Peter Overzet Talks Mispriced Players, Ridiculous Parker Washington Hype
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Peter Overzet joins the conversation from a Draft Nation event in Las Vegas to discuss his journey as a fantasy football content creator and his philosophy on player valuation. Overzet explains that his career began with a comedy-focused podcast around 2015, which eventually evolved into a multi-platform presence including YouTube and newsletters for Fantasy Life. He contrasts his "slow burn" growth trajectory with the rapid rise of newer creators who leverage algorithms and proven content formulas to gain quick popularity. While acknowledging that playing to the algorithm is an effective strategy for many, Overzet emphasizes that he prioritizes creating content he genuinely enjoys, focusing on niche areas like comedy and deep baseball analysis rather than chasing viral trends solely for views.
A significant portion of the discussion centers on the current hype surrounding wide receiver Parker Washington, which Overzet finds ridiculous given the player's limited sample size and high volatility compared to established talents like Travis Hunter or Brian Thomas Jr. He argues that while he has been tempted by the drumbeat of excitement around Washington, he refuses to draft him over more reliable options in the middle rounds, such as Mike Evans or Devonte Adams. Overzet also highlights several players he believes are massively mispriced relative to their Average Draft Position (ADP), specifically citing Chris Godwin and George Kittle. Despite concerns about injuries at his age, he points out that both receivers appear fully healthy and ready for the season, making them excellent values in the later rounds compared to other wideouts dealing with issues like Tyjae Jackson's toe injury.
The interview concludes with Overzet reflecting on the balance between providing smart, calculated draft advice and maintaining audience engagement without being boring. He admits that while he aims to make plus expected value (EV) bets over a long timeline, he must sometimes soften his stance to avoid antagonizing viewers or getting "dunked on" by critics who disagree with his takes. Looking ahead, Overzet expresses a desire to increase the production value of his streams to feel more like appointment television events rather than casual broadcasts, leveraging new AI tools for better overlays and visuals. He also shares enthusiasm for the concept of a reality TV show featuring fantasy analysts in a "guillotine league" format, where one person is eliminated each week, suggesting that such high-stakes drama could be a viable future project if the right budget and production quality can be secured.
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So, we are joined by someone that is
really well beloved, I would hope, in
the fantasy community. Over 80, no,
54,000 followers on Twitter. I didn't
want to give you that much credit.
>> No, it's a it's a slow burn. I'm not I
don't I'm not an 80k kind of guy. Got to
sit in that pocket. Yeah,
>> that's Clougy.
>> That's right. Yeah,
>> you'll get to that point eventually, but
you have made a lot of moves with uh
Underdog. You do a lot of work with
Underdog and then Fantasy Life as well.
>> Peter Overset joining us on the show.
Pete, thanks for stopping by. Give us
the time.
>> Excited to do it. We've been having some
fun drafting and uh yeah, let's chop it
up.
>> Yeah, we are here actually at the Draft
Nation event in Las Vegas. It's the
first year that we've been doing this.
What do you think of the event so far?
>> It's been fun. Yeah, I didn't know what
to expect just because first time having
it. I've come out previously, you know,
end of August, early September to do
kind of high stakes drafts. So, there's
part of that vibe here, which is always
fun getting to do those drafts, but then
having the parties and stuff and, you
know, got to hang out with Austin Eckler
yesterday. Tom Everett Scott was getting
dunk tanked at the uh at the party. So,
it's been a good time.
>> Oh, okay. That's that's who it was cuz
he was actually looking back at me uh
yesterday at Stadium Swim. Uh I was
probably a few rows back. We were
sitting together and he kept on looking
back. He kept on waving, right? Yeah.
>> In my direction. Now, I've I wasn't born
yesterday. I've been down that route.
when somebody waves
>> and there's somebody behind you.
>> Oh,
>> because I had no idea like he didn't
know who I was, right? So, I'm like I I
stood my ground, but he kept on waving
and I was tempted.
>> Did you figure out who he was actually
waving at?
>> No, because I feel like if I just looked
behind me, I would have lost. I would
have lost in that moment. So, I I stood
my ground.
>> So, there's a reality where he was
waving at you and you actually just big
timed him and you're just like, I'm not
going to acknowledge this wave.
>> If that's the case,
>> yeah,
>> Thomas, I'm so sorry.
>> I'll try to smooth things over for you.
I'll let him know.
>> Thank you. Let let him know. Yes.
Because he knows everything about me. Uh
but we want to know everything about you
and your content creation journey. So
tell me a little bit about that. How'd
you get started?
>> Yeah, it it's funny. The first stuff I
did in the space was uh a podcast called
the Fantasy Football Comedy Hour. And I
did it with some of these buddies I met
doing improv comedy in Boston like 2010
to 2014. We discovered we all like
fantasy football and we're like, "Hey,
we should start doing comedic stuff
within this this niche." We started it
as a live show that we would do, but
people would come to this theater and
it's like they pay to see a show and
they're like fantasy football comedy and
we're like we should probably just do
this online. And then that kind of just
spun into a bunch of other
opportunities. Started doing some other
podcasts with Roto Viz 4 for four and
then started doing my own YouTube
channel and everything kind of spiraled
from just starting that initial podcast.
>> And what year was this?
>> This would have been like 2015 1617 that
I was doing that podcast uh for a while
with those guys. Yeah,
>> it's huge cuz I talked to Michael
Fabiano about this as well where content
creators cuz I started making content in
2013. I probably didn't do it full-time
or really seriously until probably 2019,
2020.
>> Yeah.
>> Um, but I was dabbling with it, but it
felt like everybody that made content
starting in like 2021, 2022, I felt like
co was like the big boom where everybody
could just take off. Do you feel like
with the fantasy football world people
that have just started around that time
21 22 whereas you or fabs have been
doing it for a very long time. Do you
feel like in a sense you've been
leapfrogged by those content creators
like people
>> like they just take advantage of the
fancy community and they just found a
way
>> to get popular? Yeah.
>> Whereas like you have been putting in
the work for that long.
>> I Yeah, I think I kind of know what
you're saying. I mean, there's there's
kind of different lanes of fantasy
content, right? There is the kind of
things that are proven, right? We know
it work. If you're going to do sleeper
videos, if you're going to do trade
targets, you know, mustdraft players,
there's there's a recipe to kind of
success within the fantasy football
space. And so, to your point, like you
can just play that game and be like, I
know what people want. I know what the
algorithm is going to like, and I'm
going to do that. I think for me, it's
just not as interesting and as exciting.
And some of the stuff I like drilling
down to are the niches doing comedy,
doing best baseball stuff. It's not as
big as like the total addressable
fantasy football market. And then you
have to be more comfortable with the
slow burn. Like I've grown, you know,
much more slowly than if I really
hammered that angle. And so ultimately
it comes down to what's enjoyable for
you, what's sustainable for you. And I
think if you play the long game, you can
really end up making the content you
genuinely enjoy doing versus just being
like, man, I want to make the content
that I know can get the most views.
>> Well, the content that is getting a lot
of views right now currently prior to
draft season is anybody that is hyped up
on Parker Washington. Yes. Now, I
dabbled with your Twitter a little bit
and you have been very vocal. I don't
know about you're probably high on
Parker Washington. I don't know. I want
to know your answer, but the hype around
Parker Washington, you're very critical
of that, so please explain.
>> So, no, I mean, it it's basically turned
into a bit like beginning of the
offseason, my take on the Jags wide
receivers were there's a lot of
ambiguity here, right? And it's like you
have essentially four guys and you have
Brian Thomas who was a first- round
pick. You have Travis Hunter who they
took, you know, second overall. You have
Jacobe Myers who they paid a ton of
money in the offseason who's been
awesome, you know, for almost a decade
now. And then Parker Washington, who of
all of those guys is the most unheralded
prospect, has a very small sample size
as far as breaking out late in the year
last year. To me, he strikes me as the
most volatile, risky selection. And so,
my take basically been, I want to play
it through the cheaper pieces. Like,
give me Travis Hunter late. Yeah, it
might not work out, but if it does hit,
it's probably going to hit in a really
big way just how talented he is. So, I
have just kind of been bing at the
Parker Washington price and then he
keeps getting more and more expensive.
the drum beat that I now call a gong
beat because it's just like symbols
crashing into my head every time I log
in. It is hard to ignore. And so like
one of my bits has been he's been
getting so expensive and I'm like I'm
not taking him over guys like Christian
Watson and some of these other solid
guys in the middle of the fifth, Mike
Evans, Devonte Adams. It's like am I
really going to take Parker Washington
over these future Hall of Famers? So
I've had to capitulate a little bit. I'm
going to sprinkle in some Parker
Washington, but I got to draw the line
somewhere and I'm not taking him over
those guys. That actually leads me to
the next question is in the past have
you been this critical about certain
players and you actually ended up being
correct because I know there's a lot of
fantasy analysts that uh fantasy
receipts is a thing. Yeah.
>> Uh and they're saying oh you know own up
to your mistakes which I don't know if
you do maybe you do maybe you don't but
uh any players that you were so critical
on and it's like guys let's just calm
down with this and you've actually been
correct. Well, it's so funny you say
that and mentioned fantasy receipts
because they tried to get me and then
they dunked on themselves because one of
my hot takes last year was Ashen Genty
was going to be a mega bust in round one
and he I think it was like week four or
week five. He had that one big game
against the Bears and that was like his
only good game of the year. So, Fantasy
Receeds pulled that clip I had of it and
then Genty ended up being the worst
round one pick you could have made last
year. And you know what? They never they
never recirculated that one after that.
So, uh yeah. No, I I wouldn't even
consider myself uh you know a hot take
artist. I'm not like trying to rage bait
people with with stuff like that. I
think when you play in so many leagues
and baseball players do, it humbles you
quickly because you draft a lot of
teams, you come to respect the market in
ADP and you realize that when you make
those big stands, it's fun to talk
about. It's fun to get engagement, but
it's ultimately not how like success
really plays out in fantasy with these
big strong takes because you're
basically saying everyone else is wrong
and I know something they don't when you
go out on a limb as opposed to being
like, you know, he's probably valued in
this range.
>> Your content is centered a lot around
streams doing drafts. You are probably
one of the better ones out there I've
seen that uh take advantage of ADP. You
kind of use it as a suggestion, as a
tool.
>> Yeah. Who are some players that you're
really high on as opposed to their ADP?
I'm not just talking about Yeah. maybe
just three or four picks higher, but I'm
talking about those guys that are like
five rounds higher. You're not going to
take them five rounds higher. Probably
take them up one or two. Yep.
>> But who are those guys?
>> Yeah, it's a good question because there
is, you know, ADP is very efficient on
the whole, but there's um I always use
the word like there's a stickiness to
it. like a lot of people who draft on
underdog, where I do think is the best
ADP, they've been drafting there all
summer and you could argue they respect
it too much like when things change. Um,
and a good example to answer your
question would be Chris Godwin. He's a
guy I think heading into the offseason
people were worried someone at his age
coming off of a major injury in January,
it's like I don't want to touch it. Like
I don't think he's going to come back to
health. I would put George KD in this
same category of these two guys people
are worried about. And yet where we're
at with medicine and recovery with this
stuff, they look like they're 100%.
Everything we hear about George KD, we
hear about Chris Godwin from camp. Like
they're full go and their ADPs just
strike me as massively mispriced. I was
talking to Dwayne McFarland at Fantasy
Life. He has Chris Godwin in the same
tier as Terry McLaren, Devonte Adams.
Those are round five picks. You can get
Chris Godwin pick 80, pick 90 in a lot
of these drafts. So to your point, I'm
not going to take him in round five, but
like anytime I see him there after pick
80, I'm I'm clicking him because I do
think he's mispriced by a couple of
rounds, especially with Igbuka now
dealing with this toe injury.
>> And it's one of those things where
fantasy content creators have to have
thick skin because when you're talking
about draft analysis and previewing the
draft, you really don't know if you're
right or wrong until after the season.
Yeah. And people have already made up
their mind about, oh, well, this is a
fall in line with like the ADP. This is
ridiculous. I know that I've had that in
the past. Um I was really big on Jaylen
Herz in 2021. I thought he was gonna be
my he was my QB4, but this was like his
first season starting. Yeah.
>> Um and he ended up doing fantastic. Um
same thing with I think that same year
Mike Williams I had him as like a round
four pick. People were like, "Oh, he
gets hurt a lot, so he was a round nine
pick." And I was like, "Guys," and and
he ended up going off. So like you kind
of have to have that thick skin. Yeah.
Um just kind of have to deal with it.
But I don't I don't know if you get a
lot of hate for that.
>> You know, I think again it's kind of
like you reap what you sew, right? Like
if you're telling people, "Oh, this is
the best pick and you're an idiot." Then
they're going to come back and be like,
"Hey, I'm going to hold you to that." I
do I would like to think that I have a
more like humility based approach to it.
And I I talk a lot in terms of range of
outcomes and probabilities and stuff
like this where it's like, okay, say I
think Chris Godwin is an awesome
selection. Then you have to start really
antagonizing and be like, "Okay, what
about the other wide receivers going
around him? is he always a 100% a better
pick than Josh DS another wide receiver?
And it's like no, but maybe I think you
know 70% of the time he is. And but that
kind of nuance, that's not how you're
going to get Twitter retweets. It's not
how you're going to get people going.
But that's the truth of it is like we're
trying to make calculated plus EV bets
that if you're doing it over the course
of a portfolio, a ton of drafts, it's
ultimately going to work out in your
favor over a long timeline. But that's
kind of the push pull of drafting smart
while also trying to create content
that's not boring. Right? Right. If I'm
constantly talking about that, it's
like, just shut up and tell me who you
like in the draft. So, I understand it's
a constant balance.
>> Yeah. Well, hey, somebody has at least
noticed your content, and that is
Matthew Barry. Uh, you've been able to
develop a great relationship with them.
Now, you're working with Fantasy Life.
So, tell me about that relationship.
How'd you get started with Fantasy Life?
>> Yeah, you know, I I've mentioned this
before. Matthew, you know, for being the
biggest person in the industry, he
really keeps his finger on the pulse on
upand cominging talent, whether they're
writers, podcasters, he really watches a
lot and notices it. And then he reached
out to me. I think he saw some of my
Twitter posts, just kind of taking a
light-hearted approach to fantasy. He
had seen some of my videos. I was doing
a lot of like short form videos during
COVID when I had more time. And he
reached out to me and was like, "Hey,
I'm starting I have this email list."
Cuz he had his fantasy life merch store.
And he's like, "I have this email list.
I kind of want to turn it into more of a
content newsletter, like let's provide
value and then maybe that'll actually
help sell merch, etc. And so I started
writing this newsletter for him coming
right out of co I want to say it was
2021 now almost 5 years. And I just
started writing that newsletter for him.
And then he essentially was like, "All
right, we're now going to build a
company around this because I have this
email list with a half million
subscribers. Let's start making more
content." and he formed this company and
obviously we now have CEOs and producers
and it's become this this really big
enterprise and one of the you know the
best sites in the space. But yeah, and I
still have the same role that I did back
then. I write the newsletter 5 days a
week and uh I I really really enjoy it.
>> And do you work for Underdog or they
just sponsor you? Is that a conflict of
interest with Underdog?
>> No. No, there's no conflict of interest
there. It's it's a contractor uh
position. Yeah. Like I'm not a full-time
employee, just an influencer for
Underdog. And similar to Fantasy Life, I
was the first streamer that Underdog
partnered with, I was talking to them
before they even even officially
launched cuz there was a transition
period from when they had acquired
Draft, sold that to FanDuel, and then
they waited a year and were able to spin
up uh Underdog. And so, yeah, I go way
back with those guys. And it's been
really nice the fact that I get to draft
on Underdog. And then I often talk about
Underdog on Fantasy Life. Like I think
the best ball market is one of the best
ways to talk about current movements.
Hey, where are players going? It's like
a real-time stock market. And so I think
there's been really nice synergies there
between, you know, my two biggest
partnerships.
>> Sounds like you're really happy and
content with where you are right now.
But if you had to pick some future goals
that you have in your career, what would
they be?
>> Yeah, man. It's a good question. It's
it's one of those things in life where
you're like you always want to be
thankful and content with what you have,
but you also don't want to settle and
you want to you want to get better with
things. So, I would say one of the
things I've thinking about a lot lately
is how do I up the production value on
my streams? There's an element I ask
myself of why shouldn't someone just
listen to this as a podcast? You know,
what am I going to actually do visually
that makes you want to sit and watch
this like appointment TV? And so I think
with how good AI is getting with being
able to spin up web apps and overlays
and different views and stuff, I really
want to devote more time into making my
streams feel like a production and not
just like something where you turn on
the camera and it's more of kind of a
throwaway thing. I want it to feel like
an event.
>> Yeah. And we'll talk about the
production. I know you got to get to the
draft pretty soon. So um but that
production we talked a little bit on
Friday night or maybe it was Thursday
night. Thursday. Uh, I mentioned So You
Think You Can Tell, which So You Can
Think You Tell for You guys, uh, it is a
reality show, fantasy show that was done
in the offseason try to find out of 135
fantasy analysts, up and cominging
riders, whoever, like who is the last
person remaining.
>> Yeah.
>> Uh, I loved it. I thought it was
awesome. I thought it was a great idea.
I've thought of and I mentioned it to
you but I want to mention on camera in
case Matthew Barry sees this which he's
not going to but you know Matthew
>> listen to this idea cuz you are all
about guillotine leagues and chop
leagues reality TV show during the
season 17 weeks one person gets
eliminated every week cuz in a reality
TV show the suspense and the drama
behind it is somebody gets eliminated
every week and chop leagues
>> uh guilline leagues like that is the
perfect format. So listen, if this
interview looks professional, we got the
production quality. We can make it
happen. Let's talk business.
>> No, I I love it. And it's funny, too,
because there's some massive uh creator
leagues in the space. The Mason Dodd
Fantasy Flock League, the Nick BDGE,
Your Idiot League. There's such um a
massive amount of interest in those
leagues. I agree with you. The
guillotine format, which I think's the
fastest growing, most interesting
reddraft format we have going right now.
you have the built-in drama of someone's
going home each week. It's an
interesting dilemma from like a
character development standpoint, right?
Because say you do get, think of the
flock league, they got Jinx, right? One
of the biggest streamers in the world.
Imagine if Jinxy loses week one in the
guillotine league and he goes home.
Well, one, that episode would go crazy
because everybody be like, "Holy crap."
But then you don't have Jinxy for the
rest of the season. So, there is an
element of that. So, I understand why
those guys haven't wanted to go to the
Guillotine League, but I kind of like
it. like raise the stakes and you know
if you lose a big creator or a big name
off the rip, it is what it is. You got
to live with it. Yeah.
>> Let's go all out for 17 weeks. Let's
like rent a mansion in LA. You know,
have people just live there
>> now. Yeah. There you go. Now you're
talking.
>> We definitely have the budget for that.
Absolutely. Uh last thing I got for you.
So what I've been doing is everybody
that's been joining us for this
interview, I've been doing a 12 team
half PPR mock draft. Okay. Where
everybody picks one person.
>> Yeah. So, we have gotten down to the
seventh round now. So, we're at the 701.
>> Yep.
>> Uh Austin Eckler started us off and he
threw us a curveball. He got Chris
McAffrey.
>> Okay.
>> First,
>> this is what we're working with right
now. This is on sleeper. So, you can
Yeah.
>> Look at the team and whatever. So, I
want you to make your selection with the
701. Who do you
>> So, we got CMC, then we go Neighbors,
Pickkins, Burden, Tyler Warren. Ooh,
that's a little bit of a reach on JK
Dobbins there.
>> Uh Lawrence. Uh, come on, Lawrence. Um,
so what's so funny here is, uh, did I
see is Parker Washington? So, Parker
Washington is a very good pick at this
range of the draft, but I look at this
team and I think we need to get another
running back with neighbors pickings
Burden. I kind of like our start there.
I am I'm torn here between Parker
Washington, which is hilarious
considering how we started out this
interview, and Raandre Stevenson. But
I'm going to go Raandre Stevenson for us
here. I think Raandre should be going
ahead of Trevian Henderson in drafts.
The team has made it basically very
clear at this point. He's our lead back.
We're going to do what we did last year,
which is Raandre is the lead back. We're
all excited about Henderson because what
he did when Raandre was out, but they're
saying Henderson hasn't had a good camp.
He's still struggling in pass
protection. He just doesn't do the
things that Vrabel wants out of this
offense. And I think the Patriots are
going to be improved this year. They're
going to score a ton of points. Raandre
is going to be that guy at the goal
line. I think you can make the case he
should be going where DeAndre Swift's
going, where some of these other lead
backs in committees on good offenses
are. He strikes me as a massive value
where we just got him.
>> Yeah, absolutely. I mean, you need
running back depth cuz we kind of punted
on that. Um, so now whoever the next
person is, I'm not going to give any
insight. Um, so
>> tell him to tell him to drop Parker
Washington. I'm on board at this price.
>> Oh, Parker Washington went with the very
next pick actually. So, I know but uh
we'll give we'll give no insight. We'll
just let them. It's it's their problem
now. So,
>> that's right. Hopefully, we'll have the
best team. Well, Pete, thank you so much
for the time. Best of luck in the future
and uh yeah, I'll definitely be keeping
out for your stuff.
>> Thanks, guys. Appreciate it.
>> Thank you.