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Due to popular uprising Putin is preparing troops against Russians; civil war in Russia

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The Kremlin has been compelled to deploy security forces, specifically Rosgvardia units, to guard gas stations across the Moscow region and occupied Crimea due to fears of social unrest triggered by acute fuel shortages. Since August 18th, 2026, these measures have been implemented to contain violence and mass discontent among citizens who are increasingly angry over strict restrictions on gasoline sales. Analysts from the Institute for the Study of War note that this heavy-handed approach indicates the Russian leadership has lost confidence in the regular police's ability to manage such a large-scale crisis and views the fuel shortage as a long-term threat to regime stability. In parallel with these physical deployments, the government is urgently amending legislation to prepare for a potential brutal crackdown on protests. A newly approved bill allows personnel from the Ministry of Emergency Situations to use physical force and firearms during their duties, a move officially disguised as protection against Ukrainian drones but widely interpreted by analysts as providing legal grounds to disperse riots with armed force. These legislative changes are being introduced against the backdrop of two major regime fears: the persistent worsening of gasoline shortages and the potential for forced mobilization that Vladimir Putin plans to execute immediately following the September State Duma elections. The fuel crisis has deepened significantly over recent months, with availability dropping from approximately 41% just a week prior to only about 28% nationwide by mid-August. While authorities initially extended restrictions on gasoline exports and sought additional petroleum products from Asian countries and the Middle East, these efforts failed to halt the deterioration of the situation. Shortages have now spread to major cities that were previously shielded from direct war consequences, including Moscow, Volgograd, Chelyabinsk, Orenburg, Voronezh, Samara, Penza, Saratov, Lipetsk, Rostov, and Tatarstan, signaling that the state's ability to compensate for attacks on oil infrastructure is becoming severely limited.
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Fear of social unrest and popular unrest due to acute fuel shortages has forced the Kremlin to deploy security forces to guard ordinary gas stations. The Institute for the Study of War reports this, citing insider sources. According to analysts, since August 18th, 2026, Russian dictator Vladimir Putin has deployed Rosgvardia units to patrol at least 13 gas stations in the Moscow region and occupied Crimea. The primary goal of these measures is to contain violence and mass discontent among citizens erupting over strict restrictions on gasoline sales. ISW notes that the deployment of the Russian National Guard demonstrates that the Kremlin has absolutely no confidence in the ability of regular police to cope with the scale of potential unrest and views the fuel crisis itself as a long-term threat. In parallel with the forceful measures at gas stations, Russian authorities are urgently changing legislation in preparation for a brutal crackdown on protests. A government commission has approved a bill allowing Russian Emergencies Ministry personnel to use physical force and firearms when performing their duties. Although the Kremlin officially disguises this decision as protection from Ukrainian drones, ISW analysts are convinced that the document was created to provide security forces with legal grounds to disperse riots with armed force. The amendments to the civil defense law are being introduced against the backdrop of two of the regime's greatest fears, persistent gasoline shortages and the potential forced mobilization that Putin plans to carry out immediately after the September State Duma elections. Russian authorities [music] extended restrictions on gasoline exports, but this failed to stop the renewed worsening of the fuel shortage. Amid the fuel shortage, Moscow is also forced to seek additional volumes of petroleum products abroad, including in Asian countries and the Middle East. Gasoline availability problems have been observed in Russia for several months. A new wave of shortages began to emerge in late May, when restrictions on fuel sales began to spread even to Russia's largest cities. According to data cited by Russian media outlets, citing the GD Benz mobile app, by August 18th, gasoline was available at only approximately 28% of gas stations nationwide. Just a week earlier, this figure stood at approximately 41%. Thus, fuel availability has significantly decreased over a short period of time. Problems are being reported in several regions of Russia, including areas that regularly experience the consequences of Ukrainian long-range strikes. A decrease in gasoline availability was noted, among other places, in the Moscow, Volgograd, Chelyabinsk, Orenburg, Voronezh, Samara, Penza, Saratov, Lipetsk, and Rostov regions, as well as in Tatarstan. Problems have also affected the Moscow region. Gazprom Neft [music] confirmed that gasoline volumes have been restricted at some Moscow gas stations. The company stated that it is taking measures to increase supplies. According to ISW analysts, the situation is also indicative because the Russian leadership has long sought to shield the population of large cities in the western part of the country from the direct consequences of the war. The spread of fuel shortages to Moscow indicates that the authorities' ability to compensate for the consequences of attacks on oil infrastructure is becoming more limited. >> Mhm.