Video summary
Guest Yang Xiyu Chuan provides a stark assessment of potential US-Iran conflicts, arguing that declining empires often engage in unsustainable wars driven by hubris and an undisciplined pursuit of expansion. He suggests that while President Trump's aggressive rhetoric may be a reality television tactic designed to extract maximum leverage, the administration has surrounded itself with individuals who lack discipline, leading to costly failures such as a botched uranium seizure operation costing hundreds of millions of dollars in equipment. Chuan assigns only a one percent probability to a diplomatic compromise and warns that there is a significant chance of limited ground incursions or even catastrophic scenarios where US bombing destroys Iranian power plants, prompting retaliation against critical GCC infrastructure like oil fields and desalination facilities. He concludes that because the United States has already committed itself through past assassinations, it must fight fire with fire, making an easy exit from this conflict unlikely despite any desire for a deal.
The discussion extends to China's internal dynamics, where Chuan notes that while the population remains over one billion, local governments inflate statistics to secure subsidies, masking economic realities. He attributes widespread societal apathy and the phenomenon of "lying flat" to systemic rigging where young people cannot succeed without political connections or massive debt burdens. The disappearance of Jack Ma is explained as a direct result of regulators cracking down on real estate speculation and financial fraud, illustrating that entrepreneurs who challenge central authority face imprisonment or exile similar to Jimmy Lai in Hong Kong. Ultimately, Chuan argues there is almost no interest in democracy within China because the ultimate societal goal for citizens has shifted from exercising individual liberty to becoming bureaucrats themselves.
Jiang Xueqin contrasts this ambition with Western ideals, noting that traditional Chinese aspiration focuses on bureaucratic status rather than Canadian hockey stardom or American entrepreneurship. He chose to operate in China despite risks like his 2003 deportation after filming worker protests without a journalist visa because the rapid flux offered unique learning opportunities unavailable elsewhere. To maintain independence, he avoids using Chinese social media and refuses government-linked interviews, operating in what he calls a "gray zone" where he is monitored but not legally bound by surveillance laws as a non-citizen; however, he plans to leave China long-term fearing eventual co-option into state propaganda once his influence grows. Regarding foreign farmland purchases by Chinese entities, Jiang clarifies that these are driven solely by wealthy individuals seeking asset diversification rather than any strategic intent for national control.
The video concludes with urgent concerns regarding the escalation of the Iran conflict and its potential to disrupt global energy supplies, though Jiang expresses hope for a peaceful settlement involving Iranian offers concerning the Strait of Hormuz. He also details Beijing's ideological shift from minority autonomy toward Han nationalism, which includes restricting second-language teaching and suppressing religious expression under an atheistic state ideology. While he refuses visits due to fears of government backlash, his analysis underscores the complex interplay between economic pressure, political repression, and international security threats that define the current geopolitical landscape for both China and the United States.
Read the full video transcript
Adam, what's your point? The future
looks bright. [music]
My handshake is better than anything I
ever signed. It's right here.
>> [music]
>> You are a one-on-one? My son's right
about you. I don't think I've I've ever
said this before.
So, my guest today is Yang Xiyu Chuan
and I did my best to pronounce the last
name. I've been looking forward to
uh the conversation with you for quite
some time. The day the interview came
out with you and uh
I believe it was Osage and Crystal,
which I thought it was fascinating how a
man
uh in July of 2024 can predict that
Trump's going to win,
then he's going to go to war against
Iran, and then Iran's going to win,
which was your prediction. And I said,
"I want to talk to him."
And then so, let's get the nasty stuff
out of the way cuz I actually want to
have a civil conversation with you. I'm
actually very curious about why you
think the way you think. Uh one, uh at
the beginning when we had that, uh our
team reached out to you uh to get on the
podcast and I think on a podcast you
said you thought it was going to be a
hit piece interview. What gave you the
impression I was going to do a hit piece
on you?
Well, it was just a timing because the
day you got in touch,
um there was a coordinated smear
campaign against me on Twitter, meaning
that there were some influencers
who were using the same talking points
against me. Um just saying that I just
mix stuff
um up and uh it seemed very similar, so
I was very afraid. Also, at that time I
was I was under a lot of stress. So, I
didn't want to put myself in a situation
where um I would be asked hard questions
and I didn't think I would be able to
respond properly to um to hard
questions. And I I watch your show. I'm
a huge fan of yours, Patrick, so I I I
know I know you're very good You ask
very good questions. I I appreciate that
and and that's a fair assessment. And
then again, the other part I want to get
out of the way on Medhi Hasan when you
were on there and professor not
professor, we've all seen that viral
stuff that's been out. So, if you're
comfortable, I'm going to call you
Ziyang if that's okay with you as we're
going through it.
>> That's perfect. That's perfect. Yeah.
>> Beautiful. Yeah, absolutely. So, so so I
appreciate that. Uh question for you.
So, when you said again, I've seen the
entire interview and I've seen a lot of
your stuff because what I like is seeing
what the market is saying and why,
right? Some people have certain patterns
and your experience is a very
interesting one because you went to Yale
College, you've lived in Canada, you're
now in uh Hong Kong if I'm not mistaken.
>> No, no, no, no, Beijing. I'm in Beijing.
>> my apologies. You're in Beijing right
now. And so, you have a very interesting
perspective of these three different
worlds and there's a lot of things to
talk about. What what uh
what analysis or what patterns did you
notice for you to say, you know, not the
first one that Trump was going to win
cuz let's set that one aside, but the
one that US is going to go to war with
Iran and then we're going to lose. What
gave you the analysis or something to
say I think that's what's going to
happen?
Right. So, um in school I teach history
and I try to teach world history, the
entirety of human history stretching
from the cave paintings uh during the
Ice Age about 10,000 years ago to today.
And while teaching history, I noticed
some patterns emerge um in history and
the major pattern is how empires tend to
decline. And they decline for a
particular reason, which is hubris. So,
empires believe that they are invincible
um and that no one can touch them. So,
they engage in activities that are not
very strategic. Um for example, the
Persians invaded the Greek mainland
about 490 BCE with a massive invasion
force and they were destroyed by the uh
Greeks. And then the Athenian empire,
which emerged after the Persian empire,
um started to engage in hubris as well.
And in 415 BCE during the Peloponnesian
War against Sparta, they launched an
ill-advised silly invasion of Sicily
um and they lost the war because of this
uh invasion. And so, a pattern emerges
where empires in decline, they tend to
engage in risky
um wars that they believe they can win
easily, but which but which forces them
to expand valuable resources on a
quagmire. So, the most recent example,
of course, was Vietnam. So, it is my
belief that um if the United States
would go to war with Iran, then it would
lose this war because the United States
would not have the manufacturing
capacity, the logistical network in
order to sustain a war in the
mountainous terrain of Iran. And so, the
big question was, would Iran go to war?
Uh sorry, would the United States go to
war with Iran? And you look at Trump's
first presidency, um there were clear
signs that he was uh being heavily
influenced by Israel.
Uh he moved the uh American embassy from
Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.
He promoted the Abraham Accords.
>> Mhm. Um he recognized Israel's control
over the Golan Heights.
Uh he ordered the assassination of
General Qassem Soleimani in January
2020.
Um and so, if he had a second term, he
would have most certainly gone to war
against Iran. So, that's how I came to
my conclusion. Got it. That's fair. And
by the way, there's a very book good
book uh book written by Jim Collins
where he says uh why the mighty fall.
Why the mighty fall. And he goes through
five steps, stages of decline, and it
validates what you're saying. Number one
is hubris born of success. We're great
because we're great and we're
untouchable, right? Number two, an
undisciplined pursuit of more. We all
fall fall for this trap when we succeed.
Uh let's go do more, faster, bigger,
right? Number three is denial of risk
and peril, which is we're fine, we have
nothing to worry about. Number four is
grasping for salvation. This is where we
need to save her, we need help. And then
number four is capitulation to
irrelevance or irrelevance or death,
which is over. I'm a Syrian, trust me.
We lost our empire many, many years ago
and we were very, very powerful. We
don't have a country right now. So, you
have to always stay a little bit
paranoid about what could happen. Now,
let me go to the tweet that President
Trump
uh posted on Truth Social this morning.
The world is reacting to it. A lot of
people are not happy. A lot of people
are curious. Some people are saying this
is good. Uh uh
but I would say a lot of the people are
probably on this is crazy what's about
to happen today. J.D. Vance
said something this morning that is
probably coming to an end, a whole
civilization. President Trump said on
Truth Social, "A whole civilization will
die tonight. Never be brought back
again. I don't want that to happen, but
it probably will. However, now that we
have complete and total regime change
where different, smarter, and less
radicalized minds prevail, maybe
something revolutionary wonderful can
happen. Who knows? We will find out
tonight
one of the most important moments in the
long and complex history of the world.
47 years of extortion, corruption, and
death will finally end. God bless the
great people of Iran." How do you
interpret that tweet?
Um I think that Trump is trying to go
for a maximum leverage in negotiation.
Uh but the reality is that the Iranians
um will not back down. And American
forces already assembled in the Middle
East. So, I think that we will see a
ground invasion as early as this
weekend. And it'll be a multi-vector
ground invasion, meaning that uh right
now the Americans are attacking Kharg
Island, which is where uh Iran will
export 90% of its oil from. And so, the
Americans intend on seizing Kharg Island
and strangling the Iranian economy.
There will probably be an attack on
Qeshm Island as well in order to wrestle
control of the Strait of Hormuz of of
Hormuz. There will also be an attack on
the Iranian coastline in order to um
scout
out air defenses. So, I think that we
are
So, so
try to decode this because the average
person who reads this,
they say, "Who talks like that? You
know, what do you mean a whole
civilization will die tonight, never bad
brought back again?" But if you're
somebody that's you you you seem like a
pattern recognition type of guy and you
kind of watch how people speak, and we
know this is how he speaks, right? He
He's not the most predictable guy. He's
got predictable side, but also
unpredictable side. Decode what he's
saying here. Is Is this his last chance
of negotiation for there not to happen?
Is this his last chance of saying I hope
somebody says, "Hey, let's go out there
and negotiate with them" because
Pakistan tried to bring the peace deal
on both sides and US declined it and so
did Iran. So, if you were to decode this
a little bit more on where President's
mind's at, what would you say?
Well, I would say that Trump um
has a history of working in reality TV.
He thinks in terms of of television. He
asks himself, "What will draw attention?
What will look good on TV? What will uh
get people very emotional and afraid and
anxious?" So, he's spent a lot of time
in the World Wrestling um
entertainment with Vince McMahon. They
had a feud, a television feud. And
that's really how you speak in the WWE.
You are rhetorical, you are bombastic,
and you try to instill fear and rage in
uh people.
Um
um And so, what Trump is trying to do is
he's trying to half and half It's really
flexing. The other issue that's very
worrying right now is that Trump has
surrounded himself with advisers
who are psychopaths. And they're not
actually relaying to relaying to him uh
good strategic advice. Uh so for
example, um what has happened this
weekend was that Trump announced the
rescue of a down American pilot. And if
you watch the press conference
yesterday,
um he filed a tremendous success and was
very proud of the military for doing the
impossible, going deep into enemy lines
and rescuing a wounded uh pilot. Um and
this is a great
tribute to the professionalism and
self-sacrifice of the American military,
especially the special forces.
But on Twitter, on X, on social media,
what people are saying is that
um this was actually not necessarily a
successful pilot rescue operation.
It seems that um evidence is emerging
that this was a failed seizure, a failed
attempt to seize uh Iran's uranium,
enriched uranium in the Isfahan uh power
plant.
And if that is the case, then that was
an extremely risky um mission.
And um it and it's very consequential
because America lost about $300 million
worth of planes and equipment in this
failed raid. So, my concern is that
Trump has surrounded himself with
advisors who feed his ego. And Trump
himself believes that just by flexing,
just by taking a very tough negotiating
uh position, he can bully the Iranians
into a compromise. Um so I think that um
we are in a very precarious situation
right now. What what do you think
though, worst-case that could happen,
the best-case? Walk me through what And
by the way, just out of curiosity, would
you consider yourself a sup like if
we're in July of 2024, would you say you
were a supporter of Trump? Like you
wanted to see him win.
Um so
um I'm I'm pretty politically neutral,
but in July 2024, I was very confident
Trump would win. And I felt that America
needed a change. So if I were American
and I had the opportunity to vote in
November of 2024, I would have voted for
Trump over Biden.
>> Got it. That's very important That's
very important for the audience to know
that cuz I don't think you've you've
revealed that cuz your your criticism is
just what you think's going to happen,
but you still would have chosen a Trump
over a Biden or a Kamala. Now here's the
question that we're we're, you know,
everywhere we're we're talking to
others,
what's the best-case, worst-case, okay,
on what could happen here?
The best-case scenario is that the
Americans and Iranians reach a
compromise where they agree to share the
Strait of Hormuz. So uh there'll be
tolls collected uh because the Iranians
want reparations for all the damage that
uh the Israelis and Americans caused
these uh this past month. Uh but they
agree to share with Americans and they
agree to collect the tolls in US
dollars.
And all sanctions are are lifted and
peace comes to the Middle East. And
there is a possibility. I'm not saying
this is impossible but I but it is a
very low probability and this is would
be the best-case scenario.
Best-case scenario, give me the
worst-case scenario.
The worst-case scenario is that Trump
follows through and uh bombs all of
Iran's power plants. And the reason why
this is the worst-case scenario is that
there are certain individuals
who are now um trying to protect the um
power plants with their bodies. So the
Iranian government has called on for the
young people
>> Yep. of Iran to make the ultimate
sacrifice and make a human chain around
all power plants in Iran. And so the
Americans go in, they blow all the power
plants and kill a lot of young people.
>> [clears throat]
>> Well, in this case, the Iranians are
obligated now to destroy the entire
economy of the GCC. This would include
all oil fields. This would include all
the desalination plants. Um this would
include all data centers. And this would
be the absolute worst-case scenario.
What's your likelihood of that
happening? Give a percentage. Like if
you're going to do a cow sheet type of I
think that's a 1%, 2%. What If you were
a betting man, what would you say it is?
So I would say best-case scenario is 1%.
I would say worst-case scenario is 10%
and I would say a limited ground uh
incursion would be about 40%. Okay, so
you have a higher likelihood of us
hitting the power plants than the
best-case scenario happening. 10 times
more likely the worst-case than the
best-case. How does Trump cuz your your
prediction was Trump wins, Trump goes to
war with Iran and America loses. Define
losing because some people could say
Afghanistan was a loss, right? The way
Biden left, you know, we left uh
whatever $83 billion it cost us, we left
$7 billion of equipment there whatever
the numbers are.
Uh Define loss. What does loss mean to
you?
Right. So loss means that America is
forced to retreat from the Middle East.
And this will enable Iran to
um control the GCC countries. Because
remember, the GCC is very important for
the petrodollar system where the GCC
sells its oil in US dollars and then it
recycles this back into American economy
primarily by investing in uh AI. So a
lot of these AI data data centers are
financed by investment from these GCC
sovereign wealth funds. And And so if
America were to retreat from the Middle
East, uh they would lose the
petrodollar, the American economy would
collapse, uh and you would you would
have um a civil war emerge in America.
A civil war emerge in America. Okay.
Uh interesting. Do Do you think Do you
think uh
the president
has a team of rivals right now that are
trying to prevent that from happening?
So I think that the you you and I both
know the the the president is a what do
you think asking everybody. What are
your thoughts? What do you think? What
do you think? Including his enemies. I
mean this guy called Elizabeth Warren
and said, "Hey, what do you think about
us doing this to the credit card
companies?" And Elizabeth Warren's like,
he just called I was confused when he
called me. You know, President Trump
we're bringing Momdani in and say, "Hey,
don't worry about it. Be critical. Say
whatever you want to say about me, I'm
okay with that. You don't need to
explain yourself." So he talks to
everybody.
Do Do you think he is fully uh
um aware of the risks of what could
happen if he goes aggressive here? Do
you think he's fully aware aware of it?
I think unfortunately he's surrounded
himself with psychopaths, right? So
uh President Trump said about a couple a
couple weeks ago,
um when people asked him, "Why are we in
this war?" Because he has never really
articulated a reason or objective for
this war. And he basically said that,
"Well, Jared Kushner, Steve Bannon,
Peter Hoekstra,
Marco Rubio talked me into it." So what
he's done is he's basically elevated the
um
hawkish elements of his administration
and basically
um ostracized or
uh put on the sidelines the more
um
um cautionary, conservative elements of
his administration who include J.D.
Vance and Tulsi Gabbard. So I think I
believe that J.D. Vance has been uh very
vocal in trying to negotiate a peace
treaty as soon as possible and now he's
in Hungary, far away from the action.
And there's rumors of Tulsi Gabbard
being removed from the administration at
some point.
Yeah, Tulsi and I think there was
another name as well. Tulsi and Howard
Lutnick were the two names that were
brought up yesterday that may be next on
the,
you know, chopping blocks that he may
move on from. Going back to it,
Iran, IRGC, your opinion on them, you
hear the phrase, you know, they're the
biggest producers of terrorism or
there's many different phrases people
use against them. How dangerous do you
think Iran is led by the current regime
to the world, especially to the Gulf
states, the six GCC countries you're
talking about? But how dangerous you
think they are to society if this regime
stays in power?
So I think there are many factions
within Iran that are very concerned that
if this war continues, the revolutionary
um
guards will be able to control all of
Iranian society. Um so right now they
control about 50% of the economy, but if
this war continues, they might control
100% of the Iranian economy. And this
would be disastrous for the
uh for other
um
factions within Iran who want a
progressive secular society. And
remember that this these people have a
have a grudge against America. So in
1979,
uh students in Iran overran the American
embassy and took people hostage. People
don't know this, but those students are
now running the revolutionary guard
guard corp. Also, their leader Qassem
Soleimani was killed by the Americans in
January 2020 and they they wanted
revenge against Americans for the
longest time. And now it's a perfect
opportunity. So there's a there's a lot
of blood um bad blood between the
Americans and the revolutionary guard
corp. And the revolutionary guard corp
sees this as an opportunity to destroy
the Americans once and for all even at
the cost of their own society. So if you
That's
interesting. So if you know Have you
ever watched The Godfather, the the
Godfather series? I'm assuming you have.
>> Okay. So if if you know this and you
know that
if Iran hated us a year ago,
if Iran hated us eight years ago when we
killed Qassem Soleimani, how much more
do they hate us today after taking out
the 50-plus leaders that we have in the
last, you know, four, five weeks,
whatever the how many days are we at?
43, 44 days? I don't know the exact
days. How much more do they hate us? So
don't you think from a purely a power
play standpoint. If you went this far
and you killed everyone
and you back off, whether you support
this happening or not, we're already in
it. Of course, we could have had the
debate 45 days ago, don't do it. But now
we're in it. If you're this far and you
get out,
didn't you just make Iran even angrier
to want to retaliate
to US and the rest of the world?
Yeah, I mean, I I think it's very hard
to see a off-ramp here because the
Iranians will not give up. Even if
Americans were to leave, uh the Iranians
would assert control over the GCC,
right? And that's why Saudi Arabia and
uh the uh UAE are pressing Trump to
finish this war.
Right? So, what So, it's easy to start a
war, but once you start the war
>> do you think's the right move? What What
do you You're an adviser. You You've
said a lot of crazy things, which is
which is very interesting and I I like
to hear what you're saying because we
you know, when everybody's saying the
same exact thing, you're not learning
leaks. You need to hear and what other
people are saying. What do you think's
the right move to do here right now for
both US and the Gulf states?
If I were the Gulf states and uh and I
were if I were the United States, my
advice would be to organize a conference
for four countries, the United States,
Russia, Iran, and China. Do not include
the Europeans, do not include uh the
GCC, do not include Israel. Just these
four countries, United States, uh
Russia, China, and Iran. And come to a
collective agreement where these four
nations agree on a new trade
relationship based on the US dollar.
Having all four nations are interested
in maintaining the US dollar as a global
reserve currency because no one else
wants that uh global reserve currency
status.
Um
>> Why would Why would you Why would you do
that if the if those three all hate you
and if you're in a meeting with them,
China's not necessarily an ally,
Russia's not necessarily an ally, Iran's
not necessarily an ally, why would I
hold this meeting? No one is three
against one. Trump would never host a
meeting like that knowing the leverage
isn't on him.
Right? And And so, he he's got the
support of Gulf states. They're on his
side. He knows he doesn't with China. He
knows he doesn't with Russia.
He knows he definitely doesn't with
Iran. Why host a meeting like that? I I
don't see the logic behind it. Feel free
to push back. I don't see the logic
behind that.
Well, I mean, the reality is that
um America is going to have a hard time
holding onto its empire.
And Trump has said this many times. Uh
because America is the world reserve
currency, because America is responsible
for protecting the sea lanes,
then America's basically screwed by the
world, especially the Europeans who
don't have to pay for their own own
defense,
um and who can use uh their savings to
fund their lavish welfare and pension
system. Right? So, it's not in the best
interest of America to maintain its
empire. If you're an average American,
you're paying way too much
um
for this empire. So, why don't we just
retreat back into the Western
Hemisphere? The Western Western
Hemisphere is completely
self-sufficient. It has Canada, Mexico.
Hey, if I'm Trump, I'm like, you know
what? Screw Iran, screw Ukraine. I don't
need these places. I'm going to take
over Canada and Mexico because Mexico
has a surplus of labor, cheap labor, and
Canada has infinite resources.
>> A lot of people agree with you on that.
A lot of people agree with you, but but
here's the problem though, Jean. The
problem is
we're in in too deep right now.
So, this is a good conversation 45 days
ago. I'm saying to you we just killed
the top 50
leaders. The These are They're not going
to They're They're a martyr type
community. Like, you know how you ever
go against the company and they're very
litigious and you want to play nice and
they're like, "No, we're litigious. Sue,
sue, sue, sue, sue, sue." You have to
fight fight, you know, fire with fire.
So, I'm talking today. If you go in the
room and say, "Okay, let's play nice
with Iran." They're like, "You're out of
your flipping mind." And if we say,
"Hey, Iran says we want to play nice."
You're You're out of your And we know
Russia and China are going to side with
them.
I I don't I don't know if that strategy
works today. I do know Do you think Do
you think Trump has a ton of leverage
over NATO right now?
Do you think the leverage he has over
NATO?
Look, you can make the argument that
Trump is not just at war with Iran,
Trump is ultimately at war with the
globalists, right? The City of London,
Wall Street, global finance. Yes. Right?
So, NATO represents the globalists and
Trump hates NATO and NATO hates Trump.
Um I think Trump has been trying very
hard to come to an agreement with Putin
for the longest time. They had that
Anchorage, Alaska meeting. And what
happened afterwards? Well, NATO um and
Ukraine are continuing to um attack uh
Russia. There There was that drone
assassination attempt against Putin.
>> Yep. Um
the uh Ukrainians have blown up 40% of
uh Russia's oil exports just most
recently. So, there's a lot of bad blood
between um Ukraine and Russia, between
the globalists and and and and and and
Trump. So, if you're Trump, right? Who's
your enemy? Is your enemy Iran, Russia,
and China, or is your enemy NATO and the
globalists?
Well,
it it He He's He's constantly
complimentary of his relationship with G
and Putin. If you ever notice when he
speaks, it's like, you know, "I'd rather
be friendly than not friendly. We had a
good talk. We're going to go visit back
in May. We have some scheduling
conflict. We're going to go back. Had a
good talk with Putin. Had a good talk
with G." So, he he knows how to speak to
these power players and have them under
control. It looks like, you know, that
night when he was giving a speech, the
23-minute speech which 9:00 p.m. I I
think this was last week.
I thought he was going to say something
radical like we're leaving NATO. I
thought he was going to say the Gulf has
announced they're funding the war. I
thought he was going to make some kind
of a big announcement like that. I don't
think there was any big announcement
there, but to me,
if you had an easier way to get rid of
IRGC, question for you. Is the world a
better place
with IRGC no longer being in power and
it being replaced by some sort of a
democracy?
Look, I completely agree with you in
that the great fear is that Iran becomes
much more extremist and much more
theoretical uh theocratic than it is
now. Um the Ayatollah Khamenei uh was
considered a pretty moderate individual.
His son is not considered uh moderate
and also he's considered incompetent.
And so, the people around him will be
able to control him. We We can expect
like the most hardline elements
uh uh uh in Iranian society will emerge
triumphant from this war if this war
continues. So, my Again, my best advice
is for these four countries to to to sit
down together.
See, Putin and Trump will agree uh to
pressure together Iran to come to a
settlement.
Um Listen, at the end of the day, Russia
is supporting Iran. If Russia was was
support Sorry, if Russia were were to
pull its support, it'd be very hard for
Iran to continue this war effort.
>> That I agree
>> Putin has a lot a lot of leverage over
Iran, right? And that's why I'm saying
you need these four countries to sit
down together to come to an agreement.
If If Trump were trying to negotiate
with Iran directly, you'd get nowhere.
But if China and Russia entered the
negotiations and they agreed on a
mutually beneficial uh global trade
relationship, then I I think you you can
get somewhere. And Trump would would
would I think excel in such
negotiations.
Yeah, it maybe the meeting is a better
meeting if it's Russia, China, and US
and not involving Iran on phase one.
Just to kind of get the pulse there
because the leverage You're right cuz
Russia's
they kind of help each other, right?
Because they were selling the cheap
drones, the Shaheeds. I don't know what
they're called, Shaheeds or Shaheeds to
uh uh
uh to uh Russia and Russia was buying it
from them back and forth cuz Iran makes
some of the best small drones similar to
uh Ukraine.
Uh Shaheed, yeah. The drones that they
make, the loud ones that uh uh
very effective in a small in a war like
this. Okay, so that That's interesting
to see what happens there. But you do
agree
that
the level of extremism that IRGC has, if
there is a way to get rid of that regime
and be more of a democracy, the world
would be a safer place with them being
gone. You would agree with that.
Yeah, no. I I would agree that it is in
it that it is not good It is not in the
best interest of Iran to be to to be a
theocracy. I think these are Persian
people. These are the the most um you
know, enlightened
um people with a long history. They want
to be Persian. And so, I think that what
hope what emerges after this war is a
more vibrant Persian nationalism as a
counter to Shia theocracy. So, you would
want to see the religious the you know,
Ruhollah, the Khameneis, all that to be
gone and it's just ran by government,
not a theocratic type of a government.
You'd like to see that happen. Do Do you
Do you think there's a safe landing
where we can get there? Do you think
there's a possibility where we can get
there?
Um given what's happened so far,
um and given that Trump seems intent on
attacking Iran's critical civilian
infrastructure, yep. I think this is all
This is only This will only embolden and
empower uh the most extreme religious
elements in uh Iranian society because
these are the ones who are willing to
die
um
for what they believe in.
Yeah, I live with them. I lived there
for almost 11 years. So, I I witnessed
what they're like and the level of
radicalism that they have is is a whole
different story. Let Let me ask you a
couple other questions about China with
uh since you're in uh Beijing right now.
You There's There's this uh data that's
going around when China went to the
one-child policy that maybe the
population isn't as big as they claim it
is. I'm sure you've seen this where the
numbers are going around with the oh,
you know,
we're at 1.4 billion. We're at 1.3
billion. And then it's like, "No, not
necessarily. You may be at 6 7" One lady
said 400 million. Mathematically, it's
impossible to be at 400 million, but
some of the numbers could say 8 900
million. What is your guestimation of
what China's population is today?
Um look, I live in Beijing. I've visited
China. There are a lot of people in
China. I mean, just ride the subway.
It's packed every single day. Just walk
the streets. They're packed all the
time. You know, and I travel a lot.
There are a lot of people
in China. I can't tell you what the
exact statistics are. There's probably
some overcounting because local
governments tend to lie because because
obviously like the more you people
people you say you have, the more
government subsidies you can get. So, I
imagine there's some population
inflation. But
um I believe it's still over a billion
people. The issue in China is not
actually population count. The The
problem in China is twofold in that you
have a rapidly aging population. You
have young people who refuse to have
kids.
Um I think it's it's possible in 5 years
time China has the lowest fertility rate
in the world. Right now, it's South
Korea at 0.8. China's about one. But I I
can easily see
um China overtaking South Korea in like
5 years time. So, that's the real issue
China is facing China. Um China still
has a lot of people, but the
um but the the demographic curve is
going to be a huge issue for China,
especially as the population ages. What
Why would they lie How does it benefit
them to lie about the population?
Is there a benefit like if cuz why would
they Who cares if you're at 800 million
or if you had 1.3 billion?
Right. The issue in China is that um
local governments tend to lie all the
time
because a lot of their promotions depend
on the performance locally, right? So,
it's in their best interest to inflate
just not population statistics, but also
economic performance. So, I So,
um
so the
>> Does Xi incentivize local governments to
lie?
Is it Is it more, "Hey, we got to save
face for the world. The world cannot see
that we're a declining country?"
What is What is the Who Who's
incentivizing who to lie with the data?
Right. So, um China doesn't really care
much about the world, but China is an
enclosed insular bureaucracy. So, the
local governments are lying in order to
get more funding from the central
government, right? So, obviously if you
have more children,
uh you can get more health care
subsidies, more education subsidies from
the federal government, especially if
you're a poor province. So, that's the
logic of of lying. And it's This happens
This is a very common practice in China
where if you are in Beijing, you just
have to assume that
um all the information you're getting
from local areas are just inflated
information.
Got it. Okay. But But you don't think
there's a reason there's a a good or bad
thing for the world if all of a sudden
we got the right data that the
population isn't 1.3 billion. It's
really only 8 900 billion million.
Would that be an embarrassing moment for
China? Would Xi see that as an
embarrassing moment or no, it wouldn't
be a big deal?
Um you know, there is concern
in the central government um
and and the reason why is that um
China is very much a metric base
society. It's very utilitarian, right?
So, it's very focused on economic
growth. And what drives economic growth
is population growth. So, there's a real
concern that as the population declines
over time, China's economy will
stagnate. But personally, I think that
this may be in the long term a good
thing
for China because
having over 1 billion people is not
necessarily a good thing. What it What
it has led to ultimately is massive
exploitation over the people because
when you have like too many people, it's
like free energy, right? So, all you
have to do is basically
um exploit them, and that's what runs
your economy. But because you're
exploiting people, that hampers
innovation.
Um that hampers local development. So, I
think if China were to face a population
crisis, this in the long term would be
good for China's society and
civilization in the long term. Yeah, and
you can talk about the Tang Ping
movement, right? The The lying flat, I
think they call it where
uh young kids are kind of like screwed.
There's no reason for me to give my
best. So, I'm going to be a minimalist.
I'm going to do this. I'm going to do
that. How are they countering that where
kids are seeing there's no reason for me
to do the 996, right? Work 9:00 a.m. to
9:00 p.m. 6 days a week. I don't want to
do it. Who cares about this?
How are they fighting against that?
So, in the 1980s, uh China was embarking
on economic reform.
And there was a real concern among party
elders elders like people who who
um
um went through the revolution that
brought the Communist Party into power
in 1949. There's a real concern that
capitalism would degrade and pollute
civilization Chinese civilization. They
called it spiritual pollution in 1980s.
And this was a huge concern in 1980s.
And it turns out this was correct
because uh free market reform without
political reform has led to a very
utilitarian society where it's basically
get rich or die trying. And so, what
what what What has What this has led to
is massive corruption, massive
inequality, massive debt in China. And
this has led to tremendous apathy among
young people because there's actually no
chance for young person to get ahead. If
you started a business, if you got if
you borrowed a million dollars and you
started a business, I guarantee you no
matter what business you started, you
lose all your money because um it's a
rigged game. And that's why people are
opting out. And because of spiritual
pollution, because there's really no
ideology, um there's really no
um sense of nationalism in China.
There's really no more than motivated
factor for people in China, right?
Before it was it was just like make
money. But and that that's the point of
existence. Uh be before the Cultural
Revolution, it was about serving the
people, contributing to the motherland,
building a socialist paradise. We You
and I can disagree about uh that, but
but regardless, during the Cultural
Revolution, people were motivated to
make the self-sacrifice necessary in
order to build a better China. And now,
people are extremely utilitarian.
They're indifferent. They're apathetic.
And that's why they're like, "You know
what? Screw this. I'm just I'm just
going to stay home all day."
Yeah, and and and who pays them though?
Who pays them? Like is there entitlement
programs? Are they able to stay home all
day? What is the system for me to stay
home all day?
A very common practice is for young
people to go work as nurses or maids for
their retired parents. Their parents
collect a very nice pension. China's
very frugal. You know, during COVID when
everyone was locked in their apartments
for 4 years, they ate they ate rice and
vegetables all those 4 years. So,
Chinese have a lot of money saved up.
They They have saved up up 40% of their
income, which is the highest in the
world. So, I mean, Chinese can can just
get by on like white rice for the next
40 years. Yeah, and and and the the idea
is they don't they don't invest much in
the stock market. They don't believe in
the market, but they do believe in the
real estate side even though the real
estate has taken a bit of a hit. But
you've always learned the discipline the
frugality part of
folks from China. Let me ask another
question in regards to, you know, the
the lying flat I'm going more on the
business side with Jack Ma. You know, in
America, everybody knows Jack Ma. They
think about Jack Ma. They think about
his sit-down with Elon Musk, the good
exchange that they had where Elon kind
of like, "You're out of your mind. AI's
going to take over." Jack's like, "No,
it's not."
And then Jack made some comments. I'm
sure you remember when he gave a Not not
that strong of a critical comment, but
you know, the the probably the CCP
didn't like it. And then all of a
sudden, Jack Ma disappeared. Here's a
guy at the time. I don't know what he
was worth. 50 billion dollars, give or
take. He's a very wealthy man. He
disappeared. What is your impression of
what happened to him because no one's
talking about Jack Ma anymore?
Right. So,
when President Xi came into power,
there's a real concern among Chinese
economists that the economy was
overheated. Meaning, to put it very
bluntly, there was too much corruption
in the system.
There was too much fraud. There was too
much speculation.
And so, it was really about
how to make a more productive economy.
So, there were too many Chinese people
who was were engaged in real estate
speculation. And that's what was causing
the real estate bubble.
And you can't really have that as an
economy. You want people to actually
work hard, start a business, and save
their their money, and make proper
investments. But everyone was just
pouring their money into real estate
scams.
Um these
entrepreneurs, these billionaires, were
basically creating creating financial
Ponzi schemes.
And so, there's a there's a commitment
among Chinese regulators to crack down.
And this is what led to the crackdown on
Jack Ma because Jack Ma pushed back
against
uh central authority. And you can't do
that in China. You can't question the
authority of the government. And Jack
Ma, you know, he is he was the richest
man in China.
Uh he was the most popular man in China
at that time. And he thought that he
could change the system. And he found
out that that uh unfortunately, you
cannot.
>> [snorts]
>> Got it. And what is the difference
between him and the other fellow, Jimmy?
I'm
trying to get his name right his last
name right. Is it Jimmy Lai? Jimmy Lai
Do you remember the Jimmy Lai story?
Right. So, these are two different
societies. These are two different local
systems.
Hong Kong is considered
like a quasi sovereign part of China. Is
that kind of like the equivalent of like
a Puerto Rico in America?
Exactly. Exactly. And
I mean, Jimmy Lai is an outspoken um
critic
of the Communist Party.
He he is very pro-democracy.
But, he probably pushed too many
buttons. He probably probably crossed
too many red lines. So, I think what led
to his arrest was the fact that you had
protests in Hong Kong
about a few years ago that called for
democracy.
And this was a red line for the
Communist Party in Beijing. And so, they
ordered a crackdown.
And vocal opponents of the government
were arrested or forced to exile. Jimmy
Lai had the option of seeking exile, but
he believes in
democracy and so, he chose to be a
martyr. And that's And And so, now he's
in prison. Who Who is he Who is he in
China to America? Like, is there a
comparison you can Cuz this is a guy
that was a billionaire. In 2020, he was
pushing democracy. Then, I think China
passed a law
that, you know, there are certain things
you couldn't do in June of 2020, June of
2021. I could get some of the dates off.
I think it's June 30th of 2020 that once
the new national security law was
passed, 11 days later, he got convicted
and then he went away for 20 years. And
this is a guy that owned Apple Daily
newspaper brand that played a big role
in the 2014 umbrella movement, the 2019
Hong Kong protest. So, pretty heavy guy.
But, to the average person in America
that doesn't know who Jimmy Lai is, how
would you say Jimmy Lai is to China what
XYZ is to America?
Well, I mean, America has freedom of
speech. America respects its business
people. America respects its
entrepreneurs. So, it's very hard for me
to find a analogy who is American. But,
you do have Russian people uh you know,
these billionaires who ran foul of the
Putin regime and so, they were put in
prison and then they died in prison. Um
so, that's what happens in the societies
Russia and China when you try to defy
the government. There is a red line in
our society and that is you cannot
challenge the ultimate authority of the
government. How much interest do you
think there is in China of wanting to be
a democracy?
In Cuz you know, you guys got you're a
one party, right? One political party.
You don't have a lot of choice. This is
what we're doing. It's just say, "Who do
you want? We're not changing this. It's
not like you have a lot of say." How
much interest do you think there
actually is in saying, "You know what?
Why not? Why Why don't Why don't we go
try to have a democracy in China?"
So, I've been in China for 25 years and
I can tell you that
there is almost no interest in democracy
in China because for democracy to
exist in China, for democracy to happen
in China, you would need to have people
who respect it,
human rights,
individual liberty,
who had empathy, who believed in rule of
law.
And the reality is that in China, this
isn't set up so that so that um you the
the ultimate objective is to become a
bureaucrat. That's what all Chinese
people aspire to.
>> Or aspirationally, meaning coming up,
you want to you want to be a bureaucrat
one day.
Exactly. Um and the higher you climb the
bureaucracy, the the better because
traditionally, China's an empire. And
the way you survive
survive an empire is to become a civil
servant. And that's why Chinese work so
hard in school because they want to pass
a civil civil service examination to
become a bureaucrat so then they can
provide guarantees and protection to the
family.
How long did you live in Canada and the
US?
So, um I was born in China. Okay. And
then, when I was 6, we immigrated to
Toronto, Canada where I grew up. I went
to high school there. Um I did 5 years
of high school because, you know, in
Canada, we're we're slower than
Americans. Uh you guys can finish high
school in 4 years. We need about 5
years. And then after
After that, I went to Yale for college.
I spent 4 years there and then I came to
China and I've been in China ever since
ever since 1999. So, how many years did
you live in US?
Well, 4 years. Okay. So, if you were to
say the dream for a kid in Canada, when
he grows up, he wants to be A. The dream
for an American, when he grows up, he
wants to be A. And you already said it
with China, right? When you grow up, you
want to be a bureaucrat. What What is
your impression of what China is, Canada
is, US is?
Well, in Canada, everyone wants to be a
hockey player. When I grew up, I didn't
play hockey, but I wanted to be a hockey
player. I wanted to play for the NHL.
Yep. I mean, like I I could I can't even
skate, okay? But, I wanted to be be a
hockey player. And um in America, I
think you want to be an entrepreneur.
You You want to start your own business,
uh stand on your own two feet, and you
want to make it and be independent. You
want to be free of government control.
>> Yeah. Um and you want to be able to
speak your mind. Uh and in China, as I
mentioned, you want you want to be a
bureaucrat.
What What do you like about each country
because you chose to go back to China.
And if I'm not mistaken, what what
happened with the PBS documentary that
you tried to do that they kicked you out
and then eventually they let you come
back in in '03. I don't know what the
timeline is there. You know, because you
have a choice to be in Canada, US, or
China, but you chose China. So, maybe
walk through what happened when they
kicked you out and then why you chose to
go back to China.
So, I came to China
to teach English and I eventually I
became interested in journalism and I
was hired to do freelance journalism. I
got a contract from PBS to do a
documentary on China's WTO and WTO entry
and this required filming a worker
protest. And there were quite a few
worker protests during this time because
there was a restructuring of state-owned
enterprises. And while I was filming a
worker protest, I was arrested by
plainclothes policemen. I was put into a
car and then I was put I was sent to a
hotel for 48 hours where they
interrogated me.
Um And I didn't get much sleep. I signed
I ultimately signed a confession that I
was working in China illegally as a
journalist. So, in to work in China as a
journalist, you need a journalist visa
and I was not I didn't have a journalist
visa and so, they deported me, but they
didn't charge me so, I could at any time
return to China. And so, eventually I
chose to return to China because
um
at that time, I had Chinese language
skills. I had some journalistic
journalism experience.
And so, there were more opportunities
for me in China than there were in the
United States and in Canada. So, the
question is, what do I see the political
strings of each country of each country
are?
Well, Canada,
um you know, it's it's a very stable
society. People are there are very nice,
perhaps too nice. It's almost like
they're on valium
um every single day. [laughter]
Um you've been in Canada so,
>> many times. Yeah, right. You know,
Americans are the most creative people
in the world. Very open, very generous.
If you have If you are If you want to
work hard and you have talent, you will
make it in America. And that's not true
for anywhere else in the world. It You
know, it doesn't matter how much talent
you have in China. No one cares. It all
All that matters is how powerful your
family is. And that's true for most of
the world. It's not just unique to
China. I would say for most of the
world, what matters is family
connections, family background as
opposed to hard work and talent. So, I I
deeply admire Americans
um and I have tremendous respect for
American society and culture. Um China
at that time was
um an open canvas. It seemed promising.
It's It It It at that time could go in
many different directions.
And so, I was young and I was really
curious and I felt that I could learn a
lot more in China and experience much
more interesting opportunities in China
than I could anywhere else. Really? So,
cuz you you're very curious. You're very
talented. Uh you know, you ask you're
very good communicator. I mean, these
are all great qualities to be here in
the States. Why Why choose to use those
talents in China?
So, my So, I was in the United States
for college and when I was at Yale, I
found that
there wasn't as much openness and
freedom to curiosity as I imagined. So,
Americans are extremely entrepreneurial.
They're very good at business. But, I
didn't feel as though um America was
going to change a lot in 10, 20 years'
time. And I felt that I wanted to
experience a society in flux, in change.
I felt America was much too stable. Um
you know, I could have easily gone gone
to law school and become a very
wealthy lawyer or maybe even gone and
become a professor, right? There were
lots of these career paths open to me
because I had a Yale education. But, I
knew exactly what what what I would be
like in 50 years' time or 60 years' time
because, you know, I looked at my
professors and I I know how they lived
their lives. I have friends who are
lawyers and I know how they live their
lives. And I wanted to experience a
world in which um the world was
unpredictable. And that was China. You
know, I I I
Like, when I came to China, I I knew
China was going to change a lot in 20,
30 years' time. And so, during this time
of massive change, this would offer
opportunities to do things I couldn't
really do in the United States.
Got it. So, that was the opportunity to
go over there and the
And by the way, your content that you
create in China that you upload on
YouTube, do you also upload it on the
channels in China or is it mainly for
the content in US?
So, I have a very strict policy of not
engaging in Chinese social media.
I do not have a Chinese social media
account.
Um Chinese reporters have reached out to
have interviews with me and I've said
no. Chinese people have reached out to
me and said they want to work with me.
I've said no. And the reason why is that
um I understand that Chinese
>> reached out, who reached out to you?
Like the bigger platforms or media
companies or all the way from the top
the CCP?
Well, Tsinghua professors. Professors at
the very elite universities in China,
Tsinghua University.
Um and I don't want to talk to these
people because they represent the
government. And I don't want want to
want to put myself in a position where
I'm compromised
and have to become a propaganda a
mouthpiece for the government.
And so, uh my main priority is to
maintain my independence, my freedom
because I operate in a gray zone in
China where I'm not a Chinese citizen,
so I'm not bound by uh Chinese
surveillance laws.
Um and I make content for Westerners and
so I have a lot more freedom uh to
comment about Western society than say
if I were in Western society, right? So,
so Canada has become a very
authoritarian society. Um they I I if if
I said certain things that I said uh in
Canada, then it's possible that I get
visited by the police.
Um and that might be true for Europe. Uh
it wouldn't be true for the United
States, but there would be some other
issues as well. Yeah, that's
interesting. So, have they ever knocked
on your door and said, "Hey, you're
crossing a line, Jing. Pump the brakes.
That's too much. Relax." Or no, they
leave you alone. Nobody's knocked on
your door.
I work at a school. I'm I'm employed by
the school. They have legal
responsibility for me. And there was one
time when I wrote wrote a subject essay
that mentioned China and I was given a
call by the school leadership and told
to pull it down. Um I'm not at liberty
to tell you what the content was, but
but I will tell you that I'm being
monitored here very heavily.
I I can I can only imagine that.
I can only imagine that. Do you feel
safe for yourself in China long-term?
I do not plan on staying in China
long-term.
>> Okay.
I figured.
I'll tell you why. Because right now
China's very interested in self-power
and right now I have a lot of
self-power. I have a lot of influence
overseas. And so, they want to co-opt
me. They want to compromise me and turn
me into a weapon that they can use uh to
promote their agenda overseas. I I don't
want to do that. The longer you stay,
the more people are going to think that
you are somebody that's representing the
CCP, that you're working with the
government. Just so cuz I know you The
criticism the moment you went viral, I'm
like, "Okay, let's see what happens the
next 2 weeks cuz they're going to come
for his throat." It happens every single
time and and then we all move on with
the filtering process. You're not really
a professor. Are you a spy? Are you tied
to the government? Are you tied to this?
If all of a sudden you leave and you go
to Singapore or Dubai or different place
or maybe maybe not even Dubai, but a
couple you know a couple places they can
go to uh to speak, then that means you
truly are a citizen of the world, that
your concern is, "Here's what I think
about. Here's what I want to talk about.
Do whatever you want with this
information." And I'm sure your AdSense
is picking up anyways with YouTube,
which allows you to drop your job as a
teacher to go live in That's the
beautiful thing about YouTube. So, you
kind of have a little bit of freedom to
be able to do that. And I'd love to see
you continue doing this because you
know, your your Again, you say some
crazy things, but that's good. We need
to kind of think about some of the crazy
things that can possibly happen and then
let's hash it out. Let's debate it out
and let's see what what comes out of it.
Another question for you. Um
I love what you said. In Canada,
everybody wants to be a hockey player.
In US, people want to be an
entrepreneur. In In China, they want to
be a bureaucrat. What do you think What
do you think kids want to be in Iran?
What what what do you What's the dream
in Iran today under this regime? I know
you're not there. I'm not there, but
what do you think?
Well, I I mean, I've never been to Iran.
Uh it depends where you are in Iran,
right? So, the cities are very different
from the rural areas.
Um but I think that given um what's been
happening in this war, I think there are
a lot of young children who fantasize
about about
fantasize um and they grow up and they
want to fight the Americans. So, so I
feel as though this war um given the
fact on the first day the Americans
struck a a um school in southern Iran
that killed 168 schoolgirls and they
killed an 86-year-old 86-year-old man
with prostate cancer,
um
I I I I feel as though there are a lot
of young people who want to go to war
with with America right now.
Yeah, and I agree. I agree with where
where you know, the I want to be a hero
one day and you're seeing in some videos
with mothers celebrating that their sons
gave their lives. It's like, "My son's a
hero. He did the right thing." It's a
very different way of thinking about
uh uh
what what what happens there, you know,
very different way of thinking about.
Let's talk about COVID. Um you know,
COVID is the time when I started talking
about politics. Up until COVID, I had no
desire to talk politics. All I did was
business
and I would do my whiteboards. You know
how you do your whiteboards? I would do
my whiteboards except uh nowadays we can
do with the nice little markers where
our hands don't get dirty. I did it the
ghetto ways back in the days where I
would get paint all over my suit and
ties and it was a hot mess. But uh
during COVID,
you know,
story comes out. It came out from
the Wuhan lab. No, it's came from the
wet market. No, China had nothing to do
with it. Yes, China had to do with Nancy
Pelosi goes to Chinatown. Stop being so
racist. Trump's like, "What are you
talking about?" It came from China.
What does China say
about COVID with their position? Because
when the state media's telling their
stories and I'm living in Iran and
they're saying, "Let me tell you US is
the devil." And US is this and death
upon America and all this other stuff.
And you know, China's a pretty
controlled environment kind of like what
you talked about earlier.
How does China state media control the
narrative of what really happened with
COVID?
Okay. So, unfortunately, COVID has been
has been memory holed in China. So, no
one talks about it. Um it was a
traumatic uh 3 or 4 years for Chinese
society.
And people have just have basically just
forgotten about these matters. No one
even mentions COVID anymore. People
still get COVID,
um but no one mentions COVID anymore.
So, all this has been memory holed and
people would would rather just move on
with their lives because there's
actually no point in talking about it.
But the Chinese government have said on
multiple occasions that COVID started
off as a American bioweapon.
And so, that's what the what what the
Chinese believe that they that COVID was
an American bioweapon. It was leaked
into China in order to uh hurt Chinese
society. And there are a lot of elite
And there are a lot of elite Chinese who
who I talk to who believe the same
thing.
So, they believe it was a bioweapon
released from US in China. That's the
narrative they say.
And is it That's what they believe. And
is it tied to Fauci? The gain gain of
function? Is that kind of how they spin
it or what's what's their method of ta-
can you know, connecting the dots?
So, I'll tell you what I believe
happened. Well, okay? And um so, I
believe that this was American bioweapon
funded by 25 Fauci. Uh Obama had put a
uh moratorium, a ban on gain of function
research. And so, um
Fauci um subcontracted gain of function
research to the Wuhan lab, which was
actually a military installation.
And
um I don't know if it was accidental or
deliberate, but it got it got released
into Wuhan. And when it did get released
into Wuhan, the early reporting was that
this was killing a lot of people. It was
actually burning your lungs. It was like
a furnace. Your lungs became a furnace.
So, it's pretty deadly. And
um they locked down the city too late
and about a third of people
like, you know, escaped into other
cities as well as boarded flights for
Europe. And this spread around the world
very quickly. Um so, I think that's what
happened. Uh but Chinese what what they
believe is that this was an American
bioweapon designed to hurt the Chinese
economy.
And and that's the story. Um
but they downplay China's role in it.
Yeah, they downplay China's role in it.
And culturally is is China a culture
where if the government says says that,
don't question it. You don't have to
take it right to question it. Just buy
it. This is what happened. Don't come
back and question us because of freedom
of speech.
Chinese people know where the political
red lines are.
Um and they know
how the political winds are shifting. Um
and so, there's really no questioning of
the government.
>> [laughter]
>> What What an advantage for the enemy to
be able to see in America where in
America we bash each other and we're
going at it and every you know,
everything's being exposed from
congressmen on the left and the right
and nobody in the world can see what's
going on with China because no one can
bring up anything. God forbid if you do,
something could happen. I
I disagree. I I think like if you want
>> if you want a healthy, creative,
resilient society, you need free and
open debate. The The best thing about
America is the First Amendment. The best
thing is that anyone can criticize the
president.
And there's rigorous debate right now
over this Iran war. This allows for
America to pivot and to be resilient uh
and to discover its weaknesses and to
improve on its weakness on on on on its
vulnerabilities. China has been China
for the past 5,000 years. This is not a
good thing.
Yeah, no, I'm with you. It It is if if a
person that thinks they can have that
kind of a chokehold on their people for
a long time and see the enemy as
debating each other, a lot of
information comes in, but
if So, social media apps are not
available in China, right? There is no
Facebook, there is no YouTube, there is
no X, there is no nothing like that is
available in China.
There are Chinese equivalents, but yes,
these western social media platforms are
banned in China.
Are there any Are there any like if I if
you and I go to a dinner,
and you know, if you live in California
at the peak of COVID, you have to be
very careful if you were a Trump
supporter. A lot of people would say,
but there were parties you would go to
to houses like, "Hey, man, me, too. Hey,
me, too." But God, if you wore MAGA hat
in 2017 in California, go walk through
the mall and see what happens to you.
It's a very different climate than
today, right?
Are there small pockets
of people in China,
small communities that are growing, that
they're criticizing the government, or
none of that exist?
None of that exists in China.
Okay. All right, and I don't think you
agree with that. I think
>> Well, well, well, well, no. I mean, the
reason is that China has developed an AI
surveillance state that is the most
advanced in the world, right? So, China
has digital ID and digital currency.
>> Right. And so, with that, everything you
do online can be monitored, right? And
so, when when you use your mobile phone,
it's a it's a
like all your app is on your phone. So,
the government knows exactly where you
go, Yeah. what you buy, who you have
with. And from that, from this from this
data, Yep. they can they can do a micro
analysis of of your political leanings,
and then influence you in a certain way.
So, China has developed the first AI
surveillance state.
Interesting. Interesting. Yeah, you
know, you just reminded me of a story uh
when I when I I made a handful of videos
criticizing China, and I brought a
General Spalding who went very hardcore
at China, got millions of views all over
the place, and he was revealing some
things about China. So, what it was
about a 6 months of going to after China
pretty hardcore. One day, I get an email
from a PR from saying somebody from
China wants to invite you to an event.
It's a It's a charity event. I said,
"Okay. So, let's do the Zoom." So, I got
on the call.
It's me, Mario, another guy named
Gerard, and we get on the Zoom, and we
said, "So, what's the outcome?" They
want to pay you $600,000.
I have this email till today,
documented. They want to pay you
$600,000,
but they want you to give a $300,000
check to XYZ charity. So, you get to
keep $300,000,
but you give the $300,000 to the
charity. We'll take care of your hotel,
food, flight, everything. Don't worry
about it, and we'll give you $300,000.
Of course, my answer was no.
But why would China do something like
that? Why would the Why would they want
somebody like me to come in to get
$600,000 and donate $300,000 to charity?
Right. So, the Chinese approach to soft
power is co-opting
elites, right? So, in China, the elites
have all the power, the people have no
power. They assume that's just how the
power work. That's how the world works.
So,
um if I'm going to spend money on soft
power, that basically means I bribe
influential media elite, such as
yourself, such as Tom Friedman. Um so,
Tom Friedman has visited China quite a
lot, and he said very nice things about
about China. And quite honestly, this
works, right? Because if you come over
in China, they treat you very well. It's
great food, the people are very
friendly. Um they show you the best
aspects of China, and you you you leave
with a very good feeling in your heart.
So, Chinese are very good at co-opting
individuals, and they only focus on on
individuals who have tremendous
influence in in in the world, such as
yourself. It's a brilliant strategy if
you're able to succeed with it, and
people can come back and being
complimentary about it, you know, that's
that's what you want, especially an
enemy state. Last question here. Would
Muslims and and how
what what what what is the position
that Xi Jinping or the Chinese
government has towards Muslims, the
religion of Islam? Of course, on the
outside, they have a lot of
relationships with a lot of people. But
on the inside, we read about the
Uyghurs. We read about the treatment of
what's happening Muslims. We read about
how some stories of what they think that
religion is all about. What is the sect
of Muslims in China, and what is the
relationship with Islam and the Chinese
government?
Right. So,
um there were some prominent terrorist
attacks
where Muslims
Uyghurs um launched knife attacks in
train stations, killing dozens of
Chinese.
And
um
a lot of these Uyghurs were came back
came back from wars in the Middle East.
So, these were radicalized people.
And there was real fear among the
Chinese government that um
this this radicalization
had penetrated
um Muslim society. So, there was a
massive crackdown
um across Muslim society.
But this goes into a much larger
um trend in China, which is the
promotion of ethnic Han civilization.
So, China has about 55 minorities. The
majority, like 90% of people are Han.
Like, I'm a I'm a Han person.
Um but there are lots of minorities in
in the borderlands.
And it was a policy of the Communist
Party in 1949 to be as tolerant as
possible to these minorities, meaning
that they were given their own autonomy.
Uh their language was promoted. There
was heavy uh state subsidies for to
protect the culture, to protect protect
the language, to promote um ethnic
minorities in mainstream Chinese
society.
And recently, there's been a push to
promote Han nationalism, which means a
clamping down on the rights of ethnic
minorities. And the most obvious example
is that schools in many in many places
are no longer allowed to teach a second
language. You're If you're a minority,
you're only allowed to learn um Chinese
as opposed to your
local dialect.
Interesting. And so, does that include
English, or they teach you English in
China?
They are trying to reduce the teaching
of English as well, but it is much too
popular among middle-class Chinese who
want to send their kids abroad.
Um but but uh the official policy is to
promote Chinese teaching over English
teaching. And
are there are there enough like, you
know, the Muslims are fairly If I'm
looking at the population right now, it
says 20 to 25 million Muslims live in
China, right? And roughly 1.5% to 2%. I
don't know if those numbers are right or
not. That's just, you know, Chad
bringing that number up. And it it
explains the largest group being the Hui
Muslims, ethnically similar to the Han
Chinese, which you were kind of talking
about right now.
What what can they do, and what can't
they do? Because the Muslim religion in
America grows because we have the
freedom of speech. You can go out there
and be in the streets praying. What can
they not do in China?
Um look, the reality is that the
Communist Party prides itself on being
atheistic. So, it is trying to downplay
religion.
Um not just against the Muslims, but
also against Christians, against people
of all faiths.
And um they're trying to promote
communist ideology
uh above everything else. So, you can be
religious as long as you accept that
communism is the ultimate God, which is
which means that most people who are
religious are not going to accept this,
right?
Makes sense. Okay. So,
is there things that you Do you know
your limits of what you can and cannot
talk about yourself? Like, what can you
not talk about?
Right. So, in China,
um there are lots of things I cannot
talk about. Uh but I'm not on social
media.
I'm not on Chinese social media. I don't
talk to Chinese reporters. So, I I So,
I'm not constrained by this.
But uh because I'm based in China,
I also have to watch
I I also have to um watch what I say
overseas, right? So, things I can't talk
about um is
the Tibet
Taiwan issues,
uh the
uh Xinjiang issues. I cannot talk about
this. I cannot name specific individuals
in China who hold
uh leadership positions.
So, you will not hear me talk about or
criticize
um the leadership of China. I'm not
allowed to discuss that.
I'm not allowed to discuss the
limitations of the military because they
are invincible.
Um and they are always right.
Um [laughter] there there there are lots
of things I can't talk about.
>> [gasps]
>> That is funny. Because they're always
right. I like that, cuz that's like uh
you know,
something tells me that was a bit of a
dig is is what it was.
I'm trying to see your
facial reaction to what you just said to
see if it was a dig or if it was
uh uh what you know you can't talk
about.
Did I lose you?
Yeah. Yeah, so like the connection is is
isn't great, actually.
>> Okay. Well, we're we're at the end of
it, about to wrap up. Last thing,
Canada, China, US. China's buying up a
lot of farmland in US and Canada. Why do
you think that is?
Look, the reality is that if you're a
wealthy Chinese person, your dream is to
move your assets and your family to
America. And right now in America, there
there are not that many assets that you
can buy and and create value. So,
farmland is just one
one of these assets where you can store
your wealth. And so, this is why a lot
of Chinese are buying up real estate.
That This is what Chinese do. They love
buying real estate. It's not just
America, it's like everywhere. So, it's
not it's not any other reason but that.
To your impression, it's just they're
just buying it for real estate. They're
not buying it because they want to
control farmland and they want to
control produce and any of that stuff.
You're not going there.
That's right. Look, look, I'm I'm 100%
confident that this is individual
Chinese behavior where they're trying to
store their wealth.
Um
Look, the the reality is that
if you leave your wealth in China,
it there's no legal protection. The
government can take it take it away at
any time.
>> Yeah. So, you want to move it overseas.
And American farmland just happens to be
a pretty good investment.
Do you have any travel plans to come to
the States? Are we going to see you in
the States next 30, 60, 90 days?
Probably not. Probably [laughter] not.
Given how much Yeah. Yeah. Look, look,
look, look. I mean, I would love to
visit the United States. I would love to
meet you in person. There's quite a few
people who've asked me to visit, to be
on the show. But I'm pretty sure if I go
to the United States, I'm going to punch
in the face at at some point.
>> [laughter]
>> I I think if you I think if you were,
you know, giving your perspectives, like
today's interview,
very fair. I want the world to watch
this. I thought this was a very good
conversation
that some may say it could have been
antagonistic, but I actually was looking
forward to having the exact conversation
you and I just had here together. I'll
give you the final thoughts before we
wrap up. Is there anything else you want
to share with the audience before we
wrap up?
Yeah, so I think these next few days
will be crucial for the world. I pray to
God, uh even though I'm not religious,
that we come to a peace settlement.
Um that Trump tackles again and uh Iran
offers a
a settlement that the Americans can
agree on. I think that the settlement
that the Iranians have offered so far,
which is their control of the Strait of
Hormuz,
um has has been very fair. And it's
quite honestly one of the most generous
offers uh that the Americans will get
from Iran so far. So, I pray to God that
we come to a settlement in the next few
days.
But it's also possible these few days
will see a major escalation where the
Americans are targeting critical
civilian infrastructure in Iran, which
will force Iran to go into total war and
respond forcefully against the GCC. In
which case, um it's possible that we
lose access to 20% of the world's energy
and we lose 30% of the world's
fertilizer.
And this means that
uh the entire world is going to be drawn
into this war. This means that every
person will be affected.
Well, uh appreciate that perspective.
Thank you for making the time to get on.
I really enjoyed talking to you and
looking forward to doing it again.
Absolutely. Absolutely. I'm available
anytime. It's a great conversation.
Thank you so much.
>> Anytime. God bless. Take care. Bye-bye.
Okay. Bye-bye.