Video summary
Matt Canavan discusses the significant challenge facing the National Party as it contends with the rise of One Nation, a party led by former Nationals leader Barnaby Joyce who recently defected. Canavan acknowledges that the Nationals are particularly vulnerable in rural seats and admits that winning elections is no longer guaranteed, requiring a constant fight to change the government's direction for the country. Despite the difficult economic times and political volatility, he emphasizes that there is an optimal level of paranoia one must maintain when campaigning, noting that while many voters currently favor One Nation, they are still listening to the Nationals' message. Canavan describes the mood on the ground in regional areas as one of frustration and feeling left behind, but he points out a high level of engagement where people are attending events and listening to local members who connect with constituents daily.
Regarding his relationship with Barnaby Joyce, Canavan reveals that they remain close friends despite their political enmity, speaking frankly about politics and personal matters just as mates would. While he expresses gratitude for the start in politics Joyce gave him and acknowledges his achievements as a former leader, Canavan is critical of Joyce's current approach under Pauline Hanson, suggesting that working for a boss like her stifles the autonomy that politicians need. He contrasts this with the Nationals' structure, which involves a large party room of over 70 members requiring consensus-building and robust debate before taking action, a process he believes is incompatible with One Nation's more unilateral style. Consequently, Canavan firmly rules out the possibility of a future three-way coalition between the Liberals, Nationals, and One Nation due to these fundamental structural and cultural differences.
The conversation also covers Canavan's strong opposition to the government's new online safety bill, which he argues grants ministers extraordinary powers that could chill free speech and open debate. He contends that while protecting people from illegal content is necessary, giving the government broad authority to define what is "harmful" allows for potential overreach, such as silencing legitimate debates on gender identity. Furthermore, Canavan criticizes the government's handling of social media regulation, noting their failure to implement the under-16 ban while moving on to new issues, and he challenges the minister's claim that politicians are not responsible for eroding social trust, arguing instead that constant political deception is a primary cause. He also addresses the issue of AI and copyright, rejecting accusations of blackmail from companies like OpenAI but insisting that Australia must protect its intellectual property rights first, even if it means negotiating with tech giants, as the entire IT industry relies on the value of ideas rather than just hardware.
Finally, Canavan outlines his evolving economic views, shifting toward a more protectionist stance due to China's failure to honor trade promises and its dominance in key industrial commodities. He argues that standard economic theory fails to account for power relations and malicious actions by nations like China, making it essential for Australia to diversify supply chains away from such risks. He criticizes policies like net zero and water buybacks in the Murray-Darling basin as ignoring basic economic laws that link resource availability to productivity and income, leading to a backlash among regional Australians who suffer from high energy prices and reduced production. Looking ahead to his own political future, Canavan states he is willing to run for any available seat, including the lower house, if necessary to defeat One Nation, but he will not challenge sitting Nationals members, hoping they can defend their incumbency records while remaining ready to do whatever it takes to change the government in what could be his final election.
Read the full video transcript
from the conversation. This is politics
with Michelle Graten.
Both coalition parties, the Liberals and
the Nationals, are under threat from an
insurgent One Nation. The Nationals are
especially vulnerable in a string of
rural seats. Much of the One Nation
fight against them will be led by
Barnaby Joyce, their former leader who
defected late last year. Since replacing
David Little Proud earlier this year as
Nationals leader, Matt Canavan has been
outspoken on issues and highly active in
campaigning. with a strong background in
economics. He once worked for Joyce and
they remain on friendly terms while now
also being sworn political enemies. Matt
Canniban is our guest on the podcast
today.
Matt Canavan, is it possible that One
Nation could actually wipe out the
Nationals eventually given what we saw
in the Farah bi-election? Well, I don't
approach this role with any sense of
entitlement. Uh uh I don't think the
Nationals or myself or anyone else uh
deserves a spot in this parliament. We
have to fight and work for it every day.
No doubt that fight and challenge is
more difficult at the moment. Uh and uh
that's understandable because people in
a very difficult economic times and
there's a lot of explainable volatility
out there in politics. Look, I'm
embracing that volatility because the
most important thing I want uh is to
change the government so that we can get
a change of direction for the country.
And so having people think about their
vote and possibly changing their vote uh
puts them in a state of mind where they
might come and eventually vote for us.
So we've just got to fight very hard. Uh
as I say, no result is guaranteed. And
yeah, every possibility is is is is
there. And you've got to approach every
election, every every game of football
you play uh with the concern that you
very well might lose. There's an optimal
level of paranoia when you go out and
play and uh I've I've definitely got
that.
>> You'd spend a lot of time in national
seats. So what's the mood on the ground
there visav One Nation in those seats of
yours?
>> Well, I suppose a bit hard to me to say
exactly in terms of One Nation, but I I
would describe the mood as one of
frustration, a feeling of being let
down, left behind for too long. I would
say there's a there's a level of
engagement that I've never seen. And so
I don't think it's complete
disengagement or disenchantment with
politics. More and more people are
coming to events than I've ever seen
before. And and people are listening.
Now, yes, many of those people at the
moment uh are probably saying that they
would vote for One Nation if an election
were held today, but they are still
listening to us and to me. Uh and we
have great local members on the ground
that are connecting all the time with
people. Uh what we've got to do, I think
your first job in politics is to listen.
I've always tried to do that. And uh
then your second one just as important
is to actually act and do things. And
yeah, that's why we've outlined a a very
comprehensive policy platform especially
at this stage of election cycle for an
opposition. You know, we've got specific
taxes we're going to cut going to scrap
net zero and and change lots of laws to
promote the development of our country,
especially our energy resources. Uh and
we're going to cut migration. We'll have
a lot more to say specifically about
that very soon. So, there's a lot that
we uh are putting on the table and
fighting for. And uh I don't think
anyone will be able to accuse us of
being a small target.
>> Before we move on to detailed policy, I
just want to talk about Barnaby Joyce.
You used to work for him. You condemned
him very strongly when he defected to
One Nation.
>> Do you still talk to him a good deal?
What's Yeah, all the time.
>> What's the relationship like? How do you
manage that?
>> No, really good. Really good. Uh yeah, I
still are mates. uh you can be
disappointed in what mates do and still
be mates and and I always speak pretty
frankly to people I know particularly
people I trust. So you I haven't said
anything in public that I haven't said
to him uh directly and uh and look Bar
can speak for himself but he's you know
he's he's a big boy and he he doesn't uh
uh you know sulk about things uh uh you
know he understands I've got a different
point of view uh and yeah we can still
get along and talk.
>> So what do you talk about if you talk
frequently? I know every we talk about
politics a lot of course uh uh we're
both very interested in that. Um we've
got both got big families and there's
lots of things going on in life and
those sort of things as well. But you
know he's a mate and uh so you talk
about things you talk to your mates
about. But look you know I I don't yeah
question Bar to be you know he's got
into politics for the right reasons. I'm
always thankful for him. He gave me a
start in his office and I wouldn't be
here uh with without him. Uh but I I
look back at part of his career and I
think he achieved a lot as leader of the
nationals. Achieved a lot as a minister
in various coalition governments and I
I'm not so sure he's going to be able to
put the same runs on the board here. Uh
I also think he's pretty frustrated
because he's working for a boss now,
right? Uh you know, one thing I know
about Barnaby Michelle, he doesn't like
working for a boss and and you know the
way and he did he left the Nationals.
Like this is what he said, not what I'm
saying. He left the Nationals because he
didn't like David Littleproud, but David
wasn't his boss. You know, he's the
leader of the parliamentary party was.
And now I've got this honor to be the
leader. But we can't boss our members
around. The boss of our members of
parliament are the local electors uh and
constituents in their seats. If they
keep them on side, nothing you can do.
Whereas Pauline Nansson's party off of
operates very differently. Uh she's
judge jury executioner. If you get off
on her bad side, she kick you out
tomorrow. So more generally, what
strategy do you think the coalition
should be adopting to one nation? We've
seen the hasty approach which is very
confrontational. We've seen others uh in
the Liberals in particular who are much
soft more softly softly. Where do you
think strategically
the attack should?
>> Well, look, look, first and foremost, uh
you you've got to keep in mind why
you're here and what you're trying to
achieve and and why I'm here uh is uh to
help improve the lives of the Australian
people, particularly those who live uh
in regional Australia for us in the
nationals. Uh that's that's my one
number one overriding focus. So my focus
is not on one nation or even the Labour
party. It is on those people and then to
do that to do good things for people. Uh
I have to try and win elections and I
have to try and point out where we are
better than our political competitors.
Uh which do include One Nation. And so I
suppose I'm saying to your question, I'm
not as a reflexive action trying to be
confrontational, but where and when uh I
disagree with One Nation or I don't
think they're taking an approach that's
good for our country or I think they
would uh uh uh act in ways that would
hurt the people I want to represent uh
or not act in their best interests, I'll
point it out. And I I've been not shy to
do that. Uh uh but you know, it's not
like I wake up every day thinking, okay,
how can I attack one nation today? know
I wake up every day uh thinking what can
I do uh to deliver good results for
people. We just had a big win to support
veterans and got rid of a cap on their
health services. You know, we've been
fighting for that for a month and we've
been put a lot of effort into that.
Thinking about how we could get that out
into you and the media and the fourth
estate and put pressure on the
government to get a result and we've got
it. And that's why I'm in politics here.
Days like today remind you why why I
spend so much time away from my family
because uh yeah, we've helped out
people. Could you ever see the day that
there's a three-way coalition?
>> No, I don't. Because going back to what
I said before, the very structure of One
Nations Party is not really compatible
with the way the Liberal and Nationals
parties operate. Uh look, we are
different parties, the Liberal and
Nationals, and we have slightly
different cultures from time to time. We
obviously the nationals have this focus
on on regional Australia, but at a at a
governance level, we're very similar uh
in terms of how our members of
parliament are selected, how our leaders
are selected, uh how we operate with
party rooms and processes. Uh we gel
together in that respect. That's not how
One Nation operates. So I think you've
seen an example of that in the past
month or so where One Nation's ended up
with four migration policies in four
weeks. There doesn't seem to be a
well-developed process in their
coalition hasn't got one yet.
>> Well, but when we get to one, when we
get to one, we'll stick to it, right?
And yes, that can take longer cuz we've
got, you know, we do have uh 70 odd
members of our party room that we all
have to take the views of. It's
important to have a proper shadow
cabinet process where you debate things
and, you know, get everybody's views,
have frank and robust discussions, and
then come to a point of a point of
agreement and consensus and go and fight
for that.
uh you know that's not how One Nation
works and I don't think you know in any
realistic way it's going to ever be
compatible because that's not the way
Pauline runs her party and that's fine
that's her party she can run it the way
she likes but the simple facts are it's
not how we run things uh and so I can't
see there being a a coalition among us
>> let's go to some issues and I know
you're very constrained for time because
this parliamentary day has turned into
the day from hell the duty of hair bill.
You oppose that on the grounds of free
speech, but can I just break this down
into its various parts. Do you oppose
people being able to opt out of
algorithms? And if so, why?
>> Well, look, I think the details are very
important here. I I I mean, in terms of
opting out of algorithms, uh we need to
really understand what that means in
terms of services like YouTube. Yeah,
without their algorithm, there's not
really a platform. It's how it's always
operated. So, it has to be practical for
people. These services are things that
people do use and uh seem to get a lot
of enjoyment out of. I myself, you know,
I think YouTube's got amazing content on
it. So, we've just got to be a bit
careful how we operate that. Uh but
that's not my principal objection to the
bill. Sure, we may be able to design
things like that, keeping in mind
there's already ways you can opt out of
these things. Now, you can turn off the
algorithm in YouTube, but you'll get a
blank screen, right? Cuz it's that's you
without it doesn't really work. No one
really does that I don't think. Right.
Uh and so there's always this question
of well have we got you know is there a
problem that governments need to get
involved in and potentially make worse
when uh I think all social media
platforms now have give people the the
ability to to change their algorithm to
to make the modifications to turn it off
if that's practical within the platform.
And so I just worry sometimes the blunt
instrument of government will come along
and make things a hell of a lot worse. I
mean we didn't you know we we haven't
even got the under 16 social media ban
working right. It's been a complete
another failure and now they just move
on to something else. That's the way
government works. When you fail in one
area, you don't fix that. You just try
and distract people from going to
another. But you're right. My principal
objections bill is not that. It's it's
the it's the potential chilling of free
and open debate by giving the minister
these extraordinary powers to define
what harmful is.
>> So should there be no controls on the
internet for adults?
>> Look, my preference is is minimal given
that I mean ultimately the internet is a
free exchange of of information. you
know, our country, our societyy's been
based on that. It seems strange to me
sometimes the media seem very very keen
on this, but you you'd be the first to
react if we said, well, you know,
mainstream media needs to have controls
on it. And and I I would totally I don't
think mainstream media is always a force
for good. I think during co it was a
a terrible amplifier of fear and panic.
Um partly because the business models of
mainstream media are under such stress.
Uh not trying to be pjorative here, but
you know what happens now? You know, you
would go into a newsroom now and and
maybe not yours, Michelle, but many news
rooms you go into, they're basically
monitoring second by second how many
people are clicking and where they're
going. And there's a tendency to go to
clickbait then and that does put up
things that, you know, may actually uh
increase societal, you know, issues. But
I don't think the government should come
along and regulate that cuz that will
make things worse.
>> And what about pornography and material
on
>> I was talking about information
absolutely material that is illegal in
our broader sense. Uh uh sure.
Absolutely. We already do have controls
on that in our internet on extreme and
violent uh pornography and the like and
and happy to look at where the
boundaries of that should be drawn. Uh
but that's not, you know, that's not
what this bill does. And we've got to be
very careful that we don't allow uh a
piece of detail legislation to be
slipped through under the veneer of
protecting people from, you know,
violent and uh explicit content where it
does give the minister to sort of
potentially silence debates around
gender identity which are legitimate
political debates in the current modern
comp context and and sometimes debate is
offensive to some.
>> Do you think she would do that?
>> Well, I I don't trust her based on her
own words. The problem here is obviously
giving uh a government the power to
define in such broad terms what is
harmful is an extraordinary power and I
would suggest requires an extraordinary
level of trust to be placed in such a
person. Now the minister herself just
the week the very week that she
introduced this bill said that the
people the reason people don't trust her
anymore is because of social media. I
mean, I I found that I I found that an
unbelievable idea because at some point
at some point, Michelle, we do perhaps
have to look at ourselves first.
Are politicians and the political class
at all responsible for the breakdown in
social trust? Or are we going to
completely absolve ourselves and blame
big tech and all these other people?
Well, I say no because I've been in this
place for a long time. And I tell you
what, there is the constant
uh and clear repetition of lies. People,
it's not just that they're lies, they're
lies and they know they're lying. They
do it because they want to get elected
or they think that that's what they've
got to do. But, you know, um when you
first learn to deceive, uh uh that's
when trust starts to to erode. So, maybe
we should look at ourselves a little bit
first. And that's what I found that
minister's claim shocking. We've also
had other Labour ministers say that
they're concerned about social media as
it's turning people to right-wing
populism. They never mention about
left-wing extremism, which is just as
evident. You go online, there's just as
many people espousing violent left-wing
ideas and content, but they never seem
worried about that. Again, that starts
to erode your trust. Should these people
be entrusted with this power uh when
they only seem to be concerned about the
communication done by one side of
politics when their primary concern seem
to be the impact on their own election
prospects uh not the broader social
welfare?
>> I want to move on to AI. You've accused
Open AI, the company, of blackmail after
suggestions it could pull back
investment if the government didn't
water down our copyright protections.
Could you just expand on your view on
this? Well, I think you've described it
pretty well. It sounds to me like uh
what you think should be done and
>> Well, that's true. I can do that. But it
does sound like straighten up blackmail
as you've just described. I think you've
just described it accurately of what
they said. Now, maybe they misspoke and
didn't quite mean it, but that's for
them to explain. That is what they were
reported as saying. Uh and I find that
completely objectionable and there's no
way in hell that our country should
erode property rights uh based on on the
threat of investment or not investment.
No, sorry. That's not how we work. Uh
now, yes, there's a reasonable
discussion perhaps we could sit down and
have uh with uh with artificial
intelligence companies about how our
intellectual property framework could
best suit their needs. This is not
unusual when different types of
technologies come along. Uh there is
sometimes negotiations that occur about
how you access and use uh copyright
material. You know, Spotify have done it
of course uh in recent times. The radio
industry have these arrangements in
place uh to do it when they play music.
all these things. So we can sit down and
be reasonable but it has to be done uh
with a strong view that we will protect
the property rights of Australians
first. That's our job. And I would say
to the artificial intelligence companies
you're playing with fire here because if
you start saying that oh well these
types of property rights uh malable
malleable well what about your own? I
mean the whole industry the whole IT
industry uh is built on the value of
intellectual property. uh it's not the
hardware, it's not the the chips uh that
that make their businesses some of the
most capitalized in the world. It is
their is the ideas that they put into
those chips. So I think they should be
protected. I'm sure they think they
should be protected, but it cuts both
ways.
>> What about the data centers? Are you
comfortable with the guard rails
proposed and are they popular or
unpopular in the bush? Just briefly.
Look uh no I'm not uh I'm not
comfortable at this stage principally
because it's not clear that uh we have
the energy to supply these data centers.
Uh that's the big problem and to do so I
think we need to have nuclear energy for
a start. Uh probably we also need some
coal and gas as well to supplement
things while that comes on. Without that
I fear this is going to have an enormous
impact. If it does have a big impact on
energy prices it will lose support
pretty quickly. Now in terms of in the
bush look it's a bit early to say. These
are very very new. Like any development,
they are attracting concern. Uh there's
concerns about power prices, concerns
about uh water. I I'm not and never have
been anti-development. Uh but any any
developer has to has to uh get local
support on board. That's my test. If you
if you want to get your project going,
get the locals on board. They're my
shareholders.
>> One thing I'd like to ask you about is
your own position on economics. You
you're trained in economics. You worked
in the Proactivity Commission. Couldn't
get a drier economic place than that.
How do you see your own position at the
moment? Have you changed your
theoretical view on economics, your
practical views? I
>> I wouldn't say I've changed my
theoretical views, but yes, practically,
I suppose things have changed because
the world's changed.
>> Are you a protectionist now?
>> Well, I I think we have to be realistic.
What's changed is China. China entered
the World Trade Organization 25 years
ago, promised that it would do a bunch
of things like remove protection. It has
not done that and it's now got the
commanding heights of almost every
important industrial commodity. And so I
don't think that's healthy uh for the
world. Uh yes, in economic theory we can
all trade and be best friends, but the
one thing that economic theory falls
down on, I've always had this view since
my days at university uh learning this
is economics doesn't do a very good job
of uh of factoring in power and power
relations and you know whether or not
some people are acting in a in a
nefarious malicious way and so clearly
this is a risk to the world and it would
be better if we can with our friends and
allies have supply chains are less
reliant on on China. So there's that
aspect. I suppose the other thing has
happened is just I've been a lot more
exposed the issues that uh afflict
regional Australia working for Barnaby
and and being around and and this is
basic economic theory. When we take away
people's water, their energy, uh their
land, we produce less stuff. And that is
exactly what's happening. We're
producing less stuff, our productivity
is falling, incomes are falling. Uh, and
it seems like, and with all respect to
my former colleagues of the Productivity
Commission, but many others in the
economic fraternity, they seem to be
suspending the laws of economics when it
comes to things like net zero. Like,
fair enough if you want to get to net
zero. But if you are going to deny
yourself the use of large parts of our
energy resources, uh, if you're going to
buy back water in the Marray Darling for
environmental means, that is going to
come at an economic cost. And, uh, we
are we are too often ignoring that cost.
And then there's an understandable
backlash from the people that have to
suffer because of it.
>> I know you have to run just finally your
own future. Uh you in an awkward
position on the Senate ticket for next
time according to the polling you could
be at risk. Are you going to stay and
fight for the Senate place or are you
going to move to the lower house?
>> Well, first of all, I don't mind being
on the front lines of this fight. Uh,
I'm not going to ask my troops to do
anything that I won't do myself. So, I
have absolutely no fear in going into a
race where yes, I may not win. Um,
whether I stay in the Senate or go to
the lower house, I think I think I'd be
in the same position either way. Uh, and
there's no safe lower house seats either
around right now in terms of
>> if one comes up, are you going
>> Yeah. Well, it depends. It depends. But
I've said I will not be challenging any
any any sitting nationals members or any
members uh of parliament. Uh I
desperately want all of my members to
run again. Uh because their name ID,
their incumbency, their record is our
best protection. But if there if there
is an uh if there is a need for someone
to run, uh we got to win seats in the
lower house. Uh I'll I'll I'll consider
that then. As I say, and I I'll do Yeah,
I I will. Look, I'm putting it all on
the line. I'm not going to die
wondering. I'll do whatever I have to do
to change this government. And you know,
whatever I do, wherever I run, you know,
this could be my last election. I know
that. Um, I'm not going in with any any
uh roseey glasses. Rosey glasses.
>> Matt Can we'll let you run off now.
Thank you very much for joining the
podcast on such a busy day. Thank you to
my producer, Ben Roer. That's all for
now. We'll see you soon.
>> Production by Ben Roer. Theme music by
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