Video summary
The core argument presented by Trillion Energy is that location serves as one of the most powerful risk reduction tools in the oil business, and their M47 project benefits immensely from this principle. Unlike explorers drilling into unproven basins where fundamental questions about petroleum systems remain unanswered, M47 sits within a proven trend surrounded by active production across Turkey's Mount Cudi Gabar region. This area has transformed rapidly over the last few years to become one of the fastest-growing oil regions globally, now accounting for more than half of Turkey's total oil output. By operating in this established fairway alongside major players like TPAO and international service companies such as Schlumberger and Baker Hughes, Trillion Energy leverages a geological model that has already been repeatedly validated by neighboring fields, significantly lowering the uncertainty associated with new discoveries.
Beyond mere proximity to existing wells, M47 offers investors a unique opportunity because it targets the exact same Cretaceous carbonate reservoir system found in nearby giant fields like Sahit I Bukey Yasin and Sahit Esma Cevik. The company's two wells drilled in 2025 confirmed high-quality light oil with characteristics identical to those flowing from neighbors just ten kilometers away, proving that the source rocks, migration pathways, and trapping mechanisms are consistent across the region. This reservoir equivalence is critical because it allows Trillion Energy to compare their results against a large database of analog production data rather than relying solely on theoretical seismic interpretation. Furthermore, the project benefits from robust infrastructure already in place, including pipelines connecting directly to refineries in Istanbul and Izmir, as well as extensive road networks that facilitate easy access between wells, ensuring there are no off-take problems for future production.
The economic potential of M47 is underpinned by strong operational efficiency driven by the regional environment, which supports rapid capital recovery despite high global demand for field services. With lifting costs around ten dollars per barrel and operating expenses near eight dollars, the project achieves a net back in the range of fifty-five dollars with a payback period of roughly one month per well. This favorable economics is possible because drilling costs remain relatively lower than in neighboring countries while producing oil that commands standard market prices. The region's growth story continues to unfold as new discoveries are made and production expands, indicating that the basin still holds significant untapped value rather than being a mature asset leveling off. Trillion Energy positions itself as the only publicly traded company offering direct exposure to this specific high-priority development trend in Turkey, creating a unique strategic opportunity for investors who recognize the significance of the Mount Cudi Gabar region before it potentially becomes fully accessible through other channels.
Ultimately, while third-party validation has independently assessed the resource at twenty-seven point six million barrels with an unrisked value exceeding seven hundred thirty million dollars, Trillion Energy acknowledges that market valuation will likely increase as they achieve further milestones such as reserve conversion and sustained production growth. The company emphasizes that reducing uncertainty through systematic appraisal and development is key to closing the gap between their intrinsic asset value and current stock price, a process historically driven by sustainable re-rating in the industry. As operators continue to unlock value and expand their understanding of the basin over time, Trillion Energy aims to systematically reduce risk while advancing its assets efficiently within an environment where domestic demand for oil remains strong. The interview concludes with confidence that focusing on operational excellence and leveraging the proven context around M47 will lead to significant success, offering investors a chance to participate in one of the world's most exciting emerging oil regions before it becomes widely available to all market participants.
Read the full video transcript
Location is one of the most powerful
risk reducers in the oil business. If
you're exploring in an unproven basin,
you're trying to answer some fundamental
questions about whether the petroleum
system even works, but
if you're sitting in a proven trend with
active production all around you, many
of those questions have already been
answered. So, that's what makes M47 so
compelling. We're not drilling a concept
conceptual idea.
Uh we're operating within one of the
most active and successful oil
fairways in Turkey.
>> [music]
[music]
>> Hi, how's everybody doing today? I'm
your host Richard De Souza here on
behalf of the Rich TV Show with our very
special guest, the Vice President of
Trillion Energy, Tolga Barac. How you
doing today, Tolga?
>> I'm very good. How are you?
>> I'm doing fantastic. Very excited to
have you on the show. And the last time
we covered the discovery itself, today I
want to focus on where M47 sits because
in this business, location can de-risk a
play before you ever drill. There's an
old principle that the best place to
find oil is right beside where it is
already being found. So, why does that
matter so much? And how well does M47
fit it?
>> Yeah, thanks for having me, Rich. So,
location is one of the most powerful
risk reducers in the oil business. If
you're exploring in an unproven basin,
you're trying to answer some fundamental
questions about whether the petroleum
system even works, but
if you're sitting in a proven trend with
active production all around you, many
of those questions have already been
answered. So, that's what makes M47 so
compelling. We're not drilling a concept
conceptual idea.
Uh we're operating within one of the
most active and successful oil
uh fairways in Turkey.
Uh we've got
producing fields all around our block,
solid infrastructure in place, and uh
plenty of nearby wells showing
the same petroleum system.
When geologists talk about close
analogy, they're really talking about
the probability, right? So, uh if your
geology, reservoir, your fluids, and and
the structure are similar to nearby
producing fields, then the geological
risk is much lower. M47 checks all of
those boxes.
Our our two uh two wells that has been
drilled in 2025 confirmed the same
high-quality light oil seen
uh through the trend,
and the independent resource assessment
also demonstrates that it's a
potentially a very meaningful
accumulation. So, M47 is positioned
exactly where you would want a new
discovery to be.
>> We love to hear that. And can you set
the scale of the Cudi Gabar region for
people hearing about it for the first
time? Four years ago, it produced almost
nothing, and today over half of Turkey's
entire oil production comes from fields
right beside your block. How does this
become one of the fastest-growing oil
regions in the world?
>> Yeah, what has happened in the Mount
Gabar region uh over the last few years
has been extraordinary. The region that
was contributing a very little to
national production, almost zero, has
rapidly became the center of Turkey's
oil growth story.
Through systematic exploration and
development, multiple large discoveries
have been made, production has expanded
dramatically, and the region is now
accounts for a substantial portion of uh
country's oil output.
The reason is quite simple, actually.
The industry gained
uh much better understanding of the
regional geology
and uh the productivity of Cretaceous
carbonate reservoirs.
Once those discoveries began proving
commercial success, our neighbor TPAO
has pushed the gas pedal and accelerated
development across the trend.
For us, this is very important because
M47 sits directly within the same
regional petroleum system.
Uh we are benefiting from a geological
model that has already been validated
repeatedly by nearby production.
You know, investors usually try to get
in early in emerging oil provinces while
they are still in the early stages of
growth, which is very normal.
And the Mankabir region is one of the
rare places globally uh where the
production growth, infrastructure
expansion, and uh ongoing discoveries
are all happening simultaneously at the
same time. And that's a very attractive
backdrop for a company like Trillion
Energy.
So, put it that way, TPAO is operating
with 40 plus drilling rigs at the
moment, and major service companies like
Schlumberger, Baker Hughes, Halliburton,
Weatherford are operating there. There
are met along with many local uh rig
contractors, there are some foreign rig
contractors as well, and there are at
least 3 to 5,000 people working at the
same time, and the place literally looks
like an oil province. Probably within a
couple years, the area
uh will be expanded more and surrounded
with upgraded infrastructure. So,
everything seems to be on track right
now.
>> I know we love to hear as investors
location, location, location. Now, M47
is about 12 km from Sahit I Bukey Yasin,
Turkey's largest onshore oil field at
roughly 8 billion barrels in place
announced by President Erdogan himself,
and the structure you're on extends east
into that same field. How directly does
that tie M47 into a proven giant?
>> Yeah, so there two large oil fields
which are very popular. So, Sahit I
Bukey Altun and Sahit Esma Cevik fields
are the most popular ones, but it is not
only those two fields, but there are
some other new field new field
discoveries, and
and some new field
new field discoveries which has been
discovered in 2024 and 2025, which is a
couple years after after TPAO discovered
those two fields, and the new ones are
closer than the first ones. So,
investors should understand that we are
not saying M47 is the same field, and we
cannot assume all the reserve continues
across the license boundaries as same as
the other side of the block, but we can
say that proximity matters a lot. So,
being located around 10 12 km away from
the largest onshore oil discovery in
modern Turkish history is significant
because it demonstrates
the effectiveness of the regional
petroleum system. The source rocks,
migration pathways, reservoir intervals,
and the trapping mechanisms have all
have been proven uh at a very large
scale. What is particularly encouraging
for us is that our block lies along the
same regional trend and our wells
encounter the same type of light oil
that has made nearby fields so
successful. So,
for example, when we're
when we are reviewing the projects
around the world,
one of the first things that we look at
is whether whether there are producing
fields nearby and whether infrastructure
is already in place. That gives you a
strong evidence of the area's potential
and what it may be capable of
delivering. M47 is surrounded by exactly
that kind of evidence. And ultimately,
every field must stand on
on its own merits, but being located
beside one of the country's most
important oil discoveries certainly
increases our confidence in the
long-term potential of the area.
>> That makes a lot of sense. I mean, you
guys are located beside a giant, and
that's exactly what investors want to
hear. Now, there are roughly 100 analog
producing wells within 10 to 12 km of
your block, all of the same carbonate,
all producing 32 to 36° light oil. For
an investor trying to understand risk,
what does that density of successful
wells right next door do to the odds of
M47?
>> Yeah, obviously the density of
successful wells is one of the strongest
data
that we can point to, right?
In exploration, every producing well is
effectively another piece of evidence
that the petroleum system works. I mean,
in geology, the reservoirs and
everything.
So, when you have approximately 100
producing wells within such a short
distance, you're no longer relying
solely on on theory or seismic
interpretation. You're looking at a
real-world production history
from the same regional trend.
For investors, of course, that doesn't
eliminate the risk because every
structure is unique, but significantly
reduces the uncertainty.
We know the reservoir produces, we know
the oil quality there, we know operators
are developing these reservoirs
successfully across the area. This is so
critical for the investors. We never say
that all the wells that we will drill
would produce this much amount of oil,
but they should understand the risk is
relatively lower, many times lower. As
you can literally see producing wells or
drilling rigs when you look towards to
the neighbor blocks. What we are doing
in 47 is evaluating and advancing a
discovery within an environment that
already demonstrated commercial success
many, many times over.
>> We'd love to hear that, and proximity is
one thing, but you're also drilling the
exact same carbonate as your producing
neighbors, the Cretaceous, Mardin, and
Beloka Group. And your two wells
confirmed
the same 32.4 degree light oil that
flows right across the trend. Beyond the
reservoir mechanics, why does sharing
the neighbors formation de-risk M-47
more than the location alone?
>> Yeah, that's that's an important
distinction. So, location alone is, of
course, helpful, but reservoir
equivalence is, I think, even more
important. Our wells encountered the
same Cretaceous carbonate system that
hosts production throughout the trend.
We also confirmed with our wells light
oil characteristic that are consistent
with the nearby producing wells.
So, from a technical standpoint, that's
valuable because it allows us to compare
our results against a large database of
uh of analog production uh production
performance.
It It helps us better understand
expected recovery factors, development
concepts, production profiles, and and
also economics. So, in other words,
we're not just near successful fields,
but we're evaluating the same reservoir
system that has already proven capable
of generating significant commercial
production throughout the region. That
substantially improves our ability to
forecast outcomes
uh compared with a discovery an entirely
new or untested formation or unknown
location.
>> That's great. And who is actually
operating around you? These are the
state oil companies and serious players
with about 40 active rigs operating in
the region. And how does a company of
trillion size end up holding a working
interest in the middle of them?
>> Well, uh the operators around us include
some of the most active and experienced
companies working in Turkia today, of
course led by uh national oil company
TPAO. They have the biggest success
there. Uh in Turkia
the local legislation, so our petroleum
law is so friendly. As long as you
fulfill your commitments to the
government, I mean
uh
you drill the number of wells in your
working program in a that you submit to
the government in advance in the first
place, you'll define your license will
be extended. So, there is no uh problem
with the, you know, losing the license
or so as long as you fulfill your
commitments. And uh on the other side,
especially national oil company has a
substantial ongoing investment through
the region with drilling hundreds of
wells and shooting kilometers of seismic
data every year.
So, the location is uh around 50 to 70
km away from Syrian border and 80 to 100
km away from Iraqi border. So, the
government has invested a lot into
security. There are stations in every
couple kilometers, so it is safer than
anywhere.
Also,
the government intercity highways are
renewed by the government. Local roads
are well constructed. So, from a well to
well, you can easily access. And
Turkey's national pipeline company has
completed a pipeline from from Gabar
region to Mediterranean coast to ship
the oil directly to the refineries in
Istanbul and Izmir provinces. So,
those investments are not done for us,
but as companies operating in Turkey,
especially in the region, we're we're
taking advantage of them, of course.
And with
the presence of 40-plus active drilling
rigs tells you something very important.
So, the capital continues to flow into
this basin because operators are
generating attractive results.
For a company of Trillion size, securing
a position within such an active and
successful region is extremely valuable.
It gives us exposure to one of the
country's highest priority oil
development areas, while allowing us to
leverage knowledge being generated
across the trend. So, we are operating
along alongside companies that are
continuously validating,
thanks to TPAO, of course, national oil
company, and the regional geology
through drilling and production
production activities.
>> I love hearing that, and we love
identifying companies that are
undervalued, underappreciated,
underexposed, but that are located in
the right regions. And you mentioned
it's safer than ever. So, here's what
stands out to me. Those operators aren't
something an ordinary investor can buy
as a play on this region. Is it fair to
say Trillion is the only public company
investors can use to get exposure to
this region and that you're likely to
stay the only one.
>> Yeah, this is a this is a very good
question though. So, yeah, Trillion
Energy is currently the only publicly
traded company offering direct exposure
to this particular development trend in
the region. So,
most of the activity is being conducted
by state-owned company or some private
entities, private companies that
investors cannot easily access through
public markets. That creates an
interesting situation because investors
who recognize the significance of what's
happening in the Mount Cavor region have
a very limited avenues through which
they can
participate. So, as long as that remains
the case, we believe our position in in
M47
provides a unique strategic value that
extends beyond the discovery itself.
>> This makes this company a unicorn for
investors that are watching. This could
be your only opportunity to get exposure
to this region
as a public company. So, that's why you
need to put Trillion Energy on your
radar and on your watch list. Now, this
isn't a mature basin that's leveling off
either. New fields keep being discovered
on trend and the field next door jumped
from about 10,000 to 27,000 barrels a
day in a single year. What does that
tell you about how much room is left to
run here?
>> Well, exactly. I mean, one of the things
that excites us more most that
this appears to be a growth story rather
than a major basin story. So, we're
already watching a live history here in
Turkey like a documentary which may
change a big country like Turkey.
So, we're continuing to see new
discoveries, increasing production and
ongoing infrastructure investments
across the region.
When when our neighbor fields are
delivering substantial production growth
in relatively short periods of time,
which has happened within like 5-6
years, not not longer than that, it
tells you the operators are still
unlocking the value and expanding their
understanding of the basin. This is what
exactly we are planning here, unlocking
the value and expanding
the understand our understanding of the
basin. The more we understand the basin,
the more we understand the geology, the
more we understand the drilling, we'll
have more successful
wells and and get more production from
our wells. For for our investors, that
means M47 is participating in a trend
that continues to evolve positively. So,
the basin is still revealing its
potential. It's not completed yet. And
historically, those environments tend to
create some of the most significant
value creation opportunities in the
industry.
>> You said unlocking value. And what we do
here at Rich TV is we love to unlock
value for investors. So, thank you for
that. And the resource itself is
independently validated at 27.6
million barrels on a 2C basis net to
Trillion with an unrisked value north of
730
million dollars. And even risk down, it
remains well into the hundreds of
millions. How much weight should
investors, especially institutions,
put on having a third-party
standards-based number behind a
discovery
this early? And what does it take to
move that 2C resource up to a book
reserve?
>> Yeah.
So, third-party validation is extremely
important because it's it proves an
objective assessment using recognizing
industry standard. On the other hand, we
are a public company
and and getting third-party validation
reports is is is mandatory, right? It's
an obligation. But as management, we can
always be optimistic about our assets.
But independent resource evaluators
apply discipline methodology
that institutions understand and trust.
So, the 27 million barrel 2C resource
gives investors a credible benchmark
which to evaluate the opportunity. It
demonstrates that this is not a simple
geological concept. There is a
quantified resource resource supported
by
by independent analysis. So, the next
step is continuing appraisal and
development work that can further reduce
uncertainty and ultimately support
reserve bookings. So, this is how the
value typically advance in the industry.
So, resource identification, this is
done.
Appraisal, this is what we're up to.
Reserve conversion is the next step.
Production growth, hopefully it will
happen. And ultimate cash flow
generation, of course. This is everyone
is waiting for it.
And each stage tends to reduce risks and
increase the market recognition.
>> I can't wait to see you guys get to
those next steps. I will be watching
very closely on all of your news to see
as it happens and unfolds. Now, on
getting it to market, you can already
truck oil about 130 km to the Batman
refinery, but there's more to this
picture because you're inside an
established producing region. The bigger
midstream is being built, too. A
regional pipeline and the Botas
connection into a country that imports
more than 85% of its oil, how much does
sitting inside a proven oil-hungry
market de-risk the off-take side for
M47?
>> Yeah, generally a discovery only creates
value if you can move the product to the
market efficiently. This is not only for
oil and gas industry, but
applicable for all industries.
So, one of the advantages of operating
in an established producing region is
that the infrastructure uh
conversation has already begun long
before you arrive.
So, today
uh oil can be transported to existing
refinery capacity, and longer term, we
continue to see infrastructure
development across the region, including
pipeline expansion and broader
integration into the national energy
network. So, uh let me give you some
some uh some some figures. Turkey
remains a significant importer of crude
oil. We're a country uh with around 90
million people, and we import 1 to 1.2
million barrels of oil every day, but we
only produce 130 to 140,000 barrels of
oil every day. That means domestic
production carries strategic value for
the country.
We need to work very hard, stay focused,
and be diligent in order to meet the
country's imports need. This is why the
government is making substantial
investment itself and operating with 40
million 50 million at the same time,
while also supporting private companies
that are willing to make these
investments.
When you combine a growing production
region with strong domestic demand, the
off-take environment becomes
considerably more attractive than in
many
uh frontier jurisdictions. So, the
country is hungry for oil and gas, and
we have we have no off-take problems or
any off-take future problems as long as
we produce as much as we produce.
>> I love hearing that the country is
hungry for oil and Trillion Energy is
hungry to give them that oil. Now, let's
put real numbers on the economics.
Lifting costs around $10 a barrel,
operating costs near eight, and net back
in the range of $55 and a payback of
roughly a month per well, about 5.5
million dollars of net backs per well in
year one. Walk investors through why a
proven region like this delivers
economics that strong.
>> Yeah, what makes this region
particularly attractive is that strong
well economics are being supported by
proven operating results from the nearby
fields. We have a lot of examples, which
some of them are literally a couple
hundred meters away. Some of them some
fields are a couple kilometers away. So,
we know we know uh some some certain
costs. I I usually hesitate to get to to
make to give
to give some figures about the
production or net paybacks or something
like that because it could be lower, it
could be higher,
uh but in Turkey, despite the high
demand for field services, drilling
costs are still relatively cheaper than
neighboring countries. In addition, we
have a skilled, knowledgeable, and
experienced workforce in the petroleum
industry, which would allow us
uh to work continuously without an
interruption for all of our operations.
The combination of relatively low
lifting costs, uh attractive operating
margins, and strong production rates
creates uh the potential for very rapid
capital recovery. That's for sure. For
example,
a well cost is around two to three
million dollars USD in Turkey if you
know that you're if you know what you're
doing, uh but the oil that you're
producing
worth the same with
worth the same price with any oil. So,
uh, the the the cost is cheaper, but the
oil is the same price. And when
investors hear figures such as up to
approximately one-month payback periods
or multi-million dollar first-year net
back net backs per well,
what they're really hearing is
operational efficiency. Our job is to do
the operations in a very efficient way.
The the The reason those economics are
possible
because the reservoir quality, oil
quality, and the regional operating
environment all work together.
Ultimately, resource size matters, but
economics determine the value. Right?
That's That's why we spent so much of
time, uh, focusing on both.
>> Well, we love the fact you've been
spending that time focusing on both and
taking the time to explain exactly what
the opportunity is for us and our
community here at Rich TV. And the
valuation gap is stark against a direct
comp. Shamaran produces from the same
Zagros Basin carbonate and trades at
many times trillions value per barrel,
more than a 90%
discount on a 2C basis. What closes that
gap and how quickly could it move as the
market catches up to the story?
>> Yeah, this is uh, again, a very good
question. So, the market typically
rewards the companies as uncertainty
declines, especially in oil and gas,
right? There are lots of uncertainties,
and the more you lower your
uncertainties,
you get rewarded by by the market. So,
today, investors can see a substantial
difference between the value implied by
our independently assessed resource
base,
which is more more $700 million, dollars
and the company's current market
valuation. So, that gap exists because
markets generally wait for additional
milestones before assigning the full
value. They want to see
uh further appraisal, reserve
conversion, development execution, and
and production growth.
As those milestones are achieved,
investors have more confidence in future
cash flows and valuation metrics
often being moving closer to industry
comparable. We're not
just not just focused on short-term
share price movements. Our objective is
to continue advancing the asset and
systematically reducing the risk.
Historically, that's what tends to drive
sustainable re-rating in the market and
then the investors would award the
company and and and we and we we'll all
get awarded by by our system.
>> I agree. I agree. It's all about the
fundamentals.
And it looks like you guys understand
that very, very clearly. Now, Tolga, to
close, if there's one thing about M47's
location, the neighbors, the trend, the
proven region around you that you'd want
a new investor to remember after this
conversation,
what is it?
>> If investors remember one thing from
this interview,
it is this. M47 is not an isolated
exploration concept. It sits inside one
of the most active and successful
oil development trends in Turkey.
And we're surrounded by producing fields
operating in the same reservoir system
producing the same quality crude
producing supported by supported by
growing infrastructure and of course
backed by an independently assessed
resource. So, in our industry,
discoveries are always important, of
course, but the context matters. The
context around M47 is what makes it so
compelling. When you combine the
location, analog production, resource
scales, economics, potential valuation,
uh upside,
we do believe M47 represents a unique
opportunity for most uh for the most
exciting emerging oil regions in the
world. So,
just just to sum up,
we have a good producing neighboring
block,
uh
and and we have a good infrastructure in
there, so we know what we are doing. All
we need All we need is to focus on what
we are doing and and spend our time and
spend our money on a very efficient way.
So, that's it. The success will come.
>> Oh, we'd love to hear the story. We're
going to be watching very very closely,
watching all of your news, your
financials, and any other future
interviews that we do. I'm sure we'll
learn more, and our investors will get
an opportunity to learn more about this
very exciting, undervalued,
underappreciated, underexposed story.
Thank you for joining us today, the Vice
President of Trillion Energy, Tolga
Burak. Thank you for joining us today,
Tolga.
>> Thanks for having me, Rich.
>> Always a pleasure. Now, for those of you
that are watching, if you don't know the
symbol, the symbol in Canada on the
Canadian Securities Exchange is TCF. The
symbol in America on the OTCQB Exchange
is TRLEF,
and the symbol in Frankfurt, Germany, is
Z62.
If you're not winning, you're probably
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great day.
>> Mhm.