Market Crash. What to buy when the market is crashing. Tariffs SPY QQQ BRK GLD WMT COST ORLY TMUS

hey everyone this is Dan let's talk about what's going on in the stock market in the last few weeks and what we can do to prevent from getting wiped out as you probably know already spy representing the movement of S&P 500 peaked on February 19th and has dropped 10% already and triple Q representing the movement of NASDAQ 100 is in even worse shape it has dropped 13% from its peak since February 19th if the market continues to go down what stocks should we buy and what should we sell so that we don't get wiped out maybe if we do the right things we can possibly be making a profit while the market is going down let's talk about how we might be able to do that first of all let's try to find a few stocks that have been performing fairly well recently we also want to know whether these stocks have been holding up during past Market crashes I decided to look at the following 29 stocks why do I pick them that's because some of them are very well-known stocks that have gone up a lot recently such as Nvidia meta and Microsoft this list also includes bir share haway which is Warren Buffett's company it also includes Costco Walmart and McDonald's I included some other stocks on this list because they are either already in my portfolio or maybe because some of my friends recently recommended them to me what I want to do is to check out the historical performances of these stocks against the few time periods that I consider to be representative of how the next few months might unfold of course we have heard the line that historical performance does not guarantee future return etc etc but having some historical perspective is still very helpful I picked the following time periods definitely the financial crisis which lasted from October 1st 2007 to March 1st 2009 and this period which is roughly a year and a half is the time when the market was dropping then the market started to recover shortly after March 1st 2009 but I want to really understand how a stock is performing during the time when the market was crashing and then of course a 2015 crash which lasted from April 1st 2015 to February 15 2016 and then the Fed rate hikes in 2022 and then there's a short period of Market correction what I call a 2023 correction that happened in the later half of 2023 and then of course a pandemic crash which lasted only about 3 and a half months but nevertheless it was a pretty dramatic crash and then of course generally speaking the performance of a stock in The Last 5 Years and the performance of a stock since 2023 and the performance of the stock in the last year when I line up the performance data for for the different stocks and ETFs for example for spy the ETF representing S&P 500 during the financial crisis it dropped 52% from its peak that was certainly a market crash and QQQ representing the NASDAQ 100 dropped 47% and during the 2015 crash spy dropped 9% and triple Q dropped 7% during the 201202 fat rate hikes spy dropped 25% triple Q dropped 33% and 2023 correction spy dropped 5% pandemic during the pandemic spy dropped 23% and then in the Last 5 Years spy went up 93% and since 2023 spy went up 46% and in the last year spy went up 6% and then if you look at bur heway B during the financial crisis it went down 35% that means BR halfway actually perform better than SPI in QQ which went down 52% and 47% during the 2015 crash broch share went down 11% which is worse than spy and QQQ but during the Fed rate hikes b share halfway went down 11% when spy went down 25% so b share performed pretty well in comparison and during the 2023 correction spy went down 5% whereas broke share went up 1% definitely that's a positives so BR share and pandemic spy went down 23% whereas BR share only went down 19% %. so if I average the numbers during the five crashes I arrive at this number I call the Market drops average for spy is 23% negative of course because it's a market drop and triple Q is 21% decrease Brookshire is 15% decrease apple is 22% decrease and McDonald is only 7% decrease not surprisingly McDonald held up pretty well during bad times because McDonald is not a luxurious experience so people generally don't cut back on their budget going to McDonald's even during Market crashes that's why generally speaking McDonald's holds up well during Market crashes the same with Costco and Walmart and then if you look at all the stocks that I selected 29 of them I put the results in this table look at the average Market drop during the five different crashes and the performance of each stock during the last 5 years since 2023 and in the last year but I want to boil it down to a ranking number for each stock so I devis a weighing factor for each of these four columns for example because I I'm really concerned about a possible market crash for 2025 that's why I give the way of two for the market drop to get a picture of the performance of the broad market for these four columns I average the numbers for spy and QQQ for each column that's right for the market drops the Market average out to be 22% drop for The Last 5 Years the market average is 124% increase and so on so for Costco for example if Costco performed better than the broad market during the market drops and it performed 10% better then I multiply the 10% with the weighing factor of two and then for the last 5 years if Costco performs 20% better than the market then I multiply the 20% by a weighing factor of3 and arrive at a number for the second column for Costco so I calculate a number for each of the four columns for Costco and add them all up and I arrive at this composite score for Costco and the reason of course I want to give the market drop column a factor of two is because I really want to protect my investment just in case there's indeed a market crash in 2025 and of course for the last 5 years that's an older period than the current onee period that's why the one year has a weighing factor of one whereas the last 5 year has a weighing factor of only .3 now the reason why the market drop has a -2 factor is because Market drop work in the other direction it's a negative that's why I have to use a negative number to counterbalance that after I calculated all the columns for all 29 stocks I arrived at this column with the scores and then I rang the scores from the highest to the lowest and I arrived at this table I keep the spy and QQ on the top and they have a score of negative point21 and 0.21 Nvidia interestingly has a very high score of 12.40 let's look at the details Nvidia is at the top of the list that's because Nvidia has been going up so much in the last year and also in the Last 5 Years Nvidia actually performed just about the same as a broad market during the crashes the dramatic price increase of Nvidia pushed the stock to the top of our list tmus or T-Mobile ranks very high also because it has gone up a lot in the last year and in the last 5 years and it held up pretty well during Market crashes not surprisingly GL the gold ETF is on top of our list because gold always holds up well during Market crashes also gold price has been going up in the last couple of years after gold we see Walmart and Costco which are consumer staple stocks that typically hold up well during recessions Walmart and Costco have also been going up in the last couple of years because they are very well-run companies o O'Reilly is a seller of Auto Parts when the market is down people don't have money to buy new cars so they buy auto parts to fix up their old cars that's why O'Reilly performed well during Market crashes and during good time O'Reilly is a very well-run company and has been showing good profits as well so what are my strategies first of all I bought GLD to go ETF already on February 20th and then I bought more on March 13 GLD is now about 12% of my stock and ETF holdings my gold ETF already averaged 6.8% gain and I also bought Nvidia brocher hathway B and meta and I will continue to hold them although recently I so Nvidia on some of the Nvidia shares not all of it on January 29th January 31st and March 3rd when Nvidia was going down I still hold a lot of shares and I will buy more when Nvidia starts rebounding I bought V visa on March 27th because it's ranked pretty high on my list here I also have been trading SLE Q which is the inverse triple ETF PID to the NASDAQ 100 index when NASDAQ 100 goes down SLE Q goes up I've been using SLE Q to hch against Market drops and I've been trading that quite a bit recently I will talk about that later and I've sold my tple go shares when they started to turn red because I have different batches of t triple Q shares I usually will sell the badge before the market drop below my purchase price so I don't end up losing money in the next few days I will consider buying T-Mobile O'Reilly Costco or Walmart thank you for watching all the way here at this point I'd like to suggest that you follow my YouTube channel for example as a Friday I posted that I just bought more as triple Q because tleq dropped below the support trend line established in the last 10 days and actually posted a picture of the tal daily chart showing the trend line on Thursday I posted that I bought SLE Q again and two weeks ago I posted that I bought more GLD and that batch of GLD goldf already is showing a paper game thank you again for watching I'd like to suggest that you click the like subscribe and notification button and as always I welcome your comments questions and suggestions I'd like to remind you that I'm not a financial advisor I share my stock trading strategies and analyses for educational and entertainment purposes only if you want to buy or sell stocks you should make your own decisions and you should definitely consult with your financial advisers before you do so this wraps up my video for now I will chat with you again in the next few days in the meanwhile I'd like to wish you the very best of luck with your financial investments [Music]