Video summary
Robert C. O'Brien reflects on his tenure as National Security Advisor from 2019 to 2021, highlighting key achievements such as the successful repatriation of Americans held by non-state actors and viewing the Abraham Accords as a signature foreign policy success that leveraged American strength to foster peace. He contrasts this period with his anticipated second term under President Trump in 2025, noting how the administration evolved from relying on reluctant advisors in 2017 to implementing policies rapidly and decisively upon returning with a like-minded team. During this future tenure, O'Brien outlines ambitious initiatives including pivoting toward the Western Hemisphere by ejecting China from Panama Canal operations, arresting Venezuelan leader Maduro, and acquiring Greenland for missile defense basing rights under a "Cyprus model" of shared sovereignty to support the Golden Dome system. He also emphasizes pursuing trade deals that end Iranian nuclear ambitions while maintaining fair relations with Beijing, aiming to reshape global dynamics through decisive action rather than bureaucratic hesitation.
The discussion identifies three primary threats shaping the current geopolitical landscape: Chinese Communist Party expansionism driven by ideology despite economic integration, global jihadism fueled by mass immigration, and Russian aggression in Ukraine. O'Brien characterizes this environment as a dangerous but avoidable conflict rather than a full-scale Cold War 2.0, advocating for an independent European defense capable of deterring Russia without relying on Brussels bureaucracy or censorship. He specifically criticizes Ireland's perceived free-riding and lack of military capacity to counter Chinese blockades or Russian threats despite its prosperity, urging allies to reject dual-use technologies controlled by Beijing due to espionage risks via Huawei/5G networks, IP theft by state-owned enterprises, weaponization potential in EVs like BYD vehicles, and sabotage capabilities. Furthermore, he calls for consistent application of human rights standards rather than selective policies that target goods from occupied Palestinian territories while ignoring China's documented genocide against Uyghurs, condemning such hypocrisy as inconsistent with true foreign policy principles.
Regarding the complex situation involving Israel, O'Brien argues that supporting expanded settlements is unreasonable given the unique challenges faced by a plucky little country in a very difficult neighborhood, noting that these struggles are not shared by other nations like Ireland. He contends that punishing Israel would damage Ireland's reputation and expresses his belief that neither Americans nor people around the world would approve of such actions against Israel under current circumstances. The segment concludes with gratitude to Ambassador O'Brien for sharing his insights on these extensive topics, acknowledging the depth of discussion surrounding national security strategies, geopolitical threats, ethical foreign policy considerations, and the delicate balance required in navigating global alliances during a period of significant transformation.
Read the full video transcript
[music]
>> Hello, and thanks for joining this
edition of IIEA Insights with me, Dan
O'Brien.
It's a pleasure to welcome today a
former holder of the office of National
Security Advisor of the United States.
Robert C. O'Brien served as National
Security Advisor from 2019 to 2021,
acting as President Donald Trump's
principal advisor on all aspects of
American foreign policy and national
security affairs. The ambassador is the
co-founder and current chairman of
American Global Strategies LLC and also
serves on the President's Intelligence
Advisory Board in the second term.
Thanks so much for joining us, Robert.
>> Thanks, Dan. Glad to be here.
>> Great. Let's let's jump right in in
terms of looking at your tenure. I know
I'm interested and certainly our members
will be interested to hear
of your sort of highlights and maybe
lowlights of your time as National
Security Advisor.
In terms of the things that you during
that period you look back on, is there
anything that you you feel most proud
of, that you feel was a was a was a
particularly good achievement, and
anything that perhaps you might be
disappointed might be disappointed by?
>> Well, Dan, so prior to becoming National
Security Advisor, I was a Special
Presidential Envoy for Hostage Affairs.
And that that job entailed bringing
Americans home, either wrongfully
detained
or hostages who were held by non-state
actors. So, J. J.
You know, Al-Qaeda, ISIS, that sort of
thing.
And then trying to get the wrongfully
detained Americans out of places as
diverse as Yemen and
uh
Colombia, Venezuela, North Korea,
uh Syria,
Sweden,
with the a rapper named A$AP Rocky.
Uh
and when I became National Security
Advisor, I was able to put a more,
uh,
weight behind that and and weight behind
the president's, uh,
uh,
policy of bringing Americans home. He he
he never He didn't care about their
politics. He just cared or their their
race. He just cared that they had a blue
passport. And then some group was trying
to leverage them to,
uh,
change US policy or they or to get money
out of us or
or to demand the release release of a
prisoner,
a terrorist or or some
or or an arms dealer or something like
that.
So, I I have I'm very proud of the
people we brought home,
uh, both of them in my prior position as
a national security advisor.
I think the history books will look at
the Abraham Accords, the normalization
of diplomatic relations between
Israel and and Bahrain and UAE and
Morocco, Sudan,
uh,
Kosovo
as being the the signature foreign
policy event in the the first term.
Uh,
you know, we we talk a lot about peace
through strength and that's certainly
President Trump's policy. It was
President Reagan's policy. I I've tried
to adhere adhere to it in my career.
But but too often I think we focus on
the strength part of it. How many ships
do we have? How many how many missiles
do we have? How many aircraft carriers
do we have? And
you know, counting them up against the
other guys and
we don't focus enough on the the reason
we're we're strong or we try and and
maintain our strength is to get peace.
And President Trump has has been
particularly like in the first and in
the second term successful in in
leveraging American strength to to
achieve peace. And so, I I I think
that's something that'll be a legacy
that's going to be a little
counterintuitive,
but, uh, I I think that's going to be
his legacy as president.
>> Um, anything uh, anything that you you
felt
you would have liked to stay on to
achieve?
>> Uh,
there were Look, we got some bad guys.
We got Soleimani, we got Baghdadi. Uh
But there were
I I would like to see the Abraham
Accords expand to include Saudi.
And Kuwait and maybe Oman and and Qatar.
I I think that would have been a a real
achievement.
Uh
we we started the Western Hemisphere
campaign uh to
eject the the Chinese from the Panama
Canal.
Uh
>> [clears throat]
>> and put some American bases back in the
canal zone or what what it was the canal
zone.
Uh
>> [clears throat]
>> We we we tried to you know
move move our agenda in the Western
Hemisphere.
But COVID really interrupted that. And
then uh of course the election and
President Biden coming in kind of saw
that. So
it really took it till the second term
for the pivot to the Western Hemisphere
to gain full force.
And I I would like to see some more
progress in North Korea.
Which I think we did have had some uh
some more success. But unfortunately
during the four-year interregnum between
the first and Trump administration
North Korea drastically expanded its
nuclear
uh
stockpile
and and its delivery systems. And so
it's going to be very difficult to
denuclearize the Korean
Peninsula, which I think would have been
a
a major accomplishment that you know we
we didn't achieve, but we made some
progress towards. So
you know
there's never enough time to do
everything. It's a complicated world.
It's a dangerous world out there.
You know we we we tried we tried our
best to to get as many things done as we
could, but uh
ti- time time goes fast in in those
offices.
>> Well, and and one of the things I
suppose that many people have observed
has been how different the first term
and second terms
uh have been. I'm wondering if you see
it in that way. Do you see a president
who having learned from the experiences
of the first term was better prepared uh
for the second term to how to
in terms of personnel was more prepared
to take the office back. Do you see as
much of a contrast between the first and
second terms? And if if there are
contrasts, are there particular policy
positions or or things that have been
executed differently in terms of the two
terms?
>> Yeah, so Dan, that's a a very good
question and
kind of kind of anticipated what what I
was going to say with respect to the
pivot to what the Western Hemisphere.
That that would be one example. In the
first term, you have to realize that the
president came into office, he'd been a
businessman. He didn't have friends in
politics. He hadn't I don't think he'd
ever stayed overnight in DC.
Uh
he had to rely on people sometimes who
who didn't share his agenda or thought
they had a thought thought they should
implement their agenda or thought they
should be a guardrail to the president.
And President Trump if if anything is a
quick learner.
And so he had 4 years to to you know, so
to speak speak of apprentices president.
So when he came back in the in the
second term, he knew exactly what he
wanted to do.
He he put in a team of of people that
that were like-minded that would execute
his his policies.
And so I think the
maybe the biggest difference between the
first and the second term is the
rapidity of the of the uh
uh
policy implementation that's taking
place. Whether it was the the tariffs on
liberation day, President Trump's always
been a major of tariffs, but
uh
he he tackled the trade agenda with with
robustness and vigor.
Uh
cer- certainly the the pivot to the
Western Hemisphere with
you know, removing the Chinese from the
the Panama Canal, the operation of
Venezuela to arrest Maduro who is a a
major drug dealer.
And giving the Venezuelan people a
chance to to have freedom. And well, I
think we're going to see some some real
progress on that front in the next
couple of of weeks and months.
And
uh obviously open up the the Venezuelan
oil supply
uh
to the world and remove remove those
sanctions is a big deal.
And then Greenland which is
I know not a popular subject in in
Europe.
And [clears throat]
you know,
I'm very good friends with the Danes and
think highly of them as allies. Saw them
in Afghanistan
fight our war on our side and
uh they're they're they're good allies
but you know, we we need a situation in
in Greenland
where we can defend ourselves. I mean
the
Greenland is essential to the defense of
the United States which is why we had to
take it over in World War II to protect
ourselves and uh
if Golden Dome is going to get off the
ground our missile defense system,
we need to have bases with with missile
interceptors in in Greenland.
We need to protect the the island as
well as elements from
uh the the Chinese and the Russians.
And so I I I think we're going to end up
with a
a lot of leeway and you know, we we may
not end up with Greenland but we're
going to end up with a lot of leeway
with our our our basing rights.
And you know, we we just don't have time
for with Golden Dome for example,
we don't have time if there's a
a missile attack on America from a rogue
actor or North Korea or China or Russia
heaven forbid
to to wake up the ambassador, get get
him to to the king or the prime minister
and get permission to launch a counter
uh strike missile. I mean the the the
it's going to be a
three three or five minute window to to
launch interceptors to take the the ICBM
down.
So we need to have that flexibility with
Greenland and and uh
we're we're seeing the Danes now
unfortunately uh
put a lot of money into defense to the
defense of Greenland, put a frigid
Greenland, put the Danish soldiers in
Greenland to defend sovereignty of
Greenland. So,
I think it is it's been very successful.
There was a little bit of
diplomacy with a little unorthodox, I'll
admit.
>> Mhm.
Because it it certainly was something
that that shocked Europe in in terms of
you know you know a demand for for a
sovereign territory that that I I
suppose most people even those who
might support
the current US president
felt there there there were better ways
to achieve that objective
in in terms of guaranteeing American
security while at the same time not
making such
a kind of shocking demand as seeking
sovereignty of the island.
>> Well,
you're right, Dan, but
if you know President Trump, I mean he
he makes
anyone who's read the article of the
deal, he makes maximalist demands and
by by the way, President Truman wanted
to buy
Greenland. It's it's not a new a new uh
idea. President Truman wanted to buy it.
President Eisenhower wanted to buy it.
So, it's not you know,
left field and Americans certainly
occupied Greenland to protect to protect
the the
Danish in Greenland
and to protect America in the past. So,
it's not outlandish.
But
I envision
and well, let's see how the negotiations
go. I think they're going quite well
between the Danes and then the US.
Something along the lines of the British
bases in Cyprus.
>> Okay.
>> Where there's sovereignty over the base
bases and that will allow the US to
protect America, but you know, maybe
you know,
Denmark or the Greenland the
Greenlanders themselves
exercise their own sovereignty over
their own cities and
and territory. But the the the
the basis of the agreement
if it's not called sovereignty, it will
be something akin to that.
>> Okay, interesting. I haven't heard the
Cyprus model being being put forward. Um
in in terms of you mentioned your
experience with
hostages
in the past. You've also had a lot of
experience at the UN during your career.
I'm wondering to start with the sort of
multilateral picture, um how do you how
do you assess how multilateral
institutions such as the UN have evolved
over the decades? And I ask that both
from just your global perspective, and
also in terms how they help or how they
might hinder increasingly or
decreasingly the US to pursue its
interests in the world.
>> Yes, so I've got a little bit of an
interesting background with the UN
that's kind of intersected my entire
career. I I started kind of my my
diplomatic career
uh
as a civil servant international civil
servant working for the secretariat uh
in Geneva.
And so I was actually
you know, the guy receiving the UN
paycheck and uh
so I was
working at the UN Compensation Committee
Commission uh and handling claims
against Iraq arising out of the first
Gulf War.
And so I I
I saw from the inside for several years
and then I returned uh
a decade later as a as President one of
President Bush's representatives at the
UN.
And what I tell people the UN is very
bureaucratic.
Unfortunately, there's still a lot of
corruption at the UN
which is which is unfortunate. We've
seen the UN uh
in large part because of the vetoes at
the Security Council. Uh
I mean, of course, we think our veto is
great, but we don't like the Russian and
Chinese veto.
Uh
we we we've seen a a lot of initiatives
stall out at the UN.
And [clears throat] so there's a
a general feeling especially among
conservatives conservatives in America
that the UN is an African system we
should get rid of it.
I I I disagree with that. I
I I I agree that the UN
has some corruption and then the lack of
the ability to to get things done, but
if you didn't have a UN you'd have to
invent a UN. I mean, there there has to
be a place where smaller countries can
come together
and have [clears throat] their
kind of little kind of their day court
where they can get up and during the UN
General Assembly
talk about water and cotton and
crops and then their own civil wars and
then and bring the world's attention to
the things that you know, we we don't
normally hear about what's going on in
Mali or Equatorial Guinea or
even South Africa or
some parts of Asia.
And for these countries to have their
leader come leaders come to the UN and
then come to New York and and tell the
world what they what they're they're
facing. It's
important to have that forum
even if it's just just to to be a forum.
But I think you know, if we I I think
there are reforms that can be made in
the UN.
We we've recognized over the past
and
you know,
have it that
donations to the UN be be voluntary so
the countries can direct
their their donations to the programs
that are working
and that will encourage you know, less
corruption and
well,
there there there are a whole number of
things we we have a group called JUSCANZ
Japan, US, Canada,
uh Australia, New Zealand
that uh
and I think the UK was part of that as
well.
They they focus on these UN reforms. I I
I think my faults are are UN ambassadors
doing a good job.
I
the the the budget's being rationalized
and uh and I think there's less product
it is.
I think one of the major problems with
the end is that
the Chinese Communist Party
had had seen the UN as a tool that it
can use to undermine the global
rules-based international order to the
extent that still exists
or to use the UN as a as a tool for its
foreign policy. And so
one of the the things that the Chinese
have done and and and the Russians and
the the Iranians to some extent
they they've
paid for interns to go to the UN.
And you know, they they they've
focused on human like the human
resources department. They focused on
the the legal department.
And and so by by taking over those
uh mechanisms within the UN
they can root out whistleblowers. They
can
uh
have a disproportionate influence.
And then they they've also tried to use
their belts and roads initiative to to
buy votes at the UN to put Chinese or or
people who are
uh
leaning towards or or tolerant of the
the Chinese Party of China into key
positions in the specialized agencies.
And so
you know, we saw that with the WHO
in the pandemic in the coronavirus
pandemic. So I I think if if the free
world wants to see the UN succeed, we we
really need to
work together. We need to roll up our
sleeves and make sure that uh
it it's not being infiltrated and
subverted by the communists.
>> And I also worked for the UN in Geneva
for one of the agencies for a period of
time. And I I think anybody who worked
there would agree that some of the
agencies may not be invented if they
didn't exist. But I suppose the counter
argument from an American perspective is
that if you pull out of the W WHO, that
you effectively clear the field for
those countries that you would view as
adversaries. And that even if you don't
like them and you feel that it's a waste
of money. That not being there
actually reduces your influence and
increases the influence of countries
that you may not want to increase
influence. What do you What do you make
of that argument?
>> Yeah, there I I generally agree with
that argument.
It goes to the location of headquarters
as well.
As you know, the United States
headquarters is in New York and uh
it could use some uh refurbishing, but
uh the fact that you know, the the the
world has to come to New York, I I I
think is in the US interest.
Uh again, it's controversial uh to have
all these, you know, you have the tin
pot dictators and the genocidaires and
the
the Holocaust deniers and the, you know,
the
the really bad
basically terrorists when you get uh
you know, the the Iranian diplomats
coming,
it's kind of frustrating to see them on
the streets of New York and going to the
shops and
you know,
cl- buying the buying the shop, buying
out the inventory of the of Chanel and
Gucci and
and [clears throat] stores like that
with the ill-gotten gains from that
they've gotten
been bribed by the Chinese or they they
they
they've taken from their own citizens.
But I I think we're better off having
the the UN in New York and being a
member of it and and having some, you
know, measure of control over it
than, you know, having it uh in Bangkok
and and and not being part of it.
>> Uh another sort of global bigger picture
question from an American perspective,
from somebody who's who's been national
security advisor, seen all the
intelligence, and and as you part are
you still connected to to the to the
this administration,
what what do you view as being the
biggest threats to the United States
going forward?
>> So So, Dana, I'd like to say that two
pieces if I could uh
I think the
I'll I'll about this in a moment. I
think the long-term existential threat
that that the threat that could change
how we live, how our kids and grandkids
live and and and actually our Irish kids
and and your grandkids are going to live
is a challenge for the Communist Party
of China. We we've never seen a
existential threat like this in in the
West.
Far greater bigger than the Soviet
threat, bigger than the the German
threat in World War II.
It's [clears throat] a it's a very
serious situation. I'll talk about that,
but but we've got these
intermediate or uh you know, kind of
like initial threats that we face.
We there's still jihadists here. We we
see the the
And then with the the mass immigration
into the US and into Europe, we've got
people who have been self-radicalized or
radicalizing themselves on the on the
internet. They don't they don't have to
have a big cell. They can just go out
with a machete and and maim and kill
people.
That that's a real issue. We we have to
be be alert to global jihadism.
Uh
number number one, number two, we've got
the Ukraine situation.
We've got the a major European power,
Russia, trying to change the borders of
Europe by force,
really for the first time since since
1938.
And we haven't seen this before and
the the amount of death and destruction
and killing is taking place in Ukraine.
It is is heartbreaking and and
horrifying at the same time to see these
these bombings of civilians in Kyiv.
It's really a terrible thing.
Uh
Yeah, we we
and and it's
Look, there's a potential the Russians
could just try to do the same thing to
Poland or to the Baltic states. And so,
that's a
major issue. And today we're dealing
with situation in Iran and the Strait of
Hormuz
that the US is dealing with basically
alone, trying to to stop the Iranians
from obtaining a a nuclear weapon and
and stop them from financing their
terrorist proxies.
They launched the the
worst genocide against Israel on October
7th and lost
uh
and with the support of Hezbollah, Iran,
that we that we've seen since World War
II since the the
the Gestapo and the German troops would
follow the Wehrmacht into the parts of
Poland and liquidate the Jews. That's
basically what happened on October 7th
and and that that hasn't gotten the
the attention that I think it deserves
in Europe.
But we're we're we're literally trying
to to to
save Israel, save America, and and and
[clears throat] save Europe because if
if the Iranians get get a nuke
and they they probably don't have
ballistic missiles that can reach the US
yet, but they certainly do that can
reach Europe or or
get close to reaching Europe.
So so this is this fight is is
important. I I think it'll it'll be
resolved soon. I think there'll be a
I I think [clears throat] the Iranians
will come to their senses and negotiate
a good deal, but we'll you know, we'll
have to see. You know, the the the
missile strikes in
in Jordan yesterday didn't help, but uh
President Trump would like to do a deal
with the Iranians and and like to have a
deal that that ends their nuclear
program for for starters and then
hopefully we'll get there.
>> A
a lot of a lot of issues got a lot of
ground covered there. Maybe could could
I come back to the first point about
China? And interesting that that you
feel that it's it's a bigger threat than
the Soviet Union. And presumably you
feel that's on the basis of of its of
its sheer size economically and and by
population.
>> Absolutely, yeah, 100%. I mean,
1.2 billion people,
uh
an an economy [clears throat] that that
is almost as big as the United States
economy. It's the second biggest economy
in the world. And
integrated to the world economy. I mean,
this is a this is an isolated economy
like the Russian economy was during the
the Cold War.
Uh
and they're they're they're also
motivated by the by communism. They'll
Vladimir Putin says that the
worst geopolitical nightmare of his his
life's lifetime that the greatest
failure was the the loss of the Soviet
empire.
The Chinese feel the same way. They feel
that the the demise of the Communist
Party in Russia was a terrible thing.
They do not intend to have the same
thing happen in China. They intend to
maintain Communist Party rule.
And if it was just China, that would be
that wouldn't be okay because of the the
the lack of human rights and for for the
Chinese people, for the Uyghurs, for the
minorities, for non-communists in China.
But the fact is that they're trying to
export their
ideology and and conquer territory. So,
we've got them in the Senkaku Islands in
the Sea of Japan. We've got them in the
in the Yellow Sea.
We have them in
in in the entire South China Sea from
the Philippines to all the way around to
all the ASEAN countries, building
islands and taking over
exclusive economic
zone uh sea territory of the
of those countries, especially the
Philippines.
And then of course you've got the the
problem in Taiwan with
uh
you know, the the Taiwanese are
basically surrounded on a daily basis by
the Chinese Coast Guard and Navy. And
blue militia and trawlers. The the
Chinese Coast Guard is now hailing
vessels
uh in in route to Taiwan asking what
they're [clears throat]
you know, what's on them and exercising
police power
over the trade that's going into Taiwan.
And and
an invasion or coercive
uh
you know,
takeover of Taiwan would be
it [clears throat] could be horrific
because we've seen what the Chinese done
over the years. We've seen what they've
done to the
Jimmy Lai and the protesters in Hong
Kong. We've seen what they did in
Tiananmen Square.
There are 6 million people in Taiwan at
least that support the DPP that have
called for independence, that called for
democracy.
And [clears throat] under Chinese
Communist Party doctrine, those 6
million are traitors and they need to be
liquidated. They need to be either
reeducated in camps,
they need to be put in prison for life,
or they need to be killed.
We haven't seen something like this
since World War II. I mean, this is like
Auschwitz on steroids.
And and
to believe that the Chinese would do
anything would be like the
you know, self-evidence and have a mass
pardon or
reconciliation commission or
not not not
or Venezuela,
that's not the Chinese character, the
Communist Party character. So,
it's a very dangerous situation
just from a human rights
position, but then also with AI and
quantum computing,
Taiwan controls 90% of the advanced
manufacturers, 90% of the advanced chips
that the world uses, the world economy
uses.
So, if if the the Chinese get a hold of
the of TSMC intact,
they'll have a grip on the world economy
far greater than OPEC ever did.
And that's a
we'd all be at their mercy.
And it would take
>> [clears throat]
>> you take years to
to to to break out of that monopoly. So,
the more likely scenario is that the the
Taiwanese destroy the TSMC plants and
the ecosystem, or America does to to
keep out of Chinese Communist hands.
And then we're looking at a
recession that could I
heard Scott Easterling say it's
estimated that we'd see a 7% decline in
in
the
global community, and he makes us too
concerned. He thinks that we far more
than that.
So,
the US believes in the status quo. We
have not recognized Taiwan as an
independent country. We're not
advocating for that.
We're advocating for this the the status
quo. It's the Xi Jinping and the Chinese
that are trying to change the status
quo. They're they're trying to
coercively incorporate Taiwan or through
the threats or actual violence.
And that that that's something that the
the the entire Western world in in fact
the entire world whether east or west
would be opposed to that.
And and we should you know stand up for
for Tai for the the status quo. This has
nothing to do with the one China policy
or that sort of thing, but it's
it's the people of Taiwan should be able
to choose for themselves what they what
they want to do.
>> Um
tell me Robert, do you think there's any
possibility that there could be a ground
bargain struck between the US and and
China
that that the US would seed East Asia
including Taiwan and say look that's
your part of the world and you stay out
of the Western Hemisphere and pull back.
Do you see any possibility the president
might consider such a deal?
>> I I
in all my actions with them that that's
never come up. That that's that's kind
of not an American policy
to seed territory, to seed space. We
don't do that.
We don't
we don't take space either. We you know
unlike many other powers that have had
you know our
leverage and then the military might, we
haven't taken a colony. The only thing
we've asked for from any country is a
place to bury our dead, a cemetery.
And we we've you know left or we've
maybe left some soldiers behind to
defend those countries, but we didn't
take Japan. We didn't take Germany.
We didn't take any of the the countries
that we we could have.
We're we're we're not interested in
that, but but we're we're interested in
other countries doing that either. We
don't want Russia to take Ukraine, and
we don't want China to take Taiwan. We
want the people of those territories and
those countries to to decide for
themselves what they want to what their
future is, and
and and let them have aspirations, you
know, for for life, liberty, and
happiness that uh
that that that they can pursue it. And
also, we can have, you know, free free
and fair trade with those countries and
then not be dictated to by a
you know, a communist party that's
intent on
>> [clears throat]
>> seizing all of the 5G and seizing, you
know, chip making and
and seizing advantages that that Xi
Jinping said in the
China 2025 document that they want to
lead every
major technical technological area.
And they'll they'll do whatever it
takes, whether it's the IP theft or or
unfair trade practices, dumping, or
non-tariff barriers to achieve it. And
that that's not fair to the workers in
America, and frankly, it's not fair to
workers in Ireland or the Europe either.
>> So, what you're saying, I very much get
the sense that you feel we've gone this
is Cold War 2.0. Uh possibly even worse,
given that you mentioned that that you
think China's fundamentally more
powerful than the Soviets ever were. So,
have we really just returned to a Cold
War era?
>> So, I I I don't think we've returned
into a Cold War era yet. Uh President
Trump is trying to to get along with Xi
Jinping. He respects him. He you know,
they they got a a very
cordial personal relationship.
And and and we can trade with China. I
mean, as as long as it's not military uh
you know, our weapon systems or dual-use
systems that that would would give us
the Chinese an advantage, but there's
there's there's no reason we can't trade
with China, we can't get along with
China, but China has to has to treat us
fairly.
And and turn, we'll should them fairly,
and and I think we can get we can get
through this thing.
But
you know,
ta- taking your neighbor's song and and
trying to conquer your neigh- neighbors
and and uh
engaging in unfair trade practices is
not helpful. So, I think I think both
sides don't want a
cold war and and certainly a hot war
which would be, you know,
truly a horrific uh event.
[clears throat] You know, a a hot war
between nuclear powers would be a
something we want to avoid at a
uh every every cost so we can't. And and
I I certainly as national security
advisor, when I left my
condo in the morning, I'd say a quick
prayer to
the the God to help me keep the
the US safe and and one of the one of
the
you know, key things there is avoiding
any kind of uh
>> [clears throat]
>> conflict with a nuclear power that could
escalate because Russia, China, the US
engaged in a nuclear exchange would be,
you know, devastating. So,
I
I I I
I I don't think we're ever going to go
there.
I hope not, but uh
we we can
we there's there's there's no reason we
can't go along with the Russians and the
Chinese, but
the their their belligerent and
aggressive behavior towards their
neighbors isn't helpful.
>> Moving
closer to home from from our perspective
at least, um
is US attitude towards a unified Europe
and European integration. Sin- Since the
Second World War, near every
administration has supported the idea of
European integration on the basis that
it was good for America. A stronger
Europe is a stronger ally. I I'm
wondering, the national security
strategy was published late last year,
took a very different position and and
frankly shocked a lot of Europeans and
in in the position that it took, it it
viewed more uh that it was in America's
interests not to have an integrated
Europe and to have individual European
countries acting alone, which some
people interpreted uh in on this side of
the Atlantic as a as a divide and rule
position, very different from all
previous post-war administrations.
I'd like your your your interpretation
of of how the administration thinks
about Europe and and European
integration in particular.
>> Well, look, the the main issue we have
is we want a a Europe that that reflects
Western values, that a Europe that's
that's Europe.
We want a Europe that's capable, that
can [clears throat] that can help the
United States
in the defense of Ukraine, the defense
of Taiwan, the
Strait of Hormuz.
Uh these these
you know, what
Western uh important uh
Western goals and objectives, we want a
Europe that can help us with that.
That's that's strong, that's capable,
and and that that reflects Western
values. Unfortunately, some of the
bureaucrats in Brussels have been have
you know, with their
uh
>> [clears throat]
>> limits on speech, with their unfair
trade practices with the US, with their
the the attacks on US tech companies.
Uh
you know, we think it's it's been less
less than helpful, but but we
For me for many of us, our parents or
grandparents or great-grandparents came
from Europe, and and
you know, especially with the
a nation like Ireland, you know, the the
the bonds are very strong, even if you
never visited the country. You know,
you're Irish, and uh
and you know another German, they know
they're they're they're Italian, and
that those
bonds and and and ties to Europe are are
extraordinarily strong in the United
States. We we love Europe, and uh
and certainly the Irish here love
Ireland, and uh
so so I I I I think if the European
people want to
integrate further, that that's fine, but
but we we need to have Europe pay for a
defense.
We need to have a Europe that that
believes in deterrence to deter deter
the Russians. I mean, we're not sitting
with Russians on our doorstep. The
Europeans are.
We need a Europe that that believes in
the West. I mean, the Irish saved
Western civilization. What what did they
save it for? What what did they
The monks translated all those,
you know, Greek and and Latin documents
for? It's
And and research is to maintain our
our beliefs, our values, and our
our
And our strength comes through that. And
so,
we we want a strong Europe. We want a
Europe without censorship, without you
know, denying free speech because we
don't
What What's the point if
if if we have a woke Europe that's
that's enforcing speech codes the way
the Soviets did?
What what what what's the point of
spending so much money and effort and
blood and treasure to try and defend,
you know, Europe and the West if if the
West is basically,
you know,
surrendered itself?
We
I I think most Americans are for a
strong, capable Europe that burden
shares that and that believes in Western
values. And and if the people of Europe
want to,
you know, put more more power in
Brussels, you know, God bless them, but
let's just make sure Brussels reflects
the values of the people and
and is democratic and not autocratic.
>> You mentioned Europeans paying for their
their own defense, and of course that
that has been certainly as long as I've
been in this business, that has been a
always been a call that Americans have
felt that Europeans weren't doing enough
for their own defense.
Um but in the final few minutes, maybe
maybe we just we focus on on some views
you might have on Ireland. You you wrote
what what some people might call a tough
love op-ed in the Wall Street Journal
last year. And one of the criticisms you
made of Ireland was it's it's free
riding. Um for those who haven't read
the article or maybe uh those who have
and would like to hear more,
you might just elaborate on on how you
and and Republican circles view Ireland,
obviously a relatively small country,
we're not in NATO, but it just in that
issue around defense uh and and what
Ireland should be doing. Uh a few
thoughts on that.
>> Sure, sure. Yeah,
let let me start by saying
uh
you know, maybe other than Israel, there
there's no other country in the world
that has the the support and the the the
affection and that that Ireland has in
the United States. I mean, you know, the
the
St. Patrick's Day celebrations
are enormous, not just the people of
Irish descent, but but of almost the
entire country.
You know, we have Irish politicians come
here and they're received by the
president in the White House and by the
speaker of the house and the majority
leader of the Senate.
I Ireland has a
huge base of support in America
because so many of us are from Ireland
and uh we're
starved out at one point or the other
and
had
and had to come over or wanted the
adventure and the
the wide open, you know, country to come
to, you know, try their luck and try
their try and make a fortune here.
And so there there's a real love for
Ireland.
What we've seen though is
is it and there's nobody has a problem
with Irish neutrality. I mean,
the Finns were neutral, the Swedes were
neutral, the Swiss are are neutral
still.
If Ireland wants to be neutral, that's
fine, but neutral neutrality doesn't
mean pacifism.
And I mean, [clears throat] we
I kind of think one of my favorite films
of the last decade has been the season
uh
two in the film.
And and [clears throat] to to see how
brave and and how
courageously the Irish fought in in that
instance
and and
in our history to see how brave the the
Irish were in in in taking out the the
that little island to the to the east.
Uh
So so Ireland's got a great martial
tradition.
And so it can be neutral, but it can't
it shouldn't be a pacifist. And
I
I'm
really glad to see that the Irish are
starting to invest more in defense. The
drone program is great. The new
helicopters are great.
But you have to think that the the
Chinese with one frigate could enforce a
boycott of of Ireland if it wasn't for
the Royal Navy, which is
sadly a shadow of its former self, and
the the US Navy, which is spread very
very thin.
Uh I Ireland could be
blockaded by a a single Chinese frigate
sitting off Angola and Namibia.
Where they they will they will have a
base in the next few years. They'll
they'll they'll have a
base [clears throat] on the Atlantic.
And Ireland can't even even defend
itself. It has no jet aircraft. It has
no frigates. It has no
no navy, so to speak.
So look, I
I believe just for for Ireland not not
to be part of NATO or not to engage in
in military action on behalf of the US
or with the US as a partner, but just to
defend itself, Ireland needs a military.
It needs a naval service, and it needs
an an air force.
And [clears throat] and
gone are the days of Irish poverty and
and
uh
you know, the the
the days where everyone had to immigrate
to have a chance. I Ireland's become
very prosperous and and uh uh
advanced country and a very modern
country, and it can afford a a small
modern military paid for by 2 or 5% of
its GDP.
And that that will that will only be to
the benefit of Ireland.
If it actually wanted to join NATO, that
would be that would be it might be a
grain.
But but just to protect itself and and
to avoid a boycott
or
a blockade by the the Chinese and it
should have some military expertise. And
if the the Russians aren't far away
either. I mean just just to your north.
And and
they they they've shown the capacity to
cut cables
uh to to engage in espionage, to engage
in political assassination in the in the
British Isles. I mean that and and we've
seen how brutal that their invasion and
occupation of Ukraine has been.
So, uh I I I think I Ireland has to it's
fine to depend on the US and
you know, I think we'll be there for
Ireland, but we need to have some burden
sharing. Just like our burden sharing
with NATO, we have to have some burden
sharing with with a
neutral Ireland so that if something
does happen, the balloon goes up, that
that we're there and then we can work
together to defend Ireland.
>> In that piece, you you also very
specifically warned against courting
Chinese investment. I was interested to
know what was what your concerns are
around that. Is it because you feel that
Chinese companies will do the bidding of
of of Beijing? Do Is it because you feel
that in this new environment, allies
have to choose
um and that playing riding both horses
is is not possible and that America is
within its rights to insist that its
allies
do not deal too too closely with China.
Just interested in in in in in your
thinking around uh that warning.
>> Sure, Dan. The
The big issue is Chinese espionage.
That's the number one issue and that's
um
Huawei has all over our economic data,
our personal data, our medical records,
our
uh
every one of our emails and
and if that that happens, especially
with Huawei with 5G. Every conversation
you have with it's not Huawei phone is
going to a
a cloud of Beijing.
And even if a Chinese company is just
run by owned by Chinese people under
under the their own their national
security law, every country in in China
is is subordinate to the party and has
to do do the party's bidding. So,
I mean,
so so number number one is the
espionage. Number two
is the the economic
impact of of the their unfair trade
practices. Well,
whether it's IP theft and we have great
American companies, you know, doing a
lot of pharmaceutical work, a lot of
electronics work, a lot of
uh silicon chip work in in Ireland,
software development. And so, we need to
make sure that the the Chinese don't
steal that property, intellectual
property,
and uh and put our companies out out of
business
and and grow their their their companies
as a result.
Number three is
the national security impact is
if you have BYD cars, uh
you know,
Israel has banned
has banned Chinese electric vehicles
from from its military bases
and it's thinking about banning from
other jurisdictions. We don't have
Chinese cars here, but every one of
those cars, think of it as a sensor.
As a
a platform for for Chinese espionage.
But but also they could be kinetically
used in in if there was a war situation
Taiwan or
uh
Ireland decided to oppose China for any
reason,
those cars could be weaponized and and,
you know, driven into govern- government
buildings, run down civilians, not work.
So,
there's there's there's there's a whole
panel play of reasons to be concerned
about the Chinese
but I I'm not advocating that that they
should not trade with the Chinese and
that they for for non-essential for for
non-national security items
but the Chinese can should be allowed
invited to build factories and and that
sort of thing.
But
just be careful of of the
the the dirty use and Chinese economic
and national security espionage and and
the potential for sabotage.
>> We've hit the 45 minutes but just one
question and if you want to just give
this a yes no. Um you you were also
critical of Ireland's position on Israel
Palestine in that article. You may have
seen that in the past week legislation
has been passed here to ban the
importation of goods from the occupied
territories. Now a few dozen American
politicians have previously warned that
could have consequences for Ireland in
terms of our relations with with the
United States. Do you think that could
uh have blowback?
>> Yes and
I'm waiting to see the the similar
legislation regarding China based on
their their actual genocide of the
Uyghurs.
It sounds like a pretty big double
standard to me.
>> Ambassador
>> Legislation against the Arabs or I mean
taking Jews out of the entire Middle
East and and shoving them into Israel or
Europe. So,
you know, it's
I hope it stops this rank anti-Semitism
because you know, I don't feel that way.
I
I don't think most Irish people feel
that way about the Jewish people.
You know, we we've got a lot of
similarities between us and
a lot a lot of uh
kind of kind of shared history and and
it's unfortunate
>> [clears throat]
>> it's perfectly legitimate to have a
to want a two-party
two-state solution or
a peace treaty between the the
Palestinians and the Israelis is
perfectly reasonable not to, to support
expanded settlements.
I, I get all that, but the idea that,
you know, Israel's being punished, uh,
a
plucky little country in a very
difficult neighborhood is being punished
in a way that that no other country is
being punished by Ireland.
It, it, it's not a good look for Ireland
and I, I,
I don't think Americans will like it. I
don't think people around the world
will, will like it.
>> Ambassador O'Brien, you've been very
generous with your time. We appreciate
it
very much. We've covered an awful lot of
ground.
So, thanks so much again and wishing,
wishing you and your staff a good day.
>> [music]