FED Rate News! Now This Is What Is Next In The Stock Market For Day Traders! | PS60 Process
Watch on YouTubeVideo summary
The video begins with an analysis of the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, marking the first increase in three years. While this move initially made logical sense and opened doors for potential future hikes, the market reacted negatively, resulting in a significant drop after the news broke. The speaker emphasizes that price action is the ultimate truth, rendering opinions on what the Fed said irrelevant; instead, the focus must be on whether bulls can reclaim the 50-day moving average. If stocks fail to hold this key support level by the close of trading, it signals a high probability of further declines, as the market will likely continue to sell off until demand is re-established or lower support zones are tested.
Key technical levels for the upcoming session are identified around the 700 mark, with specific attention given to closing prices below 698 or 697, which could trigger a cascade of selling down to 683. The transcript highlights individual stocks that did not participate in the day's rally as particularly vulnerable, specifically Micron and Sandisk, which have held onto their 50-day moving averages for three consecutive days. These stocks are described as being in a "tight" spot; if they lose this critical support line along with the broader market index, they could face severe downside pressure. Conversely, the speaker notes that SpaceX benefited from aggressive call buying ahead of its Starship launch, while Tesla provided a decent trading opportunity despite not making a massive move, illustrating how options activity can sometimes spark underlying equity gains.
Other notable mentions include Intel, which helped keep sentiment alive in the semiconductor sector before the sell-off, and Apple, which is currently forming a bullish flag pattern with higher highs and higher lows but needs to reclaim previous highs near 911 to confirm a reversal. The speaker also discusses Palantir (PLTR), noting its recent string of green candles and suggesting that if it can regain its 20-day supply zone and see aggressive short-term option buying, the stock could wake up from its sideways trend. Ultimately, the core message is that traders should watch tomorrow's session closely to see if bulls can defend the current bottom range; failure to do so would likely lead to lower prices, while a successful defense might allow for a potential recovery or rally in the coming days.
Read the full video transcript
Here's Dan Shapiro to help you find your
edge, master your process, and own your
future.
>> Hey guys, good evening everybody.
Welcome to another edition of the
accessrader.com nightly wrap-up show.
Thank you very much for tuning in,
spending a couple of minutes uh
listening to my nonsense. I always
appreciate it. All I ask is uh take a
second now, like the channel, click that
uh like button. Hopefully, again, I will
continue to spew my nonsense towards
you. So uh we knew a couple things going
into uh today's session. Number one, uh
we knew that today is the Fed day,
right? The expectations were that a 25%
uh 25 basis point uh increase would
happen. Uh that's exactly what happened
today. First uh increase in 3 years. I
believe it was 2023. Uh it also opened
up some more doors for potential uh more
hikes down the road. uh the market in a
weird way. I liked it originally, liked
the idea of it. It made all the sense in
the world and then yada yada yada, not
so much, right? Big big drop. Uh which
again was not exactly what the bulls
wanted the buying into uh the Fed
meeting. But here's the kind of the
second part that we knew going into
today's session, right? Second part we
knew and we talked about in last night's
video was this definitive area here,
right? You guys remember last night uh
70270 70270 70270
uh so after the news broke and they
digested and the Q&A happened uh the
market started selling off the cues
pretty aggressively and there was a nice
thick save at around 600 to kind of
rally it back uh into the close. But if
you guys if you watched last night's
video, we talked about it. It's not
going to be just a one time through.
There was a couple of support zones,
right? You got a support zone here. You
got a support zone here. We talked about
it in last night's video. All you got to
do is any close below 697 now becomes a
major major area because there is a hot
pocket going from 697 all the way down
to 683. But the first uh incision today
was made. If you look at the final
tally, you turn around and say, well,
you know, Q's held up pretty well,
right? They were, you know, up up 25
cents. The problem is that they were up
nine, right? Uh, so here is kind of what
we have going on for tomorrow's session.
Again, I'm not going to sit here and
bore you about the whole details of what
the Federal Reserve said. I'm sure
there's 2,200 uh 18-year-olds on TikTok
that could thoroughly break down exactly
uh what the Fed had and how it's going
to affect your life. I'm not one of them
cuz I just don't care that much. Price
actions king opinions mean nothing. Your
opinion, my opinion mean absolutely
nothing. Stocks are either going to take
out supply and go higher or they're
going to take down demand and go lower.
And today we saw uh the bulls attempt to
reclaim back the 50-day moving average.
They got rejected, got sold on the news.
They violated the August 20 uh August
lows. They went down to the next support
roughly around the 700 area. The 700
area now becomes very very important. If
there is a violation of 700, the next
area here is again not that big. 698.
Again, what we said a minute ago and we
said last night in the video, any close
uh let's just say 698 697. Any close 698
697 again, there is a measure potential
all the way down to 683. The longer the
bulls cannot reclaim back the 50-day
moving average, especially on the close,
the harder the harder reality will sink
in that there will be lower price
action. Again, all you need to do is go
back to July the 15th. And for more
information, what happens? So, it goes
down to the next demand, goes down to
the next demand, goes down to the next
demand, and ultimately we did rally. So
again, the longer the bulls can't
reclaim back the 50-day moving average,
the higher probability uh that we go
lower. Speaking of probability, folks,
if if you've been trading for a while,
right, if you've been trading for a
while, and you can't get your career
started, uh I'm doing this for a long
long time, almost three decades. Um
there is an alternative to the norm,
right? Uh all you got to do is hang out,
come hang out uh in the webinar for
about 30 days, see if it's a right fit
for you. uh it might be something that
you are not noticing in the regular tape
that you can get an advantage of. And
again, it's it's not for everybody and
I've been saying this for years. I don't
think pivots are for every everybody. Uh
but if there is an alternative and you
can't just get your career going, uh it
might be worth a try. Other than that,
let's talk about individual names. Um
stocks that did not participate today
and even any surge of uh any potential
rally did not participate. And if we do
confirm today's lows tomorrow, these
will be on the table, guys. We talked
about Micron yesterday. It's just it's
hanging on, folks. Micron is just
hanging on the 50-day moving average.
Look at Sandis. Sandis now has stopped
three days in a row on the 50-day. See
how tight this is getting, man. This is
something that is if this thing just
starts losing the 50-day moving average,
this thing could really, really get hit,
man. Look at this. Three days in a row
on the 50-day. This is this turquoise
line. three days in a row in the 50-day.
It did not participate in today's
deadcat rally. At no time was this thing
looking like it was about to go. It had
a little bit of a surge here uh after uh
after the Fed met. But this thing again,
three days in a row holding on to the
50-day. If the Q start cracking today's
channel and the Q Sandis and Micron
start losing the 50-day moving average,
um it's not going to be good, right?
It's not going to be good. So, uh let's
definitely watch Sanders tomorrow. Uh
let's definitely watch Micron tomorrow.
Uh again, two names that just did not
participate and they're sitting on the
hot in the most aggressive aggressive
area uh which is the 50-day moving
average. Some names that did uh very
well, right? Very well today. You had
SpaceX uh coming in with a lot of call
buying, right? A lot of call buying. If
you look at today's pivots, uh if you
look at today's pivots, uh here is
SpaceX, right? Here's SpaceX. Um the
whole morning you started seeing not
sure why it's not loading. Uh here we
go. Okay. So you had the whole morning,
right? The whole morning they were
coming in for the 155 weeklys. All
morning 155 155.
It needed 14860 for a new base. That is
the 3-day range. It got back above uh
the 3-day range. Traded all the way up
to 153 before the market started uh
coming in. Uh the move was attributed to
a potential launch of their I guess
Starship. Is that what you want to call
it? Spaceship. Starship on the 14th uh
next um I believe um soon. I forgot what
day it was, but soon. Uh so they're
betting into uh the launch. Uh Intel,
right? Uh Intel, which we didn't have a
pivot on, uh strikes a deal with uh what
was it? SK, what are they called, man?
All these weird names. SK Heinix uh for
potential manufacturer of memory chips.
They kept the bulls in the game in the
semiconductor group for a little bit uh
before the sell-off. But here again,
here was the big number. Uh here was the
big number here. Uh blah blah blah
SpaceX. Here was the big number here. Uh
the Q's, right? We talked about the Q's
last night. Again, I try to give you
guys um I try to give you guys as
actionable uh actionable setups as
possible without kind of giving away the
farm, but the cues always give you guys
very specific prices. Again, you had a
nearly a $3 wash uh into an interval
before uh the kick save. That 700 level,
guys, 700 very important going into
tomorrow and then 698 697 on the closing
basis will be massive. So, watch those
levels there. some other pivots today.
Uh Tesla gave us a pretty good trade. Uh
Tesla gave us a pretty good trade. Um I
took the 62 rebound. Uh traded off the
65. They were coming into they were
coming for the weekly 65s. That was a
predominant betting. I kept on
reiterating the webinar when you see
predominant betting right in the same
strike in the same time over and over
and over again as as as well maintenance
the stock looks whatever stock it is
there's a high probability if the market
continues in that direction it's going
to meet uh that price and make those
betters hold exactly what happened again
$3 move nothing great nothing awesome
but uh pretty good indeed uh so you had
Sandis excuse me you had um you had
SpaceX, you had the Q's, uh you had uh
Tesla, uh SanDisk again held, Micron
again held. Uh I like Apple didn't
confirm. Uh Oracle, you know, a dollar
move at the open and it just kind of spa
spaced right back. But the key again
going into tomorrow's session is well,
can the bulls hold on, right? Can the
bulls hold on? Uh can the bulls kind of
sit there and defend this bottom range
here? Again, the first incision was
made. A little bit of short covering
rally into the close. The key is what
happens next. I'm also watching and it's
kind of weird to say I'm also watching
Tesla. I trade Tesla literally every
single day. Um, but look guys, it
continues to go it continues to go
tighter and tighter in this area. Again,
the bull cases, well, the stock has been
building now for 2 weeks above the
50-day moving average. The bare cases,
well, who cares if the stock is not
price improving? Both sides were
absolutely right. the tighter it goes
eventually, I have to assume eventually
it's either going to lose the 50-day
moving average and get absolutely
annihilated or it's going to start
reclaiming back the last two weeks highs
and start moving higher again. I don't
know which side, right? I'm get very
comfortable trading both sides.
Obviously, the bigger value play is if
it starts losing the 50-day moving
average. Again, that's the mega mega
support. But again, you know, who
doesn't love a rally? Again, I'm a
romantic like everybody else. Uh watch
Apple also uh they had some news came
out. Uh Apple in a weird way if there is
a if there is a market decline tomorrow
in a weird way the last like two three
days that the market saw weakness. Apple
for whatever reason woke up. It's
building a nice little flag here. Higher
uh higher lows uh higher lows and higher
highs uh off the rising 5day support.
Just needs to get back above uh the 911
highs and this thing could wake up. We
did see some 33750s
and some 340 uh weeklies come in as
well. So, keep an eye on that. And PLTR,
we haven't talked about PLTR in quite a
while. It's not there yet, but guys,
this thing is finally closing higher
than the opens. Again, this is three
days in a row of green candles, higher
closes than the open. I'd like to see it
take back the 20-day supply. If PLTR can
just get back above this 20-day supply,
I think this thing can wake up again.
It's been kind of going sideways really
really nicely uh for the last like
couple of weeks ever since it had this
really really good strong uh earnings
run. Um I would like to see some
shortterm uh expiration meaning like the
180 185 calls come in. that would be
ideal because that's what really starts
uh you know that's what's really starts
uh spiking these uh underlying
securities. Once the the options market
comes in and starts really getting
aggressive with short-term expiration,
that's usually a sign that the stock
probably will give a pop. That's exactly
what happened today uh with SpaceX.
That's exactly what happened today with
Tesla. If you traded Tesla, you saw how
much uh 365s were coming in. Again, not
the biggest move in the world, only only
like three bucks. But the point is the
options market usually does fire up the
underlining equity. That's it guys. Have
a great great evening. Hope everybody's
doing well. If you are going through
files and files and words and words of
looking for um potential detailed
explanation of what happened today with
the Fed, you should really go outside
and get some ice cream. There's a lot
better things you can be doing. Guys,
have a great night everybody. God bless
and with God's help, we'll see you on
the field tomorrow. Take care.