Video summary
Magic 8-Ball v1.37 serves as a sophisticated zero DTE options forecasting engine designed specifically for day traders focusing on assets like the SPX, NDX, Apple, and Tesla. Released in September 2024 under long-term support status, this version prioritizes bug fixes while the developer prepares for a future major overhaul into Version 2, with an older v1.36 remaining available as a legacy option for those hesitant to adopt recent changes. The software operates by generating predictions every five minutes using four primary market indicators—Volume, Interest, Gamma Exposure, and Delta—to reverse-engineer price movements into actionable short-term and long-term forecasts. These insights are presented through specialized charts including the all-in-one "Magic Chart," a visualizing "Quad Chart" that tracks indicator interplay, and a simplified "Sonar Chart" designed to clarify risk-to-reward ratios for trade management.
The platform offers both free and paid tiers within its Discord community, where users can access live trade journals, educational content from industry experts, and detailed market reports; the subscription costs $25 monthly to cover server and data feed expenses while unlocking advanced strategies like Butterflies, Iron Condors (including Sonar variants), Verticals, and comprehensive metrics. While backtesting data may display significant theoretical profits, such as nearly $80,000 on NDX butterfly trades, the developer strongly advises against blindly executing every generated signal due to high capital requirements and potential drawdown risks associated with strategies like Iron Condors which can suffer rapid losses during adverse market moves. Instead of relying solely on hypothetical management features that might create a false sense of security, users are encouraged to focus on raw backtest columns containing actual end-of-day results to gain an accurate understanding of performance variability across different entry times and market conditions.
Central to the system's philosophy is the emphasis on strict risk management over "letting trades ride" without stop losses, as real-world profitability depends heavily on avoiding catastrophic drawdowns rather than maximizing theoretical gains from raw data alone. The software identifies specific high-probability windows for entries, often occurring around 10:30 AM or late afternoon, though it clarifies that no single time slot guarantees success and external events can impact forecast accuracy at any moment. To address the limitations of traditional strategies like Iron Condors, the system introduces "Sonars" as a calculated alternative offering superior premium capture and accuracy comparable to Verticals, which remain highlighted as the primary workhorse for generating consistent results in volatile markets.
Looking ahead, the developer confirms that while v1.37 will continue receiving updates until its eventual replacement by Magic v2, future iterations aim to integrate built-in risk management tools, streamline usability through a simplified interface conceptually tested on non-technical users like "Uncle John," and potentially offer an API for institutional applications. Ultimately, the guide concludes that while the software provides powerful analytical tools and copy-pasteable trade setups compatible with ThinkOrSwim Desktop, successful trading requires disciplined adherence to risk protocols rather than passive reliance on automated signals or ignoring the inherent dangers of high-leverage options strategies without proper safeguards in place.
Read the full video transcript
hey everybody my name is Brian and I am
the software developer behind magic aall
this is the user guide for version
137 this video is like all other videos
before it is really driven by Community
feedback so if you're in the Discord I'm
trading with you every day love you guys
um it's amazing to me how the
community's really helped this software
grow and if you have no idea what magic
is I'm going to try to explain it to you
in a simple sentence it is a zero
DTE options forecasting and trade engine
and what that means is it basically
creates predictions on the stock market
and then creates trades for day Traders
or zero DTE options Traders including uh
SPX XSP ndx Apple Tesla and a few others
um this started years ago I've been
working on this for about three almost
four years now um it was right in the
height of Co when I started developing
it and it generates not just a forecast
but a prediction along with example
trades and those trades have been wildly
successful we have a huge community of
Traders out in Discord and there's even
a free version and this video is going
to serve as the user guide because I get
a lot of questions from people saying
I'm new what do I do how do I use this
thing so without further Ado let's dive
in all right let's dive in I've got
notes because this is a complex topic
and I want want to cover everything as
fast as I can so I don't waste your time
what is it well it's a zero DTE options
prediction Engine with example trades we
covered that um this has been running
essentially since January 2023 um that's
the official start date it's been
running a lot longer but that's its
official start date is January
2023 its accuracy's really improved with
each version um I don't release a new
version unless it has a substantial
increase in accuracy and profitability
for the end user cuz I just I don't want
to waste people's time or money um let's
see here version 137 the current version
is considered long-term support and what
that means is this is the version that's
going to exist for the foreseeable
future I am going to make a version two
which we'll talk about at the very end
of this whole thing but in short if it's
not broke don't fix it I've had a lot of
people especially in the Discord saying
please please please don't change
anything so this is long-term support
the only thing that will be added to
this from this point forward is simply
bug fixes that frees me up for version
two and it makes the software
predictable for its current
users all right so the systems designed
to trade with no stop-loss running to
expiration and that sounds insane but I
want you to understand that when we talk
about profit especially when we talk
about the logs we're talking about
sending that order to the broker and
forgetting it even exists no stop loss
no management no profit collection just
boom we let it ride now in the real
world I would not recommend that I would
recommend stoploss risk management and
profit collection I do that myself and
I'm the developer of the software but
when we talk about numbers especially
accuracy and profit we're talking about
zero management these are raw numbers
just bear that in mind all right so uh
version 137 has also been back tested so
137 still fairly new it was released
officially on September 30th of 2024
just literally like a few weeks ago and
um the problem with releasing a new
version especially when you do a major
overhaul of the engine is that people
don't trust it so I did a back test
using the old data and we currently as
of the time of this recording have 137
and the older version 136 which is
trusted both running at the same time
and I'll show those later in the video
but right now really what I'd like to
talk about is some metrics here and I'll
put these up on the
screen so version 136 versus 1 37 I have
them side by side we're talking the 1030
SPX butterfly you can see that the 136
has a much deeper draw down and limited
profitability where the 137 has less
draw down and much higher profitability
that's because butterflies have been the
bane of my existence in this software
and I did a complete overhaul of the
butterfly
code now the 1030 SPX vertical and 136
and 137 you'll see are almost identic
and that's because we wanted to approach
this with the premise of if it's not
broke don't fix it meaning I didn't want
to introduce more bugs by sitting there
tweaking around with things that I know
already work um verticals in the system
are considered the Workhorse that's what
I personally trade almost every
day next we're going to look at the 1335
butterfly now in case you're wondering
about the timing just reduce 12 hours so
this is actually 135 Eastern Standard
Time all time time frames are Eastern
Standard this assumes you took one trade
a day at 135 on SPX and you would have
made about $44,000 at the end of that
time period and that back test ran from
January uh 23rd 2023 I'm sorry
2024 January 3rd 2024 all the way up
until um the end of October so not even
a full year we're talking you know 10
months basically
the next one um Iron Condors uh not
nearly as dramatic this is the 1255 iron
Condor you can see there's some severe
draw Downs here and profitability was
limited we're talking about $900 profit
now that again this is entering the
trade letting it ride all day and that's
what you live with live or die either
Max profit Max loss that's what you took
this is really a good case study for why
you need risk management iron Condors in
this system have like over a 95 in some
cases even 99% accuracy rating but the
loss on these the risk on these is so
great that when you lose I mean one loss
on an iron Condor will wipe out weeks of
profit so that one loss Will wreck your
account this is why you want to use risk
management if you followed proper risk
management that chart would be much much
more
profitable and then um moving on we have
sonar now sonar is an iron Condor but it
is calculated completely differently and
it has a better risk of reward ratio so
you can see the profit on the sonars
these iron Condors are much much better
if you had taken one sonar a day at 350
Eastern Standard time you would have
made
$34,000 that's right you're just
literally logging in copying the trade
pasting it into thinker swim hitting
send to your broker and walking away and
you would have made
$34,000
now it gets even better the 1035
vertical this is my my baby right here I
have a smaller account so I tend to
stick with these guys um you would have
made $4,500 if you did the 10 to35
vertical again that's just once a day
copy the trade send it to the broker
walk away don't even manage it now in
the real world you wouldn't do that
you'd follow risk management and your
profit would probably be a little bit
better now this one right here is going
to get people really excited really fast
this is the 1015 ndx butterfly and yeah
$79,000
profit
$79,000 profit but this is also ndx and
ndx will get mean and nasty very quickly
because it move so violently um I've
calculated it's about a 15 to $16,000
draw down on this so you would have to
have a larger account to handle this
thing but for just clicking a mouse
button once a day at you know 10:15
and not even managing I you're not even
watching the screen you're literally
sending the order and going and playing
golf or hitting the bar with your
friends or whatever you do at 105 in the
morning
$79,000 I mean that replaces most
people's day jobs you can't beat
that the final graphic I wanted to show
here is that we've talked a lot about
time and time is really irrelevant the
systems designed so that it kicks out
the trades every 5 minutes now granted
some times of the day are more accurate
and profitable than others and we call
those heat maps and this is a heat map
you're looking at right here you'll see
that like the butterflies for example
there's a hot spot between 10:50 or I'm
sorry 10:20 and 10:30 and another one
around lunchtime at 11:25 and then a
good cluster around 130 to 145 now it
doesn't mean you have to take those
trades during those times you can take a
trade any time in the day the systems
designed to change with the market so as
the market changes regardless of the
time of the day it will recalculate and
generate new trades again those trades
are put out there every 5 minutes now
what that means is if you're running
late you just don't have time to snag
like the 10:15 ndx butterfly fine grab
the 10:30 grab the noon it doesn't
matter just grab the one that you feel
comfortable with now I'm going to repeat
this throughout the video and I want to
make it very clear don't trade every
single trade magic throws out there
you're it's a recipe for disaster and I
don't know of a single person that could
handle the capital needed the buying
power needed or the draw down um I mean
imagine taking like a th000 iron Condors
a day and they all went against you your
account would be gone so don't do that
take one trade one time make a
methodology find what works for you and
then interact with the community learn
from your peers there's a lot of people
in this group that are way smarter than
me now let's talk about the benefits of
the paid version and I've got some notes
here um the cost no one wants to pay for
anything I get it I mean paying for
things sucks right so I price this at a
specific price point to make it
extremely painless it's $25 a month you
can come in your very first day and I've
seen this time and time again you come
in your first day take one trade and you
have paid for an entire year of magic it
happens quite a bit um 25 a month
especially for options trading software
is nothing um that being said where's
that 25 a month go well it feeds my
backend servers data feeds things like
that I also have a love of pizza so
you'll see me every Friday in there
saying hey if you made money donate to
the pizza jar um but the thing is I have
real world things I have to pay for in
the back end nothing's free especially
Cloud
infrastructure um the paid version also
includes trades like the butterfly the
iron Condor the sonar which we'll cover
these things later on in detail and
verticals it also comes with metrics and
these are every 5 minute snapshots you
get instantly up updated metrics I mean
these are real time nothing's hidden
from you and it's got multiple charts
that are highly detailed that we'll
cover and these charts
are they're detailed they're complex but
at the same time once you learn them you
can just look at the chart and not even
have to think about what's happening
you're like oh that's what I need to do
it's very simple and you get a massive
community and a lot of people are going
to gloss over this part don't do that
this community is massive and it's full
of Industry experts um we have a mentor
system so that anybody can really come
in and say hey I know a lot about the
market and I'd like to help other people
and they can start their own channel and
many of these mentors run their own
businesses but they really help the
community so you'll get people in there
that are you know working in the stock
market for 25 30 years or you'll get
mathematicians and data scientists it's
just insane this community is so
powerful and honestly I'm in there every
day answering and asking questions
because guess what I don't know
everything and there's people in here
that know a lot about the market so
don't underestimate the community
because there's been times where I just
I couldn't guess what I wanted to do and
I watched the community and they're like
well we're all taking this trade I'd
take it I'd make
money okay for those of you that are new
to Discord This Server may be a little
daunting now why is it in Discord well
very simple I wanted it to be easily
accessible you see we have the paid
version of magic and the free version
magic both available in
Discord now the problem is if you're new
to Discord or if you're just new to the
server it can be pretty daunting I mean
there's a lot of information here so
what we're going to do is we're going to
break this down we're going to go
through and we are going to collapse all
categories and just walk through these a
little bit at a time and you may see
things light up as there's activity in
the
server so the welcome section pretty
self-explanatory you have help which
just has some general you know what can
we do to help you and then cancel walks
you through how to cancel
welcome is really the landing page this
is where almost all new users land legal
disclosure and questions which are
available to the
public we also have some general server
rules and let's jump into information
you notice how these are broken into
category it makes it super easy to find
what you're looking for announcements
this is where typically I'll put things
out there for the entire Community there
is a tip jar so if you made a small
fortune you can buy me a pizza and the
user guide as a new user this is
typically where you're going to get
pointed to you're going to come in with
a question and people are going to say
hey see the user guidance because we put
a lot of information in here and guess
what it is action-packed it's got videos
this very video will probably be right
there at the very beginning and it walks
you through the entire
system PDT hacks if you don't know what
PDT is is the pattern day trading rule
which basically says if you have less
than 25,000 in your account you can only
make so many trades per week these hacks
show you how to get around those rules
very very worth
watch instructions is kind of like a
condensed version of everything we just
talked about and frequently asked
questions is pretty
self-explanatory magic sonar I get
questions on this all the time there is
a live feed that I have now this is not
magic this is Magic sonar it's two
different things this is a script that
runs inside the options chain that just
simply highlights some cells of Interest
shows you kind of what the market is
doing now before you get all excited is
comes with zero support it is free of
charge but zero support and guess what
it is not nearly as powerful as magic
it's a very condensed version full
source code is provided and some people
have had a hard time getting this
running especially on Mac so to get
around that I've automated it it's the
third chart we'll cover this later it's
called the sonar chart all right let's
go down into the members section now you
got gen chat this is just where
everybody kind of hangs out and then
journals this is kind of a new feature
and this is what I would really
recommend you check out because
everybody has the ability to make their
own journal and this is where people
often live trade so for example if we go
into Brian's butterflies this is
typically where I'll post a butterfly
you'll see that people are actually
actively in there trading right now and
we do post the real trades alongs with
profits and all of the goodness that
you'd expect to see in there but don't
just stop into this channel you know
check out the journals in all their
Glory there's a ton of them out there
and there's some really smart people
making some awesome trades out there I
tend to just kind of sneak peek every
single Channel cuz I love to see what
the community is
doing and then from there we have
different channels like future risk
management option fills strategies
profits and loss so on and so on we do
have a developer section where I
encourage if you know any development to
just stop in and say hi um sometime in
the future I may open parts of this up
for other developers um and I am
considering making an API in the next
version I'll talk about that at the very
end of the video and if people just
can't get along we do have a fight club
and a break
room all right reports
this is where we get you know all of the
historical information where people say
you know like what's the best time of
day what's the best day of the week that
kind of stuff we post all these reports
down here and then a bunch of us go in
here and crank these reports out and
make them just
awesome now education this takes a
little bit of explanation here so if I
just click in one you'll see that each
one of these is run by a different
person so like here's Ernie with Z DTE
there's buy the numbers with Vance
Lauren and Patrick and then we have
others you know like you have options
Sandy and then we have some community
members so basically what the education
section is is different people that have
decided to help the community because I
am not an expert in options trading but
these people are so you have all of
these channels you can go in and start
learning from actual industry experts
it's absolutely an amazing resource I'm
in here all the time asking questions so
for example axe options my buddies over
at ax love their videos I almost always
make sure their newer videos are put in
here or at least they get a shout
out all right you also have the live
feed now the live feed is like I said
very very simple of course I can't click
on that because my microphone is
disabled but we can watch this stream
real
fast and we can see that this is the
actual magic sonar I have it on a live
feed for those of the people that can't
get it running I'm going to disconnect
from that now this is what you're
probably looking for the predictions and
it comes in two flavors predictions
version 137 this is the newest version
and then you have this Legacy 136 and it
takes a little bit of an explanation
here so 137 is the current version and
don't worry we're going to walk through
all of this but you just open up the 137
you pick the underlying that you want
for example I'm on SPX and you go to the
very bottom and there's the newest set
of
predictions now 136 is the older version
see 137 had a major overhaul to it so
people got nervous and they said can you
keep the older version running for a
while and I did so this will eventually
get phased out as it's the Legacy
version as people more and more adopt
and Trust version
137 and then of course we have some
archive channels some terms and
conditions and things like that so if
you kind of you know glazed over a lot
of that the major highlights here is
check out the user guide check out PDT
hacks check out the journals obviously
say hi and gen chat and then go down to
the predictions and if you get lost or
you have questions or if you just need
special help we have a bunch of mentors
in here that can help you
out okay
so let's dissect the predictions they
seem a little daunting so we're going to
scroll up and you'll see newer
predictions come in as the software
updates every 5 minutes this is just SPX
you can click on any of these
underlyings you want special note to the
logs down here this is the end of day
report that gets generated automatically
but for right now we're just going to
focus on the actual forecast and
predictions so each one is split into a
few different sections you have what I
call the oneliner or the title right at
the very top which says the current
price is the trend is and it's closing
near and will range between these
numbers then we have metrics right here
honestly these metrics are more for me
it helps me debug the system and figure
out what the heck's going on so when it
has a great day I can dive and go okay
what happened and if it has a bad day I
can again say what just happened then
you have a simple 3-day forecast this is
often a source of confusion because this
is not actually magic this is a mini
prediction um you'll see this change and
so don't bet your life savings on this
this has not really been back tested or
even analyzed at any real depth just
just tells me a General market Direction
over the next 3 days you can see at the
current time the market direction is up
this will change then you have the
example trades now these are just it
examples
these things honestly when I first built
the software people said I don't know
how to trade this I don't understand the
charts what do I do so I just slapped a
trading system onto the side of that and
this is the example trades and we're
going to go into the logs and we're
going to really deep dive into the
metrics on these later but these are the
actual trades now these are copy and
pastable and what I mean by that is you
can actually highlight it copy it and
put it into thinker swim desktop and
I'll cover that later in the video but I
just wanted to highlight that now
unfortunately
most other Brokers and softwares don't
even allow the copy and paste so for
example The Thinker swim web or mobile
you can't do that it's only the desktop
version of thinker swim I wish the other
Brokers would allow it and adopt it
makes it super simple anyways we've got
a butterfly an iron Condor a sonar which
is just a better version of the iron
Condor and a vertical so you can just
jump in pick the trade you want and go
and then we have the charts and don't
worry we're going to cover each one of
these in- depth because they are pretty
complex but you have the magic chart
which is kind of like an all-in-one
Swiss army
knife you have the quad chart which
dissects the market at a very high level
and then of course that sonar chart now
this replaces that live stream so you
don't even need to look at the live
stream honestly I may disable the live
stream in the future and this gives you
a snapshot of where the market is where
it's going and what we think it's going
to happen you see in the background it
just
updated and you can see in real time
this updates every 5 minutes
all right looking at the predictions
that are generated every five minutes it
gets a little confusing now you can
really kind of hone this into a few
parts you have what I call the text wall
the trades and then the charts so let's
focus in on the text wall here why does
this even exist I mean what's the point
of this well the title just gives you a
snapshot of what we think's going to
happen now remember this is a
forecasting SL prediction engine so this
will change you know don't log in at
9:35 in the morning ECT this is where
SPX is going to close this does adapt
with the market and this right here is
the source of a lot of confusion so I'm
going to try to unconfuse it as much as
I can all right we've got the snapshot
of what is happening which is just
simply where is the price where's the
trend where we think it's going to close
near and then the range that we
expect now you know this is not
Financial advice I have to put that out
there because somebody out there will
say well magic said this no this is not
Financial advice
and then we just break this stuff out we
have the current price we have the
current Trend we have the predicted
close now this is experimental you
notice these numbers are different so we
have
5758 and then we have
5750 there's like an $8.38 difference
why this is a more granular prediction
that I am working on so typically what I
like to do is be very transparent and
then throw things out for the general
public to see as I'm working on them and
I did flag this one as
experimental this one from testing seems
to be a bit more accurate but you see
they're still fairly close they're $8
off now I have to note this is actually
election day probably the worst day for
me to record a video because somebody's
going to come in and go oh you said it
was going to be 5750 and it ended up at
like 5,800 or something I expect the
market to be crazy today all right so we
have a relative strength now what is
that strength that is the pull that the
market has so we have a 0.25% pull
meaning we expect that price action to
move at a
0.25% and then magic actually has a
couple different forecasts here we have
the shortterm and the longterm and each
one has a predicted value and the actual
bias so both shortterm and longterm are
saying bullish so we expect the market
to go up and we're actually sitting here
saying they're going to be pretty
similar so we're saying you know 5765
5767 you notice these are all different
than this number this is why people get
so frustrated which number do you look
at honestly these are all separate
predictions right here there's actually
three main predictions so I would be a
little cautious I always look at this
closing near because that gives me the
most conservative value where these tend
to be a little bit overestimating on
what's going to happen and then I have
calls versus puts and then the actual
Center or what I call Market Center or
True Market Center so think of this as
like a tug of- War you have the calls
and the puts both tug at the price and
then there's the center the range is the
expected range now this is totally
different than what your broker is going
to say so don't even try to compare that
to your broker this is a calculation
that I'm doing Target one and Target Two
these take a little bit of explanation
you'll see these on the charts we tried
to Define multiple targets now Target
one is where the price is going to
gravitate to Target Two is the next in
line meaning as Target Two grows and
strength you'll see that price moving
towards it you'll often notice the trend
lines up with the targets so for example
you see the trend is up bullish bullish
and Target one is lower than Target two
so we're expecting Target Two to take
over and become Target one in the future
so that price action is going to move up
now Delta gamma interest sonar and
volume these are internal metrics that I
use for testing and the way magic works
is it looks at the options chain and the
market and it's totality and then tries
to reverse engineer it and there is um
if I remember correctly about 16
different metrics that it's really
focused in on but these are the big ones
and we'll talk about the quad chart and
depth but think of it like a table you
have to have four legs for that market
to stand up and that would be Delta
gamma interest and volume sonar is a
custom calculation and it is that magic
sonar chart this guy right
here all right now
forecast well forecast we've talked
about a little bit this is just a very
very quick calculation of what the
software thinks going to happen in the
next 3 days and people often ask how
accurate is this it has not been back
tested it has not been monitored it just
comes with Asis no warranty or guarantee
of any kind this is just the software
trying to guess in the next three days
what the Market's going to do based on
current conditions and you guessed it
because the Market's ripping up it
thinks the next three days are going to
go up however sometimes you'll see It'll
say up down up and what that could mean
is that it's going to range
and the example trades everybody's
favorite these are just examples um
everybody likes to consider these like
the Holy Grail they're honestly just
examples guys you can and you should
make your own trades so for example if
this butterfly is just too pricey for
you you can take that Center strike this
guy right here and then adjust your
longs to get the price you want a lot of
people do that iron Condors for example
may just be a little too big for you and
that's fine you can adjust the strikes
as needed these are just examples this
is what the software is saying hey if I
was sitting at my desk trading this is
the trade that I would consider
doing now butterflies have been
massively overhauled in this system
compared to the previous versions this
has a much higher accuracy rate and I
want to put a special note out here in
the
journals I have Brian's butterfly that
seems to be a Hot Topic here and other
people have started opening butterfly
channels as well because butterflies in
the system are a very hot topic they
have a much better risk reward ratio
than iron Condor sonar or
verticals iron condors and we'll talk
about all these trades but these are
what are called super wide or Ultra wide
iron Condors so they have a very low
reward to a very high risk and we'll
look at these in depth I don't like
those iron Condors so I developed sonar
which runs off of this sonar calculation
this third chart completely different
algorithm than this iron Condor and then
verticals these are kind of the
Workhorse in the system these are kind
of Old Faithful um these are what I use
almost daily
and this is just simply you know is the
market going up or
down let's take a look at the first
chart this is called the magic chart and
it just says magic eightball for SPX or
whatever underlying you're on now this
looks really really busy and I apologize
for that so let's blow this thing up all
right you notice the blue profile this
is sonar this is that custom calculation
that tries to figure out what the
Market's doing this is different than
volume profiling and things of that
nature this is a custom calculation but
from there you see these large spikes
become Target one target two down here
at the bottom these Target one target
two so you can see that Target one is
this guy right here at
5750 at least at the time of this
recording now you see how this is much
thicker that means it's got more numbers
or more metrics I don't want to call it
volume but it's got more power behind it
and this is Target Two at 5780
so we're expecting this to push up to
Target Two typically what you'll see is
the market you know early to midday will
kind of bounce between Target one and
Target two and you'll see these flip
around like Target Two May jump down
here and that's when the market does
that Serpentine thing that everybody
loves but if Target 2 is up here and has
got kind of this power behind it we're
expecting that price to slowly pull up
to Target two and then Target Two
becomes Target one and then this node
would shrink becoming Target 2 and then
you'll see it gravitate up here and kind
of Bounce down towards Target
2 now as the day goes on target one
becomes very very pronounced and it's
very easy to figure out where it's going
to go um you'll notice on the smaller
underlying let's let's go down to like
spy for
example it's much easier to see what's
going on here on this chart you have a
much bigger Spike and you see it
gravitate towards it whereas the larger
underlyings like ndx it's a little
harder to see what's going on but again
you just tap Target one target two and
this price will bounce between these but
always gravitate towards the larger node
or the one that has the more strength to
it so we're going to go back here and
let's take a look at this again so the
Blue Line sonar the targets while
confusing just understand there's only
two of them and the target one is the
strongest Target Two is where the price
is going to want to go to or I should
say the other opponent in the tug of-
War that's pulling at that price this is
almost a perfect illustration because
you can see the price is pulling up
towards that Target 2 and it has more
power it's thicker than this guy then
you have short-term and long-term
predictions and these are often the
source of a lot of confusion I apologize
I honestly want to clean this up and
just have one prediction to rule them
all shortterm is this bright green and
you can see it often tracks right around
Target one tar uh longterm is the darker
green and that will kind of do its own
thing and usually it's around Target 2
but you'll see like Target two will flip
down here and the long term stays up
here the difference between these two is
well profound shortterm is what we're
expecting now anywhere between right now
to like within an hour or two where
longterm is looking more at like the end
of day and maybe even in tomorrow so if
you're towards the end of the day it's
actually looking at the next day so what
this is saying the market started kind
of depressed and as time went went on
we're expecting to pull up but now that
power is really waning and it's almost
going to intersect with our
shortterm that means that upward
Mobility is really starting to wind down
a little bit and you can kind of see
that with a price action it shot up and
now it's just kind of stalling which is
this bright pink line you have your time
at the bottom and you have your strikes
pretty
self-explanatory let's take a look at
the quad chart this is often the source
of confusion and let's really deep dive
into this thing and clear this up the
way magic works is it views the option
chain in its totality and there's like I
think 16 major indicators that it looks
at but these are the big four think of
this like a four-legged table you have
to have each leg of the table for the
table to stand up this is the market
right here so you have volume interest
gamma and Delta we're going to dissect
each one of these so volume is you
guessed it volume so if you're into
volume profile analysis we've already
done the work for you it's right here
the red is the puts the green is the
calls we have the red line indicating
the highest put the green line
indicating the highest call and then you
can see where they intersect right here
it also does a mini prediction which is
this Gold Line the magenta line is the
price and you can see the price is
pretty close now this is a mini
prediction and what magic does is it
looks at all of these metrics and then
combines them into you guessed at the
shortterm the longterm and the
experimental
forecast so volume has its mini
prediction right here and then interest
is simply open interest this is where
you know you guessed it people are
interested in the market and we have
this huge Spike at 5700 on the puts and
then you calls are kind of all over the
place but they has more power you notice
how it's much thicker over here so the
calls are currently pulling this price
up which explains why the price action
is moving up and you have the price
action and the mini prediction now you
may be wondering how is that mini
prediction calculated it's calculated by
the relative strength of both the calls
and the puts and it says where's the
center and then offsets it the center
based off the strength and does some
other custom calculations as
well now gamma and Delta take a little
bit of
explaining gamma is actually gamma
exposure or gex so a lot of people are
like well I wish gex was in the system
it's right here guys it's gamma on the
quad chart so you don't need to go
jumping to third party software it's
literally right here this is gamma
exposure now some people love gamma cuz
it tells them exactly where that price
wants to go immediately and you can see
both puts and calls are centered on 5750
so the market wants to go here and
that's where the prediction is that's
actually where the calls the puts and
the predict all say it's going to go but
you notice the price is up here that's
because these other elements are playing
tug-of-war at it Delta this is a custom
calculation I believe it's called the
whale score um really it looks at what
we think the Market's going to do in a
longer term and you'll notice at least
in this quad chart right here calls and
puts are almost mirroring each other the
Market's really ripping towards
5750 and that's where the predict is you
won't always see these line up so
perfectly sometimes like you know gamma
will be over here and Delta will be way
over here somewhere and that's where
that delicate tug of- War comes into
play you'll notice each one of these has
a name for example volume and then it
has what type of prediction so this is
bullish and then it's mini prediction so
you don't even have to really analyze a
chart you can just look right at the
title volume's bullish interest is
bullish gamma and Delta are both bullish
and then it's got the different metrics
or the different predictions for each
one so you can use this a number of ways
so for example if you believe
wholeheartedly in volume analysis you
can go with the
5752 however if you believe
wholeheartedly in gamma exposure you can
go with the 5750 you know at the time of
this recording these Lin up pretty
closely and you can do the same thing
for interest in Delta magic does the
hard work for you it takes these four
along with all the other metrics in the
background and combines them into the
shortterm the long-term and experimental
forecast so you don't have to do any of
the math it's literally done for you all
you have to do you guessed it is just
pick what you want to look at whether
it's here or here or here I personally
will use the quad chart to evaluate my
trades so for example if I put a
vertical on I will watch gex to see in
real time where that market wants to go
if I put a longer term trade like U
that's like an iron Condor or something
I'll typically watch Delta and usually
I'll watch volume and interest to see
how the Market's changing so for example
if these lines start shifting around
real rapidly I know the Market's
changing rapidly with
it okay let's take a look at the sonar
chart I'm going to go down to the newest
one here all of this seems super
confusing and I wanted to simplify it so
I made something called sonar which is a
modified version of gamma exposure and
here is the current chart for this date
and time you can see you have the sonar
profile in blue you have Target one
target two along with a biased and a
relative strength and you have the price
right here it makes it super simple so
here's the price you have these two
spikes you can see that Target one
highlighted right here this is where the
price wants to go but Target Two is
going to play tug OFW war and pull that
price up which is why the price is above
Target one because it's being pulled by
Target 2 almost how the moon pulls at
the tides now if Target 2 were to shift
down here you would see the price action
shift below this target one pull and
start gravitating a little bit towards
Target 2 so how do you use this chart I
like to spot check my trades so for
example if I had an iron Condor that
took the bulk of this I would say okay
is Target one within my profit tens same
thing for butterflies now verticals I
would say for example if I had a
vertical where I wanted the market to go
up I would just make sure that like
let's say I was in at 5720 I would want
it to stay above 5720 and I would watch
Target Two to see where it stays
relative to Target 1 and if it shifted
against me like if Target one dropped
down to 5700 I know hey maybe I need to
manage my trade the whole point of the
sonar chart is to make all of this
ridiculously simple you can literally
just look and go yep we're on track
things are going good and compare it to
your profit tent in your
trade let's take a look at trades and
let's demystify these now these are just
example trades you don't have to do
these you can do anything you want but
these are for people that say Hey I'm
new to trading or you know what does
magic actually think so let's take a
look at each one of these I want you to
understand what they are and why they
exist we're going to scroll down to the
newest one and let's just copy this
butterfly so you're going to copy all
the way from the buy all the way to the
end of the te right click and copy now
this copy feature is only supported on
thinker swim desktop I'm sorry nothing
else really supports this I wish they
did now how do you paste this in here
like it's not in the chart you can't
rightclick you can't really do anything
you know what do you do so what I would
recommend is you click analyze and go to
risk
profile and then this little button down
here on your screen it may look like
this but usually it's hidden so you
click this and if it's in saved orders
you won't see it so you have have to
click on order entry and you get this
little paste icon click that boom you're
not done yet now right click it and
analyze it and it throws it into the
analyzer I can now delete that off the
clipboard and voila here's our
butterfly another thing you can do is
you can go to set slices and then break
even on the next day and it shows you
where your break evens are and this
little nubby right here I don't know if
the screen's picking it up that's the
current
price now the blue line is end of day
the pink line is the profit curve or
time Decay and you can see that
represented in this box over here so as
I move the mouse you'll see that box
change numbers and you'll see the number
on the screen so for example if you
would enter the trade right now you'd
instantly be profitable by by 46 bucks
no broker in the world's going to just
give you 46 bucks so click that unlock
icon and it drops it down to the current
price and you see the profit curve
changes with it then once you find a
price that's reasonable lock it right
click confirm and send now make sure
this is the right trade for you before
you do any of that the basic premise
here is there's two ways of trading
magic you can either run it to
expiration which is how it is in all of
the logs so when we talk about accuracy
and we're going to go through the logs
in depth we're talking about end of day
expiration or you can take profit as it
comes so for example if this price were
to
drop I would take that $223 you see that
that number right there so as the price
dropped you'd gain more and more money
cuz you're towards your Center remember
every trade has risk and reward so if
you're watching this black box down here
the most you're going to squeeze out of
this butterfly is about two grand but
you're risking about
1945 so if this trade goes against you
you're going to lose money and you can
actually lose money while it's in the
profit tent if you eject too early so
you have to make sure these trades are
right for you definitely examine the
risk and reward and make sure it's the
right strategy for
you all right now you can check and
uncheck these to show these in the
analyzer and you'll see me do that so
for example I'm going to uncheck it and
now we're going to go over and we're
going to grab an iron
Condor people tend to love Condors
because they are so accurate in the
system you'll see you know 95 to 100%
accuracy on Condors for a reason they
are huge the problem is there's so much
of this Condor you see these lines
represented the break evens on the
butterfly there's so much of this thing
you're only making if you look at this
box $32 and you're risking 468 so the
risk reward on these is abysmal and if
you unlock it you'll see you lose even
more money because the price is changing
so here we're doing 25 bucks risking 475
not a good risk to reward but if we set
those slices to break even you'll see
you have this huge area to play with
versus that
butterfly I personally don't like iron
condors because when it goes against you
it goes against you very rapidly and you
lose a lot of money very quickly and one
full loss on an iron Condor you will
lose months worth of profit on
successful Condors that's why I
typically don't trade them now to negate
that problem I created what are called
sonars sonars are also iron condar but
they are calculated strictly off this
sonar chart using Target one target two
so you'll see the strike slightly
different and you see better premium so
we're going to copy this going to go
here paste that in analyze
it and you see the dotted lines or the
break evens on the other Condor and you
have a lot less profit tent but you have
more premium you're already $83 so even
if I unlock it and lock it you're still
three times more profit than the other
one but of course you have a smaller
surface area to work with but you're
risking about the same
amount the accuracy on these sonars
really Rivals the verticals so let's
take a look at the vertical real
quick I personally love verticals I
consider these the Workhorse of the
system and we're going to
just paste that in analyze that trade
and there's your vertical in all of its
Glory Magic thinks the Market's going up
so it creates a vertical showing that
direction it's pretty much at the break
even right now and we could play around
the price if we wanted lock it in
confirm and send again you just right
click and confirm and send if if you get
like what I call this modern art
masterpiece it's usually because you
have multiple trades selected just
uncheck them to show the one you want
and you can of course delete them as
well to really simplify your
screen now there's one other thing I
want to show you here let's say you
screw up because I screw up quite often
to be honest with you and we only get
part of the trade when we go to copy
that you're going to see something like
this no order in clipboard
that just simply means you missed
something you didn't copy the whole
thing or you got an extra space at the
end or something like that and other
times especially on some of these ements
that just don't want to like really work
with me you're going to see where it
will say order not found or item not
traded or something like that that means
that Magic's generating a trade that
your broker simply doesn't support just
grab different strikes and you should be
good to go you'll also notice that some
of these underlyings are not highlighted
so for example apple and Tesla are not
highlighted what's going on here and the
last time they were traded was on 111
and it's currently November 5th that's
because this is a zero DTE system so
it's only going to generate zero DTE
trades and at the end of every day it
generates this nice log this beautiful
scorecard that shows you exactly what
happened on that day each underlying
each trade and the accuracy for each and
you can see some days are better than
others like this was a really really bad
day the market really moved the other
day not bad another day not bad and
we're going to dive into the logs but I
just wanted to show you that this daily
automated log does
exist now this does come with a free
version but unfortunately you're going
to get what you pay for the free version
well it's free and it only updates every
30 minutes it does not have example
trades or metrics or anything that you
would hope for it just shows you a
couple charts and says this is what
magic thinks is going on in the moment
the community is
also wholeheartedly I love you guys in
the free server but you got to start
talking more there's almost no action in
the free server um the free server is
just a lot of people that wanted to come
check it out and
unfortunately the free version doesn't
really live up to the paid version if
you really want the full experience join
the paid version you get 30 days risk
free you don't even get build for 30
days cancel at any time uh the free
version again is just people coming in
they wanted to check it out without
pumping a credit card into it and that's
totally fine uh but I would highly
recommend you check out the paid version
because it's much more powerful and the
community is vastly more
interactive okay let's take a look at
logs in this system now you get the end
of day logs at the bottom of the
predictions for both 137 and
136 and it comes with two things it
comes with a scorecard and a zip file
but I wanted to point out if you scroll
up you look at reports there's also this
historical section this is where I'll
put like an entire Year's worth of logs
or an entire month and I'll do back back
testing and things of that
nature then there's log chats log
results we got some community members
out there that do some amazing work so
for example shout out to Jed j26 he does
some amazing work in here and we have
charts and things of that nature we just
Tred looking at the information in
different ways but what I'm going to
focus on is the actual
log so you get the scorecard in all of
its beauty and it gives you a snapshot
of what the day looked like and every
day is different so for example here was
the previous day and you can keep going
and going and going now we're going to
download this ZIP
file and let's jump to my downloads
folder and expand that out and we get a
couple different files here so for
example we get the Delta tracking log
this is just for me it helps me figure
out what happened in the system so if
the range is way off I can go back
through the Delta tracking the ones you
really want are these two guys right
here profit and score so so score is
literally that
scorecard trades this is literally just
the same thing as Profit just
everything's broken out with much more
detail like it has Target one target two
and things like that in there so let's
look at the profit
log and this is what the vast majority
of you are going to want it has the day
the hour the underlying the price the
trade the predicted value low high close
the risk the reward the premium and of
course stopped raw and managed did you
pick these last two up raw and managed
let's take a look at these of course the
very last one is the actual trade but
let's pick apart raw and manage because
this is what you're going to really want
to focus in on Raw is how the system
looks and we're going to Deep dive into
some logs later but raw is you take the
trade from the moment it was generated
and you run it all the way to end of day
and that's what it would have been so
for example this rut butterfly would
have lost 800
$80 managed however looks at the end of
day close and said what would
potentially have happened if you had
managed it and it would have only been a
$264
loss this does not manage it intraday
meaning it doesn't say oh it would have
stopped out at this day and this time
that's something I'm going to build in
for version two but for version one it
just simply looks at the closed
personally I ignore managed altogether I
don't even look at it so I'm just going
to highlight that in red I look at the
raw column because that is the most
helpful for me so for
example this right here this butterfly
would have netted
$2,046 you'll notice it's the same thing
in manage because what manage does is
says if it would not have stopped out
just let it run to end of day it doesn't
do any profit collection so when in
doubt you can safely ignore managed it's
just in there to give people a warm
fuzzy feeling I look at Raw because I
want to see exactly what
happened and if you look at these I'm
going to get rid of these color codes
here
this log has every single trade the
system generated and I do mean every
single trade everything you see on the
screen is in these
logs and at the very end you get a mini
version of that scorecard where it will
show you like let's look at
SPX you have 308 total trades with 242
wins 66 losses with a total accuracy of
78% and then it breaks it down into
profit and then butterflies were 51 how
much profit from butterflies iron
Condors so on and so on the the thought
process people get here is oh I'm going
to take every butterfly this thing
generates don't do that you're going to
completely just destroy your account
even if you had the buying power to do
it what you want to do is pick a date or
I should say pick a time that works for
you like I tend to focus around like a
10:30 entry because that's what works
with my system or I should say my
schedule because I'm busy I got things
to do so I'll typically do like a 10:30
butterfly and on that day it would have
lost out but if I would have done like a
vertical it also would have lost out now
the point I'm making here is the
system's not perfect unlike most people
I'm not going to show you all the
rainbows and kittens I'm going to show
you the ugly things too and we're going
to dive through the logs and really
dissect these and find the hot entry
points for example if you go into the
server you will
find some of these journals people
really look for specific times like 1440
let's just jump in
here yeah like 10:30 1040 strikes are
better so people are already picking out
times that they believe are the best
entry
points all right in this video we're
going to Deep dive through the 136
production logs now this is what if and
but what do I mean by what if this is
what if you had taken one trade a day at
that time for the entire time span of
this log and you would find different
well you guessed it different profits
different losses so this thing's a hot
mess because it's got everything in it
let's filter it down a little bit you
can feel free to download these logs
from the actual server but we're going
to go to standard filter we're going to
take a symbol and we're going to just
micr focus on
SPX Tada now what we can do is we can
see that we have it based off time so at
9:35 the first forecast comes out and it
goes all the way out to end of
day and this is the accuracy rating for
each time slot so what I like to do is
I'll go in here and I'll say sort
descending so now we can see that yep
you guessed it butterflies typically
tend to be more accurate towards the end
of the day and I'll find one that works
for me now you may notice if you go in
here and you sort by
profit it doesn't necessarily line up so
for example you have
61% accuracy made less than the
59% and that's because of the premium
changes the butterflies reshape so what
I'll typically do is I'll look for an
entry point so for example
1345 or let's go with 1355 right here
now if you're wondering what that is
just subtract it by 12 and that gives
you the exact time so for example a 1420
is 220 eastern time in the
afternoon so this would be a 155 had a
62% chance of winning and you would have
totally profited with
$34,000 by the end of the year just
taking one trade a day then you have
your nice RIS reward ratio the higher
that number the better you can see
Condors don't look nearly as good so the
reason why is because remember Condors
have a huge risk for very little reward
so when you take a loss it's a huge slap
in the face but even with that loss
there are condors that are profitable so
for example the 1120 Condor you would
have taken one Condor a day was Zero
management even taking full loss on
those days you still would have walked
away with $1,700
I don't know about you I'd rather have
the bigger number than the smaller
number which is why I don't trade
Condors uh sonar is just a better
Condor so you can say like at the 1540
that would be 20 minutes before Market
close you would have made 86% chance of
winning with
$3,148 in verticals of
course at uh 135 Eastern Standard time
you would have 90% chance with 5,1 $ 46
with a ratio of
016 the thing I want to really highlight
here though is that there really is no
perfect entry time there really isn't
I'm sorry there just isn't so so for
example if we sort the
verticals by
like descending and we just highlight
these we'll just highlight the first
couple over 88% right put those in green
now we sort this by you guessed it our
time so we're going to dat us or Ascend
and you'll see those times are actually
spread out during the day so there's
kind of a fallacy that you know you got
to have the best entry time and you'll
see right around the 10:30 Mark is one
of the hot entry times this is typically
what I trade is around 10:30 because
that's when my break is at work I can
just log in go click click and then walk
away but there's also like around
lunchtime seems to be a hot spot look at
this right here
around 130 to
150 90 to 88% big profit and then of
course at the end of the day and you can
do that for each one of these so for
example you can see the hot times on
butterflies and so on and so on this is
the 136 log the difference between 136
and 137 is I did a major overhaul in 137
the current version so what we're going
to look at in the next section is a back
test of 137 using 13 six's
data let's take a look at the 137 back
test so what I did did is I took the
newest version of magic which has much
more accuracy than the older version and
back tested against all the old 136 data
and this is the wh if file for that and
we're going to you guessed it sort
sending and let's set this thing
by filter so we're standard
filter let say SPX and I've already got
some highlights in here so it's pretty
much the same thing as the 136
where you have different entry points
and I've sorted this based off you
guessed it profit because that's what
we're here for is to make money and you
can see there's some hot zones for the
butterfly right around the 1020
1030 the 1125 a huge chunk around
between like 130 and 2 and then you've
got your end of day stuff and you can
see these green areas don't always line
up so for example a Hot Zone for
butterflies may not be a Hot Zone for
condors and verticals of course have a
much bigger Hot Zone because you're just
simply saying is the market going up or
down now one thing I like to play around
is what if you know so let's just take
this butterfly and let's go sort
descending so if we did the 1335 or the
135 Eastern Standard time we had a 65%
chance of winning those trades we would
have made
$444,000 if we taken one trade a day
simply taken the trade and walked away
no risk management no nothing just boom
that's what it would have been was
$44,000 that's nuts that's a huge
increase from previous versions now not
everything is happy in Condor land here
so for
example you can see Condors of course 5
minutes before close no one's going to
ever get you that trade we're extremely
accurate but if we took something a
little bit more realistic like maybe a
you know 120 in the afternoon you would
have only made
$476 for the entire back test period And
I believe that back test period was from
12324 or January 23rd 24 all the way up
to the end of October so iron Condor is
not super profitable because of the draw
down when you lose so risk management
really becomes key and this chart or I
should say the spreadsheet really
highlights what can happen so a lot of
people come in and go I'm going to do
condors because they're accurate you can
see the accurac radi is off the chart
but you lose your backside you know you
get eaten up really fast sonars try to
take some of that away so we're going to
go
boom at 150 you would have made 3,000
just taking a single trade a day it's
that simple vertical same
thing you would have made over $5,000 at
150 in the afternoon on a vertical with
an 88% chance you notice that 88% these
are not guaranteed meaning that 22 can
and does happen that 22% can and does
happen so definitely manage your trades
now I like to just just kind of poke
around these logs so for example this
blew my mind I'm going to go in here and
I'm going to just sort
ascending and now I want to do a
different
underlying and I'm going to take
ndx because ndx is kind of the big boy
here all right you see some numbers now
I want to see what was the most
profitable ndx
one boom look at that right
there you would have made seven
$79,000 taking the 1015 butterfly every
single day just clicking a button and
walking away you would have made that
that is absolutely insane $79,000 just
by clicking a button this is the back
tested data so I can't honestly
wholeheartedly say this is a th%
accurate because we're taking old data
and running it against the new
predictive models but that's what it
would have
done I find this absolutely mind-blowing
it would have had a 43% chance now what
that means is there would be draw down
and this is the big problem with any
system is you're going to have draw down
so with ndx I think I calculated it's
about 15,000 Max draw down so if you
don't have 15,000 to burn ndx really
isn't for you you have to remember with
the risk comes the reward so pick the
trade that's right for you smaller
accounts are going to want to stick
towards something like XSP or spy I tend
to stick with
SPX those of you that got some money
might want to check out ndx
but again you got to look at the risk
versus the reward they're only 43%
accurate versus like if we went with a
vertical you would have had 81 or 87%
accurate now you notice that even with
the 81% accurate you can still lose
money that's the draw down that's why
you don't want to run these to Max loss
so this is a great example right here
81% accurate but you still lost four
grand that's because you would have run
those to complete end of day expiration
meaning you would have taken the full
total loss which no one in their right
mind would do you want to use stop loss
cut your losers early take your
winners let's take a look at 137
production and what that means is this
is actual real metrics that came out of
the system and this is the wh if file
again that tells you if you had taken a
trade at a specific time what would it
have been so for example the SPX
butterflies if you would have taken the
11:05 or the 1110 you would have made
about 15 to $16,000
just by clicking a button once a day and
you had an 80% chance of accuracy now
this is the entire month of October so
it was just completely rock that month
remember because version 137 is still
relatively new this is a small sample
set which is why I did that back test
not every month is going to do this
good it's literally the same thing you
can sit here and hunt and Peck for
profitability so for example we can just
sort to sending there's would have been
your hot times for butterflies in the
production over October Condors same
thing let's look at
profitability you can see so far because
we haven't gone too far we haven't had a
lot of draw down with Condors that'll
change as the year goes on and the
market moves same thing with sonars and
verticals and so on and so on so you may
be asking yourself which one of these
metrics do I follow do I follow 136 do I
follow the back test or do I follow
137 I personally follow the back test
why because you you have a much larger
data set and it's using the current
Engine with historical data
unfortunately historical data does not
represent what's going to happen in the
future so for
example let's say this 1235 butterfly
may not necessarily be a hot entry time
but the main takeaway from all of these
log videos that I wanted to show you is
that you can make money just simply by
clicking a button so even if you didn't
have a hot time here you know let's take
um this guy right here
1255 you would have had a 75% chance of
making money every single day running
this to Max expiration you still would
have made
$10,000
$10,000 just by clicking a
button that's making one trade running
to
expiration no
stress now in the real world you would
not run it to expiration I know I sound
like a broken record but people come in
here all the time run something to
expiration lose a trade and go oh the
system doesn't
work you have to manage your trades risk
management is key in any system but what
I'm showing you overall is even though
this is Early Access software and it's
still fairly new you can make some real
profits here like 1245 SPX 80% chance
butterfly
$10,000 just by clicking a
button so these logs are available in
the server I encourage you to download
them and go through them yourselves
okay so quite literally the
million-dollar question how do you use
this
software I cannot give you Financial
advice but I can tell you as the
software developer how I use it and how
I see the community members using it so
the first thing is decide what you want
to do do you want high risk High reward
like a butterfly do you want low risk
low
reward like a vertical or do you want
some hybrid in between like a sonar or
iron Condor or something of that nature
and then
decide when to take the trade there's a
a false belief that there's like the
best time to enter I see this constantly
people come in and go what's the best
time to trade there's no best time I'm
sorry there's just not uh there's
pockets of time that the system's more
accurate than others and the
profitability is better than others like
uh 10:30 to 10:45 Eastern Standard time
I would actually widen that to 10:15 to
1045 that half hour time frame and then
from like 1:15 to 145 in that time frame
and the end of day market and these line
up with people's lives so like you know
10:15 to 10:30 that's when most big
Banks and industries have already
entered their trades and the Market's
kind of stabilized and figure out where
it's wanting to go and then again 115
145 that's when people are coming back
from lunch and getting back into the
market so the market again is figuring
out where it wants to go and then end of
the day of course the big Banks
algorithms kick in and then the market
does its thing but those seem to be the
most accurate times but you you can jump
in at any time you can come in at 1120
and make a ton of money if you and
here's the other key Point follow proper
risk
management all of the metrics accuracies
profitability everything that we've
talked about is fire and forget meaning
you take the trade you send it to your
broker and you walk out the door and go
do something else don't do that in real
life manage your trades follow proper
risk management um nothing is guaranteed
and the system's not 100% so you will
have days and even consecutive days
where it will go against you that's
called Draw down um like the
$79,000 uh 1015 ndx butterfly that we
talked about the very beginning of this
everybody's like I want to do that do
you have the account size to handle A6
to $20,000 draw down because if you
don't you shouldn't be playing around
with those I'm sorry that's just a hard
fact Nothing in life is free and nothing
is guaranteed so just understand there's
risk and reward in this all right I'll
get off my Soap Box about risk versus
reward for now um but copy and paste the
trade meaning if you're on the Thinker
swim desktop we've covered that in the
previous section you just literally copy
and paste it if you don't have thinker
swim desktop or you're on a different
platform you can just take the strikes
and plug them into your broker and then
find the premium and get good to go I
personally use thinker swim desktop and
I don't know of any other platform that
allows copy and paste so unfortunately I
can't answer that question whether like
you could do it with uh tasty works or
Interactive Broker I don't use them I'm
sorry I just don't know
um once you send the order in uh watch
the analyzer and watch Magic um just sit
there and say hey is my trade going to
win so for example if I take a vertical
and I'm saying the Market's going to go
up so like I put in a put spread and I'm
watching the market go up if magic
slowly says oh Target one is way way
down below you know my break even Point
that's when I start looking and going do
I want to exit this trade because I
don't want the market to go against me
and then take a full loss on my vertical
so key is manage your
trades and then uh lastly chat with
other Traders I mean the benefit of this
Discord group it is absolutely huge and
it is packed with so much knowledge I
mean you've got like I think 15
different mentors and those are just the
mentors the community is in the hundreds
um actually think we broke a thousand
members and I'm I'm learning from people
I never would have met in the real world
it's ridiculous like I'll pop in there
with a question at like 2: in the
morning and say hey guys I can't sleep I
got a question and there's somebody
online answering me it's nuts so if
you're part of the community I
absolutely love you guys I love being a
part of this team and I look forward to
making more money with
you all right this is a section on risk
management I wanted to make this its own
section because I see this
consistently somebody will watch a video
or they'll hear Word of Mouth they'll
come in they'll take a trade blindly
without doing any research they'll throw
it into the market and they will lose
and then they blame the software and
that's not how the real world Works know
what you're doing so I have some risk
management guidelines I'd like to walk
you through um if you fast forward
through this this is your own fault if
you lose I'm just giving you some
warnings uh nothing's guaranteed it
doesn't matter how accurate the log says
it is nothing is guaranteed so for
example if you look and see 100% of
butterflies won on Wednesday it doesn't
mean the next day they're all going to
be winners it was just that day this is
still early version software and even if
I spend 20 30 years on this it'll never
be 100% nothing's
guaranteed um entry times versus world
events uh people get this thought in
their head that like 10:30 is the best
time or 10:40 is the best time well
guess what the software can't predict if
we're going to war or if covid comes
back or something so you have to watch
the real world news especially like the
government I'm sorry but fomc days suck
sometimes the market will be going up
they'll get on camera start talking and
goes down and dies just how it works so
you have to understand the news and real
world
events um don't trade too much I've
talked about this before don't take
every
trade what drives me nuts is when
somebody comes in and they take like
five six trades and lose all five six
trades and then blame me and I'm like
you're the genius that did this don't be
that guy I'm sorry just don't do that
take one trade and manage that trade
appropriately and I shouldn't even say
that I would just say take the trade you
feel you can lose because eventually
you're going to lose nothing's Perfect
all right um along those lines
understand draw Downs especially like
iron Condors for
example um Iron Condors at one point
rated at
99% so 99% of those Condors were winners
but that 1% will put you in the negative
CU you will have like a month worth of
winners and hit one loser and all of
your profit for that month is gone so
understand stop loss and risk management
know when to get out of your
trade
um follow your risk management plan
that's really the biggest one respect
your stop losses right I mean I I do
this consistently I'm guilty of it I'm
sorry I am I'll get in a trade and I'm
like well magic says this and my gut
says that we're going to the moon and
then I take a loss and I'm like I did
not follow my plan as good as a software
is nothing's perfect and the market does
change and fluctuate
so follow your R management plan respect
your stop losses and at the end of the
day take your ego out of trading don't
sit there and have a gambler mentality
of it's going to win I just know it I
would rather eat a small loss now than
take a huge loss later because I know if
I take that small loss I can still
survive go on and trade and make a big
win the market is all about
survivability you want to take as little
loss as you can so you can hit those
major wins later on trade responsibly
I want to um I want to wrap this video
up with just setting the notes aside and
having a real conversation with you
about the future of magic
um I did not expect this to go as far as
it did this was a personal hobby mind
during Co just because I was bored and I
wanted to understand options trading
it's really kind of Taken on a life of
its own um I absolutely love it I love
the community I love working with you
folks I've learned so much and I'm so
grateful but everything has to come to
an end at some
point the decision I've made is that 137
is going to be long-term support and
it's going to stay exactly the way it is
for the foreseeable future however I
will be working on version two and this
is a touchy subject nobody likes change
there's a group of people that says 137
is perfect don't touch it but I see the
potential for
more I have a lot of lessons learned
I've gained a lot of knowledge you have
to understand I wrote the current
versions of magic when I knew like
virtually nothing about options trading
or the stock market I had some Buy and
Hold stocks but I had never done options
trading before now that I'm a few years
of experienced options trading I want to
rewrite it using what I call Magic
version
two and nothing is guaranteed nothing's
written in stone this is just me
thinking out loud some things I want to
do with version
2 I want to make it more streamlined I
want to make it vastly more easier for
just a mere mortal just a common person
um to come in and start trading I call
it the Uncle John test my uncle's name
is John and he is not computer savvy and
he is not stock market Savvy at all I
want to make this Uncle John proof so
Uncle John can come in Click a button
make money that's where I want to take
this that being said there's some
shortcomings in the current version of
magic like there's no stop loss there's
no profit collection there's no risk of
reward ratio you just you have to trust
that the accuracy rating is the accuracy
in I don't like that so in version two
I'm going to bake in stop loss and
profit collection and I'm going to find
the The Sweet Spot if you will and this
is an example this isn't reality this is
me hypothetically saying let's say like
an ndx 1015 butterfly with a 10% stop
and a 35% profit yields you know 100,000
a year that's what I'm looking for so I
want to take the current build of
magic take what works and just Pump It
full of steroids and make it work even
better and take all the crap that
doesn't work and throw it
out and I want to add extra Community
features like I love a log server like
an actual web server that you can go to
and download logs sort filter whatever
you want to do so people stop asking me
for logs every five minutes um and we're
not all living in you know spreadsheet
hell um but they have like an actual log
server and yes I am because of community
feedback looking at um automated trading
like um I think options Alpha is one of
them that I'm looking at where you can
and I don't know how this works I
haven't really sorry Bill I know you're
watching I I haven't really looked into
this in detail but you can hook in your
account with like options Alpha and then
hit it a trigger so like the 1030
vertical would just automatically
trigger to your account and you wouldn't
have to even touch magic or even look at
the screen it would just do it for you
I'm looking at that and I am this part's
very controversial I'm looking at doing
an
API if you're not a computer person
you're like a what application
programming interface is a way that
applications talk to each other so I
would build an API for magic and then
developers could take their program and
interface with magic and then build
whatever they want to build uh the
problem with that is it's going to be
costly it's going to be expensive it's
going to have to be bulletproof there's
probably going to have to be a certain
level of uptime and service level
agreements that are going to have to
exist right because other people are
going to go off and build businesses out
of this thing and I want that to be Rock
Solid so that's way way way off in the
future future um that being said that
would be more designed towards Big Banks
Industries uh hedge funds things like
that um you I hate to call retail
Traders but you know the folks that are
just sitting at home trading this is
probably not a feature you'd want you
may think you want it but probably not
you'd probably want more of the you know
automated trading where you say I want
the 1030 vertical or this or that um I
may scale the API down and make it you
know accessible to everybody but right
now that would kind of be like the big
one that big businesses would use uh
simply because if you're putting those
numbers out there someone else is
trusting those numbers and building an
application around it and selling it to
someone else that comes with a lot of
risk I guess the underlying theme here
with version two is um I've actually
grown to Love Options training in the
community and I want to take what works
and make it better and I can't do that
in the current version of magic uh Magic
13 7 is still version one software and
like most version one software sorry
developers this is true but like most
version one software it is a hot mess
under the hood I could have done so much
better I just didn't know what I was
doing market-wise when I wrote it but
now that I have an understanding of what
works and what doesn't I can make it
much better so that's what I'm going to
be focusing on um I would love your
feedback either here or especially in
the Discord server um particularly not
just on you know 137 but also version
two what would you like to see where
would you like this to go 137 is going
to live for a long long time fingers
crossed and uh I'm going to work on
version two and I want to nail it right
I want to get it right the first time
that kind of misleading because it's
version two but I want to get version
two right the first time um that way
when it's out into production everyone
is just like holy crap So eventually
we'll get there
that's all for this video I love you
guys