Is Inflation Dropping? Tesla Cybercab, Kamala Harris, Meta Orion, Hurricane Milton, Google and more!
Watch on YouTubeVideo summary
In this episode, Tom Bilyeu and Drew Drechsel dive deep into economic policy, specifically addressing inflation which recently dropped to 2.4% in September from a pandemic high of 9.1%. While acknowledging that rising prices are often perceived negatively by the public due to reduced purchasing power, they argue that true inflation is defined as an increase in the money supply driven primarily by debt and fiat currency decrees rather than market forces alone. This distinction leads them to criticize Kamala Harris's economic understanding, with Bilyeu stating her fiscal illiteracy regarding national debt was a deciding factor against voting for her, despite acknowledging her improved debate performance compared to four years ago. The conversation also touches on the government's role in breaking up monopolies like Google; while they agree that protecting consumers from abusive practices is necessary, both hosts express concern over how anti-monopoly suits are stalling mergers and acquisitions for two to three years instead of a few months, potentially harming market innovation. The discussion shifts to technological advancements and the future of search engines as AI evolves. Bilyeu shares his experience using ChatGPT to interpret complex warnings on his screen, noting that generative AI is rapidly replacing traditional search by providing context-aware answers rather than just links. This transition raises significant privacy concerns regarding surveillance states versus personalized convenience, leading Drechsel to emphasize the trade-offs inherent in technology adoption. They also explore Meta's new Orion headset and Elon Musk's upcoming Tesla Cybercab announcement at Warner Brothers Theater. Both hosts are enthusiastic about autonomous vehicles as a way to reclaim time for productivity or rest during commutes, viewing them as transformative despite potential resistance from those who enjoy driving. The segment concludes with an eulogy for Sony's failed game development project *Concord*, where Bilyeu argues that video games offer unique opportunities for iterative improvement and reinvention compared to static films, urging large studios to adopt live-update strategies rather than abandoning expensive assets after initial failures. Finally, the hosts address climate change following Hurricane Milton's devastating landfall in Florida with estimates of up to 9 feet of water. They agree that while extreme weather is a natural part of long-term climatic shifts, human-induced CO2 emissions must be mitigated without disrupting economic growth or leaving developing nations behind. Bilyeu passionately advocates for nuclear energy as the only viable solution alongside solar power, criticizing political hesitation and draconian regulations that stifle progress. The dialogue extends to broader societal issues, including the "will to power" motivating individuals and leaders during crises like COVID-19, where some may seek excessive control rather than genuine public service. They conclude by reflecting on the importance of intellectual friction in debate, accepting human fallibility, and maintaining a free marketplace for ideas even when dealing with what they term "dumb voters," ensuring that no single ideology or crisis is allowed to consolidate unchecked power over society.
Read the full video transcript
I'm Tom Bilyeu. Welcome. We are going to
be talking about Kamala Harris making
the rounds. I want to talk about her
economic policies, Mark Cuban going on
on the All-In podcast, and people's
response to that's been interesting.
Hurricanes are ravaging America, and I'm
told that we have a Tesla surprise.
Let's hear about it. Drew, as always,
welcome.
I'm excited, Tom. How you feeling?
I'm feeling great.
Nice. All right, jumping right into it.
I want to get the boring stuff out of
the way. Economics. You love inflation.
The You're a big inflation guy.
I love inflation? That might not be the
accurate way to represent my stance,
Drew. Uh yes, but it is certainly a
topic I think a lot about.
It dropped to 2.4 in September, down
from a most down from a pandemic high of
9.1 in June 2022. I know a lot of people
still see prices up. A lot of people
still see their pockets not stretching
as much they used to. I know you have
this intake on inflation isn't just
about rising prices, it's the dollar
amount itself. How do you feel about
this news that inflation is actually,
quote unquote, getting better?
Well, so inflation getting better would
just be good news all around. Anybody
that makes something like that sound
like bad news, that that's very
problematic. But the thing that I try to
get people to understand is that
inflation is not rising prices.
Rising prices is a result of inflation.
Inflation, literally, the reason it is
called inflation, boys and girls, is
because you're inflating something. So,
the question is, what are you inflating
and why is it bad? You're inflating the
money supply. I want to be very clear
about that. Guess what inflates the
money supply? Like crazy, debt. Guess
what else inflates the money supply?
Actually putting
fiat currency just by, literally, fiat,
by decree, uh into the system to pay for
the debt that already was inflationary,
and so we are in this horrific cycle
where you're just adding money, adding
money, adding money to the system. And
what that does is it robs buying power.
So, boys and girls, when you hear
inflation, what you should think in your
mind is theft. I've been stolen from if
it's actual inflation. If it's rising
prices, it's very different. So, I want
to be very clear. And I get it. This is
nuanced and people the world abhors
nuance more than nature abhors a vacuum.
But nonetheless, you have to understand
the difference between the two. So,
prices are going to rise
for a whole host of factors, but
ultimately, inflation,
which is the thing that drives the
increase in prices more than anything
else, is a separate phenomenon. And if
people don't separate those two things,
you get all the political mumbo jumbo
that we're living through right now.
Copy. And just to put a pin in that, the
government does not control private
interest prices. So, that is a free
market problem. Um
Well, so hold on because this is exactly
what Kamala Harris is talking about.
This is the thing that ultimately
disqualified her for me as a candidate.
Literally until about 2 weeks ago, I
wasn't sure which way I was going to
vote. Uh I still might cast a protest
vote. We'll see.
Because I think the vote is going to be
so close, it might matter uh from a
popular election standpoint. But um
I don't think she like a deep and
fundamental level, I do not think she
understands the drivers of the economy.
And you just
at a moment where you have the debt that
we have and you have the interest
payments that we have, uh you cannot
have somebody that is fiscally
illiterate.
So, the DOJ is deciding how to break up
Google. I know that monopolies are bad
on paper, but can the government figure
out how to make a company more viable?
Like what does that mean if you had a
company and they government wants to
break it up?
Yeah, so this is interesting. So, the
the government when it is doing its job
well is making sure that the health of
the industry is there. And what happens
with a monopoly is like so right now, we
are fighting with the fact that AT&T has
a monopoly over the internet in my
house. And for whatever reason, even
Starlink doesn't work here. So, now I'm
in a position where it it is to the
point where a very stable member of our
team, who we both know, was threat He
said, "At at the risk of your job, are
you actually going to show up at this
time?" And they have put us off so many
times. It's something like 6 months
where they will give us a day and a
time, and then they just won't show up.
It's absolutely outrageous.
So, that's what happens when you have a
monopoly. And so, the customer ends up
suffering. And so, what the government
is saying is, "Hey, we're going to
protect the consumer."
Now, governments
I I'll even grant them that governments
have the best interests of their people
at heart. The problem is the these are
incredibly complicated systems, and
governments are far more likely to do
harm most of the time than good when
they think from the top down they can
control this. Now, I'm not a
libertarian. I do think we want
government, but you need a constraining
force. So, the government right now is
trying to be a constraining force
against Google getting too monopolistic.
I think we should very slow to encourage
the DOJ to do this. But, upon seeing all
the evidence and really weighing in and
being very slow to do this, yes, you do
want them to uh protect the the the
customer at the end of the day. But, I
think they should be very slow. Now, I'm
not in the weeds on the Google
situation. Um so, I can only give you at
a high level. Uh when you start seeing a
rash of these anti-monopolistic
suits go up, my spidey senses go off.
But, we haven't like it's not been
crazy. Where I get worried is how much
of the M&A that they're um they're
really
putting a cold blanket on all of that.
And so, where M&A should be taking 90
days, 120 days, you're now talking 2, 3
years. And you just the the burden that
that puts on companies I think is
terrifying. You want companies to be
able to go, "Hey, we've stalled out. We
want to go get a strategic acquire here
to continue to grow." It's good for the
stock market. It can be good for that
company. And so, right now, that's where
I have a bigger problem is if Google
were trying to make an acquisition and
they're throwing cold water on that
because they've been doing that over and
over and over, I think that's a huge
mistake. But, whether Google really is
just through um
owning so much of the world becoming a
problematic monopoly, I'd have to look
closer at it.
Copy. And do you think this is something
that happened a bit too late with the
rise of ChatGPT, TikTok, a lot of other
quote-unquote search engines are out
there? People are getting their
information from different places.
I mean, that's a really good question.
This is why I always hesitate to get
behind um the government stepping in and
doing this. Just today, uh I had a weird
notice pop up on my screen. And instead
of going to Google, which I would have
done literally for the last 20-plus
years, I just went to ChatGPT and was
like, "Hey, this popped up. What do I
do?" And I thought, "Woof, if I'm going
there just for information, I'm not even
um it's not something where I wanted to
write something for me or create
something. I'm just like, "Hey, bro.
Like, huh? I have a feeling you're going
to know the answer to this." And its
answer was so compelling and so concise,
and it didn't make me go dig, right? Cuz
a lot of times they'll send you a to a
webpage, and you have to figure out
where on the webpage it is. It was just
like, "Yo, this is what it means." And
the answer was so bang on
um that I thought, "Woof, things are
about to change in a in a massive way."
So, again, this is why you want a very
light touch government. You want to make
sure that as much of this is left to the
free market as humanly possible. You
want to be able to point very
specifically to a problem that doesn't
that isn't already in the middle of a
transition. So, I think to your point
about search, search is in the middle of
a transition right now. And so, I know
that Google owns YouTube, but whether
that's going out to YouTube, whether
that's going out to all the different
AIs, whether that's going out to X, like
there there is a diffusion of that
happening right now as we transition
into social media, and as we transition
into AI. And I think AI will literally
obliterate what search is today. I think
you're literally going to have that
friend around your neck or something
like that that you just have interaction
with all the time from the time that
you're a kid. It will remember you and
the things you care about. And so now,
that search has so much context that
it's like, "Oh Tom, don't worry. I know
um
in context what that warning on your
particular screen means because I know
what you've been up to."
Copy. And honestly, that's the future
that we want, so I'm I'm
Well, now privacy people in the feed are
going ballistic because it so everything
is about tension. If you want to
understand the way that I view the
world, it it really is tension between
two things because everything is a
trade-off. There there is no utopia. So,
it's you will get bitten in the ass by
the fact that you're being monitored all
the time. And you're going to have to
all of us are going to have to answer
the question, is it worth it? Is it
worth the trade-off of having somebody
that knows me better than myself that
reads all my emails, understands all the
context, knows where I'm supposed to be
at a given time, and warns me and all
that. But you really are going to trade
something. And if the government is able
to dip into that background, bro, it it
the surveillance state is going to get
scary.
It's very, very interesting. Very, very
interesting. As you stated earlier,
Kamala did her rounds from the Call Her
Daddy to 60 Minutes edit. We'll get into
that. Um Mark Cuban on the All-In
podcast. What's your general reaction to
this new political landscape? Cuz I'm so
used to seeing two old guys argue on CNN
for 2 hours. So, seeing people on
podcast, laughing and and joking with
hosts, it it feels a bit different. I
think it's a better thing, but I I kind
of want your perspective.
thing because you're getting longer
answers, but the reality is watching
this latest round with Kamala Harris. Uh
and you see it a lot with Trump as well.
This this is very much on both sides.
You want a confrontational interview.
Again, friction. Friction is the answer.
And if you're going on and obviously
Trump and Harris are both going to pick
the places that they think are going to
be friendliest, that are going to be
kindest. And so, yes, it's better than
like these quick sound bites, but
honestly, I would rather a 12-minute
interview with an antagonistic
journalist who is sincere, so not
somebody who's
just sort of anti that person. Like, you
want somebody who is in good faith
saying,
"Hey, I just want to understand exactly
where you stand." And because
politicians are so good, you become a
politician because you were the master
of the frame. And if I can shout out
Harris, she has done a phenomenal job,
man. A phenomenal job. Four years ago,
she was horrific on the debate stage.
Absolutely horrific. And seeing her now
be able to do all the political
maneuvering, which I despise,
but it is the game. It's a skill. And
she's gotten very good at it. So,
anyway, as a long-form person, I want to
see people go on the long-form shows,
but I want to see them embrace that
friction. But this really is a game of
of controlling the narrative. And so, I
don't know that podcasting will solve
the problem. And this is
I think this is probably a once
journalism broke down and it became an
advertising model, and now they had to
do things to appease advertisers to
drive clicks,
uh
we may have broken something
fundamental. And podcasting won't get us
back to that if people don't go on shows
that could possib- not not only could
possibly be antagonistic, they should be
fair, they should be journalistic, but
they should 100% try to actually get to
what you understand or or to understand
your views. And I think everybody
rightfully criticizes Kamala Harris for
that. It's like, "What what do you
actually believe?" And love Trump or
hate him, and actually, I really don't
like the bombast. That makes me very
uneasy on a world stage. It's obviously
divisive internally as as
But you know what he thinks. Like, he
just comes out and says it. Sometimes,
like to a
like
the eyebrows like going back not long
past my forehead into the neighbor's
backyard
kind of thing. But, at least that feels
unscripted.
I'm with you. I thought it was going to
solve the issue cuz I seen the 60
minutes edit where the unedited version
there's a lot of ums. I think as she's
kind of dodging a question. And then the
re-edited version, she seems decisive
and answers the question in 5 seconds.
So, we can see that the mainstream media
is kind of getting exposed whether it's
this or the Joe Rogan clip that MSNBC
modified a couple months ago. So, we
already see this happening. But, I'm now
realizing it even on the independent
stage. And I'm going to talk about Cuban
on the All-In podcast where he's even
saying like he's even getting caught
like he's just playing the game. She's
doing what she's supposed to do. And you
thought that on the independent side you
would at least be honest. But, we're
even all we're already seeing those
chinks in the armor on the independent
side as well.
Okay. So, there's two things there.
There's is independent media going to be
the solve? And again, I think it's a way
better format. So, love that.
But, the candidates have to go on ones
where people are going to push them.
They've got to be willing to do that.
But, it's risky. And so, now you're into
the kayfabe of it all. And this is
something that really bothers me. And I
really stare into the abyss of as
somebody who is trying to use first
principles thinking. Like, I literally
that is my life you well know as we work
together.
It really is how I navigate the world.
Everything that we do in business.
Everything that I do in my personal
life, my marriage all of it is governed
by first thinking. But, at the same time
I understand that it is very easy to
manipulate people. And if that didn't
make me feel sinister on the inside, I
would do it because it's so effective.
And so, this is what Cuban was talking
about. And look, I think Cuban's
amazing, man. And I'm actually really
blown away by what he's doing with Cost
Plus Drugs.
So,
as with all things mixed bag. So, where
I think he has landed is he kept talking
about low information voters. There's
high information voters. I actually
don't think he said low information.
There's high information voters. And he
was like, "Basically, you have to ignore
them. Anybody that's going to listen to
a long-form podcast is going to parcel
this stuff out, that's going to go and
do research. You have to worry about
those cuz most people don't fit into
that category." And so, I'm going to ask
this question in a really blunt manner.
What do you do about dumb voters?
That's the game. So, I want to strip
away and look, I get it. I'm going to be
clipped out of context. I want everyone
to understand I'm perfectly willing to
accept that I may be in the dumb voter
camp.
But that is the game. The game is what
do you do about the fact that
you have people that are not going to
think through these issues. Even if
they're willing to, they're not going
to. And then there are some people that
legitimately cannot think through these
issues, but they can vote. And so, what
do you do about the dumb voter problem?
And right now, everybody lies. They
control the frame and they don't tell
you what they really think. I mean, you
can see them dancing around it. They
don't tell you what they really think
and they do this incredibly effective
thing where they reframe what they
really want to talk about instead of
answering your question directly.
And
it it will always be.
I'm never going to be able to change it.
All I can do is be sort of one little
thing over here.
Um
but it works and people will always do
what works. And people have to
understand that what's happening is
people are exploiting the fact that many
people do not have the intellectual
horsepower to think through this stuff,
perhaps myself included. And many
people, even if they have the
horsepower, they're not going to
allocate the time. And the whole game is
predicated on that. That's so dark, man.
Like that really freaks me out. And the
more that I get into this and the more
that I accept the mantle of being
somebody who is an independent
uh voice in a space where people are
going to use my content in order to
navigate the world, you start thinking,
"Okay, do I give them a nuanced
position?" Because if I do, it's not
going to perform as well. Like I can see
behind your eyes right now, you're
already editing me cuz you know that
I've been talking too long. But that
really is troubling.
But is there a responsibility there that
somebody has to be the the straight guy
in the room like I understand that
there's dumb voters and I understand
that some people will get their
political advice from their favorite
celebrity, but
where where does that mantle fall? Who's
the one that says, "Hey guys, you should
actually be educated. Hey guys, these
are the actual issues we should voting
for."
It's not going to matter.
It's not going to matter. I don't even
think that exists right now.
Dude, it it wouldn't matter. Hey
everybody, you need to get educated. You
need to think through these problems.
There, I've said it. But it it really
won't matter. No one is going to do it
that wasn't already going to do it. And
the reason is this stuff is obscenely
complex. These are incredibly
complicated systems. But the problem is
it really does matter. So the idea that
I keep coming back to, so my life
philosophy boys and girls, we are all
automata, that free will is an illusion,
but despite that,
Drew, despite that, we respond to ideas.
And so now it's like I have the chills.
We have to accept, even if you'll join
me in believing that we're all automata,
we're still going to respond to the
ideas that get that get put before us.
So the ideas then really matter. And a
whole part of this complicated thing is
that we all have these
um internal values that we steer by. We
do things that we want to um
I for one value integrity. So if I say
something that I'm going to live up to
what I say, that I'm not going to
present one face and then be a different
way. Literally, I can feel my brain
scanning right now to make sure that
what I'm saying is true, to determine
how I should feel about myself when I'm
by myself.
Okay, but everybody has different
values. And so this is like that mid
curve thing where people are over here
are just like lie to everybody. And then
the midwits like me are like, "No,
don't. Like say the truth. Nuance
matters." And then you get back over
here and it's like, "Eh, just light
everybody because
it's what works."
Dark, man.
Dark, dude. Dark. It's so dark. And so
look,
I'm only ever going to be one pebble and
so I might as well be the
the best pebble I can. I don't know why
I'm calling it a pebble, but I you're
you're a grain of sand on a gigantic
beach and people are going to encounter
all the grains of sand and they're going
to make their own decision.
Um
It's dark.
Man. Polymarket, for those that don't
know, that's the betting market on the
election. There are people who sports
bet and there's people who bet who's
going to win the debate, who's going to
win the swing state, etc. The Polymarket
has tipped in Trump's favor.
What's your gut telling you about who's
actually going to win this election?
Trust the Polymarket. And the problem is
the Polymarket's going to go back and
forth. So the reality is that um what
does my gut say? My gut says that
my gut says that I don't know. That
that's the honest answer. So I will give
you that uh because I probably have a
negativity bias and because I am so
scared of her um fiscal policies that my
default is like, "Oh my god, she's going
to win."
Um
but that comes from a place of, "Okay,
you can trust me to be selfish. You can
trust everyone to be selfish. I sell to
the middle class. I make entertainment.
So forget what you guys know me for on
YouTube. That is not what I think of as
myself. What I think of as myself is
what we're doing on the entertainment
side. I make a video game.
Um I think a lot about that. And so
there just aren't enough rich
11-to-15-year-old kids for me to make
that my market. So I care deeply about
who do I think is actually going to
build a thriving middle class. Now, I
frame it that way only so that people
understand. Like even if you just trust
me to be cynical and selfish, you can
still trust that I actually care about
the middle class.
Um
but I also just care about people in
general. So, my North Star is human
flourishing for as many people as
possible. That just means from a math
equation, it's the middle class. That I
mean, that's that's who you have to care
about. Um
and then history teaches me that the
middle class literally and the lower
class, they will murder the upper class
if there is not and I I don't mean that
figuratively. I mean, they actually come
and decapitate you.
Eat the rich.
Uh correct. If you don't make sure that
the policies are good for them. So,
uh to me, I'm looking at this going
who's going to be better for the middle
class.
And unfortunately, the narrow-ass margin
is probably because
eh
they're both going to spend so crazy and
what you really need is somebody to rein
in the deficit. That's the actual
answer. Neither of them are going to do
it. Uh but in Trump's 4 years, inflation
was lower than Biden's. He's better on
the border.
That's the
That's how I'm coming at this problem.
I think that people will be a little
better
under Trump than Harris.
I don't know. The
I I don't really trust betting platforms
cuz like you said, they shuffle culture.
So, if the Call Her Daddy interview did
2 billion views, I feel like that number
would have flipped immediately.
It might flip eight more times before we
get to the election, so.
But 7-point like a 7% difference is
significant. We're used to We're used to
the 2 to 3%, you know, margin of error
kind of leads, but this seems like it's
a bit different. The culture The tides
of culture may be changing. Um quick
pause.
I so wish I knew what people were
picking up on. What is it that's
happening? Is it that finally there's
that groundswell of we don't know her?
Is it she's really bounced back and
forth? Is it that um what Trump is doing
in the swing states from an advertising
campaign is actually working? In
California, we don't even hear about
this stuff, man. Because here, it's like
we are voting for Harris. Like it is
simple as every California electoral
vote is going to Harris. You can pretty
much guarantee it. Uh so, but I hear
that what he's doing, like he's really
on the offensive. So,
it's a it's a mix from the Super Friends
of Elon Musk, RFK, Tulsi Gabbard. All
these people that are kind of gathered
around him. I think the fact that he was
on a podcast from Flagrant to Dave
Ramsey to Logan Paul where those are
three different demographics and three
different locations across the US. Um
so, I do say that Trump from a
campaigning standpoint is doing
something unique and new and that kind
of might be breaking the mold a little
bit where the internet is now starting
to rally in a way that we didn't expect.
It was like, "Oh, yeah, the young people
like Trump like Democrats, period. They
Tik Tok, that's all we need to do. We're
good." Whereas I think Trump is going to
these independent media pockets that we
kind of loop in as the internet or oh,
those are those Rogan bros. We don't
need to ignore them, but
there are a lot of people in that
pocket. There are a lot of people in
that swell and with all these people
that loved RFK that are sad that he
dropped out, they're now migrating over
there.
People hate what's happening in the
wars. We have somebody that was endorsed
by Dick Cheney, which I feel like isn't
the flex that the Democrats think it is.
So, it it's it's it's getting really,
really weird and and I think that's
where the the the brain is breaking. Um
but I'm with you. I can't call it. Uh
it's
it's up in the air.
Yeah, and it'll bounce back and forth
even though we have less than a month.
It's crazy.
Bananas. You want to get freaked out?
From the time that we're recording this,
it is less than 3 weeks till we relaunch
our Christmas video game. That's how
close we are to the season, man.
Bananas. Bananas.
It goes fast.
It just freaked me out. Oh my god.
Do your Christmas shopping early, guys.
Meta just released their Orion headset.
I feel like it's what Google Glass
wanted to be. It's what Apple Vision Pro
Quest is gathering to, like all these
different technologies. It seems like
Meta hit it out the park. What do you
think?
Yeah, I think people should go on X
right now and plant your flag and say
whether this is ridiculous or whether
you think this is going to be something.
It is and look, I'm obviously making a
bet with my own credibility, but I'm
telling you right now this is the future
for sure. They're like people are like,
"Nah, it's not going to be the form
factor." I think it was Chamath
Palihapitiya that said, "It won't be the
glasses form factor." What? Obviously,
it's going to be something on your eyes.
So, if it isn't glasses, it's going to
be contact lenses? I mean, it is going
to be around your eyes. We navigate the
world with our eyes. Period, full stop,
end of story. So, whatever's going to
happen is going to have a form factor
that is around your eyes. And making it
small, making it something that people
are already used to, 100% and I will see
people make comments where I'm like,
"What world do you live in? Why do we
need this? Why do w-
What? Dude, imagine someone walking up
to you and you're like, "Oh god, I
recognize their face." and it just
whispers, "The last time you saw this
person was this, this is their name."
That's better. You literally just got
smarter. Or imagine looking at that
building, "What is that building?" Well,
I'm glad you asked.
And like in The Terminator, it will pop
up, you'll know exactly what it is. Have
you guys not played video games where it
sees something you don't and it locks on
and it's like, "Yo, this person that's
100 yd from you, you know who they are."
and this is where you know them from and
all that. It's like, "Guys, if like me,
you have ever thought to yourself, "I
wish I were a little smarter." guess
what happens when you put the glasses
on. You get a little bit smarter.
This is nuts to me that people are like,
"Well, I don't know if this is really
going to happen." The only question is,
how quickly will they be able to get it
to the point where it's light enough on
your face that you can wear it all day,
that it's not melting your brain and
that it's
affordable. Because right now, the
prototype's like $10,000 a unit. That's
to make. So, then they're going to sell
for 20,000? I mean, so they obviously
have to get the form factor changed so
that they can afford to mass produce
this stuff. But I mean, is that 5 years
away? It's not a lot more than that. So,
dude, if they were available right now,
I would buy one. For sure, without
question. Now, they look a little silly,
you look like Eugene Levy, but man, to
literally take that next step forward
with non-invasive cyborg abilities, uh
yes, please. Like, imagine for a second,
dude, it's like, do these people not
play video games? You could they could
make it such that you could do an
infrared overlay. I mean, there's all
kinds of stuff that you could do. Dude,
this is all available right now. These
technologies are available today. And
you could read the world in infrared,
you could do night vision. I mean, look,
I'm obviously now throwing the prices
into the stratosphere, but getting
people to understand that you navigate
the world through your eyes and your
ears, it will do both. It It's just
absurd to think that this isn't
on the path to being one of the most
transformative technologies uh in a long
time. It It will be eclipsed by AI. AI
will be a more important, but AI will be
integrated into it. AI will help you
read the world. It's crazy. And that's
where I think the technology is going
there. You can't put it back in the
bottle. And I was actually surprised
that it took them this long. I know Snap
came with their partnership with the
Ray-Ban of just like, you can photo
anything, but I think this form factor
actually makes more sense. Especially in
the business context, I seen that he was
in a meeting and a text message popped
up and he was talking to his wife in the
middle So those things that's like, yes,
that would be convenient.
But I don't know, is this like do we
need do we need this?
Yes, man. All of the things that you
just listed are all the dumb things that
I will tell people turn them off. You
don't want to be in a conversation with
somebody and have a text message pop up.
That's ass. I don't want to talk to you
when you're like texting with your wife
and [ __ ] It's like, stop. I want to be
with you when I'm with you, but when
you're engaging with the world and it's
reading things,
Got you.
like, okay, let's give a crazy example.
The AI, uh let's say that you're on the
spectrum, and the AI's like, I got you.
And it's like, no, no, no, they just
made a micro-expression. I suggest that
you ask the question, "Hey, is
everything okay? Did I just say
something that bothered you?" "Hey, is
everything okay? Did I just say
something?" Well, I'm glad you asked.
Right? I mean, it dude,
there are going to be some people that
reject it. I get it. There're going to
be There will be a new Puritan movement
where the purity is about the rejection
of technology. I fully understand that.
I'm not even mad at them. Because I get
it. There This is going to be a
trade-off.
Yeah.
But
just like you can have an unhealthy
relationship with food or you can eat to
not only survive but thrive, it will be
the same with technology. If you use it
to be constantly distracted, to indulge
in pornography or whatever, then yeah,
it it will be worse. It will have moved
you backwards. But if you have a healthy
relationship with it, then it's going to
be extraordinary, man.
Yeah.
Like if if we did a podcast just on
this, I could spend 2 hours just walking
you through all the things I've already
thought of.
And the odds that I've thought of half
of a percent of the things that it will
do are virtually zero. So, um phones
have made some people's lives worse, but
not mine.
So, this becomes a question of what is
your relationship with it.
It's a very good point. Very good point.
Are you ready for your Tesla surprise?
Let's do it. I want to hear about it.
So, Tesla is set to announce tonight the
Cybercab. It is their response to Waymo,
Google's uh self-driving
taxi service. So, this is supposed to go
live. They're literally doing it at the
Warner Brothers Theater in Hollywood.
What are your first thoughts?
Uh obviously. Like this is the way.
It'll just be a competition between all
these different car companies. None of
us are ever going to drive. I understand
that's going to traumatize a lot of
people that love driving. And cool, hey,
go do it as a you know, a hobby. I love
that. But the reality is for me, being
in a car that I'm not driving is like
teleporting cuz I can just put my head
down and get work done, do whatever I
want to do. Like I don't understand
people um for whom they would rather do
the act of driving, especially cuz I
live in LA, so the terrible. It's not
like the wind is blowing through your
hair.
Uh you're stuck in traffic. Um so for
me, just being able to learn, that's
what I'm normally doing, or I'm just
getting work done,
it is utterly transformative. So now we
all get that time back, but also it will
be so much safer. It will be orders of
magnitude safer. All the cars will be
able to pod up. They will understand
what each of them are doing as
regulations begin to get passed that
force them to communicate with each
other
uh and say, you know, up, we've detected
a a car is moving erratically or
whatever, it's probably this side or the
other.
Um and then you might be able to have
all if if enough cars send back a kill
signal, then it shuts the vehicle down
or something like that. I mean, just
Guys, these are the the things you can
think of quickly off the top of your
head. Like it's it's just going to be so
much better. Now, where people begin to
push back is, bro, I want the autonomy.
Cool, I hear you, and I think that there
is a very reasonable debate. Um I think
you're probably in like 10 years, you're
probably going to have a hard time
getting insurance, but
that's the only side of this where I'm
like, yeah, I'm empathetic to that.
There are people that just But those are
the things that I want to do, and I want
to make sure that they have that space.
Uh but for safety reasons, that being
relegated to a track or to given spaces,
personally, I'm here for that. So
It immediately reminded me of like
horseback riding and how everybody used
to own a horse and everybody used to
ride. And now there are people who still
ride horses, but they're in these remote
specific areas where everybody else
drives.
Yeah, and I'm sure that that was
legitimately traumatizing to a subgroup
of people, and I get it. Everything's a
trade-off.
I'm a car guy though, so that makes me
sad. But we'll see what's I trust Elon
Musk though. Everybody loves a Tesla.
So I'm curious to see how he his take on
the Cybertruck versus the Waymos and all
these other ones, so should be
interesting. As a video game developer,
Concordia is Sony's horrific uh latest
project that rumored to lose over 400
million dollars.
Game dev to game dev, what's the eulogy?
I just want You understand this more
than a lot of other people, so I just
thought you should give this kind of
eulogy to Sony.
Sony, if I may. Can we please have your
assets? Uh here is
Here's the reality of the entertainment
industry, and I am trying I'm I'm
running a test to see if there's a way
to buck that because you see this in
movies, and for me video games is a way
to escape this. So, what happens in a
movie is you get one shot to get people
excited behind it. Now, every now and
then something will then go to streaming
or video back in the day, and it would
get a cult audience. So, for example,
Shawshank Redemption absolutely tanked
at the box office.
Right. I did not know that one.
And it has gone on to be considered the
greatest film of all time. It It is a
truly extraordinary film that now a lot
of people have seen, but at the time it
was just an abject failure.
And so, you see that a lot, and it's
done. And so, now whatever's going to
happen's going to happen, and no one's
going to put marketing dollars into it
or anything like that. But I think the
world has changed. So, here's what I'm
betting on. If I can build a gaming
community, and by the way, if you're
into video games and empowerment, join
me 6:30 a.m. Pacific time most days
where I stream uh playing Fortnite and
Project Heisen, our game. Um if I can
build an audience that's around that
idea, right? They want to be there for
empowering ideas and video games at the
same time. Now, I can build the game in
public, and it will ebb and flow, and
there'll be times just like our YouTube
channel where we're way up, and then
there's times where the channel comes
back down, and we reinvent, and we try
new things. And so, you just get this
like constant rock, and we built this
incredible business around it. I think
video games, unlike a film, which really
because it's static, it is what it is,
and so people don't like it, you're
done. So, if you spent $200 million
making a movie and another $200 million
marketing it, and people don't like it,
that's it. There's no going back and
redoing it. A game isn't like that. A
game you can reinvent, you can try, you
can create new mechanics. So, Fortnite,
one of the biggest games on planet
Earth,
Originally was like the same where
you're killing zombies and all the stuff
and they were like reinventing it
constantly. They had like redone the art
style three times. They'd redone the
core mechanics a bunch and they were
like, "Oh god, do we release this?" And
then right as they're releasing it, they
see that PUBG is just crushing it with
this new thing called a Battle Royale.
So as an afterthought, someone inside
the team was like, "Give us a small
budget and let us take all these assets,
all the stuff that we've built because
it's a video game." People that don't
understand how this works, all of that
stuff can be tweaked a little bit and
then the outcomes are wildly different.
So basically what you've done is create
call it physics. It's pretty close to
what you're doing. How big is a jump?
How far is a jump?
What is it like when you slide? How does
the gun react? All that stuff. It It's
an insane amount of work. But once you
set all that up, then you can make minor
tweaks like, "Hey, instead of one person
goes in and fights a bunch of the
zombies, what if using all the same
mechanics, we drop in a hundred of the
players and have them kill each other?"
All the same physics, all the same maps.
Ah.
And all of a sudden you have a totally
different game and it ends up taking off
and becoming one of the biggest video
games of all time.
But the zombie killing part is still
out. It's still available. Virtually
nobody plays it, but it's the same
underlying game. So you had a game that
took, let's say, five or six years to
develop and at the last minute they
switched it up. And that switch up ended
up creating a totally different game. So
when I see Sony go, "Nah,
[ __ ] it." and they turn it off, I'm just
like, "What are you doing? Go in there,
figure out with all these assets, what
other thing could we do?" Because what
they're looking at is the cost of the
servers to run this, the marketing team,
all that. Nah, we just don't want to
deal with it. So as an indie dev,
legitimately, if companies like that
would put their assets up for sale, oh
god, please. Like that's the part of all
this that is so expensive and takes so
much time.
Of course they won't because they would
look like a fool if I can take those
assets and do something with it. So so
rather just spike it. It It is It is
devastating from the outside. It's the
very thing I'm hoping to avoid. If the
first iteration of our game the first
iteration of our game did fail, and so
we reinvented it, and we reinvented it
again, and now we're on what we call
phase three. Phase three starting to get
some traction, but phase three was never
meant to be where we stop. Well, phase
four or five six seven eight, and I just
plan to keep keep costs as low as I can
and keep going until I find that thing
that boom that clicks because we've done
the hard and expensive part. So, anyway,
for companies big as Sony, they can
afford to do it, but I really think
if indie game devs adopt the live
update, which most of them don't, but if
you adopt a live update strategy, I
think you've got a shot at something
that could live forever as you leverage
everything that you've built over and
over and over and over until you find
that thing that hits.
100% and you kind of nailed it on the
head cuz they had big wins in the past.
They have the Sony IP. There's all these
other and just them being a studio to
your point, it's like the Joker movie.
We shot it to musical. Nobody likes it.
Uh we're stuck. We can't do anything.
We're to game. You now you have a
library of content, library assets, all
these devs, and it's just like sorry
guys, like let's start all over now and
just
It's bananas.
$400 million Oh, man, crazy.
Yep.
Um
okay, after 220 confirmed deaths after
Hurricane Helen, Hurricane Milton just
made landfall in Florida. It's now
traveling through. Some estimates have
up to 9 ft of water.
Is this like a climate change problem?
Like 9 ft of water is crazy to me. And
I'm from Jersey. I've been through
Sandy. I like we had bad power outages
and a couple broken trees, but like 9 ft
of water, like that's It's It's not
real. It doesn't It's crazy.
9 ft of water is legitimately crazy. So,
the baseline that I would want people to
accept is that the climate is always
changing. It has been changing since the
time of the dinosaurs, and I'm sure long
before that. Uh but when you drill into
the ice cores, you realize we've had way
more extreme weather than we're having
now. But, that doesn't make it fun to
deal with.
That's very true.
So there is a huge cost to um
infrastructure. There's a huge cost to
human life, the knock-on to insurance
and all that stuff. It's it's a pain to
deal with. But on a long enough
timeline, uh 1,000% you are going to be
dealing with climate change basically no
matter what you do. Good luck overcoming
the forces of nature.
On a long enough timeline with AI, might
we finally grapple with this? Maybe. But
my takeaway right now is if you look at
a graph of the temperatures from the
time that, you know, the dinosaurs were
here, it's like way up here. We are way
the hell down here now. Um however, you
see this like not vertical, but woo. It
is like a line that does not look
natural. So I think that Elon summed it
up best when he was like, "Hey kids,
maybe running an experiment of what
happens if we pump a ton of CO2 into the
atmosphere. Maybe that's a stupid test
to run." So I would agree and I think
that we want to find ways to eliminate
however much of the um climate change
that we're experiencing now has to do
with us. Um that we want to mitigate
that as much as we can without
disrupting
uh economic growth, without disrupting
the countries that are still trying to
climb their way out of poverty. It does
feel very much like the current
strategies of it's got to happen right
now, like no matter what. And that to me
is crazy. If you are not optimizing for
human flourishing now
and in the future,
Mhm.
then you've got a problem. And right now
I feel like people like, "Hey, forget
everybody that's alive right now. Uh
let's just think about what's happening
in the future." And also, this is where
I'm going to get up on a nuclear
soapbox.
Bro, if you're not doing nuclear, like
don't talk to me about some of the other
um
draconian solutions that you want to put
in place. Focus on how do we make that
as safe as humanly possible, how do we
get those back online, if we put the
ingenuity into it, I think that we could
get a ton out of it, and then also other
things. But doing it in a sensible way
where governments have time to keep up
with it, that we're making sure that
we're not damaging the economy, that
we're not making things worse because
very much you can have a cure that's
worse than the malady. So,
I think that we have to tread very
carefully here, be thoughtful, want that
friction, don't just try to shut down
the side that's like, "Hey, I think you
guys might be being a little extreme
here."
Don't try to shut that side down. Accept
that that the people that are alive now
today, the people that are trying to
climb out of poverty using energy today,
they matter just as much as the people
that we want to protect in the future.
And so, we've got to say, "Okay, cool. I
want that friction. I want to be held in
check." Like, I don't want just
capitalists being able to dump things in
the water and like pump everything into
the atmosphere. I want them to have a
check. So, it's like you want that
friction between the two sides to find
the best way forward. And once people
understand that the friction is the
thing that sharpens your thinking,
nobody there nobody has the the first
idea and that's the best idea. Even
Einstein ended up having to revise his
own philosophies, right? You put it out
into the world, you test it
experimentally, you see what's actually
working, what's not.
That sharpens your thinking when you're
not afraid to be wrong, and then you can
actually get to a good answer. But right
now when it becomes this cudgel where
it's a moral thing and anybody that's
like, "Uh, I'm not so sure about that. I
think that there are trade-offs and we
need to really be thoughtful." And they
get silenced, deplatformed, whatever.
Like literally just by talking about
this, we're probably going to get a
thing at the bottom of the episode. So,
keep your eyes peeled for that,
uh, and that I think is dangerous. You
need to want debate.
There's something about that with energy
costs because I do think your point is
valid. Nuclear can greatly reduce that.
Um, I think Elon talked about half a
couple acres of solar panels using the
sun can power half of the United States.
So, it seems like we have these
technologies one available to us
in relatively cheap, quote and quote,
that we can get away from our
dependencies of traditional fossil
fuels.
But, at the same time, we're not
pursuing that, but we also want to make
other people not pursue other. And so,
to your point, it's like we're we're
trying to push us in one direction, but
not too fast, but we're also not going
backwards. Not too So, it's like they
want us to be stuck in the middle
almost. It's very confusing.
I think there might be something else
happening where uh this Okay, now we're
into complicated territory. So,
uh my conspiratorial brain starts
kicking in, and I don't have a strong
conspiratorial mind. So, when it gets
triggered, there's something going on.
Um I think that the world, humans, are
only understandable when you know that
there is some portion of us tied to
Nietzsche's idea of will to power. So,
all of us have a will to power. And it
can be just in our personal life, and
this is why home life is so important to
so many people. It's a place where, hey,
you're going to have it the way that you
want it. Um but, when you understand
that part of what motivates people is
not just, hey, I want the world to be
better for the middle class, or I want
to make sure that our children's
children have clean air to breathe. They
also just want a bit of power.
And this is why this is part of the what
do you do with dumb voters. So, my
belief, just to give you my take, you
have to let dumb voters vote, and you
have to accept that whatever comes
comes.
Because anything else becomes tyranny.
And I get it. All of us are like there
are people much smarter than me that are
traumatized that I get to vote, or that
I get to speak into a camera. Like
they're mortified. They're like, what's
with this clown? Uh
and so, all of us have somebody that has
less thoughtfulness or less intellectual
horsepower that we're horrified that
they get to vote. Uh but, so that we are
not silenced, we must
leave it open for everybody. And just
accept that yeah, human um
personalities, intellect, willfulness,
all of it is is uh distributed. It's
it's a bell curve. And so yeah, it is
what it is. And I for one believe you
need to embrace that. And you want to
put out the best ideas and you want that
friction, you want to debate it, argue
it, and get as sharp as we can.
Uh but you really have to accept that
you are so fallible that you should be
ultra paranoid of control. Now, this is
one no one will ever believe you no
matter what you say unless you really
like took me to task. But I try to run
my company that way. Where there are
times where I'll say, "Look, I'm saying
this as a CEO and it's just going to be
this way cuz we've debated it and you do
finally need somebody to make a
decision. But I don't trust myself. I
don't trust myself to see around every
corner. I don't trust myself to be right
all the time.
Um I think my intellect is limited and I
think I need to surround myself with
smart people that have my values. On
that, I've found if if you have
different values or a different aim,
that's you're going to implode. But I
want people that share my values, that
share my vision,
but see the world from a different
angle. And so they can see things about
me that I can't see about myself or they
might argue a point, be like, "Yo,
that's not the way." And then through
that friction, you're able to find a
path forward. So, when you understand
will to power and you know that most
people aren't willing to give it away,
um then things start to make sense.
These are people that I think are
leveraging a crisis. It's a great quote,
"Never let a good crisis go to waste."
Now, when somebody lives by that maxim
and they have the will to power, now all
of a sudden something like COVID
becomes, "Oh, we can gobble up power."
And once we have it, we don't have to
give it back cuz people acclimate to it
very quickly. And so, if you plug that
variable in, now all of a sudden I don't
trust that people are just trying to do
what's right. I think they're using this
as an opportunity to get control. And uh
top-down control scares the life out of
me.
No, that that that hits it. That hits
it.
All right.
DC has announced their new Green
Lantern, Aaron Paul. He was in that
Ridge movie in Netflix. Uh a relatively
new actor.
If you could be any superhero, who would
you be?
Ooh. Okay, well, I'll give you the
answer that came to mind first. Doctor
Manhattan. Now, I'd probably want to
think about that more because there was
something it ruined all of his
relationships and that is the thing that
scares me. But, I've always believed if
you meet a magic genie and you are
allowed to have one wish and one wish
only. There's only one wish that makes
sense. Through simple thoughts and
actions to be able to turn any piece of
matter into any other piece of matter.
So, for instance, uh if you have a
cancerous tumor, make it healthy tissue.
I don't want to have to go in and like
figure out which things are cancer or
not. I just want to be like, "It's not
cancer anymore. It's healthy tissue." Uh
Doctor Manhattan comes very, very close
to that. Um so, that's that's my answer.
Part B, is it like that's who you would
be or is that your favorite superhero?
That's who I would want to be. My
favorite superhero is Batman because he
doesn't have any superpowers other than
uh he trains and researches and that to
me is the coolest of the cool. Um so,
at Impact Theory in our comic division,
we often, you know, in comics you're
going to be dealing with superhero
e-type of stuff.
Uh and one thing we always wanted was a
superhero has to earn their powers. So,
the I wish, in fact, every night I am
tempted to punch myself in the mouth
because I did not create My Hero
Academia. Uh it's so good, dude. And
it's basically about a kid who becomes
Superman, but he has to learn how to use
the powers and how to build up like his
strength and get his body to the point
where it can tolerate the powers.
It's unbelievable. So, even a story like
that where it's like you are just get he
ate this guy's hair. It's a terrible
origin story. But, anyway, uh he gets
the powers and
then like finds that the powers are
basically destroying him. And he doesn't
know how to control it and he can damage
himself and be near death and all that
stuff. And so it's like, "Hey kid,
you've got this power, but now you've
got to earn it." Oh man, I love that so
much. That's why the Batman mythology
speaks to me.
Okay, my favorite superhero is
Spider-Man cuz he's the only superhero
that pays rent. I think that that's
important.
Nice. He's also funny. He was my
favorite as a kid cuz he was funny.
All right, everybody, that's it for
today. Thank you so much for joining us.
If there's any topics that you want to
see me cover, make sure you go over to
our community post. Leave it there. Let
us know. We are paying close attention
there. And until next time, my friends,
be legendary. Take care. Peace.
If you like this conversation, check out
this episode to learn more.
The financial cliff
that we're rapidly driving off is is
pretty terrifying.
The you know, it's not just the 35
trillion dollars in debt or the fact
that
that interest on the debt is now
overtaking the budget.