Video summary
The Power Hour Live Trading session on August 7th began with a strong market opening where major indices like the S&P and Nasdaq posted significant gains, while commodities such as gold and silver also rose alongside Bitcoin trading above $65,000. Despite this positive backdrop, the trader faced immediate challenges when political news involving Trump impacted his positions, specifically causing double stop-outs on British iron condor trades that had been performing well earlier in the day. The session highlighted a disciplined approach to risk management, where the host emphasized focusing on process and probabilities rather than gambling instincts, acknowledging that even with tight market ranges around 62 points for SPX, unexpected volatility can quickly alter trading outcomes.
Throughout the live broadcast, the trader managed a diverse portfolio of open positions including long calls on SpaceX taken off pre-market highs which yielded substantial profits before exiting near six dollars despite continued upward momentum in the underlying stock. Other notable trades included earnings-based strategies involving companies like PLTR and APP where he chose to let certain options expire or transform them into vertical spreads for future potential gains, while others required closing due to unfavorable price movements relative to strike prices. The host also discussed specific dilemmas regarding hedged iron condors that landed in narrow valleys at the bottom of their ranges, debating whether to cut losses based on percentage thresholds or hold out hoping for a market move that could resolve the position without additional risk exposure from wing strikes.
In addition to executing trades, the video featured updates and improvements to the Flux Analyzer software tool used by the trading community, introducing features like highlighted strike areas to prevent clicking errors and a new paste button allowing users to copy strategies directly from Thinkorswim for analysis within the platform. These technical enhancements aimed to reduce lag and improve user experience compared to previous versions, ensuring real-time data updates every thirty seconds rather than tick-by-tick synchronization which could introduce delays. The session concluded with an intense final minute of market close imbalance trading where the trader attempted to fill orders at specific strike prices like 55 on SPX options but ultimately settled slightly inside break-even levels as markets fizzled out, ending the day with a wrap-up that encouraged viewers to enjoy their weekend before returning next week.
Read the full video transcript
Come get ready to enter,
but first let's get the mindset
centered.
Hey, hey, let's go.
We're not here to gamble, we're here to
trade. We follow the plan, that's how we
get paid. Test and trade, have success.
Find what works for you and forget the
rest. Stats and probabilities is what
we're about.
Time to dismiss greed and doubt. Focus
on the process, not the money, and the
profits will flow like honey. Power Hour
Live, let's start the show. Come on
Trade Hackers, get ready to go. Zero Day
Options, time to make bank. Get locked
and loaded, then be ready to plank. Hey.
>> Hey everyone, welcome to Power Hour
Live. Today's Friday, August 7th. We've
got the S&P now up 45 points. Nasdaq is
up 326.
Russell up 36 and the Dow is up 161.
Gold up 2 and 1/2%. Silver was up 3 and
1/2. Notes and bonds a little bit green,
10-year yield down about a quarter
percent. Oil is flat, natural gas is up
3/4.
Soybeans finished a little red, wheat up
1%, corn a little bit red.
Euro and the pound are both up a third.
And Bitcoin up a little over half
percent, right above 65,000. VIX down 1
and 1/2% below 15.
Currently at 14.91.
Apparently Trump is on the mic and he
went ahead and smoked out
my British iron condors
to the tune of eight double stops.
Was having a nice little day. Nice
little big day.
But
those got hammered.
Uh Uh, other trades today.
Two closed trades. Uh, my SpaceX uh, day
trade this morning long calls off
pre-market high. That was good for 1750.
Uh,
my time fly closed that for 1,100.
As far as open trades,
I've got this PLTR
earnings trade that I'll just let
expire. That's going to be good for
$308.
I've got my AMD calendar still.
That one's going to be I'm I need to
close that here shortly.
That'll be a little loser. APP is
another earnings trade. I'll let that
expire.
That was a bullish play that went
bearish on me.
Uh, my one DTE from yesterday that I
transformed will hit minimum profit of
300.
I've got a hedged iron condor from
yesterday. I was able to remove the risk
on the downside, but kind of in this
valley here, so I need
price to continue above 60.
Not too far away.
I've got a one DTE from today that I
transformed to a bullish
uh,
vertical spread for Monday.
So, that's got a max profit of 1,500 if
we get back up to all-time highs.
Uh, my double calendar from today, that
would be number
number 204.
Looks like it's up about 12% getting
close to potential transformation.
I need uh, I need about 1405. It's
currently trading about 1380.
>> Number 203, that double calendar I've
been holding.
That one's down. I need to close that by
end of day.
Uh, this is Fastly. That was that
bearish post earnings trade I took
yesterday with puts. Down a little bit.
So, that is my day.
Yeah, I was wondering how you stayed
green, Elliot. At least you At least you
got out of some.
But, yeah, that's brutal.
I mean, pretty tight range all day. What
are we talking here? 62 to 20 About a
40-point range.
Haven't come close to an expected move
area.
Almost back up to highs of day.
Just couldn't let us have a nice little
peaceful Friday, kitty.
Just had to
had to let something out. What did he
even say?
I didn't even see.
No, it has Nothing's posted in the Trump
Truths feed.
Financial Juice says
Trump announcing a series of mining
projects worth 3 billion.
Trump
to provide more than 2 billion
to four battery minerals companies.
Oh, US official, there is progress
between Oman and Iran on the Strait of
Hormuz and we expect a deal soon.
Got it.
I don't know what I'm going to do once
this deal actually
happens.
I mean,
this deal has been almost done for
months.
I'm not going to know how to trade after
this deal gets done.
Uh
Uh let's see what else we got. We had
some earnings, but nothing really
nothing that I took yesterday.
After the close yesterday was Airbnb,
RGTI, DraftKings. Mo Well, are your
DraftKings still doing good?
Okay, ALO was this morning.
Gapped about half of its expected move.
Biggest movers today, Airbnb after
earnings up almost 16%. SpaceX took off.
That's the one day trade I took.
>> Took that right here off of premarket
high.
Got out right here.
Thought I did pretty solid.
Then it kept going.
And going.
Going.
Let me see if I still have those on my
watch list.
Oh, yeah.
So, I got out of my last one right
around six bucks.
So, I bought in at $2.09.
I got out of my last one right under six
bucks, and they're now trading at 11.50.
Uh PLTR also strong today. It's up 9 and
1/2%.
Still trading near highs.
Really slowed down after the first hour.
SMCI's up six, Uber up six, DraftKings
up six, Coin up six.
Biggest red, SNDK is down three.
Nora, you got your 67 transformed? I
guess I haven't even put in an order
yet. I guess I better do that.
Actually, first thing I need to do is I
need to close my AMD.
Okay, I'm out of that.
Let's see what this is trading at here.
I need over 14 bucks.
We'll see. I'll I'll I'll hold off a
little bit on this uh number 204
transformer.
Well, I'm going to put in an order.
I don't know if it's going to get there.
I'll put in an order at 1410.
I may transform it for a little bit of
risk on the wings though, if it doesn't
quite get there.
Or maybe I'll close half and book
profits and
transform part of it. We'll see. We'll
see where it's at.
S and P made that little surge, but just
kind of chopping between 50 and 55.
I need above 60.
All right, I just closed the rest of my
number 203
that I've been holding for a few days.
Yeah, I've done that some as well, E.
Allison. That's a good
like that strategy as well.
>> Yes, and peel a little pull back to 51.
I will
I haven't pushed these out yet, but
just to give you a little preview
on the flux analyzer, couple of requests
that you guys have made. Number one,
in the whole clicking and dragging
strikes,
now when you hover over the area of a
strike, it's going to pop up this little
yellow
highlighted circle, plus it'll display
the actual strike.
And so, as you click and drag,
it will that strike number will change.
So, it'll help you avoid like trying to
click on the whole thing and drag the
whole graph and mistakenly
drag a strike. Now, it gives you that
nice little highlight.
And before, like if I was on the 7795
anywhere on this whole vertical of 7795,
it would grab that strike. Now, it's
only around the little
kink of the strike.
So, that's number one.
Number two
is this
little paste trade uh button up here.
So, if you click on that,
now you can copy a trade from
Thinkorswim,
paste it in here,
and it will
you can analyze it in Flux.
So, for example, like here's my
Let me copy my 1 DTE from today.
Paste it in there, add to graph.
Creates the Theo card plus the uh
plus the graph.
And then this morning I I posted an
update with a bunch of stuff, but these
these two things I just mentioned, those
are not they're not released yet. I just
got a
review a few things and I'll push those
out after the close.
Yeah, there's zero lag on this compared
to toss. I mean, I have it I have it set
up
it's set up to do if you hover over that
live button, it refreshes every 30
seconds.
So, that like the price of SPX and the
the spot price is going to update every
30 seconds. So, it's not tick for tick,
but as far as
There's other than that, there's zero
lag
as far as doing everything else.
So, much faster.
Hey, it's fine. You know, I I mean I
haven't seen the sun in 4 days, JosephT,
but it's cool.
At least I'm getting some updates for
you guys.
I mean my eyes are burning
because I've done nothing but stare at
the screen for 4 days, but hey,
I hope you guys like it.
SPX back down to 50.
Don't push it, E Allison. Don't push it.
Russell blasted through highs of day
through pre-market high on that little
news report. S&P not quite back up to
highs. Nasdaq not quite to highs.
>> Bitcoin right around yesterday's high.
Yeah, I'm going to have to consult with
uh
Nostradamus Krish for that feature Noir.
So, give me some time on that. We'll
work together.
Let's see. We still have 23 minutes.
13 minutes to MOC.
Joey Bags,
have you done anything else to your
hedge dire condor?
Mine's Mine's sitting in the valley
still.
That's the one thing I can't quite
figure out how I want to handle.
Like what
You know, I mean it's a it's literally a
10-wide little valley
at the at the very bottom.
So, it doesn't take much move to get out
of it, but like but like yesterday it
ended up landing in the valley.
Cuz I just let it go.
And today I'm kind of stuck in the same
situation.
So,
either need to figure out
like if I get down a certain percentage
of my initial max risk, cut it, or just
take the risk of hoping it doesn't land
in that valley, I guess, if
if I wasn't able to remove the risk
before the end of the day.
Yeah, I mean, I could I could build a
little tight iron condor above that.
But that that also creates risk on the
wings then. So, if we do get a move up,
then I would lose.
So, there are things I could do based on
a specific assumption, but
but I don't know. I'm just I'm just
going to let it ride.
My 67, I've got an order in to
transform. I don't think it's going to
get there, though.
I could transform right now for what
looks to be about
6 6 or 700 dollars of risk on the wings
and a max profit of 8,500.
I think I'll probably close half and
transform half.
That's kind of what I'm thinking.
Kind of what E Allison mentioned above.
Yeah, so if I
Show you here. Give me a minute.
Yeah, so right now if I transformed
half,
let's say I got 1355,
which is about where it's trading.
And then I closed half for about 985,
which is where it's trading.
That would give me a minimum profit of
275 and a max profit of 4775.
So, that's what I'm thinking.
>> All right, so I closed half.
And I transformed half.
So yeah, minimum profit 275 max 4775.
Get that posted.
All right, just posted that.
Yeah, I like that Tony and I've done
that for sure.
On some of them.
It's just hard to see like
It's just uh uh
You know, like this one. It's like
right here at 77.51.
Just If we just move up a little bit,
and all it takes will be a little move.
So, it's it's just that dilemma.
And then, you know, if you if you play
it the way that I have the last, you
know, yesterday and today, you just got
to accept that every once in a while
it's going to fall in your little
valley.
Yeah, especially on the days like
yesterday, especially, where it just it
literally just sat in the valley for
hours.
And you're just thinking,
"Surely it's going to move 15 points by
the end of the day."
You know, you start You just play that
whole game.
SpaceX still near of day.
All the people who thought the lockout
date was going to send SpaceX lower get
their getting their faces ripped off.
MOC in 2 minutes.
Yeah, I like that mentality, Tony.
The 55 Mahomes is trading for about a
dollar 30 it looks like.
>> One minute till the Nasdaq will be the
market to close. In balance data.
>> One minute till MOC.
>> Small MOC, I'm going to go half size.
Big MOC, I'll go full.
>> 10 seconds.
Mark on close imbalance S&P 500 buy side
508 million. Nasdaq 100 buy side 313
million. Dow 30 sell side 95 million.
Mag 7 sell side 237 million.
>> What do you have against 55 a bush?
I mean, based on your track record with
my homes, I think I should triple my
size now on 55.
I'm going to go half size.
It was sitting at an exact pin yesterday
for
about a minute after the close.
And then it moved a few cents. So, it
wasn't an exact pin, but it was within a
few cents. But, it was literally at it
the exact pin.
I thought it was going to be an exact
pin.
What about 50, Abosh? You taking that
one?
Abosh likes 50. He hates 55.
I've got a 50 and a 55 working at two
bucks.
Looks a little sleepy.
>> Fridays can be a little sleepy into the
close.
If we can push up to 55, that should be
close to filling.
There's 54.
I'd prefer 55 up to 60, Noah, if you
don't mind.
That'd be my preference.
That would help my head start a condor
out.
Sitting in between strikes still.
There's 55.
No fill. there's 56.
Getting close. Looks like it's close.
Back to 53.
Less than 4 minutes.
Looks like it's trading at about a
dollar 85.
3 minutes.
Here we go. Filled on the 55s.
See, now this is the time when we need
Trump to open his mouth.
Not before.
Not 30 minutes ago.
56.
57.
There's 58.
You got it. You can do it. Keep going.
We need a new high of day.
59.
>> There's 60.
Stay up, little buddy.
Less than a minute. 61.
High of day was
6308.
There's 62.
You got it. You're doing a good job,
SPX.
Stay strong. Oh, no.
Oh, boy.
He's fizzled. He's fizzling.
10 seconds.
Oh, no. What is that? What was that?
That's not cool.
All right, a little inside the break
even. 7757.46.
7757.46.
So close.
All right, all. That is a wrap for the
day. Hope everybody has a good weekend.
We'll be back at it next week. Oh, check
the live stream schedule. There are a
few days, the last few days of the week
we will not be live streaming.
But, uh, first couple we will. So, have
a good weekend. Talk to you soon.