Video summary
Good morning from Del Ray Beach, Florida, where Steve Rhodes delivers an early market update revealing a sea of green across all major US indices as trading begins the session on a high note. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has surged by 385 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 have climbed by 240 and 248 points respectively, with the Russell 2000 and transportation sectors also posting significant gains. Precious metals are following suit with gold rising three dollars and silver up seven cents, though energy markets show mixed signals as light sweet crude drops while natural gas ticks higher. This broad-based rally sets the stage for a detailed technical analysis of key assets, highlighting specific patterns and levels that traders should watch closely to determine the day's potential direction.
In the realm of technical charting, the E-mini S&P 500 is forming a bullish Gartley buy pattern with a reversal candle at the 11:00 a.m. mark, suggesting a rally toward the 7721 resistance level and potentially back to all-time highs if that barrier is breached. Conversely, the Nasdaq has been trading sideways for over two weeks below its profile support line, requiring a close above 29,461.60 to reclaim its bullish profile, while the Dow Jones recently completed a large downward city pattern but is now showing signs of a bottom with a bullish reversal candle near its breakout area of 51,833. Gold has lost momentum after trading sideways for nearly a week and risks pulling back to support at 4098, whereas silver invalidated its previous upside signal by closing below the August 19th low, now trading below profile support with a critical test looming at the September 2nd swing point of 63.88.
Energy commodities and industrial metals present more challenging outlooks, with crude oil seeking to complete a TD nine count top pattern by Monday that could see it retreat to its oscillator change line at 94.07 before deciding whether to drop further. High-grade copper has established a new profile but is currently trading below support at 658, facing resistance near 681, while natural gas appears particularly weak or "fugly" as indicated by the analyst. Meanwhile, the 30-year Treasury yield is waiting for a bullish reversal candle to confirm a bottom on its RSI Momentum Indicator, reflecting the broader market's sensitivity to interest rate expectations and economic data. These divergent signals across different asset classes underscore the complexity of the current trading environment where support levels are being tested and pattern completions will dictate future price action.
As the session moves toward Friday's conclusion, the focus remains on whether these technical setups can hold or if they will lead to further corrections, particularly given the rainy weather in Florida that mirrors the volatility seen in the markets. The analyst advises traders to stay tuned for the upcoming Trader's Zen show where the full analysis of the day's events will be discussed, offering insights into how these patterns might evolve over the weekend and into the next trading week. Ultimately, the market is displaying a mix of strength in equities and precious metals against weakness in energy and certain technical setups that require close monitoring to avoid potential pitfalls as investors navigate the shifting landscape of September 11th.
Read the full video transcript
TFNN
headline news update.
Good morning, folks. Steve Rhodes coming
to you live from the shores of a
blustery, rainy Del Ray Beach, Florida
with your 11:00 a.m. update. We got a
sea of green out there. All US indices
that we track, they're trading the
upside. Dow's up 385, 61 for the S&P,
240 for the Nasdaq 100. The Russell's up
1749 for the transports, semis up 202,
Nasdaq composite 248, New York Stock
Exchange 140. Gold's up three bucks,
silver seven cents. Light sweet crude is
off 275, natural gas up six pennies.
30-year Treasury putting out at 107.04.
Let's figure out what all that means by
looking at that nine-panel market update
chart.
We'll begin the ES mini. The ES mini, if
it forms a bullish reversal candle
today, and at 11:00 a.m. it's a bull
sash candle, it will go ahead and form a
Gartley buy pattern.
Wild. So, to form that Gartley buy
pattern, what that would then suggest is
at least a rally towards resistance.
That's going to be in the 7721
level. If you can get above that, man,
wow. Then you get back to its all-time
highs. The NQ has been trading in a
sideways action. It's been trading
sideways for about two weeks now, a
little over two weeks, three weeks.
So, it hasn't given it up, um but it is
trading below profile support and it's
green outside of the change line. It
would do itself a justice to be able to
reclaim that profile by closing above
29,461.60.
The Dow has made a big old city pattern
to the downside. It has not attained the
one-to-one level. However, it's gotten
back basically to the breakout area,
51,833. Now we're getting a bullish
reversal candle. And that can be a
bottom, even though it hasn't completed
that buy the D point.
Goldilocks. Gold has been trading
sideways for about seven, eight days
right now. It is trading below support
and has lost momentum.
Um so, you know, it's subject to even
pulling back to the 4098 level. Uh
silver uh negated it. It did have an A
to B equal CD pattern to the upside. It
negated that signal today when price
ticked below the B point, which would
have been the low from August the 19th.
Now, what we have is silver trading
below profile support. And if we're to
close below the swing point from
September 2nd,
that's at 6388. If it did close below
that, instead of having an A to B equal
CD pattern to the upside, we'd have one
to the downside. Likewise, crude looking
for a TD 9 count top today. It'll
complete that pattern on Monday. It'll
pull back to its oscillator and change
line, 9407. The question is, will it do
more than that? High grade copper, brand
new profile that has formed. We're now
trading below profile support. That is
at the price point of 658. Resistance up
at 681 or the top of the profile is what
I should say. Natural gas, it looks
ugly. It looks fugly. And the 30-year
Treasury simply needs a bullish reversal
candle to confirm a Roads Momentum
Indicator bottom. Folks, stay tuned for
the Trader's Zen show. We're about to
start your Friday. Have a fabulous one,
a wonderful weekend. We'll look forward
to speaking with you again soon. Take
care now.