Video summary
The video features Serbin Yuri from Panta Rei Capital providing an in-depth analysis of trading order flow using Bookmap during a highly volatile week for the S&P 500 indices. The session takes place on Discord before being published to YouTube, focusing primarily on the London market hours where volatility is often compressed despite recent frenetic global conditions. A significant portion of the discussion centers on the concept of "absorption," defined as large order executions that fail to move price in their intended direction; for instance, aggressive selling against limit buyers results in a price reversal rather than a decline. This phenomenon indicates strong underlying support or lack of pressure from one side and is often linked to iceberg orders hidden within liquidity pools.
Yuri explains the mathematical logic behind identifying these events through custom Python indicators that analyze execution frequency relative to Gaussian distributions over specific timeframes, such as two hours on a 15-second chart. He highlights how negative gamma regimes amplify downward movements while acting as pins near key levels like 7470 for futures contracts. The analysis reveals distinct areas of liquidity and order flow imbalances where market makers reposition themselves, creating traps that can be identified before price breaks through them. By examining the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) alongside visual absorption blocks on Bookmap, he demonstrates how to spot exhaustion in buyers or sellers, distinguishing between genuine structural support and mere statistical noise caused by algorithmic activity.
As the market approaches the New York open, the presenter discusses fundamental factors influencing indices, including concerns over capital expenditure (Capex) in the tech sector regarding artificial intelligence returns and potential geopolitical risks affecting global liquidity. He warns traders about the dangers of entering long positions during a negative range regime without proper risk management, noting that even when price appears to break out unexpectedly, it may be absorbing orders before reversing again. The session concludes with an observation that while retail traders often chase momentum based on FOMO or fear of missing out, institutional players are likely recalibrating portfolios and exiting positions quietly at these critical levels, leaving only visible absorption signals for those who understand the microstructure deeply enough to anticipate reversals rather than blindly following price action.
Read the full video transcript
Can you hear me? Yes. Perfect. Perfect.
Perfect.
So now I start
from OBS. Okay. Okay
. Perf.
Transmission
and recording.
Perfect.
Last check that everything is in order.
OBS okay. Discord is fixed.
Very good. On Discord I open the chat. No,
Pantalei's chat. Okay
.
Ok, here we go
.
Good morning everyone, as always
I'm Serbin Yuri from Pantare Capital.
Today's event is a little different, the streaming
will be live only on Discord,
so
to my collaborators who follow us
on Discord I ask you to share the link
for anyone who wants to join the latest.
After the recording, however, it will be
published on YouTube, so for those who
miss it, there's no problem.
So, what are we starting with today?
Well, first of all,
these have been interesting weeks for the
indices, very very, very
volatile, very frenetic. Just a second, I'll check to
see if I have any messages.
No, there are no messages. OK
perfect.
Um, very, very hectic,
very volatile sessions. Eh, this week
we've been mostly in the
negative range, okay? So gamma flip short
almost all the time and in fact
it has been seen, for those who haven't
followed the indices this
week they have made a
bloodbath.
And in
fact this week I tried
to trade only in the morning, so
in the London session which is
actually where we are in
Italy, for us it is not a problem
to trade in London the volatility is
compressed, even if there were some
days there too which were a bit so-so
.
Well, today we'll show you
, let's do
something quick, let's
see if I can do it in a
short time.
A quick briefing with Python that I will give you
for the ES,
that is, for the SNP.
Then copy path
make s.
We're waiting for him to do it for us. Let's see
what they say. What does the macro say about
the S&P 500? Okay.
Well, so, today we have the
absorption indicator, okay? So it's an
indicator that shows
where and how much there were
draws during the
trade. Basically for those who don't
know what an
absorption is, it's a market event, okay?
which in short is only discovered after it
has happened, there is no way to
anticipate it, clearly.
And what does it consist of? It consists of
executing
a certain amount of orders within a
certain time frame, okay? But that didn't
bring any results. What does it mean?
If I have the bid,
okay? aggressive against the limit buyer.
I have maybe a large
volume execution like here, okay? But the price,
instead of falling as it should,
reverses. Okay? That's an absorption. It
has to happen within a certain
time range and above a certain threshold.
You can determine the threshold yourself or
you can write an indicator
that you use or write a dynamic analysis
where you take the performance of the
candles in the last maybe 2 hours, okay? and
says: "Okay, in the last two hours add up
the performance
on the 15-second timeframe, see what the average is,
distribute it on a Gaussian and
tell me,
okay? all those executions that happen
beyond a certain probability, maybe I don't
know if I have an average of three orders on
time and sales, if I suddenly find myself with
12, that goes beyond 95% of the trades that
occur during a session or during
a timeframe. But these are already
programmer details, but it's also very
interesting to understand from a mathematical point of
view, since I
'm also dabbling in programming
to make
custom indicators, let's say. Um,
it's very interesting to understand the logic
behind it. The easiest way
is, especially to
spot the iceberg orders and use
the order, so after that too
the absorption is strictly connected,
in some situations, to the iceberg
order. Okay?
Basically. Let's see if...
Okay,
basically here it is, it did the... it
did the... document.
Let's see what it tells me. Okay,
here it is.
Okay,
let's wait a second.
Here it is. Daily brief on the S&P 500
futures. Okay, the futures are important because
first of all I trade futures.
The analysis, however, would be different,
very different
if
we took the spot market into consideration.
Okay, that's a very different matter. So,
first of all, negative gamma regime, as
I mentioned before. The
decisive level is 747. Let's see if we see it right away
.
A little zoom out, maybe we can do that
with the time slice. Let's see if setting it to
an hour
where it fits me.
We need to widen it further. Here we are
.
Hmm. Anyway, in the last hour, okay,
the CVD already tells me that in the last 4
hours the CVD is actually almost at
zero, that is, you can't say it's
positive on these thresholds, but it was
positive for most of the time, so it's the accumulation.
Basically, in this session
the accumulation was very positive,
so someone could also
imagine that, uh, today the gamma flip is
acting as a pinner, okay? So maybe it will
make me rise and then stay around
the area, to the flip gan area.
Oh, oh,
not only that.
Okay, they tell me that the volume is low.
Okay, I hope you feel better like this,
okay.
In theory, okay, I'm at my maximum. Okay,
so,
so, in the meantime, the SP is going
down. We can immediately see that we have
a large liquidity area here. The
largest is here, around the halfway point, okay?
So this is already an
important clue as to where
the price could go because I immediately see
that the mid-round buyers are
repositioning themselves,
accepting lower prices, which I do
n't see the other way around. Okay,
this is consistent with the negative range regime
, okay? So every
downward movement is amplified. Marketers
sell structural weakness when the
rising price fails to break
certain structures, and it doesn't necessarily mean it can't
break because it's absorbed,
because basically there's a lack of
long pressure.
Um,
okay, let's see that here we have an
absorption
that has been there, okay, during all the sessions. I
loaded 12 hours of trading, okay, with
this one with with Bookmap now and I see that
in the last 12 hours there has been
a good absorption here, inevitably
around an area where there is liquidity.
So I have a small reaction from
here, I could even expect it with
always being careful for the simple reason
that, um, we're at the maximum on
the chart. Ok.
Ok. Even on the daily we can see that
we are in CVD, um,
neutral basically because in reality
last night,
yes, last night we were
strongly negative because there was a
further decline of this kind, okay? Where
I have a block here
and a range here, that is, a range here and a
range here. So basically
now I'm still in range. This is the
level that keeps me on the whole
scaffolding. Here I have
significant absorption. I see that I have 105
executions.
Another one here. 1 2. Perfect. So
my range is concentrated on this area
here and this area here. Ok, perfect.
Very interesting.
And below here, around half round instead
we have a, uh, a large area of
liquidity.
And how far is the opening?
18 minutes. Ok.
Anyway, in a negative range when you're at all-time
highs, it's never a good idea.
Let's see. Wait just a second.
Oh, Cris Volume, I increased it. I hope it
feels better fundamentally.
Ok. And another thing to note is that it has 703,
69,
and 60. So anyway, in this area here,
we also have
a price range where previously,
ok, both the POC of the SVP and the POC of the
SQC were present. So this
area has been very active, ok? Both in
terms of algorithm activity and
order execution. So, ok,
here too, be careful when
the price gets here. In fact, I
would draw it with a nice, oh, horizontal
line, like
this. Ok? So even if we were to
go down, oh, slice by slice, let's say. Let's try
a 15-minute period, see what it does.
Let's do 15 minutes and then stay there.
No, I don't like 15 minutes. If I do it like
this. No, I don't like it. Let's do it. Let's do it.
An hour. An hour seemed like an
optimal middle ground to still have
a vision.
Okay, there's just been an absorption.
Okay, basically
there's been initiation absorption.
This could basically
already be a setup up to where? Up to here,
no further. Okay? Because here we immediately see
a block of, eh, absorption on the limit,
therefore on the Ask side, which we can
also see directly here,
eh. And so we have this double
limit, okay? Which, eh, for anyone who wants to
take a long, perhaps from here, short,
basically either stops here or
stops here. I would also consider
stopping here. I would also consider
not taking the
long at all, given that we're, eh, in the pre-opening
and we're in negative range, by the way.
Okay,
let's see what it tells me here. Okay,
there's something wrong with writing something with
Python. Gam Flip doesn't show up. Oh well, it
doesn't matter. Max Paint, however, yes,
I'll investigate later.
So, 7360 is the top 1 wall, 12% of 0
and 70 million open
m. Okay, interesting. The area with the
highest 0 is
7467,
as you told me before, so it's on the
rise,
which makes me think that, as
both the S&P and the Nasdaq have done over and over again,
the opening will give me a rise of maybe
100 points and
right up to 7460. After that, the
market makers start to move and you'll see
the price collapse again. By the way,
today I also have Quantower open,
maybe we'll use it to go on the daily and
just turn off
this one. Maybe we'll load a little more.
Hopefully, we'll turn off the cluster. Let's turn off
this one.
Let's remove these ones that are useless.
Okay.
Well, we can actually
keep the cluster. Oh, okay. No, I'm not keeping it.
Perfect. Okay, anyway, let's see. Oh, or
without standing there watching.
Oh, but I hadn't created this
indicator here.
It loads it.
Yes, we
are clearly in a situation
where the market is starting to
retrace in a way Considerable,
also because take a look,
here we are in March or April, because
I remember it was around the first
week of April when the market started to
worry about the war around the
Ermutz Strait. It doesn't load on
this time frame. Okay. And around
the Ermutz Strait, the war
started to ease. There was
this explosion in the upside, determined
fundamentally by two things: the end
of the war in the Ermutz Strait, that is, the
possible end of the war in the
Ermutz Strait, and above all by the trend
towards A, given that Chloe was
printing artificial intelligence models
like there was no
tomorrow. Um,
this further fueled
the IPEP. Now, however, the market is discounting
certain situations. For example, if
capex, for those who don't know, is a
situation...
how can I say it, how can I explain it
without overcomplicating the concept?
Capex, as far as
the American tech sector is concerned, is
entirely focused on the production and
sale of... all of these... all
those products related to
artificial intelligence.
What's the problem? Yes, by Capex he means
a situation in which the company
is investing large amounts of money
without actually seeing a return.
It can be sustainable for a
medium period of time, okay? Not for a long
period of time because companies
still have to generate revenue. If you're
Google, okay? If you're Openi,
what you could do is go public and
save yourself thanks to the IPO, which is what it's
doing. I won't say anything else.
Well, basically that.
Okay, as you've seen,
as soon as this movement has subsided,
let's say, let's see if I can...
Perfect.
I'll slowly zoom in a bit.
See? And you see how during the
negative gamma, every downward movement
is greatly amplified. Okay? There's almost the
entire ASC movement, it almost seems
quite... um...
There, you see?
Absorption just came.
Interesting. Another one.
Interesting that I didn't notice
this one. It's segmented here. This was
a very,
very important discharge and in fact I received
the news on Financial Juice. What does it
say? And United Arab Emirates.
Oh, in retail cell phones. The United
Arab Emirates have received
warnings about possible missile risks.
Here, the short case has just been explained.
The problem is that it's arriving a little
late.
Okay,
let's try zooming in again.
Let's try, let's look at some
microstructure.
A quadruple absorption. This
could now come back here to
continue shorting later. These are the
setups that you either have to
pick up quickly or leave alone. Besides,
you can still see the nervousness in this
movement here, okay? You can clearly see the
nervousness because
the SNP lost, uh, 15 points in less than 2
minutes, okay? For the SP, that's not a small amount.
Fundamentally,
very interesting. It went to get
this liquidity, absorbed it, and
even executed more orders than were
perhaps positioned here. Exactly.
And then it took back the whole
movement.
Okay, let's see if there was anything else
interesting written here. A
crappy picture. Here, okay, the F curve discounts the
rise in interest rates, because
this could be a problem for
the indices, because the Indexes,
and so if interest rates rise,
the cost of money increases, the
production of money, that is, the money supply
decreases because banks have less
liquidity to lend. Fundamentally, at a
systemic level, money starts to
cost more, the dollar starts to
cost more.
If the dollar costs more, fewer
dollars are needed to buy shares, because
the value of shares is not determined
by
the dollars themselves, it is determined
by the fundamentals of that company. Okay?
Then the value expressed in dollars
depends on the inflation of the dollar
itself, as well as the value of the
individual share. Okay? So if, for the same
value of an asset, I have
the dollar, the inflation that comes with
the inflation of money is
curbed and money in the short term starts to
cost less, okay?
Well, excuse me, it starts to cost more
because if the share falls, the cost of
money fundamentally rises,
uh, so the money supply
shrinks. This is for indexes, which
are precisely baskets of shares.
For indexes, this is a bearish phenomenon,
but simply because they are
revalued with the new yardstick. which is the
dollar. Okay? So portfolio
managers must take into account the
ongoing inflation because they
have to recalibrate their portfolio
to remain perhaps, I don't know, it depends on the
management team they use, but
basically, if you want to remain beta
neutral, they have to recalibrate their
positions based on the value of the
dollar itself. Okay? But here we are now, we
are going beyond the
microstructure of Nasdaq futures.
Okay? But everything is
fundamentally correlated. This is to say what?
That Nasdaq futures, being the
underlying,
being a derivative of, sorry, not the
underlying of
Nasdaq futures, being that the NASA of the SNP
, the SNP futures, being
a derivative, okay, it prices
future prices because that's what it's called futures
for, so it always costs
slightly more than its
reference spot.
Um,
but futures are used in what
is the entire financial engineering package
, okay? As a phenomenon,
derivatives are used as a form of
edging, okay? So futures can be
like Options, eh, to hedge
your positions in
stock portfolios, okay? Because there too, it depends, I
don't know, what the beta is between S&P and, eh,
Google, or certainly lower than the beta
between NASAC and Google, okay? So based on
how much one is exposed
to one sector rather than another,
one must leverage or
load up on a certain sector
also based on the value of the dollar,
necessarily, because the value of the dollar
determines how much an asset actually costs
. Okay, but the cost of the casino
casino. Anyway, in the short term, I have CVD on the
rise, okay, but it doesn't mean anything.
Basically, we're in short range.
I'll check if I have any messages. No, I don't have any
messages. Perfect.
So,
we're back around the short-
term PIN, that is, the POC of the SVP.
6 minutes to go until the
NASLEC opens. Okay.
Activity has reduced around the
SQC. Absurd, anyway, eh. Absurd.
I really like these situations
. Okay.
Where you can see at a glance
that there is, eh, there is frequency. in
algorithmic activity. Okay? There too,
we too, like Pantarella,
are doing a whole study
regarding, what's the
best way to effectively spot an
icebag order, okay? Having or not having
the order ID, because that depends on
which data feed it has. Okay? I remind you that yes,
Bookmap has its
own feed, which is an MBO, okay? A
market by order.
And how do you understand that? You see, for
example, these little white lines
here, this represents, no, it doesn't
tell you, okay, here is this quantity of
orders which in aggregate are maybe 52,
okay? Of these orders here, half
belong to a trader. Okay, we're on
mini mini S&P. Okay,
on the micro this line would be much
narrower. In my opinion, because it's more traded
by retail, while the minis are much more
traded by large institutional companies.
Anyway, CD which is an LLC, okay? He doesn't understand
what he wants to do when he grows up. This is the
calm before the storm, guys.
This is the calm before the storm.
Let's go take a look,
maybe up there. Oh uh uh.
Tac
tac.
Tac.
Yeah, come on, shut up.
Okay, wait, I'll close it. I'll open it again.
Close this one. We can close this one here. Let's open
this one.
Perfect.
Let's wait a moment for the tralaller to light up
.
Bearish pressure increasing. Okay, we've come
out of this zone, this
equilibrium microzone, because it really is
a microzone.
Acting as a market maker here, in my opinion, is
wonderful.
Okay,
maybe we'll do something, since
I'm sure that being Friday,
being Friday, um,
and being in a negative range, given
that we've had a very nervous whole day, all
week, I would
n't keep the opening in
microstructure, but I would keep a
slightly broader eye, so to speak
.
He unloaded here. I, I, I, if I have to
make a forecast, because forecasts are
n't made, but if I had to make a
forecast, I expect
version 1
S&P to appear now.
They're coming in
around this area. Okay, so now it's
going like this and then it continues to decline.
Anyway, you can see how it's absorbed
again exactly at the level
we marked with the red line
here. Okay, so it's interesting that
this has already reached one of the
lowest levels we'd chosen, so
this could already be a kind of
hint that
they intend to unload today. Okay.
Oh, I haven't told you at a
fundamental level what's happening about
why NASAC has now gone into
negative territory. It went into
negative territory because, because of Kix,
companies are suffering. That is, if
a company like Google arrives and instead of
investing 70 billion, it goes looking for
external investors
in the production of artificial intelligence models, it
means that it
's not really that
sustainable. If even
Google, which is considered an
industrial giant on a par with Microsoft, okay?
If even Google is struggling to
finance itself, what do we say about other
companies?
So, because of Kapix, we're
risk.com
2.0.
The problem is that now the
money supply in circulation is, I do
n't remember how many times higher
than the 2001.
And above all, compared to 2001,
everything is much more concentrated on a few
titles than in 2001. In 2001,
everything was basically concentrated on one sector
, but it was already more
distributed. But actually, back then,
almost all the companies that
had the .com name
didn't make any money. Now, however, it
's not so drastic. The problem is
that the costs aren't
sustainable. Maybe a company like
Google manages to make money, Nvidia holds the
whole thing up, because Nvidia
is now doing things, I mean,
outside of any
human imagination, I mean, I think they have
aliens in the lab.
Okay.
Okay. The American company
has opened,
they're distributing.
Okay, this is the same situation
we saw before. Okay, this is
where I noted
those absorptions that I had
considered important. So now
all the structure is held by these
gentlemen here. Okay? As you can see,
the evil is going
down. Okay,
let's see the same situation right away.
Okay, let's see a few minutes. that
the volatility decreases
and then we'll go and see. Well, let's try
now, we have plenty of time to
wait for the chart to re-aggregate.
Okay, it was less serious than expected. As
you can see, I've had several
situations where buyers tried
to gain the upper hand and executed a
bunch of orders and then bye-bye
.
Okay, my first theory
was that it would reach these levels here and
then continue short.
Here we are around 7380. Let's see
what we have at 7380. At
7380
we have this block of absorption
that could be interesting.
The next block is
this one and then again.
But here, not even. This one maybe. Okay.
Okay. It's reacting right on that block
there. Let's see if it shows me.
Absorption.
This isn't Absorption, this is a
forced sale, okay. There ca
n't be an absorption
bit on the upside.
Okay, it's going up.
Perfect.
Although it actually depends on the Ask
because it depends semi-color based on the
BidAs or based on the buyers and
sellers. Let's see for now.
The doubt arose, I'm not sure.
Okay,
written. Okay, because in my opinion it's
not colored based on Bidoask, in
my opinion it's colored based on sellers and
buyers. If that's the case,
everything that's green are limiters
being attacked by market sellers and that's what
he's going to consider.
Six and red are limit sellers being attacked
by market buyers. Look,
it reached 86
and started going back down.
And it started going back down.
What could have been done? You could have placed
a trade here with me up there. Okay,
but in any case, at the opening it's better to leave it
alone. Okay? Really better to leave it
alone. Apart from the fact that here we are... Ah, but
here we are on micro S&P. Oh well, it doesn't
matter, the movement is the same anyway.
The quantity of orders is different, but
that is, the yield is the same.
And now look at how
the absorption goes down.
Later, later I'll find out more about
whether the colors in the indicator are
indicators of the execution side or whether
they are buyers. sellers, because they are
two fundamentally different things. Okay
.
exhaustion of
market buyers entering confirmation
maybe we'll try. Oh, let's go down a time
frame
of a glance as mecca
charges.
Let's do clear drawing.
This level has already been
broken, though.
Okay, here he uploaded
that here
it's interesting how he's taking
everything back, huh?
This is the micro range situation
we saw before. Here we are on a
15-second chart, eh, which is eh
it is the time frame that eh responds very
well to the
rhythm of the book because you don't see when
you see the development of the candle you don't see
the aggregate, you actually see the
trade as you would see it on time and
sales. I
'm pushing very well. I'm raising it, eh.
But I would monitor this whole area here.
These are questions of any kind.
M.
No, I don't have any questions. Okay.
absorption,
but I don't see it on the book, so that
's not an absorption that I saw on a
graphical level. It might seem that since
this
footprint arrangement represents the delta between the
bid, the fact that there is a
predominance of the ASC on this level
does not mean that there has been
absorption. There was an imbalance
between B and Ask, yes, but it doesn't necessarily mean it was
an absorption, they are two different things.
No, no, no, m, um,
who says that
everything that is an imbalance of the bid with
respect to the ask and vice versa on one
side of a range can be considered
either absorption or exhaustion or is just
simplifying a concept that however should not
be simplified because when
you go to program, when
you go to program the
indicators to use, you talk about there are
two families, basically there
are traders who don't know how to program,
or rather three traders who don't know how to
program, programmers who don't
trade and then there are traders
who also do programming. Look,
those are the most fussy, the most
annoying ones, okay? Why? Because, eh, the
trader who knows how to program has to
rack his brains, okay? how to apply
what he knows and he might even discover
that what he knows was a
simplification, maybe it wasn't true
because it's not statistically valid,
because something that is
statistically valid isn't necessarily
operationally valid, for example, right? Or
vice versa. Something that you can
exploit operationally does not necessarily
have statistical value. This can
be a very detailed description
of market noise.
When you start programming, guys,
a whole world opens up to you. In the
end, it's about market numbers,
data feeds, apnet keys, you look at the
executions, you look at the trades, you
redistribute them, Gaussian, you see how many there
are, you see the probability. Absurd,
absurd, beautiful, beautiful. I
advise any trader on this earth to study
statistical and quantitative analysis. Now
we all have
artificial intelligence. Instead of just sitting there
passively following Cloud or or or
Codex or whatever the hell it was, instead of just sitting
there and passively, uh, watching what
our, our agentic intelligences do
, okay?
Stop planning, it doesn't take much anyway
. Instead of programming,
let yourself be taught and trust, your
vision of trading will change
completely.
This light and
liquid situation above is interesting, but there is no one who
actually has enough strength
to go and get it. Ok,
this is very interesting.
So absorption.
Absorption,
so let's call it what it is. Okay
.
Well, there has actually been absorption here
. OK perfect. This
block here you can
call it whatever you want actually,
that is absorption block, imbalance zone
, eh
inefficiency, that is, it depends on what
you mean by one term or another. I
call it absorb simplifying, because
every time I call it something
fancy it's a mess. Okay.
Delta still negative, eh. Caution,
negative CVD. Let's see here. What we see.
Let's go to timeframe because we don't need it
now. No, we have it anyway. We have a
bookmapicrostructure.
This block that holds, this block,
well, this block that holds is also marked for me by
this indicator here, that I
made this indicator here. This is
an indicator that shows me, um, it
shows me which areas have the
best imbalance between the bid and ask.
In fact, you see, it gives me emptiness, it tells me
how many times the video is higher than the
ASK, it tells me if it has been touched,
how many times it has been touched, if the area
has already been invalidated. As you can
see the price has arrived, it has been
absorbed in 5 minutes, ok? So it didn't
break, it didn't go under this area
here and now it's hanging around
this area. But what I can see
right away is that this whole block here,
especially this one, actually makes me do this-
so. This is the price level
where there has been the greatest imbalance
between the BASK currently, so 73 84
is approximately 75 and in addition I have this
two levels, so tone number of
74. So I have this block here.
Now let's zoom out a bit.
We have no messages, we don't have any.
Perfect.
Well,
so
let's go like this. Let's see at 7400. What
exactly do we have? Just a moment
while it loads.
I actually have the book which is quite thin today
to be the SNP. Madonna as a party.
What?
This is a kilo imbalance and
I'd be surprised if you don't mark it as
absorption. Let's
do it this way. Let's go back.
it was served, but upside down
. So here,
apart from the fact that I remember that this is mini and
over there I was looking at the micro
and over there the DXFED, here instead I have the
bookmap data feed
and I didn't remember, that is,
the mini couldn't find all its names on BXFED.
Absolutely absurd.
This here is what I saw here. Okay
. which here is in aggregate of 5 minutes,
so here he will have done all this stuff
here. Here it is. He must have done all this
movement here. Ok, but it is
pushing upwards, but with 1 2 3
absorptions. Three absorptions around
80.
Shortly before 80. Oh, sorry, just
before '80, so all over
this area here, okay? Because rightly
I have these blocks, this block and the
price arriving is difficult. It's hard
because people sell when they
get there because they've seen that they've
already sold. Okay
.
This is this.
This is it. Madonna.
1500 is much bigger than the Nasc. I
usually trade Nasaq. Wait,
let's lower the minimum size. Let's do this
and maybe increase the aggregate. No,
the aggregate, right?
OK perfect. I
did this too. Anyway,
you see here too it gives me the ratio between B and
Ask. But now for the first 20 levels
I have the AS which is predominant. So
everything above here.
You see that the Gaussian curve here is also
bigger.
Hmm, let's see if he tells me the same
thing here.
This is the total though. Order book in
balance displaces the ratio.
Oh no, this is the average order. Okay
. It is not the totality of the orders. No, they
are two different things, guys, they
are two different things.
There I had put the report of the first 20
levels.
Sobimento, here it is. Here as soon as this
appeared, he shortened it all, in my opinion.
Okay, so it has 7385.
7385. As long as you knew that, you were here. Okay
.
Eh, maybe you
could have gone further from here.
Well, why do I do this? I just have to
do it like this.
You could have gone this far. $50 with a
micro. Be careful, eh, so with a
mini it could have been an interesting trade
with a stop above here.
With stop above. That's interesting.
We see. TT
also because one and two
Yes, it
would have been a nice trade and we would have already
exited, among other things, eh, because because
up to that point basically, but it
seems like the clear answer to me, okay? I can't
, that is, if I bet on the oration
of a level I am basically
needlessly increasing my risk.
Okay? Who can tell me, especially in a
situation like now that I'm
going to break this whole area where
the price was and where all the sellers
have been reabsorbed, what an area that
breaks this area here that for goodness sake
hasn't shown me absorptions, but I
still have this block here that maybe is
an absorption,
maybe the indicator doesn't show it
because it happened, it happened in a
different time range than the one I
set on an indicator, but it doesn't
matter, I mean the idea is let's not
focus only on the indicators,
eh, because the indicators are
written by human beings, let's remember that,
eh, and above all an indicator
will never be able to capture all the
variability of what can happen in the
market. Okay, if I see this thing here I ask myself
a question. Ok,
anyway this is the microstructure
back in bed, ok? There were
no absorptions here, but
there was one
that restarted the price.
We're back to where we were before,
though. Eh, we're back in this
area again. We're back here. You see how exactly exactly
where I said
up to here, okay? Here another
area of imbalance has been created between BASC.
We're in range now, let's see where it
breaks. If it breaks here,
I'll go and look for higher prices.
Ok, I could go all the way here to
look for a long maybe, but
definitely not seen from the M5 because
where do I cover myself from the M5? Not here
, five I could cover myself under here,
under here. Ok, it would already be much more
interesting than having to cover here by force,
also because here this could
also be considered
an absorption yes, because you see
how there was an imbalance and
immediately afterwards the price went long.
Okay? Someone bought heavily this
range. We're in a really
bad range.
Absorption. Eh, the real-time one.
As soon as you see it, in my opinion, you can
think of a long, okay? maybe with a stop
below,
but always knowing that going
long in the negative range means you have
a higher risk. We see.
And it was also a nice absorption,
but I think that
structurally it
depends on 1 2 3 three absorptions on this
range here. 78. Let's see. Come
on,
they have two different pieces.
At the moment they have had a little bit of a
slight
first time that I happen to see between
the mini and the micro
a difference in price
of several points, because it can happen
of some tic, but of several points is
because I looked at Bookmark, but
on Quantower It was 10 points more on the micro,
that is, the micro arrived here.
Oh, interesting.
But let's look for the mini at this point.
Just a second, eh. I want to see
where this divergence arises.
Eh, NQ MES.
Well, let's see. Slash
comes out of me.
M no, I don't want to.
What bad DXF names, guys.
U6.
No, I can't find it. I'm really curious
to understand why U26
which is U26
which rhythm 6. That other one is U26. You can't
understand a spinning top anymore.
Ok, this is this
this is Daddy Mini. This is the
serious one,
eh. I think it was a real
divergence between
micro and mini.
So,
we're always there, we're always in the
same area.
But maybe it was just a
platform delay, you know? In my opinion, that's how it is.
In my opinion, that's how it is. However, it has never
happened to me, in fact that's why I was
surprised. It could
also have been the lag of the platform itself
which perhaps
crashed. Okay
.
Ent today just range range range
bound. Those who work with range-
bound algorithms here have made a lot of skins.
Well, we have messages. Anyway, there are
8 minutes left.
No, we don't have any messages.
Perfect,
very good.
Yes, it could be that he is in
range now. Okay.
And as always after maybe around 6:30
7 when the second one arrives the second
stage 2 of the American I call it that
because stage 1 is the one that goes
from the opening around 4-40, ok? After
a moment, the waters calm down, you understand
what's happening,
the stock market starts trading and maybe something happens in the
meantime and
individual companies,
because something happens, bring everything down,
that is, it basically acts as a trigger for the indexes
.
But currently, from what I see in
terms of volume distribution, I
see a lot of downward movements that are
running out of steam.
Exhaustion is bought
hard, comes up, and is absorbed.
What could this mean? So, it's
a trap. The movement goes down, it
runs out of steam, people
buy with a malice that hasn't been seen
for I don't know, they buy with malice at a
low price, it goes up and those who
bought come to the rescue
and then the price goes down.
with malice is someone who is
doing either an accumulation or a
distribution,
since I have no way of seeing
right now,
eh. Oh my god, oh my god, let's try to make stuff.
Eh, New York,
New York started here.
New York started here. Well,
we are currently in negative delta,
even though the price is going up.
Ok, be careful, the price is going
up.
Ok, where exactly is the
3 o'clock candle? this is it. Okay, so I do
this. So is the negative delta.
Negative delta. The price is up. Someone here,
as if there were no tomorrow, is
absorbing
by the kilo. In fact, I also see the ASK,
that is, the entire limit side that they
are repositioning right next to.
Someone on these liquidity levels
avoiding fronting, okay? and it's
absorbing all the orders
basically, so all the
sellers who are absorbing buyers
to then sell down or are exiting
the market now. Ok, so they are either
active shorts who are entering the
market in anticipation of But since
nobody, almost nobody does this, only
retail does this, ok? Eh,
I doubt it, okay? or someone who is
taking advantage of the FOMO of those few
people, perhaps who are buying
maliciously to exit the ES market
and recalibrate their portfolios. There it is
, it's broken, it's going towards
400.
But actually I have
n't seen any large orders and 400 here.
Well, anyway.
Well, I mean, he does
n't color it for me.
I mean, here I have 60.
F.
No, no,
everything is so-so, it's better because if I
look here,
eh, but in fact at 400 I didn't have a
damn thing here either, so it
's not, I mean, most of the orders are
at 410
and it started long. Indeed the
range has been broken to the upside.
Here it is. This is the order I saw
above
with the other indicator.
Hmm.
Who is removed from the order?
Spuer
mh.
M.
Interesting, interesting. I'm
taking this off because it was rightly broken.
Now that's what's keeping all
the rabble here, but here I don't even have a
here. So
I might actually even think that the price
could go back to this range here.
I could also evaluate this option,
but in the negative range I wouldn't trust it
too much.
Let's see, shall we see?
No, no, because I set it up on the
Nasdaq. This is a linker,
okay, I'll show you.
We are at 7400.
I'm
not saying anything, eh,
this breakout is very very very unexpected. Right now
I would stay put,
wait to see what happens when it
gets here and I could, I say, I could
evaluate a long if it reaches me in
price ranges where there have already been previous absorptions
. That's all.
Anyway
guys, it's 4:00, it
was a great pleasure for me,
huh.
We'll soon start doing some
live shows and videos on
our Panterai Capital YouTube Discord channel,
in addition to the regular
Friday event we have here. And I
thank you, I wish you a good weekend
and thank you all. Thank you very much and have a good
day.