Internationals & US Investing Strategic Approach!!! (4 Stocks To Buy)
Watch on YouTubeVideo summary
The video argues that a strategic combination of US and international investing is essential for long-term wealth accumulation, emphasizing the importance of comparing price, reward, and risk across global markets. The speaker contends that while the S&P 500 has delivered exceptional returns recently due to its high valuation multiples, investors should not simply chase rising prices in emerging markets or developed nations. Instead, the core strategy involves identifying opportunities where international stocks are significantly undervalued relative to their fundamentals. When US market valuations reach extreme highs, such as a P/E ratio near 30, international markets with ratios below 10 offer what the speaker terms "absolute cheapness," providing a safety margin that standard investment approaches often miss.
A critical component of this approach is avoiding the common mistake of buying assets solely because they are trending upward, particularly in sectors heavily exposed to artificial intelligence bubbles. The transcript highlights that many emerging market ETFs are currently overweighted with tech giants like TSMC and Samsung, creating a concentrated risk if AI growth stalls. In contrast, the speaker advocates for a value investing mindset that focuses on business ownership rather than passive index exposure. By analyzing individual companies and waiting for periods of market fear or downturns, investors can acquire high-quality businesses at discounted prices. This method allows portfolios to benefit from global growth cycles while maintaining a margin of safety against potential crashes or geopolitical uncertainties.
The speaker outlines four specific international stocks they are considering for their portfolio, including an Indonesian conglomerate with a low P/E ratio and strong dividend yield, as well as Chinese internet giants like Tencent, Prosus, and JD.com. These companies represent exposure to massive emerging economies—such as Indonesia's 5.5 billion people globally and China's rapid urbanization and technological advancements—without the extreme concentration risks found in broad AI-focused ETFs. The strategy involves building a second pillar of wealth alongside traditional US holdings by slowly investing small amounts over time, allowing compounding to work while waiting for the right entry points. This disciplined approach ensures that investors are fearful when others are greedy, thereby capitalizing on sentiment-driven market dislocations to build a diversified and resilient financial future.
Read the full video transcript
Good day, fellow investors. In this
video, I'm going to argue that
international and US investing is the
best way for your long-term wealth
accumulation. Why? Because when it comes
to investing, it is about comparing
price, reward, and risk. And we're going
to discuss the best way I see to compare
those opportunities globally over time.
The reason why I'm making this video
because I see a lot of comments as soon
as something is international or
emerging markets, disregard it as
complicated, it might not be that
difficult, and it might be very
valuable. So, stick around and you'll
learn a lot in this video. We'll start
with a comparison, US markets,
international markets. Those are always
undervalued, but when they are
undervalued enough to invest in those is
the key. We'll discuss the strategy, and
we'll discuss four international stocks
I am personally considering to buy.
Before we start, let me start with the
disclaimer, the sponsor, Interactive
Brokers. If you look at my links in the
description below, there is only one
affiliate link, and that is Interactive
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situations that other brokers don't have
because the other brokers just give the
job to somebody else. That's very
important to know. The stock did well.
We did look at it 2 years ago. I said it
was to watch. Stock split there, so it
did tremendously well because the
business is doing also well. So, if you
click on that link in the description
below, you support the channel. I get a
small fee for the click. And now that we
have solved that disclaimer, let's get
down to business. And before we start
comparing, let me say something
immediately. The S&P 500 with a P ratio
of 15 or 20 is better that whatever
emerging market international with a P
ratio of 10 to 15. That's just slight
relative cheapness. That's not what I am
interested in when it comes to
international markets. But when we are
talking of S&P 500 P ratio of 30, CAPE
ratio above 40, second most expensive
market in the last 150 years, compared
to emerging markets with P ratios of 10,
below 10, 5, 6, and still growing,
that's absolute cheapness, and that's
what I'm focused on whenever I'm looking
at international markets. Another very
important situation to explain, most
people simply chase returns. They see
the Chinese market or Europe going up,
and they start buying because they see
stock prices going up. That's a terrible
mistake. Here we see it again as the
Chinese ETF started exploding on AI,
deep seek what it was in August,
September 2025, there were huge
investments in China. Just a month ago,
2 months ago, when it started to look
uglier, people hugely at lower prices
went away from that. 2020 was the boom
of Chinese stocks, Chinese internet
companies. And then people just rushed
away. We bought big here because it was
too cheap to be true. And then you have
these cycles. This is for example again
China boom, boom, bust, a small boom,
and we are here again towards something
that all these businesses over more than
a decade have been growing significantly
even globally. Their stock prices on
average went nowhere. So, now it's time
to look at China as cheap because nobody
wants to look at it. And when I'm saying
international investing, I'm not saying
being long whatever happens. I'm just
saying watching it, comparing it, and
then taking advantage of those few
opportunities in a decade where it's
very unlikely you'll lose money, and
then whatever is left is upside. If you
remember just a few years ago, 2024,
China was considered uninvestable,
terrible, crisis this or that. Then 12
months later, China was loved,
outperforming the S&P 500. All those
companies were growing fast. And this is
from the Bloomberg article. We had
Donald Trump returning trade war, and
then came deep seek, then stocks boomed.
Now they are busting again, but for a
short period, that market even
outperformed the S&P 500 by nine or even
20 percentage point at some point in
time. But we are not here to relatively
outperform. We are here to build wealth
through buying or owning businesses that
are so cheap, so valuable, that it's
unlikely that we lose money. And then
when there is a boom, if the business
hasn't improved that much, we might even
sell. But, that's a great counterweight
to, let's say, the other, more standard
options you might have in your
portfolio. Let's now discuss a little
bit more US versus international
investing. If I look at the S&P 500,
since March of 2009, it is up 12 times.
That's crazy performance. That is the
best bull market in history. If it
continues for another
2 years, 3 years, it will be a 20-year
double-digit, 15% per year bull market
going for, if it doubles again, that
will be a 25x in 20 years. And
consequently, US stocks have
outperformed
international stocks for a very, very
long period up to mid-2025,
2026.
And now again, international stocks are
weakening a little bit, depending on how
you look at it. However, there have been
many cycles where international stocks
did better, US stocks did better. And
so, it is important to understand that
cycle. Plus, if you look at the
situation on markets, US markets did
great, which means those markets now are
64%
of global markets. If you look at the
lower part of that chart, China,
that is included in emerging markets, is
just 12%
of the global stock market
capitalization. Think about that. The
world at 8.2 billion people, everything
is emerging markets, and just this
population of a billion makes 64, if you
put Europe, 74, 80% with the UK and
everything, of the global world stock
market capitalization. So, perhaps if
things are really cheap, it is smart to
get some exposure in a smart way to this
5.5 billion people and growing. Further,
if we look at the P/E ratio, when it
stabilized a little bit in the early
2010s, for the S&P 500, it was 15. Now,
we are close to 30. 2x of the S&P 500 is
just based on valuation. The historical
average that led to great returns is 15.
If that whenever returns to the
historical average, that's a minus 50%
in the S&P 500. And you can see here,
only during the dot-com bubble have
stocks been more expensive than now. If
we go to GMO, that looks at the
fundamentals, at the valuations, the
likely return based on historical data
for US companies is 5, 6, 7 negative per
year. That's minus 50 for the next 7
years that they are projecting this. A
little bit better in emerging markets,
but again, we are not buying emerging
markets as a whole, as we'll discuss in
a second. We are specifically looking
for stocks. And I have discussed this
that emerging markets ETFs will crash
likely even more than US S&P 500. Why?
Well, yes, US markets are relatively
more expensive than emerging markets.
These markets are the AI bubble with
most of the companies with huge exposure
to all the AI bets that are going on.
However, if we look at emerging markets,
the market capitalization weight is
crazy. TSMC, that's again connected to
the AI bubble as the provider, is the
huge side. There's Samsung also, SK
Hynix, again the crazy Korean chip
company. Most of the ETFs are also AI.
ASML in Europe, all AI AI AI. And that
is a big risk because if it doesn't
work, then this will crash even more
emerging markets than the US. If you
look at it from the current perspective,
it all are great businesses, but it's a
huge bet on AI. We are likely long AI
in many ways, economies, whatever,
everything is connected. I looked at the
recent earnings from these hyperscalers.
It's so intricate, giving money to your
customers so that he buys back. And if
Anthropic and OpenAI don't deliver, it
will look very, very ugly. For me,
that's a huge risk not to compare to
perhaps other opportunities. Then we
look at, "Okay, what is overlooked?" We
don't do ETFs. Even if one will mention,
we read the annual reports, we make
analysis, slow, we understand what we
are buying, we take advantage of
volatility, and slowly we try to value
invest in a way that we lower risk and
increase returns. We discussed Berkshire
as safety.
That should be better safety than the
S&P 500, but the company is also 4x 3x
over the last decade, which means that
the likely long-term returns will not be
that stellar. The dividend yield of the
S&P 500 is 1% compared to to historical
4%. I'm not predicting a 75% crash, but
if we just go to 2%, which is let's say
a minimum, that's a big deal. And then
people say, "Yes, Sven, but what about
buybacks?" Buybacks are performed at
extremely high historical prices. If
there is the AI crash, all these
buybacks over the last few years will be
wasted money or gains only for those
selling those stocks. So, let's look
into the strategy, the yield, the
growth, the value. How are we going to
build long-term wealth, our portfolio,
our goals? How are we going to be more
certain of reaching those by investing
in emerging markets? Now, consider this
idea. I'm not saying sell everything and
buy this. I'm just saying if you have a
portfolio, it is set, you're long, you
have done great like most of us have
done, then I'm just saying consider
building another pillar slowly over the
next two decades. A pillar that is low
risk, high reward when the opportunity
knocks. As you invest each month a small
sum, you compare the risk and reward of
your developed market pillar to the
value investing perhaps emerging market
pillar. And then you make your decision.
And that's slow and steady, small
amounts compounding. Over a decade,
you'll have two great pillars that will
bring your finances closer to whatever
your goals are. We look at risk first,
what can go wrong, business ownership,
and we invest in a way that whatever
happens is okay. That's the key
strategy. For that to happen, you must
have the patience to wait for the right
opportunity and apply the right
strategy. Sizing, when to buy, when to
buy a little bit more, know what's going
on. Let me explain that a little bit
more on the four examples. A few years
ago, we discussed the Chinese internet
ETF, KWEB,
and at that point, China was
uninvestable. I think we also bought for
our diversified and YouTube portfolios.
What was the situation there? Since
March 15, went up a little bit, 50% I
think then I sold, closed the position.
It was a good gain over a few months or
I bought here. I think I bought here and
then it went up even more. That's good.
Now, I made an analysis stock by stock.
It is interesting. There are certainly
value situations there. This is However,
if this happens where the projected
earnings growth happens 25% plus for
China, for example, you will make money.
If you look at the long-term chart, this
is very interesting. Since 2013, for 14
years, the Chinese internet ETF has done
nothing. Nothing. In the meantime,
Tencent, Alibaba, and all these
companies grew 10 20x.
There are these boom periods. There are
these bust periods when nobody wants to
touch those companies and that is the
time to look at it. We had one in 2022,
2024, then we had a small boom. You can
rebalance then and now we are again
compared to value at very cheap levels.
And this is a friend's post recently. He
says that I should go and make a trip to
China. I think he is right, but just
look at the stats. We can say whatever
we want about China, but this has
happened. Internet, electrical vehicles,
electrification, solar, urbanization,
high-speed rail, higher education, crazy
stats. You cannot say anything against
what has happened. Even forest coverage
went up from 16% to 25%, which is
staggering. Nevertheless, we are not
just looking at emerging values as given
because of DETF, we're looking for 10%
more opportunities. And if you want to
avoid China, here is a company I have to
write a research report in-depth
analysis for my research platform will
likely come out also this week. Look at
the P/E ratio, four, dividend yield 5%,
this is an Indonesian company in the
food, other holding companies across the
Philippines, things like that. So,
exposure to that growth we discussed at
the temporary downturn can always go
lower with emerging markets, but if that
happens, this is food, electricity,
telecommunications,
there might be a margin of safety. Then
we also recently discussed Tencent or
the European version with a discount,
Prosus or Naspers. So, you can also look
at those businesses. What's the
difference there? That is also all AI,
but the P/E ratio is 15 for Tencent,
still growing, nine for Prosus given the
discount. Artificial intelligence,
Tencent will apply it, as they say, with
its bazooka on all its moat-worthy
businesses, which is very interesting.
We have another company that's
interesting now, JD.com. They are
building their logistics. They're now in
a downturn, slower sales compared to
last year that was a booming stimulus
situation. Also, looks cheap, a lot of
cash on the balance sheet. It's unlikely
that over the next five years with a
good strategy, you can lose money on
this company. I will be personally
looking at my diversified portfolio on
my research platform and these are the
four companies that I will strategically
look to add to the portfolio over time.
All covered stocks on my research
platform. The message is always the
same. Buy when others are fearful and be
fearful when others are greedy. There
are always risks, currency risks, ups
and downs, but that's also related to
sentiment. When there is bad sentiment,
the currency is also bad. If you buy
then, the currency recovers a little
bit, you make money. A lot of these
businesses are already global or
globalizing. Many have dollars as a base
currency. War in Taiwan, I hope it
doesn't happen.
If that happens, the last thing you're
going to think about is your portfolio.
Chinese currency has been stable. So, it
is a process to consider having a value
pillar, to understand the sentiment, to
understand the true value, the
knowledge, perhaps follow me for
research ideas. And with this video, I
really wanted to give you another option
on how to build long-term wealth that
compounds with as much certainty as
possible. I hope you enjoyed this video.
You can check what I do in the links in
the description below. Check also
Interactive Brokers. Thanks for your
support. If you want to send me an
email, send it at
investwithsven@gmail.com.
By the way, that's my only email. I'm
not sending you emails. There have been
some scams over YouTube. Be careful for
those.