September 17th Trade What You See with Larry Pesavento on TFNN - 2026
Watch on YouTubeVideo summary
In this market analysis, Larry Pesavento utilizes Fibonacci retracement levels and ABCD patterns to evaluate trends across various indices and commodities. He observes that while the Dow Jones and Russell have rallied despite a bearish environment, the NASDAQ has failed to break below recent lows, suggesting it may be engaging in short-covering rather than demonstrating fundamental strength. For individual stocks like Intel and Apple, he identifies potential sell signals at the 38.2% retracement level and emphasizes strict risk management with stop-loss orders set at 3%. In the commodities and forex sectors, a completed ABCD pattern in the Canadian Dollar/US Dollar pair leads to a recommendation to short the US dollar or buy the Canadian dollar, while technical setups in grains like corn and wheat are noted as strong despite missed opportunities in other volatile markets.
The analysis extends to specific agricultural drivers where soybean meal is surging due to its high protein content and a shortage of anchovies used in fish meal, a shift occurring because chickens no longer prefer fish-flavored feed. Although oil and beans are not displaying similar strength, Pesavento anticipates that the Dow Jones will rally for three to five days after breaking below its recent low before further direction is determined. He warns that if the Dow rallies for only two to three days before dropping below key support levels, it could signal a move to fill other gaps in the market. This segment also touches upon global markets including Bitcoin, Korean stocks, and the Japanese market, highlighting the diverse range of assets under review.
Throughout the discussion, there is a focus on educational resources available through TFNN, including Larry Pesavento's "Fibonacci 247" daily trading service and Steve Rhodes' award-winning "Mastering Probability" newsletter, both backed by a 30-day money-back guarantee. Viewers are also directed to the "Tiger Zen" Discord community hosted by professional traders for an annual fee of one dollar and encouraged to watch Tiger TV on mobile devices via tfnn.com. These promotions are interspersed with sponsorships from Direction ETFs and Vista Gold, providing additional context to the trading strategies being discussed. The overarching theme remains a blend of technical precision in identifying entry and exit points with practical advice on managing risk in a volatile trading landscape.
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Trade what you see
with Larry Pesventto.
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Now, Larry Pimento.
Okay, folks. This is the Dow Jones
Industrial Average. Over the last 6
weeks, it's been in a bare market. It's
made its uh objective here yesterday
almost exactly to the tick. We took this
out by about two points and then we had
a rally of 600 points before the Dow
closed and then it rallied another 3 or
400 points. So, we go down to the hourly
chart and we'll try to make some sense.
There's where we were. All we did now is
we rallied back to the 382 of that move
right here. Just going to do it
together. Okay. Then the market pulled
back. We thought it would pull back to
the 382 because the trend was so so
strong, but it went to the 50% level.
And you can notice now the rally back.
Now this is an hourly chart. There's the
rally back. So we're going to go down to
an 8-minute chart and just see what
we're looking at right now. So there's
the move. Okay, there's the pullback
right there. And as you can see, what
we're doing now is we're making a little
ABCD pattern right here. Now there's
your 50% pullback.
See, we wanted it to go to the 382, but
it went through there like melted
butter. And I'm going to show you why.
Okay, there it is right there. There you
can see the ABCD coming in. We're
trading just about at the 382
retracement now, I believe. Uh no,
actually we're at the pretty close to it
anyway. But let me show you why this
happened, folks. The Dow Jones has 20
stocks that are triple digits. The
number one stock in the Dow Jones
without any h this hesitation at all is
Goldman Sachs. And you can see here
Goldman Sachs got creamed here on the
opening. It went down to the exact 61%
retracement, folks to the exact ticket.
And you can see we've already rallied 33
points. That's a lot. That's enough to
move the Dow that much. So that's what
we're watching here. This completed this
right here. We had some major stuff. You
know, this this market is not bearish
anymore. It might be in a day or two,
but by golly, it certainly isn't. You
got to be looking at places to possibly
get long. That's what I would be
watching. I watch short-term patterns,
of course. That's what I'm watching here
with the Dow Jones. All right, the next
one we want to take a look at here is
the Russell. Now, there's the Russell.
We'll get it up here. It had a huge
rally again. There's the Russell. Now,
this is on an hourly. What we're going
to do now is we're going to go to the
4our. You can see what we do. We came
down. We actually went um actually this
is the 382 to count of everything. And I
didn't put that one in. So, let me do
that right now. There's your A B C D and
that didn't quite make the last we we
shattered all those. So that's been in a
bare market for a month. And so now we
had a big rally. We've rallied back uh
80 handles here in just a matter of a
few hours here. Okay. Now to me, these
are rallies in a bare market in the Dow
Jones and in the Russell. But the the
NASDAQ is a totally different story. But
before we get to the NASDAQ, let's just
see what we've done today. We're going
to move this down to a smaller time
frame and see if there was any 382s. And
as you can see, there was not. There's
not a 382 in sight. Not even close. So,
there's nothing you could do about that.
Just a straight up I believe it's short
covering, but one never knows. But let's
take a look here at the NASDAQ. And
it'll help give us a little bit of
information here. And the NASDAQ is
right here. Let's see. Remember now, all
these things crashing down, right? not
the NASDAQ. What we're going to do now
is look at this on the 4hour chart.
And there's where we are. Okay, we did
not take the news. We did not take the
lows out. You see that, folks? We did
not take the lows out. Every index did
except the NASDAQ. It did not do it. All
it did there's here's when the the big
daddy rabbit came in and talked about
what was going on and then the market
collapsed. Okay? It didn't even take out
the lows of the, you know, of the 10th
matched. It didn't do anything. And look
and see where, you know, straight up
again. Where are we? We're back into the
resistance zone. So, this is what we're
going to find out what it's going to
have and how much it can continue on
because if it's real bearish, it'll have
a 2 or three day rally and then we'll be
back in uh looking at it. So, right now,
we stand aside and that's uh what we're
paying attention to. I think we already
did the uh S&P.
Uh pretty sure we did. Yeah. Well, if
not, we'll pick it up eventually. Okay.
Now, let's move over here and talk about
that. Was a big deal. All right. Here's
Let's cover go through some of the
positions here that we've had on here.
And this is the uh we took profits.
What's going on here?
Okay, there it is right here. Here's the
British pound yesterday. completed the
pattern in the British well actually
today early morning it did took care of
that we did complete that we remember we
bought it here sold it here sold bought
it here sold it there sold it there was
very very good to us same thing with the
uh yen excuse me but the euro but the
euro uh really went way through the uh
uh if there's no reason to buy it of
course but to cover the shorts what we
were doing there's your covering of the
short was right here at the 115 level
and you can see we went down to uh
dropped another 70 points below that.
So, uh it continued to go down. It
didn't even make the 786, but now we're
bouncing a little bit, but those are
completed patterns now. So, we're not uh
we're not going to be doing those. Uh
we'll be watching them, of course, but
uh there's nothing else to do with that.
We had another one that looked like it
was going to be good, but the problem
was, and the problem was I
misinterpreted what I was trying to say,
and that was here in the Japanese yen.
And I I did it the correct way. I said
to sell it at 15,560 with a stop at 156.
And you can see here that was boom boom.
You were in the total of about 10
seconds is all you were because here's
where the dude started talking and you
would have been filled there and out
there and that's it. And here's what
it's done so far. So there's not much to
say about it. Sometimes they win,
sometimes they lose, but boy, we've had
one heck of a good winner, folks. And
that's been this one right here. If you
all remember, we've played this game
before. And then you can see where we
are. There is a game we were playing the
other day. Remember we said it could get
up here and then we said in the video
look look it didn't get there. So let's
sell the first 382 retracement. There's
number one was right there. Okay there's
number two. There's number three. And
where we are right now we just we just
made one right here. Let's just just
doing it right now. Let's move it over
here. In fact it's just above it right
now by about uh 20 points. There's the
number comes in at uh 132, excuse me,
10202
and it's trading 10231.
That's a 382 off of the high that we
made right back in here. Now, I haven't
checked the AI with this, but I'm going
to do it right now just to see if it has
any validity. Oh my goodness, we've got
some validity here. We can say this big
move here. Oh, we've got another big AB
CD here, too. Let's just double check
here. There's AB
[clears throat]
equals CD. And there it is right there
if you're like that. And all we got to
do now is [clears throat] to see because
we've certainly seen this invert. It's
inverted here and it's inverted here.
That's not unusual. Those are those are
mirror images. So, we're just going to
turn this around
and uh have a big surprise ending when
you come back. All right. There's where
we are, boys and girls.
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>> Okay, folks. I want to show you the
action in the gold from yesterday. Gold,
uh, this was the 61% retracement on the
daily. It went from 4410 down to 4270.
That's $140.
That's $14,000.
And what did it do? It went up 15,000
today. Look at the ABCDS. Now, what I do
is when I mark these like this, what I
do, I send them to family members, let
them decide, two of them anyway, whether
they want to buy it or sell it. But I
they know what I'm doing. But you can
see how the symmetry is so beautiful.
There's your BC swing here, exactly
equal to the B swing right here. This
was 50%, this was 50%, you have your two
targets up here. It's now trading around
43.99.
So, it's made a few thousand bucks.
That's basically what I'm doing. Okay,
just to give you a heads up. All right,
the thing that counts the most is this
right here. This is it. The next through
what we'd like to see if you're really
bearish, you want to see about a 5day
rally, and it'll probably be 5 days.
We'll see what it's going to do, and
we'll see how these others are all
acting the same way. And that's the main
thing that we're trying to look at here.
So, let's get back here and go over some
other things that we need to be
covering. All right, that is the crude
oil. Let's get this out of the way here.
Here's one that messed up. I messed up,
folks. I got to show you what I do,
right? and what I do wrong. This was the
trade I love the best and uh I put the
stop too soon and that I put it at break
even because I didn't think it had the
chance to get back up here and it did
and so that's why I uh I had it at the
break even spot and it went up to a
little bit higher than that and then you
can see it's went down a little bit
over. So didn't make any money on it but
we didn't lose and that's the that's the
main thing. Okay, now we got that one
out of the way and we want to continue
on here. I'm going to be jumping around
a little bit because there's a bunch of
things that we need to cover. Hold on
one second here. Let's let's take a look
at Intel. Okay, here is Intel. Okay,
that's in the news today. It's up about
10%. You can see we're coming in higher
right here. Now, this is going to be a
legitimate legitimate type sale, folks,
because you're almost at the 50% level
and you're almost at point D. that comes
in at uh 112 and we're at 11137's
been the high. So 112 is the number you
want to be watching. That is a sellgarly
A B C D A B C D right there. Okay. Your
stop would be well on this you have to
risk 3%. So 3% would be $4. So your stop
would have to be 1112 would be 115 would
be the buy stop. If you're wrong, put
that in 115. There's you say goodbye.
So, you're only risking $4. Okay, that's
the way we' be watching it. Now,
[clears throat]
let's look at another one that we always
watch. That is Mr. Appel who's down by
the well. We'll get this over here. Move
that over right into this level right
here. And you can see it. There it is
right there. The same type of thing.
This is also a bearish gardley. Now, we
went up to this level, then we backed
off. with the news today, whatever the
news is, uh, with all the other stuff.
You can see we're above it right now,
but the sale comes in here at uh, 335.
We're now trading at 336. 1% of 300
bucks is 38. So, you stop right here. If
it gets to 38, you say, and take your $3
loss and say goodbye. So, that's what
we're watching here with the uh,
with the uh, with Yeah, I'm not doing
these trades. I'm just showing to you uh
how these stock things work just as
well. You can see on the bottom here,
look at this. You have higher bottoms in
here. Look, I mean, these are these are
this is a really significant bottom. You
come down, you're almost exactly at the
61% retracement.
Look at that. Just uh a you know, tick
or two below it, you're down 1 2 3 4
days in a row. That's what you're
looking for. So, it worked pretty good
at the time. And now we're going to see
the opposite side. We move it back the
other way. Okay. All right. We got that
done already. We've already covered the
Russell. We've covered the British
pound. Hold on one second. I got a
couple others in here that I must cover.
So, the only way I can do this is to
window tile vertical is to uh
put them back together so I can all see
them. Make sure I Apple
S&P the go. I've already covered the
Goldman Sachs. I've covered the euro.
I've covered the crude oil.
I covered the natural um the uh what do
you call it? The NASDAQ and uh the YM.
I've covered Oh, no. Here's the YM.
Yeah. No, we did cover the YM. This is
the move down. We just made the ABCD up
here at 50%. Now it's jumping around.
Folks, these numbers in Wall Street,
they they like this volatility and we're
they're really getting a lot of it. So,
that's the the [snorts] real beauty of
uh what we're looking at here as we're
watching some of these uh things unfold.
Now, we've been asked to take a look at
the Canadian dollar because Canada is
going to be our 51st state, it appears.
That's a joke, boys and girls. Hold on a
second. We'll get this Canadian dollar
up. And uh
this should have a lot of volatility
because it's in the news a lot. We'll
put the daily up first.
Now, this is not a big lot of lot of
volatility. This is a this is a Oh, this
is Gartland stuff, boys and girls. We
got a trade. We done has a trade. Shut
the front door and razor it. Okay. Now,
this is the Canadian dollar. US dollar
versus the Canadian dollar. You're long
the dollar, short the Canadian. Okay.
Now, here's where you want to be
reversing. And the reason why is you can
see in this move here, there was your
382 went to 50% and then boom, down it
came. And what have we done? so far.
Now, this is several weeks now since the
16th of August. You see, we're making an
AB equals CD pattern. There's AB equals
CD. Okay. Now, it because of the
strength of this part right here, it has
to go to 1.27. So, we're going to put
that in there. Let's see if it takes us
to the promised land, which it usually
does. Too bad the Elliot boy Elliot wave
boys never looked. It went actually
higher a little bit. Actually, it's
close enough. So it went much higher
than we expected on the 127. So it's
really basically one one AV equals CD.
It went just a little bit higher here.
We went uh from 39. Oh, not even one
point. So it's not a big deal. But let's
take a look at the high from right back
here. And let's see if that takes us to
something interesting. And there it is
right there at 50%. And it's trading
below it right now. So, you sell the
Canadian dollar. Uh, sell the US dollar
here against the Canadian. This is going
to be a trade I'm going to be doing. I'm
going to sell the US dollar
against the Canadian. Okay, that's what
I'm going to do. Put it right there. And
then I'm I will put a stop of about 40
pips above it. Now, if you wanted to do
the futures, and futures are fun to do.
They're actually pretty good because
there's your Canadian dollar right here.
We're going to put that daily up. You're
going to see the upside down version of
this, of course, because this is the
opposite. Here's where you want to go.
Long the Canadian dollar. And that's
what we're doing. We're going long
Canadian against a short. And there's
where we are. Boom. Boom. Boom. Let's
get these refresh the defaults. There's
where we are. And let's see if we're
right at the money here. Oh, this is
even more bullish. Yep.
There's where you are right now. So,
you're going to buy the Canadian dollar
right here. Either short the dollar or
buy the Canadian. We'll do either one.
will report it as the dollar Canadian,
but that's what you want to be doing and
buying it right in here. Looks like you
have a just about absolute perfect ABCD.
You do have a perfect ABCD in the dollar
Canadian, but the Canadian by itself is
uh well, it's against the dollar anyway.
So, it's the same thing. We're going to
put that on as forget the futures. We'll
put this on as the forex. You can do the
futures that you want. It's they're
talking about very small amount of money
here, you know. So, that's what we're
watching. We'll watch that one for
tomorrow. I'm going to write that down.
Oh, I won't be here tomorrow. Tomorrow's
physical day. We'll be right back.
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[music]
Okay folks, we're going to look across
the pond here and see what's going on.
Before we go to do that, we're going to
look at the New York Stock Exchange
index. You remember the 1.618 expansion
here? took us exactly to the high. What
I wanted to do is to find out if today's
uh the the low yesterday. Now, today
it's a little higher, of course, but I
want to know if this is exactly 382. I
can tell you just by looking at it that
it's not. So, I'm going to put the
retracement up. We're going to go from
the low up to the high.
And uh Whoa. Where is it?
[clears throat]
It doesn't uh ah shock. Something's
wrong. Hold on just a minute. Screw up a
one car funeral. Just a minute, boys
[clears throat] and girls. Let me get
rid of that and we'll try it again.
Okay.
Okay. Let's get up here. I use delayed
data here, folks, cuz I don't really do
any stocks and this foreign stuff. And
here it is. Where is the number? Oh,
here it is. Right there. There it is.
Hold on. Right there. Okay. Now, this
missed the 382. Uh,
[clears throat and snorts]
shucks. See, I missed the 382 here. The
382 is this number right here. Okay, 382
is this number. That misses it by quite
a bit. Now, we're having a rally, so
we'll have to wait and see. All right,
let's go through the pond here. Here,
the Dow, you can see we had a move down
here in the um Bitcoin. It came down.
Looks like it made about a perfect 382.
I can tell you that's pretty much what
it did. Look at this one right here,
folks. This is the uh Korean market is
virtually doing nothing. Okay, here's
the uh this one's doing pretty good.
This is the semiconductor index. Okay,
it's up a little bit. It's up about uh
3% which is quite a bit. Uh there's the
euro or the pound going lower, the euro
going lower. Uh this is the Nifty50. It
actually has an up day after I don't
know how many down days in a row.
There's the Japanese stock market just
barely up on the day, folks. That's not
acting very good. And here is the German
DAX. It's up pretty good. It's up about
this is the third day up. So, it's doing
okay. So, we'll see what happens with
that. That's on the on the outside of uh
what we're watching. So, we'll come back
and we'll look at a couple other things
we want to watch. Okay. Now, let's take
a look over here and let's look at live
cattle because I like live cattle.
They're fun to trade and when they work,
they're even more fun because having
losing trades is not any fun. So, here's
the daily chart.
Uh-oh, we just missed it, I'm afraid.
Son of a gun. Yeah, it looks like it.
Here, there's where we were yesterday.
We were up at the uh 61% of that number.
And then we the last two days it's done
this. So, let's look at this on the
hourly to see if that would have given
us anything to Oh, there was a sale up
here. Uh yes. uh just a couple of days
ago. All right. Then we came down and
then the market rallied today. Let's
see. Yeah, there was yesterday and it
rallies this morning on the open. It
rallied up to about the 786 it looks
like. Yeah, right on the 786. And now
you've come down pretty hard. There's
your opening gap. Stopped at the 786.
That's a big move, folks. That's well
over a,000 bucks in cows. And as you
look at it right now, it's completing
the target. There's your AB and there's
your CD coming down actually a little
lower. The retracement level off the low
here was right at exactly 50%. That
would certainly make that a completed uh
completed pattern. But here's the
opening. You're coming down. You'd like
to sell at the 382. It opens at the 618,
goes to the 78. That's only a difference
of $400. But if you waited for the 786,
that got you right on the high of the
day at uh 221 and a quarter and here we
are down five handles, folks. That's
1,200 large. [snorts] Big deal. Cattle
are fun to trade, folks. This is big
with the commodity funds, too. They
trade this a lot. There's your cuz a lot
of people like to eat meat. That's the
main reason. It has a lot
[clears throat] of ABCDS in between.
Okay. Now, let's move on here. What else
we're covering here? Some of these
things here. didn't mean very much.
Okay, let's move over and talk about the
soybeans. Okay, got up here. Oh, we'll
do wheat first because wheat was very
good to us this week. Here's the wheat
with the December. We get the daily up.
Had a lot of oxen jack. We're back down
to where we were, boys and girls. Look
at that. There's where we were.
Remember, we bought that down here at
19. We got all the way up to there. If
we remember, get this up. We'll put this
up on the hourly chart. So, we'll see
where we were. Okay, there was our buy
was
down here at the 19. We went all the way
up to this level. And look what we did
today, folks. Another ABCD to the
downside. I missed this one. Son of the
gun. You know, you almost have to get
ready to do these. And when you're doing
so many darn things, you can't. So, you
have that big gap down. That'll take you
to the 127 as you can certainly see.
That'll be the 78% level of the bottom
almost right there today. buying them at
17. That'd be a nice 10 cents. Now, just
for kicks and giggles, bear with me here
for a second. I want to see if it lined
up really good with the AI program
today. So, we'll put the two minute up
and see how well it did. And oh my
goodness. Not too bad. Not too bad.
Yeah, there's the bottom coming in right
about here. And there's your top. And
should start down, I guess. I don't know
what's like I think there's an ABCD
there, too. Isn't there cowboy? Let's
take a look. There's AB and there's CD.
Shut the front door and raise around.
Maybe this stuff does work. It's like
eating ice cream without having the
calories. All right, let's get this out
of the way and we're pretty much done.
We want to look at this the soybeans
also. Get those back up here. And these
are the November beans. And uh they'll
be being harvested here pretty quickly.
Let's just look at them on the 2-minute
today to see what they're doing. And uh
well that said it was going to top early
in the morning which it must have did
something but let's look at this on the
hourly and see where we are. We're still
up near the highs folks. Oh my goodness.
Look what it did today. Shut the front
door and raise the rent. Another ABCD.
Maybe these things make sense. I don't
know. What do you think? Or I don't
Well, doesn't make a better shut up and
be thought a fool than to keep your
mouth working and remove all doubt. I
don't know who said that, but they were
pretty smart. There's your ABCD. Looks
like it's exactly 50% off the bottom
here. Yep, there it is. We have a nice
rally here. 14 to 18. It's another $500
rally. [snorts] Grains are fun to trade,
folks. They don't get you in a lot of
trouble like you do with the stop and
pee and some of the other stuff, but
those are the main ones that you want to
be watching. They're very, very, very
exciting to to work with as uh we have
already seen. Okay, now let's get the
next one we want to look at is the corn.
Corn has been incredibly strong, folks.
Get the daily corn chart up has backed
off very little. Look at this where we
are here in corn. We've done nothing.
You know, I just look back here. You
know, nobody wanted corn at 360. It's a
buck and a half higher. And look at
this. It's still it's still going up. It
hasn't given anything back. 16 17 cents.
That's nothing in corn, folks. It looks
like there's going to be some type of
problem with food because if corn is
still doing this, look at this on the
weekly. Let's just see if we can do this
weekly cuz we're banging up against the
382 right here. This is where you got to
be selling corn at an ABCD and you know
the high has been what? Uh [groaning]
49. We're trading at 43. This is bearish
folks. [music]
This is bearish. It's a 382 on the
weekly 877-9276648.
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>> [music]
>> Okay, folks. This is Microsoft. And uh
believe it or not, folks, if you would
have bought Microsoft in uh 1982 when it
first came out at $17 a share, it would
have been the very best investment of
the larger stocks. I mean, I'm sure the
little ones like uh Bitcoin and some
other might have been bigger, but of the
major stocks, no one even can compare to
this, folks, because one share at $17
today with all the splits is worth
$187,000
for each share, shut the front door, and
raise the rent. Okay, let's get that out
of the way. And what else we looking at
here? Something else here. Oh, we Tesla.
Hold on one second. We got Tesla. We got
a few stocks to cover here that folks
have asked me about. Tomorrow's my
physical day, folks. I go in for my
tests. Uh, as you get old, you get to do
this twice or three times a year where
they test all your physical capabilities
like your eyesight, coordination, and
stuff. And they want to see if I can
still do a back flip and stuff like
that, which of course I can. And I'll
get up here. And uh, hold on one second.
We got this up here.
Tesla starts with a T. There's Tesla
right here. Should be up. Everything
else is up today. Yeah. Well, it's doing
very little. Here's Tesla is up a little
bit, but not very much in the middle of
the range. Not very exciting at all.
Another one we had to ask about was
Nvidia. We'll get up here. That's got to
be strong cuz that's the most expensive
stock. I think it's a $4 trillion
number, isn't it? Nvidia starts with an
N. There it is. The last of the ends.
And we should be up on that one today.
Uh where we at? No, it's not very much.
Let's look at Nvidia. Here's where we
are right here. Well, Nvidia is at a
382. Shut the front door and raise it.
We should sell that one just for kicks
and giggles. There it is right there.
You can sell it at the 382 right there.
218. I'm going to write that down on a
piece of paper cuz it's got all the uh
all the news that you can get. But it
ain't going up. That's a good sign.
Anyway, it's up a little bit, but uh it
still looks bearish to me on a 32. Okay,
let's get over here out of the way here.
One other one that people have asked me
about here. And hold on one second,
folks. Is uh Palunteer, the guy uh was
on today. Wow. [snorts]
His name is uh Oh dear, I forgot it
already. Uh [clears throat] he one of
the founders of Palunteer. John knows
his name. And see, Palanteer is still
way up in the air here. It's been a
really strong stock. John recommended it
right in here somewhere around $38
as we recommended. He got out of $160 or
something like that. And here's where we
are at 170 and it's still very strong.
We had the big run here uh at the bottom
here. Bottomed in June and uh nobody
wanted it here. Everybody wanted it
there and of course there it is. And
we've had a big rally up in here. Went
up another 70 or 80%.
This is a company that's real heavily
into uh government stuff, folks. The
pullback that we had here just recently
was almost 382. So, still looks very
very strong. I I only do uh futures,
folks. We've been asked to take a look
at sugar. Sugar the sweet. Hold on.
We'll get that here. That says SB here
somewhere here. Sugar is right Oh, don't
want that one. Hold on. Sugar is right
there. And we'll see what it's way up.
It backed off a bit. Well, it's back up
again. Son of a gun. Look at this. This
is a world sugar. This is March of 2027.
And uh [clears throat] we had a heck of
a run here. Boy, it's still still up in
this area. Wow. This is a big move in
sugar. Wow. [laughter] Sugar used to
sell for 6 cents. Now it's at 18 cents.
And uh you can see there's where we are.
Let's look at this on the long-term
weekly. There it is right here. I think
sugar's got as high as 60 cents back uh
many many years ago. Now this is where I
met Sim only right here. It's 2016
folks. Sai is one of he he handled more
crops than anybody for
>> [snorts]
>> uh
can't go dang it. Not Farm Bureau. That
is Farm Bureau. That's part of All State
Street. Anyway, you can see this level
right here. It was trading at 24. Okay.
And uh one of my friends said, "You got
to study with Larry." And we got along
pretty good. But he was so bullish right
here. And I said, "God, you got to get
out of this. I mean, this is a you don't
see all the data cuz it went back. This
was a 618 on the long-term weekly. You
can see the ABCDs that were in here."
And I said, "Look," I said, "If you see
a trade at 25, I'm wrong." And he says,
"Oh, that'll be easy." And I said,
"Well, get out of it now. And if you see
a trade at 25, so okay." Well, then it
went down and got he said, "Wow, that's
really great." And then it went back up
and it went went from 25 all the way
down here to 9 cents, folks. So, just
because you think they're going to go
somewhere, that's it. But here's where
we are now. And you can see we've had a
big run here after this bottom. All
we're doing now, folks, and sugar, I
haven't traded sugar in 60 years, and
I'm not going to start now, but let's
just look at the numbers. There's your
high.
Look at this. Now, why can't you just
sell it right here? Look at this. This
is a sale in sugar. Sugar the sweet.
It's it's a sale. Look, these these
moves are equal. Just like Andrew Low
says in the book. Look at that. That
move here from there to there is equal
to that. See, I mean that that's that's
mother god and country stuff, isn't it?
And I think we had a big ABCD here on
the downside. There's a AB equal CD to
the downside.
See, it's stuff not too bad. How about
on the upside? Let's just see if that
worked. There's your AB.
There's your CD.
Huh. I'll be done. Maybe I should trade
sugar again. Anyway, uh Okay, that's it.
Get out of the way. Hold on one second.
And uh we have a request about uh hold
on another commodity. And well, we're
getting into the the coffee. There's
coffee as KC as I recall. Boy, that's
okay. Here's coffee on the daily. Let's
get that up and see where we are.
Coffee's been coming down here pretty
good. So, we're going to see where we
are here with coffee. [clears throat]
And uh see, we've already came through.
There's the AB. Well, let's let's draw
it correctly cuz it's not drawn
correctly from maybe the There's we go
right here. This is the number we go to
this level right here. There's AB
equals CD. Should have been right about
here. We went through that. It didn't
even like it didn't even exist. This is
one of those where you buy it and you
lose. That's nothing else you can do.
And we're still going lower. There's
very little here that tells us that
we're going to stop at anywhere. Uh if
we look at this on a weekly, let's just
double check.
Jumping around here. Well, [snorts]
there's where we are. We're coming down
here. All right. We're probably coming
down to the 786 on this, folks. Is what
it looks like. Yeah, this probably where
we're heading is maybe Well, didn't go.
It didn't stop at 50%. It didn't stop at
61. It probably is not going to stop at
786.
Let me correct these uh uh
[clears throat]
that these things change so I can see
the actual numbers. They they change on
you. So anyway, there's nothing to do
here at uh at all. Now, we got a um
break coming up here in just a little
bit and uh we'll see what else we've got
going. And uh well, one thing you want
to know for sure, folks, this is uh very
well my opinion again. Let's just get
this back up here because if we get back
to that Dow Jones right here now, and we
have just a little 3 to 5 day rally here
and then go below this, then look out.
Then we're going to be we're going to be
heading down to fill some of these other
gaps that are in here. That's a big one
that we've got to fill. But right now,
it's done everything it should to hold
that level to the exact number, folks.
Just over there, you can see it. 382.
All right, we'll be right back. Stay
tuned.
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Introducing Fibonacci 247, Larry
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[music]
Okay, folks. One of our listeners was
kind enough to tell us that old cowboy
ought to take a look at part of the
soybeans that we haven't talked about.
We talked about the oil. We didn't talk
about the meal. And the meal is al
fuego. They're running out of anchovies.
That's the problem. You can see there's
where you are. Look at the soybean meal.
There's the reasoning right there.
There's 90% protein in this stuff,
folks. This is tofu and stuff like that.
All right. Uh that's the big deal on
this. Okay. Anyway, this is still going
higher. We look at this on the long-term
weekly. I think we're breaking through
everything on that. Uh oh my goodness.
Look, we're almost back to where we were
back in 74. We're already uh we're above
the 786 in that right now. So, that's
still straight up. Let's look at this on
an hourly to see if there were any
chances. Well, there had to be some
chances for 382s in here somewhere. Uh
there's nothing right there, but uh I
don't want to miss any time, but this
Well, there had to be because there were
so many of them. There's one right here.
I can tell you that right there. There's
a 382 right there. That took a day to
fill and then boom, away we went here. I
haven't looked at some of these back in
here. But this is strong, folks. Uh
beans don't look as strong. Oil doesn't
look that strong, but meal is what it
is, and that's it. used to be that
soybean meal uh was was competitive with
fish meal which is the basically the
anchovies but uh that doesn't work that
same way anymore because of the fact
that uh the chickens don't want to taste
like fish like they used to back when we
were a kid certain fish not all but the
[snorts] for first certain chickens not
certain fish okay anyway that's what
we're looking the main thing folks the
Dow Jones okay going below that low we
made yesterday very very bad. Other than
that, think think long because we're
probably going to rally for at least 3
to five more days and then we're going
to find out what it is. I don't expect
any more than 3 to 5 days. But again,
that's my opinion and opinions are like
armpit. Everybody has one and it usually
smells. So live every day, folks, in an
attitude of gratitude and may God bless.
[music]
>> [music]