Video summary
The video transcript details an extraordinary upset in Michigan's Democratic Senate primary, where progressive candidate Abdul El-Sayed defeated his pro-Israel rival, Haley Stevens, despite facing over $30 million in opposition spending from groups like AIPAC and corporate lobbies. This race became the most expensive Democratic primary in history due to this massive influx of money aimed at defeating a candidate who openly criticized U.S. support for Israel and highlighted its connection to domestic issues like cost of living. Although El-Sayed ultimately lost by a narrow margin, with Stevens securing 47.5% compared to his 48.5%, the result was far closer than pre-election polls had suggested, signaling that strong anti-Israel sentiment among voters can be a significant liability even for moderate Democrats who accept substantial funding from pro-Israel organizations.
El-Sayed's campaign successfully framed foreign policy as an "affordability issue," arguing that billions in taxpayer dollars sent to Israel while the U.S. struggles with high rents and healthcare costs represented a betrayal of American values. His rhetoric resonated deeply with voters, particularly when contrasted against Stevens' explicit statements supporting Israel's existence and military aid, which many listeners viewed as unacceptable regardless of her other moderate positions. The transcript highlights that this issue was so potent for the electorate that some respondents stated they would rather vote for a communist than support a candidate who advocates continuing financial assistance to Israel, demonstrating how deeply the conflict in Gaza influenced local voting behavior beyond traditional partisan lines.
The outcome suggests a potential inflection point in U.S. foreign policy and Democratic politics, indicating that centrist candidates can no longer rely solely on pro-Israel funding without risking electoral defeat if their stance is perceived as too aligned with Tel Aviv's interests. Analysts note that while money plays a crucial role in elections by buying ads and media coverage, the sheer volume of spending against El-Sayed failing to secure him victory proves that grassroots support for progressive causes regarding Palestine can overcome financial advantages. This shift may force centrist Democrats within the White House and Congress to recalibrate their positions on Israel, potentially moving the national political discourse slightly away from unconditional support for Israeli interests toward a more critical evaluation of U.S.-Israel relations.
Looking ahead, El-Sayed must now face Republican candidate Mike Rogers in the general election, which is expected to be highly competitive given recent trends where Democrats struggled to win back-to-back elections in Michigan due to national factors like inflation and Trump's popularity. The transcript concludes by emphasizing that this primary victory for a progressive voice represents more than just one race; it signifies a fundamental remaking of common sense around foreign policy in America, challenging the establishment narrative held by major media outlets and political elites. By exposing the disconnect between elite funding priorities and voter concerns regarding economic justice and human rights, El-Sayed's campaign has empowered grassroots movements to reshape the foundations of progressive politics, proving that moral clarity on international issues can indeed translate into tangible electoral success even against overwhelming financial odds.
Read the full video transcript
The Israel lobby spent over $30 million
trying to defeat Abdul Elsa in Tuesday's
key Democratic Senate primary in
Michigan. Um but despite all of that
money, the progressive pro Palestine
candidate backed by AOC and Bernie
Sanders has beaten his pro-Israel rival.
Um the race was still too close to call
last night. In fact, it was um closer
than many people had expected. Um but
with Elsa marginally ahead, he said this
to his assembled supporters. We all knew
they were going to spend their money. We
didn't know they were going to spend $70
million of their money. We didn't know
that they were going to outspend us $11
to $1.
And yet we're still standing.
They want to tell us that here in
Michigan we're a purple state. That
somehow everybody walks around
wondering, I wonder where I stand on a
left right spectrum. when really up and
down the state what you hear is I wonder
how I can afford my rent. I wonder how I
can afford my groceries. I don't know
what'll happen if I get sick because I
can't afford my deductible.
>> So, as you heard there, like Mandani in
New York, Elsa pitched his candidacy on
the cost of living um and tackling
corporate power. And which is why it
wasn't just the Israel lobby that
campaigned against him. $70 billion
figure he cited included all the
opposition money that went into his into
into Michigan, sorry, to oppose um his
candidacy in that race. So from the
Israel lobby and I suppose from the
corporate lobby. Um it all made this the
most expensive Democratic primary in
history. Like no comparison yet it
failed. Um Abdul Elsa is uh on or or got
48.5%.
his Apacbacked rival Haley Stevens got
47.5 and Mallerie McMurro um a centrist
candidate who had in fact already
dropped out by the time people went to
the polls um got 4%. Um so as I say much
closer actually than the polls have been
suggesting they suggested that Elsid
might win by quite a bit. Um Elside is
for his part a very accomplished
candidate. He's a medical doctor. He's a
road scholar. Um which is very
prestigious for an American politician.
Means you go study in Oxford for a bit.
Um, and he's outspoken on Palestine.
>> You struggle for the health care you
need. And meanwhile, our government
sends a foreign country of 10 million
people, that's like the size of the
state of Michigan, billions of our tax
dollars every single year. And then to
watch that country do a genocide on top
of the aparthide that it does on
baseline, and then take us to a war that
we had no business fighting. That is
astounding. It's astonishing. And then
to realize that there is the attempt to
normalize a political action committee
whose key goal it is to align our
foreign policy with the foreign policy
interests of that country and then to be
told you can't talk about it because you
know if you do it's because of your
animist for anyone group of people is
insane. And so, you know, I'm I'm not
going to stand idly by while we betray
our own morals by backstopping apartheid
and genocide. I'm not going to stand
idly by while I got kids who I was
responsible for taking care of in Wayne
County in Detroit who go to school in
school buildings that are not befitting
of their little minds and then to say
that no, I'm I'm not going to talk about
it. So, Israel is an affordability
issue. Now, you can see why that's a
candidate the Israel lobby didn't want
in the Senate. And who did they back to
take him on? Um, well, her stance on
Israel is not exactly subtle.
>> And in the United States Congress,
I will continue to fight for the people
of Israel. I will continue to fight for
Israel's existence.
Israel comes to ME IN MY DREAMS. I SEE
ISRAEL'S FUTURE. AND I KNOW THAT ISRAEL
WILL CONTINUE TO EXIST FOR THE JEWISH
PEOPLE.
>> ISRAEL COMES TO ME IN MY DREAMS.
>> BONKERS. Um that
>> she almost won. Michael that that crazy
person almost won.
>> So that wasn't her speaking during the
That was her speaking in December 2023.
So before this primary and gives an
indication of why Apac would feel so
keen um on her winning the race. In
fact, in the campaign though, she tried
to, I suppose, change the subject from
speaking about Israel.
>> There's been some um inflammatory
rhetoric uh from my opponent throughout
this race. He's made this whole race
about Israel and Apac, and I have made
it about lowering costs for
Michiganders, about standing up for the
state that we love. Now, of course,
accepting a record-breaking amount from
Apac and then complaining that Israel
becomes a campaigning issue um is the
definition of wanting your cake and
eating it. And it seems that many
mission genders were unimpressed. Uh the
one issue that seemed to be the most
salient, the most uh elicit the most
passion from people certainly was her
stance on Israel and her support for
taxpayer dollars continuing to be used
to support uh the Israeli military. I
want to play you portions of my
conversations with voters here today.
Um, and I'll start with that point
specifically. This is what a voter had
to say when uh she learned that uh Haley
Stevens uh rather relative to Abdul say
supports uh US support for Israel. Take
a listen.
>> I just wouldn't want a single of our
family's taxpaying dollars to go towards
something like that. It's like giving
money to violence.
So, would you support a Senate
candidate, in this case, Haley Stevens,
who's more of a but more of a moderate
like you tend to like, but is would that
be enough?
>> That would definitely that would
definitely turn me off as a 100% I I
couldn't I couldn't I would vote for a a
communist for
>> She'd vote for a communist before um she
votes for someone who supports giving
money to Israel. Um Aaron, I mean, this
race was much closer than people
thought. I mean, lots of this is about
expectations management, right? If
people had thought that Haley was going
to win and then Elsa eesks out a
victory, it would be just this dramatic
upset. But because the polls had shown
that Elsa or the polls had suggested
that Elsa would win comfortably by 10 or
15 points, everyone's saying, "Oh, this
was a disappointing result." But I mean,
the fact that someone was targeted with
over $30 million by Apac, like a
record-breaking sum for a Democratic
primary, and wins. Um, that does suggest
that support for Israel has become a
liability.
>> Well, I don't know about a liability,
but it's certainly not a necessity, uh,
as is evidenced from this outcome. But
you know what, Michael? Money goes a
really long way. as people on the left,
we've heard this for a really long time
now, right? You could go back to Obama
actually. He said the same thing. They
have the they have the power, we have
the people. Bernie would say, you know,
they have the millionaires, we have the
millions. Uh which is true. It sounds
great. And sometimes it's it's it's
what actually happens. It's what works
out like happened here. But money goes a
very long way in politics. If you've got
money to buy adverts and to get
literature out and to do paid social
media hits, it goes a really, really
long way. And so for him to win despite
tens of millions of dollars being thrown
against him is an extraordinary
political accomplishment. I think it
could be an inflection point actually in
in in US foreign policy. If it's now
if it's now the case that you can do
this in trying to defend Israeli
interest in American politics and you
don't necessarily win, people are
clearly going to reccalibrate what they
do. And I think that that's most
obviously the the case with centrist
Democrats. You know, centrist Democrats
now will slightly calibrate doesn't mean
they'll be anti-Israel. They'll slightly
no, they'll say one or two more critical
things of Israel and the whole political
tenor of the debate in that country just
moves slightly away from the interest of
Tel Aviv. So [snorts] it's a huge huge
result um particularly for Democrats in
the White House uh after the next
election. And you know, we're seeing
repeatedly now, we're seeing articles
all over the place, New York Times,
Washington Post, you know, the DSA,
people are really worried about them.
And they're really worried because
they're now finally, they've been around
for a bit. They're now finally remaking
the kind of basic foundations and
grassroots of of progressive and
democratic politics politics in the
United States. A huge deal. You know,
we're not talking about one or two
outsiders anymore. We're talking about a
fundamental remaking of the common sense
around foreign policy in America.
>> I mean, obviously
Elsid still has to win the actual race
um against Michigan against the
Republic. Well, it's going to be close.
>> He should if national polling is to be
believed, right?
>> Sneaky Fish says those funds for Stevens
will now find their way to the
Republican, which is true. So, if this
was a record-breaking primary, it's
probably going to be a record-breaking
race. Obviously, the midterms are the
beginning of November. So Elside will
face a Republican candidate, a gentleman
called Rogers, who quite frankly I don't
know much about.
>> So generally midterms aren't good for
the incumbent generally, but also
obviously Trump may not be particularly
popular by the midterms. Um he is
obviously always very popular with his
hardcore base, but depending where
inflation is at, where Iran is at.
I think on balance you you would you
would imagine the Democratic candidate
would win in somewhere like Michigan,
which just went Trump in the general. Uh
but you know I think Palestine is what
did it for for uh for the Democrats in
terms of not winning it last time. So if
if look gun to my head if I had to call
it I've never been to Michigan but from
the the data I'm I'm familiar with I
think he would be the most likely person
to win that race. And if he does win it,
he is, you know, there are some
candidates who sort of like have
interesting sort of DSA style politics
where you're sort of like I'm not sure
loads of exposure is going to make them
more popular across the United States.
But there are people like Manny who the
more you see him, the more you like him.
And I think that Abdul Alside is is
similar. He's someone where when you
watch him, you think like he is the real
deal. This is a smart guy with answers
that are always convincing. Um, there's
a governor candidate in one of the
nearby states who's kind of DSA backed.
I keep seeing videos of her where she
sort of in the past said they shouldn't
have Thanksgiving or Halloween or
various kind of stuff that probably
isn't going to go down very well. So,
I'm not sure I'm not quite sure I don't
know so much about it, but I'm not quite
sure how much sort of exposure is going
to help in that situation. But exposure
with Abdel Abdul say I think is always a
good thing.
>> I I love it when people say that was a
long time ago. Youthful exuberance.
Ma'am, you were 35 years old when you
said that. [laughter] But two quick
things. First of all, he looks like a
Navara media contributor in that black
t-shirt, which I I think is great. Uh
secondly, he he made a claim there. He
had a line. He said Israel is an
affordability issue. I love that. We
need to we need to appropriate that in
this country. Foreign policy is an
affordability issue. you know, the
conflict that's going on right now and
the straight off our moves and what it's
doing to energy prices globally. Um,
persistently our behavior with Central
Asia, West Asia has contributed to the
refugee crisis, whether it's
Afghanistan, whether it's sanctions on
Iran. You know, we should be buying
energy from Iran. We in Britain should
be saying to the Iranians, end the
executions of political prisoners. In
exchange, we'll buy energy from you.
Okay? Win-win. If you say that, by the
way, out there. If you say that on the
BBC, you're you you're toast. You know,
you're toast. It's quite a common sense
thing, right? Well, hold on. We can stop
political prisoners being killed and we
can get cheaper energy. But actually,
common sense isn't that common when it
comes to the British media. You could do
101 things like that. And by the way, I
think we we will end up in a place like
that with many of these countries. You
just have to go through the whole rigma
roll of pretending otherwise.