Russians are preparing to capture two major cities: ISW has identified a new enemy target
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Russian forces are currently executing two primary offensives targeting the northern and southern outskirts of Ukraine's defensive belt in the Donetsk region, aiming to secure control over the area by the spring-summer campaign of 2026. Following unsuccessful attempts to breach the defenses toward Sloviansk from the northeast via Lyman, Moscow has redirected its main efforts eastward and southeastward. In the southern sector, Russian troops are actively pushing into Kostyantynivka, a move that officials repeatedly emphasize is essential for seizing the broader Sloviansk-Druzhkivka-Kramatorsk agglomeration and ultimately dominating the entire Donetsk region.
The nature of the current advance differs from previous large-scale assaults, as the urban penetration is being supported not by heavy mechanized columns but by reconnaissance and infantry groups. Ukrainian military observer Kostyantyn Mashovets reported on August 26th that while small advance elements have made limited inroads, the main Russian forces have not yet consolidated their position within most of Kostyantynivka. Although Ukrainian armed forces still hold the northern and northwestern parts of the city, their main units from the southeast have recently retreated to the eastern bank of the Kryvyi Torets River, with separate detachments continuing to operate in the center and southeast up to the outskirts of Ivanopil.
Despite these localized gains, analysts caution that even if Kostyantynivka were fully captured, it would not grant the Russian army a quick operational breakthrough against the rest of the fortress belt or the region as a whole. To facilitate future ground operations toward Sloviansk, Moscow has intensified attacks on targets in the immediate rear to disrupt Ukrainian logistics and clear the path for infantry. This tactic mirrors previous actions in Konstantinovka, where aerial bombings reduced buildings to rubble, creating cover and camouflage for reconnaissance groups; Russian forces are likely applying this same methodology to prepare for an assault on Sloviansk.
Before launching a direct attack on Sloviansk, Russian strategists must first resolve several tactical tasks by capturing large settlements located to the east and southeast of the city, such as Rai-Oleksandrivka and Mykolayivka along with their surrounding areas. The Sloviansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration remains the central operational and strategic objective for Moscow, prompting the enemy to advance on multiple fronts simultaneously. While Konstantinovka currently stands as the hottest spot in the southern sector, the broader campaign relies on securing these peripheral settlements to create a viable corridor for further expansion into the key urban centers of the Donetsk region.
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The occupying army of the aggressor
country Russia is conducting two main
offensives on the northern and southern
outskirts of the Ukrainian fortress belt
in the Donetsk region, which is Moscow's
main target in the spring-summer
campaign of 2026.
According to analysts from the American
Institute for the Study of War, after
failed attempts to break through to
Sloviansk from the northeast through
Lyman, the occupiers shifted their main
efforts to the east and southeast. And
in the south of the belt, they are
actively penetrating into
Kostyantynivka.
Russian officials have repeatedly called
the capture of Kostyantynivka a key
condition for gaining control of the
Sloviansk-Druzhkivka-Kramatorsk
agglomeration and, accordingly,
>> [music]
>> for control over the entire Donetsk
region. The Russian advance into the
urban area is currently being supported
not by mechanized columns, but by
reconnaissance and infantry groups.
Ukrainian military observer Kostyantyn
Mashovets stated on August 26th that the
enemy's main forces have yet to
penetrate most of Kostyantynivka to
consolidate the penetration made by
advance elements of small infantry
groups. According to him, the Ukrainian
armed forces continue to control the
northern and northwestern parts of the
city, but the main forces from the
southeastern part of Kostyantynivka were
recently withdrawn to the eastern bank
of the Kryvyi Torets River. Separate
Ukrainian units, as Mashovets notes,
continue to operate in the center and
southeast of the city, right up to the
northern outskirts of Ivanopil. Analysts
noted that even if Kostyantynivka were
completely captured,
>> [music]
>> the occupiers' penetration and limited
successes would not allow the Russian
army a quick operational breakthrough
against either the rest of the fortress
belt or the Donetsk region as a whole.
At the same time, the enemy intensified
attacks on targets in the immediate rear
behind the front lines in order to
disrupt Ukrainian logistics and prepare
the ground for ground operations in
Sloviansk. Analysts noted that the
mechanics of such strikes had already
been tested in another city. Previously,
aerial bombs effectively cleared the way
for infantry in Konstantinovka.
Buildings were reduced to rubble, which
Russian reconnaissance groups used for
cover and camouflage. The enemy is
likely transferring this experience to
Sloviansk. Before actually attacking the
city, the Russians still need to resolve
several tactical tasks. Specifically,
capturing large settlements to the east
and southeast of Sloviansk, [music]
including Rai-Oleksandrivka and
Mykolayivka with their surrounding
areas.
The analysts' report states, "The
Sloviansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration
remains the Russians' key operational
and strategic target, and [music] to
this end, the enemy is advancing on
several fronts." In particular,
Konstantinovka remains the hottest spot
in the south.
>> [music]