September 3rd Trade What You See with Larry Pesavento on TFNN - 2026
Watch on YouTubeVideo summary
Larry Pesavento opens his analysis of September 3rd by highlighting its historical significance as the anniversary of the 1929 stock market high, noting that while the NASDAQ recently made new lows, it is currently trading above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, which suggests potential for further gains despite his belief that recent rallies are primarily short-covering moves. He points out that the Russell 2000 demonstrated strength by hitting an exact 38.2% retracement at a resistance level around 2980 before rallying again, whereas Treasury notes and bonds remain bearish as their recent rallies failed to break key Fibonacci levels like 107 for notes. In the energy sector, crude oil displays an ABCD pattern with minimal retracement signaling continued weakness unless it breaks higher, while mRNA stock has broken down from its high near the 61.8% retracement level, indicating a shift in momentum for that specific asset.
The technical outlook extends to commodities and currencies where soybean oil shows a strong breakdown following a "1-3-5" pattern, offering potential short entries around 70.30 with stops above 71.30, and wheat appears close to forming a bottom based on ABCD patterns near support levels between 7.55 and 7.75. Currency markets reveal distinct divergences as the Canadian dollar continues its clear downtrend against the US dollar, while the Australian dollar seems poised for an upside breakout after overcoming resistance around 0.7860. The US Dollar Index is struggling after failing to hold above its recent high and making a 38.2% retracement from that peak, suggesting further downside potential toward levels in the low 90s, whereas gold recently rallied to the 50% Fibonacci level but now shows signs of pulling back.
Despite a red session the previous day, most markets turned green on the current day with semiconductors and the Korean market recovering after dips, while the Japanese market remained higher and the German DAX rallied approximately 38%. The Euro also experienced a significant move, rallying back to the 1.082 level, which matches a previous high seen in the pound, leading TFN to maintain a long position on the pound and anticipate an up week for Friday following today's big move. Throughout the segment, Pesavento emphasizes his reliance on technical patterns like ABCD sequences and Fibonacci retracements rather than news headlines to guide his trading decisions, identifying missed short opportunities in Apple due to gap ups while noting that Intel and Nvidia show no significant immediate patterns.
The video concludes with a promotion of TFNN's educational resources, including free access to seven of Steve's webinars, a 30-day money-back guarantee on newsletters, and the "Tiger Zen" Discord community hosted by professional traders for just $1 per year with no additional costs. Viewers are directed to tfn.com to access live programming, mobile streaming via "Watch Tiger TV," and join the broader trader community, while the segment wraps up with a guest appearance by Stan Harley at the market open. This comprehensive approach combines rigorous technical analysis of specific assets with accessible educational tools designed to help traders navigate complex market conditions without relying solely on news-driven narratives.
Read the full video transcript
journey because when you know better,
you invest better. Join us and
experience the difference today. TFN,
educating investors.
The following is a presentation of TFN.
Trade what you see
with Larry Pesventto.
Call now toll-free at 1877-927-6648
or internationally at 727-8737618.
Now, Larry Pimento.
>> All right, folks. We're looking at the
NASDAQ here over the last six u three
and a half weeks. If you'll notice here
for we made new lows here on the 23rd,
that was yesterday. We just tag, by the
way, folks, and just tag that low out.
Today's the anniversary date of the high
in the stock market in 1929, September
3rd. Okay? When you make a new low, you
have to change the 382 number because
it's a little lower. So, you first thing
you want to do is to go up and mark your
high right back here and draw it in. And
we're right above the 382. Well, we're
already above it by quite a bit. And how
close are we to this one right here?
Friday 618 maybe uh even a little above
that one. So it probably looks like it's
going to be still going higher. This is
a big move today folks in this it's
moving uh well let me see from yesterday
we're up what 400 and some points.
That's a lot. So uh this is to me this
is just nothing more than a short
covering rally. But again you know I I
certainly could be wrong. Now the next
one we want to look at is the Russell.
So hold on one second. and we'll get the
Russell up here so we can take a quick
look at that. Russell is right here.
Let's do the 4our on the Russell.
Okay. Now, well, I'll be darn. You won't
believe this. Hard to believe, folks.
There's your high right here. Today's
high in the Russell was exactly 382.
Now, there was your 382 before. There's
your 382 today. Now, you can see we
backed off just a little bit of here and
rallied up and then backed off. So, it's
a lot of resistance up here at this uh
2980. Let's see if that holds because
that's exactly what that is. It's a 382
retracement of that high. All right.
Now, we had that and then we backed off.
You'll see it's backing. It's coming
right back. So, that's
See, you can see it had the back off and
then it's snapped right back again,
which could be a sign of considerable
strength. Time out.
Sorry.
Okay, now we got to cover the stop and
pee. Just give me a second here and I'll
get Oh dear, I got too. Let me go
through these one by one, folks, so I
don't get too confused. Okay, I get
confused easily. Here's our cattle. You
remember yesterday we had that beautiful
382 pattern. Closed right on its butt.
And what does it do today? There's your
A, B, C, D right on the bottom here
yesterday. And you can see today it
opens higher and has takes no prisoners.
Goes straight up five points, folks.
This is a four down and five up. That's
a big move. And you can see what we've
done now is we made a 61% retracement of
that move right back here. But we also
have to keep in mind that we've got a
big top way back here. That's going to
be, you know, really interesting to see
what's happened on that top from the
downside. Do you remember as we were
watching it go down following these
ABCDs? We were watching some of these
markets bringer. Oh dear. Time out,
folks. I'm sorry.
Okay. Trying to, you know, line up the
ABCDS as we see them unfolding. And
that's what we're doing each time that
we're doing this is watching these
markets unfold. There was your bottom
here. There was your bottom here. I do
ABCDs, folks. That's the one thing I'm
good at and it does. Okay. Now, uh I
can't be with you 24 hours a day, as you
know. I They call it 24/7, but it's
impossible. But we've been very bearish
this market right up here, which is the
dollar yen. We talked about this
yesterday's show. There's where we were
on yesterday's show, right at the 382,
right in the middle of the day. There
was our show right there. There was your
first 382 was right there. That was it.
Boom. Boom. Boom. 382. Bang. Rallied
back to 382. Went a few pips above it.
And then from 59 to 55. Folks, that's
400 hand. That's $4,000. You're risking
$300. That's like a 9 or 10 bagger. And
when you stop and think that you're
bearish because of the fact that this
thing is, you know, came up and we
thought it was have a possibility to get
here or even here, but it didn't. It
reversed right here and then down it
went. That was on Sunday. And look at it
now, folks. And you know what? This is
supposed to be bearish to the stock
market. Did anybody tell anybody over
there in New York about this?
This was one of the factors that John
Jameson said this could be the thing
that really tanks the market. Well, on
days like this, there's a phrase for it.
It's called the upside down tank.
Anyway, this is what it's doing right
now. So, this is no longer good. Okay,
now we know we're heading down. And so,
where is it going to go from here? I
know people are not believing it because
the fundamentals don't support it. But
look, now you're looking at 151. That's
down another, you know, quite a bit. We
caught all of that, folks. And
unfortunately, we uh we got out of it
right back here. So, uh we made uh
$4,000 in in a $7,000 move and then
missed the last $3,000 because it didn't
line up absolutely perfectly. And we
were watching that on Sunday night. But
oh, let's get the uh 4 hour up because
that's the only one that shows it really
clearly. See, there's where we were. We
were trying to sell it up into this area
right here, but we missed it. See, it
missed it by well, only missed it by
about 30 pips, but it just just didn't
quite get to it. It had this
possibility. Boy, that would have been a
nice one if it got there, though.
Wouldn't it shut the front door and
raise, but this is supposed to be
bearish to the stock market, but not so
much. Okay, now let's switch over here.
We've been talking a lot about the
Treasury notes and Treasury bonds, and
people are asking me, "Oh dear, we
missed it. We missed it. We missed it."
I don't think so, folks. Okay, this is
the uh 13minute chart going back to the
high that we made way back here. Okay,
we know that was a high because a big
reversal. Look, it makes a 382
retracement. That's all it did, folks.
Now, we're we think this is going to go
down a little bit lower down to this
area, a little bit lower. We'll show you
right here. See, we're looking for it to
get to break this uh magical 107 level.
Okay? And that's where we're going to be
looking to buy it. Now, the low the low
here was uh 10708.
So, you can see the rally here is
basically, you know, really nothing. I
think you can see here just measuring
it. You'll see that all it's done is go
almost it's actually a 382 off of this
one here. I should have done it the
right way. Pard pardon me folks. This
high right here. There was your 382 here
this morning. As you can see, it misses
it by about two pips and hasn't really
gone any. This is just a an update in a
market that's still very very bearish.
Now, let's take a look at the Treasury
bonds. Also, I'm going to have to
correct the uh the sheet here for a
minute so I can get everything up here
and find it. Here it is. The bonds. Now,
the bonds you see are bouncing against
the 382 also. There's your 382 of the
other day. See,
I'm very sorry, folks. Can't clear this
stuff up. Okay, I have to draw it in
from the high right back here to the low
right down here. You can see it went to
the 382 and has stayed there all day.
You can see it went a few pips above it
and it's been there most of the day. So,
this is nothing bullish about this,
folks. This is just a little 2-day rally
stopping at the 382. That's that's all
it is. There's nothing and nothing
magical about it as of yet.
Sharpening your skills as an investor is
like getting better at playing a musical
instrument. You have to practice, sure,
but you also need excellent instruction
from experts. At TFN, you'll get advice
and guidance from the authority in
technical market analysis. And it's not
just dry, tedious text, either. TFN airs
live financial content streamed live on
TFN.com and TFN's YouTube channel with
Tiger TV live every day from 8:30 a.m.
to 400 p.m. Eastern for free. Each host
is an experienced trader and gives their
take on the market while taking calls
and questions live from around the
world. From the moment the market opens
until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV
has eight different shows with expert
hosts to help you make the right moves
with your money. Watch online at
tfnn.com
or on TFN's YouTube channel and become
the investor you were born to be. TFN,
educating investors.
Many trading newsletters attempt to
focus on a narrow set of equities or
commodities. While this works for some,
it often times misses many opportunities
that possess huge gain potential. But
how is an independent trader supposed to
scan the entire market looking for these
hidden opportunities? One simple answer,
the opening call newsletter. Basil
Chapman, developer of the Chapman wave
trading methodology, has been trading
the markets for longer than most trading
influencers have been alive. And over
that time, he has honed his methodology
in order to accurately call movements in
a wide range of equities from
semiconductors to uranium to key indices
and so much more. Basil is old school,
taking the time to educate the trader
while also giving his insights into key
indices, selective stocks, and more.
Opening call subscribers also receive
access to dozens of educational live
streams that can be accessed at any time
for your edification. All firsttime
subscribers receive a 30-day money back
guarantee. So, ignore the pop trading
influencers and start learning time-
tested technical analysis.
The reality is that navigating financial
markets can be risky.
Markets can be chaotic and difficult to
understand. Having the latest market
advice can help you turn this chaos into
a key for creating winning trades. At
TFN, we understand that it can be hard
to find reliable market news. That's why
each of our market experts offers their
very own market newsletter. A must-have
tool for every trader out there striving
to find an edge in today's markets. TFN
newsletters cover every aspect of the
markets so you can analyze the market
before you trade.
Try any of our great newsletters
risk-free with our 30-day money back
guarantee.
Just visit the newsletters tab on the
front page of tfn.com.
TFN, educating investors.
All right, folks. Now, this is the crude
oil market. Now you can see it's
completed a perfect AB equals CD here on
the daily. We pointed this out in the
video uh yesterday and then also again
last night uh excuse me on the radio
show yesterday and again last night I
sent out this pattern right here. If we
take a look at this on the 4hour chart,
you can see there it is. There is your
high right here. Now after the high has
been made, all it's done is back off
just about one point, folks. This is not
much of a retracement at all. as you can
see here. But there's your A B C D.
There's your number right here. We're
with a dollar away. This high was at uh
317. We're trading at 212 right now. And
so it has backed off virtually nothing.
It's still not acting bearish for sure.
But that is the ABCD pattern that we
know and love. So that's pretty much
what you're watching. So we're almost
matching these back here. I know uh
people ask me how can I do this without
um following the news.
Folks, believe it or not, I haven't been
following the news in over 40 years.
Even when I was at Drexel Burnham, I we
did get very little news. Uh but I, you
know, that never meant anything. The
only thing I I used to get news on was
when we were on the floor of the Merc it
was M1 and M2 because if you're trading
T bills uh and there was virtually no
S&P trading when I started there in '
82. It didn't start until April the 17th
of 82 and it was traded between 103 and
120 if you can believe it and here we
are at 780.
So uh there was a big difference. Okay.
So the the T bill was a big thing and
you had to follow that number because
the Fed had bu built in that if it was
uh if the T bills were up a lot then the
price of M1 M1 M1 or M2 was up a lot
then the interest rates would go higher.
If it was lower then it would go up and
it was a joke how they did it but it
went on for many many years. They didn't
bring it out until 15 minutes after the
market closed in New York, but the
T-Bill market opened for 15 minutes
after. So the report would come out 15
minutes after the New York open close.
And yet you could still trade it on the
Merc. I mean, if you're a floor trader,
you couldn't trade anywhere else cuz
they had no overnight trading. There was
no blowbacks then. So it was a it went
on for about three or four months and
then people realized it was a you know
easy way to e take money. So they took
it away and then they just stopped
bringing the M1 out until 1:30 until
after everything closed. Now M1 M2
doesn't mean anything. It's just the
flavor of the day folks. All right let's
get over here. Take a look here at the
Russell 2000 because uh I think we've
already done it. Didn't we do that? Yes,
we did. Yes, we did. The Russell 2000 as
I recall. Uh let's get it together on
the 4our. I know we did because it hit
the exact 382 and that's what it's done
since that time. You'll see that uh had
a break, came all the way back down. We
dropped uh dropped 30 handles and then
rallied back that much. I mean, that's
just shows you the volatility that we
have in the market today. Now, if that's
the case, look at this, folks. I I can
see it right now that it is the case.
This is why this got so much support.
Mathematicians over there on the floor
said, "Oh, that must be the 3A2." And by
golly, there it is. So, once we get
below that 382, which is down about 15
points, then that'll tell you that this
trend is most probably turning. And
that's about it. You can see on on the
market today,
you can see this is Thursday, Larry.
There's yesterday's market. There was
your first 382. There was your second
3A2 and then of course we had the big
move today on some kind of a news
announcement and that's what we're
doing. But on the the overall scheme of
things this is still you know nothing
more than a 382 retracement of the whole
move down. That's ex exactly what it is
right there. All right. So we got that
one out of the way here. We've covered
the NASDAQ and cattle and notes and
bonds. We're going to do that right now.
We've we've already done that. Let's try
on to the next one. And I think we did
the Japanese yen. Ah, you know, I think
I missed something on the J. No, I did.
I did cover it. I'm going to cover it
again because it's that important. There
was your Sunday night thing, folks. If
you're following this on the hourly
basis, this is where your key was here
because
here we are coming in on the on the
first that was the day after. Okay,
there was the pull back right here.
There was your 382. There's your 382.
And look at this, folks. I mean, this is
You're risking this to make that. Hello,
operator. That's what they call a
asymmetric bet. So, anyway, that's what
we're paying attention to. We'll get
these out of the way here. And I've got
a couple of thing. Oh, we got to cover a
couple stocks that we were in uh
interested in shorting. One of them, I
believe, was Apple. Let's just double
check. Give me a little help on this
because I couldn't remember cuz I don't
trade these things actually. All right,
we'll put the put the 4our up. See?
Yeah, Apple would have See that we you
would have lost on this one cuz it
gapped up. Let's Well, hold it. Let's
double check this. Put this up on the
hourly basis, I think. Yeah, see there
was our number right here and it backed
off a little bit and you can see we went
higher. So that would have you would
have got stopped out at that one cuz you
only backed off a little bit and you
would have been stopped out. The other
one we were watching of course was uh
Intel.
I believe it was Intel. I can't remember
all these stocks. So hope you if you
remember to to remind me. I will be
happy to get it again. So we'll take a
look at it right here.
Intel starts with an I, doesn't it? Oh,
let's check and see Nvidia because
that's been algo here from what I
understand. Did it make new highs? Not
yet. Oh, wait a minute. I think we did
yesterday. No, no, no, wait. New highs
is way back here at 240. All we're doing
here now, we're 227. We have not even
made highs as of yesterday yet. But
that's just a few heartbeats away, it
looks like. So, neither one of those uh
have much of a ramification here. Now,
next one we want to watch here is Intel.
Uh, Intel and Micron. Was that the two
we were looking at? I I didn't write it
down. And, you know, I should cuz I do
so little stocks. Intel. That starts
with an I. So, eyes are back here and I
should be right there. It's Intel right
there. Put the daily up and see. Should
be rallying today with all the news.
Yeah, we're up a little bit today. We
went down and held its bottom uh right
in here. So, that's what we're watching
with the Intel. Nothing big uh going on
there. Oh, one other stock that we they
asked us about today was that M uh what
was it? M uh
M MN M M I think this is it. Let me
think of this. Is it mRNA?
I think this is it. Let me has the uh
broadening top. Yeah, there it is. This
one's still working. See, there you go.
There was your high yesterday, you know,
right at the 61% retracement as you can
see right there. And now it's starting
to come down a little bit. Sale was at
the 618, which was right there. That
would have been uh 153. It's now down
$9, folks, in one day. That's a
considerable amount here. If you look at
this on a short-term basis here, you can
see it's a bigger move down. You can see
here. Boom. That's That's a nice move
down from that high that we had just
right back there. Okay, that's what
we're paying attention to here. Get this
one out of the way. All right, now let's
take a look at the soybean market,
folks. This was the trade of the
century, and I missed it, but we got
some more centuries, more days in the
century, so we want to pay attention.
We'll be right back to talk about
soybean oil.
If you spend any time online researching
trading techniques on how to begin your
trading journey, you've no doubt come
across many folks who push forex trading
as a way to make big money quickly.
Unfortunately, there are equally as many
stories of these so-called Forex
professionals just looking to make a
quick buck off aspiring traders without
actually teaching the ins and outs of
the Forex market. This is what sets
Teddy Kstacks, the Tiger Forex report
off the river. Every Monday, former
Chicago Merkantile Exchange member and
author Teddy Kekstat releases his Tiger
Forex report newsletter where he dives
into the complex world of Forex and
takes time to actually teach you his
methods that have made him so successful
in the fast-paced and rewarding world of
Forex trading. Furthermore, all
subscribers receive access to archive
streams of Teddy's where he provides
university level education to help you
in Forex trading. All first-time
subscribers receive a 30-day money back
guarantee. So, what are you waiting for?
Forex awaits.
In the world of trading, only a few
names stand out like Larry Pesventto, a
pros pro with over 50 years of
experience. Larry has seen it all. A
former Chicago mercantile exchange
member, Larry has authored 10 books and
trained over 1,000 traders with his
unmatched expertise. Introducing
Fibonacci 247, Larry Pesventto's daily
trading service that turns the
complexity of markets into
opportunities. Published every Sunday,
receive a comprehensive report packed
with detailed commentary, charts, and
videos that illuminate the patterns
shaping the markets. With updates
throughout the week, exclusively for
subscribers, whether through charts or
videos, Larry's Analysis is your road
map to navigating the markets. You can
sign up now at tfnn.com
for just $97. And with all TFN
newsletters backed by a 30-day money
back guarantee, you have nothing to
risk. For all the details, visit
tfnn.com. You'll find Fibonacci 24/7
right under the newsletters tab.
>> Are you ready to take charge of your
financial future? TFN is your gateway to
the world of trading and investing.
Whether you're starting out or scaling
up, TFN empowers traders and investors
of all skill levels with top-notch
investing systems, strategies, and
techniques. It's time to protect and
grow your money with insight you can
trust. Join us live Monday through
Friday during market hours for exclusive
content that moves with the markets. At
TFN, we bring the trading floor to you.
Our seasoned hosts are here to answer
your calls and questions live on the
air. Check out the Tiger's Den for just
$1 and follow us on YouTube and become
part of our vibrant community. And
remember, at TFN, we're so confident in
the value we provide that we offer a
30-day money back guarantee on all new
premium newsletter subscriptions and
services. You have absolutely nothing to
risk. So why wait? Tune in live to Tiger
TV and transform your trading journey.
Because when you know better, you invest
better. Join us and experience the
difference today. TFN, educating
investors.
This portion of Trade What You See is
brought to you by Direction's daily
leveraged and inverse ETFs. Whether
you're a bull or a bear, you choose the
direction. Visit direction.com.
Investing in the funds involves
significant risk and should only be
utilized by investors who understand the
impact of leverage and actively monitor
their portfolio. They are not designed
to track the underlying index or
security for more than a day. Before
investing, carefully consider a fund's
investment objective, risks, charges,
and expenses contained in the perspectus
available at direction.com. Read
carefully. ALPS distributors inc.
Okay, folks. This is the soybean oil,
folks. Um, this is an absolute dynamite
uh pattern, folks. I want to go through
it because it's just started. We missed
this one right here. We took out the
previous high of the day by a point. It
was trading exactly at the 61% a little
above it right here. It was trading
right here. Took it out the previous
high. Okay. And if you took the previous
high off for this one right here, you'll
see from there to there.
It went see how it went the same amount
above the 618 that it did here. See
that? And that's that makes this a 135
pattern. There's one, three, and five.
And now you've had the big break. Now,
from yesterday, it's broken uh almost
$2,200 in his first few days here. Okay.
$1,800 a point. Let's try that again.
Larry, it's $600 a point. So 6 * 2 is
around $1,800. So we broken down hard.
Now what we're going to do now is try to
find an entry. So what we're going to do
is go to a 13minut. And you can see
here's the breakdown. There's the break.
You can see the little tiny 382 here
yesterday. And then boom, boom, boom,
coming down. Now, what you'd like to
have happen, we got these coming down
here. This might be enough to get a
little bit of a bounce in here. And what
were we watching for, as you well know,
is watch for a 382 from the high, which
is right there. So tomorrow or the next
day if it gets up about 3/4 of a point
right there that's where you want to be
selling it at 7039
something like that just a little below
the 140 level so that you'll be sure to
get a fill. Put it in like 7030 or
something like that versus the high at
7034. So that's a 382 is what you'd like
to see. It might not work, but your stop
has got to be above here. And if it
does, it has a great deal of uh time in
it because stop and think. Now, we've
had a straight up move in crude oil here
these last couple days. And soybean oil
has a green power thing because they use
the corn husks and or the bean husks and
stuff and convert that into uh energy
somehow, whatever they do. Anyway, with
that with energy prices going up,
soybean oil should have been going up,
but the value of it versus other things.
In other words, it's worth more
important in paint and cooking oil than
it is for energy. And then that's why
the things change. Matter if it gets
back to $2 a barrel or something like
that. Whoa, whoa, whoa. $2 a barrel.
What am I talking about? Umund
$100 a barrel. It might come back to
somewhat. But the main thing is is to
look for this 382. comes in around 7030.
We're trading at 6951. That's 80
handles. This is a slight rally and you
could be there and your stop would have
to be up into this area. But it's got
the real chance because it has that
beautiful pattern that is there. Now, if
we take a look, let's get rid of this
and take a look at the soybean market
itself,
which I do have here somewhere. It's
right over here. Hold on. Let's get the
daily up. Okay, there's the there's the
action right there. There's your three
drive to a top pattern. Now, this
morning, uh, last night and stuff,
you'll see here. See how the market
broke quite a bit. It had a big break.
Put that in there. Show you. There was
the big break that it had. Look, it's
And speaking to that, look at this. It's
still the bull market, I guess, because
look, there's your A B C D right there.
And of course, it goes a tiny bit lower.
mainly because of the one there you can
see the ABCD but it goes a little bit
lower which basically means the CD leg
was just extended by 1.27 27 and you
prove that by changing the value from 1
to 127. All right. And that'll take you
see who let's see if it's correct. Well,
it misses it by about uh 2 cents. So,
it's pretty close right in here. But uh
that's what we're watching here. Now, we
had this big rally here. If you'd have
sold the 382 here this morning, folks,
right after the opening, they'd have
handed you your lunch. You'd have you
you would sold it here at 02 and you
would have been out at 09. you lost
quick $350
cuz once it gets above here you don't
know where it's going to go. We didn't
do that because we were waiting for the
soybean oil to do that and soybean oil
couldn't do it because it's very weak.
Now eventually the meal and oil will
change around a little bit and uh the
oil might be able to get there. So
remember that number in the oil folks at
7030 and your stop would have to be
7130. You have to risk $600 American
dollars if you're going to do that. Now,
let's take a look at the wheat because
you remember we had that big top up here
in wheat that we talked about for quite
some time here day after day while it
was doing it. And here's where we are
right now. Put that hourly up and see if
we're still Oh, we had a big break.
Okay, here it is right now.
There was our top up here. You can see
the three drive to a top pattern hits it
right on the money and then has a pretty
big break. Uh I think we're making the
382 now, folks. Let's just take a look.
Okay, this is what we play for. We're in
the bottom of the ninth inning, folks.
There's uh uh we're we're tied up with
the Boston Red Sox. The Yankees are. And
our three hitters are coming up is uh
number one is uh Lou Garrick and number
two is uh Mickey Manel and number three
is uh Roger Maris. And so, by golly,
look at all those home run hitters. The
bases are loaded and everything. So, all
your ducks are lined up. All you're
waiting for is this, folks. You're just
waiting for this 382. We're real close.
Just a penny or two. 5 cents away. Write
that there. That this is ideal. You got
a strong trending market and you're
coming back to the 382. I said I'd never
do this again, but I haven't got
anything else to say that you guys don't
know about. So, 755 will be the sell.
And uh up here will be 775.
775
will be the get out point. Okay. But 7
755 will be your 382 stop above right
here. And your profit objective will be
this distance right here. Okay? Cuz
we're expecting the ABCD. This is where
you're risking 10 cents. We're going to
do this. There's your move right here.
This is going to be your profit
objective right here. You just move that
down over here.
Okay. So, you're risking 10 cents.
Excuse me, 20 cents. And that's going to
make you uh wow. Okay. 10 uh 20 cents.
And this down here is uh wo 50 60 70 60
70 cents. So, you're risking 20 to make
70. It's a better It's like 3 and 12 to
one that the odds are you're going to
get to this level and make that kind of
money. So, that's what we're watching
here. We'll follow that each day
hopefully if I can remember. But that's
what we're paying attention to as we uh
look through this. Now, we need to take
a look at a couple other currencies.
Some some of our friends up in Canada.
Oh, I met the 51st state of the United
States. Uh
can you believe that? I can believe
anything. Okay, here's Canadian now.
It's been hit because they're, you know,
under a big pressure here. Let's get the
daily up so we can see it better.
See, we've been in a pretty good now. We
had a rally here. I don't know what that
was. It maybe Oh, they had an election.
That's what it was. All right. Now,
let's see if that high was related to
that 382. Okay. Well, just clean Just a
second. Clean all these out and then
we're going to That's a Canadian dollar
right there. All right. Bear with me
here. Well, that just looks exactly like
the uh
Many trading newsletters attempt to
focus on a narrow set of equities or
commodities. While this works for some,
it often times misses many opportunities
that possess huge gain potential. But
how is an independent trader supposed to
scan the entire market looking for these
hidden opportunities? One simple answer,
the opening call newsletter. Basil
Chapman, developer of the Chapman wave
trading methodology, has been trading
the markets for longer than most trading
influencers have been alive. And over
that time, he has honed his methodology
in order to accurately call movements in
a wide range of equities from
semiconductors to uranium to key indices
and so much more. Basil is old school,
taking the time to educate the trader
while also giving his insights into key
indices, selective stocks, and more.
Opening call subscribers also receive
access to dozens of educational live
streams that can be accessed at any time
for your edification. All first-time
subscribers receive a 30-day money back
guarantee. So, ignore the pop trading
influencers and start learning time-
tested technical analysis.
In the world of trading, only a few
names stand out like Larry Pesventto, a
pros pro with over 50 years of
experience, Larry has seen it all. A
former Chicago Merkantile Exchange
member, Larry has authored 10 books and
trained over 1,000 traders with his
unmatched expertise. Introducing
Fibonacci 247. Larry Pesventto's daily
trading service that turns the
complexity of markets into
opportunities. Published every Sunday.
Receive a comprehensive report packed
with detailed commentary, charts, and
videos that illuminate the patterns
shaping the markets with updates
throughout the week exclusively for
subscribers. Whether through charts or
videos, Larry's analysis is your road
map to navigating the markets. You can
sign up now at tfnn.com for just $97.
And with all TFN newsletters backed by a
30-day money back guarantee, you have
nothing to risk. For all the details,
visit tfnn.com. You'll find Fibonacci
247 right under the newsletters tab.
For traders who crave risk, directions
daily leveraged and inverse ETFs provide
opportunities to magnify short-term
perspectives with up to three times a
daily leverage. Utilize bull and bare
funds for both sides of the trade and
trade through rapidly changing markets.
These are highly leveraged ETFs with
daily resetting designed for short-term
trading, not long-term investing.
Whether you're a bull or a bear, you
choose the direction for up-to-date
pricing and performance. Go to
direction.com.
Investing in the funds involves
significant risk and should only be
utilized by investors who understand the
impact of leverage and actively monitor
their portfolio. They are not designed
to track the underlying index or
security for more than a day. Before
investing, carefully consider a fund's
investment objective, risks, charges,
and expenses contained in the
perspectus, available at direction.com.
Read carefully. ALPS Distributors Inc.
This program is brought to you by Vista
Gold. Traded on the NYSE American and
TSX under the symbol VGZ.
All right, folks. This is the Canadian
dollar, our 51st state. I bring that
stuff up. It's ridiculous. That'll never
happen. Well, as Tanto said, Nebahachi
never happened. Kimosabi, but who know I
don't know if you know this or not,
folks. You know what Kimos? There you
can see your 382 right here. There's
your three drive to a top pattern.
Kimosabi means trusted friend. Okay.
Okay. Nebahachi in Apache means never
happened. Okay. That's something you
never have to worry about in trading cuz
something always happens. There's your
three drive to a top pattern. Too bad we
didn't talk about this yesterday when we
were doing the pound. If I'd have been
perceptive, well, we ran out of time,
but we could have checked to see the
different ones that were making some
real critical points. We saw the the one
we had in the uh the Japanese end.
Here's the one in the Canadian dollar.
You know, big big move to the downside.
And you can see this one just straight
down. There's no RA ratio or nothing.
It's just boom, straight down. That's a
tells you that there's something really
exciting going on about the US dollar is
losing the battle against Canada is what
that means cuz you're this means you're
short the dollar, long the Canadian. All
right. Now, we'll get this out of just
get this completely out of the way. And
let's look at the Australian dollar.
That's always in the news. Well, not
always, but a lot. They do a lot of
exporting and importing. Okay. Here is
the Australian dollar. This one should
be going up. And there it is. There it
is right there.
All right.
Okay. Now, let's see a pullback here.
Well, we had a beautiful ABCD pattern
right here. Let's just see if that's a
382. Boy, that would be another one
coming in right there. Hello operator.
Would that be the case? No, it didn't
even come. Well, it came within about uh
20 pips or so. But you can see on the
way back down here, we did have a nice
There's your ABCD right there. Okay. So,
that means you've got that set up. That
means this ABCD comes down like this.
goes down to there and then you have
another ABCD coming in right there. And
that tells you that you have a beautiful
three drive to a bottom forming at that
point. There's drive should do it this
way. Drive one,
drive two, drive three right there. So
there's where your number would be. And
then on the way up, let's see if that
was a 382 today. It looks like it was.
No, we miss it by about uh two or three
pips and then away it goes. And it looks
like it's still going higher. And you
can see that it does look like it's
breaking out to the upside. Looking at
the daily, you see it's got a long way
to run if it goes. So that's what we're
paying it to right now. There's where we
were. This what we're doing right now.
That means we are going to be going I'm
assuming that we're going to be going
higher cuz we're up against some real
stiff resistance right here as you can
see. Well, we just broke through it.
Just broke through the 786 after being
down 1 2 3 4 days and then it's just
taken off. It's just looks like the
dollar is going to be losing to the
Australian dollar. That's it. Now, let's
take a look at the US dollar index. So,
we can see what that is doing. I'm
fading like a a winner tulip, folks. So,
bear with me here. I might have to cut
this short. Hold on one second. Get the
DX up here.
DXY. Okay, there's DX and we'll bring
that up on the daily and see where we
are. Oh, there she's coming down from a
382 looks like.
Now, the dollar is in big trouble now,
folks, cuz there's that number that was
so important and we rallied back.
Now, you see this is not a 135, folks.
This is not a 135. There's no symmetry
here at all. There has to be some
symmetry here. That's, you know, makes
it look like it's going to work.
cuz you see this this would be much
lower and you can see that's probably
making just a 382 from the high that it
made right back here. There it is. Okay,
that was yesterday. So today would have
been the place to be selling it. And you
can see that would have been a really
nice move here cuz it wouldn't had any
trouble at all to the downside. And
there's your and that not only that, but
look what the look what your profit
objective would be on this puppy. That
would be down here down in the 80s I
think. Let's see how close. No, we come
down to about 96. That's a big big move.
Looking at this on the intraday basis.
Let's see if it just opened the right
way. No, there was uh yesterday and all
we did this morning was looks like we
made a perfect three. Should stop
showing these because they're too
important.
Uh what am I talking about? Nobody does
the work. Anyway, you can see there's
your 382 retracement right in here. And
then down we come and it's been going
down pretty much uh the whole way down
here with just a little one tiny little
ABCD pattern here this morning. See,
that's very very tiny, but that's uh
what we're looking at. And that'll tell
us that we're getting pretty close to
that bottom that they're looking for.
There's your ABC D. We're almost there.
So, tomorrow we've have pretty had a
bottom coming in here on this bigger
number. Let's look at that daily again
just to be safe. Yeah, we should have
some pretty strong support here at the
786 number in the US dollar and it might
even be there right now. No, by tomorrow
it'll be there. Well, it'll be there in
the next few minutes probably, but
that's where it is right now. But this
wide bar tells us that this is probably
what's going to happen that the dollar
index is going to be losing. So whether
that has an influence on gold or not, I
don't know. But let's take a look at
gold on the longer term, folks. Let me
get this up here. I believe it's back in
this corner somewhere. Usually is hiding
away. There it is right there. Just move
it over.
Had a heck of a rally today. Went up to
the 50% level. Okay. And now we're going
to find out if it's going to back off
from this level right here. Certainly
looks like it is, but it's still really
close to that level. If we look at this
on the hourly basis, you'll see it's
just hanging up there right there. Let's
go to the 13minut.
All this is doing is see spreading it
out. So you can see a little tiny
pattern. See, because there's your
number, it's all right, is at this
number where the game is being played.
So just because there, let's just move
this down a little bit here. Just
because there's uh
you know the US dollar index basically
53% of that is the euro. Okay, so per
the dollar index doesn't trade that
much. It's basically index. You're
taking the 22 foreign countries that
supply the information and they break it
down in by waiting of the country and
number one of course is US. Uh two is
Japan, three is uh uh G uh London and
then all the others are not
insignificant, but they're a lot
smaller. when you get into uh Thailand
and you know parts in Australia and some
of these others, it's uh it's a lot much
different. But look, remember this folks
cuz this is going to happen someday in
the stock market. After the market
moves, it makes a pullback at the 382
and that's the one you want to get. Now,
there's no 382 here at all. It's just
the whole thing. Even from this level
right here,
see? Oh, it does make a 38. Oh, shut the
front door. Raise around from this low
right here to this one right here. It
does make a 382 right here. And that
tells you it's still going to be going
higher. Uh from that level right here.
Well, I made it through. Uh I think I'll
wait till the bell rings and then uh uh
that's about it.
If you're looking for potential trading
setups in the stock market, market, then
Rocket Equities and Options Report is a
newsletter you should try. Tommy O'Brien
delivers options and equity trades when
the markets present them using a
combination of fundamentals and
technicals. Sign up for Rocket Equities
and Options Report today with a 30-day
money back guarantee, so you have
nothing to risk. For all the details and
to start your subscription today, visit
the front page of tfn.com.
tfnN, educating investors. In the world
of trading, only a few names stand out,
like Larry Pesventto, a pros pro with
over 50 years of experience. Larry has
seen it all. A former Chicago Merkantile
Exchange member, Larry has authored 10
books and trained over 1,000 traders
with his unmatched expertise.
Introducing Fibonacci 247, Larry Pesto's
daily trading service that turns the
complexity of markets into
opportunities. published every Sunday.
Receive a comprehensive report packed
with detailed commentary, charts, and
videos that illuminate the patterns
shaping the markets with updates
throughout the week exclusively for
subscribers. Whether through charts or
videos, Larry's analysis is your road
map to navigating the markets. You can
sign up now at tfnn.com
for just $97. And with all TFN
newsletters backed by a 30-day money
back guarantee, you have nothing to
risk. For all the details, visit
tfnn.com. You'll find Fibonacci 247
right under the newsletters tab.
>> Steve RH started his trading career as a
student almost 20 years ago, and the
student has now become the master. Steve
won the prestigious timer of the year
award in 2018 and barely missed that
mark again in 2019, finishing at number
two for the year. An amazing
accomplishment. Steve Rhodess is
committed to sharing his techniques and
knowledge with anyone who wants to
learn, and he shares his vast amount of
trading knowledge every day in his
Mastering Probability newsletter.
Steve's award-winning newsletter,
Mastering Probability, is delivered
every trading day with updates
throughout the afternoon. Sign up for
Steve's market newsletter, Mastering
Probability, and you'll receive access
to seven of Steve's educational webinars
absolutely free. At TFN, all our
newsletters come with a 30-day money
back guarantee, so you have absolutely
nothing to worry about. Visit tfnn.com
and try Mastering Probability 30 days
risk-free today. TFN, educating
investors.
TFN has launched the Tiger Zen, hosted
at Discord. TFN has been educating
traders for more than 20 years with live
programming hosted by a variety of
professional traders during market
hours. The Tigers Day available to all
Tigers and Tigrises for just $1 for the
year. There's no cash or added costs
when you join our community of traders.
Sign up today and become a part of this
educational community of traders. Just
visit the front page of tfn.com.
Don't forget, you can listen to TFN live
on your mobile device 24 hours per day.
Go to tfn.com, then hit watch tiger TV.
That's cfn.com and hit watch tiger TV.
All right, folks. We're going to go
through. You can notice yesterday uh the
day before yesterday on Tuesday,
everything was red. Now everything is
green with the exception of here the
Nifty50. It's opened higher and now is
lower. But just about everything else is
up on the day. In fact, everything else
is up on the day. Even the uh
semiconductor was down and it snapped
back and it's gone up uh up for the day.
If we look at the uh Korean market, it
was lower and also back up on the day.
If we look at the Japanese market,
hopefully we'll find it up here
somewhere
right here.
And you here again, you see it was lower
and then it snapped back above being
higher. And that's pretty much it. The
German DAX is also had had a rally
rallying about a 38% rally is all we're
doing in in that one here with the uh
main one. And then of course we've
already talked about the euro and all
the other things. The euro is back up
into this area right here. And you can
see here we come down and you'll notice
that this was a 382 just like it was in
the pound. We get this up here so you'll
be able to see it. There's your low and
there's your high right there exactly at
the 382.
Uh
there it is right there. Uh no, no, no.
I don't know why it does that, but
anyway, there's your 382 to rally back.
We're going to find out if the euro is
going to continue. It's a pretty big
move in the euro today, folks. So, we
need to respect that. That's for sure.
But we're still basically long the pound
now and we'll see how it uh continues to
uh work and we'll go from that level.
You can see here there's our move
strongly off of this exact see the
number of days up is equal and the
pullback here it's going to be equal.
That's going to bring it out to this
area about in here. So those are the
main ones. So tomorrow we're going to
have Stan Harley as our guest at the
break. And of course, it's going to be a
question of whether it's going to be a
Friday and an up week or a down week.
With the big move today, it should be
up. So, live every day in an attitude of
gratitude and may God bless.