Housing Expert: Everything You’ve Been Told About Real Estate Is WRONG! | Ken McElroy
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Ken McElroy, a real estate expert who manages billions in assets and owns approximately 8,000 apartment units with $1 billion in debt, challenges common misconceptions about wealth accumulation by emphasizing cash flow over equity appreciation. He argues that the belief one needs significant capital to invest is false; instead, investors should find undervalued assets with value-add potential and then secure financing through debt or equity syndication. McElroy highlights a major market shift caused by high interest rates in 2022-2023, which halted new construction loans that were previously priced at low rates (around 4%). This resulted in an oversupply of roughly 500,000 units hitting the market in 2024 and 2025 as developers struggled with repriced debt. He predicts a future housing shortage around 2027-2029 once current construction projects complete, suggesting that now is an opportune time to buy multifamily assets before rents rise again due to reduced supply. McElroy addresses the role of large corporations and Wall Street in single-family home ownership, countering the narrative that they are driving up prices or managing individual homes inefficiently. He asserts that institutions like BlackRock primarily acquire entire communities for rental purposes rather than buying individual resale properties, effectively creating housing stock that might not otherwise exist. While he acknowledges that property taxes should theoretically be higher on investment properties and mortgage rates carried by investors could increase to reflect their nature, he notes these policy changes are unlikely in the near term. He also warns against investing in highly regulated markets like California due to eviction laws or areas with prohibitive insurance costs such as Florida and parts of Texas, while cautioning that poorly managed Homeowners Associations (HOAs) often lead to unexpected special assessments for deferred maintenance issues like roof replacements or parking lot repairs. Regarding property management strategy, McElroy advocates for maintaining rents slightly below market value—perhaps $40-$50 under—to ensure high occupancy rates and long-term tenant stability over maximizing short-term rental income. He illustrates this with a 15-year lease renewal in Vegas where he prioritized keeping the same tenants to avoid vacancy costs and turnover expenses, even if it meant leaving money on the table for refinancing purposes. His approach contrasts sharply with paper asset volatility; while Warren Buffett famously advises against risking what you have for something unimportant, McElroy prefers hard assets because they offer control over debt service, interest rates, and operational expenses that stock markets cannot provide. He believes real estate offers predictability through direct management of occupancy and rents, whereas the "paper world" lacks this level of influence. The discussion extends to personal finance philosophy and lifestyle choices, where McElroy rejects the idea that money equates directly to happiness or status. Instead, he views wealth primarily as a tool to purchase time for family relationships and health, noting that increasing net worth often complicates life rather than simplifying it. He practices strict financial discipline by never dipping into his cash flow reserves ("FU money") for lifestyle expenses like buying a $3 million private jet; instead, the aircraft is funded entirely by business operations with costs around $20,000 per month split between partners. McElroy also shares insights on raising children to value hard work and entrepreneurship from an early age through barter systems and small businesses rather than allowances, ensuring they understand money's true cost before entering his company as employees in their 20s. Ultimately, he defines success not by the size of one's portfolio but by maintaining health, nurturing family bonds, and sustaining a business model that generates consistent cash flow regardless of market fluctuations or equity swings.
Read the full video transcript
If people just looked at the way money
works, it's quite simple.
>> I've owned tens of thousands of
apartments, managed billions [music] in
real estate, and had every luxury that I
could even ask or hope for.
>> And what do you think is the biggest
[music] misconception about money that
tends to hold people back?
>> That you need it. You just have [music]
to find an asset that actually has a
tremendous amount of value add to it.
And then you need to go find the money,
either debt or equity.
>> And how much [music] debt do you have?
about $1 billion. And does it scare you?
>> No. I love it. Here's why the rich owe
nothing and you should [music] too.
>> I'm a cash flow guy. Like, I'm very
different than you guys. Like, I get
where you're coming from, but we get
millions a month coming in in cash flow.
And why did you succeed when so many
other people fail?
>> Money goes where it's treated best. You
know, what is risk really? To me, it's
predictability. [music]
Everyone can and should buy real estate
because you can find money anywhere.
>> [music]
>> What do you say to the people who say
it's unethical to own so much in real
estate?
[music]
Ken Moy, thank you so much for coming on
the iced coffee hour. You own about
8,000 units of real estate with $1
billion in debt. Does the $1 billion in
debt scare you?
>> No. I I've been more in debt than that.
I the I get scared when it's not covered
by somebody paying it. So, you know, I
have 10,000 tenants, so they basically
pay it off.
>> Doesn't $1 billion scare you at all?
Like, that's that's a lot to be owing
>> to the banks.
>> Well, it's it's kind of like the frog in
the pot, you know? You buy one and then
you buy two and then you buy three and
next thing you know you got 8,000 units
and you've accumulated debt. And one day
I added it up and it was a lot. But, you
know, uh it's one at a time. So, each
one there are individual projects that
scare me, but certainly not the number.
And how much do you have in assets?
>> Um, probably one and a half to two. Uh,
right now we're probably valued at 1.5
billion, I would say.
>> How do you how do you have one and a
half to two? That's a pretty large
swing. That's a basic.
>> Yeah. Yeah. So, you know how cap rates
work.
>> Yeah.
>> Okay. So, cap rates went up
>> and values went down.
>> That's it. And when cap rates went up,
how much money did you effectively on
paper lose?
>> When cap rates went up, easily quarter
quarter uh quarter million, probably 250
million, 300 million, 400 million, easy.
So when cap rates go from four to five,
that's a 20%.
>> And so how did it how how does it feel
to lose well hundreds of millions?
>> Yeah, it's a great question. I think a
lot of people hang their hat on how much
equity they have in a home or something
that they own. I don't do that. It's
important. I want to have equity, but
I'm more concerned on cash flow. So,
it's just like like the single family
housing market right now. It's not great
in a lot of areas. It's great in some
areas, but it's not great in other
areas. So, when the equity goes down,
you know, it was it was fake equity in
the first place.
>> Then, why not sell? If it's fake equity
in the first place, you see the values
maybe starting to fall, that would be a
good time to exit.
>> It's a I'm a cash flow guy. Like, I'm
very different than you guys. Like I get
where you're coming from. I get it. But
I like the cash flow. I like the
reoccurring revenue. And you know, we
get millions a month coming in in cash
flow. And so if I sell, yes, I get the
money, but then what do I do? I stick it
in an index fund. Um, you know, I mean,
I would rather have it in in hard assets
that somebody else is paying off for me.
And plus, I get the tax benefits. Plus,
it's levered, which I like. I like low
leverage, but I do like leverage. Now,
Warren Buffett has a great quote when it
comes to leverage. Can we pull that up?
I'd love to get your thoughts on this.
>> Sure.
>> To make a money they didn't have and
didn't need, they risked what they did
have and did need. And that's foolish.
That is just plain foolish. It doesn't
make any difference what your IQ is. If
you if you risk something that is
important to you for something that is
unimportant to you, it just does not
make any sense. I don't care whether the
odds are 100 to one that you succeed or
a thousand to one that you succeed. If
you hand me a with a thousand chambers
in it, a million chambers in it, and
there's a bullet in one chamber and you
said, "Put it up your temple, how much
do you want to be paid to pull it once?"
I'm not going to pull it.
>> What do you think? Well, I It's no
surprise he's not a real estate guy at
all. I mean, if you pull up Zamzelle or
some of the other people that I follow,
they would say something very different.
I think the difference here is you guys
are paper and I'm not. I I I don't I
don't love the paper asset world, you
know. I don't like the volatility of it.
I don't feel like I can control it. I
can control what debt I have. I can
control the interest rate. I can control
the monthly payment on whatever I
borrow. I don't overleverage
and and I can largely control my
apartments. I can control the occupancy
that I can control the rents to a
certain extent even though they're also
market driven. um I can control a lot of
the expenses. So, you know, what we're
really talking about here is control and
and the paper asset market. I don't
understand it to the point to where I
can control. I it's doesn't have the
predictability as real estate. But
still, for just a peace of mind
perspective, from just like a
philosophical perspective, if you exited
all of your real estate, not even
exited, you just paid off of your paid
off your debt, consolidated, so you had
$500 million in real estate or whatever
it may be, $600 million, your life
doesn't change between $600 million
debtree and $1.5 billion in real estate
with 900 million in debt.
>> Correct. Right. That's why it doesn't
bother me.
>> But having more wouldn't necessarily
change your perspective either. Right.
>> Having more
cash flow, assets, debt, having
>> Oh. So, so like when am I over when am I
done and how much is enough? Is that
what you mean?
>> Yeah, to a certain degree. Yeah.
>> Oh, sure. Well, right now I'm I'm I'm
rolling out uh really uh a legacy play
with my kids. So, my kids are involved
now and they're going to, you know,
succeed and they will. It's more of a
succession. So, really what I'm doing is
I'm handing over the reins. But you're
you're right. I don't personally need
more. And what do you think is the
biggest misconception about money that
tends to hold people back?
>> That you need it. Actually, I think
that's the issue. I think people believe
that they need it to invest. Now, in
your world, they do, but in my world,
you don't. You just have to find an
asset that actually has a tremendous
amount of value add to it. Something
that's broken that you can fix, and then
you need to go find the money, either
debt or equity.
So, so how can people practice that in
their own life if they don't have the
kind of money that you have?
>> Sure. Well, it's it's no different than
what you did here, Jack. You bought this
place where we're in right now. It used
to be a church. You rented the front.
You got the back for free. That's a
value ad. It's exactly what I do, except
on a bigger scale.
>> But Jack had had a decent chunk of cash
ready to deploy to
>> It took everything. I maybe borrowed a
little bit of money from a very good
friend that left me interest free, but I
he's not paying anything for this.
>> So now you're just talking about
syndication. So this is exactly the
point. Like this is a great deal. This
space you guys have is amazing. And
that's all I do. I look for things like
that. And I'm very selective. Very
selective. I mean, in the last four
years, we actually haven't bought very
much.
>> So how much then did you buy this year?
This year we're we'll we'll do about
somewhere between six and 700 million
depending on what we can close by the
end of the year.
>> So, but how did you say we haven't done
that much in the past few years if this
year alone you've bought 600?
>> Well, this year. Yeah, but if you go
back three years prior to that we only
did a few deals.
>> And where's the opportunity this year?
Why this year are you expanding your
portfolio by that much?
>> It's a great question. So, what's going
on in my world is when interest rates
got spiked after inflation in I think it
was uh June of 22 I believe went up to
nine and the Fed raised their rates
really really high. They got really
really aggressive and so if you were
going to build something, buy something,
refinance something, you weren't you
couldn't because rates were up so high.
[snorts] So that changed the landscape
and what it did is it stopped people
from actually pulling out construction
loans to be able to build aggressively
because construction loans are 8 9%. And
of course they all have to make sense if
you're going to build something. The
loan is a big big piece not just the
land and not what you're going to build
but the loan is a big piece. And so they
pulled back. So if you take a look at
what's happening in the market right
now, things that are that are uh being
uh leased up today actually got started
3 4 years ago. That's how this that's
how the deals work. So you break ground,
you don't even really open for a year
and a half and then you have another
year to two years of leasing depending
on the size of the property. So we have
a long runway. And so what what's
happened is there's over 500,000 units
hit the market in in uh 24 and 25,
the largest ever in history in 50 years.
So what you have is you have a big glut
of units that got hit uh into various
markets and uh it's all a result of low
price debt. Then the debt repriced. So,
and the interesting thing about
construction is that in construction
loan, you don't actually have fixed rate
doesn't exist. It's a floater and it's
personally guaranteed. So we have all
these units that are being built right
now all over the US and it's creating
it's actually creating uh really an
advantage for the renters because you
you know you can get month free two
months free all over the place that is a
result of the excess supply. Then what
is going to happen is come let's say 26
just you got to look at the permits when
you start building these things it's
pretty easy to track it drops off like a
hockey stick. So, what you're going to
have is you're going to have a a housing
shortage for apartments again in 27, 28,
29. And then what'll happen is uh you'll
start to see rent growth again. And so
it this this this business is somewhat
predictable um if you're paying
attention certainly nationally and and a
submarket driven. And that's that's why
particularly we're buying now because
there's blood in the streets right now
because people started building with 3
and 4% debt, 5% debt construction and it
got repriced while they were under
construction. And so their mortgage
payments went up a lot and so they
finished the projects and in some cases
they didn't finish them at all and
they're everywhere and so these new
projects are all over the place and they
can't get out of them fast enough
because of the high price debt right
now.
>> Now is that is that only for multif
family or does that apply for single
family too?
>> It's mostly multif family, right? Which
is the space I'm in.
>> Got it.
>> I thought you saw that a little bit with
single family homes and like the
developments that occurred here in
Vegas. like they were trying to like
sell off their their land at a discount
or they were offering incentives because
they were hurting or was that not really
happening? Those are homebuilders. So,
we're talking like Toll Brothers, PY.
What they do is they buy a whole
mountain here and then they create these
subcommunities within the mountain and
they sell the lots and then they build
the house. So, they're making money on
the land, they're making money building
the house, they're making money on the
house. Uh but when they have so much
construction going on, they just need
volume.
>> Yeah. [clears throat] So they don't have
this high overhead. So what they're
doing is they're buying down rates or
what's very common right now is that
they throw in free upgrades. So let's
say the house itself is going to cost
you a million to build. But they say,
"Hey, we'll buy down your rate to 4.5%."
30 years and we're going to throw in
this really nice refrigerator. You get
these really nice appliances, this
really nice backsplash. We're going to
throw some money towards these upgrades.
Uh that's how they get you in
>> without lowering the price. Because if
they lower the price now all of a sudden
that creates a comp for every other
house. So instead they keep the price
high and then they never want the price
to dip below cuz once it does it starts
that cascading effect of like I'm not
going to pay you know more than my
neighbor did.
>> And the new thing is the rate buy now.
Yeah. Yeah. Well, I guess it's not new,
but but I I looked at the LAR the public
uh reports and they what they they're
doing is they're putting up under
marketing fees, right? But if you look
at the net, uh it's there's a massive
discount on what their profitability is
based on on all those things that you
mentioned.
>> Yeah. But multif family is getting hit
especially hard right now saying.
>> Yeah. Yeah.
>> What about office space?
>> Yeah. I've looked we I've owned office.
Uh I got I sold my when the after the
pandemic I sold my last one. Um but I
think that one's going to be in flux uh
would be my guess because of the not
only the work from home but uh you know
there's there's a lot of the class A
space that was priced out really really
high that they're just not seeing a lot
of the numbers. So, on the topic of
property management, what are the most
important things to getting the highest
rent possible and what are the worst ROI
things to spend money on?
>> It's a great question. I I first of all,
I don't believe that we should always
have the highest rent possible.
>> So, there's a time to do that and a time
not to do that. So, I actually believe
that we should be under market in a good
good way. That could be 20, 30, $40, $50
under market. I'm fine with that because
what's going to happen is my occupancy
is going to be higher. If I'm trying to
get that extra $40 or $50, I'm not I'm
not getting anything for it. Maybe
higher vacancy because now I'm pushing
into more comps. There's other people
trying to trying to find that renter.
So, I'd rather especially because I'm a
long-term hold guy [snorts] and low
debt. I would rather be highly occupied
than have maximum rent. I always know
it's there, but it could go away, you
know? I mean, rents go like this. So, I
always know it's there, but but I would
rather I just left a place uh before
that on a condo project I did in Vegas.
I have the same person in there for 15
years and I had a conversation with the
guy today and I said, "What do you want
to do?" He goes, "I think we should just
keep the rents well below market and
renew them for another year." I go, I
completely agree. I because he's in 15
years I've had zero vacancy. Now, when
that guy moves out, that thing's going
to be a mess, right? I'm going to have I
already was calculating I'm going to
have probably 10 15 $20,000 worth of
work for sure, but they've been there
for 15 years. So, that's a better
philosophy. U when the Jack when when
when you're trying to maximize rents,
that's actually when you're trying to
get a refinance. So, for example, I'm
refinancing a property right now that
I've owned for 15 years um in in um
Flagstaff, Arizona.
And and so 6 months before 6 months ago,
we're like, "Let's refinance this
project, you know, and we got so much
equity in it. Let let's do that." And so
we said to the manager, "Let's push the
rents on the onebedroom. Let's push the
rents on the two-bedroom. Let's push the
rents on the three-bedroom at the
expense of vacancy.
I I don't care if I'm at 90% or 88% or
89% because the lender's going to look
at the rent roll. And if I'm renting
units at that, then then the whole rent
roll is going to be priced uh and I'm
going to get a better loan. Now, on a
hold, I would rather be at 96 97% cash
flow all day long. And even though I
might have some rent growth in in the in
the rent roll, it's not worth it. I'd
just rather provide a good value for the
person in the market. What was the first
property that you bought? It was a
two-bedroom, two bath condo. And uh
>> how much was it? Oh my gosh, it was
$116,000
and I used my own cash and this is I was
actually in the property management
business how I started [snorts] and um
this this crazy Canadian came down. He
was he's buying this project and and
he's like, "Hey, we're going to do a
condo conversion in Scottsdale and um so
I was helping him put the whole thing
together and uh he brought the money and
the debt and I didn't know, you know, I
was young and and um he said, "You
should buy one of these." I'm I'm like,
well, I got like 20 30 grand in the
bank, man. There's no way. But I did. I
ended up doing it and I barely cash
flowed. I mean, probably I want to say
early in 50 50 bucks a month, then 75,
then 100. And then after a couple years,
I sold it, which again, I was chasing
the equity, right? But then I paid tax
on that. And then I was like, okay, now
what? Where do I where do I put this
now? And and so that kind of well, it
did. It gave me the courage to kind of
move forward and and start doing this on
a bigger scale. I started buying more
like that.
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succeed when so many other people fail?
>> The biggest reason when I when I look at
that I just look at this last this last
run with all these syndicators.
>> Oh yeah, it's been brutal for a lot of
people causing distributions, capital
calls. Oh my gosh.
>> So, okay. So, it's a great question at a
perfect time when when somebody who
raises money online like you know I call
them Tik Tockers or whatever you want to
call them
>> and they hand it over to somebody they
oftent times they don't know like you
know what are they really investing in
what are the what are the blind spots
what are the risks and that happened
that was happening for syndications and
and and so what's happening now is so I'
I've been doing this 25 years. I've been
through some ups and downs. I went
through 2008 uh you know and the the the
thing that solves every every issue is
fixed rate debt, lots of cash and and
transparency to the investors. That's
it. So, have I reported bad news? Of
course. A lot over the years. You have
to you have to say this is going on.
We're going to, you know, withhold
distributions or this is going this is
where we are. And and so a lot of it is
transparency. Um but a lot of it is also
uh based on what they paid, what kind of
debt they used. Um because what I was
seeing and so when I said to you earlier
that I wasn't buying during that period,
it's because I was losing out to to
syndicators. So I'd be in deals. I'd be
literally at best and final with deals,
20, 30, 40, $50 million deals. And you
know, I have a I have a 25 year track
record. I have our own financials.
Obviously, I I know the operating
expenses and we have analysts and we
have investor um relations people that
help to figure out what what what these
should be running at. And what was
happening is people were buying these at
1 2 3 4 5 million more than my top
price. So, I have a I have a going in
price, a medium price, and then, you
know, I I got a shutter down price
>> um as most people do that have been in
the game a while. And so I saw this
coming when when we were losing deals
because don't forget I get the rent
rolls. I get the financials. I'm looking
at the exact same thing as somebody
else. And and so I was seeing these
trades at these high numbers. Now we
couldn't have foreseen the interest
rates going up for sure. But one thing
that you could have foreseen is getting
fixed rate debt versus floater. That was
a choice. So if you were to simply then
explain
>> what led you to succeed while many other
people fail, how would you answer that?
>> Property management.
>> So you manage properties more
effectively than others do?
>> Well, also I see what I'm buying.
So that's the, you know, operations is
everything. So hopefully that's super
simple. It's it's all it is. It's it's
math.
>> It's rents minus expenses. So, how are
you getting the math right while other
people that are professional real estate
investors get
>> Are they? But what's the difference?
What's a professional real estate
investor to you? Is it Is it somebody
that has property management experience
and understands operations? I don't
think so. They're they're money raisers.
What is a professional investor?
>> Really? So, you're saying the
syndicators fail because they're not
necessarily professional real estate
investors. A lot of the times they're
just marketers. They're money raisers.
>> Well, of course, for sure. Look, look
how look look at their track record. I
mean, some of these people have been in
business a year, 2 years, 3 years, of
course, and they hire a property
manager, if not try to do it themselves,
but they don't know what to ask. It's
just like you guys. I mean, you know,
you've been doing YouTube forever,
right? You know exactly the ins and outs
based on your personal experience.
Somebody new. Well, that's how I looked
at it. Yeah.
>> This is somebody new in the space.
>> That's it.
>> How did you get into property
management? Why that of all things?
Yeah, it was not strategic. So, I will
tell you. So,
>> seems very stressful.
>> No.
>> Well, let me I'll just walk you through.
So, I ended up
uh I I ended up getting offered free
rent in college
for exchange of collecting checks, doing
the maintenance, cleaning units, and I I
did that on a 60unit building up in
Washington, which is where I'm from. So
for me it was a way to
not pay rent and and my I grew up in
construction. My dad was uh in the
actually in in the Navy in the CBS and
so I always knew how to fix stuff. That
was not a problem. So I went in there
and I fixed everything I could and I it
it's property management is not that
difficult. It's it's not it's if you
rent to really good people with really
good credit and you manage the expenses
and you have to learn how to do all
those things, you can be super
successful with it because high turnover
bad tenants are what everyone talks
about. So there's all these things that
you can mitigate as a property manager.
And so so what I would go Jack to a
property, we pass on so many properties.
Why? Because like I went to one recently
[snorts] and it was it was a good price
in a horrible neighborhood and based on
all my experience of having to manage
and stuff like that and knowing I'm not
going to get good tenants. They're just
not going to move here because of the
school system and the crime and all that
stuff I pass because you can't manage
your way out of a bad neighborhood. So
there are things that you learn as you
buy and and so one of those is what to
buy, what price to pay, and you know, is
there is there forced equity? I love
forced equity in everything I buy. I
don't buy and hope the market goes up. I
buy with a whole plan. I buy with
vacancy. I buy with 25 year old units
that need 10 or $15,000 in them. and I
can slowly over time, you know, uh
improve the improve the uh the rent the
the rent base. Um it's very strategic.
It's not short-term. It's not 3, four, 5
years at all. It's 10, you know, it's
even more than that. How did you meet
Robert Kiasaki?
>> I'm I'm I'm in a group called [sighs] EO
YPO. Um and and uh one of my friends um
said, "Listen, this guy just wrote this
book called Rich Dead Poor Dad." I had
not read it. I was already doing my
thing. And at the time, like I said,
when I was syndicating,
um, he said, "You really need you really
need to meet him. He's exited some
stuff. He's he's doing okay." And and,
um, so I went and met with Robert and
Kim, and I started showing them deals.
And, uh, it almost a year later, they
invested in one of our deals. But what
he did was he said, "You should come to
one of my events." And, and I went and I
was I said, "Wow, this is really
something." and he had 4 or 500 people
there. He was teaching them and he he he
he I I went up and started talking about
real estate and debt and all that kind
of stuff and cash flow and he ended up
um we ended up becoming really close
friends after that.
>> And what's your relationship with Robert
like today?
>> It's great. He's text me three times
this morning. So, uh
>> what are his conversations like? Like
what is he texting you about?
>> Well, it just depends, right? Like uh
>> Robert's a character. I was not
expecting that. We we had him here on
the podcast and he was hiding some like
he's he's funny.
>> Well, I I think you guys will you know
as you get older you just have that you
know I don't give a
long time.
>> I don't know if that's f you money if
that's like what are you going to say to
me?
>> It's a little bit of both I think. Uh
also um yes I I you know we have we
study together. We go to a ranch uh um a
couple times a year literally in West
Texas and study together. Uh we study
books. Uh we're on a we're on a zoom
every week uh talking about right this
next week is actually Thursday is going
to be um why did silver hit $50? Uh you
know we always were picking something.
So uh it just depends a lot most of mo
obviously he's an investor with me uh
and and so I talk to him about those
kinds of things but mostly he's just a
he's just a good friend. But um he he
can be a loose candidate at times that's
for sure. Now, I think for the average
person, they just want to get started
buying their first home.
>> Yeah.
>> Do you think that home prices today are
sustainable at the levels that they are?
>> Not at all. No. No. No. I I Well, here's
the interesting thing. It's if you look
at, let's say, Phoenix, Atlanta, you
know, Nashville, some of the areas that
were overb built, Austin being another
one, what what goes up must come down,
right? And so, not every market is like
that. To me, Graham, it always has to be
cash flow based 100%. So if it I I don't
buy on a capital gain strategy. Don't
like it. So I always want to have that
that cash flow. So where are prices? Um
so I don't look at the home price like a
stock. I don't look at it that way. Do I
want home appreciation? Of course.
Doesn't everyone want the same same way
that they want stock appreciation?
[snorts] But what I look at is is cash
flow. So, so if I can buy a $500,000
house, which you can still buy in
Scottsdale, um, and it and and the rent
it rents at $3,500
a month, and you know, I can figure out
my expenses, then I tie it back to my
return. Um, you know, that's a that's on
an investment standpoint. One of the one
of the problems I think we have going
back to the same example I used with
multif family is when rates went up, it
also affected home builders. It slowed
everything down. And and so what the way
to cure high prices is high prices.
And and the way to cure the rent price,
bring that down. The way to cure home
prices and bring that down is supply.
That's it. So So if there was a lot of
supply hitting the market, like I went
through in 2008, 2009, prices came down,
you know, like a balloon. Boom. Um, and
we haven't seen that yet, which is
really, really interesting. In fact, I
think we've had a little bit of rent
growth, uh, 1 or 2% or something this
year. I want it to come down. The
problem is is that if it does,
everybody's going to Oh, it's
down, right? We cut now. I've lost my
equity. But again, I look at cash flow.
So, you know, sometimes I many times
I've bought things where it cash flows
and the price goes down. It happened to
me in in in Austin, actually. I bought
apartments in ' 05 06 and the they the
values went down but what saved me were
the tenants the cash flow and it got me
through and then eventually Austin came
rocketing back
>> and and that's when we did a 1031 and
moved the money.
>> What about for the person who's not
looking at cash flow? They just think is
it worth it for me to buy a house today
at these prices at these interest rates
or should I continue renting?
>> It's a heck of a point. This is exactly
why I'm bullish on renters. You know,
you I know you've known I' I've talked
about renter nation. I don't like this.
It's not I have two kids in their 20s
and they're supposed to be able to rent,
build credit, buy a home. Um but they
can't. Um it's it's unaffordable. Um and
so the the reality is is it's it's far
better to rent today than than to buy.
Far better from a you know, from a cash
flow standpoint, right? Not. And that
that's not even covering the the
mortgage is one thing, but then there's
the uh I bankr did a great study that
said it's $1,500 a month just to cover
all the other stuff, insurance and capex
and all the other things. So the real
cost is actually quite high. Um and so
what we what we need is uh we need
better priced homes, you know, and I I
think people are trying to solve that
right now, but it it's a it's a problem.
And and so if you take a look at it,
what's really interesting, one of the
fact, one of the things that I follow is
home ownership rate. So home ownership
rate under Obama got to uh 69.1%.
Okay? And if you look at the uh the
presidents before that, it was Bush.
He's like, American dream, even Clinton,
American dream, American dream. And it
pushed home ownership rate up. Well,
it's also what created the the great
financial crisis. Now, there's a whole
story there. Of course, we don't need to
go down that road,
>> but essentially
it popped, right? And then, uh, it went
all the way down to 63 64%.
>> Now, while that might not seem so
meaningful, when you go that far down,
you're you're talking about millions of
people went from home ownership to rent.
Um, and that's actually what created the
rent growth that we just had. you know,
it's not because, you know, I magically
started doing it like what what happened
with these is as all these people home
affordability got out of reach and and
all of a sudden it it didn't become a
choice as much as as a necessity
unfortunately and so we had all these
people being forced over into the rental
side and and just from 2020 it's over
four million people. Uh I'm with you. I
believe that people should I I believe
that rental should be a step toward home
ownership and I believe that people
should be in hard assets and not be
renters for life.
>> How concerning is it that the average
home buyer right now is 40 years old?
>> It's horrible. Yeah, the median. I saw
that. Yeah, the median. It's it's super
concerning. And that's another reason
um why I think you know I I'm not I
didn't start this freight train. I'm
just trying to be somewhere out in in
the middle of it. Um, you know, the
reason I'm buying rentals right now, the
reason I'm bullish on multif family and
rentals right now is because I don't see
an affordability
solution yet. Um, and so when I've when
I've seen that in the past, um, it
certainly happened with Clinton and
Bush. They said, "Listen, everybody
needs to own a home." And then they
moved from apartments to home to single
families. they bought single families.
Um, now that didn't end well for a lot
of people, but the the reality is it's
heading that way now.
>> Now, what do you think of Ben Shapiro
saying that, you know, homes aren't
necessarily unaffordable, it's just you
can't afford to live in Manhattan or
Beverly Hills, and there are plenty of
houses out there that you could buy
right now for $200,000. That would be
cheaper than renting. And it might not
be the best area, but you could buy a
home today in your price point if you
were willing to move there. In Las
Vegas, you can find places for like in
the 200,000 range. Obviously, it's not
going to be in the nicest area. It's not
going to be the nicest home or
realistically condo. You can still find
places for 300.
>> Yeah. And they're nice houses.
Everything in Vegas is like a 20inut
drive.
>> 300 grand, you get a great house.
>> Cole, if you're listening to this,
that's my brother. [laughter] I'm trying
to convince him to move to Las Vegas
because he lives in Seattle and Seattle
is horribly expensive.
>> My hometown. Horribly expensive.
>> My hometown. You're right.
>> And it's just out of reach to buy a
place there. And I'm telling him he
should move to Las Vegas cuz he works
remotely and he can buy a piece of real
estate. I would say he should rent
because the rents are so affordable in
Vegas.
>> He is renting, but he's like, I want to
have a garage. I want to have a
backyard. Those are luxuries, Cole.
>> So, I was looking at a house that was
down the street from me, like a half a
mile away, and they're selling for like
$500,000,
but you could rent the the house for
like $2,100. I would rather rent the the
house for 21,00 buy it for that math
works. So, I think just Cole, I I would
rent instead.
>> I think a lot of people should be
renting in this market.
>> What do you think? What's he going to
do?
>> He he wants to buy, but buying is going
to be difficult in in Seattle. I hope he
can buy because I know a lot of people
they have this like emotional attachment
towards buying. And I would say the
exact same thing. I have a friend that
lives in Manhattan, Sean Ryzswan, if
you're watching this. Uh, and he wants
to buy over there and it's not a good
idea. And we were talking with Ryan
Sirhan about it cuz he's the New York
real estate guy. And I was like, "My
friend in New York wants to buy a place,
but it's too difficult."
>> Yeah.
>> And there are co-ops there and then you
have to circumvent the co-op and they
have very strict rules and you're just
you're overpaying for a piece of real
estate you have no control over.
>> The interesting thing is is when I was
your age, I would go to New York and it
was the same. Like Beverly Hills was the
same. Like it was always like
significantly above everywhere, right?
Seattle wasn't, by the way. Like it was
less expensive.
>> Yeah. Yeah. That's where I grew up. And
>> I imagine Las Vegas was dirt cheap.
>> Las Vegas was dirt cheap. I lived here
20 years ago. It was crazy. I come back,
I'm like, I cannot believe the prices.
>> I got a funny story on this. In 2010, I
made an offer on a property in Las
Vegas, uh, sight unseen. It was listed
for $69,000
and I got the offer accepted. It was a
short sale. Uh, so it had to go through
the bank to get approved at that time
and the bank could take, you know, a
year, two years, whatever. So, uh, I get
the offer accepted and then I drive to
the area after it was accepted and I
think this is in the middle of nowhere
in Las Vegas. Who would live out here?
It was like 20 minutes from the strip. I
didn't see it. It was dirt lots around.
It's like to me it was so far out. It
was on the edge of Las Vegas.
>> And then by the time the short sale was
approved was like two years later, I had
already bought something else and I
declined it. The bank I think at the
time wanted like 75 grand. I thought it
wasn't worth it. It was so far out so I
declined on it. Uh I looked it up
recently just Oh, you're not supposed to
do that.
>> Just for fun.
>> I didn't realize that was Summerland.
>> It was Summerland.
>> How much was it?
>> 75.
>> Uh now it's probably about 400 and
something thousand. So not awful, but
it's it was in the middle of Summerland.
And I remember seeing that uh 15 16
years ago and just having it be in the
middle of nowhere. There are places to
buy real estate that uh
>> right now are very very very cheap if
you want to buy. It seems
[clears throat] like buying is a very
>> emotional decision at that this point
and not so much a numbers based one.
>> Yeah, for sure. Yeah. Yeah. I in the
path of growth would be one of those
places I would think. But yeah, you
never know.
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episode. So, if you think that housing
prices right now are not sustainable,
what are you expecting then for the
price of single family homes? Do you
think that there will be a correction?
They will go down. I don't no I don't I
don't I
first of all I think 60% of mortgages
are under 40% or 4% they refinance. So
so you got a tremendous amount of people
sitting on on the these low rates. Um
and so what we're seeing right now is
we're seeing broken Airbnbs or you know
flippers or something like that that got
caught and that's kind of adding to a
lot of inventory. But you know, if you
go back and look at MLS, what's what's
supposed to be average is 4 to 6 months
on the MLS. That's supposed to be
average. That's historical. We're not
even there yet. So, you know, do we have
a supply problem pro in some areas for
sure, but not in all areas. And so, so I
don't I don't I don't see home prices
going down uh in the foreseeable future.
And I think that the only thing that's
going to make them go down is more
supply or there's going to be a massive
shift somehow.
>> So what's driving up the cost of real
estate if it's just not a smart thing to
be buying? What is keeping that outside
of that smart to invest range? Well, and
that's why we're buying below
replacement costs actually, is because
um that is the play right now, we
believe, is is if we can buy things that
are, you know, like you've all driven by
things that look amazing when they're
built and 10 years later it's vacant.
Well, you're going to buy that for
pennies on the dollar. So, the question
is, can you make a cash flow? So to
answer your question,
the the components to to build something
are
not a secret. It's land plus the
construction plus the interest rate to
build it. That's it. And then is there
margin on there or not? There's only
three things. Now, inside of the what
does it cost to build it? There's
[snorts] lots of things you can do on
the framing, on the on the appliances,
on the flooring, on the roofing, you
know, on the drywall, the concrete, and
all that stuff. All those components uh
mean something. Um and they ran up
during the pandemic as you know the
supply shortage. You know, we're a
builder, too. So, we have we have
hundreds of units under construction
right now. Uh we got caught with that.
You know, co cost went up a lot. Now,
we've seen a repricing. And so, why
would we see a repricing? We've seen a
repricing because just like anything,
well, my my partner said we're getting
electricians. they're calling us back.
You know, less construction means more
contractors looking for less work. Um,
and so you you you have a little bit
more negotiating room. So, so believe it
or not, our prices are actually much
much better than they were just several
years ago. The interest rates still high
though.
>> How much does government policy affect
housing prices?
>> Everything. It's everything. Regulations
are everything. Um,
you know, rent control, big one. Uh,
rent caps, big one. Um, property tax,
big one. All those things, you know,
government has their hand. Utilities.
What is the worst thing a government
could do for their local real estate
market?
>> Well, I think if
what's happened is when when we saw
Oregon pass rent control, for example,
and I understand why. Listen, I I mean,
I'm a I'm a massive proponent of
affordable housing.
It just can't we can't build it. It's
just it costs too much. So, when Oregon
passed that law, and California, of
course, has a lot of those laws, and so
does New York, and so does some of the
other, you know? So, I I was talking to
one of the bigger lenders um in the
country out of San Francisco, and I
said, "Hey, like, where are you guys?
Where's the money going?" Right? Where's
the big money going? He's like, "Not on
the coasts." And what he basically said
there was,
you know, when you cap your ability to
profit from the market rent and then you
are exposed to the property tax
increases and the other things. So the
government can essentially increase your
expenses and they can also cap your
income. The money, as you guys know, you
know, money goes where it's treated
best. I mean, that's why you were
talking to your brother about coming to
Vegas versus Seattle. Uh it's the exact
same thing. You know, people are smart.
They make those kinds of decisions. And
so, um I've had people call me and say,
you know, I can't sell my I can't sell
my property in Oregon in Portland,
Oregon. Um specifically because um you
know, it it it falls under this rent
control and and he said, "I'm getting
I'm getting hammered on the expenses."
And so his profit is [clears throat]
going significantly down. So, he's
worried. So when you talk about
regulations, that's that's the first
thing that comes to mind.
>> What do you say to the people who say
it's unethical to own so much in real
estate?
>> Yeah. Well, uh they're uh I mean I
understand. I mean, if they don't own
anything that I mean, that's actually
what's happening right now. Just take a
look at, you know, what what just went
down in New York, right? Like I mean,
shouldn't rent be free? Shouldn't
transportation be free? Shouldn't
everything be free? I mean, right?
>> That's that's the mindset. Correct.
>> That's recent, but it's not recent,
right?
>> That's been going on forever.
>> So, what would you say to people that
claim that it's unethical to own that
much in real estate? Say that that
corporations shouldn't be buying real
estate.
>> Who should own it then, I guess, would
be my question back to you. Somebody has
to own it. You want the government.
>> Their their logic is that corporations
should not buy real estate. Investors
should not buy real estate. that real
estate is a human right to have housing
and therefore the only people who should
be buying real estate are owner users or
people buying one property one property
one person let's just say
>> well I know there's a lot of people that
believe that the
>> if you take a look at you know
government has failed on housing I mean
there's history just proves itself we
don't need to go down that road u
they're not good at it right so then
where do you go you [clears throat] go
to the private sector so if you want to
throw regulations around that then go
ahead. But right now there aren't any.
But um you know if you corporations have
gotten the game for sure I mean they
started buying up single families you
know after the JFC and um you know uh
but listen I get the argument but what
they don't understand is who's going to
build them?
Seriously like answer that question.
We're we have what five six million
under supplied right now. I mean that's
where we are. We have depending on the
study I mean if the low income housing
coalition is is even higher but national
multi-ousing council the national
partner association realtor Zillow they
all say it's four five 6 million. So
okay so where's that going to come from?
Who's going to do it? Somebody. So is
you going to do it by oneoffs? Like it's
not going to work. The math doesn't
work. you know, if maybe maybe you get
it to stability and then you implement a
regulation, I guess, but you know, we
have a we have a supply problem. So to
better understand this, your claim is
that if they make it harder to for
people to buy multiple houses, for
institutions to buy real estate, and
there's, you know, people with less
money bidding on houses, it will
decrease the cost of housing, which will
disincentivize builders from building
more houses, which will disrupt the real
estate market.
>> Well, I don't know if it's a claim as
much as it's a fact. Like, you take a
look at um we're under supplied. Let's
just let's cross that box off first. Do
you guys believe we're under supplied?
>> You know, we've talked to several people
in real estate who say there is not a
housing shortage.
>> It's just people can't afford to live
where they want to live. And if you look
throughout the country and you go to
other areas, there's plenty of housing
for everybody.
>> So, the reason I think that's not right
is because of the 40-year median that
you brought up. Why is it why?
>> But that's but that's more to do with
prices and it's more to do with people
not making an income to support the
house.
>> Correct. But they could, but those
people could buy a house somewhere else
in the country.
>> But supply is everything. Like like if
if you guys um you want to go to the
Super Bowl, you're going to pay a lot
for the tickets because everybody wants
them. Um or they're going to go to one
that nobody shows up to. Well, the
tickets are going to be half off. It's a
supply demand problem.
>> Yeah. But you can't add more supply
necessarily to dense cities like let's
just say the coastal areas without
tearing down what's already there and
building up.
>> That's 100% true which is why we have
urban sprawl,
>> right? It's been going on a long time
>> uh for sure. But
>> this is a supply problem. It's it's it's
we have if you go back and look at um
one of the things that you guys um when
in 2008 you I don't know you guys were
18 I guess.
>> Mhm. I was 18.
>> I was 10.
>> How old? I was 10.
>> Jack's like,
>> "All right,
>> say it again, Jack. How old were you?"
>> 10 years old.
>> Well, so here's what happened. And I
went through this in 2008.
It was bad, right? People were losing
their homes and and it was that was not
good, right? And there was a big
repricing. Here's what did not happen.
building
2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012. So when
there's big cons, when there's big
corrections,
and by the way, here's what did not
stop. People kept being born. People
kept graduating from college. You know,
you know, the population growth, as you
guys know, is is is growing by a million
to two million a year. Okay? So it the
math it's really simple like you have
when you have that many people during
that period of time we needed we needed
housing. So we never corrected from
about 2008 to about 2018 and then it
started again actually we started
getting going again right and and um we
we we started and then pop we had the
the pandemic and then now you know now
we're in the situation we're in but we
never caught up. This is this is a uh
you know this is going back to nearly a
20 year the start of nearly a 20-year
problem. And if you look at the 20 years
prior to that we didn't have problems.
And you know there there's a there's a
flow when when people are born and
people graduate and people go move into
their parents or out of their parents or
whatever. There's a flow. Um household
formation is another big piece but
there's a flow. And if you restrict the
supply of the flow of the demand, which
is the people, you're going to have high
rent, high prices. Um, and and then
that's that's just a fact. And that's
where we are today. And you know, the
last time we saw low prices was after
the GFC or during the GFC.
>> Can you make an argument against why
institutions should not own homes?
>> Yeah. Oh, yeah. Yeah. First of all, I
last I looked there, they only own like
600,000 houses, which is um still a lot,
don't get me wrong. I think that's too
many, you know, and and um but
you know,
I don't believe I think real estate
should stay at Ma at Main Street and
Wall Street should stay at Wall Street.
That that's what I believe. Um, and it
is a it is a lucrative business, real
estate. And and I think what happened,
well, I know what happened because I've
been in this business for 30 some years
in ' 08 when there was all those single
family homes on the balance sheets and
there was a lot. I want to say at one
time was it 68 million homes on the MLS
or something. Um, the the Wall Street
got involved. they started buying them
for pennies on the dollar and um they
didn't know how to manage them and I had
friends getting into this business
trying to figure that out. they were
they were actually managing for some of
these big big institutions. Um and then
they started exiting and then of course
you saw Zillow kind of got into that
game and Open Door and some of these
others um got into the game and this who
knows if they were price fixing or not
who knows but at the end of the day um
is is that a corporation you know um and
so I think um you know I I I don't think
it it it should be there personally you
know I don't think
>> so. I did this whole analysis on Wall
Street buying real estate and when I
came down to it just unbiased. It's
really unpopular to say this, but they
have very little to no impact on housing
prices at all. I agree. And it's really
hard for people to accept that Wall
Street isn't to blame cuz it's so easy
to point and be like, "Ah, this faceless
corporation's buying single family
home." No, they're not. They're not
buying it. They don't care about Suzie
down the street listing her single
family home and bidding against you.
It's 75% other owner users, right?
That's it. And then another 10% mom and
pop investors and then everyone else is
like a mix between someone buying like a
vacation home or, you know, a second
property for themselves. The
corporations really only buy about 1% of
properties and most of what they do buy
are development communities that were
never meant to be for sale to begin
with. It's not profitable for them to
like buy Suz's home over there, buy
Joe's home over here, and like manage
them separately. And imagine like Black
Rockck going and trying to like fix up
someone's faucet. It's like they're not
going to waste time on this. They're not
going to waste their time. So people
want to say like, "Oh yeah, LLC
shouldn't own a home." Well, everyone
owns their house in an LLC for liability
purposes. And then a corporation comes
in, they buy a whole complex to rent it
out that never would have existed if not
for them. So, I actually think I'm going
to say it. I think they're actually
doing a service to the housing market by
providing a lot of homes that never
would have existed otherwise.
>> So, you're saying they're guaranteeing
some sort of income for developers and
then the developers will based off of
that note or whatever it is build a
community.
>> Correct. So, you have you have like
invitation homes will will buy all this
land and they'll make like 200 single
family homes. They're not interested in
going and developing all of that to sell
them individually, but instead they do
it with the contingency that like, you
know, a another large conglomerate is
going to buy this whole community and
rent it out because they could operate
at scale. That never would have existed
had it not been for the development and
the corporation going in. And that
corporation's not doing it with their
own money. They're taking investor
money. And so like you could go in or
grandma could go invest some of her
pension in this fund that rents out the
houses. It's not like some evil dude
pulling the strings. It's really
unpopular. Say people people hate the
idea.
>> Uh but instead the biggest competition
is your neighbor, is your friend, is
your cousin going and getting a 7%
mortgage and buying the house and
overpaying for it because they fell in
love with the house. That's the reality
of it.
>> Yep. It's worth mentioning. So, in terms
of ethics, I I it really doesn't it
doesn't matter. If anything, okay, I'm
going to be uh uh one one last thought
here. I do think it makes sense if
someone buys a second, third, or fourth
home that property taxes should not be
as subsidized as they are in a primary
residence. So maybe if you buy a
primary, you get, you know, a property
tax decrease, but the person buying
their third home as an investment, they
get a slight increase every year,
something like that. So it's a small
little tax.
>> But with that being said, you should
also be able to carry your note if you
were to buy a new property.
>> That would be awesome. That's impossible
to to actually implement, but I'm I'm in
favor of that, but it wouldn't be
possible.
>> It just won't happen, though. No.
>> So, for the average person out there
>> to get into real estate, it's incredibly
unaffordable. How does someone who who
doesn't make that much money get into
real estate, buy their first property?
>> Sure.
>> Well, to live in would be very difficult
to to invest in, not so difficult. So,
um again, I always go back to the
basics. Um, I have I have friends right
now that are crushing it in Ohio, as an
example, and they're they're raising
money, somebody else's money, and
they're using that as the down payment,
and they're signing on a debt, and it
cash flows, and then they split the cash
flow with the investor. So, that's how
you buy real estate with no money. You
that it's not about money. And I think
that if there if you know if there's one
thing that people like to hang on, it's
that I need money before I can do
something, it's just not true. You
actually have to find something that has
could you can create massive value with
um or cash flows and and then find an
investor that will ride along with you,
you know, just like you did here.
>> It's the same.
>> Is there any area you won't invest in?
>> Oh, yeah. Which ones? areas that are
highly regulated for sure. Um we've
never invested in California. Why not?
Because of those reasons, mostly around
the eviction laws. Um now, um I just
believe that they're pretty heavily
weighted toward the land or toward the
renter. Um, I'm I know personally people
that owned small places, two two units,
four units, eight units that they they
rented to the wrong person and they
stayed in there for a long time and they
couldn't get them out and they still
owed the mortgage, they still owed the
expenses and they lost the property,
they had to file bankruptcy. So, um, you
know, those kinds of things are are big.
Property taxes are big. Insurance is is
one. And so I I almost bought in
Florida, but the insurance rates are uh
over double what they are in Arizona. Um
if you buy in the Gulf of Texas, like
say Houston, Baytown area, they're
double. Um and Dallas is less than
Houston as an example. So there are
there are things that you know and you
find out over time um that you know you
want to be careful of. But government
regulation, anything that capture income
and and expenses that uh you know could
could go out of control. The other one,
of course, on a on a smaller level are
these HOAs. You know, we're you what's
happening right now with the HOAs is
that they're um you know, they're
managed by people that are
just regular people, right? They don't
understand,
you know, like a 10-year capex study is
and and how much money should be put
into the reserve account every month.
And so, what happens is you're starting
to see these big assessments hit.
>> Oh, yeah. I got hit with so many. So
that's what it is, right? It's just ma
it's just poor management and and u you
know I've done a bunch of these types of
buildings
and and so you know that's another one I
I know um you know my wife had a a
listing um she sells real estate and the
the the price was was a onebedroom was
like 300 grand for a nice building with
an elevator and beautiful building but a
little dated. The HOA was 800. the HOA,
not the payment, you know, not not, you
know, so so that's just the HOA. So the
seller was having a tough time selling
it. And there was also a
uh an assessment. So So, so I think I
think HOAs and condo projects are going
to be the next ones that you see poorly
run. um where you're going to start to
see because as these properties get
older, they need roofs, they need paint,
they need parking lot, they need all
that kind of stuff. I just walked one,
you know, this morning and I was looking
at the I was looking at the trees and I
was, you know, that's what I do when I
walk properties. I look at the deferred
maintenance. It drives me nuts and, you
know, immediately I'm calculating all
the costs um that somebody has
neglected, whether it's the pool, the
common areas, or or whatever. Um, and
that rolls up for a condo owner into
their into their pocket.
>> So, I had an interesting HOA story. I
didn't share this with you recently, but
a couple years ago, I got a letter on my
front door that said, "You need to trim
your palm trees."
>> And so, what did I do? I called my
landscaper. I said, "Hey, could you trim
the palm trees?" He said yes. And then
he came over. He trimmed them. I solved
it in a few days. I emailed evidence to
the local HOA and I said, "Hey, look, I
trimmed the palm trees. Here's a
picture. And then they said, "Oh, thank
you so much. I'm forwarding this over.
I'm just going to use the name Jim. I'm
forwarding this over to Jim." Jim says,
"Thanks so much. I appreciate the
evidence. Everything should be good to
go." And then I emailed back and I'm
like, "Just confirming everything is
good to go." Never heard back from Jim
again. And then I assumed everything was
okay. Fast forward two years to a couple
weeks ago and I get a letter in the mail
from the HOA and they said, "Just
letting you know, you owe a bunch of
money in fees because we increased the
HOA dues."
>> And I didn't know that. I had it on
autopay. I assumed it was like Spotify,
like Netflix. When they increase the
monthly subscription, it just
automatically pulls the correct amount.
They never notified me of a higher HOA.
It was only in the documents that they
provided for the new budget of the year,
which I'm not going to read. It's like a
20page document. That's where they
informed me of the new dues. And so I
had all of these back fees for not
paying it. And then they had penalties.
>> They charged interest. They did
everything to make me owe hundreds of
dollars because they didn't they didn't
notify me except in this new budget
document that they sent out like 10
months ago. I go into the HOA office cuz
they don't answer their phone. I tried
calling them for weeks. I I show up to
the HOA office, wait in the waiting
room, go into the lady's room, and she
says, "Oh, on top of these fees, you
also owe fees from two years ago for
this palm tree incident, and I owed over
$1,500."
>> Yes. And this is because they started
charging me $50 a week for not trimming
my palm trees, even though I sent
evidence.
>> I said, "Here's my email chain. I had it
solved. Here's all the evidence you
need." And then she said, "Who are you
talking to, Jim?" And I said, "Yeah, I
was talking to Jim." And then she said,
"I don't know Jim." And I was like,
"Well, what do you mean? This is who I
was forwarded to." And she said, "Oh,
that Jim passed away." And he had
actually passed away and he never fully
confirmed that I had submitted evidence
of me trimming the palm trees.
>> Wow.
>> And then I show I was like, "Well, I am
so sorry to hear that. That's awful."
Cuz I was all up in a rage. Like I was
ready to like, okay, well then I did
this and I did this and you told me to
do this and I did this and she told me
he passed away and I was like oh my gosh
I'm so sorry to hear that but also what
are we doing about these fees and then
she said
>> it should probably be okay. I'm like
what do you mean probably? Like I did
what you told me to do.
>> Imagine she passes away the next day too
>> and then I just have to deal with this
again in two years and I have $10,000
out. So I don't know HOAs like this was
a whole pain in the butt because of
things that are so simple to solve.
notify me instead of just they never
notified me that I was not paying the
full mail.
>> No, they didn't. They never sent it.
They never emailed me. They never sent
me a notice that I was not paying the
correct amount in fees. It was only in
the budget. And then finally, I got this
notice saying you owe hundreds of
dollars in fees.
>> By law, it has to be over mail. You
probably got
>> They never sent me in the mail. I went
up to them and they said, "Oh yeah, we
never sent it to you." So maybe there's
something there. If you guys know a
lawyer, I'm kidding. The HOA is fine.
It's not that expensive. But it's this
whole ordeal that you have to deal with
with HOAs that you don't have to deal
with if you don't have an HOA. It would
be great to do a parody like a movie,
you know, like an HOA board. Would that
be the best?
>> Gosh,
>> it was actually it was comical walking
into the HOA office. I go into this
lady's office and there are boxes of
papers stacked floor to ceiling in this
tiny tiny office. Papers strewn across
her entire desk. There's a check sitting
right here. There's another check over
here. And it's just like she's like,
"Okay, let me find this."
>> My desk is cleaner than that. It's still
messy, though. But it's it's a complete
mess. It's like there's no
organizational skills going on
whatsoever. I was I was honestly
impressed. I thought it was a
governmental agency based off of how
just like the DMV on my HOA. This was
like 2 years ago. I I saw the budget and
I was blown away at how much they were
spending on things that you could just
get done for way cheaper. Like I'll give
you an example. We have a whole exercise
room. They are leasing the equipment and
for the cost of the lease, you could
just buy the equipment outright within 6
months. So, why lease the equipment? And
they say, "Well, it's for maintenance
issues." But you could own all of it in
six months of the cost of the lease.
That doesn't make sense. And then I saw
they do decorations on the front gate
leading up and they put Christmas lights
on some of these things. That was
$12,000.
I was like, " $12,000? It's it's maybe
$500 worth of the Christmas lights and
it's maybe two days worth of someone
time. How is that $12,000 to Christmas
lights?" The other one is that they have
a roaming uh patrol car that goes around
the entire neighborhood 24/7. The lease
cost of that, you could just buy the car
outright within about a year. Why lease
it? And again, they say, "Well, it's for
maintenance so that you know it's under
warranty and it doesn't matter. You own
it outright. You could just keep buying
a new car every year for the same cost
as leasing and you get to have an extra
car left over." So, it's all these
little things that like when you have a
budget of all these, you know, hundreds
of homes going together, you know, over
I think it's just people are getting
crazy bids because it's an HOA and
they're like, "All right, well, let's
just do it. We have the cash for that.
>> Let's just do it. All right, that's
fine." No one's like sitting at nickel.
>> It's not their own money. Someone else.
It's inefficient to sit there and be
like, "All right, I'm going to get three
bids and then I'm going to go and
negotiate all these line by line." I get
it's easier to just charge $20 more per
house, $50 more per house.
>> And they they don't know how either,
right? Because most of them don't maybe
even own real estate except maybe the
one that they're in.
>> Are HOAs comprised of other homeowners?
Oh.
>> Uh but there is an over like seeing
management company on top of that.
>> Profitable HOA.
>> Uh no, I don't believe HOAs can be
profitable. Like there's going to be
money left over in reserves.
>> They can pay the HOA like board members.
Correct.
>> No. Uh-uh. No, they they don't. No, I
did not know that.
>> And that's why you had such good
service. That's interesting.
>> Yeah, they donate their time to do this.
It's like you don't get paid to be on
the HOA. You do it because you want to
better the community.
>> There's no way that my HOA office does
not profit.
>> They maybe can deduct uh maybe like a
salary or they can deduct office some of
those checks,
>> but no one's making money.
>> No one will notice. Yeah. Charge me a
few extra fees and whatnot.
>> Yeah. I don't think they're making money
on it. I don't think it's something
that's like a profitable end or run an
>> H, right? Norally they're nonprofit. But
what they fail to do
>> um is the the the deferred maintenance
piece, right? Like the you know the
capex we call it or capital improvements
that that you know what the normal HOA
dues are supposed to cover are just your
normal operating costs like the
landscaping and the water and the sewer
and electric and that kind of stuff. But
the buildings, the roofs, the parking
lots, you know, all the the stuff, maybe
a big big break in a in a water line or
something, that's typically not covered
in that in that monthly. That's called a
reserve. Um, and that's what most of
them fail at. And and then, of course,
they're in a precarious situation, too,
cuz they're your next door neighbor and
they're like, "Hey, it's 100 more a
month or 50 more a month and then, you
know, then then you don't want to meet
them out by the mailbox, right?"
>> Yeah. So, you have that, too. I got a
dude that surveillances houses and then
you get an email that says, "Hey, we
have a violation."
>> And he'll just walk around and kind of
like look and and see like if if I have
dead plants in front, he'll be like,
"Just cite that." Uh oh, I've gotten
cited for having a trash can by my
>> a trash can left out. That was that was
a no no. Can't do that. Uh, you know, it
makes the neighborhood look nice and
uniform, but it's like sometimes a
little wiggle room here might be kind of
nice.
>> Yeah, I know. We had one where all the
cars had to be in the garage. Yes. Every
night.
>> Now, I like cars like you. So, that
became a problem. You know, I had fourc
car garage, but uh you know, sometimes
they spilled out, right? And I was
getting notices all the time. So, that's
another one. and and especially if
somebody comes and spends a night, you
know, well, let's say a family member
and they're there for a week or
something, I would get notices. What
cars do you have?
>> Uh, right now I Well, I have a 57
Porsche Speedster. I have a 458 Ferrari.
Um, and I've got a Range Rover. So, just
the three. Now,
>> the Speedster is awesome.
>> Great car.
>> That is super cool.
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Thank you so much to Shopify for
sponsoring this episode. What do you
think of the 50-year mortgage? Do you
think that that would benefit most
people? Is that a good thing?
>> Well,
it's it's interesting. There are 50-year
mortgages out there. Um, they're New
Zealand, Japan, there there are places
that have them, and there's pros and
cons, of course. Um, I'm a proponent of
getting people and on back on the
affordability thing. Um, what it does is
it lowers the payment. um you know and
that is if you're using apples to apples
the same interest rates let's say um so
there there's a big what if but I'm I'm
I'm a I'm a proponent of of of getting
people into houses and and if it if it's
based on the monthly and their monthly
then then I'm a proponent now
um I don't like the fact that it's being
kicked down the road past 30 you know
and I think you know the 30 was debated
ated I don't know if you know by
Roosevelt back in the
>> what was it before the I don't even know
>> it's called basically cash and
short-term highinterest debt. So before
the 1930s, it was customary for people
to either save up and buy a home in cash
or what they would do is take out a
short-term loan that would was let's
say% loan.
>> Yeah. Basically like 6% for 5 years. And
the expectation is that you know by the
time the loan comes due you would either
have the money to pay off the loan or
you would just get another loan
collateral for the loan.
>> Correct. Yeah.
>> But what happened in the 1920s Great
Depression, people were losing their
homes because they couldn't afford to
pay back these loans. The government got
involved because so many people were
homeless. And they started to develop
the 30-year mortgage. That was initially
for new constructions that you would be
able to buy a new house, get a 30-year
mortgage. That was a success. And then
they rolled it out to older homes as
well.
>> Yeah. But um pushing a mortgage out just
means in debt longer, right? Uh so
that's not good. But it also gets people
in what I would consider to be a hard
asset. I believe that we're going to see
inflation, you know, in the next 10
years, right? I mean, even even the Fed,
I think they're right around three. Um,
they're on their website, they say
they're they're good with two. Um, so
even that is 20 to 30%, depending on how
you pencil it. So I think if somebody
can be in a hard asset no matter what, I
think that they're going to benefit from
inflation.
Yeah. The other thing I do want to
mention that going back to the 1930s
to50s is that the average home size at
the time was like 1300 ft. My
grandparents they bought their house in
West Los Angeles. They paid $36,000
for their house in the 1950s but it
was,00 square ft. Oh wow. And that was
for a family of five by the way. That's
>> it was them with three children and a
three-bedroom
oneb house, 1100 ft², five people. And
now people want a 4,000 foot house.
>> A starter home is like 2,800 ft².
>> That's probably even small for a start.
A starter home now is probably minimum
3,000 square ft.
>> My mom still has a house I grew up in.
>> Really?
>> Yeah. Yeah. They bought it for $10,700
in the late50s.
>> What's it worth now? Oh, it's worth over
700. Um,
you know, and my mom was a hairdresser,
my dad was in construction and and um,
you know, they paid it off like, you
know, this before the, you know, Dixon
took the dollar off the gold standard,
right? But, uh, things changed after
that. But, uh, before then, paying off
your house meant something, right? And I
I actually remember when they did it and
um, she still owns it today. Now, did
you not tell her to refinance at like
two equity, buy a wedge deal? [laughter]
>> I know.
>> Turn a profit, flip some property.
>> Here's here's a here's a just this is
very, very interesting. When my when my
dad passed away, I had the uncomfortable
task of my brother and sister too, to
dig into their stuff, right? And we dug
into their estate. And my dad had bought
and I remember him telling me this my he
bought a $10,000 life insurance policy
um around in the 60s. So he had a 10,700
house and a $10,000 life insurance
policy. So
fast forward this seven or eight years
ago.
I pull it out the policy 10,000.
That's what it was. It wasn't inflation
adjusted. And so he had a $10,000
insurance policy and so um so I was
talking to my friend about this and he
said so basically the insurance policy
was equal to the house at the time
that's the way my dad thought right but
that's what inflation did to that
policy. Um, obviously I'm taking care of
my mom, but uh she still owns the house
and then she fell during CO and so we
were in this weird situation where we
had to help her and fix, you know, she
she broke some bones and and her hip and
and so what we did was we put her into a
place where she wanted to go, an
assisted place
>> um and we rented her house to cover the
cost. And so she is very happy because
her home is actually paying for her
care. Um and uh so that that's how that
worked out. But what do you think of the
future is going to be with the dollar?
>> Ah, that's a really really really good
question. Um, I've studied this a fair
amount. Uh, I don't think in my lifetime
that we will see a change from the US
dollar because of the trust in anything
else. So it it boils down to trust. So
dollar is only as good as or currency is
only good as the trust in the currency.
So if you look at bricks or you look at
let's say some of the other things um
like bitcoin just in in the last week or
actually 10 days it's gone down over
10%. So you know it's not there yet.
Could it be? Yes, of course. But in in
my lifetime I just don't see it
changing. Um there's there's too much
disruption uh to to move to the peso or
the euro or the remn or you know
whatever whatever country you want to
pick. Somebody has to be that central
bank or there has to be something that
everybody agrees on and and the euro
didn't didn't work.
>> Yeah.
>> Really?
>> What do you think of Bitcoin?
>> I don't mind it. I mean we own some. My
wife and I own some. Uh you know I'm not
heavily into it. Uh but um I think it's
a little volatile for me. I I I um it's
not I I don't know why it goes up and
down other than hype. [gasps]
Um and so I look at it more like a stock
and I know a lot of people probably
aren't going to be happy with me saying
that, but that's how I see it. Even
though I have some uh you know, I'm not
heavy into it. I I I I I'm diverse so I
have lots of different things.
>> What's a piece of money advice that you
would give yourself 30 years ago to be
able to grow faster?
>> Compound interest.
I think it is an incredible thing and I
think leverage low leverage and and I
know you guys aren't don't love leverage
but but
>> I'm indifferent to it. Yeah, I don't
mind.
>> Yeah, but I I think
>> you know if you really look at the the
way money works is and this really hit
me once. Um you know, everybody works
their butts off and puts their money
into a bank. Well, that money becomes a
problem for the bank. They owe you
interest. Period. It's an expense to
them. So, the bank's sitting there with
your cash or an insurance policy or a
pension or whatever, a retirement fund.
Somebody owes you something if it's your
money. So, what do they have to do? They
have to repackage it and put it out
somehow into into some kind of loan or
something, some kind of vehicle that
makes money to pay you because they
don't just pay you. The money doesn't
doesn't come out of thin air. So, so
when we're talking about other people's
money, it's already there. You know,
Wall Street, the whole reason for Wall
Street is to is to reach in the pocket
of Main Street. And that's what they do.
They do it through the banking, they do
it through pensions, they do it through
insurance, they do it through retirement
plans. Um, and and it is a way to take
people out of um the education piece of
of finance, you know, which is why I
love your show is, you know, you guys
are trying to teach the stuff um around
that. And I think people need it. I
really think people need it. That's the
only reason I'm doing mine is is for
that reason. Um and and so I would I
would say to them just look how money
works. It it's your money. Like, you
know, if if you're putting money away
somewhere, like I'm borrowing from life
insurance companies. I'm borrowing from
pensions. I bought a I bought maybe
three or $400 million of real estate in
Texas using the R RSP or retirement
savings plan out of Canada. That money,
um, that's how Wall Street works is is,
you know, it all gets funneled. If it's
a local loan, where do the where does
the money come from? comes from, you
know, the the the strength of the
depositors. So, you know, it's all based
on Main Street anyway. So, so I would I
always tell people, you know, take a
look at how money works. It's it's
actually not it's actually quite simple.
What's the best investment you've ever
made?
>> So, the best investment by far has been
into myself, right? I there was a lot of
stuff I had to clean up from a kid as I
think a lot of people do and and I
poured myself into personal development
from the very first time I discovered it
which was in college and I never stopped
and you know through books and podcasts
and speaking and and going to seminars
and conventions and things like that
which I still do. I was just at a YO
convention last week in LA listening to
Michael Milin and some other really
really cool people. So that's something
that I always try to do is try to stay
ahead of what's really going on in right
now with with the markets, with the
interest rates, with the financial
markets, with tech, with crypto, all of
those things. And so I always try to
stay ahead of that. Um, from a from a
finance development, it definitely has
to be 182 unit building that I bought. U
senior project that has hardly any
turnover. I bought it for 9.7 million
and it's worth maybe 40 today and we
still own it.
How did it go from 9.7 to $40 million?
>> Inflation. Inflation and rent growth and
and you know again like again go let's
go back 15 years ago. What was the price
of a house? It's the same question,
right? So exact same question. You know
why why why did a house go from 200 to
400? So same thing. It's just you know
with with apartments it's just math.
It's literally math.
>> I like that a lot. You know, I was just
thinking the 50 plus communities are so
nice. The people that move into them
usually have the money that they just
don't want to be bothered, but they have
the cash flow.
That to me seems like a really good
opportunity.
>> Like they never want to move,
>> right? And they just want stability and
peace and quiet. They're gone half the
time traveling.
>> Can you discriminate though against age?
Is that one of those things? So you So
technically though, if I wanted to move
in a 50 plus community, could I?
>> So the the property that I'm talking
about specifically is actually age
restricted by the covenants of the area.
So it's it's Sun City, which is an area
of Phoenix that a lot of seniors live in
already. So they already it's already a
community for seniors. And this
apartment property is is inside of that.
So So we are governed by that. And so
they have to be 55 or older. Um, and
they're But to your point, last year we
had 42 move outs. Like that's not much.
That's that's 2, three, four a month.
That's nothing compared to another 182
unit project. Like in Vegas, we might
see,
you know, 150 moveouts. So the
difference between 42 moveouts and 150
moveouts is significant because you have
turnover costs, you have marketing
costs, you have cleaning, you have
maintenance, you have vacancy, all of
that. So, so finding communities that um
you know people want to live in and stay
in long term, those are the ones that
obviously I want to have.
>> So could you not just go and buy a
50unit apartment building in like a
decent area and just say, "Hey, it's 55
plus." You probably could. Yeah, we
haven't we haven't done that. But the
you know, we we bought four now and at
age restricted uh areas and you the
seniors typically it's been my
experience. They they like to hang out
in senior communities. That's been my
experience so far. So you could try it,
but um this area has like nine golf
courses, three community centers, a
bunch of pools. It it does have an HOA.
you know, there are things that it has
that that that they can enjoy inside the
community itself, not just in the
property. In the property, we have all
that, too. We have pool, fitness center,
all that kind of stuff, but they and
then we also have a a 20 person van with
with a driver that drives them around to
grocery stores and and um you know, the
hair getting their hair done or the
doctor or whatever it might be. So,
those are things that they need.
>> That sounds so nice.
>> Graham would want to live in an age
restricted. Well, you can buy one and
then buy the one you want
>> and then just make one card
>> and then by the time by the time you
move in, you you'll have the pet house
and and you'll own a free clear.
>> That sounds nice. I was just thinking
too, you could offer services of like
cleaning, cooking services.
>> We have all that and and actually beyond
that once once uh depending on their
health, you know, we've seen some people
are extremely healthy at 75, 80, 90
years old, very very mobile, and some
aren't right. So, you have to have, you
know, those kind of services available
to them.
>> What separates those people? Do you ever
get down to the weeds and you see
someone who's like 90?
>> I've talked to so many of these people,
by the way. They're just incredible.
Like, they're they have such wisdom and
you know, they're present. You know,
they're looking at you. It's the
greatest thing about
>> like the people who are 90 plus and
really just like doing well, active,
like what separates them? How are they
different?
>> I think it's a combination of a few
things. Uh my mom, by the way, is 93.
Um, and and I always ask her, you know,
we go to this place and and and and
she's like, you know, everyone thinks
they're so old in here, you know, you
know, she thinks she's young. My mom
thinks she's young. Um, and I think
that's it. I think the mindset is that,
you know, they they walk, they eat well.
Um, you know, they uh they're they're
they're healthy uh mentally and
physically, you know, as much as they
can be, right? What happens is they
fall. Um, you know, I've seen that
happen a few times and and then that
could be a a bit of a gamecher.
>> Yeah. But when we were talking to Dave
Asprey, he was saying that the biggest
thing for longevity and living a long
time, socializing and exercise, and that
if you cut yourself off socially or you
retire and you you stop working, your
cognitive ability goes down and then you
stop socializing, you stop getting out
there, you start exercising, you stop
exercising as much, then you're more
prone to injury and then you're more
likely to pass away from the injury.
>> Yeah. And so it seems like the more
social you are, the more engaged you are
with work, the longer you could live.
>> Yeah. My I I I'll tell you a fun story.
My my uncle Dwayne, he passed away
recently. Um he was in his 90s and he
called me and he's like, "Hey, you got
any 1031s?" And I'm like, "What? What
are you talking about?" He goes, "I just
got out of a deal." And he's in his 90s
and um he's like, "Uh, you have a deal.
I need to roll this in. I'm trying to
avoid tax." And I I called his uh sons,
you know, and I'm like, "That's awesome.
Like, your dad's still going at it."
He's like, "Oh, yeah. He gets up every
day. He still manages his stuff." And
and you know, he's still active. And he
was that way uh you know, right up right
up to the time he passed in his in his
90s. And and I I I think it just
connected him to things and and you
know, to your point, community is
everything.
>> I had a buddy whose grandpa I really
really liked. He owned a very large
block right off of Beverly Hills. All of
the retail was his and he was in his
mid9s and he'd show up to the office
every day to manage the buildings even
though there was really nothing to
manage. But he would show up there, he
would walk out and like find things to
fix
>> and we be like, "All right, we're going
to repaint this. We're going to repaint
this." And he said his favorite thing to
do was he had a vending machine and he
would sit at the office watching the
vending machine as people would go by
and put a dollar in the vending machine.
And this guy is probably worth like 200
million bucks. That's awesome. But the
guy would put the dollar in the vending
machine. He would see what the guy would
get and then he would come out to open
up the vending machine to take the
dollar and put it in his [laughter]
pockets.
>> That's awesome. And apparently this guy
also would go to restaurants and steal
the silverware and he just wanted to
feel like he got one of the [laughter]
restaurants.
>> That sounds like you.
>> Well, I wouldn't steal the silverware.
>> Graeme would not steal the silverware,
but he always wants there to be value.
>> Graeme wants to be like, I feel like I
got ahead, you know? I got away ahead
from whatever transaction.
>> The most I've done, and I haven't done
this in a while, but if I lose money at
a casino and they've been serving me
drinks, I'll just take the cup.
>> Nice. Yeah, just because I do with the
cup and I drink from it.
>> I still have my little coffee cup that I
got the little nice glass one that I
fill up sometimes. That's from
>> Really?
>> I think that was from Red Rock Casino.
>> Are Are you incriminating yourself?
>> I don't care. I lost so much money that
it's what it's
>> You've never lost a bunch of money. You
maybe have lost 150.
>> It evens out in the long run. So,
sometimes I lose 300. Sometimes I'll
make 300.
>> Whatever. You're shouting them out right
now. So hopefully they
got your top. It might have been Arya,
by the way. I don't know. It's one of
the casinos.
>> You probably don't want him as a tenant,
but what would be the worst investment
you've ever made?
>> Um, a gold mine actually in Nevada of
all things. Yeah. I I I think as I was
trying to diversify, this is going back
a while. I was probably your age
actually. I I was trying to figure out I
had money in the stock market. I had
some money in real estate and and you
know I'm I'm trying to figure things out
and I invested um into a gold mine that
would just went poof
>> and it you know they it just all went
away like like an hour or about a year
later it was gone [laughter] an hour
later. It was an hour later. No, it was
about a year later it was gone. They
just stopped communicating and the money
was out and no email. Yeah. basically
could have been obviously what I should
have done is I should have physically
gone there physically done the due
diligence. It was you know through a
buddy right you invest in this gold mine
and um it wasn't a ton of money because
back then I didn't have a ton of money
but I it was a great lesson and it
actually um you know it can happen and I
it can I've seen it in oil and gas. I've
seen it in other things. Um you know
that's that's precisely why I I like
hard assets. like to something
physically I can touch. Even my gold and
silver today, it's physical. I have
actual gold coins with Brinks. I keep it
in in at the Brinks. Um and and I've
been buying, you know, since it was
under a thousand and now it's over four.
But that's luck. It's not I don't buy it
for an investment. I buy it as a hedge
against the US dollar. Right.
>> Yeah.
>> That's why I buy it.
>> How much real estate have you sold from
your portfolio?
>> I I want to say it's probably close to a
billion. a billion dollars worth of real
estate you've sold.
>> And would you have been better off just
holding?
>> Oh, for sure. For sure. That's so
interesting.
>> Sometimes I look at those I was like,
"Oh, it's like it's like that place that
Yes. I I I did I I actually looked at a
building today in Vegas and I was just,
oh,
>> and and I did I had another one in
Portland that I that I sold and and you
know what happens is like a lot of us is
you see the equity, you want the equity,
right? you think you need the money and
sometimes you do need the money, but um
I I look back at some of those deals and
I I just shake my head.
>> But do you think it's going to be the
case in the future? Because you could
make the argument that that is true
because interest rates since the 70s
have constantly just gone down at the
same time as underbuilding over decades
and that's what's really led to this
discrepancy. Price has gone high.
>> That's fair. I I I think you know if I
if I just bought something let's say
here today and came back in 10 years I
think it would be worth more because of
inflation and and uh you you know and
obviously that's not what I would do but
I think inflation
is you know it's what my made my mom go
from $10,700
to over 700,000 you know she's not a
real estate investor my mother um you
know over she held real estate for a
long period of time, paid it off, lived
in it, raised a family in it, still owns
it. Um, you know, there's nothing wrong
with that. My sister is a bookkeeper.
Um, and, uh, at the Ever Clinic, which
is where I grew up, she did the same
thing. You know, she she bought five
rentals over a long period of time. And,
you know, now they're worth a few
hundred, few million, I think. You know,
a few hundred, two, three, four, five,
six each probably. Um, and you [snorts]
know, it's far better than she would
have done, you know, just trying to live
off a bookkeeper salary. So,
>> would you have been better off investing
in the S&P 500?
>> Uh, it's interesting. Yeah, I I've
looked at that. You know, the index
funds, I would say that's obviously one
of the bigger ones, most notable.
>> Um, I looked over 90 years, it's been
10%, I think, right?
>> Um, seven, that's nominal though. 7%
adjusted for inflation, I think. So
maybe, you know, the thing is um if I'm
if I'm if I'm cashing that out, I'm
paying tax on it as well. And in in real
estate, I can make more than 7%. And I
can get it out. I can get my money out
taxree. So I get I get the tax benefits
from real estate. I get leverage of
course and I get um the tenants pay pay
my loans off and and I get inflation so
I get all of those things on on the real
estate side. So I think the index fund
is easy uh certainly um doesn't take a
lot of knowledge to do that.
>> Um I'm certainly not averse to it at
all. Um I do believe in diversification.
Um and I'm heavy in real estate right
now. See, it's interesting you you
talked about being better off not
selling anything because I remember when
I got into real estate, I would ask all
these people that were buying
multi-million dollar houses what their
thoughts were on the market and their
advice for me. And they always said, "My
biggest regret is selling this piece of
real estate that I bought and I wish I
had just never sold anything." And I'm
at a point now where I'm starting to
sell off my rental properties
>> because they're located in California
for one, but also I don't want the
headache, the liability, the management,
the headache, and I'm looking at my
income that I make from those rentals,
and it's not bad, but I look at it in
proportion to everything else, and I
say, why bother when that's taking up
80% of my mental stress for these things
that just really don't yield anything
else in comparison to what else I could
do? No, you have to look at it that way.
I agree actually. You know, I look at my
equity against my return no matter what
I bought. So, I call it imputed equity.
Whatever the equity is today, you know,
obviously it's gone down uh in in the
last few years. Apartments have for
sure. Um so, but I always look at that
like what is, you know, how much money
do I have sitting there and what is it
making and what could I be doing with
that? Then I calculate tax and all that
kind of stuff in there. So, I'm not
averse to that at all. I'm continually
We just did a a very very big five
property. It's called a recap. So, I
took five properties that I've owned a
while and we had a significant amount of
equity in there. We actually pulled 77
million out of that of those five. And
[snorts] I had refinanced them multiple
times. And I had a tax problem too
because if you sell it, you got a
depreciation, recapture and all that.
So, so we did a 1031s
into new assets. So, it's basically
taking 80s property, 80s and 90s
property and rolling the equity tax-free
into into new stuff, 2022, 2021, 2023
construction. Um, less cash flow
initially, but I'm upgrading. And what
the reason I did that is because
the the amount of equity sitting in
those assets versus the return uh was
was not what I thought I could do by by
moving because again I'm I'm looking at
aging properties. you know, an 80 an 80s
property is, you know, it's it's 45
years old. And so, you start to have
these serious big things that happen
from a capex standpoint in properties
that you own for a long period of time.
It starts to creep up. Things get older.
Um, and and it costs money and and so
you start to take a look at that and and
um you start to calculate, you know,
where's this money best? How do I how
can I move it around? And that's all I'm
doing right now. It's it's like the end
of a Monopoly game, you know, when
you're you're just moving stuff around.
And that's essentially what I'm doing.
And that's why I'm here actually. This
is a
>> this is a 1031 exchange into this
property.
>> Um that's what it is.
>> Is there an ideal amount of money to
have to do mostly whatever you want to
do? And what do you think that
>> of real estate? Just a good net worth to
have.
>> Um I think it's all excessive honestly.
I mean, you know, I I think at some
point, uh,
we brought on a full-time director of
philanthropy and she works for us. She's
on our payroll. Um, eight years ago, uh,
we started doubling down on that. Uh,
you know, there's there is a point where
you're like, okay, we have enough,
right? And and, uh, then the next
question is is um, how do you preserve
what you have? U, do should I grow it?
Should I not grow it? Should I educate?
you know, why do I do my YouTube
channel? That's precisely why. So, I'm
having fun doing all that. Um, you know,
I I think it depends on what different
people believe their beliefs are, you
know. So, some people never stop. Um,
you know, and I think that's dangerous.
Uh, some people um, you know, stop too
early and I think that could be
dangerous. You know, I just heard a
story the other day where um, you know,
somebody stopped at $5 million and they
live in Newport Beach. I said, "Well,
that's going to be maybe 10 years, you
know, right?"
>> Mhm.
>> Okay. Well, so there you go. So, five's
too little. It seems like a lot to me,
like, you know, so I think it also
depends on what your expenses are and
what you spend money on, right? You I
used to have a lot of cars and lots of
houses and stuff like that and I I don't
anymore, right? I'm like, I I'm going
the other way. I'm pairing down. I'm
simplifying. Now, we've heard from other
guests though that that say that, you
know, with 10 million, you could do
pretty much whatever you want. With 50
million, you could get 98% of what a
billionaire has access to just outside
of like mega yachts and flying private.
>> I agree with that. Yeah, I completely
agree with that. Yeah. Yeah, I know the
math. I mean, that's right. I mean,
aside from, you know, those kinds of
things, but the reality is is I still
rent those yachts. like, you know, I
mean, just for a week or two and then
you throw the keys and same thing,
right? Like, uh, we, my wife and I, we
just went down to Manhattan Beach and,
[snorts] you know, rented a huge house
on the beach uh, for a couple summers
ago. It was a big check to write, but
boom, done, move on. And so I don't have
to own a $20 million home, [snorts] you
know, when you can rent it for 60 days
in the middle of the summer. So, yeah.
And and and part of that is is, you
know, I was getting to the point where
it was a pain in the butt. Like you feel
guilty. You buy something somewhere and
you're like, I need to go use it, right?
So you go use it or then you have a
whole team of people there watching it
and all this crazy stuff and it's just
it turns into nonsense. It's precise. I
had nine cars at one time. Same thing.
you you got to drive them, you got to
run them. You got you need somebody to
you know I mean the batteries die and um
you know there's all kinds of things
that uh you realize as you start to um
get excess and and then there is a point
of excess too.
>> What was the biggest pain in the butt to
maintain
>> the main houses? All the houses. Yeah.
just the pain's in the ass like like so
with my properties you I have I have 300
employees.
So I I have maintenance guys, we have
leasing people, we have managers, you
know, we have really really really smart
people running everything. I I own the
management company and the asset
management company and the development
company and the construction company. So
we have four main companies. Um, the
ones that were paying the butts are the
are the single house over here that I
owned that I had nobody, right? Because
then I had to find somebody that I
didn't trust or know yet maybe, you
know, in some remote area and, you know,
you're trying to cobble that together
like a the landscapers or the
maintenance people and you're not there,
you got to fly out there and so so
there's all these things um that um that
you have. So, there's that. And then we
would show up sometimes to I had a big
home on a lake in uh Lake Celerane up in
Idaho right downtown. I would get up
there and it'd be two to three weeks of
meeting with all those folks to try to
get it back to, you know, stable, you
know, whatever stuff from the winter or
whatever it was. and and we live in the
house for a month or two and then um and
and finally my wife's like, you know,
like
you know, half your time is bent on the
maintenance of this house. So So So I
said, "You're right." So started cutting
back on all that stuff.
>> What net worth do you have to have or
that you should have to buy a $10
million house?
>> I Well, a lot of it depends on your cash
flow. So, if you have no if you if
you're um and I will get there, uh you
can be an extremely high compensated
person in a tech business with a lot of
equity on paper and buy a house like
that as long as you have the income
coming in. Same thing with a surgeons or
whatever. But if if you're going to if
you're going to retire on something like
that, it depends on your age. Um, but I
think you need easily, you know, 3040
million uh would be would be probably
comfortable for me. Um, and that that,
you know, I I don't have debt on
anything personal. That's the
interesting thing. All my cars and
houses and anything that I have is has
paid off. Boats, all that stuff, it's
all paid off. I was always under the
assumption that the house should be
1/5if of whatever our net worth should
be. So, if you buy a $10 million house,
you should be worth or have liquid
assets, 50 total. We're talking to
someone recently who was saying that a
lot of people will stretch. They'll
they'll max out whatever they could buy
and their net worth could be way less
than something like that, but they get
in because that, you know, they can
afford it every month, but they're one
paycheck away from losing it.
>> That's really dangerous. Yeah. Extremely
dangerous. Yeah. I I don't agree with
that at all. I You know,
if if you have significant cash flow
coming in and it's consistent. Phil, as
an example,
all the properties I own pay my
management company every month. So, I'm
the general partner and I own the
management company. So, I pay myself.
That's how that works. So, so that
company does 3400 grand a month. Then I
have an asset management company. Same
thing. So, so the assets I own pay the
the M. So, so I have a guaranteed stream
of income coming in from from assets
that I already own indirectly plus I get
distributions from them too, right? cash
flow itself but somebody has to manage
it and and so the management company so
so uh does and so when you have
certainty in something like that then
then I think buying something like that
where the payment might be 20 30 40
$50,000 a month uh which is about what
it is um is not a problem you know again
it depends on the cash flow but if
you're you know like what you describe I
think that's risky
Does money buy happiness?
>> No. God, no. Not even close. Not at all.
>> Have you found though that your life
satisfaction has increased the more
money you make?
>> No. It's gotten more complicated.
[laughter]
For sure. For sure. The more money you
make, the more complicated it is.
>> The why the why keep going. Why not
scale back to a point where it just the
ultimate balance?
>> Yeah. Well, so because I don't equate
money to happiness. I equate money to
time.
That's it. So, so time is the reason I
do this. So, time is super important.
Time with my kids, time coming here, you
know, time away, time with my wife. I'm
here in Vegas with my wife. That's
that's really where it's at. So,
if you have money coming in, then, you
know, then then that's what you use it
for.
>> And why do people have money but don't
feel wealthy?
>> Where's that? like this guy.
>> Uhhuh.
>> Wow.
>> Like Graham.
>> Yeah. Well, I think it's interesting.
It's a phenomenal question.
I go back to mindset. I think um
I remember as a kid I we would be
checking out somewhere, my parents and
my mom would say, "We can't afford
that." And and it was true. You know,
they couldn't, right? They they were
good people, don't get me wrong. Um but
you know we shopped at thrift stores and
that you know that we a lot of our stuff
that's what we did. Um so so how so you
break through you have to break through
the mindset that mindset right I had to
um and now of course I want to like what
is risk you know what is risk really is
it to me it's predictability
and that's why I get freaked out a
little bit with stocks and crypto is I
feel like I because I I I understand the
management I understand I can predict to
a large degree the direction of an asset
especially if I buy it correctly. So,
so, so getting back to the the money and
the mindset, I think that it's the
belief system. The belief system creates
the mindset for sure. It's it's how you
think and then from there it's habits
and routine, right?
>> Is there any dark side of success that
people don't talk about?
>> Oh, health I would say is a big one.
Mental health, physical health for sure.
>> What have you seen? Oh, all kinds of bad
things. Like, uh I mean
I think well money
money makes people
have big egos. They think it's money.
Like somehow they think look at this.
I've I've made it and all of a sudden
they're they're better than someone
else. I see that a lot. Doesn't really
mean you don't have to be really wealthy
for that. I usually see it in the first
time. Like I see it in young people. You
know, a lot of young people may make
something real quickly and then all of a
sudden they feel like they're better.
The problem is um it goes away pretty
quickly unless they can sustain that. Um
but on the dark side, to answer your
question, so ego oftent times um doesn't
allow you to shut off the health and the
mental piece. So like what's what's most
important? If you were to ask me what
success is,
I would say that it's family and health
period. Right? And those are
interswitchable at times, but I would
say without your health, you got
nothing. So I see there was a time I
went to um in my YPO I went to a talk
where a guy owned a series of these
health spas like these you know and it
was pretty big and he was putting them
on cruise ships and it was a real big
brand and um he would say this is this
really hit me. He said, "The CEOs will
roll in here extremely unhealthy, big
guts, poor health, can't even walk up a
hill, and they come here for a week and
they want me to fix them." And uh it
kind of summarizes everything. I think
what happens is people prioritize money
uh over relationships and health. And I
think that's a huge danger.
>> Do you ever get people just asking you
for money?
>> Oh, yeah. Of course. All the time.
>> All the time. I have a rule and uh yeah,
I give money out. What's the rule? It's
really simple. I got this from my good
friend who um started California
Closets. Um and when he exited, you
know, we were talking one day and he's
like, "This is my rule." I go, "That's a
great rule." So if somebody comes and
says, "Hey, I need I don't know."
Usually it's a low number, right? Right.
He's like, "Always take it. Always take
the first one and say, "Listen, it's not
a loan. It's a one-time gift. So, you
give them the money
and you don't have to pay it back, but
you can't ask a second time.
So, and that's worked.
>> Can I have $50,000?
>> Yeah. One time. [laughter]
>> Deal. Don't no
one.
>> It's one time. It's a gift.
>> No.
>> It's a gift.
>> You didn't ask. I will. All right. I'll
take 51. [laughter]
>> No, I wouldn't. No.
>> But that's it. That's it. It's It's
simple.
>> And so, have people ever came back to
you after you gave them that first?
>> Very rare. But because I I I give them
the release like you know I listen if
they need it I'm good with it like you
know if they're if they're friends and
depends on what they want it for. I do
ask.
>> So I am curious though if everything you
do is to get back time. The purpose of
money is time.
Aren't you at the place now where you
don't have to pursue money anymore and
you have enough to be able to do
whatever you want with your time?
>> Yeah. Yeah. But see now what I It's a
great question now. You know, but I I
got my company on autopilot. Like I
don't have an office in the office.
>> You're here in Vegas
out. I know.
>> You got a free water.
>> Well, it's here's why. Again, it's it's
I'm managing my money, right? It's it's
coming out of a 1031. So, do I want I
definitely want to see where it's going,
right? It's moving into a new asset. So,
it's worth a trip. Uh, you know, and uh
we're going to
>> You get to come to Vegas.
>> And we're going to a show tonight. So,
what are you seeing?
>> Um I don't know. What are we Comedy?
>> Yeah, comedy.
>> How much do you work?
>> 10 to 20 a a week. Uh a lot on the
YouTube. Actually, probably half of that
is YouTube.
>> I know cuz I'm trying to figure it out.
Like, it's so bizarre to me. It's fun.
>> Yeah. Uh, I I I'm enjoying that piece a
lot.
>> Your YouTube videos are really good. I
found you a while ago when you made a
video about having FU money.
>> Yeah,
>> I remember seeing that. I'm really
enjoying it.
>> Thanks. Yeah. Yeah. I wish I could say
it was my idea, but um I had a a
youngster that said, "This is a great
video. We should do it." We did it. I'm
on my on my jet.
>> Yep. I remember seeing that and I loved
it. I thought it was really well put
together. Thanks. Thanks.
>> When did you realize you had FU money?
And what is FU money?
>> Well, I have a really good friend that
took his company public and I was
playing golf with him uh a couple months
ago and he's like, I can't spend what I
have and I think that's it.
You know, you can't like you get to that
point where there's so much cash flow
coming in. you got so many assets that
you know it's basically going to
transfer to someone else.
>> So when did you realize you had that?
>> Uh over 10 years ago.
>> And did anything in your lifestyle
change because of that realization?
>> No. The only thing that changed is I I I
figured out my trusts for my kids,
right? And I want to make sure that
they're taken care of. Um, I did buy a
jet because um I'm flying around and you
know like like I flew here today, you
know, for to to check these out and and
and I actually um it's it's nice. It's
nice to, you know, pop in somewhere and
fly back. We'll fly back in the morning.
>> How much was the jet? How much does that
cost to run?
>> Yeah, it was it cost us about 400 a
yearish
500. Yeah. Yeah. And how much was it to
purchase?
>> Uh we we paid about 3 million for it.
>> That's not bad.
>> No, that's a it's a it's a Phenom 100.
And uh that's hanger, pilot, fuel,
everything. And by the way, my partner
and I own it together. And
>> so you split it.
>> Yeah. So you know, call it 20 grand a
month each. And um
>> that's really not bad at all. How far
can you go in it?
>> It's a we fly um it's it's like 1,200
nautical miles, I believe. So, we can
fly to Dallas, we fly to Houston. Um,
and and so what what sometimes what I do
is we'll fly somewhere, land in the
morning in Austin, let's say, um, and
we'll [clears throat] have a car pick us
up, we'll go look at four or five of our
projects, and then we'll we'll literally
be heading back at 3 4:00 that
afternoon.
>> That would save us so much time. I mean
the travel that we do we we spend an
extra day getting somewhere because we
know that we have to book on these times
and we finish the podcast there's not a
good flight and then we have to wait a
few it's a dream to be able to go
>> that's what I'm saying it literally you
start to think of these things like you
know what what is time worth
>> so when can you buy a private jet how do
you know you're ready
>> when you have the cash flow coming in so
I had we have cash flow coming in on all
our businesses and I wanted to make sure
so I I like you don't like to take I
don't like to dip from my my nest egg,
right? I want there to be enough cash
flow to be able to pay for whatever I'm
going to do next. I very rarely take
chips off the table. Um I'm usually
right at this point moving money around
from asset to asset.
>> So that's the same thing that Graham
kind of does and I try to do which is
however much money your investments
make, that's the amount of money that
you can spend
>> as opposed to like your active income.
the active income. I never count any of
this as income because it like I've seen
it disappear so quickly.
>> Store as much of it as possible and then
spend maximum 4% of what your investment
portfolio is.
>> Yeah. So, I'm very similar, believe it
or not. It's just that we have so much
coming in now
>> because of our assets.
>> So, what are the best things to spend
your money on? The highest ROI, not
necessarily from an investment
perspective, but just from a quality of
life. Yeah, I think uh naturopath
um your blood work. Um I'm on a cleanse
right now, like uh literally Yeah, in
the middle of one. Um it's a 10-day one,
so it's not that far, but I've done 21
days. Um certainly anything health
related. Uh gym, uh for sure.
Relationship stuff. Um I just took my
kids uh two weeks ago. I did a big
fundraiser for the Navy Seals uh to in
San Diego in Coronado. Um we we raised
300 million or 300 million 300,000 for
them. Uh Beyond the Brotherhood, great
organization. Uh brought my kids. We did
some Navy Seal training. So those kinds
of things like uh where can I take my
kids? I'm taking them to Mexico soon.
>> How old are they?
>> They're in their 20s. They both work for
me, too. So it's very exciting. Not not
directly. Yeah.
>> Do you feel like you need to overpay
your children?
>> I don't even know what they make. like
uh I swear they they're they're paid
market, whatever that is.
>> So it's there's no nepotism involved
here. They're just getting paid market.
>> I Yeah.
>> Do you think nepotism is a bad thing?
>> It can be. Um it can be harmful to the
culture. So yes, I mean obviously
parents love their kids and and they
want them to work with them a lot of
times, but uh sometimes they're uh you
know if they're s if they're rubbing
shoulders with you know a seuite person
or somebody a a director or a manager of
a department and they're not capable
then for sure the culture gets pulled
down. Was there intent and purpose
behind the way you raised your kids to
make sure they wouldn't become the
person to rub shoulders with a seauite
executive? Well, they're on different
paths. Um, but I will tell you how I
started. Um, I started with barter. I
never I have never given my kids money
or allowances or anything. So, I always
started with okay like you guys can
figure out how how to make money like
and so we started with barter. So really
simply, I I belong to a golf club up in
Idaho and um they used to get we used to
go out and get golf balls at night. Now
doesn't seem like much, but when you're
six and 8 years old, you know, they
would make $1,000 a summer, right? And
then I would take half of that money and
I stick it in a jar. And I said, "Okay,
you can spend half, but we're going to
take half. Now you need to decide what's
the next business." And then they would
go on YouTube and go figure stuff out.
The next business was duct tape wallets.
I was like, "Okay, great." So, we take
them to Home Depot and I there were
lessons in all these things. Okay, how
much is the tape? How much is the
cutter? How much is this? How much is
that? Okay, so you need to sell 10
wallets to get this back. And so there's
and then then then the next thing is we
we actually created a a website for them
called createyouont.com.
Um, and so by the time they got in high
school and college, they were they were
buying stuff on eBay, selling it. They
were they were they were doing things
for for money. my son uh was repairing
iPhone screens back when you could um
and making whatever. And and so by the
time they And by the way, that's not all
foolproof either, but by the by the time
they they [snorts] got to the company,
you know, they they just appreciated
things because they weren't giving them.
That's interesting. I resonate with that
as well cuz when I was growing up, I
didn't have an allowance. When I finally
did get one, it was only achievable
through a bunch of chores throughout the
house. So, I kind of had to earn it. It
wasn't anything that was necessarily
gifted to me. And I remember the only
other job I could have was I could pick
up palm frrons. When wind would blow, it
would blow these long skinny palm frrons
onto our front lawn. And for every palm
frron I lifted up
>> and threw away, I got one penny.
>> Oh, a penny.
>> One penny per. And you can confirm with
my dad next time you see it was one
penny. How old were you? Like 13.
>> Oh, like I literally This was like one
of the only ways I could make money off.
[laughter] So I would do this as long as
I could.
>> More just picking up change off the
>> Well, it was annoying cuz I had to like
count them too. And so I would be able
to pick up a couple hundred though. So I
get like two or$4 dollars maybe max.
They were not huge. They were like
skinny and long. So
>> but yeah. And that actually
>> the lesson though
>> the lesson was the value and importance
of money and hard work and how money can
only be achieved through work.
>> Yep. And it worked obviously. Look at
you
>> did. Thank you.
>> Seriously. Your dad your dad raised a
good kid.
>> Thanks. And this guy will sometime soon.
Isn't that right, buddy? One day. So,
okay, that's it. Thank you so much for
coming on the ice coffee hour. That was
a great conversation. I really
appreciate it.
>> Yeah. Would love to have you back on at
some point again in the future. I'm sure
everyone watching would like to have you
back on like a year from now to talk
about cap rates changed by another make
another $500 million.
>> I don't know. I don't know. You know,
more charities, right?
>> So, we'll see. Thanks so much for coming
on the show. Pleasure. Thank you guys so
much for watching. And
>> you may notice the shot looks a little
bit different. We're filming in a new
location.
>> We still haven't really revealed much
about this except to the members. If you
want to join the members down below.
>> Yes. Oh, you know what? For the members,
if you join, you're going to see a full
office tour. We haven't done it since uh
should we do a new one?
>> Yeah, let's do a new one.
>> We'll do a new one so you guys get
behind the scenes content. But also,
thanks for coming on. Thank you guys for
watching. We're only able to do this
because of you. So, this warehouse is
because of you guys. We could not thank
you more. Thank you for watching. Till
next time. See you.