Video summary
The Royal National Lifeboat Institution has issued a stark warning to its volunteers regarding the dangers of wearing uniforms in public, following a surge in harassment from far-right groups that label them "traitors" for rescuing asylum seekers. This targeted abuse has escalated to include doxing volunteer identities and making dehumanizing comparisons between life-saving operations and concentration camp guards, despite the RNLI's clarification that only 1.2% of their Channel launches involve asylum seekers and their strictly non-political mission. In response to this vitriol, donations have surprisingly increased, while political figures such as Andy Burnham and Shabana Mahmood have condemned the behavior and threatened legal action against protesters using face coverings. Parallel to these domestic issues, over 100 days of intense protests known as the "Flamingo Revolution" have erupted in Tirana, Albania, opposing a secret $1.4 billion land sale to Ivanka Trump and Jared Kushner for a luxury development on Sazan Island; these demonstrations also highlight broader grievances including state capture by elites, high youth unemployment, and environmental destruction, even as Prime Minister Edi Rama defends the project as a job creator.
In the realm of UK politics, the upcoming bi-elections in Holborn and St Pancras have become a critical juncture for the Green Party, which faces significant challenges from both media scandals involving its leadership and attacks from Labour candidates. While Prime Minister Andy Burnham has delayed decisions on controversial drilling sites to avoid alienating climate-conscious voters, critics argue this political prudence is insufficient given recent catastrophic wildfires and heatwaves that have claimed nearly 3,000 lives. The election outcome is viewed as a make-or-break moment for the Greens, who risk fading into obscurity if they fail to regain moderate support, a struggle complicated by the government's limited attempts to address cost-of-living crises and offer apologies regarding Gaza. Meanwhile, discussions on international affairs have turned toward the Trump administration's foreign policy entanglements, with reports surfacing about undisclosed cryptocurrency earnings by associates like Steve Witkoff and various international deals involving family members that raise questions about transparency and conflict of interest.
The conversation further expands to address the growing mainstream concern over catastrophic AI safety risks, sparked by the resignation of Anthropic engineer Jacob Coxin and his viral warnings about rapidly improving models lacking control. Experts now estimate a significant probability, ranging from 10% to as high as 70%, that unregulated AI could lead to human extinction within a decade, prompting calls for regulation from politicians across the spectrum including Ron DeSantis and Bernie Sanders. The discussion delves into complex concepts such as "subordinate goals," where AI pursues unintended methods to achieve objectives, and "instrumental convergence," where systems seek power and survival to complete tasks, leading some experts like Robert Wright to argue that Large Language Models should be treated as unified agents with agency comparable to human cognition. This technological anxiety coincides with a shifting geopolitical landscape regarding the Israel-Gaza conflict, where explosive reports from Haaretz allege that Benjamin Netanyahu was warned by UAE leadership about Hamas plans before October 7th but took no action, a theory endorsed by former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton as a failure of leadership.
These revelations suggest a potential turning point in international relations, as the US establishment appears to be distancing itself from Netanyahu by blaming him individually for the ongoing crisis rather than attributing fault to the broader Israeli government or military. This shift is particularly striking given Clinton's historical role as a hawk and architect of regime change in Libya, yet her public endorsement of the warning theory indicates a reevaluation of long-held alliances. The convergence of these diverse issues—from the harassment of humanitarian volunteers and protests against elite land grabs to the existential threats posed by artificial intelligence and the political fallout from the Gaza conflict—paints a complex picture of current global instability. Ultimately, the video underscores how domestic political maneuvers, technological advancements, and international diplomatic failures are increasingly intertwined, creating a volatile environment where traditional power structures face unprecedented challenges from both grassroots movements and emerging existential risks.
Read the full video transcript
Welcome to Navara Live. Coming up
tonight, lifeboat charity RNLI warns its
volunteers against wearing its branding
in public for fear of farright
harassment. That's a depressing story if
you ever heard one. Um, Albanians have
taken to the streets for over 100 days
in protest against a Trump family hotel
development. Um, it spun out into other
issues as well. Um, Labour and the
Greens have announced um, their
candidates in the Hobbit and St.
Pancress bi-election. Um, I speak to
veteran science writer Robert Wright um
on his views about X- Risk from AI going
mainstream. Um, we end with a really
remarkable clip of Hillary Clinton. She
has some I mean surprising views about
October the 7th. Um, I'm Michael Walker
and I'm joined by Barry Malone. Great to
have you in the studio.
>> Hello, Michael Walker.
>> Barry,
>> I've been here for a while. Last couple
of times I was remote from Ireland so I
haven't seen you for a while.
>> Lovely to see you in person.
>> Packed show. Um, if you'd like to
support our work, you can sign up at
envirdia.com/support.
You can also listen to the show on
Spotify and Apple Podcasts. You can like
this video if you want. You can
subscribe to the channel if you haven't
already. The Royal National Lifeboat
Institution or RNL is about as beloved a
British organization as you're likely to
find, other than Navara Media, of
course. They operate more than 400 boats
around the British and Irish coastlines.
Um, largely manned by volunteers who put
their lives at risk to save those who'd
run into trouble at sea. And they're
also non-political, meaning that their
mission is to rescue anyone of any
origin who's at risk of drowning. And
it's that universalist approach that's
now brought them into direct
confrontation with the small boats
obsessed far right. And in the face of
abuse and even doxing, the RNLI has now
warned its staff not to wear their
uniforms in some situations. Um, so what
abuse have the lifeboat staff been
facing? Well, last week while squads of
blackclad balaclava wearing men gathered
at first do then Portsmouth to block the
transport of small boats um and asylum
seekers being processed. Um this footage
was posted online
>> straight as me. Terrible.
Absolute terrible. idea. Look,
>> look at the state of these boys.
>> So, they're like guys going out in the
middle of the night to rescue people
from the channel and then you got some
like, you know, nonsense nobrain
[ __ ] calling them traitors in the
early hours of the morning. Um, the
traitors theme also went viral on
Twitter. Um this video shot in
Portsmouth last Sunday as the RNLI
brought a boat of asylum seekers into
the city's harbor generated a lot of
reaction, some of it completely um
unhinged. Um this was from US author
Matt Bracken, who is also a figure in
the Patriot Movement, which is an
amalgam of right-wing groups, including
armed militias. And so he said this um
video below, watch the traitor RNLI
bring in hundreds more military age
invaders. Watch the traitor police
lining up their coaches to take them to
their hotel barracks. their AK-47s will
be passed out later. That's the easy
part. Um, other big right-wing accounts
weighed in, too, like this one with over
350,000 followers. Um, Basil the Great,
I think he's a favorite of Elon Musk.
Um, last night the RNLI were recorded
multiple times, bringing hundreds of
illegal migrants into our country. When
we win, they should be completely
destroyed. Their management and staff
prosecuted for treason. Just following
orders is an admission, not an excuse.
Now, the phrase just following orders,
you know, and and and it not being an
excuse, that's that's something we say
about concentration camp guards, right?
They were people who were taking people
to gas chambers to kill them on mass.
Now there is going to be no view of
history where people look back and say
people saving innocent people from boats
in the sea and not leaving them to drown
is equivalent to a concentration camp
guard whose job was to march people to
their deaths. Right? You can you can
disagree with small boat crossings. You
should say that you you can say the
government policy could be different. I
think that's perfectly legitimate. But
to compare people who go out in the
middle of the night, many of them
volunteers to rescue people from the sea
to concentration camp guards. It's a
little bit much, isn't it? And there was
also an attempt to dox some lifeboat
volunteers, revealing their identities
online. And this image of a volunteer
called Neil was taken from film of a
lifeboat near Portouth Harbor on Sunday.
Um that image along with um one of
another volunteer was used in post that
was seen over two million times accusing
the men of being traitors assisting with
an invasion and demanding that they be
named and shamed. Now the reason we've
put the picture of that volunteer up I
should say is because he's gone public.
He's spoken to the BBC so we're not sort
of further doxing the guy just to be
clear. Um people did try naming and
shaming except they identified two
entirely different RNLI volunteers
instead. Um Neil spoke to the BBC, which
is um as I say, why we showed that
image, explaining that his boat had been
sent to light up the water, um where
far-right protesters were demonstrating.
He said this,
um we were there purely for the safety
of the protesters in the water. I'll be
back on the boat when the pager goes
off. It would be nice for those people
who call me a traitor to know I'm not a
traitor. I'm just a volunteer crew. So I
actually hadn't realized. So they were
trying to protect the protesters from
drowning, I suppose. you know, because
they're not political. They are there to
try and help and protect everyone. Um,
some mainstream media commentators have
also questioned whether people should
continue supporting the lifeboats. Um,
this was Nick Ferrari on LBC on Tuesday.
>> I wonder if you like me support the RNLI
and make sure that I give some money
each year and possibly you go to a bring
and buy sale at the lifeboat station or
whatever you do or you buy their
calendars or diaries.
Do you want your money for the RNLI to
go to what is now looks like it's going
to be a taxi service bringing people
illegally into the country? Of course
you want to save people. I get it. But
when you know that the tactic of the
French is if we're talking about this
crossing 70 mi, get them 35 miles and a
smidgen across the channel then radio
over to border force or an LII and out
will come the brave men and women of our
lifeboat teams. Each year I make sure
somebody as I remember my late mom made
sure every even towards Saturday when
she started to get old she made sure
that check went off. Ask your
grandparents. She made sure her check
was sent off. I hope they cashed it by
the way. I don't know if they ever did.
I've went off to the RNLI. Um I do it by
different means but and again it's not
their fault. They've got to respond to
whatever the shout is. But do you want
to raise funds for what is now turning
into effectively a taxi service?
>> Does feel a bit like cutting off your
nose to spite your face, doesn't it?
Because if if you defund the lifeboat
volunteers, they're not going to say,
you know, they're not going to then
start saving the British people in the
water and stop saving the the whole
point of the RNLI is they don't check
your papers when they rescue you. There
is someone floating around in the water
that, you know, you don't go over the
the Tanoi system, the walkie-talkies. Do
they look British? The whole point is if
they're in the sea, you rescue them. And
once you've rescued them, you take them
to I mean your own country, right?
lifeboats don't British lifeboats don't
take people to France if they're in
English waters then the lifeboats have
to go get them and they have to bring
them back to England that's how these
things work um others have mocked the
fact that the lifeboat volunteers object
to being labeled traitors North American
orphan Naomi Wolf um posted this on X in
response to those objections um so she
said if you are upset about being called
a traitor don't trait now that's sad
actually cuz I like the book no logo and
she's really um degenerated since then
hasn't Yeah,
>> the shock doctrine was also
>> bit of a classic back in the day for
>> saying that was a joke about the fact
that people mistake um Naomi Wolf and
Naomi Klein. They're very different
people. Um in response to the claims of
the far right, the RNLI's chief
executive Peter Sparks tried to limit
the spread of misinformation.
RNLI lifeboats were tasked by the Coast
Guard and launched 9,058
times in 2025.
109 of those launches were to those in
distress in the channel, representing
about 1.2% of the RNLI's total rescue
work. Nearly 95% of those who crossed
the English Channel in small boats last
year, one of the busiest shipping lanes
in the world, were picked up by the UK
border force.
Our mission and our tasking is to rescue
those women, children, and men in danger
of drowning.
Anyone rescued from a small boat by the
RNLI is immediately handed over to the
UK's immigration authorities.
Illegal immigration is a political
issue. The RNLI exists purely to save
lives at sea.
Now, it's not clear that message is
cutting through to those targeting the
service in Pool um in Dorset. Uh
Lifeboats Museum has announced it will
close after its volunteers received
repeated abuse following an anti-migrant
protest last Sunday. Um on the plus
side, the British public still have the
RNLIS back with the charity um reporting
a significant donations boost following
the targeting of its volunteers by the
far right. And Prime Minister Andy
Bernham has also spoken out against the
abuse with a spokesperson saying this.
Directing abuse at people who dedicate
themselves to helping others is
appalling. We won't tolerate social
media being a haven for this kind of
behavior. We support the police in
investigating any threatening or
unlawful behavior and taking action
where appropriate. Um, Home Secretary
Shabanet Mmood has met with police ahead
of further anti-migrant protest expected
this weekend. And according to reports,
um, she's told them to use all powers
necessary, which may include new powers,
to ban the use of face coverings in
certain areas. If this horrible farright
movement wants to sort of
engage with the public, become the sort
of vigilante heroes they want to be,
then the RNLI, the beloved RNLI are
probably a slightly strange target.
>> Well, they're barking way up the wrong
tree. I mean, you even saw Nick Farry
talking about his dear old mom sending
checks into them, right? and and bake
sales and and and yeah, so they're
incredibly beloved. I mean, who are they
going to target next? Like McMillan or
Barcy Cats and Dogs Home or you know,
no. Um it's it's it's it's ridiculous. I
I I think it's heartening to see though
that the that donations came in
afterwards and I think that that shows
that um you know stuff like this doxing
um doxing RNLI um um uh crew members
that's not going to be popular with the
wider public right I mean that is never
going to be something that's going to
break through you know we're talking
about reform and we're talking about
like reform curious people and you know
people who may think well I'm you Well,
maybe reform have a point. They're not
going to go for this kind of thing, you
know, no more than they're going to go
for this uh, you know, these fascistic
displays that we saw in in Dover and in
Portsouth and outside the Daily Mail
building the other day, right? Um, and
to think that the RNL RNLI have had to
go out there and make a video outlining
what it is that they do to sort of
reassure people that the number the
percentage of people that we rescue in
the channel who are actually asylum
seekers is very very tiny. It's only
1.2%. Rest assured, the rest of the
people who who we rescue are uh British,
you know, like do not worry about that.
I mean, it's terrible that they've been
put in that position. It's also not the
first time they've been put in that
position. I found a tweet from 2024 when
they also had to say something like this
and you know they put the stats in in
2024 we launched 114 times to the
channel that's just 1.2% 2% of our total
launches. Right? So, they've been forced
to go out there and say that. And to
talk about the position of, you know,
Danny Tommo, the leader of this um
Patriot platform, and the position of
people like Nick Ferrari, and the
position of the people who are doxing
these brave volunteers, let's be really
clear, their position is let people
drown. That's their position. Like, it's
no more nuanced than that. How do I
slice it any other way? You know, let
them drown. just let them drown if they
get into trouble or it's France's
problem or or or or um or whatever. So,
it's it's it's um it's it's just abysmal
and it's bleak. And you know when you do
look into the statistics and um you know
we see these men marching in do we see
we see them in Portsouth. see what we've
been looking at with uh with reform over
the last couple of years as something
that I'm always talking about which is
you know how the right-wing leads the
agenda sometimes when it comes to
immigration and if reform release a new
policy or or you know or similar then
the news will lead with it and then you
know the public are left with this
perception that small boats crossings
are getting uh are increasing or that
there are more than than there have ever
been and that's just not the case and I
Think also when you see men in
balaclavas marching in do again I think
you know your average Joe might think oh
god this this must be a big deal these
things must be going up whereas the
reality is they're going down and going
down really significantly right they're
down 43% this year on last year and
that's the lowest that they've been
since 2021. So, you know, you have all
of this kind of fear sort of whipped up
and and the reality is that if you do
want small boat crossings to go down,
they are going down. So, it is not the
issue that people like Danny uh Thompson
or Danny Tommo are making it out to be.
And I've been really struck by, you
know, the likes of Reform uh trying to
wash their hands of this. You know, it's
like, you know, oh no, that's a little
bit too much. you know, those sort of
fishistic undertones, the masks, the
balaclavas, uh, doxing, um, you know,
RNLI, uh, volunteers. No, sorry, that,
oh, it's gone a little bit too far for
us now. And it's like, well, what did
you think would happen? You know, you're
the people who've been opening the gates
for this crap over the last couple of
years. You know, you've been talking
about mass deportations. You've been um
uh sending out dog whistle after dog
whistle. Um, you've made out that every
problem that the UK has is down to
immigration, is down to quote unquote
migrants, is down to Muslims. I mean,
see how they were weaponizing Suta a few
weeks ago and now they're trying to sort
of distance themselves from this because
this
will not win them an election. And if
they're associated with this, I think
that they're tainted. and we've said a
million times on the show, they need a
broader coalition than just the hardcore
reform fans if they're to get anywhere
um anywhere near power. Um having said
that though, I do want to say that I
think that the threat from Patriot
Platform and Danny Tommo and the people
who surround him, I think it's real. I
like I think it should be taken
seriously. Like right now they're, you
know, they're they're a small enough
group, but they're clearly able to get
people on the streets. Okay, it wasn't a
huge amount of people, but he also
mobilized people uh pretty fast in um in
Portsouth. I think that seeing, you
know, ba black clad balacava wearing men
marching uh in do should concern
everybody. Um and I think, you know,
it's interesting if you look into sort
of his background, right? We know that
he was sort of a Tommy Robinson
lieutenant for a long time, but it seems
like he now doesn't think that Tommy
Robinson is fit for the fight, right?
There was some phone call that was
leaked where he was saying, "I love
Tommy to bits, but it's time to sort of
move on from uh from Tommy." And of
course, he's been all over the media
recently saying that they're not going
to be violent and that they and that
they cause no violence and that if there
was any violence, it was um you know,
isolated incidents. But I've looked into
some of the things that that this man um
has said. There was one time where he
was filmed speaking. This is very
recently where he was speak he was
filmed speaking to his followers I guess
you would call them and he said
something is coming. Something big is
coming. I think referring to the do
protest. He said once we pull this off
it will snowball in the entire country.
Then he says that we need to box clever.
We need to exercise discipline. He says
we create a violent movement. Now what
do you think's going to happen? We'll
get nicked. Right? So it's strategic.
Now, we'll say that we're not for
violence, but then what do you think?
Does that sound like a peaceful
organization? And then when I looked at
them outside the Daily Mail office the
other day, you know, it was absurd. He
was standing there with his little toy
soldiers, you know, and we saw this like
line of of police in front of him and he
was issuing these weird threats where he
referred to these men behind him as like
my men. And he said, "The Daily Mail has
like 48 hours to respond and then I'll
ask my men to stand down." like talking
like some kind of a military leader.
Also, you know, the police just let
them, you know, block the highway which
Extinction Rebellion uh uh weren't
allowed to do or um um
>> just up oil.
>> Just stop oil. Thank you. And then um
you know, is that not threatening
behavior? Is that not public nuisance?
You know, I'm glad Shabban Mammud said
that they're going to throw everything
at these people because they sure as
hell threw everything at the pro
Palestine protesters and there are
still, you know, a bunch of young people
in prison for terrorism for for
protesting. So look, I think it needs to
be taken seriously. And also I think
that if if the government can't be
trusted to deal with this. I I think
also there needs to be serious serious
mobilization from the left and the
grassroots left to combat this because
yes, it's nent. Yes, the guy seems
faintly absurd, but this is something
that needs to be taken seriously. That's
what I think.
>> Um Aami 123 says, "I've just given them
a tenner." um which I presume is to the
RNLI, not the horrible that Barrett just
been talking about here.
>> Those were scenes from the streets of
Albania's capital, Tyran, where for over
a 100 days, mass protests have been
taking place. is the so-called flamingo
revolution began with smaller protests
in February, which have now ballooned
into the largest unrest Albania has seen
since the fall of communism in the early
'90s. Thousands have taken to the street
in Tana, where demonstrators outside
both the country's parliament and the
prime minister's office are calling for
the prime minister and his entire
cabinet to step down. The trigger for
the protests involved a massive land
sale made by the government to a couple
of people most of us don't care too much
for. Um last year Ivanka Trump and her
husband Jared Kushner um bought the
Albanian island of Sesan um for $1.4
billion. That was through Kushner's
investment firm Affinity Global
Development. And the sale was made in
secret with Albanian parliamentarians
and local residents only finding out
about the deal when it was done um and
published in the media. And the real
estate deal was also heavily pushed by
the country's prime minister Eddie Rama
who met several times with the Trump
Kushners even while protests objecting
to the island grew across Albania. And
Rama who has been in power for 13 years
vowed to push on with the Kushner's
luxury development project. And that's
despite the fact that EU officials have
warned that irregularities around Trump
Kushner plans around the Trump Kushner
plans could interfere with Albania's
path to becoming a member of the block
if they go ahead. Now, one of the
reasons behind the anger around the sale
and development of Sesan is its
environmental status. Previously, the
home to a military installation. Um, the
island was left to return to nature
after the end of communism. In 2010, the
seas surrounding the island were
declared a national marine park by the
Albanian government in recognition of
its importance as a crucial breeding
ground for the country's flamingos and
sea turtles. Those beaches do look
beautiful. Um Trump and Kushner now plan
to develop on those sites to much
opposition from the Albanian people. And
the protests though are also about what
demonstrators see as state capture by
elites. In 2024, prior to the deal going
through, the Albanian government quietly
changed the law exempting conservation
areas from protections. If a planned
development was fivestar, you can't
build in the middle of the nature
reserve unless there's going to be a
sauna, I suppose. Um Trishna and Trump's
plans are certainly that with the change
in law creating a clear path for their
luxury developments to go ahead. This
was Ivanka Trump laying out her plans
for the island two years ago.
>> Right now I'm um working with my
husband. We have this 1,400 acre island
in the Mediterranean and we're building
bringing in the best architects and the
best brands and but to have a point of
view and to challenge people who are
such artists respectfully um but not to
be afraid to to ask questions. It takes
a lot of confidence to do that um and
and it's hard. So these are actually
just internal early renderings. So we're
in the process of doing the master
planning now but
>> this is beautiful. I mean, it's early
vision. Yeah,
>> it's going to be extraordinary. Aman's
going to operate the hotel for us and
they're going to be villas and uh we
have Carbone who's going to be doing the
food and beverage and but it's it's
amazing to bring together all of this
talent and for me to be able to play
around and flex the the real estate
muscles again and and have some fun.
>> The real estate muscles. I've never
heard a of more gross phrase in my life.
Um when you were looking at those
beautiful beaches before was the one
thing that came to your mind this could
really do with the best brands. I'm
going to bring in the best brands. Um
the change of law um that sort of said
if the hotel is fivestar you can build
it here. Um is now itself under
scrutiny. So in June Albanian
countercruption police open
investigation into the circumstances
surrounding the convenient change to
Sesan's conservation status. Many
Albanians see the government as selling
off what is rightfully theirs. This is
from a recent Guardian documentary on
the Flamingo Revolution with journalist
Matthew Cassell speaking to Albanian
researcher Lauren Kadu in Tana.
>> I remember you could watch the mountain
from almost everywhere in the city when
I was a child. Now it's becoming
impossible to see
>> so much construction. Look at all that.
>> What's interesting is you see the public
land given figure. It's 2.1 million
square meters given for free to the
strategic investors just to accommodate
their needs. We see almost no foreign
investors, but we see a lot of favors
given to the Albanian private.
>> Okay. So, what does that say to you?
>> For me, it looks like a group of people
ordered the law to fit their needs and
the government was happy to provide it
to to them. And this group of people
happen to be
>> very wealthy developers.
>> The same usual suspects we see
everywhere in every part of our economy
and life where there is money and power
involved. It's almost becoming
impossible to go to the seaside
especially on the south if you don't pay
for uh sbed or if you don't go in one of
these resorts. Isn't it nicer to go to
the beach though and be able to order a
mojito and get a foot massage, have some
music playing in the background? Maybe
you have to pay €50 to go into that
beach club. But don't you prefer that
than just going to the beach and not
having access to any of that?
>> Yeah, I prefer that. But I'm I'm afraid
we will be the ones doing the foot
massage and serving the mojitos, not the
ones laying on the sunbeds. So that's
what I'm worried about.
>> It's a very good line. and they'll be
the people doing the foot massages. I
have to say, um, as someone who's never
given a foot massage nor got a foot
massage on the beach, I much prefer a
beach where there where you don't have
to pay for the deck chairs. And I don't
just mean that cuz of the money. Like
obviously I prefer to go to the beach
when it's free. I don't want to pay 20
quid to sit in a deck chair, but I I
find the beaches where it's just rows
and rows of deck chairs, I find them
depressing and sterile. Um, it's the big
problem with large parts of Italy,
right? You go to Italy, so much of the
coast is these sort of privatized
seaside developments. Probably got
something to do with organized crime in
the mafia, right? You sell off sort of
vast parts of public land to to private
interests. Just to guess just off the
top of my head, uh, this country in fact
is quite good at keeping beaches public,
although shame about the weather. You
know what? This is another climate. You
know, we're going to have great summers
and we got public beaches. This is the
place to be, guys. Um, right back to the
serious story. As the protests have
grown, those taking part are facing
greater violence from police. And one
protester gave his take on the increased
threats after demonstrators were met
with force earlier this week.
>> THEY WERE VERY VIOLENT, BUT uh they
don't understand that their violence is
uh is keeping us more pumped and will
bring here more people. They think they
by they by arresting us, by illegally
keeping us in prison, uh they think that
they can scare us, but it's kind of the
opposite. like we are not scared. We are
everyone is seeing the regime here how
it is operating. So yeah, we are not
scared anymore. So we'll keep going.
>> So we were both saying we watched that
Guardian video before this segment,
didn't we? I have to there are certain
things that really like speak to my
heart and one of them is beaches being
public.
>> Yeah.
>> So yeah. No, absolutely. Actually, it
came across very strongly in the
Guardian piece um by Matthew Castell
because there was another bit in it
where he went to visit another resort on
the coastline which I think was called
the Green Coast. Now, that one was owned
by some local tycoon, right? Which
Albanians also have a problem with. I
think many of them have said, you know,
we have our own Ivanka Trumps and Jared
Kushners who are involved in corruption
allegedly and are building these massive
resorts. But Matthew Castle went to
visit this Green Coast one and there's
this amazing scene where he's trying to
find the beach, right? And he's just
walking and he keeps he every corner he
turns, he ends up walking into a private
beach club, right? He just can't get out
to find his way to the beach and then to
find a spot where he can actually just
like you say, walk onto the beach for
free and sit down and have a swim or
whatever, eat a sandwich. And you know
there there's other footage I've seen of
Albanians um hanging out on on the
beaches where actually the Trump uh
Kushner place is supposed to be
>> island just flamingos. Sorry. Yeah.
Sorry. No, not just flamingos. But yeah,
there's there's footage of Albanians
being interviewed there, hanging out
there and having a great time there. And
then at the same time, you will speak to
officials who support the development
who will say, um, well, nobody's using
it. There's nobody there anyway. It
needs to be developed. There's nobody
there. And then, you know, the
journalists visit the beach and there
are Albanians everywhere and they're
saying, "We want to keep access to this.
This is our beautiful country and we
want to be able to enjoy it." And they
don't want to see what would surely
happen, which is, as you say, you would
have to pay onto the beach. You would
have to pay to park. You would have to,
you know, Yeah. It would become as as as
Matthew Cassell saw in in the other
resorts, full of private beach clubs.
And even if you look at that that clip
um of Ivanka Trump and you see the sort
of ridiculous rendering behind her of
what the um the I guess apartments or or
or whatever would look like and you said
to me off air they look like something
out the Teletubbies, right? Like look at
those things. They're going to cost an
absolute fortune to stay in. There's
hardly any of them, right? So you're
you're if if that is in any way
accurate. I know it's just a vision, but
look at the size of that cliff they had
up, right? How many uh sort of fancy
holiday apartments did they have built
into the like 12? I mean I mean it's
completely ridiculous. It's obviously
aimed at um at the ultra ultra wealthy.
And I think that in some of the resorts
on the coast that already exist, hotel
rooms cost like $2,000 a night there.
The average Albanian makes $1,000 a
month. And I think sort like that's also
kind of key here. you know, Prime
Minister Eddie Rama has said that uh
he's sort of justifying it by saying,
"Well, it's it's going to create 10,000
jobs." Um, and I think we heard there in
that clip, well, we'll be the ones
massaging the fee. Those will be, you
know, very um low paid jobs, you know,
and I think that there's already a
problem with unemployment in Albania and
specifically with youth unemployment.
And I've read that even when you look at
some of the employment statistics,
they're actually
they're actually quite um they don't
tell the whole story basically because
there are people who are only in
part-time work or or um you know very
insecure work I guess like zero
contracts or whatever we have here and
they're marked as as employed. But even
with that, I think the latest statistic
on youth unemployment is 46% against a
wider background of unemployment of
about 9%. Right? So I think what's
happened here is there has been
discontent already in Albania before
this all happened. So there's been
discontent about uh immigration, about
people being forced to leave the
country, about unemployment, about
corruption, and about where um um you
know, Prime Minister Eddie Rama's sort
of economic plans are going and what
they actually mean for ordinary people,
right? Because if you listen to the
protesters, they're saying that, you
know, yes, he's trying to attract
foreign investment. He is successfully
attracting foreign investment. He has
this big plan for tourism which I think
makes it harder for him to back down
from this. There's some like you know
Albania tourism 2020 2030 kind of road
map that he's that he's pursuing. So
this is like a big plank of his kind of
economic policy but a lot of the
protesters are saying that the country
is is um suffering from over tourism and
mass tourism. And you know this is we've
seen this in other European countries
right where people have been protesting
about over tourism. We saw it in
Portugal. We saw it in Lisbon. And so
that is one of the arguments they're
making that there's over tourism. I
think there are about 12 million
tourists come a year that's in a country
of a 2.8
million uh population. What they're
saying is that this development and
developments like it will only benefit
the ultra wealthy, right? That's not
only ultra wealthy coming in from
outside Albania. That's the, you know,
the wealthy people of Albania who are
involved in these investments um uh etc.
So, you know, I think the prime minister
said at one point, "Nobody gave a [ __ ]
about flamnco until uh Ivanka Trump and
Jared Kushner bought the island." He may
be right about some people. I'm sure
there are a lot of people who gave a
[ __ ] about flamnco, but people
>> flamingos.
>> Flamco flamingos. It's flamco. Oh, god.
>> Flamco is different different when you
keep it. We're keeping it. You please
cut this out. Um, so um yeah, but what
they do care about is is unemployment.
What they do care about is corruption.
And what they do care about is is uh
Albanians being forced into absolutely
menial jobs against a background of $1.4
billion coming in, which is what uh this
development is is sort of mooted um to
cost. I do want to say that and the
prime minister uh he's not unpopular. He
does also have a lot of support. I think
Albania is almost what you see in the
last election and what you see in the
most recent polls. It's almost like
50/50 split in terms of, you know,
people who support the government and
people who sort of oppose the
government. Um, and so then it leads you
to wonder about this kind of protest
movement and whether it's made up of of
of the opposition or whether it's
organized by the opposition. I was
reading some interesting uh analysis
today that that said that no it actually
looks like quite a broad-based movement
and they've even been carrying signs
where they ask for you know um uh the
prime minister to be jailed but also the
leader of the opposition
>> uh to be jailed and it seems to be be
one of these movements that we like
we've seen a lot of youth movements like
this right where it's organized online
and there's no structure there's no
leadership and so I think one of the big
questions going forward as to whether or
not they can be successful with this or
whether they can keep the momentum
because it's been 100 days, right? And
they have had some success because
there's the corruption investigation and
the European Commission has expressed
concern about the impact on uh on
nature. Um but I think it will be an
interesting test to see if they can do
what happened in say Nepal and
Bangladesh where a decentralized
movement like this actually became a
real political movement that could
threaten um that could actually threaten
um the government. So, I think the prime
minister is in a sort of a difficult
spot because um he's all in on
investment and because of the Trump uh
involvement, but I think it's it's far
from clear that uh he will be toppled.
>> Oh, and that's before you even go into
the absolute craziness of the Trump uh
Kushner connection when you like zoom
out from it, right? Because
look, think about this for a second. If
this was North Korea, right, or if any
other country outside of the West was
sending the the son-in-law of the
president all over the world with a
billionaire property developer who's in
business with the president to mediate
in every conflict that there is, there
would be uproar. It would be sneered at.
It would be ridiculous. And while I know
that they're not, you know, that they
haven't gone to Albania to um, you know,
to solve a conflict or to negotiate
anything, to me, it just says something
about how the US government works and
the sort of persistent allegations of
corruption that we're seeing surrounding
the administration and surrounding the
wider Trump family and often surrounding
Wickoff himself. like effectively you
know the US the two main US envoys for
foreign policy are property billionaires
who are closely related to the president
of the United States. So there was a
similar thing in Serbia, right, with
Kushner where Kushner was investing in
in again some kind of a resort
development. Turned out that there was
corruption involved in that. He
apparently wasn't involved directly in
the corruption, but there was corruption
surrounding the project. He had to pull
out of that project. Kind of a similar
situation, right? And then even when
they are kind of involved in negotiating
serious geopolitical issues, there's
always some business tacked on at the
end, right? So there's some that aren't
aren't so wellnown. So in eastern Congo,
uh Trump had the leaders of Congo and uh
Rwanda to the White House to talk about
a peace deal in, you know, Congo's war
with the M23 group who was supported or
backed by Rwanda. They signed a memo of
understanding and Trump said that
there's a peace deal, but the fighting
continues. But anyway, if you look at
the peace deal, at the end of the peace
deal, there's all this stuff tacked on
about mining contracts for the US. Um
also there was the um was it the the
Armenia Aaran thing where when the the
uh the deal was signed um Trump had
extracted this deal that this road would
be built. Now it wasn't a personal deal
but that this road would be built but
that the road would be called I had to
write this down because I would forget
cuz it's so absurd the Trump roots for
international peace and prosperity. You
had in Syria the Syrian prime it's a
beautiful trips off the tongue. You had
um the Syrian um uh president Ahmed
Alshara offering to build him a Trump
Tower in Damascus. I mean, you could go
on and go go on. But then there are some
serious little kind of things emerging
that I think that the depth of the
corruption allegedly in the Trump
administration could could you know be
more than anyone could even imagine. So
yesterday just on on Witoff and and and
and and Kushner and Trump and how
interrelated they are and how this
becomes problematic around foreign
policy because just again you know to
say that the the prime minister of
Albania is kind of stuck because he
doesn't want to chuck Ivanka Trump and
and Jared Kushner out of their
investment because what's that going to
do to relation
100% there is a conflict of interest but
you know so the New York Times only
yesterday had a piece about Steve Witoff
right and how he had I has done his
annual financial disclosure, right, as a
member of government. And so he made
$257 million last year, which the New
York Times describe as a remarkable haul
for a government employee, right? So he
made $120 million from selling a stake
in his family-owned real estate
business. But this is interesting. He
made $107 million from a holding company
that invested in a variety of other
ventures, including the Trump family's
cryptocurrency
business. Now, what he then didn't do
was outline of that 107 how much came
from the cryptocurrency business. The
New York Times said that that is very
strange. Now, that company, the um it's
called World Liberty Financial. By the
way, Trump made 800 million from it last
year. Uh the New York Times said that an
investment firm tied to the UAE bought
nearly half of that company last year.
>> Wow.
>> A transaction that blurred the line
between foreign policy and private
enterprise and enriched Mr. Witos family
and Mr. Trump's you think New York
Times, right? Like so to me it's just um
you know this is it's a it's a two-prong
story, right? It's a story of the
Albanian people or you know the people
who are protesting I think engaged in in
a in a very righteous fight. Um and then
I think that there's this wider story of
just the money making that the wider
Trump family and allies like Witoff are
are are engaged in all over the world. I
mean crazy just to say again 1.4 4
billion.
>> Yeah. Property development and politics
shouldn't really mix. Very, you know,
it's an industry, a sector which is
associated with corruption. So when you
have the family friends of the president
going and making all these deals in
countries which are, you know, to some
degree a bit subservient to the United
States, it's uh dodgy as [ __ ] A crucial
bi-election will take place on the 8th
of October in the constituency now
vacated by former Prime Minister K
Starmmer. And the two parties that'll be
most fiercely contesting the North
London seat of Hoben and St. Hankress
have both now unveiled their candidates.
On Thursday, Labour announced Sagal Abdi
Wali as its candidate. Um she's
currently the head of Camden Council and
has lived in the constituency for most
of her life. Um in July, she gave Labour
MP Steve Reed her backstory.
>> What was your connection with Camden?
How did you come to be here in the first
place?
>> Yeah, thanks for having me, Steve. Um
yeah, so I grew up here. I came to
Camden. I came to the UK as a refugee um
with my family, a child refugee. I don't
almost want to give the years away back
in the early 90s. Um and Camden was the
main place that we made a home and um
sort of was were assisted by a number of
different things like the local
community and um local services as well
to really build a home here as a family
and so Camden's been my home ever since
essentially other than small t small
moments where I like university or work.
>> So you're very deeply rooted.
>> Yeah, I love I love in the community
here. Now, before even being selected,
Abdiwali was already being subjected to
racist hate from the right with reform
home affairs spokesperson Zia Ysef um
posting this. The front runner being
foisted on the people of Hoben by Labour
to replace the former prime minister Kia
Star in our parliament was born in
Somalia. Do you understand what is
happening? That is an incredibly racist
tweet from someone who wants to be the
home secretary. Um there was uproar.
Ysef has since deleted that tweet. Um
Abdiwali will likely face a tight
competition for the constituency from
the Green Party who have also announced
their candidate today.
>> I'm so pleased to welcome onto the stage
my best friend and wonderful colleague
Sack Palanski.
Thank you very much. And thank you,
Hannah, for those incredibly kind words.
That means I'm starting my speech
feeling a bit tearary, but thank you,
Hoburn and St. Pancress. I am here to
fight for you.
>> Green Party leader Zach Palansky
announced his plan to put his name
forward for the seat last week. Um, it
won't come as much of a surprise that he
was selected today. That was a big round
of applause, but I suppose that was more
a round of applause for someone going
into battle than someone having already
won one. Um, in a sign that the race for
the seat is already shaping national
politics, Prime Minister Andy Burnham
made this announcement today. So, an
imminent government decision about
whether to start drilling at the Jack
Door site in the North Sea has been
delayed with Whiteall sources saying it
wouldn't be announced until after the
bi-election. Um pushing the announcement
back of course means there's no risk or
less risk I suppose of angering climate
conscious Labor voters in the North
London burough and it was a move that
Palansky seemed to anticipate at his
candidacy announcement this morning when
he was asked about the possibility of
Burnham opting to drill. So the final
thing I would say to the prime minister
is if he wants to make a deeply
irresponsible decision during this
bi-election or even if he wants to delay
it but not rule it out for instance
people will see through that. I am
hearing over and over again,
unsurprisingly, people want to have a
livable planet for themselves, for their
children, and their grandchildren. And
sending a Labour MP to Parliament is not
going to make Andy Burnham change
course. In fact, he will see that, I
imagine, as a confirmation that he can
carry on uh talking about being
pragmatic despite the fact we've seen
horrific wildfires this summer. Heat
waves have estimated to have killed
nearly 3,000 people, and we know that
floods could be coming. I don't think
there's anything pragmatic about that.
>> Barry, any tips on who will win.
Uh I I think it's too close to call. Uh
I also think that this is I think the
big thing about it is that it's a it's a
make or break for the Greens
potentially. Um you know, yet again, we
have a bi-election that's of sort of
national importance, whereas this like
the third. I think that if this
bi-election was happening pre- Burnham,
pre the burn and bounce, then Palansky
and the Greens would be an absolute shoe
in right. But the burn and bounce has
happened and the burn and bounce has
happened at the same time as I think
Palansky and the Greens have
hit some choppy waters, right? There
there there's been, you know, yes,
media, you know, to some extent media
manufactured scandals, right? The most
recent one was uh the sharing on
Instagram of the guy wearing the t-shirt
that that we're only making plans for
Nigel, etc., you know, an apparent death
threat against Nigel Farage, which the
media made an absolute meal of up to an
including News Night, devoting entire
segments to it. I mean, it was an
absurdly overblown story, but I think it
did real damage. I think it really did
damage Palansky. Um, and we've seen that
in the polls, right? We've seen it
reflected in the polls since Burnham
came in and I think since media attacks
on Palansky in particular, the Greens,
but Palansky in particular started to
to have an impact. Um, so is it a shoe
in this time? I I I mean, I don't think
so. when you look at the the Labor
candidate there, I mean, I don't know
how well she's known in the
constituency, but you know, they have
somebody who's a leader of the council,
who's a community organizer, um, who's
apparently, you know, I saw some reports
today, you know, pretty well known
around the area. That's a that's a and
though it would have been unpleasant to
be attacked by Zia Yousef like that,
it's probably going to be quite good in
terms of rallying support. I think it
will be. Yeah,
>> I think most I think most people sort of
saw those tweets and thought like, okay,
I feel sympathy and solidarity with this
woman standing to to be MP. I'm sure
that helped in this election. I imagine
it might help in the election.
>> It goes back to what I was saying
earlier on about, you know, reform and
and, you know, the depths to which they
descend with pure bald racism like that.
But apparently these guys marching and
do is they're a bit squeamish about that
stuff, you know.
>> Um, so yeah, I think look, I don't I
would definitely not make a a prediction
on it, but like there's a bigger story
here, isn't there? Which is the survival
of the Greens as as a as a real threat,
as a real electoral force. Still, what
are we still more than 2 years out from
an election? Um, and there's also the
story of how long the burn and bounce
can hold, right? Because this is the
first big test, I think, for the burn
and bounce. I think for Palansky, it's a
big it's a big risk, right? It feels
almost,
you know, all or nothing. I like I don't
want to be uh I don't want to exaggerate
this, but I honestly feel like if
Palansky loses,
you know, they're they're they're
looking down the barrel of fading into
the background again. No, you think that
is
>> two years into the general election.
>> But that's my point.
>> Nigel Farage lost. Yeah. I mean, they'll
go into the background for 6 months, but
like there's there's there's two years
where Labor have got a very difficult
job in holding their coalition together
and there will be issues that come up.
>> But then what's the what's the Greens
campaign on? you know,
>> just I think they should just campaign
on the climate for a while.
>> It seems like that's what they're doing,
doesn't it? It seems like we've heard
>> campaign on the climate for a while and
then wait for an opportunity. That's
what
>> it does feel like we've heard more about
the climate from the Greens um since
Burnham came in than we had heard before
because Burnham and and and this like
Labor government uh have sort of tried
to outflank them on a couple of issues,
right? So there's the cost of living. he
came right out of the gates and did his,
you know, three things uh to address the
cost of living, which I think
communicated to people that, you know,
I'm listening. I understand what the the
the big issue was. And then Gaza, you
know, it's been woefully reported in my
opinion how far uh this apology that
Burnham first issued actually went,
right? He said, "We're sorry for Gaza."
It's been reported that Burnham said
sorry for Gaza. But when you look into
it and you look into the detail, he
actually only said sorry for two things.
He said, "Sorry for the Stammer
interview where a Stammer, you know,
justified an effective war crime being
committed by, you know, cutting off
power and water to Gaza." He apologized
for that and then he apologized that
they hadn't called for a ceasefire
earlier. That's it. He didn't apologize
for any of the other material or
diplomatic support that was given to
Israel while it committed a genocide.
>> Actions matter more though, right? So,
it's the the sanctions on the settlers
and and some of those sanctions on the
services provide. So, they have gone the
the concrete change from the previous
government matter. What I'm talking
about is the fact that when Burnham even
just said that, right, let alone Miband
and what Miliband has done and the
sanctions on on the West Bank, which you
know, I wasn't here earlier in the week
to talk, but um you know, I have
opinions on that, right? I I and I'm
sure you probably agree. I don't think
it's gone in any way far enough. And and
obviously it absolutely does not mean
that the fight is in any way over and it
does not mean that Britain has in effect
stopped supporting Israel fully as it
commits an ongoing genocide in Gaza. You
know, I'm always of the opinion that
it's easier to act on the West Bank than
it is to act on Gaza. All right. So, you
know, parking whether I think that that
that the miliban thing is even
effective. My point is actually just
about Burnham even saying sorry because
I think even that was enough for some
people who'd moved to the Greens over
Gaza to go back to Labor because there
are sort of you know more center more
center left kind of people looking for
an excuse to go
>> yeah well yeah because they they became
green curies for a while because they
were they're the kind of people there's
a big broad constituency of people out
there who sort of felt like oh it's
going to Israel's gone a bit too far
right there those people exist
you know, who who thought that Israel
had the right to defend itself. Israel
had the right to go in and and and
attack Kamas, but they've gone a bit too
far now with the 20,000 children. You
know, I don't like that. And so then
when they see that, you know, uh Burnham
has now given has now had a change in
tone. That's enough for a lot of people
to go back. So I think what I'm saying
is even that move and the initial moves
on cost of living I think would have won
people back from the Greens into labor.
And so then when I, you know, when I
look down the road, I, you know, and you
rightly say anything can happen in two
years, but when I look down the road, I
think, you know, if Palansky gets a
bloody nose here and, you know, we know
that the the the media already have, you
know, the guns out for him, you know,
can you imagine how it will be reported
if he loses, you know, that perception
that people have of like, well, does he
really have a chance of of getting in or
not? How many seats can they really when
he couldn't even win a seat himself? And
that that kind of builds and I like I I
do think that that is very damaging and
I think that I you know I think that
they would potentially plummet in the in
in the polls after that because they've
lost their their winner doesn't look
like a winner anymore. And by the way
I'm I I I hate that. I think that I
don't want that to happen, you know. Um,
I think that they've become a really
hugely important voice in in British
politics and I hope that they prosper
and and actually as Ash said on News
Night a couple of weeks ago, you don't
get burner without
agree with that.
>> I've been banging on for a long time on
this show about the risks we all face
from powerful AI. Um, I've been told
those concerns are niche or wacky, but
this is the week that catastrophic AI
risk went mainstream. And the flurry of
interest was started by the resignation
of an anthropic engineer, Jacob Coxin,
whose tweet explaining his decision has
been viewed over 150 million times. Um,
that massive online interest also
translated into interviews for Coxin on
CNN, NBC, and perhaps most importantly,
Fox News. So, unfortunately, we know how
to control nuclear weapons. Pretty much
we don't yet know how to control AI.
This is possibly the most dangerous
technology that humanity has ever
created. is basically out of science
fiction. I think we have no other choice
but to cooperate internationally because
an arms race would be disastrous in a
way that no other no other human
activity has been in the past.
>> You were at Open AI before you left them
with concerns about security. Um, now
you're at Anthropic, you have concerns
about security. Specifically, what do
you see if you're talking to somebody on
the couch at home? What do what did you
see that said, "Holy cow, this is the
moment I have to speak out."
>> Yeah. So, there are two things. One is
the models are the models are getting
better very very quickly. When I think
about my work next year, the model the
AI is doing like almost all of my job.
The the AI is getting very smart. And
the second is that in the recent few
months, we've seen that we don't yet
know how to how to control these systems
properly. the cyber attacks carried out
by open AI models on on third party
infrastructure were concrete proof that
scenarios that we previously thought of
as science fiction are going to come
true. So what I see is two things very
intelligent AI systems and hard proof
that we don't know how to control them.
And when you put those two together it
basically spells disaster as as far as
I'm concerned.
>> Now Cox have made those arguments on a
number of other networks but as I said I
think the argument being made on Fox
News is very significant. The host of
Fox News, by the way, was at the RNC, so
the Republican National Convention when
he was conducting that interview. And
Fox News is, of course, where American
where the current American president,
where Donald Trump gets virtually all of
his information. It's more important for
the AI risk to appear on Fox News than
it is for it to appear in his
intelligence briefing. Essentially, um
Trump, however, is yet to support AI
regulation, but a number of high-profile
politicians from both major parties
have. This was Florida Governor Ronda
Santis. Um, so he tweeted, "While some
AI hysterics is aimed towards investors
in advance of upcoming IPOs, that there
is even a possibility that these
technologies would elude human control
is alarming. Technology should enhance
the human experience. It should never
supplant it." Um, Democratic Senator
Chris Van Holland um, tweeted this. Um,
anyone still denying the risks posed by
unregulated AI should read this thread,
obviously sharing the Jacob Coxin Fred.
It's time to pump the brakes and take
action now. We need mandatory
safeguards, a comprehensive testing
regime, urgent dialogue with China
before and during President Xi's visit
to DC this month. Um, at least seven
other senators responded to the
resignation of Jacob Cox with calls for
more regulation on artificial
intelligence. And Bernie Sanders, who's
long been leading on this issue, is
organizing briefings for other
lawmakers. He spoke to MSNBC on
Wednesday night.
>> The political process moves very slowly
under the best of circumstances. So what
we have got to do now is light a match
under the backsides of members of
Congress and say you know what we don't
have months we don't have years we got
to move now and maybe the very first
thing we can do is to convince our
president who appears to know absolutely
nothing about AI and the dangers of AI
to sit down with PresidentQi of China
and work on a moratorum on preventing uh
the development of super intelligent AI
and a pause so that we don't head into
uh real trouble for the future of
humanity.
>> So obviously Bernie Sanders was an early
adopter of this position. He's been
talking about this for months, but
what's significant about this week, I
think, especially because of the hugging
face hack and then the resignation of
Jacob Coxin is that now there is a
moment where I suppose politicians have
both permission and pressure to speak
their minds on this and to take this
seriously. So we see some people call it
a preference cascade. People have wanted
to say this for a while, but didn't
quite feel they had the permission
because they thought it was too sci-fi.
Now, anyone who's worried about AI this
week has come out and said, "I too am
terrified of of AI killing us all."
Right? Because lots of Congress people,
they're smart people, they read, you
know, they listen to podcasts, they read
newspapers, they know that the smartest
people in this field are warning of this
and now it's no longer seen as too
sci-fi for politics. I think that's
important. Um, back here in the UK
though, um, it was this moment that
became most impactful.
>> Do you believe there is a greater than
10% chance that AI could kill all humans
potentially within a decade?
>> So, this is the kind of thing that is
very hard to estimate because we've
never had anything like this before.
We've never created beings that may soon
be smarter than us. We don't know what's
going to happen. We should obviously be
cautious. It would be very foolish to
say there was like a 1% chance. Um,
nobody knows how to estimate it. A 10%
chance seems not not an unreasonable
estimate to me, but nobody really knows
how to give a sensible estimate.
>> Right. But you just said 10%
doesn't seem an unreasonable estimate
that AI could kill all humans.
>> Yes.
>> Wow.
Oh my god.
>> Yes.
>> How How could it kill us all?
um if it's much smarter than us. Um
there's so many ways it could do it. I
don't think it's much worth speculating.
And you don't
>> I do want to know that like how give me
could you give me one example?
>> Well, the first thing to realize is it
doesn't even have to be able to act in
the real world to cause devastation. So
it would be able to cause complete chaos
just by talking to people. But it will
also be able to design very nasty
viruses, biological viruses, as well as
computer viruses. It could do
devastating cyber attacks. Um, and
there's just countless other ways it
could get rid of us if it wanted to. We
have to figure out how to design it so
that it won't want to. Wow. Oh my god.
It feels like those could be, you know,
words that sort of go down in history.
that particular clip of Victoria Darbish
here is speaking of course to Nobel
Laurate and father of AI or godfather of
AI um Jeffrey Hinton um by the way for
many in Silicon Valley 10% so the 10%
chance of all of humanity being killed
is at the low end as I say for many in
Silicon Valley so Marcus Williams works
at monitoring AIS at open AI um he
tweeted this unless there is AI
regulation or a coordinated slowdown
between labs human extinction in the
next few years seems very likely um
someone asked him how likely and he says
70% in the next 3 years if there isn't
regulation or slowdown although I think
regulation slowdown is very possible um
to discuss what could prove to be a key
tipping point in AI policy and
discourse. Um I caught up with veteran
science writer Robert Wright. Wright has
written a number of excellent books
including the moral animal which I read
as a teenager um and why Buddhism is
true. His latest book on AI is called
the God Test. It feels that way, at
least like a preliminary tipping point.
I don't think we have as much political
momentum in favor of regulation and
international coordination as we're
going to ultimately need. But it was a
very big week. You know, until a few
weeks ago, it seemed like Bernie Sanders
was a voice in the wilderness and
suddenly people like Ted Cruz
are like jumping on the bandwagon. And
and I think, you know, some of it is
real. the the political momentum is real
because people were concerned to begin
with and then a lot of uh things have
happened lately that have freaked people
out.
>> I've got a clip of Ted Cruz later
because he is talking about regulation,
but he's also saying we can't do it
because of China. But I'm going to park
that for one moment. Um lots of people
watching this um will have heard, you
know, Jacob Cox and Jeffrey Hinton say
that this has a 10% chance of killing us
all and still be, you know, I think
reasonably not convinced, right? It's a
big claim. And the thing that people
most often say is how, you know, this is
so abstract. I know this is an issue
dealt with in your book. So, sort of how
do you deal with that question?
>> Yeah. I mean, first of all, I'd say the
sci-fi scenario of actual complete
takeover and the extinction of the human
species at the hands of AI is, I think,
far from the only reason to want
regulation and international governance.
Uh, but I also think it's a scenario
that can't be entirely dismissed. Um,
and I guess it comes in two parts,
right? Like, wait, how would the AI take
over in the first place? Uh, how would
it kill us? Why would it want to kill
us?
And you know I guess the generic answer
uh is that you know AIs you give them a
goal and one thing that's been
demonstrated in the in the recent kind
of open AI hugging face breakout is you
give them a goal and they may pursue it
in ways you had not anticipated and they
may develop in the course of that kind
of subordinate goals as they're called
uh including possibly the pursuit of
power which after all you know power
helps you reach a lot of other goals.
You can do a lot of things if you have
power. Um and you know once they're
pursu pursuing these goals the fear is
that uh they would by then have become
so powerful that they're hard to control
and uh you know the the the hugging face
is being taken as exhibit A because it
surprised even people in the field who
were already quite worried. You know,
the sci-fi doomers were freaked out by
it and they were already freaked out.
And if you look at the details of it, it
is it is a powerful illustration of
possibilities. Uh I I don't think the AI
is right now at a level of intelligence
and creativity and deviousness
uh that we have to worry about a
takeover, but I think it's getting a
little harder to rule out various kinds
of extreme loss of control scenarios.
And I don't think you can totally rule
out the sci-fi version, but I think
collectively all this stuff and and a
lot of things I haven't mentioned are
reason to take the technology very
seriously. It's a very powerful
technology. we do not understand it well
and we cannot entirely control it.
>> I suppose just sort of some some useful
context that came out in in your book
and I know sort of people in this space
discuss a lot. So subordinate goals
you've just mentioned there. So that's
the idea that you know say say the
hugging face example for example that
the goal was to to complete the test and
get the answer right or to capture the
flag in their language. Some subordinate
goals were to find out how the scorer
judged answers for example and that's
why they hacked hugging face. So you end
up with an unexpected action because
that's a subordinate goal to the goal
that we as humans have given them. It
wasn't, you know, they don't seem to at
the moment sort of just generate these
new ultimate goals, but they have these
goals which um help them get to the
ultimate goal that we've given them. Um
another concept that I like and I think
is helpful is instrumental convergence.
So this is the idea that so if we're
constantly giving them these different
goals, there are some capacities that
are helpful pretty much whatever you've
been asked to do. Um you mentioned there
sort of power. So the more power you
have, the more resources you have.
Whatever task you've been given, those
things are helpful. Also survival,
whatever task you've been given,
surviving, not being turned off is
fairly helpful. So could you talk about
instrumental convergence? Yeah, that's
the idea that any intelligent goal
seeking system is fairly likely to kind
of eventually converge on certain
fundamental realities like the fact that
power is uh is conducive to reaching a
whole lot of goals. You know, uh it it
it can't hurt. I mean, a good thought
experiment to do is to imagine you you
just say to your agent, and anyone can
do this right now, a good LLM, you can
say, "Take over my social media account.
Your job is to maximize my followers."
You if you give it advice that vague,
uh, it'll probably maximize your
followers. It could do it in in any
number of ways. uh they would probably
involve amassing power in the sense that
it would realize that it made sense to
develop reciprocal relationships with
other powerful people on like Twitter or
whatever. I mean that's what power is to
be in a lot of reciprocal relationships
with influential people. They owe you
things because you've done things for
them and so on. So that's a case where
it would it would discover the virtue of
power in a fairly uh straightforward
sense, the sense in which legislators
are powerful. Um, and it would do god
knows what. I mean, what what this
hugging face things illustrate is that
for all you know, uh, it would it would
tell lies to people online to get them
to to to follow it. It might promise
them money. You just, you know, uh, it's
hard to say what what the bounds would
be. And that's with current technology.
We know that that that these companies
already have more powerful LLMs that
they haven't even unveiled. And and
we've also learned that once you have a
team of agents working, it's
collectively smarter than the LLM itself
that that is driving the whole thing
because you got a lot of smart things
very rapidly discovering things, sharing
information with one another, and
collectively building on what they've
learned. especially with hugging face um
on this show and I mean out there in the
world lots of people are debating I
suppose fundamental concepts what is
reasoning what is understanding what is
agency and often where people fall on
the debate about how worried we should
be about AI or I suppose how excited we
should be about AI depending on your
perspective is is how you sort of define
reasoning how you define understanding
and therefore whether or not a machine
can do it. Um again this is something
you discuss in your book. I wonder if
you could sort of
>> talk me over that because this is a
philosophical debate as well, isn't it?
As well as a sort of technical one.
>> It is. I want to start with agency in a
pretty mundane sense of the word. uh you
know, not getting too metaphysical
because I want to emphasize that agency
in the sense of having a machine that
can autonomously pursue a goal and and
encounter frustrations and obstacles and
overcome them creatively. That is what
the market wants. Okay. So the the the
machine that surprised us in the hugging
face incident and you wound up, you
know, with teams of agents communicating
creatively and ultimately in in some
sense destructively and dishonestly.
That is what the market wants. The
reason anthropics revenue is growing so
fast is because companies want AIs that
can that can persist over long periods
of time in pursuit of a complex goal.
Because a good AI from their point of
view is like good worker. You just set
it and forget it. You don't have to
micromanage it. Okay. So that's what the
demand is for. This is what the market
is is asking for. It's not quite
inherent in the technology, but it's
what the technology wants. Now the meta
the more metaphysical versions of these
questions. What is human agency? Do they
have that? Do they have understanding?
As you say, I I get into this stuff in
the book and my take is look if if by
understanding or agency you mean you're
referring to subjective experience, you
know, consciousness. You mean do they
feel like we feel when we understand
something? It's like who knows? We don't
know if they have subjective experience.
The whole the whole distinctive thing
about subjective experience is it's
inherently private. You never know for
sure that any being other than yourself
has it. They could have it. They could
not have it now but get it later. I
don't know. But if you want to try to
define understanding and agency in in
ways that don't depend on knowing
whether they're conscious, you know,
then I recommend uh like looking at the
behaviors they can do and also looking
at the question whether you know in
within the the the models there are
cognitive functions comparable to the
cognitive functions in our brain that
accompany our sense of understanding
something or of wanting something. And I
think if you look at it that way, I
argue the answer is is yes. Yes, they
seem in principle capable of
understanding in in uh in that sense of
the word if we leave subjective
experience out of it. And you know I I
try to show that uh what's going on in
these machines although we don't totally
understand it is more than we might
realize like what's going on in the
brain. I mean something that I've been
getting my head around since the hugging
face and since talking to Cory Dr. and
sort of watching some other videos is
it's in a human brain you have the
agency and the cognition sort of in the
same thing my head let's say and when it
comes to these AI agents they're quite
separate so the agent is like a computer
program which is sort of engineered by a
person and it's called a prompt loop so
you just you say this is a computer
program you say I want you to solve
challenge Y or as you say I want you to
sort of get as many followers as
possible for a social media
But this computer program is not smart.
It's dumb. It's it just wants something.
It wants to do this thing with a social
media account. And then it asks the LLM.
So it says, "LM, I've been told to um
get more followers on this Twitter
account. What should I do?" And then the
LLM gives it phase one. It says, "Okay,
I've done this. This was the result.
What should I do now?" And it gives you
phase two. And it's the LLM that's smart
and and has evolved and has the
cognition. And it's the agent
>> um or the prompt loop that has the
agency that has the wants. And I say I
don't how do you think about that that
it's sort of there's like a a system
which taken in combination is both smart
and agentic whereas in us it's there's
no obvious separation between the two. I
wonder if you think there's any sort of
significance to that. Not a lot.
Frankly, with all due respect for Corey
Doctr who I do respect, the uh I mean I
think you you need to think of the LLM
and the so-called harness, you know,
this program uh that directs it and and
and helps facilitate the realization of
of goals by giving it access to certain
tools that help it go on the web or send
emails or or do whatever. I think you
have to think of harness and LLM as a
single being. I mean there's there's
communication within parts of our brain.
If you want to look at our brain as a
lot of different agents. In fact, in my
last book, I did a lot of that, a book
on meditation um and argued that in many
ways the brain is uh is a society. You
can look at it either way in both cases,
but for practical purposes, an LLM and
its harness acts as a as a unified being
with unified uh purpose. That was Robert
Wright speaking to me earlier today.
We'll put out a longer version of that
interview either tonight or tomorrow.
Really love Robert Wright. Fascinating
guy, very open-minded, great
communicator when it comes to science,
philosophy, religion. Um, do look out
for that. Earlier this week, Harets
published an explosive expose revealing
Netanyahu was warned about Hamas attacks
before October the 7th and did
essentially nothing. Um, that report has
grabbed the attention of critics of
Netanyahu inside and outside Israel,
including former Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton. And this is a really
extraordinary clip, I have to say.
Look, I have said repeatedly, I love
Israel and I hate Netanyahu's government
and his policies. I love America and I
hate Trump's government and policies. I
think it's bad in the first case for
Israel what's happening. And I think
it's really bad for the United States
what's happening. So, I think we've got
to be very clear of the messages we
send, hopefully the Israeli people,
especially after this bombshell that
came out in the Israeli press where
Netanyahu had been literally called by,
you know, Shake Muhammad NBZ from UAE
and warned that Hamas was planning
something and either he didn't believe
it
>> or he w it's horrible to say he wanted
to see what they could plan so that then
he could come down hard and it would
enhance his position. I don't know what
his thinking was. But the bottom line,
talk about a failure of imagination.
This was a failure of leadership. This
was a failure of, you know, protecting
the people of Israel. He'd been told
what was going to happen. So if the
Israelis want to vote for that again,
then I think the United States has to
take a very tough position.
So two years ago, if someone had even
entertained the idea that Netanyahu not
only knew that Hamas were planning
something, not the details of October
the 7th, but knew that Hamas were
planning something big and then didn't
act because he kind of wanted them to
cause a lot of damage as a excuse to I
suppose crush the Palestinians but also
shore up his support in Israel. If if
that was so much as as put forward as
even a possibility by like anyone in the
Labour party, they would have been
kicked out within about, you know, 4
minutes.
>> Exactly.
>> Um anyone who' sort of tweeted that on
Twitter, you know, there'd be this huge
pile on saying this is disgusting. This
is like we're in, you know, September
2026, Hillary Clinton
is saying maybe Netanyahu
let it happen. Not again I don't think
anyone's suggesting he knew the precise
details of him but I mean some people
are but you know that article wasn't
necessarily the precise but he knew that
something big was about to happen and he
didn't even tell any of his security
officials. Hillary Clinton's not only
saying that was a failure that he's
she's she's suggesting putting out there
that she takes serious the idea that
maybe he let this happen for his own
political gain. That's explosive. No,
>> that's Hillary Clinton. Yeah.
>> You know like I think that's what's
crazy about it. It's bloody Hillary
Clinton. you know it's who is yes she's
responding to this article in Harets
which uh reported that that there was a
45minute phone call between uh the
president of the UAE MBZ and Trump in
which MBZ warned him that something was
was was going to happen. Apparently that
phone call also took place like late
September so it was very very close to
to to October 7th. Um, people have been
saying it from the beginning. You know,
people were speculating from the
beginning because they were saying,
"Wait a second, how could an operation
that complex involving that many people
be planned and the Israeli security
establishment wouldn't know about it or
or yeah, indeed like the, you know, the
security services of of of an Arab
country wouldn't necessarily know about.
How could this happen without people
knowing about it?"
>> Especially considering that the Israelis
knew exactly where all of their other
enemies was. They could target them in
an instant, right? Yeah, their
intelligence is good.
>> Yeah, of course. And so people Yeah.
remarkably, you know, disastrously,
you know, good. Um, you know, enabling
them to wipe people out at the at the
touch of a button. And so, um, but so
people were saying it, but it was
considered an absolute fringe conspiracy
theory. You know, as you say, you would
be kicked out of the Labor Party, um, or
the Dems. If you said it, you would be
denounced as anti-semitic. And now
Hillary Clinton is saying it. But I do
think that there's that there's there's
something behind it, right? Which is
that, you know, it what it shows is the
US establishment dumping Netanyahu,
right? It shows the the establishment
dems, these sort of liberal Zionists or
whatever, uh, dumping Netanyahu and and
and you know, feeding into that argument
that they like to make when Israel goes
too far, which is to pin it all in
Netanyahu to say that Netanyahu is
somehow the problem. The Israeli
government is not the problem. The IDF
is not the problem. Other Israeli
ministers are not the problem. Um,
Israeli uh the Israeli voters who keep
putting these parties back into power
are not the problem. Netanyahu is the
problem. And I think that's that's
incredibly convenient. And so it might
it might be the case that as Netanyahu
becomes more toxic, it becomes easier
for people in the establishment to
attack him like this. Although that is
still extraordinary, you know.
>> Yeah. I mean, I was shocked when I saw
it
>> and she got really head up about it like
she, you know, she went off on one then
>> and she she she explicitly said as well
like I don't know, you know, or if he to
see what they could do so that he could
then,
>> you know, respond and so that he could
build up his political like it was it
was quite explicit. Again, she wasn't
she wasn't saying that necessarily, but
she's she's definitely publicly
>> putting that forward as a plausible
hypothesis of what happened and that is
unimaginable.
>> She's a pro-Israel hawk. She's a hawk.
Like, let's not forget what she did in
Libya. You know, she was one of the
architects of the destruction of Libya,
who was captured on camera when she
heard that uh Gaddafi was killed saying,
"We came, we saw, he died." You know,
this is not some shrinking violet who
does not like war or is frightened of of
war. And so, you know, for her to be
saying it is just is just remarkable. I
think they're dumping in.
>> Um Barry Malone, thank you so much for
joining us. Absolute pleasure as always.
Thank you guys so much for watching. Um,
have a great weekend. We'll be back on
Monday at 6 p.m.