Drought Update from Durham City Council Work Session August 6, 2026
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Following a recent period of significant rainfall, the Durham City Council received an update indicating that while water supply conditions have improved markedly, substantial work remains to fully resolve the ongoing drought in northern Durham County and surrounding areas like Orange County and Roxboro. Although precipitation has saturated local soils and boosted reservoir levels from 145 days of supply to approximately 219 days—a notable increase—the city's storage is currently at about 55%, which still lags behind typical non-drought years where refill rates are much higher. The drought status in the region has stepped down from exceptional to severe or extreme, offering a tremendous relief that allows for continued monitoring and gradual recovery rather than an immediate return to normal operations.
To manage these constraints, Durham residents and commercial establishments have adhered to Stage 2 water restrictions, achieving a usage reduction of roughly 14% over the last month against a target goal of 20%. While this achievement is commendable given that Durham already ranks in the top 10% nationally for low residential water use, officials acknowledge it was challenging for many homeowners and businesses. The city has successfully transitioned away from receiving emergency water supplies from AASA by ramping up full capacity deliveries from neighboring utilities like the Town of Kerry and Tier Quarry, which now provide a combined total that allows the city to analyze whether they can scale back external dependencies later in the week. However, moving out of Stage 2 restrictions requires modeling data showing a 95% probability that usable storage will rise within ten weeks, a threshold currently dependent on steady rainfall rather than heavy tropical storms, suggesting an exit from these measures may not occur until early or late fall at the earliest.
Legal and procedural questions arose during the session regarding Homeowners Associations (HOAs) fining residents for non-compliance with city watering bans, leading to guidance that municipal ordinances generally supersede private restrictive covenants in times of emergency. Council members also discussed the effectiveness of Durham's water shortage response plan compared to Raleigh's earlier intervention and noted differences in their respective watersheds and river sources affecting recovery speeds. The consensus among council members was strong on following established plans during active shortages while reserving detailed evaluations for after the crisis passes, ensuring that future policies are tweaked based on real-world data gathered from this event rather than mid-crisis adjustments.
The meeting concluded with expressions of gratitude toward neighboring municipalities such as Chapel Hill and Carboro for their critical support in supplying water when local resources were strained, highlighting a spirit of regional cooperation during the crisis. Officials emphasized that while the summer was difficult for those maintaining gardens and plants due to strict conservation measures, the collective effort has yielded tangible improvements in storage levels. As the city continues to monitor weather patterns closely, the focus remains on sustaining current restrictions until natural replenishment meets safety thresholds, with a commitment to updating response plans once the immediate emergency subsides to better prepare for future water scarcity events.
Read the full video transcript
Good afternoon.
>> Um, good afternoon, Mayor, mayor, prom,
members of council, Don Gley, Water
Management. I'm here to give an update
on the um water shortage that we
currently have, the the drought that's
going on. Um, things have definitely
improved. Um, the rains that we've seen
the last several weeks have made an sign
significant improvement to our water
supply. However, we still have a ways to
go to improve our water storage and
looking forward to having continual
rains. the rains that we have had have
been able to um saturate the soil that
have allowed the other more recent
storms to run off into our streams. Um
this is the current uh condition the
North Carolina um drought management
council uh drought um above in northern
Durham County, Orange County, Roxboro is
where our wersheds are. So that map has
been exceptional drought in our wersheds
for the last several weeks and as you
can see here it's now moved into severe
and extreme. So it's stepped down which
is tremendous for us. Um as I said some
of that rain has been coming. Although
more rain has been hitting around our
wersheds than what's been in our
wersheds. It has made a significant
improvement. Um as you can see here the
red line shows our storage the last few
weeks. You can see it's gone up. So, um,
much improved. Current today we're about
55%.
Um, the blue line that you can see, the
solid blue line is our typical response
outside of drought years. So, you can
see how far away we are from our, you
know, typical years with how our lakes
refill um as as we go through the the
water year.
Um, over the last um month or so. um
like to send an appreciation to all the
residents in Durham and all the
commercial establishments for adhering
to the stage 2 restrictions. Um those
are a challenge for Durham because we
have tremendous
water-wise use in Durham. So we we're in
the top 10% of for the low water use for
our residents in the country. and for
our residents to cut back. I know it's a
it's been a challenge, but I want to
reach out and um thank all of our
customers and all of our commercial
customers as well. Um as you can see
here, you know, our the trend is down
over the last 30 days. Our goal is about
was 20% reduction. We we achieved 14%.
Which is still great. Um we would have
liked to seen more, but as I said, it's
it's been a challenge to our customers
considering how well they how wisely
they use their water to start with.
Um, as of today or yesterday or two days
ago, um, the running average for demand
from our reservoirs is about 23 million.
Um, we currently have 219 days of
supply. That's up from 145. So, a big
change there. Um, we are currently
getting um, 9 million gallons a day from
the town of Kerry and 4 million gallons
from the tier quarry. Um we we were
getting water from AASA as well, but
that was waiting for the town of Kerry
to finish their water plant um
improvements for maintenance before they
could ramp up to up to nine. So now that
K's um uh was able to start giving us
the full 9 mgd that we'd like, we were
able to um discontinue getting water
from AASA. And at this point, I also
want to extend our the city's
appreciation to AASA, the town of Chapel
Hill and and Carbor and the town of
Kerry for being able to supply water
through us through through this time.
So, um we are currently doing the uh
because the improvements, we are
currently doing the analysis to see if
we could start scaling back
um getting the water from our um
neighboring utilities. Um and we should
know a little bit more by the end of the
week if we can start scaling back. Um to
be able to come out of stage two
restrictions um we have to through our
modeling uh there's a 95% chance that
within the next 10 weeks that our usable
storage would rise to 95%. So we're
still waiting for that trigger to happen
before we can move out of stage stage
two. So and until if we have these
steady rains that's probably not going
to get us there. If we have a heavy
tropical storm or the residue of a storm
come up through, then that might bump us
up so we can move out of stage two, but
we don't anticipate probably coming out
of stage two till either early fall or
later in the fall at the earliest. So,
with that, I just open it the floor for
questions.
>> Thank you. Any questions? Go ahead,
Mayor Williams.
>> Yeah, thank you. Thank you
[clears throat] for that information. I
have more of a legal question. So, I'm
getting a lot of uh uh calls from folks
that are in communities, members of
HOAs, and they are um they're getting
fined for not watering their lawn. Now,
I have my personal thoughts on HOAs for
you all who live in HOAs. I don't know
how you do it, but that's on you. Um but
they're getting fined, and I know that
they're governed by the state or
something like that. Uh I'm wondering if
our uh restrictions supersede
the uh the the HOA's bylaws or whatever
because folks are actually getting
legally uh financially fined by not
watering their lawn and they're saying,
"Hey, look, I cannot water my lawn. The
city has restrictions. The H president
this is on three occasions." Well, you
can hire someone to come in and do it.
It's still the water here locally. So,
how would how are we how do we what
should I say to them? Adamie, [laughter]
>> Mr. Mayor, you know, I love it when you
spring a surprise on me. Um,
>> there's so much going on today. I'm
sorry.
>> My inclination, I am not by any stretch
wellversed in homeowners association
law. Um, and I don't follow it that
closely, but I would think that an
actual municipal ordinance would
supersede a restrictive covenant that
applies to a property. So, my
inclination is that these homeowners
should be appealing any fines that their
HOA is assessing and pointing to the law
that um would pro prohibit them from
watering their lawns in compliance with
HOA standards. But these are private
matters between private parties. And I
always hate to tell individuals that
they need to retain their own counsel,
but that's that's what they need to do.
the city attorney's office cannot advise
them on these matters.
>> Council member Cook,
>> can you share those slides with us?
>> Absolutely.
>> Thank you. That was a very good I mean,
I knew I knew what you were going to
say, so I'm not surprised by anything
that was on there, but I thought that
particularly the graph that showed where
we are generally at in in non-Rout years
was helpful for those of us who are
visual learners. So, thank you for the
presentation.
>> We'll get those later today.
>> Thank you.
>> One more comment. And I I just want to
uplift the uh the camaraderie amongst
the other municipalities. We have uh
stepped up and provided support to other
municipalities in a time of need,
especially western North Carolina. So, I
just want to publicly thank our part our
neighbors for uh supporting us on this
water supply issue.
>> Great.
>> Thank you.
>> All right.
>> Go ahead, Council Member Vicker.
>> Yeah, I want to second that as well.
Thank you to Carrie and Chapel Hill. Um
just one question. And uh first of all,
thank you for all all of this work that
that you've done. Um I remember early on
in the drought, Raleigh put in place uh
measures, you know, to cut back on water
use and um we were delayed in that kind
of something wasn't triggered. We we
hadn't reached a point where we felt it
was necessary. Do you think that was
right? Do you think our do you think our
policies around that are uh sufficient
or do you think that we need to take a
look at when we want to re-evaluate when
we want to enforce um more strict uh
water uh restrictions?
>> Yeah, good good question. Um, you know,
when we we have a water shortage
response plan that we plan in advance
based on the the as much information as
we've had and and this is the plan that
we invoked during this trip. Um, we will
certainly be taking the information that
we've learned and additional because
it's been a couple years since we
updated that [snorts] um and additional
data that we'll have and we'll be taking
another look and seeing how the response
of our customers are to re-evaluate our
water shortage response plan. I think
you know when you have an event like
this and you have a plan in place it's
always good to follow your plan because
that's what you know you think the best
information that you had to prepare the
plan you should follow that now you can
try to adapt in the middle of it but you
should follow your plan once you come
out of that that's when you really sit
down and do re-evaluate what your plan
was how effective it was how you tweak
it and that's what we fully intend to do
um the city of Raleigh you know they
They hit their trigger early before us.
So they invoked, you know, their wage
storage shortage response plan and the
rains have helped them. So their water
supply is back up to 83% or is at 55. So
they were able to hit their trigger to
come out of their drought. So but we
will definitely be looking at our plan
and seeing where we can update it and
tweak it. So,
>> council member Rrist,
>> thank me for Tim. Um, is is part of the
difference in triggers also it's
different source of water, right?
Raleigh is Falls Lake. We are higher up
in the in the
>> we're higher up in the waterershed.
Certainly, both of our rivers supply
Falls Lake, but you know, there are
other rivers and streams that feed falls
lake as well. Um, but also some of the
storms have come in have just kind of
hit
>> other areas rather than our wersheds.
So, they've been able to to bounce back
faster.
>> Thanks,
Thank you. Thank you so much for the uh
update and thank you to all your staff
and and uh and to residents for for
tightening their belts because we know
it's hard for all of us who have lots of
gardens and plants. It was fun times
this summer.
>> Absolutely. Thank you.