Kremlin officials are hiding relatives abroad, fearing a new mobilization: mass exodus from Russia
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Amidst growing fears within Russia that President Vladimir Putin might announce a new large-scale mobilization following the State Duma elections, high-ranking Kremlin officials are reportedly advising their friends and relatives to flee the country immediately. According to reports from Bloomberg, these elite figures are actively seeking ways to open foreign bank accounts and transfer their assets abroad to protect themselves from potential conscription. This internal panic is further compounded by a recent directive from Putin to cut regional government positions by 15% to address budget deficits, with emerging documents suggesting that the newly unemployed bureaucrats could be quietly drafted into the military rather than being allowed to remain in civilian life.
The anticipated mobilization marks a significant shift from the chaotic partial draft of September 2022, which triggered a massive exodus of hundreds of thousands of Russians, as the current administration appears prepared to conduct a silent draft without a formal public announcement. To facilitate this covert operation, authorities have completely overhauled the conscription system by replacing paper summonses with a unified digital registry that is seamlessly integrated with tax services, internal affairs ministries, medical records, property databases, and border control systems. Once an electronic summons is issued through this networked system, the recipient is automatically barred from leaving the country, effectively trapping them within Russia's borders before they can escape or resist the draft.
Despite Putin's public denials regarding preparations for a new wave of mobilization, the Russian military is facing severe manpower shortages that are directly impacting its ability to sustain operations in Ukraine. With frontline fatalities reaching up to 1,000 soldiers per week and the quality of volunteers signing contracts declining despite record sign-on bonuses, the army struggles to recruit enough personnel to maintain its deployed force of 700,000. Experts estimate that Russia needs to recruit approximately 400,000 new soldiers annually to sustain current operations, yet the influx of recruits is noticeably shrinking, leading to a situation where territorial gains have practically stalled and summer offensive progress has dropped to just 155 square kilometers compared to over 2,000 captured in the same period last year.
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Fears are growing in Russia that
dictator Vladimir Putin could announce a
new large-scale mobilization for war
against Ukraine after the State Duma
elections. According to Bloomberg, such
expectations are spreading, including
among members of the Russian elite.
According to the agency, some Kremlin
officials are advising friends and
relatives to leave Russia and are also
seeking opportunities to open accounts
abroad and transfer assets there.
Employees of Russian military
recruitment centers are taking similar
measures. Putin has publicly denied
preparing a new wave of mobilization.
>> [music]
>> The panic coincides with Russian leader
Vladimir Putin's recent directive to
slash the number of regional officials
by 15% to ease the burden on a
deficit-ridden budget. However,
according to the documents seen by
Bloomberg, there are growing internal
fears that the Kremlin intends to draft
these newly unemployed bureaucrats into
the military.
According to a European security
official cited by Bloomberg, Russia is
preparing to send an additional 300,000
men to the war in Ukraine. But unlike
the chaotic partial mobilization of
September 2022, which triggered a
massive exodus of hundreds of thousands
of Russians, the Kremlin may avoid a
formal public announcement this time.
Instead, authorities have completely
overhauled the conscription system to
handle a silent draft. Paper summonses
have been replaced with a unified
digital registry that is now seamlessly
integrated with the tax service, the
Ministry of Internal Affairs, medical
records, property databases, and border
control. Once an electronic summons is
issued, the recipient is automatically
barred from leaving the country. While
sources indicate that Putin has not yet
made a final decision on whether to pull
the trigger on a mass draft, the Russian
army is facing severe manpower
shortages. Russian leader continues to
demand the full capture of Ukraine's
Donetsk and Luhansk regions, but the
human cost remains staggering.
A source in Moscow familiar with the
statistics told Bloomberg that frontline
fatalities are reaching up to 1,000
soldiers every week. Furthermore, the
military is struggling to attract
capable volunteers. The source noted
that the overall quality of individuals
currently signing contracts with the
Ministry of Defense is extremely low. To
sustain the 700,000-strong
force currently deployed in Ukraine, a
figure cited by Putin himself, Russia
must recruit approximately 400,000 new
soldiers annually. Yet, despite raising
the average sign-on bonus to a record
1.8 million rubles or $19,000,
the influx of recruits is noticeably
shrinking.
>> [music]
>> Janis Kluge, an expert at the German
Institute for International and Security
Affairs, calculates that 234,000
people signed contracts in the first
half of this year, down from 260,000
during the same period last year. This
manpower deficit has directly impacted
battlefield progress. Territorial gains
have practically stalled. Bloomberg
analyst Alex Kokcharov estimates that
Russia captured just 155 square
kilometers during its summer offensive,
13 times less than the 2,037
square kilometers seized during the same
period a year earlier.
>> [music]