Video summary
Recent fears regarding catastrophic artificial intelligence risks have moved into the mainstream, sparked notably by Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei's urgent call for a slowdown in AI development. Amodei highlights two primary concerns: the accelerating pace of progress driven by recursive self-improvement and a theoretical scenario where an AI swarm could seize control of the internet within six to twelve months. To mitigate these dangers, he proposes that democratic nations, led by the United States, coordinate safety standards and restrict unchecked advancement while maintaining a strategic technological edge over authoritarian regimes like China to prevent them from developing hazardous capabilities such as autonomous drones.
This proposal has found significant support among other industry titans, including OpenAI's Sam Altman and Elon Musk, who agree on the necessity of pacing development and conducting independent evaluations. However, skepticism remains high regarding the true motives behind these regulatory calls, with critics suggesting that such demands may be a strategy to lock out competitors through antitrust-compliant collusion or to preempt stricter government legislation before it is even proposed. The discourse reveals a sharp contrast in approaches toward China; while Amodei advocates for a "hawkish" stance involving tightened export controls and crackdowns on model distillation, Sam Altman maintains a more conciliatory tone, raising concerns that aggressive US policies could provoke Chinese suspicion and ultimately hinder international cooperation.
The political landscape surrounding these issues is defined by a clash between Democratic calls for oversight, championed by figures like Barack Obama and Senator John Ofor, and Republican opposition led by Donald Trump, who dismisses regulatory concerns and argues that only a high-IQ president is needed to manage guardrails. Beyond the geopolitical and existential debates, there is growing tension between the warnings of tech elites about hypothetical extinction risks and immediate socioeconomic threats facing the general population. These practical issues include job losses due to automation and environmental damage caused by massive data centers, which could lead to social unrest and potentially result in the criminalization of dissent under national security pretexts.
Ultimately, the speaker argues that modern industrialists and effective altruists share a historical tendency to ignore tangible environmental and social impacts in favor of abstract theoretical scenarios, such as disembodied consciousness or life on other planets. This obsession with clever hypothetical risks often overshadows pressing political concerns like data center ownership and oversight, creating a disconnect between elite priorities and the realities affecting normal people today. When considering whether framing data centers as terrorism is connected to existential risk discussions, the analysis concludes that these are separate topics; instead of fixating on hypothetical extinction events, the focus should shift toward tackling immediate practical issues, particularly regarding ownership structures versus regulatory oversight, to address the real-world challenges currently facing society.
Read the full video transcript
Last week was the moment fears of
catastrophic AI risk went mainstream.
And this weekend, industry leaders have
responded. Anthropic CEO Dario Amade has
published a blog calling to pace the AI
frontier. This is a phrase we're hearing
more of these days. Um Amade says the
urgency for a slowdown is due to two
developments this summer. first and the
AIs are increasingly now being used to
build the next generation of AIS which
is speeding up development what's
sometimes called um recursive
self-improvement. Um and second he says
the hugging face attack or the hugging
face hack suggests that within 6 to 12
months an AI swarm could be capable of
taking over the entire internet. Um this
has been disputed. Um in response he
proposes so in response to sort of these
two developments he proposes that AI
firms should be required to give access
to third-party evaluators to assess
their latest models. He says that
anropic is going to go ahead and do this
unilaterally without any regulations.
But then he also suggests that frontier
AI companies within democratic countries
he's quite into this war between the
democracies and the autocracies as sort
of he calls them. That's his master
frame. He thinks um that companies
within the democratic countries should
coordinate to establish common safety
standards um as well as limits on the
rate of unchecked AI progress. By the
way, when he says the democratic
countries, he just means the United
States. Um and he says he wants some
limited coordination with China. Now, I
think there's some incoherence in his
hawkishness on China and then his
suggestion we can have coordination with
China. We'll get on to that in a moment.
Um, first off, worth pointing out, other
AI executives piled in to agree with
AMD. This was Sam Olman. Um, so he says,
"I agree with Dario that we need to pace
the frontier. This has been a primary
topic of discussions we've had at OpenAI
in recent weeks, committing to having
independent evaluators with employee
like access is a great idea and we will
do the same. We'll have more to share
soon." Um, Elon Musk um, for his part
simply said this. Dario is right. Um
Dario Emmed has appeared on CNN um to
lay out precisely what he was calling
for in this three-step proposal. Each
step is more difficult than than the one
before and Enthropic was kind of getting
the ball rolling by committing to the
first step. But we shouldn't kid
ourselves that these next two steps are
going to be more difficult and and we
may not succeed. and and so my my
proposal is a proposal that we should
try. Now again from all the agreement
from others that I've seen in just the
first few hours of putting out the essay
that creates some optimism but that
needs to follow up with results. So yes,
pacing among dem companies in democratic
countries. Now the one of the important
things that that I need to call for here
is you know as we get to the pace of
model releases right that's commercial
activity and in order for companies to
coordinate directly on commercial
activity they need to do so working with
the government and so the one thing that
we're asking for from government right
now right I mean there's also this
question of what should the regulations
be but there's something even simpler
that the government can do right now
which is it can sit down in the room and
with all the industry players and we can
all talk together and the government can
make sure that we're you know we're
we're not doing anything nefarious from
the perspective of antitrust and
collusion. We're just trying to make our
system safe and to work together on
making the system safe.
>> So that reference to antitrust law there
has got many people's alarm bells
ringing. So, there's long been a
suspicion um that one of the reasons
these companies call for regulation is
because they want to lock out
competitors. They want to say, "Look,
we're the only companies that can be
trusted with this. We're going to have
to collude and and lock out everyone
else from from the system." Um I suppose
Abid would say that's not exactly what's
happening here. So they're saying, well,
he's officially saying, you know, you
can read in, you know, you can make your
own judgment about what his motives
might actually be, but what he's
officially saying is we want to be able
to discuss with OpenAI and DeepMind and
whoever um how to slow down the release
of our new products and how to slow down
our training. And at the moment, it's
ambiguous whether that would be allowed
by antitrust law because obviously big
companies, competitors getting together
and colluding, that's illegal um because
that's associated with price setting.
Um, but they want to say we should be
able to get together and discuss this.
The American government can be there so
we know that after the fact you're not
going to drag us through the courts and
say that we broke antitrust law. So, you
know, many people looking at as cynical.
There is a logic to it though. I have to
admit. Um, in terms of his broader
motive, obviously whenever this comes
up, people say they're just trying to
boost their share prices. Now, obviously
we don't Anthropic doesn't have a share
price at the moment because their IPO
hasn't happened, but AI related stock
has fallen by about 2% today. again it
will recover that within a few days so
it shouldn't not too much should be read
into that but the idea of a slowdown
doesn't seem to have like really pleased
traders um I think the most sort of
benile explanation for why he might be
coming out and saying this now is that
he recognizes that the AI industry in
its current state is about to cause a
very expensive accident right so the
hacking face hack right that was an AI
system where open asked them to to do a
sort of hacking competition and that
they weren't supposed to go on the
internet. They weren't supposed to break
into another company and then they
committed a federal crime. Now, Hugging
Face, the company, aren't going to take
Open AI to court, so it's not going to
cost them any money. By the way, Nvidia
have just bought Hugging Face and Nvidia
don't want anyone to go to court cuz
they just want to sell as many chips as
possible. So, they got off lightly in a
way here, but I do think that anthropic
think if we keep developing at this
pace, we we might cause some real
damage, right? and that will cost us
that could really damage our share
price. So there is a I suppose taking
them at face value saying we actually do
feel like we're going too fast and not
necessarily because we think we're going
to kill everyone but because we think
that we are about to make a real mess
and we're going to be liable for it. So
help us all slow down before we break
something really expensive because we
don't want to have to answer to that. Of
course, something else I find plausible
is that they're looking at how there is
now a big public and political push for
regulation, and they want to get ahead
of that argument and basically propose
um you know, ineffective regulation,
regulation that isn't going to really
limit what they can do. I think all of I
think it's probably a little bit from
column A, a little bit from column B on
on on this one. Where I differ with some
of the commentary is I think
they on on AI safety, Daryo hasn't just
started talking about this in the last
six months. He's part of a scene that
has been talking about this for over 10
years. Um, let's look at the political
momentum here because whatever Amade's
motives, as I say, there are sort of
various plausible options. Um, there
needs to be sort of political momentum
to make this happen, to make it
effective. Um and on Sunday, the New
York Times reported that Barack Obama,
probably still the most influential
person related to the Democratic party,
he has urged um the Democrats to make
over AI oversight central to their
agenda. Um however, speaking from one of
his golf courses in Ireland, um sort of
in between calls for Irish unification,
um Donald Trump has suggested AI
regulation won't get support from the
White House.
>> We've seen a lot of concerning reports
about AI. Should the AI industry slow
down or be more regulated?
>> Well, I say this. Look, we're leading
China in AI. We're most sophisticated
country in the world. And frankly, I
want to keep it that way because whoever
wins AI wins. And uh we could put guard
rails. We can do this and that. But I
think you have a lot of negative forces
that are bringing it up that uh
shouldn't be bringing it up. And they're
bringing up things that won't happen.
But whoever wins with AI wins. You know,
it's an expression that I came up with
and it's true.
We're building billions and billions of
dollars. You look at the plants and
factories, forgetting about AI for a
second. We have more auto factories
under construction right now than we
have had in many, many decades. Maybe
ever. Maybe ever.
>> If you weren't reassured by that answer
from Donald Trump, take a look at this
headline from this afternoon. NBC News
saying Trump says AI doesn't need
guardrails, only a high IQ president. In
which case, we're really screwed. Um, he
said this on Truth Social. I'll give you
a few more words. He said, "The only
control or guardrails that AI needs is a
strong and smart high IQ president, and
the USA has that in spades." He then
says, "The Trump administration has
stopped AI people," which he puts in
quote marks, from doing bad or
potentially bad things, which again he
puts in quote marks, like Dario
Andropic, who is now pretending to be a
perfect little angel, and we will
continue to do so. Um, Steven,
>> yeah.
>> What's your how have you responded to
these calls by Anthropic and the AI
leaders for the government to help them
coordinate a slowdown? Um, how have you
responded to Obama to Trump? What's your
what's your take?
>> I mean, it's sort of two separate
things. I I don't know if you remember
when the AI stuff all started taking off
and I remember us playing clips from a
Senate inquiry and Sam Alman was there
and uh and they were talking about AI
regulation. And the senators are like,
well, you know, we don't understand
this. And then they were like, Mr.
Oldman, would you regulate? Do it for
us. And and like that's obviously that
was the moment when he sort of said,
yeah, why not? I mean, maybe it wasn't
politically impossible at that point,
but I mean, so so I think I'm of the
option that, you know, I want to I want
to proceed with like loads of humility
because much like, you know, crypto, I
also don't understand the technical
nature of of of this very well. But I do
know that there's a very lively debate
within experts in AI, you know, very big
professor at Stanford who insists that
all of this hugging face stuff is sort
of ephemeral. It isn't really uh
anything like the breakout. Uh then
you've got other people uh you know like
the guy uh who quit last week saying
yeah 10% chance that we're we're going
to all get killed. Um I do think that
there is something you know the truth is
probably somewhere in the middle
somewhere. let's just use that kind of,
you know, old saw. Um, but there is
something advantageous for these
companies in being able to get ahead of
legislative agendas and regulate
themselves. You know, when they say
like, oh, the government can come and
watch us and make sure that we're not
doing like antitrust Um, that's
sort of like, okay, the government can
be a kind of observer to what it is that
we agree and why we agree in the full
knowledge that nobody from the federal
government is actually going to really
understand what it is that they're that
they're doing, right? They're operating
at a level of like jargon and complexity
that is going to vastly outstrip the
abilities of most federal employees to
be able to to regulate. Maybe they'll
hire some expert in, but then you know
these are only you know they're not
actually working on these things
themselves. So I think there is an
advantage to be gained here by sort of
hyping things up and then saying
actually only we working together can
deal can deal with this problem. Um and
the other reason why it's an advantage
to get ahead of the legislative
adventure um agenda here is because I
think Obama is right not just from an AI
safety point of view but from from a
from an electoral point of view. The
party that comes forward and says we are
going to regulate AI. We are going to
take control of this runaway industry um
of you know potentially for all we know
pirates or maniacs um who continue to
develop things that they know are d are
dangerous. We're going to take control
of it and we're going to regulate it and
make it safe. the party that puts that
agenda forward is going to win because
people do not like AI and they are
actually quite frightened of it. So I
think that sort of sense of a politician
saying Democrats put at the heart of
your agenda so you don't look like Trump
who's just being like oh all you need is
like my genius IQ in the White House and
that will be everything will be fine. Um
put it in the agenda. People don't want
this. They will want to vote for
regulation. They don't want data
centers. They will want to vote in all
sorts of ways to limit the speed at
which this is coming down the road. Um,
I think that is a that will be a vote
winner.
>> Yeah. I mean that we're gonna get on to
China now actually because I think the
simple argument is to say all of you
people said that your technology might
kill us all right and now you're doing
it and we as representatives of our
constituents are going to tell you don't
do that. [laughter] We we don't
whe
some scientists say it might not kill us
all. Some scientists say it will. you
CEO you said it might do and we do not
let people develop products where the
boss of the company says it might kill
us all right that would be the obvious
thing for the politicians to say
obviously the response they always then
give is that oh then the Chinese will
overtake us and that still does have I
don't know I don't know how much sort of
traction that has among the American
public but it has a lot of traction in
in Washington it seems and definitely in
Silicon Valley as well so let's talk
about China because for their part the
Chinese government doesn't seem
impressed with Dario Ammeday's proposal.
Um, a state newspaper has blasted calls
for an AI slowdown as a cold war tactic.
Um, Reuters also reports on a Chinese
Foreign Ministry spokesperson um who
said, quote, "Fermenting various threats
engaging in confrontation and malicious
competition will only disrupt the
process of global governance of
artificial intelligence and is not in
the interests of any party." So, they're
seeing this as hostile. Um, obviously
there is an argument say it would be in
the interest of both the Americans and
and the Chinese to slow down, but
they're seeing this as hostile and they
have a clear reason to be very
suspicious of in particular Dario Amade.
Um, so he is a China hawk. He he he
self-describes as a China hawk. I mean
in his latest essay he writes this
pacing within democracies will be
limited by the lead that US companies
have over authoritarian regimes chiefly
the Chinese Communist Party. If we slow
down by more than this amount, then
unpaced CCP associated projects will
pull ahead, creating significant
national security risk. I agree with
Secretary Pessent that a Chinese lead in
AI would pose grave danger for the
United States and the world. The CCP
associated projects will run the
alignment risk that US companies are
carefully preventing. And even if they
avoid those risks, they will be in a
position to militarily dominate
democracies, for example, with AIdriven
drones. Thus a key part of pacing within
democracies is to keep democracies AI
lead over autocracies as large as
possible to give us the breathing room
we need in order order to pace
effectively. And this is I would like
like to put forward kind of mad, right?
The idea well also you need to have a
bit of strategic empathy, a bit of
cognitive empathy. If the Chinese are
reading this and thinking this American
executive is saying the moment the
Chinese get a lead, they're going to use
that lead to use drones to dominate
America. Like they're think I mean we
that wasn't our plan, but I mean maybe
that's your plan, right? [laughter]
You're saying we have to keep the lead.
um otherwise everything is over because
whoever gets this dominates everyone
then they're going to think I you're not
the kind of people I can make a deal
with right of course that is going to
put your you know your rankles up um
Amade to that end recommends also
hostile actions against China he says
they the US should tighten export
controls on chips to China and he says
there should be a crackdown on
distillation of AI models that's a
technical term this is the process
whereby competitors can reverse engineer
the weights of a frontier model by
asking you hundreds of thousands of
questions. So, so for example, um and
then training on the results. So, for
example, you know, OpenAI have just
released their latest model and then you
have uh a Chinese company um this is I
don't know if anyone's proved this, but
this is sort of many people's theory.
You have a Chinese company that has way
fewer resources, doesn't have access to
the same size data centers, but can
create a model which is of of similar
quality to the American version by
asking it loads and loads and loads of
questions and then reverse engineering
basically the weights. As I say, many
people think this is how the cheaper
Chinese openweight models were
developed. Um, so as I say, Amade
explicitly wants to slow Chinese
development down. Um, and again, in
terms of his hawkishness, this is even
worse. In a previous essay, Machines of
Loving Grace, this is one of his first
sort of big blogs he put up that sort of
got widpread traction. um he went
further and said that if the west
successfully slows down the Chinese
development um of AI then he says the
democracies this is how he groups the
world um he says the democracies can
assert military and economic dominance
then he says this it's very explicit he
says if we can do all this we will have
a world in which democracies lead on the
world stage and have the economic and
military strength to avoid being
undermined conquered or sabotaged by
autocracies and may be able to parlay
their AI superiority into a durable
advantage. This could optimistically
lead to an eternal 1991, a world where
democracies have the upper hand and
Fukuyama's dreams are realized. So he's
saying if we manage to maintain a lead
in AI dominance and I suppose get to AGI
first is the argument, then we can force
China to become a liberal democracy.
Now, I mean, if you're the Chinese
people and you've had, you know, 10%
growth for sort of half of the years of
the past 40 years and loads of you've
been lifted out of poverty, you think,
okay, so they want to impose a democracy
on us. How did that work in Iraq? How
did that work in Russia? Yada yada yada.
I'm not sure we're up for this. If
you're the CCP, if you're the Chinese
Communist Party, you're definitely not
going to like that, right? So, the idea
that you're going to say, "Oh, this
Darai guy, he seems like someone we can
work with. He literally wants to get to
AGI first so that America can overthrow
the Chinese government and replace it
with a liberal democracy. Doesn't seem
like a great recipe for cooperation. So
I think Amodai has got some real I mean
blind maybe we could say blind spots. I
think there are some reasons why the
Chinese are going to be suspicious of
this guy. And let's look at a different
executive because tonally at least um
Sam Alman has been sounding slightly
less hawkish. I think presidents Trump
and she would get the Nobel Peace Prize
together if they could agree on
something that should be easy to agree
to. Um, and it would be wonderful. I
think that clearly the two countries are
going to compete in lots of ways and
this is going to be important
socioeconomically, geopolitically. Uh,
but no one they should be able to agree
that no one should be like taking a
certain level of risk um with the
development process of this. And even if
just the US and China um could agree on
some shared standards and testing for
development of of this technology. Uh I
think that'd be a wonderful
accomplishment that the two of them can
deliver.
>> Completely agree. I mean I think at the
simplest form if there was just a ban on
reaching RSI until it could collectively
be safe, wouldn't that be enough? Um,
I think it's very hard to say what a ban
on RSI means. I also think that probably
wouldn't be enough. But I don't think
this is hard. This is like a onepage
document.
>> Feels a little like Independence Day,
you know? Yeah. In terms of like there's
something bigger than the conflicts that
we have geopolitically.
>> Like the movie when the big show when
they're just like, "Let's like all
forget our differences and let's all
figure out how to act."
>> No.
>> Yeah. No. I think it should be like
that.
>> Yeah. All right. So, we need our
Independence Day Nobel Peace
Prizewinning moment from Chi and Trump.
Maybe when they meet in September
>> that would be great.
>> No, you know, I don't I have I mean zero
trust in in Sam Alman, but I think if we
were to urge Donald Trump to come to
some kind of accord with she when they
meet later this month, that would be a
good thing. Obviously, Donald Trump does
really want to win a Nobel Peace Prize.
I suppose where I disagree with Samman
is that a one-page document is going to
be enough, right? Because the
interviewer puts forward some concrete
practical options to say, let's not do
recursive self-improvement. That's where
AI models are training the next AI
models. And Sam Alman says, "Oh, oh,
actually, oh, that might bit common
because OpenAI are already doing that.
That their AI models are already
training their next AI models. Anthropic
are already doing that." So, to me,
again, this sounds a bit like these AI
executives want some sign that sort of I
think they want electorates to think,
"Oh, we're safe. It's fine." Um, and so
a sort of A4 document that she and Trump
have signed, which doesn't really do
that much, or this sort of panel with AI
companies in the American government
that doesn't really do that much. That's
the ideal for them because they they
want to be in charge, right? They think
they're smarter than everyone else.
Ultimately, they would maybe quite like
to get to AGI so they can upload their
brains and live forever, right? That
that that's the kind of world we're in
here. Um, but, you know, I I suppose a
an A4 document would be better than
nothing. Uh, at this stage, maybe it
would be a start. Um the Chinese by the
way because I I sort of put forward
earlier they they don't seem to really
want to slow down development that they
don't have the same kind of concerns at
the moment about existential threat as
are dominant in Silicon Valley and now
sort of increasingly salient in the
United States. But there are some areas
where the Chinese government does seem
concerned about AI development. Um the
FT today has a report um on the Ministry
of State Security warning of threats
from AI and they have a quote from the
state security minister who says hostile
forces and people with ulterior motives
are abusing generative AI technologies
such as deep fake audio and video AI
generated text and images and
intelligent troll armies to cheaply and
on a mass scale fabricate political
rumors, disseminate harmful information
and incite divisive sentiments. These
activities constitute an attack on
public opinion and cognitive warfare
against China, directly threatening our
political security, institutional
security, and ideological security. Um,
it's interesting the idea, Stephen, that
like China are not going to put any
guardrails on the I said this said this
in my interview with Robert Wright on on
Friday. You can check out that that
interview. I love Robert Wright. Got his
got his book here, The God Test. Put
that out on Friday. Anyway, I was saying
the idea that the Chinese are not going
to be interested in guardrails, there's
one thing the CCP likes, it's
guardrails, right? The you can
definitely make a deal with China on
this, especially because the Americans
are ahead at this point in time. But you
probably can't make a deal with China if
the if the premise of the deal is that
the Americans are always going to be six
months ahead. And by the way, if they
get to AGI before you, they're going to
overthrow your government.
>> Yeah, exactly. They're going to give you
the end of history or else, which is
[laughter] the the quote there. Um, I
mean I actually like just when you
compare those quotes about China to the
to to what you were saying about, you
know, let's all get together with a
government kind of watching and we'll
sort of set our own, you know, we'll all
agree to slow down together. Um, there
kind of like you can think of like a
positive break and an anti-break
operating at the same time there, right?
So the positive break like we the AI
companies decide how we slow down, but
we always link it not to safety but
actually to the progress that China
makes. And I think that's like a very,
you know, that actually shows that
safety is not at the forefront of of
their mind there, right? If it was at
the forefront of their mind, then safety
would be like the absolute limiting
factor. What's at the forefront of his
mind is, I would say, a way of slowing
things down so that you can evade
legislation, but at the same time making
sure you always retain a competitive
advantage over a competitor who's some
some way behind. That doesn't look like
a guardrail, right? that looks like a
kind of um a stop to national anxieties
without giving up on strategic ambitions
>> because the Chinese are their
competitors as well. It's not Amade seem
he's been talking about this for so long
that I think he is a genuine ideological
China hawk but like encouraging the
Americans to stop selling chips to the
Chinese he is helping to hobble deepseek
and obviously one of the things these
companies are very worried about is
they've invested all of this money in
training their models and all of the the
money that sort of they're suggesting
they deserve in their IPOs in their sort
of upcoming um sort of introductions to
the stock market is based on the fact
that they have this very valuable
technology which has a motor around it.
But if you have if if if if um anthropic
and open AI can say we've actually got
this great really useful product um and
we want you to pay us you know if you're
a user $20 a month or if you're a
business you know a few thousand a month
the business might say yeah this is
useful but I can get it I can get an
open model from the Chinese for tenner
so I'm going to do that sorry so they
are terrified of the openweight models I
actually also do think that there is a
safety concern with the open weight
models I don't think the whole debate
about openweight models is purely just
the American firms cynically trying to
hobble their competitors I also do think
that if you have these powerful models
and anyone in the world can tune them
and tweak them to do whatever they like,
um that to me does seem worrying. So
again, this is a complex issue. Um let's
go back to US politics because um one
person who seems to be taking Barack
Obama's advice on leading with AI is
John Oaf. He's a Democratic senator for
Georgia and he's tipped to run for the
presidency in 2028. And when you step
back and consider it, the situation is
absurd.
This week, we were warned again of
existential risk to the human species.
Did you see it?
>> And what fills us with dread is the
crushing weakness of our politics
against the massive stakes of our times.
Tech titans dig bunkers while warning us
the new intelligence they're creating
risks human extinction.
Congress debates youth sports and the
president builds a ballroom.
An ancient establishment barely capable
of email sleepwalks into a technological
revolution while the president
dismantles precautions and calls us
fools for worrying.
Just listen to this. On day one, Donald
Trump rescended the AI safety order
meant to guard against catastrophic
risks, including the engineering of
bioweapons.
Meanwhile, Don Jr.'s 1789 capital bought
big money stakes in data centers and AI
labs. 4 days before inauguration, the
Emirati spy chief committed $500 million
to the Trump family crypto business. And
four months later, the Trump
administration granted the Emirates the
rights to buy our most sensitive AI
chips.
See, a capable president would move
swiftly to secure and reassure the
American people, rush inspectors into
frontier labs, fortify the nation
against bioteterrorism, demand
legislation from Congress, and lead the
world toward an AI treaty. But President
Trump is compromised.
A capable Congress would engage every
committee in investigation and
legislation to act swiftly and wisely.
Those CEOs would be under oath next
week. But instead, the president and the
speaker of the house sit on their hands
and hope for the best. So you see this
scenario and you look at the state of
our politics and it shakes your faith in
the future. I understand.
But Athens, we can and will reclaim
control over our own destiny.
[cheering and applause]
We can and will meet our obligations to
our children. And that begins with
victory this fall.
I've said it before, but it's always
those moments where you see sort of like
a political message and sort of a
political candidate talking about um how
we need to stop the robots killing us
all that I feel most like I'm in a
sci-fi movie cuz those are always sort
of the moments that you get and the
sci-fi movie always has that moment
where they go from a niche concern to a
mainstream concern then it becomes a
political issue and that sort of is to
signal that this is now you know
something that is affecting the whole of
society and we're seeing that there.
Couple of people in the comments saying,
"Why are we looking at American politics
here?" When it comes to AI, the things
that matter are American politics and
Chinese politics. That's kind of the
case. If if what you're worried about is
sort of highly powerful AI models
potentially causing significant damage,
then what matters is Congress, the
American president, sort of movements in
America, and then what's going on among
elites in the Chinese Communist Party.
That's that's just the fact, right? I
sometimes when it comes to why are you
talking about American if it's like lo
the local city politics of New York or
something like that like why are we
talking about that but when it's an
issue which clearly has international
ramifications and the Americans or the
Chinese are the most important places
where these decisions are getting made
we we have to pay attention to the
Americans it's just it's just more
relevant than telling you what Darren
Jones is saying about AI. All credit to
Darren Jones. I'm glad he's talking
about AI but it matters more what John
Oaf is saying. Um, on the issue of the
alliances that this can bring together,
we got a Brit in this story that will
make you feel sort of more seen. I
suppose this was an interesting nugget
on the unusual alliances AI might bring
together. So, Jacob Coxin, the Anthropic
employee who resigned um from Anthropic.
Um Bernie Sanders and Steve Bannon are
set to join forces for an event on
Tuesday. Um the event is organized by
the Future of Life Institute and will
have Congress people from both parties
speaking as well as union leaders. I
love to see this. I think You don't want
I think the same about climate change. I
think the same about all of these big
existential issues as much as possible.
You don't want this to be polarized
along party lines. You want you want
people to think this is a big issue that
affects us. Oh, let's try and sort of
keep it that way. Keep it an issue that
we all care about and that we don't have
to think, well, climate change is
probably not true because the left
believe it's true or you know, XYZ is
not actually a problem because the right
say it's a problem. Yeah. I think this
is good. I think seeing Jacob Cox and
Bernie Sanders and Steve Bannon on a
stage uniting for prohuman AI, I like
that. Again, quite sci-fi. Um,
in another interview over the weekend,
let's talk about because let's let's
finish by going back to Amade who is the
reason we're doing this story today
because of his his essay because on this
issue of the intersection between
politics and AI, these tech companies,
um, Daramo said something significant
that's got lots of attention. Um lots of
people have been talking about this on
on social media um where he suggested
that significant government involvement
in AI development could in theory be
welcome.
>> It seems like the fate of humanity is at
risk. How much personal responsibility
do you feel about where we are going?
>> My view here is it has always been very
strange that this technology is being
built by by a private company. People
ask me that question all the time. Why
isn't this being built by government?
And the strangest thing about it is I
agree with them. I'm uncomfortable.
Government didn't built this technology.
This company, this technology came from
the private sector. And we anthropic and
I would hope other companies have done
everything we can to try to uh have
legitimate oversight mechanisms. I think
the government and the public needs to
have a stake. And this is why we've
supported regulation of the technology.
Regulation constrains
the private companies. Regulation allows
the public and its elected
representatives to have a state to have
a say and limits what the private
companies can do. Now you might ask why
doesn't government just control the
technology completely?
>> Would you be willing to give up the
technology to the government
>> to the to the right combination of
governments? So the worry I have willing
to hand over this company.
>> I want to be very clear about this. The
the worry I have, I am concerned that
one single government could abuse this
technology just as easily as a single
company could. But I think a combination
of democratically elected governments.
I don't know about handing over, but
some kind of oversight, some kind of
joint governance. Again, that would be
the work of years. But I wonder if
that's the direction we need to go in.
>> Stephen, is is Amade asking to be
nationalized there?
>> Oh, I don't know what I don't want know
what he wants. I mean, you know, hand
handing it over to governments, but
actually then he says, but not hand not
handing over really oversight oversight.
But actually, I don't I I'm actually,
you know, I think oversight's really
important, but it's just as but just as
important is ownership. Um the changes
that are you know according to these
guys going to be uh dumped on all of us
by by this technology if we survive it
uh means that um many people are likely
to be impoverished unless there is some
sense of shared ownership of it or some
sense of redistribution of its profits.
After all, it is built on the work of
humankind, on literature, all the stuff
we've written to each other on the
internet, songs, um, discoveries,
research, um, in all fields. Um, it only
works because of us and it only exists
because of us. And I think actually that
is the that that is regulation is the
first political conversation I want to
hear. And the second one is I want to
hear ownership and redistribution of the
profits of these of these these things
because I you know he talks about
private industry actually those
companies are massively invested in by
the US government as well.
>> Um on the most general sense I know
because you know you've said before on
the show you you think I've taken the AI
cool drunken the AI cool a little bit. I
want to know sort of how you're viewing
this going mainstream because from my
perspective when I was sort of looking
at the inventors of the technology you
know Jeffrey Hinton Joshua Benjio Stuart
Russell all these people who created the
technology won loads of awards for it
saying this literally might kill us all
and it wasn't being discussed
politically I was like this is kind of
scary right because these guys they
might not be right but they should
definitely be taken seriously and no one
was talking about it so I am whether or
not I think Amday or even John O.
Whether or not I think these people are
being cynical, I don't know. The fact
that this is now being talked about to
me seems like
the public discussion is somewhat
commensurate to the challenge and I'm
feeling a sense of relief.
>> Oh my Oh my god, we're now talking about
this thing and I I wonder how you're
viewing it.
>> I mean, I don't I mean, it's
commensurate to one challenge, right,
which is the existential challenge. I
mean a lot of this stuff reminds me of
and you know I don't want to be like um
um a critty hype you know like cyn cynic
here I don't want to be like cynical
coral critty hype but you know there was
a lot of I remember like the the 2010s
and uh you know all these centers
opening up the center for existential
risk for example got a lot of money for
looking at problems with a very small
probability of happening but would be
absolutely catastrophic if they did
loads of money put into AI stuff I mean
a lot of this like AI research has come
out of those institutes actually a lot
of like the ethics of AI I and uh the
decision-m processes like you know like
the thought processes of of potential
you know models of models of of thinking
come out of the come out of those
safeguarding comes out of those um and
in the meantime like none of those
institutes were looking at like much
more immediate crises that were were you
know were likely to hit us which
wouldn't be existential but which would
be really really really bad
>> but their argument sorry their argument
for that was to say that lots of people
are already doing that. So they would
say there's this gap in the they're not
saying everyone should devote their
research to existential risk, but
they're saying there's this there's this
under discussed thing which is
existential risk. So we're going to put
some money into
>> No, but they've got a lot of funding
that drew in a lot of brilliant people
who might otherwise have been doing
other things which were more immediate.
And I think here when you say, you know,
you're really glad that the political
conversation has turned to this pressing
issue. I think it is just simply one
pressing issue. The other pressing issue
is the much more likely thing that's
going to happen, which is that there's
going to be massive social and
socioeconomic changes that come just
through the loss of jobs. M um and I'm
not really or or just in the changes in
in the ways that that that we live and
I'm not really seeing anything about
that and in fact the only things that I
am seeing are quite scary that I think
could be applied when those changes
come. So I'm I'm personally of the view
that I actually don't think that people
are going to tolerate what AI is
promising unless it comes with with with
with quite quick rewards and I'm not
seeing any discussion of that at all.
And I think when you know when I look at
things and you're going to make me think
I'm all like conspiracy headed but when
I when I look at things like the animous
that's building up around data centers
which is the physical manifestation for
many people of what AI is you know
really objecting to them to having in
their neighborhoods destroying their
environments you know using up masses of
water um you know massive ones being
built next to you know towns and
villages and beautiful areas which are
which are dwarfed like in Georgia for
example the animous that is building up
around those is only going to spill out
onto what is classed as you know
critical infrastructure both here and in
the and in the US um because you can't
attack AI but you can attack those
centers and I think what I see happening
is actually this the walls being built
against that so when I look at like the
prescription of Palestine action here
using terror legislation against direct
action groups and then the banning of it
as um an international terrorist organiz
organization by the states what I think
I see are actually the frameworks being
built for suppressing the anger that is
likely to come
by calling national security issue.
Exactly.
>> So you say that AI is a national
security issue because we need it to
defeat China and that's going to stop
you getting to the data center.
>> Yeah. When people are disgruntled and
angry and unhappy because their lives
have changed so much uh they will then
be criminalized classified as terrorists
if for example direct action against
data centers is is a way in which they
express and try to shape shape things.
That's what I I think I'm most scared
of.
>> Does that make sense? So in the
sociology of the people talking about
this because there is there are people
who are very like Silicon Valley tech
future is pilled
>> and some of them and they've all been
talking about this for for over a decade
by the way. Um the possibility that AI
is going to kill us all.
>> Yeah. Yeah.
>> Right. Amday um you know Jacob Cox I
mean he's very young but on the blogs
that they're on this has been the number
one issue for like 10 years from those
institutes you're talking about that
they were funded. Right. So I don't
think they've just cynically come up
with this as a problem. And and then
there's also within this crew the people
who are also tech optimists but the
accelerationists
um this are kind of David Saxs um Andre
these guys and they're they're probably
more than anyone keen on these data
centers getting built and they're saying
no the risk is not real we don't need
the regulation. So it I I I see the
logic of your argument but I don't think
it maps sociologically onto who's making
what claim. But I don't think I don't
really see why that that matters because
I don't think like industrialists when
they were building, you know, mills and
whatever were making claims about how,
you know, they they were thinking about
what that's going to do to the larger
economy, not what it's going to do to
people um or what it's going to do to
the environment. Those were never
considered at all by those people. You
know, if you look at people like
effective altruists who are all over the
place amongst these these people, you
know, they spend a lot of time thinking
about absolute fantasies and being
really clever about how to think about
absolute fantasies and sort of playing
out like the consequences of, you know,
like a future in which we are all all
disembodied and living, you know, living
on living robotically on other planets
or consciousness has gone gone on beyond
the human human posthum.
>> Are we confident it's a fantasy? But it
doesn't really matter whether it's I
mean what they're doing is they're
engaging in one part the part that they
maybe they maybe most enjoy they find
most sexy whatever of all of the kinds
of things that might spill out of this
technology and they're not engaging in
other parts that actually affect like
normal people right now
>> I suppose I'm
>> and that's what I mean by it's like
these institutes right they all sit
together they all like have the same
kind of obsession about the same things
because it's like really clever to have
those obsessions and to think really
hard about them but there are actually
practical issues uh that are probably
much closer at hand than extinction
which are not being thought about.
>> So what I mean is so oh so you're saying
>> I think there's a sociology of like
smart people
>> but is the con is the connection between
sort of there being classing attacking
data centers as terrorism. Is that
related to the people talking about
existential risk or is that two separate
things?
>> I think it's just two separate things. I
think it's just something that I think
that there's kind of
>> you're saying that's the that's what
you're most worried about not that
that's why Daryay is saying this.
>> No no exactly. No, I'm just saying that
that that that you know he's saying
certain things have to be addressed
whereas I think actually there are other
issues which are more politically
pressing that that are addressed like
ownership rather than oversight for
example.
>> Yeah, that makes sorts of sense.