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Mass destruction of Putin's soldiers in Donbas: Ukraine fights for its last strongholds

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The ongoing conflict in Donbas is characterized by a slow but persistent Russian advance as Ukrainian forces prepare to defend their final major positions in the region. While intelligence agencies suggest that Russian troops could reach the outskirts of key cities like Kramatorsk and Sloviansky as early as 2027, experts warn that the situation for Ukraine is deteriorating in specific areas despite the sluggish pace of the offensive. Some analysts believe a complete capture of Donbas by Russia could occur next year, though this would likely inflict enormous losses on the Russian army. Conversely, other military observers note that Moscow's current speed of advance is its slowest since winter, potentially delaying a full conquest until the early 2030s unless significant changes occur in their strategy or manpower. A critical factor influencing the battlefield dynamics is the disparity in drone capabilities and aerial bombardment tactics employed by both sides. In certain sectors, Russian forces utilize FPV drones at a ratio as high as ten to one against Ukrainian defenses, creating a severe local advantage that complicates Ukrainian operations. Additionally, guided aerial bombs continue to cause significant casualties and damage to Ukrainian positions. Military analysts emphasize that while the offensive has slowed, it does not indicate a stabilization of the front; instead, Russia may require a new mobilization effort in the fall to sustain or accelerate its progress by the first half of 2027. Without such mobilization, the Kremlin might struggle to maintain its current momentum against determined Ukrainian resistance. Logistics and supply lines have emerged as pivotal elements in the upcoming battles for Kramatorsk and Sloviansky, with Austrian military experts highlighting their potential decisive role. A significant portion of Ukraine's logistical support relies on heavy multicopters and ground-based unmanned aerial vehicles, which Russian forces are systematically targeting to sever Ukrainian supply chains. If Russia succeeds in cutting off these lifelines, Ukrainian troops may only be able to hold their positions for a limited duration before collapsing. The defense of the last strongholds around Kramatorsk and Sloviansky thus hinges on Ukraine's ability to break this vicious circle of attrition and prevent the isolation of its infantry units from reinforcements and rotation capabilities. On the ground, Ukrainian commanders are focusing their strategy on destroying Russian drone operators while preserving as much infantry strength as possible, recognizing that the survival of soldiers directly correlates with the duration cities can be held. The tactics employed by Russian forces often involve sending small groups of attack aircraft to gradually wear down Ukrainian defenses rather than engaging in large-scale immediate assaults. This methodical approach aims to exhaust Ukrainian resources and morale over time, making the defense of these final strongholds an arduous task that requires not only tactical ingenuity but also sustained logistical resilience. Ultimately, the fate of Donbas will likely depend on whether Ukraine can maintain its defensive belt against a relentless, albeit slow, Russian push that seeks to exploit every technological and operational advantage available.
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The occupiers continue to slowly advance in Donbass and Ukrainian troops are preparing for heavy fighting for the region's last major defensive positions. Experts warned that the situation for the Ukrainian armed forces in certain areas of the front is deteriorating, but the pace of the Russian offensive remains extremely slow. According to Business Insider, representatives of one of Europe's leading intelligence agencies estimate that the Russians could reach the outskirts of Kromatursk and Slavansk in early 2027. These cities are the center of Ukraine's last major defensive belt in the Donbass. Intelligence officials believe that Russia could completely capture Donbass as early as next year. However, such a campaign would cost the Russian army enormous losses. At the same time, not all experts consider this scenario inevitable. The publication notes, for example, military analyst Fran Stefan Gotti noted that Russian troops are currently advancing at their slowest pace since winter. He believes that at the current rate of advance, Moscow will not be able to fully capture Donbass until the early 2030s. At the same time, the expert warned that a slowdown in the offensive does not mean the front is stabilizing. In certain areas, the Russians have a local advantage, particularly in the use of FPV drones. In some areas, the drone ratio could be as high as 10:1. An additional problem for Ukrainian troops remains Russian guided aerial bombs, which cause significant losses to Ukrainian armed forces positions. Gotti suggested that the Russians could reach Kromatursk and Slavians as early as the spring or summer of 2027. However, he believes that the Kremlin may need a new mobilization to achieve this. Russia needs to mobilize if it wants to maintain or increase its current pace. According to him, if mobilization takes place in the fall, the new military will be able to significantly influence the situation on the front around the first half of 2027. Austrian armed forces Colonel Marcus Risner believes that Russia's summer offensive has not yet met the Kremlin's expectations, but the Russian army continues to advance slowly but steadily. In his opinion, Ukrainian logistics will be one of the key factors in the upcoming battle for Kromatursk and Slovian. If the Russians succeed in cutting off the Ukrainian troops supply lines, they will only be able to hold their positions for a limited time. A significant portion of Ukrainian logistics is already carried out using heavy multicopters and groundbased unmanned aerial vehicles. The Russians are attempting to systematically destroy these assets as well as hinder the arrival of reinforcements and the conduct of rotations. Risner warned that without Ukraine's ability to break this vicious circle, the defensive belt around Chromaturks and Slavansk could collapse. According to 24-year-old commander with the call sign Fleshka and a 26-year-old commander with the call sign Sasha, the main objective is to destroy Russian drone operators and preserve as much of the Ukrainian infantry as possible. The longer the infantry survives, the longer the cities will be held, he explained. The military man also described the Russians tactics, which he said often sends in small groups of attack aircraft, gradually wearing down Ukrainian defenses.