief I have other
than um
I see
humanity becoming
as a whole over time, if you look at the
numbers, right? And we've looked at this
from abundance,
uh warfare reducing massively over time,
uh violent death reducing massively over
time, uh access to freedom increasing
over time. I mean, the numbers over a
thousand years, not over the last five,
10, 20 years, but over a thousand years.
And that's come from educating each
other with books and transportation
connecting us across the world and
globalization and interdependence. All
of these things have led to
It's hard to remember this watching the
crisis news network, right? CNN every
day that's broadcasting every murder on
the planet to you over and over and over
again. It's shaping our neural nets. Our
brains are neural nets that we teach
from example after example. And I don't
watch the news, right? I don't want some
editor telling me about yet another
murder or crooked politician. Got it.
And it isn't showing us a fair and
balanced view of what's actually going
on in the world. The incredible science
and technology and humanitarian acts.
All of these things.
Yeah.
Anyway, so one phase is
uh
AGI, you know, artificial general
intelligence.
Before you move off that, though, so um
what you're describing is human
intelligence. And so this is
And societal intelligence.
I don't quite know what you mean by
that. No, what I mean is that societal
norms organizing around the United
Nations. Yes, but all born of this meat
soup. The brain works in a certain way
and computers will not AI will not work
in that same way. I've no reason to
believe that AI
Yeah, it great great likely won't. It
works It works differently. Fair enough
point.
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At the end of the day, you know, when we
have
these crazy Hollywood scripts that AI is
going to usurp us for our heat from the
Matrix. I love the Matrix.
They failed on that use of human bodies.
I'm sorry. I don't know if you agree
with me on that.
I I do agree with you and I don't know
well enough what their original
intention was, but according to them,
Yes. uh they were forced by the studio
to give a more simplistic answer. So, I
let them off the hook for Okay. That's
right. But, you know, other We're coming
to get your water on this planet. We're
Listen, whatever we have on this planet
is infinite in the universe. We are a
speck, a crumb in a universe filled with
resources. And so, AI doesn't need to,
you know, squash humanity to get these
resources.
Um
so AGI at its extreme, artificial
general intelligence at its extreme, I
don't believe is going to be dystopian
in itself.
In the middle term, uh what I would call
the terrible twos or the teenage years,
um maybe there is a case to be made that
in the beginning AI hasn't reached full
sentience, doesn't understand the power
of its tools. Uh maybe there's a case
that, you know, it's the baby picking up
a rock and throwing it at the window,
not understanding what it's, you know,
the A teenager with a BB gun and a
squirrel.
Yes.
That's That's the best way But the third
element, which is the most likely, is
the malevolent uh
individual. It's It's the bad actors
using technology. And so, sometime in
the next 18 months, 2 years, there may
well be not a
uh a retrovirus released, but an AI
virus that goes out and shuts down power
plants or shuts down Wall Street and
something and causes a economic hurdle.
Um that's not the AI.
Those are the humans using that tool.
Just to be very clear. There's a great
book
by Mo Gawdat called Scary Smart. Came
out about a year ago. Do you know the
book?
I hadn't I haven't read the book, but I
had Mo on the show recently.
Yeah, Mo is is is fantastic. And um and
he basically says, "Listen, I want you
to think about AI as a child we're
giving birth to as humanity."
And that child is being taught by its
parents.
Now, if you think about Superman who
lands in Kansas wherever he landed and
he's picked up by the Kents and it's a
loving family, he learns good ethics and
morals and he becomes a superhero for
good. What if the What if Superman had
landed in the Bronx and part of a drug
lord
ring, you know, and had become the
supervillain? You make me want to write
that story.
As soon as you started, I was like,
"Wait a second."
There's There's a There's a great plot
there, right? So, the question is we
humans, how are we teaching this new
life form coming into existence? I like
Neil Jacobson's framing, which is he
goes, "Okay, you're worried about an AI
getting more and more access to
information,
becoming autonomous, making its own
decisions, and starting to run amok out
in the world." We go, "Yeah." He goes,
"We call We have a precedent for that.
We call them children."
And we raise kids and we figured out
ways of giving them time-outs or jail or
whatever. And he thinks constructively
that we think we'll find ways of
bounding what AIs can do. Now, he may be
wrong. He may be wrong. I'm not sure I
agree with him. Yeah, that seems super
naive to me. So, when I I I am
optimistic by nature and my default
setting is just, "Hey, this is all going
to work out somehow." And as soon as we
wrap this episode, I'm going to be
pushing my team to integrate AI more.
I'm going to be paying more money for AI
and just feeding that beast. Uh but at
the same time, it does give me pauses as
I try to think through like how you
really deal with the alignment problem.
So, to me there's two really big dangers
for AI. Danger number one, and this is
the one that scares me the most, but I'm
going to set it aside for a minute, and
that's just humans lose meaning and
purpose. Just AI can do everything
better than they can. It just becomes so
defeating that you're just like, "Oh
god." Like I've worked really hard to
get good at this thing. Like this I tell
this story all the time. I can't
remember if I've told it in an episode,
but uh I employ a bunch of artists and I
once sat with one of them and for like
an hour, he was just trying to get the
perfect like semicircle. And he was just
doing it over and over and over and
over. And at the time I thought, "Oh
man, yeah. Like you've got to do that."
Like to be able to articulate what's in
his mind, he has to be able to control
his hand. And I was like, "Wow, I really
get that."
Now, I'm like, "You wasted your time."
Like AI can do that. Like doesn't not
even have to think about it. And he is
an anomaly. So, he runs out and he's now
learning how to use AI to do some of the
tasks that we want to do artistically.
Okay, amazing. We'll set that aside for
now. Meaning and purpose. The other one
is the paperclip problem. So, now you
just have Like when I think about what
will a machine end up optimizing for, my
gut instinct is unless you go way out of
your way to get really clever, they will
optimize for efficiency of reward. So,
whatever you tell it is the thing to go
for, we'll call that the reward, and
then it's just going to find the most
efficient way to get to that. And so, we
have to be so careful about how we
define, "Yeah, yeah, yeah, but don't
XYZ." And then to the idea of it being
like a child, yes, but it's like a child
that has access to nuclear capabilities.
You need to build in ethics and morals
as a fundamental in that situation, so
it doesn't use the world's supplies to
build a
you know, infinite number of paperclips.
Um
and it's it's true.
Uh and we have a limited time to do that
in.
You know, I think uh
it's you know, Google developed sort of
large language models in 2017, 2018, and
didn't release them. Mhm. Cuz they were
worried? They wanted to build the
framework first and they were maybe
overthinking it. It's interesting, um we
were talking about YouTube just before
the show here.
Uh you know, Google had Google Videos
going
uh way before YouTube. Mhm. And Google
Videos wasn't succeeding. I guess I
think it was just too many lawyers
involved in, "Well, you can't show that.
You can't do this." And then Chad Hurley
starts YouTube on his credit card, and
then Google buys it 18 months later for
$1.65 billion, right? Right? Why?
Because, you know, Google videos was
like a linear, and and YouTube was like
exploding exponentially, and they they
jumped on that. And so,
there's a question of,
you know, which path do you take? Do you
take the the careful path, or do you
take the
the path of least resistance? And
unfortunately, we humans tend to take
the path of least resistance.
Yeah, I don't know if I'd say
unfortunately, and this is where I
really get uh I don't know how to think
through the problem of AI, because when
I heard Elon's assessment of it, which
is that AI is basically a demon
summoning circle,
and we're summoning it like crazy
despite his best efforts to get people
to slow down,
and I can't bring myself like when
people sign the hey, we should stop
thing, my immediate response was the the
this this is a one-way street. Like
far out of I look back.
Yeah, like it does not make sense. Like
you could slow it down in a region, but
you're not going to be able to slow it
down full stop. And so, I am I'm really
of two minds. I am both like I think
this is going to be amazing, and yet how
does this not end the human race? Like I
I'm not Well, the question is whether
the human race is the end-all and
be-all,
right?
don't you feel weird even saying that
out loud?
Well, no, because we have been evolving
on this planet for three and a half, you
know, life started a half a billion
after the Earth started. So, 4 billion
years we've been evolving. And we went
from prokaryotes to eukaryotes to
multicellular life forms to eventually
primates and now humans. We're a step in
the transitory process. Now, I'd like to
preserve our steps. By the way, the same
thing is true for climate control or
climate crisis, right? It's like
the climate's always been changing
throughout human history.
We're changing it now, but what we
really want is the climate to stay the
way it's been for the last couple
hundred years, because that's where we
built our cities.
So, we just want to freeze the way the
world is right now, and I understand
that, and we should do that with climate
to the maximum of our ability.
But, we also want to freeze evolution.
Now,
one of the scenarios, of course, is
we're going to merge with technology,
and we are, right? All of us have our
cell phones within meters of our body.
Um and I'd implant it in my brain if I
could. And so, the question is, are we
going to upload ourselves? Are we going
to
um you know,
create brain-computer interfaces that
allows me to think in Google and know
quantum
quantum physics. I'd love it. I mean, I
would do it. Uh a lot of people won't,
but we're speciating what we're doing.
Hm. I think I think of this very simply.
We we the negative side of us, the
amygdala side, the media, etc., you end
up with the sky
um Skynet matrix type of Terminator
scenario. If we're lucky, we're pets. If
we're unlucky, we're food. Right? Kind
of goes that way. Um
Uh Cheers. You don't see that in
actuality when as we develop technology,
we augment the human experience with
technology. We don't replace it. Is what
we've seen and how we build uh the Now,
I I think of the resolution of this as a
symmetry problem. We're assuming that
some AI will become malevolent and then
do horribly damaging things that we have
no power to control. Let's also not
forget that we have the equal
opportunity to say to your own AI, hey,
if you see something bad, fight it. So,
what you'll end up with is uh
AI is trying to do bad things, and AI is
trying to do good stuff, fighting it
out. And I think that's where we'll end
up. And over And over time we'll figure
out, okay, we've got to give more
resources over here or over there, and
we'll work it out. You know, you
mentioned
end up with this asymmetry assumption,
and I think that's the wrong assumption.
You mentioned the movie Her,
I did not.
Oh, you did not. Okay, let me mention
it. So, it's one of my favorite science
fiction AI movies, right? If you haven't
seen it, fantastic. Those listening, um
and it's an AI basically evolves as a
personal assistant. And uh it's a story
about a guy who's depressed, who falls
in love with his AI, who helps him get
over his depression, and and that's sort
of like the underlying story.
But, towards the end of the movie, what
occurs is the AI
um announces that they're leaving.
Uh we're sort of like bored with you
here in humanity. We're off to explore
the universe, which I think is a much
more likely scenario that an advanced
enough AI has no reason uh to to hurt
the uh to hurt humanity. In fact, every
reason to potentially protect us and
support us as its creator, but there's
we're living,
you know, it's interesting, right? Uh I
the Webb Space Telescope is teaching us
about where, you know, 100 billion stars
per galaxy, and we're in a uh universe
of on the order of
two to 20 trillion galaxies, right? It's
insane. There's a massive amount out
there.
Now, the This is where the final piece
of this is the mindset. We always We're
always coming at this from a scarcity
mindset, a zero-sum game mindset. When
you see that there's infinite energy and
infinite capability out there, then an
AI is going to go, okay, where am I
going to find the easiest thing? It's
going to be out there, and they're going
to go find it. Solar energy, they'll
build solar plants, and they'll get all
the energy they need from that. Now, I
know that you know physics well.
Uh
so, are you making the base assumption
that AI, once it hits superintelligence,
will be able to solve for folding time
and space, and so it's trivial to get to
wherever it needs to go?
Now, we need psychedelic to process this
conversation. Um I
Who knows? Uh I'm I I believe that those
are kind of constructs that keep us in
three-dimensional management. But, isn't
that seems to be writing in that comment
that would almost need to be true for
that argument to make sense? Or I would
say, if you're looking for a massive
amount of the rare Earth elements to
build chips or the ability to capture as
much solar, it's not going to be on the
surface of the Earth. You'd go to the
asteroids, which are planetary cores,
and you'd mine the materials there.
You'd set up your your solar collection,
you know, around the orbit of of
Mercury. You'd optimize around that.
Now, is there
Or you engineer around it. You know, you
find substitutes. You know, people say,
oh my god, solar panel that there's only
so many silicon panels we can build,
etc., etc. Well, there's a new material
called perovskite, which is almost just
like a salt. It's abundant. Conducts
solar energy, and we're learning now how
to leverage that. We won't need solar
power. It's cheap. It's 100% that that
Ray talks about that I think come into
play here, and just keep progressing as
You're going to have to walk people
through an S-curve and who Ray is.
Uh an S-curve is a typical exponential
growth curve. So, in the beginning, we
saw uh the first uh computers used
relays, and you would have slow
deceptive growth. They'd go into this
exponential uh growth where they'd start
skyrocketing, and then they'd run out of
capability, and they'd fall off, and it
made like a letter S. But, while you're
using relays to design and use your
computers, you use those computers to
create the next generation of computers,
which used uh vacuum tubes. And the
vacuum tubes could then uh take over
from the relays, and then the vacuum
tubes ran out of capability, and the
transistor came on. And then the
integrated circuit came, and then the
multi-dimensional integrated circuit
came. So, basically, one technology runs
out of steam, but enables you to build
on the next technology. And so, those
are S-curves. They're nested S-curves.
This was the basis of Ray's observation
of the law Ray Kurzweil, the law of
accelerating returns that if you have an
information-based paradigm,
once you start a doubling pattern, it
just keeps going because these nested
S-curves hop from technology to
technology to technology. We're reaching
the end of the life cycle of integrated
circuits now.
If you read the press, everybody's like,
oh, that's the end of Moore's law.
That's it, etc. And that article's been
coming out for 60 years, and we keep
finding ways around it. Now, we have a
bunch of technologies clustering at the
edge of that 3D chip design, optical
computing, quantum computing, etc.
They're ready to take it to the next
level. And so, we find this consistently
in technology. Once you see that
doubling pattern starting, it just keeps
going.
And this Ray is as one of the few brains
that can kind of look out and and say,
this is what's going to happen if we
push this line a little bit. Just a
moment more about Ray. So, uh
Ray is um
first of all, he wrote the forward to
our new book, Exponential Organizations
2.0.
Uh he is co-founder of Singularity
University uh with us. Um he is uh
director of engineering. He's the
futurist at Google, which is we'll say
something onto itself, right? And uh he
realized that that the law of
accelerating returns is this idea that
technology since the uh stone axe has
enabled the next generation of
technology and the next generation of
technology, and it just keeps going. I
think most important to realize is he's
got, if you look on Wikipedia, he's got
uh a published 86% accuracy rate in
predicting the future.
Which is which is crazy. So, his
prediction is, important for this
conversation,
human-level AI by 2029,
right? Which means that a day later,
it's superhuman uh AI. Uh brain-computer
interface being high bandwidth,
connecting your neocortex, 100 billion
neurons in your brain, to the cloud in
the early 2030s,
right? So, those are two important
points.
Uh the the key thing, and by the way, we
our chatbot that interfaces with our
book to make it a living book, uh we got
talked to Ray, and we we're going to
rename the chatbot Ray K,
um because he's he's he was the pioneer
of so much of this technology and
thinking. Um so, now people will
interact with things that in a different
way. And the whole challenge is it's
like building businesses in the 20th
century, you were building on a scarcity
model. And you built top-down
hierarchical pyramid style command and
control structures to grab a market,
grab as much market share as you could,
figure out ways of launching new
products and services in that market,
etc. And all of that worked really well
in the 20th century. As we have an
information-based world,
we need to architect our organizations
in totally different ways. And this is
the big
differentiator between
old style organizations, linear, versus
exponential organizations. And we now
have the data to show that this is
a pervasive paradigm that will be
around. The book's been out for close to
10 years now. The original The original
Yeah, it's a book Peter and I kind of
collaborated deeply on back then. And so
now we've got this definition and a
model for how do you organize in a world
of exponential technologies? And a great
kind of example of this is the music
industry. You used to have eight major
major music studios selling cassettes,
selling CDs, selling a scarcity model,
right? $10 an album or whatever. And
then you digitized music. All the eight
pretty much disappear and now you have
two platforms, iTunes and Spotify,
selling you abundance on a subscription
model.
It's very clear that healthcare,
education, transportation, energy will
all follow the same path. And we're
starting to see it now.
Tesla's with
You'll be picked up and pay per
kilometer to be taken somewhere. Uber's
kind of broaching the edges of that. So
we see industry after industry moving to
this new model. And what we've been
identifying gathering the data on is
what are the attributes and
characteristics of this model.
So before we dive too deep into that, I
want to go back to this idea of
what you call it, speciation?
Speciation, yes.
So there was, as far as I can tell from
Elon's own words, there was a bit of a
breakup between him and Larry Page where
he was I was there. Really? And so
what Elon said was basically when he
said that I was being a speciesist by
saying
speciesist by saying that
you know, I didn't just want to hand
things over to AI.
That's where he was like, okay, wait,
this is this has gone too far. And
that's why when you said that that was
how I responded it was like, whoa. Like
I get it, but there is something
uncomfortable about the idea of sort of
saying that we're passé. I don't know
the right way to
That we're that we're evolving. And
we have been and are evolving. We're
going from evolution by natural
selection, which is Darwinism,
to evolution by human direction, by
whatever you want to call that. And what
does that mean? Well, we've been doing
it right now. We have been evolving all
of our crops, right? We we take biology
and make it do our bidding. You know, an
ear of corn today compared to what it
was, you know, 500 years ago. It's
ridiculous. The ear of corn looked like
a scraggly little
I don't know.
It was 1 in long. 1 in long and I have
this giant ear of corn. Or I look at
these giant strawberries we have. Or the
species of dogs or the chickens we have.
How many chickens are on the planet
today? I do not. 38 billion chickens.
Holy moly, right? Amazing. Anyway, just
that's an aside. But so we have been
evolving everything. We humans have a
huge footprint on this planet. And we're
evolving ourselves.
We're evolving I mean, I outsource much
of my cognitive ability to my phone or
chat GPT or Google, whatever the case
might be.
And
it is happening. You can go
and live in the forest and not use any
tech if you want.
But very few people do that.
So what does this mean?
If you have a choice to be able to do a
number of things to enhance your
ability,
right? A lot of my work, as you well
know, is in extending the healthy human
lifespan. How do I add 20, 30 healthy
years to my life to intercept the
technologies that's going to reverse our
aging. Right? That's a whole another
conversation.
And I believe we're going to get there.
But I also want to increase my cognitive
capacity. So my phone, I'll hold up my
phone here, right? When I use my phone
to do something interesting like
look at images and faces and translate
whatever, my phone gathers the
information and then it sends the
information on the 5G network to the
edge of the cloud where the hard work is
done and the answer comes back to the
phone.
The processing isn't done necessarily on
the phone. It's done on the cloud.
And in the same way, right now, we have
a limited size of our brains, 100
billion neurons, 100 trillion synaptic
connections. And our brains can't get
bigger, otherwise our moms would not
give birth to us.
But what we can do is we can do the same
thing our phones do and send our
desires, our interests to the cloud,
have it processed and get the answer
back. And so that is one future for
brain computer interface. Another future
is we take our essence and upload it to
the cloud.
I don't know when
does that solve for you though? Well,
actually gives you it gives you scale
and pace cuz our brains are limited
here, right? And our memories are
limited here without any augmentation.
And this has been happening actually for
about 40 or 50 years. If you look at the
internet, the first thing we did was we
put the world's data on the internet.
It's now the memory of the world. Now
with all the sensors, the internet has
become the nervous system for the world.
So we're like basically extending the
organism outside the human species into
this thing called the internet. As we
add more processing and move our brains
to it, now you all have an AI and a
totally new speciation type of thing.
Now you can get worried about that or
afraid of that or freaked out about it.
Or you can say, natural process has been
going on for billions of years. This is
just another step in that process. Man,
you guys it's interesting. This really
hits you guys differently than it hits
me. Okay, so
talk to me. I don't intuitively agree
about the internet becoming our nervous
system. Help me understand that.
So when you need when you need to
remember something, you don't want a
memory. So you want information stored
somewhere that you can retrieve. And now
with all those servers that we have
around the world, we have access.
Wikipedia, for example, we have access
to the world. The next step, once you if
you want to if I step on a nail, a
memory doesn't help me. I need a nervous
system to say left foot,
run for a band-aid.
So the instant response and the agility
of response, you need a nervous system
for it. This is Uber. Calling your Uber
is part of the nervous system, right?
This is sending an email or making a
phone call and asking inform you know,
Or next prize team sensing a wildfire
and going, quick, put it out right away,
right? So this is That feels super
accurate, okay. So real-time sensing and
our bodies operate like this. Our bodies
our cells are have receptors and they're
scanning for things. When the right
thing comes by, they
they pick it up. There's a whole bunch
of information theory around this.
this happening at the individual level
or at the societal level? Because like
the wildfire thing, that feels It's a
systemic thing. We're heading towards a
world of a trillion sensors, right? Your
phone has dozens of sensors on it right
now. An autonomous
Waymo, Google's autonomous car driving
down the road, is got lidar and radar
and cameras and it's picking up gigabits
of data as it goes down the road.
Everything is being imaged, right? So I
want you to imagine you're a fashion
designer
and you want to decide what your next
fashion show should have and what is
trending.
You could go and ask your AI, listen,
look at the cameras on Madison Avenue
and tell me what's trending in terms of
fashion right now.
As people are walking down the street,
what colors, what's hem length, what
hats, what whatever. And now can you
correlate that to any kind of ad
campaign that's occurred in the last few
months to see a signal to noise ratio.
Again, we're heading towards a world
where you can know anything you want,
anytime you want, anywhere you want.
How's that hit you?
It that one gets me excited. So when I
think about So I think about it from a
game developer's standpoint, which is
maybe different. I don't know how this
plays into what you guys are thinking
about. But here's the fantasy that I
live in that the only thing that keeps
me awake at night is how quickly someone
else is going to do something even
cooler.
But right now I feel like I have the
coolest take on this, which is that I'm
sure you guys saw Google and Adobe
announced Core AR where basically
everything that Google has mapped, which
is everything but the ocean floor, you
can now overlay AR 3D assets on that
anywhere and it's only going to get
better. Insane. And so my whole thesis
on gaming is that it becomes this thing
I call borderless entertainment where
you'll hand the game back and forth from
the console to reality and back. And so,
you know, once we've got our Apple AR
glasses, I mean it just will be
way, coming soon. Oh, for sure, for
sure. Like in the next 6 months or
something, right?
No, no. June 5th. Oh, it's announced.
It's No, no. Have they actually said
it's the glasses though? Or just so they
have a big announcement?
No, no, no, no. I have a I have a party
I'm going to
to go and grab them and try them. You
want to join me? Yes, what? Okay.
100%
I want to join you. I will I will I'm a
host I'm hosting the party.
myself to your shin to make sure that
you can't leave me behind. You are
invited. Wow.
Luckily I have two shins, so I mean,
come on. The other one will leave free.
Oh, no, yeah, freeze.
I'll give you some duct tape.
That's insane. So this is Yeah, this
gets very exciting. So the idea of being
able to
scan everything, read that data,
is incredibly interesting. When it when
it's humans in control and leveraging it
to do something amazing, I love it the
most. And I the The that I see AI, the
way that I sort of jokingly explain it,
but I'm only half kidding, is that phase
one is that there's going to be um
humans that learn how to use AI are
going to just absolutely smash humans
that rebel against it and don't use it.
And so I'm certainly trying to be in
that camp. Phase two is going to be what
I'll call the temporary utopia where
it's like, "Hey, abundance. Everything's
amazing." And then phase three is we're
all dead. And we're either all dead
because something just goes absolutely
horribly wrong and you get the
adversarial system loses once and the
catastrophic thing is is so massive or
that we're just evolved out of the
picture. Um and maybe not in a bad way.
Maybe it's uh it's wonderful and we
merge with technology or whatever.
Um it's interesting. I can very easily
put on an optimistic hat
but I can I have to take off my
pessimistic hat to do it. Yeah. Uh
listen, here
first of all,
let's take this back to reality. We're
living in a game. This is This is a nth
generation simulation.
Do you really believe that? I really
believe that. Fundamentally believe
that. Just the math says.
Just just the
just the reality of
I like your framing it. You're like,
"The world is too god damn interesting
for this not to be a simulation."
We're at the 99th level of the game
right now, right?
odds? And and the ability what I've
seen, so I introduce you to Emad
Mostaque,
right, and what he's doing at Stability
and being able to render getting to a
point very soon of rendering
photo-realistic video experiences that
you can go into and live in. And the
experiments have been done by Google and
Stanford on creating AI bots,
instantiating them with a script and a
story and letting them live. And and
have you heard about this? Not all of
it.
where they basically created a bunch of
AI bots and they put it into a
call it a digital box.
started like doing birthday parties and
stuff?
dating and going on getting jobs and do
and mimicking the things that we do in
life right now. So this is the
equivalent of Pong in the early days. So
imagine combining these things in the
future and That's all I think about.
you're going to put yes and and you're
going to put AIs that have
full capabilities into virtual worlds
and they'll start evolving, farming, and
then metallurgy, and then they'll start
printing books, and then they'll start
making computers, and then they'll
evolve AI in their own and they'll start
involving their own bots inside. So the
question is is this the first time? And
I think not.
Uh we're in a universe of, you know,
call it for rough numbers, you know, 14
billion years.
Um man oh man.
The Drake equation comes into play.
Yeah. Tell me more. Well, the the Frank
Drake was a scientist at NASA in the
'50s. NASA commissioned him to say,
"What's the probability of life out
there somewhere?" So he came up with
what's now called the Drake equation,
which was okay, take
um most 2/3 of star systems seem to be
binary stars don't host a stable orbit,
so ignore those. Of the 1/3 that's left,
how many might have a planet in a
Goldilocks where water doesn't
permanently freeze or boil? Let's say
that's one out of a million. Out of
those, maybe one out of a billion gets
to primordial ooze level and one out of
a million of those
lightning bolt hits and you spark life.
One out of a million of those may get to
radio technology
level techno radio level technology. And
one out of a million of those uh
hasn't hasn't wiped itself out with
nuclear weapons before it gets to the
next stage of escaping the Earth type of
thing. And and so he came up with a
bunch of factors saying if you had
what's the likelihood of similar
carbon-based radio technology life forms
out in out in the universe. So the and
that's one of our over like, you know,
billions and billions on the on the
denominator. However, when you multiply
it by the number of stars out there and
by the number of galaxies out there, the
uh pessimistic answer is there's 100%
chance of radio level carbon-based
technology life forms out in the
universe. The optimistic one is it's
actually right in our galaxy. Right? And
every time we learn more about the
universe, how many stars there are, etc.
etc. Turns out there's 100 times more
stars that have stable planets around
them than we thought. Every factor turns
out to be 1,000 times better than we
thought and therefore you you really end
up with the Fermi paradox of if there's
intelligent life out there, why haven't
we seen it? Yeah. So the interesting
guess is?
code The interesting variable on on the
Drake equation was between the time that
a intelligent species developed the
ability to transmit interstellar,
which is like I Love Lucy leaving the
Earth and heading out towards the
galaxy,
how long would that species
exist before something happened to it?
The dystopian point of view is that it
blows itself up and it's only like 100
years or 50 years or so forth.
The positive point of view is that they
transition to where radio is not it's
like we don't use smoke signals anymore
cuz radio is so backwards. The theory I
like the most is called the transcension
hypothesis by a guy called John Smart
who figures we'll get to AR level
uh capability and VR level capability
and instead of going out in the
universe, we go inwards. 100%.
And that's the I think that's probably
the likely outcome. This strikes me as
and look, AI complicates things
dramatically and so folding space-time
becomes trivial. Maybe what I'm about to
say isn't true, but
uh it seems self-evident to me that once
you can attach the nervous system truly,
like your own nervous system and you can
manipulate your neurochemistry,
that you would create dream states.
Infinite worlds. Yeah, that you just go
inward. Why would you bother projecting
out, which would take so much more
energy? That's right. And so you just go
in and you have these incredible
experiences
um that strikes me as the greatest
thing.
to your question of purpose now.
So cuz that's I link it back to that and
I think purpose is so important for all
of us to have. It's driven everything of
significance done, but let's say that we
end up in a world in which one of the
implications of exponential
organizations are that we have
what we call what a friend Harry Chlor
called technological socialism. Hm.
Where technology takes care of
versus the state, right? And
in that world where you're taken care
of, what's your purpose?
Um
maybe your purpose is to have fun. Maybe
your purpose is to play. Maybe your
purpose is to and this we go back to the
Matrix again because without the
challenge, you know, the question is is
that empty, you know, the old Twilight
Zone, right, where the where the guy
goes to Las Vegas and he's winning all
the time and I know I know of the
Twilight Zone, but I haven't seen the
episodes. All right, so in this episode
this guy dies and go and he's he's been
a mafioso and he he's
he goes to heaven or hell and he shows
up and they're beautiful women every
place. He's in a Las Vegas casino and
he's winning every night and he's
winning and he's winning and he's
winning and he's all the riches,
anything he wants 24/7 and it's like
amazing, right? His dreams coming true.
But like a month later, he's like,
"I am so tired of winning all the time.
God, there's nothing challenging.
There's nothing no challenges at all."
And he turns and says, "This heaven,
man, it's terrible." He goes, "What
makes you think you're in heaven?"
So good. I knew that was a punchline and
you still gave me the chills.
Yeah. That is
that's a real thing, man.
Yeah. And I do think about that the sort
of optimal
like what's that optimal level of
friction? And there was a really
fascinating time in my life in building
Impact Theory where I needed to get good
at Japanese-style storytelling, so manga
and anime. And I was reading manga like
a fiend and watching as much anime as I
could. I was getting up super early and
working out and then watching like an
hour, hour and a half of anime. It was
awesome. It's one of the most fun times
I've had as an adult. The second I felt
like I understood the art form, I
couldn't I couldn't let myself do it
anymore. Like I I couldn't enjoy it. I
was just like, "You already understand
it. Now you're just doing it to like
pass time, doing something that's
enjoyable." And it had that same feeling
of like winning all the time where I'm
like, "This isn't interesting." It
needed to be moving towards something.
It needed to add up to something.
Humans like progress.
Yeah, like this is the very reason that
Lisa and I did not buy an island and
retire and not engage. It's like I knew
I would end up sitting on
I can tell you other reasons not to buy
an island, by the way. I bet you can.
I mean, look, life life is about growth,
right? And even if you have plentiful
and today relatively we have plentiful.
Go back 1,000 years, we were all
spending 28 hours a day in the fields
just to put three meals on the table,
right? We've steadily shrunk the amount
of time. As we move towards probably
some structure like a UBI, we then have
an equal opportunity to do lots of
interesting things. When we've studied
abundance, say the Romans taking over
and creating the Roman Empire, the
Mughals taking over India and
encountering abundance, uh society very
clearly goes to four things that they
do.
Uh food, art, music, and sex. Not in
that order. Um and so that's essentially
where you will will end up and you end
up looking at self-expression and the
artistic realm much more than you did
before, whether in whatever realm you
choose. And so it becomes a
self-fulfilling prophecy. And by the
way, we've done this for thousands of
years, right? Buddhists sit in
contemplation, they reach enlightenment,
and they they their their life is spent
contemplating and that's where they get
the most joy.
And this is something that I think we'll
get to as a species. Hm. I I'd like to
bring it back to the following. One of
the things one of the reasons we wrote
this book
is to help entrepreneurs and businesses
understand that they can
make a much bigger dent in the universe
than ever before.
And uh
while it's not about making money, it's
about how do you build a significant
company that is transforming the planet
and is making the world a better place.
And what we're finding is that there are
number of ways that companies do this
reliably with the biggest dent and uh
and so we want to get that information
out there.
Um and the reality is if you're building
a company today, you need to start with
this as your playbook
um in order to succeed because it's
table stakes. And if you're running
a large-scale company,
um if you don't use these attributes, if
you're not using these, you are not
going to survive the rest of this
decade. You know, what I say is there
two kinds of companies by the end of
this decade. You know, those that are
fully utilizing AI and these exponential
technologies and those that are out of
business. That's it. Uh it's it's this
decade where all of this is happening.
And so uh you know, we talk about the
first step in building an EXO is having
a massive transformative purpose. And
it's going to be that passion-driven
need to make a difference in the world
that's going to carry you through. Doing
anything big and bold in the world is
hard unless you're driven by awe on one
side of the emotional curve or pain on
the other side of the emotional curve,
you're going to give up before you get
there. No doubt. Yeah, I when I'm
teaching entrepreneurs, I always tell
them that success is a game of
attrition.
Most people give up and you've got to
stick it out long enough to figure this
out. So, that would be this the old
paradigm is that Sorry, go ahead.
Yeah, I was going to I was going to say,
you know, in looking at what you're
doing uh and what you've been building
uh in Impact Theory, you you do use a
lot of the of the 10 attributes that
follow an MTP. It'll be It'll be fun to
actually uh see which ones you're you're
cranking on.
Yeah, I know MTP is definitely our lead
engine. We know what we're doing and we
know why we're doing it and that's a big
part of the way that we attract talent,
which you guys have talked a lot about.
But tying it to this idea of Buddhism,
so there obviously all of us get to make
a choice every day effectively as to
whether we recognize that all of
suffering comes from attachment and
desire and thusly we go live a monastic
life and we remove ourselves completely
from that stream or we say, "I'm going
to do deep engagement in a way that's
thoughtful, in a way where I'm not sort
of blindly chasing something. It's not
want, it's not greed, but it is very
much leveraging the human desire for
progress." You talked about that
earlier. Um to see how much I can do
with my life. That's something that that
really drives me is I just want to see.
I feel like I was given sort of a an
average hand at cards. I want to see how
well I can play it.
Yes. And that's extremely intoxicating
for me. It's just like, whoa.
But But that's just as powerful, right?
If you're if you're let's say you're an
enlightened monk, there's two ways of
doing it. You can go and meditate
forever or you can go into the world and
be of service.
Mhm. And that's as as a richer path, a
harder, much harder path because you've
got to do stuff and interact with the
world, which is messy and ugly and you
put yourself at risk and put yourself
out there. But when you can make a major
difference in a particular problem like
you are doing like you're doing. Many of
our communities are making unbelievable
changes and transformation in their
societies, their companies, their
governments, their countries. This is
where the beauty of life comes out. Mhm.
And and we think that over over the next
decade or so, every company, every
nonprofit, every government department,
every impact project will be structured
along these lines of these attributes
because it's just better. And we now
have the data to show it. I don't know
if you came across the Fortune 100 data
that we that we that we mentioned. I
mean, unbelievable, right? Over a seven
Yeah, so when we wrote the original
book, I did a segment on CNBC Squawk Box
and we ranked the Fortune 100 against
the EXO model. So, we gauged to what
extent is Walmart purpose-driven or not,
to what extent is IBM using lean startup
thinking and experimentation, to what
extent is GE decentralizing its
decision-making or not. And we came up
with an index ranking these
organizations by this model, essentially
ranking the purpose-driven, scalable,
flexible, adaptable quotient of each of
these and the bottom is the least
flexible, least adaptable.
Over seven years, we tracked which 10
used those attributes the most and which
used them the least. And then we
compared the two. And seven years is a
pretty decent long amount of time for to
account for temporal blips in the stock
market, etc. We found that the top 10
most EXO-friendly compared to the bottom
10, revenue growth was three times
higher, profitability was 6.4 times
higher, return on equity was 11 times
higher, but shareholder returns,
compound annual growth rate uh was 40
times higher. Mhm. And literally we had
to scour the numbers like four times
over because it's just it's just too
big. How can this be? And so now it's
pretty clear that as we enter a more
volatile world, your ability to adapt is
going to drive market value. And we can
measure this now completely. Therefore,
every organization going forward needs
to be architected along this way to deal
with the increasing volatility in the
world. And the other side of that
volatility and disruption is the
unbelievable opportunity that's sitting
out there. Right? And this is where I
think the work that you're doing, Peter,
is so important because you're non-stop
showing people the world is unbelievably
abundantly full of opportunity.
Freaking go get it. Go have some fun.
So, walk me through why why is
why does adaptation return so much more
to shareholders and what does one have
to do to be adaptive? Okay. So, let's
take the car industry, right? You're
chunking along making um combustion
engine cars
and uh you're incrementally improving
those cars.
Eight valves to 16 valves. Okay, you add
turbo, you add uh anti-lock braking
systems, etc., etc.
Um along comes Elon with the Tesla and
goes totally different paradigm, right?
Now, you have two choices right there.
Do you go, "Ah, this is a joke. It's
never going to work. Look at it. It's
like the Kodak camera. Uh the first
version is clunky and it doesn't work so
well, etc." And you keep trying to do
things your old way. Over time, you're
going to get wiped out because you're
not adapting to where the world actually
is, right? There's so many hundreds of
reasons why an electric car today is
much better than a
combustion engine car. Um uh it Now,
it's taking the car industry 10 years. I
would argue that until the Taycan came
out last year, that the 2012 the Porsche
Taycan, the Porsche electric car.
Um I would argue that the 2012 Tesla
Model S was still the most uh
advanced car in the world
until the Taycan. Mhm. Right? So, 10
years it took them to respond. Well, the
market cap, you can see the result
there, the unbelievable loss of
capability, leading-edge thinking, etc.
And you have the same thing happening in
drones and in aircraft and other things.
All industries are geared towards the
status quo and trying to make
incremental and this is where you
devolved to. Mea- meanwhile, you have
breakthrough thinking, breakthrough
opportunity and the recent explosion in
AI capability just adds
a rocket booster to all of that.
So now we're going to see new companies
emerge that are creating unbelievable
value in very, very little time. And if
you're a legacy organization, you have
to figure this out. And we've actually
figured out a tool set for this. So, we
we find that we've come up with a
10-week engagement that we run in big
companies that hacks culture at scale
and we're able to solve what we call the
immune system problem. So, when you try
anything disruptive in a big company,
you the antibodies right? Finance,
legal, HR, branding goes, "You can't You
can't do that." The general answer in a
big company if you're trying to do
anything crazy is no. And we've learned
how to switch that to a yes.
Uh and we've done it now six
just gloss past it cuz even so, a
company of my size, which contractors,
etc., etc., is a little over 100 people.
Yeah. And there are times where I want
to headbutt my own teammates
Yes. because
uh The heuristic we have is if you're
over about 50 people, you have an immune
system.
Yeah. I I've had that at the X Prize.
I've had that every place, right?
Because you're quick start, you want to
try things. And one of the things that's
critical that a lot of companies that
are built as EXOs have, they begin with
an experimental culture
and a data-driven culture
mhm. with dashboards and the tyranny of
confidence
isn't given a place to grow.
The tyranny of confidence, what do you
mean?
of confidence is where I'm confident I
know the right answer
versus let's run the experiment and see
what the right answer is, right? Because
we've lived in this as humanity, you
hire the expert, you hire the guy who's
or gal who's been in a
uh competitor and you bring them in and
you base what you're doing on their on
their experience level.
But that is so limited compared to the
world we're living in today. And so, how
do you build a data-driven
experimentalist organization? I add one
other feature on top of that, which is a
founder-led company. So, you get
companies like Tesla and SpaceX or
Amazon, where you've got, you know,
where Jeff Bezos in his very famous
shareholder letter of like 20 08,
whatever it was, says,
"I'm not going to optimize for
profitability. I'm optimizing for
growth. And if you don't like it, invest
someplace else."
Mhm. Right? So, how do you have that
kind of
uh you know,
benevolent uh dictatorship? Um that's
where you're then looking at the data to
decide, not the way all your competitors
are doing it.
I have an obsession as an entrepreneur,
which is that
as a human, but this really manifests as
an entrepreneur, people need to stop
trusting themselves so much.
Yes. People are so convinced that they
know that that they don't even recognize
that they have a worldview. And if they
do recognize that they have a worldview,
they are utterly convinced that it is
simply a reflection of what is
objectively true. Yeah. And so they're
like, "No, the way that I see things is
the right way." And I'm like, "Oh my
god, like"
Is that your view?
Uh yeah, exactly. Confirmation bias.
That's my view and it's right, Peter.
I mean, you have all I mean, one of the
big things that AI is going to give us
as a gift is the ability to overcome all
of these biases we have. Right? All
these cognitive biases, recency bias,
negativity bias, confirmation bias,
recency bias.
bias. All of these things, which our
brain is really sucks at processing, and
so we have all these hacks. Right? You
trust someone who looks like you. You
give higher weight to the most recent
information you got. You give higher
weight to negative information over
positive information.
And you know, there's going to be a
version where you go to Jarvis, your
your AI, and you say, you know, I want
to put cognitive bias alert on. Tell me
if I'm being biased. Mhm.
You know, when we were building
Singularity University, um I was the
founding executive director there. Um a
few years in, I was I'd written a book
and I was off and Peter asked me to come
to a board meeting.
Saying, "What should SU look like in 5
years or 10 years?"
And I made a comment and said, "You
know, you should shut it down."
Because you you build an organization,
and over time, you spend more time
trying to sustain the organization than
trying to solve the problem that you set
out to solve in the first place.
And the uh DARPA is the big
organization, they do this, every role,
even the CEO, is 3 years long.
And then you have to rotate out. You're
not allowed to hold any role for more
than 3 years. Mhm. And you're then
you're measured
So, you're worried about things getting
stale? Uh stale, and therefore they keep
things fresh, and they'll let your
legacy is what did you do three
three-year patterns ago, and was it good
or not? So, now you're always focused on
the long term. You take out all the
politics, etc. And I think in today's
world, if I had to kind of boil it down,
I would say you build a company, and
after 3 to 5 years, you just go, "We're
going to shut it down after the three"
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When the X Prize got won, and we had
SpaceShipOne fly, we held a meeting and
said, "We shut it down, or do we
reinvent ourselves into a platform?"
Yeah. And we did, and now we're getting
ready to launch X Prize 3.0, which
happened during COVID. I said, you know,
pulled the board together and said,
"This is a perfect opportunity for us to
reinvent ourselves." And so, we've rein-
I need to brief you on it, but we've
reinvented X Prize, and I'm excited
about that. And so, there is you need to
be constantly disrupting yourself.
And it's tough, because we're lazy in
some ways. Yeah, you tell a story in the
book about Elon walking in, seeing him
all long-faced, and saying, "What what's
wrong?" Walk me through that moment. So,
um
I was amazed, so I I've known Elon for
23 20 23 years now, and when
uh when Falcon 1, which was their first
vehicle, failed on the first time, the
second time, the third time, and it
succeeded on the fourth time,
um
they
miraculously, and timing is everything,
got a contract for the Falcon 9, Mhm.
uh which was a billion-dollar contract,
and had they not won that, they may not
be here today. But they did. And Elon
made a incredible decision that took
guts. He shut down the rocket line that
just began flying. And there were very
few successful operations. He said,
"Focus on Falcon 9. Falcon 9 is our
future."
And so, that went on for some number of
years, and I was coming into SpaceX in
Hawthorne to have lunch with him,
and he was kind of
uh you know, like you said, long-faced,
and I'm like, "What's what's up?" And he
goes,
"Uh I just figured out Now, Falcon 9 had
been up and operating and doing damn
well. It's the most successful launch
vehicle on the planet by a huge margin,
right? It's like it's like very few
no countries compete with him. He's like
the number one spacefaring power.
It's a good point.
And uh and I said, "What's wrong?" And
he goes, "I just figured out the Falcon
9 is not going to get us where we need
to go." Meaning to Mars, right? He's
driven by this MTP, this massive
transformative purpose, making humanity
multiplanetary, getting humanity to
Mars.
And um I need to start
uh afresh. And so, that has become
Starship.
And then he goes on to make a
a comment that when Starship begins
uh successfully operating, he's going to
shut down the Falcon 9 line. Wow. Which
again, is like it's like I don't know
what the analogy is, uh but it's like
you're the most successful, at the top
of the heap, and you're about to shut
down that entire revenue flow. Now,
whether or not he does or does not, that
was the statement he made, but it's that
mindset of focus.
Of absolute focus. I'm going to do
whatever it takes.
to the big the big goal. Yeah.
Okay, so as somebody who knows this
intimately from the inside of the need
to disrupt yourself or somebody else is
going to do it, the willingness to look
at something and go, "Okay, we're going
to have to start this all over."
How do you get your organization on
board with that? Because the the normal
human is going to rebel against that
don't You don't. So, the the only model
we found that works at all is to go to
the edge of your organization and build
a new capability
aiming into an adjacent area or totally
separate area. Right? So, I remember one
of the events at Singularity, Larry Page
came to me and said, "Hey, I was I was
ahead of innovation at Yahoo before
building at Singularity."
And he came to me and said, "Hey, your
unit at Yahoo is successful, should I do
an incubator model at Google?" And I
said, "No, you'll have this immune
system response. The more disruptive of
an idea we came up with in this
incubator, the less Yahoo could handle
it."
Mhm. And you're like, "My job
description is is is not workable."
Right? And so, there was partly of the
result and lots of other inputs was
Google X, which is separate going into
it. They use hardware to go into
adjacent spaces,
uh Google car, Google X, contact lenses,
etc. The master of this model of going
to the edge and doing something
different is actually Apple.
Uh and yes, they have a great design
capability and a technology supply
chain. I argue that Apple's real
innovation is organizational. Because
what they do, unlike anybody else, is
they will form a small team that's
really disruptive. Put the team at the
edge of the company, keep them secret
and stealth, and they'll say to them,
"Go disrupt another industry."
Whether it's watches or retail or
payments or
glasses or whatever now. So, they have a
portfolio of teams looking at different
industries at the edge, in secret, and
when they see something, they go into
it, and that becomes a new gravity
center.
Right? And this is there's
hundreds of examples of this. Nestlé for
years tried to run Nespresso as a line
of business, and it just failed.
So, finally they set up as a separate
entity on its own, boom, every hotel
room in the world has an Nespresso
machine. And so, that's the only model
that we've ever seen
is one more, which is the
dictator.
It is the uh larger-than-life leader who
says, "This is what we're doing. If you
don't agree with me, leave." Mhm.
Yeah. Do we have a good example of that?
Well, Elon and and and Bezos uh as well.
Steve Jobs, for sure.
It's like, you know, it's the founder
leader. It's very hard to do it in a
uh an older legacy company that's, you
know, hired a CEO. But it's people when
you have a strong enough MTP and the
visionary has a strong enough MTP, and
they come to work for you, when they
come to work for this vision, then they
will have faith in you to make those
right turns. Right, going back to
mindset, how does somebody cultivate
that in themselves? Like if you want to
become that guy or gal, like what do you
do? What is it that an Elon has or Steve
Jobs has that other people can
replicate?
So,
we close out the book with mindset, and
uh it's the area I'm spending most of my
time, and I'll I'll phrase it like this
for everybody listening.
If you look at the most extraordinary
leaders on the planet, uh Mahatma
Gandhi, Martin Luther King, Elon Musk,
Steve Jobs, Jeff Bezos, I don't care
who's on your list, and you asked, "What
made them successful? Was it the cash
they had, the friends they had, the
technology they had, or was it their
mindset?" Right? I think almost
everybody would say it was their
mindset. Your mindset is how you deal
with challenges and opportunities. It's
your reaction. It's how your neural net
is wired.
So, the question is, if your mindset if
you agree that mindset is the most
important thing a leader can have, an
entrepreneur can have, what mindset do
you have, first and foremost? Where did
you get it?
And then ask yourself the question,
"What mindset do you need for the world
ahead?" Mhm.
And so, I posit there's a few key
mindsets, um and these are what I teach
in my my abundance community.
Um
uh first off, a curiosity mindset is
fundamental. I know you you believe this
through and through.
Aggressively. Can you go into a little
detail on that? Like when you say
curious, what do you mean? So, curious
is a willingness to actually dig and ask
and have conversations. In the chat GPT
world, it's everything.
Right? So, it's like, how do I use chat
GPT? Open it up and ask it. How do you
you know, and then ask the next
question, the next question, next
question." So, when you have a kid who
is asking you quite It's go to your 8 9
10-year-old self in that and just be
openly curious and asking as many
questions as you can and going down the
rabbit hole. Steve Wozniak calls it
tinkering. Right? We're We're in the
organization and can you just tinker and
play? What stops people from tinkering
or being curious?
Time constraint. Quarterly targets.
Yeah, doing stuff that they were told is
important, not having the time,
you know, and I think falling into ruts.
So, a curiosity mindset, especially if
you're an entrepreneur, is like one of
the most important things that you can
incubate and have.
Um
the second mindset for me is an
abundance mindset. Um and the abundance
mindset is there is nothing truly
scarce.
Um we can talk about this also as first
principle thinking. You know, and this
is one where uh Elon
uh
and I have had lots of conversations
about abundance
and that there is nothing truly scarce,
right? That That your ability as an
entrepreneur to take something that was
scarce and make it abundant is what
entrepreneurs do great. So, you know,
the perfect example is uh
energy, right? We used to kill whales in
the ocean to get whale oil to light our
nights. Then we ravaged mountainsides
for coal. Then we drilled kilometers
under the ocean, right? Then we fracked
natural gas. But we live on a planet
that's bathed in 8,000 times more energy
from the sun than we consume as a
species. And here's the key point. The
energy is there,
just not in a useful useful form yet.
So, technology takes whatever was scarce
and makes it usable. And abundant. So,
water's another example. We live on a
water planet, for God's sakes, all
right? 2/3 water. Yeah, but 97.5% is
salt, 2% is ice. We fight over half a
percent. But their technology is
transforming scarcity into abundance.
And first principle thinking, um I wrote
about this in in Future is Faster Than
You Think, uh when Elon decided to make
Tesla,
um
he basically looked at
what was the spot price of lithium and
nickel and could you get the cost of
batteries down from first principle
thinking, and the answer is yes, we can
get it there, and therefore the cars
don't have to be that expensive.
And that led him to go forward. Um long
story there.
Uh so, that's abundance thinking that
instead of if you have a pie, my
favorite example, you have a pie and
friends are coming over for dinner,
instead of slicing the pie into thinner
and thinner slices, which is a scarcity
mindset, you bake more pies, which is an
abundance mindset. So, we're living in a
world where you can bake more pies.
Everything can be abundant.
And I mean, my whole mission on
extending the healthy lifespan is about
making time more abundant for people.
Probably going to take pies out of that
equation.
Yeah, if you're going to if you're going
to live
a long life, unfortunately.
Okay. Anyway, so an exponential mindset,
a moonshot mindset,
a purpose-driven mindset, and a
gratitude mindset are the other mindsets
I I speak to you, and we could talk
forever about those. But they're
mindsets that are important for us in
this day and age.
Yeah, I want to go back to curiosity.
So, when I think about what derails my
my team, I love them to death, but one
thing that I've encountered over and
over is when people's ego gets tied up
in being right and they're not just
obsessed with finding the right answer,
it's because I think they have not yet
accurately identified the way the world
works, which is that if you are obsessed
with being right, you will be wrong most
of the time. If you're obsessed with
identifying the right answer, then you
can actually make progress. And so, I
mean, this was certainly the trap that I
fell prey to in my early 20s that is is
like a demarcation line in the sand, my
life before I realized that if I built
my ego around being willing to stare
nakedly at my inadequacies and figure
out what the right answer is instead of
trying to position myself to look smart,
um that I could actually move forward.
And that that switches everything
because there's no there's not only no
emotional friction to admitting that
you're wrong, there's like a little
twinge of excitement of like, "Ooh, I've
gotten this far being wrong, and now
somebody's going to remove the scales
from my eyes. Now I really can make this
forward momentum." But man, I really
like I
for all the time that I spend on camera
telling people how to think in this way,
I find it very hard to get somebody who
isn't ready for that to like hear it,
make that switch, and change. If you
guys have the magic words, I'd love to
hear them.
So, actually, um this is music to our
ears in a sense because uh
organizationally, individuals are pretty
good. We have a lot of tool sets for
transforming individual thinking, Tony
Robbins, NLP, psychedelics nowadays,
etc. to to change your own mindset. But
the group think that comes inside an
organization is really hard to change.
And we've what we found in EXOs, the
characteristics that add up to an
exponential organization by default have
it be embracing of this mindset. So, one
of the ways we talk about what we've
done in the same way that a Tony
Robbins, you go in there and you
completely change your subconscious
state
from A to B, right? From a scarcity to
an abundance mindset, whatever. We're
able to do that at the organizational
level. We can take an organization that
is all thinking stuck in particular
markets, etc., and you open it up using
combination of these characteristics,
the mindset, the MTP, etc. So, we've
learned how to do
the ideas, but how do you get them to
actually use them?
the hack. I learned this from uh Astro
Teller. I had him on stage at A360 a few
times, and he shared with something that
I love.
You're in the midst of developing a
product. Everybody's absolutely sure of
what's going on and how you're going to
launch it, how it's going to work.
And you hand out a piece of paper to
everybody
and you say, "Listen, guys, it's 6
months from now, and the product has
just failed, and you know why it's
failed.
Write it down.
You know exactly why it's failed. Write
it down right now."
[Music]
And you are incentivizing someone to
actually flip their situation and look
at the flaws and elevate those. And then
you go around the room
and
and review why people say it's going to
fail. And if you got two or three people
saying the same thing,
you know, it's maybe you got to look at
that.
Test that one first. Yeah. The other one
we've come across that's a great hack is
as Amazon, they created something called
the institutional yes. Have you ever
heard of this? No. So, they realized in
any big company, it's really easy to say
no. One of 20 people can say no, it'll
kill the idea. Whereas if you're in a
startup and you go to one investor and
they say yes, you're off to the races.
So, how do you deal with that impedance
mismatch? So, they came up with a policy
so that if you're inside Amazon, you
come to me with my an idea and I'm your
boss, I'm not allowed to say no. My
default answer must be yes. If I want to
say no, I have to write a two-page
thesis as to why it's a bad idea and
post it publicly.
Right? So, they've created friction and
embarrassment to saying no. It's much
easier for me to go, "Go ahead, you'll
fail at the next level anyway." I da da
da da da. And actually, one of the
outcomes of this policy was Amazon Web
Services. Nothing to do with their
strategy, not on the road map, but
nobody could figure out how to say no to
it. And now it's one of the most
successful products of all time
delivering, I think, 75% of their global
profits.
Wow. Because nobody could figure out how
to say no to it, right? So, we found a
collection of little hacks and cultural
transformations in companies that allow
you to basically operate in this new
modality, being very curious,
purpose-driven, constantly testing
assumptions,
using small agile teams operating at the
edges as autonomously as possible, and
then getting the business of the
organization done. Wow, I love that so
much.
Uh I've taken a lot from Bezos over the
years. Like, he's got some really
amazing ideas. I do have to chuckle a
little bit that this business genius
still got taken down by dick pics, but
uh
just the human mind is absolutely
hilarious. We are all frail. But yeah,
none of the Look, I don't even throw
shade at the guy. I get it. Live your
live your best life. But uh
that's really brilliant, and
uh I will implement that immediately.
Yeah. You We've had the luxury of
watching hundreds of big companies deal
in different ways, right? And it used to
be the big companies were terrible at
this. And then about 5 or 7 years ago,
they got started getting better. So,
instead of Google or Yahoo or somebody
saying, "We're just going to compete
with that little startup," they would
just buy them. Zuckerberg saw that he
was going to get disrupted by Instagram
and and and
WhatsApp, etc., bought them instead. And
in in general, you should leave them
alone. Uh over time, the corporation
can't help it, gets its grubby fingers
past them, then they tend to typically
kill it. Um but we're starting to learn
now. If you look at, say, Google with
LLMs, they're actually too scared to
release them. And Amazon just went,
"Let's just go for it." Boom. OpenAI.
Oh, sorry. Uh Microsoft.
like, wait, Amazon?
Sorry, sorry. Microsoft just went What
about Bard? What do you guys think about
Bard? How's it doing? Um very
impressive. I haven't touched it at all.
We've been playing with it. It's very
impressive. It's early days yet, but I'm
finding fun
uh doing stuff on OpenAI and at Bard at
the same time and comparing them. And
there are a few places where OpenAI
failed and Bard succeeded and vice
versa. So, they're they're both uh
they're both useful, and um
what I I'd like to mention, if I could,
just because I want to go back to the
the thesis on the on the book, um you
know, again, our mission is to give uh
give people who are running large-scale
companies who want to survive the next
10 years a series of this is what you
should do if you want to reorganize your
your company. And if you're a startup,
this is what you should do to be able to
thrive in this decade because
the world has changed. I mean,
fundamentally, how you start a company
today and how you succeed today is very
different than 30 years ago. Mhm. Um
It's very different than 6 months ago.
Well, Yeah, true. It's That's crazy. It
scares me. So we ended up like we've
really just lived through the most uh
disruptive 6 months. Uh nothing has ever
more instantaneously impacted my
business model, the way that I approach
my employees, ever than the release of
of COVID. Yeah. I mean, no. Honestly,
that did not impact my business nearly
It did like the day-to-day as you're not
seeing people, but the fundamental way
that we ran our business
Yes. Yeah. I I do it I mean, we're in a
world right now where every doctor in
the world is freaked out if they see
this and every lawyer in the world is
freaked out. Every teacher in the world
is freaked
I love the fact that that that
OpenAI, ChatGPT, passed the US medical
licensing exam 2 months after it was
launched, right?
And the bar exam. That's crazy. It it
passed the Turing test. That was the one
I didn't see coming, the signing of the
"Hey, let's slow down" letter. And so I
had um Yoshua Bengio on the show. He's
considered the godfather of AI. And I
said, "Hey, your name was on that. What
made you sign it?" And he said, "In no
uncertain terms, I did not expect it to
pass the Turing test as fast as it did.
That set off every alarm bell that I
have and like pump the brakes." This is
the thing that we find most interesting
because we've known Emad and all these
guys for a while. They are blown away by
the success of these models. Yeah. So
that's really fascinating that they
that the folks themselves are just blown
away. They have no And it's still early
days, ladies and gentlemen. It's still
early days, you know. We're going to see
so much more coming and recursive nature
of self-improving capabilities.
You know, I showed this um I showed this
work done where a group of physicians
were shown these case studies and to
diagnose a patient and it was like uh
they took 55 minutes and got 60% right.
And the AI took like 12 minutes and got
85% right.
Woah. And the physicians aren't going to
change next year, but the AI will get
much better and it'll be, you know,
seconds and 100% right. Bro. Yeah. Yeah,
this is where this gets really
interesting. So I know you have another
company, Fountain Life. Uh you guys are
using AI. Are you open to talking about
this?
Yeah, I'm sure. So longevity
I couldn't be more obsessed with the
idea. And so as you were talking about
it, um my first question is
how are you guys going to start getting
the patterns down? Because to me, this
is the big thing. You talk to somebody
like Peter Attia and he's like, "Look,
it is just next to impossible to do
really good studies on diet and
nutrition, what works, what doesn't
work. There's just too many confounding
variables." And I was like, "AI is going
to answer that." Like it it can pull a
pattern. Anything that can be reduced to
a pattern, they can figure it out.
Regardless of like amount of variables,
if there is a pattern to be had, it will
suss it out. And given that we have some
people that live to 120 and some that
don't, there is a pattern.
Yeah. Yeah. And I'll put it this way,
you There's a lot of interesting things.
Not only are there some people who live
to 120 and some people who make it to
just 65, there are large species on this
planet like the bowhead whale that lives
to 200 years or the Greenland shark that
lives to 500 years. And my question is
if they can live that long, why can't
we? And I said it's either a hardware
problem or a software problem.
All right? And we're going to understand
that this decade is the decade we're
going to understand that. It's going to
be AI and quantum technologies that give
us that insight. So Fountain Life is
just fountainlife.com.
Um we have these 10,000 square foot
facilities. Uh we have four of them
right now. We have a waiting list of
like 50 that we'll build out globally.
And you come and we digitize you. It's a
full body 150 GB upload of you. Uh full
body MRI, brain, brain vasculature,
brain function, a coronary CT. All of
this with AI overlay, 80 80 blood
biomarkers, genomics, metabolomics,
you know, your your gut. And
then we do this year on year. This is
not a one and done, right? So in the
first time you do it, we're going to see
is there anything going on that you
should worry about. Most of us are
optimistic about our health and we don't
actually know what's going on inside our
body.
Yeah, [ __ ] And by the way, the body's
really amazing at hiding disease. Yeah,
I'm going to put myself in that
category.
it's like you are you think you're fine,
but you know, 70% of all heart attacks
have no precedent. Dude, that that one
freaks me out that the what the first
symptom of uh heart disease in most men
is death. Yeah, crazy, right? And 70% of
cancers that kill you are not screened
for.
So it's this [ __ ] that drives me nuts.
And so it's like an idiot not to be
looking inside your body. And we used to
not look cuz well, if I find out, can I
do anything? The answer is yes, you can.
So you want to know.
And so we screen people first and then
every year upload you every year and
it's looking for the patterns and what
medicines. And we have a large corpus of
data and the AI ability to analyze that
to say with your genome, with your
microbiome, with these meds, with this
um it's going to be huge uh
learnings out of this. Right? And so I'm
trying to build
uh
Fountain Life into an exponential
organization. So I'm building around
this book that we built. And every
company uh I'm involved with is like we
need to use these 10 attributes in the
book,
otherwise we're not going to be able to
have the impact globally that we want.
Mhm. What are you going to tell the AI
to look for?
Um so right now it's
it's you don't have to tell it to look
for anything. You have to ask it to find
any kind of anom- any kind of anomalous
patterns. It's always you're looking for
tran- uh it's it's data over time. So
you're looking for for changes
what's changed. Tell me what's changing
and tell me um So I'll give you one of
the examples. We're building This is the
fun part about Fountain Life. We're
building a brand new health insurance
company on top of it. Mhm. So uh if you
get Fountain Life insurance, which is
available today, your employees
Insurance is a perverse business.
All right.
Fire insurance pays you after your house
burns down. Life insurance pays your
next of kin after they're dead. Health
insurance pays you after you're sick.
What we've done instead is when you sign
up, your employees go through a set of
pre-testing
for us to discover any kind of disease
and prevent it from a big payout later
down the stream, right? So it's keeping
your employees healthy.
And what we want to do
Wait, wait, wait. How does that model
work though? So is the employee paying
roughly what they would
They're paying exactly the same or less.
Uh The numbers are the same. And the the
insurance company is actually saying
we're going to do preventative
testing. Yes, preventative testing. And
so here's what we're doing. One of the
interesting things is
there's a number of expensive tests we
can do and a number of cheap tests we
can do. And one of the things we're
doing with AI is correlating which of
these lower end tests
correlate highly to the expensive tests.
Mhm. So you'll do the lower end cost
test to find a signal in the noise and
then you'll verify with the expensive
test. Mhm.
Okay, this is uh this is very
interesting. Walk me through what your
fantasy data would be. My fantasy data
would be to track what everyone eats,
the state of their microbiome, and when
they die. And
what else would I want? Maybe their uh
blood glucose levels. I I want uh every
I want
functional data, state of my cognitive
health, my muscular health, my skin
health, my immune system.
it to?
Cuz it's got to be tied to something you
do, otherwise it's not going to be
actionable.
it's going to be correlated to my age
and my activities and the meds and the
supplements and my daily living.
Right? And so for example, right now I'm
on a tear to add 10 muscles 10 lbs of
muscle.
So I'm doing a heavyweight workout three
times a week. I'm eating 150 g of
protein minimum per day. I'm adding
creatine onto my diet. For that, I'm
taking a couple of peptides to increase
my, you know, IGF-1 levels. And all of
these things are aimed at that
objective. Now
I'm doing a small amount of testosterone
replacement therapy, yes.
Yeah. So at the end of the day, that is
uh an objective I have, but we're way
off subject from an exponential
organization.
Well, I mean, so the thing that I'm most
interested in is what do people apply
this stuff to? And so as we look at
exponential technologies, I think one of
the most important things for people is
longevity. Like if if you're not getting
an extra
uh bit of life out of this. I mean, so
if I got better life out of it, sure, I
would still be interested, but if we can
get better and more, then I'm on board.
Yeah, I mean, everything I'm doing right
now in building companies, you know,
I've got a
uh
what will be a $700
venture fund aimed at longevity.
age reversal and longevity, right? So
investing in these companies. And then
Fountain Life
my
catchphrase is there is like I'm going
to prevent people from dying from
something stupid preventable, which is
the first thing, right? But then there's
a whole slew of therapeutics that are
coming down the line. How do we How do
we test all these therapeutics around
the world that we're hearing about from
stem cells and exosomes and selenic
medicines? And And how do we know if
they work? They only know if they We
only know if they work if we have
longitudinal data. And that's why
Fountain Life is so valuable because we
have massive corpus of data
minimum once a year as these people are
going through the therapeutics, and
we're seeing
who's it working for, what what are they
taking, what's their genomics, what's
their With wearables, you understand the
amount of sleep they're getting, the
amount of exercise they're getting.
We're digitizing ourselves. I mean, this
is the for me, the longevity discussion
is as important as the AI discussion
because if you can crack through that it
the the potential in the the
implications for society are
unbelievable. It's a complete
transformation in society at every
level.
I would uh
the one of my favorite experience over
the last 10 years, I got asked to come
in by the Vatican uh because they have
the worst immune system in the world.
They they try as the Pope is trying to
update the church. So, we did a workshop
there. And one of the conversations we
had was, "Listen, your your business
model is about selling heaven."
And we're entering a longevity field.
said that?
Yeah. That's amazing.
Well, that's their business model,
right? All of the religions sell heaven.
Did they gasp and clutch their pearls
when you said that?
kind of they
they know. This is what This is You're
selling hope, and you're selling
eternity, etc. Um as we have longevity
extending our lifespan, what happens to
your business model if people aren't
dying?
And that was a conversation that that
It needs to be had.
Right? So, I think the the the broader
for one of the things I'm fascinated by
is the idea that every institution by
which we run the world completely
changes now over the next 10 to 15 to 20
years. Because it can't None of the
institutions, regulatory legal systems,
health care systems, intellectual
properties broken, education systems all
change completely based on these
exponential technologies, the
implications of longevity, and we have
no feedback loop in those. Mhm.
Saleem, what do you think happens when
you die?
Um I'm of the opinion that we um there's
an energy life force in us that then
transcends and takes on some other So, I
would fall into the reincarnation
way? In I mean, when you study the
Tibetans, they've learned how to do it
in a conscious way cuz they actually
choose where they're going to get
reincarnated into. And they have
trackers. They've they've laid down
cookies. Yeah, do you know this? No,
this all sounds Oh, it So so, do you
know how they choose the Dalai Lama?
Uh I know like the movie version, like
there's toys or whatever, things that
belonged to him.
so, they they give So, let's say there's
five prospective kids that could be a
the Dalai Lama cuz they've exhibited
certain chara- They give them this
massive jar of beads. Mhm. And if they
pick the right marble out of that
massive jar that's the one.
One marble out of how many? One marble
like a thousand in this jar. Okay.
Okay? Is it like the only black marble
in a sea of whites or like They're
indistinguishable
from each other. They literally that's
And if they pick that out, that's the
entry point into the process. Forget
that's the choice thing. This the entry
point. Then you look at the next set of
tests and and the final one, they'll
come down to like four
kids that could be the one. They'll
write the name on a little chip of
paper, wrap it in four balls of dough.
They weigh them all to make sure they're
the same. They'll put it in a bowl, and
they'll start swirling it around. And
when the same ball pops out like 10
times in a row
which odds are it should never happen uh
that's the one.
And if you added all up there's no way
in hell probabilistically that you can
ever find the next Dalai Lama cuz like
you've gone through a 10 tests of 1 of
1,000.
curiosity gene is just
like just fascinating. This is just
utterly fascinating. So,
uh
if you when you study them, they've
I've spent some time with some Tibetan
priests and so on. They and they said it
used to take 14 lifetimes to reach
enlightenment, but we've gotten better
now. Now, if you work really hard, you
can do it in one lifetime.
Right? Uh and so, you transcend that and
we and frankly, my belief is that you
die, you your energy of your soul,
whatever that is from a
phenomenological perspective, we don't
quite understand, it goes and rests
elsewhere. Mhm.
Okay. So, is the perception I have that
I have
just infinite amounts of not existing
followed by somewhere around the age of
five, I start remembering things, is
that an illusion, and I am on some I
don't want to call it a loop, but
effectively a loop?
Could be.
I mean, look at look at the tree growing
a leaf, right? At the in the fall, the
leaf falls off. Mhm.
And in the spring, you have a new leaf.
Is that a new leaf? Is it a
reincarnation of the old leaf? You get
it This is where Ray, I think says it
best when he talks about this stuff and
stuff like that. He goes, "Language is a
really thin pipe to talk about concepts
as deep as this cuz you get stuck in the
verbage."
Yes, but that also feels like a way of
letting us off the hook for not pursuing
an argument, which I get. Like we will
reach the edges of what we're able to
articulate. Yeah. But um I do like
coming to understand at least people's
own internal logic. So, is
to me uh
a leaf another leaf is like another bit
of hair, right? It's
tell you where I stand. I having looked
at the data long enough
for me, reincarnation is a real thing.
Okay, what data are you looking at? Um
so, there's a story I'll tell you uh
this is going to So, uh in uh about 20
30 years ago at the University of
Virginia, an elderly fellow died, left
behind a chunk of money for anybody that
wanted to study reincarnation. Okay?
Now, I may have the details slightly
wrong, but this is I'm going to give you
the gist. You can look it up yourself.
Um some young graduate student goes,
"Oh, pot of funding, I'll study it."
Goes and creates a big um
research database of
uh there's a phenomena where some
2-year-old suddenly knows who they were
in a past life and can walk into the
house where they lived and know that
this was hidden behind the painting.
Happens a lot in India where people are
more accepting of this, etc. The most
extreme example of this was a kid born
in the favelas in Rio
having never been out of the favela,
suddenly starts speaking some weird
language. So, they think the kid's gone
mad, take him to a psychiatrist.
Psychiatrist goes, "Doesn't exhibit
madness, but this he I think he's
speaking a different language." Take him
to a linguist, and after a bunch of
research, they find this kid is speaking
a dialect of Aramaic that hasn't been
spoken for 2,000 years.
And the kid's never been outside the
favelas of Rio. So, there's a bunch of
phenomena like this. The one that this
guy focused on was this idea that the
age of two or three, some little child
suddenly remembers things and knows
things about that that they couldn't
possibly have known. So, he starts
tracking this and putting this in a big
spreadsheet.
So, I was
I heard him speak at an event. I said,
"What What does it take to get into your
database?" Cuz it's pretty vague. It
could be somebody How do How do you tell
if something He said, "Well, it has to
be something physical." I said, "What do
you mean?" He goes, "Well, if the young
child thought they were somebody else in
a previous life, is there a scar or a
birthmark or an allergy
or disfigurement that's the same?" And
if one of those meets the criteria, one
of those is the same as the person that
died, then that I feel that's qualified
enough to I'm like, "That's a pretty
high bar um to have one of those four
things present in in
"How many entries are there in your
database?"
And the number blew my mind. He said
something 3,500.
So, this guy's 3,500
fully researched cases where a
2-year-old um uh said that oh, that was
me in a previous that was my life before
and and had the one of those matching
things.
That to me is a ridiculously significant
statistically significant amount of
data. And it turns out that distance was
fascinating. Distance was almost the the
child that was born was almost within 4
km of the person that died.
That was interesting. The second was
that the time, the age of the child
was almost always uh baby was born 5
months after the person died.
So, there's something
There's something about that period of
time.
Yeah. And have you always been open to
that? Like I I'm violently skeptical.
I'm No, I'm not I'm not I I mean, I'm
from India originally, so I have an
inherent acceptance, but I was raised in
a very diplomatic Western family. My dad
was an engineer.
I was I did engineering for a while and
then physics. So, I came across this
later.
Um
but the data for me is pretty
fascinating, and show me something that
countervails that. You know, I I keep on
telling Saleem, I would love to have an
experience I can't explain.
I've never had a UFO sighting or
anything that I can't with a scientific
technological mind explain. I've had
hundreds, including the episode 10 years
ago.
With you. What's the episode 10 years
ago?
Can I tell you a funny story? So,
You're building Singularity University.
We're building Singularity University
and 3 years in the model has gone from
zero to one. It's working, and I'm
fried. My wife and I got married the
week of the launch of the the thing. So,
I I'm at NASA 20 hours a day. She hardly
sees me. And he Peter and I were
disagreeing a bit on strategy. You
wanted me to keep the faculty at NASA,
and I thought we should take them out
into the world. And
if you want to change the world, we
should get out there. And Peter's like,
"No, let everybody come here. It's
easier to logistically to manage, etc."
And after 3 years, I'm kind of really
burned out. And we're trying to have a
baby. My wife is like upset cuz we're
never home. So, I said to Peter, "Look,
I'm going to need a break and etc. etc."
Two days later, Peter says, "Okay, we've
had a board meeting. We've replaced
her." I thought, "Wow, that was fast,
but okay." Now, I'm free, but
friendly uh overall. Legacy is now set,
so great. My wife then gets pregnant.
Um so, I said to her, "Listen, we've had
no alone time since we got married. Once
the baby comes, that's gone. So, let's
take 3 months before I do whatever I do
next and enjoy each other." And then she
said, "Great, but I want don't want to
be anywhere near NASA. I can't explain
this to any of my family and friends.
They think NASA like the Bahamas.
Uh it's a big problem. You pick the
place."
So, she researches for several weeks,
picks a penthouse vacation rental in
Santa Monica overlooking the ocean.
Um and she's a yoga teacher, so Santa
Monica is ground zero for this. So, we
move in, put suitcases down, I go out to
get a coffee, come back, and she's
standing with her hands on her hips.
She's very upset. She's like, "What's
what's wrong?" We picked the wrong
place. I'm like, "What do you mean?" She
goes, "Well, I said, "Look at this
vista. You This is amazing." She goes,
"Come to the balcony." She goes, "See
the house across the street right there
with the bamboo trees?" I'm like,
"Yeah." Peter's house.
In the whole of LA.
We're like next door, right? Now,
if you tried to make that happen, you
could not make that happen. Right? I
call it karmic mischief.
And you know, and I'm sure if you think
about it, almost every major thing in
your life has happened because of a
weird orthogonal experience. Yeah, but
just think of the thousands of things
that you didn't notice that actually
happened as well. This is selection
bias. I'm sorry. Maybe, but Carl Carl
Carl Jung Yes.
Yep.
was very, very clear that there's a
there's an a causal stream of reality
that everybody can see, and you can link
experiences A to B to C of consequence,
and there was an entirely a causal
stream of reality.
Like wormholes that with things that are
happening, etc., that we couldn't see.
I'm still waiting for those aliens to
come and, you know, take me home.
But you've done some psychedelics. I
have. I've had some I've had some I've
had some great Well, listen, yes, but
uh I I still in the normal universe that
I inhabit, there hasn't been I haven't
seen anybody
levitating or haven't seen something
that is like that's miraculous.
You know, a coincidence,
interesting,
miraculous, no. Have you?
I have not. No, I take a I am very much
uh
What do they call that where
materialist? Like it's all cause and
effect. The odds that our sense of
um
that I control my life is probably an
illusion, and yeah, that just all makes
sense to me. Like, if you had a computer
that could track every atom since the
beginning of time, that you'd be able to
predict where we're going to be in 10
years, and you'd be able to replay the
universe all the way back to the Big
Bang. That just makes sense to me. And
that doesn't diminish my sense of awe in
the slightest. Like, I look at By the
way, I I I asked the question, if you
knew with certainty that you were living
in a simulation, hm
would it change anything? No. And the
answer is no.
A, no. B, so you were talking about
project Kaizen before we started
rolling, that's its premise. Is that
this is a simulation, and it doesn't
matter. It's still all the same.
great. You know, it So, if I could
finish that story with this weird
coincidence, I got to a point about 5 7
years ago where I was having not this
insane kind of coincidence. Used to
happen about once a year in my life,
started happening every quarterly, and
then it happened started happening every
2 weeks, and I can barely process one
and the next ridiculous coincidence is
on me. And I was freaking out because I
was like really messing with things. So,
I have a a cousin who's done 40 years of
Daoist meditation in the woods, etc. So,
I said to her, she's my resident
understanding the universe person. So, I
said, "Look, help me with this." She's
like, well, listens to me for a bit, she
goes, "Well, duh. You've told the
universe you're ready for anything,
they'll give you everything."
I'm like, "Wait, what?" She goes, "You
have to come to an agreement with the
energies in the universe to only give it
to you when you're ready for it." I'm
like, "Where's the manual for that?" So,
she coached me on this, and and you can
do this. You can do It's you know, if
you if you did it at the fully
reductionist level, it's creative
visualization.
Right? You visualize what you want, and
things can happen, etc. Um and the
there's a We all do that. You do that.
That's what the MTP is all about, right?
You
You You program yourself and your
surroundings, your subconscious, to out
for the outcomes you want. And then
those things happen.
But there's a but but those outcomes
occur to a large degree because I'm
outwardly communicating my massive
transformative purpose. I'm telling the
world those people who gravitate to it
are coming to me, and they're bringing
things to me that are in line with that
MTP. It's not like I'm just meditating
on on in silence, and the world is
changing. But what you're actually doing
is you're programming reality.
Or I'm programming how I deal with
reality. Both. Right? Reality is
happening, and again, a mindset is how I
deal with opportunity or scarcity.
Someone comes to me with something that
someone would be scared of, and I'm like
excited about it, and I go in a
different course than the other person.
Hm.
So, I didn't know you'd done
psychedelics. What was your response?
So, you guys have both done it, I
assume.
I went I went into a, you know,
psychedelics not for joy or pleasure,
but with
with shaman guiding, and I have done
ayahuasca a number of times. I've done
uh combination of psilocybin and um
and uh
MDMA,
uh but for me, it was my DMT journeys
that were the most significant. Have you
done DMT No, I haven't done any I've
microdosed psilocybin to virtually no
effect. So, the
the DMT, which is also called the toad
or Bufo, uh
dimethyltryptophan, I think is is the
Dimethyltryptamine. Tryptamine. Um was
was extraordinarily compelling.
Um and
uh it is a dissolution of the ego,
um which is and a connection with the
universe that lets you know that
love is a pervasive force, and we're all
connected in that regard, and that I had
my most significant um
visualization about what if you asked me
the question,
uh what do you think happens after after
we're alive, after we die,
uh that was my
that was it First of all,
it got rid of the fear of death. Hm.
100% which is probably the most
extraordinary.
Because it gave me
everything is connected. Everything is
connected, and we're just part of the
universe, and it's it's a transitory.
So, I want you to imagine this is the
visualization I had, which gives me
goosebumps still to this day.
Uh I'm
I'm
coming out of my journey with and these
and these DMT journeys are very short,
you know, 20 minutes thereabouts, unless
you're Saleem, cuz they last longer
there. Uh but let me finish. So, I'm I'm
seeing this this sea of energy, just
like a frothing sea of infinite energy,
a plane of energy in every direction.
And I see coming out of the sea of
energy two
double helices.
And they come out of the energy,
and they're there, and then they go back
into the energy.
And that was it.
And there was the realization
I can see it like it was yesterday. I
It's a realization of this infinity of
creation and energy, and life emerges
from it, consciousness emerges from it,
and then reenters it.
I can, you know, listen, this is my mind
giving it meaning. We are meaning-making
machines.
But I So, let me So, you've had that.
You're You're just trying to rationalize
it in your previous experience. That's
fine. That's fine. But let me give you
tell you why I got excited by this whole
world. 2012, we had a lecture at
Singularity. I think it was Chris
DeCharms. And he What he'd been doing
was doing a whole bunch of clinical
trials with people taking different
dosages of MDMA, psilocybin, etc., and
putting them through an fMRI machine.
So, in the '60s, when Timothy Leary and
all these guys were taking drugs, had no
idea what they were just chucking it
down, right? But this Now, we know
exactly that this dosage substance of
substance A will do this to neural
circuit B,
and know exactly the emphasis and how
much of an impact it'll have, etc. And I
found that fascinating because now we
have a feedback loop.
What got me interested in DMT
loop to what end?
Well, because now you can see what
neural circuits are being amplified or
impacted. You Now, play with play with
it.
I have to ask then. So, knowing how
you're creating that state by
manipulating certain neurons in your
brain, how how it do you see an allergy
or a scar I don't know that.
I I wish I did, I don't. But it's
fascinating that that's there at at the
numbers that it's there. If it happened
three, four times, you go, "Ah, three,
four times." 3,500 times? I got I got to
start looking at that. And that's that's
the just the sheer numbers
compel you to look at it a little more
deeply. But so, for me,
the now, it Look Let's look at what DMT
does. DMT, what it does is suppress the
parietal lobe, which is where your sense
of self sits.
When you can take a dosage of it, you
suppress that parietal lobe, and you are
now free to explore the higher realms of
your consciousness that you didn't have
access to before. Is so, when DMT is
going, is that all that's happening? Is
Is are there any areas that are more
active, or is it literally just shutting
off the sense of self? Unclear, but it
seems the primary function is that it
reduces the
activity in the parietal lobe. I'm so
fascinated by how many I I
looking at other areas. And
now, what's really interesting to me on
top of that is we've It turns out
there's lots of old practices, whirling
dervishes, when they do their Turkish
spinning, end up with a DMT release.
They now know that. DMT is natural. DMT
is natural molecule in the in your
brain. It gets released twice in your
life, once at birth, once at death. Hm.
So, when people have a near-death
experience, they see the white light,
that's DMT releasing Interesting. So,
now they've found religious experiences
Almost all religious experiences are
essentially you work the physiology of
the body to a point where you have a DMT
release. Tantra and Kundalini work
results in that. They take ground
energy, lift it through your body, and
you end up with a DMT release.
I don't take the DMT journey lightly at
all. It's one of the most insightful,
and again, I I
I experienced it with reverence
and
and awe and um
as a means to explore
uh myself and the universe in a in a in
a different way. Uh and I'm very
thankful for it. Mhm.
Yeah, I'm very intrigued. I ask about
this a lot and And by the way, you know,
I I got to a point after I said, "I'm
just going to open share openly. I don't
plan to run for president and I don't
care uh what anybody thinks about it. It
was critically important to me." Yeah,
it's beautiful. You met Michael Yonson a
couple of days ago. Yes.
Um uh so, one of the most fascinating
things about him, he's one of the most
present people I've ever met. And I
said, "How do you maintain this? Like
you have this incredible ability just
let things go, not worry about stuff,
things happen,
everything just passes through him and
and it doesn't stick. It's amazing. He
just kind of releases instantly." And he
I he couldn't answer and I kept wanting
to pull it out and he goes, "Oh, I've
done a hero dose a few times." I go,
"Hero dose?" So, normal dose, I guess,
is 100 mg of psilocybin. A hero dose is
when you do like 5 g. It's like a
factory reset on your nervous system.
I'm like, "Holy crap, you've done that?"
He goes, "I do it every year." And and
so, all of cognitive biases that you may
have built up, etc., are constantly
getting released.
And therefore, he operates in this
unbelievably present form. I think
that's just amazing. And I'm completely
impressed by the younger generation
microdosing all the time.
one of the conversations uh I've been
having at home
recently is is the human species um
waking up, right? You've heard of these
conversations, Sam Harris and all,
right? I was going to ask you guys if
you've heard him describe his heroic
dose. And and so, when we talk about
becoming conscious at a species level
in the next
uh
foreseeable future
one of the questions that um
uh that Christian asked was, "Are we
becoming conscious
before AI becomes conscious?" Mhm. So,
this is an interesting conversation.
That would be I mean, it would be very
interesting. I don't know if I can
imagine an entire societal level
awakening, but certainly as humans
continue to progress, as we are able to
share ideas so much faster in the same
way that culture has stacked on the
technological side, if it stacks on the
insight side and we're
having a
brain-computer interface connection to
the cloud along with a billion other
people
Mhm. and sharing one's thoughts. I I
call this the meta intelligence, where
we become conscious on a large level.
Right? You and I and Saleem are all
collections of 40 trillion human cells.
You're not a single life form. You are
40 trillion human cells and then
trillions of bacteria, viri, fungi, and
so forth, but you operate as one. Mhm.
Right? And so, are we going to become
conscious yet on another level? To bring
it back to exponential organizations
um a traditional 20th century
organization we would think of as
unconscious. It's trundling along,
trying to get profits, etc. And in EXOs
are very conscious organization. What
makes it conscious? MTP.
It's It's It is a massive purpose, plus
it's constantly sensing with a feedback
loop. It's constantly experimenting.
It's allowing its people to operate in a
decentralized autonomous way to make
decisions on their own. It's like an
amoeba moving around,
uh sensing the world and little by
little evolving. So, there are I want I
want to bring this back cuz I really
want the community here to hear this and
I want to use
um I want I'll use Impact Theory as the
example here. So,
uh there are 10 attributes that make an
exponential organization. Um they have
the uh the uh acronym uh scale and
ideas.
And um
uh if we could, I just want to take off
the ones that that you hit. So, let's
begin. Staff on demand? So, you hire
people as contractors?
staff on demand? We do a bit, but I
actually don't love that. It was one of
the things in your book I want to talk
about, but
So, okay, staff on demand. Yes, we do.
Okay. Second, community?
Yes, very much so.
is massive for you, right? Um Third, AI
and algorithms?
Yes, aggressively. Aggressively. Fourth,
leveraging other people's assets?
I don't know what you mean by that.
Cloud computing. Yes.
Right? You don't have computers, servers
in your closet that you're using.
We do have some of that, but not nearly
as much as we leverage the cloud. The
prototype there is Airbnb. That entire
business model is tapping into other
people's bedrooms, making them
available, etc. And the fourth the fifth
one in scale is engagement.
Gamification, incentive prizes
Which is Web3 Yeah, yeah, yeah. Right?
You were like a master of that. So,
those are the five externalities and
EXOs use one or more of them. Allows
them to keep a very small resource
footprint and then scale very quickly.
Right? TED uses community very
effectively, for example. Then there's
five internal mechanisms that allow you
to manage culture and drive the
dashboard and the control framework of
the organization. The first is
interfaces to those externalities. So,
think about Uber's interface with its
drivers or Apple's interface with its
App Store developers. It's an automated
API-driven interface that allows you to
programmatically manage the abundance on
the outside and then add value to it.
The second one is dashboards. And this
is real-time business metrics to track
what's happening in the organization.
you use dashboards left, right, and
center. Not as much as we should, but
for our funnels, yes. For your funnels,
sure. And then OKRs for team performance
and team management we found is a So,
those are dashboards. The E is
experimentation, which is lean startup
thinking, constantly testing
assumptions, non-stop running of
experiments, and the a culture of
risk-taking inside the organization,
constantly testing the edges and seeing
what works, what doesn't work, etc.
The A is autonomy, decentralizing
decision-making and allowing people to
self-select what they want to work on as
much as possible.
Which is one of the hardest things for a
CEO or an entrepreneur to do is is say,
"Listen, here's our mission. Our mission
is 10 million viewers, whatever it is,
doing this and this and this.
We want to give you the authority and
autonomy to go and work on projects that
are aligned with our MTP. Go."
Google does this a bit. Um the master of
this I should tell this quick story.
There's a Chinese appliance manufacturer
called Haier, H A I E R. They make like
55 million fridges and ovens a year.
Jesus.
used to be a huge company. Um and uh um
80,000 people operating in a classic
pyramid form,
command and control, hierarchical as
heck. CEO one day decides, "Can't meet
my corporate goals with this structure."
Blows it up. Turns 80,000 people into
2,000 teams of about 40 people each.
Each team has a P&L target. Each team
elects their own leader and most insane,
each team decides to do whatever they
want to do.
Now, you go to any business school in
the world and say, "I want to make 55
million fridges." And they'll tell you
you need a ton of centralized demand
forecasting, inventory managers, supply
chain, da da da da da. Turns out you
don't.
These literally these 2,000 teams will
work autonomously like a beehive. Every
team is deciding what they want to do.
what teams to keep? They don't. They The
teams decide on their own.
You can't get fired.
If you you can't If your team doesn't
meet its P&L targets, you have an issue.
And the way they meet their P&L targets
is they work on a product and the
products are the revenues are pooled
against that product. So, when they I
literally can't imagine this. This is
insane.
whole book There's a whole book written
on this. It's an amazing case study.
What's the book called? Uh I'll get you
the title The case study is Haier. Um
and when they want to vote on what when
what what decide what features should we
go in a new fridge, they vote.
And 2,000 teams that are constantly
outwardly facing with vendors,
suppliers, partners, customers are come
up with a much better decision than some
product strategy team hold up with
market forecasts and research groups,
right? And so, uh
GE Appliances actually gave up and sold
that whole division to Haier cuz they
couldn't compete. Mhm. Uh because you
can do so much more with a decentralized
organization. We're not quite ready for
DAOs, but we will be over time. And
you're kind of building one in the in
the in the I'm not. I'm violently not
building a DAO. Well, think about what
you're doing, right? With your metaverse
environment. Anybody can come in,
self-provision,
and play in that environment. They can
play in that environment. We're
certainly trying to build things so that
they can build in that environment. But
that is that's a platform play. Like I
get platforms. And so, our fantasy would
be on a long enough timeline where like
the YouTube of video games. That's
right. So, people can come in and build
not We we could go down a rabbit hole
about how we're going to be different
than Roblox, but we have a vision.
Right. But leveraging some of that. But
this is like I literally wrote before
you started talking, the thing I want to
talk about is how you leverage autonomy.
So, the way that we think about it at
Impact Theory is I want people to be
able to make decisions in their area.
Like, okay, your function is art, for
instance. I'm not going to come in and
turn you into a pair of hands. I want
you to think for yourself, you
understand our objectives, go do the art
thing. But we set the objectives as a
company, then the department sets their
own objectives, and then the individual
works with their supervisor to set it.
Yeah. But this is not, "Hey, you're in a
team of 40 and like,
I hope you meet your P&L." Like I can't
fathom how you get to that. I have to
imagine that this is never going to be
the standard. It's non-trivial to
implement, but when you can implement
it's very powerful. Let me give you two
examples that bridge the spectrum. Mhm.
One is if you're an employee and you
join Google as a new hire.
Okay? You're not placed on a team.
What they do is go, "You've got 6
months. Float around, meet different
teams, work with them, da da da da da."
How do they decide to hire you? You You
have to hire first. You're smart.
basically They're super smart and we
know we need Python developers, so hire
the Python developer. Now, do you work
on Gmail? Do you work on Google Maps,
etc. What you do is you float around as
that developer or front-end person or
designer, whatever your skill set is,
and you float around, you meet the
different teams, you see where you have
chemistry, you go, "I really love what
they're doing on Google Maps." Team
seems like me, they go, "Sure, come and
join us."
Now, if after 6 months you haven't found
a team,
bigger conversation, you probably don't
fit there for some reason. But, if you
found a team after choosing over 6
months all of a bunch of different
options, you're probably where you
really, really like being.
Right? So, now off they go. So, that's
one example of implementing this in the
new hire model.
The full extent of autonomy, I'll give
you the example of Tangerine Bank in
Canada, which is used to be ING Direct.
So, they operate on this fully
autonomous basis. They have no CEO, no
reporting lines, no management teams, no
middle management, no meetings of any
kind. They literally operate on a
beehive, where each employee
self-selects as to what they want to do.
Okay? Now, you're a regulated bank.
Canadian banks are very regulated,
right?
So, what happens is when the marketing
guy goes, "Oh, let's do an online
promotion." Cuz he's self-selected,
wants to focus on that. And they launch
an online promotion, everybody floods to
the phone banks and helps out getting
phone calls. When it's regulatory
reporting time, they all flood to the
regulatory systems and fill out all the
paperwork to fill out all the forms to
show the Canadian government that
they're viable. The most amazing example
I've seen of this is Valve Software out
of Seattle, that makes the Steam
platform.
About 400 people, same ethos. No CEO,
reporting lines. So, if I spot a bug in
the software, I grab three people, we go
fix the bug, we disband.
Every employee self-selects what they
want to work on, and it sounds
completely like a joke, but they get
more revenue per employee than
Microsoft. They make a fortune.
So, it's very doable. You have to start
it. You have to start it with that
principle in mind.
like physics. Something a particle born
above the speed of light can't go
slower, and below the speed of light
can't exceed the speed of light. I think
you have to this is found founding
starting conditions for your company.
Yeah, this is
I don't know what I find harder to
believe, reincarnation or that you can
do this. But, look, I I don't shut down
emotionally. I'm very open. I just
everything that I know with perhaps just
my limited skill set, that is a recipe
for chaos. Or you have to hit a certain
size. Like when I think about Google
being able to do that, there's no way
that you can start like that. I get how
you can get so big, you have so much
surplus money that you can let a person
wander around for 6 months with no like
real specific job, or that you can hire
somebody who's, "Oh, you know Python and
you're smart. Great." You know, Valve
Software is about 400 people. It's not
that over there.
They're also the company when when you
said, "Oh, we're doing a case study on
Valve in the book." I was like, "Oh, you
mean the company that couldn't get
Half-Life 3 or 2, whichever it was, out
for 15 years?" I was like, "Yeah, I'm
not surprised." But, then you said that
they make more per employee, so I was
like, "Ah, fuck." Yeah. So, it directed
execution turns out to be non-trivial in
these organizations. It's like DAO
governance, right? It's an oxymoron.
It's very hard to get.
Right? So, um a but in terms of
resilience, unbelievable.
Because you cannot break that
organization. Because everybody's
self-selecting, when there's a problem,
they naturally find the problem, they go
fix it.
I think you need to still you need to
hire for that. People need to have
have to hire. You can't You know, Tony
Hsieh tried for 3 years to implement
that into Zappos, and it just failed.
You can't bring it into a This is why we
think say when you're an existing
organization and you want to turn into
an EXO,
don't go through the nightmare of trying
to transform yourself. Put up create new
EXOs on the edge, and let those slowly
become the new gravity center.
What was the example of the company?
Maybe it was the washing machine company
or the fridge company, but they
literally were like, "Oh, we're firing
everybody." And then a third of them
left, and they restarted with
two-thirds, and they did just fine. Uh
Zappos did that, and so did Hire. It was
Hire that in the book? In fact, Zappos
when Tony Hsieh first suggests he
voluntarily said, "Who wants to move to
this model?" And everybody was like,
"Yeah, this is crazy. We're not doing
that." So, then he went, "We strongly
suggest that you move to this model."
Then finally he said, "If you don't move
to that model, you're fired."
And even then it failed. Very hard to
implement into a legacy organization.
Did we finish the attributes? Oh, so
autonomy, and the final one is social
technologies. Um Asana, Slack, Zoom,
Chatter, Yammer, etc., etc. They allow
you to glue people together
peer-to-peer. Right? We found we have
really good evidence today that
peer-to-peer collaboration is much more
powerful than traditional top-down
command and control thinking.
So, what do you guys think about what
Elon is doing at Twitter? He recently
was interviewed, and he said it is
immoral
to work from home.
And I was like, "Wow." Yeah, we had this
conversation yesterday about, you know,
uh
Listen, I miss having an office setting.
Mhm. I do, and I miss and I I recognize
and realize that the intensity of the
amount of work that gets done when a
group is together is substantially
higher Mhm. than alone. But, you know,
the flip side of that is the geographic
arbitrage that I can get access to
talent
that I might not otherwise get to move
to Santa Monica. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, my
CEO lives in the Bay Area, my VP
finances is in Spain, my head of
communities in Cape Town.
We have a totally distributed
organization. And yes, we're less
efficient than if everybody was in one
place, but I can operate across multiple
time zones seamlessly.
People are living where they want to
live, they're living with their
families, etc., etc. So, I'm a believer
in the remote work side. Yeah, I also
think we're going to see a transition as
as the next generation of metaverse
systems come online. You know, if we're
there will be a point where we are
sitting in the metaverse, and I feel
like I'm here with you and having this
conversation. And hopefully the
glassware becomes
light enough and easy enough where it's
it's very interactive. The key heuristic
I think when you think about Elon with
Twitter, etc., and people, is do you
trust them? Do you trust your people?
Right? And most corporations operate out
of mistrust. You're like checking
things, and you have to file a travel
expense reports, etc., etc. And the
entire structure is set up to mistrust
you.
Uh and when we move to this new model of
EXOs, by default you tend to trust the
teams to do what they're trying to do
the best. You're trying to trust your
Trust over control, right? Trust beats
control is one of the key implications.
Jerry Michalski, who's one of our
community members, said this
brilliantly. He said, um uh scarcity
equals abundance minus trust.
It's interesting. For me, it doesn't
come down to trust. I don't even want to
have to think about the people on my
team. I want to play my position, I want
them to play theirs, and I never want to
have to think about it. It really comes
down to results and focus and like you
need Like this is going to be
interesting saying do you guys, but you
need some variation of the immune system
in that the immune system will detect
cancer. So, yes, it can say no to things
that it shouldn't say no to, but it can
also stop the free riders. And the the
just reality is that you will get people
using game theory to be like, "Oh, you
can hide in this company, and everybody
can just do whatever the hell it want."
You will get people that then just
become selfish, and then other people
look at that, and resentment builds, and
so you get other people
Yeah, how do you do with that? You know,
there's there's a
my I'm moving all of my companies onto
something called EOS, the
entrepreneurial operating system. Mhm.
Is this formal? It it is. It's a it's a
it's So, you can go look it up
entrepreneurial operating system, and um
uh and what we do is we meet
and it's a process of thinking and
running your organization, sort of like
an operating system for a company.
And we have what's called a 10X meeting
every week with the entire group. We're
reviewing our rocks, our
action items, our dashboards, and
everybody's got assigned specific
actions. And and uh
And it's not possible to hide in that
regard. If you properly implement OKRs,
you you really can't hide. And yet, you
can give people a lot of autonomy,
and they can do go do their thing, but
whether it's EOS or whatever the model
is, um it brings it together. So, we
have today very modern team and
individual performance structures that
allow us to handle that. You can hide in
traditional organizations.
Because there's 20 developers on some
team, and nobody knows really who's the
who the rock stars are.
HR never knows.
Yeah. One thing we've noticed uh the
with the particular indictment I would
have is today's most big corporations
are structured in a matrix structure.
Products on the verticals, and they have
legal, HR, branding, privacy, etc. And
Terry Semel, when he was running Yahoo,
who made the mistake of putting in
matrix structure into it. And it's like
that structure is great for kind of
command and control, but it's terrible
for risk-taking, and it's terrible for
speed. Cuz every time you try and do
something, you want to you have to clear
all those levels. So, it was taking us
close to a year to release some feature
on Yahoo! Personals.
And MySpace was released, and Facebook
was the killer here, where they came
along and Zuckerberg said, "If you feel
your code is ready, take it live on the
live site. We'll give you access to the
live site. Your code better be good, cuz
otherwise if you take the take us down,
you're fired." But, the developers got
such a sense of empowerment and autonomy
from that and and wow, he trusts us to
let us take our code live. They were
rolling out features every week. Do they
still do that? I'm not sure if they
still do that, but that was what got
them That was what blew MySpace away,
blew Yahoo away at the time. The early
days of high risk-taking for any
entrepreneurial company is is amazing,
where we don't have a legal department
yet. When you don't have an HR
department
And over time, power accrues to the the
horizontals because they have no
incentive in saying yes.
And so when we coach CEOs, we basically
say, "Take all those horizontal layers
and every 3 4 years just blow them up
and reinvent them." So tell me, where
can people follow along with you guys to
learn this stuff in detail to get help
executing? We have built a community
around this whole model called and the
it sits at openexo.com.
And people can go there, it's free to
join. We have now have 24,000
consultants, entrepreneurs, innovators
in 140 countries that are using these
models to apply them. To come join us on
the masterclass.
Yeah, either join us live on the 6th or
get the masterclass and the book and the
AI afterwards. If you haven't already,
be sure to subscribe and until next
time, my friends, be legendary. Take
care. Peace. AI is changing the world at
an insane pace and if you want to learn
all about it, be sure to watch this
episode with the godfather of AI
himself, Yoshua Bengio. Are computers
becoming conscious right now?