Submind YouTube summaries
Thumbnail for Poll: Palestinian support for Hamas falls from 35% to 24%

Poll: Palestinian support for Hamas falls from 35% to 24%

Watch on YouTube

Video summary

As pressure mounts to convert Gaza's ceasefire framework into a lasting peace arrangement, significant internal fractures have emerged within Hamas's military wing, the Al-Qassam Brigades, regarding disarmament and weapon handovers. Sources indicate that leadership concerns persist that Israel might exploit any disarmament process to launch further attacks or assassinate Hamas leaders. These fears are compounded by a sharp decline in Palestinian public support for the group, particularly in the West Bank, where fewer citizens now believe Hamas emerged victorious from the war. Despite this waning popularity, a major obstacle remains: a large majority of Palestinians still oppose Hamas surrendering its weapons before a full Israeli withdrawal from Gaza, highlighting the complex interplay between internal security fears and public sentiment. The interview with Sameh Snishlawi, head of the new Masar Jadid Palestinian Party, reveals that these divisions stem from the total destruction of Hamas's traditional chain of command since October 7th. While political elections have occurred and Khalil al-Hayya leads the political bureau in negotiations, the military wing on the ground has effectively dissolved into chaos, with individuals acting independently rather than under a central authority. Snishlawi explains that many fighters now view their weapons as personal property worth significant value, serving as their only means of protection against angry crowds or rival gangs. Consequently, he argues that disarmament cannot be a one-day event but must be a supervised, multi-stage process enforced by a new Palestinian technocrat government to ensure it serves national interests rather than just external demands. Public perception data from the Ramallah-based Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research underscores a dramatic shift in sentiment, with satisfaction levels for Hamas dropping from 66% ten months ago to 45% in the West Bank and falling to 38% in Gaza. Snishlawi attributes this decline not only to frustration with current leadership but also to a clear desire among Palestinians for democratic change that can replace destruction and corruption. He emphasizes that upcoming elections will likely show even lower support for both Hamas and Fatah, as the majority of the population seeks an alternative politics focused on providing services, education, employment, and reconstruction. Ultimately, the poll suggests that while frustration is high, hope remains for a new path that prioritizes coexistence and development over continuing cycles of violence.
Read the full video transcript
As pressure grows to turn Gaza's ceasefire framework into a lasting arrangement, I24 News has learned that there are major disputes within the leadership of Hamas' military wing, the Al-Qassam Brigades, when it comes to disarmament and actually handing over the weapons. There are concerns within the terror group that Israel could later exploit this to carry out further attacks and assassinate the Hamas leaders. While at the same time, a new Palestinian poll shows support for Hamas has dropped sharply, particularly in the West Bank, with fewer Palestinians saying the group emerged victorious from the war. But the survey also underscores the central obstacle ahead. A large majority still oppose Hamas giving up its weapons before a full Israeli withdrawal from Gaza. Joined now by Sameh Snishlawi, head of the new Masar Jadid Palestinian Party. Sameh, great to have you with us on I24 News. A source from within Hamas told I24 News that there are these major differences within the Al-Qassam Brigades over restricting weapons. How significant could those internal divisions actually be? >> Well, I can understand these divisions because now Hamas is not exactly what it has been on the 6th or the 7th of October. The uh uh chain of command has been totally destructed and disappeared. There is a lot of chaos. The The organization is not acting as an organization, especially when it comes to the military wing. Yes, on the political level, there have been elections. There have been the political bureau that is functioning now. Khalil al-Hayya is the head. He is handling negotiations even with top American diplomats. But on the ground, the military wing has been totally disappearing little and little, and there is no central command. So, uh the individuals there who have been still uh uh present on on the ground are taking more individual decisions, and especially when it comes to disarmament, you know, a piece of of arm like a Kalashnikov in Gaza worth around 100,000 shekels. And any any Hamas member believes now that this is his own property. He he owns it. It's not the organization anymore. There is no organization. There is no central command that is above him. Uh and it's not only the value of of of the gun, it's also that this gun is becoming his only source to protect himself maybe from angry crowd in the future. So, we can we can understand that there would be a lot of difficulties in the disarmament. That's why I keep saying that disarmament of Hamas cannot be a one-day event. It is a process and it should be a process that is supervised, implemented, and enforced by Palestinian uh leadership, by Palestinian new regime, by the technocrat government, the technocrat committee that is supervised and empowered by the board of peace. And this process should you know it start. The trigger is the change of power. We need to get back the power from Hamas and then using this power including the the the ability to enforce law into forcing the disarmament on every individual including Hamas, including there is a lot of chaos now in in Gaza. There are lots of arms again among families, among gangs. It's a big mess. And it needs a certain process that is tough, that is determined, that is accurate, that we understand that we need to do it as the Palestinians out of national interest, not because only Israel demands it, because we the Palestinians need, because this is the first step for a new future, for hope, for the Palestinian people, for development, for the reconstruction of Gaza, it starts with the disarmament of all the groups including Hamas in Gaza. >> Well, we're staying on the public perception right now of Hamas. This new poll from the Ramallah-based Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research, it says in the West Bank 45% of responded they're satisfied with the terror group. That's 45% but that dropped from 66% that were happy with Hamas 10 months ago. Somewhere in Gaza, that number is 38% that are currently happy with Hamas. What do you think is driving that decline? >> Well, let me tell you that uh the only real poll that will really give us an accurate uh reflection of the Palestinian public opinion will be the elections on the 28th of November. These polls, I think the margin of error is very big but they show you some tendency and I think they are accurate. This tendency, first of all, they show clearly that the Palestinian people are frustrated from the current leadership, whether it is Hamas or whether it is the current leadership in in in Ramallah. But at the same time, where frustration is clear, it there is something that also clear that the Palestinians did not uh lose hope of a democratic change. They still see that there should be some kind of a new path uh of of an option that will replace the destruction of Gaza and the corruption in the West Bank. So, frustration is there but hope is still there. Second, I think uh the poll focuses a lot about the different political options. Some of them are not realistic. Okay, putting Marwan Barghouti together with other candidates and running a poll, it's like telling the Israelis, "Would you vote to Ben Gurion or uh uh Gantz or or uh Lapid or Bennett or or or Netanyahu? Uh there is something not realistic. People will not vote this election on the Palestinian side will not be a vote a choose between parties. It will be a vote between two options. Whether the Palestinians would like to stay for another uh circle of violence and suffer and pain and and uh uh you know blood on both sides or will the Palestinians choose for a democratic change, for hope, for construction, for dialogue, for coexistence? These are the two options. It's not choosing between political parties, it's choosing between those two options. And I'll tell you something maybe uh to a little bit ease the the fear among Israelis from the Palestinian election. I think the Israelis should not be afraid of the Palestinian elections. I think that allowing the Palestinians to choose democratically their their leadership will be maybe in the best interest of Israelis because I do see according to this poll also that the tendency for a change is clear. Together Fatah and Hamas are less than 45% and in reality you will see on the day of election that it is much less than this. The majority of the Palestinian people, maybe 60% of the Palestinian people are looking for something different, are looking for a politics that can better their lives. Okay, we want to reach to a Palestinian state next to Israel, but why should we suffer while reaching there? Why don't the Palestinians deserve to have a government that provides services, that provide better education, that provide employment, that focuses on uh uh simple needs of the Palestinian people because Palestinian people are also families who would like to live a better life. So, we see tendency towards choosing an alternative, something better than Hamas and Abbas. >> A positive look towards the future, it sounds like. Sami Abu Zuhri thank you for being with us on i24 News today. Appreciate it.