Diplomacy on Ice: Climate science, glaciers and effecting change on the global level
Watch on YouTubeVideo summary
Dr. Susanna Hancock, a glaciologist and climate policy expert, explores the critical intersection of climate science and global diplomacy, highlighting how polar ice sheets and tropical glaciers serve as fragile indicators of planetary health. While polar regions drive most sea-level rise, tropical glaciers in seven equatorial countries have lost 90% of their ice over the last 150 years, yet they remain vital water sources for approximately 70% of the local populations. The Arctic is melting four to seven times faster than the rest of the planet due to positive feedback loops such as albedo loss and black carbon deposition, while remote snow and sediments are increasingly contaminated with nanoplastics and microplastics. These extreme regions act as global refrigerators whose destabilization threatens billions downstream through rising seas, disrupted food chains, and increased disaster risks.
The path toward meaningful change is often obstructed by the consensus-based model of UN negotiations, where any single country, particularly oil-producing nations, can stall progress or dilute urgent scientific language regarding temperature goals. Despite challenges like the absence of the US from recent meetings, Hancock advocates for alternative initiatives such as a "coalition of the willing" involving 97 countries to transition away from fossil fuels, supported by strong civil society interest. She emphasizes that while nature-based solutions like mangroves offer temporary relief, the primary mitigation strategy must involve getting large economies off fossil fuels. Furthermore, the discussion addresses the ecological impacts of dams on Arctic and glaciated rivers, noting that warmer water temperatures alter fish populations and that dark reservoir surfaces absorb heat rather than reflecting light, exacerbating warming and fueling debates on geoengineering.
Beyond energy infrastructure, there is a growing recognition of catastrophic risks associated with glacier melt, including Glacier Lake Outburst Floods triggered by permafrost thaw or excessive precipitation. Development banks are increasingly realizing that dams in these regions face severe failure risks rather than just water volume issues, yet they often lack investment in warning systems or resilient infrastructure. A significant disconnect exists between scientific research and policy application, leading to a call for "chunk-sized" educational materials that translate complex science into actionable insights rather than leaving papers on shelves. Specific concerns have been raised about Canadian river systems driven by corporate energy interests rather than local benefit, which result in the loss of traditional lands, ecosystem destruction like the Athabasca delta, and health issues such as skin cancer among children due to atmospheric changes.
Ultimately, the video concludes that power structures often exploit vulnerable regions, framing dam construction and resource extraction as forms of climate colonialism that prioritize profit over human and environmental safety. This exploitation is evident in food insecurity in Greenland, where imported goods are scarce while sugary drinks are abundant, illustrating how global inequities deepen local crises. The central message underscores the urgent need to address these systemic issues through diplomatic innovation and direct action, ensuring that the voices of Indigenous communities and affected populations are centered in climate solutions. By moving beyond gridlock and focusing on actionable strategies, humanity can better protect its most sensitive environments and secure a sustainable future for billions who depend on these fragile ice systems.
Read the full video transcript
Welcome everyone to this Sierra Club
Maine webinar with Dr. Susanna Hancock.
I'm Holly Snow. I'm a volunteer activist
with the Sierra Club in Maine. And I'm
going to introduce Dr. Hancock. Dr.
Susanna Hancock is a glaciologist,
climate policy expert, and polar skier.
She graduated with an undergraduate
degree from Connecticut College and
holds three graduate degrees from the
University of Oxford in the UK.
She works with the International
Cryossphere Climate Initiative, that's
the ICCI,
as the global mountains director, where
she focuses on driving climate ambition
and urgency within the UN process and
across global governments.
Susanna is also known for her glacier
expeditions where she studies pollution
in polar ecosystems and uses these
findings to inform global climate
policy.
She is on local and international
environment and polar research boards
including Wolf's Neck Center in Freeport
where she lives when she's here in the
US. Thank you for being with us Susanna
and it's all yours.
Thank you very much and uh really
appreciate Hoy for the invitation to
join. And I'll just say that we'll
hopefully have some time for Q&A at the
end, but if there's anything that I say
that sparks any questions or
curiosities, please do interrupt and
just unmute yourselves and say because I
may not
may or may not see a question and
probably won't read it. Uh so just
interject if it's relevant. So yeah,
thank you so much. Uh so yes as Holly
said I work at the nexus of climate
science and diplomacy really. Uh
basically this means that I try to take
science and see how I can use it to
affect change effect policy in both UN
and adjacent systems. I have now been on
seven expeditions mostly to the glaciers
and the ice sheets. So the ice sheets
are the big chunks of ice covering
Antarctica and Greenland. Uh but also I
just had my first expedition research
expedition to tropical glaciers in
January
as well. And
there we go. Okay. So tropical glaciers
may seem a little bit of a misnomer.
Most of us probably don't think about
ice when we think about the Caribbean or
Indonesia. Yet seven countries that are
on the equator actually have glaciers.
Uh these are in South America, Africa,
and in the Pacific. Though this ice here
is particularly vulnerable to the
changing climate now and is really only
surviving because of being at high
altitude. So here, for example, this was
my trip in January and I'm at about
17,000 ft in that picture in the uh
upper left where I'm actually on the
snow. And these other pictures were just
marking the terminus of the ice in
different different decades as it's
melting really rapidly. This particular
region has melted about 90% of its ice
in the past 150 years. And the ice here
is particularly relevant and important
because it really feeds about 70% of the
country's population. And we're starting
to also look in, you know, climate
issues, glaciers, ice, water resources.
They don't respect national borders as
well. So policies that are in one place
really affect other places. So primarily
I'm going to share a bit about my
expedition last autumn across Greenland
and what then a little bit of what I do
with this because that's what Holly had
asked me to do. But I'm happy to uh
again if there's questions that come up
please please do ask.
So I'm going to start off with a little
bit of group participation. Sorry I'm
sure that's not what you all signed up
for but uh just you know 30 seconds or
so. Why why is you know what when you
think about the Arctic or great glaciers
or ice sheets what what stands out? Any
any thoughts? Like why would this be an
interesting area?
Okay. Um so glaciers affect 85% of the
world's populations. Sorry, the world's
countries. Uh we talk a lot about sea
level rise. Most of that's not from the
actual mountain glaciers but from the
polar ice sheets. little bit from the
glaciers.
Changes in vectorbor diseases around the
world
damage. We impact the base of the food
chain. We have heat stress, increase
wildfires in the Arctic. We have
something called zombie fires. Zombie
fires are fires that actually can
overwinter and they continue to burn
underneath the snow and ice into the
perafrost and then they reemerge
elsewhere in the spring.
uh loss of biodiversity, food, water,
political insecurity. So if you think
about big conflicts around the world,
there's often a climate
point to them and even human
trafficking. So these are sort of the
big issues that we look about look at or
I look at when we're talking about the
loss of loss of ice.
So this here is the Paramo and this
again is a photograph I took in in
Colombia. It also well it's it's also
sort of one of those side issues of ice.
You can actually see the tallest glacier
in Colombia right behind it a little bit
in the background. But this is basically
a glacierfed ecosystem in the cloud
forests of the Andes and it's one of the
most biodiverse regions heavily
endangered and it's directly downstream
of the glaciers. So it it relies upon
them and it is sort of a sponge for the
country. It feed it supplies water from
the glaciers and then these treel like
things can actually absorb water from
the clouds and it supplies water to
about 70% of Colombians there. So just
just an example of you know when we're
talking about ice it's not necessarily
exactly exactly the ice. That said, to
me, icy regions really exemplify how
interconnected we are globally,
especially when I'm on some of the
world's well, the big ice sheets. I feel
very far away often. You know, there's
no contrails in the sky. Uh no,
certainly no phone connection, no
internet, no, you know, no other people
other than people with whom I am. Uh
very very hard to get a rescue in many
places if if one were needed. zero
infrastructure
and I don't know if my the I'll just
change that if you were seeing all the
participants. So,
uh yeah, so I've been stuck on rapidly
melting ice in the past. have had tent
snaps, sorry, tent snapping, uh, with
the poles breaking and, you know, weeks
away from civilization, having to try to
figure out how to pitch a tent again or
repitch a tent if it's crashed in a, you
know, category 3 hurricane, for example.
Having to bury myself in the snow if if
it's really much windier than that,
deciding, you know, how am I going to
handle multi-day blizzards and white out
conditions when I'm in one of the most
polar bear dense regions of the world.
So, lots of lots of different things
that come into play. uh in these places.
But for me, you know, the Arctic is
really just an incredible and
fascinating place.
So, this is Greenland, and this is
Greenland specifically last July, mid
July, uh right before I was going to
head over there to ski across it. The
red is melt. So, this is the part of
Greenland that was actively melting at
that time.
Greenland's melt at this point was about
33 million tons per hour of ice. So to
quantify that in case anybody is
calculating that's about 17 milliliters
of Martinelli sparkling cider per
second.
Um so really rapidly rapid melting. The
Arctic itself, as I'm sure you're all
aware, is a highly highly vulnerable
melting area. On average overall, it's
melting about four times faster than the
rest of the planet. In some areas where
I've been doing work more recently, it's
about seven seven times faster. And we
know that
at this rate,
you know, by by the end of the century,
we're going to lose about half of the
world's glaciers.
And with that fresh water and water
resources for billions, you know, for
1.2, to maybe up to two billion people
around the world. In the high mountain
regions of the Hindu Kush Himalaya where
a lot of the land ice is. It's possible
that we can lose as much as 80% of that
if we keep keep our current emissions
levels. So just a little bit of stats
don't need to really read these too
much. But the point is that we do know
that we can save more than half of the
world's glaciers if we keep temperatures
to 1.5 degrees rather than our policy
aligned pathways of 2.7.
So this is just showing yeah different
regions of the world and the ice and how
much would remain. So we can see that,
you know, even even some of the smaller
places, Iceland, you know, the Rockies,
Scandinavia, we're really committing to
ice loss, you know, at at two degrees.
So,
so for Greenland, I have probably been
obsessed with Greenland for maybe 20
years. And so, as I said, last fall,
skied across it in what they call
manhauling, which is basically pulling
everything self-powered
uh in a sled. So, there's my sled behind
me that had everything I needed to
survive for about 6 weeks. And if you
think back to the picture of melt and
you know that red area, that was July.
This picture is September, end of
midseptember. But you know, you're all
you're all manners. You know what
qualities of snow are and what they look
like. You know, you can see a lot of
moisture there. And so you'd be correct
if you think that it's pretty wet. So
Greenland is, you know, we were not
expecting it to be as wet and warm as it
was certainly in as much melt, but it is
a place that we've already committed a
lot of melt due to current
destabilization of the ice sheet as a
result of ongoing emissions. So what
this means is that even if we were to
stop all emissions already, they'd be
gone. Uh we've already committed at
minimum 3% of the ice sheet. And I know
3% doesn't necessarily sound like too
much, but when you look at a place as
big as Greenland, that's actually over
10 in on average of sea level rise
around the world. And when we say 10 in
on average, you have some place like
Greenland that is actually going to see
sea or seeing sea level decrease because
the ice the land is sort of rebounding
from the weight of the ice. uh you can
add in your ocean physics and
gravity and where you end up seeing the
majority of sea level rise is in places
that are already exceptionally
vulnerable to it such as in the Pacific
and the more tropical tropical regions.
So this 10 in average is a global
average. So some places might see 20
ines and some places are going to see
you know a sea level decrease.
Uh, so rivers. This was also a picture I
took in midepptember. It's a little bit
hard to, you know, scale there, but this
river is probably 150 ft across this
river sort of bank here and about 100
100 feet down to the water. And the
water was moving quite quickly. So this
is something that we were not expecting
to come across these. And when you're
skiing across,
you know, we sort of mapped mapped our
route a little bit, do a little bit old
style style. Had a comp had, you know,
some little manual compasses and
literally just walking across the ice
sheet following our uh little red arrow
in the direction that we had we had
established. But, you know, coming
across a river like this that we were
not expecting and we can't go through
it. Some of the smaller rivers we can. I
did try to use my sled as a kayak a
little bit. It's with moderate success.
May have fallen in the river at one
point, but I won't talk about that. Uh,
but that, you know, something like that
becomes sort of could become a quite a
big emergency because you get the risk
of hypothermia and nothing dries in the
really cold environments.
So, you know, you end up having to we
when you come across a river like this,
we actually have to walk around it and
you're trying to figure out where is the
mouth of the where's sort of the start
of the river, the tributary streams, but
also where does it end? And these rivers
usually end in what's called a mulan.
And a mulan is a French word for mill.
And it's basically a shaft in the ice
where the the water finds a weakness and
it goes down to either the base of the
glacier or some intermediate areas to
figure out what the easiest way for it
to get to the water is. And when it gets
down to the base of the glacier that
lubricates the the ice and it
accelerates melting as well and that can
increase creasses and rip open the ice
much more quickly. So in the crevases
uh areas about the size of the pyramids
of Giza are opening in Greenland
every few days and this is and then
you've got the accelerated melt of all
of these gashes that can then water can
then flow more easily down and it's
contributing about half of the annual
melt of Greenland is just through the
creasses. So that's me
in the middle there and then flanked by
a teammate. We're trying to comp
contemplate how to actually get off the
glacier off the off the uh ice sheet.
You can see the land in the background
and felt a little bit like a rat in a
maze trying to find some cheese trying
to figure, you know, how we how we can
get through and how how we can get
around. Uh the benefit, I guess, of of
going at this time of year in the fall
is that we can actually see all of these
carasses. Uh definitely I did step into
one that I didn't see uh because we end
up with snow that will cover kvasses.
And in the spring when I've been on
expeditions in the spring, we tend to be
a lot more careful around kvasses
because you don't know where they are.
The snow covers them. And in the winter,
early spring, it's sort of okay if
there's enough snow. It's pretty safe to
walk over them. But as the melt season
really kicks off,
the snow weakens and thins and you end
up not seeing the crosses until really
you've fallen through the snow into
them. So we have a huge benefit of being
able to see all of these, but it also
makes it a lot more challenging to go
around.
And so con consequently in an area where
we're very concerned about the potential
for carasses, especially when we can't
see them, you know, we're wearing
harnesses
har uh and ropes and really tied on to
each other.
So
>> question Susanna.
>> Yes.
>> From the chat. Do you ever travel with a
drone so you can see
>> your surroundings from afar?
>> Yes and no. Um
yes, I've traveled. I've done a few
trips with drones and
I usually just do it for photography.
>> I know I have friends who do it to scout
out roots.
I have always found it a little bit more
fun to try to have to figure out the
route for myself and to try to read the
snow and figure out a path
so that I'm going and it's sort of trial
and error. I've liked that. But
certainly there are people who will plan
out exactly where they're going to go
based on what what the drone is showing.
I have that said certainly used
satellite imagery
and you know can get some direct
satellite imagery as well and work with
some meteorologists
on that as well when trying to figure
out if certain things are specifically
safe. So when I've been out on the sea
ice for example where where are we
actually seeing sea ice where is it
ending? I did that a lot when I did an
attempt to get to the North Pole, for
example, and we had lot huge questions
about the sea ice and it was rapidly
rapidly moving. So, I've done it when
it's a sort of an important safety
thing, but when it's a matter of
convenience, I've tried to stay away
from it, but that's just a personal
preference. But absolutely, it there
drones are used fairly frequently for
things like that. I just don't like the
mosquito buzz if I can avoid it. So,
just a personal preference. Yeah.
>> Um
and then also because of the extreme
warming uh melt, we you know, even into
the fall, we would uh start packing up
camp at about 2 in the morning to start
skiing. So, here we are in the dark.
This is Greenland. It does get dark in
September. And so, we would start
skiing in the dark for a few hours and
then the sun would rise. And this meant
that by
you know midday early afternoon when we
had put in a full say 10 hours of skiing
we could we could stop and pitch pitch
tense. The benefit of this was that at
that time the snow under especially when
it was we mainly did this when it was
really sunny and the snow would get kind
of sloshy and it would be a little bit
sludgy to ski through. So it wasn't as
much fun. We weren't making the progress
we wanted to make. I'm out there and you
know it's not it's not really warm
objectively but we're doing a fair bit
of you know heavy exercise for this. So
overheating ourselves and it's just not
very comfortable. Uh but the other
benefit is that we pitch tents and they
could bake in the sun for a few hours
which could dry things out and also gave
us a little bit of ambient heating. So
you know your tent might get up to say
60° which if it's
zero outside in the sun is is remarkably
warm. Uh overnight we were getting
temperatures of you know 40 below or so
and so that's gets quite hard because
you know you're waking up and trying to
get yourself out of a cozy sleeping bag
and and um get getting going in the dark
in the cold u you know on the science
same track you know importance of
keeping hydrated just to feel well and
performance I often had to get up and
pee once or twice in the middle of the
night really not much fun when again
it's really cold outside and
uh but
I often had the northern lights in the
middle of the night so that was that was
really rewarding and so that kind of
took took away that inconvenience a bit.
So
this is me in a karass intentionally
this time. Uh but here this this was in
Iceland and the other picture is of a
friend of mine teammate in Falbard where
we're both looking for POS. So something
that's very familiar to us in Maine got
POS all over the world. It was really a
startling feeling for me to realize that
I'm melting snow in you know 200 miles
from the North Pole for example. Uh
people aren't there no factories around
whatever. and the snow that I'm melting
actually is contaminated with POS and
that's what I'm about to be drinking.
It's like well snow here if it's in the
middle of Antarctica isn't clean. You
know where is
so it was just really emphasizing to me
if you how humans how much we've
impacted really impacted the world
around us and some of our worst bits are
are really everywhere.
Greenland itself nanoplastics really
heavy in those about 13 nanograms of
nanoplastics per milliliter of snow and
sea ice seawater sediments collected
from the ocean floor around Oops I took
out that picture I was going to have
pictures of some of that but I guess I I
guess I took that out.
So some of this is from local sources
and some of it is from so local source
is not immediate immediate local but say
fishing in the area. So it might be a
couple a couple um
hundred miles away for example gets into
the ocean
fishing line decays in this place in
Swallbard where I took this photo
we um the birds were dying. there's a
certain species of bird and about 90% of
them are dying from plastic ingestion.
So seeing a lot of that uh in it also
transports in the air so black carbon
from somewhere like Asia takes about a
week or so to get to the high arctic and
because of the ocean and atmospheric
currents gets there and it and it pretty
much stays for a bit. So uh yeah some
plastic some pieces are these
nanoplastics but some are also you know
larger than I am for example.
So uh I'll talk a little bit about what
I do with some of this and how we get
into the policy side. So as I said as
was said earlier I work for this
organization called the international
grasser climate initiative uh both in
glacier science and in policy and as
part of that we host the secretariat for
this group called ambition on melting
ice which is a high level group looking
at sea level rise and mountain water
resources
and this comprises
members from all negotiation groups in
the UN blocks apart from those that are
pro
oil
and our big thing is as you can look
from this these are sort of our core
members right here but you know we've
got Palao Vanuatu
Liberia you know Samoa these aren't
necessarily glaciated places or polar
places
so our big interest is looking at what
are the impacts that we're seeing in
these places in these polar and
glaciated places so the impacts of well
sort of the melt in these places but
then what are those actual impacts on
the rest of the world. So again when
we're talking about glaciers we're not
talking about just the countries that
have glaciers we're talking about
countries that are impacted by glaciers.
And that again is as I said at the
beginning 85% of the world's countries.
So yeah you know so we're looking at not
just the loss of ice in Antarctica but
the 250 million people who are going to
lose their houses in the next three and
a half decades as a result of sea level
rise. We're looking at um
the destabilization of land as a result
of changes in perafrost for example not
just sort of the science of perafrost
thaw. So these yeah these are the 25
countries we work with specifically
closely but have another 15 that I'm
pretty pretty tight tight with as well.
So we do several things with us. One is
we bring negotiators to the ice to these
regions of what we call the cryossphere.
So the cryossphere being the cold,
frozen regions of the planet. So this
was a trip to Iceland with several
different countries represented there.
And what was especially interesting here
is that you can see on this picture
we've marked out where the ice was say
20 years ago. So a lot higher and a lot
farther out. And so this is just an area
of rapid retreat. So just showing what's
going on in different parts of the
world. sort of pick a different region
that's impacted in some capacity by ICE
loss, whether it's in that region such
as here or whether it's a downstream
area and really make sure that
negotiators and decision makers,
presidents of countries are really
understanding what's happening rather
than just sort of a textbook knowledge
where somebody said this is what's going
on and therefore you should care about
it.
Much of our time here though is present
is based on preparing for for the big
negotiations.
So here's a couple pictures of of those
rooms. Uh these are from some of the big
sort of UN COP meetings. So Brazil last
November for COP 30 if that sounds
familiar to anyone. These meetings
happen twice a year. So there's the big
COP meeting and then there's a spring
meeting. And we have negotiation tracks
across a range of different subjects.
I'm personally involved in about or have
been involved in about seven of them. Uh
so we've got tracks in finance,
adaptation, mitigation, loss and damage,
earth systems responses, science, etc.
And so as you can see here, these rooms
often form an area where we are in
various sizes depending on who's going
to be there and how how many negotiators
or ministers and whether it's one per
country or two per country
differentized rooms with big screens and
often that's exactly what it looks like
in that left picture. It's a word
document and we are going word by word
and editing that document and trying to
get all 195 countries or those who have
representation in these rooms to
actually agree on the text which is a
bit of a challenge. Uh
so and I'll I'll talk a little bit about
why that's a challenge more than it
might appear to be a challenge first off
in a minute. Uh the US has been absent.
This is a picture I took at the spring
meetings last uh last June.
and also an updated form of the EPA
which talks about climate change but
talks doesn't mention anthropogenic
impacts or oil or anything of that sort
either but there was an empty seat from
the US they had said they were going to
show up and then they didn't which is
the same thing that happened in the fall
as well and but even though while the US
wasn't there and now that basically we
we Trump announced his decision to leave
Paris but that decision takes a year to
take in place. So we had there were two
rounds of negotiations. The US still was
full party to Paris agreement before it
withdrew.
So we're not allowed we couldn't go now
but could have gone last year. So even
though the US wasn't there, its presence
still very much is felt and it certainly
impacted party decisions and country
positions.
So the US works on a consensus model.
Sorry, the US the UN the UN works on a
consensus model for the UN climate only.
So the UNFC trip, the UN framework
convention on climate change. So it
works on this consensus model rather
than a majority model. And that means
that they only really need one country
to say that they're not interested or to
nick something for it not to go through.
And one of my negotiation tracks on
mitigation, this has happened in the
last six or seven rounds of these
conversations. We get to I spend two
weeks hammering something out. We get to
the end and some country usually an oil
is an oil producing country says nah not
feeling it and they do what was called
an article 16 which basically says
we're going to scrap any conversation we
had any progress that we made and start
over in another six months. And so we've
been doing that in this one negotiation
track for a couple years now. And you
know incredibly frustrating with that.
So
but it but it is in exclusively because
we have this consensus model that other
UN all other UN groups and many other
groups um when they talk about climate
or talk about other issues do not have.
So it's a majority. One benefit of this
I guess is that it gives every country
an equal vote. So Fiji could shut
something down just as easily as India
or Saudi Arabia. It's just doesn't
really happen that way too much. But
this was sort of a agreement made in the
very early days of the UN framework
convention on climate change process 30
plus years ago led perhaps
unsurprisingly by Saudi Arabia and other
OPEC the oil producing countries.
So this has led as you can probably
imagine to sort of this weaponization of
science where gets a lot harder to agree
on text and what should be in there and
what shouldn't be there. So I will just
I think I've got a couple more minutes
that I was told to speak. So I'll just
show a little bit of what that we're
seeing in that weaponizational science
and how Yes. So
this is from SB62 and SB62 the SBS are
the non-COP meetings, the spring
meetings. So this is from Germany last
summer, last June. and just showing a
draft text on the left there the 19th
and then a finalized text on the 26th of
June. And this
yeah so
basically this is also in the research
and systematic observations. So the big
the main science track which is usually
the least contentious.
So we just a couple things in these two
paragraphs. One is the draft text that
we started off with said subst which is
the basically the chairs of this of the
uh UN climate group for this conference
noted with alarm and utmost concern and
it was translated to noted the
information so taking out any kind of
urgency to that meaning. Then we have
ocean heat content and sea level rise
reached the highest levels in record
with the an the Arctic and Antarctic sea
ice extent were below average with
increasing glacier mass loss and extreme
events and that went to both slow onset
and extreme events. So anybody who's
really familiar with what they mean when
they talk about slow onset and extreme
events knows that that has to be ice
sheets. That has to be something that
has potential to have huge impact in the
future. But we're not actually saying
what the problem is.
And then lower down every increment of
warming goes to global warming.
And then this section section uh about
remains below the temperature remains
below 1.5 degrees and therefore below
the Paris agreement temperature goal
went to a footnote saying that the
estimate of level of warming of 1.5
degrees but we can't actually rule it
out. And the point of not being able to
rule it out has been part of this agre
argument from the fossil fuel countries
that if we're basically going to hit
1.5, why are we even bother talking
about it? Just just throw out that whole
goal and say that we've missed it and
let's just, you know, move on.
Whereas a real saying, well, all right,
we've got to figure out what we're going
to do about this overshoot or, you know,
back up to 1.5 isn't two degrees or
scrap it. it's, you know, 1.51
and then figure out how do we get back.
So that's sort of when we talk about the
weaponization of science and what we're
seeing in these negotiations, that's
really what we see. So you know, we try
with the with the groups of countries
that we work with is really strategizing
strategizing this helping countries
understand what these impacts are, what
the relationships
relationships are.
So,
um, yeah, I think in this mitigation
track, which is, yeah, I said this, this
one here is the science track, but in
mitigation, which is the one that we've
stalled out for the past couple years,
every six months, we actually last June
at the same meeting had a 45minute let's
all get together and define a safe
space. What does it mean for us to be
able to talk to each other? because
there was just so much disrespect and
countries that were just talking over
people and shouting at people and trying
to prove everybody wrong and it's just
you know really not really not great but
it meant that it's just been a really
hard negotiation track to move forward.
So it was decided in June that we really
need to have this parallel process and
say that okay we're not actually making
progress here.
do we need a another negotiation track
to talk about sort of the just directly
cut right to the phase out of fossil
fuels or do we need a separate process
and it was decided let's have a separate
process at least to get started. So,
um, you know, and it's especially hard
for me in these areas because, you know,
I'm seeing the downstream impacts. I'm
seeing the up, I guess, the upstream
impacts of this rapid melt and seeing it
very personally and, you know, having to
call for rescue because the sea ice is
literally disintegrating much more
quickly than I was expecting. Uh, but
seeing the impacts of that, but also
seeing how it's causing disasters. I've
been in areas where we've been
monitoring for these disasters,
developing warning systems for these
disasters, especially recently in the
Himalayas and or in the past year I've
been in them in the Himalayas and the um
mountains in Central Asia and the
Caucuses looking at these because we'll
have basically glacier outburst floods
that can wipe out villages and
infrastructure without almost any
warning. you know, something that
happens maybe within an hour or two and
very poor warning systems to let people
know. So,
um yeah, and certainly sea level rise
that's already impacting a lot of
people.
So, uh this is back to Colombia here.
It's just some pictures I took when I
was there. uh so I went and said and
went on this expedition but part of the
other reason for the expedition is that
at that exp at the meeting last year in
June when we're talking about
big frustrations on the mitigation and
the need for the parallel process was
they decided to ho to have a what
they're calling the first conference on
first international conference on the
transition away from fossil fuels and
it's going to be co-hosted by Colombia
and the Netherlands
will be part of a forthcoming series.
Tuvalu is currently
in in sort of a tripartate relationship
with Colombia and the Netherlands to
host the second one likely next spring,
but that's very TBD at the moment. Uh,
and the idea is basically to figure out,
okay, this co-consensus model isn't
working.
Everybody's frustrated. How do we
actually get invol? How do we pull
together the countries who really want
to make progress on this and move
forward? So luckily
I believe all of my countries that I
work with are part of that. So I'm
working with them on this but went down
to Colombia for this expedition but also
to start working with the government on
this just because I have all those the
political ties in the government. So
they invited me down to help form what
they're calling this coalition of the
willing. So that's 97 countries that
have been invited so far to come
together and figure out what needs to
happen for the world to transition away
from fossil fuels. How can that happen
in a way that's inclusive? Because
different countries have different
capacities, different abilities,
different interests.
Many countries that are most impacted
have fewest resources or very few
resources. So can't necessarily do this
on their own without larger support. and
it's been opened up to NOS's to join in
other organizations. They initially
asked whether I would lead that whole
NGO organization side and try to figure
out how do we connect the NGOs's to to
this. They were expecting maybe 50 from
around the world to express interest.
2,608
did within the first period of
expressions of interest to this event.
So completely scrapped what was going to
happen and they're now having this whole
other thing for civil society. So now
I'm back in the diplomacy side for this.
But we're really trying to figure out
what this road map is is moving forward
to get off of fossil fuels and whether
it goes back to the UN process or not
remains to sort of be an outcome of
this. So
uh yeah this is just yeah two pictures
of on the glaciers or getting and then
two pictures of the paramo paramo
ecosystem that's just highly vulnerable
uh
that as said it's you know covers 3% of
Colombia but feeds water for about 70%
of the country. So I think I will leave
it there. It's probably just over my
half hour, but I will open it to
questions.
>> That's great. Thank you, Suzan.
>> Yeah, thank you.
>> So, uh, we have a question on sea level
rise implications
>> and to what degree are we really taking
glacial melt projections into
consideration in Maine's local coastal
flooding projections?
Are you man do you do any consulting
here in Maine?
>> I don't
>> aside from with us.
>> I don't do too much. Uh but I do a
little bit uh in some places of the
world certainly. So uh with with some
mostly national governments, but we're
trying to get more we're interested more
getting into the subnational
governments.
So yes, do do some of the consulting
around the world. have been working on a
project with the Gulf of Maine Research
Institute and Northeastern University on
local
sea level rise.
>> We're piloting it right now mostly in
the greater Portland area, but it's
something that we have we have all the
materials to make it across the coast.
It's just three of us who are working on
this are all local and we were like
let's do a really local thing so that it
we can figure out how it can be used and
who wants to use it and if we can make
something at the hyper local level so
that's accessible to people who say
might want to buy a house or you know
having a business and is it okay if I
have you know this water pump in this
exact location. So we're we're trying to
see how local we could really make it
and then can expand it.
Uh we know that the Gulf of Maine is
particularly vulnerable. It is for a
handful of reasons.
It's shallow. It's se-shaped. We're
getting changes in the Labrador
currents. Uh we, you know, Greenland's
the melt of Greenland is directly
affecting us with a lot of freshening of
water. It's changing the density. It's
changing our food systems. So, it's a
very vulnerable spot that we're we're
seeing and seeing a lot of changes. So
there is a lot of interest in that area
and it's a pretty cool body of water
because it is changing really quickly.
But uh
so yes, glacier impacts are are there
could be more but they everybody they're
pretty well known what those are.
And it and could you make any references
to possible mitigations as far as
slowing down uh the melting of the
glaciers and planetary heating? Have you
come across
>> fuels would be a start?
>> Yes, of course. Yeah, I think we all
agree with that.
>> Yeah.
>> I mean mitigations that are potential.
Okay.
on a on a level that you find yourself
working at a lot of the time.
>> Yeah. So,
we're looking
there there a couple different things
that I'm looking at specifically.
One is yeah sort of getting getting the
world's large economies or at the large
scale getting us off of fossil fuels
because many of us who want to be off
fossil fuels on a personal level don't
have the capacity to because we're in
this bigger system. So there's certainly
that that I'm working on a lot. I'm also
working on some of the sort of what we
call nature-based solutions.
>> So you may have heard of you know
planting mangroves in certain areas to
protect against coastal erosion and sea
level rise. But something like mangroves
actually they do a lot and they do
they're very great in many parts of the
world but they actually only work for a
certain amount of sea level rise for
example and we can easily overpower
those and we're on track to do so very
quickly. So here locally we talk a bit
about the marshlands and
having having marshes and water uh sorry
grasses in the water that can have you
know huge benefits but are also only
good for a certain period. So ultimately
I think the the big big one that we need
to have is the rem getting off of fossil
fuels.
>> Yeah exactly. Okay,
Cliff, you have a question. You've
raised your hand.
>> Yes.
Um, appreciate your time, Susanna.
Um,
>> which areas on regions of the planet
would you say are the most
climate sensitive to any human impacts?
>> Are the most sensitive? are the most
sensitive?
>> That's a huge question and it's question
because
most sensitive
>> to human impacts.
>> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
Is I mean you have something like you
know Antarctica that's hugely hugely
sensitive but also you know it's got
about 57 50 something meters of
potential sea level rise in it as well.
So the impacts that it has on the rest
of the world are obviously huge as well.
>> So that's an extreme. You're talking
about an extreme place. Yep.
>> Yeah. No, no. Exactly. Exactly.
>> So maybe the extreme places,
>> but it could be it could be some of the
extreme places. You know, they're
they're changing very rapidly as a
direct result of humans without really
humans necessarily
really being there. um but changing very
rapidly. So
>> So this is a two-part question. The
second part would be
through your studies, it's quite obvious
that you've discovered or the world now
knows
uh the Arctic and Greenland is heating
three to seven times faster than the
rest of the planet. Is there a reason
why that's
happening for the polar regions in the
northern hemisphere? What what would you
see some of any do you see any human
impacts that might have had an effect
in those regions?
>> So over the years,
>> yeah, so there's there's several that's
a that's a good question as sort of why
the polar regions are particularly
vulnerable from from human impacts. And
you know, one is quite simply, and one
reason that they're quite important, and
I probably should have said that, is
that they are in many ways sort of our
global refrigerator, so to speak,
they're generally white. Uh, one of the
big issues with the Arctic ice melting
is that it's we're getting what we're
call darken, sort of the darkening of
this area. White surfaces reflect a lot
of light. They're great to keep things
cool. You know, talk about wearing a
white shirt on a summer day or people
who are painting their roofs white to
reflect
sunlight. It's great to keep things
cool. When the white ocean ice is
replaced by a dark ocean, it absorbs
water and it absorbs heat. So, it can
actually accelerate warming. So, we end
up with we have several of these
positive feedback loops that the more
ice that melts, the more heat is
absorbed and therefore more ice melts.
And we see this with perafrost thaw as
well where perafrost thaw has the
capacity to be on par as an as a net
emitter with a country like China for
example and we don't talk about the
capacity of something like perafrost to
thaw and release these decaying
microorganisms that are in the soils but
it's huge and the more we warm this up
the more thaw that happens the more
emissions that happen and therefore the
more that we warm. So we get these we
get these cycles. So that's one of the
reasons that these regions are such a
big player. And we also, you know, one
of the things we talk about something
like black carbon, which is just soot.
So that can be soot from a passing ship.
It can be soot from a wildfire. It can
be soot from whatever car exhaust. But
you know, when that gets into the
Arctic, which it does through air, air
and water air currents mainly,
it is black material on white surface.
And that creates the absorption of heat
and that creates melting. So we lose the
ice from something like that. And you
know, we're able to track soot. So if we
see it somewhere, we're able to figure
out exactly pretty much where it came
from. And we're able to do that with
microplastics that we find in some coral
reef somewhere. We can know exactly
which bottling plant that came from. Uh
which is contentious because, you know,
you're starting to hold people
accountable that way in ways that groups
don't necessarily want. But
uh we are able to say that you know this
wild you know we could track how much a
couple years ago we had big wildfires in
Canada how much ice loss in Greenland
that that actually led to for example.
Um so
uh it's probably one of the reasons that
when we talk about something turning
green and the more greenery growing
there is actually we talk about actually
as a bad thing. So, I'd like to think
that green areas are nice and forests
are nice, but when they happen in places
that should be white, it has a huge
warming impact on the world.
So, I don't know if that answers your
question a bit, but
>> that's the beginning, but
>> All right,
>> I have a lot more, but um I know other
people may have questions.
>> I just sent in a question. Yeah, go
ahead, Maryanne.
>> Oh, um, there are rivers that flow into
the Arctic from dams and the water
released from the dams is warmer as a
result of, you know, collecting sunshine
during the the year or whatever. What is
the thinking about how much impact that
might be having on the Arctic?
>> Yeah. Um, so I hesitate to say with too
much abs uh absoluteness because I'm not
100% certain, but certainly generally in
favor of
well
it it does have an impact. It has an
impact in that the water is different
temperature. The the water definitely
usually has you know has changed itself
in the fact that it's it's warmed. So,
you know, certainly, you know, we're
seeing changes in fish populations, for
example, in damned rivers. Not just the
absence of fish, but the ability of fish
to survive in warmer waters when they
are damned, uh, the different species.
So, we are seeing in some areas changes
in fish populations,
uh, fish spawning abilities in some of
these either Arctic places or glaciated
rivers in other parts of the world as a
result of damning.
Uh so
that is
that is something we are we are seeing
and we're seeing sort of a net negative
impact
having the dams and seeing that when the
dams are removed that that is a positive
thing for keeping the ecosystem stable.
>> Yeah,
that's a tough road to hoe.
>> Yes.
>> Getting dams removed. Suzanne, I want to
ask you about
Sorry, Mariana.
>> I said or not built. They're there plans
for more and more.
>> Yeah. And it's it's also it's also an
interesting one because
in some areas where they have a lot of
rivers, they see dams as a they define
dam or hydroelect electricity as a
renewable resource. And
>> one of the areas where I've been
probably most involved in that is we
have what we call as I mentioned these
glacier lake outburst floods where
you'll have some events and it could be
a perafrost thaw leading to a landslide.
It can be just excessive pre
precipitation, lots of lots of different
things, some extra melt and you get
these glacier lakes that are basically
near relation. they will suddenly burst
and
run down this river and wipe out wipe
out a dam for example. And you know
somebody I was talking with in one of
the major world bank one of the major
development banks last a couple months
ago and they were saying that usually in
the development world you talk about
dams as
you know the risks to dams forgetting
any we don't they don't even talk about
the biodiversity impacts but the risks
being
um either having too much water and
overflowing the dam or not having enough
water and basically having it being dead
water. And they said, you know, when you
talk about when you start bringing in
the glaciers or the Arctic aspect of
that, would you start you suddenly have
to bring in these outburst floods and
then you're talking about now the risk
isn't too much water or not enough
water. Now the risk is you've destroyed
the whole thing and you've destroyed and
partially as a result of having it been
there. You you destroy communities below
it as well. And they invest in the money
in having these, but they don't invest
in warning systems. They don't invest in
they're not necessarily built cor built
well enough to withstand
these impacts but also if they were
built better they might be more
resilient to these impacts but they
would also be better for the environment
biodiversity as well. So they were kind
of using the Arctic and the glacier side
as a reason not to have the dams because
it's just the the risk of catastrophe is
so much higher. I heard they're planning
to build a dam in uh Greenland that
would uh take advantage of melting
glaciers, which sounds pretty horrible.
>> Yep.
>> Okay. Coming back to you in just a
second, Cliff. I wanted to ask Susanna
first about what you think are the most
effective
educational
media, educational uh vectors,
um educational organizations
around
to get a message like what you're
sharing with us here out to more people
because it's I mean some of the things
that you've mentioned mentioned are
pretty I never I never knew that you
know 85% of the world's population you
know is affected by what's going on with
the glaciers. That's that's remarkable.
>> Yeah,
I can I can share some links with you. I
want to make sure that I get some names.
>> Okay.
>> Correct. So I can I can certainly follow
up. But there's some there's some really
good there's some good materials.
There's some good podcasts out recently.
>> Um,
there is a push in trying to make m
educational material a little bit more
chunk sized and accessible so that it's
it's not having to read big reports. But
I think one of the big interests that I
have and in my work is that I get to
play on the ice and I get to do a lot of
the actual analysis and science and
writing. I've had a couple papers that
I've had out fairly recently that are
sort of classic scientific papers. But
then saying, "No, I want to do something
with this." Because one of the big
frustrations for me with science is
that, and this is, you know, this is
part of grant writing. This is part of
how our whole science tends to work is
that you write something and then you
you publish it and you put it out
somewhere and it sits on the shelf and
it doesn't actually do anything. It
doesn't really affect policy. It doesn't
change the way that we live or work. So
being at that nexus of the science and
the policy for me is really quite
interesting because I feel like I get to
actually do something with the science
and try to figure out how to how to turn
science into something. And being in
that sphere, I've been able to work with
a handful of people who are educators
and are communicators
and translate that. And there's some
really fantastic work that has been done
that targets that exactly. uh but in
ways that don't require you to go look
up some random paper somewhere
>> on
>> Jtore. So,
>> okay. Thank you.
>> You're welcome,
>> Becky.
>> Susanna, I have laryngitis, so I hope
you can understand me.
>> All good. Thanks, Becky. Um, you know, I
I am, you know, we've, you know, that
we've been working um about the Canadian
uh dams for some time because you and I
have talked about it in the past. Um,
I'm curious. There are two things. One,
um, there's a plan for another dam on
the Grand River that um, at Gull Island
that is already, you know, causing a lot
of consternation. Um, and I just wonder
that particular dam, you know, has got
to be impacting the Labrador current. Um
and I'm just wondering as all of them
are um I'm wondering have have you has
there been any discussion about
that kind of impact to you know the
whole ecology of the ocean in your you
know in the policy areas or is there any
you know movement towards
controlling some of this advance of the
of controlling all the rivers? I mean,
so many of them are already damned.
So, anyway,
>> yeah. No, thank you, Becky. Uh, there I
haven't nothing has escalated to sort of
the higher echelons of of that
conversation.
>> What was the last word you said?
>> There should be people that I can think
of who should be talking about that and
should be doing something and they might
be, but it hasn't percolated above that.
So, I I would have some ideas of who I
would talk to if I were to wanting to
want to know how something like Gull
Island is is being discussed, but I
haven't been included in those
conversations.
So,
>> well, you know, it would be great for us
to uh have access to some of those
people. We may not be able to have
access, but we can certainly try.
>> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. I we can follow
up.
>> Great. If
>> you want to.
>> Great.
>> That would be great. And I haven't Yeah,
I'd have to Yeah, we can follow up.
>> I guess my other question was just about
the blackness of the enormous reservoirs
in the Arctic and the you know the
impact not only of water vapor but also
just the heat sink that those provide.
>> No, that that that's a huge concern and
that's one of the I mean whether that's
damned or whether that's not I mean
that's that's just bringing more dark
color to an area that we really want to
reflect light. uh and
that's opened itself up to a fair bit of
some of the geoengineering proposals
that are a completely different topic.
But there has been there has been a lot
of work look looking into just the
impacts of large areas that are dark
such as river reservoirs
and that's quantifiable. So
>> yep, we're going to Elizabeth Lee next
and then we'll probably wrap up with I
see Cliff has his hand raised again.
Okay, thanks very much. Um, I'm I'm from
Canada and I have lived and been
everywhere across Canada. BC and Alberta
are the ones I can really say that what
I found out recently that all the
northern rivers across Canada
and all their tribut tributaries
have been damned.
So that tells me that there's no such
thing as this wild river that we talk
about so much. It used to be. And um
when I heard they were expanding on
what's on the Gal Island, like the
apparently how the money goes, nobody's
I don't know who's benefiting because
it's certainly not Newfoundland, but I
do know in the Peace River watershed,
it's got three dams on it now. And it's
all about for energy. It's for big
business. And who else all knows? But in
that in that area that impacted the
indigenous people horrendously and to
this day they pay them to get a tractor
out and to where the river used to be is
like all sediment. And so they have this
tractor that makes it so it doesn't just
blow constantly to uh Fort St. John. And
it it it it's just insatiable. This
whole thing about electricity and cheap
energy. Well, it's not cheap at all. It
never has been cheap. I have never if
like I have seen wild rivers and I don't
care if I I don't go to look at dams. I
saw them as a child and I saw them once
and I said I thought they were the most
terrible things I'd ever seen. And what
Canada has done it just because that's
what Canada does.
>> It's got no brains at all. I'm sorry.
It's just I it it broke my heart when I
heard that. Can you all the tributaries
too, not just like the um like in in in
example when they did the last one at
the uh not the one that just did site C,
but the one before that when they did
it, they it was it took away the spring
melt that was scientifically for the
delta, the Aabaska delta, and it was
dying the delta. And so they um and BC
wouldn't wouldn't do it. So finally now
they have a little bit of a melt goes
and instantly the delta came back to
life and that and so there's no even
well we do this but we'll make sure
we'll help you if something goes wrong.
No, it's it's it's like the fossil fuel.
They don't care. It's just that simple.
>> No, and I think I think I don't know
that I have too much to add to that. I
mean it's so much of this is climate
colonialism and you know seeing that
around the world who has power who has
money and we've been in I've been in a
couple
conversations and high level
conversations like lawsuit type things
about
about yeah people with power who can do
something and they need an area to test
something out. So where do they choose
to test it? They choose an indigenous
land. Um why? because nobody lives there
as they say and they can get that
through and somebody gives them money to
do it and they go ahead and do it and
they don't necessarily be honest they're
not necessarily honest about what
they're doing. Um, we're seeing, you
know, kids who are coming who are, you
know, being diagnosed, three-year-olds,
four year olds who are being diagnosed
with skin cancer because, you know,
somebody's changed the atmosphere right
over them. And
um
yeah, it's it's there there's so many
moving parts, but I think you also
mentioned about the delta coming back
and you know the all of these ecosystems
are so resilient to a degree of course
that when we can remove when we can
remove dams when we can
even get a little bit we've seen it you
know I spoke a lot about Greenland melt
when we get just a little bit more snow
or the melt is delayed by even a week or
so it has huge huge impacts. So, you
know, little little benefits whether
it's, you know, just a single dam
removal or more. Obviously, I mean, they
can have just they can pay off dividends
quite well. But I think it's it's that
bigger picture also of taking advantage
of people. And I probably after about a
week or two of being in Greenland on the
ice, all I wanted was fresh vegetables
and some milky tea. Uh, and I
I got to the other end, got to a little
town and basically Greenland, I mean, as
many of you know probably with their
relationship with Denmark and what the
US is trying to take advantage of that
is is very contentious relationship.
Denmark controls a lot of access to
their food that's not subsistence
feeding, but it's hard to have
subsistence hunting when the ice is
melting and it's not safe for the
animals aren't there. So, I walk into
this market
and they had signs on the freezer sort
of freezer doors saying that they were
expecting food a month ago. It's not
here. Don't ask us about it. We have no
answers for you. And at the same time,
so they didn't have any fresh food. They
didn't have any fresh vegetables.
Uh they had some, you know, canned veg
if I wanted it. Um and at the same time,
they have liters and liters. I mean, not
not not liters, five gallon jugs of what
we would maybe think of for a jerry can
for gasoline of of of Coca-Cola. I mean,
that's what you get. I mean, I my friend
and I walked in there, we thought it was
blue windshield washer fluid. It was
blue soda and it's just these jerry cans
of this. And that's what, you know, we
pass off as food. And we can do that
because we have these, you know, these
relationships, these power structures.
And so we're seeing that just across the
board, whether that's with the damning
of rivers, uh, who who can make money
off of other people. So,
yeah, huge issue. And I I'm excited that
a lot of you are passionate about the
dams here, too.
>> You can bet on that. Thank you.
>> I've heard a bit about it from Holly and
Becky. So,
>> and you'll hear more, I'm sure. Uh,
we're going to wrap up now.
So I want to say thank you very much
Susanna for sharing this with us your
work your trips uh your perspective on
everything and um we hope we can
continue the conversation at another
time.
>> Yeah.
>> And I look forward to hearing from you.
>> Well, thank you very much.
>> Thank you.
>> Thank you. Thank you.
>> Thanks everyone for coming. Thanks
Susanna.
>> Thank you. It was very It was very
informative. Thank you.
>> Yeah. Thank you so much.