Video summary
Mike Solana opens his discussion with a critique of recent social media outrage regarding apps like Fly Me Out, which explicitly facilitate transactional connections between wealthy men and young women. He argues that while such platforms spark moral panic, they merely make explicit what has long existed implicitly on sites like Instagram, where influencers often fund lavish trips to Dubai without traditional employment. Solana connects this phenomenon to a broader rise in "trad right-wing" meme movements designed to counteract progressive online culture wars. He illustrates the power of memetic warfare with examples such as Ron DeSantis's anti-lab-grown-meat bill, which utilized visual memes rather than just legislative arguments, and Donald Trump's dominance as an internet-native figure who understands crowds better than his opponents like Joe Biden or even Elon Musk. Solana suggests that while right-wing media outlets struggle to define a coherent post-culture-war identity beyond oppositional rhetoric, the cultural hegemony of progressive orthodoxy has significantly eroded since events like January 6th and the acquisition of Twitter by Elon Musk removed artificial censorship barriers. The conversation shifts to the economic viability of independent media in an era where clickbait revenue models have collapsed due to ad-blockers and privacy changes. Solana notes that investigative journalism struggles without massive advertising floods, leading many outlets toward subscription-based models or co-branded products like fitness gyms for influencers. He expresses skepticism about the future of American higher education, citing skyrocketing tuition costs—approximately $82,095 per year including room and board—and arguing that colleges function as "woke indoctrination camps" propped up by a government loan system that treats student debt as an inalienable right. Solana proposes that allowing private banks to assess the risk of lending for degrees like gender studies would naturally reset prices or eliminate unsustainable programs, challenging the cultural notion that college is necessary for survival and success. Solana also addresses the intense taboo surrounding topics such as race and IQ within academia, referencing a study by Corey Clark where psychology researchers listed these subjects among their most forbidden areas of discussion due to fear of censorship. He attributes this climate partly to the combination of coercive vaccination mandates and aggressive trans activism, which he believes shattered the illusion of authority for many people. Furthermore, he warns against "X-risk" doomerism regarding artificial intelligence, arguing that while caution is wise, halting progress allows foreign competitors like China to copy American innovations and dominate global markets in critical fields such as biology and AI. He emphasizes that technology always carries uncertainty, but stopping advancement due to fear of potential risks would be a strategic error that cedes control to hostile superpowers who will continue developing these technologies regardless of Western regulations. Finally, Solana analyzes the upcoming 2024 election dynamics, predicting a decisive victory for Donald Trump driven primarily by voter anger over inflation and mass illegal immigration rather than cultural issues like abortion or Roe v. Wade. He observes that while Democrats are embarrassed by Biden's age and foreign policy failures involving wars in Ukraine and Israel, Republicans have never had an incumbent president to compare against, making the choice between a known quantity (Trump) and a perceived senile leader inevitable for many voters. Solana concludes that immigration is the galvanizing issue affecting middle-class families across demographics, including Black neighborhoods where displacement due to illegal migration has sparked significant unrest. He advises listeners to subscribe to Pirate Wires daily content and engage with their essays on various platforms as they navigate this fragmented media landscape toward a potential political realignment.
Read the full video transcript
Fly me out, a new invitation only social
travel club app where hot chicks can
sign up for trips with rich guys. Go
ahead, read between the lines. Recently
launched sparking negative reactions on
social media. While concerns about
trafficking are understandable, the
anti-prostitution outrage feels a little
precious. Are we really pretending guys
haven't been using Instagram for
precisely this purpose for years?
Hordash just makes it a little more
explicit, which is by the way why the
app will probably fail. So, relax. If
we're clutching pearls, let's talk about
the CCP using TikTok to keep a database
of our fingerprints, or incels
permanently connecting to their VR
headsets auto blow 3000 combo while the
birth rate plummets. Uber meets is at
least improving the [ __ ] rate, said
Riley Noak for PirateWires three
mornings takes this morning. Yeah, that
I'm going to be
I worked with them on that one. This it
started from a it started from a tweet
of mine. So, I feel confident talking
about this subject. I didn't know we
were talking about this today, but I am
happy to talk about this today. Um,
where do we begin with that?
You tell me, too. This is your story.
First of all, you guys should subscribe
to the PirateWires daily and get our
three takes every day.
should. I I read it every morning. I
read it every morning. Thank you very
much. Um, I do think
I think that the
So, you have this app. It's uh not
actually called the Hordash. It's called
Well, you said it. It's right, it's Fly
Fly Me Out. So, I mean, you have this
app that is designed to connect young
hot women with rich
probably not so hot guys on yachts and
whatnot. And people freak out because
why? It's the explicit This is a
transactional thing of it all. But I
started noticing, I mean, years ago on
Instagram people with 10,000, 20,000
followers on Instagram
all like clockwork. You hit that number,
maybe two times that number, and
suddenly for some reason you want to go
to Dubai. Um, just
of time in the Middle East. It's you you
see these pictures I'm going to Dubai.
I'm going to this other random oil rich
country with where there's like lots of
oil royalty and I'm flying first class
somehow. How are you doing that with
20,000 Instagram followers? It doesn't
pay you any money.
No job, no no obvious sign of
employment.
And this is how it this is how the world
works. Instagram is like a yellow pages
for hot people who are for sale. I don't
think all of them are like this. I don't
want to say that's true of everybody,
but I mean, you slide into someone's DMs
and you offer them a yacht. Like that is
sort of how the world works um online.
And it's maybe how it's always worked
for young hot people. I don't know,
Hollywood seems like that kind of a vibe
in general. But I think that what people
freaked out about here is is the
explicit nature of it. It's by saying it
out loud, by making it more obvious.
People don't like that. Everyone is
everyone's sort of
I can't believe that people are so
stupid as they don't know this is
happening. But but if they are, okay,
fine, different class of person. I think
the average person sort of sees those
Dubai trips and is like, what's going on
there? But then they don't think too
much about it because there's this this
polite lie we tell about it. Anyway,
internet's fun. That one made me laugh.
Why is why is calling it out why is
being explicit about something that most
people probably had an idea was
happening, why is that
causing uproar?
I don't know. It's I mean, this is
always the case of everything, right?
Isn't this just what the nature of being
polite is? It's this We tell each other
these
polite lies in social situations to make
everybody feel comfortable. And um
I don't know, there are whole like
novels written about this. This is Jane
Austen has been writing She's maybe she
writes about this better than anybody
else at all. Just talking about sort of
the rules of polite society and what
exists be
behind those rules. It will always
exist. It's just This is just something
that happens to be really contentious um
in our culture. I also think there's
something happening, you know, separate
from all that.
If you're super online, you've probably
noticed there's this
rising trad right-wing thing, which is
um
super
anti It's a
maybe like classically socially
conservative.
Um
And I think we just haven't seen that
kind of a real forceful conservative
socially conservative right-wing thing,
you know, in a while. At least since I
was in college, I think. It's definitely
more popular now than ever. I don't know
how popular it is outside of the
internet. Uh we'll find out.
Um, probably soon.
It's like a it's like a meme movement
purpose-built to counteract other meme
movements that kind of only really exist
on the internet. Yeah. Yes, yeah. It's
like the I mean, the internet is a world
of
like based Greek statues fighting sort
of gender queer they/them anime fairies.
And they both come with their own
philosophies. Um and I I mean, I've
taken this stuff very seriously for a
very long time. And I think that I'm I'm
probably
I'm at least a little bit right about
that. The question is how right am I
about that? It seems like those things
uh
those groups of people and these this
ideological warfare that's sort of
visualized online in that way does have
an impact on politics. So, it's a little
bit downstream of that at least. So, you
see that I think a lot with um
the almost
meme-like framing of DeSantis as he
signed the anti-lab-grown-meat bill. It
felt very trad right-wing Twitter
adjacent. Even though there's all sorts
of real obvious sort of boring political
reasons for that, including just the
money that lobbyists spend on campaigns,
especially in Florida, and how much
impact agriculture has on US politics.
Can you explain what that framing was
for the people who aren't sufficiently
plugged in online?
hot people. You have just huge jacked
dudes and gorgeous bombshell blondes,
like fitness influencer-looking people
um before a table of real meat splayed
out at the butcher and DeSantis like
signing this bill. Or he he might have
been I think he he was inspecting the
meat uh as he announced the signing of
the anti-lab-grown-meat bill in Florida.
So, you can't I believe you can't I know
you can't work on it there. I think you
can't buy it either. I'm not sure if you
can bring it there. You definitely it's
in super it's the most aggressive
anti-lab-grown-meat bill that exists,
which has a lot to do with the fact that
you just can't get it yet. It's a sort
of abstract conversation we're having.
Um, but he he he couched it in memes in
memetic I don't want to call it language
cuz it's but it's visual language. It's
like it's like memetic visual language
is how he got that point across.
Or maybe how he tried to get support for
what he was doing. But this stuff does,
you know, long story short, this stuff
what happens on the internet does matter
at least a little bit.
Yeah.
Well, there was that Dark Brandon
moment, right? Where they tried to get
Biden to meme. And the reason that I
thought I thought that was to be honest,
actually
pretty funny. Dark Dark Brandon is a
good meme. It's like a shockingly good
meme.
It's a really [ __ ] Yeah, it's the Uno
reverse card of of of the left. I think
the problem was that it's kind of a
little bit like hearing your mom do a
gay joke. Oh, yeah. Yeah, yeah.
I
I mean, the the background is like
You know that Biden has never actually
seen the meme. And if he or if he has,
he doesn't understand it. Like he's not
the one memeing. He can't even string a
sentence together. I don't even know
that he's been online in probably years.
I mean, since he Does he check his
email? I don't know how it works for
him. But he has a he has handlers who
know at least a little bit about memes.
So, they were able to sort of get that
one out there. Whereas Trump I mean,
you're up against someone like Trump
Trump
Trump understands memes. Trump's online.
He's You know that Trump is
tweeting himself. No one was tweeting
for him. Um, he understands the
internet. He understands crowds. And so,
any sort of memetic war with him is
going to be
hard to win. He's very good. This is
like I mean, he's the
the god troll of the internet.
champion of meme war. How do you sort of
conceptualize the broad
armies of of sort of discussion and and
pockets of of memetic warfare on the
internet now? And like where do you fall
within this? Like what are you as well
as a part of this?
Man, it's so complicated now. And I've
I'm having a hard time recently not a
hard time. I think I'm in a process now
of
recalibrating
my sense of what's going on because the
internet has changed so quickly over the
last year and a half to years.
Um Take me through that. Explain to me
how you sort of conceptualize this this
less sort of
Well, the vibe shift has been coming for
a while and I've written about it. I
wrote about it I think gosh, it might
have been like a year and a half to
years ago. Um, it it we've we've been on
this
train for quite a bit. It was
post-COVID.
A lot of the lies we were forced to
believe or at least
parrot online became so incredible that
the whole order that was sort of
propping them up. When we're talking
about lies about COVID, lies about
gender, um lies about honestly I I I
think this one's going to be more
controversial, but I I look at something
like January 6th and it's like
that wasn't a coup. So, what are we
actually talking about here? Like no one
really believes it was a coup. Not even
the New York Times believe They won't
use that word coup. Who's using the word
coup? Not them for a reason because it's
like if
Whatever that narrative was that was
constructed of all of these different
things became impossible to defend. And
uh at that point, once it became
impossible to defend, you started seeing
a lot of descent um
across the board on in all all of
different places. Places where I'm
I agree, places where I don't, but it
was sort of a a mass disagreement. In
fact, disagreeing with that consensus
became popular and has rewards
associated with it on social media.
Okay, there are way more influencers who
are opposed to this stuff now who are
doing well than there are people who are
are for the whatever the state narrative
is. That's that feels like it's just
over. You know, you have the remnant of
both sides of the fence as opposed to
previously you would have basically had
someone who would have been cynical or
disagreed if it was against their
particular perspective, but now more
people on both sides. Is that your
belief? Just few years ago you had
a mainstream sort of state narrative
about everything in your life and that
was defended ferociously by a handful
not a handful of a sort of army of media
both institutions and influencers who
work for those institutions who were
artificially amplified by social media
platforms. Their voices were were
actually artificially
put on blast. Um, they both disseminated
a story that was the correct story and
they ruthlessly attacked anybody who
stepped outside of it and so it was a
very dark time to be someone who had
weird ideas. It was like no real way to
do it without getting sort of massive
massive blowback, probably losing your
job if you didn't work for Peter Thiel
like I did. Um,
it was not good. Uh, the story became so
absolutely clownish and so unpopular
that it began to fall apart and that's
around the time that Elon bought Twitter
and so everything just there was no more
political censorship. All of the
artificial amplification ended. The
Overton window of acceptable speech
completely broadened and once that
happened
the old world of
the influencers who maintained the
narrative and then all of the people
just below them who would sort of wink
at the truth, uh, try and edge around
the truth, try and meme in interesting
ways. Um, you know, that was a pressure
that really I think forced creativity,
uh, among dissenters. All of that ended
and so now what you have are people
really just being honest and saying sort
of a range of things that are either
interesting or crazy and I don't know
that it tracks so easily to groups
anymore. There used to be sort of the
wokes and the antis,
um, the people who sort of opposed the
woke framework and the woke orthodoxy
and this culture of silence. I no longer
believe that culture of silence exists
in the way that it did. I think it still
exists to some extent, you know, this
infection of institutions still exists.
Um, you still have different
universities and things where you're
forced to sort of speak to DEI mandates
and things like these. It's sort of
affirmative you're you're expected to,
uh, affirm the orthodoxy of these
regressive racial sort of quotas and
things like this.
But it
who has been attacked for criticizing
that lately? Like really try and think
about that. Nothing but awards and that
that says to me that culture is changing
rapidly and then in terms of the camps
now,
I think it's really not clear. I don't I
don't I think it's easy to
and I think a lot of people on the right
especially really want to believe that
that old machine still exists because it
was such
a fun fight because it was like a
righteous fight. You you were fighting
what felt and what was really what
really constituted
power
and a really unjust abuse of power over
speech. I just don't think that's there
anymore and so people are having to do
the uncomfortable thing of ask
themselves, you know, what do I actually
believe and what do I want and there's
way more disagreement on those questions
than there was agreement on the question
of whether or not the woke thing was
good and it wasn't. So Uh, isn't it
interesting now I said. Isn't it
interesting this
like the allure of being a righteous
revolutionary speaking truth to power?
You know, it's there's so much nobility
associated with that. You just draped in
glory. You like you push back against
something that you know and most people
kind of do and you know that the people
that are pushing it also kind of don't
believe in it and you know the sort of
low-key on the side by the water cooler
everyone kind of has your back a little
bit. It it has all of the appearance of
being a brave flame-wielding martyr
with none of the real risk especially if
especially if you're like a fun employed
[ __ ] like degenerate
self-employed writer type person.
And now that that hegemony isn't
perceived in the same way, you're like
uh, what am I fighting against? I wonder
whether this I wonder whether downstream
from this the, you know,
places like maybe the Blaze or Daily
Wire or whatever. I wonder how they're
positionally going to sort of maneuver
themselves around this. I think it's bad
news for them. The Daily Wire was the
first place that I noticed this. I
started I was watching these endless
Matt Walsh and Candace Owens clips where
and this was a while like a year and a
half ago or something. Um, maybe two
years ago. There it was just every day
it was another woke whack-a-mole story
where they find some
idiot online saying something that was
crazy, you know, and they looked they
they looked crazy, they were saying
crazy things, they wanted something
crazy. Um, but they just didn't really
matter. It didn't feel like that
mattered anymore because culture had
already changed so much. I thought, man,
what are they doing here and I I
realized oh, they they have to do this.
This is what their audience wants. This
is the audience they built. It's all
their audience knows
a what it's it's the thing that they
audience expects from them and is the
only thing the audience will tolerate
from them because they haven't actually
at that institution shared a really,
um, coherent sense of what they wanted
because many of them disagreed as we now
see with the exit of Candace, right? Um,
there's strong disagreement over there
about
what they actually are. Again, agreement
on what they don't like, but what are
they? What is the America that they
want? That's not clear and those places
are going to have a really hard time I
think turning that ship into a new
direction.
Um,
and and this seems to be a problem
the right wing has had in politics for a
really long time because, uh,
it's always it's almost designed to be
losing. It's like oh, it's been losing
our whole life. It's lost.
I mean the country has just shifted left
every year a little bit more and more
and the left has sort of swallowed
culture every cultural institution and
so when you have these media upstarts
that have a different voice, um, it's
automatically a reaction against
mainstream culture and politics.
Yeah, your your existence is only ever
positioned in opposition to whatever
that orthodoxy hegemony is.
Which is necessary, um, but then once
you and the few dissidents left sort of
running their mouths
win in any way whatsoever and like right
now I would classify this as
I wouldn't say it's a a victory, but
there is there have been a series of
great victory like small victories
against cultural hegemony. So you have
this space where someone probably could
forward an interesting compelling
counter idea not just, um, you know, a
critique of the power structure, but um,
an alternative and
people are listening, but the sort of
critics
don't know what that is. A lot of a lot
of a lot of a lot of
a lot of defense being played. Permanent
defense. It's also a lot of people who
have never maybe never even thought of
these things, you know, I probably most
people have never thought of these
things who are popular online. These are
influencers who have chased an algorithm
for years. They got a lot of attention
for a certain kind of thing and they're
still doing it. I still think about the
Dylan Mulvaney stuff a lot which was
crazy. I mean I wrote about this when
the Budweiser thing happened and the
repercussions of that. It was very
interesting,
but
is Dylan Mulvaney like really a threat?
Like are we still talking about Dylan
Mulvaney? Like how how long does do that
have to happen? It's it's like you do it
because
that is what's being rewarded online,
um, for for this kind of person. It's
incent it's incentives all the way down.
I had this, uh, idea that this kind of
relates to. I want to teach you about
it. So I came up with this idea called
the culture war's shiny object cycle and
it's a six-stage process that pretty
much every news story goes through, I
think. So
number one, some woke news story hits
the press. Cats suffer from racial
discrimination or screwing in light
bulbs needs to be recognized as a valid
sexual kink or something. Number two,
the right-wing antibody response
activates. Look at how insane these
people are. Matt Walsh quote tweets the
article and calls it obnoxious. This is
the problem with our convenient decadent
TikTok society. Number three, this
reaction causes the story to gain
infinitely more traction than it ever
would have done by signal boosting the
original fringe scenario into a much
bigger event. Number four, the left-wing
counter response activates.
Right-wingers lose their minds over one
woman with a particularly dark cat. The
Daily Wire has a meltdown over an
insignificant troll article. In times
where the original story is less insane,
this includes a defense of the original
article, too. Cats actually can
experience trauma. Minimizing this is
the real problem. Number five,
the right-wing re-reaction kicks into
gear. Apparently I'm insane for pushing
back against cat trauma. See, this is
the problem. If we don't stand our
ground, these blue-haired idiots will
take over the country. And number six,
finally, the touch grass meta
reactionary steam in. The real issue is
people talking about this issue. Look at
how silly this whole thing is. It's time
to check out of the culture war. We
should reconnect with what really
matters. You should move onto the ranch
next to Ryan Holiday and hammer a fence
post into the ground for the rest of
time.
Yeah, I mean they're all like that is
true
and funny. And I've also been each one
of those six, by the way. Like I've
appeared
also say there's a reason I think
the original cat story does actually
matter. It's written for a reason,
right? This is a person who is creating
a narrative about what culture is. The
reason that you have a visceral reaction
against it would be your recognition
that this is not just one one-off thing.
It represents something about what our
culture is. And in there you usually are
correct, right? You know, these crazy
gender stories we saw for years have
resulted in
a skyrocketing number of young kids who
think that they're a different gender.
And what does that mean for our society?
It's clearly not
You know what? This is a whole that'll
take us We can talk about gender for a
long time. I don't want to necessarily
get in the weeds on that.
Uh
I just do think that the stories we
consume have an impact on how I I don't
disagree. So
the reason I called it the shiny object
cycle is that what I was particularly
interested in is why, given the fact
that it pretty reliably follows the same
six steps each time,
why do we continue to be captured by
stories that are formulaic and a layout
that's formulaic? And it's because my my
belief is that each time that the story
comes along, it's just sprinkled with
sufficient novelty to make it seem to us
like it's something new. That was the
shiny part of it. For instance, it's
LGBT month in
soon. And there will
There will I know.
There will be some addition
to the flag. There will be something
that's added on. It's people with a
gluten intolerance or hearing deficiency
or Crohn's disease or something. And
that will be Well, we haven't seen this
flag before. And it legitimates the
pushback. Because people think, well,
this is new This is more ground is being
seceded to the the crazy woke idiots.
Yeah.
I mean a lot of it is just
the sense that
it's the amount of It's hard cuz I I
wasn't around
before the internet, right? So I don't
know how
I remember I mean I was around I was
alive, but I don't really remember
how the media cycles
shaped and how long they would last and
ours today are rapid and
um
anyone can get involved. So people with
relatively little power, maybe no
attention or friends, no matter what
their politics are, left or right, feel
empowered to say crazy [ __ ] and get
attention online for that crazy [ __ ]
And uh I wonder
often how much of this is driven really
by that. Just people who want someone to
see them. And so they're actually saying
this really crazy [ __ ] for that reason.
People who just needed more hugs when
they were a kid.
I mean everyone needs hugs. And I'm pro
hug. I think that's something that we
can all get on board with. More more
hugs.
Yeah, you want to offer that instead of
I don't know, cash checks for
shitposting.
Like we'll just
we'll give you some physical attention,
some love. Well, that's something else,
dude.
The [ __ ] shitposting thing, like not,
you know, Poe's law has become so poey.
Uh I have no idea.
At least 50% of the things that I read
on Twitter, I'm like, I have no idea if
this is meant to be an earnest post or
if I should just disregard it. Yeah, all
of the anonymous people feel like this
to me, where it's not really clear what
they believe and or if it's just like
sort of wild performance art.
And then interpretive dance of Twitter.
Yeah, the other thing when you're
dealing with anonymous people is like,
are they even adults? How many teenagers
am I fighting with online? I never know
the answer to that question,
but it would answer a lot of other
questions I have about
the quality of thinking.
What? Okay, so
we've got this sort of odd transition
where
the more mental progressive woke
orthodoxy type thing is maybe being
pushed back against in quite an
effective way over the last
two years or something.
What do you think How How good's your
crystal ball for so
where you think the main tribes are
going to be and moving forward and what
the main narratives are going to be over
the
whatever the next 18 months?
Well, right now
everything is feeling really
fractured uh
by platform. So there's been an
interesting migration. I just
accidentally logged into Threads this
morning and saw a cut on a drama that I
did not even follow very closely at all,
which was this football player who I
think at a um commencement speech
suggested that women should be
homemakers.
The stay-at-home thing and then one of
the Kelce's got in trouble. Jason Kelce
got in trouble. All the Kelce's got
involved and then one got very
aggressive and was like, you're I would
never advise my daughter to be a
homemaker. Um and this is I really I
feel bad talking about this because I
haven't
dipped into it. So I might be getting
some of these facts wrong. Don't hold it
against me.
Uh but my point's not really about the
story so much as like I knew almost
nothing about it until I went on to
Threads and saw a very
a lot of support for very left-wing
type arguments of a kind that I used to
see much more on Twitter and have become
sort of insulated from to a certain
extent.
Wow. Okay. So you've you've got now
viewpoints segregated, segmented by
platform. Yeah, and now I saw stuff
about this on on Twitter or X. Like I
saw the backlash the backlash, Whoopi
Goldberg defends, defends, but it but it
was never so big enough to care about
that you were like, oh, I better figure
out what this what this drama is. It
didn't It didn't penetrate to that
extent on X. It's It's much bigger
elsewhere and that's because it's
a bigger deal to the left, I think. And
I think that you will see this
just total
fragmentation of media,
not just, you know,
I'm I'm a Daily Wire reader or a New
York Times reader, but where do you go
to talk about those stories?
It's already been a trend.
Um
Jack Dorsey talked a little bit about
this in an interview I did with him for
Pirate Wires. What do you learn from
him? You got to sit down with the ex
ex-Twitter man as a now you are one of
the current sort of big Twitter man.
Like what what did you learn?
So much.
Um
I think the big thing about Jack Dorsey
is
he's really just the most
misunderstood
leader in tech, I think.
Jack created something that became
explosive and was a piece of a much
bigger explosion, which was social
media. And
is it even social media? It's It's more
like
interactive media now. This thing where
any one of us can
open up our
smartphone that lives in our pocket or
our supercomputer lives in our pocket
and tweet our opinion out to millions of
people. What does that mean for society,
right? And he was at the front lines of
that and he's a free speech guy, and
more so than any of the other leaders up
until recently.
He's a sort of cryptoy
anarcho-capitalist-y
type guy who tried his best to maximize
freedom for as long as he could and then
faced a lot of
just impossible to overcome obstacles
with a publicly traded company. The
biggest one would have been advertising.
So you have these huge advertising
giants that will turn you off overnight.
And that could happen to him. And if
that happened to him, and in fact
previously they had they had they'd been
threatened with this,
um you lose your stock price plummets
and you risk a hostile takeover, which
actually has been attempted on that on
that company. And so he was forced into
this pragmatic place, which he as I
think an ideological person really
hated. He tried to create a technology
that would have ended the problem
completely. No censorship ever would
have happen had to have happened again
if Blue Sky worked in the way that he
wanted. Um and then that didn't quite
work out either. He wasn't in charge of
that one, but um
there's a lot there. I could talk about
Jack for a while. I think the main thing
is just I actually do believe that
he was facing a set of problems that had
no one had ever faced before. Um the
other people, contemporaries of his,
were facing them along with him. He did
slightly better than all of them, I
think.
Um in terms
Maybe they didn't have the
value set of the ideological
They did not. So if you're judging him
as, you know, and he often is judged as
someone who is very bad for free speech,
someone who is anti-free speech, someone
who is pro-censorship, pro-government,
he's in fact, to a certain degree, the
face of that for a lot of people,
especially on the right. It's not fair.
He is
the best on free speech of all of his
contemporaries. He is the only one who
who I can see who is genuinely
ideologically
um among the giants who is genuinely
ideologically motivated in favor of that
stuff. He just failed in in a kind of
tragic way. Um
it's the story of him is
uh
I don't know, it's sort of touching to
me because I just see someone who really
did actually try
um and who for whatever reason couldn't.
Taking the company private solves a lot
of the problems that he was facing, not
all of them.
The company is still under a lot of
pressure and facing a huge uphill climb,
but it's the first step in the right
direction and it's a step that Jack
himself actually helped
achieve for Elon. He was a part of that.
You know, he wanted this. So Is it the
case then as
different social medias
become different platforms kind of
become more and less popular with
certain subsets that you are going to
have, you know, everyone knows like
there's some probably some mad [ __ ] on
Rumble's comment section and Truth
Social. Yeah. But you don't think you
still think, well, yeah, but Twitter's
everyone, isn't it? And and Instagram's
everyone. Like everyone's got the like
there's a big four or whatever. Um are
you Do you think that we're going to see
this start to sort of splinter off more
so? And that means that you're going to
get a skewed perspective. Right-wingers
are going to see the world's going to
see more right-wing and and progressive
people are going to the world's going to
see more progressive cuz that's just the
Twitter's always been pretty niche to
begin with even before the Elon
takeover. It was a sort of a small
social media platform compared to the
other and in terms of advertising
revenue, it was small compared to other
tech giants. So one face Facebook, which
is the more natural comparison, but then
also Google and those two companies
swallow up all of the advertising
revenue. So Twitter's always competing
for very very like scraps, basically.
But in terms of the audience and it
terms of the audience this is related
the audience on Twitter was very small.
It was the small percentage of people in
the country who are super motivated by
ideas, affected by ideas and want to
share them and think a lot. Writing,
it's like it I think language is just
writers versus picture people is what
you get on Instagram or TikTok even to a
certain extent, which is more like a
storytelling. The those are those feel
more more primal and Twitter feels more
Well, it's literary and it's a it's like
literary warfare and that is not
everybody in the country. So it was
always small and now I would say it's
even
it's increasingly smaller because the
left unlike the right is
at this moment in time culturally highly
motivated by censorship and wanting to
insulate itself from other views and
opinions.
They believe I think that the opinions
are beyond the pale and need to be iced
out. I think they're probably really
scared of them because they don't have
counterarguments, which is what has
motivated the entire thing. I think
probably there are a lot of left-wing
people who hear certain arguments
probably on immigration and things like
this that they clock as beyond the pale
and don't want to face because on some
level they recognize that they're
important arguments and they don't have
an answer to them and that makes them
uncomfortable. But beyond the
psychoanalysis, the facts are just that
left-wing people don't want to be in a
place where right-wing people are
permitted to speak and so
at least the very sort of hardcore
left-wing people. So they have almost
all left. You have a lot of media people
who still stay on X
but the like the real committed
ideological type people
where are they?
There are a handful uh threads more more
but you can't really talk about politics
there. I think that's the biggest
competitor right now.
Or it's certainly the biggest
competitor.
But then you have a spectrum of you have
Blue Sky, you have Mastodon
and you have an endless number of group
chats that I think are popping up and
proliferating.
Telegram and [ __ ] like that. On those
things then also what is it so Discord
you know, there are any number of other
places where people are pooling and I
think the future will be some sort of
more
fragmented media platform Mhm. situation
unless something happens at X which
turns it around, which could also
happen.
Elon I don't really believe is anathema
to
I don't believe he's anathema to
censorship.
I think that he's less ideologically
committed to this than even Jack was. He
believes in it for America, free speech,
but if laws start to change, you know,
abroad for example, he he just follows
the rule of the law wherever it is and
or the letter of the law wherever it is
and in the context of America, we'll
see. But the rules could change tomorrow
and once they change even a little bit
I think you see people come back.
Is it weird to be building a media
company right now? Like Vice fell apart,
BuzzFeed's a mess, the NPR just hired a
crazy lady to run it. Like what the
[ __ ] happening to Rolling Stone?
Yeah.
What do you think about this sort of
future of media versus independent media
and all of that?
You know
it is
a really crazy time to be building a
media company. It makes no sense. I
don't recommend it. I think it is
stressful and
the path to victory is very narrow. Um
You're not making revenue on clicks
anymore. That style of people like it's
clickbait. Clickbait doesn't matter.
It's not what's helping anybody.
That whole style of new media has died.
This is why BuzzFeed is in the state
that it's at right now. This is why
someone like Vivek could even try a
hostile takeover with that company is
cuz it's worth nothing because that
style of media just does not make
business sense. What works is
subscription revenue and people
subscribe to things that help them make
sense of the world and confirm their
biases. So that's what's true of the New
York Times and that's true of Pirate
Wires is people who are paying money to
us do so because they feel like we're on
the same side fighting for the same
things. That is a much smaller pool of
revenue than the massive advertising
you know, flood of money that we saw not
only, you know, in the early 2000s when
the social thing first happened, but you
know, decades and decades ago.
Um so it's going to be a way smaller
industry to begin with. I think that
there is potentially a lot of
interesting upside on
co-branded
products that matter to your audience
and you, things that you both So imagine
you're a fitness influencer and you're
doing like a chain of gyms or something.
Like those kind of partnerships are
going to matter more. But like what that
means for investigative reporting is not
good. I don't know how you do that in in
in this new world.
pen and pad that I use. This is the
note-taking app that I I'm using. Nobody
cares because nobody follows
investigative reporters around for
identity-based reasons and
identity-based reasons are what drive
the entire
contemporary media landscape. So it's
difficult. Nobody has an answer to this
question and if they tell you they're
wrong,
my sense is fragmentation. Do what you
know and love and fight for the things
that you believe to be true. I believe
that you should be biased and you should
wear your bias on your sleeve. Um and
then I think that you use the revenue
that you
make to nurture younger people who are
telling a different part of your story
that you think is important and that's
where I hire journalists and things like
this to report out different pieces of
the puzzle that I'm just not going to
have time to do.
Did your your team some of your
reporters is it River Page? He left. But
God damn it. Yeah, he's gone. Sanjana is
still there though. Okay, cool. Anyway,
you've got you've got you've got some
some good people. You mentioned um
American colleges earlier on.
Is that the
waste ground that everybody thinks that
they're a lost cause? American colleges?
You know, it's crazy cuz they should be
out of business, right? Like I don't
know, man. Like that it didn't it seem
like a a lost cause 10 years ago and
people are still not only sending their
kids to go to school, but for how much
money is it a year to send your kids to
like NYU or something with room and
board? I think we're definitely over
$60,000 a year at this point. I think
we're closer pushing to 70. I think it
might You know what? I'm not going to
Google it. If you I don't know what you
guys do in post if you have like a
number you can flash, but it's a lot.
It's it's more money than I would have
ever thought people would have paid for
um
a college degree plus room and board for
four years and you're not even
accounting for interest. There it is. So
58,168
tuition, 23,927
other costs, books and on-campus room
and board.
$82,095.
That was Oh, that was That was uh 21-22.
For a year. For a year. That So that if
that hasn't killed this and
the fact that
it's very obvious now these are just
sort of like woke indoctrination camps
hasn't killed this
I don't know what's going to kill this.
Um
I think that
if I mean every year it feels like it's
the last year. I do think if I'm not
wrong, I'm pretty sure admissions were
down for one of the years, but
not down nearly as to to where they
should be.
What has to happen is
the government has to stop
giving out loans. The government should
have nothing to do with the loan system
at all. You should be able to declare
bankruptcy on your student loan debt,
which you're presently not allowed to
do.
The only one you got.
And what that's going to do, once you're
able to discharge student loan debt
easily
if with a massive hit on your
credit score and the government's not
guaranteeing loans
students are going to have to go to
private banks and the private banks are
going to have to run risk analysis and
say, if I give you
$82,000
a year times four plus interest, do you
have any hope in hell
of paying that back with a gender
studies degree
in your lifetime?
The answer is no and so it's a bad loan
and you're not going to get it. And once
the banks start making decisions once
you allow the private banks to make
decisions like this
all of the prices will reset. They all
have to. Most of the second, third tier
beyond
Oh, right. Because because the funding
is cartelled inside of the system. No
one gets to sort of peer under the skirt
of what's happening.
this idea that there is almost an
inalienable right to go to college and
that is a weird cultural idea that makes
no sense whatsoever. It's way worse than
even health care which I also don't
think you have like an inalienable right
to. You don't have a right to someone
else's labor. That's how that's not how
like rights work. Um but health care is
something that you can maybe wrap your
head around and we all need health care.
As a British person that makes sense to
me.
College is not that. You do not need
college. Like you don't need to go. You
don't need it to survive. You can make
an argument that it's actually really
bad for a lot of people maybe even most
people who are not going to sort of
upper tier schools and then just getting
certainly now you can make it cuz you're
being saddled with tons of debt and
you're not getting great job
opportunities necessarily because of it.
Um so because of that idea though that
that everybody's entitled to it and in
fact needs it to a certain extent to to
succeed
it's you can't turn people away and
that's a system we've built where you
can't turn people away from from a loan
no matter how massive and that you have
to get rid of that. You have to just get
the bankers back in and say
uh
are you able to pay this back or not? Do
I think? And if you are great and if
you're not and I give you the loan then
I suffer for it and once bankers have to
suffer for these decisions
you're not going to have a problem
anymore because they're not they're this
is the the banks have been around for a
very long time and
if their existence is on the line
the loans are not going to happen and
once the loans can't happen the colleges
have to reset their prices.
Did you see there was a study done by
Corey Clark that came out a little while
ago. A new study sheds light on taboos
in science confirming that race and IQ
are the most taboo subject of all. They
had a they condensed down a bunch of
statements that were the 10 most taboo
in all of psychology. Did you see this?
I didn't but I believe it. Those are the
two that I would definitely consider
race and IQ to be Let me let me I'll
dictate you the top 10. So the authors
began by interviewing 41 researchers in
psychology to get an idea of which
topics are most taboo. Using the
researchers answers as a guide they
condensed those topics into a set of 10
statements. Number one, the tendency to
engage in sexually coercive behavior
likely evolved because it conferred some
evolutionary advantages on men who
engaged in such behavior. Number two,
gender biases are not the most important
drivers of the underrepresentation of
women in STEM fields. Number three,
academia discriminates against black
people in hiring promotion grants
invitations etc. Number four, biological
sex is binary for the vast majority of
people. Number five, the social sciences
in the United States discriminate
against conservatives. Number six,
racial biases are not the most important
drivers of higher crime rates among
black Americans relative to white
Americans. Number seven, men and women
have got different psychological
characteristics cuz of evolution. Number
eight, genetic differences explain
non-trivial 10% or more variances in
race differences in intelligence test
scores. Number nine, transgender
identity is sometimes the product of
social influence. Number 10, demographic
diversity, race and gender in the
workplace often leads to worse
performance and then she went through
and studied 470
uh psychology professors
and basically found that
so many professors are terrified. Like
they don't like the censorship but they
are terrified of speaking up. Like
absolutely terrified of it.
Yeah, I mean which one of those topics
do you want to talk about?
Uh well I mean there's some stuff in
there. Like you know men and women have
biological biological sex is binary for
the vast majority of people. Like I I
don't know who is disagreeing with that
statement.
Yeah, well that's one of this point. I
mean that's you can't help but
anyone who sees a high school race
with
let's say a trans woman absolutely
destroying her competition
is not going to be okay with that. And
that's 90 plus percent of people are
going to see that and say okay, this is
[ __ ] crazy and in a way I sort of
think that that's the issue. I really do
think it's like that and the COVID
sort of coercive vaccination that
combination
just ended the whole prior order of
thought police.
solvent that undid the adhesive. It was
just
on the COVID stuff too vicious and on
the trans stuff specifically the trans
athlete stuff
too unbelievable. Too absurd. Like that
that combination just
dispelled the
the the illusion
of authority for a lot of people and
um
on the rest of them
I think
probably everything you're not allowed
to talk about
it doesn't mean that that these sort of
people who want to talk about it or
write about it but you're probably if
you're not allowed to talk about it it's
a safe assumption that there's something
important there that we should
probably be trying to understand but we
um are refusing to for
whatever reason. Did you see that a
trans woman won can best actress award
for the first time?
No but Carla Sofia Gascón the Spanish
performer said we all have the
opportunity to change for the better as
she made history at the festival with
her gong.
Well she certainly changed herself,
didn't she?
That was quite a change. I
I don't know. Like this
one of the other things that I was
particularly exhausted by over the last
few years is this desire to read
conspiracy and and coordination and
much more sophisticated malevolent
intent into pretty much everything. This
desire to read deeper deeper meaning. I
think the internet kind of assumes that
people have a well thought out reason
for everything that they do and as far
as I can tell most people are just
trying to make it through to the end of
the day and not get fired and pay for
[ __ ] and yeah sure there's like some
super
smart people pulling the strings at the
top but
But not even really. I I agree. I think
that we want to believe there
like they are in charge more than they
are because if someone was in charge
that would be
great. It would be great to believe that
you look around and I mean it's a chaos
everywhere. If you're in San Francisco
whatever city in this country you're in
it's [ __ ] Like you could just break
it down. There are a handful of things
about it that are just seriously
unbelievably [ __ ] from crime to
housing to just basic level sanitation
education whatever. It's all really bad
and you want to believe that someone is
in charge because if someone's in charge
that means if you could just bully them
enough or get rid of them and put
someone else in charge it the problem
would be fixed.
The bigger problem seems to be a
combination of
I don't know nihilism at the top among
the sort of elites of our country and
then no one is
actually in charge. There's not a lot of
um
stepping up and taking control of things
and even if there was a will to do that
politically we're structured in such a
way that it's very difficult for a
single person let alone small or a small
group of people let alone a single
person to actually change anything. San
Francisco for example the homeless
problem, right? It's like who what one
specific person is in charge of that?
Nobody. What group of people are in
charge of that? It's a lot of people who
have some piece of it and if you asked
any one of them are you in charge of it
they would say no. There's no one taking
responsibility for it
and I I don't even I blame them of
course they're terrible but also part of
it is a systemic problem where we're not
giving anyone the authority to do it and
I think we have to do that. We have to
get better at empowering people to
actually change things and then
punishing them for when they don't do
it. I came across this Packy McCormick
quote that said the greatest trick the
devil ever played was making you believe
that the pessimists are the good guys.
And this you know just prevalent [ __ ]
cynicism.
Dude, whether it's top down or bottom up
whether it's in a comment section or in
a press release or just in the
like loopy demeanor of the way that
people sort of step out to give some
sort of statement it's so
boring and tiring and I wish that people
were more enthusiastic about stuff.
Well, it's
pessimists are usually right. It's a
safe bet to make that something's not
that something new is not going to work
and that's why people do it. When you
are making a positive prediction about
the future
that has never existed before
it's like your odds of being wrong are
very high and your odds of predicting
all of the fallout from that are
infinitesimally small. There are so many
anytime you create something let's talk
about artificial intelligence. You
create even just even if we just had
chat GPT what are going to be the
consequences of that long term? We have
no idea. We're still dealing with the
consequences long term of the mobile
phone.
So
it's easy to be a pessimist if you just
want
I don't know a reward for being a smart
person and that just it doesn't exist on
the positive side. Though you do need a
positive you need a positive vision for
the future and I don't know how to
incentivize that or how to change the
incentive. I'm not really convinced that
that's ever been different. I wonder if
there was a period of time where the
average person
was
was this optim- I guess people always
point back to the 1950s in America.
I didn't live then so I don't know. You
know we remember the positive stories
but I don't know how many I don't know
how pervasive that really was. If we had
a frictionless way to dump our thoughts
onto the internet or onto some ledger
while we were sat on the toilet, just
what would people's thoughts have been
Oh my god. I think about that in the
context of the '60s. Like you think
things are crazy now on the internet,
can you imagine how crazy things would
have been in all throughout civil rights
and [ __ ] like this? Like it would have
been a different
we wouldn't have
I don't know that we would have made it.
I don't know that that we would have
made it if we knew everything that
everyone was thinking. Which to go back
to our earlier conversation about being
polite, that's the core of politeness,
right? That's why polite exists is
because
there is a social benefit to not saying
everything Mhm.
Yeah, into your mind. And it's like you
have to choose which ones need to be
said, but probably not everything should
Not only does it not have to be said, it
probably should not be said. There is
there is a a benefit socially to polite
society, I think. Decorum keeps the
peace in many ways. But I I think the
reason that at least for me that I
have I'm like kind of conflicted about
the whole polite society thing is that I
then go and see
Sam, what's his face, that singer guy,
come out dressed as a devil with nipple
tassels on in like high-heeled leather
boots, and I go
uh
like it seems to me like any remotely
acceptable line of of of decorum and
behavior has been blasted through
already, you know, with a AK-47. Like
what are we doing here pretending that
decorum still exists? Like you shouldn't
be bringing up that thing and you go,
well it doesn't exist though. I think
that you're right, it does not exist
anymore. I'm saying it served probably a
purpose though. Like we've lost it and
what are we going to become without it?
I mean, certainly in politics,
everything post Donald Before Donald
Trump, I would say it was pretty bad.
Post Donald Trump, come on. I was
literally Kamala Harris giggling over
nothing the other day down a YouTube
video. It's really a bizarre video where
she's not really saying anything and she
keeps laughing awkwardly and I thought,
man, if this were 10 years ago
we would say how we can't have someone
this stupid in power. It's just crazy.
Let alone the senile Joe Biden, of
course that's crazy, but let's talk
about how dumb Kamala Harris is. That's
she's that's an actual like sort of
classically presenting idiot. And she is
a heartbeat away from the presidency. Um
just a complete [ __ ]
It never would have happened. Uh and and
she sort of
talking about the food that she's eating
and uh I don't it's
I haven't seen this clip. I'm really
glad.
What I saw was an example of her trying
to be relatable. And that
is not in keeping with the image of the
presidency that has endured for the last
what, since the founding fathers
existed, okay? Like we need that person
to be powerful and thoughtful and
trustworthy, someone who we believe can
run the country, right? Like
that all turned on its head in a world
post Trump. Like once you elect a
reality television star to the
presidency
anything [ __ ] goes. Monarchy.
Monarchy, that's what you need. Someone
who has been bestowed from God
So you got to go all the way back. Yes.
maybe the really controversial thing
that needs to be said. It's like was
George Washington the good guy or the
bad guy?
And I don't think America's ready for
that conversation.
Wow.
TikTok ban, what do you think's going to
happen there? Or what would you like to
see happen?
think it's going to happen. I think that
I I think that
Well, certainly we're looking at at
least a year of litigation.
And in that year, who knows? There's
just who knows what will happen. Um
I am in favor of it, but I'm in favor of
much more aggressive action against
China. I I don't really The spying thing
is a whole complicated talk that we
could talk about.
I
I believe it is a liability for the
country to have
China control one of our largest
broadcast networks in the history of the
country.
But I am also just really thinking a lot
about trade and the massive
disparity in trade.
We need reciprocity. If China is banning
all of our social media companies, we
should ban all of theirs. If China's
banning any anything that they're
banning or any tariff they're levying,
we should be doing the same thing. And
in fact, we should be doing more of it
because what we learned in COVID is we
need manufacturing. The failure of
manufacturing at home is not just sad
for us and for the middle class that no
longer exists in this country, it is
dangerous. It is a national security
threat. So we we need to to have this
somehow at home. And uh
that's a combination of that is going to
require a lot of things that nobody
wants to do. That's going to require
uh looking at the labor laws, that's
going to require looking at things like
tariffs. Like this is going to be things
that annoy both that annoy the left, the
right, the libertarians. Um we're just
in a huge mess right now. And I am very
much in favor of forcing divestiture of
TikTok, but I'm in favor of forcing
divestiture of almost every Chinese
social media company or social
piece of software that exists. Certainly
every social media company. Like
everything just down the line. And then
China retaliates. They're they're like,
oh, we're retaliating and we're we're
banning one of your companies or
whatever. It's like you've already
Do people not real There is no major
American media company, The New York
Times, The Washington Post, that can
operate in China. There is no American
social media company that can operate in
China. Google cannot operate in China.
You can just go look at all of the
things that China has banned American
companies. The list is enormous,
ongoing, never-ending. Um
it's just ridiculous to be playing it
this way. You can say, oh, well, we're
not like China. Um
And it's like
no, we're not like China, but we do have
to survive. And
not necessarily a good thing to not be
prepared to use the tools that they do.
Well, certainly what they have that we
don't have is a will to exist, okay? And
it's like freedom, yes, great, love it,
but you can't it's like until the point
at which you self-immolate and the only
tools you have left to work with are
controlled by a hostile foreign
superpower, which is the path we're on.
And you see this in soft power type
things all the time. You see this with
the way Disney has reshaped just just
due to the influence of the Chinese
market, okay? Disney starts to censor on
all sorts of grounds with the NBA and
things like this. That's just soft
power. That's not even the hard power of
they're going to play hardball with
a corner on rare earth metals, a corner
on
on manufacturing.
That's we haven't even gotten to a place
where they start wielding that against
us. That can't happen. We need to bring
it home and we need to be a little bit
more mercantilist about stuff, which I
think is a dirty word still. I'm not
sure how people think about that
anymore, but I'm
pretty much a mercantilist. So Do you
know do you know the story of DJI
drones? Do you know why they're so
dominant?
So I this is second-hand hearsay, so I
may have got it wrong, but it's a great
story. Uh
America was super concerned about
individuals, citizens, being able to fly
drones. So they shut down a ton of
American drone manufacturers.
Then they realized that the market for
drones is actually quite high. And guess
the only company that was still crushing
it in the consumer space, DJI, which is
a Chinese company. And now they are just
light-years ahead. Everything's cheaper,
everything's better quality, it does all
of the things that it needs you to do.
And that's a Chinese company mapping
[ __ ] everything. Yeah. I didn't
realize the full extent of that story.
You don't typically see
to our credit, you don't typically see
China just completely take over an
industry that was ours because China
doesn't innovate at all. I can't think
of a technology that was invented in
China. It's all just copy and pasting in
a very great way. I mean, they're very
very tactically advantageous way for
them. It's just see what America
innovates, clone it,
scale it. Um
But long-term it's a that's a problem
and it's a problem that is bigger than
than than than China, right? It's like
you you saw I was just reading about um
a genetic engineering controversy. So in
like the So in the mid-1970s, you had
Cambridge, Massachusetts ban the use of
and the study of recombinant DNA. And at
that point, genetic
the the future of genetics is in the
balance. All of the people working on it
are there. And uh it was reversed in
'77, but
that is it had to be reversed or nothing
was going to happen. And that is kind of
what you're looking at in California, I
think, to a certain extent with which
which way these regulations on something
like artificial intelligence will go.
And there's enough that has been
researched already that other people in
different countries will use what we use
and keep moving forward. They're not
going to stop. I don't see anybody in
China developing anything ever that
hasn't existed before. But if we stop
ourselves, they will keep moving forward
with what we have with what we have
started. And so that's that is a
problem, especially when you're dealing
with potentially X risk type technology.
So anything in biology
um and uh and certainly artificial
intelligence would count. You know, if
you're building something that
this is I mean, you got to get a AI
doomer on here. They have a thousand
different arguments they'll make. I'm
not sold really on any of them, uh but I
am sold on the idea that this is
a high-risk technology. We should
proceed and we should proceed sort of
with caution. Do you see Nick Bostrom's
new book Deep Utopia? Have not seen the
new book, but I have read
Superintelligence.
Yeah, I read Superintelligence way back.
Yeah, so Superintelligence was basically
what happens if we get it wrong. And
Deep Utopia is what happens if we get it
right.
It's really interesting, you know, to
see this guy who's
gone kind of full circle and he's
explaining, well, you know, this is a
hopeful view for the future. But even
then, even he kind of creates this
taxonomy of four different types of
utopias. And even within those, all of
them have got tons of [ __ ] problems.
Like it is the most like threading
needle to try and weave through to make
this work. And uh
Yeah, I mean, you know, I I understand
why the AI X risk doomer conversation's
compelling because
terrifying and seems kind of likely.
Yeah, but everything seems kind of
likely. You can make an argument for the
singularity. You can make an argument
for the simulation hypothesis.
Um these are things that are almost
designed to capture smart people inside
of a little maze where there are all of
these likely things, but at the end of
the day on the simulation theory, for
example,
what value do you get in even talking
about? It's like you should just live
your life. You should just do
as many good things as you can in your
life. And with AI, I sort of feel that
way as well. I I don't
I don't I've never met anybody who has
spoken to me in a convincing way on
the big danger. The it's always the
smartest of them do percentages and even
those feel like how where are you
running these calculations? Like what
are we really talking about? It's just a
giant question mark. But all technology
is a giant question mark. And so if you
want to progress, you're going to have
to take risk. There's a question of how
much are we taking and at what scale?
But I don't know, man. I just
I think that it's a lot like the freedom
conversation we're having a moment ago.
You sort of want as much of it as you
can without destroying yourself. That's
the sweet spot. It's not a maximum in
any direction. It's like let's just not
suffocate ourselves to death. And so
while I do I am in favor of thinking
about the X risk inherent of AI. Right
now, I see no evidence to slow down. And
once we see that evidence, it should be
pretty obvious. The The X risk AI people
will be like, well, once it's obvious,
it's too late. Okay, well, I I don't
You're going to have to give me a better
reason You're have to give You're have
to like really paint that picture for
me. And
I that has not happened yet. So What
about the the most important thing
that's going to happen over the next
month and a bit? Uh
Biden-Trump debate.
I would I didn't think it was going to
happen at all. Um
We'll see if it does. I'm still I can
see
still unsure that it's actually going to
go ahead? Well, if they allow
for mic cutting, which is what the Biden
camp wants, I don't know why Trump would
accept that.
If it does happen,
it's going to be a bloodbath. Like Trump
will win for sure.
Biden has not even appeared on a
friendly interview for longer than 30
minutes or something. And I've never I
mean, could you could you imagine him
sitting down for 2 hours or 3 hours in
front of Rogan or something? It's not
possible. Um I don't know how he's going
to go head-to-head with Trump, who is
one of the most successful short-form
like television warriors in the history
of the medium. He's really good at it.
Um
The good news for Biden is if he somehow
survives it, it'll be a huge boon to
him, but he probably won't.
Um And until now,
but I guess I should say until now,
saying nothing is only helps Trump. So I
I think Biden's just in a rough spot
where he he has to do he has
sort of no choice. Okay, when you're a
declining stock, you need to do
something to reverse it, even if that
thing is quite high risk.
He's on a failure course right now.
Um
Is that what your projection would be if
if there's basically no change by the
Democrats that you're looking at
Republican victory in November? Yeah, I
think it's like a smash victory. I mean,
it's like a huge huge victory.
So they need to do something. I think a
big part of it is immigration. A big
part of it is inflation. I think those
things are weirdly linked. Um not The
immigration is not causing the
inflation. I think the immigration is
being used to sort of like stand the
inflation Immigration, even if it's mass
illegal immigration, has positive
effects on the numbers in the economy
that you point to to say our economy is
doing well.
Um it's just like it has all of these
other effects that for whatever reason
economists don't seem to care about,
like the dissolution of
our [ __ ] culture in America and
uh the simple law of supply and demand
that affects more poor middle-class
people than rich people with desk jobs
when you're talking about mass
low-skilled immigration. Um
People are furious. People have always
been furious, but also it's never even
been this bad before. To have think
about 10 million illegal immigrants in
your country of 330 million. That's
what, 3%? That is an enormous population
of people who
broke a lot to get here and
people are mad across demographics. So
the big story I think of the next
election is going to be the black vote,
specifically the black male vote, which
is
has never been Trumpier and has never
been Republican. Trump
driving that?
Immigration. I think it's entirely
immigration. I think that I mean, you
look at Chicago, videos out of Chicago
and the effects of illegal immigration
in Chicago and you look at those
meetings, those community meetings where
people are coming to yell. It's black
people. It's all black people. It's
black neighborhoods where this is
happening.
Um it's it's black people who are
already having a struggling lower-class
black people who are already struggling
on on work. For whatever You could say
it's unfounded, you could say it's
founded, but certainly the blame is
being placed on illegal immigration. And
no one is stupid enough to believe that
that's not Biden's fault. So it's like
this election will be a referendum on
that more than anything. And then
inflation and Biden sucks at both. And
so what is left? The wars? Who cares
about them really?
Not many people other than like
reflexively, which we weren't at them.
Um but certainly Biden has gotten us
into them, right? Like Ukraine happens
on Biden's watch. Israel happens on
Biden's watch. We're somehow really
woven into both. I saw this crazy
um it was funny, but darkly funny meme
uh on Instagram.
It was the Iron Dome stopping a bunch of
rockets. So you saw all these rockets
coming up and hitting all these other
rockets. And the meme just said like my
tax dollars paying for this, the Iron
Dome. Then up here on the top, my tax
dollars somehow also paying for this.
And that's like So that's like number
three. It'll be like that's order number
three of things that we care about. And
then it's just the fun culture war [ __ ]
which um What about the abortion debate?
What about Roe?
I don't know.
I don't know have a sense of how much
people really care about this. It seemed
to matter in the last election.
I think Americans are more divided on it
than people like to believe, but
is it more important than the
immigration stuff and the inflation
stuff to people? I don't think so. Um
I guess we'll see. Yeah, I don't know
about that one. What about you? What do
you think?
That's a really tough one to work out as
well. I think about it I think about it
that much, but I think about it a good
bit. And
I think most people don't know their
position very thoroughly on it. Like if
you really really quiz people hard,
a sufficiently good
argument can usually begin to swa- Yeah,
well, you know, you're kind of sort of
right on that thing a little bit.
It's one of the few debates or one of
the few discussions where
every time like I hear a Shapiro right
do his thing and he breaks down life
begins it's not a bundle of cells, blah
blah blah. And I go, [ __ ] hell, that
sounds pretty compelling. And then I
hear someone who's like super pro-choice
give their argument and I go, [ __ ]
hell, that's super compelling. I'm like
I I I I don't know. I've just been like
legitimately like actually gaslit by
both sides and now I believe both at the
same time. I don't [ __ ] know.
Lots of America has been like this on
Roe v. Wade and abortion in general
forever. The it's never moved. It's
always close to 50% on both sides.
Um there's no other issue that I can
think of like that in
in history. Um it's just always hotly
divided.
And
and so separate from the question of
whether Roe v. Wade was a good law, and
I think it was not a good a good ruling,
and I think it was not. Uh there's the
question of what should be done, and
that's more complicated. And
what the the real answer here is you
want something codified. You want to
codify a law in
rather than judge on something in a
stupid way that doesn't make any sense
and everybody knows is not correct, um
where you where the
judicial branch essentially creates a
law for you.
Uh you want our legislators to legislate
and create something. But they can't
agree.
I think probably what makes the most
sense is something closer to what you're
I don't want to wade into
abortion. I'm pro-choice within reason.
Like I have all sorts of caveats like
everybody else. I think that I agree
with you that most people don't fully
know what they think about this. It just
makes them uncomfortable and they don't
want to have to think about it. But
there are a handful of people who care
about it a lot in this election.
Do they
do they punish Trump for it?
Can they punish Trump for it? I don't
know. I know that a lot of people I know
a lot more people who talk about
immigration.
I see a lot more people talking. I don't
see people talking about
uh
about Roe v. Wade really.
I suppose they Yeah, the timing of it
you just recently bias and people's
attention span is so short that right
now I mean what would they have to do?
Biden would have to make a promise for
some sort of law to be codified. And if
he did that, he would lose a lot of
people and gain some people, right?
Because wherever he drew the line of
where abortion would not be allowed,
right? No one wants No one wants an
abortion a day before before birth,
right? We can just start there. So,
there are some who do. Some very radical
people who want that and will never let
go of it. And those people are the ones
who run the organizations that are pro
that are pro-choice.
The average American doesn't. The
average left-wing person doesn't. The
average pro-abortion person doesn't. But
the people who run [ __ ] do. So, Biden
has to draw a line somewhere if he's
going to float legislation. And once he
does that, he gives a huge attack space
for Trump to come in and be like, "This
man wants to kill babies." And
and so, it's like no one's really
incentivized to propose a law in the
middle of an election that is already
hard to win, especially not a Democrat.
So,
it's going to be hard. It'll be hard for
both of them, but like you can either
punish Trump for Roe v. Wade. Um that's
one thing, but there's not a really
clear alternative. There's not like if I
vote for this person, I'm going to get
what I want. It's just how viscerally
people are affected by this as well. You
know, it doesn't it
abortion by definition is an individual
impact. Whereas something something like
economy, inflation, immigration, those
things are much more scattergun and
they're felt by people
uh on mass. There's waves of it that
occur. Like literally, right? There's
waves of it that occur. And I think that
that galvanizes people in a different
sort of way. But it dude, it's I mean
that debate
my god. Uh here's one thing that I have
noticed though.
Trump is way less in the news. Like I
just don't see it Think about the
build-up to the last two elections. And
it was everywhere. I'm like, "Where
the [ __ ] is he?" Cuz he's not on
Twitter? Like what's going on? I don't
see Huge part of it. Part I mean part of
it was there was no primary because he
didn't have to have a primary because he
was going to win. So, he stayed out of
it. And then part of it is he's not on
Twitter and there are less people
on I mean no one's really on his network
and there are are
there are media people are still on
Twitter. So, if he was on Twitter,
media people would still at least see
what he's he's tweeting. He would feel
more sort of present in their brains.
They would at least be more anxious
about it and be writing more about it.
Um
and then part of it is Biden's just not
like I think Democrats are really
embarrassed of him. So, no one's While
people really hate Trump on the left,
they the average person on the left is
not excited about Biden. They're like,
"This feels a little bit criminal that
we're trying to float someone who's
totally senile." What do you think
people on the right think an equivalent
side? They probably really don't like
Biden, but do they really like Trump?
There are people who love Trump in a way
that no president has been loved in our
lifetime. Like and it's a non-trivial
fraction of the right. People who
[ __ ] love him, who would do anything
for him. And uh that's not a majority of
the right. That's a good huge chunk of a
base that really really really devoutly
loves him. Um
and then you have a lot of people who
are fine with him.
And then you have a lot of people who
didn't vote for him, but might now
because they and they're they have a
bunch of different reasons. Some are
talking about the wars, some are talking
about the economy, some are talking
about immigration.
Um you had all sorts of weird own goals
on the left. So, the way that Warren
went after cryptocurrency, for example,
there are a lot of people with exposure
to cryptocurrency who are like, "Who is
this [ __ ] coming after my Bitcoin? And
why does she think that she's able to do
that? That's insane." Um there are all
sorts of tax gains proposals and wealth
tax proposals which hit the rich, who
fuel a lot of the money behind these
different grassroots campaigns
grassroots campaigns. Um
you
you also have 4 years of incompetency
from Biden, I think, on a range of
things, but specifically I think foreign
policy has been pretty bad. If you're
voting for a guy who you think is going
to make things calm and return us to
norms, and then he tries to put
the frontrunner president in prison and
is now fighting two wars abroad, like
that is not what you asked for. And um
it's like even if he wasn't senile, it
would be a hard sell at this point, I
think. Um
but he's all of those things and he's
senile. So, it's
like separate from the left who's just
tolerating him, I think a lot of people
on the right are like Trump's
A lot of people in the middle I think
are thinking,
"Well, Trump's better than that." And we
know what Trump is. No matter what
people say about Trump being
uh you know, fascist dictator and blah
blah blah. At the end of the day, we've
had 4 years of Trump. So, we know
roughly what that feels like, just like
we've had 4 years of Biden. This is the
first election like that we've ever had
where we actually know exactly what a
presidency feels in both directions. So,
that we've By we, I don't mean America.
I mean we alive right now um have never
experienced this before. So, it's you
can't really say you can't There's no
fear of the uncertainty here. There
might be fear, but it's not of the
uncertainty, which fuels I think a lot
of what happens in most elections.
Dude, it's a wild few months coming up.
Time to make hay as the independent
media companies say. Mike Solana, ladies
and gentlemen. Mike, I love I love your
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