Video summary
In this discussion, Malcolm Gladwell and his guest explore the history of capital punishment in the United States, highlighting a uniquely American obsession with making execution methods appear humane to the public rather than addressing moral questions about state killing itself. The conversation traces the evolution from hanging and firing squads to electric chairs, lethal injection, and now nitrogen gas asphyxiation. Gladwell introduces Joel Zivot, an anesthesiologist who revealed that lethal injection is far from painless; instead of a calm death, victims often suffer agonizing burns in their lungs due to acidic blood changes while paralyzed by drugs that prevent them from screaming or moving. Despite these revelations and the macabre reality of modern executions, states like Alabama remain indifferent, viewing cruelty as acceptable if it serves public perception, whereas countries like France abolished capital punishment decades ago using the guillotine before eventually ending it in the 1980s. The dialogue then shifts to Gladwell's core concept of asymmetry and its application to epidemics, whether viral or ideological. He explains that just as a small percentage of "super-spreaders" drive disease transmission due to their mobility and connectivity, ideas spread through society because of influential individuals rather than the general population. This principle is illustrated by the opioid crisis, where Purdue Pharma targeted only 2% of doctors who were willing to prescribe OxyContin heavily, ignoring the vast majority of cautious practitioners. Similarly, Gladwell discusses how technology has amplified these asymmetries in the digital age, making it easier for influencers and "super-spreaders" of ideas to dominate cultural trajectories, a dynamic that was less pronounced when he wrote *The Tipping Point* twenty-five years ago. A significant portion of the conversation addresses the debate over parental influence versus genetic determinism, introducing Judith Harris's controversial argument from her book *Do Parents Matter*. Gladwell and his guest agree with Harris’s findings that parenting has a limited impact on adult outcomes compared to peer groups and broader environmental factors, noting how children often blame parents for their shortcomings while claiming personal credit for successes—a phenomenon termed the "parental attribution error." They further discuss the difficulty of isolating specific parental traits due to complex interactions between four grandparents rather than just two parents. This skepticism extends to modern embryo selection technologies like polygenic risk scores; Gladwell argues that intelligence and success are too dependent on motivation, a trait largely shaped by environment rather than genetics, making such screening scientifically unreliable for predicting potential. Finally, the speakers critique how public discourse often prioritizes sterile data over compelling narratives, noting that facts alone cannot change minds when they contradict deeply held stories or myths. They apply this asymmetry to current controversies regarding transgender athletes in sports, arguing that focusing on hypothetical scenarios involving a dozen individuals distracts from more existential issues facing the trans community and gives political opponents unnecessary ammunition. The discussion also touches upon admissions policies at elite universities like Harvard, where significant breaks are given for athletic prowess (such as tennis or fencing) despite these activities being heavily dependent on wealth, whereas similar advantages based on race remain controversial. Gladwell concludes by emphasizing that true meritocracy is rare in team sports due to class disparities but can be found in individual endeavors like track and field, before promoting his new book *Revenge of the Tipping Point* and a podcast series investigating murders in Alabama.
Read the full video transcript
Talk to me about the history of the
death penalty. Fettered past that I
didn't realize existed.
Oh my goodness. In what country is in
America?
Yes. Um
Well, uh this is a subject we dig into
in this new
uh series we've done on our revisions
history, the Alabama murders.
And you know, the the history of the
death penalty in the United States is
not a In other countries, there's a the
battle is essentially about whether you
should have it or not.
And in America, the battle is really
uh we'd like the states to
have the right to do it, but they have
to do it humanely. It's this absurd
position where
the At issue is not the morality of the
state taking someone's life. The issue
is that the state should take someone's
life in a manner that seems consistent
with the values of America. So,
there is this, you know, the used to be
the case, you know, it was the it was
the way back when it was
we we we hung you publicly.
Then we moved on from that. And then was
the firing squad, which was considered
to be more humane. And then they moved
on from the firing squad, and they went
to the electric chair.
And then from the electric chair,
um they went to
uh lethal injection.
And then from lethal injection, they
have now gone on uh to uh
uh to um
uh nitrogen gas to asphyxiating you with
nitrogen gas. I didn't know about that.
I didn't know about the most recent It's
the iPhone 17 Pro Max that came out for
>> the latest wrinkle. Right. So, they've
been And at each stage, the intention
was
formally, the intention was to make the
death more
humane and um certain for the person
being executed. But in fact, the
intention was to make the process of
execution more acceptable to the public.
Let's go there. Looking for the for the
way that the form of executing somebody
that um is the easiest to watch.
So, you can imagine how
hanging
would be
uh quite a spectacle, you know,
disturbing. But you wouldn't take your
child to a hanging.
Um
the uh
you know, the uh uh uh execution by
firing squad might be a little less
dramatic. But certainly, the big jump
was the electric chair was gruesome. I
mean, uh somebody whose brains were
literally being fried in front of your
eyes, and their eyes are popping out and
things. So, it really was That was up
until
the 1970s. And the move to lethal
injection was the idea was that um you
can put people down the way we put down
horses. And that's really quite calm and
it seemed appears at least to be kind of
calm and humane, and it's done by
medical people, and it's all very kind
of um So, that's that's the kind of like
It's a very curious
peculiarly American approach to this
subject. Mm. And what is the
What's the current status
of that in the US?
>> guy We get into this in the podcast. A
very brilliant Canadian, like me, um
guy named Joel Zivot, um who's a
anesthesiologist and intensive care
specialist with a kind of side interest
in the death penalty.
Uh people have been using lethal
injection for
40 years, since the late '70s. It'd
become the the standard for if you
wanted to kill somebody in your a state
government in the US, you
you inject them with three drugs. Uh the
first is a uh a sedative.
Um the second is it calms you down. Uh
the second is a paralytic, which just
kind of like
keeps you in one place. And the third is
potassium chloride, which stops your
heart.
And that's the idea was that you got
calmed down,
you were buckled in, and
and uh
the the the paralytic just kept you
still, and then we stopped your heart
with potassium chloride. Um And what
Joel Zivot discovers is that's not how
you die during um uh in the in in um
lethal injection. You die because the
first thing you get, which is typically
some kind of barbiturate, the sedative,
so alters your the um
the uh pH, the acidity of your blood,
that essentially your lungs are on fire
and burn up.
And you can't cry out in pain because
you've been given a paralytic.
And so, you spend a few minutes in
exquisite agony
as your Imagine pouring um
uh acid. Imagine forcing someone to
drink a cup of acid. That's essentially
what we're doing. And then I give you
I give you another drug, which makes it
impossible for you to to be heard as you
silently scream. That's lethal
injection. And so, ever since he he he
showed the world that, there's some
there's been this idea that oh, maybe we
should um
move to asphyxiating people with
nitrogen.
Sounds humane, comparatively. It's It is
Honestly, when I was doing this Our
podcast is all about this uh
this murder that took place in Alabama.
And all of these issues come up in the
course of as the state tries to figure
out how to
what to do with killers. And it is the
most
Not only is are the details of these
things just so bizarrely macabre. I
don't know how How do you pronounce that
word? I never know. Macabre?
>> macabre. Do you say macabre? Uh yeah,
yeah, yeah.
The details are so absurdly that way.
But then, what's additional is that
there is simply no interest in any of
these details on the part of We we're
talking about a case that happened in
Alabama.
The state government of Alabama is just
completely indifferent to all these.
They don't even like
they don't even seem to care what
happens to somebody that they're
executing. They're just kind of And that
was the kind of one of the many
revelations in doing this little
mini-series we did called the Alabama
murders. Was the kind of um It's almost
as if the
for the state of Alabama and other
states,
um the cruelty is the point.
That telling them that what they thought
was humane is actually isn't. Doesn't
diminish their motivation and
enthusiasm. It seems to increase it.
We're going to have this come up with
the
young person that shot Charlie Kirk, it
sounds like. I think the day that
the uh the head chief of police uh did a
press conference,
this one of the first things that he
said was, "We will be seeking the death
penalty." Yes, Utah is a state. Now,
Utah has used, where Charlie Kirk was
killed, um has in some cases gone back
to the firing squad.
Oh, wow. Okay. We could really
>> that out. We could pull that out again.
Now, I don't know
>> Brilliant. Yeah, little um Play the old
stuff. Play the old songs again.
It is it is very like, you know, the
band from the '70s playing its hits. Um
Now, I don't know. In some states, they
it's considered This is again very
American. You get to choose your method.
I don't know whether that's the case in
Utah. What would you choose?
Uh
firing squad. I I'd go firing squad,
too. It's pretty heroic way to
>> There's a um
The the one that I would really want is
guillotine.
Oh, that's epic. Yeah.
Yeah, and then have your head placed
somewhere magnificent for the rest of
time. Well, you know, the the thing
about guillotine was, you know,
guillotine at the time was considered
this great progressive innovation. It
wasn't it was intended to be a vast
improvement over like tying people to
the
wheels of wagons and running them over.
It was like,
"Look, we're a civilized society. We
should be able to kill people
quickly and cleanly." And so, the guy
the guy who
who gave the guillotine his name,
whatever his name was,
Jacques Guillotin, that was his his
whole thing is that, you know,
we're we're civilized country. This is
We're Frenchmen of the 18th century, you
know, we can't be playing these games.
Um So, like I would There's something to
be said
>> Chop his head off with a a big blade.
Yeah, there's something to be said for
um I mean, it's an you know, the very
fact we're having this conversation is
is absurd. Right? Like,
why why are states killing people? Like,
I
it seems like this is just The idea that
we're entertaining this conversation in
2025 is slightly incredible. It's a sign
of just how strange America I mean,
you're new to America. Does this Does
this not strike you as just being
bizarre?
Uh not particularly. I think that the
desire for retribution has existed
throughout every
sort of humans thought processes,
whether they're modern or or or from
five decades ago or forever ago.
Um
you know, Is it
capital punishment? Is that the the sort
of the title for this kind of a thing?
Right, yeah. Um
uh mutiny, you know, pirates on pirate
ships, stuff like that. There is this
sense of um there is a particular line
that if you cross it,
uh the threshold is you pay the ultimate
price, which is that you no longer get
to live. I I understand My point is I
understand the psychological compulsion
from humans. It doesn't surprise me. Do
we think would I have thought that in
the modern world, we would have
transcended that in the same way as we
transcended [ __ ] in the street and
and
open warfare that you just do on your
neighbor because you don't like him or
something.
Yeah, in in some ways, but I think the
the compulsion, the desire to do it
makes makes makes total sense to me and
you get this lock-in from the past.
There is I would imagine an argument is
sort of a twofold argument. One being uh
this person did something so heinous
that they do not deserve to live anymore
and secondly this is
a deterrent
to other people who would consider doing
this in future.
Um
One oddly enough one is the second one
is very sort of utilitarian
and the first one is actually kind of
like karmic and astral. And
I think
I don't know. What do you what do you
make of of that postmodern the modern
the sort of modern world of it? Well,
I'm I guess I'm more
I'm more puzzled by
you speaking in terms of this being an
understandable human response to an act
of brutality. Mhm. But I'm more puzzled
by the fact that if it is an
understandable human response, why is it
confined in the developed world to the
United States?
Why is it why is it not understandable
in England, Germany, France, Belgium,
the Netherlands
Spain, Portugal
you know, on and on and on. Greece,
Italy, they don't have an understandable
human response. They only Canada
Bermuda, Jamaica
>> How long did France must have used the
guillotine relatively recently?
>> Until I think the '80s. So it's been a
good
uh
it's been a good 40 years. Yeah.
>> They were one of the last holdouts. Uh
Well, I mean look, when you when you
have come up with the entire genre
yourself uh you've got to you got to
keep playing the old songs, you know,
you got to keep using the guillotine
until the '80s. It is it goes to this
thing that I'm so obsessed with which is
that I do not believe that either
Americans or non-Americans fully
appreciate just how weird America is.
I think that Americans think oh the rest
of the world is kind of like us only
just a little less so
and non-Americans if they don't know
America well just assume oh it's like
you know, it's like it's like England,
but it's bigger. It's actually it's not
like England it's bigger. Like Canadians
are I'm a Canadian. Actually I'm an
Englishman, but I'm an adoptive
Canadian.
Um Canadians make we make this mistake
all the time because we we really you
know, we watch the same sports we watch
a lot of the same television
it looks you if you drive from Detroit
across the border or Buffalo across the
border to Toronto it all looks the same.
If you didn't know
there was a border there you would think
you would still and yet the differences
between Canada and the United States are
just phenomenal. Like
So it's that that that's all the
something that's always
puzzled me. That um
that this country that I'm I'm you know,
I'm a immigrant to
is just I don't understand why it's so
singular.
Yeah. I is 50 countries
combined together under a single
government, single currency, single
language. So I think you get some weird
externalities when you just combine that
many people with Yeah. What's the line
from the Paul Simon song a loose
a loose accumulation of millionaires and
billionaires. It's like I wouldn't
>> Something like that's from Days of
Miracle and Wonder. Um the
yeah yes it's not I mean where you are
living in Texas is not the same country
as where I live in
New York State. No, that's correct.
Speaking of trajectories over time do
you think that the tipping point um
aged with difficulty like lots changed
in the information landscape from then
until now. I'm I'm I'm particularly
interested in sort of what you
didn't or couldn't foresee what what
happened that you couldn't have
predicted in that way which obviously
led to the revenge of. Yeah.
I mean we're talking about two books
written 25 years apart. My first book
The Tipping Point, my last book Revenge
of the Tipping Point.
When I wrote the first book
the really the internet is really at
just in its infancy.
Uh
and
all of social media doesn't exist
and
the Cold War has just ended and we're
absurdly optimistic about
the future of the world.
And I'm
30 some odd years old
and you know, my world is my my life is
ahead of me.
And then 25 years later when I write the
sequel
um I don't know whether the the dynamics
that I'm that I'm describing in the
original tipping point are that you
know, the simple idea
the spread of ideas can usefully be
uh uh understood as similar to the
spread of disease.
That the same contagious principles that
govern epidemics of disease govern
epidemics of ideas. That idea was a
novel idea
in
the year 2000. Today it's a commonplace
idea. So in that sense
it's not that the ideas of the book
became dated. It's that they became
commonplace. Right? Now we we
everything's viral now. We talk about
that we whenever we use it when we say
something on
on you know, Twitter has become viral we
are using the language of epidemics of
disease. We have we have adopted that
metaphor as our own.
So the task
So when I was sat down to write the kind
of sequel to my first book it wasn't
that I was
saying okay, I got it wrong and this is
what I missed. I mean I I did a little
bit of that in the book. It was more
like okay, the task is different now.
We've all accepted this metaphor. Let's
dig a little deeper try to understand
what it means.
Do you feel like a Cassandra in that
context being able to
virality and contagion Mhm.
Well, not really. I mean
I feel there's something kind of very
self-regarding about calling oneself a
Cassandra.
>> I look, I love I love the question. I
love the question because everyone's um
desire this compulsion, the temptation
to see yourself as the prescient
clairvoyant that could have I would have
said it before. I think it it speaks it
speaks to you that you're like [ __ ] you
know, like I just kind of said it. Cuz I
got the listen, academics we're talking
about. I got this idea from Yeah.
sociologists were using this metaphor in
this way. It wasn't like I somehow saw
it. I just kind of stumbled on this idea
and said I like I love this idea. I
think it's cool.
>> who popularizes it not who came up with
it.
So I'm okay, I'm I'm I'm interested in
how your view of influencers
evolved Mhm. since the tipping point.
Obviously you're saying
dynamics that you noticed back then are
now very common place in terms of how
people describe stuff now. Mhm. So
that's something that's the same. What's
changed? What's what's differed? What's
evolved?
So we one of the ideas that I spent a
lot of time with in the original tipping
point and in the and in the sequel is
this is just the observation that social
influence is asymmetrical. That
and this is true of epidemics of
disease, many kinds of epidemics of
disease which is that
if you look at COVID
um every every person infected with
COVID does not carry an equal
risk of infecting someone else. The job
of infecting is done by about 5% of the
population.
That 5% might be a hundred even a
thousandfold more likely to pass on
their infection to someone else than the
rest of us. That's an asymmetry. Yeah, I
didn't know that. Yeah, it's a massive
asymmetry. That is very similar to the
way ideas spread.
If a hundred of us
think that Taylor Swift is a great
singer
um we are not equally responsible for
spreading that news to the rest of the
listening music loving public. There's
going to be four or five of us who do
all the work, right? Who have by virtue
of their social position or their
uh or the kind of trust that people have
in them or
how socially connected they are, they
can tell the world that social that this
this unknown artist named Taylor Swift
is great. But if somebody is if my mom
listens to
Taylor Swift in her nursing home it
she's not that and loves her. It's not a
consequential fact in the history of the
trajectory of Taylor Swift, right? With
all due respect to my mom. She's not
like she's not even a finger on the
pulse of popular culture. But you can
all you can imagine that there are
people who are
you know, massively social connected and
have bonafides. There are people who
when we want to know what to listen to
we we listen to them.
And if that person likes Taylor Swift it
really matters.
That process and asymmetry which I was
really fascinated with in the original
tipping point and I was
this it's the great commonality between
diseases and spreads of ideas.
I think it's that's gotten more marked
in the I think everything's asymmetrical
now. Mhm.
>> I you know, I
in if you'd asked me 25 years ago I
would say that select kinds of
contagious ideas have this pattern that
but many other many other things are
kind of like spread randomly or spread
equally through the through population.
I don't I think everything's
asymmetrical now. I think that
I I don't think you can find a
phenomenon that isn't marked by the fact
that 5% of the
infected population is doing 90% of the
work.
Why?
Because I think
I mean here's an analogy which is
before there's air travel international
air travel. So, we're in the
19th century.
And if you had
a contagious disease,
it could it would spread to another
country only if
somebody got on a
on a passenger ship, crossed the ocean,
and were still infectious at the time
they got off the ship, right? So,
things did move around the world, but
they moved relatively slowly around the
world. That's where quarantine came
from, right? Quarantia.
Yeah.
>> Exactly. That you could you could and it
was possible to kind of nip these things
in the bud. Um
Now, then there's the age of jet travel,
and all of a sudden
I could be in I could catch a cold in
New York and be in
and spread it to my dinner partner in
London that night, right? Like
So, what's happened is that a tech a
technological intervention has sped up
and enhanced
the asymmetrical process. So, the the
the small group of people who travel a
lot
become hugely important in spreading
disease, right? Because they have access
now to way more um
you know, if you uh
so, you know, I'm I travel a lot. Like I
would be one of those. I probably travel
more than 99% of
the whole population. If I have if I'm
deep if I'm very infectious with a cold
and I get on a
6-hour flight to Los Angeles, I am like
I'm patient zero. I mean, I'm you know,
I'm doing the work of
of 100 people. Um so, that when you
think about the digital age, it's doing
that for ideas.
There's just so many more contacts
between people now and access to ideas
and the
and the um
the kind of uh uh the social power that
the connective power of certain kinds of
individuals is just so enhanced Right.
The
The interconnectedness allows the the
super spreaders to
>> be just way more,
you know, effective and powerful. And
not only that, there's an there's an
additional thing which I should get into
in my book when I talk about the opioid
crisis, but
technology also allows people who want
to spread things to better identify who
the super spreader is.
And that's crucial.
Right? As opposed to being, you know,
25 years ago you say,
"I think that most ideas
are spread by a very small group of
influential people.
I have a vague idea who they are, but I
don't know for sure."
Now, I feel like
we sort of we don't know for sure, but
our certainty about who the super
spreader is is much greater. And that
that means that the super spreader's
power
is enhanced even further.
Right?
That's an interesting
the transparency
or
obviousness
and awareness of everybody
of the influence of the person and of
the uh you know, the the um common
knowledge idea is kind of like the the
uh emperor's new clothes. It's not
enough to know the emperor has no
clothes on, you need to know that
everybody else knows as well. Um and if
that person is the most influential,
but
does everybody else know that they're
the most influential? Well, if you have
this big number next to their Instagram
account or their YouTube subscribers or
or, you know, their newsletter list or
whatever,
the Oh,
other people here's an objective
statement of how many other people think
this person is a person of note. And um
yeah, it's this odd
people accumulate
reach uh the opportunity to be connected
to more people.
That reach gives them a degree of
authority independent of their
authority, right? They may have some
authority already. It's some sort of
trust, prestige, dominance type thing.
Uh and then everybody's awareness of the
fact that other people are aware of
their authority like supercharges this
even more. So, yeah, I can see how these
things sort of They build on each other.
and cube and yeah. The The original
observation though is
this idea of the transparency of
asymmetry. So,
not only so, we know things are
asymmetrical, but now we know where the
asymmetry lies has affected nearly every
field that you can imagine. Let me give
you two random examples.
The big one is in fighting crime.
Because of our ability now to
precisely track and model
uh outbreaks of criminal behavior, we
now know if you go to a criminologist
and they look at a map of
Austin, Texas or London, England or New
York City,
they can tell you exactly
the
15 or 20 city blocks where 50% of the
crime in those cities takes place on a
regular basis. They can tell you down to
the
you know, down to the stretch of
sidewalk
where
uh a criminal act is most likely to
occur. And we can put police there and
we can effectively shut down that um
criminal act. That is crime is a highly
contagious asymmetrical activity where a
small group of people
commit a huge um majority of the crimes
and they commit it they commit those
crimes in
predictable places at predictable times
according to predictable patterns. And
if you know all those things, you can
completely tell your
your policing, your law enforcement. Um
I was talking to a guy yesterday who uh
uh is working in um he runs the
anti-mosquito
spraying program in a
county in Florida.
And
he they used to spray huge amounts of
pesticide over the entire county with
planes. Now they use drones and lidar.
And now what you do is you figure out
exactly where the swarms of mosquitoes
are and you only
you send the drone to that exact spot.
And you just spray the spot.
Right?
It's like it's like
hilarious. It's you know, it's like the
Ukraine war going on with pesticides in
a mosquitoes in a random part of
Florida. But that's the same thing.
Mosquitoes are
massively asymmetrical. It's like all of
the damage is being done by
a group in a very specific spot. And now
that we know where the spot is, you can
fight the epidemic at its source. You
don't have to spray everything. That's a
great metaphor for how the world has
changed in the last 25 years.
Yeah, that's I mean, that's a new way to
talk about super spreader, right? Super
efficient spreader. Perhaps.
>> Yes. Uh you you mentioned uh OxyContin
there um opioids. Why is the OxyContin
Sackler family
such a good
through-line case study literally,
morally,
pharmaceutically? Like what is it that
they all bring together in in one
example?
Well, the
you have to understand that this that
OxyContin, the most infamous drug of the
last 100 years,
the drug that stopped kicked off this
opioid crisis in the United States that
at its peak was claiming whatever
120,000 lives a year. I mean,
unbelievable carnage.
There's nothing particularly special
about OxyContin. It's just a
it's a reworking of a drug drugs that
have been around for
years and years and years. They made it
a little more powerful and they made it
slow release, but it's not it wasn't
that it was some dramatic breakthrough.
So, in other words,
OxyContin is not the product of some
kind of innovative genius.
What it is is the product of of
of a marketing innovation.
That what they realized in what Purdue,
the maker of OxyContin, realized in the
1990s and early aughts as this epidemic
got started, is that if you look at
how a pain an addictive painkiller is
prescribed by doctors across the United
States,
there is a massive asymmetry.
Most doctors don't prescribe it at all
because they are doctors, they are aware
of how dangerous opioids are, and they
dramatically limit their patients'
access to them.
A very very very small
group of doctors in a very very specific
parts of the country
don't give a [ __ ]
And what what
what Purdue was able to do using the
kinds of databases and that we have now
that we didn't have 20 years ago that
track the prescribing habits of every
doctor in America is precisely identify
and target the tiny fraction of doctors
who didn't give a [ __ ]
That's
how we got the opioid crisis.
It's it's a it is exactly what we're
talking about. It's the it's finding the
the swarm of mosquitoes. It's looking at
the block in New York City where all the
crime is. They they found those doctors
and they said, "We're going to ignore
every We're talking about 2,000 doctors
out of the hundreds of thousands of
doctors who could potentially have
prescribed OxyContin."
They find that that group of 2,000 and
they put all of their resources in
trying to convince those those 2,000
people to prescribe it as much OxyContin
as is humanly possible.
That is the I That's all you need to
know
about the about the opioid crisis,
right? It's just a ruthless application
of this kind of asymmetry that we've
been talking about. Everyone else up to
that point was under the illusion that
if I want to sell lots of a given drug,
I got to reach everybody, right? I need
as many
uh
I need as many customers as possible,
doctor customers as possible. And
Purdue's like, "No, you don't. What are
you, nuts?
You need to focus on 2% of the
population in order to make this thing
take off.
And that's that's that's like that's how
we get to 120,000 deaths a year.
Is there a way that an epidemic of drugs
differs from an epidemic of ideas or
even I guess an epidemic of viruses? Do
do ideas spread in the same way or is
there something else going on?
Well, you know, I mean I'm hesitant. One
should always be hesitant about making
sweeping statements Especially when the
word epidemic is being used, yes. I
think that the
I would say that the commonalities are
greater than
than we than we imagine. Um obviously
you don't
you don't die in the same numbers from a
noxious idea that you do from a
from a dangerously addictive um opioid.
But um
so there's that. Uh and
ideas
there are some weird differences, which
is when I was doing my book and I was
talking to all these people who studied
the opioid crisis, the thing that they
did couldn't understand was why it
lasted so long.
It should have Normally when you look at
an epidemic of
disease or that's killing lots of people
is they burn out really quickly. The
crack epidemic in the '90s doesn't
actually last that long. Um the HIV
uh well, did we get a really get a
a really powerful medical intervention
early on, but HIV doesn't in the Western
world does not hang around for decades.
It gets tamed pretty quickly.
The flu comes every fall and it's gone
by the spring.
Right? You're not people large numbers
of people aren't coming down with
but opioids linger. That was what was so
weird. It goes on for 25 It's still
going on and it's finally starting to
fall, but
it's at a high level
cuz it moves from opioids to heroin and
then heroin to
prescription drugs to heroin and then
heroin to fentanyl and then fentanyl to
mixtures of all three.
And just keeps going. And all these
people who study this for a living,
they're observing this and they keep
waiting for it to
burn out. Mhm. Right.
Like there's a there's a well-known
generational mechanism where
if your dad or mom is addicted, this
happened with crack.
The kids of people whose parents were
addicted to crack did not touch crack.
You saw what happened and you were like,
I want no part of it. Mhm. Right. Um
it's interesting with the the
the
genetic predisposition that would be
carried through as well. So, what you
have to assume there is the
environmental
like inverse role model effect is so
powerful that it's got escape velocity
to get over
you having the raw building block
genetics of an addict.
Yeah. Yeah, that's impressive. Really? I
mean you see a lesser version of this
with
I mean alcoholism clearly runs in
families, but I think that might be
because
to use the same kind of model that
you're talking about that there
uh people can be functioning alcoholics
for their entire lives. And so the kind
of lesson that the
child is receiving is a little bit more
mixed. With crack, you literally saw
your parents
disintegrate in front of your eyes. It's
a really, really powerful concentrated
lesson that this is something you stay
away from. If the if the if the natural
path of alcoholism was that one of your
parents starts drinking when you're 12
and they're dead by 16
then I would imagine that the alcoholism
would not run in families in the same
way. Mhm.
Yeah, that's fascinating.
There's this idea called the the region
beta paradox
things that are not bad enough to be
bad, but not good enough to be good.
Living in a house that's in an all right
location and the rent's not too
expensive, but there's mold and your
landlord's a dick or being in a
relationship with somebody in the mode
of abusive, but you're really not that
in love and maybe they're cheating on
you actually and you're not too sure.
All of these people would be worse if
their situations all these people would
be better off if their situations were
worse.
>> Were worse. Oh, that's fascinating. It
would kick them out the bottom
and I I I talked about this a few years
ago and um as the internet does clipped
it and
did a thing and
somebody asked me at this live show I
did in Australia last year stood up and
he says, you know, you've done live
events and sometimes questions are a
little
more verbose. Uh they're a little bit
rambling. Uh and this one was real short
and short. And he says, I think I'm in
region beta. Should I purposely make my
life worse so I get out of it? And I was
like
I was kind of a radical solution. It's a
high-risk strategy, but it might I I
don't know, it might work. And we came
up with a slightly different solution.
But I thought that was really funny.
Um it's like
>> Well, the version of that is the
difference between the Cold War and
you know, Russia and Ukraine.
Mhm. We never The Cold War never comes a
hot war
because the consequences of conflict
between the Soviet Union and the United
States are existential.
Russia and Ukraine just are just like
slowly over time but randomly destroying
each other.
And you know, they can both of them are
carrying on, right? So, it's like
they're in they're in what's the phrase?
Region beta? Region beta. Yeah, beta you
guys would call it. Region region region
beta paradox.
They're in they're in that conflict is
in Region beta paradox. Yeah, yeah,
yeah. Yeah, it really is. Um
I suppose one solution here would be if
you're an alcoholic, you could start
trying crack. Um
uh that might be
That's extreme. Well, yeah, there you
have another radical one. Um another
thing I'm interested in this parental
contagion idea. I've been having a lot
of um
conversations recently about embryo
selection, IVF embryo selection, um
polygenic risk scores and stuff like
that and the potential
the potential sort of tiger mom
implications pre-birth
um that could roll back. Uh so, I'm
interested in this parental contagion
idea that that you talked about.
>> Well,
I'm a little bit of a skeptic on
that kind of polygenic screening cuz the
things that you're interested in are the
ones that are impossible to screen for.
Right? So, intelligent What is
intelligence if if it's definable at all
is probably the result of an unknowable
interaction between
so many thousands of genes that God
knows how you select for it. Um
and then the other thing is like
we if you don't have a handle on the
ways in which a genetic
susceptibility interacts with
environment
then
you could select for something and it
could all come to naught.
Right? Like
when I think about what
intelligence is or what what it what the
kind of determinants of success are
they are there's so much A randomness
and B
so much of the
uh so much of it is about motivation.
And
motivation is the least genetically
determined of all the
um
character traits. Conscientiousness is
the you know, the what's the big five?
Conscientiousness, neuroticism
uh openness to experience uh
agreeableness and extroversion.
Agreeableness and extroversion. Um
conscientiousness is the least
genetically determined of all those.
Extroversion is the most. Yeah. And
that's because conscientiousness
is powerfully environmentally
determined. If you like your job and you
like your boss and you like your
co-workers, you work hard. If you hate
them all, you won't.
Whereas
you know
if
an extrovert in a
in a room full of of of
of sour people is still an extrovert.
They're still yucking it up. Like
they're not It's you're relatively
impervious to that. And I I've come to
the opinion that when it comes to
explaining performance
conscientiousness and motivation are
way, way, way, way, way, way more
important than we realize. And if that's
the thing that's at least genetically
determined, then what are we doing here?
Mhm. Yeah, I I mean I I suppose the
argument would be trying to gain 1% or
0.1% wherever we can, the same as
playing classic music to your
unborn baby while it's in the womb
because it's going to help the brain
complexity of the brain development or
you know, people are the same reason
that
I use a temperature-controlled mattress
duvet that tracks my HRV and I try to
not eat 3 hours before I get You know
what I mean? Like people are Are you on
the Are you on the HIV train? I am on
the HIV train. Look at me. You think I'm
on the HIV train? Yes, Whoop brothers.
Whoop brothers Whoop baby. Yeah. Um
Whoop whoop. We could do a whole side
thing on Whoop. I'm a Whoop possessive.
Whoop. It's chief function for me is
Sorry, this is a digression. Yep. The
sleep score really what it is is I think
I had a shitty night.
And then Whoop tells me I didn't. This
happened last night. My daughter wakes
me up at 4:00 in the morning.
Daddy, Daddy, I want to
and I can't get back to sleep and I wake
up dreading my Whoop score. Whoop said I
had a great night's sleep and I've been
fine ever since.
But what about the gaslighting in the
other direction? That's what you need.
Like what happens when you think you had
a great night's sleep, you wake up and
Almost never happens. It's only for me,
it only ever works. If I think I had a
great night, I had a great night. Maybe
we'll
I I could get the CEO
>> Did he Did he skew my numbers? Maybe he
gave me I could ask him I could ask him
whether or not he could give me like
optimistic Whoop.
I I I just want to be I'm happy to be
gaslit. I only want to be gaslit in one
direction. I always want to assume that
I've got more sleep.
>> What's your What's your What's your HIV
average? Uh probably in the 50s, high
50s. It's not that great.
>> Good for you. No, that's high. I mean,
I'm lower, but I'm I a good deal older.
It drops with age.
>> Mhm. Easier such as myself.
[Laughter]
Uh parental contagion.
Parental contagion.
Um so there's I mean, I guess the the
I'm so impressed by
this unknown interaction between
environment and genes that I'm hesitant
to kind of
go too far on
There was a
great book written that I wrote about at
the time
30 years ago it was written by called Do
Parents Matter by Judith Harris.
And um
she basically summed up
all of the evidence about uh what impact
parental child raising has on the kid.
Mhm. And the answer is the evidence says
not a lot. Basically,
your kids you're feeding your kid and
they have a roof over their heads
and you're not terrifying them every
night,
it doesn't matter what you do.
And book of course is enormously
controversial. Now that I'm a parent, I
totally agree with it. Um but like I
just think it's such a the whole
relationship between
parents and the outcomes of the children
is so
muddy and murky and
that I don't even know what to make I I
I I don't know what to make of it in any
context now. I don't like In fact, I
have a game that I play with people
which is
when I say, you know, people all love to
just play the game of well, in this way
I'm just like my mom or in this way I'm
just like my dad. And I say, "No, no,
no.
Skip a generation.
The only way to do that usefully is to
is to think about your four
grandparents.
Cuz there's too much noise with your
parents. Who knows
you grow up with your mom and your dad.
Like who knows like
who knows if you're Oh, shared
environment n of two.
Yeah, but who knows it and you have such
a tangled psychological relationship.
Who knows if you're even accurately
representing the way they are, the way
you are, right? I can I could give you I
could go on for half an hour about my
father and were my father alive and
listening to it, I'm quite sure there's
a possibility he would listen to that
and say, "I am nothing like that."
Right? My and that's just the reality of
your parental relationship. Your version
of your parent and your parents version
of themselves are are going to be
different. So like I don't how do we
even start figuring out how your parent
influences you? At least with your
grandparents there's a degree of remove.
So I can say
my dad would tell a story about my mom's
father who was
this kind of
um
he's quiet, thoughtful, bookish guy and
but he was he was people would always
ask him to give speeches at weddings.
And my father once went to an event
where my grandfather was speaking, saw
him and said,
Oh, no, he went to an event where I was
speaking. Mhm.
Saw me and said, "I saw you and I saw I
thought it was Daddy." They all called
him Daddy. "I thought it was Daddy."
Now, so there's an example of like it
was clear
the relationship between me and my
grandfather is clear.
But like you would never have walked
into my father and said, "Oh, I see
that's Malcolm." Mhm. See, you know,
like there's too much noise. One of my
friends uh his answer to the question
uh if you could go for dinner with four
people living or dead, who would it be?
His answer to that is always his four
great grandfathers. Says you would learn
far more from sitting down with your own
genetics than you would for sitting down
with some genius. 100% agree.
>> How cool would that be? How cool would
that be? 100 Although I and I didn't
know my grandparents very well, so I
would settle for my four grandparents.
Mhm. But uh yeah, the four
>> know mine I didn't know mine either. Can
I give you I I came up with this idea a
couple of weeks ago. I want to I'm going
to give it to you. It's my show, I can
do what I want. Um but uh it's called
the parental attribution error. We love
blaming our parents. It's practically a
rite of passage in modern psychology,
but there's a double standard buried in
the trend. We attribute what's broken in
us to our upbringing while claiming
what's strong in us is ours alone. Call
it the parental attribution error like
the fundamental attribution error where
we blame others' actions on their
character, but excuse our own by
pointing to circumstance. This is a
skewed way of assigning credit and
blame. We externalize the bad,
internalize the good. We're quick to
blame and slow to credit. You say that
you're anxiously attached because no one
held you when you needed it, but isn't
your ability to be alone with your
emotions and to endure discomfort
quietly also forged in the same
crucible? You blame your parents for
pushing you too hard in school convinced
that it made you perfect perfectionistic
and neurotic, but when was the last time
you acknowledged that same pressure gave
you ambition, discipline, and drive? You
point to a childhood where mistakes
weren't tolerated as the reason that you
fear failure, but what about your
meticulousness and your standards and
your refusal to phone it in? Basically,
as far as I can see, people are more
than happy to lay the blame for their
shortcomings at the feet of their
parents, but very rarely lay the credit
for their victories there, too. And I
just I thought that was a an interesting
asymmetry. Mhm.
Yeah. That's like a
that is a it it's funny that you that is
a a beautiful allegory to the
fundamental attribution error. That
there are we make I I have my own
version of that which is what I call the
um
asymmetrical parental attribution error.
Okay.
>> of asymmetries. Mhm. And that is that we
indulge in that, but typically when we
indulge in that, we only ever make
reference to one of our parents at a
time.
So you don't say, "I got this bad from
my mom and this bad from your my
father." What you do is you're in a
moment in a stage where you say, "Well,
you're just blaming Dad." And then years
pass and you flip and you just blame Mom
for for a while. And then you flip it's
and only at only one time you can only
hold
one disparaging
>> Oh, right. Okay. That's brilliant. It's
like
I remember Scott Alexander had this
idea. He called it thinking in
superpositions, right? That you could
have two worlds exist in your mind at
the same time, but when you're talking
about the parents, it's like you have to
collapse the superposition down. Like
the the uncertainty principle isn't able
to exist. Only one parent can exist in
your mind at one time. Yeah, it's never
the interaction between the bookish
father and the outgoing mother and I am
somewhere in between. It's like when
you're not wanting to be outgoing, it's
like, "Well, Dad did tell me." And when
you can't chill out, it's like, "Well,
Mom did say." Spinery. Yeah. And what's
what's There are many interesting things
about this if
particularly now that I'm a
a parent, the um
the one is that
from a very early age, and this isn't
obvious dumb observation, but it's
nonetheless one that I've been thinking
about.
There is a
um hypothetically you might think that
the child, particularly the young child,
thinks of their parents as a unit.
"My parents don't want me to do this. My
parents" But in fact, they never do.
From the very beginning they're
distinguishing between
the father and the mother or whatever.
They're
they're and we continue to do this later
you know, I think this becomes even more
kind of pronounced as we get older. And
it's a
it is In the beginning it's
understandable because you're correctly
as a toddler understanding your parents
relate to you
independently and using different
strategies. But you are, to your point,
you're completely missing
the extent to which it is the
interaction between your parents that
also fundamentally shapes you. You're
just blind to it. Like they
they're the consensus position of Joyce
and Graham Gladwell was X and X also had
an effect on me, right? Not just Joyce
and Graham individually.
Well, how many people
when they get together are different
people to who they are when they're
apart?
You
with with some of my friends there's
there's a version of both of us that
comes out and maybe it's even more us,
right? It feels closer to our sense of
self than uh I am when I'm on my own or
with other people that I maybe even know
better, but there's something or the
reverse. Yeah, I I around some person
and around them all I can do is be
bitter or resentful or I think
small-minded things or I see the world
in scarcity mindset or whatever. Um
given the fact
you you talk a lot in uh stories which I
I think is why um it's very easy to read
your writing.
When it comes to the medium of
communicating
[Music]
uh infectious ideas, noxious or or
benevolent, I guess. Um
talk to me about the landscape of how
storytelling infects
differently than facts and sort of how
how how that plays together cuz I think
in the modern world people assume that
people you should be convinced by the
facts. Follow the facts. Follow the
science.
Um but
I'm not convinced that that's the way
that the human brain works, especially
when you're trying to
uh change opinions, fuel empathy, even
fuel hate as well. Yeah.
Well, the story does a lot better job of
eliciting emotion.
Uh and
that's enormously important obviously in
in um
anchoring an idea and making giving an
idea
leverage over somebody's
um thinking or feeling. Um
they uh
the the story embedded This is a kind of
more subtle point, but I you know,
a story to my mind is a narrative that
uh
defies
or a narrative that betrays the
audience's expectations.
That's what a story is. The reason I
will
Why do I Why did I watch
um HBO's task?
Finished it on Sunday. I watched it
every week for 7 weeks. Why did I keep
watching? Well, it's interesting. I
needed what I was TV show to watch
But fundamentally I didn't know how it
was going to end, right? So I knew
if you would ask me before the final
episode, how do I think it's going to
end? I would have given you
six possibilities. Turns out almost all
of them were wrong. So the story, what
made it satisfying to watch that through
to the end, was that it did not conform
to my expectation. And I knew that, and
that's why I was drawn to it, right? I
knew that it was pointless to figure out
try and figure out how it was going to
end.
And all stories good stories
good songs, good all have that quality
of betraying our expectation, and we
know that going in, and that's why we
want it. We There's something
fundamentally human about wanting our
expectations to be
betrayed. That's why we laugh at jokes,
right? That's why we There's so many
things we do. Why would Think about it.
Why would somebody pay an enormous
amount of money to sit in an arena and
have just somebody
one person up on stage just
tell these abbreviated anecdotes about
their life or the world. The answer is
because it's just a constant rush of
betrayed expectations, right? Like
there's a I always watch these little
Instagram snippets of um
Nate Bargatze.
Um
and uh is that I might be pronouncing
his name right? Bargatze Bargatze
>> ever seen it written down. Yeah. So who
I think is very very very very funny in
a kind of
But his betrayals are so
beautifully done and so subtle
and so cuz he's working with this
incredibly narrow template of He's
telling these
super kind of um prosaic and benign
stories about family life.
Right? So you And so you your
expectation is nothing can be funny or
happen here, right? He's He's taken so
many things off the table.
There's going to be no
you know
dangerous edgy commentary. There's no
politics. There's no sex. There's no
violence. There's no swearing. There's
no nothing. He's not going to rag on
anybody. He's not going to make fun of
anybody. So you're like So we've
narrowed it And that's why he's so
inviting. You're like, "Okay. This dude
is uh trying to thread the needle here.
He's going to do something.
He's going to betray me after taking 90%
of the possible objects of betrayal off
the off the table, right? And then he
pulls it off, and you're like, "Oh my
god, that's And so you laugh way out of
proportion
to the to the to the quality of the
joke. I mean, the joke is it's The joke
itself is pretty mild, but the degree of
difficulty is so great. That's what
you're rewarding. You're like, "You did
it, man. Like
>> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. did not see that
coming, and you you decided you were
going to paint in one color. Right?
That's like
And that's That is the So all of this is
a long way of saying
that a story is one of the few places
where we are willing to change our mind,
right?
It's when when we're talking about a
betrayed expectation, we're talking
about you change your mind.
And fact facts don't
People have no difficulty whatsoever
dismissing facts.
But the kind of subtle mind change that
comes with a story is much harder to
dismiss.
Dude, that's so great.
That's such a such an interesting
insight.
Um
I had this conversation with Alex
O'Connor, who is a upcoming
agnostic commentator, I guess. Used to
We would have called him an atheist a
few years ago, but I don't think that's
that's kind of the in term anymore. Uh
and he's very pro-religion. He's He's
fascinated. He goes into every
conversation with a uh
a theologian uh or a believer
desperately hoping to believe on the
other side. Um he just has a very high
bar for it and is educated in the
counterarguments. And um
he said he said this really interesting
thing that what we are asking people to
do in the modern world is to ignore
the
types of information and persuasion
which is most easily understood and
believed in. Story, myth, archetype,
narrative, personification.
Uh to dispense with that
in place of
stats, figures, numbers, charts, data,
sterile, scientific, rational,
materialistic. And he goes,
"Is it any surprise that you can't sort
of rip people across? You can't bludgeon
them over the head with just more bar
charts um
in the hopes that and and then shame
them for not
believing.
Right? The thing which is most
believable to you is the thing which
you're not supposed to believe, and the
thing which is least understandable and
least salient to you is the thing that
you're not supposed to put all of your
faith in. And again, asymmetries. This
asymmetry between the power of story and
the power of statistics.
Shapiro's got that famous "Facts don't
care about your feelings." Like it could
not be more backward. It's like feelings
really do not care about your facts at
all, especially if that feeling has come
from a fable, right? Or a story. Yeah.
Yeah. Yeah. Although he's using it in a
slightly
That actually That's super interesting
and that would have
But he is using that in a slightly
uh different context, which is that
what he's saying is
that you are really upset right now
over something
is not does not mean that the the
underlying thing is somehow
um
uh has been kind of uh existentially
disabled.
Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Your displeasure does
not mean does not disqualify. It's not
like you know you didn't change
anything. Like it's still, you know, uh
So yeah, but I I um
uh I I happen to think he's one of the
better He's He's
um I don't He's not in my
particular corner ideologically, but I
I wish they were
I wish most commentators were as
rigorous in their thinking as he was. Um
I saw that you uh I saw you made
headlines last month about trans
athletes. I imagine that was thrilling
for you. Mhm. Do you see a tipping point
dynamic
going on there?
I don't think it's already tipped.
I mean, I don't This is one of the most
puzzling Let me just say parenthetically
that that was the one of the strangest
public controversies I've ever been a
part of.
I was describing I was the moderator on
a panel.
On a on I was describing my experience
as a moderator. A moderator panel
between a pro-trans participation and an
anti-trans participation person.
And I'm trying to
elicit a fair argument.
Four years pass, and I'm on a podcast
out of to Harrisburg with one of the
participants, and I just think I said
there was a moment in that discussion
where I failed as a moderator. I didn't
do a good job. There was a moment where
I should have moderated.
Moderating is difficult. Have you ever
Have you moderated in your life? Yeah.
Particularly on that topic? So that's
all I said, and then like the whole
thing went
And I was like, "I did not I didn't I
didn't recognize any of
Usually when you're involved in a
controversy, you recognize the
controversy. I did not recognize the
controversy. I was like, "What are they
talking about?"
>> have predicted this in advance? No.
I was like, "What are they talking
about? As a moderator No one ever
mentioned the word moderator." Like
sort of changes when you know that I was
the moderator, right?
>> Mhm. Mhm. Anyway.
Uh has It's already tipped. Uh This is
By the way, this is the most one of the
most ridiculous
uh subjects in the following sense.
Um
that most people, myself included
would give their 100%
approval, support
for the trans agenda. We
The idea that we would be discriminating
against a class of people over this
particular
characteristic is absurd and offensive,
right?
But I think that
this last random thing that's thrown
into the agenda that says, "Oh, and by
the way
a someone who is biologically male
should be able to compete against
biological females." Is deeply puzzling
to a lot of people,
right? They're like, "What does that
have to do with
It's weird. Like what's it doing there?"
I don't think And I think most people
are in
wholeheartedly in support of the agenda
and just say that last item, which by
the way it
It only involves like a dozen people in
the entire the United States. Like it's
so hypothetical.
It's like Most people would just say,
"Why are you adding that? You're just
You're just antagonizing. You're giving
fuel to the
to the right."
By the way, during the election, what is
the part of the trans agenda that the
Republicans hammered again and again and
again? Participation in sports. That's
what it came down to. So you're giving
your
enemy
a weapon, a you know, to use against
you. Over what? A dozen a hypothetical
case involving a small number of people.
Like
So that's why I find the whole thing
puzzling. I don't just don't I don't
understand why we even talking about
this. It doesn't Can you name Can you
name a signal trans athlete
trans uh trans woman competitive elite
athlete who is currently being
disadvantaged by this policy.
Can you give me the name?
A trans woman athlete who's been
disadvantaged.
>> Yeah, who is locked out of competition
with biological women
as a result of the policies in elite
sports. I would imagine that Lia Thomas
would be at some point. I feel like the
uh the swimming association was one of
the first bodies to have implemented
this. So I have to imagine if
they are going to continue to swim,
They right now they can't swim.
So, would that be a yes?
So, you have I've got one. You got one.
I got one. Yes. Can you give me another?
No. Okay. I I did
I did my one.
>> What? So, WHY WHY ARE WE HAVING Why are
we having So, you you are a uh highly
informed
participant in public controversies and
I have
touched on this issue which everyone
assumes is this hot button. This is
tearing our country apart. So, I have I
have gone to a highly educated source
and I've said, "Give me names." And
you've come up with one who's not even
irrelevant. Who isn't even swimming
anymore. Right? This is a definition of
an absurdity. Why why are we wasting our
time on something that is wholly
hypothetical? Right? Why don't we
discuss the actual issues that are of
existential meaning and threat to the
trans community?
That's my point. Mhm. Interesting. I
think on the you know, on the other side
um
the the the the right would say
something like uh this is the tip of the
spear. This is sort of endemic of the
the encroachment into
uh locker rooms and bathrooms. This is
you know, the college sports thing is
like you it's only half a wall away from
it being about school as well. And it it
you know, it all kind of especially with
the the interesting one about the locker
rooms thing. I do I I've thought this
for ages. I think that the locker rooms
thing and the sports thing are so
tightly bound because in order to get
onto the sports field, you have to go
through the locker room. Uh and there is
this
sort of um just
geographic map psychologically inside of
people's heads where they they play that
role through. And you think, "Well, if
the locker rooms that that that has to
be happening in sport, too." I wasn't
aware of how few
uh incidents uh this is this is causing,
but um
certainly a lot of headlines
uh
But it's like But even the locker room
thing is a separate issue.
So, there is a separate social issue of
how do you accommodate somebody who
belongs to a relatively new social
category?
And we have a long history in America of
struggling with that issue, right? It
was the issue we struggled with with
African-Americans in the '50s and '60s
in Jim Crow. Do we let them into our you
know, in in Birmingham in the 1960s,
black people are not allowed to use the
same changing rooms as white people in
department stores, right? Same issue.
Right? Eventually, we figured out how to
do that. And I think we can figure out
how to do that with the trans community.
That's not what we're talking about
here.
We're talking about a completely
separate thing, which is in elite
sports,
should the the incredibly small number
of people who are trans women who
uh can uh
uh meaningfully compete at the elite
level be allowed to compete in the
female category. That's That's That's
the narrow thing that was being
discussed on a panel of which I was a
moderator.
But it's like So, anyway, this is this
is this is it's an example of the
internet occasionally is very dumb. Mhm.
What was the story about the Harvard
women's rugby team?
Oh, there I was interested in uh
uh
Well, I was interested in this
There's a There's a certain amount of
Ivy League bashing that I've done over
the course of my career that um now that
Ivy League bashing has a become a
an agenda item
in Washington, I'm a little more
circumspect about my Ivy League bashing,
but
I was just intrigued in my book about
the fact that
uh
this university in the United States
that plays more varsity sports than any
other is Harvard.
Mhm.
Which people think, "Oh, must be some
sports factory in the South or
something." No, no, no.
Ivy League schools
have the most athletes have a greater
share of athletes on recruited athletes
on campus of any institution. My
question is, "Well, why?" That seems
weird to me. Why would an elite academic
institution
go out of its way to have lots of
athletes on campus and also give those
athletes a tremendous break at
admissions?
So,
huge controversy in America
about oh, don't you dare give
an admissions break to
black people.
That's wrong. That's a violation of a
Supreme Court says outlaws it, blah,
blah, blah, blah, blah. Meanwhile, the
exact same institutions are giving an
equal and in some cases larger break to
people who are really good at rowing or
fencing.
This strikes me as weird. Does that not
strike you as weird?
It's very strange.
And why is one controversial and one the
other one is not? I would guess that in
a meritocratic
system,
people believe that something which is
done based on merit
uh is maybe more deserving somehow, more
justified in some sort of a way.
But the But the What relationship is
there between the merit here and the
role of an academic institution? It's
like saying if you if Did you put on
your up If you if you were a a high
school kid applying to Harvard, is it
useful to put on your application that
you're a really good cook?
The answer is Well, if if cooking was
something which was part of the
competitive landscape for a varsity
league college, perhaps that would be
the case. I think when people look at
sports, but I mean college sports is an
entire category. Yeah, but these sports
are absurd. Like it's fencing. No one's
I would say that to a Say that to a
fencer with his big long
>> What is that? You'll come after me. When
I make the point about I I talk a lot
about tennis, which I think is the most
ludicrous example. Massive admissions
breaks at elite schools for people who
are tennis players. What is the
definition of someone who's good enough
to play Division 1 tennis in America?
That they spend their entire lives on
the tennis court.
Why do you want at your school someone
who's not even participating in the
undergraduate experience? They're just
practicing their backhand. What is What
is so special about that solitary
utterly
uh uh uh
boring activity that merits them getting
a admissions break that is equal or
greater to the break that you give to
somebody who is part of a historically
disadvantaged minority? I was going to
say, is there something more special
about somebody who's black than somebody
who can play tennis well?
Uh someone who is someone who is a
product of uh several centuries of
racism in the United States absolutely
has a moral claim on an admissions break
that is an order of magnitude greater
than someone who has spent their entire
adolescence at a tennis academy in
Florida hitting forehands. What if they
also play tennis?
Black tennis players are the rarest of
them all.
You know? Yeah, there's not a lot of
them.
As you know, well, tennis Being good at
tennis is a linear function of how much
money your parents have. So, you would
expect that the wealthiest
uh
uh ethnicities in the United States
would have the most tennis players.
Interesting question on that. Um Seth
Stephens-Davidowitz wrote a great book
about uh was it Who owns the NBA? Who
wins the NBA? Something like that. And
uh he did data scientist used AI to help
him write this book in 30 days. It's
brilliant. And uh
the most common name
of
and uh of NBA players, the top five,
Mhm. it's like
Michael,
John.
Mhm. They're very uh middle-class names.
The reason is that even in the sport of
basketball, one that people assume is
going to sweep up these Oh, no. poor
kids from the streets and deposit them
into the NBA.
Uh now, LeBron uh born to a 16-year-old
single mother, um it is a remarkable for
how much
>> that proves the rule.
>> Yeah, how much of an outlier he is.
Yeah, yeah, yeah. Because I mean, if you
are LeBron, you can beat the system, but
not anyone else.
>> Well, I I wonder how many LeBrons have
been born after LeBron now. That's my
question, whether or not we're going to
see a ton of LeBrons in the NBA in a
couple of uh decades' time.
Um yeah, that makes perfect sense
because the degree of preparation
uh necessary now to make the NBA is just
way higher than
the minute you
you radically increase the amount of
preparation necessary to excel in a
given area, you skew it
um by income. By By class and income.
Yeah, by By classic example. Which is
one of the reasons why I'm a big track
and field fan.
One of the beautiful things about track
and field is it is one of the last
sports for which this is not true.
You do not need to have wealthy parents
to be a great runner.
Oh, you like watching poor people do
sports. That's what you're telling me.
I like to watch the I like to watch the
poors. They They run faster.
>> No, I like a sport where there is no
distinction, where income and class
don't buy you a head start. That's what
I like. I like a sport where Name me
another sport where the Kenyan who grew
up, you know, way off in the Rift Valley
somewhere, Mhm. it can meaningfully
compete against someone who has the full
power of Nike behind them and grew up in
an upper middle-class suburb of Dallas.
Mhm. That's There's no other Give me
another sport where that happens. Yeah.
Yeah, yeah, yeah. Not even Not even
cycling.
>> Football. Like
football in Europe, if you don't come
out of one of those football systems,
Yeah. you you're not you're not playing.
I think it's any it's any problem that
you have with team sports. As soon as
you get into team sports, right? It's
got to be an individual sport for this.
I can't think of a team sport that would
allow you Rowing is not going to be But
even even a massive number of individual
sports have become class weighted.
Like tennis. Mhm. A perfect example.
Golf. Massively class weighted.
>> Well, I
Yeah, golf is a golf is a particularly
interesting one.
Uh tennis kind of kind of makes sense at
least to some degree in that you need to
be playing against people.
Like it it is interesting with track and
field that
apart from like
wrestling
which I don't think happens on the track
or the field. It's just in the Olympics.
That there's no track and field that is
against an opponent in quite that like
there isn't an opposition in the same
way. There's just competitors, right?
Also doing the same thing to you
independently of it. Like the two
javelin guys are like throwing the
javelin at each other as it's coming and
that means that if you grow up in an
area that has more better javelin
players that can spend more time
throwing the javelin at you that you
become more successful.
Um yeah, that's fascinating. I I I I
hadn't considered that. Uh the
egalitarian nature of of the Olympics.
>> the weird
Running's really interesting. Distance
running in particular is fascinating
because
you know, it starts out since you're
English.
The English dominate middle distance
running Good. Good. for the longest
time. And if And the if it wasn't
English, it was it was in the English by
proxy, the Australians and New
Zealanders.
Then the Africans in the kind of '80s
take over. And all of a sudden everyone
starts saying, "Well, that's cuz they
have a genetic advantage. That's because
of this holistic all these reasons." And
then what happens in the last 10 years?
All the Europeans are Now it's the
English again, right? It's like
So it's like
we realized we made this we we it's this
thing that we do which it which always
it strikes me as as kind of fascinating
which is that we toggle back and forth
between our causal explanations for a
phenomenon just depending on where we're
situated. If we're winning, oh, it's
like the we have the culture of the When
we start losing, it's oh, it's got to be
genes. Cultural attribution error. Yeah.
And then we start winning again and like
now if you talk to the English, it's
like you went to you talk to some
English track and field coach, they'll
tell you, "Oh, it's the long English
long distance running tradition." It's
like, "Dude, you didn't say that 15
years ago when the Moroccans and the
Kenyans were winning all all every
race." Like you just started saying it
cuz cuz Josh Kerr started won the and
you know, and and
you know, won the world championships.
And now all of a sudden you changed your
mind. Mhm.
Malcolm Gladwell, ladies and gentlemen.
Malcolm, I find you fascinating. I think
you we could continue to do this for a
long time, but I need to get on a flight
to go on tour to your state. So um
>> I need to leave. Where should people go
to keep up to date with all of this
stuff that you've got that's going on?
>> Listen, I I think the latest podcast I
did
on my podcast Revisionist History, we
have a series called The Alabama
Murders. It is the best thing I've ever
done and I would wholeheartedly
recommend that to people. And I have a
new book out in paperback, Revenge of
the of the Tipping Point. Sick. Malcolm,
I appreciate you. Thank you.
Thank you so much. This is really fun.
Congratulations, you made it to the end
of an episode. Your brain has not been
completely destroyed by the internet
just yet.
Here's another one that you should
watch.
Go on.