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Novorossiysk is finished; Russia’s largest companies refused to ship cargo across Black Sea

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Following the sinking of its container ship, the Yenisei, Fesco, one of Russia's largest transportation groups, has officially ceased accepting new orders for shipments across the Black Sea. The vessel, which had a capacity to carry approximately 1,000 containers, went down on August 1st after facing attacks from naval drones that have increasingly targeted merchant vessels in recent months. This incident marks a significant escalation in risks along this critical trade route, prompting major logistics operators like Fesco and the Delo Group to halt operations as they explore limited alternative delivery options while implementing additional safety measures. The closure of the Novorossiysk route forces Russian imported cargo to redirect primarily toward ports in the Far East and St. Petersburg, a shift that threatens to overwhelm existing infrastructure once again. Industry experts warn that this rerouting could replicate the severe bottlenecks experienced earlier in 2022 when all imports funneled through similar channels due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Although rail and road routes exist as alternatives, their current volume capacity is significantly insufficient to handle the surge, leading to fears of months-long delivery delays that would further congest Far Eastern ports and disrupt supply chains for essential goods like fruits, vegetables, household chemicals, and home items from China. The instability on this maritime corridor has been growing steadily since June and July, when attacks predominantly targeted bulk carriers transporting grain and tankers carrying oil products rather than just container ships. Data indicates that the number of large vessel voyages departing Novorossiysk in July dropped by 38% compared to May, with a steeper decline observed for specific cargo types such as oil tankers down 50% and grain bulk carriers down 46%. Consequently, finding space for containers has become increasingly difficult, making delivery times unpredictable and driving freight forwarders to actively discourage clients from utilizing the route. As these attacks continue to make shipping via Novorossiysk unsafe and unreliable, Russian businesses face a precarious situation where they must choose between accepting significant delays or abandoning this vital trade artery entirely.
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Fesco, one of Russia's largest transportation groups, announced it has stopped accepting orders for shipments across the Black Sea following the sinking of its container ship, the Yenisei. Fesco is working on additional safety measures and exploring alternative delivery options. These are limited and logistics professionals fear this will likely result in further traffic jams at Far Eastern ports. The Yenisei, which had a capacity of approximately 1,000 containers, sank on the night of August 1st. On the night of August 4th, naval drones attacked the merchant vessel Nadezhda, which was en route from Samsun, Turkey to Novorossiysk with a cargo of fruits and vegetables, as well as another vessel sailing from Turkey. "As we feared, the Novorossiysk route is finished," says an importer of household chemicals and home goods from China. He notes that Fesco was one of the largest Russian operators on this route, along with the Delo Group. Back in March, when the war in the Middle East began and the Strait of Hormuz was closed, representatives of Delo Group warned that Far Eastern ports could face a surge in shipments this year comparable to 2022, [music] when all imports flooded through that route. Now, Russian imported cargo has even more reasons to move to the Far East, argues an employee of a major logistics company. That boom overwhelmed ports and the Trans-Siberian Railway, leading to months-long delivery delays, he notes. And this scenario could also repeat itself. But there's no choice. The halt to container shipping through Novorossiysk means that the bulk of imports will go primarily to ports in the Far East and [music] St. Petersburg. There are also rail and road routes, but they're still significantly behind in terms of volume, and St. Petersburg is also [music] unsafe. Shipments via Novorossiysk were already challenging. In July and August, it was difficult to find space for containers, and there was simply nothing to replace the Yamal 902, according to a freight forwarder working with international shipping. Due to the attacks on ships in June and July, the route became unpredictable in terms of delivery times. "We've been discouraging clients from using it for over a month now," adds his colleague. Previously, attacks had primarily targeted bulk carriers carrying grain and tankers carrying oil products. Ship schedule monitoring shows that the number of large vessel voyages from Novorossiysk in July decreased by 38% compared to May, including oil tankers by 50% and grain bulk carriers by [music] 46%. >> [music]